1
00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:05,600
Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcas All right, here.

2
00:00:05,440 --> 00:00:12,960
Speaker 2: We go.

3
00:00:11,360 --> 00:00:15,160
Speaker 1: Spreading the court ten seconds of eatings. Can just go

4
00:00:15,240 --> 00:00:17,720
Speaker 1: show up to the basket, under the basket, it's the

5
00:00:17,800 --> 00:00:20,280
Speaker 1: truth for the wind.

6
00:00:20,920 --> 00:00:24,880
Speaker 3: A miracle. I just chuck the water.

7
00:00:26,160 --> 00:00:27,920
Speaker 4: Hit that one from the parking lot.

8
00:00:29,400 --> 00:00:31,960
Speaker 3: What's up the generation? Welcome to the Big Bets on

9
00:00:32,000 --> 00:00:36,760
Speaker 3: Campus Podcast presented by Bett MGM. This is your weekend

10
00:00:36,920 --> 00:00:40,919
Speaker 3: college basketball betting preview. I'm stucky, joining me as always

11
00:00:41,080 --> 00:00:45,920
Speaker 3: Mike Calbury's and DJ Cunningham. Gentlemen, got a lot to

12
00:00:45,960 --> 00:00:49,239
Speaker 3: get to today. We are in. It is very bizarre

13
00:00:49,320 --> 00:00:52,680
Speaker 3: to me that it's like March is right around the

14
00:00:52,680 --> 00:00:54,480
Speaker 3: corner because the super Bowl just happened, but the super

15
00:00:54,480 --> 00:00:57,680
Speaker 3: bowls pushed back and then it's like, wait, March, March

16
00:00:57,760 --> 00:01:01,400
Speaker 3: is in two weeks, insane, j ol throat to you,

17
00:01:01,880 --> 00:01:02,560
Speaker 3: how are things?

18
00:01:02,760 --> 00:01:03,319
Speaker 4: Things are good?

19
00:01:03,360 --> 00:01:04,920
Speaker 2: But not only that stuck is when we go to

20
00:01:04,959 --> 00:01:07,560
Speaker 2: the twelve team College Fotall playoff, we're pushing back that

21
00:01:07,680 --> 00:01:12,400
Speaker 2: national chainship. Even more so the fall going all the

22
00:01:12,400 --> 00:01:14,040
Speaker 2: way into March, bad is all just going to get

23
00:01:14,040 --> 00:01:16,440
Speaker 2: scrunched together going forward and just never going to end,

24
00:01:16,440 --> 00:01:19,600
Speaker 2: which is great. It's a lot of fun. But yeah, like,

25
00:01:19,600 --> 00:01:21,200
Speaker 2: like you said, things are good. I mean, you know,

26
00:01:21,240 --> 00:01:24,560
Speaker 2: we just talked on Tuesday. Obviously, Albion went down to Tennessee.

27
00:01:24,680 --> 00:01:27,800
Speaker 2: Tennessee's back, right, they're one of the national title contenders

28
00:01:27,880 --> 00:01:31,520
Speaker 2: after a poor shooting performance from Alabama. But no, it's

29
00:01:31,840 --> 00:01:35,280
Speaker 2: you know, it's it's getting very very interesting as we

30
00:01:35,360 --> 00:01:37,680
Speaker 2: go down the stretch here, and there really hasn't been

31
00:01:37,720 --> 00:01:39,960
Speaker 2: a team that's pulled away to show us that they're

32
00:01:40,000 --> 00:01:42,120
Speaker 2: one of the best in the country and being deserving

33
00:01:42,120 --> 00:01:44,119
Speaker 2: of being a favorite to win the national title.

34
00:01:45,240 --> 00:01:48,760
Speaker 3: Well, and not only that, the we have college football.

35
00:01:48,800 --> 00:01:51,840
Speaker 3: If the college football club, when that expands, then the

36
00:01:51,960 --> 00:01:55,040
Speaker 3: NCAA tournament with you're talking about that expanding.

