1
00:00:01,280 --> 00:00:06,760
Speaker 1: The volume. November is here. We are in the heart

2
00:00:07,040 --> 00:00:11,680
Speaker 1: of the football season, hockey and basketball just starting out.

3
00:00:11,760 --> 00:00:14,520
Speaker 1: Best way to get tickets to any of these games

4
00:00:14,720 --> 00:00:17,560
Speaker 1: is on game Time, the fastest growing ticket app in

5
00:00:17,600 --> 00:00:21,160
Speaker 1: the United States. Game Time It's obsessed with finding ways

6
00:00:21,200 --> 00:00:24,360
Speaker 1: to help you save money on tickets. That's what they do.

7
00:00:24,640 --> 00:00:28,280
Speaker 1: You can find exclusive flash deals, ways to help you

8
00:00:28,320 --> 00:00:32,120
Speaker 1: save money, sponsor deals on games and concerts on a

9
00:00:32,200 --> 00:00:36,120
Speaker 1: daily basis pretty sweet. With zone deals, you pick the

10
00:00:36,200 --> 00:00:39,400
Speaker 1: section you want and game Time picks the seat. Big

11
00:00:39,440 --> 00:00:42,720
Speaker 1: time savings there and with a game Time guarantee, you'll

12
00:00:42,760 --> 00:00:45,760
Speaker 1: always get the best price. You'll find tickets in the

13
00:00:45,800 --> 00:00:49,880
Speaker 1: same section, same row for less. Game Time will credit

14
00:00:50,000 --> 00:00:53,720
Speaker 1: one hundred and ten percent of the difference. So take

15
00:00:53,800 --> 00:00:57,480
Speaker 1: the guesswork out of buying tickets and go with game Time,

16
00:00:57,600 --> 00:01:01,880
Speaker 1: the fastest growing ticket app in the United States. Download

17
00:01:01,920 --> 00:01:05,320
Speaker 1: the game Time app. Create an account. The redeem code

18
00:01:05,400 --> 00:01:09,800
Speaker 1: is Colin. That's me, coli in twenty dollars off your

19
00:01:09,840 --> 00:01:13,920
Speaker 1: first purchase. Terms apply again. Creat an account. The redeem

20
00:01:14,000 --> 00:01:21,160
Speaker 1: code cooln twenty dollars off. Download game Time today, last

21
00:01:21,480 --> 00:01:34,080
Speaker 1: minute deals, loess priced tickets guaranteed. Okay, everybody are Thanksgiving. Addition,

22
00:01:34,400 --> 00:01:37,800
Speaker 1: Chad Millman all of the odds provided by DraftKings. Now

23
00:01:38,120 --> 00:01:39,960
Speaker 1: at the very end, we're going to do about five

24
00:01:40,080 --> 00:01:42,520
Speaker 1: minutes on Michigan Ohio State. So I want you to

25
00:01:42,520 --> 00:01:45,199
Speaker 1: stick around for that Sharper square where I bring in Chad.

26
00:01:45,240 --> 00:01:47,440
Speaker 1: I have feelings about games, and he tells me if

27
00:01:47,440 --> 00:01:52,160
Speaker 1: I'm right or wrong. I don't have a vibe for

28
00:01:52,240 --> 00:01:55,240
Speaker 1: any games this week. I think I like Detroit a lot,

29
00:01:56,080 --> 00:02:00,120
Speaker 1: I like Arizona. I think I would take the command

30
00:02:00,400 --> 00:02:02,440
Speaker 1: The point even though I think Dallas will win. Twelve

31
00:02:02,440 --> 00:02:06,040
Speaker 1: points is a ton I don't feel.

32
00:02:06,360 --> 00:02:06,720
Speaker 2: I don't.

33
00:02:06,800 --> 00:02:09,160
Speaker 1: It's just I'm glad that I don't do a blazing

34
00:02:09,240 --> 00:02:11,640
Speaker 1: five on Thanksgiving. I said last week, I thought I

35
00:02:11,680 --> 00:02:14,400
Speaker 1: really like the numbers. This week I don't, And so

36
00:02:14,520 --> 00:02:17,200
Speaker 1: off of four in one week, I'm not gonna I'm

37
00:02:17,240 --> 00:02:20,120
Speaker 1: not gonna do a blazing five on on You know,

38
00:02:20,280 --> 00:02:26,080
Speaker 1: short rest underdogs often do very well on Thanksgiving. Like

39
00:02:26,120 --> 00:02:28,360
Speaker 1: I think Dallas is going to beat the Commanders twelve

40
00:02:28,440 --> 00:02:31,120
Speaker 1: twelve and a half points, I can't go there. So

41
00:02:31,400 --> 00:02:33,600
Speaker 1: I'm going to bring in Chad for some thoughts on that.

42
00:02:34,440 --> 00:02:37,079
Speaker 1: I think it's just one of the best four day

43
00:02:37,120 --> 00:02:43,840
Speaker 1: periods of the year. Right now, I'm thankful for that that.

44
00:02:45,040 --> 00:02:49,000
Speaker 1: You know, we're two thirds through the season, and I

45
00:02:49,040 --> 00:02:51,880
Speaker 1: think if you look up and around, take out Joe

46
00:02:51,960 --> 00:02:54,840
Speaker 1: Burrow's injury, he's out for the season. I think most

47
00:02:54,840 --> 00:02:56,800
Speaker 1: of the teams we thought would be in this space

48
00:02:56,960 --> 00:02:59,600
Speaker 1: are I didn't have the Jets as a playoff team

49
00:02:59,639 --> 00:03:04,080
Speaker 1: with Aaron Rodgers. I certainly didn't with Zach Wilson. About

50
00:03:04,080 --> 00:03:10,040
Speaker 1: the only team I feel I've missed on, I thought

51
00:03:10,080 --> 00:03:13,680
Speaker 1: Seattle would be better than this. They have really regressed

52
00:03:13,680 --> 00:03:15,240
Speaker 1: in the last three weeks.

53
00:03:15,320 --> 00:03:16,160
Speaker 2: Really regressed.

54
00:03:17,440 --> 00:03:20,480
Speaker 1: Baltimore is better than I thought, although if you've listened

55
00:03:20,480 --> 00:03:22,400
Speaker 1: to me for years, you know how much respect I

56
00:03:22,440 --> 00:03:26,160
Speaker 1: have for Harbaugh, the owner the GM, Lamar Jackson. But

57
00:03:26,240 --> 00:03:31,280
Speaker 1: I don't think it's been a wildly surprising year. Buffalo, Miami, Philadelphia, Dallas,

58
00:03:31,320 --> 00:03:32,960
Speaker 1: those felt like teams that would be the top of

59
00:03:32,960 --> 00:03:37,119
Speaker 1: their division. San Francisco, a Detroit feel like teams New

60
00:03:37,240 --> 00:03:39,360
Speaker 1: Orleans would be at the top of their division, Kansas

61
00:03:39,360 --> 00:03:42,120
Speaker 1: City top of their division. Now, the Chargers are not

62
00:03:42,840 --> 00:03:44,520
Speaker 1: as good as I thought. I thought they were a

63
00:03:44,520 --> 00:03:48,240
Speaker 1: playoff team, and my guest today is they won't be.

64
00:03:48,320 --> 00:03:51,119
Speaker 1: I can't wait to hear Chad's thoughts on the Ravens Chargers.

65
00:03:51,720 --> 00:03:55,920
Speaker 1: But I think by and large all of us feel

66
00:03:55,960 --> 00:03:59,640
Speaker 1: this season's turned out largely like we think. Again, I

67
00:03:59,640 --> 00:04:03,240
Speaker 1: don't think Seattle has delivered as much as I thought

68
00:04:03,240 --> 00:04:07,520
Speaker 1: they would. Baltimore's better than I thought they would, but

69
00:04:07,600 --> 00:04:14,320
Speaker 1: I didn't buy into the Jets. I think the league's

70
00:04:14,320 --> 00:04:18,200
Speaker 1: getting easier to predict on a wide level. Take the

71
00:04:18,200 --> 00:04:21,039
Speaker 1: best quarterback if he has a competent coach week to week.

72
00:04:21,160 --> 00:04:21,640
Speaker 2: Who knows.

73
00:04:22,040 --> 00:04:26,479
Speaker 1: So a Thanksgiving edition Sharper Square at the end. Some

74
00:04:26,640 --> 00:04:30,080
Speaker 1: thoughts on Michigan Ohio State. Let's bring in Chad Milman,

75
00:04:30,360 --> 00:04:33,800
Speaker 1: the CEO of the Action Network. All odds provided again

76
00:04:34,120 --> 00:04:38,640
Speaker 1: by DraftKings. All Right, very good Week four and one.

