1 00:00:03,080 --> 00:00:07,440 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:09,039 --> 00:00:12,959 Speaker 2: Last Friday, President Donald Trump announced that his Chinese counterpart 3 00:00:13,080 --> 00:00:17,120 Speaker 2: Shi Jinping, had tentatively approved a deal to save TikTok 4 00:00:17,480 --> 00:00:18,080 Speaker 2: in the US. 5 00:00:18,760 --> 00:00:21,120 Speaker 3: I had a great goal with President Jay and as 6 00:00:21,160 --> 00:00:25,479 Speaker 3: you know, he approved the TikTok deal and we're in 7 00:00:25,520 --> 00:00:26,320 Speaker 3: the process with. 8 00:00:27,120 --> 00:00:31,560 Speaker 2: Under the proposed agreement, TikTok's US operations would be separated 9 00:00:31,560 --> 00:00:35,120 Speaker 2: from its Chinese parent company byt Edance, and a group 10 00:00:35,159 --> 00:00:38,360 Speaker 2: of new US backers would own a majority stake in 11 00:00:38,400 --> 00:00:38,960 Speaker 2: the company. 12 00:00:39,640 --> 00:00:42,960 Speaker 3: This deal is part of a broader push to put 13 00:00:43,360 --> 00:00:47,320 Speaker 3: the Trump trade war behind them to re engage with 14 00:00:47,360 --> 00:00:48,360 Speaker 3: the US administration. 15 00:00:49,000 --> 00:00:52,120 Speaker 2: Mark Anderson is a Bloomberg Asia Tech editor based in 16 00:00:52,159 --> 00:00:52,680 Speaker 2: Hong Kong. 17 00:00:53,200 --> 00:00:55,840 Speaker 3: The very fact these two men were speaking was very significant. 18 00:00:56,200 --> 00:00:58,560 Speaker 3: Of course, the relations between China and the US are 19 00:00:58,720 --> 00:01:00,800 Speaker 3: at one of their lowest points for you years, and 20 00:01:00,840 --> 00:01:03,600 Speaker 3: both leaders are really looking to ratchet down the tension 21 00:01:03,880 --> 00:01:05,479 Speaker 3: and move on to the next chapter. 22 00:01:07,600 --> 00:01:11,120 Speaker 2: On Friday, China's Foreign Ministry stops short of saying that 23 00:01:11,160 --> 00:01:14,880 Speaker 2: Beijing had given its final blessing and urged fair treatment 24 00:01:15,040 --> 00:01:16,240 Speaker 2: of Chinese interests. 25 00:01:16,680 --> 00:01:18,280 Speaker 4: Is the toy for of the Chinese statements. 26 00:01:19,360 --> 00:01:21,880 Speaker 5: Well, I think I think so. I mean when you 27 00:01:21,920 --> 00:01:23,520 Speaker 5: say fully aproved, I don't know what that means. We 28 00:01:23,600 --> 00:01:25,160 Speaker 5: have to get we have to get it signed. 29 00:01:25,200 --> 00:01:28,080 Speaker 4: I guess most China analysts will tell you that when 30 00:01:28,120 --> 00:01:30,840 Speaker 4: she goes to those meetings, he sees it as sort 31 00:01:30,840 --> 00:01:33,080 Speaker 4: of a bow tying moment. All the work has been 32 00:01:33,120 --> 00:01:35,160 Speaker 4: done and he is there to bless things. 33 00:01:35,760 --> 00:01:39,800 Speaker 2: Josh Wingrove is Bloomberg's senior White House correspondent. He's been 34 00:01:39,800 --> 00:01:43,080 Speaker 2: covering the fight over TikTok since twenty twenty, when then 35 00:01:43,200 --> 00:01:46,600 Speaker 2: President Trump signed an executive order calling for its parent 36 00:01:46,640 --> 00:01:49,680 Speaker 2: company to divest its ownership or face a man in 37 00:01:49,680 --> 00:01:50,200 Speaker 2: the US. 38 00:01:50,640 --> 00:01:52,600 Speaker 4: Trump doesn't work that way, right. Trump wants to get 39 00:01:52,600 --> 00:01:55,240 Speaker 4: in it and pass it a deal himself and leave 40 00:01:55,280 --> 00:01:57,320 Speaker 4: the fine prend to tomorrow or to others. And so 41 00:01:57,440 --> 00:01:59,280 Speaker 4: that has been just sort of like an up is down, 42 00:01:59,320 --> 00:02:02,960 Speaker 4: down is up, diametrically a toast approach between the two countries. 