1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:07,000 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:10,160 --> 00:00:12,920 Speaker 2: This is the Bloomberg Day BAQ podcast, available every morning 3 00:00:12,960 --> 00:00:15,760 Speaker 2: on Apple, Spotify or wherever you listen. It's Tuesday, the 4 00:00:15,800 --> 00:00:18,840 Speaker 2: tenth of June in London. I'm Caroline Hepga. 5 00:00:18,280 --> 00:00:20,759 Speaker 3: And I'm Stephen Carroll. Coming up today. Two hundred and 6 00:00:20,840 --> 00:00:24,880 Speaker 3: seventy six thousand jobs last since the October budget. UK 7 00:00:24,960 --> 00:00:28,240 Speaker 3: employment plummets as the rising cost of hiring hits the 8 00:00:28,280 --> 00:00:28,960 Speaker 3: labor market. 9 00:00:29,240 --> 00:00:33,000 Speaker 2: President Trump deploys marines to Los Angeles. The White House 10 00:00:33,200 --> 00:00:37,800 Speaker 2: escalates its response to anti deportation protests as Democrats accuse 11 00:00:37,920 --> 00:00:40,160 Speaker 2: the President of inflaming tensions. 12 00:00:40,240 --> 00:00:43,960 Speaker 3: Plus of fourteen billion pound power up, the UK green 13 00:00:44,040 --> 00:00:47,040 Speaker 3: lights a major cash injection to help build the new 14 00:00:47,159 --> 00:00:49,120 Speaker 3: Size well Ce nuclear plant. 15 00:00:49,360 --> 00:00:51,320 Speaker 2: Let's start with the roundup of our top stories. 16 00:00:52,000 --> 00:00:54,760 Speaker 3: UK employment has seen the biggest monthly drop in five 17 00:00:54,880 --> 00:00:58,480 Speaker 3: years after the minimum wage and tax changes. The number 18 00:00:58,560 --> 00:01:01,480 Speaker 3: of employees on payroll fell by one hundred and nine 19 00:01:01,560 --> 00:01:05,000 Speaker 3: thousand in May, far more than the twenty thousand economists 20 00:01:05,040 --> 00:01:08,320 Speaker 3: had forecast. We got reaction from Bloomberg's chief UK economist, 21 00:01:08,400 --> 00:01:09,399 Speaker 3: Dan Hanson. 22 00:01:09,400 --> 00:01:11,839 Speaker 4: Really weak relative to at least what we were expecting. 23 00:01:12,040 --> 00:01:14,920 Speaker 4: And I think consensus was expecting as well. If you're 24 00:01:14,959 --> 00:01:17,360 Speaker 4: sitting across the road in thread Needle Street, you're going 25 00:01:17,440 --> 00:01:19,560 Speaker 4: to be pleased seeing that pay number come down a 26 00:01:19,600 --> 00:01:22,240 Speaker 4: little bit further, probably a little bit further than they expected. 27 00:01:22,480 --> 00:01:25,319 Speaker 4: It's still very high, though, and I think that's something 28 00:01:25,319 --> 00:01:27,000 Speaker 4: that you just have to have to bear in mind. 29 00:01:27,240 --> 00:01:29,679 Speaker 3: Dan Hanson adds that the data from the Office for 30 00:01:29,800 --> 00:01:33,279 Speaker 3: National Statistics has been called into question after a series 31 00:01:33,319 --> 00:01:36,560 Speaker 3: of failures at the public body. Despite concerns over the 32 00:01:36,640 --> 00:01:39,880 Speaker 3: data's reliability, the figures suggest firms are cutting back on 33 00:01:40,040 --> 00:01:44,000 Speaker 3: hiring after the government increased payroll taxes for businesses and 34 00:01:44,120 --> 00:01:46,920 Speaker 3: hiked the minimum wage in its October budget. 