WEBVTT - Why Telemedicine Might Not Work for Everything

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carl Masser. Every day

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<v Speaker 1>sure to watch us too on YouTube by searching Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Global News. Well, as we deal with this pandemic, there

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<v Speaker 1>are so many things to talk about as it relates

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<v Speaker 1>to the healthcare aspect of it. Lots of things are changing.

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<v Speaker 1>We're not going into offices, we are telemedicine is taking

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<v Speaker 1>a big source of growth for the healthcare business. To

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<v Speaker 1>chat about all of the changes, plus the virus, plus

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<v Speaker 1>any potential vaccines, we are very pleased to welcome Dr

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<v Speaker 1>Caleb Alexander, Professor of eponymology from Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School

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<v Speaker 1>of Public Health. He joins us on the phone from

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<v Speaker 1>Charms City, Baltimore, Maryland. Dr Alexander, thanks so much for

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<v Speaker 1>joining us here. Let's start with the latest on the numbers.

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<v Speaker 1>Carol and I were just uh talking about the really

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<v Speaker 1>negative trends we're seeing coming out of Europe, uh and

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<v Speaker 1>even in certain parts of the United States. What's your

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<v Speaker 1>take on what we're seeing right now. Well, there's thank

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<v Speaker 1>you for having me, Carol and Paul. It's a real privilege.

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<v Speaker 1>And I should say that there's a lot of concern

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<v Speaker 1>about the way the trends are going. And you know,

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<v Speaker 1>we've been talking for some time about the potential for

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<v Speaker 1>a third waves, if you will, as the weather cools,

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<v Speaker 1>as people start start spending more time in verse as

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<v Speaker 1>some of us are starting to feel a little bit

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<v Speaker 1>more pandemic fatigue. And indeed, the numbers are are not

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<v Speaker 1>looking good. In other words, we're seeing rising rates of

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<v Speaker 1>infections and in some parts of the country corresponding increases

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<v Speaker 1>in numbers of hospitations or deaths. And it's um it's

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<v Speaker 1>keeping a lot of people awake at night. I can

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<v Speaker 1>tell you that well. And I do wonder we didn't

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<v Speaker 1>have the playbook right the first time around. We were

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<v Speaker 1>all kind of learning as we go and in many

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<v Speaker 1>cases scrambling just to keep up. I do under Dr Alexander,

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<v Speaker 1>What have we learned from the past six or seven months,

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<v Speaker 1>certainly when it comes to treatment and certainly when it

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<v Speaker 1>comes to keeping things under control or in check if

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<v Speaker 1>we can, well, we know an enormous amount more about

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<v Speaker 1>the virus itself. We understand a lot more about how

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<v Speaker 1>it how it does damage to the human body, and

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<v Speaker 1>we certainly have made headway and identifying uh some potential

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<v Speaker 1>treatments that do have an important role to play. So

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<v Speaker 1>we do have a lot, a lot more options than

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<v Speaker 1>we did in in January or February. And I think

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<v Speaker 1>we've also had plenty of time to understand how the

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<v Speaker 1>virus is transmitted and what sort of public health pleasures

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<v Speaker 1>can be used to prevent such transmission. And I suppose

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<v Speaker 1>is one of the most remarkable things is that despite

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<v Speaker 1>amount of time we've had, and despite the amount that

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<v Speaker 1>we know, and despite the amount of scientific consensus about

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<v Speaker 1>things such as mask wearing, that we still had uh

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<v Speaker 1>such a debate about that and and in some cases

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<v Speaker 1>um lose sight of the science and lose sight of

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<v Speaker 1>of what we know about how this virus infects people

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<v Speaker 1>and kills people. Can I just ask you, do you

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<v Speaker 1>think that sending everybody back to school, kids back to

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<v Speaker 1>school has been a mistake. Well, I mean, it's taken

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<v Speaker 1>place differently in parts of the country, and I think

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<v Speaker 1>that that's what should be happening. In other words, Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, there's a lot of variation county to county,

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<v Speaker 1>city to city, school district to school district in the

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<v Speaker 1>extent of community spread of the virus. And frankly, I

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<v Speaker 1>think schools differ in how well equipped they are to

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<v Speaker 1>manage that. So there are certainly some districts where I

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<v Speaker 1>don't think that it's a great idea for children to

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<v Speaker 1>be in in classrooms face to face, and there are

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<v Speaker 1>other districts that I think are are managing it with

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<v Speaker 1>a large number of accommodations. And so it's it's it's

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<v Speaker 1>really an area where we can set consistent, evidence based

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<v Speaker 1>guidelines for how schools and school systems should manage this,

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<v Speaker 1>but the application of those guidelines really has to be

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<v Speaker 1>fit for purpose within individual communities. Doctor. On the vaccine front,

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<v Speaker 1>what is your understanding of how this might play out?

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<v Speaker 1>There are so many companies pursuing so many different vaccines

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<v Speaker 1>and therapeutics for that matter. Um, and I'm sure that

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<v Speaker 1>the folks at Johns Hopkins are right in the middle

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<v Speaker 1>of all of that. How do you think this is

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<v Speaker 1>going to plan over the next three six months? Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>well it's it's gonna be a good problem to have

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<v Speaker 1>if and when we have multiple vaccines on the market.

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<v Speaker 1>And you're right that there are many, many in different

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<v Speaker 1>stages of development. Uh, several that are in late stage development.

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<v Speaker 1>And the best estimates that I've heard, the most credible

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<v Speaker 1>estimates are that by late this year or early next year,

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<v Speaker 1>we may have one or more that have what's called

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<v Speaker 1>emergency use authorization. That's a designation by the Food and

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<v Speaker 1>Drug Administration that's not it falls short of full approval,

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<v Speaker 1>but it allows for a product to be used on

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<v Speaker 1>the market. And if and when that happens, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>not everybody needs to be vaccinated in one self swoop.

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<v Speaker 1>We won't have enough product to do so. And frankly,

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<v Speaker 1>there are some people that are much greater risk, either

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<v Speaker 1>because of their occupations or because of their their comorbid conditions,

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<v Speaker 1>that diseases they have, how old they are, So they're

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<v Speaker 1>going to be different tiers of people that really needed

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<v Speaker 1>early and people that can wait eight and and and

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<v Speaker 1>don't have such a pressing need. But we really need

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<v Speaker 1>to do everything we can to ensure that that science

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<v Speaker 1>that the scientists and public health professions are are are

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<v Speaker 1>are to do their jobs. And we're fortunate to have

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<v Speaker 1>uh such a good drug administration, and they really need

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<v Speaker 1>to be to be uh regulating these products and governing

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<v Speaker 1>their access market. So Dr Alexander, I do wonder though

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<v Speaker 1>about the upcoming array of vaccines that we will get

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<v Speaker 1>and do we as patients consumers ultimately will we be

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<v Speaker 1>taking multiple vaccines? Are are we going to at some

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<v Speaker 1>point have some medical guidance that says this is the

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<v Speaker 1>kind of vaccine you should be taking versus somebody else

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<v Speaker 1>takes a different vaccine. Help me understand this, well, it's

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<v Speaker 1>a great question. And if and when we get to

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<v Speaker 1>a point where we have multiple vaccines that are on

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<v Speaker 1>the market, and again I would say that that's going

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<v Speaker 1>to be a good problem to have. If that happens,

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<v Speaker 1>uh it, they will no doubt have some differences. They

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<v Speaker 1>may have differences and how effective they are, They have

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<v Speaker 1>slightly different side effect profiles, they may differ in terms

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<v Speaker 1>of how well tolerated they are. And I think that

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<v Speaker 1>it's it's plausible when they first come out. We're not

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<v Speaker 1>necessarily going to know if one vaccine is better than

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<v Speaker 1>another in a particular instance, but we certainly will as

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<v Speaker 1>as time goes on, have information regarding the relative importance

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<v Speaker 1>of the different vaccines, and rest assured, the Centers for

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<v Speaker 1>Disease Control and Prevention and other professional governmental organizations will

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<v Speaker 1>be looking carefully to develop and disseminate guidance for people

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<v Speaker 1>regarding which vaccine is right. Doctor. It's interesting and just

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<v Speaker 1>as we were talking here, Sam Fazeli, who is our

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<v Speaker 1>senior pharmaceutical and health care analyst for Bloomberg Intelligence. He's

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<v Speaker 1>based in London, he just message me and he said,

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<v Speaker 1>if you have a vaccine with maybe six effectiveness and

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<v Speaker 1>only the people take it, is it even worth it

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<v Speaker 1>to go down the vaccine route. Well, there's a huge push.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, it's it's very very very important that when

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<v Speaker 1>vaccines hit them that they uh that they're that they're

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<v Speaker 1>used and and rest as short, there will be uh

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<v Speaker 1>huge push to try to encourage people to use them

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<v Speaker 1>because we're not going to achieve what is called herd immunity,

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<v Speaker 1>in other words, having enough people vaccinated so that essentially

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<v Speaker 1>society is protected and the COVID virus does transmit easily

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<v Speaker 1>within communities unless there's widespread vaccine adoption. And so you know,

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<v Speaker 1>if there are multiple different products on the market, if

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<v Speaker 1>they're multiple different vaccines, another benefit of that is that

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<v Speaker 1>there's going to be uh demand that will far outstrips supply,

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<v Speaker 1>even if there's some some subet of the population that

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<v Speaker 1>that doesn't want the vaccine for one reason or another.

