1 00:00:05,800 --> 00:00:08,720 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Bloomberg p m L Podcast. I'm pim Fox. 2 00:00:08,760 --> 00:00:11,520 Speaker 1: Along with my co host Lisa Bramowitz. Each day we 3 00:00:11,640 --> 00:00:15,120 Speaker 1: bring you the most important, noteworthy, and useful interviews for 4 00:00:15,200 --> 00:00:17,840 Speaker 1: you and your money, whether you're at the grocery store 5 00:00:17,960 --> 00:00:20,720 Speaker 1: or the trading floor. Find the Bloomberg p m L 6 00:00:20,840 --> 00:00:33,240 Speaker 1: Podcast on Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud, and Bloomberg dot com. As 7 00:00:33,440 --> 00:00:38,320 Speaker 1: stock traders freaked out and the Dow, SMP and NASDAC 8 00:00:38,400 --> 00:00:42,559 Speaker 1: all plummeted earlier this week, credit markets remained a picture 9 00:00:42,680 --> 00:00:47,840 Speaker 1: of tranquility, or almost so. The big question here is 10 00:00:47,840 --> 00:00:50,800 Speaker 1: is that truly a reflection of not a lot of 11 00:00:50,920 --> 00:00:54,400 Speaker 1: risk and steady as she goes? Or is this something 12 00:00:54,520 --> 00:00:57,360 Speaker 1: else and perhaps the calm before a storm? And here 13 00:00:57,400 --> 00:01:00,240 Speaker 1: to help us understand that is Mike buck And And 14 00:01:00,280 --> 00:01:03,520 Speaker 1: he's Deputy Chief Investment Officer at Western Asset Management Co, 15 00:01:03,840 --> 00:01:07,240 Speaker 1: an independent affiliate of Like Mason, which overseas four hundred 16 00:01:07,280 --> 00:01:09,839 Speaker 1: and thirty three billion dollars uh and he is based 17 00:01:09,880 --> 00:01:12,600 Speaker 1: in Pasadena, California, where he comes to us from. Mike, 18 00:01:12,600 --> 00:01:14,800 Speaker 1: thank you so much for being with us. What's your 19 00:01:14,800 --> 00:01:17,959 Speaker 1: take here? Because we have seen a bit of spread widening, 20 00:01:18,000 --> 00:01:21,520 Speaker 1: particularly in high yield credit UH and yields are rising. 21 00:01:21,600 --> 00:01:25,120 Speaker 1: You are seeing some high yield bond deals getting pulled. 22 00:01:26,120 --> 00:01:28,520 Speaker 1: Are we Is this sort of the precipice before a 23 00:01:28,560 --> 00:01:34,040 Speaker 1: bigger weakness AILSA and thanks for having me on UM. Yeah. 24 00:01:34,240 --> 00:01:37,399 Speaker 1: I think our view is that, no, it's not the 25 00:01:37,440 --> 00:01:41,160 Speaker 1: precipice before some more meaningful fall. In fact, you know, 26 00:01:41,200 --> 00:01:44,360 Speaker 1: as we were watching all this volatility unfolding the equity 27 00:01:44,440 --> 00:01:49,200 Speaker 1: markets UH one, we maintained that it didn't seem like 28 00:01:49,240 --> 00:01:52,080 Speaker 1: this was a fundamental pullback. We couldn't find any real 29 00:01:52,200 --> 00:01:55,600 Speaker 1: evidence that, you know, fundamentals were the catalyst for what 30 00:01:55,680 --> 00:01:59,040 Speaker 1: was happening. It appeared to be technical. I think when 31 00:01:59,080 --> 00:02:03,600 Speaker 1: we got more clarity on the short ball funds and 32 00:02:03,600 --> 00:02:06,600 Speaker 1: how they were playing out in the market, it became 33 00:02:06,640 --> 00:02:10,040 Speaker 1: a little more clear what was driving that volatility. And 34 00:02:10,080 --> 00:02:13,000 Speaker 1: we came in yesterday morning really hoping to put some 35 00:02:13,040 --> 00:02:16,280 Speaker 1: money to work at UH meaningfully cheaper levels, and as 36 00:02:16,280 --> 00:02:19,160 Speaker 1: you pointed out in your introduction, didn't quite see that. 37 00:02:19,200 --> 00:02:22,000 Speaker 1: But we have seen some some weekending in price and 38 00:02:22,000 --> 00:02:24,600 Speaker 1: I think that's just creating a better opportunity in a 39 00:02:24,600 --> 00:02:27,000 Speaker 1: lot of these spread markets. So what are you buying 40 00:02:27,080 --> 00:02:31,040 Speaker 1: right now? Well, we're adding to high yield, and you know, 41 00:02:31,120 --> 00:02:34,680 Speaker 1: high yield still at you know, three d and sixty 42 00:02:34,760 --> 00:02:37,400 Speaker 1: basis points over if you look at just the generic index, 43 00:02:37,480 --> 00:02:41,720 Speaker 1: that's that's almost forty basis points wider UH than where 44 00:02:41,760 --> 00:02:44,720 Speaker 1: we were towards the end of January. And you know, 45 00:02:45,000 --> 00:02:48,400 Speaker 1: as you pointed out with with overall rates moving higher, 46 00:02:48,720 --> 00:02:51,200 Speaker 1: you know, that gets you to north of six percent. 47 00:02:51,520 --> 00:02:53,720 Speaker 1: And you know, as much as we wanted it to 48 00:02:53,760 --> 00:02:56,160 Speaker 1: go a little cheaper to add, we still think that's 49 00:02:57,040 --> 00:02:59,960 Speaker 1: a very good opportunity. We look at the fundamental backdrop 50 00:03:00,040 --> 00:03:05,000 Speaker 1: and seem very supportive credit fundamentals. UH fourth quarter earnings 51 00:03:05,000 --> 00:03:08,880 Speaker 1: are coming in very strong h so just a lot 52 00:03:08,919 --> 00:03:12,919 Speaker 1: of a lot of fundamental support for adding to that position. 53 00:03:13,240 --> 00:03:18,119 Speaker 1: UM also emerging markets. We think the real meaningful opportunity 54 00:03:18,120 --> 00:03:22,120 Speaker 1: and spread markets right now is in local currency emerging markets. 