1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:17,720 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:13,280 --> 00:00:17,520 Speaker 2: Single best idea on a crazy week. One week ago, 3 00:00:17,800 --> 00:00:20,959 Speaker 2: early in the morning, the VIX was at twenty eight, 4 00:00:21,160 --> 00:00:24,680 Speaker 2: which is not crisis, but is a benchmark. Anything over 5 00:00:24,800 --> 00:00:28,000 Speaker 2: thirty is OMG. And we're at twenty eight, and there's 6 00:00:28,000 --> 00:00:31,120 Speaker 2: a little angst out there. And once again, whatever the 7 00:00:31,160 --> 00:00:35,400 Speaker 2: reason and whatever your rationalization, down we go into a 8 00:00:35,479 --> 00:00:39,760 Speaker 2: pristine bull market breaking through seventeen today to what's called 9 00:00:39,800 --> 00:00:45,280 Speaker 2: a sixteen handle on the volatility index of the equity market. 10 00:00:45,479 --> 00:00:49,680 Speaker 2: Extraordinary and really shows a resiliency here that whole fear 11 00:00:49,720 --> 00:00:53,479 Speaker 2: of missing out thing. We were very fortunate today with 12 00:00:53,560 --> 00:00:58,560 Speaker 2: a great set of conversations Kit Jukes joined from Society General. 13 00:00:59,200 --> 00:01:01,200 Speaker 2: Kit Jokes is confused. 14 00:01:01,760 --> 00:01:04,960 Speaker 3: I think the market's betting on rate cuts, but it's 15 00:01:05,080 --> 00:01:08,920 Speaker 3: also betting on resilient growth. That keeps me confused. And 16 00:01:08,920 --> 00:01:11,280 Speaker 3: I should add this is the most dollar centric, US 17 00:01:11,319 --> 00:01:14,160 Speaker 3: centric economic cycle that I can remember in ages, because 18 00:01:14,319 --> 00:01:18,759 Speaker 3: the uncertainty around the US GDP numbers, retail sales numbers, 19 00:01:18,760 --> 00:01:21,679 Speaker 3: consumer pride numbers is much bigger than the uncertainty about 20 00:01:21,680 --> 00:01:24,240 Speaker 3: the lack of growth in Europe or in Asia. So 21 00:01:24,600 --> 00:01:28,360 Speaker 3: it's all about you guys, and we're getting no information. 22 00:01:28,480 --> 00:01:31,040 Speaker 3: So when we get some we think we think the 23 00:01:31,120 --> 00:01:35,000 Speaker 3: label markets weakening, but not knowing more where I think 24 00:01:35,000 --> 00:01:39,640 Speaker 3: collectively assuming that we shouldn't be revising down GDP forecasts, 25 00:01:39,720 --> 00:01:42,080 Speaker 3: so that there's lots of productivity, there's lots of ail, 26 00:01:42,080 --> 00:01:44,600 Speaker 3: there's lots of good things. The equity market's still strong, 27 00:01:44,959 --> 00:01:48,520 Speaker 3: so US exceptionalism is still in place. That bet is there. 28 00:01:48,880 --> 00:01:53,640 Speaker 3: Today's soft CPI prints will encourage rate cuts, but they 29 00:01:53,680 --> 00:01:56,640 Speaker 3: won't change that optimism about the economy is my bet. 30 00:01:57,040 --> 00:02:00,520 Speaker 2: Kitchooks of suction and just to give you an idea, folks. 