43 00:02:03,040 --> 00:02:11,040 Speaker 2: Right now, This is the big take Asia from Bloomberg News. 44 00:02:11,280 --> 00:02:14,600 Speaker 2: I'm wanha. Every week we take you inside some of 45 00:02:14,639 --> 00:02:18,239 Speaker 2: the world's biggest and most powerful economies and the markets, 46 00:02:18,360 --> 00:02:23,120 Speaker 2: tycoons and businesses that drive this ever shifting region. Today 47 00:02:23,160 --> 00:02:26,440 Speaker 2: on the show, we're diving into the TikTok deal between 48 00:02:26,480 --> 00:02:30,080 Speaker 2: the US and China, what it means for American users, 49 00:02:30,400 --> 00:02:33,440 Speaker 2: and who gained the upper hand at the negotiating table. 50 00:02:41,320 --> 00:02:44,639 Speaker 2: The battle over TikTok's fate in the US has been 51 00:02:44,720 --> 00:02:48,079 Speaker 2: brewing for years. The app is owned by a Chinese 52 00:02:48,080 --> 00:02:52,160 Speaker 2: corporation and exploded in popularity with American users back in 53 00:02:52,200 --> 00:02:55,240 Speaker 2: twenty twenty, during the early days of the COVID pandemic. 54 00:02:57,480 --> 00:03:01,679 Speaker 2: Up heart, Hey, everybody, welcome to my TikTok page. 55 00:03:01,919 --> 00:03:04,400 Speaker 5: Okay, then what down should I try first? 56 00:03:04,639 --> 00:03:05,240 Speaker 4: I love to take. 57 00:03:06,000 --> 00:03:09,440 Speaker 2: Since then, TikTok has experienced the type of growth most 58 00:03:09,480 --> 00:03:12,520 Speaker 2: tech companies can only dream of. It has more than 59 00:03:12,520 --> 00:03:15,560 Speaker 2: one hundred and seventy million users in the US alone, 60 00:03:15,960 --> 00:03:19,400 Speaker 2: that's half of the population, and its parent company, by Dance, 61 00:03:19,639 --> 00:03:23,120 Speaker 2: is valued at more than four hundred billion dollars, making 62 00:03:23,120 --> 00:03:27,160 Speaker 2: it the most valuable private business in China. Now. 63 00:03:27,160 --> 00:03:28,280 Speaker 1: To US based. 64 00:03:28,080 --> 00:03:32,960 Speaker 2: Users, the app feels so American. It's widely popular with 65 00:03:33,000 --> 00:03:36,440 Speaker 2: gen zs, and it created a new class of entrepreneurs 66 00:03:36,960 --> 00:03:41,560 Speaker 2: influencers who've turned their Internet hustles into full time careers. 67 00:03:41,880 --> 00:03:43,800 Speaker 3: Here's how much I made it off of social media 68 00:03:43,920 --> 00:03:46,800 Speaker 3: as a college student who has twenty thousand dollars on TikTok. 69 00:03:46,840 --> 00:03:48,600 Speaker 2: If you want to go viral here on tech talk, 70 00:03:48,680 --> 00:03:52,040 Speaker 2: you're going to do these four things. But the app 71 00:03:52,200 --> 00:03:56,160 Speaker 2: is very much not American, and Bloomberg's Asia Tech editor 72 00:03:56,240 --> 00:04:00,520 Speaker 2: Mark Anderson says that's a big part of the problems. 73 00:04:00,600 --> 00:04:03,200 Speaker 3: Have long been concerned that TikTok could be used to 74 00:04:03,200 --> 00:04:06,280 Speaker 3: spy on American citizens. This stems from the fact that 75 00:04:06,400 --> 00:04:10,040 Speaker 3: China requires its companies to share national security data with 76 00:04:10,080 --> 00:04:14,240 Speaker 3: its government, so US officials are worried that China's government 77 00:04:14,240 --> 00:04:18,000 Speaker 3: could abuse the data of US TikTok users. You know, 78 00:04:18,040 --> 00:04:21,560 Speaker 3: they could collect dossia's a personal information, they could blackmail them, 79 00:04:21,960 --> 00:04:24,920 Speaker 3: they could exploit content preferences. 80 00:04:24,800 --> 00:04:28,000 Speaker 1: And a lot of concern about political interference during the action. 81 00:04:27,960 --> 00:04:30,200 Speaker 5: Season, especially in US elections. 82 00:04:30,279 --> 00:04:34,120 Speaker 3: Yes, critically, in the twenty twenty US election, TikTok was 83 00:04:34,200 --> 00:04:38,440 Speaker 3: a very powerful platform. It's worth noting that Donald Trump 84 00:04:38,480 --> 00:04:41,919 Speaker 3: personally benefited from this, and there have been studies that 85 00:04:41,960 --> 00:04:46,200 Speaker 3: have shown that his ticket was boosted by TikTok, so 86 00:04:46,320 --> 00:04:48,920 Speaker 3: I think for him it's a personal issue. I've had 87 00:04:49,000 --> 00:04:51,719 Speaker 3: more people say, could you try and keep TikTok alive? 