1 00:00:01,160 --> 00:00:03,400 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:03,440 --> 00:00:05,559 Speaker 1: your bets. It is b Joey p Joepi's a P 3 00:00:05,800 --> 00:00:09,600 Speaker 1: and this is VP NFL. It's time to look at 4 00:00:09,640 --> 00:00:12,400 Speaker 1: the props that way we do every single Friday here 5 00:00:12,520 --> 00:00:15,560 Speaker 1: on the program on Betting Pros, and our prop crew 6 00:00:15,640 --> 00:00:18,640 Speaker 1: is back from last year because darn it, they were 7 00:00:18,680 --> 00:00:21,560 Speaker 1: just so darn good at it. It's the Welsh. Everybody 8 00:00:21,600 --> 00:00:24,639 Speaker 1: taking a little break from the FP side and the 9 00:00:24,680 --> 00:00:28,240 Speaker 1: baseball side of things, because yeah, baseball is still going on, folks, 10 00:00:28,480 --> 00:00:31,479 Speaker 1: if you can believe it. And Andrew Erickson the Undertaker himself, 11 00:00:31,600 --> 00:00:33,440 Speaker 1: We're gonna take a look at the prop market for 12 00:00:33,520 --> 00:00:35,680 Speaker 1: Week one in the NFL, and there's a lot of 13 00:00:35,720 --> 00:00:38,680 Speaker 1: low numbers too out there, so make sure if you're 14 00:00:38,720 --> 00:00:41,440 Speaker 1: looking to make some money, you hang out with us 15 00:00:41,440 --> 00:00:43,640 Speaker 1: and you use the prop bet cheat sheet. It's over 16 00:00:43,840 --> 00:00:46,360 Speaker 1: on the VP app or go to Bettingpros dot com 17 00:00:46,400 --> 00:00:48,280 Speaker 1: and look at the prop bet cheat sheet. You get 18 00:00:48,320 --> 00:00:52,000 Speaker 1: all the analytic data, the projections from Fantasy Pros and 19 00:00:52,040 --> 00:00:53,760 Speaker 1: then you can match it with the best sports books 20 00:00:53,760 --> 00:00:56,680 Speaker 1: and the best lines you could find. And that, my friends, 21 00:00:56,760 --> 00:00:58,680 Speaker 1: is how you make money. So make sure using the 22 00:00:58,680 --> 00:01:01,080 Speaker 1: propet cheat sheet and the propat Analyzer for all your 23 00:01:01,080 --> 00:01:03,080 Speaker 1: prop betting, because one thing we love to do around 24 00:01:03,080 --> 00:01:04,679 Speaker 1: these parts, it's prop betting. And not only do we 25 00:01:04,680 --> 00:01:07,680 Speaker 1: have props today, gentlemen, we've also got the touchdown calls. 26 00:01:07,720 --> 00:01:10,720 Speaker 1: We're gonna get to those a little later. Welsh. Last 27 00:01:10,800 --> 00:01:12,560 Speaker 1: night we had football. I didn't get to talk to 28 00:01:12,640 --> 00:01:14,480 Speaker 1: you on opening day, but now I do. It was 29 00:01:14,520 --> 00:01:17,440 Speaker 1: a fun game, came down to the wire. We had 30 00:01:17,600 --> 00:01:21,760 Speaker 1: a star emerged potentially in Isaiah Likely and another one 31 00:01:21,760 --> 00:01:24,600 Speaker 1: in Xavier Worthy. Who was more impressive for you yesterday? 32 00:01:25,240 --> 00:01:29,319 Speaker 2: Oh man, I think Likely was the most impressive, especially 33 00:01:29,319 --> 00:01:31,600 Speaker 2: when you look in the prop market. I think Bogman 34 00:01:31,680 --> 00:01:34,160 Speaker 2: mentioned this sixteen and a half. Fifteen and a half 35 00:01:34,240 --> 00:01:35,759 Speaker 2: was around the range you could have got the receiving 36 00:01:35,800 --> 00:01:39,240 Speaker 2: yard marker. He absolutely destroyed it. Also, we had looked beforehand. 37 00:01:39,319 --> 00:01:42,120 Speaker 2: I believe it was close to ten to one you 38 00:01:42,160 --> 00:01:44,280 Speaker 2: could have got for him to go over one hundred yards. 39 00:01:44,640 --> 00:01:48,600 Speaker 2: Rashi Rice looked amazing. Worthy showed off exactly what we expected. 40 00:01:49,000 --> 00:01:51,720 Speaker 2: But it was the likely situation that that THNK threw 41 00:01:51,800 --> 00:01:54,840 Speaker 2: us all off, and that is Andrews done. 42 00:01:55,200 --> 00:01:57,040 Speaker 3: I don't know if it even matters. 43 00:01:56,840 --> 00:01:59,360 Speaker 2: If Mark Andrews is done or he comes back, where 44 00:01:59,360 --> 00:02:02,360 Speaker 2: it's a great time to by. Isaiah Likely is going 45 00:02:02,480 --> 00:02:04,400 Speaker 2: to be a dude week in and week out. I'm 46 00:02:04,400 --> 00:02:07,800 Speaker 2: going to be fascinated to see what week two's props 47 00:02:07,800 --> 00:02:10,320 Speaker 2: are going to be for Isaiah Likely, because I'll jump 48 00:02:10,360 --> 00:02:12,800 Speaker 2: in if it's anything under twenty five yards, which it 49 00:02:12,880 --> 00:02:15,040 Speaker 2: might be, they might slow roll a little bit. I'm 50 00:02:15,040 --> 00:02:16,919 Speaker 2: going to be on the Isiah Isaiah Likely train. 51 00:02:17,000 --> 00:02:17,600 Speaker 3: But he looked. 52 00:02:17,400 --> 00:02:21,800 Speaker 2: Phenomenal and many many first reads from Lamar Jackson in 53 00:02:21,800 --> 00:02:22,200 Speaker 2: that game. 54 00:02:22,919 --> 00:02:25,360 Speaker 1: Yeah, there were look Andrews hasn't been practicing after the 55 00:02:25,400 --> 00:02:28,119 Speaker 1: car accident. It was a Thursday night game. I don't 56 00:02:28,120 --> 00:02:31,560 Speaker 1: want to write him off yet. But Welsh, your instincts 57 00:02:31,600 --> 00:02:35,200 Speaker 1: were so good already. You had Xavier Worthy already being 58 00:02:35,240 --> 00:02:38,919 Speaker 1: the first touchdown scorer, and you gave it to Andrew Ericson. 59 00:02:39,000 --> 00:02:41,240 Speaker 1: You handed it to him on a silver platter. Ericson, 60 00:02:41,280 --> 00:02:43,960 Speaker 1: you cashed on it. Did you give Welsh a little 61 00:02:43,960 --> 00:02:47,000 Speaker 1: bit of you know, I don't know Finders Well, yeah. 62 00:02:46,800 --> 00:02:49,640 Speaker 2: I want to point out it wasn't my idea because, 63 00:02:49,960 --> 00:02:52,880 Speaker 2: like we did the show yesterday on Discord fantasygros dot 64 00:02:52,880 --> 00:02:54,640 Speaker 2: com slash chat if people want to check that out. 65 00:02:54,680 --> 00:02:56,799 Speaker 2: Andrew and I do a show and we were talking 66 00:02:57,240 --> 00:02:59,880 Speaker 2: Ericson all about Worthy. He's like, I like the latter. 67 00:03:00,280 --> 00:03:02,160 Speaker 2: I like this, I like that. So after the show, 68 00:03:02,200 --> 00:03:04,760 Speaker 2: I start peeking through and because he was like. 69 00:03:04,840 --> 00:03:07,320 Speaker 3: I really wish there was like a first. 70 00:03:07,080 --> 00:03:09,320 Speaker 2: Drive one and I'm like, buddy, we got one, and 71 00:03:09,360 --> 00:03:11,600 Speaker 2: I look and I find it and then sure enough 72 00:03:11,600 --> 00:03:13,840 Speaker 2: we find twenty two. I found twenty to one. I 73 00:03:13,880 --> 00:03:15,920 Speaker 2: think he ended up getting seventeen to one. And he 74 00:03:15,960 --> 00:03:18,160 Speaker 2: goes yeah, He's like, well come on. He's like, I 75 00:03:18,200 --> 00:03:19,640 Speaker 2: got to get out of here, and then he was like, 76 00:03:19,720 --> 00:03:21,800 Speaker 2: oh man. And then I text him. I said, you 77 00:03:21,919 --> 00:03:24,160 Speaker 2: better have made that bet, and sure enough I got 78 00:03:24,600 --> 00:03:25,959 Speaker 2: just the jpeg comeback. 79 00:03:26,560 --> 00:03:28,680 Speaker 3: Ericson made that bet. So I found it good. There 80 00:03:28,880 --> 00:03:29,680 Speaker 3: it was his call. 81 00:03:30,240 --> 00:03:31,680 Speaker 1: That's a good way to start off the year, right, 82 00:03:31,760 --> 00:03:33,600 Speaker 1: I mean, the first touch out of the season to 83 00:03:33,680 --> 00:03:34,240 Speaker 1: make money. 84 00:03:34,200 --> 00:03:36,280 Speaker 4: Perfect the cyst I could ask for. So shout out 85 00:03:36,320 --> 00:03:38,720 Speaker 4: to Welsh for pushing me over. He Adrina cant worthy 86 00:03:38,720 --> 00:03:41,760 Speaker 4: because I had the first touchdown and the Ravens scored first, 87 00:03:41,840 --> 00:03:44,600 Speaker 4: so I'm like no, but I remember, wait, I made 88 00:03:44,600 --> 00:03:47,119 Speaker 4: the bet that Welsh pushed me towards because I wanted 89 00:03:47,160 --> 00:03:48,960 Speaker 4: to look at the Chiefs on the first rise. I 90 00:03:49,000 --> 00:03:51,680 Speaker 4: was so convinced that when they first took the field 91 00:03:51,680 --> 00:03:52,760 Speaker 4: they were going to try to get the ball to 92 00:03:52,880 --> 00:03:55,920 Speaker 4: Xavier worthy end just with his speed. I figured, Hey, 93 00:03:55,960 --> 00:03:58,360 Speaker 4: this guy could score. And I was concerned because, oh no, 94 00:03:58,600 --> 00:03:59,960 Speaker 4: did I say he was going to get a receiving 95 00:04:00,120 --> 00:04:02,920 Speaker 4: touchdown or not a rushing touchdown. I was like freaking 96 00:04:02,920 --> 00:04:04,880 Speaker 4: out because I couldn't remember what the exact that was. 97 00:04:04,920 --> 00:04:07,440 Speaker 4: But again, this is why we have Welsh on the show. 98 00:04:07,480 --> 00:04:09,360 Speaker 4: This is why Washington's best friend. That's why we're teaming 99 00:04:09,440 --> 00:04:13,400 Speaker 4: up all year long on Dani spros and Datting pro So, Welsh. 100 00:04:13,000 --> 00:04:15,520 Speaker 1: Thank you for your friend. I thought I was both 101 00:04:15,520 --> 00:04:17,400 Speaker 1: of your best friends. So this is a little upsetting 102 00:04:17,440 --> 00:04:20,680 Speaker 1: to me on two front. Wolf packed Well, you know, 103 00:04:21,040 --> 00:04:23,240 Speaker 1: you know, as analysts, sometimes we tend to over analyze 104 00:04:23,240 --> 00:04:26,680 Speaker 1: things and sometimes overthink good process to begin with. It's 105 00:04:26,680 --> 00:04:28,560 Speaker 1: good once in a while when one of us bullies 106 00:04:28,600 --> 00:04:31,240 Speaker 1: somebody else into event because like, no, this is really good, 107 00:04:31,240 --> 00:04:33,359 Speaker 1: go do this. I think that's good. We're gonna do 108 00:04:33,360 --> 00:04:35,240 Speaker 1: some bully bets. Later in the show, let's get to 109 00:04:35,360 --> 00:04:38,240 Speaker 1: Welsh's first pick of the week for Week one. Welsh 110 00:04:38,240 --> 00:04:39,880 Speaker 1: start us off on the right way, and let's start 111 00:04:39,920 --> 00:04:41,000 Speaker 1: with a running back in Dallas. 