55 00:03:22,120 --> 00:03:26,119 Speaker 1: And again didn't really see you know, a meaningful sell off, 56 00:03:26,240 --> 00:03:29,160 Speaker 1: but UM saw a little bit of a backup, and 57 00:03:29,600 --> 00:03:32,680 Speaker 1: I think that just made it more attractive. Mike. If 58 00:03:32,760 --> 00:03:37,160 Speaker 1: yields increase, if interest rates increase, won't that put even 59 00:03:37,200 --> 00:03:39,760 Speaker 1: greater pressure on companies that have to go to the 60 00:03:39,840 --> 00:03:44,520 Speaker 1: high yield bond market. In order to finance their businesses. Yeah, 61 00:03:44,560 --> 00:03:47,800 Speaker 1: I think at the margin, that's that's accurate. Um. You know, 62 00:03:47,880 --> 00:03:50,600 Speaker 1: you do have a lot of below investment grade companies 63 00:03:50,640 --> 00:03:53,760 Speaker 1: that have accessed the floating rate market, and now that 64 00:03:54,520 --> 00:03:59,000 Speaker 1: short term rates libraar is essentially above all those library floors. 65 00:03:59,520 --> 00:04:02,640 Speaker 1: Every pick up in lieb or translates into you know, 66 00:04:02,720 --> 00:04:05,920 Speaker 1: higher interest costs for these companies. So you do have 67 00:04:06,000 --> 00:04:09,240 Speaker 1: to have a view on ultimately where you think rates 68 00:04:09,240 --> 00:04:12,680 Speaker 1: are going. Our view right now is that, um. You know, 69 00:04:12,680 --> 00:04:15,040 Speaker 1: if you look at what's priced into the market, you know, 70 00:04:15,120 --> 00:04:18,400 Speaker 1: three hikes this year, two hikes next year, that pretty 71 00:04:18,480 --> 00:04:23,240 Speaker 1: much gets you to the FEDS target their their terminal rate. Um. 72 00:04:23,279 --> 00:04:25,640 Speaker 1: So we we look at where rates are currently and 73 00:04:26,200 --> 00:04:30,839 Speaker 1: we think based on growth, based on inflation, Uh, there's 74 00:04:30,880 --> 00:04:36,479 Speaker 1: not a significant risk of meaningfully higher rates. Mike. I 75 00:04:36,520 --> 00:04:38,760 Speaker 1: want to talk about liquidity because you said that you 76 00:04:38,760 --> 00:04:42,040 Speaker 1: were hoping, you came in yesterday morning hoping to buy 77 00:04:42,160 --> 00:04:47,200 Speaker 1: some discounted bonds. Uh, there weren't that many opportunities because 78 00:04:47,200 --> 00:04:49,719 Speaker 1: people weren't necessarily selling them at such a big discounts. 79 00:04:49,720 --> 00:04:53,240 Speaker 1: And I'm wondering, you know, how concerned are you that 80 00:04:53,320 --> 00:04:56,200 Speaker 1: you really cannot move very big blocks of bonds. And 81 00:04:56,240 --> 00:04:59,279 Speaker 1: I know liquidity worries were all in vogue a couple 82 00:04:59,320 --> 00:05:01,920 Speaker 1: of years ago that people stopped caring, but I'm starting 83 00:05:01,920 --> 00:05:04,080 Speaker 1: to hear about it again around the margins. What's your 84 00:05:04,080 --> 00:05:06,880 Speaker 1: take on this, Well, I do think you have to 85 00:05:06,920 --> 00:05:10,760 Speaker 1: be very sensitive to um, you know, liquidity in the market, 86 00:05:10,920 --> 00:05:14,360 Speaker 1: and it's just a byproduct of of one the growth 87 00:05:14,520 --> 00:05:18,599 Speaker 1: in the corporate credit market, uh, combined with the amount 88 00:05:18,640 --> 00:05:22,479 Speaker 1: of risk capital that dealers have to commit to their 89 00:05:22,520 --> 00:05:25,680 Speaker 1: their inventory, and that was typically you know, the first 90 00:05:25,760 --> 00:05:29,800 Speaker 1: layer of of liquidity UM. And and just that dynamic 91 00:05:29,839 --> 00:05:33,040 Speaker 1: alone tells you there's less liquidity in this market, and 92 00:05:33,080 --> 00:05:36,000 Speaker 1: we operate with that assumption. When we're pricing out a bond. 93 00:05:36,400 --> 00:05:38,400 Speaker 1: We want to make sure that that we put a 94 00:05:38,440 --> 00:05:41,599 Speaker 1: little more of a liquidity premium than we did, you know, 95 00:05:41,680 --> 00:05:45,240 Speaker 1: let's say five or or ten years ago. UM. That 96 00:05:45,360 --> 00:05:48,800 Speaker 1: being said, Uh, what we found yesterday, and you know, 97 00:05:48,839 --> 00:05:50,560 Speaker 1: you only know this when you're kind of out in 98 00:05:50,600 --> 00:05:54,320 Speaker 1: the market and you're you're testing levels, is that UM, 99 00:05:54,360 --> 00:05:58,400 Speaker 1: the bids were actually very deep in the credit markets 100 00:05:58,400 --> 00:06:01,679 Speaker 1: and the e M markets. UM. You know, it seemed 101 00:06:01,720 --> 00:06:04,920 Speaker 1: like a lot of people had the same view or 102 00:06:05,160 --> 00:06:07,080 Speaker 1: or or we're trying to do the same thing that 103 00:06:07,120 --> 00:06:10,440 Speaker 1: we were, which was put money to work at more 104 00:06:10,440 --> 00:06:13,640 Speaker 1: attractive levels. So I do think if if, if we 105 00:06:13,680 --> 00:06:16,840 Speaker 1: had wanted to sell that, um, the bids were there, 106 00:06:16,960 --> 00:06:19,040 Speaker 1: albeit at maybe at lower prices, and we would have 107 00:06:19,080 --> 00:06:22,000 Speaker 1: been able to move substantial size. But to me, it 108 00:06:22,080 --> 00:06:27,159 Speaker 1: seemed like more more investment professionals were lining up on 109 00:06:27,200 --> 00:06:29,760 Speaker 1: the bidside, wanting to be buyers at lower levels as 110 00:06:29,760 --> 00:06:33,039 Speaker 1: opposed to wanting to sell it at higher levels. Where's 111 00:06:33,040 --> 00:06:35,839 Speaker 1: the biggest opportunity left in credit? I mean specific sectors 112 00:06:35,920 --> 00:06:40,200 Speaker 1: or even companies. Yeah, I mean I think there's there's 113 00:06:40,240 --> 00:06:43,560 Speaker 1: still a few within developed market credit. We do like 114 00:06:43,600 --> 00:06:45,400 Speaker 1: the high yield space, and I know that maybe a 115 00:06:45,400 --> 00:06:49,679 Speaker 1: little bit of a contrarian view, but our assessment really 116 00:06:49,720 --> 00:06:55,760 Speaker 1: is that ultimately fundamentals drive valuations, and fundamentals we see improving, 117 00:06:55,839 --> 00:07:01,080 Speaker 1: we see UH leverage metrics going lower, we see UH, 118 00:07:01,560 --> 00:07:04,599 Speaker 1: we see cash