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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I'm just about that action also.

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Speaker 3: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 1: Throwing in Joe.

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Speaker 4: We're saying up a cash to stop.

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Speaker 2: We'll see the most gamblers when they go to gamble,

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Speaker 2: they go to win.

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Speaker 3: Oh god, that's incredible.

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Speaker 1: Big bank, small bank. I like to make money. All right,

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Speaker 1: It's just the ultimate kaba you want to pull.

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Speaker 3: And we are underway.

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Speaker 4: What is up?

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Speaker 1: Everybody?

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Speaker 2: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast presented by FanDuel. I

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Speaker 2: am your host, Chris Raybond, and this is your NFL.

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Speaker 1: Week thirteen betting preview where we.

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Speaker 5: Will talk about our favorite totals, teethers, underdogs, and of

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Speaker 5: course crack open our Sunday six pack of again the

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Speaker 5: Spread Bets with the help.

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Speaker 2: Of my co host, the Prime Minister of Degenerate Nation,

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Speaker 2: Stucky and Stuck got to give you a shout out

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Speaker 2: for crushing it last week on the pod. You swept

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Speaker 2: every single bet moneyline dog oh total, all three of

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Speaker 2: year picks. So good stuff, bro. Happy Thanksgiving? How you

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Speaker 2: doing there?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm a little under the weather, so if I

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Speaker 3: sound a little off, but yeah, it was a nice

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Speaker 3: It was a nice swept that we saw.

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Speaker 4: Thanksgiving. Lions got there. The total total got there at night,

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Speaker 4: which was nice.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, then swept Sunday, which is always nice. But as

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Speaker 3: I say every week, who cares. It's on to the

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Speaker 3: next So it's time to dig into this week's card.

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Speaker 3: And it's been a hell of a year for both

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Speaker 3: of us and hopefully we can keep it rolling through

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Speaker 3: the end of the Super Bowl.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, sir, let's get right into it. Break down this

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Speaker 2: Thursday night football game.

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Speaker 4: It's not the best game, but it's the only game tonight.

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Speaker 3: Let's bet Thursday night football.

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Speaker 2: And we got the Buffalo Bills at the New England

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Speaker 2: Patriots in Foxborough. So the Bills are favored by four

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Speaker 2: on the road in Foxboro. The TOTO is forty three

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Speaker 2: and a half and stuck. We kind of talked about

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Speaker 2: this last week with the Lions facing the Bills, but

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Speaker 2: I just don't think the Bills are in tip top

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Speaker 2: shape right now. Still a very good team and they're

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Speaker 2: gonna get their wins, but some of them might be ugly,

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Speaker 2: and I think this could be one of them.

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Speaker 1: But what do you think about this one with the

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Speaker 1: Bills going to Foxborough?

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Speaker 3: I mentioned this on Twitter after that Lions game that

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Speaker 3: Bills fades right now our gold and that was something

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Speaker 3: we couldn't say in the last couple of years. They

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Speaker 3: were recovering machine. When they want, they went with margin.

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Speaker 3: But it's just not the same team right now. I

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Speaker 3: don't know if Josh Allen isn't the same quarterback, he's

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Speaker 3: not fully healthy, he's not in sync with the offense,

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Speaker 3: and then the defense is just banged up.

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Speaker 4: I should just leave it off the top. I like

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Speaker 4: the Patriots. I've played the Patriots here.

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Speaker 3: I like them. Anything for above is fine. This is

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Speaker 3: a huge game for them, by the way, and they

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Speaker 3: probably should have won at Minnesota for a kicker turn

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Speaker 3: a horrible call near the goal line, which I still

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Speaker 3: don't get. But the most important thing was mac Jones

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Speaker 3: looked a lot better again. And I think that we

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Speaker 3: talked about this before or after the bye week. I

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Speaker 3: think he needed some more reps and he had to

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Speaker 3: shake off some rust, but he looked a lot better,

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Speaker 3: kind of like the mac Jones that we saw last year,

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Speaker 3: not the one we saw earlier this season. So I

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Speaker 3: think he can have some success against the defense that look,

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Speaker 3: it's not going to have Von Miller.

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Speaker 4: High is still out.

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Speaker 3: You have a bunch of guys in the secondary that

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Speaker 3: are dealing with injuries or already out. There was an.

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Speaker 4: Illness going around the team this week, and it's a

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Speaker 4: short week.

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Speaker 3: I know that they both played on Thanksgiving, but they

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Speaker 3: had got The Bills had guys out on Monday and

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Speaker 3: Tuesday with an illness going around the locker room. I

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Speaker 3: think maybe I caught it, but it seems to be

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Speaker 3: flus going all around locker rooms.

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Speaker 4: Across many sports. But that is not going to help.

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Speaker 3: And then now you're gonna have Dion Dawkins most likely out,

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Speaker 3: which is massive, one of the most important players in

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Speaker 3: their offense at left tackle, especially when you consider Spencer

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Speaker 3: Brown and right tackle. PFF has some graded seventy fourth

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Speaker 3: out of seventy six starting tackles, and since Week eight

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Speaker 3: with this injury ocurred for Josh Allen twenty fifth completion

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Speaker 3: percentage over expectation and on the season, he has the

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Speaker 3: fifth highest turnover worthy play percentage went under pressure eleven,

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Speaker 3: but he only has three picks. No Dawkins here against

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Speaker 3: the defense, I can get pressure. You might see a

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Speaker 3: couple more mistakes from Alan and yeah, the Bills will

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Speaker 3: be fine once they get healthy. Be really interesting to

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Speaker 3: see when and if von Miller comes back. But right now,

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Speaker 3: it's not the same Bills. Jugger out there East. The

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Speaker 3: reason that they haven't covered in about a month, and

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Speaker 3: I think the Patriots has a signed here.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I tend to agree with you. There probably won't better.

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Speaker 2: I'm trying to stay away from Thursday this week and

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Speaker 2: just chow get some shit done.

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Speaker 3: But you should do that next weekend for Rams Raiders.

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Speaker 2: Funny, one of my boys isn't down, and the first

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Speaker 2: thing he asked me if I want to go to

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Speaker 2: that game?

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Speaker 1: So I might actually be at Rams Raiders.

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Speaker 3: But wow, Yeah, I got the Twitter tickets, gonna be

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Speaker 3: eight dollars.

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Speaker 2: No, I agree with you on the Bills, they're just

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Speaker 2: not themselves right now. Josh Allen is you know, he's

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Speaker 2: kind of in this mode where he can play kind

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Speaker 2: of sloppy and he's still great or good enough, but

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Speaker 2: you know it's not he's not tightening it up.

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Speaker 1: And I don't know, like you said, I don't know

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Speaker 1: if it's the injury. It could be, but it just.

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Speaker 2: Seems like every drive, there's like one or two plays

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Speaker 2: that Allen just makes that are just wow. But there's

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Speaker 2: one or two that are just like head scratching, And

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Speaker 2: I yeah, I think I think teams are gonna be

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Speaker 2: able to stay close with Buffalo.

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Speaker 1: You know, all these elite teams really.

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Speaker 2: You know, this point in the season, we're kind of

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Speaker 2: in the middle, middle, middle to end part of the year.

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Speaker 2: I just see these elite teams struggling to win with margins.

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Speaker 2: So I agree with you on the Patriots.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, look out, don't unrespect the loss of Tawkins against Judon,

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Speaker 3: a company. He's handled Judon in the past, and you

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Speaker 3: can see you're gonna most likely see some more pressure

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Speaker 3: and havoc in the backfield with him out of the lineup.

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Speaker 2: All right, So stuck is on the Patriots anything for

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Speaker 2: or better as the home dog Home Divisional dog in Foxborough.

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Speaker 2: Thursday night, Now it is time to crack open the

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Speaker 2: week thirteen Sunday six.

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Speaker 4: Pack thursdayper Action.

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Speaker 3: Let's crack open the Sunday six pack. All right.

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Speaker 2: As I mentioned, if you are not familiar with how

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Speaker 2: we score it, each of our top two picks on

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Speaker 2: a six pack are worth two points each, our third

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Speaker 2: one is worth a point, sweet all three is worth

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Speaker 2: another point, and the total that we give out in

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Speaker 2: the next segment is also worth a point. So stuck

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Speaker 2: with your seven point week. You got a touchdown on me,

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Speaker 2: I just got a field goal. You've cut it to

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Speaker 2: forty five thirty eight, so you're back in it. Where

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Speaker 2: are you going with pick number one for Week thirteen?

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Speaker 3: So we were five oho one on the six pack

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Speaker 3: last week, where I don't know if we've ever gotten

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Speaker 3: the double sweep, so we're close. So my first pick

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Speaker 3: for the Week thirteen Sunday six Pack presented by FanDuel,

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Speaker 3: I would go with the Kansas City Chiefs minus two

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Speaker 3: and a half at the Cincinnati Bengals. This one is

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Speaker 3: really simple for me. I had this spot circled before

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Speaker 3: the season started. It is similar to like the Bills

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Speaker 3: when they go to the Chiefs after they lose in

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Speaker 3: the playoffs. This is double revenge for Kansas City. And

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Speaker 3: I said to myself earlier this year before the season started,

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Speaker 3: when I mark out my spot, I said, I just

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Speaker 3: want the Chiefs under three. Well we got it here,

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Speaker 3: mainly because the Bengals I think wanted Tennessee. Maybe he

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Speaker 3: would have solved three here if they had lost that game.

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Speaker 3: But I just need Mahomes to win this game, by

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Speaker 3: the way, in historically that's a really good bet. He's

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Speaker 3: seventeen to five and one against the spread. As an

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Speaker 3: underdog or favorite of three or less. He's won twenty

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Speaker 3: six straight games in November and December. And look, the

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Speaker 3: Bengals also want to win this game, right, They just

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Speaker 3: like the Chiefs. I do think that the Chiefs have

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Speaker 3: been waiting a little bit more for this after all

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Speaker 3: the smack that the Bengals d backs talked after the game.

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Speaker 3: But the reason why I like I have this spot

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Speaker 3: circled is, well, did Bengals They should have could have

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Speaker 3: easily lost both games last year. They were the Chiefs

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Speaker 3: blue double digit leads in the second half and each

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Speaker 3: Mahomes makes a brain fart at the end of the

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Speaker 3: first half of the playoff game, then the Bengals make

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Speaker 3: this defensive change and they just dropped eight.

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Speaker 4: Mahomes was lost.

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Speaker 3: And then in the regular season game they got all

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Speaker 3: these penalties at the end they were able to run

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Speaker 3: the lead, the clock all the way down and win

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Speaker 3: at the buzzer. But the Chiefs have been I can

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Speaker 3: almost promise you I talk about this a lot of

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Speaker 3: weeks while their games go under at home a lot.

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Speaker 3: Why they're not great at covering as a favorite home

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Speaker 3: is they kind of just they don't show a lot,

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Speaker 3: and they're just like, all right, let's let's save some

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Speaker 3: stuff for the more important games and against you know this,

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Speaker 3: this all right, let's drop everyone back mahomes. They I

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Speaker 3: think they have a lot up their sleeve here. And

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Speaker 3: they played the Rams last week, who were starting Bryce Perkins,

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Speaker 3: and the Bengals had a game that I think would

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Speaker 3: have ruined their playoff chances had they had lost it,

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Speaker 3: given their schedule down the stretch.

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Speaker 4: They had to prepare all week for the Titans.

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Speaker 3: I can almost guarantee you not only have the Chiefs

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Speaker 3: been kind of you know, spent some of the offseason

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Speaker 3: game planning for some of the looks the Bengals gave them,

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Speaker 3: I can guarantee you the week leading up to the

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Speaker 3: Rams game that staff spent some time on this particular game.

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Speaker 3: Big coaching mismatch here, massive, massive revenge game. And I

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Speaker 3: think you're going to see the Chiefs as the team

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Speaker 3: that makes those big adjustments. Jamar Chase looks like we'll

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Speaker 3: go I don't know if we'll be one hundred percent healthy,

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Speaker 3: but I just seen Mahomes to win this game. He's

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Speaker 3: been salivating at this chance. I've been salvating at the

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Speaker 3: spot I just wanted under a field goal.

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Speaker 4: It's that simple. Give me the Chiefs.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, talked about how these elite teams aren't

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Speaker 2: really winning with margin. Well, now you're getting Patrick Mahomes

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Speaker 2: under a field goal in this spot.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, I can't can't argue with it. And you're right.

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Speaker 1: I think you know this is a revenge spot for

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs in a big way.

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Speaker 2: They're gonna come out very motivated here, and a lot

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Speaker 2: of what's been going wrong with the Chiefs, it's just

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Speaker 2: been Patrick Mahomes doing like kind of like Josh Allen,

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Speaker 2: except I don't think it's not injury related, but you know,

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Speaker 2: just dumb plays in a red zone, things that are correctable.

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Speaker 2: Uh So, and the Chiefs they look pretty healthy aside.

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Speaker 2: I think Tony's probably gonna miss Juju has an illness,

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Speaker 2: but I think he'll go.

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Speaker 3: So yeah, I completely buttoned up Chiefs effort. And then

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Speaker 3: you're going to see some unreal play calling and games scripting, and.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm trusting Patty to get this win.

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Speaker 2: For my first pick and the second overall of the

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Speaker 2: week thirteen Sunday six pack. I am going with the

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Speaker 2: Tennessee Titans plus five and a half at.

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Speaker 1: The Philadelphia Eagles.

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Speaker 2: And I think we talked about this last week, but

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Speaker 2: I've been waiting for a spot to like this, to

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Speaker 2: back the Titans and doing it against the Eagles, because

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Speaker 2: the Titans could do two things well. They can run

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Speaker 2: and they can stop the run, and that's what you

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Speaker 2: have to do to hang with this Eagles team. Titans

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Speaker 2: are number one in run defense DVOA, and that's gonna.

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Speaker 1: Make the Eagles have to throw the ball a little more.

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Speaker 1: You know.

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Speaker 2: That's when they kind of get gets kind of choppy

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Speaker 2: for them on offense. On the other side, you know

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Speaker 2: that Eagles run defense has still been vulnerable. And Derrick

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Speaker 2: Henry love him in this spot, and love Rabel in

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Speaker 2: these spots as well. Twenty one and seven against the

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Speaker 2: spread in his career when he's an underdog by a

247
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Speaker 2: field goal or more. Titans look like they're gonna get

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Speaker 2: center of Ben Jones back to practiced in full on Wednesday,

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Speaker 2: so uh, that was good. I think I think Simmons

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Speaker 2: will go as well.

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Speaker 1: He did. He didn't practice Wednesday, but I think that

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Speaker 1: was more maintenance.

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Speaker 3: He doesn't practice Saturday, so yeah, he's gonna play.

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Speaker 1: So the Titans are looking pretty healthy.

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Speaker 2: I mean Eagles are healthy too, so it's but the Titans,

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Speaker 2: you know, they're a deep team, and when they're healthy,

257
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Speaker 2: you know they're they're they're team that they're gonna be

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Speaker 2: a live dog in this spot. And you look at

259
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Speaker 2: the Eagles and I mentioned these elite teams kind of struggling.

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Speaker 2: You know, it gets to that point in the season.

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Speaker 2: You've seen everything they've done on tape, got you know,

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Speaker 2: more of attrition here they're without Goddard and things like that.

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Speaker 2: But first seven games eleven average point differential, last four

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Speaker 2: games plus two point three, So.

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Speaker 1: It's been almost cutting fifths in terms of the eCos.

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Speaker 1: They're still getting it done for the most part.

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Speaker 2: But everything's within a score now, and all these games

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Speaker 2: could go either way. And if I want any team

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Speaker 2: in a one score game, it's the Titans, especially especially

270
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Speaker 2: after last week when they blow a chance to potentially

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Speaker 2: come back on a bone headed special teams play. You know,

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Speaker 2: Rabel is gonna light into his guys and have them

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Speaker 2: really coming out motivated this week and this is his

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Speaker 2: kind of spot. It's, you know, covering by seven point

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Speaker 2: seven points per game one average when he's a dog

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Speaker 2: of a field goal or more. I mean it's like

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Speaker 2: Tom Win, except he covers by more margin. You know,

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Speaker 2: the record is kind of similar. But man, lovely spots.

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Speaker 2: Give me the Titans plus five and a half.

280
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Speaker 4: I completely agree. I was waiting for seven and then

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Speaker 4: it just.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, not gonna happen.

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Speaker 3: I got it.

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Speaker 1: I got it early in the week. What did I

285
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Speaker 1: get it. I think it was stick to a half. Yeah,

286
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Speaker 1: so at least if it goes to overtime, I'm uncovered.

287
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Speaker 3: Yeah. So you know it's in a dead range now.

288
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Speaker 3: So I always bring this up and we take lines

289
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Speaker 3: five to five and I just wait, I'm gonna wait

290
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Speaker 3: to see where this goes.

291
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Speaker 4: See, there's some.

292
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Speaker 3: Sharp money that comes to the Eagles. Like you said,

293
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Speaker 3: the Eagles are health to be. I think, God, it's

294
00:14:14,600 --> 00:14:16,960
Speaker 3: a big loss tifically in the red zone.

295
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Speaker 4: Then you know it was CJ. Garner Johnson, I know,

296
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Speaker 4: the rookie.

297
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Speaker 1: Yeah, that's the rookie.

298
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Speaker 3: Read blanket ship looked okay, but that's that's a drop

299
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Speaker 3: off and then they're missing their good slot corner in

300
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Speaker 3: a Buntie Maddox and then you know the run d

301
00:14:30,760 --> 00:14:32,680
Speaker 3: still isn't the same without Jordan Davis, and I think

302
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Speaker 3: that's big here, especially if Ben Jones is back going

303
00:14:34,840 --> 00:14:36,920
Speaker 3: up against Derek Henry, and the Eagles just starn't playing

304
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Speaker 3: chris Ball right now.

305
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Speaker 4: They got off to that such hot start.

306
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Speaker 3: They're also still plus thirteen to turnover margin, which leads

307
00:14:42,160 --> 00:14:44,600
Speaker 3: the NFL buy about I think five or six, So

308
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Speaker 3: there's a potential regression coming there.

309
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Speaker 4: And yeah, this is just a classic Vrabel.

310
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Speaker 3: Spot, And so I agree with you. And look, the

311
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Speaker 3: Eagles running a unique offense, and they get off the

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Speaker 3: fast starts, so does Tennessee. And they're always good in

313
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Speaker 3: the scripted port, so I think they can match them early.

314
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Speaker 3: And then one thing you can count on with Rabel

315
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Speaker 3: is you always will have a good defensive game plan

316
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Speaker 3: and so he'll have a good defensive game plan here

317
00:15:10,320 --> 00:15:12,520
Speaker 3: for a unique offense, which is really important. You can't

318
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Speaker 3: just come out and run your base stuff. So yeah,

319
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Speaker 3: I like the Titans here. And another another thing worth

320
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Speaker 3: mentioning is which will segue into my second pick, is

321
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Speaker 3: the difference in the AFC verus NFC. Man is just

322
00:15:26,800 --> 00:15:28,680
Speaker 3: it gets bigger by the day. I'm watching the Bucks

323
00:15:28,720 --> 00:15:31,760
Speaker 3: losing the Browns just the latest example. But AFC dogs

324
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Speaker 3: against the NFC this year are fourteen and seven against

325
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Speaker 3: the spread, and I think that just the AFC this

326
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Speaker 3: year is so much stronger from top to bottom except Denver. Yeah, mean,

327
00:15:41,760 --> 00:15:43,840
Speaker 3: if you were in Denver and like the Texans, then

328
00:15:43,840 --> 00:15:48,520
Speaker 3: it's even stronger, which brings me to my second pick

329
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Speaker 3: and the third overall of the week thirteen Sunday six pack.