88 00:04:51,760 --> 00:04:53,560 Speaker 5: I use TikTok. I mean I have to admit it 89 00:04:54,200 --> 00:04:56,160 Speaker 5: in the election, and look how I did with you. 90 00:04:56,200 --> 00:04:58,280 Speaker 5: No Republicans come alone today. 91 00:04:58,480 --> 00:05:01,880 Speaker 2: President Trump is a TikTok advocate, but in his first 92 00:05:02,000 --> 00:05:04,800 Speaker 2: term he pushed for a ban, calling the app a 93 00:05:04,880 --> 00:05:09,560 Speaker 2: threat to national security. That sentiment was echoed by President Biden, 94 00:05:09,720 --> 00:05:12,839 Speaker 2: who signed a law requiring Byteedance to either Celtic Talk 95 00:05:13,200 --> 00:05:17,400 Speaker 2: or discontinue service in the US. The Supreme Court upheld 96 00:05:17,400 --> 00:05:20,080 Speaker 2: that ban and put the fate of the app back 97 00:05:20,120 --> 00:05:21,080 Speaker 2: in Trump's hands. 98 00:05:21,480 --> 00:05:25,400 Speaker 4: President Trump has been deferring enforcement of that law by 99 00:05:25,480 --> 00:05:28,039 Speaker 4: executive action, and no one really seems spun up about it. 100 00:05:28,080 --> 00:05:30,840 Speaker 4: But it also does not seem clear that he has 101 00:05:31,200 --> 00:05:33,440 Speaker 4: iron cloud legal authority to do it. 102 00:05:33,680 --> 00:05:37,719 Speaker 2: Bloomberg's Josh Wingrove and Mark Anderson say what's become clear 103 00:05:37,760 --> 00:05:40,800 Speaker 2: in recent months is that Presidents Trump and she are 104 00:05:40,839 --> 00:05:44,680 Speaker 2: looking for a solution for TikTok and for opportunities to 105 00:05:44,839 --> 00:05:47,040 Speaker 2: ease tensions between the two countries. 106 00:05:47,560 --> 00:05:51,480 Speaker 3: The drama over trump Tariff's reaching up to one hundred 107 00:05:51,480 --> 00:05:53,240 Speaker 3: and forty five percent is still very fresh in the 108 00:05:53,279 --> 00:05:57,280 Speaker 3: mind for Sijenping, who's very much trying to change the 109 00:05:57,360 --> 00:06:01,680 Speaker 3: relationship in a way that benefits Beijing and possibly divest 110 00:06:01,720 --> 00:06:05,680 Speaker 3: TikTok at a crucial moment that helps him navigate the 111 00:06:05,720 --> 00:06:10,719 Speaker 3: next chapter in an advantageous way and secure better terms 112 00:06:11,080 --> 00:06:12,880 Speaker 3: for Chinese exports to the US. 113 00:06:14,040 --> 00:06:16,039 Speaker 1: What do we know about the agreements that were reached 114 00:06:16,080 --> 00:06:17,159 Speaker 1: on TikTok so far? 115 00:06:17,640 --> 00:06:20,520 Speaker 3: What we know about the deal so far is that Oracle, 116 00:06:20,839 --> 00:06:23,599 Speaker 3: the software giant, will take a major role in leading 117 00:06:23,600 --> 00:06:28,159 Speaker 3: a consortium that will also include Anderson Horovitz and silver 118 00:06:28,200 --> 00:06:31,680 Speaker 3: Lake Management. They will have an eighty percent or more 119 00:06:32,000 --> 00:06:36,080 Speaker 3: ownership stake in TikTok us as required by a law 120 00:06:36,120 --> 00:06:39,040 Speaker 3: that was passed last year in the United States. By dance, 121 00:06:39,480 --> 00:06:42,400 Speaker 3: the owner of TikTok at the moment must reduce its 122 00:06:42,480 --> 00:06:44,240 Speaker 3: stake to twenty percent or less. 123 00:06:44,680 --> 00:06:47,240 Speaker 2: On top of that, the White House says this new 124 00:06:47,480 --> 00:06:50,719 Speaker 2: US only TikTok will be controlled by a board with 125 00:06:50,880 --> 00:06:55,040 Speaker 2: seven members, six of whom will be American. In an 126 00:06:55,040 --> 00:06:58,599 Speaker 2: interview with Fox News, Trump suggested that Michael Dell and 127 00:06:58,640 --> 00:07:03,440 Speaker 2: the family behind Fox, specifically Lachlan Murdoch and his father Rupert, 128 00:07:03,720 --> 00:07:06,200 Speaker 2: may also be involved in the TikTok takeover. 