112 00:04:41,080 --> 00:04:43,400 Speaker 3: All right, so we're jumping in. This was my favorite 113 00:04:43,400 --> 00:04:43,960 Speaker 3: bed of the week. 114 00:04:44,120 --> 00:04:47,040 Speaker 2: It had to get taken off at some point and 115 00:04:47,080 --> 00:04:50,000 Speaker 2: it was a ridiculously low number. Now I'm gonna tell 116 00:04:50,000 --> 00:04:52,320 Speaker 2: you the number that I believe it is today. I 117 00:04:52,360 --> 00:04:55,480 Speaker 2: got a little bit lower. We're going, Rico doubt all 118 00:04:55,600 --> 00:04:59,479 Speaker 2: of the Dallas Cowboys rushing yards. I got it at 119 00:04:59,520 --> 00:05:02,960 Speaker 2: twenty six and a half. That number had jumped up 120 00:05:03,040 --> 00:05:06,520 Speaker 2: to twenty eight and a half yesterday. Most projections looked 121 00:05:06,560 --> 00:05:09,520 Speaker 2: over even we have our own projections here, PFF projections, 122 00:05:09,520 --> 00:05:12,560 Speaker 2: which I respect, actually had him at thirty four and 123 00:05:12,600 --> 00:05:14,919 Speaker 2: a half. So there was a lot of run in 124 00:05:15,000 --> 00:05:17,640 Speaker 2: between there, and that line continues to move. For the 125 00:05:17,760 --> 00:05:19,520 Speaker 2: running back that they are saying is a three down 126 00:05:19,560 --> 00:05:23,400 Speaker 2: back is the starter. But clearly the market is still 127 00:05:23,400 --> 00:05:26,240 Speaker 2: worried about Ezekiel Elliott and they're showing it by dropping 128 00:05:26,240 --> 00:05:27,839 Speaker 2: a twenty six and a half. But this is like 129 00:05:27,960 --> 00:05:33,440 Speaker 2: classic Week one, not understanding what the usage and the 130 00:05:33,480 --> 00:05:35,760 Speaker 2: depth chart is going to be for some of these situations. 131 00:05:36,320 --> 00:05:39,039 Speaker 2: And if you look at Rico Daddell all three games 132 00:05:39,240 --> 00:05:42,280 Speaker 2: last year where he had nine or more carries, this 133 00:05:42,400 --> 00:05:46,400 Speaker 2: number cashed defensively going up against the Brown sixteen of 134 00:05:46,560 --> 00:05:50,200 Speaker 2: nineteen games last year, the primary back hit this number. 135 00:05:50,440 --> 00:05:52,840 Speaker 2: It's kind of goofy because I'm telling you, like, hey, 136 00:05:52,960 --> 00:05:55,279 Speaker 2: hit this number. I feel like when I say that, 137 00:05:55,360 --> 00:05:56,280 Speaker 2: I'm treating it like. 138 00:05:56,240 --> 00:05:58,520 Speaker 3: This is like forty five yards or fifty two yards. 139 00:05:58,920 --> 00:06:01,839 Speaker 3: It's a low number. Yeah, of course this hit. But 140 00:06:01,920 --> 00:06:05,520 Speaker 3: that's the point of this. Ricodowdell at twenty. 141 00:06:05,839 --> 00:06:09,560 Speaker 2: Anything under thirty, I think is criminally ridiculous, and I'm 142 00:06:09,560 --> 00:06:10,880 Speaker 2: gonna jump on now. 143 00:06:10,920 --> 00:06:12,600 Speaker 3: I may be surprised. At the end of the day. 144 00:06:12,640 --> 00:06:15,400 Speaker 2: We may see more Elliott, we may see more Dalvin Cook. 145 00:06:16,000 --> 00:06:18,280 Speaker 2: But all the speak that we have had is they 146 00:06:18,279 --> 00:06:20,800 Speaker 2: trust him, they view him as a three down back, 147 00:06:21,560 --> 00:06:26,119 Speaker 2: and this is such a low number that it doesn't 148 00:06:26,160 --> 00:06:28,960 Speaker 2: really matter like defensive scheme we're going against or. 149 00:06:29,360 --> 00:06:30,599 Speaker 3: It doesn't matter. 150 00:06:30,640 --> 00:06:32,360 Speaker 2: And also, I think they're going to be up in 151 00:06:32,400 --> 00:06:33,960 Speaker 2: this game, and they have potential to be up in 152 00:06:34,000 --> 00:06:35,960 Speaker 2: this game where they're gonna want to establish the run 153 00:06:36,200 --> 00:06:37,640 Speaker 2: and They're just not gonna go with the old man 154 00:06:37,680 --> 00:06:38,840 Speaker 2: Elliott and old man Cook. 155 00:06:38,920 --> 00:06:40,880 Speaker 3: So Rico Daddell, this is my. 156 00:06:40,880 --> 00:06:43,040 Speaker 2: Favorite bet of the week because it is such a 157 00:06:43,120 --> 00:06:46,160 Speaker 2: low number for a potential number one. So anything under 158 00:06:46,200 --> 00:06:49,880 Speaker 2: thirty Rico Dawdle rushing yards for week one, uh. 159 00:06:50,480 --> 00:06:52,680 Speaker 1: Even if it's a sixty forty split, I feel like 160 00:06:52,720 --> 00:06:55,240 Speaker 1: this is a crush number. Twenty six is a crush number. 161 00:06:55,240 --> 00:06:57,200 Speaker 1: Twenty eight and a half is a crush number either way. 162 00:06:57,240 --> 00:06:58,800 Speaker 1: I'm not worry about Dalvin Cook yet. I mean, how 163 00:06:58,800 --> 00:07:00,880 Speaker 1: long has he been there. He's been there and he's 164 00:07:00,880 --> 00:07:03,280 Speaker 1: done and dusted. Last year anyway, as sold as you 165 00:07:03,440 --> 00:07:05,040 Speaker 1: was so good, he would have been another camp earlier. 166 00:07:05,400 --> 00:07:07,760 Speaker 1: Let's let's be honest everybody. People are looking for running 167 00:07:07,800 --> 00:07:10,080 Speaker 1: back help. Let's not go crazy about Dalvin Cook if 168 00:07:10,080 --> 00:07:14,440 Speaker 1: he gets a carrier too. Okay, great Ericson, let's go 169 00:07:14,480 --> 00:07:17,040 Speaker 1: to you for your first pick, and please tell me 170 00:07:17,040 --> 00:07:18,720 Speaker 1: it's got to be an under right, the Undertaker's got 171 00:07:18,760 --> 00:07:20,040 Speaker 1: to start the season off right here, right. 172 00:07:20,160 --> 00:07:21,360 Speaker 5: No, I'm not going with an under here. 173 00:07:21,360 --> 00:07:23,920 Speaker 4: I'm going with the over on a dusty tight end 174 00:07:23,960 --> 00:07:26,800 Speaker 4: who's probably an outscore. Mark Andrews. This week, zach Ertz 175 00:07:26,880 --> 00:07:29,880 Speaker 4: over three and a half receptions. So last year Ertz, 176 00:07:29,960 --> 00:07:32,440 Speaker 4: but he was healthy, he averaged just under four catches 177 00:07:32,480 --> 00:07:34,720 Speaker 4: per game in seven games played. Look at the defense 178 00:07:34,760 --> 00:07:37,240 Speaker 4: he's playing this week, the tap Bay Buccaneers. They allowed 179 00:07:37,240 --> 00:07:39,520 Speaker 4: the most targets, second most catches in yards to tight 180 00:07:39,600 --> 00:07:43,200 Speaker 4: ends in twenty twenty three. Cliff Kingsbury loves zach Ertz, 181 00:07:43,400 --> 00:07:45,040 Speaker 4: loved him so much he played him over at Trae 182 00:07:45,080 --> 00:07:47,640 Speaker 4: McBride despite McBride being a breakout superstar. 183 00:07:47,720 --> 00:07:49,880 Speaker 5: I mean, you look at the Commanders and their offense. 184 00:07:50,120 --> 00:07:52,560 Speaker 4: You have Terry McLaurin, who's going to be the target leader, 185 00:07:52,840 --> 00:07:55,480 Speaker 4: and after that we're not really sure who could be 186 00:07:55,560 --> 00:07:58,000 Speaker 4: the second player in terms of targets. So for me, 187 00:07:58,520 --> 00:08:01,080 Speaker 4: considering zach Ertz out at the entire preseason, I think 188 00:08:01,080 --> 00:08:02,800 Speaker 4: that he's gonna have a big role while he's healthy. 189 00:08:02,840 --> 00:08:06,200 Speaker 4: In Week one, so against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers chasing 190 00:08:06,240 --> 00:08:09,000 Speaker 4: points as road underdogs and Jay Daniels first start, I 191 00:08:09,000 --> 00:08:11,280 Speaker 4: think that Artz is gonna be his checkdown option if 192 00:08:11,280 --> 00:08:13,040 Speaker 4: he's not going deep to Terry McLaurin. So I like 193 00:08:13,040 --> 00:08:15,120 Speaker 4: the over on arts three and a half receptions. 194 00:08:16,560 --> 00:08:18,840 Speaker 1: Well, the bar has been said very low for the 195 00:08:18,880 --> 00:08:22,480 Speaker 1: Andrews fantasy scoring, so you know, hopefully anyone can go 196 00:08:22,520 --> 00:08:25,480 Speaker 1: over that one. Well, shitt's go to you for another one. Here. 197 00:08:25,560 --> 00:08:27,360 Speaker 1: I am on this next guy, but not for the 198 00:08:27,400 --> 00:08:31,160 Speaker 1: reason you are. So let's talk about Daniel Jones, because 199 00:08:31,200 --> 00:08:34,080 Speaker 1: I've already bet the over on the point five interceptions 200 00:08:34,080 --> 00:08:34,880 Speaker 1: for Daniel Jones. 201 00:08:35,000 --> 00:08:37,120 Speaker 3: Oh okay, I was well, I was curious, like what 202 00:08:37,160 --> 00:08:39,600 Speaker 3: you didn't like about this? I think, no, no, this 203 00:08:39,720 --> 00:08:40,360 Speaker 3: I like too. 204 00:08:40,760 --> 00:08:43,360 Speaker 1: I just like the turnovers more I see Daniel Jones, 205 00:08:43,400 --> 00:08:46,000 Speaker 1: and I just I get excited for turnovers. But go ahead, 206 00:08:46,080 --> 00:08:47,760 Speaker 1: let's talk about this prop because I think this is 207 00:08:47,800 --> 00:08:50,720 Speaker 1: also maybe a little a little duo bad here, maybe 208 00:08:50,760 --> 00:08:52,160 Speaker 1: a little skinny parlay. Who knows. 209 00:08:52,200 --> 00:08:54,600 Speaker 2: I think it could play. Because what's one What's one 210 00:08:54,600 --> 00:08:57,280 Speaker 2: thing we know about Daniel Jones? He's not good. 211 00:08:57,520 --> 00:08:58,320 Speaker 3: He's not very good. 212 00:08:58,360 --> 00:09:02,199 Speaker 1: Oh good, though, I gotta say he's The beard is 213 00:09:02,520 --> 00:09:04,480 Speaker 1: a good addition. It makes him look a little tougher. 214 00:09:04,559 --> 00:09:05,320 Speaker 3: What's the second thing? 215 00:09:05,440 --> 00:09:06,040 Speaker 1: Means happened? 216 00:09:06,559 --> 00:09:09,360 Speaker 2: There's really no options on that team except my Melik Neighbors, 217 00:09:09,360 --> 00:09:11,920 Speaker 2: so this could be a Milik Neighbors option. So really, 218 00:09:11,920 --> 00:09:13,440 Speaker 2: why I'm going with this is you do have like 219 00:09:13,480 --> 00:09:16,280 Speaker 2: the offseason injury stuff that he was dealing with. But 220 00:09:16,559 --> 00:09:20,720 Speaker 2: I'm looking at Daniel Jones rushing yards, which definitely. 