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Speaker 3: I'm going with the New York Football Jets plus three

331
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Speaker 3: at the Minnesota Vikings. By the way, I'm happy the

332
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Speaker 3: main thing. Yeah, I swept last week, but I'm just

333
00:16:02,080 --> 00:16:06,080
Speaker 3: happy I have the answer to you for losing money. Yeah,

334
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Speaker 3: that ended up pointing out perfectly.

335
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Speaker 2: It's a weird start too, because the Bears are actually

336
00:16:11,800 --> 00:16:13,960
Speaker 2: up at one point and the Jets did that weird The.

337
00:16:13,880 --> 00:16:17,560
Speaker 3: Bears teams like fucking Peterman starting and then.

338
00:16:17,800 --> 00:16:19,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, right then, but he didn't.

339
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Speaker 3: I was like, what the hell, I've seen Renzo pop

340
00:16:22,040 --> 00:16:25,040
Speaker 3: up there like uh, Simmy, and I'm like he's announcers

341
00:16:25,080 --> 00:16:26,200
Speaker 3: have the quarterback's name wrong.

342
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Speaker 4: And then I look into it, I'm like, no, he

343
00:16:28,160 --> 00:16:30,560
Speaker 4: actually is starting. But Mike White, what did he do

344
00:16:30,640 --> 00:16:31,080
Speaker 4: last week?

345
00:16:31,120 --> 00:16:33,040
Speaker 3: He just was very efficient, complete all the passes that

346
00:16:33,080 --> 00:16:35,760
Speaker 3: Zach Wilson couldn't, had a really strong game. That was

347
00:16:35,800 --> 00:16:38,320
Speaker 3: the missing piece of the Jets. I wouldn't back the

348
00:16:38,360 --> 00:16:41,040
Speaker 3: Jets all year because of the quarterback. Well now I'm back,

349
00:16:41,080 --> 00:16:43,160
Speaker 3: and I'm back to back weeks because Zach Wilson is

350
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Speaker 3: out of there, kind of similar to you with Wentz Yes,

351
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Speaker 3: and look, I think the Vikings are about Look there,

352
00:16:49,800 --> 00:16:51,360
Speaker 3: they got that big win over New England, but it

353
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Speaker 3: was another like Flukey Win talked to I mentioned this

354
00:16:54,000 --> 00:16:57,040
Speaker 3: earlier kick return of a touchdown, he get a beneficial call,

355
00:16:57,720 --> 00:17:02,640
Speaker 3: and it's like they're ninth single digit win of the

356
00:17:02,680 --> 00:17:05,639
Speaker 3: season and there if you look like number one, they

357
00:17:05,680 --> 00:17:08,560
Speaker 3: are sitting in prime position in their division.

358
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Speaker 4: The Eagles kind of went into like this little ball.

359
00:17:11,640 --> 00:17:14,560
Speaker 3: This is to the Vikings have left the hoose the Jets,

360
00:17:14,560 --> 00:17:17,720
Speaker 3: and then they got the line, Lions, the Colts, the Giants,

361
00:17:17,920 --> 00:17:21,320
Speaker 3: the Packers, and the Bears. That's their remaining schedule, So

362
00:17:21,400 --> 00:17:23,080
Speaker 3: I think you could stay they might be a little

363
00:17:23,119 --> 00:17:26,159
Speaker 3: flat here after that New England win. But more importantly,

364
00:17:26,720 --> 00:17:28,880
Speaker 3: I think that the Jets will get pressure.

365
00:17:28,520 --> 00:17:31,920
Speaker 4: On Cousins, who, by the way, just it's he's just.

366
00:17:31,920 --> 00:17:34,480
Speaker 3: Not He's having a really good year, but over the

367
00:17:34,560 --> 00:17:37,440
Speaker 3: last couple of years he's just not that consistently great

368
00:17:37,480 --> 00:17:40,080
Speaker 3: game and then a game, great game, a game after

369
00:17:40,119 --> 00:17:42,440
Speaker 3: a straight up wins. In twenty seventeen, he's sixteen to

370
00:17:42,480 --> 00:17:43,320
Speaker 3: twenty nine to two.

371
00:17:43,160 --> 00:17:43,879
Speaker 4: Against the spread.

372
00:17:44,160 --> 00:17:47,919
Speaker 3: But Jets can get pressure without blitzing like their secondary.

373
00:17:48,040 --> 00:17:49,919
Speaker 3: I also like just the mojo of this team. Right.

374
00:17:49,960 --> 00:17:52,479
Speaker 3: They made the quarterback change last week, everything worked out.

375
00:17:52,480 --> 00:17:54,639
Speaker 3: They're gonna come into this game fired up, better special team's,

376
00:17:54,640 --> 00:17:58,000
Speaker 3: better defense, and now they have Mike White, who's going

377
00:17:58,080 --> 00:18:02,960
Speaker 3: up against another week defense in the NFC North that

378
00:18:03,359 --> 00:18:07,400
Speaker 3: he can attack with short passes. The Vikings really defend,

379
00:18:07,720 --> 00:18:10,520
Speaker 3: really struggle to defend short passes. They're thirty first in

380
00:18:10,560 --> 00:18:14,320
Speaker 3: the NFL in that department, and last week Mike what

381
00:18:14,520 --> 00:18:16,480
Speaker 3: sixty five percent, which is really high percentage of his

382
00:18:16,520 --> 00:18:19,439
Speaker 3: passes were considered short. So I think that the Jets

383
00:18:19,480 --> 00:18:22,959
Speaker 3: can march down the field here. He'll hit some explosives

384
00:18:23,000 --> 00:18:26,119
Speaker 3: here and there, but their defense will cause Cousins and problems.

385
00:18:26,800 --> 00:18:29,120
Speaker 3: The Vikings also have some just a one score regression

386
00:18:29,160 --> 00:18:33,159
Speaker 3: some turnover regression coming their way. This is and like

387
00:18:33,200 --> 00:18:34,520
Speaker 3: I mentioned, I think this is just kind of a

388
00:18:34,520 --> 00:18:37,760
Speaker 3: field thing. I think the Vikings might go in like

389
00:18:37,800 --> 00:18:41,040
Speaker 3: just this little like law here where they're sitting in

390
00:18:41,080 --> 00:18:43,399
Speaker 3: the NFC and this is a massive game for the Jets.

391
00:18:43,440 --> 00:18:45,479
Speaker 3: Like think about that. I think the Jets, if they

392
00:18:45,520 --> 00:18:48,320
Speaker 3: lose this game, it's like they're the AFC is crazy,

393
00:18:48,359 --> 00:18:48,800
Speaker 3: like they're.

394
00:18:48,680 --> 00:18:49,760
Speaker 4: They're seven and five.

395
00:18:50,160 --> 00:18:52,160
Speaker 3: If they lose this game, like their playoff percentage goes

396
00:18:52,200 --> 00:18:54,480
Speaker 3: from like yeah, right now, it's probably like sixty percent

397
00:18:54,520 --> 00:18:56,760
Speaker 3: to like thirty, Like you can't lose games of the AFC,

398
00:18:57,119 --> 00:18:58,240
Speaker 3: especially in that division.

399
00:18:59,560 --> 00:19:01,840
Speaker 4: So I think you get a fully focused Jets team.

400
00:19:01,840 --> 00:19:04,320
Speaker 3: And with Mike White at the helm. But I think

401
00:19:04,359 --> 00:19:07,800
Speaker 3: they made the right decision last week benching Zach Wilson,

402
00:19:08,359 --> 00:19:10,440
Speaker 3: and they carry that momentum over to this week and

403
00:19:10,480 --> 00:19:13,000
Speaker 3: they get the outright win at Minnesota. You know, I

404
00:19:13,000 --> 00:19:14,720
Speaker 3: would have loved three and a half that's not coming here.

405
00:19:14,800 --> 00:19:16,639
Speaker 3: But the Vikings are the worst kicking game of the

406
00:19:16,760 --> 00:19:19,680
Speaker 3: NFL this year, So missed extra points are happening every week.

407
00:19:19,720 --> 00:19:20,720
Speaker 4: That could happen here.

408
00:19:20,760 --> 00:19:22,240
Speaker 3: Two. You could lose this game by two or one

409
00:19:22,359 --> 00:19:25,399
Speaker 3: their kicking has been atrocious, but yeah, give me. The

410
00:19:25,440 --> 00:19:27,960
Speaker 3: Jets have been really reliable on the road this year.

411
00:19:27,960 --> 00:19:30,560
Speaker 3: And I don't have Zach Wilson. I got my guy

412
00:19:30,600 --> 00:19:31,880
Speaker 3: b like White, Let's ride.

413
00:19:32,320 --> 00:19:34,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll be on the Jets as well. I love

414
00:19:34,960 --> 00:19:38,000
Speaker 2: this pick. I think perception of these two teams because

415
00:19:38,040 --> 00:19:41,000
Speaker 2: the Vikings have the great record, which you know, credit

416
00:19:41,080 --> 00:19:43,240
Speaker 2: to them, that was what their fans have been waiting

417
00:19:43,280 --> 00:19:45,639
Speaker 2: for after they spent the last you know, four or

418
00:19:45,680 --> 00:19:49,440
Speaker 2: five seasons just losing close games. So props to the Vikings.

419
00:19:49,480 --> 00:19:54,000
Speaker 2: But you look at this team on paper and they're

420
00:19:54,000 --> 00:19:58,880
Speaker 2: twenty second in DVOA, twentieth on offense, twenty third on defense,

421
00:19:59,240 --> 00:20:00,240
Speaker 2: and twentieth.

422
00:19:59,880 --> 00:20:02,960
Speaker 1: And the special teams. The Jets are ninth, and that.

423
00:20:03,040 --> 00:20:05,880
Speaker 3: Doesn't account for like, hey, we played the Dolphins, who

424
00:20:05,880 --> 00:20:08,320
Speaker 3: are really highly rated with their third string quarterback.

425
00:20:08,840 --> 00:20:13,320
Speaker 6: Yeah, exactly, because it does schedule just but yeah, that's

426
00:20:13,359 --> 00:20:16,440
Speaker 6: basically like you played the Dolphins with Scott Thompson were

427
00:20:16,480 --> 00:20:19,280
Speaker 6: like a bottom ten tem exactly.

428
00:20:19,800 --> 00:20:23,680
Speaker 2: So the Jets are ninth and overall DVOA. So that's

429
00:20:23,680 --> 00:20:25,200
Speaker 2: better than Minnesota bye with.

430
00:20:25,440 --> 00:20:26,880
Speaker 4: Zach Wilson quarterback.

431
00:20:27,520 --> 00:20:31,000
Speaker 2: And that's and they're better, So that's better by thirteen spots. Overall,

432
00:20:31,640 --> 00:20:35,280
Speaker 2: they're better on offense. They are eighteenth. Minnesota is twentieth.

433
00:20:35,320 --> 00:20:38,879
Speaker 2: And that's what Zach Wilson and not Justin Jefferson, Adam

434
00:20:38,920 --> 00:20:44,119
Speaker 2: Thieven or Dalvin Cook or Christian darrisol. And they're fourth

435
00:20:44,160 --> 00:20:47,560
Speaker 2: on defense compared to the Vikings twenty third. It's nineteen

436
00:20:47,600 --> 00:20:48,200
Speaker 2: spots better.

437
00:20:48,200 --> 00:20:48,680
Speaker 1: We know that.

438
00:20:49,160 --> 00:20:51,239
Speaker 2: And they're also better on special teams. The Jets are

439
00:20:51,240 --> 00:20:55,040
Speaker 2: better across the board than the Minnesota Vikings. Remember I

440
00:20:55,080 --> 00:20:57,199
Speaker 2: was talking about this Jets team like we one or two.

441
00:20:57,240 --> 00:20:59,359
Speaker 2: I was like, you know this, this roster's scary. If

442
00:20:59,359 --> 00:21:01,719
Speaker 2: they can just fix you're out the quarterback situation, like

443
00:21:02,040 --> 00:21:03,120
Speaker 2: this is a squad here.

444
00:21:04,000 --> 00:21:04,679
Speaker 1: So I love it.

445
00:21:05,440 --> 00:21:08,040
Speaker 2: Wish I wish I had gotten the three and a half,

446
00:21:08,160 --> 00:21:11,080
Speaker 2: but didn't. But yeah, I'll be honest too, for the

447
00:21:11,119 --> 00:21:13,480
Speaker 2: exact same reasons. I think Putin has not been good

448
00:21:13,480 --> 00:21:15,040
Speaker 2: this year. Actually, I think it's one of his worst season,

449
00:21:15,040 --> 00:21:17,640
Speaker 2: probably the worst season in Minnesota. He's averaging like ten

450
00:21:17,680 --> 00:21:21,359
Speaker 2: point four yards of for completion with despite having Jefferson,

451
00:21:22,320 --> 00:21:25,520
Speaker 2: you know, despite having great left tackle play.

452
00:21:25,880 --> 00:21:28,720
Speaker 1: It's just it's not fully come together.

453
00:21:30,080 --> 00:21:33,960
Speaker 2: You know, so Vicanc need to kind of their record

454
00:21:34,000 --> 00:21:35,600
Speaker 2: is great, but they need to to kind of short

455
00:21:35,640 --> 00:21:37,239
Speaker 2: some things up to make a deep playoff run.

456
00:21:37,280 --> 00:21:39,240
Speaker 1: They're not to me, they're not there yet based on

457
00:21:39,280 --> 00:21:39,720
Speaker 1: what I've seen.

458
00:21:39,800 --> 00:21:44,200
Speaker 3: So yeah, I've said this for weeks. Everything that I great,

459
00:21:44,480 --> 00:21:46,600
Speaker 3: like you just mentioned their offense or defense especially, everything

460
00:21:46,680 --> 00:21:49,920
Speaker 3: comes in at average, so slightly below average you just mentioned.

461
00:21:49,920 --> 00:21:53,480
Speaker 3: Everything is like twentieth the twenty second and they have

462
00:21:53,600 --> 00:21:55,600
Speaker 3: a bunch of one score wins, got a bunch of

463
00:21:55,600 --> 00:21:58,199
Speaker 3: turnover lock. You know last week you get a kick returned,

464
00:21:59,800 --> 00:22:02,320
Speaker 3: you busted coverage against the Lions, and you know they're

465
00:22:02,320 --> 00:22:03,680
Speaker 3: playing in the NFC too.

466
00:22:03,800 --> 00:22:07,080
Speaker 4: And now the Jets get a massive upgrade.

467
00:22:06,880 --> 00:22:10,000
Speaker 3: Quarterback because they have a quarterback who can complete passes

468
00:22:10,040 --> 00:22:14,159
Speaker 3: in the flats. That's basically what the Jets needed just

469
00:22:14,640 --> 00:22:18,399
Speaker 3: make the first three throws. Jack Wilson was incapable of

470
00:22:18,440 --> 00:22:20,720
Speaker 3: doing that. And this is a defense that you can

471
00:22:20,760 --> 00:22:24,919
Speaker 3: attack that way all day. So yeah, give me the Jets.

472
00:22:25,359 --> 00:22:26,400
Speaker 3: Where are you going next?

473
00:22:26,640 --> 00:22:27,720
Speaker 1: For my second pick?

474
00:22:27,760 --> 00:22:31,120
Speaker 2: The fourth overall of the week thirteen Sunday six Pack

475
00:22:31,200 --> 00:22:34,360
Speaker 2: presented by FanDuel, Let's.

476
00:22:34,160 --> 00:22:38,359
Speaker 1: Go with the Miami Dolphins.

477
00:22:38,840 --> 00:22:42,440
Speaker 2: Plus three and a half at the San Francisco forty

478
00:22:42,520 --> 00:22:46,240
Speaker 2: nine ers. And I know everybody's kind of freaked out

479
00:22:46,320 --> 00:22:50,119
Speaker 2: about this game because of the Dolphins tackle injuries, which

480
00:22:50,359 --> 00:22:54,160
Speaker 2: obviously not a deal. But you look at this Dolphin

481
00:22:54,160 --> 00:22:57,280
Speaker 2: team and what do they do well. TWOA gets the

482
00:22:57,280 --> 00:23:00,520
Speaker 2: ball out extremely quick, one of the quickest quarterbacks time

483
00:23:00,560 --> 00:23:03,120
Speaker 2: to throw, the top graded quarterback when getting the ball

484
00:23:03,119 --> 00:23:05,520
Speaker 2: out in under two and a half seconds, the top

485
00:23:05,520 --> 00:23:10,840
Speaker 2: graded quarterback under pressure. The second best graded quarterback when

486
00:23:10,880 --> 00:23:13,520
Speaker 2: there is no pressure. He's he's been balling no matter what.

487
00:23:13,680 --> 00:23:16,760
Speaker 2: But his numbers when he has to get the ball

488
00:23:16,800 --> 00:23:21,080
Speaker 2: out quick are on a different level than any other

489
00:23:21,160 --> 00:23:23,760
Speaker 2: quarterback in the league. Whatever metrics you want to look at,

490
00:23:23,880 --> 00:23:27,320
Speaker 2: yards for ten, passer rating, yeah, ffth grade, whatever you

491
00:23:27,320 --> 00:23:29,960
Speaker 2: want to look at, on a different level. So I

492
00:23:30,000 --> 00:23:32,960
Speaker 2: actually think the Dolphins offense will still be able to

493
00:23:33,000 --> 00:23:37,760
Speaker 2: function here. Now you look at, Okay, on defense, the

494
00:23:37,800 --> 00:23:41,560
Speaker 2: Dolphins they're up to seventeenth in DVA, so you know,

495
00:23:41,720 --> 00:23:43,840
Speaker 2: compared to what they what they were at one point

496
00:23:43,880 --> 00:23:46,560
Speaker 2: in the year, it's gotten a little better. But they're

497
00:23:46,600 --> 00:23:50,240
Speaker 2: great stopping the run, and they're great stopping traditional run games.

498
00:23:50,240 --> 00:23:54,840
Speaker 2: You know, sometimes quarterback runs gives them some problems. But

499
00:23:54,880 --> 00:23:57,600
Speaker 2: when you talk about a team that's going to line

500
00:23:57,640 --> 00:24:01,200
Speaker 2: up and try to run the ball, power zone, whatever,

501
00:24:01,480 --> 00:24:03,480
Speaker 2: the Dolphins can stop it. Their number four in the

502
00:24:03,560 --> 00:24:08,440
Speaker 2: league on defense in early down rush success rate allowed.

503
00:24:08,680 --> 00:24:11,560
Speaker 2: We've seen them pretty much shut out the Vikings run game.

504
00:24:11,800 --> 00:24:13,680
Speaker 1: I think Dalvin Cook got one long run late in

505
00:24:13,720 --> 00:24:14,080
Speaker 1: the game.

506
00:24:14,760 --> 00:24:18,119
Speaker 2: You know, the Texans Damian Pierced absolutely nothing like this

507
00:24:18,200 --> 00:24:20,200
Speaker 2: team shuts down run game. So I think it's gonna

508
00:24:20,240 --> 00:24:23,880
Speaker 2: make San Francisco go a little bit out of their element,

509
00:24:24,680 --> 00:24:27,120
Speaker 2: maybe even turn it into a passing type of game.

510
00:24:27,560 --> 00:24:29,119
Speaker 1: And I think the Dolphins can win this lone. I

511
00:24:29,119 --> 00:24:30,040
Speaker 1: think the Dolphins can.

