Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of iHeartRadio. Time
Speaker 1: now for Fantasy Football Weekly from iHeartRadio, your weekly source
Speaker 1: for the nation's best fantasy speculation and advice. Now along
Speaker 1: with the guys.
Speaker 2: From Guillotine Leagues dot Com. Here's your host, Paul Jargia.
Speaker 1: Welcome to Semi Finals Week. It's Fantasy Football Weekly. I'm
Speaker 1: Paul Charchi and co host today are Scott Fish and
Speaker 1: Matt Harrison.
Speaker 3: Hey guys, Hey charch how are you doing? How is
Speaker 3: how is house arrest going for you? And is the
Speaker 3: ankle bracelet itchy?
Speaker 2: Well?
Speaker 1: Yes, I am at home, which is part of my
Speaker 1: three step process of finding ways to make my radio
Speaker 1: show podcast audio quality sound like hot garbage in three
Speaker 1: different weeks. So I had to do it with the
Speaker 1: flu once and that sounded bad. And I had to
Speaker 1: do it in Vegas from an echoee hotel room was
Speaker 1: shaky Wi Fi and that's sounded bad. And now now
Speaker 1: I'm at home with COVID where we have both the
Speaker 1: you know, the remote internet connection and my voice is
Speaker 1: shot because I got COVID. So this is like for
Speaker 1: the hardcore of our hardcore listeners, very very grateful. Then
Speaker 1: on top of everything else, the house arrest because of
Speaker 1: the whole ty Chandler pantsiless incident going down last Saturday.
Speaker 1: I can't help it if ty Chandler just put together
Speaker 1: the best running back season that Alexander Madison has ever seen,
Speaker 1: and so of course I was pantiless.
Speaker 3: Have you put pants on yet? That's the real question,
Speaker 3: not even right now.
Speaker 4: Oh you don't have to. I guess I'm.
Speaker 5: Glad you said all that because those other shows that
Speaker 5: you were at home were my shows, and I just
Speaker 5: figured you were dodging me for something.
Speaker 1: Well that's not mutually exclusive, got you coming up on
Speaker 1: the show. We've got three tough questions. Of course, we
Speaker 1: still take a chance an players you're in a pinch
Speaker 1: at some position, we're still here to help. And then,
Speaker 1: of course we've got all the matchups, and we got
Speaker 1: the full slight of matchups going all the way into
Speaker 1: Smiths Day, finalizing with that big one on Monday night
Speaker 1: that could be a Super Bowl preview. We'll get to
Speaker 1: all of those, beginning with Scott Fish Indianapolis taking out Atlanta.
Speaker 1: Here's Indianapolis not getting enough national attention for being in
Speaker 1: the playoff hunt. And here we are late December. Very
Speaker 1: impressive run for them against the Falcons. Let's start with
Speaker 1: Jonathan Taylor expected to return. Zach Moss not gonna go
Speaker 1: in this one.
Speaker 5: Yes, by the way, on that indie team that Shane
Speaker 5: Stike and he can coach, man, he can coach. I
Speaker 5: think they got a good one there. Yeah, at least
Speaker 5: now I do. Jonathan Taylor, Yeah, full participate in practice
Speaker 5: Thursday and Friday is good to go. Moss missed some practice,
Speaker 5: Zach Moss missed some practices. He says he's gonna play
Speaker 5: through his injury, through his arm injury that he sustained
Speaker 5: last week. But I feel like it's gonna be mostly
Speaker 5: Jonathan Taylor in this one, and it's gonna go, especially
Speaker 5: if Moss doesn't doesn't suit up. It's gonna be mostly
Speaker 5: back to the Taylor show of old, where he's getting
Speaker 5: fifteen plus touches, he's catch the ball. This Falcons team, though,
Speaker 5: it's their second best against runners, allowing just three point
Speaker 5: seven three yards per carry, so not much there no
Speaker 5: rushing touchdowns on the year, which feels so fluky to
Speaker 5: me that I'm giving Jonathan Taylor a B grade with
Speaker 5: that fifteen plus touches and I think he scores a touchdown.
Speaker 5: I'm gonna call it. This is the first touchdown against
Speaker 5: first rushing touchdown against the Falcons. In this one, Rashad
Speaker 5: Way Tuba Hubbard, they both went over one hundred total
Speaker 5: yards and back to back games they get tagged by volume.
Speaker 5: I think Taylor's gonna be fine here, B grade over
Speaker 5: to the passing game. I have a C grade on
Speaker 5: Gardner Minshew the second. It's the ninth best matchup for quarterbacks.
Speaker 5: Minshew's been a top twelve quarterback in two the last
Speaker 5: three games. Atlanta has been tough recently, but that like
Speaker 5: that's against Bryce Young and Tim Boyle and players like that.
Speaker 4: Those are real players, are they?
Speaker 5: They are there are But before that they'd given up
Speaker 5: three hundred plus yards and or multiple scores in four straight.
Speaker 5: I got a C grade on Minshew. Here, Michael Pittman's
Speaker 5: gonna play. He's full practices and to end the week
Speaker 5: he cleared concussion protocol. It's it's a good note for
Speaker 5: the listeners. Sometimes a huge hit can be, you know,
Speaker 5: a concussion you can get over, and sometimes a light
Speaker 5: hit is one that takes quite a while. Trust me,
Speaker 5: as a guy who's had a lot of concussions. I've
Speaker 5: from what Yeah, I've had plenty of concussion, concussions and
Speaker 5: concussions obviously.
Speaker 2: Yeah.
Speaker 1: No, I've been coying Madden.
Speaker 5: I know I've been. I've I've been knocked completely out,
Speaker 5: and I've had other ones that were just like barely anything.
Speaker 5: So you can get them of all varieties. But Michael Pittman,
Speaker 5: since he's going double digit targets in all but three games,
Speaker 5: including four straight before leaving last week. Even last week
Speaker 5: he had five targets on just twenty one snaps. I
Speaker 5: got an A grade here. It's not the best spot,
Speaker 5: but he just gets such incredible volume. Josh Downs. I'm
Speaker 5: also giving a C grade too. It's it is really
Speaker 5: really tough to trust. So I am okay with you
Speaker 5: mentioned him, but it's just the Falcons are one of
Speaker 5: the worst teams against the slot Josh Downs. When he's
Speaker 5: had good slot matchups this year has shown up. Those
Speaker 5: are where his good games come come up, and this
Speaker 5: is one of them, shut up multiple times in those.
Speaker 5: So I would give it more if Piman was out,
Speaker 5: but it's just a secret. On Downs. On the other side,
Speaker 5: I'm having trouble starting almost anyone for Atlanta. With Heinike
Speaker 5: in there, we saw one Heinike full game and then
Speaker 5: a couple of Partia partials. Those weren't spectacular at all.
Speaker 5: It's the middle of the pack matchup. But I have
Speaker 5: him and the almost the entire passing game on the bench. No,
Speaker 5: the entire passing game. I got Drake Lennon on the bench.
Speaker 5: He's been pretty hit and miss, but his hits are
Speaker 5: against you know. His misses, excuse me, are against you know,
Speaker 5: good pasties that are bad against the run, and that's
Speaker 5: what the Colts are. They're gonna Arthur Smith likes to
Speaker 5: run more. I don't know how much Drake London is
Speaker 5: actually gonna get in this one. I'm not confident he'll
Speaker 5: get enough targets. And in the two partial Heinike games
Speaker 5: he got one target from heinikkey one and two in
Speaker 5: the other. And in the full game he barely got
Speaker 5: that much. Excuse me, in the full game he didn't play.
Speaker 5: That was the one game he didn't play. So I
Speaker 5: don't know. We don't have a good track record of
Speaker 5: him with Heineke. Kyle Pitts and Johnners Smith are going
Speaker 5: to monopolize themselves to the bench. The Colts have allowed
Speaker 5: the tenth most tight nind yards, which is great, but
Speaker 5: only two touchdowns and tight ends that get under six
Speaker 5: targets don't do very They do very little against the Colts,
Speaker 5: and I'm not sure that either of them will get
Speaker 5: enough to be viable there in the run game. Bjeon
Speaker 5: Robinson Tyler Algier both getting C grades. It's just such
Speaker 5: a good spot for the Colts in this one, or
Speaker 5: against the Colts in this one. They're bottom five and
Speaker 5: running back touches yards and touchdowns third easiest spot for
Speaker 5: running backs. Eight running backs have had double digit sea
Speaker 5: level or better days just in the last five games.
Speaker 5: Five running backs over one hundred yards in that span.
Speaker 5: We don't know who it's going to be. It seems
Speaker 5: like he loves Algier, but because he Bejon didn't get
Speaker 5: anything last week, you know Arthur Smith is gonna flip
Speaker 5: it up just to an Is. So I'm giving a
Speaker 5: C grade to both of them.
Speaker 1: Makes sense. It's tough to if you've found your way
Speaker 1: here on Bijon Robinson, it's not a clear path even
Speaker 1: now in the semi finals. Unfortunately.
Speaker 4: No, Yeah, Jon's just that's a rough place.
Speaker 5: To be right now, Yeah, I could.
Speaker 2: It is well.
Speaker 1: Yeah, anything attached to Arthur Smith is a rough place
Speaker 1: to be, right.
Speaker 5: I don't blame anyone.
Speaker 3: Remember Arthur Smith's old team, the Titans. They sure had
Speaker 3: it figured out when he was there.
Speaker 1: Yeah, speaking of the Titans, Seattle taking on the Titans.
Speaker 1: That's a nice segue there. Let's start in the Seattle
Speaker 1: side map. I thought Kenneth Walker played great last week.
Speaker 1: We're starting to see him healthy and dominating like he
Speaker 1: was at the beginning of the year. So if you
Speaker 1: don't mind, let's let's start in Kenneth Walker. What do
Speaker 1: you think of him this week?
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, don't be fooled by the recent snap counts.
Speaker 3: All of the important touches are going to Walker. Despite
Speaker 3: a narrow thirty two to twenty seven lead in snaps
Speaker 3: last week, Walker led touches twenty two to four over
Speaker 3: Zach Sharbonay, and he missed weeks twelve and thirteen with
Speaker 3: an injury. He wasn't quite right in week fourteen, but
Speaker 3: he was totally fine last week, and he is the
Speaker 3: expected bell cow once again. If Walker gets twenty touches
Speaker 3: again this week, I think you could expect a similar
Speaker 3: output to what Devin Singletary did against the Titans just
Speaker 3: last week, which was one hundred and seventy total yards
Speaker 3: on thirty touches.
Speaker 4: That's huge.
Speaker 3: So I'm going to give Walker an A grade. Sharbone
Speaker 3: on the bench and is only a handcuff at this point.
Speaker 3: I don't think that you can trust him really on
Speaker 3: your bench if you're in a Fantasy semi final either
Speaker 3: you could drop him.
Speaker 5: With sharbon Ay and Walker, that defense is missing like
Speaker 5: six starters going into this game.
Speaker 2: Yeah.
Speaker 3: Absolutely, Let's talk talk about some of those missing starters
Speaker 3: when I talk about the wide receivers here. The Titans
Speaker 3: already bad secondaries in shambles right now. Christian Fulton on
Speaker 3: I are Sean Murphy Bunting looks like he might miss
Speaker 3: this game due to a hip injury, and this leaves
Speaker 3: Trey Avery in a starting position. He's allowed a passer
Speaker 3: rating of one for one in his coverage this year,
Speaker 3: and he lines up primarily on the right, and that's
Speaker 3: where DK Metcalf goes more than half of the time.
Speaker 3: So DK gets an easy A grade here. Tyler Lockett
Speaker 3: gets a B and is an intriguing boom er bust player.
Speaker 3: This week against either the injured Sean Murphy Bunting or
Speaker 3: backup Eric Gerrer. Roger McCreery's their only real good corner.
Speaker 3: He usually mans the slot where Jackson Smith and Jigbo
Speaker 3: runs from. So I'm gonna leave JSN on the bench
Speaker 3: for this one. And their past thrower Geno Smith full
Speaker 3: participant in practice all week and he's expected to start.
Speaker 3: The Titans are a super weird opponent though They've held
Speaker 3: eight different quarterbacks under two hundred fifty yards this year
Speaker 3: and only allowed five multi score games. But they've faced
Speaker 3: exactly one top twelve quarterback in the last eight weeks.
Speaker 4: That was Tua that kind of held him in check.
Speaker 3: So roll that all together with Gino's injuries and the
Speaker 3: fact that if he's banged up at all, they could
Speaker 3: just opt for Drew Locke to come in and relief,
Speaker 3: and he looked good last week. So the highest I
Speaker 3: can muster on Geno Smith is a and I got
Speaker 3: to start him in a league that's a super flex league,
Speaker 3: and I'm vomiting a little bit in my mouth about it.
Speaker 3: Over on the Titan side, there's not a lot to like.
Speaker 3: Will Levis is dealing with an ankle injury and has
Speaker 3: not practiced yet this week, and Mike Vrabel confirmed that
Speaker 3: if Levis is unable to go, it will be Ryan
Speaker 3: Tannehill starting for the Titans, probably in his final game
Speaker 3: for the Titans. The Seahawks pass defense has been in
Speaker 3: a bit of a downturn lately, but here are the
Speaker 3: quarterbacks they've faced in the past few weeks. Jalen Hurts,
Speaker 3: brock Purty, Dak Prescott, brock Purty, Matthew Stafford, Sam Howell,
Speaker 3: Lamar Jackson.