129 00:07:06,560 --> 00:07:09,119 Speaker 3: I hate to tell you this, but a man named 130 00:07:09,200 --> 00:07:10,800 Speaker 3: Lachlan is involved. 131 00:07:10,800 --> 00:07:13,920 Speaker 5: You know, Lachlan is It's a very unusual name, Lachlan. 132 00:07:13,600 --> 00:07:17,320 Speaker 3: Murdoch, mister murder, I believe, and you call him and 133 00:07:17,400 --> 00:07:17,920 Speaker 3: Rupert is. 134 00:07:19,640 --> 00:07:21,280 Speaker 5: Probably going to be in the group. I think they're 135 00:07:21,280 --> 00:07:21,560 Speaker 5: going to be. 136 00:07:21,680 --> 00:07:25,679 Speaker 2: Then there's the platform itself. While it's not clear yet 137 00:07:25,800 --> 00:07:28,640 Speaker 2: whether users will have to download a new app or 138 00:07:28,720 --> 00:07:32,200 Speaker 2: update their existing one, Mark says TikTok will create a 139 00:07:32,240 --> 00:07:34,800 Speaker 2: new platform for users in the US. 140 00:07:35,120 --> 00:07:37,360 Speaker 3: The deal will create a new entity, a new app 141 00:07:37,400 --> 00:07:42,400 Speaker 3: that users will migrate to, and it will recreate the algorithm. 142 00:07:42,720 --> 00:07:45,160 Speaker 3: So I think the new owners are hoping for as 143 00:07:45,200 --> 00:07:48,600 Speaker 3: little disruption as possible to the user experience that these 144 00:07:48,600 --> 00:07:50,920 Speaker 3: one hundred and seventy million people know and love. 145 00:07:51,200 --> 00:07:53,760 Speaker 2: And of course the algorithm has been such a huge 146 00:07:53,760 --> 00:07:56,680 Speaker 2: point of contention. Right, this is what is used by 147 00:07:56,720 --> 00:08:00,560 Speaker 2: TikTok to suggest stories, suggest reels for people to right. 148 00:08:00,840 --> 00:08:03,720 Speaker 3: The algorithm is a key sticking point for this deal. 149 00:08:04,080 --> 00:08:06,520 Speaker 3: The US law that was passed in twenty twenty four 150 00:08:07,120 --> 00:08:10,240 Speaker 3: says by Dance must give up complete control of the 151 00:08:10,280 --> 00:08:13,520 Speaker 3: algorithm and the technology that supports the algorithm if it's 152 00:08:13,520 --> 00:08:16,080 Speaker 3: going to keep TikTok alive in the country. But from 153 00:08:16,120 --> 00:08:19,520 Speaker 3: the very beginning of these talks about deal, and as 154 00:08:19,560 --> 00:08:22,240 Speaker 3: recently as a few weeks ago, the Chinese government has 155 00:08:22,240 --> 00:08:25,960 Speaker 3: set it refuses to do that. Most social networking platforms 156 00:08:26,000 --> 00:08:28,680 Speaker 3: rely on users to share content with each other. What 157 00:08:28,720 --> 00:08:32,280 Speaker 3: TikTok did that's so revolutionary is they created a way 158 00:08:32,360 --> 00:08:36,120 Speaker 3: for the app itself to suggest content to users through 159 00:08:36,400 --> 00:08:41,280 Speaker 3: their recent activity and their declared interests. So it really 160 00:08:41,800 --> 00:08:47,400 Speaker 3: allows people to interact with a platform completely on their own, 161 00:08:47,440 --> 00:08:49,480 Speaker 3: without any friends in the real world. 162 00:08:50,040 --> 00:08:53,080 Speaker 2: A Beijing official said that my Dance has agreed to 163 00:08:53,160 --> 00:08:55,920 Speaker 2: license its algorithm to the new US version of the 164 00:08:55,960 --> 00:09:00,280 Speaker 2: TikTok app, but that's not giving up complete control. She 165 00:09:00,320 --> 00:09:02,800 Speaker 2: and Trump may decide that's good enough, it may not 166 00:09:02,920 --> 00:09:07,320 Speaker 2: comply with US law. Under the proposed deal, TikTok's US 167 00:09:07,440 --> 00:09:11,080 Speaker 2: owners would lease a copy of byte Dance's algorithm, and 168 00:09:11,280 --> 00:09:14,319 Speaker 2: Oracle would help recreate and retrain it from the ground up. 169 00:09:15,040 --> 00:09:18,520 Speaker 2: Oracle would also provide security for the algorithm and store 170 00:09:18,600 --> 00:09:22,040 Speaker 2: data from US users in a secure cloud. The White 171 