flow generation improving. We think tax reform 119 00:07:04,680 --> 00:07:06,760 Speaker 1: is going to be a little bit of an added 120 00:07:06,760 --> 00:07:09,520 Speaker 1: tail wind. And like I said earlier, at three sixty 121 00:07:09,560 --> 00:07:13,120 Speaker 1: basis points over treasuries, I think, um, that's that's that's 122 00:07:13,120 --> 00:07:15,640 Speaker 1: a reasonable. I mean not not a table pounder, but 123 00:07:15,720 --> 00:07:20,120 Speaker 1: a reasonable relative value anomaly. UM, I do think in 124 00:07:20,480 --> 00:07:23,240 Speaker 1: it within high yield. Uh. You know, you can focus 125 00:07:23,280 --> 00:07:27,960 Speaker 1: on some of the strong double bees that have a 126 00:07:27,960 --> 00:07:30,600 Speaker 1: a reasonable chance to move to investment grade. I think 127 00:07:30,720 --> 00:07:34,880 Speaker 1: in names like Freeport, McMoRan, H. Williams. You know, those 128 00:07:34,880 --> 00:07:37,280 Speaker 1: are names that UM, we think can definitely get to 129 00:07:37,360 --> 00:07:39,280 Speaker 1: I G. And if they do, you've you've got probably 130 00:07:39,320 --> 00:07:42,040 Speaker 1: another thirty to forty basis points of spread tightening there. 131 00:07:42,280 --> 00:07:44,120 Speaker 1: I just want to give you about twenty seconds that 132 00:07:44,160 --> 00:07:47,400 Speaker 1: you talked about emerging markets. What about Argentina, the Republic 133 00:07:47,400 --> 00:07:52,160 Speaker 1: of Argentina. We like Argentina. We think that UM, you 134 00:07:52,200 --> 00:07:54,960 Speaker 1: know that you're just you're starting with such a high 135 00:07:55,040 --> 00:07:59,760 Speaker 1: nominal rate almost fifteen percent on their local currency tenure. 136 00:08:00,440 --> 00:08:03,760 Speaker 1: UM that even when you factor in the inflation, and 137 00:08:03,800 --> 00:08:07,400 Speaker 1: by the way, we think inflation is trending lower there. UM, 138 00:08:07,520 --> 00:08:10,280 Speaker 1: you look at the real yield and that looks very 139 00:08:10,320 --> 00:08:12,720 Speaker 1: compelling when you compare it to the real yields that 140 00:08:12,720 --> 00:08:16,160 Speaker 1: you're getting in most developed markets. Thanks very much for 141 00:08:16,200 --> 00:08:19,600 Speaker 1: being with us. Mike Buchanan is Deputy Chief Investment Officer 142 00:08:19,920 --> 00:08:23,560 Speaker 1: for Western Asset Management. They are an independent affiliate of 143 00:08:23,800 --> 00:08:26,760 Speaker 1: leg Mason helping to manage more than four hundred and 144 00:08:26,840 --> 00:08:45,640 Speaker 1: thirty billion dollars. Joining us from Pasadena, California. Tesla a 145 00:08:45,720 --> 00:08:50,400 Speaker 1: company to surely draw some passionate responses, whether people are 146 00:08:50,480 --> 00:08:52,760 Speaker 1: afford it or against it. Here to talk about what 147 00:08:52,800 --> 00:08:55,720 Speaker 1: to expect for the earnings which we should get after 148 00:08:55,800 --> 00:09:00,000 Speaker 1: the bell. Today's Alan Boum Auto Analysts and principle Aboum 149 00:09:00,040 --> 00:09:02,719 Speaker 1: and Associates. Alan, thank you so much for being with us. 150 00:09:03,400 --> 00:09:05,880 Speaker 1: How much are we really going to learn about? The 151 00:09:05,920 --> 00:09:08,680 Speaker 1: burning question? And no, it is not the space rocket 152 00:09:08,720 --> 00:09:12,959 Speaker 1: that was launched yesterday. It is can Tesla actually produce 153 00:09:13,080 --> 00:09:16,960 Speaker 1: the cars they have promised? Yeah, I mean the answer 154 00:09:17,080 --> 00:09:20,960 Speaker 1: is they can. The obvious question is when, uh and 155 00:09:21,080 --> 00:09:24,400 Speaker 1: so uh you know, the the idea of are they 156 00:09:24,400 --> 00:09:26,400 Speaker 1: going to hit their goals at the end of this 157 00:09:26,600 --> 00:09:29,679 Speaker 1: quarter and at the end of the next quarter. Each 158 00:09:29,679 --> 00:09:33,280 Speaker 1: of those have been put off several times and obviously 159 00:09:33,320 --> 00:09:37,160 Speaker 1: that's the burning question as you as you mentioned for 160 00:09:37,360 --> 00:09:43,280 Speaker 1: the earnings called this afternoon because this is obviously a 161 00:09:43,360 --> 00:09:46,439 Speaker 1: future stock, you know, it's based on where this company 162 00:09:46,559 --> 00:09:51,120 Speaker 1: is going. Um, and so that's the issue, ar if, 163 00:09:51,160 --> 00:09:53,679 Speaker 1: that's the issue. Is it likely that they're going to 164 00:09:53,760 --> 00:09:57,079 Speaker 1: announce any management changes at Tesla because there has been 165 00:09:57,080 --> 00:10:00,720 Speaker 1: a rotating senior executive panel when it comes to actually 166 00:10:00,800 --> 00:10:04,520 Speaker 1: producing this model three. Yeah, there have been a lot 167 00:10:04,520 --> 00:10:07,520 Speaker 1: of changes, and actually I'm more interested in this probably 168 00:10:07,520 --> 00:10:11,120 Speaker 1: wouldn't get much coverage in the in the call today. 169 00:10:11,760 --> 00:10:15,679 Speaker 1: On the operational side. Uh, you know if some quarters 170 00:10:15,720 --> 00:10:18,880 Speaker 1: there even a year or two ago. Uh, Tesla brought 171 00:10:18,920 --> 00:10:23,959 Speaker 1: in some manufacturing experts. Uh that got them uh some 172 00:10:24,120 --> 00:10:28,120 Speaker 1: progress obviously, but those are the kinds of things that 173 00:10:28,120 --> 00:10:31,560 Speaker 1: that they need to do. UM. I've always said that 174 00:10:31,640 --> 00:10:36,520 Speaker 1: Tesla understood, unlike a lot of it startup EV competitors, UH, 175 00:10:36,640 --> 00:10:40,080 Speaker 1: that it was an auto company. UM. And it has 176 00:10:40,640 --> 00:10:43,880 Speaker 1: over a long period of time for AUDI in key 177 00:10:43,920 --> 00:10:47,560 Speaker 1: technical professionals. Uh, there's obviously been a fair amount of 178 00:10:47,600 --> 00:10:51,319 Speaker 1: churn there. Um. And uh what they're trying to do 179 00:10:51,480 --> 00:10:54,760 Speaker 1: is obviously very difficult. So they need that kind of 180 00:10:54,800 --> 00:10:59,920 Speaker 1: help and uh those kind of questions need to be answered. Allan, 181 00:11:00,120 --> 00:11:05,440 Speaker 1: I don't understand how anyone tries to actually value these shares. 