77
00:04:38,800 --> 00:04:43,000
Speaker 1: Sharper Square. Chad Millman, CEO, Action Network, All odds provided

78
00:04:43,000 --> 00:04:46,320
Speaker 1: by DraftKings. So after you know, a clunky start, a

79
00:04:46,320 --> 00:04:48,440
Speaker 1: lot of turbulence, first two weeks have actually been you know,

80
00:04:48,520 --> 00:04:50,640
Speaker 1: kind of break even or a winning week for a

81
00:04:50,680 --> 00:04:54,440
Speaker 1: couple months. My theory is the gap between really good

82
00:04:54,520 --> 00:04:57,480
Speaker 1: quarterback play and bad quarterback play is wider than ever,

83
00:04:58,040 --> 00:05:02,279
Speaker 1: which makes predicting the NFL on a macro level preseason predictions.

84
00:05:02,440 --> 00:05:05,000
Speaker 1: I'm like eleven or fourteen teams. I feel really good.

85
00:05:05,520 --> 00:05:10,240
Speaker 1: The Burrough injury hurts my Bengals prediction, but so this

86
00:05:10,400 --> 00:05:14,599
Speaker 1: weekend I'm gonna go back and lean again, regardless of

87
00:05:14,640 --> 00:05:17,000
Speaker 1: the lines and the sut I believe in which this

88
00:05:17,240 --> 00:05:20,440
Speaker 1: gap is getting worse, and now offensive lines are beat up,

89
00:05:20,960 --> 00:05:23,840
Speaker 1: so the better quarterbacks have the ability to overcome a

90
00:05:23,839 --> 00:05:26,240
Speaker 1: little bit of that. The bad ones don't at all.

91
00:05:26,600 --> 00:05:27,320
Speaker 2: So here we go.

92
00:05:28,440 --> 00:05:31,760
Speaker 1: I know the numbers bad, but Lions minus seven and

93
00:05:31,800 --> 00:05:35,320
Speaker 1: a half against the Packers. The Chargers lost that game.

94
00:05:35,760 --> 00:05:39,960
Speaker 1: Green Bay didn't win it. Austin Eckler fumbling in your

95
00:05:40,040 --> 00:05:43,640
Speaker 1: luck ratings. Green Bay had to be up there. Detroit

96
00:05:44,360 --> 00:05:47,240
Speaker 1: the perfect. Sean Payton told me the best team to

97
00:05:47,320 --> 00:05:51,039
Speaker 1: coach you win and play like crap. Detroit won and

98
00:05:51,080 --> 00:05:54,800
Speaker 1: played like crap. I know the hooks bad news. There

99
00:05:54,880 --> 00:05:57,960
Speaker 1: is a massive gap between these two teams. Packers also

100
00:05:58,040 --> 00:06:00,599
Speaker 1: beat up. I'd swallow it. I think the Lins blow

101
00:06:00,600 --> 00:06:01,360
Speaker 1: out the Packers.

102
00:06:01,360 --> 00:06:03,720
Speaker 2: Sharper square starts are totally with you on this one.

103
00:06:03,760 --> 00:06:05,800
Speaker 2: And what a lot of times what wise guys look

104
00:06:05,839 --> 00:06:10,680
Speaker 2: at is how does a quarterback bounce back? After making

105
00:06:10,839 --> 00:06:14,520
Speaker 2: horrible throws and bad decisions. What did we see from

106
00:06:14,600 --> 00:06:17,799
Speaker 2: Jared Goff three picks? They were out of that game

107
00:06:18,560 --> 00:06:21,840
Speaker 2: seventeen points in the final four minutes twenty seconds. He

108
00:06:22,080 --> 00:06:25,359
Speaker 2: was laser focused. The wise guys are all over the

109
00:06:25,360 --> 00:06:28,000
Speaker 2: Lions here. Also, there are a lot of trends that

110
00:06:28,080 --> 00:06:34,000
Speaker 2: will support backing the big underdog on Thanksgiving Day. And

111
00:06:34,080 --> 00:06:37,440
Speaker 2: one more thing that adds to your idea of Look,

112
00:06:37,480 --> 00:06:40,600
Speaker 2: they've got a great offensive line, they've got a great quarterback,

113
00:06:41,440 --> 00:06:43,880
Speaker 2: they've got really good edge players, really good running backs.

114
00:06:43,920 --> 00:06:46,359
Speaker 2: They are a better team, they're a better coach team.

115
00:06:46,800 --> 00:06:49,640
Speaker 2: But also when you're getting on the short rest, you

116
00:06:49,720 --> 00:06:51,240
Speaker 2: want to go with a team that has more talent.

117
00:06:51,360 --> 00:06:54,640
Speaker 2: We even see it happening on these Thursday games, right,

118
00:06:54,960 --> 00:06:58,440
Speaker 2: You would normally see a Thursday game, you'd see if

119
00:06:58,440 --> 00:07:01,919
Speaker 2: there's a bad line, the underdogs getting a lot of action.

120
00:07:02,120 --> 00:07:04,440
Speaker 2: You don't you see the favorites getting the action. So

121
00:07:04,520 --> 00:07:05,520
Speaker 2: this is a little bit like that.

122
00:07:07,200 --> 00:07:12,000
Speaker 1: Okay, this is my second favorite pick of the week,

123
00:07:12,960 --> 00:07:15,040
Speaker 1: and I like the Colts minus two and a half

124
00:07:15,080 --> 00:07:19,160
Speaker 1: hosting the Bucks, so really smart offensive coaches off a bye. Now,

125
00:07:19,320 --> 00:07:24,400
Speaker 1: I took Philly over Kansas City because both coaches offensive

126
00:07:24,440 --> 00:07:26,520
Speaker 1: and Sirianni's now four and zero off of Buye, So

127
00:07:26,560 --> 00:07:29,320
Speaker 1: I thought it muted some of the advantage. But I

128
00:07:29,360 --> 00:07:33,640
Speaker 1: get a really sharp offensive coach off of by against

129
00:07:33,640 --> 00:07:39,080
Speaker 1: the defensive coach no buye, Todd Bowles. I thought it

130
00:07:39,120 --> 00:07:41,080
Speaker 1: was one of my stronger plays. I'm going to take

131
00:07:41,080 --> 00:07:43,800
Speaker 1: the Colts minus two and a half at home rested,

132
00:07:44,400 --> 00:07:45,360
Speaker 1: reasonably healthy.

133
00:07:45,400 --> 00:07:49,600
Speaker 2: Sharper Square, no consensus. The early reporting I've heard is

134
00:07:49,640 --> 00:07:53,600
Speaker 2: that wise guys like the Bucks that they've been playing

135
00:07:53,720 --> 00:07:58,320
Speaker 2: better than people are giving them credit for that. Baker

136
00:07:58,360 --> 00:08:00,960
Speaker 2: has been keeping his team in game a lot of times.

137
00:08:01,000 --> 00:08:02,680
Speaker 2: If you look at some of these games, even last

138
00:08:02,680 --> 00:08:06,040
Speaker 2: week against San Francisco, they were a player or two

139
00:08:06,120 --> 00:08:09,240
Speaker 2: away from covering. You look earlier in the year they

140
00:08:09,240 --> 00:08:12,400
Speaker 2: were playing the Eagles, they were six point dogs. They

141
00:08:12,440 --> 00:08:15,000
Speaker 2: were a couple of Mike Evans drops away from covering.

142
00:08:15,080 --> 00:08:18,080
Speaker 2: Like this is a team that has consistently been hanging

143
00:08:18,120 --> 00:08:21,800
Speaker 2: around so and that's with good teams. So now if

144
00:08:21,800 --> 00:08:24,120
Speaker 2: they're going to be playing a mediocre to a bad

145
00:08:24,160 --> 00:08:27,400
Speaker 2: team whose defense is not very good, who are still

146
00:08:27,400 --> 00:08:31,120
Speaker 2: playing Gardner Minshew, It's an odd thing to be backing

147
00:08:31,400 --> 00:08:35,840
Speaker 2: the Colts as a favorite with Gardner Minshew, I feel

148
00:08:35,920 --> 00:08:38,160
Speaker 2: like you are leaning a little bit too much into

149
00:08:38,280 --> 00:08:43,080
Speaker 2: the new coach theme and not necessarily the players on

150
00:08:43,120 --> 00:08:44,120
Speaker 2: the field theme.

151
00:08:45,880 --> 00:08:49,000
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take Arizona minus one hosting the Rams. So

152
00:08:49,080 --> 00:08:51,480
Speaker 1: it's one thing to play the Rams when Cooper cup

153
00:08:51,559 --> 00:08:54,000
Speaker 1: is hurt in the game, another thing preparing when you're

154
00:08:54,040 --> 00:08:56,520
Speaker 1: not going to face him and you know it. Poka

155
00:08:56,600 --> 00:08:59,320
Speaker 1: NiCoT is a great story, but he doesn't separate. They

156
00:08:59,320 --> 00:09:01,640
Speaker 1: don't have a separate rating receiver. He's a zone beater.

157
00:09:02,400 --> 00:09:06,360
Speaker 1: In the end, Rams are still a rebuilding roster. Arizona

158
00:09:06,400 --> 00:09:10,679
Speaker 1: beat Atlanta tough out played really well at times. Against Houston,

159
00:09:11,080 --> 00:09:15,960
Speaker 1: they're at home. The Rams were completely outplayed for three quarters.