221 00:09:20,280 --> 00:09:21,520 Speaker 3: Was a constant last year. 222 00:09:21,559 --> 00:09:23,520 Speaker 2: They have Devin Singletary, who's going to be one of 223 00:09:23,520 --> 00:09:26,200 Speaker 2: their big primary guys. They have one good wide receiver 224 00:09:26,240 --> 00:09:31,400 Speaker 2: option in Milik Neighbors, and he's going to be running 225 00:09:31,640 --> 00:09:34,000 Speaker 2: all around in this week one game again, and the 226 00:09:34,080 --> 00:09:36,400 Speaker 2: rushing number they're throwing at us this week is twenty 227 00:09:36,440 --> 00:09:38,839 Speaker 2: six and a half. First off, he was averaging thirty 228 00:09:38,840 --> 00:09:42,080 Speaker 2: four point five rushing yards per game, and he hit 229 00:09:42,240 --> 00:09:45,400 Speaker 2: this in three of six games played last year, so 230 00:09:45,440 --> 00:09:47,960 Speaker 2: fifty percent of the time he was doing fifty percent 231 00:09:48,000 --> 00:09:50,600 Speaker 2: of the time. It worked every time for Daniel Jones, 232 00:09:51,000 --> 00:09:53,760 Speaker 2: and he's going to be running all around. It's a 233 00:09:53,800 --> 00:09:56,800 Speaker 2: low number for him. We have seen some obviously primary 234 00:09:57,120 --> 00:10:01,160 Speaker 2: rb ish looking numbers a La Lamar Jackson for him 235 00:10:01,160 --> 00:10:03,400 Speaker 2: when they had no weapons. Yes, they do have a 236 00:10:03,400 --> 00:10:05,480 Speaker 2: couple in there, but this doesn't mean he's not going 237 00:10:05,480 --> 00:10:07,440 Speaker 2: to be running around the sticks all day long. So 238 00:10:07,559 --> 00:10:10,800 Speaker 2: I think this is just a low number projections. Again, 239 00:10:10,800 --> 00:10:12,360 Speaker 2: if you want to look at the I use the 240 00:10:12,440 --> 00:10:16,160 Speaker 2: Rico Dowdle rushing yard projection versus where it is there 241 00:10:16,200 --> 00:10:18,840 Speaker 2: was about an eight yard cushion. You have an eleven 242 00:10:18,920 --> 00:10:22,160 Speaker 2: yard cushion off of most projections for Daniel Jones in 243 00:10:22,160 --> 00:10:25,440 Speaker 2: Week one, where he's over thirty seven yards projected running. 244 00:10:25,679 --> 00:10:26,360 Speaker 1: So there you go. 245 00:10:26,720 --> 00:10:29,360 Speaker 2: You've got massive value in that. You know he's going 246 00:10:29,440 --> 00:10:31,120 Speaker 2: to be running around. I think they're going to be 247 00:10:31,120 --> 00:10:33,680 Speaker 2: playing from behind, So give me Daniel Jones rushing yards. 248 00:10:33,720 --> 00:10:36,360 Speaker 2: I think that's a low total. It's an easy get 249 00:10:36,640 --> 00:10:38,960 Speaker 2: and the only thing that'll change is if his legs 250 00:10:39,000 --> 00:10:40,680 Speaker 2: are going to be going a little bit less and 251 00:10:40,720 --> 00:10:42,720 Speaker 2: they're going to just be handing off to Singletary and 252 00:10:42,840 --> 00:10:45,080 Speaker 2: play action the Malik Neighbors all game. But I really 253 00:10:45,120 --> 00:10:45,760 Speaker 2: like this one. 254 00:10:46,200 --> 00:10:48,160 Speaker 1: I think you can get some garbage tie running around too. 255 00:10:48,400 --> 00:10:49,880 Speaker 1: I like this one a lot. This is a very 256 00:10:49,920 --> 00:10:54,600 Speaker 1: astute wager Welsh. Well done, my friend Erickson, boy, you 257 00:10:54,679 --> 00:10:56,440 Speaker 1: really were hitting the prop at cheat Sheet hard on 258 00:10:56,480 --> 00:10:57,400 Speaker 1: the tight ends this week. 259 00:10:57,440 --> 00:11:00,480 Speaker 4: He well, I mean, since Mark Andrews crushed on my dreams, 260 00:11:00,480 --> 00:11:02,240 Speaker 4: I'm just gonna chase the tight ends. 261 00:11:02,040 --> 00:11:03,040 Speaker 1: And it's only weak. 262 00:11:04,320 --> 00:11:05,719 Speaker 4: But this is what tight ends do all the time. 263 00:11:05,760 --> 00:11:08,240 Speaker 4: We're like tight end, so deep is he? This is 264 00:11:08,280 --> 00:11:11,760 Speaker 4: gonna be great and they're all terrible and crying. 265 00:11:11,440 --> 00:11:13,199 Speaker 3: About nobody said that this year. 266 00:11:14,080 --> 00:11:17,800 Speaker 1: They're not all terrible. Likely was great yesterday, so we 267 00:11:17,840 --> 00:11:20,480 Speaker 1: did be So that was you know, what the we 268 00:11:20,520 --> 00:11:22,720 Speaker 1: did was. But the funniest part about Likely is, you 269 00:11:22,720 --> 00:11:24,720 Speaker 1: know me, like in a lot of drafts where you know, 270 00:11:24,840 --> 00:11:27,839 Speaker 1: stuff goes sideways. I'll just start, you know, taking shots 271 00:11:27,840 --> 00:11:29,320 Speaker 1: at tight end, and I have a bunch of likely 272 00:11:29,360 --> 00:11:31,880 Speaker 1: shares all on my bench. So I'm like sitting there now, 273 00:11:31,960 --> 00:11:34,400 Speaker 1: going do I trade him everywhere? Do I sit on? 274 00:11:34,559 --> 00:11:34,640 Speaker 6: Like? 275 00:11:34,679 --> 00:11:36,280 Speaker 1: What do I do? I don't know. I think we're 276 00:11:36,280 --> 00:11:37,880 Speaker 1: just gonna wait it out a little bit. But let's 277 00:11:38,000 --> 00:11:40,480 Speaker 1: let's you know, this guy isn't falling quite yet at 278 00:11:40,520 --> 00:11:43,600 Speaker 1: tight end. But David and Joku an interesting guy because 279 00:11:43,720 --> 00:11:45,920 Speaker 1: last year the coming out party after all these years 280 00:11:45,920 --> 00:11:48,000 Speaker 1: of waiting finally happened. But it was with Joe Flacco. 281 00:11:48,200 --> 00:11:49,920 Speaker 1: So what do you see in Week one against the Cowboys? 282 00:11:49,920 --> 00:11:52,480 Speaker 4: Here, I'm going to take the under on his reception 283 00:11:52,600 --> 00:11:55,320 Speaker 4: set at four and a half. I don't like this 284 00:11:55,400 --> 00:11:59,040 Speaker 4: game at all for points Browns Cowboys, Cowboys playing on 285 00:11:59,080 --> 00:12:02,400 Speaker 4: the road, the rounds win this game, like Vegas is suggesting, 286 00:12:02,400 --> 00:12:05,200 Speaker 4: because they're favored, they're gonna win ugly. I don't see 287 00:12:05,200 --> 00:12:08,160 Speaker 4: how this game is oh offenses firing on all cylinders. 288 00:12:08,160 --> 00:12:10,920 Speaker 4: This is absolutely great, best of Dak, best of Deshaun Watson. 289 00:12:11,240 --> 00:12:13,400 Speaker 4: Maybe five years ago that would have been the case, 290 00:12:13,480 --> 00:12:16,160 Speaker 4: but not in this particular matchup here. So I'm fading 291 00:12:16,200 --> 00:12:19,400 Speaker 4: points in this game. And I look at Njoku. He 292 00:12:19,440 --> 00:12:21,480 Speaker 4: only caught more than four passes in one of Deshaun 293 00:12:21,520 --> 00:12:25,320 Speaker 4: Watson's five full starts last season. So it was Joe 294 00:12:25,320 --> 00:12:28,320 Speaker 4: Flacco that really unlocked David and Joku towards the end 295 00:12:28,320 --> 00:12:31,120 Speaker 4: of last season. And I'm just gonna fade his hot 296 00:12:31,160 --> 00:12:34,480 Speaker 4: season stretch when when we saw him with Watson, Watson 297 00:12:34,559 --> 00:12:36,719 Speaker 4: wasn't peppering and Joku with targets. They have a new 298 00:12:36,720 --> 00:12:39,520 Speaker 4: offensive coordinator. It's not Alex van Pelt there anymore. So 299 00:12:39,679 --> 00:12:42,839 Speaker 4: there's enough ambiguity for me to take this number that 300 00:12:42,880 --> 00:12:44,360 Speaker 4: I think is pretty high at four and a half 301 00:12:44,360 --> 00:12:46,440 Speaker 4: receptions and take the under, especially when you look at 302 00:12:46,520 --> 00:12:49,480 Speaker 4: Dallas in their defense last year allowed the fewest catches 303 00:12:49,480 --> 00:12:50,360 Speaker 4: to tight ends. 304 00:12:50,440 --> 00:12:52,160 Speaker 5: So I'm gonna fade David and Joku. 305 00:12:52,840 --> 00:12:55,240 Speaker 1: While you're looking up the word ambiguity, you should also 306 00:12:55,280 --> 00:12:59,040 Speaker 1: look up on the internet are Discord, Fantasy prosan bettingpros 307 00:12:59,120 --> 00:13:02,000 Speaker 1: dot com. But specifically for all of you watching this show, 308 00:13:02,040 --> 00:13:05,400 Speaker 1: it's all about the betting pros right now. Bettingpros dot com. 309 00:13:05,400 --> 00:13:08,560 Speaker 1: That's where you can go slash chat and you can 310 00:13:08,640 --> 00:13:11,640 Speaker 1: join our discord for free. That's right for free. You 311 00:13:11,760 --> 00:13:13,600 Speaker 1: got a lot of people posting in there. You've got 312 00:13:13,600 --> 00:13:15,680 Speaker 1: Matt Parralt in there all the time who's always helping 313 00:13:15,679 --> 00:13:18,880 Speaker 1: people out there posting his bets. You've got live shows 314 00:13:18,880 --> 00:13:20,760 Speaker 1: going on our discord on the fantasy side, so there's 315 00:13:20,800 --> 00:13:22,640 Speaker 1: a lot happening there and we want you to be 316 00:13:22,679 --> 00:13:24,240 Speaker 1: a part of our discord. So make sure you go 317 00:13:24,320 --> 00:13:27,680 Speaker 1: over to fancypros dot com slash chat and Bettingpros dot 318 00:13:27,679 --> 00:13:30,760 Speaker 1: com slash chat. That's the spot for all of you. 319 00:13:30,760 --> 00:13:33,240 Speaker 1: You can go in there and talk with the other 320 00:13:33,240 --> 00:13:35,320 Speaker 1: folks who are in there betting. We've got over thirty 321 00:13:35,360 --> 00:13:38,400 Speaker 1: thousand people in there already. It's incredible group. It's a 322 00:13:38,400 --> 00:13:40,120 Speaker 1: great community. We want you to be a part of it, 323 00:13:40,160 --> 00:13:42,080 Speaker 1: so make sure you go join that today again. Bettingpros 324 00:13:42,080 --> 00:13:46,880 Speaker 1: dot com slash Chat. Now let's get to your next pick, Welsh. 