182 00:11:05,760 --> 00:11:09,360 Speaker 1: I should just point out that the broad SMP index 183 00:11:09,480 --> 00:11:12,760 Speaker 1: is up lesson two percent, Tesla shares up about ten 184 00:11:12,800 --> 00:11:15,280 Speaker 1: and a half percent just so far this year, following 185 00:11:15,280 --> 00:11:21,560 Speaker 1: a forty game last year. How are you evaluating this company? Well, 186 00:11:21,720 --> 00:11:25,959 Speaker 1: clearly you can't do it on the fundamental This is 187 00:11:26,000 --> 00:11:30,440 Speaker 1: a momentum stock. This is an emotional stock. I'm not 188 00:11:30,480 --> 00:11:35,200 Speaker 1: gonna sit here and say, well, based on the expectation 189 00:11:35,280 --> 00:11:40,160 Speaker 1: of failed production profits, we're gonna see this. Um. The 190 00:11:40,240 --> 00:11:43,960 Speaker 1: market is determining this stock. And obviously that's the ridiculous 191 00:11:44,040 --> 00:11:49,160 Speaker 1: and true statement. Um. But the point being is how 192 00:11:49,760 --> 00:11:54,040 Speaker 1: can they move forward? As obviously they continue to miss 193 00:11:54,679 --> 00:11:57,600 Speaker 1: the targets. Now, the flip side of that is the 194 00:11:57,760 --> 00:12:01,400 Speaker 1: Model three is different, um. And what I mean by 195 00:12:01,480 --> 00:12:04,839 Speaker 1: that is, Um, you know, the bolt is out there, 196 00:12:05,120 --> 00:12:07,520 Speaker 1: the leaf has been redone and we're gonna have a 197 00:12:07,520 --> 00:12:10,360 Speaker 1: second version of it later this year. And I would 198 00:12:10,480 --> 00:12:14,960 Speaker 1: argue that just doesn't matter because the Model three, the 199 00:12:15,040 --> 00:12:18,240 Speaker 1: Model Esque, the Model X, they are viewed in a 200 00:12:18,320 --> 00:12:23,400 Speaker 1: different spectrum than those vehicles. Now, what does matter, perhaps 201 00:12:23,880 --> 00:12:29,040 Speaker 1: is as Audi as Poors, as BMW, uh as uh 202 00:12:29,080 --> 00:12:33,440 Speaker 1: as Daimler start to put out models. Um. And yes 203 00:12:33,640 --> 00:12:37,080 Speaker 1: those are luxury brands, and Tesla is trying to move 204 00:12:37,520 --> 00:12:40,720 Speaker 1: down market, if you will, But it's still viewed in 205 00:12:40,880 --> 00:12:44,480 Speaker 1: that luxury mill you and so the that has the 206 00:12:44,520 --> 00:12:47,560 Speaker 1: potential to be a problem. I just don't see the 207 00:12:47,600 --> 00:12:51,480 Speaker 1: bolts or the leaf uh as as a competitor. Really, 208 00:12:51,480 --> 00:12:56,320 Speaker 1: why not, because it's because of the way the product 209 00:12:56,440 --> 00:12:59,959 Speaker 1: is viewed. What Tesla has done is not only did 210 00:13:00,040 --> 00:13:03,920 Speaker 1: they create an electric car, obviously and and but they 211 00:13:04,040 --> 00:13:10,360 Speaker 1: created a good car from a from a non uh, 212 00:13:10,520 --> 00:13:14,720 Speaker 1: environmental perspective. It was is fun to drive the S 213 00:13:14,760 --> 00:13:17,920 Speaker 1: and the X, the three. It's obviously going to be different, 214 00:13:18,480 --> 00:13:23,040 Speaker 1: but it is still viewed within that that genre of 215 00:13:23,080 --> 00:13:27,160 Speaker 1: being Okay, this is something special and uh. Of course, 216 00:13:27,200 --> 00:13:29,199 Speaker 1: you know, if you can't make the car, or if 217 00:13:29,200 --> 00:13:32,480 Speaker 1: the quality isn't awful, then you're gonna lose some of 218 00:13:32,480 --> 00:13:35,960 Speaker 1: that specialness if you will. But I just see it 219 00:13:35,960 --> 00:13:40,280 Speaker 1: as still being has the opportunity to be viewed in 220 00:13:40,360 --> 00:13:43,800 Speaker 1: that positive light. Thank you very much. Alan Boum, auto 221 00:13:43,840 --> 00:13:47,240 Speaker 1: analyst and a principle at Boum and Associates, giving us 222 00:13:47,280 --> 00:14:04,840 Speaker 1: a preview of Testa the shares of trunk they are 223 00:14:04,920 --> 00:14:07,960 Speaker 1: higher right now by more than twenty six percent. After 224 00:14:08,040 --> 00:14:11,680 Speaker 1: agreeing to sell the Los Angeles Times for five hundred 225 00:14:11,720 --> 00:14:15,120 Speaker 1: million dollars, this begins a new chapter in the newspapers 226 00:14:15,160 --> 00:14:18,120 Speaker 1: one hundred and thirty six year old history. Here to 227 00:14:18,160 --> 00:14:20,920 Speaker 1: tell us about this another media events his Porter bib 228 00:14:20,960 --> 00:14:24,040 Speaker 1: managing partner Media Tech Capital Partners, and he can be 229 00:14:24,080 --> 00:14:28,200 Speaker 1: followed on Twitter at Porter three. Al Right, Porter, what 230 00:14:28,240 --> 00:14:32,600 Speaker 1: do you make of this sale to a local investor? And? Um, 231 00:14:32,640 --> 00:14:35,760 Speaker 1: the future of the San Diego Union Tribune and the 232 00:14:35,880 --> 00:14:38,440 Speaker 1: l A Times, Well, the l A Times and and 233 00:14:38,480 --> 00:14:42,320 Speaker 1: perhaps the San Diego Tribune, We're both going to implode 234 00:14:42,480 --> 00:14:46,080 Speaker 1: over the dysfunctional Trunk management. And so this is a 235 00:14:46,160 --> 00:14:49,720 Speaker 1: lifesaver for the papers and for the community, and having 236 00:14:49,760 --> 00:14:54,280 Speaker 1: a local owner is a huge benefit. The