Speaker 4: That causes downturns right there.
Speaker 3: So the four games prior to that murderer's row of chuckers,
Speaker 3: they held four straight quarterbacks to under two hundred and
Speaker 3: fifty yards and only three passing scores in those four weeks.
Speaker 3: They're really They're bad against really good quarterbacks, and neither
Speaker 3: Titans guy is that. So the only Titan in the
Speaker 3: passing game that you could consider starting is DeAndre Hopkins.
Speaker 3: He gets a C grade because he's averaging double digit
Speaker 3: targets and it doesn't matter who the quarterback is. Some
Speaker 3: extra coverage might float his way this weekend, though, as
Speaker 3: Nick Westbrook a Keene just hit ir with a hand injury.
Speaker 3: Traylon Burks or Kyle Phillips neither practiced it yet this
Speaker 3: week their game time decisions. They might play, but it
Speaker 3: could be Hopkins as the only wide receiver and they
Speaker 3: could easily double cover him. And as for the run game,
Speaker 3: I've been struggling whether I start Derrick Henry in a
Speaker 3: playoff matchup this week on my own. He pretty much
Speaker 3: laid an egg last week, and if you're still alive
Speaker 3: despite that, He's got a very juicy matchup this week
Speaker 3: against the Seahawks defense. Over the last five weeks, Seattle
Speaker 3: has given up the most running back rushing scores in
Speaker 3: the league and have allowed the fourth most rushing yards
Speaker 3: to the position. However, they've allowed the third fewest receiving
Speaker 3: yards to running backs in that time. That's with two
Speaker 3: games against Christian McCaffrey in that span too, So for
Speaker 3: that reason, ty J.
Speaker 4: Spears is on the bench.
Speaker 3: The Titans are eliminated from the playoffs already, and it
Speaker 3: seems like this could be like the very last Derrick
Speaker 3: Henry Bell Coow Day in Tennessee, like the swan song
Speaker 3: of Derrick Henry right here. So I'm gonna give him
Speaker 3: a bee, and I'm gonna start him in my league.
Speaker 1: It's a bold move. A lot of people very hesitant
Speaker 1: after what happened last week, But I do like the matchup,
Speaker 1: as you mentioned, and maybe this is the this is
Speaker 1: the farewell. Who knows We're gonna squeeze in one fast
Speaker 1: one here because it won't take long to get through
Speaker 1: the Commanders versus Jets. On the commander's side, Sam Howell
Speaker 1: and the entire passing games on the bench, Howell coming
Speaker 1: off his worst performance of the year and an ignominius benching.
Speaker 1: We're gonna talk more about him later. Terry McLaurin coming
Speaker 1: off a season high in targets and yards, but those
Speaker 1: are in garbage time with Brissette. Thank you nice.
Speaker 4: That's a sad howl right there.
Speaker 1: It is a sad howl. We need Robbie off season.
Speaker 1: You gotta get us a better howl. We've cried like
Speaker 1: four howls.
Speaker 5: I'm going up to Alaska to the I will We
Speaker 5: need it Sea.
Speaker 4: Let's talk about that later.
Speaker 1: Obviously, the Jets are an elite secondary and they ranked
Speaker 1: number three in passing yards allowed, number three and passing
Speaker 1: touchdowns allowed. Brutal matchup for both Howell and the rest
Speaker 1: of the passing game. We've got Brian Robinson out this week.
Speaker 1: Chris Rodriguez, as you're expected lead running back. Jets allow
Speaker 1: the ninth most rushing yards, but only three point nine
Speaker 1: yards per carry. Teams can volume their way to ground
Speaker 1: production against the Jets. I don't know that Chris Rodrigue
Speaker 1: exactly a volume guy. Jets have the third best run
Speaker 1: stuff win rate, and so I just I don't love
Speaker 1: it here. I mean total dart throw at best for Rodriguez,
Speaker 1: I'm giving him a bench grade. But if you're in
Speaker 1: a desperation spot somehow in the semi finals, fine. Antonio
Speaker 1: Gibson also on the bench. He never scores, and he's
Speaker 1: even unreliable when Robinson's hurt. And the only only angle
Speaker 1: here is that the Jets. You know, maybe he'll catch something,
Speaker 1: but the Jets have been very good against receiving backs,
Speaker 1: including dominating guys like Bijon Robinson and Devon ah Chane.
Speaker 1: You can catch, so they're all out on the Jets side.
Speaker 1: Know Zach Wilson, Trevor Simeon starts. He has looked brutal
Speaker 1: through five quarters, completing forty seven percent of his passes,
Speaker 1: so that doesn't leave us many options, and it puts
Speaker 1: Garrett Wilson managers into a tough spot here. Obviously, the
Speaker 1: whole passing game goes through him. By the way, get this, guys,
Speaker 1: Wilson ninety more targets than the next closest Jets receiver
Speaker 1: this year.
Speaker 2: Wow.
Speaker 5: Ninety that's a lot.
Speaker 2: Yeah.
Speaker 1: Wow.
Speaker 3: Remember in the preseason that we thought that the Jets
Speaker 3: were just stacked at wide receiver and now they have
Speaker 3: Garrett Wilson and nobody.
Speaker 1: You can barely start against the worst secondary in the
Speaker 1: league by a mile, and that's Washington. Players who get
Speaker 1: seven catches against Washington, which Wilson could even from Simeon,
Speaker 1: They're averaging one hundred and twenty five yards in a
Speaker 1: full touchdown per game. Washington has been smoked for twenty
Speaker 1: two wide receiver touchdowns, second most and this from Scott Fish.
Speaker 1: Washington has allowed ten touchdown receptions of over twenty yards
Speaker 1: just the last eight games, worse than the league. C
Speaker 1: grade on Garrett Wilson is a boomer about option for
Speaker 1: you against the worst secondary in the league. And then lastly,
Speaker 1: Breeze Hall commanders are bottom ten in rushing yards receiving
Speaker 1: yards touchdowns and yards per carry allowed to running backs,
Speaker 1: and they've gotten way worse since they traded away. They're
Speaker 1: arguably their best two players on their defensive line, Montese
Speaker 1: Sweat and Chase Young. Get a load of some of
Speaker 1: these recent running back performances against Washington, Kyron Williams a
Speaker 1: buck fifty five and one, a Chain and Mostard combined
Speaker 1: for one hundred and fifty four and three. Pollard one
Speaker 1: hundred and one, Barkley one hundred and forty and two,
Speaker 1: Kenneth Walker one hundred twenty seven and one, Ramandre Stevenson
Speaker 1: one hundred and thirty and one, Breeze Hall absolute lock
Speaker 1: a grade. When we come back, it is time four
Speaker 1: nine players not normally in your starting lineup segment we
Speaker 1: like to call take a chance on me. We'll give you,
Speaker 1: hopefully in the semi finals. You don't need this kind
Speaker 1: of help.
Speaker 4: You never know.
Speaker 1: Maybe you do. We're here either way. When we come
Speaker 1: back to Fantasy Football Weekly, take a chance on me.
Speaker 1: Nine players not normally in your starting lineup. We begin
Speaker 1: at the quarterback position and Scott Fish.
Speaker 5: Yeah, I am going to go with a guy who
Speaker 5: currently leads the NFL in yards per game and touchdowns
Speaker 5: per game for these who have played at least three games,
Speaker 5: and that would be Joe flat three games Joe Flacco
Speaker 5: averaging three hundred and thirteen yards per game and two
Speaker 5: point three scores per game. Since taking over for the
Speaker 5: Cleveland Browns, they are dropping back to pass over.
Speaker 4: Nine times nine times over.
Speaker 5: Nine times per game, more than they were before. Houston.
Speaker 5: Did you press the button on this?
Speaker 3: I I man, I'm just off. I don't usually hit
Speaker 3: the button, so I had to find it there.
Speaker 5: I should have done that. Ye I knew it was coming.
Speaker 4: You knew it was coming. Queue it up.
Speaker 5: Come on us. Having the button bars is so fun.
Speaker 5: Houston allowed multiple scores in five straight before. Levis only
Speaker 5: got one last week. But Houston, they have allowed the
Speaker 5: seventh most passing yards. Pretty stingy on passing touchdowns. But
Speaker 5: I think it's a good game here for a Flaco.
Speaker 1: All right, man, you'll take a chance with me quarterback.
Speaker 3: I've got Jake Browning who's thrown four over two hundred
Speaker 3: and seventy five yards and three straight and had a
Speaker 3: pair of touchdown passes in each of the last two weeks.
Speaker 3: The last time he didn't throw for two hundred and
Speaker 3: seventy five or more yards was against the Steelers, who
Speaker 3: he plays this week. The Steelers have had a pretty
Speaker 3: decent pass defense all year, but that's changed in the
Speaker 3: past two weeks, where they've allowed three touchdowns apiece to
Speaker 3: Bailey Zappi and Gardner Minshew. And all of a sudden,
Speaker 3: all of the Steelers' safeties are out. Minka Fitzpatrick out
Speaker 3: with a knee injury, Demante Kyz was just suspended for
Speaker 3: the rest of the season for targeting. Kean O'Neil's been
Speaker 3: out since Week eleven. Fourth stringer Trenton Thompson out with
Speaker 3: a neck injury. That leaves Elijah Riley and Darius Rush,
Speaker 3: who has have a combined sixty nine snaps on the
Speaker 3: field this season between the two of them to anchor
Speaker 3: the back end of the secondary for the Steelers. They're
Speaker 3: wide open to be picked apart over the top Jake Browning.
Speaker 1: I'm moving Jake Browning up my ranking right now. I
Speaker 1: did not realize that it was quite that severe of
Speaker 1: a situation in the in the secondary for Pittsburgh. Holy cow,
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with Nick Mullins. A high risk play
Speaker 1: for for sure. Mallins looked very inconsistent in his first
Speaker 1: start last week, but maybe that's because he hadn't played
Speaker 1: in two years, but still found his way to a
Speaker 1: seventy nine percent completion rate, three hundred yards and two
Speaker 1: scores even a game where he didn't look that sharp,
Speaker 1: you know, maybe knocks the rust off here and as
Speaker 1: a better showing against a worst secondary Detroit. Pro Football
Speaker 1: Focus grades the Lions at thirty first in coverage and
Speaker 1: for a team that is Aiden Hutchinson. Weird that the
Speaker 1: Lions ranked twenty eighth in pass rush by Pro Football
Speaker 1: Focus and twenty seventh in pass rush win rate. Nick mullins,
Speaker 1: he's got justin Jefferson, will give him a try. Let's
Speaker 1: go to the running back position, Scott, Who's you taking
Speaker 1: chance with me? Runner?
Speaker 2: Yeah?
Speaker 5: I'm going with Ty Johnson, mostly because I love the
Speaker 5: possible game script of Buffalo against the Chargers. Here the
Speaker 5: Chargers fifth worst against running backs, including second worst against
Speaker 5: backs in the pass game, which is a part of
Speaker 5: the game that Ty Johnson excels at. It's just a
Speaker 5: great matchup. In the last two Bills blowouts, ty Johnson
Speaker 5: at about sixty yards in each he caught five balls.
Speaker 5: He scored. This is one of those where they should
Speaker 5: get a lead and be able to run the clock out.
Speaker 5: And those two blowouts, by the way, much better run
Speaker 5: Dyes the Jets and the Cowboys, so he might even
Speaker 5: get more this week.
Speaker 1: All right, Matt, who's your take a chance on me?
Speaker 1: Running back?
Speaker 3: I've got Zeke Elliot because it looks like Rimandre Stevenson
Speaker 3: is going to miss his third straight week with an
Speaker 3: ankle injury. Elliott hasn't really popped off on the ground
Speaker 3: in relief of Stevenson, but he's done really well in
Speaker 3: the receiving game. Over the last two weeks. He's had
Speaker 3: twelve receptions ninety three yards in a score just through
Speaker 3: the air. Denver has been dinged by runners all year,
Speaker 3: but they're bottom seven in every category against running backs,
Speaker 3: whether that's the run or the pass, and they're allowing
Speaker 3: an average of twenty eight touches and one hundred and
Speaker 3: sixty six yards per game to opposing runners. Almost all
Speaker 3: of that would go to Zeke, even if that's restricted
Speaker 3: a little bit. He's looking at one hundred total yards
Speaker 3: in this game, almost guaranteed.
Speaker 1: All right, Yeah, I have Zeke in my top five
Speaker 1: this week, so Yeah, to me, this's an absolute lock.
Speaker 1: I'm going a little bit tougher spot than that. Danta Foreman,
Speaker 1: who I tried last week did not work out, but
Speaker 1: that was against a far tougher Cleveland opponent. This week,
Speaker 1: Foreman gets Arizona, so this should be a easier They
Speaker 1: ranked twenty seventh in run stuff win rate, They rank
Speaker 1: thirty first in rushing yards allowed, They rank thirtieth in
Speaker 1: yards per carried aloud, and since returning from injury, Foreman
Speaker 1: has gotten one hundred percent of the rushes from inside
Speaker 1: the five yard line. Five of Arizona's last six opponents
Speaker 1: have scored rushing touchdowns. I think Foreman's up to make
Speaker 1: that six of the last seven. All right, let's go
Speaker 1: to the receivers. We begin with Scott Fish who you got.
Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm gonna switch it up because I had David
Speaker 5: and Djoku, but I feel like he's been good for
Speaker 5: long enough. Then, Yeah, he's in my top five tight ends.
