1 00:00:15,120 --> 00:00:17,919 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you happy? Thursday? Welcome into 2 00:00:18,160 --> 00:00:21,079 Speaker 1: the latest episode of the Daily Juice podcast with me 3 00:00:21,160 --> 00:00:26,799 Speaker 1: Matt Perrault at Sports Talk Matt Bummer, the hats forward. 4 00:00:27,160 --> 00:00:31,800 Speaker 1: You know what that means, losing day. That's stunk. Well, 5 00:00:32,240 --> 00:00:35,840 Speaker 1: we probably were due. The play of the day, though, 6 00:00:35,880 --> 00:00:39,920 Speaker 1: has improved to four and zero in the month of June. 7 00:00:40,360 --> 00:00:42,600 Speaker 1: If you're just gonna bet one thing, just bet the 8 00:00:42,600 --> 00:00:45,440 Speaker 1: play of the day. I mean it's four and oh, 9 00:00:45,560 --> 00:00:48,159 Speaker 1: it's up over four units. It's been great for the 10 00:00:48,200 --> 00:00:51,400 Speaker 1: play of the day. Unfortunately, I got killed in baseball. 11 00:00:52,040 --> 00:00:55,760 Speaker 1: I got killed personally, I got killed officially. I got killed. 12 00:00:56,040 --> 00:00:57,720 Speaker 1: I had been really hot in baseball. I had a 13 00:00:57,760 --> 00:01:02,279 Speaker 1: really good Sunday, good week going the cool down day 14 00:01:02,400 --> 00:01:06,920 Speaker 1: was good. Giants Padres flew over. The Brewers hit a 15 00:01:06,920 --> 00:01:09,760 Speaker 1: three run home run. They're up six to one. They 16 00:01:09,800 --> 00:01:13,280 Speaker 1: hit a three run home run in the top of 17 00:01:13,319 --> 00:01:18,200 Speaker 1: the ninth inning to blow that nine to one total, 18 00:01:18,800 --> 00:01:22,440 Speaker 1: nine to one final, so the nine under We had 19 00:01:22,440 --> 00:01:26,160 Speaker 1: it all game long and then ugh, that should have 20 00:01:26,160 --> 00:01:28,440 Speaker 1: been a two and two day, but instead twins in 21 00:01:28,480 --> 00:01:31,320 Speaker 1: the A's came no close, nowhere near close going over. 22 00:01:31,840 --> 00:01:34,760 Speaker 1: But the twins win. The A's now have lost twenty 23 00:01:34,800 --> 00:01:39,520 Speaker 1: of twenty one and another run line for the A's 24 00:01:39,560 --> 00:01:45,640 Speaker 1: to lose on. They are now twenty and forty one, 25 00:01:45,680 --> 00:01:48,240 Speaker 1: I believe on the year on the run line unbelievable, 26 00:01:48,280 --> 00:01:51,240 Speaker 1: but down two point four units, so still up for 27 00:01:51,280 --> 00:01:54,280 Speaker 1: the week, but obviously a pretty big dent in the week. 28 00:01:54,360 --> 00:01:58,760 Speaker 1: With being down two point four units, I have got Well, 29 00:01:58,800 --> 00:02:02,440 Speaker 1: it's an All Basketball Day one WNBA play in three 30 00:02:02,640 --> 00:02:06,280 Speaker 1: bets on tonight's Game one in the NBA Finals to 31 00:02:06,320 --> 00:02:08,880 Speaker 1: give you guys coming up here in just one second. 32 00:02:08,919 --> 00:02:12,760 Speaker 1: But before we do that, let me remind you about 33 00:02:12,800 --> 00:02:16,240 Speaker 1: the offer. 