512
00:24:29,880 --> 00:24:33,840
Speaker 2: Be efficient here with the with Tyreek, with Jay Mowatto,

513
00:24:34,480 --> 00:24:38,040
Speaker 2: there's obviously familiarity on both sides. So like always like

514
00:24:38,080 --> 00:24:40,040
Speaker 2: the dog in that spot, especially when I'm getting more

515
00:24:40,040 --> 00:24:42,879
Speaker 2: than a field goal. Uh. And I've been saying I

516
00:24:42,920 --> 00:24:44,880
Speaker 2: think that this Dolphins team is gonna surprise the people.

517
00:24:44,920 --> 00:24:48,359
Speaker 2: I mean, you look at San Francisco and they've been

518
00:24:48,400 --> 00:24:51,520
Speaker 2: bawing as we expected, a lot of talent on that team, obviously,

519
00:24:51,960 --> 00:24:55,480
Speaker 2: but you know, you look at when they faced you know,

520
00:24:55,720 --> 00:24:59,359
Speaker 2: an offense, the last great offense they faced really was

521
00:24:59,680 --> 00:25:03,000
Speaker 2: because Chargers were kind of banged up, Cardinals were banged up.

522
00:25:03,520 --> 00:25:04,439
Speaker 1: Rams are banged up.

523
00:25:04,560 --> 00:25:07,200
Speaker 2: You got to go back to the Chiefs and they

524
00:25:07,240 --> 00:25:10,480
Speaker 2: completely just molly wapped them. And that Falcons offense that

525
00:25:10,560 --> 00:25:12,639
Speaker 2: was coming in. Granted that not Niners were at have

526
00:25:12,680 --> 00:25:14,800
Speaker 2: banged up for that one, but you know, Falcons were

527
00:25:14,840 --> 00:25:16,040
Speaker 2: able to put twenty eight on them.

528
00:25:16,760 --> 00:25:19,119
Speaker 1: You know, they just haven't faced many good offense.

529
00:25:19,200 --> 00:25:23,400
Speaker 2: I think the Broncos, the Seahawks, the Bears, Rams twice.

530
00:25:24,200 --> 00:25:27,920
Speaker 2: You know, even Falcons aren't great. Bang up Chargers, banged

531
00:25:27,960 --> 00:25:29,239
Speaker 2: up Cardinals.

532
00:25:29,440 --> 00:25:30,680
Speaker 1: You know, bang up Saints.

533
00:25:30,760 --> 00:25:33,280
Speaker 2: So I think it's gonna be a little bit of

534
00:25:33,280 --> 00:25:35,600
Speaker 2: a shock set of system for San Francisco. I don't

535
00:25:35,760 --> 00:25:38,480
Speaker 2: think they're going to be quite as dominant on defense

536
00:25:39,040 --> 00:25:42,520
Speaker 2: as they've looked to date, kind of like the Patriots,

537
00:25:42,520 --> 00:25:45,840
Speaker 2: when you know, they just played all these shitty offenses

538
00:25:45,880 --> 00:25:48,240
Speaker 2: and then you know they come out and it turned

539
00:25:48,280 --> 00:25:50,760
Speaker 2: into kind of a shootout last week against Minnesota.

540
00:25:50,920 --> 00:25:52,560
Speaker 1: I think it's going to be the same type of game.

541
00:25:52,880 --> 00:25:56,840
Speaker 2: Tua is nine to four in his career as a

542
00:25:56,840 --> 00:25:58,280
Speaker 2: as a dog against the spread.

543
00:25:59,200 --> 00:26:00,240
Speaker 1: Give me some two.

544
00:26:00,440 --> 00:26:03,600
Speaker 2: Give me some Dolphins here plus three and a half

545
00:26:04,000 --> 00:26:06,040
Speaker 2: against the Niners.

546
00:26:06,840 --> 00:26:09,320
Speaker 4: I'm gonna disagree. I mean, I don't disagree.

547
00:26:09,359 --> 00:26:13,439
Speaker 3: Taking over three against Shanahan is like always so horrible

548
00:26:13,440 --> 00:26:15,359
Speaker 3: as a favorite, especially at home, because he's so conservative,

549
00:26:15,400 --> 00:26:19,040
Speaker 3: like cool col uh if they're up, if it's tied,

550
00:26:19,080 --> 00:26:20,600
Speaker 3: then it's like first to goal at the one with

551
00:26:20,720 --> 00:26:23,440
Speaker 3: like you know, a minute to go, just take three

552
00:26:23,560 --> 00:26:24,120
Speaker 3: knees and then.

553
00:26:24,119 --> 00:26:24,920
Speaker 4: Kick a field goal.

554
00:26:25,000 --> 00:26:26,840
Speaker 3: And he won't go for it on fourth and one

555
00:26:27,000 --> 00:26:29,240
Speaker 3: like the twelve, like that's he doesn't. But he doesn't

556
00:26:29,280 --> 00:26:31,880
Speaker 3: like to build margin at home, which whether awful, Tam.

557
00:26:31,880 --> 00:26:34,120
Speaker 3: He gets too conservative at times, So I don't hate

558
00:26:34,119 --> 00:26:36,760
Speaker 3: you for that, but I you know, I've been waiting

559
00:26:36,800 --> 00:26:38,200
Speaker 3: for a time to fade the Dolphins.

560
00:26:38,240 --> 00:26:39,680
Speaker 4: I mean, look, it has been great. He's like on

561
00:26:40,040 --> 00:26:41,360
Speaker 4: pace to set.

562
00:26:41,359 --> 00:26:46,120
Speaker 3: The record, the passer rated record on third downs, which

563
00:26:46,359 --> 00:26:50,119
Speaker 3: it's it's not as sustainable as early down success, but

564
00:26:50,240 --> 00:26:52,480
Speaker 3: he's but look his last four wins of coup against

565
00:26:52,480 --> 00:26:56,000
Speaker 3: the Texans, Browns, Bears, and Lions, so like he's playing

566
00:26:56,040 --> 00:26:59,560
Speaker 3: the poverty of poverty defenses in the NFL. And then

567
00:26:59,640 --> 00:27:03,359
Speaker 3: earlier this year right like they he was bad against Buffalo.

568
00:27:03,480 --> 00:27:05,200
Speaker 3: They had a miracle. We got out game by about

569
00:27:05,240 --> 00:27:07,760
Speaker 3: three hundred. You know, he was not great against New

570
00:27:07,760 --> 00:27:10,720
Speaker 3: England and then against the Ravens are down like fifty

571
00:27:10,760 --> 00:27:12,639
Speaker 3: and then the Ravens going to pre event of a

572
00:27:12,680 --> 00:27:15,359
Speaker 3: bunch of coverage bus So, like, I mean.

573
00:27:15,240 --> 00:27:17,359
Speaker 1: He was in that game. You can't say he wasn't great.

574
00:27:17,600 --> 00:27:21,560
Speaker 3: Late, Yeah, late, but they were down twenty eight in

575
00:27:21,560 --> 00:27:21,840
Speaker 3: that game.

576
00:27:21,840 --> 00:27:24,680
Speaker 1: I don't expected the Niners to put up forty points.

577
00:27:24,640 --> 00:27:26,840
Speaker 3: But most of it. I mean, like everything has happened

578
00:27:26,880 --> 00:27:29,920
Speaker 3: in this the last four weeks against the and it's

579
00:27:29,920 --> 00:27:32,520
Speaker 3: not like the Ravens have been great at stopping UH

580
00:27:32,680 --> 00:27:36,360
Speaker 3: teams late and looking last week they both leads every week.

581
00:27:36,400 --> 00:27:39,399
Speaker 3: But yeah, the Texans, Browns, Bears, and Lions. It's I

582
00:27:39,440 --> 00:27:42,360
Speaker 3: think that it's a little inflated in San fren Yeah. Yes,

583
00:27:42,400 --> 00:27:44,600
Speaker 3: everyone has had the easiest schedule in the NFL to date.

584
00:27:45,160 --> 00:27:47,840
Speaker 3: But they're early down defense, which is very sustainable, is

585
00:27:47,920 --> 00:27:51,640
Speaker 3: the best in the NFL by a wide wide margin

586
00:27:52,200 --> 00:27:56,240
Speaker 3: if you look at adjusted EPA for play, and they

587
00:27:56,240 --> 00:27:58,000
Speaker 3: should get Eric Armstead back this week.

588
00:27:58,080 --> 00:28:01,320
Speaker 4: He's on the practice field looked, which is huge for

589
00:28:01,359 --> 00:28:01,760
Speaker 4: their run.

590
00:28:01,800 --> 00:28:04,840
Speaker 3: Dye. UH, their defense became elite last year when they

591
00:28:04,880 --> 00:28:09,440
Speaker 3: moved him into the middle. And look at the Dolphins defense,

592
00:28:09,840 --> 00:28:12,119
Speaker 3: like I just mentioned the teams that they've been playing lately,

593
00:28:13,240 --> 00:28:16,080
Speaker 3: and look, the Bears put up thirty plus, the Lions

594
00:28:16,080 --> 00:28:19,160
Speaker 3: put up thirty plus, and they shut down the Texans.

595
00:28:19,240 --> 00:28:21,760
Speaker 3: Great job, he shut down Kyle Island and they did

596
00:28:21,760 --> 00:28:23,120
Speaker 3: a good job against the Browns. I was a press

597
00:28:23,200 --> 00:28:26,919
Speaker 3: that effort. But the Dolphins like the blitz and they

598
00:28:27,480 --> 00:28:31,040
Speaker 3: but they don't get pressure, and that's not great for

599
00:28:31,119 --> 00:28:33,320
Speaker 3: Jimmy G. And I'm not talking about just this year

600
00:28:33,560 --> 00:28:36,440
Speaker 3: because they have played a pretty soft schedule, but if

601
00:28:36,440 --> 00:28:40,800
Speaker 3: you look historically at Jimmyg's stats, he really struggles under

602
00:28:40,880 --> 00:28:43,760
Speaker 3: non blitz pressure. So whenever he blitz him like his

603
00:28:43,840 --> 00:28:45,720
Speaker 3: numbers are always pretty good because he just has like

604
00:28:45,800 --> 00:28:47,719
Speaker 3: one like I know I end up seeing the blitz.

605
00:28:47,800 --> 00:28:49,400
Speaker 3: I know I'm gonna go here, I know I'm gonna

606
00:28:49,440 --> 00:28:50,600
Speaker 3: check it down, or I know I'm gonna go to

607
00:28:50,640 --> 00:28:52,040
Speaker 3: my tight end. I know I'm gonna go to the debot.

608
00:28:52,040 --> 00:28:54,600
Speaker 3: I'm gonna dump it off. You know, it's all short passing.

609
00:28:55,720 --> 00:28:58,760
Speaker 3: But if you are playing coverage now blitzing and then

610
00:28:58,800 --> 00:29:00,400
Speaker 3: you have ends that can get pressure on him.

611
00:29:00,520 --> 00:29:01,480
Speaker 4: He will make mistakes.

612
00:29:01,480 --> 00:29:03,920
Speaker 3: He will have the head scratching Jimmy throw. Remember the

613
00:29:03,960 --> 00:29:08,040
Speaker 3: pick last week that I think got overturned for some

614
00:29:08,080 --> 00:29:09,840
Speaker 3: penalty where the States ended up fumbling and they got

615
00:29:09,880 --> 00:29:11,760
Speaker 3: it back. Something crazy happen. I know he got bailed out,

616
00:29:12,320 --> 00:29:15,760
Speaker 3: but that that's you know, the Dolphins aren't that they

617
00:29:15,880 --> 00:29:18,000
Speaker 3: like the blitz and they're not.

618
00:29:18,080 --> 00:29:19,840
Speaker 4: They don't get natural pressure without blitzing.

619
00:29:20,200 --> 00:29:23,680
Speaker 3: You know. Chump helps that aspect a little bit, but overall,

620
00:29:23,720 --> 00:29:26,560
Speaker 3: in general and Baby really struggles to defend running backs,

621
00:29:26,960 --> 00:29:30,880
Speaker 3: the slot, tight ends, and short passes. Their twenty ninth

622
00:29:30,920 --> 00:29:36,000
Speaker 3: bboa defending short passes, which is where the Dolphins, I mean.

623
00:29:35,960 --> 00:29:37,560
Speaker 4: Where the forty nine ers like to live.

624
00:29:38,400 --> 00:29:41,680
Speaker 3: Meanwhile, you know, student versus pupil here, I tend to

625
00:29:41,720 --> 00:29:45,360
Speaker 3: favor I mean, sorry, teacher versus pupil here. I tend

626
00:29:45,400 --> 00:29:46,960
Speaker 3: to favor the teacher of the first matchup. But the

627
00:29:46,960 --> 00:29:49,800
Speaker 3: forty nine ers defense is elite defending short passes. They're

628
00:29:49,880 --> 00:29:54,200
Speaker 3: number two, So yeah, it's a really interesting match. I

629
00:29:54,240 --> 00:29:56,760
Speaker 3: don't hate you for taking over three. I wanted sad

630
00:29:56,800 --> 00:29:59,880
Speaker 3: for am minus three didn't get it. I'm not length

631
00:30:00,120 --> 00:30:00,560
Speaker 3: and a half.

632
00:30:00,600 --> 00:30:06,160
Speaker 4: But I will say that I did, uh, buddy.

633
00:30:05,880 --> 00:30:09,560
Speaker 3: Line the Niners with the Ravens, who should win.

634
00:30:10,040 --> 00:30:11,600
Speaker 1: But I don't trust the Niners.

635
00:30:11,840 --> 00:30:15,520
Speaker 2: This is that kind of margins when yeah, I mean, listen,

636
00:30:15,640 --> 00:30:16,760
Speaker 2: you know, all I need to do is keep it

637
00:30:16,800 --> 00:30:18,360
Speaker 2: within a field going. I think the Dolphins have a

638
00:30:18,480 --> 00:30:23,000
Speaker 2: very good shot of winning this game because if the Niners, yeah, okay,

639
00:30:23,120 --> 00:30:27,920
Speaker 2: everything they do is short passes, there's just naturally like

640
00:30:28,240 --> 00:30:31,040
Speaker 2: not as much margin for er. Jimmy G's banged up,

641
00:30:31,080 --> 00:30:33,040
Speaker 2: by the way, you know, they're not they're being coy

642
00:30:33,040 --> 00:30:36,520
Speaker 2: about exactly how hurd he is, but he's not one

643
00:30:36,560 --> 00:30:39,360
Speaker 2: hundred percent. He's something's up with his with his knee.

644
00:30:39,520 --> 00:30:43,160
Speaker 2: Christian McCaffrey's is not healthy right now. Uh, they just

645
00:30:43,240 --> 00:30:46,080
Speaker 2: lost Thewijah Mitchell, who is running better than McCaffrey.

646
00:30:46,840 --> 00:30:49,320
Speaker 1: You know, like this this this it's I think it's.

647
00:30:49,160 --> 00:30:51,000
Speaker 2: Gonna be a little bit of a struggle for the Niners,

648
00:30:51,080 --> 00:30:54,360
Speaker 2: and uh, you know they haven't they haven't faced like,

649
00:30:54,920 --> 00:30:57,160
Speaker 2: how do you beat a defense that's talented in a

650
00:30:57,240 --> 00:31:00,400
Speaker 2: week with guys like javen O, wado In Tiree and

651
00:31:00,440 --> 00:31:01,080
Speaker 2: Tua like that.

652
00:31:01,960 --> 00:31:03,560
Speaker 1: I think it is a great matchup for Miami.

653
00:31:04,880 --> 00:31:07,880
Speaker 3: Yeah, we'll we'll learn a lot about both teams because

654
00:31:07,880 --> 00:31:12,320
Speaker 3: of who they've played recently. All Right, For my third

655
00:31:12,720 --> 00:31:20,640
Speaker 3: pick of the week, thirteen NFL Sunday six pack, I'm

656
00:31:20,680 --> 00:31:21,760
Speaker 3: going with the.

657
00:31:23,320 --> 00:31:25,440
Speaker 4: Kid's hard. I can't even say it with the great face.

658
00:31:25,480 --> 00:31:29,760
Speaker 3: The Los Angeles Rams plus seven and a half against

659
00:31:30,000 --> 00:31:35,080
Speaker 3: the Seattle Seahawks. I'm just I'm assuming there's o'donald. There's

660
00:31:35,080 --> 00:31:37,160
Speaker 3: no staff on who they're just getting shut down for

661
00:31:37,200 --> 00:31:39,680
Speaker 3: the year. Yeah, there's no Cup, there's no Alan Robinson.

662
00:31:39,680 --> 00:31:42,240
Speaker 3: The offensive line is a mess. Bryce Perkins the starting

663
00:31:42,240 --> 00:31:43,720
Speaker 3: I don't even I don't even know wh Sorry, I'm

664
00:31:43,720 --> 00:31:46,000
Speaker 3: assuming it's Bryce Perkins again. To get to the second start,

665
00:31:46,480 --> 00:31:49,800
Speaker 3: I don't care. I cannot get anywhere close to this number.

666
00:31:50,160 --> 00:31:53,800
Speaker 3: These are still professional players playing. They're not going to quit.

667
00:31:54,120 --> 00:31:58,280
Speaker 4: And I said earlier this year, I said the Rams without.

668
00:31:58,000 --> 00:31:59,800
Speaker 3: Donald and Coup with it looked like they were both

669
00:31:59,800 --> 00:32:02,080
Speaker 3: her So they're basically like the U and Stafford are

670
00:32:02,080 --> 00:32:05,000
Speaker 3: basically the Texans, which is fair.

671
00:32:05,760 --> 00:32:06,240
Speaker 4: Which is fair?

672
00:32:07,400 --> 00:32:10,640
Speaker 1: Damian Peers, Yeah, they're fair.

673
00:32:10,720 --> 00:32:12,840
Speaker 3: Yeah, Kira was I like Carl was with but they're

674
00:32:12,840 --> 00:32:18,280
Speaker 3: a little more they're better coach than the Texans. And

675
00:32:19,400 --> 00:32:21,080
Speaker 3: this is a divisional game, and I know those show

676
00:32:21,120 --> 00:32:23,200
Speaker 3: up like it's guys playing for their jobs and contracts.

677
00:32:23,200 --> 00:32:24,480
Speaker 3: They're not just gonna quit. And by the way, there's

678
00:32:24,520 --> 00:32:27,360
Speaker 3: no tanking with the Rams tank for the two hundredth pick.

679
00:32:27,760 --> 00:32:29,400
Speaker 4: Their pick goes to the Lions.

680
00:32:29,440 --> 00:32:30,880
Speaker 3: I think in the first round they don't they don't

681
00:32:30,880 --> 00:32:33,800
Speaker 3: have a first round pick with two decades, there's no tanking.

682
00:32:34,040 --> 00:32:35,880
Speaker 3: People are like the Rams are tanking, tanking for what

683
00:32:36,280 --> 00:32:39,959
Speaker 3: the seventy eighth pick, they don't have any or they

684
00:32:39,960 --> 00:32:40,640
Speaker 3: don't have any.

685
00:32:41,120 --> 00:32:42,320
Speaker 4: I think their picks go to the lines, they go

686
00:32:42,400 --> 00:32:43,240
Speaker 4: to somebody.

687
00:32:42,960 --> 00:32:45,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, and.

688
00:32:46,920 --> 00:32:49,200
Speaker 4: Yeah, so they're still going to show up.

689
00:32:49,200 --> 00:32:50,920
Speaker 3: It's like, it's like the Texas and you're telling me

690
00:32:51,200 --> 00:32:54,080
Speaker 3: the Browns that the Shawn Watson back, who are better

691
00:32:54,120 --> 00:32:59,480
Speaker 3: than the Seahawks, are only seven point favorites at Houston,

692
00:33:00,200 --> 00:33:05,120
Speaker 3: a literal corpse that has no coach, and they're they're

693
00:33:05,160 --> 00:33:08,280
Speaker 3: not as big of a favorite as Seattle at the Rams.