160
00:09:16,000 --> 00:09:19,439
Speaker 1: Seattle just can't get stops on third down. Arizona will

161
00:09:19,520 --> 00:09:22,880
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take Arizona Kyler Murray at home sharper score.

162
00:09:22,960 --> 00:09:24,679
Speaker 2: So it's a little sharp. And what I mean by

163
00:09:24,679 --> 00:09:27,560
Speaker 2: that is the wise guys started playing Arizona when they

164
00:09:27,559 --> 00:09:31,079
Speaker 2: were underdogs at home. They've been really impressed with Kyler

165
00:09:31,160 --> 00:09:35,000
Speaker 2: Murray in the two games he's been back, especially last week.

166
00:09:35,040 --> 00:09:38,040
Speaker 2: He kept them in that game. They covered that game

167
00:09:38,120 --> 00:09:40,079
Speaker 2: at five and a half, which was a big number.

168
00:09:40,120 --> 00:09:43,319
Speaker 2: The wise guys started betting early in the week on

169
00:09:43,440 --> 00:09:46,080
Speaker 2: Kyler Murray against the Texans. So now you're looking at

170
00:09:46,080 --> 00:09:48,600
Speaker 2: a game in which Kyler Murray and the Cardinals are

171
00:09:48,640 --> 00:09:52,160
Speaker 2: now favorites. Right, So if you think the Cardinals are

172
00:09:52,160 --> 00:09:54,400
Speaker 2: going to win, you're still going to be on the

173
00:09:54,440 --> 00:09:56,920
Speaker 2: right side because you're betting the minus one. I will

174
00:09:56,960 --> 00:10:01,400
Speaker 2: tell you that historically the trend is team flips from

175
00:10:01,440 --> 00:10:04,840
Speaker 2: being an underdog to being a favorite. The numbers work

176
00:10:04,880 --> 00:10:06,960
Speaker 2: against them. So what you really need to be thinking

177
00:10:06,960 --> 00:10:09,240
Speaker 2: about is why didn't I get this number a little

178
00:10:09,240 --> 00:10:11,080
Speaker 2: bit earlier because you would have liked it more at

179
00:10:11,080 --> 00:10:13,480
Speaker 2: plus one. I get you got to like play the

180
00:10:13,520 --> 00:10:15,200
Speaker 2: lines that are in front of you right now, but

181
00:10:15,240 --> 00:10:16,880
Speaker 2: there's a lot of games on the board to play

182
00:10:16,920 --> 00:10:19,000
Speaker 2: where you're not trying to buck some trends.

183
00:10:21,080 --> 00:10:23,839
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Saints plus one at the Falcons

184
00:10:23,960 --> 00:10:26,160
Speaker 1: off of Bye. I think they have a much better roster.

185
00:10:26,280 --> 00:10:30,560
Speaker 1: I think there's a little turmoil inside of Atlanta. I

186
00:10:30,559 --> 00:10:34,640
Speaker 1: think Arthur Smith is smart, but he's outspoken, blunt. I'm

187
00:10:34,640 --> 00:10:38,400
Speaker 1: not sure the team loves him. I think this is

188
00:10:38,520 --> 00:10:43,960
Speaker 1: a experienced quarterback better roster off of by older team

189
00:10:44,000 --> 00:10:46,880
Speaker 1: in spots getting a little healthy. Younger teams don't need

190
00:10:46,920 --> 00:10:48,760
Speaker 1: that buy when they're playing well, they want to play

191
00:10:48,760 --> 00:10:51,840
Speaker 1: the next week. Older teams always appreciate time off. I

192
00:10:51,880 --> 00:10:53,920
Speaker 1: think I take the Saints as a one point dog

193
00:10:53,960 --> 00:10:54,680
Speaker 1: Sharper square.

194
00:10:54,840 --> 00:10:57,760
Speaker 2: It's like you're trying to pick the corner TV games.

195
00:10:58,240 --> 00:11:02,840
Speaker 1: I don't know, Well, I'm picking what I like.

196
00:11:03,120 --> 00:11:05,040
Speaker 2: Well, look, I think New Orleans is the right side.

197
00:11:05,080 --> 00:11:09,280
Speaker 2: I agree Desmond Ritter is not an NFL caliber quarterback.

198
00:11:09,640 --> 00:11:12,080
Speaker 2: They have not been using Jean Robinson in a way

199
00:11:12,160 --> 00:11:14,000
Speaker 2: that anyone thought they would. I mean, this was a

200
00:11:14,040 --> 00:11:17,600
Speaker 2: guy that everyone expected to be a runaway for Offensive

201
00:11:17,640 --> 00:11:18,440
Speaker 2: Rookie of the Year.

202
00:11:18,679 --> 00:11:20,640
Speaker 1: And don't you think the guys in the locker room

203
00:11:20,960 --> 00:11:24,400
Speaker 1: are wondering why they're not using him. He's obviously a

204
00:11:24,559 --> 00:11:25,360
Speaker 1: huge house.

205
00:11:25,440 --> 00:11:28,320
Speaker 2: Yes, it's you have to be thinking if you're a

206
00:11:28,320 --> 00:11:31,520
Speaker 2: player in the Falcons right now. Wait a second. Arthur

207
00:11:31,559 --> 00:11:35,719
Speaker 2: Smith was a genius when we were using Corderyl Patterson.

208
00:11:36,240 --> 00:11:38,760
Speaker 2: But we've got a talent who might be once in

209
00:11:38,760 --> 00:11:41,079
Speaker 2: a generation, and we can't figure out how to get

210
00:11:41,080 --> 00:11:43,760
Speaker 2: this guy in space and make him the perfect weapon

211
00:11:43,840 --> 00:11:46,040
Speaker 2: for everything. We want to do when we don't have

212
00:11:46,040 --> 00:11:48,880
Speaker 2: a quarterback who can really throw the ball downfield. So, yeah,

213
00:11:48,920 --> 00:11:50,760
Speaker 2: the Saints are the right side here because you're getting

214
00:11:50,800 --> 00:11:53,840
Speaker 2: them off of by they're older. You know. The challenge

215
00:11:53,840 --> 00:11:57,040
Speaker 2: here is that Derek Carr has been terrible in the

216
00:11:57,040 --> 00:11:59,480
Speaker 2: red zone, and the reason the Saints have gotten better

217
00:11:59,559 --> 00:12:01,320
Speaker 2: in the red zone and they started to turn their

218
00:12:01,360 --> 00:12:04,520
Speaker 2: season around is because of taste's hell. I will also

219
00:12:04,559 --> 00:12:08,880
Speaker 2: tell you Dennis Allen, the past twenty years one hundred

220
00:12:08,920 --> 00:12:12,199
Speaker 2: and forty something coaches in the NFL, he is one

221
00:12:12,240 --> 00:12:16,239
Speaker 2: of the least profitable against the spread in any capacity.

222
00:12:16,559 --> 00:12:20,400
Speaker 2: So this is kind of a game where if you

223
00:12:20,559 --> 00:12:22,839
Speaker 2: like it, you're still playing with fire.

224
00:12:24,720 --> 00:12:27,640
Speaker 1: All right, Generally I would take the Hook Chargers getting

225
00:12:27,679 --> 00:12:29,559
Speaker 1: three and a half at home, but I've been saying

226
00:12:29,600 --> 00:12:32,760
Speaker 1: this for two months. I think the Ravens are probably

227
00:12:32,760 --> 00:12:35,480
Speaker 1: the most complete team in the league. Mark Andrews won't play,

228
00:12:36,080 --> 00:12:39,160
Speaker 1: but the Chargers defense made Jordan.

229
00:12:38,960 --> 00:12:40,760
Speaker 2: Love look special.

230
00:12:41,000 --> 00:12:44,800
Speaker 1: It's a bad defense. I know, it's the Hook. I'm

231
00:12:45,000 --> 00:12:47,920
Speaker 1: there is no home field advantage for the Chargers. It

232
00:12:47,960 --> 00:12:51,040
Speaker 1: does not exist. I think the Ravens could blow him out.

233
00:12:51,120 --> 00:12:54,000
Speaker 2: Sharper score early square the Ravens have not been the

234
00:12:54,040 --> 00:12:56,319
Speaker 2: side for the wise guys. This week, the number open

235
00:12:56,360 --> 00:12:58,600
Speaker 2: at four and a half got beat down to four.

236
00:12:59,080 --> 00:13:01,680
Speaker 2: Now it's down to three and a half. Look the Chargers.

237
00:13:02,040 --> 00:13:05,160
Speaker 2: Nobody believes in Brandon Staley. We have said it all year.

238
00:13:05,320 --> 00:13:07,720
Speaker 2: We don't think he's a very good coach. The wise

239
00:13:07,720 --> 00:13:11,520
Speaker 2: guys consistently bet against him when he's a favorite. When

240
00:13:11,559 --> 00:13:14,679
Speaker 2: he's an underdog and there's there at home, it's a

241
00:13:14,720 --> 00:13:18,520
Speaker 2: different scenario. And their weapons on offense are just so good.