35 00:01:47,040 --> 00:01:50,720 Speaker 2: Now we also have the unrest in Los Angeles. The 36 00:01:50,800 --> 00:01:54,080 Speaker 2: Chomp administration says that it is deploying seven hundred marines 37 00:01:54,120 --> 00:01:57,400 Speaker 2: to the city as political tension with Democrats grow. The 38 00:01:57,440 --> 00:02:00,480 Speaker 2: White House says that conditions in LA are spirally and 39 00:02:00,520 --> 00:02:04,040 Speaker 2: that federal forces are needed to support immigration agents and 40 00:02:04,080 --> 00:02:07,840 Speaker 2: to restore order. President Trump and the California Governor Gavin 41 00:02:07,920 --> 00:02:11,560 Speaker 2: Newsom have clashed repeatedly over the response to the unrest, 42 00:02:11,880 --> 00:02:15,800 Speaker 2: with the States suing the Trump administration for mobilizing National 43 00:02:15,840 --> 00:02:18,960 Speaker 2: Guard troops in the city. Here is the Los Angeles 44 00:02:19,000 --> 00:02:21,560 Speaker 2: Democratic Mayor Karen Bass. 45 00:02:21,960 --> 00:02:26,080 Speaker 5: They're guarding the Federal building here in downtown, and they're 46 00:02:26,080 --> 00:02:29,600 Speaker 5: guarding the Federal building in Westwood. That's what they're doing, 47 00:02:29,720 --> 00:02:32,440 Speaker 5: So they need marines on top of it. I don't 48 00:02:32,520 --> 00:02:35,399 Speaker 5: understand that. That's why I feel like we are part 49 00:02:35,440 --> 00:02:37,600 Speaker 5: of an experiment that we did not ask to be 50 00:02:37,639 --> 00:02:38,080 Speaker 5: a part of. 51 00:02:38,720 --> 00:02:41,840 Speaker 2: Mayor Karen Bass speaking there as the United Nations on 52 00:02:41,880 --> 00:02:45,680 Speaker 2: Monday warned against a further militarization of the situation in 53 00:02:45,800 --> 00:02:50,960 Speaker 2: LA On Monday, largely peaceful daytime protests morphed into a 54 00:02:51,040 --> 00:02:55,400 Speaker 2: fourth day of scattered clashes with police. The protests, which 55 00:02:55,400 --> 00:02:58,200 Speaker 2: have largely been limited to a few small areas of 56 00:02:58,200 --> 00:03:01,280 Speaker 2: the city, were sparked by a rising number of raids 57 00:03:01,320 --> 00:03:05,520 Speaker 2: by immigration agents, which local officials argue have spread fear 58 00:03:05,680 --> 00:03:07,240 Speaker 2: in immigrant communities. 59 00:03:07,680 --> 00:03:10,760 Speaker 3: Bloomberg has learned that Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg is assembling 60 00:03:10,760 --> 00:03:15,320 Speaker 3: a team of experts to achieve artificial general intelligence, recruiting 61 00:03:15,360 --> 00:03:19,919 Speaker 3: from a brain trust of AI researchers and engineers. Sources 62 00:03:19,919 --> 00:03:22,959 Speaker 3: tell us that Zuckerberg aims to hire around fifty people 63 00:03:23,040 --> 00:03:26,119 Speaker 3: for the new team, including a new head of AI research, 64 00:03:26,600 --> 00:03:31,359 Speaker 3: internally referred to as the Superintelligence Group. The Facebook founder's 65 00:03:31,440 --> 00:03:34,480 Speaker 3: goal is for Mata to outstrip other tech companies and 66 00:03:34,560 --> 00:03:38,600 Speaker 3: achieving artificial general intelligence, which could be woven into its 67 00:03:38,640 --> 00:03:42,440 Speaker 3: suite of products, including social media and communications platforms. 68 00:03:43,240 --> 00:03:45,720 Speaker 2: Now, US China trade talks will continue for a second 69 00:03:45,760 --> 00:03:48,840 Speaker 2: day here in London, as both sides tried to ease 70 00:03:48,920 --> 00:03:53,480 Speaker 2: tensions over rare earth supplies and tech exports. Bloomberg on 71 00:03:53,520 --> 00:03:55,200 Speaker 2: the sounds that the US is offering to ease some 72 00:03:55,400 --> 00:03:59,280 Speaker 2: tech export controls in exchange for rare earth shipments from China, 73 00:03:59,480 --> 00:04:01,920 Speaker 2: which would you U is seventy percent of global supply 74 00:04:02,560 --> 00:04:05,720 Speaker 2: US Jury Sectary, Scott Best Center, Commo Sexuary how Lutnik 75 00:04:05,720 --> 00:04:09,040 Speaker 2: had been leading the American delegation, with Lutnik calling the 76 00:04:09,120 --> 00:04:12,200 Speaker 2: talks fruitful, a sentiment echoed by President Trump. 