694
00:33:08,280 --> 00:33:09,920
Speaker 4: I don't care who's playing quarterback.

695
00:33:10,320 --> 00:33:14,200
Speaker 3: This is a crazy overreaction to all the injuries and

696
00:33:14,200 --> 00:33:17,280
Speaker 3: how many times do we see wounded teams and spots

697
00:33:17,320 --> 00:33:20,040
Speaker 3: like this once the lines get way too inflated, Like

698
00:33:20,040 --> 00:33:21,600
Speaker 3: I saw this lineer O, this seing was like three

699
00:33:21,640 --> 00:33:23,400
Speaker 3: and a half four, and now I was and then

700
00:33:23,440 --> 00:33:25,400
Speaker 3: it jumped up and then the Donalds and then it

701
00:33:25,440 --> 00:33:26,160
Speaker 3: flew through seven.

702
00:33:26,200 --> 00:33:27,240
Speaker 4: I said, you got to be kidding me.

703
00:33:27,360 --> 00:33:29,760
Speaker 3: I took eight, would take this down to seven, but

704
00:33:30,120 --> 00:33:31,640
Speaker 3: definitely taking it at seven and a half.

705
00:33:31,840 --> 00:33:34,200
Speaker 4: Home dogs, by the way, for what it's.

706
00:33:34,040 --> 00:33:37,239
Speaker 3: Worth this year catching seven or more seven to zero

707
00:33:37,240 --> 00:33:40,360
Speaker 3: against the spread this year talked about the reduced scoring environment,

708
00:33:40,480 --> 00:33:42,600
Speaker 3: harder to build margin. The one thing that I think

709
00:33:42,600 --> 00:33:45,440
Speaker 3: the Rams will still do. Losing Donald obviously really hurts.

710
00:33:45,480 --> 00:33:50,160
Speaker 3: He's probably worth about, you know, one and a half points,

711
00:33:50,200 --> 00:33:53,240
Speaker 3: which is crazy for a non quarterback.

712
00:33:53,880 --> 00:33:55,560
Speaker 4: It's highs you'll ever get for a defender.

713
00:33:56,000 --> 00:33:58,120
Speaker 3: So he's definitely worth a lot to the spread, and

714
00:33:58,160 --> 00:34:00,120
Speaker 3: he's going to not get as much pressure. But the

715
00:34:00,200 --> 00:34:04,760
Speaker 3: Rams still just schematically they'll be still okay against the run.

716
00:34:05,160 --> 00:34:06,800
Speaker 3: And that's the whole key against Seattle. If you can

717
00:34:06,840 --> 00:34:09,080
Speaker 3: just slow down their run, it really slows down their

718
00:34:09,080 --> 00:34:14,160
Speaker 3: play action game and geno and this is still a

719
00:34:14,320 --> 00:34:16,520
Speaker 3: I think a defense that will have pride and look,

720
00:34:16,520 --> 00:34:20,520
Speaker 3: it's Perkins's second start could run around some behind that

721
00:34:20,560 --> 00:34:22,400
Speaker 3: offul offensive line, but Channel's not gonna give a ton

722
00:34:22,440 --> 00:34:24,759
Speaker 3: of pressure. And we've seen Seattle's defense like least we

723
00:34:24,840 --> 00:34:28,759
Speaker 3: think you have six hundred yards, that's like a big

724
00:34:28,800 --> 00:34:31,400
Speaker 3: twelve game. We have six hundred yards to the Raiders.

725
00:34:32,080 --> 00:34:35,520
Speaker 3: So I think that we were crowning the Seattle defense

726
00:34:35,520 --> 00:34:38,720
Speaker 3: a little too soon. So yeah, I think the Rams

727
00:34:38,719 --> 00:34:40,239
Speaker 3: can find a way to put up some points there.

728
00:34:40,280 --> 00:34:42,640
Speaker 3: But this is purely a numbers play over a key

729
00:34:42,640 --> 00:34:47,560
Speaker 3: of seven in a divisional game. These are these guys self, surpride.

730
00:34:47,640 --> 00:34:51,680
Speaker 3: I cannot get to anywhere close to Seattle minus seven

731
00:34:51,719 --> 00:34:53,440
Speaker 3: and a half on their own ear at the Rams,

732
00:34:53,560 --> 00:34:57,040
Speaker 3: I don't care. Once again, if you're playing quarterback. The

733
00:34:57,120 --> 00:35:00,399
Speaker 3: only way that I will not I will eye out

734
00:35:00,400 --> 00:35:02,839
Speaker 3: of this pet. The only way that I will buy

735
00:35:02,880 --> 00:35:07,319
Speaker 3: out of my Rams plus eight position is if tomorrow

736
00:35:07,520 --> 00:35:09,600
Speaker 3: the Jets trade Zach Wilson to the Rams and he

737
00:35:09,719 --> 00:35:10,680
Speaker 3: starts for them.

738
00:35:10,920 --> 00:35:11,959
Speaker 4: That's it.

739
00:35:13,080 --> 00:35:14,759
Speaker 1: What about if the Cowboys straight Cooper rush?

740
00:35:15,280 --> 00:35:18,640
Speaker 3: Don't care bout back Cooper as long as the Rams

741
00:35:18,719 --> 00:35:21,759
Speaker 3: don't start Zach Wilson. I like this.

742
00:35:23,160 --> 00:35:25,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, I thought about this one too, and then it

743
00:35:25,600 --> 00:35:28,680
Speaker 2: just it was going to take me like three hours

744
00:35:28,680 --> 00:35:30,960
Speaker 2: to figure out exactly why I wanted to bet the Rams.

745
00:35:31,880 --> 00:35:32,839
Speaker 1: I agree, this is.

746
00:35:33,040 --> 00:35:36,960
Speaker 2: Just like seven and a half points uh for the

747
00:35:37,000 --> 00:35:40,760
Speaker 2: Seahawks against anyone on the road.

748
00:35:41,160 --> 00:35:42,440
Speaker 1: It's just the.

749
00:35:42,520 --> 00:35:45,080
Speaker 3: Visional game like this.

750
00:35:45,280 --> 00:35:46,759
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's crazy. It's a crazy one.

751
00:35:46,760 --> 00:35:49,520
Speaker 3: I'll happily wear put the clown makeup on for you

752
00:35:50,080 --> 00:35:52,040
Speaker 3: and take the sign so you don't have to make

753
00:35:52,080 --> 00:35:53,799
Speaker 3: the case. But basically goes out of just the line

754
00:35:53,920 --> 00:35:56,840
Speaker 3: is too high and it's hard to build margin in

755
00:35:56,840 --> 00:35:59,200
Speaker 3: the NFL this year. This is the low total game.

756
00:35:59,239 --> 00:36:01,960
Speaker 3: I think it's going to be lower scoring. And how

757
00:36:01,960 --> 00:36:06,480
Speaker 3: many times have we seen backups? You know, people step up.

758
00:36:06,800 --> 00:36:09,440
Speaker 3: You're gonna have some defensive line to that stuff up here. Schematically,

759
00:36:09,440 --> 00:36:10,759
Speaker 3: the Reds will still be okay against the.

760
00:36:10,760 --> 00:36:13,680
Speaker 4: Run, and I think that they'll be able to move

761
00:36:13,719 --> 00:36:14,160
Speaker 4: the balls up.

762
00:36:14,200 --> 00:36:18,600
Speaker 3: Everyone cand of gets scandal, So yeah, give me give

763
00:36:18,600 --> 00:36:19,839
Speaker 3: me the Rams here pride game.

764
00:36:21,840 --> 00:36:24,839
Speaker 2: Guess who covered the sixty plus sixty and a half

765
00:36:24,920 --> 00:36:27,319
Speaker 2: last week and his first start, Bryce Perkins. That line

766
00:36:27,600 --> 00:36:33,080
Speaker 2: got away and of course the the Chiefs keep screwing

767
00:36:33,160 --> 00:36:34,640
Speaker 2: up in the red zone and the Rams found a

768
00:36:34,640 --> 00:36:38,120
Speaker 2: way to cover. I mean, it is a corpse, but

769
00:36:39,120 --> 00:36:41,759
Speaker 2: these are these are other types of games. You know,

770
00:36:42,000 --> 00:36:44,640
Speaker 2: when you get deep into betting and you're betting at

771
00:36:44,680 --> 00:36:47,680
Speaker 2: this point in the season, these are the type of

772
00:36:47,680 --> 00:36:50,120
Speaker 2: games that they're not going to be comfortable. They're not

773
00:36:50,160 --> 00:36:54,279
Speaker 2: gonna look or feel like the right play is gonna

774
00:36:54,280 --> 00:36:56,560
Speaker 2: be like why why why am I even doing this?

775
00:36:56,760 --> 00:37:00,360
Speaker 2: But you see these games cover like you see the

776
00:37:00,400 --> 00:37:03,560
Speaker 2: dog cover any spots more often than that I got. Yeah,

777
00:37:03,560 --> 00:37:07,400
Speaker 2: there's I think they fifty forty two cover rate for

778
00:37:07,440 --> 00:37:08,400
Speaker 2: the dog in this spot.

779
00:37:09,120 --> 00:37:13,440
Speaker 3: Yeah. The And it's worth noting that there are teams

780
00:37:13,440 --> 00:37:16,120
Speaker 3: that in the NFL, like this team is quit, Like

781
00:37:16,480 --> 00:37:17,080
Speaker 3: that can happen.

782
00:37:17,080 --> 00:37:18,240
Speaker 4: A locker room would go sour.

783
00:37:18,880 --> 00:37:20,920
Speaker 3: And it is a team sport more so than like

784
00:37:21,840 --> 00:37:25,120
Speaker 3: baseball right where like or even basketball. I mean, you

785
00:37:25,160 --> 00:37:28,839
Speaker 3: could lose some team chemistry, but there's individual performances.

786
00:37:28,840 --> 00:37:29,239
Speaker 4: But like in.

787
00:37:29,200 --> 00:37:31,640
Speaker 3: Football, you need like everyone working together. You got a prep, right,

788
00:37:31,719 --> 00:37:34,479
Speaker 3: So you can have teams that are that just quit.

789
00:37:34,560 --> 00:37:37,840
Speaker 3: But these are professional athletes, like they're playing for their jobs,

790
00:37:37,840 --> 00:37:40,439
Speaker 3: their contracts. The coaches are playing for you know, their

791
00:37:40,520 --> 00:37:43,399
Speaker 3: jobs and contracts. And the only time that I think

792
00:37:43,400 --> 00:37:46,879
Speaker 3: that really comes into play is like the last week

793
00:37:47,000 --> 00:37:48,840
Speaker 3: or last couple of weeks, Like you kind have teams

794
00:37:48,840 --> 00:37:50,520
Speaker 3: that every once in a while in the NFL, this

795
00:37:50,560 --> 00:37:53,200
Speaker 3: happened obviously opens in the NBA that knowingly tank, right

796
00:37:53,239 --> 00:37:56,160
Speaker 3: like Sean Payton this week came out and he said, uh,

797
00:37:56,680 --> 00:38:01,279
Speaker 3: Lovey Smith. Actually, uh that gets twenty fourteen dog tag

798
00:38:01,400 --> 00:38:05,880
Speaker 3: to get Javis Winston. And he was in the he

799
00:38:06,040 --> 00:38:09,799
Speaker 3: was like he pulled like every starter in the in

800
00:38:09,840 --> 00:38:14,040
Speaker 3: the second half and they just said late this season,

801
00:38:14,040 --> 00:38:15,480
Speaker 3: they said we're going to lose this case, like they

802
00:38:15,520 --> 00:38:18,560
Speaker 3: just were taking out their starters one by one to

803
00:38:18,600 --> 00:38:20,560
Speaker 3: make sure that they lost the game. So that could

804
00:38:20,560 --> 00:38:22,160
Speaker 3: happen like the last couple of weeks if it's like

805
00:38:22,200 --> 00:38:24,320
Speaker 3: for the number one draft pick. But as I mentioned,

806
00:38:24,320 --> 00:38:27,160
Speaker 3: the Rams have no incentive to tank zero. They don't

807
00:38:27,200 --> 00:38:29,080
Speaker 3: have a first round there. It's not either go hey, let's.

808
00:38:28,880 --> 00:38:32,120
Speaker 4: Get our quarterback. They can't they So anyway, where are

809
00:38:32,120 --> 00:38:33,120
Speaker 4: you going for their final pick?

810
00:38:33,560 --> 00:38:36,400
Speaker 2: Well, my third and final pick in the sixth overall

811
00:38:36,640 --> 00:38:41,960
Speaker 2: of the week thirteen Sunday six pack, I'm going with

812
00:38:42,120 --> 00:38:46,120
Speaker 2: the Detroit Lions minus one at fan duel against the

813
00:38:46,200 --> 00:38:53,839
Speaker 2: Jacksonville Jaguars. Try shop around for this line. You may

814
00:38:53,840 --> 00:38:56,320
Speaker 2: be able to get it with the Lions as a dog.

815
00:38:56,760 --> 00:39:01,000
Speaker 2: I did this wine guests, got hit by some some

816
00:39:01,080 --> 00:39:04,839
Speaker 2: big money and it flipped to the Jaguars. But I'm

817
00:39:04,880 --> 00:39:07,319
Speaker 2: gonna sell on the Jaguars hype right now. Love the

818
00:39:07,360 --> 00:39:11,920
Speaker 2: matchup for the Lions here. So what does Detroit do?

819
00:39:12,400 --> 00:39:16,440
Speaker 2: Detroit loves to blitz. For better or worse, Aaron Glenn

820
00:39:16,880 --> 00:39:21,839
Speaker 2: will blitz and Trevor Lawrence is one of the worst

821
00:39:21,920 --> 00:39:24,560
Speaker 2: quarterbacks in the league against the blitz twenty sixth in

822
00:39:24,600 --> 00:39:29,080
Speaker 2: PFF grade, thirtieth in yards per attempt when the defense

823
00:39:29,239 --> 00:39:33,440
Speaker 2: sends extra rushers. And that's kind of translated to something

824
00:39:33,440 --> 00:39:36,440
Speaker 2: I've talked about earlier in the year, which is also

825
00:39:36,480 --> 00:39:40,279
Speaker 2: some struggles versus man coverage, and the two go hand

826
00:39:40,280 --> 00:39:42,359
Speaker 2: in hand. But the Jaguars are one of the worst

827
00:39:42,400 --> 00:39:45,920
Speaker 2: teams in the league six point nine yards per targeted

828
00:39:46,000 --> 00:39:50,880
Speaker 2: pass against man coverage compared to seven point nine against zone.

829
00:39:50,920 --> 00:39:54,240
Speaker 2: They're twenty six against man eighteenth against zone. And generally

830
00:39:54,280 --> 00:39:57,279
Speaker 2: you're supposed to average more yards against man coverage and

831
00:39:57,320 --> 00:40:00,440
Speaker 2: blitzes and things like that because you have one of ones.

832
00:40:00,719 --> 00:40:03,640
Speaker 2: So Lawrence really hasn't been able to figure it out.

833
00:40:03,680 --> 00:40:06,320
Speaker 2: It's caused him a lot of trouble and that's why

834
00:40:06,640 --> 00:40:08,200
Speaker 2: he looks so inconsistent.

835
00:40:08,239 --> 00:40:10,600
Speaker 1: One week he looks great, the next week he doesn't.

836
00:40:10,600 --> 00:40:15,319
Speaker 2: And I keep saying this, the teams keep playing the

837
00:40:15,400 --> 00:40:19,200
Speaker 2: wrong defense against this Jags team, because I went back

838
00:40:19,200 --> 00:40:23,319
Speaker 2: and looked at the the Baltimore Ravens and what they

839
00:40:23,320 --> 00:40:25,919
Speaker 2: did and of course they pretty much stayed in zone

840
00:40:25,920 --> 00:40:30,279
Speaker 2: coverage throughout the game, and you just it's just not

841
00:40:30,680 --> 00:40:33,040
Speaker 2: you know, the Jaguars, they can make plays against that.

842
00:40:33,120 --> 00:40:36,600
Speaker 2: Trevor Lawrence, he kind of picks that apart. And uh,

843
00:40:36,680 --> 00:40:38,959
Speaker 2: Detroit will not do that. They'll muck up the game,

844
00:40:39,360 --> 00:40:42,560
Speaker 2: setting setting pressure. So I think Detroit matches up well

845
00:40:43,200 --> 00:40:47,560
Speaker 2: on defense. Okudah practiced Wednesday, which is good because you

846
00:40:47,560 --> 00:40:50,640
Speaker 2: know Jay Jones coming on strong, uh to give them

847
00:40:50,680 --> 00:40:54,680
Speaker 2: another threat with along with Christian Kirk and uh So

848
00:40:54,719 --> 00:40:57,640
Speaker 2: the Lion's getting healthier here and they've been playing better

849
00:40:57,719 --> 00:41:00,760
Speaker 2: on defense, you know since kind of the midway midway

850
00:41:00,800 --> 00:41:02,920
Speaker 2: point in the season. They made they fired I think

851
00:41:02,920 --> 00:41:05,600
Speaker 2: it was their defensive backs coach. They made some schematic adjustments,

852
00:41:06,040 --> 00:41:08,839
Speaker 2: they got some you know, Herbey Joseph in there, they

853
00:41:08,880 --> 00:41:15,279
Speaker 2: got Jerry Jacobs in there, so yeah, Hutchinson's well, so

854
00:41:15,719 --> 00:41:18,480
Speaker 2: it's not the it's not the same defense that you know.

855
00:41:19,040 --> 00:41:20,400
Speaker 2: I think it was maybe the first month of the

856
00:41:20,480 --> 00:41:23,600
Speaker 2: year we were saying, oh, this is historically bad defense.

857
00:41:23,600 --> 00:41:27,600
Speaker 2: It's just a bad a defense that getting like we

858
00:41:27,640 --> 00:41:30,160
Speaker 2: saw it on Thanksgiving. They could hang with the Bills

859
00:41:30,160 --> 00:41:33,160
Speaker 2: and numb for their offense, which by the way, is

860
00:41:33,200 --> 00:41:37,480
Speaker 2: finally getting healthy to put up enough points now in

861
00:41:37,480 --> 00:41:39,640
Speaker 2: this game, I need them to win, but they're playing

862
00:41:39,680 --> 00:41:42,440
Speaker 2: the Jaguars, who you know, if you need to win,

863
00:41:42,480 --> 00:41:44,000
Speaker 2: if you know, because the Lions have scored a lot

864
00:41:44,040 --> 00:41:46,000
Speaker 2: of points at home. They have, They're still only two

865
00:41:46,000 --> 00:41:48,279
Speaker 2: and four so they haven't won many games at home.

866
00:41:48,280 --> 00:41:52,439
Speaker 2: But this Jaguars team is just Jack going high and

867
00:41:53,239 --> 00:41:55,319
Speaker 2: that's why I love selling.

868
00:41:55,080 --> 00:41:55,640
Speaker 1: High on them.

869
00:41:55,719 --> 00:41:57,200
Speaker 2: And you were, you were right on it. You know,

870
00:41:57,320 --> 00:42:00,560
Speaker 2: last week is the time to be on them. But

871
00:42:00,600 --> 00:42:03,080
Speaker 2: when you look at this team that the same team

872
00:42:03,160 --> 00:42:05,800
Speaker 2: that beat the Ravens needed a comeback. By the way,

873
00:42:07,520 --> 00:42:11,080
Speaker 2: this is the same team that went down was it

874
00:42:11,239 --> 00:42:14,959
Speaker 2: twenty four twenty to nothing to the Raiders, same team

875
00:42:14,960 --> 00:42:18,960
Speaker 2: that lost to the Broncos in London, lost to the Giants.