242
00:13:18,520 --> 00:13:21,520
Speaker 2: And you talk about luck, right, what did the Packers

243
00:13:21,559 --> 00:13:25,079
Speaker 2: have last week? They also had Keenan Allen dropping a

244
00:13:25,120 --> 00:13:28,880
Speaker 2: third down catch near the goal line that would have

245
00:13:28,880 --> 00:13:32,320
Speaker 2: put them in first in goal. He dropped a touchdown pass.

246
00:13:32,679 --> 00:13:35,400
Speaker 2: There were a lot of sort of inconsistencies in the

247
00:13:35,440 --> 00:13:38,720
Speaker 2: way games normally play out that helped the Packers win

248
00:13:38,760 --> 00:13:41,680
Speaker 2: that game, in addition to the Chargers defense just being terrible.

249
00:13:41,720 --> 00:13:44,880
Speaker 2: So the wise guys like the Chargers here with the

250
00:13:44,920 --> 00:13:48,079
Speaker 2: hook because they're dogs and it's the only get right

251
00:13:48,120 --> 00:13:49,080
Speaker 2: spot they're going to find.

252
00:13:49,640 --> 00:13:52,560
Speaker 1: I'm going to take Buffalo minus three against Philadelphia. Here's

253
00:13:52,600 --> 00:13:55,439
Speaker 1: the reason why short week just played Kansas City in

254
00:13:55,480 --> 00:13:58,120
Speaker 1: a rematch of the Super Bowl the following week. For Philadelphia,

255
00:13:58,120 --> 00:14:00,280
Speaker 1: it's the San Francisco forty nine ers, a bit of

256
00:14:00,280 --> 00:14:04,240
Speaker 1: a tweener game. The world now is selling all Buffalo stock.

257
00:14:04,760 --> 00:14:06,560
Speaker 1: But if you watch them against the Jets, they were

258
00:14:06,600 --> 00:14:12,160
Speaker 1: more creative, they use more motion. Clearly, Ken Dorsey, right,

259
00:14:12,240 --> 00:14:15,720
Speaker 1: that was seen as a shortcoming within the staff. Buffalo

260
00:14:15,760 --> 00:14:18,320
Speaker 1: minus three they win. It shocks a lot of people.

261
00:14:18,360 --> 00:14:22,760
Speaker 1: But this is a brutal, brutal spot for Philadelphia, the

262
00:14:22,800 --> 00:14:25,640
Speaker 1: classic sandwich game. Bills plus three sharper square.

263
00:14:26,160 --> 00:14:29,080
Speaker 2: Look, it's totally sharp and thank god you brought it up,

264
00:14:29,080 --> 00:14:30,960
Speaker 2: because when we got to the segment where I'm trying

265
00:14:30,960 --> 00:14:32,480
Speaker 2: to convince you of games, I was going to be like,

266
00:14:32,480 --> 00:14:35,680
Speaker 2: how are you not taking Buffalo totally the sharp side.

267
00:14:35,720 --> 00:14:37,840
Speaker 2: The number was at three and a half. It got

268
00:14:37,840 --> 00:14:41,200
Speaker 2: that down to three. You mentioned luck rankings before, right,

269
00:14:41,920 --> 00:14:44,640
Speaker 2: the Philadelphia Eagles are one of the three luckiest teams

270
00:14:44,640 --> 00:14:47,520
Speaker 2: in the NFL this year. The Buffalo Bills are one

271
00:14:47,560 --> 00:14:50,680
Speaker 2: of the three most unlucky teams in the NFL this year.

272
00:14:50,960 --> 00:14:53,040
Speaker 2: There is a massive gap. Just look at a couple

273
00:14:53,080 --> 00:14:54,960
Speaker 2: of games that have happened the past few weeks. Right,

274
00:14:55,200 --> 00:14:58,120
Speaker 2: the Eagles what they did on Monday Night Football. They

275
00:14:58,160 --> 00:15:00,960
Speaker 2: won the game because Travis Kelce fumbled a luck play

276
00:15:01,200 --> 00:15:04,440
Speaker 2: and because a player dropped a touchdown pass a luck play.

277
00:15:04,680 --> 00:15:07,160
Speaker 2: The Buffalo Bills, how do they lose to the Denver Broncos.

278
00:15:07,360 --> 00:15:09,520
Speaker 2: They had twelve men on a field on the field

279
00:15:09,560 --> 00:15:11,480
Speaker 2: for a field goal that the Broncos missed. They got

280
00:15:11,480 --> 00:15:13,760
Speaker 2: to do it again. They lost. How do they lose

281
00:15:13,800 --> 00:15:16,480
Speaker 2: to the Patriots? Mac Jones driving down the field? A

282
00:15:16,480 --> 00:15:21,400
Speaker 2: couple of sporadic, inconsistent plays that factors into it. Right, So, yes,

283
00:15:21,480 --> 00:15:23,520
Speaker 2: the wise guys are on the Bills in this spot.

284
00:15:23,640 --> 00:15:26,840
Speaker 2: It's a good spot for them to get healthy. One

285
00:15:26,880 --> 00:15:28,760
Speaker 2: of the things that you have to consider, and we

286
00:15:28,840 --> 00:15:30,600
Speaker 2: started to see it a little bit this past week.

287
00:15:30,840 --> 00:15:34,040
Speaker 2: The Bills traded for Rasoul Douglas at the trade deadline

288
00:15:34,040 --> 00:15:37,520
Speaker 2: in October thirty. First, the Bills started doing horribly this

289
00:15:37,640 --> 00:15:40,120
Speaker 2: year and going on their roller coaster ride of inconsistency

290
00:15:40,480 --> 00:15:44,840
Speaker 2: when they lost to Davius White against Miami in early October.

291
00:15:44,920 --> 00:15:46,880
Speaker 2: Then they lost Matt Malono the next week in a

292
00:15:46,920 --> 00:15:50,480
Speaker 2: loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars in London. Right, so, the

293
00:15:50,520 --> 00:15:53,120
Speaker 2: defense has been struggling because they don't have any playmakers.

294
00:15:53,320 --> 00:15:56,080
Speaker 2: They traded for Rasoulo Douglas. Last week was his first,

295
00:15:56,320 --> 00:15:58,960
Speaker 2: was his third game, his first big game. Two picks,

296
00:15:59,040 --> 00:16:02,360
Speaker 2: one fumble, recovery, and he started to look like the

297
00:16:02,360 --> 00:16:05,520
Speaker 2: playmaker of the Bill's need in the secondary. When you

298
00:16:05,560 --> 00:16:08,320
Speaker 2: are going against Devonte Smith, when you're going against aj Brown,

299
00:16:08,560 --> 00:16:11,560
Speaker 2: you're going to need someone who is physical, who can

300
00:16:11,640 --> 00:16:14,720
Speaker 2: play on those receivers and make plays in the secondary.

301
00:16:15,040 --> 00:16:16,880
Speaker 2: So that's one thing that I think could be an

302
00:16:16,960 --> 00:16:17,920
Speaker 2: X factor in this game.

303
00:16:18,680 --> 00:16:22,000
Speaker 1: Listen, we've all had fender benders in our life. Sometimes

304
00:16:22,000 --> 00:16:25,040
Speaker 1: it's even more serious. People between the ages of twenty

305
00:16:25,160 --> 00:16:28,760
Speaker 1: five and thirty four, in fact, have the highest amount

306
00:16:28,840 --> 00:16:33,240
Speaker 1: of drivers involved in car crashes. Be careful, but even

307
00:16:33,280 --> 00:16:36,320
Speaker 1: if it's somebody else's mistake, you can lean on Morgan

308
00:16:36,480 --> 00:16:40,600
Speaker 1: and Morgan. If you've ever been injured, check out Morgan

309
00:16:40,680 --> 00:16:45,440
Speaker 1: and Morgan. It's the nation's largest injury law firm, one

310
00:16:45,520 --> 00:16:49,720
Speaker 1: hundred offices and over eight hundred lawyers, with over fifteen

311
00:16:50,120 --> 00:16:53,200
Speaker 1: billion not to be billion dollars recovered with over three

312
00:16:53,240 --> 00:16:56,240
Speaker 1: hundred thousand clients. Morgan and Morgan has a proven track

313
00:16:56,280 --> 00:17:00,000
Speaker 1: record of fighting for you to get full and fair company.

314
00:17:00,680 --> 00:17:04,119
Speaker 1: Fighting for people for over thirty five years. Starting for

315
00:17:04,200 --> 00:17:07,720
Speaker 1: an entire football franchise as a rookie quarterback is hard.

316
00:17:07,960 --> 00:17:11,280
Speaker 1: Submitting an injury claim with Morgan and Morgan is easy.