37
00:01:54,640 --> 00:01:56,920
Speaker 4: To ninety right, Yeah, what is that?

38
00:01:57,160 --> 00:02:02,520
Speaker 3: Zacho was starting now? Like March, I am vehiclely against

39
00:02:02,720 --> 00:02:09,359
Speaker 3: the expansion. I'm pro college football expansion. I don't want

40
00:02:09,400 --> 00:02:12,880
Speaker 3: the month long break. I know I was all about

41
00:02:12,880 --> 00:02:15,480
Speaker 3: eight teams, that was my ideal, but I don't we

42
00:02:15,520 --> 00:02:19,160
Speaker 3: don't need ninety teams in the tournament. We're gonna struggle

43
00:02:19,240 --> 00:02:21,520
Speaker 3: to get sixty eight this year. Mike, are you pro

44
00:02:22,320 --> 00:02:24,160
Speaker 3: anti tournament expansion?

45
00:02:24,680 --> 00:02:28,360
Speaker 1: I'm anti tournament expansion for any college sport. At this point,

46
00:02:28,840 --> 00:02:31,560
Speaker 1: I've never finished a college football season. I thought to myself, boy,

47
00:02:31,639 --> 00:02:33,760
Speaker 1: that team that finished eleventh and the eight pee pole,

48
00:02:34,200 --> 00:02:36,800
Speaker 1: they were the best team in the country. Never crossed

49
00:02:36,800 --> 00:02:38,000
Speaker 1: my mind, not a single time.

50
00:02:38,520 --> 00:02:40,200
Speaker 3: I don't care about that. I care about just more

51
00:02:40,200 --> 00:02:41,480
Speaker 3: games to bet on it, and then I don't. We

52
00:02:41,520 --> 00:02:44,720
Speaker 3: don't have to go a month. Like the worst part

53
00:02:44,760 --> 00:02:47,960
Speaker 3: to me is that the best teams there's a thirty

54
00:02:48,040 --> 00:02:51,720
Speaker 3: days before they play from the last time to the next,

55
00:02:51,720 --> 00:02:55,520
Speaker 3: and then like the conference championship weekend doesn't mean as much,

56
00:02:55,720 --> 00:02:57,480
Speaker 3: So like it give me some more games about on

57
00:02:57,520 --> 00:03:00,560
Speaker 3: less of a break more important conference championship might STILLNNA

58
00:03:00,600 --> 00:03:03,840
Speaker 3: win at all, But I'm cool with that. The NCAA

59
00:03:03,960 --> 00:03:07,880
Speaker 3: tournament like there's zero there's no team that's gonna come.

60
00:03:08,919 --> 00:03:11,080
Speaker 3: We already have enough games, there's all. There's tons of

61
00:03:11,080 --> 00:03:14,000
Speaker 3: games every day leading up to the tournament. Like this

62
00:03:14,240 --> 00:03:16,000
Speaker 3: is this is dumb, it's stuck, stuck.

63
00:03:16,080 --> 00:03:18,520
Speaker 2: Wait, think about it instead of the two weeks in

64
00:03:18,560 --> 00:03:21,720
Speaker 2: March penas heet, the three weeks instead, I mean, think

65
00:03:21,720 --> 00:03:24,000
Speaker 2: about how many more games you can bet on. I mean,

66
00:03:24,280 --> 00:03:27,160
Speaker 2: I don't know about you, but little Rock versus.