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There's no lines out, but if 103 00:06:27,600 --> 00:06:29,720 Speaker 1: you want something, go ahead. There you go. Twins on 104 00:06:29,760 --> 00:06:32,840 Speaker 1: the run line against the Sacramento Ace. Don't even bet 105 00:06:32,880 --> 00:06:35,960 Speaker 1: the total, just twins to keep on winning. Go for 106 00:06:36,000 --> 00:06:38,560 Speaker 1: a four game sweep and four games on the run 107 00:06:38,600 --> 00:06:41,800 Speaker 1: line for the Twins against the Ace. If you need baseball, 108 00:06:42,000 --> 00:06:45,160 Speaker 1: let's talk WNBA first, okay, and let's talk about the 109 00:06:45,200 --> 00:06:48,159 Speaker 1: New York Liberty. They're at Washington now. These teams have 110 00:06:48,200 --> 00:06:53,200 Speaker 1: already played at Washington. Eighty five sixty three was the final. 111 00:06:53,680 --> 00:06:56,360 Speaker 1: The number was eight and a half. The game went under. 112 00:06:57,160 --> 00:06:59,400 Speaker 1: That was on May thirtieth. That was not that long ago. 113 00:07:00,880 --> 00:07:04,440 Speaker 1: Now we're right back here Washington. I believe this is 114 00:07:04,440 --> 00:07:07,520 Speaker 1: a Commissioner's Cup game, if my memory serves me correctly 115 00:07:07,560 --> 00:07:10,480 Speaker 1: on this, And yes, it's a Commissioner's Cup game, so 116 00:07:10,760 --> 00:07:13,040 Speaker 1: it means a little more. Obviously, teams are going to 117 00:07:13,120 --> 00:07:14,880 Speaker 1: try a little bit harder because it does count for 118 00:07:14,920 --> 00:07:18,000 Speaker 1: the Commissioner's Cup. The Washington Mystics are three and five 119 00:07:18,040 --> 00:07:19,600 Speaker 1: on the year, they're two and one at home. The 120 00:07:19,600 --> 00:07:21,880 Speaker 1: Liberty are seven to oh on the year. They are 121 00:07:21,920 --> 00:07:24,880 Speaker 1: three and oh on the road against the number. New 122 00:07:24,920 --> 00:07:28,720 Speaker 1: York is five and two, Washington is four and four. 123 00:07:29,120 --> 00:07:32,480 Speaker 1: So the New York Liberty have covered their last two games. 124 00:07:32,680 --> 00:07:36,360 Speaker 1: They beat up badly on Washington eighty five sixty three, 125 00:07:36,720 --> 00:07:40,160 Speaker 1: and then they dismantled Connecticut one hundred to fifty two. 126 00:07:40,760 --> 00:07:43,520 Speaker 1: You heard me right, one hundred to fifty two. That 127 00:07:43,560 --> 00:07:46,679 Speaker 1: line was eighteen. This line is eleven and a half. 128 00:07:46,760 --> 00:07:49,040 Speaker 1: It's only three points higher than the game a couple 129 00:07:49,080 --> 00:07:51,320 Speaker 1: of days ago when they were at Washington and they 130 00:07:51,320 --> 00:07:53,520 Speaker 1: won the game by eighteen points, covering the eight and 131 00:07:53,520 --> 00:07:55,920 Speaker 1: a half pretty easily. I don't think we have to 132 00:07:55,920 --> 00:07:58,400 Speaker 1: overthink this too much. New York is the best team 133 00:07:58,440 --> 00:08:03,160 Speaker 1: in the WNBA and they are annihilating people, and so 134 00:08:03,440 --> 00:08:05,480 Speaker 1: I mean it's sort of like a rinse and repeat 135 00:08:05,520 --> 00:08:07,400 Speaker 1: and not that big of a like, you know, shocker. 