317
00:17:11,359 --> 00:17:13,359
Speaker 1: If you're ever injured, check out Morgan and Morgan. Their

318
00:17:13,400 --> 00:17:16,439
Speaker 1: fee is free unless they win. For more information, go

319
00:17:16,640 --> 00:17:20,720
Speaker 1: for thepeople dot com slash Colin or dial pound law.

320
00:17:20,800 --> 00:17:24,120
Speaker 1: That's pound five to nine from your cell phone. That's

321
00:17:24,240 --> 00:17:27,240
Speaker 1: for the people dot com slash Colin or pound law

322
00:17:27,359 --> 00:17:30,040
Speaker 1: five to nine from your cell This is a paid advertisement.

323
00:17:35,880 --> 00:17:39,440
Speaker 1: DAK has not been a great home favorite during Thanksgiving.

324
00:17:39,480 --> 00:17:42,000
Speaker 1: I'd take Commanders plus twelve and a half. It's a

325
00:17:42,000 --> 00:17:45,320
Speaker 1: division rivalry game. Both are you know we know who

326
00:17:45,400 --> 00:17:48,240
Speaker 1: the better team is. That's an egregiously high number. I

327
00:17:48,280 --> 00:17:50,320
Speaker 1: think Sam Hall. If you look at who the Cowboys

328
00:17:50,320 --> 00:17:54,720
Speaker 1: have beaten, Giants, Jets, Rams, when Stafford got hurt, Carolina,

329
00:17:54,760 --> 00:17:56,840
Speaker 1: it's a lot of bad quarterbacks. I don't think Sam

330
00:17:56,840 --> 00:17:59,720
Speaker 1: Hall's bad. I think he deserves another year with an

331
00:17:59,760 --> 00:18:02,760
Speaker 1: off minded coach. I think Sam Howl's actually okay in spots.

332
00:18:02,800 --> 00:18:04,600
Speaker 1: I watch them against Philadelphia. He can make all the

333
00:18:04,600 --> 00:18:06,560
Speaker 1: big boy throws. I watch them against Denver. He can

334
00:18:06,640 --> 00:18:09,159
Speaker 1: make all the big boy throws. I think this is

335
00:18:09,200 --> 00:18:11,240
Speaker 1: actually a pretty competitive game. I take the twelve and

336
00:18:11,280 --> 00:18:12,840
Speaker 1: a half Sharper score totally sharp.

337
00:18:13,359 --> 00:18:17,040
Speaker 2: When you're talking about division matchups like this, the road

338
00:18:17,080 --> 00:18:21,800
Speaker 2: team that is the underdog has a fifty three percent

339
00:18:21,920 --> 00:18:24,240
Speaker 2: cover rate the past five years. So that's on the

340
00:18:24,400 --> 00:18:26,239
Speaker 2: edge of where you want to be. But then you

341
00:18:26,320 --> 00:18:28,840
Speaker 2: put in the factor that it's such a big number

342
00:18:29,200 --> 00:18:32,359
Speaker 2: in a division game. That raises the factors a little

343
00:18:32,359 --> 00:18:35,440
Speaker 2: bit more. There's a lot of things going your way

344
00:18:35,760 --> 00:18:38,240
Speaker 2: when you want to bet on the Commanders here. Dak

345
00:18:38,280 --> 00:18:41,640
Speaker 2: not being a good quarterback against the spread on Thanksgiving

346
00:18:41,720 --> 00:18:46,439
Speaker 2: is another big factor. There is some hesitancy, like this

347
00:18:46,600 --> 00:18:49,719
Speaker 2: line was at eleven. You would have thought professional betters

348
00:18:49,720 --> 00:18:53,000
Speaker 2: would have hammered this line at eleven. Over the last

349
00:18:53,080 --> 00:18:55,520
Speaker 2: twenty four to thirty six hours, it's going up twelve

350
00:18:55,520 --> 00:18:58,000
Speaker 2: and a half. It's trending towards thirteen. You're going to

351
00:18:58,040 --> 00:19:00,520
Speaker 2: see the buyback. Wise, guys want to bet on the

352
00:19:00,520 --> 00:19:04,760
Speaker 2: Commanders at this bigger number, but it is It is

353
00:19:05,080 --> 00:19:06,920
Speaker 2: not as much of a consensus as you would think.

354
00:19:07,800 --> 00:19:09,000
Speaker 2: But I'm with you, all right.

355
00:19:09,880 --> 00:19:12,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, So we always do a talk me into a game.

356
00:19:13,359 --> 00:19:16,400
Speaker 1: I kind of think the Jaguars got doused by the Texans.

357
00:19:16,440 --> 00:19:18,159
Speaker 1: I'd probably take him here as a one and a

358
00:19:18,200 --> 00:19:21,560
Speaker 1: half point favorite. Don't love it. Texans are better and consistent.

359
00:19:22,160 --> 00:19:24,359
Speaker 1: They didn't play particularly well against Arizona.

360
00:19:24,440 --> 00:19:24,880
Speaker 2: Still one.

361
00:19:24,960 --> 00:19:27,040
Speaker 1: That's a really good trend and trait when you can

362
00:19:27,040 --> 00:19:30,240
Speaker 1: play poorly and win. My guess is the Sharps are

363
00:19:30,359 --> 00:19:34,240
Speaker 1: on CJ Stroud, but Jacksonville got doused two weeks ago,

364
00:19:34,320 --> 00:19:36,800
Speaker 1: so I'd probably take him because I like Trevor Lawrence.

365
00:19:37,359 --> 00:19:38,320
Speaker 1: Talk me into the side.

366
00:19:38,320 --> 00:19:42,480
Speaker 2: Wise, guys are on CJ Shroud. They're just consistently seeing

367
00:19:43,000 --> 00:19:47,640
Speaker 2: something in him that they, frankly haven't seen in Trevor Lawrence,

368
00:19:47,800 --> 00:19:52,280
Speaker 2: who has been inconsistent. Who missus throws? You watch CJ Shroud.

369
00:19:52,359 --> 00:19:56,120
Speaker 2: There was a play last week the guy got leveled

370
00:19:56,480 --> 00:19:58,840
Speaker 2: completely level Yes, had to come out for a play.

371
00:19:59,160 --> 00:20:02,480
Speaker 2: The next play it was third and seventeen. They didn't

372
00:20:02,520 --> 00:20:05,639
Speaker 2: even hesitate. He gets the ball, runs out of the pocket,

373
00:20:05,680 --> 00:20:08,080
Speaker 2: he's got someone chasing it. He can make one throw

374
00:20:08,160 --> 00:20:11,520
Speaker 2: to one guy and it's a rope to tank down

375
00:20:11,560 --> 00:20:14,600
Speaker 2: on the sideline to go third and seventeen. The guy

376
00:20:14,760 --> 00:20:17,159
Speaker 2: just knows how to play quarterback and has been proving it.

377
00:20:17,200 --> 00:20:20,960
Speaker 2: He's preternaturally good, right, talk about MVP, as this guy

378
00:20:21,040 --> 00:20:23,040
Speaker 2: was at two hundred and one before the season, now

379
00:20:23,040 --> 00:20:25,520
Speaker 2: he's less than twenty to one. It's actually weird to

380
00:20:25,560 --> 00:20:29,359
Speaker 2: me that this team is an underdog at home where

381
00:20:29,359 --> 00:20:31,200
Speaker 2: he's five and zero against the spread, by the way,

382
00:20:31,640 --> 00:20:34,879
Speaker 2: And I think that part of the problem is when

383
00:20:34,920 --> 00:20:37,160
Speaker 2: you get a team like the Texans that is power

384
00:20:37,280 --> 00:20:40,600
Speaker 2: rated so low when the season begins, every book maker

385
00:20:40,640 --> 00:20:44,280
Speaker 2: will tell you, we can't just automatically jump the number

386
00:20:44,280 --> 00:20:47,920
Speaker 2: by ten points, like they need to gradually do it, right.

387
00:20:47,960 --> 00:20:50,840
Speaker 2: It's like coming off of a of bad medicine, right,

388
00:20:50,880 --> 00:20:52,959
Speaker 2: Like you need to gradually come off it a little bit.

389
00:20:53,040 --> 00:20:56,639
Speaker 2: So they have not fully changed their power rating on

390
00:20:56,680 --> 00:20:58,399
Speaker 2: the Texans. Because it's weird to me that there are

391
00:20:58,400 --> 00:21:00,560
Speaker 2: dogs at home right now and you're getting hook.

392
00:21:00,480 --> 00:21:03,560
Speaker 1: Okay, there's always a game I completely miss on. I,

393
00:21:03,680 --> 00:21:08,520
Speaker 1: you know, I the Denver Broncos game fascinates me, and

394
00:21:08,560 --> 00:21:13,480
Speaker 1: I have a feeling that's it. I feel like I

395
00:21:13,520 --> 00:21:16,520
Speaker 1: feel like Denver keeps kind of winning the same way

396
00:21:16,640 --> 00:21:18,840
Speaker 1: where I'm not sure that the better team. And then

397
00:21:19,080 --> 00:21:22,200
Speaker 1: Russell makes a play. But then I look at their

398
00:21:22,200 --> 00:21:26,040
Speaker 1: defense and it's really young and hyper aggressive. Simmons now

399
00:21:26,119 --> 00:21:30,679
Speaker 1: is making instrumental plays. I already liked their top corner

400
00:21:30,760 --> 00:21:35,000
Speaker 1: of Patrick's artan can Denver win again? Is that the

401
00:21:35,080 --> 00:21:36,320
Speaker 1: dumpster dive I missed?