real issue, though, 237 00:14:54,480 --> 00:14:58,480 Speaker 1: is the price. Half of half a billion dollars is 238 00:14:58,520 --> 00:15:01,520 Speaker 1: twice what Jeff Be's was paid for the Washington Post. 239 00:15:01,600 --> 00:15:06,760 Speaker 1: This is cash twenty in cash and pension liabilities. Yeah, 240 00:15:06,840 --> 00:15:11,560 Speaker 1: but he's a the buyer is a shareholder, major shareholder 241 00:15:11,600 --> 00:15:15,240 Speaker 1: in Trunk. So, Uh, he had to have some insight 242 00:15:15,360 --> 00:15:18,360 Speaker 1: into what he was doing. Um, I think if he, 243 00:15:18,560 --> 00:15:21,760 Speaker 1: if he is smart, and he lets the editorial and 244 00:15:22,160 --> 00:15:26,960 Speaker 1: management staff of the two papers, uh do their thing. Uh, 245 00:15:27,000 --> 00:15:30,320 Speaker 1: there's a great opportunity because clearly the l A Times 246 00:15:30,400 --> 00:15:33,120 Speaker 1: is one of the three great newspapers along with the 247 00:15:33,120 --> 00:15:35,640 Speaker 1: Washington Post in the New York Times that will survive 248 00:15:35,720 --> 00:15:38,320 Speaker 1: in the United States and globally. I think there's a 249 00:15:38,320 --> 00:15:40,760 Speaker 1: big question. And we've actually seen the Washington Post in 250 00:15:40,760 --> 00:15:44,880 Speaker 1: New York Times gain traction with getting subscribers actually pay 251 00:15:45,920 --> 00:15:48,800 Speaker 1: digital subscribed. That's what I'm saying, digital subscribers. I should 252 00:15:48,800 --> 00:15:51,080 Speaker 1: have said the digital parks. But but you know, the 253 00:15:51,120 --> 00:15:53,800 Speaker 1: actually pay for the content and the l a times 254 00:15:54,120 --> 00:15:57,800 Speaker 1: UH needs to provide. Yeah, they're they're offering a dollar 255 00:15:57,880 --> 00:16:01,920 Speaker 1: ninety nine for six months subscription. It's not that's not 256 00:16:02,000 --> 00:16:07,800 Speaker 1: one but one dollar nine. But with respect to subscriptions, 257 00:16:07,800 --> 00:16:09,840 Speaker 1: we also got results from Disney last night, and I 258 00:16:09,840 --> 00:16:12,120 Speaker 1: thought that it was interesting what they're doing with ESPN, 259 00:16:12,920 --> 00:16:18,080 Speaker 1: looking to create some kind of UH special service that 260 00:16:18,200 --> 00:16:22,040 Speaker 1: you can pay for almost five dollars a month for. 261 00:16:22,320 --> 00:16:25,680 Speaker 1: What is this and does that make ESPN more valuable 262 00:16:25,800 --> 00:16:29,520 Speaker 1: or is this just more noise? Well, ESPN, like everything 263 00:16:29,560 --> 00:16:35,360 Speaker 1: else on cable UH and and traditional television distribution UM, 264 00:16:36,600 --> 00:16:41,120 Speaker 1: the legendary media that we used to know UM, has 265 00:16:41,160 --> 00:16:44,480 Speaker 1: been losing customers. And when they lose customers or viewers 266 00:16:44,600 --> 00:16:48,560 Speaker 1: in this case, they lose advertising revenue. So the Disney 267 00:16:48,800 --> 00:16:52,680 Speaker 1: is adopting over the top two revenue stream. They want 268 00:16:53,240 --> 00:16:56,520 Speaker 1: subscription money and they want advertising, and they will do 269 00:16:56,560 --> 00:16:59,880 Speaker 1: that because an awful lot of people subscribe to cable 270 00:17:00,160 --> 00:17:04,080 Speaker 1: right now for two reasons. HBO and ESPN and all 271 00:17:04,080 --> 00:17:07,679 Speaker 1: the live sports that ESPN can provide on cable. And 272 00:17:07,720 --> 00:17:12,520 Speaker 1: if if you can save eight ninety d plus dollars 273 00:17:13,080 --> 00:17:15,520 Speaker 1: on your cable subscription and spend only five or ten 274 00:17:15,600 --> 00:17:20,520 Speaker 1: or fifteen for HBO and for ESPN, your way ahead 275 00:17:20,520 --> 00:17:22,879 Speaker 1: of the game. And that they're targeting the millennials who 276 00:17:22,920 --> 00:17:27,760 Speaker 1: are already over the top and not they're not cord cutters, 277 00:17:27,800 --> 00:17:31,120 Speaker 1: their cord nevers. And that's the future. Tell me about 278 00:17:31,119 --> 00:17:33,440 Speaker 1: the future of Viacom. They're going to be releasing their 279 00:17:33,440 --> 00:17:37,960 Speaker 1: results tomorrow before the market opens. Uh, tell me about 280 00:17:38,000 --> 00:17:42,200 Speaker 1: the challenges that Viacom faces and the h I guess 281 00:17:42,240 --> 00:17:44,439 Speaker 1: it's a maybe they could even make it into a movie. 282 00:17:44,560 --> 00:17:49,000 Speaker 1: Viacom and CBS and the red Stone Family that that 283 00:17:49,000 --> 00:17:52,680 Speaker 1: that's something Viacom could do, because Paramount could use some 284 00:17:52,680 --> 00:17:56,200 Speaker 1: some new down in their their film side. I think 285 00:17:56,280 --> 00:17:58,800 Speaker 1: we're not in an apocalypse, but we're in a sea 286 00:17:58,920 --> 00:18:02,560 Speaker 1: change train in sition period two thousand and eighteen is 287 00:18:02,560 --> 00:18:05,800 Speaker 1: going to go down as as the end of legacy 288 00:18:05,880 --> 00:18:10,240 Speaker 1: media and the real beginning of digital media. And Vehicom 289 00:18:10,440 --> 00:18:14,480 Speaker 1: has to combine with CBS. Not for any other reason 290 00:18:14,520 --> 00:18:17,920 Speaker 1: than that's what Sherry Redstone really wants to do. She's 291 00:18:17,920 --> 00:18:22,240 Speaker 1: put her foot down. Less moonves is is the stumbling 292 00:18:22,280 --> 00:18:26,160 Speaker 1: block because he wants unfettered, absolute control of the combined 293 00:18:26,160 --> 00:18:28,920 Speaker 1: companies or he won't play. He did try to buy 294 00:18:29,000 --> 00:18:32,920 Speaker 1: CBS three years ago and he couldn't persuade the Ridstones 295 00:18:33,000 --> 00:18:36,080 Speaker 1: to sell it to