325 00:13:46,920 --> 00:13:50,000 Speaker 1: We've had some running backs in new places. Aaron Jones 326 00:13:50,040 --> 00:13:52,120 Speaker 1: is one of them. He has moved all the way 327 00:13:52,120 --> 00:13:54,800 Speaker 1: from Green Bay to Minnesota and we're back to this 328 00:13:54,880 --> 00:13:57,240 Speaker 1: Giants game again. So what do you like here when 329 00:13:57,240 --> 00:13:58,199 Speaker 1: it comes to Jones? 330 00:13:58,559 --> 00:14:00,679 Speaker 2: Well, I like him getting of all, know as what 331 00:14:00,720 --> 00:14:02,520 Speaker 2: we're staying in that same game we were talking about. 332 00:14:02,520 --> 00:14:04,800 Speaker 2: I actually will tell you I was between two sides 333 00:14:04,800 --> 00:14:09,200 Speaker 2: of this because I believe his receiving yard total is low. 334 00:14:09,280 --> 00:14:12,120 Speaker 2: Running back receiving yard totals. Oh man, it's like the 335 00:14:12,160 --> 00:14:16,040 Speaker 2: pied piper. I'm like da da da da flute to 336 00:14:16,080 --> 00:14:20,000 Speaker 2: the low RB receiving totals. I just flocked to and 337 00:14:20,080 --> 00:14:21,880 Speaker 2: it was low this week was thirteen and a half, 338 00:14:22,200 --> 00:14:23,160 Speaker 2: but also. 339 00:14:23,520 --> 00:14:24,320 Speaker 1: Is a little juiced. 340 00:14:24,560 --> 00:14:26,160 Speaker 2: Where was it? Where do we want to go? 341 00:14:26,440 --> 00:14:27,120 Speaker 3: The reception? 342 00:14:27,320 --> 00:14:29,560 Speaker 2: That's what we're getting plus money, So I'm going with 343 00:14:29,640 --> 00:14:33,760 Speaker 2: Aaron Jones receptions two and a half at plus money. 344 00:14:33,720 --> 00:14:36,360 Speaker 2: It was around plus one. Twenty might float down a 345 00:14:36,400 --> 00:14:38,520 Speaker 2: tiny bit as you guys are checking this out, but 346 00:14:38,720 --> 00:14:41,880 Speaker 2: I really do love this. Six of eleven games last year, 347 00:14:42,160 --> 00:14:45,640 Speaker 2: Jones caught three or more passes. Eight of eleven games 348 00:14:45,680 --> 00:14:48,200 Speaker 2: he had three or more targets. And this is an 349 00:14:48,200 --> 00:14:51,760 Speaker 2: interesting one too. With Donald Donald running the offense, we 350 00:14:52,360 --> 00:14:55,560 Speaker 2: should see more screen passes just in general. As he is, 351 00:14:55,600 --> 00:14:58,600 Speaker 2: you know, early into the season, he's trying to figure 352 00:14:58,600 --> 00:14:59,680 Speaker 2: out where the ball is going to go. 353 00:14:59,720 --> 00:15:00,440 Speaker 3: His net. 354 00:15:00,480 --> 00:15:02,280 Speaker 2: They don't have Hawkins, and the safety net is going 355 00:15:02,360 --> 00:15:05,960 Speaker 2: to be Aaron Jones. Last year, thirteen percent of Darnald's 356 00:15:06,040 --> 00:15:10,240 Speaker 2: passes were at that zero yard marker that's defined using 357 00:15:10,240 --> 00:15:12,840 Speaker 2: Fantasy Points data, and that can be like behind the 358 00:15:12,840 --> 00:15:16,440 Speaker 2: line of scrimmage. Eighteen percent of his passes were in 359 00:15:16,480 --> 00:15:19,800 Speaker 2: twenty twenty two. Fun fact between he didn't have a 360 00:15:19,800 --> 00:15:22,080 Speaker 2: ton of run last year, but between last year and 361 00:15:22,160 --> 00:15:28,520 Speaker 2: twenty twenty two, he only had one incompletion to whatever 362 00:15:28,600 --> 00:15:31,200 Speaker 2: player was at that zero yard marker. One And I 363 00:15:31,200 --> 00:15:33,000 Speaker 2: know it's going to be like high completion rates in 364 00:15:33,040 --> 00:15:36,160 Speaker 2: general for that zero yard throwing, but one in completion 365 00:15:36,360 --> 00:15:38,640 Speaker 2: in the last two years at that zero yard marker. 366 00:15:38,720 --> 00:15:41,000 Speaker 2: So I think we are going to be looking safety 367 00:15:41,000 --> 00:15:43,360 Speaker 2: net for Aaron Jones. He's as healthy as can be. 368 00:15:43,520 --> 00:15:46,120 Speaker 2: They're gonna want him involved. There's also the possibility that 369 00:15:46,160 --> 00:15:48,040 Speaker 2: you're going to have some of the backup running backs 370 00:15:48,080 --> 00:15:50,720 Speaker 2: coming in to go between the tackles. Get Aaron Jones 371 00:15:50,760 --> 00:15:54,680 Speaker 2: open in open space. Plus, if they're playing from behind 372 00:15:54,760 --> 00:15:56,920 Speaker 2: in any capacity, you're going to be throwing the ball more. 373 00:15:56,960 --> 00:15:59,560 Speaker 2: It's a load total something that he does. As I mentioned, 374 00:16:00,080 --> 00:16:01,880 Speaker 2: hit this over fifty percent at the time last year. 375 00:16:02,080 --> 00:16:05,000 Speaker 2: Targets way up. Donald likes to throw behind the line 376 00:16:05,040 --> 00:16:07,720 Speaker 2: Aaron Jones two and a half receptions plus money. 377 00:16:07,960 --> 00:16:10,200 Speaker 3: That's why I like it so much. Safer would probably 378 00:16:10,240 --> 00:16:11,080 Speaker 3: be the receiving. 379 00:16:10,840 --> 00:16:15,200 Speaker 1: Yards ericson for our next prop here the Buffalo Bills, 380 00:16:15,240 --> 00:16:19,000 Speaker 1: Stefan Diggs fled town to Houston and that has vacated 381 00:16:19,040 --> 00:16:21,160 Speaker 1: a lot of targets. A lot of people think that 382 00:16:21,200 --> 00:16:23,000 Speaker 1: Khalil Shaker can be one of those guys who's gonna 383 00:16:23,000 --> 00:16:26,120 Speaker 1: fill that void. But what does the undertaker have to 384 00:16:26,160 --> 00:16:26,920 Speaker 1: say about that. 385 00:16:27,040 --> 00:16:29,520 Speaker 4: I'm going to fade the public and take the under 386 00:16:29,560 --> 00:16:31,800 Speaker 4: on Khalil Shaker under forty seven a half receiving yards 387 00:16:31,800 --> 00:16:33,320 Speaker 4: because that's the highest if you look at all the 388 00:16:33,320 --> 00:16:36,320 Speaker 4: Bills wide receiver receiving props, he has the highest one. 389 00:16:36,400 --> 00:16:38,960 Speaker 4: So the market is saying, we're the most confident that 390 00:16:39,040 --> 00:16:41,320 Speaker 4: this receiver Khalis Shaker is going to be the leading 391 00:16:41,320 --> 00:16:43,640 Speaker 4: receiver for the Buffalo Bills in Week one, and I'm 392 00:16:43,640 --> 00:16:46,400 Speaker 4: going to fade that. I just think that there's more ambiguity. Again, 393 00:16:46,400 --> 00:16:48,240 Speaker 4: I looked it up during the break. I know that 394 00:16:48,280 --> 00:16:51,400 Speaker 4: work means now, So I'm going to fade ambiguity when 395 00:16:51,400 --> 00:16:55,520 Speaker 4: it comes to Okay and the Buffalo Bills. The Cardinals 396 00:16:55,520 --> 00:16:58,680 Speaker 4: were top six unit against thought receivers last season. Looking 397 00:16:58,760 --> 00:17:01,400 Speaker 4: at what Shakir, what his role in this offense will be. 398 00:17:01,520 --> 00:17:02,880 Speaker 4: I think that he's still going to continue to be 399 00:17:03,000 --> 00:17:06,600 Speaker 4: operating from the slot. And you mentioned how there's vacated 400 00:17:06,640 --> 00:17:08,760 Speaker 4: targets because Tafon Diggs no longer a part of this offense. 401 00:17:08,800 --> 00:17:10,720 Speaker 4: Gave Davis now part of this offense. But Diggs wasn't 402 00:17:10,720 --> 00:17:12,159 Speaker 4: really part of this offense in the second half of 403 00:17:12,240 --> 00:17:15,920 Speaker 4: last year, and Shakir actually outgained him when Joe Brady 404 00:17:15,920 --> 00:17:18,320 Speaker 4: took over. But what did that actually translate to in 405 00:17:18,400 --> 00:17:21,360 Speaker 4: terms of him hitting this number? Nine games he went 406 00:17:21,400 --> 00:17:24,719 Speaker 4: over forty seven a half receiving yards twice two times 407 00:17:24,920 --> 00:17:27,960 Speaker 4: despite having a bigger role in this run heavy offense. 408 00:17:28,160 --> 00:17:31,480 Speaker 4: What's the Cardinal's biggest weakness on their defense? It's against 409 00:17:31,520 --> 00:17:33,480 Speaker 4: the run, and Joe Brady wants to run the football, 410 00:17:33,520 --> 00:17:34,760 Speaker 4: So I don't know if we're going to see an 411 00:17:34,760 --> 00:17:36,800 Speaker 4: aerial attack here in this particular games. Why like the 412 00:17:36,880 --> 00:17:39,120 Speaker 4: under overall in the game, and therefore it trickles over 413 00:17:39,200 --> 00:17:41,800 Speaker 4: to these receivers. Could take the under on Shakir forty 414 00:17:41,840 --> 00:17:42,920 Speaker 4: seven and a half receiving yards. 415 00:17:42,960 --> 00:17:45,480 Speaker 2: Also want to point out I actually almost went Curtis 416 00:17:45,520 --> 00:17:48,479 Speaker 2: Samuel receiving yards this week because that number I believe 417 00:17:48,600 --> 00:17:51,320 Speaker 2: was around twenty eight. It was low because they don't know, 418 00:17:51,680 --> 00:17:53,920 Speaker 2: and he is one of those guys that is going 419 00:17:53,960 --> 00:17:56,320 Speaker 2: to be put in that starter role. Also, he is 420 00:17:56,359 --> 00:17:59,080 Speaker 2: that shorter yardage player that they're going to want to 421 00:17:59,119 --> 00:18:01,240 Speaker 2: get the ball in his hand. If you were to 422 00:18:01,280 --> 00:18:03,960 Speaker 2: play a receiver, I think Curtis Samuel is. 423 00:18:03,880 --> 00:18:04,600 Speaker 3: The guy to play. 424 00:18:04,600 --> 00:18:05,560 Speaker 2: So I really like that. 425 00:18:05,400 --> 00:18:06,840 Speaker 1: Foot injury doesn't bother you at all. 426 00:18:07,000 --> 00:18:09,200 Speaker 5: Yeah, good to go, he's good to be practicing. 427 00:18:09,520 --> 00:18:11,399 Speaker 1: Yeah, I know he's been practicing, but it doesn't mean 428 00:18:11,440 --> 00:18:13,560 Speaker 1: the foot injury doesn't help me out there. I was 429 00:18:13,600 --> 00:18:16,320 Speaker 1: bothered this morning when I saw the report about oh 430 00:18:16,320 --> 00:18:19,440 Speaker 1: it's a McCaffrey calf end in Achilles. That was bothering. 