402
00:21:36,400 --> 00:21:40,399
Speaker 2: Now the wise guys are on Cleveland in this game.

403
00:21:40,680 --> 00:21:43,000
Speaker 2: The line open two and a half, it's been bet

404
00:21:43,080 --> 00:21:45,720
Speaker 2: down to one and a half. There's a difference. And

405
00:21:45,920 --> 00:21:50,000
Speaker 2: a couple of weeks ago we talked about Cleveland and Baltimore,

406
00:21:50,320 --> 00:21:53,040
Speaker 2: and I think I try to convince you that Cleveland

407
00:21:53,240 --> 00:21:55,639
Speaker 2: was the side in this game, and they ended up

408
00:21:55,680 --> 00:21:57,840
Speaker 2: covering in this game. And the reason why I like

409
00:21:57,920 --> 00:22:01,680
Speaker 2: Cleveland in this in that game was because their defense

410
00:22:02,400 --> 00:22:05,160
Speaker 2: is offensive. And what I mean by that is they

411
00:22:05,160 --> 00:22:09,080
Speaker 2: have playmakers at every single level of the defense. It's

412
00:22:09,119 --> 00:22:10,919
Speaker 2: not just Miles Garrett, who might be one of the

413
00:22:10,920 --> 00:22:13,520
Speaker 2: best players in the NFL right now, but it's guys

414
00:22:13,560 --> 00:22:16,360
Speaker 2: like Grant Delpit who are leading that team in tackles

415
00:22:16,480 --> 00:22:19,159
Speaker 2: right and he is playing in the box, but he

416
00:22:19,200 --> 00:22:23,560
Speaker 2: is also playing in coverage. They make plays that put

417
00:22:23,600 --> 00:22:27,320
Speaker 2: the Browns offense in a position to score. They don't

418
00:22:27,359 --> 00:22:30,440
Speaker 2: always have to be feel getting a kickoff, going down

419
00:22:30,480 --> 00:22:32,320
Speaker 2: seventy five hours or getting a punt from deep in

420
00:22:32,359 --> 00:22:35,760
Speaker 2: their territory. The Browns defense puts them in a good position.

421
00:22:36,680 --> 00:22:39,000
Speaker 2: I can't say the same about the Broncos. They're better,

422
00:22:39,440 --> 00:22:43,040
Speaker 2: they're making team, they're holding teams to fewer points. Their

423
00:22:43,040 --> 00:22:46,800
Speaker 2: tackling is still really bad. We saw that against Minnesota.

424
00:22:46,840 --> 00:22:50,280
Speaker 2: They could not tackle anybody. And the Browns are a

425
00:22:50,400 --> 00:22:54,520
Speaker 2: heavy rush team with Now and Dorian Thompson Robinson a

426
00:22:54,800 --> 00:22:58,320
Speaker 2: very mobile quarterback. So the wise guys like the Browns here.

427
00:22:58,600 --> 00:23:01,000
Speaker 2: The only caveat I would say is that the number

428
00:23:01,080 --> 00:23:04,040
Speaker 2: is moved, and so it's becoming harder and harder to

429
00:23:04,080 --> 00:23:06,320
Speaker 2: bet on it. You're essentially betting on the Browns to

430
00:23:06,359 --> 00:23:07,199
Speaker 2: win at this point.

431
00:23:07,920 --> 00:23:09,080
Speaker 1: Any other dumpster diving?

432
00:23:09,600 --> 00:23:14,920
Speaker 2: Can I interest you in? The Las Vegas Raiders as

433
00:23:15,200 --> 00:23:18,080
Speaker 2: eight and a half eight or nine, depending on where

434
00:23:18,080 --> 00:23:23,680
Speaker 2: you're looking point underdogs hosting the Kansas City Chiefs. So look, yeah,

435
00:23:23,760 --> 00:23:27,280
Speaker 2: the Chiefs. They have been virtually unbeatable, and I like

436
00:23:27,359 --> 00:23:29,560
Speaker 2: the Eagles to this past week. I think we made

437
00:23:29,560 --> 00:23:34,400
Speaker 2: the Eagles last week an executive decision, and the second

438
00:23:34,440 --> 00:23:38,679
Speaker 2: half in games, it's almost like Andy Reid recognizes that

439
00:23:38,720 --> 00:23:43,600
Speaker 2: his receivers are not playmakers, and so he's immediately playing

440
00:23:43,640 --> 00:23:46,120
Speaker 2: the clock in the second half. They scored what two

441
00:23:46,119 --> 00:23:48,879
Speaker 2: touchdowns in the second half. In the past five games,

442
00:23:49,119 --> 00:23:51,600
Speaker 2: they had seventeen points at halftime. This past week ended

443
00:23:51,600 --> 00:23:54,040
Speaker 2: the game with seventeen points. There's a lot of stuff

444
00:23:54,040 --> 00:23:57,119
Speaker 2: to unpack for this team. So now you're asking in

445
00:23:57,160 --> 00:23:59,720
Speaker 2: a division game for them to go on the road

446
00:24:00,080 --> 00:24:02,080
Speaker 2: and beat a team in the Raiders that still has

447
00:24:02,119 --> 00:24:04,640
Speaker 2: a very aggressive defense in a very good pass rush

448
00:24:04,640 --> 00:24:07,360
Speaker 2: and obviously one of the best defensive ends and edge

449
00:24:07,400 --> 00:24:10,880
Speaker 2: rushers in Max Crosby. So and Aidan O'Connell has shown

450
00:24:10,920 --> 00:24:13,200
Speaker 2: stuff right like he's throwing the ball down field. He's

451
00:24:13,200 --> 00:24:14,280
Speaker 2: not afraid, he's very active.

452
00:24:14,320 --> 00:24:16,920
Speaker 1: He can make throws. He's not mobile, but he can.

453
00:24:16,680 --> 00:24:20,000
Speaker 2: He can totally make throws. So it's a big number.

454
00:24:20,000 --> 00:24:25,440
Speaker 2: And Patrick Mahomes, for all his success when he's favored

455
00:24:25,440 --> 00:24:28,159
Speaker 2: by three or less, other than this past week when

456
00:24:28,200 --> 00:24:31,080
Speaker 2: you and I decided to take the Eagles generally covers

457
00:24:32,240 --> 00:24:35,080
Speaker 2: three and a half or more, he is way under

458
00:24:35,080 --> 00:24:37,720
Speaker 2: five hundred against the spread. So this is a spot

459
00:24:37,720 --> 00:24:39,520
Speaker 2: where you want to fade Mahomes.

460
00:24:40,600 --> 00:24:43,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think this is a smart pick. Also, Antonio

461
00:24:43,440 --> 00:24:46,800
Speaker 1: Piers is fighting and that staff is fighting for seven

462
00:24:46,840 --> 00:24:51,320
Speaker 1: figure contract. Yes, right, Like Mark Davis probably wants to

463
00:24:51,400 --> 00:24:54,600
Speaker 1: hire this staff because he's paying Gruden and he's paying

464
00:24:54,680 --> 00:24:57,439
Speaker 1: Josh McDaniels. He would love to get a coach on

465
00:24:57,480 --> 00:25:02,640
Speaker 1: the cheap. So this knows they've got probably a sixty

466
00:25:02,720 --> 00:25:05,760
Speaker 1: five thirty five seventy thirty chance to land these jobs.

467
00:25:06,320 --> 00:25:09,280
Speaker 1: Just show effort. I don't even think you have to win.

468
00:25:09,600 --> 00:25:12,040
Speaker 1: I think if they're consistently showing effort, I mean they

469
00:25:12,080 --> 00:25:14,600
Speaker 1: overachieved last weekend. They lost. That was a good loss

470
00:25:14,840 --> 00:25:16,960
Speaker 1: for an interim coach as a big dog. As a

471
00:25:16,960 --> 00:25:19,720
Speaker 1: good loss, think about how about a twenty four to

472
00:25:19,720 --> 00:25:22,440
Speaker 1: twenty lost Kansas City. He may get an extension right there.

473
00:25:22,440 --> 00:25:25,280
Speaker 2: Think about this. Think about the Chargers who have had

474
00:25:25,320 --> 00:25:29,520
Speaker 2: Brandon Staley, who has underperformed the defense that he is

475
00:25:29,520 --> 00:25:32,359
Speaker 2: supposed to be a specialist in. Has been terrible. He

476
00:25:32,440 --> 00:25:37,720
Speaker 2: has not gotten the best out of an unbelievably talented offense.