31 00:02:00,560 --> 00:02:02,840 Speaker 2: One of the most twisted interviews of the week Jeffrey 32 00:02:02,840 --> 00:02:06,160 Speaker 2: Schumacher with us from e Y Parthenon, and it was 33 00:02:06,200 --> 00:02:10,120 Speaker 2: on like, what are companies actually doing with AI? Not 34 00:02:10,280 --> 00:02:12,880 Speaker 2: me using it as a Google search alternative for you, 35 00:02:13,320 --> 00:02:16,720 Speaker 2: Good morning to all of perplexity, love it, forget about 36 00:02:16,720 --> 00:02:19,640 Speaker 2: that what a company's actually doing And with the layoffs 37 00:02:19,639 --> 00:02:22,960 Speaker 2: this week announced, are we really replacing jobs? And jeff 38 00:02:23,000 --> 00:02:28,400 Speaker 2: Schumacher was just brilliant on the actual process consultants like 39 00:02:28,520 --> 00:02:31,800 Speaker 2: e Y are using when they go out to companies 40 00:02:31,840 --> 00:02:35,280 Speaker 2: to say, here's what artificial intelligence can do. For you. 41 00:02:35,400 --> 00:02:38,600 Speaker 2: That was absolutely fascinating. Some of that wraps around the 42 00:02:38,600 --> 00:02:44,280 Speaker 2: global market. Jordan Rochester started as strong today with Mazuo. 43 00:02:44,760 --> 00:02:48,680 Speaker 2: Here Jordan Rochester on his United Kingdom. 44 00:02:49,040 --> 00:02:51,600 Speaker 4: How Trump is for j well, he doesn't have the 45 00:02:51,639 --> 00:02:54,440 Speaker 4: same trying to think of the word for it, god 46 00:02:54,639 --> 00:02:56,560 Speaker 4: like persona amongst the public. 47 00:02:56,600 --> 00:02:56,840 Speaker 1: It's not. 48 00:02:57,160 --> 00:02:59,639 Speaker 4: It's not the sort of it's religious in a way 49 00:02:59,680 --> 00:03:04,240 Speaker 4: that of Maga movement. The reform is more of a 50 00:03:04,280 --> 00:03:07,800 Speaker 4: brand new thing and it is around Farage himself, but 51 00:03:08,160 --> 00:03:10,800 Speaker 4: it is a little bit less about how great he is, 52 00:03:10,840 --> 00:03:13,160 Speaker 4: but it's more about the policies he stands for, and 53 00:03:13,200 --> 00:03:16,360 Speaker 4: so he's a little bit more sort of careful with 54 00:03:16,440 --> 00:03:19,880 Speaker 4: his words, where I do believe Trump gets away with more. 55 00:03:20,440 --> 00:03:22,919 Speaker 4: So I'll leave it there because there's so many different 56 00:03:22,919 --> 00:03:25,760 Speaker 4: things to untangle. But in terms of policy, I think 57 00:03:25,760 --> 00:03:27,480 Speaker 4: it will be harder for him to get things done 58 00:03:27,880 --> 00:03:30,160 Speaker 4: compared to Trump because he hasn't got the same I 59 00:03:30,200 --> 00:03:32,720 Speaker 4: think with Trump he had the first term to learn. 60 00:03:33,160 --> 00:03:35,520 Speaker 4: You might remember how the chaos of the first administration 61 00:03:35,680 --> 00:03:39,200 Speaker 4: of different cabinet ministers they went through, and this time around, 62 00:03:39,240 --> 00:03:41,440 Speaker 4: Trump's learned his lessons, got a stronger team around him, 63 00:03:41,680 --> 00:03:44,080 Speaker 4: Farage hasn't got that strong team around him just yet, 64 00:03:44,360 --> 00:03:46,720 Speaker 4: and there's no other name recognition amongst the people who 65 00:03:46,760 --> 00:03:47,280 Speaker 4: work for him. 66 00:03:47,440 --> 00:03:49,520 Speaker 2: Jordan Rochester there and of course we spent a lot 67 00:03:49,560 --> 00:03:53,560 Speaker 2: of time with him with Missul of Tokyo talking about 68 00:03:53,560 --> 00:03:58,680 Speaker 2: the incredible politics and markets of Japan. As we end 69 00:03:58,680 --> 00:04:02,280 Speaker 2: the week, yen weaker out near a one fifty three. 70 00:04:03,040 --> 00:04:05,600 Speaker 2: That has been a surprise. We do not yet see 71 00:04:06,120 --> 00:04:09,920 Speaker 2: a strong yen on our podcast. We're out at Apple, 72 00:04:09,960 --> 00:04:13,560 Speaker 2: We're out at Spotify and YouTube podcasts at single best 73 00:04:13,760 --> 00:04:14,080 Speaker 2: idea