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<v Speaker 1>And by having multiple manufacturers that are producing the vaccines

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<v Speaker 1>will have a better chance of achieving that that that

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<v Speaker 1>target of of what's called herd immunity, in other words,

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<v Speaker 1>enough people getting vaccinated that the virus can no longer

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<v Speaker 1>simply jump person to person within communities. So okay, and

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<v Speaker 1>I have to say, Dr Alexander, I do think about

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<v Speaker 1>is this our world now and we're going to have

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<v Speaker 1>similar type viruses that are really tough and very contagious

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<v Speaker 1>and very lethal. Um, is this our future? Well, we're

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<v Speaker 1>going to get through this. I mean, I the the

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<v Speaker 1>you know, I think that the general scientific insensus is that,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, we're not going to be with this in February.

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<v Speaker 1>So don't get your hopes up whether or not there's

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<v Speaker 1>one or more vaccines on the market. And it may

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<v Speaker 1>be that there's some uh, some lingering COVID years down

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<v Speaker 1>the line, just as we have what's called seasonal influenza

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<v Speaker 1>seasonal flu But we will get through this. We we

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<v Speaker 1>will not rest as short in a few years. We

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<v Speaker 1>will not all be uh you know, wearing masks to

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<v Speaker 1>the supermarket and conducting as much engagement as we can

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<v Speaker 1>by by computing telephone. So there's not going to be

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<v Speaker 1>a COVID like two. That's a whole new variation. No, no,

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<v Speaker 1>I mean it seriously, just got about twenty seconds. Yeah, well,

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<v Speaker 1>I think you know, we look back, the last major

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<v Speaker 1>pandemic worldwide was nineteen eighteen, nineteen nineteen, and I think

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<v Speaker 1>the the the best estimates and expectations are that, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>within twelve to eighteen months, that will be in a

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<v Speaker 1>significantly better place than we are right now. All right,

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<v Speaker 1>that's some optimism I can certainly use on this Thursday.

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<v Speaker 1>So thank you so much. Dr Caleb Alexander, Professor of

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<v Speaker 1>Epidemiology at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health,

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<v Speaker 1>joining us on the phone from Baltimore, and of course

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<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg School of Public House supported by Michael R. Bloomberg,

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<v Speaker 1>founder of Bloomberg LP. This is Bloomberg Business Week with

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<v Speaker 1>Carol Messer from Bloomberg Radio. Well, Robin Hood Paul. Definitely

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<v Speaker 1>one of the COVID economy's breakout successes. Right, We've talked

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<v Speaker 1>a lot about it. Um it can take advantage those

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<v Speaker 1>who use it of volatility in the marketplace. It also

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<v Speaker 1>can create volatility, I think in the marketplace. But I

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<v Speaker 1>feel like now it has to figure out what it

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<v Speaker 1>wants to be. Yeah, when it grows up. It is

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<v Speaker 1>this week's cover story the magazine. Let's get more from

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg News investing reporter Any Massa. She's on the phone

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<v Speaker 1>in New York City. Also here Bloomberg Business Week editor

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<v Speaker 1>Joel Weber on the phone in Brooklyn. I mean, we know, Joel,

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<v Speaker 1>the millennials, they're pretty addicted to this one. And this

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<v Speaker 1>has been, like you've kind of hinted at there, it's

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<v Speaker 1>been sort of one of the stories of the pandemic.

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<v Speaker 1>It's just how day trading became the thing that has

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<v Speaker 1>been captivating people on their phones for months now, and

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<v Speaker 1>it's made people be doing things that are sometimes a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit crazier than what they would have probably otherwise

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<v Speaker 1>been doing simply because there's nothing else going on that

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<v Speaker 1>looks like an entertainment in the same way, and so

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<v Speaker 1>it basically almost become robin Hood especially has almost become

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<v Speaker 1>sort of part of this like financial entertainment ecosystem during

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<v Speaker 1>the pandemic. And so we've been watching it UM along

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<v Speaker 1>the way and any Maza has been breaking a ton

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<v Speaker 1>of news, and we wanted to kind of put it

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<v Speaker 1>all together and just say, like, look, this is a

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<v Speaker 1>robin It is now officially a pandemic pastime UM. But

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<v Speaker 1>the question becomes, where do they go from here? I think,

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<v Speaker 1>what's the plan? Where? How do you take something that

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<v Speaker 1>you know, they popularize free training, trading, fractional shares of

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<v Speaker 1>ownership now, but where do you go from from there?

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<v Speaker 1>And any what did you find out as you tried

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<v Speaker 1>to ask that question? Yeah, that was a major question

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<v Speaker 1>we were trying to figure out because robin hood has

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<v Speaker 1>proved so amazing. I just get people onto its platform

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<v Speaker 1>like it's spread like wildfire, um signing up three million

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<v Speaker 1>users in the first four months of the year alone,

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<v Speaker 1>and so we were kind of asking, um, what's the

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<v Speaker 1>next act for robin Hood? And when you look at

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<v Speaker 1>it the way that they're pitching themselves to be investors.

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<v Speaker 1>They say, Okay, we get these first time traders in

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<v Speaker 1>the door, and then the next step for us is

0:13:23.600 --> 0:13:26.560
<v Speaker 1>to have them grow with us into all kinds of

0:13:26.600 --> 0:13:29.240
<v Speaker 1>other products that robin Hood doesn't offer yet, but things

0:13:29.320 --> 0:13:32.520
<v Speaker 1>like one day they'll want us for mortgage lending or

0:13:32.880 --> 0:13:36.240
<v Speaker 1>car and rental insurance or life insurance. Even so, they

0:13:36.280 --> 0:13:39.960
<v Speaker 1>have much bigger, much bigger vision for what they want

0:13:40.000 --> 0:13:42.480
<v Speaker 1>all these customers to do on their platform. That's not

0:13:42.559 --> 0:13:45.480
<v Speaker 1>just trading, but the catches um. If you're going to

0:13:45.600 --> 0:13:49.439
<v Speaker 1>offer things like insurance and you know, retirement accounts to people,

0:13:49.480 --> 0:13:51.839
<v Speaker 1>you really need their trust. And that's a place where

0:13:51.840 --> 0:13:55.079
<v Speaker 1>they struggled. So and he talked to us about the

0:13:55.200 --> 0:13:59.680
<v Speaker 1>typical robin hood um trader or account user. What's the

0:13:59.679 --> 0:14:04.280
<v Speaker 1>proof out. I think that there is kind of a

0:14:04.559 --> 0:14:08.199
<v Speaker 1>stock image in everyone's mind of typical robin Hood trader.

0:14:08.240 --> 0:14:11.760
<v Speaker 1>I mean of their assets under management do come from

0:14:12.200 --> 0:14:15.720
<v Speaker 1>millennial users, So it's absolutely a millennial product. But gen

0:14:15.840 --> 0:14:18.440
<v Speaker 1>Z is in the mix as well. And I think, um,

0:14:18.480 --> 0:14:20.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, the typical image that you might get in

0:14:20.760 --> 0:14:23.320
<v Speaker 1>your head of a robin Hood user is maybe a

0:14:23.400 --> 0:14:27.320
<v Speaker 1>cop age or UM you know, kind of twenty something

0:14:28.120 --> 0:14:31.600
<v Speaker 1>uh trader a lot of men. But it's that's not

0:14:31.640 --> 0:14:33.680
<v Speaker 1>the only profile. We We spoke to all kinds of

0:14:33.680 --> 0:14:36.400
<v Speaker 1>people who use this up um, including people who don't

0:14:36.440 --> 0:14:39.400
<v Speaker 1>use it just for gay trading, UM who are trying

0:14:39.400 --> 0:14:42.600
<v Speaker 1>to invest a little bit more long term. And so

0:14:42.680 --> 0:14:46.320
<v Speaker 1>it varies that that millennial group is core for them

0:14:46.320 --> 0:14:49.640
<v Speaker 1>and any um. You mentioned some struggles, let's talk about

0:14:50.360 --> 0:14:54.480
<v Speaker 1>sort of the the pieces of the puzzle that Robin

0:14:54.520 --> 0:14:58.200
<v Speaker 1>hood users have encountered, and you know, some of them

0:14:58.200 --> 0:15:01.560
<v Speaker 1>have become frustrated about what are some of those main grapes.