77 00:04:12,840 --> 00:04:16,040 Speaker 3: We are doing well with China. 78 00:04:16,320 --> 00:04:17,320 Speaker 6: China's not easy. 79 00:04:18,839 --> 00:04:20,200 Speaker 4: I think we're doing very well. 80 00:04:20,279 --> 00:04:21,080 Speaker 3: They're over there now. 81 00:04:21,120 --> 00:04:22,359 Speaker 1: I'm only getting good reports. 82 00:04:22,880 --> 00:04:26,480 Speaker 2: So that was at President Trump. But although optimistic about 83 00:04:26,520 --> 00:04:30,760 Speaker 2: the talks, Trump gave no clear answer on lifting export 84 00:04:30,839 --> 00:04:34,160 Speaker 2: restrictions for China, saying we'll see when he was asked 85 00:04:34,160 --> 00:04:36,320 Speaker 2: about it. The Chinese delegation was led by the Vice 86 00:04:36,360 --> 00:04:39,680 Speaker 2: Premier Hurley Feng, who left without commenting to the media. 87 00:04:40,200 --> 00:04:43,080 Speaker 3: Europe stock exchanges are fighting fiercely to win the few 88 00:04:43,240 --> 00:04:47,200 Speaker 3: pending IPOs across the continent. Data compiled by Bloomberg shows 89 00:04:47,200 --> 00:04:49,960 Speaker 3: Europe has just made up eight percent of global issuance 90 00:04:49,960 --> 00:04:52,839 Speaker 3: so far this year. That's against a yearly average of 91 00:04:52,880 --> 00:04:56,120 Speaker 3: sixteen percent for the last decade. Bloomberg ex Chames Wilcock 92 00:04:56,160 --> 00:04:56,640 Speaker 3: has more. 93 00:04:57,160 --> 00:04:59,560 Speaker 6: You may not have heard of Visma or Very Sure, 94 00:04:59,680 --> 00:05:03,640 Speaker 6: but the stock exchange in Stockholm, London, Zurich and Amsterdam have. 95 00:05:04,040 --> 00:05:07,640 Speaker 6: One's a software company and the other makes alarms. But 96 00:05:07,880 --> 00:05:11,680 Speaker 6: both are expected to list at valuations potentially worth more 97 00:05:11,760 --> 00:05:16,039 Speaker 6: than twenty billion euros. Europe's capital markets are trying their 98 00:05:16,120 --> 00:05:20,039 Speaker 6: best to charm these potential public companies after being starved 99 00:05:20,120 --> 00:05:23,080 Speaker 6: of new listings, and for the exchanges who miss out, 100 00:05:23,360 --> 00:05:26,920 Speaker 6: alarm bells will be ringing in London, James Wilcock, Bloomberg 101 00:05:27,000 --> 00:05:29,040 Speaker 6: Radio now Here. 102 00:05:29,040 --> 00:05:32,080 Speaker 2: In the UK, the government says that it will invest 103 00:05:32,160 --> 00:05:35,159 Speaker 2: fourteen point two billion pounds to help build the size 104 00:05:35,200 --> 00:05:39,000 Speaker 2: well seen nuclear power plant in Suffolk in eastern England, 105 00:05:39,040 --> 00:05:42,479 Speaker 2: a project that has already been on the drawing board 106 00:05:42,520 --> 00:05:45,520 Speaker 2: for more than a decade. Bloomberg's U and Pots has more. 107 00:05:46,240 --> 00:05:49,120 Speaker 1: When completed, the three point two gigawatts Size or See 108 00:05:49,160 --> 00:05:52,280 Speaker 1: nuclear plant will generate enough power for six million homes, 109 00:05:52,440 --> 00:05:55,040 Speaker 1: which the government hopes will usher in a quote golden 110 00:05:55,120 --> 00:05:58,479 Speaker 1: age of abundant clean energy. The total price tag for 111 00:05:58,480 --> 00:06:02,240 Speaker 1: this clean energy, though, is likely to pass forty billion pounds. 112 00:06:02,520 --> 00:06:05,640 Speaker 1: Today's announcement ahead of tomorrow's spending review, brings the government's 113 00:06:05,680 --> 00:06:08,080 Speaker 1: total commitment to Size We'll See to just shy of 114 00:06:08,200 --> 00:06:11,440 Speaker 1: eighteen billion pounds, meaning there's plenty to do in raising 115 00:06:11,480 --> 00:06:14,320 Speaker 1: funds from the private sector. In London, I'm Une Pots 116 00:06:14,320 --> 00:06:15,400 Speaker 1: Spoomberg Radio. 