876
00:42:18,600 --> 00:42:22,160
Speaker 1: Lost to the Colts, lost to the Texans at home.

877
00:42:22,880 --> 00:42:25,600
Speaker 2: So that's what the Jaguars have been doing pretty much

878
00:42:26,600 --> 00:42:28,480
Speaker 2: before that win against the Raids.

879
00:42:28,640 --> 00:42:30,520
Speaker 1: So this team is up and down.

880
00:42:30,560 --> 00:42:32,400
Speaker 2: A lot of it comes down to how the coverages

881
00:42:32,440 --> 00:42:35,840
Speaker 2: are played against them. And you look at this Detroit

882
00:42:35,880 --> 00:42:40,560
Speaker 2: team when they're at home, you gotta love their offense.

883
00:42:41,120 --> 00:42:42,840
Speaker 1: Thirty and a half points per game.

884
00:42:42,920 --> 00:42:45,480
Speaker 2: At home compared to eighteen and a half points per

885
00:42:45,520 --> 00:42:48,840
Speaker 2: game on the road, so a twelve point per game difference,

886
00:42:49,560 --> 00:42:54,080
Speaker 2: about fifty more total yards three eighty four average at home,

887
00:42:54,400 --> 00:42:57,520
Speaker 2: three thirty eight on the road. And their point differential

888
00:42:58,280 --> 00:43:02,200
Speaker 2: at home is positive, it's plus one, so it's still positive.

889
00:43:02,400 --> 00:43:04,520
Speaker 2: On the road, they're losing on average by a touchdown

890
00:43:04,800 --> 00:43:09,160
Speaker 2: minus seven point three, so very drastic home road splits

891
00:43:09,520 --> 00:43:13,960
Speaker 2: for Detroit. They have chart back. Reynolds is back, you

892
00:43:14,000 --> 00:43:16,560
Speaker 2: know they eased them in last week. Still, so they

893
00:43:16,560 --> 00:43:19,160
Speaker 2: have their top three receivers. I don't think Jameson Williams

894
00:43:19,160 --> 00:43:20,759
Speaker 2: is going to play this week, but you still have

895
00:43:20,840 --> 00:43:25,840
Speaker 2: your top four receivers. You know, Swift is healthy, you

896
00:43:25,880 --> 00:43:28,120
Speaker 2: know he's off the injury report. He's probably not going

897
00:43:28,200 --> 00:43:29,799
Speaker 2: to be a feature back, but they're working in all

898
00:43:29,800 --> 00:43:33,480
Speaker 2: their backs, well, their offensive lines, getting guys back practicing

899
00:43:34,040 --> 00:43:36,799
Speaker 2: on Wednesday. So Detroit should be a full go on

900
00:43:36,880 --> 00:43:38,200
Speaker 2: both sides of the ball here.

901
00:43:38,560 --> 00:43:40,600
Speaker 1: And this is another one where.

902
00:43:40,400 --> 00:43:45,399
Speaker 2: I think the perception again is that the Jaguars are

903
00:43:46,360 --> 00:43:50,040
Speaker 2: the much better team here. And I know they were

904
00:43:50,160 --> 00:43:51,880
Speaker 2: favored at one point on the road. Probably at some

905
00:43:51,880 --> 00:43:54,719
Speaker 2: books they still are. I just don't see it. Detroit

906
00:43:55,239 --> 00:44:00,640
Speaker 2: sixteenth in overall DVA, Jacksonville eighteenth, Detroit twelfth in offensive

907
00:44:00,719 --> 00:44:05,880
Speaker 2: DVLA Jacksonville fourteenth, Detroit twenty four on defense, Jaguars twenty six.

908
00:44:06,560 --> 00:44:08,440
Speaker 1: And they're pretty much equal in specialty.

909
00:44:08,600 --> 00:44:12,279
Speaker 2: So Detroit's better overall, Troit's better on offense, Trod's better

910
00:44:12,520 --> 00:44:17,360
Speaker 2: on defense, Detroit's at home. Detroit plays a style of

911
00:44:17,400 --> 00:44:22,560
Speaker 2: defense that the Jaguars have struggled against. So give me

912
00:44:23,320 --> 00:44:31,520
Speaker 2: them Lions minus one at home against the Jags, Hello, Detroit.

913
00:44:33,520 --> 00:44:38,719
Speaker 3: One. I don't disagree with you. I don't agree with you.

914
00:44:39,280 --> 00:44:40,600
Speaker 3: It makes some good points. I don't really have a

915
00:44:40,600 --> 00:44:42,160
Speaker 3: strong feel here. It feels to me it's like a

916
00:44:42,160 --> 00:44:43,960
Speaker 3: game that it's like who's gonna have the ball last?

917
00:44:44,040 --> 00:44:48,160
Speaker 3: But from a spot perspective, Jacks and Trevor Lawrence haven't

918
00:44:48,160 --> 00:44:50,879
Speaker 3: been the same team on the road lines extra rest here.

919
00:44:51,320 --> 00:44:54,160
Speaker 3: Jack's coming off that big emotional wind. Do they carry

920
00:44:54,160 --> 00:44:55,359
Speaker 3: some of them up the over do they come out

921
00:44:55,400 --> 00:44:58,480
Speaker 3: a little flat here against the lines? I don't know,

922
00:44:58,520 --> 00:45:01,960
Speaker 3: but I think the spot overall general does favor Detroit.

923
00:45:02,120 --> 00:45:05,960
Speaker 3: And I do think that you know, Golf is playing

924
00:45:06,239 --> 00:45:09,520
Speaker 3: really well, and especially indoors at home, with all his

925
00:45:09,600 --> 00:45:12,279
Speaker 3: weapons healthy in that offensive line, they should be able

926
00:45:12,320 --> 00:45:15,000
Speaker 3: to move the ball at will. And it seems like

927
00:45:15,040 --> 00:45:17,319
Speaker 3: you have a conviction that Lawrence is going to have

928
00:45:17,400 --> 00:45:20,120
Speaker 3: some struggles at least at times, which if that's the case,

929
00:45:20,800 --> 00:45:22,120
Speaker 3: the Lions will get to start at home.

930
00:45:22,880 --> 00:45:27,640
Speaker 2: We got some Perkins, we got some Mike White, we

931
00:45:27,760 --> 00:45:29,400
Speaker 2: got some Mahomes.

932
00:45:30,120 --> 00:45:33,640
Speaker 3: I got I got Mahomes, Mike White, and Perkins.

933
00:45:33,640 --> 00:45:38,239
Speaker 2: That's quite the spectrum there. But we covered with a

934
00:45:38,280 --> 00:45:41,239
Speaker 2: combo of Darnold and Mike White last week so we

935
00:45:41,280 --> 00:45:41,799
Speaker 2: could do this.

936
00:45:42,320 --> 00:45:43,920
Speaker 4: None of us have to give each other ship this

937
00:45:43,960 --> 00:45:44,359
Speaker 4: week with.

938
00:45:46,400 --> 00:45:49,880
Speaker 2: You got Casey minus two and a half in Cincy,

939
00:45:50,040 --> 00:45:53,680
Speaker 2: the Rams plus seven and a half at home against Seattle,

940
00:45:53,800 --> 00:45:57,120
Speaker 2: and the Jets plus three at Minnesota. I got Tennessee

941
00:45:57,239 --> 00:46:00,840
Speaker 2: plus five and a half at Philly, Miami plus three

942
00:46:01,000 --> 00:46:05,600
Speaker 2: and a half at San fran and the Lions minus

943
00:46:05,800 --> 00:46:09,960
Speaker 2: one against the Jacksonville Jaguarars.

944
00:46:10,320 --> 00:46:15,080
Speaker 1: Now it is time for the Week thirteen coaches pep talk.

945
00:46:15,480 --> 00:46:17,399
Speaker 3: Every time we get ready to play, I just want

946
00:46:17,400 --> 00:46:17,960
Speaker 3: to throw up.

947
00:46:18,200 --> 00:46:19,920
Speaker 1: I'm sick I'm watching you guys play.

948
00:46:20,560 --> 00:46:25,680
Speaker 2: This week's furious Coaches pep talk comes to us from

949
00:46:26,080 --> 00:46:28,399
Speaker 2: one of my favorite movies, the two thousand and one

950
00:46:28,520 --> 00:46:33,239
Speaker 2: film Zulander. And let's go on and dedicate it to

951
00:46:33,680 --> 00:46:36,560
Speaker 2: Nathaniel Hackett again.

952
00:46:36,960 --> 00:46:37,399
Speaker 1: I don't know.

953
00:46:38,640 --> 00:46:40,520
Speaker 2: I don't know what this guy's doing. I mean, he's

954
00:46:40,600 --> 00:46:43,919
Speaker 2: giving up all his responsibilities. You know, he's switching things

955
00:46:44,000 --> 00:46:47,240
Speaker 2: up in the coaching, you know, with Kubiak calling plays,

956
00:46:47,280 --> 00:46:51,160
Speaker 2: and nothing is working. And he's supposed you know, he

957
00:46:51,640 --> 00:46:55,080
Speaker 2: just spent three years with with Aaron Rodgers. He seems

958
00:46:55,120 --> 00:46:57,600
Speaker 2: like he has no idea how to deal with a

959
00:46:57,640 --> 00:47:01,000
Speaker 2: star quarterback who's got his ego ruised en is not

960
00:47:01,080 --> 00:47:03,160
Speaker 2: playing well. So gotta dedicate this.

961
00:47:03,040 --> 00:47:07,400
Speaker 1: One to Nathaniel Packet. We'll see how many more we

962
00:47:07,560 --> 00:47:08,200
Speaker 1: tack it last.

963
00:47:08,719 --> 00:47:12,920
Speaker 3: At this rate, shut up on that f already, the

964
00:47:13,040 --> 00:47:16,680
Speaker 3: man has only one look for Christ's sake, doesn't anyone

965
00:47:16,880 --> 00:47:20,640
Speaker 3: notice this. I feel like I'm taking crazy pills. Yo,

966
00:47:20,800 --> 00:47:25,520
Speaker 3: got not that? Nothing, not that, and I will be

967
00:47:25,600 --> 00:47:27,880
Speaker 3: up bunks. Let's called if I have you ruined this

968
00:47:28,000 --> 00:47:30,760
Speaker 3: for me? Because if you can't get the job done,

969
00:47:30,960 --> 00:47:31,720
Speaker 3: then I will.

970
00:47:32,120 --> 00:47:36,760
Speaker 2: All right, let's get into our favorite totals of the week.

971
00:47:37,480 --> 00:47:40,560
Speaker 2: I will start us off. Since you let off with

972
00:47:40,640 --> 00:47:45,400
Speaker 2: the six pack, I'm gonna go with the Giants and

973
00:47:45,600 --> 00:47:54,760
Speaker 2: the Commanders under forty and a half at Fandel and yeah,

974
00:47:55,120 --> 00:47:59,719
Speaker 2: this is you know, this is my style outdoor divisional

975
00:47:59,800 --> 00:48:04,239
Speaker 2: under two teams that are slow paced, in the Giants

976
00:48:04,680 --> 00:48:09,080
Speaker 2: and the Commanders. The Commanders have really started to slow

977
00:48:09,120 --> 00:48:14,120
Speaker 2: it down once heinikey to go over. They were rattling

978
00:48:14,160 --> 00:48:17,440
Speaker 2: off a pretty good amount of play volume under Carson Wentz,

979
00:48:17,480 --> 00:48:21,800
Speaker 2: but that has stopped with Heinike. They're winning in totally

980
00:48:21,800 --> 00:48:27,280
Speaker 2: different ways. They're down to twenty ninth in situation neutral pace.

981
00:48:27,880 --> 00:48:30,480
Speaker 2: The Giants are still twenty first. The Giants will go

982
00:48:31,239 --> 00:48:36,000
Speaker 2: some tempo here and there, but it's not an explosive offense,

983
00:48:36,040 --> 00:48:39,640
Speaker 2: so it's not really hurting the total in any measurable way.

984
00:48:40,320 --> 00:48:42,920
Speaker 2: But they will rat up just in case. People will say,

985
00:48:42,920 --> 00:48:45,520
Speaker 2: oh man, the Giants are speeding it up. They will

986
00:48:45,520 --> 00:48:46,040
Speaker 2: do that from.

987
00:48:45,920 --> 00:48:47,600
Speaker 1: Time to time, but this is an offense that really

988
00:48:47,640 --> 00:48:49,520
Speaker 1: doesn't get explosive plays down the field.

989
00:48:49,880 --> 00:48:52,920
Speaker 2: And you look at this Giants offense, I mean, it

990
00:48:53,520 --> 00:48:55,359
Speaker 2: got so bad last week that they had to use

991
00:48:55,480 --> 00:48:59,440
Speaker 2: Barkley as a decoy and just keep feeding Gary Brightwell

992
00:48:59,800 --> 00:49:03,480
Speaker 2: to manufacture offense, and like they're really kind of running

993
00:49:03,520 --> 00:49:05,759
Speaker 2: out of and Dabo's great, but they're they're kind of

994
00:49:05,800 --> 00:49:08,719
Speaker 2: running out of ways to get offense going here. And

995
00:49:08,800 --> 00:49:10,759
Speaker 2: now you got to face the Commanders. And what are

996
00:49:10,800 --> 00:49:15,360
Speaker 2: the Commanders do really well on defense? They stop the run.

997
00:49:16,520 --> 00:49:19,640
Speaker 2: That's just not an ideal matchup for the Giants, probably

998
00:49:19,800 --> 00:49:20,480
Speaker 2: even more so.

999
00:49:20,560 --> 00:49:22,919
Speaker 1: You know last week, I know we were like.

1000
00:49:22,800 --> 00:49:26,600
Speaker 2: Oh man, Giants wounded offensive line, no receivers, facing this

1001
00:49:26,680 --> 00:49:27,759
Speaker 2: cowboy pressure.

1002
00:49:27,480 --> 00:49:28,720
Speaker 1: D brutal spot.

1003
00:49:28,800 --> 00:49:32,720
Speaker 2: But realistically, I mean the Giant you know, pass defense

1004
00:49:32,760 --> 00:49:35,800
Speaker 2: against the Giants is kind of doesn't really matter as much.

1005
00:49:36,000 --> 00:49:37,560
Speaker 2: You really need to be able to stop the run,

1006
00:49:37,680 --> 00:49:40,280
Speaker 2: and that's where the Commanders excel.

1007
00:49:40,920 --> 00:49:42,320
Speaker 1: They are.

1008
00:49:43,680 --> 00:49:47,600
Speaker 2: Number four in run defense DVA, up to fourteenth against

1009
00:49:47,640 --> 00:49:51,960
Speaker 2: the pass too, so overall eleventh good defense all around.

1010
00:49:52,040 --> 00:49:53,399
Speaker 1: May may get some Chase Young back.

1011
00:49:53,440 --> 00:49:57,000
Speaker 2: I'm not sure he's on Shaquille Leonard status for me,

1012
00:49:57,040 --> 00:50:00,719
Speaker 2: and I'm not banking on him coming back. But just yeah,

1013
00:50:00,880 --> 00:50:04,080
Speaker 2: like the matchup here for the command. By the way, Heinikey,

1014
00:50:04,120 --> 00:50:07,239
Speaker 2: you talk about a guy who's gotten lucky. He's had

1015
00:50:07,239 --> 00:50:11,960
Speaker 2: a one drop all year. He drew for some drop progression. Yeah,

1016
00:50:12,000 --> 00:50:14,239
Speaker 2: he's got a bunch of turnover worthy throw I think

1017
00:50:14,280 --> 00:50:17,360
Speaker 2: he's got the highest turnover worthy throw rate and only

1018
00:50:17,680 --> 00:50:18,440
Speaker 2: a few turnovers.

1019
00:50:19,719 --> 00:50:19,919
Speaker 3: Yeah.

1020
00:50:20,000 --> 00:50:23,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, So like I think you can see some drops,

1021
00:50:23,360 --> 00:50:28,160
Speaker 2: some drive in and drops, some some turnovers that that

1022
00:50:28,160 --> 00:50:30,359
Speaker 2: that stall drives out. You're just hoping you don't get

1023
00:50:31,000 --> 00:50:32,960
Speaker 2: like a pick six or fumble six. But even if

1024
00:50:32,960 --> 00:50:35,720
Speaker 2: you do, uh, these offense you know this, this Giants

1025
00:50:35,760 --> 00:50:38,560
Speaker 2: offense is going to struggle to kind of make it

1026
00:50:38,560 --> 00:50:43,400
Speaker 2: a shootout here. And this Washington team with Carson Wentz

1027
00:50:43,880 --> 00:50:48,399
Speaker 2: called a design run play excluding meal downs thirty three

1028
00:50:48,440 --> 00:50:51,360
Speaker 2: percent of the time in the six starts with Carson

1029
00:50:51,400 --> 00:50:56,120
Speaker 2: Wentz in Heinikey six starts, they're calling a designed run.

1030
00:50:56,280 --> 00:50:57,560
Speaker 1: Fifty two percent of the time.

1031
00:50:57,960 --> 00:51:00,880
Speaker 2: So from a third of the time to more than

1032
00:51:00,920 --> 00:51:05,280
Speaker 2: half the time, Washington is running the football that eats clock,

1033
00:51:05,800 --> 00:51:07,880
Speaker 2: that is not as efficient as throwing.

1034
00:51:08,480 --> 00:51:11,120
Speaker 1: So give me the under forty and a.

1035
00:51:11,160 --> 00:51:15,680
Speaker 2: Half in Giants Commanders, and let me give you a

1036
00:51:16,280 --> 00:51:19,719
Speaker 2: nice little divisional So many it got so many of these,

1037
00:51:19,760 --> 00:51:27,680
Speaker 2: but outdoor divisional unders fifty nine and thirty seven sixty

1038
00:51:27,719 --> 00:51:31,520
Speaker 2: one percent since twenty twenty one, twenty three and ten

1039
00:51:31,760 --> 00:51:36,719
Speaker 2: seventy percent this season, the under in Giants games at

1040
00:51:36,719 --> 00:51:40,600
Speaker 2: home with Daniel Jones starting eighteen and seven seventy two

1041
00:51:40,680 --> 00:51:43,600
Speaker 2: percent four into this season.

1042
00:51:44,400 --> 00:51:46,799
Speaker 1: So under forty and a half Giants Commanders.

1043
00:51:47,000 --> 00:51:50,239
Speaker 3: A little nugget here that could help you too, is yeah,

1044
00:51:50,280 --> 00:51:53,120
Speaker 3: I make this Lord, so I would agree. Is the

1045
00:51:53,239 --> 00:51:58,760
Speaker 3: Washington is the best plut by far, and the Giants

1046
00:51:58,760 --> 00:52:01,520
Speaker 3: have the worst plut return argue in the NFL by far.

1047
00:52:01,960 --> 00:52:05,600
Speaker 3: So when Washington is punting, you can see the field

1048
00:52:05,680 --> 00:52:09,480
Speaker 3: get flipped really quick by Trustway and company. The Giants

1049
00:52:09,480 --> 00:52:16,000
Speaker 3: have been horrendous on their punt returns, blocking deciding when

1050
00:52:16,000 --> 00:52:18,680
Speaker 3: to return them, and Washington has been so good they're

1051
00:52:18,680 --> 00:52:20,759
Speaker 3: by far the best punty team in the NFL this year.