0:15:02.600 --> 0:15:07.240
<v Speaker 1>Absolutely well, one of the more recent issues was around

0:15:07.480 --> 0:15:12.640
<v Speaker 1>two thousand accounts um we're compromised in um, which they

0:15:12.640 --> 0:15:15.520
<v Speaker 1>found in an internal review and that's UM news we

0:15:15.560 --> 0:15:18.600
<v Speaker 1>broke a couple of weeks ago. And the main frustration

0:15:18.680 --> 0:15:21.320
<v Speaker 1>I think around this issue and others that have come

0:15:21.400 --> 0:15:24.480
<v Speaker 1>up with robin Hood um over this year, they don't

0:15:24.480 --> 0:15:29.040
<v Speaker 1>have a customer service phone number, and a frustration what

0:15:29.440 --> 0:15:33.080
<v Speaker 1>it's like you just stopped right there. It's like what, yeah,

0:15:33.120 --> 0:15:36.440
<v Speaker 1>that's right, so, and I mean it's really like it's

0:15:36.560 --> 0:15:40.160
<v Speaker 1>very Silicon Valley actually, like a lot of companies that

0:15:40.400 --> 0:15:42.840
<v Speaker 1>use all the time. A lot of tech companies don't

0:15:42.920 --> 0:15:45.320
<v Speaker 1>have a real customer service number. But this isn't like,

0:15:45.560 --> 0:15:47.800
<v Speaker 1>this isn't like Uber, you know, I didn't get my car.

0:15:47.920 --> 0:15:51.520
<v Speaker 1>It's like, I have a question about my investments exactly,

0:15:51.560 --> 0:15:54.080
<v Speaker 1>And like if you're worried that your account was hacked

0:15:54.200 --> 0:15:56.680
<v Speaker 1>or if there's an outage, like they had a major

0:15:56.800 --> 0:16:00.600
<v Speaker 1>day long outage way at the beginning of you know,

0:16:01.280 --> 0:16:05.520
<v Speaker 1>right before the pandemic lockdowns started on March second, that

0:16:05.600 --> 0:16:08.400
<v Speaker 1>lasted all day. So if you're sitting there with your phone,

0:16:08.440 --> 0:16:11.400
<v Speaker 1>like you know, either the app is totally down or

0:16:11.440 --> 0:16:14.280
<v Speaker 1>I'm seeing you know, funds disappear from that account because

0:16:14.320 --> 0:16:16.480
<v Speaker 1>I'm worried it was hacked, Like there's no one to call,

0:16:16.560 --> 0:16:19.200
<v Speaker 1>and that those treaks people out. So it's this question

0:16:19.200 --> 0:16:22.120
<v Speaker 1>of like can we move into a world where people

0:16:22.120 --> 0:16:25.280
<v Speaker 1>are okay with that? And I'm just wondering what the

0:16:25.320 --> 0:16:28.400
<v Speaker 1>competitors are thinking here. I think in the trade Charles

0:16:28.400 --> 0:16:31.960
<v Speaker 1>Schwab tda meror trade, are they saying we need to

0:16:32.040 --> 0:16:34.640
<v Speaker 1>adapt a little bit because these robin hood folks have

0:16:34.640 --> 0:16:38.280
<v Speaker 1>tapped into something. It's a great question and I think

0:16:38.320 --> 0:16:41.440
<v Speaker 1>they have I mean, one thing, robin Hood was really

0:16:41.440 --> 0:16:46.600
<v Speaker 1>an early mover into free commission trading, and at the

0:16:46.640 --> 0:16:49.680
<v Speaker 1>time I think it was kind of a wacky idea.

0:16:49.800 --> 0:16:52.360
<v Speaker 1>And now that's the industry standard. I mean around this

0:16:52.400 --> 0:16:55.720
<v Speaker 1>time last year, Charles Schwab moved to zero commissions and

0:16:55.880 --> 0:16:58.520
<v Speaker 1>all of the other major brokerages did the same, and

0:16:58.600 --> 0:17:02.000
<v Speaker 1>now you know, zero mission trading is the industry standard.

0:17:02.400 --> 0:17:06.000
<v Speaker 1>So I mean, that's one way they offer fractional shares.

0:17:06.080 --> 0:17:09.000
<v Speaker 1>That's something which is the ability to buy just a

0:17:09.119 --> 0:17:12.880
<v Speaker 1>piece of a stock instead of the thing UM. So

0:17:13.440 --> 0:17:16.959
<v Speaker 1>for example, like buying just a five dollar slice of

0:17:17.480 --> 0:17:21.440
<v Speaker 1>Amazon or another big tech stock UM. And that's something

0:17:21.480 --> 0:17:24.760
<v Speaker 1>that you know, Fidelity and Schwab have now, So robin

0:17:24.840 --> 0:17:27.800
<v Speaker 1>Had has in some ways thence the industry to its image.

0:17:27.800 --> 0:17:31.280
<v Speaker 1>It's true. So any what what are the likelihoods that

0:17:31.359 --> 0:17:35.720
<v Speaker 1>a company like robin Hood might go public? So in

0:17:35.760 --> 0:17:38.879
<v Speaker 1>reporting this story, we did hear that it's possible that

0:17:38.960 --> 0:17:42.960
<v Speaker 1>this wild here that they've had could pull the process

0:17:43.000 --> 0:17:45.679
<v Speaker 1>of an I p O public And without commenting on

0:17:45.720 --> 0:17:48.920
<v Speaker 1>the exact timeline, UM, co founder of lad Kena, did

0:17:49.000 --> 0:17:52.359
<v Speaker 1>say that they themselves as a large independent public company

0:17:52.359 --> 0:17:54.760
<v Speaker 1>in the future and so you know, especially if you're

0:17:54.760 --> 0:17:57.880
<v Speaker 1>so capital markets focused with your customers, you can imagine

0:17:57.920 --> 0:18:00.920
<v Speaker 1>that they might want to harness some of at um

0:18:00.960 --> 0:18:03.000
<v Speaker 1>and and some of the real like lightning in a

0:18:03.000 --> 0:18:06.040
<v Speaker 1>bottle that they've captured this year by by trying to

0:18:06.080 --> 0:18:07.760
<v Speaker 1>work towards an I p O that we don't have

0:18:07.800 --> 0:18:10.359
<v Speaker 1>an exact date yet. Well, we're all watching, and I

0:18:10.400 --> 0:18:12.399
<v Speaker 1>have to say, Paul, and I caught up with one

0:18:12.400 --> 0:18:15.760
<v Speaker 1>of the co founders of Wealth Front, Andy Rackliffe, over

0:18:15.760 --> 0:18:17.600
<v Speaker 1>the last week or so, and he had some thoughts,

0:18:17.600 --> 0:18:20.240
<v Speaker 1>certainly on Robin Hood right, you know, Paul, one of

0:18:20.280 --> 0:18:23.720
<v Speaker 1>the kind of early financial disruptors, right, exactly right, and

0:18:23.760 --> 0:18:26.000
<v Speaker 1>that you know this is uh the question is this

0:18:26.080 --> 0:18:28.000
<v Speaker 1>a trend or when we come out of the pandemic,

0:18:28.920 --> 0:18:30.679
<v Speaker 1>are people going to kind of back away? Right? And

0:18:30.720 --> 0:18:32.600
<v Speaker 1>do you have to be more and offer more services?