117 00:06:17,000 --> 00:06:17,200 Speaker 5: Well. 118 00:06:17,320 --> 00:06:20,200 Speaker 3: The UK government has reversed an unpopular cut it made 119 00:06:20,200 --> 00:06:23,880 Speaker 3: to pensioner's winter fuel benefits. Pensioners that income of under 120 00:06:23,960 --> 00:06:26,440 Speaker 3: thirty five thousand pounds will now be able to claim 121 00:06:26,480 --> 00:06:29,279 Speaker 3: extra money to heat their homes during winter. It's a 122 00:06:29,360 --> 00:06:32,080 Speaker 3: U turn. The Chancellor, Rachel Reeves says she can afford 123 00:06:32,520 --> 00:06:34,760 Speaker 3: because she has stabilized the economy. 124 00:06:35,560 --> 00:06:38,320 Speaker 7: We did that with a number of difficult decisions. But 125 00:06:38,400 --> 00:06:41,760 Speaker 7: because of those decisions, our public finances are now in 126 00:06:41,800 --> 00:06:44,839 Speaker 7: a better position, which means this year we're able to 127 00:06:44,880 --> 00:06:47,920 Speaker 7: play the winter fuel payment to more pensioners, so nine 128 00:06:48,000 --> 00:06:49,320 Speaker 7: million we'll receive it this year. 129 00:06:50,760 --> 00:06:53,680 Speaker 3: The Chancellor earlier this year had to make last minute 130 00:06:53,760 --> 00:06:57,680 Speaker 3: changes to curb disability benefits to return her fiscal headroom 131 00:06:57,720 --> 00:07:01,080 Speaker 3: to just under ten billion pounds. The governing Labor Party 132 00:07:01,160 --> 00:07:04,240 Speaker 3: is seen an abrupt fall in popularity since taking off US, 133 00:07:04,560 --> 00:07:07,279 Speaker 3: with most polls putting the party now second place to 134 00:07:07,320 --> 00:07:08,120 Speaker 3: Reform UK. 135 00:07:09,120 --> 00:07:11,160 Speaker 2: So those are our top stories for you this morning. 136 00:07:11,280 --> 00:07:13,880 Speaker 2: In terms of the markets this hour, European stock's really 137 00:07:13,920 --> 00:07:16,280 Speaker 2: not going anywhere flat, although the fifty one hundred t's 138 00:07:16,320 --> 00:07:19,120 Speaker 2: again are four tenths of one percent. It seemed to 139 00:07:19,120 --> 00:07:22,040 Speaker 2: be that the sentiment in market seemed to sour somewhat 140 00:07:22,080 --> 00:07:24,760 Speaker 2: towards the end of the Asian trading session. US stop 141 00:07:24,760 --> 00:07:28,200 Speaker 2: futures are in the red. You've also got sterling continuing 142 00:07:28,240 --> 00:07:31,680 Speaker 2: to decline, actually accelerating the declines now down six cents 143 00:07:31,720 --> 00:07:33,280 Speaker 2: of one per cent on cable one thirty four to 144 00:07:33,320 --> 00:07:36,120 Speaker 2: sixty four. After the job's figures. We'll get more on 145 00:07:36,120 --> 00:07:39,720 Speaker 2: that in a minute. Are the euro's also softer almost 146 00:07:39,760 --> 00:07:42,480 Speaker 2: four tenths of one per cent now one thirteen eighty two, 147 00:07:42,600 --> 00:07:46,080 Speaker 2: with a stronger US dollar this morning. As for treasury 148 00:07:46,120 --> 00:07:49,760 Speaker 2: yealds down two basis points at four forty five this morning, 149 00:07:49,760 --> 00:07:52,520 Speaker 2: so it looks like have an assets of seeing something 150 00:07:52,600 --> 00:07:57,120 Speaker 2: of a bid still and gold is stronger tenth of 151 00:07:57,120 --> 00:08:00,800 Speaker 2: one percent, with bitcoin also close to a record, bitcoin 152 00:08:00,800 --> 00:08:04,560 Speaker 2: trading at one hundred and nine four hundred dollars this 153 00:08:04,600 --> 00:08:05,880 Speaker 2: out of those are the markets. 