431 00:18:19,560 --> 00:18:21,439 Speaker 1: I was like, when did we get the end the Achilles? When? 432 00:18:21,720 --> 00:18:23,960 Speaker 1: What did? I woke up this morning and all of 433 00:18:23,960 --> 00:18:29,880 Speaker 1: a sudden Achilles. He's also got kidney stones and you 434 00:18:29,880 --> 00:18:31,680 Speaker 1: got a hair light. He's got a couple of days 435 00:18:31,720 --> 00:18:33,480 Speaker 1: like what? Every day it was like something else that 436 00:18:33,560 --> 00:18:35,479 Speaker 1: was popping up there. I'm gonna watch that. I want 437 00:18:35,520 --> 00:18:37,800 Speaker 1: of the injury reports ic and clean. All right, the 438 00:18:37,840 --> 00:18:41,480 Speaker 1: next guy is poised for a breakout season. Welsh the 439 00:18:41,560 --> 00:18:44,400 Speaker 1: number for Bejon Robinson. I've already bet this one. I've 440 00:18:44,400 --> 00:18:46,360 Speaker 1: logged my bets again. You can follow me betting pros 441 00:18:46,400 --> 00:18:48,560 Speaker 1: dot COM's last Joe. This is when I logged this 442 00:18:48,600 --> 00:18:50,560 Speaker 1: morning when I was going through all my early betting 443 00:18:50,640 --> 00:18:55,760 Speaker 1: for the weekend. Welsh. You and I are hand in 444 00:18:55,800 --> 00:18:58,120 Speaker 1: hand on the Bejon Robinson over for rushing this week. 445 00:18:58,200 --> 00:19:00,399 Speaker 2: Yeah, you follow me bettingpros dot com slash Welsh and 446 00:19:00,440 --> 00:19:02,639 Speaker 2: you can see this bet as well. Getting it in early. 447 00:19:02,720 --> 00:19:05,000 Speaker 3: I have had a lot of goofy players. 448 00:19:04,680 --> 00:19:08,800 Speaker 2: Here, Daniel Jones, I'm making bets on you gotta get 449 00:19:08,840 --> 00:19:11,040 Speaker 2: You have to diversify a little bit and get like 450 00:19:11,160 --> 00:19:13,439 Speaker 2: amazing players into your bets. Otherwise you'd be like me 451 00:19:13,640 --> 00:19:16,800 Speaker 2: betting Justin Watson on Thursday night football. That doesn't feel 452 00:19:16,800 --> 00:19:17,800 Speaker 2: good for anybody. 453 00:19:17,920 --> 00:19:20,479 Speaker 3: Did he No, he didn't. He had what he did 454 00:19:20,600 --> 00:19:20,880 Speaker 3: that one? 455 00:19:21,720 --> 00:19:23,840 Speaker 5: That one catch. I was like, go Welsh guys. 456 00:19:23,920 --> 00:19:26,119 Speaker 1: Why doesn't always feel like one of his catches is 457 00:19:26,119 --> 00:19:28,080 Speaker 1: like four? Because I don't know what it is. It's 458 00:19:28,119 --> 00:19:30,879 Speaker 1: like the drama of it, like it's always a Mahomes 459 00:19:30,880 --> 00:19:33,400 Speaker 1: breaking loose and then like somehow Justin Watson's there wide 460 00:19:33,400 --> 00:19:35,199 Speaker 1: open and catches the football. It always feels like at 461 00:19:35,200 --> 00:19:36,840 Speaker 1: the end, how did Watson? Do you have a good game? No, 462 00:19:36,880 --> 00:19:37,399 Speaker 1: he just had that one. 463 00:19:37,480 --> 00:19:40,080 Speaker 5: He did have a juju sighting too. 464 00:19:40,359 --> 00:19:43,040 Speaker 1: I know he dropped the ball, A tweeted. 465 00:19:43,320 --> 00:19:45,560 Speaker 2: AB tweeted a crying emoji for that drop too. 466 00:19:45,840 --> 00:19:46,560 Speaker 3: I'll point out. 467 00:19:46,920 --> 00:19:50,560 Speaker 2: I talked myself out of I had Watson receiving yards, 468 00:19:50,800 --> 00:19:52,960 Speaker 2: but then it was plus money on the receptions and 469 00:19:53,000 --> 00:19:54,679 Speaker 2: I didn't. But shout out to Matt Pearol who did 470 00:19:54,720 --> 00:19:56,639 Speaker 2: go with the receiving yards on Watson, which I should 471 00:19:56,680 --> 00:19:59,000 Speaker 2: have done, but it did not cash. So back to it, 472 00:19:59,080 --> 00:20:03,840 Speaker 2: Bijon Robinson. We're playing Jon Robinson's rushing yards. It's sixty 473 00:20:03,920 --> 00:20:05,520 Speaker 2: three and a half. Like I said it may have 474 00:20:05,600 --> 00:20:07,199 Speaker 2: jumped just a tiny bit. That's a number you're going 475 00:20:07,240 --> 00:20:08,639 Speaker 2: to see if you follow me. I'm betting pros that 476 00:20:08,680 --> 00:20:14,119 Speaker 2: I got projections over seventy seventy two. Every game with 477 00:20:14,280 --> 00:20:18,439 Speaker 2: fifteen or more carries, Bijon hit this number. So you 478 00:20:18,520 --> 00:20:21,840 Speaker 2: have to ask yourself, will we get fifteen carries from Bijon? 479 00:20:22,280 --> 00:20:26,880 Speaker 2: All reasonable people are gonna say yes absolutely. His projected line, 480 00:20:26,920 --> 00:20:29,399 Speaker 2: by the way, is fifteen and a half. And the 481 00:20:29,400 --> 00:20:32,720 Speaker 2: Steelers they average ninety six rushing yards given up per 482 00:20:32,760 --> 00:20:35,800 Speaker 2: game last year to RB So this to me is 483 00:20:35,840 --> 00:20:37,919 Speaker 2: a smash you want to I have a ton of 484 00:20:37,920 --> 00:20:40,680 Speaker 2: shares of Bjon Robinson. They're going to give him the rock. 485 00:20:40,880 --> 00:20:43,880 Speaker 2: I feel comfortable over fifteen. The stats from last year 486 00:20:43,920 --> 00:20:47,040 Speaker 2: say he will hit it. So Bijon Robinson all day, 487 00:20:47,080 --> 00:20:50,399 Speaker 2: every day rushing yards. I'm taking it probably all the 488 00:20:50,440 --> 00:20:52,760 Speaker 2: way up into the high sixties wherever you see it. 489 00:20:52,760 --> 00:20:54,520 Speaker 2: But I got it at sixty three and a half over. 490 00:20:55,320 --> 00:20:58,159 Speaker 1: Yeah, a good offensive line there, and I want to 491 00:20:58,160 --> 00:21:00,800 Speaker 1: see that commitment that everyone keeps talking about to running 492 00:21:00,800 --> 00:21:03,280 Speaker 1: the football, especially since you want to ease Kirk Cousins 493 00:21:03,320 --> 00:21:05,560 Speaker 1: into things a little bit too. Coming off that injury, 494 00:21:05,640 --> 00:21:10,119 Speaker 1: So bijon all day, every day ericson breakout star. Last year, 495 00:21:10,240 --> 00:21:13,040 Speaker 1: Nico Collins his numbers at sixty six and a half 496 00:21:13,359 --> 00:21:15,760 Speaker 1: for the receiving Are you going over or under? 497 00:21:16,040 --> 00:21:18,080 Speaker 5: I am going over here. I need to have a 498 00:21:18,119 --> 00:21:19,240 Speaker 5: fun prop. 499 00:21:19,160 --> 00:21:21,840 Speaker 4: Like Welsh because he has all the overs. So I figured, hey, 500 00:21:22,080 --> 00:21:23,280 Speaker 4: why not live a little bit? 501 00:21:23,400 --> 00:21:25,520 Speaker 1: Well that zach ertz over isn't fun for you? That 502 00:21:25,520 --> 00:21:26,680 Speaker 1: sounds like a jolly good time? 503 00:21:26,800 --> 00:21:27,359 Speaker 5: Is it fun? 504 00:21:27,520 --> 00:21:27,560 Speaker 2: No? 505 00:21:28,320 --> 00:21:30,439 Speaker 4: Not on these Yeah, because he's gonna catch four passes 506 00:21:30,440 --> 00:21:33,600 Speaker 4: for ten yards and be like, yeah, cash baby, let's 507 00:21:33,680 --> 00:21:37,720 Speaker 4: go still outscoring Mark Andrews. Okay, back to Nico Collins. 508 00:21:37,760 --> 00:21:40,920 Speaker 4: So last year, really it's about the matchup. So again 509 00:21:40,960 --> 00:21:42,879 Speaker 4: we have some question marks, but who's going to be 510 00:21:42,920 --> 00:21:45,399 Speaker 4: the Texans wide receiver one this year? But in this 511 00:21:45,400 --> 00:21:48,760 Speaker 4: particular matchup against Indneapolis Colts, Nico Collins went over six 512 00:21:49,040 --> 00:21:51,000 Speaker 4: sixty six and a half receiving yards in both games. 513 00:21:51,000 --> 00:21:52,120 Speaker 5: First the Colts last year. 514 00:21:52,480 --> 00:21:55,200 Speaker 4: I think that he has such a great advantage against 515 00:21:55,200 --> 00:21:58,080 Speaker 4: some of these perimeter Colts cornerbacks. We look at Gus 516 00:21:58,080 --> 00:22:01,439 Speaker 4: Bradley's defense loves cover three. Collins was the wide receiver 517 00:22:01,520 --> 00:22:03,600 Speaker 4: three in yards per run verse cover three in twenty 518 00:22:03,680 --> 00:22:06,600 Speaker 4: twenty three, per Jacob Gibbs from CBS. When you look 519 00:22:06,600 --> 00:22:09,280 Speaker 4: at the Colts, their best cornerback is Kenny Moore, and 520 00:22:09,320 --> 00:22:12,040 Speaker 4: he plays in the slot. So I think Collins as 521 00:22:12,080 --> 00:22:15,080 Speaker 4: that number one outside receiver in this offense. I think 522 00:22:15,080 --> 00:22:17,240 Speaker 4: that he's gonna have an absolute day. I think he 523 00:22:17,280 --> 00:22:19,639 Speaker 4: could go over one hundred yards in a shootout between 524 00:22:19,640 --> 00:22:20,600 Speaker 4: the Colts and the Texans. 525 00:22:20,680 --> 00:22:22,479 Speaker 5: So I just love him in the spot too. 526 00:22:22,520 --> 00:22:25,800 Speaker 1: Absolutely erupt All right, last one, before we get to 527 00:22:25,800 --> 00:22:29,240 Speaker 1: the touchdown calls Welsh, give me another prop for week one. 528 00:22:29,359 --> 00:22:31,679 Speaker 2: All right, we're gonna go back to just living the 529 00:22:31,680 --> 00:22:35,800 Speaker 2: low life of these lowlife players, not the Bejon Robinson's. 530 00:22:36,040 --> 00:22:38,160 Speaker 2: We're gonna go to Chuwba Hubbard. But I do know 531 00:22:38,280 --> 00:22:41,119 Speaker 2: that our boy Erickson loves Chew. But I'm down with 532 00:22:41,160 --> 00:22:44,119 Speaker 2: the Cuba as well. And like the pied Piper, you 533 00:22:44,160 --> 00:22:46,600 Speaker 2: give me low receiving yard totals to backs that they 534 00:22:46,600 --> 00:22:49,000 Speaker 2: are gonna throw the ball to, I'm gonna just kind 535 00:22:49,000 --> 00:22:52,600 Speaker 2: of run to it. Chuba Hubbard receiving yards twelve and 536 00:22:52,600 --> 00:22:56,800 Speaker 2: a half. That's actually right around the projection marker last 537 00:22:56,840 --> 00:22:59,439 Speaker 2: year against the Saints. In the first game, he crushed 538 00:22:59,480 --> 00:23:03,600 Speaker 2: this five targets, didn't run a ton. The second game, 539 00:23:03,840 --> 00:23:05,680 Speaker 2: he didn't have a lot of receiving targets because he 540 00:23:05,720 --> 00:23:09,520 Speaker 2: had over twenty three carries. I do not believe that 541 00:23:09,600 --> 00:23:11,280 Speaker 2: they are going to be up in this game. So 542 00:23:11,359 --> 00:23:13,399 Speaker 2: this is not going to be a twenty plus carry 543 00:23:13,640 --> 00:23:16,159 Speaker 2: Chuba Hubbard. This is going to be a we are 544 00:23:16,240 --> 00:23:19,080 Speaker 2: chasing our tails a little bit, and that's going to 545 00:23:19,119 --> 00:23:21,159 Speaker 2: be dump offs to Chewba Hubbard. So I think we 546 00:23:21,200 --> 00:23:21,879 Speaker 2: are going to get. 547 00:23:21,720 --> 00:23:22,360 Speaker 3: Plenty of him. 548 00:23:22,400 --> 00:23:25,880 Speaker 2: Their only other option is Miles Sanders, and they hate him. 549 00:23:26,200 --> 00:23:29,080 Speaker 2: We know Cuba can get the volume. He will play 550 00:23:29,080 --> 00:23:31,480 Speaker 2: the volume. He's good out of the backfield as a receiver. 