0:18:32.640 --> 0:18:35.399
<v Speaker 1>I have to say one internally, uh, one internal message

0:18:35.400 --> 0:18:37.800
<v Speaker 1>I'm getting from one of our Bloomberg colleagues who said, basically,

0:18:38.280 --> 0:18:40.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, the customer service or lack thereof, is one

0:18:40.600 --> 0:18:43.280
<v Speaker 1>reason that they switched back to a major brokerage because

0:18:43.280 --> 0:18:46.000
<v Speaker 1>they just were uncomfortable with it. All right, Annie Massa,

0:18:46.080 --> 0:18:49.240
<v Speaker 1>thank you so much. Bloomberg News Investing reporter uh and

0:18:49.320 --> 0:18:51.119
<v Speaker 1>along with of course Blomberg Business WEE get it or

0:18:51.160 --> 0:18:54.720
<v Speaker 1>Joe Weber. This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Messer

0:18:55.040 --> 0:18:58.159
<v Speaker 1>from Bloomberg Radio. So it is eleven days, nine hours,

0:18:58.160 --> 0:19:02.040
<v Speaker 1>fifty seven minutes and fifty four seconds until the November election.

0:19:02.480 --> 0:19:04.600
<v Speaker 1>I know a lot of people have already voted. I know,

0:19:04.680 --> 0:19:07.000
<v Speaker 1>I have this great clock, and everybody says, twelve days. No,

0:19:07.400 --> 0:19:09.760
<v Speaker 1>that's when election day will be over. We may know

0:19:09.800 --> 0:19:14.280
<v Speaker 1>an outcome, but eleven days until we all start voting. UM. Tonight,

0:19:14.320 --> 0:19:17.159
<v Speaker 1>of course, the final presidential debate. A lot going on

0:19:17.240 --> 0:19:21.320
<v Speaker 1>politically today. Bloomberg contributor Rick Davis is back, former Republican strategist,

0:19:21.400 --> 0:19:25.199
<v Speaker 1>former manager of Senator John McCain's presidential campaign partner at

0:19:25.200 --> 0:19:28.000
<v Speaker 1>Stone Court Capital. He's back with us on the phone

0:19:28.040 --> 0:19:30.639
<v Speaker 1>from Virginia. Ricks, so great to have you here with us.

0:19:30.640 --> 0:19:33.600
<v Speaker 1>I don't even know where to start, So let's start

0:19:33.640 --> 0:19:36.560
<v Speaker 1>with the debate. I cannot wait to watch. What are

0:19:36.600 --> 0:19:40.119
<v Speaker 1>you expecting? Will it be vastly different? I mean, certainly

0:19:40.119 --> 0:19:42.120
<v Speaker 1>the topics are supposed to be different, but you think

0:19:42.119 --> 0:19:44.720
<v Speaker 1>it's going to be very different? This time around. Well,

0:19:44.760 --> 0:19:47.560
<v Speaker 1>you know the difference maybe in the the Make Commission.

0:19:47.600 --> 0:19:51.480
<v Speaker 1>They've said they're going to control microphones at least in

0:19:51.520 --> 0:19:54.359
<v Speaker 1>the initial question and answer period, which is at the

0:19:54.400 --> 0:19:58.040
<v Speaker 1>top of each section. Uh ten minutes sections two minutes each.

0:19:59.000 --> 0:20:03.240
<v Speaker 1>The answer A questioned the commission control the mike so

0:20:03.359 --> 0:20:06.320
<v Speaker 1>that Trump can't talk over Joe Biden and vice versa.

0:20:06.840 --> 0:20:09.440
<v Speaker 1>But then it's opened up. And so I do expect

0:20:09.440 --> 0:20:12.840
<v Speaker 1>it to be combative. The Trump campaign has made it

0:20:12.840 --> 0:20:15.240
<v Speaker 1>totally clear that Donald Trump is going to go after

0:20:15.320 --> 0:20:19.280
<v Speaker 1>Joe Biden on his corrupt family and dealings that his

0:20:19.280 --> 0:20:22.640
<v Speaker 1>son had in China and Ukraine. So I would expect

0:20:23.320 --> 0:20:26.080
<v Speaker 1>sparks to fly. Uh. It'll be interesting to see how

0:20:26.560 --> 0:20:30.639
<v Speaker 1>Joe Biden reacts to that aggressive approach that Donald Trump

0:20:30.640 --> 0:20:34.240
<v Speaker 1>seems to like. And uh, and and and I think

0:20:34.280 --> 0:20:36.440
<v Speaker 1>that this is the last chance to make a real

0:20:36.520 --> 0:20:41.760
<v Speaker 1>material change for the campaigns in the election. Uh. We'll

0:20:41.800 --> 0:20:44.439
<v Speaker 1>then have to worry for the next eleven days what

0:20:44.600 --> 0:20:46.560
<v Speaker 1>kind of events will occur around the world that could

0:20:46.600 --> 0:20:49.240
<v Speaker 1>affect the election. But but tonight's the big night for

0:20:49.280 --> 0:20:51.359
<v Speaker 1>the campaigns to make their point. I just want to

0:20:51.359 --> 0:20:53.520
<v Speaker 1>follow it, you know, I think Americans like fighters, and

0:20:53.560 --> 0:20:56.320
<v Speaker 1>I don't know that. Do you think that it hurt

0:20:56.400 --> 0:20:58.760
<v Speaker 1>Biden when he said, you know, shut up, come on man,

0:20:58.840 --> 0:21:01.680
<v Speaker 1>or whatever, you know, or did people feel like Yeah,

0:21:01.720 --> 0:21:03.160
<v Speaker 1>I felt the same way, and I would have done

0:21:03.160 --> 0:21:05.680
<v Speaker 1>the same thing. So I do wonder what's the balance

0:21:05.680 --> 0:21:09.360
<v Speaker 1>that Biden has to have tonight. Yeah, there's no question

0:21:09.400 --> 0:21:12.080
<v Speaker 1>that it's kind of hard to tell out of that

0:21:12.160 --> 0:21:16.359
<v Speaker 1>first debate whether people reacted to Trump's overbearing and you know,

0:21:16.720 --> 0:21:21.040
<v Speaker 1>interruptions and domination of the dialogue or whether they reacted

0:21:21.080 --> 0:21:24.440
<v Speaker 1>positively to Joe Biden's um, you know, sort of pushing

0:21:24.480 --> 0:21:27.440
<v Speaker 1>him back. But it was a good week for Joe Biden.

0:21:27.480 --> 0:21:30.359
<v Speaker 1>I mean, he clearly advanced in some of those polls

0:21:30.720 --> 0:21:34.119
<v Speaker 1>in the battleground states after that debate. It was also

0:21:34.240 --> 0:21:36.960
<v Speaker 1>the time when Donald Trump came down with coronavirus, so

0:21:37.040 --> 0:21:39.399
<v Speaker 1>that was a bit of a distraction from all those things.

0:21:40.080 --> 0:21:42.959
<v Speaker 1>Um and and yet the campaign has sort of settled

0:21:43.000 --> 0:21:45.919
<v Speaker 1>back to where it was before the last debate polling wise.

0:21:46.400 --> 0:21:50.119
<v Speaker 1>And so I would imagine that the Biden people were

0:21:50.160 --> 0:21:52.240
<v Speaker 1>happy with the outcome of the first debate and would

0:21:52.240 --> 0:21:55.320
<v Speaker 1>love to replicate that. So I'll be honest, I'll be

0:21:55.359 --> 0:21:57.880
<v Speaker 1>switching back and forth between the debate and the Giants

0:21:57.920 --> 0:22:00.480
<v Speaker 1>Eagles game, but I think they're probably not the actor.

0:22:00.800 --> 0:22:03.120
<v Speaker 1>I guess on the night off tonight, right, it might

0:22:03.119 --> 0:22:06.040
<v Speaker 1>be more action with the debate, is there you know

0:22:06.160 --> 0:22:08.440
<v Speaker 1>this president has been reported again that he is not

0:22:08.880 --> 0:22:12.639
<v Speaker 1>necessarily taking the time to prepare for this debate. I

0:22:12.640 --> 0:22:15.199
<v Speaker 1>guess we you know, can rely on his gut up.

0:22:15.600 --> 0:22:18.080
<v Speaker 1>Is there anything that you would advise this president to

0:22:18.119 --> 0:22:22.840
<v Speaker 1>do in tonight's debate? Look, I think that he did

0:22:23.240 --> 0:22:27.000
<v Speaker 1>um turn off voters in his last debate because of

0:22:27.040 --> 0:22:31.840
<v Speaker 1>his tone, overly aggressive in his approach, overbearing uh. And

0:22:31.880 --> 0:22:33.800
<v Speaker 1>so I don't think he has to change too much

0:22:33.800 --> 0:22:36.600
<v Speaker 1>about um what he says. I think he has to

0:22:36.680 --> 0:22:39.880
<v Speaker 1>change the way he says it. Tone and demeanor are

0:22:39.920 --> 0:22:42.040
<v Speaker 1>really important. I mean, this is part of what people

0:22:42.119 --> 0:22:44.600
<v Speaker 1>have to live through for the next four years. And

0:22:44.640 --> 0:22:47.680
<v Speaker 1>there is in the polling data a pretty good amount

0:22:47.720 --> 0:22:50.880
<v Speaker 1>of Trump fatigue that's out there with voters. I mean,

0:22:50.920 --> 0:22:53.840
<v Speaker 1>he's just in your mouth's mouth mouth twenty four hours

0:22:53.840 --> 0:22:55.879
<v Speaker 1>a day, seven days a week. You wake up in

0:22:55.880 --> 0:22:57.920
<v Speaker 1>the morning with forty twitters and you go to sleep,

0:22:58.080 --> 0:23:00.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, with him in a rally screaming his head off.