154 00:08:06,520 --> 00:08:08,640 Speaker 3: Well, in a moment, we'll bring you more on the 155 00:08:08,760 --> 00:08:13,040 Speaker 3: UK jobs data plus the latest on events in Los Angeles. 156 00:08:13,080 --> 00:08:15,720 Speaker 3: Another story that we've been reading today from our food 157 00:08:15,800 --> 00:08:20,680 Speaker 3: editor Kate Crad. She's been sifting through the latest ranking 158 00:08:20,680 --> 00:08:23,280 Speaker 3: of the best restaurants in the UK and came out 159 00:08:23,320 --> 00:08:24,679 Speaker 3: on top of the ritz. A bit of a shift 160 00:08:24,680 --> 00:08:25,520 Speaker 3: into fine dining. 161 00:08:25,640 --> 00:08:25,800 Speaker 8: Yeah. 162 00:08:25,800 --> 00:08:28,920 Speaker 2: Absolutely. This is the chef for John Williams's sort of 163 00:08:28,920 --> 00:08:33,320 Speaker 2: classic menu and very elegant dining room obviously, which has 164 00:08:33,360 --> 00:08:37,640 Speaker 2: been awarded the top spot at the UK's National Restaurant Awards, 165 00:08:37,760 --> 00:08:41,480 Speaker 2: which took place last night. It's quite interesting because these 166 00:08:41,520 --> 00:08:44,560 Speaker 2: awards are only it's quite a small select group of 167 00:08:44,600 --> 00:08:48,040 Speaker 2: people that choose them, only about two hundred industry professionals 168 00:08:48,040 --> 00:08:51,440 Speaker 2: and chefs and food writers and others who make the decision. 169 00:08:51,920 --> 00:08:53,760 Speaker 2: Most of them are in London. But yes, the Ritz 170 00:08:53,800 --> 00:08:55,000 Speaker 2: is at the top of that list. 171 00:08:55,320 --> 00:08:56,880 Speaker 3: Yeah, and indeed, of course can play the game of 172 00:08:56,920 --> 00:08:58,560 Speaker 3: how many of the top one hundred have you eaten? 173 00:08:58,600 --> 00:08:58,720 Speaker 2: In? 174 00:08:59,080 --> 00:09:00,880 Speaker 3: Which is that I've been doing this morning. You'll find 175 00:09:01,160 --> 00:09:03,880 Speaker 3: a link to the article in our podcast show Notes. 176 00:09:04,600 --> 00:09:07,440 Speaker 2: Now, the latest UK job data has been published and 177 00:09:07,520 --> 00:09:09,920 Speaker 2: it does show the biggest marketing job in employment since 178 00:09:09,960 --> 00:09:13,040 Speaker 2: the pandemic. Average earnings were by five point three percent 179 00:09:13,160 --> 00:09:15,280 Speaker 2: year or year. That was less than the estimate of 180 00:09:15,320 --> 00:09:18,160 Speaker 2: five and a half percent. Our TFUK economist Dan Hanson 181 00:09:18,240 --> 00:09:20,880 Speaker 2: joins us now for more. Dan, We've had a moment 182 00:09:20,920 --> 00:09:22,800 Speaker 2: to think about this just a beat. So what is 183 00:09:22,800 --> 00:09:25,440 Speaker 2: your reading? How negative is this for the UK? 184 00:09:27,000 --> 00:09:28,880 Speaker 4: I mean, I don't think we should overplay it, but 185 00:09:29,000 --> 00:09:32,160 Speaker 4: I think it's it's definitely weaker than we expected and 186 00:09:32,160 --> 00:09:35,000 Speaker 4: everyone everyone else expected to. I mean, one thing to 187 00:09:35,080 --> 00:09:36,800 Speaker 4: just mention and this is where the sort of this 188 00:09:38,320 --> 00:09:41,480 Speaker 4: the number you mentioned there comes from the payrolls data. 189 00:09:41,559 --> 00:09:43,760 Speaker 4: It does get revised quite a lot, so you know, 190 00:09:43,800 --> 00:09:46,560 Speaker 4: we have to just be take it with a little 191 00:09:46,600 --> 00:09:50,080 Speaker 4: bit of a pinch of salt. Nonetheless, there is definitely 192 00:09:50,080 --> 00:09:54,360 Speaker 4: a trend in the labor market, particularly on in the employees' data, 193 