551 00:23:32,200 --> 00:23:34,880 Speaker 2: This is a low total. I also think his receiving 552 00:23:35,000 --> 00:23:37,439 Speaker 2: his receptions is at two and a half. So I 553 00:23:37,480 --> 00:23:39,760 Speaker 2: really like this potential at a low twelve and a 554 00:23:39,760 --> 00:23:42,040 Speaker 2: half number on the receiving yards for Carolina to be 555 00:23:42,040 --> 00:23:44,800 Speaker 2: playing from behind. So Chuba Hubbard receiving yards twelve and 556 00:23:44,840 --> 00:23:46,320 Speaker 2: a half, gimme, gimme, gimme. 557 00:23:46,960 --> 00:23:48,600 Speaker 1: Yeah. I love the low numbers. So you know, sometimes 558 00:23:48,640 --> 00:23:50,560 Speaker 1: everyone looks at the stars for these big numbers and 559 00:23:50,560 --> 00:23:52,560 Speaker 1: stuff like that sometimes it's really easy to make money 560 00:23:52,560 --> 00:23:55,840 Speaker 1: on somebody's low number. The Ramandre Stevenson ten and a 561 00:23:55,880 --> 00:23:59,040 Speaker 1: half receiving yards too. It's other's smash for me this 562 00:23:59,080 --> 00:24:01,680 Speaker 1: week too, that other one that just makes so much sense. 563 00:24:01,720 --> 00:24:04,600 Speaker 1: All right, Erickson, give us your last prop for week one, 564 00:24:04,800 --> 00:24:07,040 Speaker 1: and then we will turn our attention to the end zone. 565 00:24:07,280 --> 00:24:09,919 Speaker 4: I'm gonna go with forty nine ers guy here, so 566 00:24:10,000 --> 00:24:12,080 Speaker 4: while you're gonna love this one, Deebo Samuel over ten 567 00:24:12,119 --> 00:24:15,840 Speaker 4: and a half rushing yards. So we know christ McCaffrey, 568 00:24:15,880 --> 00:24:17,720 Speaker 4: he's he's injured enough of course. 569 00:24:17,920 --> 00:24:20,159 Speaker 2: That he's the worst player in the league. His achilles 570 00:24:20,240 --> 00:24:23,680 Speaker 2: is broken. He's they're gonna wheel him out. They're gonna 571 00:24:23,680 --> 00:24:25,360 Speaker 2: put him on a wheelchair, wheel him out. 572 00:24:25,400 --> 00:24:27,600 Speaker 3: Okay, Christian, no four yards. 573 00:24:28,480 --> 00:24:32,800 Speaker 1: Look all the jokes aside the achilles thing was was 574 00:24:32,840 --> 00:24:34,720 Speaker 1: a little bit of like a what what where? 575 00:24:34,920 --> 00:24:35,160 Speaker 5: How? 576 00:24:35,640 --> 00:24:38,680 Speaker 1: This is new? I'm just saying like that didn't upset 577 00:24:38,720 --> 00:24:40,000 Speaker 1: you with all the forty nine or friends, and that 578 00:24:40,040 --> 00:24:41,400 Speaker 1: just kind of like you just gotta. 579 00:24:41,240 --> 00:24:43,919 Speaker 5: Drop that on what happens you wake up with, you get. 580 00:24:43,800 --> 00:24:45,879 Speaker 1: Married, to get old, like Erickson, you turn thirty. 581 00:24:46,160 --> 00:24:49,600 Speaker 2: Dude, I'm just forty one. I started running my calf 582 00:24:49,600 --> 00:24:51,800 Speaker 2: and achilles. They're kind of attached next to each other. 583 00:24:51,840 --> 00:24:52,280 Speaker 3: I thought I. 584 00:24:52,200 --> 00:24:54,240 Speaker 2: Blew out my achilles. It was actually just my calf. 585 00:24:54,240 --> 00:24:55,800 Speaker 2: They're kind of attached. So no, I think it's all 586 00:24:55,800 --> 00:24:58,440 Speaker 2: in the same general area. Fine, but we'll find out 587 00:24:58,480 --> 00:25:00,640 Speaker 2: when they wheel him out and they they just throw 588 00:25:00,720 --> 00:25:01,879 Speaker 2: him through the line behind him. 589 00:25:01,880 --> 00:25:05,000 Speaker 1: This week i'ms Team Welsh. Everybody knows I've already planted 590 00:25:05,000 --> 00:25:07,360 Speaker 1: my flag on the Fortunit. Hey my Survivor Pool pick 591 00:25:07,359 --> 00:25:10,479 Speaker 1: of the week too. Well, that's how confident I am. 592 00:25:10,520 --> 00:25:13,000 Speaker 1: And if your four hours let me down, so help 593 00:25:13,040 --> 00:25:15,399 Speaker 1: me God. Next Friday, I am going to lose it 594 00:25:15,480 --> 00:25:17,880 Speaker 1: on this program. Just absolutely all right. 595 00:25:18,160 --> 00:25:21,439 Speaker 4: Well back to Deebo Samuel, So I think that he's 596 00:25:21,480 --> 00:25:22,680 Speaker 4: going to go over ten and a half rushing yards. 597 00:25:22,680 --> 00:25:25,399 Speaker 4: It's let's about McCaffrey, more about Elijah Mitchell placed on 598 00:25:25,440 --> 00:25:27,360 Speaker 4: injury reserve. I think that we could get more run 599 00:25:27,400 --> 00:25:29,680 Speaker 4: from Samuel as just a running back. You look at 600 00:25:30,040 --> 00:25:34,400 Speaker 4: games last year where Elijah Mitchell was inactive. Samuel saw 601 00:25:34,400 --> 00:25:36,720 Speaker 4: at least three carries in four of those six games, 602 00:25:36,840 --> 00:25:38,600 Speaker 4: and I think three. I mean he can get ten 603 00:25:38,680 --> 00:25:40,720 Speaker 4: yards on one carry, whether end around, whether it's a 604 00:25:40,800 --> 00:25:43,200 Speaker 4: red zone opportunity. I think they're going to feature Deebo 605 00:25:43,240 --> 00:25:46,280 Speaker 4: Samuel Moore considering McCaffrey's coming off of this injury that 606 00:25:46,320 --> 00:25:48,560 Speaker 4: he's been dealing with in the preseason. I don't know 607 00:25:48,600 --> 00:25:50,840 Speaker 4: how involved we're going to see from Brandon Ayukrit Williams 608 00:25:50,880 --> 00:25:52,600 Speaker 4: is coming back from the contract holdout, So I think 609 00:25:52,600 --> 00:25:54,639 Speaker 4: Deebo Samuel's going to be the featured piece in this 610 00:25:54,680 --> 00:25:56,680 Speaker 4: game as the four Nitans try to beat the Jets 611 00:25:56,760 --> 00:25:58,760 Speaker 4: at home. So I think he was gonna be involved 612 00:25:58,800 --> 00:26:01,040 Speaker 4: a lot as both a receiver and rusher. So I 613 00:26:01,080 --> 00:26:03,840 Speaker 4: like the over on his rushing yards completely agreedfully. 614 00:26:03,840 --> 00:26:05,680 Speaker 2: And if you get if you get two carries out 615 00:26:05,680 --> 00:26:07,760 Speaker 2: of debo, that's where I think this is going to 616 00:26:07,800 --> 00:26:09,280 Speaker 2: be able to cash too. Like they are going to 617 00:26:09,440 --> 00:26:12,199 Speaker 2: end around him, They're going to do a quick sweep around, 618 00:26:12,560 --> 00:26:15,239 Speaker 2: go through Trent Williams five to six yards. He can 619 00:26:15,280 --> 00:26:17,119 Speaker 2: get this in the first one. I wouldn't sleep on 620 00:26:17,200 --> 00:26:20,040 Speaker 2: Jordan Mason because I think those stats are it's a 621 00:26:20,080 --> 00:26:22,680 Speaker 2: little bit skewed to like when Eli Mitchell wasn't there. 622 00:26:22,760 --> 00:26:26,080 Speaker 2: Because Jordan Mason looks already like a better back than 623 00:26:26,119 --> 00:26:28,040 Speaker 2: Eli Mitchell, and I think they are going to feature 624 00:26:28,080 --> 00:26:31,399 Speaker 2: him in some instances, but like somewhere between three and 625 00:26:31,440 --> 00:26:34,080 Speaker 2: four carries for debo is completely reasonable. 626 00:26:34,119 --> 00:26:35,000 Speaker 3: So I really like this one. 627 00:26:35,720 --> 00:26:37,920 Speaker 1: It's what you've all been waiting for, the week one 628 00:26:38,000 --> 00:26:40,199 Speaker 1: touchdown calls and Welsh and Erickson and I are going 629 00:26:40,280 --> 00:26:42,359 Speaker 1: to give him to you, the guys that we're betting 630 00:26:42,359 --> 00:26:44,200 Speaker 1: on to get in the end zone. And of course 631 00:26:44,200 --> 00:26:47,200 Speaker 1: you got a touchdown call contest going on on our discord. 632 00:26:47,600 --> 00:26:49,600 Speaker 1: You can go join that. We've got a lot of 633 00:26:49,600 --> 00:26:51,480 Speaker 1: fun things, but look, it's more fun to make money 634 00:26:51,480 --> 00:26:54,520 Speaker 1: on these things. Ericson is still flaunting around the Donald 635 00:26:54,520 --> 00:26:56,760 Speaker 1: Parnham one from last year. He's still living off that 636 00:26:57,600 --> 00:26:59,879 Speaker 1: no more. It's a new season now, you got to 637 00:26:59,880 --> 00:27:02,680 Speaker 1: start fresh, you got to start over here. So where 638 00:27:02,680 --> 00:27:04,520 Speaker 1: do we want to start? Welsh, give us a guy 639 00:27:04,520 --> 00:27:05,639 Speaker 1: that you think is going to get in the end 640 00:27:05,720 --> 00:27:10,040 Speaker 1: zone this weekend and I've got a special little end 641 00:27:10,119 --> 00:27:13,480 Speaker 1: zone special for everybody. Stay tuned more on that, Welsh, 642 00:27:13,560 --> 00:27:15,320 Speaker 1: What do you have here for the people? All right? 643 00:27:15,359 --> 00:27:18,159 Speaker 2: So I have a deeper play touchdown and I've got 644 00:27:18,160 --> 00:27:20,240 Speaker 2: a more obvious play touchdown. So I'll start with my 645 00:27:20,320 --> 00:27:23,520 Speaker 2: deeper play touchdown. It's my favorite of the week. It 646 00:27:23,600 --> 00:27:28,479 Speaker 2: is Gus Edwards with the Chargers. Anytime touchdown it's plus 647 00:27:28,760 --> 00:27:32,879 Speaker 2: two sixty two seventy even that kind of pushed and 648 00:27:32,920 --> 00:27:36,280 Speaker 2: moved around. I love Gus Edwards in this situation. They 649 00:27:36,280 --> 00:27:39,320 Speaker 2: said earlier this week, when asked about the running back side, 650 00:27:39,480 --> 00:27:40,960 Speaker 2: they said, they're going to play hot hands. 