Speaker 5: This week. We can't do that, so I'm going to
Speaker 5: don Tavion Wicks leads the team in yards per route
Speaker 5: run has has had three very startable or B level games.
Speaker 5: With Watson out, Christian Watson and Jayden Reed looking like
Speaker 5: they will both be out for this game, which lead
Speaker 5: should lead to a bunch more opportunities here. Wicks will
Speaker 5: get the best matchup of the receiving core there in j. C.
Speaker 5: Horn allowing a one to sixteen passer rating against and
Speaker 5: this week Matt Lafleur and Pressers spoke really glowingly about Wicks,
Speaker 5: even saying he sees glimpses of DeVante Adams in him
Speaker 5: and saying the sky's the limit.
Speaker 1: Wow, geez, well that's not it's a lot to live
Speaker 1: up to. I don't know. You want to put that
Speaker 1: on a kid? Yeah, all right, no, dy, who's your Yeah? Yeah,
Speaker 1: go ahead, Matt, you're your receiver this week.
Speaker 3: You probably don't need a deep dart throw at tight
Speaker 3: end if you're in a Fantasy semi final. But I
Speaker 3: really like Tanner Hudson of the Bengals this week against
Speaker 3: the Steelers. Since Week nine, Hudson averaging four target or
Speaker 3: four catches per game, and nothing has really dropped off
Speaker 3: since Joe Burrow went down. I mentioned with Jake Browning
Speaker 3: that the Steelers' top four safeties are out, but another
Speaker 3: interesting fact is that Pittsburgh has allowed a tight end
Speaker 3: touchdown in four straight weeks after only allowing one in
Speaker 3: the first ten games of the season. So if four catches,
Speaker 3: forty five yards and a touchdown will help you, I
Speaker 3: think that's about what we're looking at for Tanner Hudson
Speaker 3: this week.
Speaker 1: That would help me. I think that would help most people. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I am also going tight end. Pat Fryarmouth, got to
Speaker 1: pick your spots here, but this is the spot because
Speaker 1: Cincinnati allows the most tight end yards by a mile,
Speaker 1: seventy two per game and worse lately, allowing eighty two
Speaker 1: yards to tight ends over the past five weeks, a
Speaker 1: span that includes a mammoth game from Pat Fryarmouth. We
Speaker 1: put up eleven targets, nine catches, and one hundred and
Speaker 1: twenty yards in Week twelve. Now, it's been a while
Speaker 1: since we've seen Mason Rudolph start a game. Two years
Speaker 1: ago it was Friar Mooth's rookie year, and in that
Speaker 1: game again, the last Mason Rudolph start, Pat Fryarmuth was
Speaker 1: targeted nine times.
Speaker 5: Oo nine times.
Speaker 1: I've tried to draw that out.
Speaker 5: Oh yeah, it worked.
Speaker 4: You should have like whispered n times before.
Speaker 1: Yeah, there we go, Scott. If you like Ty Johnson.
Speaker 1: Something tells me that James Cook is a lock here
Speaker 1: in this game against the Chargers.
Speaker 5: Yeah, I got James Cook is a lock here. He's
Speaker 5: he's been RB three since week ten. Since since Joe
Speaker 5: Brady took over. He's averaging twenty four point one PPR
Speaker 5: points per game. His target share has doubled since Brady.
Speaker 5: He's running the same amount of routes, but he's getting
Speaker 5: double the targets. Not just that his red zone snaps
Speaker 5: have also doubled. Maybe Brady watched the film and he's like, wait,
Speaker 5: Latavius Murray's just not working. Why do we not have
Speaker 5: Cook in here? Head over one hundred total yards in
Speaker 5: five straight Chargers as I mentioned before, really bad against
Speaker 5: backs and the Ti Johnson things. So I have an
Speaker 5: A grade, I could go double a rdvarc, I could
Speaker 5: go fonsie whatever. I got an A grade there. Over
Speaker 5: to the passing game.
Speaker 1: Here's here's the thing. You the button bars right in
Speaker 1: front of you, so you can do any of those.
Speaker 5: Yeah you know, I can drop that or I don't
Speaker 5: know where they all are. There's one there. We go,
Speaker 5: our wonderful Ardvark. Over to the passing game. Josh An,
Speaker 5: I'm giving the A grade too as well. It's the
Speaker 5: eighth easiest matchup for quarterbacks against the d that just
Speaker 5: gave up sixty three points and four touchdowns to eight.
Speaker 5: And O'Connell. Granted, it'll be a different defensive play caller
Speaker 5: this week with Brandon Staley fired and on, and the
Speaker 5: data shows when a coach gets fired, the team plays
Speaker 5: better the next week. It's just what happens. So maybe
Speaker 5: it's a little tougher. But Allen has multiple scores in
Speaker 5: fourteen straight. Stefan Diggs, Oh man, it's it's been rough.
Speaker 5: It's been rough lately. But I'm going with him. I
Speaker 5: think this is a get right game. I'm giving him
Speaker 5: a B grade. You could talk me in new An A,
Speaker 5: but I'm going with a B just because it's so risky.
Speaker 5: Nearly nine targets per game under Brady. That's probably deserves
Speaker 5: it nine times. But his catch totals four, six, four four,
Speaker 5: his yardage totals twenty seven, seventy four, twenty four forty eight.
Speaker 5: He's and no scores. He's just not getting he's just
Speaker 5: not getting getting it done.
Speaker 2: There.
Speaker 5: Oh, actually one score, the six catch, seventy four yard
Speaker 5: and a score game against the Eagles is the one
Speaker 5: that's more comparable to this defense than the Chargers a
Speaker 5: poor pass defense. So I like him here. He's got
Speaker 5: He's matching up against Michael Davis too, which who allows
Speaker 5: one hundred and sixteen point one passer ray against Just
Speaker 5: a good spot for him, so B grade. As for
Speaker 5: Gabe Davis, Khalil Shakir, Dalton Kinkaid, and Dawson Knox, this
Speaker 5: is really frustrating. But since Dawson Knox came back, now
Speaker 5: Kinkaid has two catches for twenty one yards in the
Speaker 5: two games with Knox returning. Knox's Knox is not worthy
Speaker 5: worthy of it, and Kinkaid's going to come into this
Speaker 5: questionable as well. Also, he managed to Joe Brady coming
Speaker 5: over be coming oc. Gabe Davis has a goose egg
Speaker 5: in three of the four and once Shaquille once Dawston
Speaker 5: Knox came in, Shakir's numbers just completely dropped off and
Speaker 5: he has one catch for twelve yards since Knox came back.
Speaker 5: So Dawston Knox basically took four players out with it
Speaker 5: just coming back, so they're all on the bench over
Speaker 5: on the other side, the Chargers are going to be
Speaker 5: without Keenan Allen, which makes me really hesitant to start
Speaker 5: a lot of players in that past game or start
Speaker 5: Eastern Stick. H Get this stat about the Chargers. The
Speaker 5: last time they converted a third down was week thirteen.
Speaker 5: What That's what seemed to me.
Speaker 1: That is insane. Even all that garbage time stuff.
Speaker 4: They haven't converted a third battle.
Speaker 5: That's three weeks ago or two and a half weeks ago,
Speaker 5: whatever it is.
Speaker 1: They didn't have a buy in there, did they.
Speaker 5: They only have to check Mahomes is the only quarterback
Speaker 5: with over two hundred yards in the last five weeks
Speaker 5: against this Buffalo. You got you got stick on the.
Speaker 1: Bench anyway, nobody, Josh, you don't even need to expand it.
Speaker 5: Josh Palmer, I got a B grade on He can
Speaker 5: find mismatches, he plays left right hand slot about a
Speaker 5: third each he's he can easily avoid Rosweld Douglas uh
Speaker 5: so I and he got forty percent of the air
Speaker 5: yards with Eastern Stick last week. I got to be
Speaker 5: on him. The target's got to go somewhere. I do
Speaker 5: have Quentin Johnson on the bench. The first Stick game
Speaker 5: good was good. The second one not so good, and
Speaker 5: he's gonna get Razuill Douglas, who get this, is allowing
Speaker 5: a twenty five point two passer rating against since coming
Speaker 5: to Buffalo's That's absurd. Just ten completions.
Speaker 1: They worked the Packers on that grade.
Speaker 5: Ten completions in ten completions in six games. Allowed two
Speaker 5: picks in a Folmer recovery. Just unreal. Gerald Evertt, I
Speaker 5: got a C grade on two Eastern Stick games. Eight
Speaker 5: targets in each, five catches in each. The yardage isn't
Speaker 5: quite there, but with Keenan out, he's probably gonna get
Speaker 5: a little bit more volume. It could be a volume seed.
Speaker 5: But I got a B grade. Ferguson and Kelsey the
Speaker 5: last couple weeks have done well against this team. Austin Eckler,
Speaker 5: I got a C grade, but I don't blame you
Speaker 5: for benchingin nowadays. Prop Stackler, by the way, for coming
Speaker 5: in late in that blowout and getting a first down
Speaker 5: and celebrating it. You know, it's the little victories. You
Speaker 5: gotta celebrate the little victories. Bills are middle of the
Speaker 5: but in the second half of the season, you basically
Speaker 5: he's basically been a twenty touch guy. He could get
Speaker 5: to a B level game and if they don't decide
Speaker 5: to split it later on in the game. But I'll
Speaker 5: just give him a C.
Speaker 1: All right, Matt, we need to move quickly through Cincinnati Pittsburgh. Fortunately,
Speaker 1: you know our take a chance on me is were
Speaker 1: replete with Bengals and Steelers. So let's start on the
Speaker 1: Cincinnati side, and let's start with the running game. What
Speaker 1: do you think of Joe Mixon here?
Speaker 3: Yeah, he's still getting most of the running back touches,
Speaker 3: but Chase Brown starting to eat into that workload just
Speaker 3: a little bit. Brown's seen an average of eight carries
Speaker 3: over the last three weeks, compared to about seventeen per
Speaker 3: week for Mixing. Mixing was absolutely stuffed by the Steelers
Speaker 3: in Week twelve on the eight carries for sixteen yards,
Speaker 3: although he did add forty four receiving yards in that game.
Speaker 3: The Steelers d did allow two hundred total rushing yards
Speaker 3: to the Colts backs last week, which was mostly Tyler
Speaker 3: Goodson and Trey Sermon. So with a bit of a
Speaker 3: downturn and touches for Mixon, I'm downgrading him to a B.
Speaker 3: But he's still pretty reliable here as far as the
Speaker 3: receivers and the passing game. Jake Browning was might take
Speaker 3: a chance on me quarterback, and Tanner Hudson might take
Speaker 3: a chance on me receiver. Jamar Chase is going to
Speaker 3: be out this week. That means t Higgins becomes the
Speaker 3: focal point for Jake Browning yet again, just like he
Speaker 3: was last week. Higgins had two second half touchdowns and
Speaker 3: eight targets against Minnesota and his a dot in that
Speaker 3: game was twenty three point three. And we just mentioned
Speaker 3: all of the safeties are out for the Steelers, Higgins
Speaker 3: should be able to go pretty deep, especially with Levi Wallace,
Speaker 3: the corner who's he's going to match up most often with.
Speaker 3: He's tied for fifth in the league with six touchdowns
Speaker 3: allowed in its coverage this year. So for all of
Speaker 3: you who've been disappointed in te Higgins all season, he
Speaker 3: gives you an a grade right here. Tyler Boyd saw
Speaker 3: a little bit of an uptick and work when Chase
Speaker 3: went out, so he gets to see he'll primarily face
Speaker 3: Chandon Sullivan from the slot and Chandy Land doesn't usually
Speaker 3: see a ton of targets, but seventy percent of them
Speaker 3: are completed in his coverage over on the Steelers side
Speaker 3: Jason Rudolph week, but he's not a guy that you'd
Speaker 3: start in your fantasy semi final, but it's worth looking
Speaker 3: at some of his past history with receivers. The last
Speaker 3: two times Rudolph has started a game was Week ten
Speaker 3: of twenty twenty one and Week seventeen of twenty twenty.
Speaker 3: In those Mason Rudolph games, Deontay Johnson averaged eight and
Speaker 3: a half targets five catches in eighty nine yards. And
Speaker 3: Johnson has averaged six and a half targets per game
Speaker 3: over the last month and a robust ninety three air
Speaker 3: yards per game. So I've got a B grade on Johnson. Pickens,
Speaker 3: I'm a little leer on here. He hasn't scored our
Speaker 3: top one hundred yards in seven games and was held
Speaker 3: to just three catches in fifty eight yards in the
Speaker 3: week twelve meetings. So just to see on Pickens and
Speaker 3: Rudolph targeted slot guys Juju Smith, Schuster and Chase Claypool
Speaker 3: a ton in the twenty twenty games.
Speaker 4: Two.
Speaker 3: Alan Robinson usually runs from the slot, but he's not
Speaker 3: on the field very much, so I think this is
Speaker 3: Pat Fryarmuth running from the slot and charge alluded to it.
Speaker 3: He was his take a chance on me tight end.
Speaker 3: I got an A grade on Friarmuth. As for Naji
Speaker 3: Harris and Jalen Warren, this is still a horrifically gross
Speaker 3: complete split backfield. Over the last five games, the snap
Speaker 3: count is almost equal. They're both getting about fourteen touches
Speaker 3: per game. They're both getting about the same amount of
Speaker 3: touches inside the five. Naji had fifteen carries for ninety
Speaker 3: nine yards in a score in the week twelve meeting,
Speaker 3: and Warren had sixteen touches and sixty two yards that game.