67
00:03:29,440 --> 00:03:33,040
Speaker 1: Game, and by the way, to expand it to the

68
00:03:33,040 --> 00:03:36,200
Speaker 1: college football portion of your conversation, like we still have

69
00:03:36,200 --> 00:03:38,440
Speaker 1: the Myrtle Beach Bowl, we still have you know, the

70
00:03:38,480 --> 00:03:40,840
Speaker 1: Heart at Texas Bowl, Like there's all these games to

71
00:03:40,920 --> 00:03:42,320
Speaker 1: be bet on just because they're not a part of

72
00:03:42,320 --> 00:03:45,760
Speaker 1: the playoff. Like I'm probably the biggest advocate of all

73
00:03:45,760 --> 00:03:48,360
Speaker 1: those minor bowl games and the games that only matter

74
00:03:48,440 --> 00:03:50,640
Speaker 1: to the six and six MAC team. So I've never

75
00:03:50,720 --> 00:03:53,080
Speaker 1: felt like the month of December that I'm deprived of

76
00:03:53,120 --> 00:03:56,160
Speaker 1: betting on football. When you add in the NFL as well,

77
00:03:56,600 --> 00:03:58,360
Speaker 1: I just I just know what it's going to do

78
00:03:58,560 --> 00:04:00,800
Speaker 1: to the college football regular seat, which is a game

79
00:04:00,920 --> 00:04:04,760
Speaker 1: like Alabama Tennessee from this fall, which the stakes couldn't

80
00:04:04,760 --> 00:04:07,080
Speaker 1: have been higher for Tennessee. I know, in the end

81
00:04:07,160 --> 00:04:09,200
Speaker 1: it shook out it didn't matter because you know, Hennon

82
00:04:09,240 --> 00:04:11,840
Speaker 1: Hooker got hurt, but like a game like that felt

83
00:04:11,880 --> 00:04:14,800
Speaker 1: as though the stakes couldn't have been higher, and perhaps

84
00:04:14,880 --> 00:04:17,599
Speaker 1: Alabama played their way out of the playoff. We're gonna

85
00:04:17,640 --> 00:04:20,800
Speaker 1: lose all those meaningful regular season games and end up

86
00:04:20,880 --> 00:04:23,279
Speaker 1: just like the NFL or the NBA or Major League Baseball,

87
00:04:23,279 --> 00:04:25,320
Speaker 1: where it's like, oh, you lost a regular season game.

88
00:04:25,360 --> 00:04:25,680
Speaker 3: That sucks.

89
00:04:25,720 --> 00:04:28,200
Speaker 1: Okay, wake me up in the playoffs when everyone like

90
00:04:28,279 --> 00:04:31,440
Speaker 1: starts to play harder or gets healthy at the right time,

91
00:04:31,520 --> 00:04:33,640
Speaker 1: so we don't have to hijack this whole conversation. But

92
00:04:33,760 --> 00:04:35,880
Speaker 1: it's it's sort of crap. They try to fix something

93
00:04:35,920 --> 00:04:38,560
Speaker 1: that wasn't broken. College Taball playoff had been working great.

94
00:04:38,760 --> 00:04:43,320
Speaker 1: They've been different champions first time entrance group of five teams, like,

95
00:04:44,000 --> 00:04:46,599
Speaker 1: it was actually playing out the way that I thought

96
00:04:46,600 --> 00:04:48,800
Speaker 1: it should play out, and the best team nine times

97
00:04:48,800 --> 00:04:51,240
Speaker 1: out of ten was winning the national championship. So why

98
00:04:51,320 --> 00:04:54,080
Speaker 1: go ahead and ruin all that other than make more money?

99
00:04:54,600 --> 00:04:57,320
Speaker 3: All right, Well, let's we already started the rats off,

100
00:04:57,360 --> 00:05:00,679
Speaker 3: so let's get into the week that was and maybe

101
00:05:00,680 --> 00:05:03,160
Speaker 3: continue over this ranks. Before we'll get to Friday night lights.