651 00:27:40,960 --> 00:27:42,199 Speaker 3: It's going to be committee everyone. 652 00:27:42,320 --> 00:27:45,600 Speaker 2: JK Dobbs, I'm a JK Dobbins guy. JK Dobbins looks great. 653 00:27:45,800 --> 00:27:46,359 Speaker 2: That's fine. 654 00:27:46,480 --> 00:27:46,720 Speaker 1: Good. 655 00:27:46,800 --> 00:27:48,560 Speaker 2: We want JK Dobbins to be great. You know why, 656 00:27:48,720 --> 00:27:50,680 Speaker 2: get us around, get us five, get us ten, get 657 00:27:50,760 --> 00:27:52,879 Speaker 2: us to the red zone, get us to the five. 658 00:27:53,119 --> 00:27:57,359 Speaker 2: You know why, JK. Go sit down, go rest your legs. 659 00:27:57,560 --> 00:28:00,720 Speaker 2: It's Gus bust time because Gus Edwards will be the 660 00:28:00,720 --> 00:28:03,919 Speaker 2: guy inside the top five. Last year, Edwards he was 661 00:28:04,080 --> 00:28:08,680 Speaker 2: twelve in the NFL in teams percentage of carries at 662 00:28:08,680 --> 00:28:12,560 Speaker 2: the five at sixty five point seven percent. That's not 663 00:28:12,760 --> 00:28:13,800 Speaker 2: going to change. 664 00:28:13,920 --> 00:28:15,680 Speaker 3: He also had the. 665 00:28:15,200 --> 00:28:21,520 Speaker 2: Third highest touchdown rate after Raheem Mostert and de dvon 666 00:28:21,680 --> 00:28:24,720 Speaker 2: h Chan. He was the guy, especially inside that five. 667 00:28:25,080 --> 00:28:27,280 Speaker 2: So the question can be is if the charge the 668 00:28:27,359 --> 00:28:30,480 Speaker 2: charges don't get into red zone opportunities, he's not scoring. 669 00:28:30,640 --> 00:28:33,080 Speaker 2: If they get within the five or the ten, Gus 670 00:28:33,240 --> 00:28:36,040 Speaker 2: Edwards is coming in, they will pound the rock with him. 671 00:28:36,080 --> 00:28:37,720 Speaker 2: This is now going to be a run based team. 672 00:28:38,560 --> 00:28:41,880 Speaker 2: I am firmly confident the ball is going to Edwards 673 00:28:41,880 --> 00:28:44,040 Speaker 2: inside the top five, but we are going to have 674 00:28:44,080 --> 00:28:46,240 Speaker 2: to get in there. It's just my favorite call of 675 00:28:46,280 --> 00:28:48,400 Speaker 2: the week plus two seventy. I put it in the 676 00:28:48,440 --> 00:28:50,840 Speaker 2: contest so I can't use him anymore. So that's how 677 00:28:51,000 --> 00:28:53,760 Speaker 2: much it is. I've put the bet in Gus Edwards 678 00:28:53,760 --> 00:28:56,400 Speaker 2: anytime touchdown my favorite this week. 679 00:28:56,760 --> 00:28:58,320 Speaker 1: All right, so we'll get to your chalky one of 680 00:28:58,360 --> 00:29:01,040 Speaker 1: the second Andrew, give me a name that's going to 681 00:29:01,120 --> 00:29:02,400 Speaker 1: find pay dirt in week one. 682 00:29:02,600 --> 00:29:05,000 Speaker 4: If you think Gus Edwards is Shockey sail out to 683 00:29:05,080 --> 00:29:09,400 Speaker 4: Dave Montgomery minus one ten, it's more touchdown. I just think, look, 684 00:29:09,600 --> 00:29:12,920 Speaker 4: if we're trying to see remember last year, the conversation was, Okay, 685 00:29:13,000 --> 00:29:15,240 Speaker 4: McCaffrey scores every single week. How can we just keep 686 00:29:15,280 --> 00:29:17,960 Speaker 4: betting that same anytime touchdowns and just keep using those 687 00:29:17,960 --> 00:29:20,680 Speaker 4: same funds over and over and over again. Maybe Dave 688 00:29:20,680 --> 00:29:22,840 Speaker 4: Montgomery's that guy this year. So I just think that 689 00:29:22,960 --> 00:29:25,160 Speaker 4: he's still going to be the goal line back that 690 00:29:25,200 --> 00:29:27,120 Speaker 4: they deployed just like they did last year, especially with 691 00:29:27,160 --> 00:29:29,520 Speaker 4: Gibbs coming off of a lot of offs even off 692 00:29:29,560 --> 00:29:33,960 Speaker 4: season injuries. Against the Rams, with the Detroit lines elite 693 00:29:33,960 --> 00:29:38,120 Speaker 4: offensive line, no Aaron Donald, Dave Montgomery might score three times. 694 00:29:37,960 --> 00:29:38,640 Speaker 5: On Sunday Night. 695 00:29:38,760 --> 00:29:40,280 Speaker 4: So I'm going to get ahead of it while I 696 00:29:40,320 --> 00:29:43,040 Speaker 4: can and get ready for some Dave Montgomery touchdowns because 697 00:29:43,040 --> 00:29:44,320 Speaker 4: I think, I mean, when we look up at the 698 00:29:44,360 --> 00:29:47,040 Speaker 4: end of the year, he's going to have ten plus touchdowns. 699 00:29:47,120 --> 00:29:48,479 Speaker 5: So just get started. 700 00:29:48,520 --> 00:29:50,840 Speaker 2: Now, are you telling us we should bet the two 701 00:29:50,880 --> 00:29:53,360 Speaker 2: touchdown for David Montgomery? Is that what you're trying to 702 00:29:53,400 --> 00:29:53,760 Speaker 2: tell us. 703 00:29:53,840 --> 00:29:56,920 Speaker 4: I mean, that's more fun, That's more what inroaction really wants. 704 00:29:57,000 --> 00:29:58,600 Speaker 4: But I want to be righting here, So let's just 705 00:29:58,640 --> 00:29:59,479 Speaker 4: get the minus one ten. 706 00:29:59,480 --> 00:29:59,880 Speaker 1: I got more. 707 00:30:00,480 --> 00:30:01,920 Speaker 5: The second one is more fun. 708 00:30:02,400 --> 00:30:05,040 Speaker 1: All right? Well, this one is fun, but it is 709 00:30:05,160 --> 00:30:07,640 Speaker 1: very chalky. It's not one but two guys together. So 710 00:30:07,960 --> 00:30:11,360 Speaker 1: Bjon Robinson is minus one oh five to score and 711 00:30:11,440 --> 00:30:14,000 Speaker 1: Ken Walker against the Broncos is minus one oh five 712 00:30:14,040 --> 00:30:17,600 Speaker 1: to score. So that being said, you can bet them 713 00:30:17,640 --> 00:30:20,320 Speaker 1: both separately, which I have, and you can put them 714 00:30:20,320 --> 00:30:22,840 Speaker 1: together in a little pairing, and when you do, you 715 00:30:22,880 --> 00:30:24,960 Speaker 1: get almost three to one plus two eighty is what 716 00:30:25,000 --> 00:30:27,240 Speaker 1: you're getting when you put those two together. To me, 717 00:30:28,080 --> 00:30:29,960 Speaker 1: you know, I say, well, you know, sometimes it's hard 718 00:30:30,000 --> 00:30:31,320 Speaker 1: to get some of these touchdowns. You want to look 719 00:30:31,320 --> 00:30:33,800 Speaker 1: at the big plus money. Why not just take two 720 00:30:33,920 --> 00:30:37,239 Speaker 1: guys who are almost locks to score this week and 721 00:30:37,280 --> 00:30:39,880 Speaker 1: put them together and then let the chalk work for you. 722 00:30:40,240 --> 00:30:42,600 Speaker 1: That's what I'm gonna do this week, Bijon ken Walker. 723 00:30:42,680 --> 00:30:45,680 Speaker 1: Pair them together plus two eighty one. That, my friends, 724 00:30:45,720 --> 00:30:47,720 Speaker 1: is a great way to find the end zone. I've 725 00:30:47,760 --> 00:30:49,920 Speaker 1: got another version of this too, I'm gonna throw at you. 726 00:30:49,960 --> 00:30:52,840 Speaker 1: But Welsh, let's get to your chalky touchdown call the week, 727 00:30:52,840 --> 00:30:54,640 Speaker 1: because I think you got a big name who I 728 00:30:54,680 --> 00:30:57,600 Speaker 1: may or may not be wearing the merch of one 729 00:30:57,760 --> 00:30:59,000 Speaker 1: Justin Jefferson. 730 00:30:58,600 --> 00:31:03,200 Speaker 2: Wide Receiver, one baby, Justin Jefferson has the top PFF 731 00:31:03,240 --> 00:31:06,760 Speaker 2: wide receiver quarterback matchup of the week. He's going to 732 00:31:06,760 --> 00:31:09,680 Speaker 2: be Sam Darnold's number one target. Addison's been a tiny 733 00:31:09,680 --> 00:31:11,040 Speaker 2: bit banged up. I told you I like the Aaron 734 00:31:11,120 --> 00:31:13,840 Speaker 2: Jones stuff. That's kind of my play here Addison, we 735 00:31:13,880 --> 00:31:15,640 Speaker 2: don't know quite where he's going to be. We have 736 00:31:15,640 --> 00:31:18,680 Speaker 2: Aaron Jones and we have Justin Jefferson for what could 737 00:31:18,680 --> 00:31:21,200 Speaker 2: either be one of the worst games, just back and 738 00:31:21,240 --> 00:31:23,360 Speaker 2: forth of just garbage play, or there could be some 739 00:31:23,440 --> 00:31:26,600 Speaker 2: bad defense with some slang in the ball. And yes, 740 00:31:26,680 --> 00:31:29,360 Speaker 2: Donald does like to throw the ball short, but Jefferson 741 00:31:29,400 --> 00:31:31,479 Speaker 2: is going to Jefferson's going to have double digit targets 742 00:31:31,480 --> 00:31:33,360 Speaker 2: in this game. I have very little doubt about that. 743 00:31:33,520 --> 00:31:36,040 Speaker 2: We also have an establishment of what we need to 744 00:31:36,040 --> 00:31:38,719 Speaker 2: be from last year. He was setting himself up in 745 00:31:39,200 --> 00:31:40,880 Speaker 2: some of the bad quarterback play to be like a 746 00:31:40,920 --> 00:31:43,960 Speaker 2: two thousand yard receiver. He was averaging over twenty points 747 00:31:44,040 --> 00:31:48,040 Speaker 2: as a fantasy asset. And Donald is fine. Donald is 748 00:31:48,040 --> 00:31:50,360 Speaker 2: a totally fine quarterback that is going to be targeting 749 00:31:50,440 --> 00:31:52,960 Speaker 2: him left and right. I do think this defensive matchup 750 00:31:53,760 --> 00:31:56,920 Speaker 2: will put the Vikings in some red zone opportunities, But 751 00:31:56,960 --> 00:31:58,680 Speaker 2: either way, I think Justin Jefferson's going to break a 752 00:31:58,720 --> 00:32:00,440 Speaker 2: big play. So this is my chalk one, you're getting 753 00:32:00,440 --> 00:32:03,360 Speaker 2: plus money on it. I got around plus one twenty five, 754 00:32:03,720 --> 00:32:06,360 Speaker 2: so this isn't like I'm taking a big minus money play. 755 00:32:06,640 --> 00:32:09,320 Speaker 2: I think the plus comes from. No one knows what 756 00:32:09,360 --> 00:32:11,720 Speaker 2: the hell Darnald is going to be in this offense 757 00:32:11,720 --> 00:32:12,440 Speaker 2: and how he's. 758 00:32:12,280 --> 00:32:13,200 Speaker 3: Going to move the team. 759 00:32:13,320 --> 00:32:16,040 Speaker 2: I actually probably feel more confident than others, but I 760 00:32:16,080 --> 00:32:18,960 Speaker 2: absolutely love the matchup. Give me one of the best 761 00:32:18,960 --> 00:32:22,120 Speaker 2: cornerback wide receiver matchups with one of the best wide receivers. 