him. So he may or may 296 00:18:36,080 --> 00:18:38,719 Speaker 1: not be part of the picture going forward. But what 297 00:18:38,920 --> 00:18:42,760 Speaker 1: is is the next shoe to drop is Verizon steps 298 00:18:42,760 --> 00:18:46,960 Speaker 1: in and buys the combined Vehcom and CBS. And Sherry 299 00:18:47,000 --> 00:18:52,320 Speaker 1: knows that if CBS, which is Verizon's real target, um doesn't. 300 00:18:53,119 --> 00:18:57,000 Speaker 1: If CBS gets bought by Verizon, she'll never get rid 301 00:18:57,040 --> 00:19:00,480 Speaker 1: of Vehicom and it'll just die. I want to I 302 00:19:00,520 --> 00:19:02,560 Speaker 1: want to pick up on something that you said digital 303 00:19:02,680 --> 00:19:05,440 Speaker 1: media they need to transform to that. What is that 304 00:19:05,520 --> 00:19:08,240 Speaker 1: and what is the uh sort of premier model of 305 00:19:08,240 --> 00:19:12,600 Speaker 1: who's doing it right? Well, Disney has a good start, 306 00:19:12,760 --> 00:19:16,440 Speaker 1: but you have to give Netflix as the pioneer. They 307 00:19:16,520 --> 00:19:19,200 Speaker 1: have done it better than anybody. They've got a ninety 308 00:19:19,240 --> 00:19:22,520 Speaker 1: million subscribers in the United States right now. They've kept 309 00:19:22,560 --> 00:19:26,320 Speaker 1: the price low. If you remember three or four years ago, 310 00:19:26,680 --> 00:19:31,199 Speaker 1: Netflix tried to increase the monthly subscription and the bottom 311 00:19:31,240 --> 00:19:36,119 Speaker 1: fell out of their subscriber base. So keeping the price low. Uh, 312 00:19:36,160 --> 00:19:39,320 Speaker 1: That's that's half the secret. The other secret is having 313 00:19:39,640 --> 00:19:42,800 Speaker 1: terrific content and lots of it and refreshing the content. 314 00:19:42,840 --> 00:19:46,480 Speaker 1: That's why Netflix is spending eight billion dollars creating new 315 00:19:46,560 --> 00:19:50,760 Speaker 1: content this year. Twenty one century. Fox is going to 316 00:19:50,840 --> 00:19:53,840 Speaker 1: report their results after the market closes today. What are 317 00:19:53,840 --> 00:19:58,600 Speaker 1: your thoughts about the Murdoch empire. Well, Uh, Rupert has 318 00:19:58,680 --> 00:20:02,560 Speaker 1: one last team and that's to be the largest shareholder 319 00:20:02,560 --> 00:20:06,359 Speaker 1: in Disney, which he will be um he and his 320 00:20:06,440 --> 00:20:09,800 Speaker 1: family and his and his family trust when the Disney 321 00:20:10,080 --> 00:20:15,040 Speaker 1: Fox deal billion dollar deal, that's right, and and what 322 00:20:15,160 --> 00:20:17,080 Speaker 1: he will be left with is what he what he 323 00:20:17,119 --> 00:20:20,560 Speaker 1: knows and loves, which is news and sports. And by 324 00:20:20,600 --> 00:20:24,720 Speaker 1: the way, he's still trying to get control of Sky 325 00:20:24,840 --> 00:20:28,960 Speaker 1: in the UK and the government that the parliamentary regulators 326 00:20:28,960 --> 00:20:31,960 Speaker 1: have said there's no way, Jose. They want Disney to 327 00:20:32,000 --> 00:20:35,160 Speaker 1: buy those assets and to own all of Sky, which 328 00:20:35,200 --> 00:20:37,600 Speaker 1: Disney wants to do as well. Bob Iger mentioned that 329 00:20:37,680 --> 00:20:41,359 Speaker 1: in his earning school yesterday, So just a real quick 330 00:20:41,560 --> 00:20:44,760 Speaker 1: what's the m and a deal that hasn't happened yet 331 00:20:45,000 --> 00:20:47,520 Speaker 1: that we're going to be talking about later this year. 332 00:20:47,840 --> 00:20:52,600 Speaker 1: The real issue is what happens to the cable companies, 333 00:20:53,600 --> 00:20:57,159 Speaker 1: because they're going to lose the cable business over the 334 00:20:57,200 --> 00:21:01,560 Speaker 1: next five years. The flips eye of that whole story, though, 335 00:21:01,760 --> 00:21:04,840 Speaker 1: is that they are the largest Internet service providers and 336 00:21:04,880 --> 00:21:09,960 Speaker 1: they will get more and more entrenched in providing a faster, better, 337 00:21:10,240 --> 00:21:15,679 Speaker 1: and unfortunately more expensive access to the Internet. So in 338 00:21:15,720 --> 00:21:19,199 Speaker 1: other words, Verizon and others other Verizon already has that 339 00:21:19,320 --> 00:21:24,080 Speaker 1: Comcast Charter spectrum. The uh look, look what all Tiss 340 00:21:24,119 --> 00:21:25,960 Speaker 1: has come up with. This is the future of the 341 00:21:26,000 --> 00:21:30,920 Speaker 1: cable industry. They have eliminated the cable box. They've got 342 00:21:32,000 --> 00:21:35,679 Speaker 1: voice controlled. It've eliminated the remote control, so that you 343 00:21:35,720 --> 00:21:39,120 Speaker 1: can just say channel five verbally the way you would 344 00:21:39,119 --> 00:21:42,840 Speaker 1: to Alexa or Google Assistant, and that changes the channel 345 00:21:42,840 --> 00:21:46,040 Speaker 1: on your TV. That's the future of of the cable industry. 