00:09:22,080 --> 00:09:25,600 Speaker 2: House says Byteedance will not have control over or access 172 00:09:25,720 --> 00:09:28,520 Speaker 2: to any information or algorithm in the US. 173 00:09:29,040 --> 00:09:31,160 Speaker 3: So basically what they're trying to do is ensure that 174 00:09:31,200 --> 00:09:35,880 Speaker 3: American buyers actually do control the recommendation software behind TikTok 175 00:09:35,880 --> 00:09:38,400 Speaker 3: and the US And this gets to a key concern 176 00:09:38,840 --> 00:09:41,520 Speaker 3: by US lawmakers over the past few years, really, which 177 00:09:41,559 --> 00:09:45,160 Speaker 3: is that Chinese companies are mandated by law to share 178 00:09:45,360 --> 00:09:46,920 Speaker 3: user data with the Chinese government. 179 00:09:49,880 --> 00:09:53,600 Speaker 2: Coming up, what this means for US China relations and 180 00:09:53,640 --> 00:10:09,480 Speaker 2: who gained the upper hand at the negotiating table. There 181 00:10:09,559 --> 00:10:11,960 Speaker 2: was a lot at stake for both the US and 182 00:10:12,080 --> 00:10:16,680 Speaker 2: China in the negotiations over TikTok. Mark Anderson says it's 183 00:10:16,679 --> 00:10:18,760 Speaker 2: a toss up who came out on top. 184 00:10:19,280 --> 00:10:21,079 Speaker 5: I think you could say it's a win win. 185 00:10:21,600 --> 00:10:24,280 Speaker 3: The US gets a key concession from China that it's 186 00:10:24,280 --> 00:10:27,800 Speaker 3: been seeking for years, and China, within the broader context 187 00:10:27,800 --> 00:10:32,680 Speaker 3: of tariffs, geopolitical tensions, and the Ai race, Beijing might 188 00:10:32,800 --> 00:10:35,559 Speaker 3: start to see TikTok as a bargaining chip to get 189 00:10:35,559 --> 00:10:39,079 Speaker 3: a better deal in other, possibly more critical areas. Remember, 190 00:10:39,120 --> 00:10:41,640 Speaker 3: Beijing and Washington are due to resume trade talks, and 191 00:10:41,679 --> 00:10:43,560 Speaker 3: there are many other issues on the table that both 192 00:10:43,600 --> 00:10:47,520 Speaker 3: sides need to hammer out, fentanyl, nuclear proliferation, access to 193 00:10:47,520 --> 00:10:50,400 Speaker 3: AI technology. These are just a few of the bigger 194 00:10:50,440 --> 00:10:52,280 Speaker 3: issues on display here, But. 195 00:10:52,200 --> 00:10:56,040 Speaker 2: Bloomberg's whine House correspondent josh Win Grove says TikTok and 196 00:10:56,120 --> 00:10:59,440 Speaker 2: the national security alarms it raises seems to be a 197 00:10:59,480 --> 00:11:01,680 Speaker 2: bigger concerned to Washington in Beijing. 198 00:11:02,240 --> 00:11:05,600 Speaker 4: I think both sides think they have leverage, but it 199 00:11:05,679 --> 00:11:08,680 Speaker 4: sure seems like the Chinese certainly do, if only because 200 00:11:08,720 --> 00:11:12,040 Speaker 4: Trump is backing off what had been a position of 201 00:11:12,080 --> 00:11:15,960 Speaker 4: his and we're seeing China able to squeeze in key 202 00:11:16,040 --> 00:11:19,040 Speaker 4: sectors in a way that is alarming the US. Now 203 00:11:19,080 --> 00:11:21,640 Speaker 4: that might be a wake up call for both parties. 204 00:11:21,640 --> 00:11:24,360 Speaker 4: I should know some of these issues were simmering under 205 00:11:24,400 --> 00:11:30,079 Speaker 4: the Piden administration, but it's pretty clear that China realizes 206 00:11:30,559 --> 00:11:33,560 Speaker 4: what the pressure coins are and is willing to press 207 00:11:33,559 --> 00:11:37,120 Speaker 4: on them if needed. And President Trump, chiefly through tariffs, 208 00:11:37,120 --> 00:11:39,960 Speaker 4: but not just through tariffs, through export controls and otherwise 209 00:11:40,600 --> 00:11:42,480 Speaker 4: also is doing that. And that is I think the 210 00:11:42,520 --> 00:11:45,600 Speaker 4: tension right now, in particular in the Republican Party is 211 00:11:45,679 --> 00:11:48,360 Speaker 4: like how far is too far and how much deal 212 00:11:48,440 --> 00:11:52,240 