1052
00:52:20,800 --> 00:52:22,600
Speaker 4: So that'll help with field position too.

1053
00:52:22,800 --> 00:52:27,239
Speaker 2: That's a great point, and you're Dori Jackson, who they

1054
00:52:27,719 --> 00:52:30,560
Speaker 2: replaced Richie James with, is out for the Giants, so

1055
00:52:30,600 --> 00:52:33,640
Speaker 2: that that's their preferred part returner. And then Richie James

1056
00:52:34,200 --> 00:52:36,319
Speaker 2: in missing practice with an illness, and who knows if

1057
00:52:36,360 --> 00:52:38,480
Speaker 2: that could spread around the offense.

1058
00:52:38,520 --> 00:52:40,680
Speaker 1: So yeah, they might just have to let the punts

1059
00:52:40,880 --> 00:52:43,239
Speaker 1: go either way. So yeah, it could be could be ugly.

1060
00:52:44,080 --> 00:52:46,080
Speaker 4: Yeah, I want to go for my favorite total.

1061
00:52:46,120 --> 00:52:51,160
Speaker 3: I'm going to go this one's scary Raiders Chargers under

1062
00:52:51,200 --> 00:52:54,520
Speaker 3: fifty and a half. Huge divisional game late in the year.

1063
00:52:54,520 --> 00:52:56,480
Speaker 3: I think you might see these two teams play a

1064
00:52:56,480 --> 00:52:59,120
Speaker 3: little tight to the best. The Raiders are slow, their

1065
00:52:59,160 --> 00:53:01,359
Speaker 3: Chargers are really fast. Defense, is anybody I do think

1066
00:53:01,400 --> 00:53:03,160
Speaker 3: that Charge's going to move the ball some? But look,

1067
00:53:03,280 --> 00:53:05,040
Speaker 3: is Mike Williams gonna go? Is he fully healthy? I

1068
00:53:05,080 --> 00:53:08,279
Speaker 3: don't know, but I think yeah, I wouldn't. I would

1069
00:53:08,360 --> 00:53:11,680
Speaker 3: be shocked. But most importantly, I don't think Corey Lindsley

1070
00:53:11,719 --> 00:53:14,160
Speaker 3: is gonna go, and that is a massive loss in

1071
00:53:14,160 --> 00:53:17,760
Speaker 3: the middle that offensive line. The offense just started sputtering

1072
00:53:17,760 --> 00:53:20,000
Speaker 3: with him out against the Cardinals last week. And then

1073
00:53:20,040 --> 00:53:21,759
Speaker 3: you know you're gonna have Pipkins, who looks like he's

1074
00:53:21,800 --> 00:53:24,720
Speaker 3: gonna be out you're down to like, you know, Storm Norton.

1075
00:53:24,719 --> 00:53:27,359
Speaker 3: Whenever Storm Norton is in there. He has been abused,

1076
00:53:27,520 --> 00:53:31,640
Speaker 3: abused in the past in this particular matchup by anybody

1077
00:53:32,040 --> 00:53:33,759
Speaker 3: that the Raiders throw out there, and that it is

1078
00:53:33,800 --> 00:53:35,120
Speaker 3: the strength of the Raiders defense.

1079
00:53:35,520 --> 00:53:39,200
Speaker 4: So I think that you don't have your deep threat.

1080
00:53:39,440 --> 00:53:41,160
Speaker 4: Your offensive line is in shambles.

1081
00:53:41,840 --> 00:53:43,880
Speaker 3: The Raiders defense is not great, but I think that

1082
00:53:43,880 --> 00:53:46,719
Speaker 3: they'll be able to do enough to get stops here,

1083
00:53:46,719 --> 00:53:48,879
Speaker 3: whether it's in the red zone or just throughout the game.

1084
00:53:48,920 --> 00:53:52,960
Speaker 3: On the other side, but the Raiders' offense, it's you

1085
00:53:53,000 --> 00:53:56,920
Speaker 3: know there they went bananas last week thanks to Jacobs,

1086
00:53:56,920 --> 00:54:01,160
Speaker 3: who over three hundred yards. But he's not practicing dealing

1087
00:54:01,200 --> 00:54:04,000
Speaker 3: with a cap straight. So there's a chance that he

1088
00:54:04,040 --> 00:54:05,520
Speaker 3: doesn't go and say they're going to see if he

1089
00:54:05,560 --> 00:54:07,640
Speaker 3: can go. We'll say maybe he's not one hundred percent,

1090
00:54:07,719 --> 00:54:10,160
Speaker 3: Maybe he doesn't get a full workload, and then you're

1091
00:54:10,480 --> 00:54:13,200
Speaker 3: doing more Abdullah, who's better out of the backfield. But

1092
00:54:13,680 --> 00:54:15,719
Speaker 3: I don't know if if Jacobs is going to get

1093
00:54:15,719 --> 00:54:18,160
Speaker 3: a full workload here, and you know, you're still down

1094
00:54:18,400 --> 00:54:21,719
Speaker 3: Red fro and Waller and uh. So I think that

1095
00:54:21,800 --> 00:54:24,000
Speaker 3: the Chargers defense will compete enough. I think this is

1096
00:54:24,040 --> 00:54:26,839
Speaker 3: just a tad too high for the scoring environment this year.

1097
00:54:26,880 --> 00:54:30,680
Speaker 3: When you consider the injuries at receiver for both teams,

1098
00:54:31,000 --> 00:54:33,920
Speaker 3: the potential injury to Jacobs, and then the injuries on

1099
00:54:33,960 --> 00:54:36,799
Speaker 3: the offensive line for the Chargers, I think there's a

1100
00:54:36,840 --> 00:54:39,480
Speaker 3: tad bit of value. It's a scary one, but let's

1101
00:54:39,520 --> 00:54:40,080
Speaker 3: go under there.

1102
00:54:40,719 --> 00:54:42,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean Jacobs would be big for the Raids

1103
00:54:42,640 --> 00:54:45,440
Speaker 2: that he is, you know, with all those guys. Yeah,

1104
00:54:45,520 --> 00:54:48,840
Speaker 2: he's he's really carrying, and I mean especially with you

1105
00:54:48,880 --> 00:54:51,880
Speaker 2: know Carr, and Carr really can only throw to DeVante

1106
00:54:51,880 --> 00:54:55,560
Speaker 2: Adams and it's like weirdly schemed where sometimes he's allowed

1107
00:54:55,600 --> 00:54:59,279
Speaker 2: to throw to DeVante Adams, sometimes he's not. So it's just, yeah,

1108
00:54:59,320 --> 00:55:01,960
Speaker 2: that Raider offense, you know, talk about inconsistency. I mentioned

1109
00:55:01,960 --> 00:55:06,080
Speaker 2: the Jaguars, this Raider offense. One week, they can put

1110
00:55:06,160 --> 00:55:09,200
Speaker 2: up forty points in uh three o three hundred yards

1111
00:55:09,200 --> 00:55:12,000
Speaker 2: on the ground and walk off touchdowns and overtime.

1112
00:55:12,040 --> 00:55:14,239
Speaker 1: Which did they do that two straight weeks? They had

1113
00:55:14,280 --> 00:55:15,799
Speaker 1: a walk off touchdown in over time.

1114
00:55:15,920 --> 00:55:17,040
Speaker 4: Yeah, ridiculous.

1115
00:55:17,400 --> 00:55:19,320
Speaker 2: But they can also get shut out by the Saints.

1116
00:55:19,440 --> 00:55:23,160
Speaker 2: You know, that's the kind of that's the kind offense

1117
00:55:23,160 --> 00:55:26,080
Speaker 2: the Raiders is. Did not have a great feel for

1118
00:55:26,120 --> 00:55:27,759
Speaker 2: this one yet, probably just early in the week. I

1119
00:55:27,800 --> 00:55:31,160
Speaker 2: don't know who's playing, but I can't disagree with you.

1120
00:55:31,239 --> 00:55:35,400
Speaker 2: You know, Divisional one, You're you know, very high for

1121
00:55:36,160 --> 00:55:39,800
Speaker 2: twenty twenty two when teams are averaging twenty one point

1122
00:55:39,920 --> 00:55:44,319
Speaker 2: nine soil under twenty two, so full game totals on

1123
00:55:44,440 --> 00:55:49,320
Speaker 2: average are about under forty four on average.

1124
00:55:49,600 --> 00:55:52,319
Speaker 3: So yeah, yeah, this is twenty they played earlier this

1125
00:55:52,360 --> 00:55:55,040
Speaker 3: year is twenty four to nineteen, and both teams were

1126
00:55:55,120 --> 00:55:56,720
Speaker 3: full strength on offense.

1127
00:55:57,200 --> 00:55:59,960
Speaker 4: You're talking like Chargers of first game of the year

1128
00:56:00,200 --> 00:56:00,880
Speaker 4: might have talked.

1129
00:56:00,719 --> 00:56:01,080
Speaker 1: Me into it.

1130
00:56:01,120 --> 00:56:04,600
Speaker 2: Actually, follow us in the app Stucky at Stucky two

1131
00:56:05,160 --> 00:56:08,960
Speaker 2: and at Chris Raybonn, and you can see what we're

1132
00:56:08,960 --> 00:56:11,360
Speaker 2: betting up to the minute and track your bets as well.

1133
00:56:12,160 --> 00:56:17,600
Speaker 2: Three Cap Giants commanders under forty and a half, Raiders

1134
00:56:17,840 --> 00:56:22,000
Speaker 2: chargers under fifty and a half, two completely different styles

1135
00:56:22,080 --> 00:56:26,200
Speaker 2: day they both worked, though. I gotta give you something

1136
00:56:26,200 --> 00:56:29,240
Speaker 2: for everybody on this pod. Let's get into our favorite

1137
00:56:29,239 --> 00:56:31,120
Speaker 2: teaser of the week.

1138
00:56:32,360 --> 00:56:35,880
Speaker 3: Oh yeah, six point teasers.

1139
00:56:36,960 --> 00:56:43,960
Speaker 1: Don't don't don't tease me please.

1140
00:56:48,760 --> 00:56:53,120
Speaker 2: Stuck has a lot of excellent content out there onny

1141
00:56:53,160 --> 00:56:56,600
Speaker 2: interwebs breaking down how you approach teasers. You're looking to

1142
00:56:56,640 --> 00:57:00,160
Speaker 2: tease through key numbers, all that good stuff, So go

1143
00:57:00,239 --> 00:57:03,080
Speaker 2: check that out. You can google stucky teasers and find

1144
00:57:03,080 --> 00:57:07,600
Speaker 2: all that content. But stuck, where are you going for

1145
00:57:07,680 --> 00:57:08,240
Speaker 2: week thirteen?

1146
00:57:08,760 --> 00:57:10,640
Speaker 3: Let's go tease Ravens down from eight and a half

1147
00:57:10,680 --> 00:57:14,319
Speaker 3: to two and a half. The Broncos are flaming dumpster fire.

1148
00:57:14,360 --> 00:57:16,880
Speaker 3: I think they traveled back to Denver too and his

1149
00:57:17,160 --> 00:57:19,040
Speaker 3: enormous coaching mispatch rape Ravens.

1150
00:57:19,040 --> 00:57:21,680
Speaker 4: Still, they could steam, could be undefeated. They blew another lead.

1151
00:57:22,080 --> 00:57:30,240
Speaker 1: Lamar practice today, don't care always Yeah, a pretty good bager, right.

1152
00:57:30,680 --> 00:57:33,160
Speaker 3: They'll be fine regardless. And I mean, now you got

1153
00:57:33,200 --> 00:57:36,400
Speaker 3: the bronck. I think the Broncos are like, I don't

1154
00:57:36,400 --> 00:57:37,720
Speaker 3: know if I'll be able to back them the rest

1155
00:57:37,720 --> 00:57:39,960
Speaker 3: of this year. I mean, guys yelling at russ and

1156
00:57:40,080 --> 00:57:41,040
Speaker 3: it's just imploding.

1157
00:57:41,320 --> 00:57:41,880
Speaker 4: Uh.

1158
00:57:42,000 --> 00:57:44,760
Speaker 3: The coach is an idiot and but and that's something

1159
00:57:44,800 --> 00:57:48,400
Speaker 3: to keep it bye here. The I didn't mention the

1160
00:57:48,440 --> 00:57:50,160
Speaker 3: Dolphins and Dolphins specially he has been really bad, which

1161
00:57:50,200 --> 00:57:52,800
Speaker 3: was surprising because the Broncos specialties have been horrific. I

1162
00:57:52,840 --> 00:57:55,840
Speaker 3: think they're dead last in my ratings for year to

1163
00:57:55,920 --> 00:57:58,960
Speaker 3: date performance. I think the thirty second Dvoa too and

1164
00:57:59,120 --> 00:58:03,160
Speaker 3: Ravens are clearly the one so massive special teams mismatch.

1165
00:58:03,200 --> 00:58:08,480
Speaker 3: You're massive coaching mismatch and the Broncos just can't score

1166
00:58:08,560 --> 00:58:11,600
Speaker 3: and there's so many injuries and Ravens will bounce back

1167
00:58:11,640 --> 00:58:12,640
Speaker 3: at home here and.

1168
00:58:12,600 --> 00:58:14,200
Speaker 4: Then let's just go Giants.

1169
00:58:15,000 --> 00:58:16,200
Speaker 3: Now that this lines me with the two and a

1170
00:58:16,240 --> 00:58:19,200
Speaker 3: half Giants plus eight and a half simple math here,

1171
00:58:19,240 --> 00:58:21,640
Speaker 3: it's just total forty divisional game.

1172
00:58:21,840 --> 00:58:24,760
Speaker 4: Can tease through three and seven. That's the ideal piece.

1173
00:58:25,560 --> 00:58:26,480
Speaker 4: Daniel Jones been.

1174
00:58:26,360 --> 00:58:28,520
Speaker 3: Really good, by the way, especially with what he's been

1175
00:58:28,560 --> 00:58:31,080
Speaker 3: working with over the past six weeks. He's been a

1176
00:58:31,080 --> 00:58:33,640
Speaker 3: top ten quarterbacks no matter what betrick you look at.

1177
00:58:33,880 --> 00:58:36,280
Speaker 3: Should get Ballanger back here. I think it'll be a

1178
00:58:36,320 --> 00:58:38,800
Speaker 3: slower pace game. I like the under twos. I think

1179
00:58:38,840 --> 00:58:42,600
Speaker 3: points are even more to previously the implied total coaching mismatch.

1180
00:58:42,960 --> 00:58:45,320
Speaker 3: Giants a little extra prep and like you mentioned that,

1181
00:58:45,400 --> 00:58:47,800
Speaker 3: heinike turnover and drop regression.

1182
00:58:48,280 --> 00:58:50,720
Speaker 4: It should be a one possession game. So let's go

1183
00:58:50,840 --> 00:58:55,680
Speaker 4: Giants and Raven's a little super Bowl teaser from two

1184
00:58:55,760 --> 00:58:56,440
Speaker 4: decades ago.

1185
00:58:57,360 --> 00:58:59,920
Speaker 2: I wish I could just tease the Ravens with the Ravens,

1186
00:59:00,320 --> 00:59:04,120
Speaker 2: like you know what I mean, Like I just want

1187
00:59:04,200 --> 00:59:07,120
Speaker 2: to invest in fading the Broncos some which way.

1188
00:59:07,360 --> 00:59:10,120
Speaker 4: He's the cheese, the total, the under the Ravens. How

1189
00:59:10,200 --> 00:59:11,760
Speaker 4: many weeks of the Broncos is gonna go on? They

1190
00:59:11,800 --> 00:59:14,160
Speaker 4: go under every week. It's the same fucking script.

1191
00:59:14,280 --> 00:59:14,760
Speaker 1: What's the money?

1192
00:59:14,760 --> 00:59:14,920
Speaker 6: Why?

1193
00:59:15,000 --> 00:59:16,800
Speaker 2: Like minus three seventy five I'm about to just wait

1194
00:59:17,080 --> 00:59:21,040
Speaker 2: three point seventy five units on the Ravens like this,

1195
00:59:22,040 --> 00:59:24,720
Speaker 2: like We're only gonna get so many more opportunities to

1196
00:59:24,800 --> 00:59:28,160
Speaker 2: fade this Broncos team as is with you know, Hackett

1197
00:59:28,160 --> 00:59:31,880
Speaker 2: and Rust and everyone's banged up, you know, like it is.

1198
00:59:32,160 --> 00:59:33,640
Speaker 2: Some kind of change has got to be coming soon,

1199
00:59:33,680 --> 00:59:35,720
Speaker 2: whether Rest gets benched or Hacket gets fired.

1200
00:59:35,800 --> 00:59:38,600
Speaker 1: So yeah, yeah, I like the Ravens too.

1201
00:59:38,840 --> 00:59:41,520
Speaker 2: I'll tease them. I'll go with the I wrote the

1202
00:59:41,520 --> 00:59:44,000
Speaker 2: Bengals here. You know, when we talk about the Chiefs,

1203
00:59:44,040 --> 00:59:46,160
Speaker 2: and I do think they're the right side at the

1204
00:59:46,440 --> 00:59:49,040
Speaker 2: you know, at the under three. But we always talk

1205
00:59:49,040 --> 00:59:52,480
Speaker 2: about the Chiefs, we say, don't back them. When they're

1206
00:59:52,520 --> 00:59:54,600
Speaker 2: favored by more than field goal, they struggle to cover

1207
00:59:54,640 --> 00:59:58,360
Speaker 2: the big spreads. And uh so by teasing the Bengals

1208
00:59:58,440 --> 01:00:02,400
Speaker 2: up here, that's essentially what I'm creating is a larger

1209
01:00:02,440 --> 01:00:03,640
Speaker 2: spread for the Chiefs.

1210
01:00:04,320 --> 01:00:07,000
Speaker 4: They back quarterback if you yeah, exactly.

1211
01:00:07,520 --> 01:00:08,000
Speaker 1: Yeah.

1212
01:00:08,040 --> 01:00:11,040
Speaker 2: So, uh and you're gonna get a really motivated t

1213
01:00:11,200 --> 01:00:15,280
Speaker 2: Higgins because uh it was it reed justin Reid on

1214
01:00:15,320 --> 01:00:18,360
Speaker 2: the Chiefs just he was like, yeah, they got this

1215
01:00:18,400 --> 01:00:20,960
Speaker 2: guy Higbee. Oh wait, I think Higgins is his name,

1216
01:00:21,000 --> 01:00:22,520
Speaker 2: But either way, I'm gonna wock him up, like just

1217
01:00:23,000 --> 01:00:25,320
Speaker 2: talking out of his face gave him bolleting board material.

1218
01:00:25,480 --> 01:00:28,160
Speaker 2: So yeah, I think the I think there'll be some

1219
01:00:28,160 --> 01:00:31,160
Speaker 2: points in this one, and I think the Bengals can

1220
01:00:31,240 --> 01:00:31,520
Speaker 2: keep it.

1221
01:00:32,720 --> 01:00:33,360
Speaker 1: Don't let me see.

1222
01:00:33,440 --> 01:00:37,440
Speaker 2: Have they lost by more than one possession once to

1223
01:00:37,480 --> 01:00:39,400
Speaker 2: the Browns. I think we were both on the Browns

1224
01:00:39,400 --> 01:00:42,400
Speaker 2: in that game. So we have the Bengals capped pretty

1225
01:00:42,440 --> 01:00:45,560
Speaker 2: pretty well this year, all right, So.

1226
01:00:46,120 --> 01:00:47,520
Speaker 3: You know, you know we have a good rid of

1227
01:00:47,520 --> 01:00:50,480
Speaker 3: the Bengals. When I'm when I'm winning bets against the Titans.