477
00:25:38,640 --> 00:25:42,199
Speaker 2: The Chargers won't fire him, probably because the Chargers are

478
00:25:42,240 --> 00:25:44,600
Speaker 2: cheap and don't want to turn over the staff and

479
00:25:44,680 --> 00:25:46,720
Speaker 2: have to pay two coaches at the same time. The

480
00:25:46,760 --> 00:25:48,600
Speaker 2: flip side is you've got a Raiders team that is

481
00:25:49,200 --> 00:25:52,760
Speaker 2: as consistently bad as the Chargers, but Mark Davis is

482
00:25:52,760 --> 00:25:55,359
Speaker 2: willing to turn that staff over and pay hundreds of

483
00:25:55,440 --> 00:25:59,320
Speaker 2: millions of dollars in excess coaching fees to try to

484
00:25:59,400 --> 00:26:03,600
Speaker 2: find the winner. That's admirable either way, like you're getting losers,

485
00:26:03,600 --> 00:26:05,800
Speaker 2: but at least one guy is willing to spend to

486
00:26:05,800 --> 00:26:07,040
Speaker 2: try to find the formula to win.

487
00:26:07,720 --> 00:26:16,639
Speaker 1: Okay, Michigan Ohio State twenty one straight times in this meeting.

488
00:26:16,720 --> 00:26:19,280
Speaker 1: The team that has rushed for more has won, and

489
00:26:19,359 --> 00:26:22,480
Speaker 1: Michigan is a better rush team. Ohio State is eight

490
00:26:22,560 --> 00:26:25,280
Speaker 1: than the Big Ten rushing better in the last three

491
00:26:25,280 --> 00:26:28,080
Speaker 1: to four weeks, but Michigan is the better run team.

492
00:26:28,320 --> 00:26:31,560
Speaker 1: I think they have the better offensive line. They're at home.

493
00:26:31,640 --> 00:26:33,879
Speaker 1: I think they have the better quarterback with CJ.

494
00:26:34,080 --> 00:26:34,520
Speaker 2: Stroud.

495
00:26:34,600 --> 00:26:36,840
Speaker 1: The Buck guys were blown out the last two years.

496
00:26:37,320 --> 00:26:40,400
Speaker 1: I think Michigan wins. If Harball was on the sideline,

497
00:26:40,480 --> 00:26:44,400
Speaker 1: I think it would be convincing. I think without him

498
00:26:44,520 --> 00:26:47,200
Speaker 1: it does matter. It's closer. It's three and a half

499
00:26:47,280 --> 00:26:50,240
Speaker 1: for the Buck guys, all odds provided by DraftKings. I'm

500
00:26:50,280 --> 00:26:52,760
Speaker 1: interested where the Sharps would go on this, I like

501
00:26:52,880 --> 00:26:55,439
Speaker 1: Michigan With Harbaugh. I think it would be like plus

502
00:26:55,480 --> 00:26:59,200
Speaker 1: five plus four, and I would absolutely take Michigan. It's

503
00:26:59,240 --> 00:27:02,119
Speaker 1: a stay away for me. Without Harbaugh, what are the

504
00:27:02,119 --> 00:27:02,800
Speaker 1: wise guys think?

505
00:27:02,840 --> 00:27:05,880
Speaker 2: Well, Michigan is the side, And think about this when

506
00:27:05,880 --> 00:27:09,679
Speaker 2: you're coaching during the game as a head coach, and

507
00:27:09,800 --> 00:27:11,760
Speaker 2: Chuck No used to say this all the time, right,

508
00:27:12,640 --> 00:27:15,840
Speaker 2: his job is Monday to Friday, and when he's on

509
00:27:15,880 --> 00:27:18,679
Speaker 2: the sideline on Sunday, it's up to the players and

510
00:27:18,720 --> 00:27:21,480
Speaker 2: what they've been doing and how they've been practicing and

511
00:27:21,520 --> 00:27:24,600
Speaker 2: how they are executing based on what they did and

512
00:27:24,640 --> 00:27:27,480
Speaker 2: what they learn from his coaching during the week. What's

513
00:27:27,520 --> 00:27:31,840
Speaker 2: Jim Harbough doing on the sidelines fourth down? Calls timeouts? Right,

514
00:27:32,000 --> 00:27:37,960
Speaker 2: this is obviously a heightened example that his coaching staff

515
00:27:38,000 --> 00:27:41,040
Speaker 2: is going to have to manage. But this team is

516
00:27:41,720 --> 00:27:45,840
Speaker 2: in a different place mentally, like they feel aggrieved. Right

517
00:27:45,880 --> 00:27:51,040
Speaker 2: remember Ryan Day getting mocked Ohio against the world when

518
00:27:51,080 --> 00:27:56,080
Speaker 2: they needed a miracle to beat Notre Dame. This really

519
00:27:56,119 --> 00:27:58,640
Speaker 2: does feel like to the Michigan players and the Michigan

520
00:27:58,640 --> 00:28:02,200
Speaker 2: coaching staff Misschig against the world. The guy has been suspended.

521
00:28:02,240 --> 00:28:06,600
Speaker 2: The guy's been suspended multiple times this year, and like

522
00:28:06,640 --> 00:28:10,600
Speaker 2: they keep winning, people keep coming after them. I like

523
00:28:10,640 --> 00:28:11,520
Speaker 2: Michigan here.

524
00:28:12,440 --> 00:28:17,240
Speaker 1: Happy Thanksgiving to the Action Network you Chad Millman, four

525
00:28:17,320 --> 00:28:21,720
Speaker 1: days of football. Can't wait. Such a good time of

526
00:28:21,720 --> 00:28:24,080
Speaker 1: the year. This is I'm not a big fan of

527
00:28:24,080 --> 00:28:27,560
Speaker 1: wearing sweaters and sitting into in a hot kitchen, so

528
00:28:27,600 --> 00:28:33,960
Speaker 1: I don't love Thanksgiving. But I'll say this, I think

529
00:28:33,960 --> 00:28:37,680
Speaker 1: the Michigan Ohio State game may get eighteen million viewers.

530
00:28:37,800 --> 00:28:40,200
Speaker 1: I don't remember a college football regular season game that

531
00:28:40,200 --> 00:28:42,200
Speaker 1: felt like this. There was a Georgia Bama game a

532
00:28:42,200 --> 00:28:45,320
Speaker 1: few years ago that was close. Georgia hadn't won a

533
00:28:45,360 --> 00:28:47,080
Speaker 1: title yet, and we kind of felt like, yes was

534
00:28:47,120 --> 00:28:53,440
Speaker 1: their team. But it's weird being on the Michigan side

535
00:28:54,080 --> 00:28:56,760
Speaker 1: because if you're on the Michigan side, you are labeled

536
00:28:56,960 --> 00:29:00,320
Speaker 1: as a cheater. And of course I have always been

537
00:29:00,360 --> 00:29:03,440
Speaker 1: morally flexible, like all of us are, I just acknowledge it. Yes,

538
00:29:03,880 --> 00:29:07,400
Speaker 1: so we we all speed. We've all written off a

539
00:29:07,440 --> 00:29:09,840
Speaker 1: glass of wine that really wasn't supposed to be on

540
00:29:09,880 --> 00:29:17,240
Speaker 1: our taxes. We've all we've all, you know, shoplifted major appliances.

541
00:29:17,320 --> 00:29:20,920
Speaker 1: I mean those kind of things. I tend to think

542
00:29:20,960 --> 00:29:25,120
Speaker 1: with Harbaugh, Like Pete Carroll at SC He's always been

543
00:29:25,200 --> 00:29:28,800
Speaker 1: a push the envelope guy. And I think College Sports

544
00:29:28,880 --> 00:29:32,360
Speaker 1: Bill self falls into this. Remember the remember the claims.

545
00:29:32,880 --> 00:29:39,120
Speaker 1: I think Jim Beaheim, I think I think the NFL

546
00:29:39,440 --> 00:29:45,040
Speaker 1: would be far more punitive and they police you more arduously.

547
00:29:45,920 --> 00:29:49,960
Speaker 1: But the nc double A is this fuzzy, nebulous bureaucracy

548
00:29:50,720 --> 00:29:56,400
Speaker 1: where everybody suspects their neighbor is cheating a little, So

549
00:29:56,560 --> 00:30:01,000
Speaker 1: I think it it promotes pushed the envelope among staffs.

550
00:30:01,520 --> 00:30:06,280
Speaker 1: So I don't view myself as a morally this is

551
00:30:06,320 --> 00:30:09,720
Speaker 1: not a morally conclusive stand that I'm backing a cheater.

552
00:30:09,920 --> 00:30:13,840
Speaker 1: It is a push the envelope industry on Wall Street.

553
00:30:14,160 --> 00:30:17,240
Speaker 1: You don't think guys go to lunch and share information.