346 00:21:46,040 --> 00:21:49,879 Speaker 1: But it's really all targeted at Internet and over the top. Porter, 347 00:21:49,920 --> 00:21:51,560 Speaker 1: bb thank you so much for being with us. Always 348 00:21:51,560 --> 00:21:55,280 Speaker 1: a pleasure. Porter, managing partner at Media Tech Capital Partners 349 00:21:55,320 --> 00:21:58,040 Speaker 1: in New York, joining us here in our eleven three 350 00:21:58,080 --> 00:22:14,879 Speaker 1: oh studios. The shares of Win Resorts are hired by 351 00:22:14,920 --> 00:22:20,040 Speaker 1: nearly ten percent. The former chief executive of the company, 352 00:22:20,160 --> 00:22:23,359 Speaker 1: Steven Wynn, he owns a little bit more than eleven 353 00:22:23,359 --> 00:22:27,560 Speaker 1: and a half percent. Former wife Lane Win owning about 354 00:22:27,640 --> 00:22:30,240 Speaker 1: nine and a quarter percent. What's next for the company 355 00:22:30,240 --> 00:22:33,040 Speaker 1: that has his name on the door? Here to tell 356 00:22:33,080 --> 00:22:36,159 Speaker 1: us more? Brian Eggar are senior Gaming and Lodging analyst 357 00:22:36,359 --> 00:22:40,200 Speaker 1: for a Bloomberg Intelligence Brian, thanks very much for being 358 00:22:40,520 --> 00:22:42,800 Speaker 1: with us in coming in so all right, give us 359 00:22:42,800 --> 00:22:46,359 Speaker 1: the details about Win Resorts. When you've got someone whose 360 00:22:46,400 --> 00:22:51,280 Speaker 1: name is literally on the door uh and owns almost 361 00:22:51,320 --> 00:22:54,639 Speaker 1: twelve percent of the company, and he's no longer going 362 00:22:54,680 --> 00:22:58,520 Speaker 1: to be running it's next. So the successor CEO, a 363 00:22:58,520 --> 00:23:01,320 Speaker 1: guy named Matt Maddox, had previously been president. He was 364 00:23:01,440 --> 00:23:04,960 Speaker 1: chief financial officer before that. UH, fairly well known and 365 00:23:05,000 --> 00:23:08,840 Speaker 1: well respected by the street. Clearly not known for the 366 00:23:08,880 --> 00:23:12,840 Speaker 1: developing of all the UH of all the famous casinos 367 00:23:12,880 --> 00:23:14,840 Speaker 1: for which Win is known going back to the days 368 00:23:14,880 --> 00:23:18,000 Speaker 1: of the gold Nugget and mirage. Nevertheless, I think there 369 00:23:18,080 --> 00:23:20,639 Speaker 1: was some expectation that we'd see a succession here, given 370 00:23:21,080 --> 00:23:25,159 Speaker 1: the allegations that came out on February and the subsequent 371 00:23:25,400 --> 00:23:28,360 Speaker 1: scrutiny by both the Bord of Directors and Win itself 372 00:23:28,480 --> 00:23:33,800 Speaker 1: and several gaming regulators. So not entirely unexpected. Not expected, 373 00:23:33,880 --> 00:23:36,200 Speaker 1: but a lot of people were talking about the cult 374 00:23:36,200 --> 00:23:39,679 Speaker 1: of personality amid a lot of the allegations, and you 375 00:23:39,680 --> 00:23:42,920 Speaker 1: know he had that, so you know, will there be 376 00:23:43,000 --> 00:23:47,440 Speaker 1: something lost without that? I think you could argue there 377 00:23:47,560 --> 00:23:50,520 Speaker 1: is a win premium associated with the valuation and with 378 00:23:50,560 --> 00:23:53,800 Speaker 1: the stock having retreated from the low two hundreds before 379 00:23:53,840 --> 00:23:57,240 Speaker 1: this scandal broke two more recently mid one sixties today 380 00:23:57,480 --> 00:24:00,480 Speaker 1: back to the one seventies um much of at has 381 00:24:00,480 --> 00:24:02,400 Speaker 1: been taken to account of the way we do the math. 382 00:24:02,840 --> 00:24:06,399 Speaker 1: If you lob one multiple point off of the valuation 383 00:24:06,480 --> 00:24:09,800 Speaker 1: of the Ibadat cash flow in either Vegas or Macau, 384 00:24:09,880 --> 00:24:12,640 Speaker 1: it reduces the value of when by anywhere from three 385 00:24:12,640 --> 00:24:15,080 Speaker 1: percent to five percent. Much of that has happened. The 386 00:24:15,119 --> 00:24:19,320 Speaker 1: reason the stock is up today is with the resolution 387 00:24:19,640 --> 00:24:24,040 Speaker 1: of succession. Uh it does away some concerns that regulators 388 00:24:24,080 --> 00:24:27,560 Speaker 1: might have had about suitability of Mr Wynn himself and 389 00:24:27,720 --> 00:24:31,480 Speaker 1: perhaps reduces the risk associated with them pursuing their midnightteen, 390 00:24:31,560 --> 00:24:35,119 Speaker 1: mid twenty nineteen opening of a casino in Boston Harbor, 391 00:24:35,200 --> 00:24:38,520 Speaker 1: which is a really important project for the company. Brian, 392 00:24:39,040 --> 00:24:44,080 Speaker 1: why didn't the boards suspend Steve Win prior to this? Uh? 393 00:24:44,160 --> 00:24:46,560 Speaker 1: This announcement? I mean, you know, when the investigation was 394 00:24:46,600 --> 00:24:49,520 Speaker 1: going on, So basically the day this news broken was 395 00:24:50,440 --> 00:24:53,560 Speaker 1: originally discussed in the media when Resorts set up a 396 00:24:53,600 --> 00:24:58,040 Speaker 1: special committee of outside directors to investigate the allegations, parallel 397 00:24:58,080 --> 00:25:02,159 Speaker 1: to the investigations being done by gaming regulators in Massachusetts 398 00:25:02,200 --> 00:25:04,840 Speaker 1: as well as Nevada. Uh. And this is really the 399 00:25:04,880 --> 00:25:08,840 Speaker 1: outcome of of that that process of reviewing the allegations 400 00:25:08,840 --> 00:25:10,719 Speaker 1: and coming to them. But it wasn't made. If it 401 00:25:10,720 --> 00:25:14,520 Speaker 1: hadn't been made public and splashed across all of the media, 402 00:25:15,000 --> 00:25:17,280 Speaker 1: do you think they would really have been investigating. I mean, 403 00:25:17,320 --> 00:25:19,560 Speaker 1: it was a seven and a half million dollar payment, right, 404 00:25:19,720 --> 00:25:21,240 Speaker 1: one could argue, and we have looked at this in 405 00:25:21,280 --> 00:25:24,040 Speaker 1: our own written research that the board itself, from a 406 00:25:24,080 --> 00:25:26,399 Speaker 1: governor's perspective, has to be held to a greater dey 407 00:25:26,400 --> 00:25:30,200 Speaker 1: of accountability. We've looked at things like age, tenure, gender 408 00:25:30,240 --> 00:25:32,840 Speaker 1: of the board itself, so no doubt the board itself 409 00:25:32,880 --> 00:25:37,240 Speaker 1: will be subject to ongoing scrutiny. I admit Steve wins 410 00:25:37,240 --> 00:25:40,600 Speaker 1: resignation itself does not completely address what the board should 411 00:25:40,680 --> 00:25:43,280 Speaker 1: HULD not have been doing well. But on that point, 412 00:25:43,640 --> 00:25:47,680 Speaker 