1228
01:00:50,640 --> 01:00:53,400
Speaker 1: Yeah yeah, that was yeah, just a really good week

1229
01:00:53,440 --> 01:00:53,720
Speaker 1: for us.

1230
01:00:53,720 --> 01:00:55,720
Speaker 2: I mean, you want a Titans bet, I want to

1231
01:00:55,840 --> 01:00:59,600
Speaker 2: Donald bet, you want a Mike White bet? And getting

1232
01:01:00,600 --> 01:01:03,440
Speaker 2: you got points. You got points galore for MATC Jones.

1233
01:01:06,120 --> 01:01:09,160
Speaker 3: Beautiful. They hit it. They no sweatovers are are tough

1234
01:01:09,240 --> 01:01:11,040
Speaker 3: this year in the NFL. So that was nice to lot.

1235
01:01:11,920 --> 01:01:12,200
Speaker 4: Yeah.

1236
01:01:12,240 --> 01:01:14,240
Speaker 1: I like, yeah, I'm getting them with the props.

1237
01:01:14,280 --> 01:01:14,640
Speaker 4: You know that.

1238
01:01:14,640 --> 01:01:17,600
Speaker 1: That's where I like. Uh the books posted.

1239
01:01:17,320 --> 01:01:20,200
Speaker 2: Like Tyron Williams one and a half receptions, easy over,

1240
01:01:20,400 --> 01:01:23,160
Speaker 2: Marcus Goodwin one and a half receptions, easy over.

1241
01:01:24,000 --> 01:01:28,520
Speaker 1: So yeah, we love it. Uh so Reco Theezer's stuck.

1242
01:01:28,600 --> 01:01:32,520
Speaker 2: Going with the Ravens down to minus two and a

1243
01:01:32,560 --> 01:01:36,160
Speaker 2: half and the Giants up to eight and a half.

1244
01:01:36,200 --> 01:01:37,800
Speaker 2: I'm going with the Ravens down to two and a

1245
01:01:37,840 --> 01:01:41,400
Speaker 2: half and the Bengals up to eight and a half.

1246
01:01:42,320 --> 01:01:46,200
Speaker 2: Now let's get into our money line underdog parlay.

1247
01:01:48,800 --> 01:01:53,720
Speaker 3: Turning good weekends into great weekends. It's time for the

1248
01:01:53,920 --> 01:01:55,200
Speaker 3: money line parlay.

1249
01:01:56,400 --> 01:01:59,880
Speaker 2: All right, almost hit another one and the Falcons some

1250
01:02:00,120 --> 01:02:02,640
Speaker 2: how don't win the game with the what was it

1251
01:02:02,680 --> 01:02:03,479
Speaker 2: a first and goal?

1252
01:02:05,040 --> 01:02:05,640
Speaker 1: It was it?

1253
01:02:05,720 --> 01:02:06,240
Speaker 4: Tipball?

1254
01:02:06,720 --> 01:02:07,880
Speaker 3: Yeah? Tipball? Pick?

1255
01:02:08,200 --> 01:02:08,320
Speaker 1: Why?

1256
01:02:10,320 --> 01:02:10,560
Speaker 3: I know.

1257
01:02:11,720 --> 01:02:13,680
Speaker 1: Let's focus on this week. Where are you going?

1258
01:02:14,440 --> 01:02:16,200
Speaker 4: Uh, let's go, let's get a little crazy.

1259
01:02:16,280 --> 01:02:20,160
Speaker 3: Let's go to Houston Texans money line against the Browns.

1260
01:02:20,760 --> 01:02:22,800
Speaker 4: This is what I've done with a lot a lot

1261
01:02:22,800 --> 01:02:23,120
Speaker 4: of times.

1262
01:02:23,200 --> 01:02:25,120
Speaker 3: You always hear me says on this podcast in our

1263
01:02:25,120 --> 01:02:30,960
Speaker 3: college one with money line dogs, I'm just looking for uncertainty, and.

1264
01:02:30,120 --> 01:02:32,120
Speaker 4: That is what we have here with the Shaun Watson.

1265
01:02:32,440 --> 01:02:33,400
Speaker 4: Is he gonna be rusty?

1266
01:02:33,960 --> 01:02:34,360
Speaker 3: I don't know.

1267
01:02:34,680 --> 01:02:36,320
Speaker 4: Probably how's he going to look?

1268
01:02:36,360 --> 01:02:40,320
Speaker 3: I don't know. He hasn't played a live regular season

1269
01:02:40,320 --> 01:02:43,520
Speaker 3: game at over seven only seven hundred days. We saw

1270
01:02:43,800 --> 01:02:45,520
Speaker 3: the preseason. He had a couple of high and low throws.

1271
01:02:45,640 --> 01:02:47,440
Speaker 3: Was five throws. I don't know what that means. But

1272
01:02:48,120 --> 01:02:51,160
Speaker 3: there's a reason that quarterbacks have preseason, and you know,

1273
01:02:51,200 --> 01:02:53,520
Speaker 3: the guys that come back, they look rusty after injury

1274
01:02:53,600 --> 01:02:55,200
Speaker 3: right away, like, so there's a chance that he just

1275
01:02:55,240 --> 01:02:58,760
Speaker 3: looks awful. And the Browns problem hasn't been quarterback play

1276
01:02:59,120 --> 01:03:01,800
Speaker 3: like Brissette has been fine all their losses, and when

1277
01:03:01,920 --> 01:03:04,760
Speaker 3: when the defense is just non existent and the special

1278
01:03:04,760 --> 01:03:09,000
Speaker 3: teams have been horrific and Texas actually decent on specialties.

1279
01:03:09,040 --> 01:03:11,960
Speaker 3: But if the Browns run sim defense, does it shows

1280
01:03:12,040 --> 01:03:15,560
Speaker 3: up here, then Pierce can get going and Watson like

1281
01:03:15,640 --> 01:03:18,120
Speaker 3: makes a couple of mistakes. I don't know.

1282
01:03:18,160 --> 01:03:20,640
Speaker 4: This is I think the Texans are corpse. I'm so

1283
01:03:20,640 --> 01:03:22,120
Speaker 4: happy I didn't bet the last week and the line

1284
01:03:22,160 --> 01:03:24,320
Speaker 4: got up like fourteen and a half thought about.

1285
01:03:24,040 --> 01:03:29,760
Speaker 3: It, but this is still didn't cover too. Yeah, this

1286
01:03:29,800 --> 01:03:32,840
Speaker 3: is the game where they will shouldow up for like, yeah,

1287
01:03:32,840 --> 01:03:34,040
Speaker 3: there's Watson wil to win it too.

1288
01:03:34,120 --> 01:03:35,880
Speaker 4: Yes, But what I mean by that is like this

1289
01:03:35,920 --> 01:03:36,280
Speaker 4: will be.

1290
01:03:36,200 --> 01:03:41,640
Speaker 3: A packed house, Like it'll probably be by far the

1291
01:03:41,640 --> 01:03:44,480
Speaker 3: most people that come to the stadium all year. It'll

1292
01:03:44,480 --> 01:03:46,880
Speaker 3: be electric leading up to it all week, and this

1293
01:03:46,960 --> 01:03:49,480
Speaker 3: team will finally have life. And look, they played the

1294
01:03:49,480 --> 01:03:51,720
Speaker 3: Eagles in a you know, primetize spot.

1295
01:03:51,720 --> 01:03:53,080
Speaker 4: You saw them have a little bit more juice.

1296
01:03:53,560 --> 01:03:55,600
Speaker 3: They went up to New York and this is when

1297
01:03:55,600 --> 01:03:57,320
Speaker 3: they were able to run the ball, and then they

1298
01:03:57,360 --> 01:03:59,680
Speaker 3: actually outgained the Giants. They should have won that game

1299
01:04:00,160 --> 01:04:02,000
Speaker 3: where they can't run the ball at all falls to shit.

1300
01:04:02,080 --> 01:04:03,560
Speaker 4: But you can run the ball in the Browns.

1301
01:04:04,000 --> 01:04:06,720
Speaker 3: So I think Pierce can get going here. And then

1302
01:04:06,840 --> 01:04:09,720
Speaker 3: I just have a lot of uncertainty with Deshaun Watson

1303
01:04:09,760 --> 01:04:12,959
Speaker 3: in his first game back. It could be he could

1304
01:04:13,000 --> 01:04:15,200
Speaker 3: go wild and they went by thirty five. But he

1305
01:04:15,240 --> 01:04:17,680
Speaker 3: also could be it could be an abject disaster and

1306
01:04:17,720 --> 01:04:19,800
Speaker 3: he could just look horrible at his first game back,

1307
01:04:20,160 --> 01:04:23,360
Speaker 3: fumbled snap, there's a pick six, and all of a sudden,

1308
01:04:23,400 --> 01:04:26,120
Speaker 3: you're alive here in a game that I think the Texans,

1309
01:04:26,120 --> 01:04:29,080
Speaker 3: who are corps and probably will want to tank or

1310
01:04:29,240 --> 01:04:32,200
Speaker 3: one to tank, will actually show up for this game

1311
01:04:32,240 --> 01:04:33,720
Speaker 3: like this is the game one game if they want

1312
01:04:33,720 --> 01:04:36,440
Speaker 3: to win, basically because the crowd's going to be there.

1313
01:04:36,480 --> 01:04:37,960
Speaker 3: It's going to be hype and maybe get a few

1314
01:04:38,000 --> 01:04:40,400
Speaker 3: calls because of that. And uh so, yeah, I think

1315
01:04:40,680 --> 01:04:42,760
Speaker 3: just with all the uncertainty with Watson, is the good

1316
01:04:42,800 --> 01:04:43,160
Speaker 3: money on.

1317
01:04:43,240 --> 01:04:48,360
Speaker 7: Dog candidate and who knows, I mean, you know, there's

1318
01:04:48,440 --> 01:04:52,320
Speaker 7: been a lot of I guess criticisicism of the signing

1319
01:04:52,320 --> 01:04:55,400
Speaker 7: of Watson and Watson himself, you know, for good reason.

1320
01:04:55,480 --> 01:04:57,080
Speaker 1: But with that being.

1321
01:04:56,920 --> 01:05:00,840
Speaker 2: Said, who knows where his mental state is, you know,

1322
01:05:01,080 --> 01:05:05,240
Speaker 2: going into his first football game knowing exactly what everyone's

1323
01:05:05,320 --> 01:05:07,320
Speaker 2: going to be thinking about and it has nothing to.

1324
01:05:07,280 --> 01:05:07,960
Speaker 1: Do with football.

1325
01:05:08,280 --> 01:05:11,160
Speaker 2: And I believe I heard that, you know, some of

1326
01:05:11,200 --> 01:05:14,640
Speaker 2: the lawyer, I think the lawyer in the case and

1327
01:05:14,880 --> 01:05:19,200
Speaker 2: some of the victims are going to be in the stadium,

1328
01:05:19,240 --> 01:05:22,680
Speaker 2: So I mean, it could be his head to be

1329
01:05:22,680 --> 01:05:23,760
Speaker 2: in a whole different place.

1330
01:05:24,520 --> 01:05:26,320
Speaker 4: I hope it gets sold out. I wonder if it is.

1331
01:05:26,360 --> 01:05:28,640
Speaker 1: I don't like I would I bet it is. I

1332
01:05:28,680 --> 01:05:31,320
Speaker 1: think this is their super Bowl. This is Texans super Bowl.

1333
01:05:31,360 --> 01:05:34,680
Speaker 2: Like beat your old quarterback who everyone thinks is you know,

1334
01:05:34,840 --> 01:05:36,280
Speaker 2: is a stumbbag, and.

1335
01:05:38,040 --> 01:05:42,400
Speaker 8: You know, like that's like just Kobe Rissette was a

1336
01:05:42,400 --> 01:05:44,880
Speaker 8: good guy and he's gonna be on the bench, and

1337
01:05:44,960 --> 01:05:47,760
Speaker 8: I mean he the Browns are number I believe it

1338
01:05:47,800 --> 01:05:48,520
Speaker 8: was number four.

1339
01:05:48,680 --> 01:05:51,960
Speaker 2: They are number four in the offensive Dvoa. He did

1340
01:05:51,960 --> 01:05:54,520
Speaker 2: a great job. Yeah, eight fourth overall, eighth.

1341
01:05:54,640 --> 01:05:57,280
Speaker 1: Passing, third rushing for the Browns.

1342
01:05:57,320 --> 01:06:00,280
Speaker 2: But yeah, it could just Chubb and Peers could both

1343
01:06:00,360 --> 01:06:02,840
Speaker 2: clear one hundred yards and could just be one of

1344
01:06:02,920 --> 01:06:05,280
Speaker 2: those back and forth games that you know, something goes

1345
01:06:05,320 --> 01:06:06,080
Speaker 2: wrong for the Browns.

1346
01:06:06,640 --> 01:06:08,800
Speaker 4: They can I just read this press release.

1347
01:06:08,920 --> 01:06:11,480
Speaker 3: Deep Steel Sundays back at at OURG Stadium this Sunday,

1348
01:06:11,520 --> 01:06:13,640
Speaker 3: the Texas host of Browns Houston will wear the color

1349
01:06:13,720 --> 01:06:16,000
Speaker 3: Rush uniforms. The Texas have won five or seven games

1350
01:06:16,000 --> 01:06:16,960
Speaker 3: when they play in those outfums.

1351
01:06:17,040 --> 01:06:17,240
Speaker 2: Wow.

1352
01:06:17,720 --> 01:06:19,880
Speaker 3: Repin h Town of Bag of the Drum will be

1353
01:06:20,360 --> 01:06:24,680
Speaker 3: World Series Vphrvypandia. They ten time Grammy nominee to our wells,

1354
01:06:24,720 --> 01:06:28,200
Speaker 3: will sing the national anthem performed at halftime along with

1355
01:06:28,240 --> 01:06:29,720
Speaker 3: the Houston Texas cheerleaders.

1356
01:06:29,960 --> 01:06:31,200
Speaker 4: This is yeah, this is like the Super Bowl.

1357
01:06:31,240 --> 01:06:35,480
Speaker 3: They have like performances and special uniforms and I think

1358
01:06:35,520 --> 01:06:37,960
Speaker 3: also an injury worth mentioning that I think does matter

1359
01:06:38,400 --> 01:06:41,280
Speaker 3: is uh, well, we'll see if Derek Stigley.

1360
01:06:41,000 --> 01:06:42,840
Speaker 4: Plays because he makes a difference as the number one quarter.

1361
01:06:43,440 --> 01:06:44,000
Speaker 3: Yeah you go.

1362
01:06:44,440 --> 01:06:47,400
Speaker 2: I was so gonna go with the Jets because I

1363
01:06:47,400 --> 01:06:49,800
Speaker 2: really like them this week I'll probably be on the spread,

1364
01:06:49,840 --> 01:06:53,480
Speaker 2: but I'm looking at the numbers and just like the

1365
01:06:53,600 --> 01:06:57,920
Speaker 2: Jags lines has been fliip flopping, the Steelers are favorite

1366
01:06:58,320 --> 01:07:01,400
Speaker 2: or getting our lane points on the road against So.

1367
01:07:01,360 --> 01:07:03,800
Speaker 1: I'm going right back to the Falcons, like, let's hope

1368
01:07:03,800 --> 01:07:04,720
Speaker 1: they get it done this week.

1369
01:07:04,840 --> 01:07:08,160
Speaker 2: Every game for the Falcons is gonna be close because

1370
01:07:08,160 --> 01:07:10,920
Speaker 2: they shorten the game, they run a lot. They'll be

1371
01:07:11,000 --> 01:07:14,000
Speaker 2: at home. They're still alive for the division. Pittsburgh not

1372
01:07:14,160 --> 01:07:17,120
Speaker 2: a Tom wins spot on the road let down, more

1373
01:07:17,160 --> 01:07:20,600
Speaker 2: like a letdown spot coming off a win, unfamiliar opponent,

1374
01:07:22,040 --> 01:07:25,360
Speaker 2: a short week. Is it an early start to yep,

1375
01:07:25,440 --> 01:07:29,040
Speaker 2: early start? This is the Steelers laying eggs spot. As

1376
01:07:29,120 --> 01:07:32,880
Speaker 2: much as I want to like Kenny Pickett, I think

1377
01:07:32,880 --> 01:07:36,880
Speaker 2: he does have some talent and maybe has a bright future.

1378
01:07:37,000 --> 01:07:39,960
Speaker 2: I'm not sold on him yet, but now that Mayfield

1379
01:07:40,200 --> 01:07:43,000
Speaker 2: is out of the picture, Kenny Pickott's been the worst

1380
01:07:43,200 --> 01:07:45,280
Speaker 2: quarterback from a clean pocket in the league.

1381
01:07:45,320 --> 01:07:47,920
Speaker 1: And so you know, this.

1382
01:07:48,040 --> 01:07:51,680
Speaker 2: Falcon team, they're not gonna get a out of pay exactly.

1383
01:07:51,760 --> 01:07:53,920
Speaker 1: Don't give you for steven pockets.

1384
01:07:53,960 --> 01:07:56,680
Speaker 2: But it's just gonna come down to, you know, can

1385
01:07:56,800 --> 01:07:58,920
Speaker 2: Arthur Smith hit a couple of his scheming plays to

1386
01:07:59,080 --> 01:08:03,440
Speaker 2: Allommi Day's key and Cadaro Hodge and Atlanta's.

1387
01:08:02,920 --> 01:08:03,600
Speaker 1: Gonna run the ball.

1388
01:08:03,600 --> 01:08:05,320
Speaker 2: And you know Pittrick has a good run defense, but

1389
01:08:05,640 --> 01:08:08,000
Speaker 2: Atlanta one of those teams they just they're so heavy.

1390
01:08:08,120 --> 01:08:10,320
Speaker 2: You know, they'll have three two three tight ends out

1391
01:08:10,320 --> 01:08:13,280
Speaker 2: there full back that you know, sometimes these run defense

1392
01:08:13,400 --> 01:08:15,560
Speaker 2: numbers don't mean as much when you're just you know,

1393
01:08:15,760 --> 01:08:19,280
Speaker 2: putting more bodies out there. Uh So I think Atlanta,

1394
01:08:19,320 --> 01:08:22,760
Speaker 2: you know, I mean the Steelers, where the Steelers are

1395
01:08:22,880 --> 01:08:25,720
Speaker 2: favorites on the road. They beat the Corps and that

1396
01:08:25,920 --> 01:08:28,920
Speaker 2: ryan fairly because they let the Coats go right back

1397
01:08:28,960 --> 01:08:31,920
Speaker 2: into that game. And and now they're favored on the road.

1398
01:08:33,560 --> 01:08:36,679
Speaker 2: I can't get I can't get there, So I'm gonna

1399
01:08:37,400 --> 01:08:41,200
Speaker 2: audible and go with the Atlanta Falcons.

1400
01:08:41,560 --> 01:08:44,559
Speaker 4: You know, good spot, this is ridiculous.

1401
01:08:44,560 --> 01:08:47,760
Speaker 2: I mean, Steelers favored by on the road. Come on,

1402
01:08:47,880 --> 01:08:50,120
Speaker 2: come on, now, we're getting ahead of ourselves. So if

1403
01:08:50,160 --> 01:08:53,959
Speaker 2: you parlay the Falcons about even money and the Texans

1404
01:08:53,960 --> 01:08:58,040
Speaker 2: at plus two seventy, you get little over six x,

1405
01:08:58,160 --> 01:09:02,599
Speaker 2: so one hundred get to a seven hundred and twelve

1406
01:09:02,840 --> 01:09:08,519
Speaker 2: dollars payout. So hopefully we can get back to the

1407
01:09:08,680 --> 01:09:12,000
Speaker 2: parlay hitting at the same time. You hit seven seven

1408
01:09:12,040 --> 01:09:13,800
Speaker 2: of twelve weeks, you hit your money line dog, and

1409
01:09:13,840 --> 01:09:20,200
Speaker 2: I've hitten five, so we have twelve moneyline hits.