0:23:00.560 --> 0:23:02.840
<v Speaker 1>So like, if he wants to get reelected, I think

0:23:02.840 --> 0:23:04.879
<v Speaker 1>if he just dialed it back, people will say, Wow,

0:23:04.960 --> 0:23:08.680
<v Speaker 1>that's the Trump we want. So conversely, Rick, I mean

0:23:09.359 --> 0:23:12.320
<v Speaker 1>the the pandemic numbers are starting to go in the

0:23:12.320 --> 0:23:18.720
<v Speaker 1>wrong direction again, how should former Vice President Biden portray that?

0:23:19.040 --> 0:23:21.240
<v Speaker 1>And the U S response or lack thereof from a

0:23:21.240 --> 0:23:24.000
<v Speaker 1>federal response tonight? What's the best course of action as

0:23:24.000 --> 0:23:27.040
<v Speaker 1>it relates to the pandemic for Mr Biden? Well, you know,

0:23:27.080 --> 0:23:29.359
<v Speaker 1>the pandemic played a pretty big role in the first debate,

0:23:29.440 --> 0:23:31.720
<v Speaker 1>and I think this is where the Biden people feel

0:23:31.760 --> 0:23:34.280
<v Speaker 1>they really made up ground. Uh. Not only did they

0:23:34.640 --> 0:23:38.760
<v Speaker 1>attack the administration's lackluster approach to it, but they offered

0:23:38.800 --> 0:23:41.800
<v Speaker 1>a very specific plan for the future, a plan which

0:23:41.800 --> 0:23:45.600
<v Speaker 1>in subsequent interviews, Donald Trump says it is basically something

0:23:45.600 --> 0:23:49.040
<v Speaker 1>he agrees to. Um. He hasn't implemented it, but um,

0:23:49.080 --> 0:23:51.480
<v Speaker 1>but he he doesn't disagree with the Biden plan. And

0:23:51.520 --> 0:23:55.320
<v Speaker 1>so I think that they want this election to turn

0:23:55.520 --> 0:23:59.879
<v Speaker 1>on who is the future administration best able to navigate

0:24:00.200 --> 0:24:03.960
<v Speaker 1>the United States and frankly help the world, uh get

0:24:04.000 --> 0:24:08.600
<v Speaker 1>through the coronavirus In a subsequent economic downturn, and I

0:24:08.640 --> 0:24:11.159
<v Speaker 1>think that will be as much of the debate as

0:24:11.200 --> 0:24:16.760
<v Speaker 1>he can possibly push his plan for for coronavirus. What

0:24:16.880 --> 0:24:20.040
<v Speaker 1>do you make of the president releasing the sixty minutes

0:24:20.080 --> 0:24:21.800
<v Speaker 1>interview or a big chunk of it? I have to

0:24:21.800 --> 0:24:23.960
<v Speaker 1>say I'm a little obsessed. I've been trying to squeeze

0:24:23.960 --> 0:24:27.560
<v Speaker 1>and watching it in between prepping for the show and stuff. Um,

0:24:27.600 --> 0:24:29.840
<v Speaker 1>he's pretty agitated. It feels like from the get go,

0:24:30.560 --> 0:24:35.000
<v Speaker 1>before they even started talking. Um, how does that impact anything?

0:24:35.440 --> 0:24:37.399
<v Speaker 1>Or what's the strategy here? Rick? And would you have

0:24:37.840 --> 0:24:39.560
<v Speaker 1>if you were advising him, would you have said, yep,

0:24:39.600 --> 0:24:43.560
<v Speaker 1>release it. Yeah. I think he's Um. I think he's

0:24:43.560 --> 0:24:48.240
<v Speaker 1>trying to basically uh abate the refs. You know. It's uh,

0:24:48.280 --> 0:24:51.240
<v Speaker 1>you go after the referee before the game starts, because

0:24:51.280 --> 0:24:53.240
<v Speaker 1>you want them to feel good for the home team,

0:24:53.280 --> 0:24:56.280
<v Speaker 1>you know. And and uh and I think, uh this

0:24:56.320 --> 0:24:59.920
<v Speaker 1>is sort of a message to the debate moderator Kristen Welker.

0:25:00.040 --> 0:25:03.560
<v Speaker 1>Tonight he's been all over attacking her as being biased.

0:25:04.320 --> 0:25:07.160
<v Speaker 1>I think he's He's always made a pretty good diet

0:25:07.200 --> 0:25:11.480
<v Speaker 1>of attacking the media. Uh and and looking for I

0:25:11.520 --> 0:25:15.880
<v Speaker 1>would think, um, some kind of um, better deal out

0:25:15.960 --> 0:25:18.360
<v Speaker 1>of them by by pushing back hard on them. And

0:25:18.359 --> 0:25:21.240
<v Speaker 1>and and by the way, I think I's worked relatively

0:25:21.280 --> 0:25:24.600
<v Speaker 1>well in his administration. I think there is a little

0:25:24.600 --> 0:25:27.960
<v Speaker 1>bit of uh presence ability to cow the media by

0:25:28.080 --> 0:25:31.080
<v Speaker 1>being so aggressive at them. And this is just another

0:25:31.200 --> 0:25:35.000
<v Speaker 1>example of how he's done that. Um. He is setting

0:25:35.119 --> 0:25:37.760
<v Speaker 1>up a lot of alternatives on election day, and he

0:25:37.800 --> 0:25:40.760
<v Speaker 1>needs the media to be compliant with some of his

0:25:41.400 --> 0:25:45.000
<v Speaker 1>I think more outrageous options and uh, and I think

0:25:45.000 --> 0:25:47.600
<v Speaker 1>this is all a plan to get that ready for that. Rick.

0:25:47.800 --> 0:25:49.399
<v Speaker 1>If you believe the polls, and I know a lot

0:25:49.440 --> 0:25:53.359
<v Speaker 1>of people necessarily don't leave the polls, President Trump is

0:25:53.400 --> 0:25:56.640
<v Speaker 1>behind Joe Biden. What would you advise him to do

0:25:56.880 --> 0:25:59.760
<v Speaker 1>over the next eleven days to try to rally. He's

0:25:59.800 --> 0:26:02.639
<v Speaker 1>got to do is pick his shots. Uh. There are

0:26:02.800 --> 0:26:06.959
<v Speaker 1>arguably a dozen states that are in play, states that

0:26:07.080 --> 0:26:09.960
<v Speaker 1>are within the margin are and the polling states that

0:26:10.000 --> 0:26:14.240
<v Speaker 1>are critical electoral college states that Donald Trump would need

0:26:14.280 --> 0:26:18.000
<v Speaker 1>to be able to put together a strategy around getting

0:26:18.000 --> 0:26:20.680
<v Speaker 1>two seventy electoral votes. And he's just got to pick

0:26:20.720 --> 0:26:23.320
<v Speaker 1>his shots. He's he's not only behind and polling, he's

0:26:23.400 --> 0:26:27.560
<v Speaker 1>behind in money. Uh. And U arguably forty four million

0:26:27.600 --> 0:26:29.840
<v Speaker 1>people have already voted, so he's he's probably behind in

0:26:30.000 --> 0:26:32.879
<v Speaker 1>votes already. And so he's just got to narrow his

0:26:33.000 --> 0:26:36.920
<v Speaker 1>campaign aperture down to something that he's just got to

0:26:37.000 --> 0:26:39.040
<v Speaker 1>be convinced that if he can win in these four

0:26:39.119 --> 0:26:44.880
<v Speaker 1>or five states Florida, Arizona, Pennsylvania, you know, maybe Michigan, Wisconsin, UM,

0:26:45.000 --> 0:26:47.560
<v Speaker 1>then then he's got his whole campaign righting on that.