00:09:54,520 --> 00:09:58,079 Speaker 4: where we had these these falls in employees, and it's 194 00:09:58,160 --> 00:10:03,120 Speaker 4: very clear the labor market is loosening and that is 195 00:10:03,320 --> 00:10:06,360 Speaker 4: beginning to feed through to the pay data. Pay data 196 00:10:06,559 --> 00:10:09,520 Speaker 4: is beginning. Pay growth is cooling, but it is still 197 00:10:09,880 --> 00:10:13,760 Speaker 4: very elevated. So you know, I think if you're thinking 198 00:10:13,800 --> 00:10:16,160 Speaker 4: about this from a Bank of England perspective, you're thinking, 199 00:10:16,960 --> 00:10:20,520 Speaker 4: this is things moving in the direction I want. I 200 00:10:20,559 --> 00:10:22,800 Speaker 4: think what you have to be really careful of is 201 00:10:22,840 --> 00:10:25,000 Speaker 4: that the jobs market is one of these things that 202 00:10:25,080 --> 00:10:29,120 Speaker 4: it suddenly tips and it suddenly moves very quickly, and 203 00:10:29,160 --> 00:10:31,160 Speaker 4: I think the bank just needs to be really careful 204 00:10:31,240 --> 00:10:34,720 Speaker 4: that that it doesn't preside over that situation where it's 205 00:10:34,760 --> 00:10:37,400 Speaker 4: held interest rates too high for too long and it 206 00:10:37,400 --> 00:10:40,920 Speaker 4: hasn't recognized that the labor market has shifted from a 207 00:10:40,960 --> 00:10:44,560 Speaker 4: world of being extremely tight to a world where it's 208 00:10:44,640 --> 00:10:47,640 Speaker 4: loose and actually now loosening quite quickly. So I think 209 00:10:47,640 --> 00:10:50,480 Speaker 4: that's the risk with this is that things move quickly 210 00:10:50,520 --> 00:10:52,480 Speaker 4: and the bank has to basically catch up. 211 00:10:53,640 --> 00:10:56,679 Speaker 3: How much of this can be attributed though, to the 212 00:10:56,720 --> 00:10:59,840 Speaker 3: policy changes that were announced in the budget last October. 213 00:11:00,120 --> 00:11:03,760 Speaker 3: It is a cumulative decline and employment that we've seen 214 00:11:03,920 --> 00:11:07,080 Speaker 3: since October. Of course, the big changes would have increased 215 00:11:07,120 --> 00:11:10,239 Speaker 3: the cost of employment for employers at national insurance contributions 216 00:11:10,240 --> 00:11:12,760 Speaker 3: for employers going up, as well as the increase in 217 00:11:12,800 --> 00:11:13,720 Speaker 3: the minimum wage. 218 00:11:14,160 --> 00:11:15,600 Speaker 4: Yeah, I think there are I mean, there are different 219 00:11:15,600 --> 00:11:18,400 Speaker 4: elements to it, aren't there. I think the first six 220 00:11:18,440 --> 00:11:23,000 Speaker 4: months of Labour's tenure and power we had this we 221 00:11:23,040 --> 00:11:25,920 Speaker 4: had basically had this confidence shock from with the and 222 00:11:25,960 --> 00:11:28,320 Speaker 4: that was not necessarily to it policy. It was just 223 00:11:28,360 --> 00:11:32,600 Speaker 4: to do with the rhetoric around the economy. Then you're right, Stephen. 224 00:11:32,600 --> 00:11:35,280 Speaker 4: We had the budget and there were some policies in 225 00:11:35,320 --> 00:11:38,040 Speaker 4: there that you would argue on negative for the outlook 226 00:11:38,080 --> 00:11:40,480 Speaker 4: for employment, but also negative for the outlook for wage 227 00:11:40,520 --> 00:11:44,160 Speaker 4: growth in terms of the increase in employer national insurance contributions, 228 00:11:44,200 --> 00:11:47,360 Speaker 4: that's the main one. But also, of course you've got 229 00:11:47,440 --> 00:11:49,880 Speaker 4: the rise in the national living wage, which of course 230 00:11:49,960 --> 00:11:51,720 Speaker 4: is positive for pay growth for the people