Speaker 4: making is okay. Trump's heading into a midterm election does 213 00:11:52,240 --> 00:11:55,640 Speaker 4: not want tariffs showing up on everyone's receipts left, right, 214 00:11:55,679 --> 00:11:58,360 Speaker 4: and center. So right now the bar to make a 215 00:11:58,400 --> 00:12:01,000 Speaker 4: deal with Trump seems to be shifting, and Koreau have 216 00:12:01,080 --> 00:12:05,200 Speaker 4: made deals UK China seems to be really driving towards 217 00:12:05,200 --> 00:12:07,480 Speaker 4: one or at least driving towards some sort of medium 218 00:12:07,559 --> 00:12:11,160 Speaker 4: term certainty. Using TikTok almost as like a then edge 219 00:12:11,200 --> 00:12:14,600 Speaker 4: of the wedge to get people to the table. But 220 00:12:14,840 --> 00:12:16,640 Speaker 4: the jury is very much out and no one knows 221 00:12:16,679 --> 00:12:17,440 Speaker 4: where it's going to land. 222 00:12:17,440 --> 00:12:22,400 Speaker 2: With China, most of the details of the TikTok deal 223 00:12:22,559 --> 00:12:26,480 Speaker 2: have come from the US, China has been largely silent. Still, 224 00:12:26,600 --> 00:12:29,840 Speaker 2: Mark says it's a positive sign, an indication that the 225 00:12:29,880 --> 00:12:33,160 Speaker 2: two superpowers are willing to sit down and talk business. 226 00:12:33,760 --> 00:12:37,280 Speaker 3: According to Trump, Chinese President's Jen Ping has approved the deal, 227 00:12:37,440 --> 00:12:40,360 Speaker 3: but so far Beijing has only really issued broad statements 228 00:12:40,400 --> 00:12:44,120 Speaker 3: without directly referring to any deal, saying it respects the 229 00:12:44,160 --> 00:12:46,960 Speaker 3: wishes of the company and is glad to see business 230 00:12:46,960 --> 00:12:51,040 Speaker 3: negotiations in line with market rules, just very general language 231 00:12:51,040 --> 00:12:55,000 Speaker 3: that doesn't indicate any kind of imminent signing of a deal. However, 232 00:12:55,000 --> 00:12:58,000 Speaker 3: they were very positive about the fact that Trump and 233 00:12:58,040 --> 00:13:02,439 Speaker 3: she were talking. They called the phone call a pragmatic, 234 00:13:02,679 --> 00:13:06,000 Speaker 3: positive and constructive talks. So I think that sort of 235 00:13:06,040 --> 00:13:09,240 Speaker 3: indicates the general feeling in Beijing, which is that this 236 00:13:09,320 --> 00:13:12,800 Speaker 3: deal is part of a broader push to move closer 237 00:13:12,840 --> 00:13:15,480 Speaker 3: to the US to put the Trump trade war behind 238 00:13:15,520 --> 00:13:16,559 Speaker 3: them Mark. 239 00:13:16,960 --> 00:13:19,600 Speaker 2: Just before the phone call took place last week, Trump 240 00:13:19,640 --> 00:13:23,320 Speaker 2: reportedly halted more than four hundred million dollars in military 241 00:13:23,360 --> 00:13:27,040 Speaker 2: aid to Taiwan. That's according to the Washington Post. Now 242 00:13:27,160 --> 00:13:29,280 Speaker 2: we don't know if that move is connected to the 243 00:13:29,280 --> 00:13:33,439 Speaker 2: TikTok deal, but still that's a significant development on its own. 244 00:13:34,000 --> 00:13:35,040 Speaker 1: How are people reading that? 245 00:13:35,840 --> 00:13:38,600 Speaker 3: I think it's part of Trump's transactional diplomacy. We've seen 246 00:13:38,640 --> 00:13:41,240 Speaker 3: it in Europe with NATO, But of course it serves 247 00:13:41,240 --> 00:13:46,440 Speaker 3: his purposes of appeasing a key Chinese demand as the. 248 00:13:46,280 --> 00:13:48,600 Speaker 5: Talks for this TikTok deal are taking place. 249 00:13:49,080 --> 00:13:52,600 Speaker 3: So I would view it as possibly part of Trump's 250 00:13:52,679 --> 00:13:55,160 Speaker 3: art of the deal and also part of his transactional 251 00:13:55,200 --> 00:13:58,720 Speaker 3: diplomacy where he expects even the most key US allies 252 00:13:58,760 --> 00:14:00,000 Speaker 3: to pay their own way on defense. 