0:26:48.000 --> 0:26:49.760
<v Speaker 1>Right now, he's still running what I would call a

0:26:49.840 --> 0:26:53.280
<v Speaker 1>national campaign where they're spending a lot of time in

0:26:53.280 --> 0:26:55.960
<v Speaker 1>a lot of states that arguably aren't going to matter.

0:26:56.680 --> 0:26:59.440
<v Speaker 1>Uh if if if if he's not going to pick

0:26:59.480 --> 0:27:01.919
<v Speaker 1>a few states to win. So what does Joe Barden

0:27:02.000 --> 0:27:05.159
<v Speaker 1>need to do to win? Well, I think Joe Biden's

0:27:05.160 --> 0:27:08.000
<v Speaker 1>got tons of options, right, I mean, he's he's he's

0:27:08.160 --> 0:27:10.320
<v Speaker 1>got more money, so he can spread the board a

0:27:10.320 --> 0:27:13.600
<v Speaker 1>little bit. Uh, he can look for opportunities in states

0:27:13.640 --> 0:27:17.760
<v Speaker 1>like Arizona that have voted Republican uh in presidential campaign

0:27:17.840 --> 0:27:21.480
<v Speaker 1>since Bill Clinton won in uh his second in his

0:27:21.520 --> 0:27:26.440
<v Speaker 1>re election and um and and try to force the

0:27:26.480 --> 0:27:29.520
<v Speaker 1>Trump campaign to spread center than they are able to.

0:27:29.840 --> 0:27:33.199
<v Speaker 1>And uh and so uh he has he has the

0:27:33.280 --> 0:27:38.280
<v Speaker 1>advantage of if the election were held today, he'd probably

0:27:38.280 --> 0:27:41.199
<v Speaker 1>win in most of these states. That being said, the

0:27:41.320 --> 0:27:45.640
<v Speaker 1>next eleven days are critical. There's no question that the

0:27:45.640 --> 0:27:49.240
<v Speaker 1>two thousand sixteen race, I was able to swing around

0:27:49.440 --> 0:27:53.439
<v Speaker 1>where Hillary Clinton was ahead of Donald Trump at this

0:27:53.520 --> 0:27:56.760
<v Speaker 1>point in the race, albeit less than Joe Biden's doing

0:27:56.880 --> 0:27:59.679
<v Speaker 1>right now, and uh and and wind up losing. So

0:27:59.720 --> 0:28:03.639
<v Speaker 1>there's still time for this change, this race, to change dynamics.

0:28:03.680 --> 0:28:06.560
<v Speaker 1>And yet I would say tonight Joe Biden does a

0:28:06.560 --> 0:28:08.600
<v Speaker 1>good job in the debate. Tonight he will have crossed

0:28:08.600 --> 0:28:15.040
<v Speaker 1>an important bridge to to winning. Is it still really close? Well,

0:28:15.040 --> 0:28:16.600
<v Speaker 1>when you look at at first of all, it's not

0:28:16.640 --> 0:28:18.920
<v Speaker 1>a national election, So forget all these polls that show

0:28:19.080 --> 0:28:22.320
<v Speaker 1>nationally Joe Biden win by ten points, right, I mean,

0:28:22.400 --> 0:28:25.080
<v Speaker 1>we don't we don't vote nationally. Hillary Clinton won the

0:28:25.560 --> 0:28:28.840
<v Speaker 1>popular vote by three million and lost. Uh So, so

0:28:28.960 --> 0:28:31.040
<v Speaker 1>take that off the boards. When you look at states

0:28:31.400 --> 0:28:35.920
<v Speaker 1>like Florida, dead heat, North Carolina, dead heat, Ohio dead heat,

0:28:36.040 --> 0:28:38.880
<v Speaker 1>Arizona dead heat, I mean, these are really important states

0:28:38.880 --> 0:28:42.440
<v Speaker 1>for electoral votes. Whoever wins Florida, Arizona is going to

0:28:42.480 --> 0:28:45.600
<v Speaker 1>be the next president. And and those states are within

0:28:47.080 --> 0:28:50.040
<v Speaker 1>the margin of error in most public polls, and and

0:28:50.040 --> 0:28:52.400
<v Speaker 1>and and when you talk to the Biden campaign, they

0:28:52.440 --> 0:28:54.440
<v Speaker 1>say they're winning those states. And when you talk to

0:28:54.480 --> 0:28:56.880
<v Speaker 1>the Trump campaign, they say they're winning those states. So

0:28:57.280 --> 0:29:00.520
<v Speaker 1>if if if Trump wanted to consolidate his entire campaign

0:29:00.560 --> 0:29:02.800
<v Speaker 1>in the Florida and Arizona, he'd probably be smart to

0:29:02.800 --> 0:29:07.959
<v Speaker 1>do it. Hey, Rick, let's just assume that Biden wins.

0:29:08.920 --> 0:29:12.360
<v Speaker 1>Republican strategists they go back and they think about what

0:29:12.400 --> 0:29:14.360
<v Speaker 1>are we going to do with our party going forward?

0:29:14.400 --> 0:29:16.840
<v Speaker 1>And my question to you is what happened to the

0:29:16.880 --> 0:29:21.800
<v Speaker 1>Republican Party, the party of Reagan, Bush, Dole, McCain. And

0:29:21.840 --> 0:29:27.040
<v Speaker 1>does the Republican Party want to get back there? Yeah? Well, um,

0:29:27.080 --> 0:29:31.440
<v Speaker 1>that's about leadership. The Republican Party is a very hierarchical party, right.

0:29:31.480 --> 0:29:35.000
<v Speaker 1>We we are all about our leadership, and and when

0:29:35.000 --> 0:29:40.360
<v Speaker 1>you're president, you are indistributable the leader of the Republican Party.

0:29:40.800 --> 0:29:44.040
<v Speaker 1>The Democratic Party is much more of a bottom up party, right,

0:29:44.160 --> 0:29:47.600
<v Speaker 1>and power is much more emanated from the bottom that

0:29:47.720 --> 0:29:50.960
<v Speaker 1>that that goes to the leaders at a local level. Um,

0:29:51.000 --> 0:29:53.600
<v Speaker 1>the Republican Party, we like the top of the ticket.

0:29:53.800 --> 0:29:57.440
<v Speaker 1>And and so I would say one thing that people,

0:29:58.040 --> 0:30:00.400
<v Speaker 1>regardless of what happens in this election, need to Burton,

0:30:00.760 --> 0:30:03.400
<v Speaker 1>and that is that four years from now, it's very likely,

0:30:04.160 --> 0:30:06.920
<v Speaker 1>uh that you could have two women running for president,

0:30:06.960 --> 0:30:11.000
<v Speaker 1>which would be historic, Kamala Harris and Nicki Haley. And

0:30:11.440 --> 0:30:13.800
<v Speaker 1>I like our prospects for the Republican Party if that's

0:30:13.840 --> 0:30:16.160
<v Speaker 1>the contest four years from now, so you can see

0:30:16.200 --> 0:30:20.880
<v Speaker 1>how quickly things can change us to who represents the

0:30:20.920 --> 0:30:25.440
<v Speaker 1>party of Lincoln and Reagan and John McCain. Um. Uh,

0:30:25.720 --> 0:30:28.120
<v Speaker 1>you could change that overnight with the nomination of someone

0:30:28.160 --> 0:30:31.120
<v Speaker 1>like Nicky Haley. Rick. I would just say, though, for

0:30:31.480 --> 0:30:34.400
<v Speaker 1>as a woman, it's taken a long time to finally

0:30:34.440 --> 0:30:38.160
<v Speaker 1>see something, you know, actually female candidates, you know, potentially

0:30:38.240 --> 0:30:41.440
<v Speaker 1>running for president. So it's it feels like, even though

0:30:41.440 --> 0:30:43.880
<v Speaker 1>things can change quickly, feels like it's been a long

0:30:43.920 --> 0:30:47.280
<v Speaker 1>time coming. It may be the best possible option for

0:30:47.280 --> 0:30:50.000
<v Speaker 1>electing a woman is to have both parties nominated. I

0:30:50.080 --> 0:30:52.840
<v Speaker 1>love the idea. I love it. Um Blueberg contributor Rick

0:30:52.920 --> 0:30:56.000
<v Speaker 1>Davis always love talking with you. Thank you so much,

0:30:56.040 --> 0:30:59.680
<v Speaker 1>great insight. Former Republican strategist, former manager of Senator John

0:30:59.760 --> 0:31:03.080
<v Speaker 1>mckeys presidential campaign, partner at stone Court Capital on the

0:31:03.080 --> 0:31:11.600
<v Speaker 1>phone from Virginia. Turn on. Yeah, but you let me drive? No, no,

0:31:11.680 --> 0:31:16.400
<v Speaker 1>no's to drive home, honey, please, I'll do the right vel.