Speaker 3: You normally, if you normally start them, you can start
Speaker 3: them with a seed, but it's not a particularly good
Speaker 3: or bad matchup. I'd feel gross starting either in a
Speaker 3: Fantasy playoff game.
Speaker 4: So just sees.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm with you on that. It's a it's a
Speaker 1: tough spot for sure, and as we as we had
Speaker 1: to break. I don't know if you guys saw the
Speaker 1: blocking effort put forward.
Speaker 4: By George Pickens. Oh, George Pickens, Yet he.
Speaker 1: Doesn't want to git well, oh no, yeah, I got it. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I wouldn't want to run block. Yeah, you know, that's
Speaker 1: part of the job user, Come on, that stuff does
Speaker 1: not sit well with your teams wide receiver man, what
Speaker 1: is it? Holy cow? I don't know when he come back.
Speaker 1: What we do know is Lions and Vikings gonna match up.
Speaker 1: We'll talk through that matchup and perhaps another big game
Speaker 1: from Jared Goff find out when we come back. Welcome
Speaker 1: back Fantasy Football Weekly, Paul Jargi and Scott Fish and
Speaker 1: Matt Harrison with you. De Trod and Minnesota will play
Speaker 1: for the first time this year this weekend, and there's
Speaker 1: a lot of players to start here, and a lot
Speaker 1: of reason to feel pretty good about a variety of
Speaker 1: different Vikings and Lions. Let's start on the Lion side.
Speaker 1: I'm on Ross Saint Brown, clocking in with a A grade.
Speaker 1: He's the rare slot receiver who gets reliably used near
Speaker 1: the stripe. He's tied for fifth in red zone targets.
Speaker 1: He accounts for thirty seven percent of the Lion's targets
Speaker 1: in the red zone. The Vikings defend the slot with
Speaker 1: a wide variety of players, but very commonly, defensive coordinator
Speaker 1: Brian Flores uses safety. Josh mctellis, who ranks his Pro
Speaker 1: Football focuses twenty eighth coverage safety, so he's just okay,
Speaker 1: but he gives up an eighty eight percent catch rate
Speaker 1: that is gigantic, So don't see any reason to not
Speaker 1: expect good things from Aman Ross. Saint Brown comes in
Speaker 1: with an A grade, also coming in with strong grades.
Speaker 1: B grade for Sam Laporte here coming off a huge grade.
Speaker 1: This is a trickier matchup though, than what he has
Speaker 1: seen In recent weeks. The Vikings have been grading against
Speaker 1: tight ends behind the play linebacker Ivan Pace Junior, who
Speaker 1: ranks his Pro Football Focus's tenth best coverage linebacker, and
Speaker 1: he's allowed the lowest yards per reception of all linebackers,
Speaker 1: just five yards per reception. Vikings allowing only five receptions
Speaker 1: and forty six yards per game to tight ends. None
Speaker 1: have found the end zone in five weeks, so a
Speaker 1: B grade on Sam Laporte a little down from what
Speaker 1: we're used to seeing the other receivers for the Lions.
Speaker 1: I get the feeling one of them is probably in
Speaker 1: of a good game, especially because Vikings cornerback Byron Murphy's
Speaker 1: has been ruled out of this one. But the problem
Speaker 1: is Josh Reynolds, Khalif Raymond Jamison Williams. They all split
Speaker 1: time almost evenly. Impossible to really know which one might
Speaker 1: benefit here, so I don't know them on the bench.
Speaker 5: How many yards per game does Jameson Williams average against
Speaker 5: the Vikings?
Speaker 1: About fifty eight?
Speaker 5: I think I think it's forty one in a score
Speaker 5: it might be on one catch.
Speaker 1: Yeah, so I've got A grades. I've got B grades here.
Speaker 1: Jared goff feels like a safe play, always better indoors,
Speaker 1: where he scores double of touchdowns from his outdoor games,
Speaker 1: including last week's five score finanza. Vikings defense. Yeah, there
Speaker 1: you go. The Vikings pass defense had been downright stifling
Speaker 1: before they'd yielded to Jake Browning last week, and some
Speaker 1: of that came in overtime too. The Vikings ranked eighth
Speaker 1: in pass coverage by Pro Football Focus. They've surroundered multiple
Speaker 1: passing touchdowns and only two of their last nine games.
Speaker 1: So I wanted to I want to give Jared goffin
Speaker 1: a grade here, but I can't do it because the
Speaker 1: Vikings pass defense has generally been very good. I do
Speaker 1: like Jamiir Gibbs a lot. He's out touched David Montgomery
Speaker 1: six to three in the red zone over the last
Speaker 1: two weeks, which is surprising, including getting the only one
Speaker 1: touch they've given a running back from inside the five
Speaker 1: yard line. That'd be a major shift if they start
Speaker 1: giving Jamir Gibbs goal line carries. Here. He's averaging five
Speaker 1: and a half yards per carry on the season, including
Speaker 1: at least six yards per carrying each of the last
Speaker 1: three games. He's also reliably notching about three receptions per game,
Speaker 1: and the Vikings give up the fifth most receptions per
Speaker 1: game to running back, so jumior Gibbs a safe B grade.
Speaker 1: Montgomery C grade and a difficult matchup for him, particularly
Speaker 1: since he's not going to help through the air. As
Speaker 1: I mentioned, that's where the Vikings are most vulnerable to
Speaker 1: running backs. Minnesota's only given up fifty rushing yards to
Speaker 1: a running back once since Week six, and that includes
Speaker 1: shutting down the likes of Christian McCaffrey, Bjohn Robinson, Alvin Kamara,
Speaker 1: Josh Jacobs, Joe Mixon. In fact, the in fact, only
Speaker 1: DeAndre Swift has surpassed sixty five yards against the Vikings
Speaker 1: all year. I can only get you to a C
Speaker 1: grade on David Montgomery, and that's what the hope for
Speaker 1: a touchdown Viking side. I told you Nick Mallins might
Speaker 1: take a chance on me quarterback. He comes in with
Speaker 1: a C grade. Justin Jefferson A grade. I love that
Speaker 1: you saw ten targets from Nick Mullins last week. That
Speaker 1: was a great That's a great indicator here. Detroit much
Speaker 1: worse against the pass than against the run. They rank
Speaker 1: thirtieth in coverage by Pro Football Focus. Detroit corner Cam
Speaker 1: Sutton shadows bigger, physical opposing number ones like Jefferson, and
Speaker 1: he shut down Denver's Courtland Sutton last week in a
Speaker 1: Sutton versus Sutton matchup. Over the last three games, Sutton
Speaker 1: has allowed only thirty six total receiving yards, So a
Speaker 1: tough matchup for Justin Jefferson and I almost gave him
Speaker 1: a B grade here, but I think on volume, I
Speaker 1: can't get myself to do it, and I'm keeping him
Speaker 1: at an A grade. Jordan Addison with the big game
Speaker 1: last week and with Sutton and on Jefferson, that means
Speaker 1: Addison draws far inferior coverage from Jerry Jacobs. He's allowed
Speaker 1: a league worst seven touchdowns, and Addison's nine scores leads
Speaker 1: all rookie rookie wide receivers, So I like the touchdown here.
Speaker 1: And what's more, Addison is a deep ball threat and
Speaker 1: the Lions give up thirteen yards per reception, which is
Speaker 1: a gigantic number. So I like Addison. B grade on
Speaker 1: him and for TJ. Hockinson while we stay with the
Speaker 1: passing game, A rare B grade for me. Hockinson has
Speaker 1: remained consistent. He's racking up between like fifty and sixty
Speaker 1: three yards in his past four games. That's good, but
Speaker 1: that's not explosive output the Lions haven't allowed. Hey, there
Speaker 1: you go. The Lions haven't allowed more than sixty six
Speaker 1: yards to a tight end all season. They're only averaging
Speaker 1: five receptions on per game. So there's just not a
Speaker 1: lot of upside here for Hawkins, and so I can
Speaker 1: only get you to a B grade. Looks like Alexander
Speaker 1: Madison's going to be active for this game, So where
Speaker 1: does that leave you with Ty Chandler. Kevin O'Connell suggested
Speaker 1: Chandler will start and be the lead back and he
Speaker 1: should be in one NFL start. Last week, Chandler posted
Speaker 1: more rushing yards than any game in Madison's career. Very
Speaker 1: tough matchup, though, Detroit Pro Football Focus's fourth best run defense.
Speaker 1: The Lions have not had an opposing running back top
Speaker 1: sixty seven rushing yards against them. They've given up a
Speaker 1: league low sixty two rushing yards per game, and they're
Speaker 1: giving up the six fewest receptions to the position and
Speaker 1: no receiving touchdowns to running back. So very tough matchup
Speaker 1: for Chandler. I can only get you to a C
Speaker 1: grade there. All right, Scott, let's go over to Green
Speaker 1: Bay taking on Carolina. You already told us that you
Speaker 1: like Wis as a deceiving option. Yeah, Dust, you like
Speaker 1: from the passing game for the Packers.
Speaker 5: Sure, sure, Let's stick with the wide receivers for a
Speaker 5: secon second, because Jaden Reid and Christian Watson are both
Speaker 5: likely out. One is doubtful, one is questionable. But they
Speaker 5: missed practice every day to end the week. I'm playing
Speaker 5: it as if they're out. Jaden Reid is the one
Speaker 5: that might go. He's questionable. If he does go, I
Speaker 5: would give him a C grade, but I expect both
Speaker 5: to be out. I do have Romeo Dobbs on the bench.
Speaker 5: He's consistently a three to five catch guy. Didn't even
Speaker 5: get that much work after Jaden Reid went out last week.
Speaker 5: He's usually getting in your thirty in the thirties for yards.
Speaker 5: He hasn't scored over a month, just two red zone
Speaker 5: targets in last month. I don't think that's where the
Speaker 5: targets go. I think they go to Wis and I
Speaker 5: think they go to Tucker Craft as well. With Luke
Speaker 5: Musgrave gonna miss this one again. Kraft has scored twice
Speaker 5: in the four games without Musgrave, has four plus catches
Speaker 5: in back to back yardage totals of fifty seven and
Speaker 5: sixty four. That's that's very that's very nice for a
Speaker 5: SEA level tight end, maybe even a B level. The
Speaker 5: volume matches what similar targets have been doing against the
Speaker 5: tight ends for similar tight ends have been doing against
Speaker 5: the Panthers. So I have a C grade there with those.
Speaker 5: I have a very hesitant, very very hesitant C grade
Speaker 5: on Jordan Love. He's getting it done, He's finding ways
Speaker 5: to get it done. He's got multiple scores in five
Speaker 5: to the last six five to the last six games.
Speaker 5: This just this is just a really tough Panthers pass defense,
Speaker 5: mostly because teams just run with their running backs on him.
Speaker 5: That that's really what it is. Over the last eight weeks,
Speaker 5: the highest passing yardage day was two hundred and two yards.
Speaker 5: That's that's nothing in the past game, but there's been
Speaker 5: a couple of multiple score games. This is a fun
Speaker 5: note on the Panthers. They've allowed nine rushing yards to
Speaker 5: quarterbacks this year total.
Speaker 1: Wow.
Speaker 5: New England is second. New England is second in that
Speaker 5: court category with one hundred and six. Panthers have allowed
Speaker 5: nine rushing yards. Over to the run game. AJ Dillon's
Speaker 5: questionable with that thomb. Even if he plays, He's we
Speaker 5: mentioned before, he's not getting inside the five stuff. He's
Speaker 5: less efficient. Less pass game works with Jones playing, I
Speaker 5: got him on the bench and I'm giving it an a
Speaker 5: grade to Aaron Jones. Just an awesome matchup against the
Speaker 5: Panthers run game along in the fifth most yards and
Speaker 5: the most touchdowns. Hopefully he gets those snaps back up.
Speaker 5: He got a decent amount of touches last week, ninety
Speaker 5: the touches, but the snaps he he only played about
Speaker 5: half the snaps. Let's let's hope that increases with the
Speaker 5: second week and fully off the injury report over to
Speaker 5: the Carolina side. I don't have any of the past
Speaker 5: game starting at all I know that the Packers have
Speaker 5: allowed back to back NFC Player of the Week awards
Speaker 5: to the quarterbacks. Thanks thanks Brian Johnson for that note.
Speaker 5: Rest in peace.
Speaker 4: Brian's not dead. He just moved.
Speaker 5: No, he moved, and he took like a red Eye flight.
Speaker 5: I just wanted him to rest, to be peacefully rested
Speaker 5: in his new city with the red Eye flight there.
Speaker 5: But yeah, Adam Thielen, in recent weeks, the targets have
Speaker 5: gone down. Early in the year, he was hyper targeted
Speaker 5: and that's what helped him. It's now split multiple ways.
Speaker 5: Jonathan Mingo is a low volume two to five catch
Speaker 5: wide receiver with When you're sharing less than two hundred
Speaker 5: yards every game from Bryce Young and it's between three
Speaker 5: or four options, you're just not getting it done. So
Speaker 5: bench the whole passing game. And I have a B
Speaker 5: grade on Chewba Hubbard. Here's the last month of touches
Speaker 5: for Cuba nineteen twenty five twenty four with yardage totals
Speaker 5: ninety to one hundred and five yards. Grim Bay is
Speaker 5: allowing the fourth most rushing yards and eighth most running
Speaker 5: backs scores. But Cuba needs a lot of touches to
Speaker 5: do less than four yards per touch, so he's not
Speaker 5: very efficient with it. So just a B grade on
Speaker 5: Chewba Hubbard.