136 00:08:07,440 --> 00:08:10,160 Speaker 1: But lay the thirteen and a half. Some books are 137 00:08:10,200 --> 00:08:14,040 Speaker 1: already at fourteen New York on the road again, they 138 00:08:14,080 --> 00:08:18,280 Speaker 1: won by eighteen. Let's just bet it again, Liberty minus 139 00:08:18,320 --> 00:08:22,320 Speaker 1: thirteen and a half for one point one units. Now 140 00:08:23,600 --> 00:08:27,880 Speaker 1: the only bet on the game for OKC and the 141 00:08:27,920 --> 00:08:30,520 Speaker 1: Pacers that I am going to make on Game one 142 00:08:30,760 --> 00:08:33,920 Speaker 1: is the bet that I gave out on our live 143 00:08:34,000 --> 00:08:37,280 Speaker 1: show I guess sorry, on our preview show with Terrell 144 00:08:37,320 --> 00:08:39,600 Speaker 1: Furman and I for the NBA Finals. You can go 145 00:08:39,640 --> 00:08:42,240 Speaker 1: and watch that right now on the Betting Pros YouTube channel. 146 00:08:42,360 --> 00:08:44,240 Speaker 1: Terrell and I broke down a bunch of different prop 147 00:08:44,240 --> 00:08:46,520 Speaker 1: bets and way to bet game one, way to bet 148 00:08:46,559 --> 00:08:50,560 Speaker 1: the series. If remember, I bet on OKC at plus 149 00:08:50,600 --> 00:08:53,560 Speaker 1: one ten. I do so many shows now I forget 150 00:08:54,000 --> 00:08:56,040 Speaker 1: where I gave that out. I gave that out on 151 00:08:56,080 --> 00:09:00,960 Speaker 1: sports Grid where before Game seven to bet at plus 152 00:09:01,000 --> 00:09:03,560 Speaker 1: one ten because it was the last time that we 153 00:09:03,559 --> 00:09:06,200 Speaker 1: were gonna get plus money on the Thunder to win 154 00:09:06,240 --> 00:09:09,920 Speaker 1: the NBA Championship. So I have three units at plus 155 00:09:09,960 --> 00:09:13,520 Speaker 1: one ten down on OKC to win the series. I 156 00:09:13,559 --> 00:09:16,600 Speaker 1: don't think this series is going to go long. I, 157 00:09:16,679 --> 00:09:19,000 Speaker 1: like everyone else, believe this is going to be a 158 00:09:19,040 --> 00:09:21,280 Speaker 1: five game series with a four to one win for 159 00:09:21,320 --> 00:09:25,320 Speaker 1: the Thunder. I'm not giving that out why Because everybody 160 00:09:25,360 --> 00:09:27,560 Speaker 1: in the content space is on it. There is way 161 00:09:27,600 --> 00:09:30,280 Speaker 1: too much group think going on. I don't like it 162 00:09:30,320 --> 00:09:32,360 Speaker 1: at all. In fact, I'm actually kind of scared of 163 00:09:32,360 --> 00:09:34,720 Speaker 1: this series. All of a sudden because of how many 164 00:09:34,760 --> 00:09:37,520 Speaker 1: people have said four games to one and they're completely 165 00:09:37,520 --> 00:09:40,319 Speaker 1: dismissing the Pacers. So I'm a little bit nervous about that. 166 00:09:40,320 --> 00:09:44,200 Speaker 1: That makes me concerned. Just let's see how game one goes. 167 00:09:44,320 --> 00:09:48,319 Speaker 1: All right, The Oilers won Game one of the Stanley 168 00:09:48,360 --> 00:09:52,640 Speaker 1: Cup Finals at home in overtime. That series is going 169 00:09:52,679 --> 00:09:55,960 Speaker 1: to be an absolute barn burner, Like everybody thought, over 170 00:09:56,080 --> 00:09:59,480 Speaker 1: six and a half games probably go seven, you know, 171 00:09:59,640 --> 00:10:02,600 Speaker 1: probably Zigzag Florida is probably gonna win Game two, will 172 00:10:02,600 --> 00:10:05,640 Speaker 1: be on the Panthers in Game two. But I think 173 00:10:05,679 --> 00:10:08,400 Speaker 1: the energy of the building. You saw the the Edmonton 174 00:10:08,440 --> 00:10:12,760 Speaker 1: Oilers score in the first minute of action last night. 