102
00:05:03,200 --> 00:05:05,160
Speaker 3: We'll get to our favorite Saturdays about to talk a

103
00:05:05,160 --> 00:05:09,000
Speaker 3: little bigiess buy sell, and then we'll get out of here. Actually,

104
00:05:09,000 --> 00:05:10,760
Speaker 3: and we got of our futures. We'll had of futures

105
00:05:10,800 --> 00:05:14,160
Speaker 3: to the portfolio. We'll do that shortly. Ran of the

106
00:05:14,200 --> 00:05:16,880
Speaker 3: week for me, I'm gonna ran about the refs and

107
00:05:16,960 --> 00:05:20,960
Speaker 3: Indian refs again. Indiana Northwestern, you missed a clear travel.

108
00:05:21,040 --> 00:05:24,320
Speaker 3: You give four technicals to Northwestern, which obviously ends up

109
00:05:24,360 --> 00:05:27,080
Speaker 3: being the difference in the game, but more than my

110
00:05:27,200 --> 00:05:30,320
Speaker 3: real rant. So that made me angry. But my real

111
00:05:30,400 --> 00:05:33,640
Speaker 3: rants Eric Musselman, Arkansas melted down at the end. Whatever

112
00:05:33,680 --> 00:05:36,480
Speaker 3: that happens all the time. But I have also I

113
00:05:36,480 --> 00:05:39,280
Speaker 3: have Arkansas plus three and a half and four and

114
00:05:39,760 --> 00:05:41,960
Speaker 3: they're up like eleven I think at the half, and

115
00:05:42,040 --> 00:05:44,359
Speaker 3: they don't play Nick Smith jun or the entire second half.

116
00:05:44,560 --> 00:05:46,600
Speaker 3: This is like to the end of the game. They

117
00:05:46,600 --> 00:05:48,000
Speaker 3: asked him out, so I figured he was hurt. He

118
00:05:48,080 --> 00:05:50,839
Speaker 3: was in. He was in his warm ups the entire

119
00:05:50,839 --> 00:05:52,280
Speaker 3: second so I forgured he was hurt. He wasn't even

120
00:05:52,279 --> 00:05:54,360
Speaker 3: ready to go in muscle at the end of the game,

121
00:05:54,400 --> 00:05:56,680
Speaker 3: says They were asked why he didn't put him in.

122
00:05:56,720 --> 00:05:59,040
Speaker 3: He said, we were trying to win a game we needed. Well,

123
00:05:59,040 --> 00:06:01,400
Speaker 3: how about putting a lot of pick in. But instead

124
00:06:01,440 --> 00:06:03,880
Speaker 3: of playing running your guys ragged. You're got a top

125
00:06:03,920 --> 00:06:06,240
Speaker 3: five pick, Maybe put him in the game. I know

126
00:06:06,279 --> 00:06:09,000
Speaker 3: he hasn't been playing great, but you gotta get him first.

127
00:06:09,040 --> 00:06:11,920
Speaker 3: You gotta get him adjusted. He's gotta there's gonna be russ.

128
00:06:11,960 --> 00:06:13,800
Speaker 3: He's got to assimilate him back in the lineup, but

129
00:06:13,800 --> 00:06:17,360
Speaker 3: in order to do that, you gotta actually play him. Unbelievable.

130
00:06:18,120 --> 00:06:21,160
Speaker 3: I'm so glad we didn't add that Arkansas futune or portfolio.

131
00:06:22,440 --> 00:06:24,960
Speaker 3: But clear takeaway is that there's no there's no clear

132
00:06:25,080 --> 00:06:29,279
Speaker 3: elite team, most number one most losses by number one

133
00:06:29,320 --> 00:06:32,080
Speaker 3: team since the nineteen forty eight to forty nine season. Wow.

134
00:06:32,160 --> 00:06:37,040
Speaker 3: With Alabama going back down and we are still into February, Mike,

135
00:06:37,400 --> 00:06:40,080
Speaker 3: you were fired up for the College Wall playoffs. You

136
00:06:40,080 --> 00:06:42,760
Speaker 3: get any key takeaways than anything you're fired up about today.

137
00:06:43,320 --> 00:06:44,480
Speaker 3: Maybe the Mountain.