who are 231 00:11:51,840 --> 00:11:55,520 Speaker 4: who were earning the National living wage, but it increases 232 00:11:56,320 --> 00:12:00,440 Speaker 4: employer's cost space and that obviously creates a question about 233 00:12:00,440 --> 00:12:03,959 Speaker 4: whether they ads their cost base in other ways. Potentially 234 00:12:04,040 --> 00:12:06,959 Speaker 4: through headcount, so I think there is some element to that. 235 00:12:07,600 --> 00:12:09,920 Speaker 4: To you, to answer your question directly, I think there 236 00:12:10,000 --> 00:12:11,720 Speaker 4: is some element to what the government has done has 237 00:12:12,120 --> 00:12:15,600 Speaker 4: created some of this additional weakness in the labor market. 238 00:12:15,840 --> 00:12:18,199 Speaker 4: So I think, yes, there is there is certainly something there. 239 00:12:18,760 --> 00:12:20,680 Speaker 2: Okay, Dan, thank you so much for being with us 240 00:12:20,760 --> 00:12:23,560 Speaker 2: this morning. Are UK Chief Economist Dan Hanson. I thought 241 00:12:23,559 --> 00:12:25,959 Speaker 2: it was also very interesting that we spoke to Manpower 242 00:12:26,040 --> 00:12:29,080 Speaker 2: Group UK this morning and they were talking about how 243 00:12:29,160 --> 00:12:32,160 Speaker 2: there is a lack of visibility around work of rights 244 00:12:32,240 --> 00:12:33,839 Speaker 2: reforms that are coming to the UK and that that 245 00:12:33,960 --> 00:12:36,120 Speaker 2: is also weighing on UK businesses. 246 00:12:37,040 --> 00:12:39,480 Speaker 3: Now, the top of administration is sending about seven hundred 247 00:12:39,520 --> 00:12:42,880 Speaker 3: active duty marines to respond to protests in Los Angeles. 248 00:12:43,000 --> 00:12:46,480 Speaker 3: California's Governor, Gavin Newsom has called the decision unlawful, and 249 00:12:46,559 --> 00:12:48,920 Speaker 3: as requested, the White House revoked the order joining us 250 00:12:48,960 --> 00:12:52,240 Speaker 3: now from more our senior editor Bill Ferries, Bill, deploying 251 00:12:52,520 --> 00:12:55,600 Speaker 3: active duty military within the United States is highly unusual. 252 00:12:55,840 --> 00:12:58,200 Speaker 3: How has President Trump justified this. 253 00:13:00,160 --> 00:13:03,199 Speaker 8: For having me? Yes, we've seen the reports now of 254 00:13:03,480 --> 00:13:06,440 Speaker 8: about seven hundred marines heading from the twenty nine Palms 255 00:13:06,480 --> 00:13:09,880 Speaker 8: base into Los Angeles. In a full caravan of buses. 256 00:13:10,440 --> 00:13:13,720 Speaker 8: That's on top of the two thousand National Guard troops 257 00:13:13,760 --> 00:13:17,960 Speaker 8: that the administration has authorized to be deployed in Los Angeles, 258 00:13:18,000 --> 00:13:21,240 Speaker 8: although so far local officials say it's mostly been about 259 00:13:21,280 --> 00:13:25,439 Speaker 8: three hundred that they've seen on the streets. It's highly unusual. 260 00:13:25,559 --> 00:13:30,160 Speaker 8: The President basically invoked a provision of US law that 261 00:13:30,320 --> 00:13:35,040 Speaker 8: allows him to deploy active duty US forces on American 262 00:13:35,160 --> 00:13:38,520 Speaker 8: territory in the case of an invasion or a rebellion 263 00:13:38,720 --> 00:13:42,800 Speaker 8: or a potential rebellion. So that's the point that California authorities, 264 00:13:42,840 --> 00:13:46,760 Speaker 8: including Gavin Newsom, are really contesting at this point, saying 265 00:13:47,600 --> 00:13:52,120 Speaker 8: it's an over the top decision that risks inflaming the 266 00:13:52,200 --> 00:13:54,880 Speaker 8: situation on the ground. In terms of what has been 267 00:13:54,960 --> 00:13:58,480 Speaker 8: happening on the ground, it looks like Monday evening. Monday 268 00:13:58,520 --> 00:14:02,080 Speaker 8: and Monday evening where a little bit quieter, calmer than 269 00:14:02,160 --> 00:14:04,000 Speaker 8: what we had seen over the weekend when you had 270 00:14:04,480 --> 00:14:07,439 Speaker 8: a bunch of cars that were set on fire and 271 00:14:07,840 --> 00:14:12,640 Speaker 8: you had some pretty large clashes between protesters and authorities. 