1410
01:09:19,880 --> 01:09:21,000
Speaker 1: Through twelve weeks.

1411
01:09:21,360 --> 01:09:25,720
Speaker 2: Let's get into the best of the rest. Games we

1412
01:09:25,760 --> 01:09:29,080
Speaker 2: have not covered in any other segment, but are still,

1413
01:09:29,200 --> 01:09:35,040
Speaker 2: as they say, meaningful to some That's going to be.

1414
01:09:35,000 --> 01:09:37,320
Speaker 7: A touchdown, but that may be meaningful to some of you,

1415
01:09:38,600 --> 01:09:39,519
Speaker 7: and you know what I mean.

1416
01:09:40,080 --> 01:09:44,280
Speaker 2: So first up, we got this Packer Bear game. No

1417
01:09:44,360 --> 01:09:46,880
Speaker 2: idea who's playing quarterback for either of these teams. I

1418
01:09:46,920 --> 01:09:50,479
Speaker 2: did think Jordan Love looked very good, so I would

1419
01:09:50,600 --> 01:09:53,320
Speaker 2: like to see him get a start. But at the

1420
01:09:53,360 --> 01:09:55,360
Speaker 2: same time, Packers are favored by four and a half.

1421
01:09:55,400 --> 01:09:58,160
Speaker 2: Here the total forty three and a half could be

1422
01:09:58,160 --> 01:10:00,599
Speaker 2: a sneaky overspot if you get there, If you get

1423
01:10:00,600 --> 01:10:04,439
Speaker 2: maybe like a Love and versus Fields matchup. I think

1424
01:10:04,479 --> 01:10:07,120
Speaker 2: the Bears defenses is toasted, and I think Love is

1425
01:10:07,360 --> 01:10:08,920
Speaker 2: you know, with the receivers are healthy.

1426
01:10:09,000 --> 01:10:09,760
Speaker 1: Could could be good.

1427
01:10:09,840 --> 01:10:13,439
Speaker 4: But what do you think this one's tough? Who the

1428
01:10:13,479 --> 01:10:14,880
Speaker 4: Bears signed Tim Boyle?

1429
01:10:15,720 --> 01:10:17,280
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, yeah.

1430
01:10:17,320 --> 01:10:20,040
Speaker 3: Because he has familiarity with the Bears offensive coordators. With

1431
01:10:20,040 --> 01:10:23,040
Speaker 3: the Packer Tim Boyle revenge game, I don't know.

1432
01:10:23,479 --> 01:10:27,799
Speaker 2: Uh, the two Rogers boil versus Love, that would be interesting.

1433
01:10:28,400 --> 01:10:29,960
Speaker 4: Yeah, I don't know. I mean yeah, I thought Love

1434
01:10:30,000 --> 01:10:32,200
Speaker 4: look okay to Rogers said he's gonna play.

1435
01:10:32,400 --> 01:10:35,880
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll probably play till their mathematically eliminated. And he

1436
01:10:35,960 --> 01:10:38,320
Speaker 3: just this is probably his super Bowl. Maybe it's the

1437
01:10:38,360 --> 01:10:41,120
Speaker 3: last night places. He just loves the torture the Bears,

1438
01:10:43,600 --> 01:10:44,280
Speaker 3: So I.

1439
01:10:44,560 --> 01:10:45,960
Speaker 4: Think it might be I was thinking that too.

1440
01:10:45,960 --> 01:10:49,719
Speaker 3: It might be a sleepy over because the Packers offense

1441
01:10:49,760 --> 01:10:52,080
Speaker 3: still been a little unlucky. If Rogers plays, or if Love,

1442
01:10:52,200 --> 01:10:53,840
Speaker 3: you know, if he gets hurt Love, I thought Love

1443
01:10:53,880 --> 01:10:56,519
Speaker 3: looked okay too, and the Bear's defensive massive Eddie Jackson

1444
01:10:56,600 --> 01:10:58,679
Speaker 3: is now and I are their backup safety.

1445
01:10:59,120 --> 01:11:01,559
Speaker 4: Also, Leo that Truckshake left the hampstring.

1446
01:11:01,560 --> 01:11:04,200
Speaker 3: They're down to like their healthy safeties last week where

1447
01:11:04,439 --> 01:11:07,679
Speaker 3: Houston Carson and Elijah Hicks. Elijah Hicks was the two

1448
01:11:07,720 --> 01:11:10,840
Speaker 3: hundred and sixtieth pick of the draft this year. Defenses

1449
01:11:11,439 --> 01:11:13,800
Speaker 3: just they you know, they traded rokewond Smith and they've

1450
01:11:13,800 --> 01:11:15,759
Speaker 3: traded all their it's a shell.

1451
01:11:16,560 --> 01:11:17,200
Speaker 4: I couldn't die.

1452
01:11:17,280 --> 01:11:19,200
Speaker 3: I can almost stay like every starter, and that I thought,

1453
01:11:19,200 --> 01:11:21,680
Speaker 3: I don't think I can. Maybe if you just said

1454
01:11:21,680 --> 01:11:24,200
Speaker 3: who's started for the Banks, they come Sunday, Dave the starters.

1455
01:11:24,479 --> 01:11:26,000
Speaker 3: Considering so the injuries, I don't know if I coulday

1456
01:11:26,000 --> 01:11:29,360
Speaker 3: more than five. Who's gonna start offensively? I mean it's

1457
01:11:29,360 --> 01:11:31,519
Speaker 3: not even much better. I mean, Moody's out for the year.

1458
01:11:32,400 --> 01:11:36,360
Speaker 4: People's banged up, Claypool's banked up. But they lost Riley

1459
01:11:36,400 --> 01:11:37,879
Speaker 4: Reef to a shoulder injury.

1460
01:11:38,240 --> 01:11:40,880
Speaker 3: So the only like remaining offensive linemen on the bench

1461
01:11:40,960 --> 01:11:43,760
Speaker 3: last week was with the next guy up was Alex Leatherwood.

1462
01:11:43,960 --> 01:11:45,240
Speaker 4: That's who they're down to the best.

1463
01:11:45,680 --> 01:11:48,920
Speaker 2: Funny, their offensive line might be their best unit in

1464
01:11:48,960 --> 01:11:49,840
Speaker 2: this entire game.

1465
01:11:50,040 --> 01:11:53,120
Speaker 4: Like that's so maybe they to run it a little bit.

1466
01:11:53,600 --> 01:11:56,160
Speaker 3: Maybe, uh you know, they could have some success running

1467
01:11:56,160 --> 01:11:58,400
Speaker 3: over the Packers because everyone does, and Field's place, he'll

1468
01:11:58,439 --> 01:11:59,960
Speaker 3: run all over them. I mean, look what it hurts to it,

1469
01:12:00,439 --> 01:12:02,280
Speaker 3: So yeah, I would love the overfields place. I just

1470
01:12:02,280 --> 01:12:04,360
Speaker 3: don't think Field is gonna play with Why risk? Why

1471
01:12:04,439 --> 01:12:07,280
Speaker 3: risk playing? And I think that's why I think people

1472
01:12:07,360 --> 01:12:09,720
Speaker 3: know that's why the line jumped. I don't think it's

1473
01:12:09,720 --> 01:12:12,599
Speaker 3: like jumping a lot because Rogers is playing over Love.

1474
01:12:13,080 --> 01:12:17,160
Speaker 3: Maybe Packers team total over this Bears day is bad.

1475
01:12:45,040 --> 01:12:45,839
Speaker 1: Interesting trivia.

1476
01:12:45,880 --> 01:12:49,519
Speaker 2: Tim Boyd was just like a bad quarterback with nothing

1477
01:12:49,520 --> 01:12:51,240
Speaker 2: interesting really about him.

1478
01:12:51,800 --> 01:12:52,920
Speaker 4: Yeah, this kid sucks.

1479
01:12:53,120 --> 01:12:55,360
Speaker 2: Peterman is the guy that was supposed to start last week.

1480
01:12:55,840 --> 01:12:59,280
Speaker 2: He's like, yo, god he didn't. So like the last

1481
01:12:59,280 --> 01:13:01,320
Speaker 2: thing I did because I have to submit the Fantasy

1482
01:13:01,400 --> 01:13:06,120
Speaker 2: rankings before lock and I see that the tweet okay

1483
01:13:06,240 --> 01:13:10,160
Speaker 2: Peterman starting, so I like update the rankings, put Peterman in,

1484
01:13:10,720 --> 01:13:13,080
Speaker 2: and then then I go like about you know, setting lineups,

1485
01:13:13,120 --> 01:13:15,519
Speaker 2: locking bets, and then yeah, I was you. I would

1486
01:13:15,520 --> 01:13:17,799
Speaker 2: turn on the game and I'm like, wait, that's not Peterman,

1487
01:13:17,960 --> 01:13:21,599
Speaker 2: like that guy. It didn't cost me because uh, Simeon

1488
01:13:21,600 --> 01:13:23,639
Speaker 2: didn't finish as a top twenty quarterback.

1489
01:13:23,680 --> 01:13:25,320
Speaker 1: But like Gesus, I mean.

1490
01:13:27,880 --> 01:13:30,240
Speaker 3: First I was like, oh man, sybba, it looks good,

1491
01:13:30,280 --> 01:13:31,840
Speaker 3: and then he did for like a quarter.

1492
01:13:32,240 --> 01:13:33,719
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, you're not gonna.

1493
01:13:35,080 --> 01:13:35,320
Speaker 3: Yep.

1494
01:13:35,960 --> 01:13:38,720
Speaker 2: This might be another one with some prop opportunities. I

1495
01:13:38,760 --> 01:13:41,639
Speaker 2: think Green Bays offense has a good matchup no matter

1496
01:13:41,680 --> 01:13:44,960
Speaker 2: what quarterback starts. Uh, both of the running backs should

1497
01:13:45,000 --> 01:13:47,559
Speaker 2: be able to to run the ball a ton.

1498
01:13:47,439 --> 01:13:49,920
Speaker 3: Here maybe is red.

1499
01:13:51,080 --> 01:13:53,840
Speaker 1: The other game could be just as ugly.

1500
01:13:54,200 --> 01:13:59,400
Speaker 2: Indianapolis at Dallas minus eleven are the Cowboys the total

1501
01:13:59,560 --> 01:14:04,320
Speaker 2: forty three and a half. I really have no faith

1502
01:14:04,360 --> 01:14:08,040
Speaker 2: in the Colts against a pressure defense after they didn't

1503
01:14:08,320 --> 01:14:10,000
Speaker 2: they not pick up a first down until the second

1504
01:14:10,080 --> 01:14:15,200
Speaker 2: quarter against Pittsburgh's you know, okay defense playing on the road.

1505
01:14:15,240 --> 01:14:18,760
Speaker 2: Now you're going to Jerry world Yak twenty three and

1506
01:14:18,880 --> 01:14:22,880
Speaker 2: nine against the spread versus sub five hundred team seventy

1507
01:14:22,880 --> 01:14:27,080
Speaker 2: two in his career. So yeah, it's kind of tempting

1508
01:14:27,680 --> 01:14:29,519
Speaker 2: plus eleven, but I'm staying away.

1509
01:14:29,520 --> 01:14:30,040
Speaker 3: What about you?

1510
01:14:31,000 --> 01:14:33,160
Speaker 4: Yeah, one of us are right off this game unfortunately

1511
01:14:33,240 --> 01:14:34,280
Speaker 4: because they didn't flex it.

1512
01:14:34,439 --> 01:14:36,599
Speaker 3: Uh, check out the action work ap but yeah, Ryan

1513
01:14:36,680 --> 01:14:39,120
Speaker 3: versus pass Rush is not going to end well. Uh

1514
01:14:39,600 --> 01:14:41,640
Speaker 3: and look for a short week for the Colts, extended

1515
01:14:41,680 --> 01:14:44,280
Speaker 3: rest for the Cowboys. Colts going on the road, Clowboys

1516
01:14:44,320 --> 01:14:48,559
Speaker 3: staying at home. That only adds to it. I'm not

1517
01:14:48,560 --> 01:14:50,080
Speaker 3: going to see a ton of die in lay with

1518
01:14:50,080 --> 01:14:51,960
Speaker 3: the Cowboys. But I am about I don't think I'm playing

1519
01:14:52,000 --> 01:14:55,880
Speaker 3: the Colts here just because it's the ghost of Matt

1520
01:14:55,960 --> 01:15:00,240
Speaker 3: Ryan trying to like it's like a an old woman

1521
01:15:00,320 --> 01:15:01,920
Speaker 3: trying to run away from like a burglar in a

1522
01:15:01,960 --> 01:15:02,479
Speaker 3: parking lot.

1523
01:15:04,000 --> 01:15:05,800
Speaker 4: It's not gonna go well, I'm just gonna get caught.

1524
01:15:06,120 --> 01:15:08,920
Speaker 4: What you saw last week, it's gonna be worse this week.

1525
01:15:09,160 --> 01:15:11,840
Speaker 2: How good was Troy Aikman last week? Just lighting into

1526
01:15:11,880 --> 01:15:15,680
Speaker 2: Matt Ryan every place? I just don't know why he

1527
01:15:15,800 --> 01:15:17,880
Speaker 2: can't just place the ball in a place of the

1528
01:15:17,920 --> 01:15:20,960
Speaker 2: receivers could run, like he's just not good throwing the

1529
01:15:21,000 --> 01:15:23,720
Speaker 2: ball like he was saying that. You just calling out

1530
01:15:23,720 --> 01:15:26,439
Speaker 2: the most like basic shit that Matt Ryan was not

1531
01:15:26,560 --> 01:15:27,680
Speaker 2: doing like an.

1532
01:15:27,680 --> 01:15:31,240
Speaker 3: NFL couldn't even convert a handoff and then couldn't even

1533
01:15:31,280 --> 01:15:33,080
Speaker 3: follow the ball. How does he not recover that?

1534
01:15:33,240 --> 01:15:33,400
Speaker 2: Bro?

1535
01:15:34,479 --> 01:15:35,840
Speaker 1: Matt Ryan is toast.

1536
01:15:36,120 --> 01:15:38,200
Speaker 4: My wife. This was on Monday night.

1537
01:15:38,439 --> 01:15:40,120
Speaker 3: She was down at her bar doing some work and

1538
01:15:40,200 --> 01:15:43,479
Speaker 3: she came home and I was laying So this isn't

1539
01:15:43,520 --> 01:15:45,080
Speaker 3: like the third quarter. This is when they were at

1540
01:15:45,080 --> 01:15:47,360
Speaker 3: the goal on before the handoff fubble the fubble head off,

1541
01:15:47,560 --> 01:15:49,400
Speaker 3: and I know, like right after Monday night football, I

1542
01:15:49,439 --> 01:15:51,479
Speaker 3: got to get to start getting work for college and

1543
01:15:51,520 --> 01:15:53,800
Speaker 3: the NFL preps. So I went. I was like, this

1544
01:15:53,840 --> 01:15:55,559
Speaker 3: game is so bad. I had no money on it,

1545
01:15:55,760 --> 01:15:57,800
Speaker 3: so I went and laid in our bedroom and it

1546
01:15:57,840 --> 01:15:59,400
Speaker 3: was just like shutting my eyes for a little bit.

1547
01:15:59,439 --> 01:16:00,800
Speaker 3: And then my wife home and then she's like, I

1548
01:16:01,040 --> 01:16:02,960
Speaker 3: watch it again, like that game is so bad. She's like,

1549
01:16:03,000 --> 01:16:04,960
Speaker 3: never see me not watch a game. I was like,

1550
01:16:04,960 --> 01:16:06,599
Speaker 3: I'm just resting my eyes for a little bit. So

1551
01:16:06,640 --> 01:16:08,840
Speaker 3: she beat up some food and then she was sitting

1552
01:16:08,840 --> 01:16:11,320
Speaker 3: out there with my dog, and then I could hear

1553
01:16:11,360 --> 01:16:12,519
Speaker 3: the game was still on like I was.

1554
01:16:12,560 --> 01:16:14,599
Speaker 4: I could still hear it, and she's like, oh my god,

1555
01:16:14,640 --> 01:16:15,759
Speaker 4: this game is so bad.

1556
01:16:15,960 --> 01:16:18,160
Speaker 3: And then she's like describing to me what happened, like

1557
01:16:18,200 --> 01:16:20,120
Speaker 3: Matt Ryan missing the head. Also, I had to go

1558
01:16:20,200 --> 01:16:22,720
Speaker 3: back and rewind it and watch it. I was Okay, well,

1559
01:16:22,760 --> 01:16:25,280
Speaker 3: I never missed any planes like football, and I don't

1560
01:16:25,280 --> 01:16:26,200
Speaker 3: care how bad the teacher are.

1561
01:16:26,200 --> 01:16:26,920
Speaker 4: I watched the whole thing.

1562
01:16:27,120 --> 01:16:28,519
Speaker 3: I was like, you know what, I'm gonna go shut

1563
01:16:28,560 --> 01:16:30,600
Speaker 3: my eyes for ten minutes because this is so I

1564
01:16:30,640 --> 01:16:31,360
Speaker 3: can't watch this.

1565
01:16:31,760 --> 01:16:34,839
Speaker 2: Matt Ryan couldn't do simple things like hit her receiver

1566
01:16:35,040 --> 01:16:35,800
Speaker 2: in stride.

1567
01:16:36,080 --> 01:16:37,200
Speaker 1: Uh, don't get your.

1568
01:16:37,520 --> 01:16:40,080
Speaker 3: People were He was fucking screaming at reporters when Wentz

1569
01:16:40,160 --> 01:16:40,840
Speaker 3: was the quarterback.

1570
01:16:40,920 --> 01:16:44,040
Speaker 4: Now he's fucking yeah, who fired the playoff race?

1571
01:16:44,800 --> 01:16:48,000
Speaker 2: Matt Rose was all fucked up with Baker Mayfield. The

1572
01:16:48,120 --> 01:16:50,519
Speaker 2: minute a new coach comes in, Get that dude out

1573
01:16:50,520 --> 01:16:52,639
Speaker 2: of the air, and now they're alive for the division

1574
01:16:52,680 --> 01:16:55,800
Speaker 2: In Week thirteen, look at the Jets. You know that

1575
01:16:55,960 --> 01:16:59,759
Speaker 2: is going to wrap it for the Week thirteen Action

1576
01:16:59,840 --> 01:17:04,400
Speaker 2: Now Podcast presented by Fandel. If you want to check

1577
01:17:04,400 --> 01:17:08,600
Speaker 2: out more of our NFL betting content, go to actionnetwork

1578
01:17:08,640 --> 01:17:11,080
Speaker 2: dot com or download the free, award.

1579
01:17:10,840 --> 01:17:13,320
Speaker 1: Winning Action Network app, where.

1580
01:17:13,120 --> 01:17:16,080
Speaker 2: You can follow our bets, you can track yours, you

1581
01:17:16,080 --> 01:17:20,960
Speaker 2: can read our content, all that good stuff, and we will.

1582
01:17:21,040 --> 01:17:24,320
Speaker 1: Be back next week. Good luck this weekend. Let's get

1583
01:17:24,360 --> 01:17:24,920
Speaker 1: this money.

1584
01:17:25,200 --> 01:17:41,320
Speaker 3: Sorry,