253 00:14:00,640 --> 00:14:03,960 Speaker 2: We know that Beijing views Taiwan as an inseparable part 254 00:14:04,040 --> 00:14:07,280 Speaker 2: of its Chinese territory and US officials have said that 255 00:14:07,320 --> 00:14:10,120 Speaker 2: she wants the Chinese military to be ready to invade 256 00:14:10,160 --> 00:14:13,360 Speaker 2: Taiwan by twenty twenty seven if the US support for 257 00:14:13,400 --> 00:14:16,600 Speaker 2: Taiwan is now on the table, and that's obviously a 258 00:14:16,640 --> 00:14:19,720 Speaker 2: big if, that would be a huge win for China. 259 00:14:20,600 --> 00:14:23,520 Speaker 3: Yeah, the US is by far Taiwan's most important for 260 00:14:23,640 --> 00:14:26,320 Speaker 3: an ally, and I think Taiwan has been reading the 261 00:14:26,320 --> 00:14:28,720 Speaker 3: writing on the wall and it's been ramping up its 262 00:14:28,760 --> 00:14:31,920 Speaker 3: own defense commitments in part to play k Trump and 263 00:14:31,960 --> 00:14:37,400 Speaker 3: his transactional approach to their relationship. Taiwan's president has announced 264 00:14:37,440 --> 00:14:41,320 Speaker 3: plans to increase military spending and approve special funding to 265 00:14:41,320 --> 00:14:43,560 Speaker 3: acquire more drones and ships. So I think those are 266 00:14:43,560 --> 00:14:46,160 Speaker 3: the kinds of overtures that Trump wants to see from 267 00:14:46,200 --> 00:14:48,800 Speaker 3: Taiwan right now. He wants to see them taking defense 268 00:14:48,840 --> 00:14:50,960 Speaker 3: into their own hands and maybe not relying on the 269 00:14:51,040 --> 00:14:53,120 Speaker 3: US as much as they used to. He wants to 270 00:14:53,160 --> 00:14:56,680 Speaker 3: be seen as a harder sell. He wants to negotiate 271 00:14:56,920 --> 00:15:00,880 Speaker 3: and get better deals for the US by posture and 272 00:15:01,360 --> 00:15:05,160 Speaker 3: making countries think twice before counting on support from Washington. 273 00:15:05,960 --> 00:15:08,920 Speaker 2: Mark, this deal strikes me as very much of a 274 00:15:08,960 --> 00:15:12,120 Speaker 2: Trump deal right and art of the deal agreement. But 275 00:15:12,200 --> 00:15:14,280 Speaker 2: it doesn't seem as if people are really up in 276 00:15:14,440 --> 00:15:17,360 Speaker 2: arms about that that it's so transactional with everything on 277 00:15:17,400 --> 00:15:19,200 Speaker 2: the table up for negotiations. 278 00:15:19,520 --> 00:15:22,280 Speaker 3: Let's not forget that Trump is a master at messaging, 279 00:15:22,360 --> 00:15:24,920 Speaker 3: and I think the messaging here is very good for 280 00:15:25,000 --> 00:15:27,000 Speaker 3: the people he cares about the most in the US, 281 00:15:27,040 --> 00:15:29,560 Speaker 3: which are of course his voters in his bass. He 282 00:15:29,600 --> 00:15:33,600 Speaker 3: can say I went to China, I went to President 283 00:15:33,680 --> 00:15:36,640 Speaker 3: chigen Ping, and I extracted a deal that couldn't have 284 00:15:36,680 --> 00:15:39,880 Speaker 3: been struck under Joe Biden. I was able to get 285 00:15:39,920 --> 00:15:42,840 Speaker 3: them to concede on a number of critical points. I 286 00:15:42,920 --> 00:15:46,480 Speaker 3: was able to get the algorithm essentially copy and pasted, 287 00:15:46,960 --> 00:15:49,680 Speaker 3: and now under American ownership, I was able to get 288 00:15:49,840 --> 00:15:51,760 Speaker 3: six out of seven seats on. 289 00:15:51,720 --> 00:15:53,040 Speaker 5: The board for Americans. 290 00:15:53,440 --> 00:15:55,520 Speaker 3: I think for him it looks really good, and I 291 00:15:55,520 --> 00:15:57,200 Speaker 3: think he knows what he's doing when it comes to 292 00:15:57,720 --> 00:16:00,480 Speaker 3: selling this deal to Americans and to his base. 293 00:16:00,920 --> 00:16:02,560 Speaker 1: How does it then make she look? 294 00:16:03,120 --> 00:16:03,360 Speaker 5: For me? 295 00:16:03,560 --> 00:16:06,320 Speaker 3: I think it makes she look like he's more concerned 296 00:16:06,320 --> 00:16:08,800 Speaker 3: with the next ten years than the next six months. 