0:31:17.800 --> 0:31:33.200
<v Speaker 1>I want to drive, Just drive, baby, question trying. This

0:31:33.720 --> 0:31:36.640
<v Speaker 1>is the drive to the globe. Give me thanks. We'll

0:31:36.720 --> 0:31:40.640
<v Speaker 1>dry up down on Bluebird Radio. And just got about

0:31:40.680 --> 0:31:43.920
<v Speaker 1>eleven minutes left in today's trading session, pretty much hovering on.

0:31:44.000 --> 0:31:46.760
<v Speaker 1>Here's some of our best levels of the session, Charlie

0:31:46.800 --> 0:31:48.680
<v Speaker 1>of course, breaking down those numbers. It is time for

0:31:48.680 --> 0:31:50.600
<v Speaker 1>the drive to the close. Delighted to have back with

0:31:50.720 --> 0:31:53.000
<v Speaker 1>us one of our favorite voices when it comes to

0:31:53.080 --> 0:31:55.280
<v Speaker 1>markets and when it comes to talking Tesla. We're doing

0:31:55.320 --> 0:31:58.000
<v Speaker 1>a lot with him. Ross Gerbert is back, president CEO

0:31:57.960 --> 0:32:01.520
<v Speaker 1>of Gerbert Kawasaki Wealth and Investment Management. He is with

0:32:01.600 --> 0:32:04.400
<v Speaker 1>us on the phone from Santa Monica, California. So Ross,

0:32:04.400 --> 0:32:06.360
<v Speaker 1>good to have you here with Paul and myself. How

0:32:06.360 --> 0:32:10.320
<v Speaker 1>are you. I'm good. How are you doing well? Doing well?

0:32:10.880 --> 0:32:14.240
<v Speaker 1>You know, just watching the markets, watching waiting for the

0:32:14.240 --> 0:32:17.640
<v Speaker 1>election outcoming, watching Tesla just continue to go higher and

0:32:17.720 --> 0:32:22.760
<v Speaker 1>higher and higher. Yeah, it's great, isn't it. We should

0:32:22.800 --> 0:32:26.640
<v Speaker 1>be full disclosure. Ross owned shares of Tesla. He has

0:32:26.680 --> 0:32:30.680
<v Speaker 1>a Model three, he knows this and a Model Why

0:32:32.360 --> 0:32:35.120
<v Speaker 1>that's my wife's it's my wife. So what do you

0:32:35.160 --> 0:32:38.920
<v Speaker 1>make of the quarter last night? Ross? You know, it's great.

0:32:39.200 --> 0:32:42.719
<v Speaker 1>I'm really stoked, like they finally have you know, gotten

0:32:42.720 --> 0:32:45.680
<v Speaker 1>out of that stage of like being kind of shiekily

0:32:45.840 --> 0:32:48.720
<v Speaker 1>profitable and sort of like you know, sort of like

0:32:49.560 --> 0:32:53.200
<v Speaker 1>barely getting there to just blowing it out. And and

0:32:53.280 --> 0:32:56.680
<v Speaker 1>now with fourteen billion in cash on the books, they

0:32:56.760 --> 0:32:59.880
<v Speaker 1>they're just fully you know, they have full aquidity to

0:33:00.640 --> 0:33:04.080
<v Speaker 1>achieve their dreams of building all these giga factories all

0:33:04.080 --> 0:33:07.360
<v Speaker 1>over the world and and increasing production by several orders

0:33:07.360 --> 0:33:10.840
<v Speaker 1>of matic magnitude. So I'm very, very excited because boy,

0:33:10.880 --> 0:33:12.640
<v Speaker 1>the last couple of years have been tough for Tesla

0:33:12.720 --> 0:33:14.400
<v Speaker 1>to get to this stage, and now we're getting to

0:33:14.440 --> 0:33:17.720
<v Speaker 1>the fun part. So it makes me wonder we're we're

0:33:17.640 --> 0:33:20.360
<v Speaker 1>all the other automakers they're wanting Tesla, and I feel

0:33:20.360 --> 0:33:24.840
<v Speaker 1>like they're just letting Tesla really kind of own this market. Yeah,

0:33:24.920 --> 0:33:27.120
<v Speaker 1>they are. And I would say the same thing about

0:33:27.200 --> 0:33:30.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, the mall owners or whatever. It's like the

0:33:30.280 --> 0:33:33.360
<v Speaker 1>auto industry in the United States is about to get

0:33:33.400 --> 0:33:38.320
<v Speaker 1>devastated because they simply have failed to understand that the

0:33:38.320 --> 0:33:41.440
<v Speaker 1>technological shifts that are happening that are going to affect

0:33:41.480 --> 0:33:43.520
<v Speaker 1>them is something they need to go all in on

0:33:43.960 --> 0:33:47.280
<v Speaker 1>versus these sort of tiptoeing into the market with products

0:33:47.280 --> 0:33:51.560
<v Speaker 1>that just ultimately sell more ice vehicles for them that

0:33:51.640 --> 0:33:54.200
<v Speaker 1>higher margins. So they're giving up the future to make

0:33:54.280 --> 0:33:56.520
<v Speaker 1>something today and and that's going to be a huge

0:33:56.520 --> 0:33:59.640
<v Speaker 1>mistake longer term for for the big automakers. What do

0:33:59.640 --> 0:34:02.040
<v Speaker 1>you make of General Motors coming out with an eight

0:34:02.680 --> 0:34:07.160
<v Speaker 1>dollar electric pickup truck that seems like a compelling product.

0:34:07.360 --> 0:34:09.319
<v Speaker 1>Maybe not the price tag, but the product. I mean,

0:34:09.360 --> 0:34:11.239
<v Speaker 1>it's not compelling at all. I don't know anybody in

0:34:11.280 --> 0:34:13.080
<v Speaker 1>the pickup side of the world that wants to spend

0:34:13.120 --> 0:34:15.760
<v Speaker 1>a hundred grand on a truck. I think that's exactly

0:34:15.840 --> 0:34:17.719
<v Speaker 1>the point I'm trying to make is, first of all,

0:34:17.920 --> 0:34:19.880
<v Speaker 1>they haven't come out with anything. They showed us a

0:34:19.960 --> 0:34:22.200
<v Speaker 1>video of a truck. Now, the last video of a

0:34:22.200 --> 0:34:24.360
<v Speaker 1>truck I saw was from Nicola and they pushed the

0:34:24.360 --> 0:34:27.800
<v Speaker 1>truck down the hill. So you know, when when GM

0:34:27.840 --> 0:34:30.680
<v Speaker 1>actually shows me a real truck, then we'll talk. But

0:34:30.920 --> 0:34:34.000
<v Speaker 1>I've been in more EV factories and I care to

0:34:34.000 --> 0:34:36.480
<v Speaker 1>talk about and this is a really hard thing to build.

0:34:36.480 --> 0:34:38.760
<v Speaker 1>So just saying we're gonna build these trucks, that doesn't

0:34:38.760 --> 0:34:41.040
<v Speaker 1>mean anything. You prove to me you're gonna build a truck,

0:34:41.040 --> 0:34:43.440
<v Speaker 1>and I'll see the truck, then we'll talk. But the

0:34:43.480 --> 0:34:45.880
<v Speaker 1>second thing is how are they going to sell a

0:34:45.920 --> 0:34:48.200
<v Speaker 1>truck for a hundred twenty thousand when I can buy

0:34:48.239 --> 0:34:51.520
<v Speaker 1>an amazing GM truck for fifty thousand or sixty thousand.

0:34:51.880 --> 0:34:54.040
<v Speaker 1>So it's like, who's going to do that? You know?

0:34:54.320 --> 0:34:57.359
<v Speaker 1>So I until these companies go all in. And I've

0:34:57.360 --> 0:34:59.680
<v Speaker 1>said this many times, you have companies like Ribbean and

0:34:59.760 --> 0:35:03.279
<v Speaker 1>lou Said, which are pure EV companies with good financial

0:35:03.320 --> 0:35:06.600
<v Speaker 1>backing that are are all in EV companies, and these

0:35:06.640 --> 0:35:09.279
<v Speaker 1>are the companies that are going to be successful longer term.