Speaker 1: When we come back, Three Tough Questions, a forward looking
Speaker 1: time machine style edition of Three Tough Questions. When we
Speaker 1: come back to Fantasy Football Weekly, our number two. Welcome
Speaker 1: back our number two Fantasy Football Weekly. Paul Charchi and
Speaker 1: Scott Fish, Matt Harrison with you. This is a game
Speaker 1: we like to play called three Tough Questions, and we
Speaker 1: begin with.
Speaker 2: This tough question number one.
Speaker 1: Let's fast forward to week one of next year. Is
Speaker 1: Chase Brown the lead back in Cincinnati. We begin with
Speaker 1: Scott Fish.
Speaker 5: Let me let me turn on my mic here once.
Speaker 1: The classic Scott Fish right there.
Speaker 5: Classic classic. They have a potential out with Mixing after
Speaker 5: this year, but it's also not super super costly to
Speaker 5: keep him and the cap hit plus what they would
Speaker 5: pay him is you know what they would have to
Speaker 5: pay a replacement like a pickup a picked up free
Speaker 5: agent would probably cost more than just keeping Mixing. So
Speaker 5: the question is closer to do they continue to run
Speaker 5: Mixing down and split the role or do we think
Speaker 5: Chase beats him out right? Or is it an Alexander
Speaker 5: Madison Tdy Chandler situation where the more talented back is
Speaker 5: shelved longer than it should be despite all of us
Speaker 5: seeing that Chase is clearly the better player. Not exactly
Speaker 5: sure what happens happens by week one. I think with
Speaker 5: most NFL teams, you usually see them just stick with
Speaker 5: the old hat until he's until the new one can overtake.
Speaker 5: But you know what I texted you last week, I
Speaker 5: thought Chase could beat the start, be the starter next year.
Speaker 5: I'm just gonna go with bold with it and say, sure, yeah,
Speaker 5: why not?
Speaker 1: All right, Matt? Fast forward to Week one of next year?
Speaker 1: Is Chase Brown the lead back in Cincinnati?
Speaker 4: Uh?
Speaker 3: Do we believe that the Bengals, a team that's win
Speaker 3: window is now, is gonna stand pat and do nothing
Speaker 3: at the running back position? I simply don't. They'll sign
Speaker 3: someone or draft someone. It could be a split backfield
Speaker 3: in Cincy. But here's the list of free agent running
Speaker 3: backs coming up this year. Joe Mixon, Derrick Henry, Austin Eckler,
Speaker 3: Josh Jacobs, Saquon Barkley, Tony Pollard, DeAndre Swift and those.
Speaker 4: Are just the highlights.
Speaker 3: You'd think that those seven guys are likely to be
Speaker 3: on an NFL roster starting somewhere. Plus, there's a decent
Speaker 3: crop of rookie runners highlighted by Jonathan Brooks, Trey Benson,
Speaker 3: Blake Klorum, Traveon Henderson, probably another three or four guys
Speaker 3: that we're going to start to like next spring. I
Speaker 3: just think that the Bengals are going to have another
Speaker 3: running back there, and if it's not Mixon, I think
Speaker 3: that they'll have somebody that they've spent a lot of
Speaker 3: assets on.
Speaker 1: You know, if I ran the Bengals, I would draft
Speaker 1: a high profile, really good running back too, But they haven't.
Speaker 1: They've not shown a predilection to do that since Joe Mixon. Interesting,
Speaker 1: hadn't really thought about that angle. You know, I was
Speaker 1: looking at a seven year veteran in mixing with high
Speaker 1: mileage who's going to turn twenty eight and has averaged
Speaker 1: three point nine yards per carrying back to back years.
Speaker 1: You cut that guy, right, I mean, you know you
Speaker 1: can find three point nine yard per carry guys washing
Speaker 1: dishes at Applebee's right now. So why keep Joe Mixon here?
Speaker 1: He's out Chase Brown looks good. I mean the eye
Speaker 1: test says he's pretty good and maybe better than a
Speaker 1: lot of those older veterans that you've just described. You know,
Speaker 1: Matt I. You know, those are all big name players
Speaker 1: who have been very important to their offenses for a
Speaker 1: long time. But they're all, like, all of those guys
Speaker 1: really struggling right now. I don't know that Cincinnati makes
Speaker 1: a move for any of those guys. Maybe in the draft. Yes,
Speaker 1: I was tempted to make a last minute switch to
Speaker 1: go to your side to this match, just in the
Speaker 1: prospect that they draft they put real draft equity here
Speaker 1: into the running back position. But I'm not going to
Speaker 1: bank on it. I'm gonna trust my eyes. Chase Brown
Speaker 1: looks like a good player, averaging four and a half
Speaker 1: yards per carry, all the explosiveness, the big plays. You're
Speaker 1: gonna go with, Yes.
Speaker 2: Tough question number two.
Speaker 1: By the way, since you've got the time machine, I'll
Speaker 1: set and ready to go. Let's hear from the time machine.
Speaker 2: Hm. There it is.
Speaker 1: So we fast forward to week one of next year,
Speaker 1: just like we did with Chase Brown, Let's stay with
Speaker 1: the same team. Potentially, is Jake Browning a starter for
Speaker 1: any NFL team next season? For this one we begin
Speaker 1: with Matt.
Speaker 3: My answer is no, Caleb Williams, Drake may Jaden Daniels,
Speaker 3: Michael Pennox, Bow Nicks, Quinn Ewers, JJ McCarthy. That's seven
Speaker 3: rookies who could be drafted and just be launched into
Speaker 3: a starting job, plus the potential openings or landing spots.
Speaker 3: They're not as many as you think. There's a lot
Speaker 3: of injured quarterbacks this year. But the open spots are Atlanta, Vegas, Minnesota,
Speaker 3: if they don't re sign Cousins, New England, Tampa, Tennessee,
Speaker 3: maybe Washington. That's only seven teams, and Kirk Cousins in
Speaker 3: Baker Mayfield are top free agents. I think Jake Browning
Speaker 3: signs a nice backup contract somewhere.
Speaker 1: All right, let's go over to Scott. Fast forward a
Speaker 1: week one of next year. Is Jake Browning starting for
Speaker 1: an NFL team?
Speaker 2: Yeah?
Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm in lockstep with Matt on this one. I've
Speaker 5: almost immediately said no. I feel like the only place
Speaker 5: Jake Browning gets a starting job is with one of
Speaker 5: those teams that drafts one of those and he fights
Speaker 5: him and battles it out and beats him.
Speaker 4: In camp and holds the job for six weeks quarterback.
Speaker 5: Won for like the early part of the season, and
Speaker 5: that's how he is the starter through week one. Otherwise
Speaker 5: he strikes me more as more like Keenum or Dobbs,
Speaker 5: you know, mostly just ex vikids where they show up
Speaker 5: up for a portion of a season and then they
Speaker 5: get it back up, they get a backup ro all
Speaker 5: somewhere in the next season. That's it's x Viking thing apparently,
Speaker 5: But no.
Speaker 1: Jake Browning has played his way into the conversation as
Speaker 1: applausible starter for sure. Since becoming the starter, he leads
Speaker 1: the NFL INN adjusted completion percentage and this, and it's
Speaker 1: not thinking dunk stuff. He has the second longest yards
Speaker 1: per attempt nine and he's looked better than half the
Speaker 1: starters in the league honestly since he's come in. Now,
Speaker 1: obviously this is a deep quarterback class and everybody, all
Speaker 1: the teams that are positioned inside, like the top ten,
Speaker 1: top twelve, they're gonna hit that pretty hard. But then
Speaker 1: what do you do about Atlanta, Las Vegas, Cleveland, which
Speaker 1: nobody mentioned, and that job is still potentially open. Tampa,
Speaker 1: nobody talked about Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh meets a quarterback, Yeah, is
Speaker 1: Joe Flaco. I don't think Joe Flacco's coming back, so
Speaker 1: I think the answer and if only for week one,
Speaker 1: only at the beginning of the year, any where he
Speaker 1: could beat out a rookie, I'm the answer here is yes.
Speaker 2: Okay, tough question number three?
Speaker 1: Fast forward to week one of next year. Is Sam
Speaker 1: Howell the starting where's the Howell sounder? By the way,
Speaker 1: is Sam Howell the starting quarterback for the Commanders?
Speaker 5: I just love how we have this, but Barrown lock, yeah,
Speaker 5: right on top of it. Yeah, I'll start this one.
Speaker 5: This is a tough one for me. I can't remember
Speaker 5: who said it, but Sam Howell's stats this year are
Speaker 5: really empty calories. The offense is not good, he's every
Speaker 5: All of his metrics outside of volume aren't good. He
Speaker 5: even got bench last week. Things really need to be fixed.
Speaker 5: Will they draft a guy? If they do, can that
Speaker 5: guy take overtake Sam for week one? I'm gonna go no,
Speaker 5: He's not the start. I think they might might try
Speaker 5: to find something else, but yeah, for now, I'll go no.
Speaker 5: But I could go either way on this one.
Speaker 1: Okay, We're gonna put you on no, all right, Matt
Speaker 1: Is Fast forward a week one of next year. Is
Speaker 1: Sam Howell the starting quarterback for the Commanders.
Speaker 4: I'm pretty negative today. I've got no.
Speaker 3: And here's why. There's a new owner in Washington. He's
Speaker 3: about to fire Ron Rivera after the season, and either
Speaker 3: they're going to elevate Eric Bienemy to the head coach
Speaker 3: position or they're going to hire a new coach with
Speaker 3: an offensive pedigree.
Speaker 4: If it's b Enemy, maybe he has some loyalty to Sam, but.
Speaker 3: Maybe he's just been waiting for the shot for ten
Speaker 3: years and he's going to want to draft his guy.
Speaker 3: And the Commanders currently have the fourth pick in the draft,
Speaker 3: and a new owner probably wouldn't mind either making a
Speaker 3: quarterback selection at number four or even trading up to
Speaker 3: two or one with maybe Chicago if he wants the
Speaker 3: perfect quarterback to compliment his new head coach. I don't
Speaker 3: think Sam Howell has a chance to be the Commander's
Speaker 3: starter next year.
Speaker 1: I would say I think not a chance is a
Speaker 1: little strong, but I'm with you. I think the answer
Speaker 1: here is no. I'm a little rattled over the past
Speaker 1: couple of weeks where Sam has looked Haggard and I
Speaker 1: guess when you absorb fifty nine sacks. Maybe the season
Speaker 1: is eventually gonna it's gonna beat beat you down, which
Speaker 1: has happened to him. You know part of it though,
Speaker 1: as a Sam Howell apologist. Washington has lost these last
Speaker 1: five games, which is bad. They've given up twenty nine points,
Speaker 1: thirty one points, forty five points, forty five points, and
Speaker 1: twenty eight points. And people are pinning these losses on Howel.
Speaker 1: It's just like it's just like last year with Kirk Cousins. Right,
Speaker 1: defense is giving up these massive leads and opposing defenses
Speaker 1: know that Howel's gonna pass zero thread of a running game.
Speaker 1: But the Jacobey Brissett, you know, like last third of
Speaker 1: that game kind of rattled me a little bit, and
Speaker 1: he came in and just powered that offense. It was
Speaker 1: garbage time. But I think Matt's fundamentally right. New owner
Speaker 1: Josh Harris is gonna replace everybody. You didn't mention the GM.
Speaker 1: They're probably gonna replace Martin Mayhew as well, and that GM.
Speaker 1: You know, new gms and coaches want their quarterback. They
Speaker 1: want to pick their guy. And when you picked fourth
Speaker 1: in the draft and a deep quarterback draft, you're gonna
Speaker 1: get You're gonna somebody you like. So I think the
Speaker 1: odds are that Sam Howell's not the starting quarterback for
Speaker 1: the Commanders, and it makes me sad.
Speaker 3: Ah, Well, maybe let's go to our next to MAT's
Speaker 3: squeally Howl next year.
Speaker 1: Well that's true, let's go. Uh, let's go back to matchups.
Speaker 1: Jacksonville taking on Tampa Bay, Matt, this is uh, let's
Speaker 1: I'm going to start with the running game, since the
Speaker 1: passing game, you know it's it's CJ. Bethard, so probably
Speaker 1: so that probably doesn't bode very well. Travis Etn, who
Speaker 1: powered teams in the first half of the season, has
Speaker 1: struggled significantly in the second. What do you expect here
Speaker 1: against Tampa Bay.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I've got him just as a C grade in
Speaker 3: this one. Over the last three weeks, he's had eleven,
Speaker 3: fourteen and ten carries. Well, he has scored in two
Speaker 3: of the past three games. He hasn't topped forty five
Speaker 3: yards in that span, and the matchup is just horrible.
Speaker 3: Tampa's allowed only five rushing scorers to a running back
Speaker 3: this season. Only four running backs have topped seventy yards
Speaker 3: all season against the Bucks. So it's just a C
Speaker 3: for etn. On the passing side, as you mentioned, charge
Speaker 3: Trevor Lawrence has an ankle injury that he's been playing
Speaker 3: through for a couple weeks, and he's also in the
Speaker 3: concussion protocol. If he's unable to clear that, we get CJ. Bethard.
Speaker 3: If Lawrence is able to go, I do love this
Speaker 3: matchup for him. The Bucks are allowing two hundred eighty
Speaker 3: two yards per game, what's the second most in the league.