175 00:10:12,960 --> 00:10:15,840 Speaker 1: That building was on fire afterwards. I think the same 176 00:10:15,880 --> 00:10:18,640 Speaker 1: thing happens here tonight for the Thunder. The number was 177 00:10:18,679 --> 00:10:20,800 Speaker 1: three when I bet it, when we gave out we 178 00:10:20,800 --> 00:10:23,000 Speaker 1: did the preview. I'm not sure where it is now, 179 00:10:23,080 --> 00:10:25,120 Speaker 1: but I had it at three. I gave it out 180 00:10:25,160 --> 00:10:28,720 Speaker 1: at three. We're gonna keep it at three. First quarter, 181 00:10:29,040 --> 00:10:34,040 Speaker 1: OKC minus three against Indiana. I do think there's gonna 182 00:10:34,040 --> 00:10:37,120 Speaker 1: be nerves of the Pacers on the road first time. 183 00:10:37,360 --> 00:10:40,600 Speaker 1: Pascal Siakam is the only player really with any NBA 184 00:10:40,760 --> 00:10:45,040 Speaker 1: Finals experience on that team brand new for Halliburton Company 185 00:10:45,080 --> 00:10:49,000 Speaker 1: to play, and the Thunder destroy people. I'm gonna wait 186 00:10:49,040 --> 00:10:50,440 Speaker 1: and see if I can get a better number in 187 00:10:50,600 --> 00:10:53,480 Speaker 1: game I want like five, but I will bet the 188 00:10:53,520 --> 00:10:56,000 Speaker 1: Thunder for Game one. I do think they win Game one, 189 00:10:56,440 --> 00:10:59,000 Speaker 1: and they may win it going away. I'm just hoping 190 00:10:59,000 --> 00:11:00,719 Speaker 1: that in the first half get a better number. I 191 00:11:00,760 --> 00:11:02,920 Speaker 1: don't like laying nine and a half or nine. It's 192 00:11:03,320 --> 00:11:06,040 Speaker 1: in a finals game. That's a big number. So I 193 00:11:06,080 --> 00:11:08,520 Speaker 1: want it under two possessions. If I can get that, 194 00:11:08,600 --> 00:11:10,880 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Thunder, in particular with their ability 195 00:11:10,920 --> 00:11:13,720 Speaker 1: to throw out knockout punch in the fourth quarter, even 196 00:11:13,720 --> 00:11:17,760 Speaker 1: if the game is close. After three fourth quarter SGA 197 00:11:17,800 --> 00:11:20,120 Speaker 1: and Company tend to take over, and I think that 198 00:11:20,200 --> 00:11:24,280 Speaker 1: happens here. Everyone's betting this game to go over. I'd 199 00:11:24,320 --> 00:11:27,200 Speaker 1: be very careful about that, okay, if you had to, 200 00:11:27,240 --> 00:11:28,680 Speaker 1: If I had a gun to my head, I'd bet 201 00:11:28,679 --> 00:11:30,920 Speaker 1: the under. It could be like a one to twenty 202 00:11:30,960 --> 00:11:33,959 Speaker 1: to one hundred final. I know Terrell gave it out 203 00:11:34,000 --> 00:11:37,439 Speaker 1: on our preview show. He likes the first sorry team 204 00:11:37,520 --> 00:11:40,400 Speaker 1: total one ten and a half under for the Pacers. 205 00:11:40,440 --> 00:11:42,600 Speaker 1: I don't mind that either. Okay, I think the game 206 00:11:42,640 --> 00:11:45,320 Speaker 1: could go under, but I think if it goes If 207 00:11:45,320 --> 00:11:47,880 Speaker 1: the game goes under, the Pacers are going under and 208 00:11:47,920 --> 00:11:51,040 Speaker 1: they're gonna and the thunder will cover this game. Here's night. 209 00:11:51,200 --> 00:11:53,480 Speaker 1: So I want a better number. I want an end game, 210 00:11:53,520 --> 00:11:57,520 Speaker 1: but officially first quarter thunder minus three for one point 211 00:11:57,600 --> 00:12:01,960 Speaker 1: one units two NBA player props. Like I mentioned from 212 00:12:02,000 --> 00:12:05,640 Speaker 1: the prop bet cheat sheet. Let's talk about Obi Toppin. 