272 00:14:13,000 --> 00:14:16,559 Speaker 8: It was not nearly at that level on Monday night 273 00:14:16,720 --> 00:14:19,320 Speaker 8: in LA And we'll have to see it's still a 274 00:14:19,480 --> 00:14:20,920 Speaker 8: very tense situation there though. 275 00:14:21,440 --> 00:14:26,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely. The last time I can recall the Marines 276 00:14:26,560 --> 00:14:29,080 Speaker 2: being used in the US's Hurricane Katrina. I looked that up, 277 00:14:29,440 --> 00:14:32,120 Speaker 2: that is right, two thousand and five, and that was 278 00:14:32,240 --> 00:14:36,200 Speaker 2: used basically in a very different set of circumstances. In 279 00:14:36,360 --> 00:14:41,200 Speaker 2: terms of what the officials in California are saying and 280 00:14:41,320 --> 00:14:46,120 Speaker 2: what they're doing legally, I mean, the state leaders are 281 00:14:46,160 --> 00:14:48,000 Speaker 2: sueing the Trump administration. 282 00:14:48,400 --> 00:14:51,880 Speaker 8: That's right. California has put forward a twenty two page 283 00:14:51,920 --> 00:14:54,920 Speaker 8: complaint late Monday to the federal court in San Francisco, 284 00:14:55,440 --> 00:14:58,440 Speaker 8: with Governor k Newsom urging a judge to void the 285 00:14:58,520 --> 00:15:03,560 Speaker 8: president's orders and transfer the National Guard back from federal 286 00:15:04,120 --> 00:15:07,880 Speaker 8: Pentagon control to the command of the state. You mentioned 287 00:15:07,960 --> 00:15:11,960 Speaker 8: that situation in New Orleans. There was also the Los 288 00:15:12,000 --> 00:15:16,360 Speaker 8: Angeles riots in nineteen ninety two when Rodney King was detained. 289 00:15:17,160 --> 00:15:19,360 Speaker 8: In both of those cases, I believe it was local 290 00:15:19,440 --> 00:15:23,360 Speaker 8: authorities who requested federal help. What's particularly unusual about the 291 00:15:23,520 --> 00:15:27,120 Speaker 8: situation now is that the White House is authorizing and 292 00:15:27,200 --> 00:15:31,320 Speaker 8: deploying these forces without any request coming from state officials. 293 00:15:32,960 --> 00:15:35,640 Speaker 3: This is Bloomberg Daybreak Europe, your morning brief on the 294 00:15:35,720 --> 00:15:38,760 Speaker 3: stories making news from London to Wall Streets and beyond. 295 00:15:39,080 --> 00:15:43,000 Speaker 2: Look for us on your podcast feed every morning, on Apple, Spotify, 296 00:15:43,160 --> 00:15:45,000 Speaker 2: and anywhere else you get your podcasts. 297 00:15:45,120 --> 00:15:48,160 Speaker 3: You can also listen live each morning on London Dab Radio, 298 00:15:48,200 --> 00:15:50,520 Speaker 3: the Bloomberg Business app, and Bloomberg dot Com. 299 00:15:50,920 --> 00:15:53,680 Speaker 2: Our flagship New York station, is also available on your 300 00:15:53,720 --> 00:15:58,400 Speaker 2: Amazon Alexa devices. Just say Alexa Play Bloomberg eleven thirty. 301 00:15:58,680 --> 00:16:00,160 Speaker 2: I'm Caroline Hepcare. 302 00:16:00,000 --> 00:16:02,560 Speaker 3: I'm Stephen Carol. Join us again tomorrow morning for all 303 00:16:02,600 --> 00:16:04,960 Speaker 3: the news you need to start your day right here 304 00:16:05,080 --> 00:16:06,440 Speaker 3: on Bloomberg Daybreak Europe