Speaker 3: And since Lawrence does run a little bit, it's worth
Speaker 3: noting that the Bucks have given up the second most
Speaker 3: quarterback rushing touchdowns this year at six. So if Lawrence goes,
Speaker 3: I'll give him an A grade. They play Sunday afternoon,
Speaker 3: and if you have to decide between Lawrence and one
Speaker 3: of the Saturday guys, I think it's probably worth picking
Speaker 3: up Bethard as an insurance policy. I think I'd give
Speaker 3: Bethard a C grade in for the matchup alone. But
Speaker 3: as for the receivers, I'm going to grade them out
Speaker 3: as if Lawrence was playing. If it's Bethor drop them
Speaker 3: a letter grade. Okay, Calvin Ridley gets an A or
Speaker 3: a Bethard B Wow. Brandon Ayuk, Michael Pittman, Drake London
Speaker 3: Dontavian Wicks all had huge days against Tampa's secondary in
Speaker 3: the last month, and with Christian kirk on Ir and
Speaker 3: Zay Jones looking like a game time decision at best,
Speaker 3: Ridley becomes a huge focal point in a good matchup.
Speaker 3: Ridley had thirty percent of the team's targets last week
Speaker 3: and it's probably a similar number this week. Evan Ingram
Speaker 3: gets an A or a Bethard B. He's just a
Speaker 3: week removed from twelve targets as well, and Tampa's allowed
Speaker 3: the fifth most receptions and receiving yards to the tight
Speaker 3: end position, and after twelve weeks of no scoring, he's
Speaker 3: got three touchdowns in the last three weeks.
Speaker 4: But that's it for the Jaguars.
Speaker 3: Let's go over to the Tampa side, where Rashad White
Speaker 3: is the highest priced running back on DraftKings for the
Speaker 3: Sunday Slave.
Speaker 4: Wow, what a world we live in.
Speaker 5: He's my number one ranked.
Speaker 3: Yeah, he gets an A grade this week. Jags are
Speaker 3: actually good against the run, top seven and yards per carry,
Speaker 3: rush yards and rushing scores allowed, but they're bottom three
Speaker 3: in receptions and receiving yards allowed to opposing backs, and
Speaker 3: the Bucks have given White at least two receptions in
Speaker 3: every game this year, and they I've seen him garner
Speaker 3: at least five receptions four different times this year. Ten
Speaker 3: different running backs have got to the five reception mark
Speaker 3: against Jacksonville just this year, and they're allowing almost seven
Speaker 3: receptions per game to the running back position. So, especially
Speaker 3: in a PPR league, he's a definite A. If you're
Speaker 3: in some sort of weird non PPR league, it's probably.
Speaker 4: Just a C.
Speaker 3: But the A for PPR for touchdown your touchdown only league,
Speaker 3: Oh yuck. Mike Evans gets an A grade. He scored
Speaker 3: a touchdown in ten games this year. He has not
Speaker 3: scored a touchdown in four games this year, and the
Speaker 3: Jaguars have allowed the fifth most touchdowns to wide receivers.
Speaker 3: Chris Godwin hasn't practiced yet this week with a knee injury,
Speaker 3: but had the same injury last week and then played
Speaker 3: and then oh, by the way, saw twelve targets ten
Speaker 3: catches in one hundred and fifty yards last week. I'm
Speaker 3: sure this is more veteran maintenance for the.
Speaker 4: VET in Tampa.
Speaker 3: The Jags have also allowed the ninth most receiving yards
Speaker 3: to opposing wideouts. So if Godwin is active, he could
Speaker 3: a B grade. That's a much closer to an A.
Speaker 3: I'd call it a B plus if Chart was here.
Speaker 1: Oh wait, oh boy, I'm at home.
Speaker 4: I can't do any you can't do anything. Sorry, no
Speaker 4: fake across the Death from strad exactly.
Speaker 3: You could throw a dart at Kate Otten this week too,
Speaker 3: but it's just a C for him. The Jags have
Speaker 3: allowed the fourth most receiving yards to opposing tight ends
Speaker 3: this season, and Baker Mayfield had a perfect passer rating
Speaker 3: last week in lambeau Field. It's the first time of
Speaker 3: visiting quarterback has ever done that in lambeau Field sixty
Speaker 3: six years as the Packers home. I'm giving him an
Speaker 3: A grade this week for a lot of the reasons
Speaker 3: I liked his wide receivers. In the last month, the
Speaker 3: Jags have allowed three hundred eleven yards and three scores
Speaker 3: to Joe Flacco, three point fifty four and a score
Speaker 3: to Jake Browning and three oh four and two to c. J.
Speaker 4: Stroud. Let's keep the Baker bus rolling, all right.
Speaker 1: We're gonna work in one quickie with Arizona in Chicago.
Speaker 1: Not a lot to talk about here. As you can imagine,
Speaker 1: with these offenses, Trey McBride, though, is just becoming an
Speaker 1: ob tight ends against the Bears are seeing the sixth
Speaker 1: most targets and the third most receptions in the twelfth
Speaker 1: most yards and he's just dominating right now. So we're
Speaker 1: gonna stick with Drey McBride as an a. The only
Speaker 1: other guy with a letter grade, James Connor, comes in hot,
Speaker 1: but there's a very tough matchup against Chicago. No runner
Speaker 1: has topped eighty yards against the Bears all year, and
Speaker 1: since Week five, opposing runners averaging just fifty four yards
Speaker 1: per game. That is nothing. Chicago gives up a lot
Speaker 1: of receptions, but James Connor, get this, he hasn't topped
Speaker 1: five receiving yards since Week three. That's it. So zero
Speaker 1: participant in the receiving game startable only on volume here
Speaker 1: in a C grade for him. The rest of the
Speaker 1: passing games on the bench, Kyler Murray is averaging zero
Speaker 1: point eight touchdown passes per game and his only reliable receiver,
Speaker 1: Markis Brown has been ruled out, so they are nothing
Speaker 1: to like there. And on the Chicago side, got a
Speaker 1: couple of A grades for you, Justin Fields would have
Speaker 1: had a mind sins game last week had Robert Tunyan
Speaker 1: and Darneld Mooney not dropped easily catchuple long bombs. Arizona
Speaker 1: has allowed multiple thank you touchdowns in three of the
Speaker 1: last four games, and two of those quarterbacks three for
Speaker 1: four scores. Cardinals have only faced one mobile quarterback that
Speaker 1: was Lamar Jackson, who they held to seventeen yards, which
Speaker 1: is impressive, but they've given a four quarterback rushing touchdowns.
Speaker 1: Field could score here, although we haven't gotten a lot
Speaker 1: of rushing touchdowns out of fields this year. DJ Moore
Speaker 1: another a grade for the Cardinals. Even after they've benched
Speaker 1: weekly roasty cornerback Marco Wilson, they still have got the
Speaker 1: worst set of starting cornerbacks in the league and DJ
Speaker 1: Moore very positive matchups no matter where he lines up,
Speaker 1: and he lines up all over the field. He's a
Speaker 1: deep ball specialist and Arizona gives up the fifth most
Speaker 1: receptions of forty or more yards, so easily easily easy
Speaker 1: to see a big play coming here. Moore's been targeted
Speaker 1: at least nine times since Justin Fields return from injury
Speaker 1: in Week number one. The only other part of the
Speaker 1: receiving game. You might care about Cole Comet. He's got
Speaker 1: a quad injury. You want to check his status. He's
Speaker 1: shaping up his game time decision over the past seven games,
Speaker 1: averaging that have very healthy six catches for forty seven
Speaker 1: yards and importantly the second most receptions from inside the
Speaker 1: ten yard line, and he scored the second most touchdowns
Speaker 1: from inside the ten yard line. In previous years, Arizona
Speaker 1: was terrible against tight ends, but that's all changed this year.
Speaker 1: They give up the second fewest receptions and the second
Speaker 1: fewest yards to tight ends, just thirty eight. So I
Speaker 1: can only get you to a C grade on col Comet.
Speaker 4: And lastly, Don.
Speaker 1: De Foreman was might take a chance on me runner.
Speaker 1: I already talked about him. I like him here this
Speaker 1: week expected to go in a weird situation where he
Speaker 1: didn't practice Friday for reasons that were just listed as personal.
Speaker 1: But whatever, you should be able to go here, and
Speaker 1: I kind of like his opportunity. And I've got a
Speaker 1: B grade on Don de Foreman. When we come back,
Speaker 1: Cleveland takes on Houston. Joe Flacco hop we already talked
Speaker 1: about that. Some Scott will bring us through the rest
Speaker 1: of the matchup when we return to Fantasy Football Weekly.
Speaker 1: Welcome back to a semi finals edition of Fantasy Football Weekly.
Speaker 1: Six more juicy matchups to break down for you, beginning
Speaker 1: with Cleveland Houston. Scott, you already tipped your hand earlier
Speaker 1: in this show that you are very high on David
Speaker 1: and Joko. He's my number two ranked tight end this week.
Speaker 1: What do you love about it?
Speaker 5: Yeah? Well, since week seven, he is averaging fifteen point
Speaker 5: five points per game, twenty five percent target share in
Speaker 5: that offense, leads tight ends in targets inside the five six,
Speaker 5: plus catches in five of the last six, scoring three
Speaker 5: times in the last two games. And he's facing a
Speaker 5: Houston team allowing the second most receptions, third most yards
Speaker 5: and fourth and is overall fourth worst against tight ends.
Speaker 5: It's just a smash spot for a guy who is
Speaker 5: just exploding, especially with Joe Flacco. Might take a chance
Speaker 5: on me quarterback at the helm. Also in the passing game,
Speaker 5: Amari Cooper, I'm giving a B grade two. He has
Speaker 5: seen his target skyrocket as well, with Flacco pulling in
Speaker 5: twenty two targets in the last two games. You'll remember
Speaker 5: that first Flaco game of Flacco's three games, Amari Cooper
Speaker 5: went out and Elijah Moore got hyper targeted with twelve targets.
Speaker 5: Since Stefanski mentioned in the post game that's because Cooper
Speaker 5: went out. Now we're seeing what Cooper's doing with that
Speaker 5: huge volume. He'll be the number one option.
Speaker 4: All number one up.
Speaker 5: Most of the number one options against the Houston Texans
Speaker 5: have seen seventy two plus yards, almost all of them
Speaker 5: double digit PPR days. So I got a B grade here.
Speaker 5: You could talk me more into an A, but I'm
Speaker 5: gonna stick with a B. I think it's a little safer.
Speaker 5: I do have the run game on the bench. I
Speaker 5: know Houston's a mill of the pack run dye mostly
Speaker 5: to being bottom seven. But you know those nine to
Speaker 5: ten extra dropbacks Joe Flacco's taking, they're coming away from
Speaker 5: the run games, and the Ford is splitting Jerome. Ford
Speaker 5: is splitting with Kareem Hunt and Pierre Strong. So if
Speaker 5: you're only taking half of a possible twenty touches in
Speaker 5: the middle of the pack matchup, the only backs that
Speaker 5: have really tagged Houston are high volume, Ford's not gonna
Speaker 5: get it. I have a bench grade on all the
Speaker 5: runners over there. Over on the Houston side. I'm sorry,
Speaker 5: Case Keenum. I still love you for the Minneapolis miracle,
Speaker 5: but I got you on the bench.
Speaker 4: It's a Case Keenum revenge game, though they're.
Speaker 5: All revenge goes at this point. For Case Keenum, come on,
Speaker 5: he gets the fourth toughest jog against fantasy quarterbacks. That
Speaker 5: brownstee is no joke, allowing the fewest passing yards. I
Speaker 5: got Keenum on the bench. Nico Collins is trending hords
Speaker 5: going with that calf injury. I missed, missed the first
Speaker 5: few practices of the week, but then started practicing. If
Speaker 5: he goes, I expect him to go back to his
Speaker 5: hyper volume met volume work with Case Keenum in there
Speaker 5: seven plus catches in his three last three fully healthy games.
Speaker 5: It's not a tough draw though. I mean it's not
Speaker 5: an easy draw though. The Cleveland Brown's top six and receptions,
Speaker 5: yards and touchdowns alloted to wide receivers. So just to
Speaker 5: C grade there, if he does not go, I give
Speaker 5: that C grade to no Brown because we saw last
Speaker 5: week Keenum sent all those targets right over to Noah
Speaker 5: Brown and he became the de facto one. As for
Speaker 5: tight ends, Dalton Schultz. He's also getting a C grade.
Speaker 5: You look at that number one ranked defense against tight
Speaker 5: ends with the Cleveland Browns and it does look a
Speaker 5: little scary, But Keen Keenum targets the tight ends. Last week,
Speaker 5: schultzaw four catches for fifty nine yards, with second in
Speaker 5: targets on the team. Browns have allowed four tight end
Speaker 5: scores in just last four weeks, including three very decent
Speaker 5: tight end day So all those tight ends that they
Speaker 5: stopped were early in the year. They've led it up recently.
Speaker 5: So a C grade on Dalton Schultz and a B
Speaker 5: grade on Damian Pierce. I'm just Kadie Josh. I'm sorry.
Speaker 5: I didn't mean to do that.
Speaker 1: A B grade hurts and it's very personal. I don't
Speaker 1: know why you would do that.
Speaker 5: B grade on Devin Singletary. Forty three touches in the
Speaker 5: last two games, including thirty last week with Keenum in
Speaker 5: it tells you they just want to run the ball
Speaker 5: a little bit more. With him in there, you keep
Speaker 5: it in his hands instead of Keenums. Perhaps only one
Speaker 5: back under fifteen touches topped seventy yards against the defense,
Speaker 5: but I think he might get over over seventy yards.