213 00:12:06,000 --> 00:12:09,320 Speaker 1: We've been betting him. He's been very good. Obi topping 214 00:12:09,400 --> 00:12:13,520 Speaker 1: points in rebounds. So last two games against the Knicks 215 00:12:13,760 --> 00:12:16,240 Speaker 1: number was ten and a half. He had twenty four 216 00:12:16,559 --> 00:12:22,040 Speaker 1: and fifteen flew over both times. In game number four, 217 00:12:22,840 --> 00:12:25,360 Speaker 1: a one thirty one to twenty one win for the Pacers, 218 00:12:25,640 --> 00:12:27,920 Speaker 1: the number was eleven and a half like it is tonight, 219 00:12:28,200 --> 00:12:31,439 Speaker 1: he only had seven five points, two rebounds. Game before 220 00:12:31,559 --> 00:12:35,040 Speaker 1: that though, he had twelve eight points and four rebounds. 221 00:12:35,240 --> 00:12:38,160 Speaker 1: Number was eleven and a half. Game two number was 222 00:12:38,160 --> 00:12:40,840 Speaker 1: eleven and a half. He only had six four points 223 00:12:40,880 --> 00:12:44,079 Speaker 1: and two rebounds, but in game one he had the 224 00:12:44,160 --> 00:12:45,840 Speaker 1: number was ten and a half for Obi Toppin. For 225 00:12:45,880 --> 00:12:49,400 Speaker 1: points in rebounds, he had eighteen eight points ten rebounds 226 00:12:49,640 --> 00:12:51,680 Speaker 1: I think the bench is going to be so vitally 227 00:12:51,720 --> 00:12:56,440 Speaker 1: important for this Pacers team. I think Obi Topen needs 228 00:12:56,480 --> 00:12:59,080 Speaker 1: to have a big series, needs to play well in 229 00:12:59,120 --> 00:13:01,560 Speaker 1: those minutes in which you don't have the starters on 230 00:13:01,600 --> 00:13:04,400 Speaker 1: the floor. He's gone over this number three of the 231 00:13:04,480 --> 00:13:07,240 Speaker 1: last four games, and I mean, obviously the twenty four 232 00:13:07,280 --> 00:13:10,200 Speaker 1: points was because of a blowout, but he played big 233 00:13:10,240 --> 00:13:12,640 Speaker 1: minutes in a blowout. So I think if this game 234 00:13:12,640 --> 00:13:16,360 Speaker 1: does get away from Indiana, Topping will be on the floor. 235 00:13:16,880 --> 00:13:20,440 Speaker 1: I think it's a good bet Obi toppin over eleven 236 00:13:20,480 --> 00:13:24,880 Speaker 1: and a half points and rebounds at minus one twenty 237 00:13:25,120 --> 00:13:29,599 Speaker 1: for one point two units. And then finally, Aaron Nesmith. 238 00:13:29,960 --> 00:13:33,360 Speaker 1: He was everyone's darling. He had a monster game in 239 00:13:33,440 --> 00:13:37,720 Speaker 1: Game number one, thirty points. He had eight threes in 240 00:13:37,800 --> 00:13:41,720 Speaker 1: that unbelievable come from behind win in Game one in 241 00:13:41,760 --> 00:13:45,960 Speaker 1: which the Knicks were stunned and blew a fourteen point 242 00:13:46,080 --> 00:13:50,560 Speaker 1: lead late in that game. But since then, since then, 243 00:13:51,440 --> 00:13:56,200 Speaker 1: only one time, only once have we seen Aaron Nesmith 244 00:13:56,280 --> 00:13:58,880 Speaker 1: go over his points prop of eleven and a half. 245 00:13:59,360 --> 00:14:01,199 Speaker 1: The number was jumped up the twelve and a half. 246 00:14:01,360 --> 00:14:03,840 Speaker 1: He had