1: is there some kind of legal liability that's hanging over 413 00:25:47,760 --> 00:25:50,840 Speaker 1: the company as a whole since some of these allegations 414 00:25:51,119 --> 00:25:54,640 Speaker 1: were known inside the company, right? I think what needs 415 00:25:54,640 --> 00:25:57,760 Speaker 1: to be determined is what wet allegations were known, at 416 00:25:57,760 --> 00:25:59,560 Speaker 1: what time they were known, and I don't have the 417 00:25:59,600 --> 00:26:01,400 Speaker 1: answered to that. What I will tell you is that 418 00:26:01,880 --> 00:26:05,040 Speaker 1: what regulators were concerned about, and very much the board 419 00:26:05,040 --> 00:26:08,560 Speaker 1: I think has been responsive to the risk of regulatory 420 00:26:08,680 --> 00:26:14,520 Speaker 1: license UH being removed, is the suitability of Mr Wynn 421 00:26:14,560 --> 00:26:17,720 Speaker 1: in particular, or not only the allegations themselves, but whether 422 00:26:17,840 --> 00:26:20,320 Speaker 1: or not with respect to the legal settlement that he 423 00:26:20,359 --> 00:26:22,480 Speaker 1: had made with at least one individual, whether or not 424 00:26:22,560 --> 00:26:26,080 Speaker 1: that legal settlement was suitably disclosed. So the Massachusetts Gaming 425 00:26:26,080 --> 00:26:27,680 Speaker 1: Commission is going to continue to look at this. I 426 00:26:27,720 --> 00:26:31,040 Speaker 1: think you're actually having a meeting today and in the 427 00:26:31,040 --> 00:26:34,120 Speaker 1: process of doing this, they still have to um address 428 00:26:34,160 --> 00:26:38,919 Speaker 1: these issues. My assumption is that Win's departure goes a 429 00:26:38,960 --> 00:26:42,000 Speaker 1: long way towards addressing some of those concerns, but ultimately 430 00:26:42,000 --> 00:26:45,119 Speaker 1: the Gaming Commission itself still has to determine whether or 431 00:26:45,160 --> 00:26:48,359 Speaker 1: not it's comfortable with suitability. We think the likely is 432 00:26:48,359 --> 00:26:52,040 Speaker 1: they will proceed and the project will proceed, but I 433 00:26:52,080 --> 00:26:55,480 Speaker 1: think the everyone involved in that application process is still 434 00:26:55,480 --> 00:26:58,399 Speaker 1: going to be held accountable for what they did or 435 00:26:58,440 --> 00:27:01,320 Speaker 1: did not disclose. Any idea of what the role of 436 00:27:01,400 --> 00:27:05,080 Speaker 1: his ex wife, Elaine Win will play. At the time 437 00:27:05,080 --> 00:27:08,600 Speaker 1: of his departure, UH, Steve when himself had voting control 438 00:27:08,640 --> 00:27:11,200 Speaker 1: over the shares the nine percent of shares in when 439 00:27:11,320 --> 00:27:14,760 Speaker 1: resorts owned by Elaine Win. Steve Win, as you pointed out, 440 00:27:14,840 --> 00:27:17,240 Speaker 1: still owns twelve percent of it. Some of the details 441 00:27:17,320 --> 00:27:20,600 Speaker 1: surrounding his departure and the relationship with the company still 442 00:27:20,600 --> 00:27:22,159 Speaker 1: have to be worked out, but what we do know 443 00:27:22,400 --> 00:27:25,800 Speaker 1: is he has gone and Matt Maddox, former president, takes 444 00:27:25,840 --> 00:27:29,000 Speaker 1: over as CEO both of the Las Vegas operation and 445 00:27:29,080 --> 00:27:32,440 Speaker 1: the Becau operation, whether where there had also been concerns 446 00:27:32,440 --> 00:27:36,840 Speaker 1: about the renewal of a gaming license there which expires ino. 447 00:27:37,480 --> 00:27:42,480 Speaker 1: Is there some kind of way to handicap the monetary 448 00:27:43,000 --> 00:27:47,320 Speaker 1: value of any potential investigation, including the one that regulators 449 00:27:47,320 --> 00:27:49,840 Speaker 1: are meeting about today. I don't think that's something that's 450 00:27:49,840 --> 00:27:54,320 Speaker 1: readily quantifiable. What we have endeavored to quantify is both 451 00:27:54,359 --> 00:27:58,600 Speaker 1: the value of the wind premium multiple assigned to both 452 00:27:58,640 --> 00:28:02,000 Speaker 1: the Las Vegas and co operations, and also the value 453 00:28:02,680 --> 00:28:05,680 Speaker 1: of the Massachusetts property, which we estimate probably was probably 454 00:28:05,680 --> 00:28:09,000 Speaker 1: about tem per cent of the enterprise value of this company. 455 00:28:09,119 --> 00:28:11,960 Speaker 1: Uh And certainly, again, if you're ask me why is 456 00:28:12,000 --> 00:28:13,880 Speaker 1: the stock up today, for example, I would say that's 457 00:28:13,880 --> 00:28:17,280 Speaker 1: probably because the risk of a forfeiture of that license 458 00:28:17,359 --> 00:28:21,560 Speaker 1: is greatly mitigated, if not completely eliminated by When stepping down, 459 00:28:21,960 --> 00:28:24,440 Speaker 1: Brian Egger, thank you so much for being here with 460 00:28:24,560 --> 00:28:27,159 Speaker 1: us to sort of break down and understand the story 461 00:28:27,800 --> 00:28:31,240 Speaker 1: from a bigger picture point of view. Brian Egger, senior 462 00:28:31,320 --> 00:28:34,720 Speaker 1: Gaming and Lodging analyst with Bloomberg Intelligence, joining us here 463 00:28:34,840 --> 00:28:41,680 Speaker 1: in our eleven three oh studios. Thanks for listening to 464 00:28:41,720 --> 00:28:44,600 Speaker 1: the Bloomberg p m L podcast. You can subscribe and 465 00:28:44,640 --> 00:28:48,600 Speaker 1: listen to interviews at Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud, or whatever podcast 466 00:28:48,640 --> 00:28:52,160 Speaker 1: platform you prefer. I'm PIM Fox. I'm on Twitter at 467 00:28:52,320 --> 00:28:56,240 Speaker 1: pim Fox. I'm on Twitter at Lisa Abramowits one before 468 00:28:56,240 --> 00:28:59,160 Speaker 1: the podcast. You can always catch us worldwide on Bloomberg 469 00:28:59,240 --> 00:29:06,480 Speaker 1: Radio bo