Speaker 5: By the way, the one back who tops seventy yards
Speaker 5: with under fifteen touches against the Browns Jalen Warren twice.
Speaker 5: He's just cele efficient. It's a top ten run dye,
Speaker 5: but I think the volume is going to get him there.
Speaker 5: I got a B grade on him. On Devin Singletary.
Speaker 1: All right, let's go over to Dallas taking on Myami
Speaker 1: Matt and at this point Dak Prescott ceedee lamb. Just
Speaker 1: feel like in every week A grade.
Speaker 3: Yeah, but if you survived the Dak Prescott goose egg
Speaker 3: last week with one hundred and thirty four passing scores
Speaker 3: and no touchdown passes, you've built yourself a fantasy jugger.
Speaker 4: Not really.
Speaker 3: In the prior twenty two game or prior seven games,
Speaker 3: he was averaging three point three touchdown passes per game,
Speaker 3: and in five of those seven he got to at
Speaker 3: least two undred ninety nine yards. Miami is okay against
Speaker 3: the pass I don't see how you could bench Dak
Speaker 3: right now. I'm giving him an A grade in the
Speaker 3: highest over under of the week. But it is worth
Speaker 3: noting that offensive lineman Tyron Smith and Zach Martin both
Speaker 3: haven't practiced yet this week. Due to injuries. I think
Speaker 3: both might suit up, but if both of them missed,
Speaker 3: it's probably enough to downgrade Dak to like a B plus,
Speaker 3: and if Dak gets an a CD, Lamb gets an A.
Speaker 3: He's ran from the slot about sixty percent of the
Speaker 3: time this year, which means he's going to get the
Speaker 3: best matchup most often against Dolphin slot corner Cater Kohu,
Speaker 3: which leaves Brandon Cooks and Michael Gallups seeing a lot
Speaker 3: of Jalen Ramsey and Xavian Howard. Cooks and Gallop each
Speaker 3: move around quite a bit, and Howard stays on the left,
Speaker 3: Ramsey to the right, So I'll give Cooks a C
Speaker 3: grade in this one. That's likely because it's a shootout.
Speaker 3: Gallop on the bench, though Jake Ferguson gets a be
Speaker 3: kind of a C grade. He's seen exactly eight targets
Speaker 3: in three straight games, with an average line of six
Speaker 3: receptions sixty four yards, and he had one score in there.
Speaker 3: Although the Dolphins have only allowed three tight end touchdowns
Speaker 3: on the season and none since Week seven, so that's
Speaker 3: why I want to give him a BEE. But it's
Speaker 3: on the matchup alone. It's kind of a C. Tony
Speaker 3: Pollard probably sees a slight uptick in his work this
Speaker 3: week with Rico Doubtel injured and limited all week with
Speaker 3: an ankle. The problem is, unless Pollard scores, he's killing
Speaker 3: your team. He's had four games where he's scored this
Speaker 3: year and is averaging twenty PPR points in those games.
Speaker 3: In the ten he hasn't scored in, he's averaging only
Speaker 3: eleven PPR points per game in Miami's only allowed three
Speaker 3: total running back touchdowns in the last seven games. So
Speaker 3: it's just a C grade on Tony Pollard. And if
Speaker 3: his offensive lineman don't go, he's on the bench. Over
Speaker 3: on the Dolphin side, Tyreek Hill limited all week. They
Speaker 3: didn't need him to beat the Jets last week, but
Speaker 3: I think they will suit him up to beat Dallas
Speaker 3: and if he's if he's active, he's an A grade.
Speaker 3: Jalen Wattle gets an A as well. The Cowboys have
Speaker 3: look look like they have a tough matchup on paper,
Speaker 3: but much of that was against some pretty bad quarterback
Speaker 3: wide receiver combos this year. Courtland Sutton, Stefan Diggs, Adam Thielen,
Speaker 3: aj Brown, Devonte Adams, Garrett Wilson, DeAndre Hopkins all had
Speaker 3: really good days against the Cowboys d So I'm not
Speaker 3: scared there, you know.
Speaker 1: I With Wattle, it's I always feel like when Hill plays,
Speaker 1: it's just, you know, he has that dud game where
Speaker 1: just Hill just dominates box scores. And maybe because he'll's
Speaker 1: not one hundred percent, Wattle is more safe. But I
Speaker 1: always feel like I can't trust Waddle at the A
Speaker 1: level when when he'll play.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm still gonna trust him, just based on we
Speaker 3: don't know if Tyreek hills one hundred percent and maybe
Speaker 3: he tweaks that ankle a little bit and suddenly Jalen
Speaker 3: Waddle's the focal point in which should be a shootout
Speaker 3: if Tyreek and Waddle are a's. In my mind, Tua
Speaker 3: is as well. Gino Smith and Sam Howell each topped
Speaker 3: three hundred yards against Dallas in the last four weeks.
Speaker 3: Raheem Mostert is a must start, especially after James Cook
Speaker 3: exposed this Cowboys defense to the tune of twenty five
Speaker 3: carries one hundred and seventy nine yards and a score
Speaker 3: on the ground, plus two receptions forty two yards and
Speaker 3: another score through the air.
Speaker 4: That was just last week.
Speaker 3: Mostart's seeing about ten more snaps per game and about
Speaker 3: five more rushing attempts over Devon ah Chan right now
Speaker 3: over just the last three weeks, although ah Chan has
Speaker 3: been leading in targets over that time at sixteen to
Speaker 3: four over Mostert. However, Dallas is the number one defense
Speaker 3: in the league against running back receptions. They only allow three,
Speaker 3: and a Chan is dealing with a toe injury. It's
Speaker 3: caused him to mispractice time both last week and this week,
Speaker 3: So Moster gets an A grade. A Chan, I'm given
Speaker 3: just a C because I think this matchup just favors
Speaker 3: Mostart a lot more.
Speaker 1: Okay, when we come back to Fantasy Football Weekly, plenty
Speaker 1: more games to get to, including the Kansas City Chiefs
Speaker 1: that used to be certain starters but not necessarily anymore.
Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelcey possibly benching in the playoffs. It
Speaker 1: sounds absurd. You may have better options. We'll talk it
Speaker 1: through when we come back to Fantasy Football Weekly Final
Speaker 1: Segment Fantasy Football Weekly Semi Finals edition. Let's hope you're
Speaker 1: listening next week. I have that'd be the best.
Speaker 5: Let's get to those two.
Speaker 1: I want you to get there, Yes, yeah, we'd love championships.
Speaker 1: You never remember the money, you remember the winning. That's
Speaker 1: that's always the best part. We have three games on Monday,
Speaker 1: Christmas Day, and you've still got a Sunday matchup to
Speaker 1: get through. Let's advance to Las Vegas Kansas City. This
Speaker 1: is the earliest of the Christmas Day games. Josh Jacob's
Speaker 1: status as of the moment we're recording this still unknown.
Speaker 1: You return to practice on Friday. In the old days,
Speaker 1: you would worry about the Chiefs, like getting ahead by
Speaker 1: twenty one and a half, and then the game script
Speaker 1: is such that you couldn't help you know, runners couldn't
Speaker 1: help you anymore. But that's that is not the Kansas
Speaker 1: City Chiefs anymore. And Josh Jacobs against Kansas City a
Speaker 1: month ago twenty four touches one hundred and twenty three
Speaker 1: yards in a touchdown. Chiefs give up four point seven
Speaker 1: yards per carry to opposing running backs. That is second
Speaker 1: worst in the league, and they've got the second worst
Speaker 1: run stop win rate. So, Josh Jacobs, if you were
Speaker 1: fully healthy, I'd give him an A. But even with
Speaker 1: the quad injury, I'll just I'll knock him down one
Speaker 1: letter to a B. The receivers you care about are
Speaker 1: DeVonta Adams and Jacoby Myers. Let's talk that through because
Speaker 1: it's really fascinating. Adams was held to a modest game
Speaker 1: against Kansas City. In that game a month ago, seven catches,
Speaker 1: seventy three yards, did not score. Good game, not great game,
Speaker 1: difficult matchup on the outside because Lagerius Sneid is emerging
Speaker 1: as one of the best young cornerbacks in the league.
Speaker 1: He hasn't allowed to score all year. He shadowed Adams
Speaker 1: in the previous game, giving up sixty six of the
Speaker 1: seventy three yards that Adams did get. So that is
Speaker 1: a lot as a big game by Snead standards to
Speaker 1: give up sixty six yards. But it kind of tells
Speaker 1: you can get something out of Adams here, but probably
Speaker 1: not an explosive game. I can only get you to
Speaker 1: a B grade on DeVante Adams. Now, Myers is really
Speaker 1: fascinating because in this matchup last month he got more
Speaker 1: yards than Adams. He got a touchdown that Adams didn't
Speaker 1: get because he didn't have to see Legerius Snead. Same
Speaker 1: thing coming here in all probability. In the previous game,
Speaker 1: six different Chiefs defenders were on to Kobe Myers. Total
Speaker 1: boomer Bus play here, but the opportunities are going to
Speaker 1: be there for Myers with a lot worse coverage than
Speaker 1: what Adams get. So boomer Buss guy, if you're like
Speaker 1: already behind because you're playing against I don't Matthew Stafford
Speaker 1: pookin a cool or whatever. Jacoby Myers intriguing play all
Speaker 1: right on the Kansas City side. We're at a stage
Speaker 1: now where Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelcey are merely B
Speaker 1: grades and that's it. Get this for Patrick Mahomes. Twenty
Speaker 1: five quarterbacks have posted three touchdown games more recently than
Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes did back in Week seven. Unbelievable that we're
Speaker 1: talking about this now. Last time when these when these
Speaker 1: teams met a month ago, he put up two hundred
Speaker 1: and ninety eight yards and two scores. It's totally solid numbers.
Speaker 1: And I think that's the same range you're gonna get here.
Speaker 1: The Raiders haven't seen many good passers, but they generally
Speaker 1: end up giving up in the high two hundreds for
Speaker 1: yards and they generally giving up around two scores. That
Speaker 1: sounds about right for Mahomes. Here for Kelsey, where she
Speaker 1: Rice's emergence maybe taking a lot of targets away from Kelsey.
Speaker 1: Rice runs from the slot through the middle of the
Speaker 1: field that's in the past has been like exclusively Travis
Speaker 1: Kelcey territory, and over the last four weeks, Kelsey has
Speaker 1: only seen seven targets and five receptions per game. Those
Speaker 1: are low numbers for him. Now he has had at
Speaker 1: least eighty targets in three of those games, so you know,
Speaker 1: the productivity is still okay. Raiders, though, have been strong
Speaker 1: against tight ends, not allowing more than fifty seven yards
Speaker 1: other than the ninety one yards the Kelsey put up
Speaker 1: in Week twelve. For ra she Rice a grade. Yes,
Speaker 1: I'm delighted that it's come to this.
Speaker 5: Yeah.
Speaker 1: Over his last four games, fourth in yards among wide
Speaker 1: receivers while scoring three times in those four games. The
Speaker 1: Chiefs lead the league in drops, but not because of Rice.
Speaker 1: He's got an eighty percent catch rate, The highest mark
Speaker 1: for a rookie receiver with seventy or more targets in
Speaker 1: the last thirty years is wow. I love it. Rice
Speaker 1: has orchestrated his best game of the season against Vegas
Speaker 1: in Week twelve. Eight catches, one hundred and seven yards
Speaker 1: and a touchdown. He runs from the slot a lot.
Speaker 1: That puts him up against Nate Hobbs, who allows us
Speaker 1: seventy eight percent catch rate, and Hobbs gave up Rice's
Speaker 1: touchdown in the previous meeting. So I love her. She
Speaker 1: Rice here? Yeah, oh great.
Speaker 5: That previous meeting was kind of his breakout game. By
Speaker 5: the way, She right was second in yards after the
Speaker 5: catch per reception, only behind Deebo'. That's I love it. Yeah,
Speaker 5: love it. He needs it with a three yard eight
Speaker 5: ot though.
Speaker 1: Well that is true. You gotta you better do something
Speaker 1: after the catch at that point. Yeh Iszam Pacheco is
Speaker 1: going to return to this game. Medically cleared last week,
Speaker 1: but the team decided to play its IF and they
Speaker 1: sat him, and so he should be near one hundred
Speaker 1: percent health. He's gonna be rested and ready for the
Speaker 1: Monday game. He's posted a career high two scores against
Speaker 1: the Raiders in the previous game, and the Raiders allow
Speaker 1: the seventh most total yards to opposing running backs. But
Speaker 1: I'll cost that is. Receiving numbers are way down. He's
Speaker 1: averaging just nine receiving yards over the last five games,
Speaker 1: although Jerrick McKinnon may not go with a groin injury,
Speaker 1: so that might give him a couple extra catches. All right,
Speaker 1: let's move over to our next game, which is the
Speaker 1: Giants taking on Philadelphia. Scott Saquon Barkley major bummer last week.
Speaker 1: Do you put him in your lineup against a good
Speaker 1: Eagles run defense.
Speaker 5: Yeah, it's really tough. At best, it's probably your volume
Speaker 5: see alert. He has been averaging fifteen touches with Devido
Speaker 5: in but in the blowout last week, split snaps with
Speaker 5: Braida and Brada got a third of the touches. Game
Speaker 5: script is going to be a thing. But with Barkley, Walker, Dowdell, Pollard, CMC, Cook,
Speaker 5: Pacheco all had decent and days in recent weeks against
Speaker 5: the Philly Rundy that was awesome, like top five for
Speaker 5: most of the year, but the last four or four
Speaker 5: or five weeks they've been tagged a little bit. So
Speaker 5: I'm gonna give him the volume C in the past
Speaker 5: grade that pass game. I actually have some grades here.