762 00:32:22,320 --> 00:32:24,480 Speaker 2: That equates to touchdown. So give me plus money on 763 00:32:24,600 --> 00:32:26,240 Speaker 2: Justin Jefferson anytime. Touchdown. 764 00:32:26,960 --> 00:32:30,280 Speaker 1: Confident and Darnald two words not heard very often in 765 00:32:30,320 --> 00:32:32,840 Speaker 1: the same sentence, but you got to hear. I'm betting 766 00:32:32,880 --> 00:32:35,520 Speaker 1: pros today ericson. Give me another guy who's gonna get 767 00:32:35,520 --> 00:32:37,120 Speaker 1: into the end zone. Give me your fun one for 768 00:32:37,160 --> 00:32:38,080 Speaker 1: the week. We want the fun. 769 00:32:38,560 --> 00:32:40,880 Speaker 4: So I need to root for something. I need to 770 00:32:40,880 --> 00:32:42,760 Speaker 4: feel something about. I watch these Patriots games. 771 00:32:42,960 --> 00:32:45,520 Speaker 1: So if are you dead inside, what's wrong? 772 00:32:45,920 --> 00:32:48,400 Speaker 4: I mean, if we watched them last year, that's how 773 00:32:48,400 --> 00:32:50,960 Speaker 4: I felt you Tech, that's fair fair so, and Drake 774 00:32:50,960 --> 00:32:52,680 Speaker 4: May is not the starter yet, so I need something 775 00:32:52,760 --> 00:32:55,440 Speaker 4: to cheer for. So for me, I look at the odds. 776 00:32:55,480 --> 00:32:57,240 Speaker 4: I'm always trying to look at some long shots. I 777 00:32:57,480 --> 00:32:59,600 Speaker 4: really like the first touchdown bets book, but I was 778 00:32:59,640 --> 00:33:04,520 Speaker 4: surprised Hunter Henry's plus five hundred anytime touchdown, he has 779 00:33:04,760 --> 00:33:09,800 Speaker 4: longer odds than Jalen Polk de Mario Douglas. They're not 780 00:33:09,880 --> 00:33:12,760 Speaker 4: going to those receivers in the red zone. It's Remandre 781 00:33:12,800 --> 00:33:14,960 Speaker 4: would be the number one option as the starting running back, 782 00:33:15,040 --> 00:33:16,240 Speaker 4: and then it should be Hunter Henry. 783 00:33:16,280 --> 00:33:18,000 Speaker 5: So I think it's just a value play. I think 784 00:33:18,000 --> 00:33:19,720 Speaker 5: this number is way too long. Again. 785 00:33:19,920 --> 00:33:21,680 Speaker 4: I don't think the patriot are gonna get shut out entirely, 786 00:33:21,840 --> 00:33:23,360 Speaker 4: that they're going to have opportunity to sua. I don't 787 00:33:23,360 --> 00:33:26,040 Speaker 4: think the Bengals defense is super elite where they won't 788 00:33:26,080 --> 00:33:27,920 Speaker 4: find theirselves at least in the red zone a couple 789 00:33:27,920 --> 00:33:31,120 Speaker 4: of times. So Hunter Henry is the number one red 790 00:33:31,200 --> 00:33:34,520 Speaker 4: zone option. Alex van Pelt looking last year, he is 791 00:33:34,560 --> 00:33:36,720 Speaker 4: familiar with the Cincinnati Bengals defense and how do you 792 00:33:36,720 --> 00:33:38,520 Speaker 4: attack them. Last year the Bengals was with the second 793 00:33:38,560 --> 00:33:40,880 Speaker 4: most defense against tight ends, allowing the most catches to 794 00:33:40,920 --> 00:33:44,000 Speaker 4: the position. So when they get in close, should say, 795 00:33:44,200 --> 00:33:47,120 Speaker 4: if they get in close, I feel very confident will 796 00:33:47,160 --> 00:33:50,160 Speaker 4: go to Hunter Henry. So at plus five hundred, I 797 00:33:50,240 --> 00:33:50,800 Speaker 4: like those odds. 798 00:33:50,840 --> 00:33:52,360 Speaker 2: I was about to say, I wonder what the no 799 00:33:52,520 --> 00:33:54,760 Speaker 2: touchdown for the Patriots would look like this week that 800 00:33:54,880 --> 00:33:56,440 Speaker 2: might be a nice plus money easy. 801 00:33:56,760 --> 00:33:57,680 Speaker 1: It's only week. 802 00:33:57,560 --> 00:33:59,760 Speaker 5: One, that's only available to Andrew Sports. 803 00:34:00,440 --> 00:34:04,600 Speaker 1: Jacoby Brissett is very capable of managing your team too. 804 00:34:05,640 --> 00:34:10,040 Speaker 2: Four Sam Darnold and Jacoby Brissette on this podcast. 805 00:34:10,120 --> 00:34:13,120 Speaker 1: Oh my god, that's only week one, all right, last 806 00:34:13,120 --> 00:34:17,400 Speaker 1: one for you, Anthony Richardson plus one fifteen. Look, I 807 00:34:17,440 --> 00:34:20,400 Speaker 1: know people will say the narrative is, well, you know, 808 00:34:20,440 --> 00:34:22,440 Speaker 1: we want to make sure we protect Anthony Richardson. Look, 809 00:34:22,440 --> 00:34:24,320 Speaker 1: when these guys get on the field, they play football, 810 00:34:24,920 --> 00:34:26,560 Speaker 1: and Anthony Richardson is going to go out there and 811 00:34:26,600 --> 00:34:28,920 Speaker 1: he's going to score. He's going to have a rushing touchdown. 812 00:34:28,960 --> 00:34:30,719 Speaker 1: I'd be shocked if he did not in his game. 813 00:34:30,760 --> 00:34:33,400 Speaker 1: It's a game that has a potential for a big 814 00:34:33,480 --> 00:34:36,600 Speaker 1: time total as well. And here's some more fun for 815 00:34:36,719 --> 00:34:39,680 Speaker 1: you kids. If you put my Chalky running backs along 816 00:34:39,680 --> 00:34:43,000 Speaker 1: with Anthony Ridgerdson and ooh, throw in another Chalky Tyreek 817 00:34:43,080 --> 00:34:46,920 Speaker 1: Hill touchdown eight to one, you're getting on that. And 818 00:34:47,000 --> 00:34:50,480 Speaker 1: that sounds like a lot of probable things for Bijon 819 00:34:50,719 --> 00:34:54,440 Speaker 1: ken Walker, Anthony Richardson and Tyreek Hill all the score. 820 00:34:54,560 --> 00:34:57,520 Speaker 1: That seems like taking candy from a baby, and I 821 00:34:57,560 --> 00:34:59,480 Speaker 1: want to take that candy and I want to eat it, 822 00:34:59,560 --> 00:35:01,839 Speaker 1: and then afterwards I want to go buy some more 823 00:35:01,880 --> 00:35:02,600 Speaker 1: with all the money I. 824 00:35:02,640 --> 00:35:10,279 Speaker 7: Just did my belly look at you, yeah, baby live 825 00:35:10,840 --> 00:35:13,880 Speaker 7: the only way to live that funny expression. 826 00:35:13,440 --> 00:35:17,960 Speaker 2: To reference what's the oh okay. 827 00:35:18,360 --> 00:35:21,080 Speaker 1: I'm very proud Drew got one. He was like six 828 00:35:21,120 --> 00:35:22,960 Speaker 1: when that movie came out. Though, that's the product, not 829 00:35:23,480 --> 00:35:23,920 Speaker 1: my parents. 830 00:35:24,040 --> 00:35:25,839 Speaker 4: I only watched my friend's House because my parents would 831 00:35:26,080 --> 00:35:27,000 Speaker 4: watch that stuff so. 832 00:35:27,960 --> 00:35:32,440 Speaker 1: Late night sleepovers watching Austin Power exactly look like a baby. 833 00:35:33,080 --> 00:35:35,360 Speaker 1: You know, those movies hold up. My kids actually with 834 00:35:35,480 --> 00:35:37,880 Speaker 1: their cousins came over last summer. They stayed up and 835 00:35:37,920 --> 00:35:40,600 Speaker 1: they watched all three in one night, and they really do. 836 00:35:42,040 --> 00:35:45,080 Speaker 1: They were committed. Many were. They started at like six o'clock, 837 00:35:45,080 --> 00:35:46,960 Speaker 1: seven o'clock and they just like stayed up all night 838 00:35:47,040 --> 00:35:49,879 Speaker 1: watch him. You gotta say, the Austin Power still hold 839 00:35:49,960 --> 00:35:52,000 Speaker 1: up and hopefully the touchdown calls will hold up as well. 840 00:35:52,000 --> 00:35:55,080 Speaker 1: And if you want to follow us for more content 841 00:35:55,320 --> 00:35:57,279 Speaker 1: what we're in on this week, make sure you follow 842 00:35:57,360 --> 00:36:00,440 Speaker 1: us at betting pros dot com, slash Wells, slash ericson 843 00:36:00,680 --> 00:36:03,400 Speaker 1: slash Joe. That's the way to do it. Join our 844 00:36:03,440 --> 00:36:06,520 Speaker 1: discord Bettingpros dot com slash chat and of course use 845 00:36:06,560 --> 00:36:09,080 Speaker 1: the prop bet cheat sheet and the prop bet Analyzer 846 00:36:09,360 --> 00:36:11,080 Speaker 1: to help you get the most out of all your wager. 847 00:36:11,120 --> 00:36:13,840 Speaker 1: Sink your sportsbook for free, and of course subscribe to 848 00:36:13,840 --> 00:36:15,640 Speaker 1: the Betting Pros podcast wherever you get your pods, and 849 00:36:15,640 --> 00:36:17,880 Speaker 1: don't forget to subscribe to the YouTube channel bring up 850 00:36:17,880 --> 00:36:19,440 Speaker 1: bellt to it goos dang for notification so you can 851 00:36:19,440 --> 00:36:20,839 Speaker 1: be with us every single week. We got the live 852 00:36:20,840 --> 00:36:23,760 Speaker 1: streams on your two not just the podcast, the Daily Juice, 853 00:36:24,160 --> 00:36:26,520 Speaker 1: we got NBA starting soon. We got so much we 854 00:36:26,640 --> 00:36:28,600 Speaker 1: just want to give you content. That's all we want 855 00:36:28,600 --> 00:36:31,440 Speaker 1: to do is just give you more content. So that's 856 00:36:31,440 --> 00:36:33,160 Speaker 1: all the content we're gonna give you, just for today, 857 00:36:33,600 --> 00:36:35,560 Speaker 1: but more to come. That'll do it for us. But 858 00:36:35,640 --> 00:36:37,520 Speaker 1: the story of the game goes on for the welshnanze 859 00:36:37,680 --> 00:36:40,520 Speaker 1: ericson I'm Joey p. We'll see you next time kids, 860 00:36:40,920 --> 00:36:41,600 Speaker 1: Happy betting. 861 00:36:42,239 --> 00:36:44,880 Speaker 6: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 862 00:36:44,920 --> 00:36:47,279 Speaker 6: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 863 00:36:47,280 --> 00:36:50,719 Speaker 6: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 864 00:36:51,000 --> 00:36:53,600 Speaker 6: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 865 00:36:53,719 --> 00:36:57,360 Speaker 6: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube 866 00:36:57,440 --> 00:37:06,719 Speaker 6: channel at YouTube dot com Slash Betting Pros sps SP