twelve points in Game two, eight point in 247 00:14:03,880 --> 00:14:08,760 Speaker 1: game three, sixteen points in game number four, three points 248 00:14:08,800 --> 00:14:12,880 Speaker 1: in Game five, and ten points in game six. The 249 00:14:12,920 --> 00:14:16,720 Speaker 1: prop bet cheet sheet is projecting just eleven points and 250 00:14:16,760 --> 00:14:21,000 Speaker 1: the hook is in our favor because the knee is 251 00:14:21,120 --> 00:14:26,240 Speaker 1: not great and the ankle is not great. He's nursing 252 00:14:26,320 --> 00:14:29,360 Speaker 1: a couple of different injuries. Nobody's healthy here at this moment. 253 00:14:29,400 --> 00:14:31,560 Speaker 1: But you have to worry about AARONI Smith just in 254 00:14:31,640 --> 00:14:34,320 Speaker 1: terms of his jump shot and whether that ankle is 255 00:14:34,360 --> 00:14:37,920 Speaker 1: anywhere near where it needs to be. It hasn't. I mean, 256 00:14:38,240 --> 00:14:41,800 Speaker 1: after he hit eight threes in Game one, he hit 257 00:14:41,880 --> 00:14:45,880 Speaker 1: two one, two, one two. He never hit more than 258 00:14:45,920 --> 00:14:50,680 Speaker 1: two in a game again after Game one, and against 259 00:14:50,720 --> 00:14:54,120 Speaker 1: the Cleveland Cavaliers late in the series, after he twisted 260 00:14:54,160 --> 00:14:57,520 Speaker 1: the ankle, he really wasn't effective. You know. He had seven, twelve, 261 00:14:57,520 --> 00:15:00,760 Speaker 1: and thirteen in the final three games of the series 262 00:15:00,840 --> 00:15:04,400 Speaker 1: after being tremendous early in the series. So I know 263 00:15:04,440 --> 00:15:08,200 Speaker 1: the time off should help and should help him out. 264 00:15:08,600 --> 00:15:12,440 Speaker 1: But scoring on this defense, the guard play, I just 265 00:15:12,480 --> 00:15:14,280 Speaker 1: think that's going to be the difference in the series 266 00:15:14,640 --> 00:15:16,840 Speaker 1: that I don't think Nie Smith and Haliburton and company 267 00:15:16,880 --> 00:15:18,520 Speaker 1: are gonna have much of a shot to score a 268 00:15:18,520 --> 00:15:22,200 Speaker 1: ton of points up against this ferocious defense. For Oklahoma City, 269 00:15:22,440 --> 00:15:24,880 Speaker 1: We're gonna bet the under under eleven and a half 270 00:15:24,960 --> 00:15:30,360 Speaker 1: Aaron Nesmith for points for one point one units. Okay, 271 00:15:30,480 --> 00:15:34,000 Speaker 1: so four bets for us here on a Thursday. Liberty 272 00:15:34,080 --> 00:15:36,760 Speaker 1: minus thirteen and a half for one point one units. 273 00:15:36,920 --> 00:15:40,360 Speaker 1: Oksee Indiana first quarter laying it with the thunder laying 274 00:15:40,440 --> 00:15:43,280 Speaker 1: three points in the first quarter for one point one units, 275 00:15:43,520 --> 00:15:46,000 Speaker 1: Obi topping over points and rebounds of eleven and a 276 00:15:46,080 --> 00:15:49,160 Speaker 1: half for one point two and Aaron neath Smith under 277 00:15:49,200 --> 00:15:51,720 Speaker 1: eleven and a half for one point one units. Both 278 00:15:51,720 --> 00:15:53,760 Speaker 1: those bets coming up of the prop bit cheat cheat. 279 00:15:53,800 --> 00:15:55,840 Speaker 1: You guys can find that on the Betting pros app 280 00:15:55,960 --> 00:16:00,480 Speaker 1: or in bettingpros dot com. 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