Speaker 5: I'm giving Tommy DeVito a C. Philly is the second
Speaker 5: best matchup for quarterbacks, and the game script should have
Speaker 5: him passing more. His really good passing day with the
Speaker 5: three touchdowns was against that also very poor Washington pass
Speaker 5: d so it's a little bit comparable. I'll give him
Speaker 5: the C grade here. I'm giving a B grade to
Speaker 5: Darren Waller has played seven full games. In those seven
Speaker 5: full games, he had six or more targets in all
Speaker 5: but one. And despite playing a full game last week,
Speaker 5: he only played twenty six snaps, but he had four
Speaker 5: for forty in those twenty six snaps. Once he's closer
Speaker 5: to you know, ninety percent of the snaps, should have
Speaker 5: a much bigger game here. I am given a C
Speaker 5: grade as well to wan Dale Robinson. I really have
Speaker 5: trouble giving grades to New York Giants wide receivers at all.
Speaker 5: But if you're really, really, really really in a pinch,
Speaker 5: Eagles allow the most slot points yards and second most targets.
Speaker 5: It's it's just a really good spots. The Giants very
Speaker 5: who the leading receiver is, but Robinson has been the
Speaker 5: consistent one, you know, three to five catches most weeks.
Speaker 5: It's just it's it's a great matchup where he plays
Speaker 5: eighty percent of the time in the slot. Over on
Speaker 5: the other side, Jalen Hurts and A J. Brown are
Speaker 5: getting a's. I don't know how much I have to
Speaker 5: go into them with a J. Brown's only had a
Speaker 5: couple duds, and it's lagarious need in one other DeVonta Smith.
Speaker 5: If he goes, and mind you, he did not practice Wednesday,
Speaker 5: Thursday or Friday, he's questionable.
Speaker 4: Do they need him to beat the Giants?
Speaker 5: Yeah, yeah, exactly.
Speaker 1: He may not gooff.
Speaker 5: If he goes, I have a B grade on him.
Speaker 5: If he doesn't go, I have a B grade on
Speaker 5: Dallas godd or Dallas Goddard'll get a see if Davonta smits, goes.
Speaker 5: But we have talked about this for two years. When
Speaker 5: Davonta Smith and Goddard are tied, it's like the vlume
Speaker 5: goes to the other one when the one when the
Speaker 5: one is out. So I will give the B grade
Speaker 5: to Dallas Goddard, assuming Davanta Smith doesn't go. Thirteen targets
Speaker 5: in his last two games since returning, not a whole
Speaker 5: lot of volume, but he'll get a little more with this.
Speaker 5: And the Giants just allowed two tight end scores last
Speaker 5: week and a Tucker craft bit decent day the week before.
Speaker 5: In the run game, I'm only giving a grade to
Speaker 5: DeAndre Swift. Since his breakout against Minnesota, he's been very,
Speaker 5: very pedestrian, but he's still getting fifteen to twenty touches.
Speaker 5: Hurtz keeps stealing the touchdowns. I'm gonna give him the volume.
Speaker 5: C I expect more running this game as they Philly
Speaker 5: pulls ahead and they just run later. I don't think
Speaker 5: I can give anything to Kenneth Gaywell gain Well, and
Speaker 5: I'm not gonna start Boston Scott do the accent despite
Speaker 5: him scoring in all nine games.
Speaker 4: Come on, come on, he's played Boston Scott.
Speaker 5: Now, including the playoff game. He's got ten touchdowns in
Speaker 5: nine games against the Giants. I just can't do it.
Speaker 5: He's got You don't think that.
Speaker 1: If so, let's he just set this up. No, they're
Speaker 1: at the goal line where they would normally do a twist,
Speaker 1: two cheek, sneak or whatever. Yes, you don't. You don't
Speaker 1: think Nick Sirianni Boston Scott. I heard do what he's
Speaker 1: done every time.
Speaker 5: If you're if you're balls enough, go for If you're
Speaker 5: desperate enough and balls enough, you might get six point
Speaker 5: one points.
Speaker 3: It could just be a blowout to and and they
Speaker 3: might want to not give Swift all the touches.
Speaker 5: That's very true, very true.
Speaker 1: When we lose a touchdown out of Jalen Hurts box
Speaker 1: score because of this, it's going to be a major bummer,
Speaker 1: really will be. It's that it's not about Boston Scott.
Speaker 1: It's about Jalen Hurts losing a rushing touchdown and that
Speaker 1: that would worry me a little bit. Yeah, that part's
Speaker 1: a bummer. New England takes on Denver. Matt I got
Speaker 1: Ezekiel Elliott's right now sitting at run back five. I
Speaker 1: think you've already touched on the positivity of that matchup.
Speaker 4: Yeah, he is.
Speaker 3: Might take a chance on your runner. I should say,
Speaker 3: very solid A grade in this one, Hunter Henry the
Speaker 3: only part of the passing game you could consider. He
Speaker 3: gets a C grade against Denver, who's bottom four in
Speaker 3: receptions and yards to the tight end position, and they've
Speaker 3: given up the most tight end touchdowns this year with
Speaker 3: nine of those. So Hunter Henry C grade if you
Speaker 3: need him on the Broncos side. I'm not feeling a
Speaker 3: huge Russell Wilson week this week. He's topped two hundred
Speaker 3: and fifty passing yards only once in his last eleven games,
Speaker 3: and he's thrown for exactly one touchdown and four of
Speaker 3: his last five. What's kept his fantasy managers afloat is
Speaker 3: that he's ran for a score in three of the
Speaker 3: last four games. The Patriots have only allowed two rushing
Speaker 3: scores to a quarterback all season, and four of the
Speaker 3: last five quarterbacks they faced have had two hundred and
Speaker 3: twelve or fewer yards and one or zero touchdown passes.
Speaker 3: So just a SEA grade for Wilson Courtland. Sutton is
Speaker 3: kind of like the AFC version of Mike Evans. He's
Speaker 3: scored in ten games this year and not scored in four.
Speaker 3: I'll throw him a B grade as the Pats present
Speaker 3: a slightly better than average matchup for wide receivers. They've
Speaker 3: allowed the ninth most receptions to the wide receivers at
Speaker 3: about fourteen per game, and they do allow about a
Speaker 3: touchdown per game to the position. Who do you think
Speaker 3: that goes to. It's gonna be Sutton. Finally, Javonte Williams
Speaker 3: is still getting most of the work, but his shares
Speaker 3: have been cut into recently by Jalil McLoughlin and samaj
Speaker 3: p Ryin. The problem is Williams only good Fantasy Day
Speaker 3: in the last month came against the Chargers, who are
Speaker 3: a terrible run defense, and the Patriots are not terrible
Speaker 3: at this They're second best in the league at yards
Speaker 3: per carry at three point two. They're only allowing one
Speaker 3: hundred and seven combo yards per game to the position,
Speaker 3: which is sixth best in the league. And if Williams
Speaker 3: gets about sixty percent of the touches here, he's looking
Speaker 3: at like a sixty five yard game and his chances
Speaker 3: of a touchdown are a coin flip at best. So
Speaker 3: just a C grade for Williams.
Speaker 1: All right, final matchup the Monday nighter Super Bowl preview,
Speaker 1: maybe Baltimore at San Francisco. Let's start with Let's start
Speaker 1: with Lamar Jackson. You know, for San Francisco, every opposing
Speaker 1: quarterback with six or more carries has scored a rushing
Speaker 1: touchdown or top forty three yards. So Jackson's gonna help
Speaker 1: you on the ground here can good passers generally fare
Speaker 1: pretty well against the Niners. Matthew Stafford, Dak Prescott, Kirk, Cousins,
Speaker 1: Joe Burrow, Jalen Hurts average tw hundred and eighty four
Speaker 1: yards and one and a half touchdowns. The question is
Speaker 1: is Lamar Jackson in their category in their strata. I
Speaker 1: don't think he's quite there, And every other passer besides
Speaker 1: those elite level passers only post two hundred and nineteen
Speaker 1: yards and zero point eight touchdowns per game. Now where
Speaker 1: he could help you out his volume, forty nine ers
Speaker 1: see the second most passes thirty eight per game. Distill
Speaker 1: all that into one letter grade, then we've got to
Speaker 1: be on the mo Jackson A see on Zay Flowers
Speaker 1: as the go to receiver for this offense. Leading the
Speaker 1: team in targets over the last three weeks, forty nine
Speaker 1: ers have allowed the third most receptions to opposing receivers.
Speaker 1: Zay lines up all over the field and his matchups
Speaker 1: on the outside are difficult, but he's got this path
Speaker 1: of least resistance in the slot against Isaiah Oliver, which
Speaker 1: is very positive among all cornerbacks who's played at least
Speaker 1: three hundred snaps. Oliver's giving up an eighty nine percent
Speaker 1: catch rate that is the worst in the league. So
Speaker 1: I like Flowers out of the slot. Here an opportunity
Speaker 1: to start him. Odell Beckham had an inexplicable dud last
Speaker 1: week in a far easier matchup, but I don't know.
Speaker 1: Maybe startable if you believe the Ravens are going to
Speaker 1: be passing from behind throughout the game. The forty nine
Speaker 1: ers see the third most wide receiver targets and the
Speaker 1: second most wide receiver reception, so you know he might
Speaker 1: be startable, particularly if Niners cornerback Deamador Lenor does not
Speaker 1: play and he's questionable, then I think you could give
Speaker 1: a throw to Odell Beckham, but that's it. Isaiah likely
Speaker 1: touchdowns in consecutive games. Tough matchup, though, Niners allowing just
Speaker 1: forty seven yards and five receptions per game to tight
Speaker 1: ends thanks to the large part to Fred Warner, who's
Speaker 1: obviously great. He's Pro Football Focused's fourth best rated coverage linebacker,
Speaker 1: and before they allowed Trey McBride to go for a
Speaker 1: one hundred yards last week, tight ends have only gotten
Speaker 1: over fifty yards twice this season, but McBride did hit
Speaker 1: him for one hundred, so Isaiah likely started ble with
Speaker 1: a C grade in this game. Gus Edwards C grade.
Speaker 1: Keaton Mitchell out for the year, so Edwards should see
Speaker 1: an upticking usage. Although you know what's gonna happen in
Speaker 1: Justice Hill is going to be frustratingly involved. Yep, forty
Speaker 1: nine ers allow the second second fewest total yards and
Speaker 1: the fewest touchdowns to opposing running backs only twenty one
Speaker 1: per game. Opponents to know the runs coming when Edwards
Speaker 1: is on the field. He faces eight or more defenders
Speaker 1: in the box on thirty three percent of his rushing attempts,
Speaker 1: which is four highest among all running backs. And that
Speaker 1: makes it tough for Edwards goal line. Maybe you get
Speaker 1: a touchdown here, that's it for Edwards and a C grade.
Speaker 1: Let's go over to San Francisco. Brat Perdy and Christian
Speaker 1: McCaffrey obvious as and you would think Deebo Samuel would
Speaker 1: be as well. He comes in his Fantasy Football's highest
Speaker 1: scoring receiver over the last six games, so I know
Speaker 1: you're going to start him, but he carries some sneaky downside.
Speaker 1: I want to explain to you here. First, Deebo's had
Speaker 1: four or fewer receptions in five of his last seven games.
Speaker 1: That is very low volume. That means he has to
Speaker 1: get touchdowns to make up for the low volume. And
Speaker 1: as you can guess, the Ravens don't give up a
Speaker 1: lot of touchdowns. Fourth fewest to wide receivers just half
Speaker 1: a touchdown per game on average to wide receivers. Samuel
Speaker 1: runs from all parts of the field evenly, but hopefully
Speaker 1: more so from the slot on Monday, because the Ravens
Speaker 1: have given up one hundred yard games to Cooper Cup
Speaker 1: Keenan Allen and I'm on Ross Saint Brown great slot
Speaker 1: receiver recently, so you hope he can run from the slot.
Speaker 1: I can only give you a B grade on Deebo
Speaker 1: Samuel in a tough matchup. Brandon Ayuk runs from the outside,
Speaker 1: isn't his favorable as the slot. He'll see cornerback Marlin Humphrey,
Speaker 1: who's been lights out since Week six, giving up just
Speaker 1: twenty three scoreless yards in his coverage, so I can
Speaker 1: only get you to a B grade on him. And lastly,
Speaker 1: George Kittle, Deebo Samuel carves into his box score a
Speaker 1: lot in games with a healthy Deebo Samuel Kittle averaging
Speaker 1: just three and a half catches for fifty eight yards,
Speaker 1: and the Ravens allowed the eighth fewest yards and the
Speaker 1: twelfth fewest receptions the tight ends and only three touchdowns
Speaker 1: all season, so it's a tough matchup for Kittle and
Speaker 1: I've only got a C grade on him this week.
Speaker 1: It's a lot of talking. Yeah, thanks everybody for us
Speaker 1: list this.
Speaker 4: Yeah, thank you very much.
Speaker 1: Merry Christmas, everybody, Happy holidays. Great semi finals matchup, I
Speaker 1: hope for all of you, and we'll talk to you
Speaker 1: for the championship week next week. Bye bye. Fantasy Football
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