554
00:30:17,360 --> 00:30:20,520
Speaker 1: It's called insider trading. You think Martha Stewart was the

555
00:30:20,600 --> 00:30:23,120
Speaker 1: last one to really do it, of note, And I

556
00:30:23,120 --> 00:30:28,240
Speaker 1: think there are industries. I remember when I worked at ESPN,

557
00:30:29,360 --> 00:30:33,280
Speaker 1: and you're supposed to leave a window open for rivals

558
00:30:33,320 --> 00:30:36,080
Speaker 1: to compete for contracts. So if you have the NBA,

559
00:30:36,200 --> 00:30:39,640
Speaker 1: you can't renegotiate that there's a window where Fox or

560
00:30:39,760 --> 00:30:42,720
Speaker 1: NBC or CBS could come in. I really think that's

561
00:30:42,760 --> 00:30:45,960
Speaker 1: how it works. I really think presidents aren't going to

562
00:30:45,960 --> 00:30:49,000
Speaker 1: dinner with commissioners stop and buy for cigars some cognac.

563
00:30:49,600 --> 00:30:52,920
Speaker 1: So I just think there are industries. Tech is another one.

564
00:30:53,160 --> 00:30:58,040
Speaker 1: You read the Steve Jobs Walter Isaacson biography. It's day

565
00:30:58,080 --> 00:31:03,320
Speaker 1: to day you're pushing stuff. It's it's poker playing, it's bluffs.

566
00:31:03,840 --> 00:31:06,880
Speaker 1: It's a bit of a grift, and so I think

567
00:31:06,960 --> 00:31:12,240
Speaker 1: college sports almost promotes it with this fuzzy bureaucracy that

568
00:31:13,360 --> 00:31:18,040
Speaker 1: gives unequal punitive punishment to certain programs. It's the old

569
00:31:18,080 --> 00:31:21,440
Speaker 1: tark joke. The NCAA was so mad at Kentucky they

570
00:31:21,520 --> 00:31:23,080
Speaker 1: put Cleveland State on probation.

571
00:31:25,440 --> 00:31:26,360
Speaker 2: So it's like, I.

572
00:31:26,320 --> 00:31:28,400
Speaker 1: Don't think I'm backing a cheater. I think he went

573
00:31:28,440 --> 00:31:31,320
Speaker 1: over the line. Instead of going seventy eight on the freeway,

574
00:31:31,360 --> 00:31:33,240
Speaker 1: it was ninety four with his middle finger out of

575
00:31:33,320 --> 00:31:36,920
Speaker 1: the conference. But I'm not deeply bothered by it.

576
00:31:36,960 --> 00:31:41,520
Speaker 2: So look, Colin, we've all crushed up sleeping pills, put

577
00:31:41,520 --> 00:31:44,200
Speaker 2: it in our parents' food, and then used their hand

578
00:31:44,280 --> 00:31:46,720
Speaker 2: to sign the will that used to be going to

579
00:31:46,760 --> 00:31:50,440
Speaker 2: your sister and now it's going to you. That's totally fine.

580
00:31:51,000 --> 00:31:53,520
Speaker 2: I never understood what the big deal was with this

581
00:31:54,240 --> 00:32:00,520
Speaker 2: particular scandal because the saying goes, if he ain't ain't cheating,

582
00:32:00,880 --> 00:32:04,360
Speaker 2: you ain't trying. Like we're going up in arms about

583
00:32:04,560 --> 00:32:10,040
Speaker 2: sign stealing. Every single coach covers their mouth when they

584
00:32:10,040 --> 00:32:13,120
Speaker 2: are putting the play into the game. You know why

585
00:32:13,160 --> 00:32:15,360
Speaker 2: they do that because they know somebody's watching and is

586
00:32:15,360 --> 00:32:17,120
Speaker 2: going to try to steal the sign.

587
00:32:17,600 --> 00:32:24,160
Speaker 1: Like Also, also, everybody changes their signs and signals for

588
00:32:24,360 --> 00:32:29,200
Speaker 1: big games. You know, Super Bowl, playoff games, Rose Bowl,

589
00:32:29,480 --> 00:32:34,280
Speaker 1: Auburn Alabama. Those are the games you change. Ask Peyton Manning,

590
00:32:34,320 --> 00:32:37,920
Speaker 1: you change the signs for those games? Now you can

591
00:32:38,000 --> 00:32:41,000
Speaker 1: use them back to back if you're hosting Rutgers in Maryland. Okay,

592
00:32:41,000 --> 00:32:43,680
Speaker 1: those games aren't on national TV. But the reality is

593
00:32:43,720 --> 00:32:47,280
Speaker 1: these big spot games, Peyton Manning isn't doing the same

594
00:32:47,360 --> 00:32:51,040
Speaker 1: signals that these guys change for playoff games, division rivalry game.

595
00:32:51,120 --> 00:32:53,120
Speaker 1: When you're playing the Ravens the second time, if you're

596
00:32:53,120 --> 00:32:56,480
Speaker 1: the Steelers, you're not using the same signs, same audibles.

597
00:32:56,840 --> 00:32:58,240
Speaker 1: Stuff changes constantly.

598
00:32:58,920 --> 00:33:03,600
Speaker 2: Collan, We've all broken into We've all broken into a

599
00:33:03,680 --> 00:33:08,920
Speaker 2: colleagues email to send really inappropriate comments to your boss

600
00:33:08,920 --> 00:33:12,200
Speaker 2: when you're both going for the same promotion. It's totally fine.

601
00:33:12,360 --> 00:33:15,680
Speaker 2: That's what people do in the game of life, in

602
00:33:15,760 --> 00:33:18,320
Speaker 2: the game of professional media, and in the game of football.

603
00:33:18,520 --> 00:33:19,360
Speaker 2: You steal signs.

604
00:33:20,400 --> 00:33:21,960
Speaker 1: Hoppy Thanksgiving to you, brother.

605
00:33:24,080 --> 00:33:24,720
Speaker 2: The volume.

606
00:33:26,880 --> 00:33:30,840
Speaker 1: There's so much to be thankful for over the holiday weekend,

607
00:33:31,080 --> 00:33:35,719
Speaker 1: friends and family, food, and football, especially NFL. New customers

608
00:33:35,760 --> 00:33:39,760
Speaker 1: at Draft King Sportsbook download the app full weekend of Action,

609
00:33:39,960 --> 00:33:43,520
Speaker 1: Full week of action right now. Five bucks. New customers

610
00:33:43,560 --> 00:33:46,160
Speaker 1: can bet just five bucks on the NFL to score

611
00:33:46,240 --> 00:33:50,000
Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty bucks instantly in bonus bets. You

612
00:33:50,080 --> 00:33:53,880
Speaker 1: bet five, you get one hundred and fifty money, lines, props,

613
00:33:54,040 --> 00:33:57,360
Speaker 1: live bets, and so much more. No matter your appetite,

614
00:33:57,400 --> 00:34:00,520
Speaker 1: there is something for you at Draftking sports Book. Download

615
00:34:00,520 --> 00:34:04,200
Speaker 1: the app now. The code is Colin COOLi and new

616
00:34:04,240 --> 00:34:06,800
Speaker 1: customers bet five bucks on the NFL and get one

617
00:34:06,880 --> 00:34:09,960
Speaker 1: hundred and fifty bucks instantly in bonus bets only on

618
00:34:10,040 --> 00:34:13,240
Speaker 1: DraftKings Sportsbook, the official sports betting partner of the NFL.

619
00:34:13,400 --> 00:34:15,960
Speaker 1: The code is OHA's Colin co l I n The

620
00:34:16,160 --> 00:34:19,680
Speaker 1: crown is yours gambling problem called one eight hundred Gambler

621
00:34:19,719 --> 00:34:22,279
Speaker 1: or visit www dot one eight hundred gambler dot net.

622
00:34:22,320 --> 00:34:24,160
Speaker 1: In New York, call eight seven seven eight Hope n

623
00:34:24,280 --> 00:34:26,040
Speaker 1: Y or text Hope n Y four six seven three

624
00:34:26,080 --> 00:34:28,880
Speaker 1: six nine. In Connecticut, help is available for problem gambling

625
00:34:28,920 --> 00:34:30,920
Speaker 1: Call eighty eight seven eight nine seven seven seven seven

626
00:34:31,000 --> 00:34:33,839
Speaker 1: or visit CCPG dot org. Please play responsibly on behalf

627
00:34:33,840 --> 00:34:37,000
Speaker 1: of Boothill Casino and Resort KS licensee partner Golden Nugget

628
00:34:37,080 --> 00:34:40,320
Speaker 1: Lake Charles twenty one plus. Age varies by jurisdiction Voyden, Ontario.

629
00:34:40,360 --> 00:34:43,080
Speaker 1: Bonus bets expire one hundred and sixty eight hours after issuance.

630
00:34:43,080 --> 00:34:45,799
Speaker 1: C sportsbook dot DraftKings dot com, slash Basketball, Terms for

631
00:34:45,800 --> 00:34:49,040
Speaker 1: eligibility and deposit restrictions, Terms and responsible gaming Resources