0:35:09.560 --> 0:35:11.920
<v Speaker 1>But Detroit they seem to just you know, put their

0:35:11.920 --> 0:35:14.319
<v Speaker 1>head in the sand, keep selling, keep doing what they're doing,

0:35:14.360 --> 0:35:17.680
<v Speaker 1>and hope that Tesla goes away. Uh, it's not gonna happen. Ross.

0:35:17.680 --> 0:35:19.200
<v Speaker 1>That's what I wanted to ask you. Like you said,

0:35:19.200 --> 0:35:21.840
<v Speaker 1>you're in and out of EV plants, you're checking out.

0:35:21.880 --> 0:35:24.359
<v Speaker 1>You know this industry, you know to understand it much

0:35:24.400 --> 0:35:27.520
<v Speaker 1>more broadly, I mean, who are the other folks beyond Tesla.

0:35:27.600 --> 0:35:30.279
<v Speaker 1>We know you like Tesla, you know that you're keeping

0:35:30.280 --> 0:35:33.680
<v Speaker 1>a close watch on Okay, So here's what I've learned

0:35:33.719 --> 0:35:37.239
<v Speaker 1>recently at Tesla. I was at Autonomy Day. I'm one

0:35:37.280 --> 0:35:39.560
<v Speaker 1>of the few, probably one of thirty people that have

0:35:39.680 --> 0:35:42.520
<v Speaker 1>walked through this new cell factory where they are making

0:35:42.600 --> 0:35:45.439
<v Speaker 1>new batteries with new technology that's nothing like the old.

0:35:45.800 --> 0:35:47.680
<v Speaker 1>And one of the things that came to my attention,

0:35:47.680 --> 0:35:50.000
<v Speaker 1>and this was the fact that even if Tesla is

0:35:50.040 --> 0:35:53.600
<v Speaker 1>successful with everything they do, it's barely a dent in

0:35:53.640 --> 0:35:56.879
<v Speaker 1>the fight for climate. There's so much demand for EVIS,

0:35:56.920 --> 0:36:00.400
<v Speaker 1>and there's so much opportunity in EVIS, yet you know,

0:36:00.560 --> 0:36:02.640
<v Speaker 1>only a few people are playing it. So the way

0:36:02.680 --> 0:36:06.840
<v Speaker 1>we see it is there's huge opportunity in cell manufacturers,

0:36:06.960 --> 0:36:10.000
<v Speaker 1>in the entire supply chain of the e V ecosystem,

0:36:10.040 --> 0:36:12.600
<v Speaker 1>and that's where we're now investing. A lot of money

0:36:12.760 --> 0:36:17.720
<v Speaker 1>is into the e V supply chains, um battery suppliers,

0:36:18.120 --> 0:36:22.520
<v Speaker 1>sell producers. This is the future. And it's like going

0:36:22.520 --> 0:36:26.360
<v Speaker 1>back to one and Intel created a computer ship and

0:36:26.440 --> 0:36:29.239
<v Speaker 1>Tell wasn't the only computer chip maker that was successful,

0:36:29.560 --> 0:36:31.640
<v Speaker 1>but they were the leader. So what we're looking for,

0:36:31.840 --> 0:36:33.440
<v Speaker 1>what are the other companies that are going to be

0:36:33.480 --> 0:36:37.800
<v Speaker 1>successful in in helping supply other companies with e V

0:36:38.520 --> 0:36:42.480
<v Speaker 1>technology as well as building that you know, vertical integration

0:36:42.600 --> 0:36:46.560
<v Speaker 1>to supply an industry that's hopefully we'll be selling you know,

0:36:46.600 --> 0:36:49.600
<v Speaker 1>fifty million cars one day in a decade or so.

0:36:49.719 --> 0:36:52.080
<v Speaker 1>You know, there's a huge opportunity. I'm on the edge

0:36:52.080 --> 0:36:54.120
<v Speaker 1>of my ce. Do feel like a tip in your

0:36:54.120 --> 0:36:55.719
<v Speaker 1>hat as to a couple of names that you're looking

0:36:55.760 --> 0:36:58.880
<v Speaker 1>at or maybe investing in. UM, Well, we are investing

0:36:59.040 --> 0:37:00.480
<v Speaker 1>in the way I'm doing it is through an e

0:37:00.560 --> 0:37:02.479
<v Speaker 1>t F right now because it's very hard to buy

0:37:02.560 --> 0:37:06.760
<v Speaker 1>Korean stocks. It turns out that US investors can't easily

0:37:06.800 --> 0:37:10.680
<v Speaker 1>buy Korea Korean stocks, even institutions like myself. So we

0:37:10.800 --> 0:37:13.040
<v Speaker 1>are buying an e t F in the symbols L

0:37:13.120 --> 0:37:17.080
<v Speaker 1>I T And this is a global X security that

0:37:17.120 --> 0:37:20.480
<v Speaker 1>focuses on battery technology. And the top ten holdings of

0:37:20.480 --> 0:37:22.759
<v Speaker 1>this are exactly what you want to own. It's like

0:37:23.160 --> 0:37:27.480
<v Speaker 1>every battery maker and supplier in Japan, Korea and China,

0:37:27.880 --> 0:37:30.520
<v Speaker 1>and and that's where this technology is going to be

0:37:30.560 --> 0:37:32.880
<v Speaker 1>developed and where it's going to be deployed and where

0:37:32.880 --> 0:37:35.799
<v Speaker 1>there's a huge opportunity. And so that's that's the I

0:37:35.840 --> 0:37:38.080
<v Speaker 1>think the simplest way to play it, in a way

0:37:38.080 --> 0:37:40.640
<v Speaker 1>where you can get exposure to many of the different players,

0:37:40.640 --> 0:37:43.600
<v Speaker 1>and that's what we've been doing. Hey, Ross, Uh, does

0:37:43.640 --> 0:37:47.239
<v Speaker 1>the electric vehicle industry from your perspective have a view

0:37:47.360 --> 0:37:50.120
<v Speaker 1>on you know, Trump versus Biden. We're gonna have an

0:37:50.120 --> 0:37:54.960
<v Speaker 1>election here? Well, yes, because obviously a guy who's pushing

0:37:55.000 --> 0:37:57.759
<v Speaker 1>Cole and doesn't get it isn't as good as a

0:37:57.800 --> 0:37:59.920
<v Speaker 1>guy who totally gets it, who wants to see the

0:38:00.000 --> 0:38:04.160
<v Speaker 1>world not explode into a fireball. So you know, Biden

0:38:04.239 --> 0:38:07.000
<v Speaker 1>is going to spend a ton of money on green

0:38:07.160 --> 0:38:09.319
<v Speaker 1>energy anyway you look at it, and we're seeing it

0:38:09.360 --> 0:38:11.640
<v Speaker 1>in our solar positions. You know, we're very involved with

0:38:11.640 --> 0:38:14.279
<v Speaker 1>green energy as a whole. And that's mostly because I

0:38:14.320 --> 0:38:18.280
<v Speaker 1>see as as having no choice. So even if Trump wins,

0:38:18.640 --> 0:38:20.560
<v Speaker 1>we still have no choice. I mean, the fires and

0:38:20.600 --> 0:38:24.520
<v Speaker 1>the hurricanes aren't going away, but I think Biden. So

0:38:24.719 --> 0:38:27.960
<v Speaker 1>we're actually betting on a Biden victory right now. Um,

0:38:28.080 --> 0:38:32.080
<v Speaker 1>And and we expect our clean energy positions to go

0:38:32.680 --> 0:38:36.279
<v Speaker 1>they have already gone up a ton in anticipation of this,

0:38:36.360 --> 0:38:39.080
<v Speaker 1>and and I expect this trend to continue, though once again,

0:38:39.120 --> 0:38:42.360
<v Speaker 1>these are long term trends. Don't invest around elections or

0:38:42.360 --> 0:38:45.000
<v Speaker 1>presidents because I'm thinking five ten years, it's going to

0:38:45.040 --> 0:38:47.799
<v Speaker 1>be another president after Biden too. You know. Always so

0:38:47.800 --> 0:38:49.840
<v Speaker 1>good to check in with you. Stay safe, Fross Garber,

0:38:49.920 --> 0:38:52.840
<v Speaker 1>Thank you so much. Ross Garber, Presidency of Greber Kawasaki

0:38:52.920 --> 0:38:55.480
<v Speaker 1>Wealth and Investment Management on the phone. Thanks so much

0:38:55.520 --> 0:38:59.440
<v Speaker 1>for listening to Former business Week. Download the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud,

0:38:59.600 --> 0:39:01.440
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0:39:01.520 --> 0:39:03.920
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0:39:03.960 --> 0:39:06.200
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