297 00:16:08,960 --> 00:16:11,800 Speaker 3: He's playing a very long game here. He senses an 298 00:16:11,800 --> 00:16:14,920 Speaker 3: opportunity with Trump, like many other leaders, I think he 299 00:16:15,040 --> 00:16:19,480 Speaker 3: sees this transactional, very short term focused American president. How 300 00:16:19,480 --> 00:16:21,400 Speaker 3: many of those do you get in your lifetime? So 301 00:16:21,440 --> 00:16:23,960 Speaker 3: I think for him, maybe TikTok was the price to 302 00:16:24,000 --> 00:16:27,600 Speaker 3: pay for a better tariff deal, or a better deal 303 00:16:27,640 --> 00:16:31,600 Speaker 3: on rare earth magnets, better deal on access to Boeing airplanes. 304 00:16:31,920 --> 00:16:34,320 Speaker 3: These are the more important issues to the Chinese government. 305 00:16:34,920 --> 00:16:37,960 Speaker 2: But Josh says whether the TikTok deal could serve as 306 00:16:37,960 --> 00:16:41,400 Speaker 2: a blueprint for how Chinese companies might strike future deals 307 00:16:41,440 --> 00:16:43,560 Speaker 2: with Washington remains to be seen. 308 00:16:44,000 --> 00:16:48,720 Speaker 4: I think it's unclear right now. For instance, Trump hasn't 309 00:16:48,720 --> 00:16:52,120 Speaker 4: watered down restrictions on Chinese electric vehicles that carry similar 310 00:16:52,200 --> 00:16:55,880 Speaker 4: national security risks to a lot of folks. But it 311 00:16:55,960 --> 00:16:59,200 Speaker 4: does seem like everything sort of on the table right. 312 00:16:59,640 --> 00:17:03,320 Speaker 4: One thing we've also seen is on semiconductor chips, this 313 00:17:03,560 --> 00:17:07,119 Speaker 4: real transactionality, right, Trump allowing the age twenty chip to 314 00:17:07,119 --> 00:17:09,280 Speaker 4: be sold to China, but only so long as the 315 00:17:09,359 --> 00:17:12,439 Speaker 4: US government gets a fifteen percent cut of each of 316 00:17:12,480 --> 00:17:16,080 Speaker 4: those sales. So like the Hawk view is sort of 317 00:17:16,119 --> 00:17:18,159 Speaker 4: shifting a little bit, it seems in Washington right now, 318 00:17:18,160 --> 00:17:22,879 Speaker 4: where there's certain things aren't budgeting, like cars, farmland, whereas 319 00:17:22,880 --> 00:17:26,480 Speaker 4: other things maybe are more up for negotiation than we knew. 320 00:17:26,840 --> 00:17:29,320 Speaker 4: And so I think basically as all things with Trump, 321 00:17:29,560 --> 00:17:32,480 Speaker 4: you know, anything can be a negotiation at the right price. 322 00:17:33,080 --> 00:17:36,879 Speaker 4: It is consistent that Trump sees like revenue sources potentially 323 00:17:36,880 --> 00:17:39,199 Speaker 4: for the US government in this but of course has 324 00:17:39,240 --> 00:17:41,840 Speaker 4: been criticized by Vice President Mike Pence is former Vice 325 00:17:41,880 --> 00:17:45,240 Speaker 4: president and others, not just Democrats. But this is pushing 326 00:17:45,240 --> 00:17:48,720 Speaker 4: the US government too much into the realm of private business, 327 00:17:49,200 --> 00:17:50,960 Speaker 4: and that we're really sort of headed to like a 328 00:17:50,960 --> 00:17:54,240 Speaker 4: state run model in certain key sectors now more than 329 00:17:54,280 --> 00:17:56,480 Speaker 4: that it has been palatable for Republicans in the past. 330 00:18:00,720 --> 00:18:03,440 Speaker 2: This is The Big Take Asia from Bloomberg News. I'm 331 00:18:03,480 --> 00:18:06,800 Speaker 2: wanh to get more from The Big Take and unlimited 332 00:18:06,840 --> 00:18:09,719 Speaker 2: access to all of Bloomberg dot Com. Subscribe today at 333 00:18:09,720 --> 00:18:13,680 Speaker 2: Bloomberg dot com slash podcast offer. If you liked the episode, 334 00:18:13,800 --> 00:18:16,200 Speaker 2: make sure to subscribe and review The Big Take Asia 335 00:18:16,320 --> 00:18:19,200 Speaker 2: wherever you listen to podcasts. It really helps people find 336 00:18:19,200 --> 00:18:21,560 Speaker 2: the show. Thanks for listening, See you next time.