138
00:06:44,200 --> 00:06:46,720
Speaker 1: West isn't as good as we thought they were. I mean,

139
00:06:47,040 --> 00:06:50,240
Speaker 1: I still like the conference. The fact that New Mexico

140
00:06:50,839 --> 00:06:54,200
Speaker 1: got absolutely pile driven by Wyoming.

141
00:06:54,200 --> 00:06:56,720
Speaker 3: The house House didn't play to be fair, but yeah, sure,

142
00:06:56,920 --> 00:06:57,960
Speaker 3: but it's Wyoming.

143
00:06:57,960 --> 00:07:00,440
Speaker 1: They're playing with like six guys who are essential team

144
00:07:00,520 --> 00:07:03,840
Speaker 1: managers on their roster. At Maldonado played well, but like

145
00:07:04,160 --> 00:07:07,520
Speaker 1: to lose by double digits at the pit. Oh. I mean,

146
00:07:07,720 --> 00:07:11,160
Speaker 1: if there was a favor not to make it now, yeah, exactly.

147
00:07:11,200 --> 00:07:14,360
Speaker 1: Now they're in trouble. They're probably less than a fifty

148
00:07:14,360 --> 00:07:16,520
Speaker 1: to fifty shot as an at large bid. So unless

149
00:07:16,560 --> 00:07:19,480
Speaker 1: they make a run to the Mount West Conference Tournament

150
00:07:19,600 --> 00:07:22,000
Speaker 1: championship game, I don't think they're going to get in,

151
00:07:22,840 --> 00:07:25,680
Speaker 1: which is disappointing because there's lots alike with them, and

152
00:07:26,080 --> 00:07:28,480
Speaker 1: I know that they had suffered through some overtime games.

153
00:07:28,520 --> 00:07:30,480
Speaker 1: It looked like maybe they were ready to turn the corner.

154
00:07:30,520 --> 00:07:32,960
Speaker 1: But that's one of those head scratching losses that I

155
00:07:32,960 --> 00:07:35,480
Speaker 1: wouldn't blame the committee to say, Okay, it's fifty to

156
00:07:35,480 --> 00:07:37,640
Speaker 1: fifty with a power conference team for one of the

157
00:07:37,680 --> 00:07:40,520
Speaker 1: last at large bids, like this loss is so horrific

158
00:07:40,760 --> 00:07:42,920
Speaker 1: that we're going to hold it against you. So that

159
00:07:42,960 --> 00:07:46,600
Speaker 1: one hurt also, Butler not covering by a point against Nova,

160
00:07:46,880 --> 00:07:49,000
Speaker 1: that one not great. They had some chances in the

161
00:07:49,000 --> 00:07:51,920
Speaker 1: final minute to cover the number. So I'm just, you know,

162
00:07:52,040 --> 00:07:53,880
Speaker 1: running a little cold right now. But that's the way

163
00:07:53,920 --> 00:07:55,960
Speaker 1: the college hoops goes. You know you're gonna be on

164
00:07:55,680 --> 00:07:58,960
Speaker 1: the wrong side of some of those double digit spreads

165
00:07:59,040 --> 00:08:01,160
Speaker 1: where he needs somebody to can of three at the end.

166
00:08:01,280 --> 00:08:04,280
Speaker 1: It just doesn't happen. I will get into my Friday

167
00:08:04,280 --> 00:08:07,080
Speaker 1: and Saturday places. I'm feeling much more bullish on those,

168
00:08:07,280 --> 00:08:09,240
Speaker 1: so not a lot of negativity to bring to the

169
00:08:09,240 --> 00:08:10,880
Speaker 1: podcast right now, and I agree with you. This is,

170
00:08:11,080 --> 00:08:13,400
Speaker 1: like I said a couple of podcasts ago, this is

171
00:08:13,840 --> 00:08:15,880
Speaker 1: essentially lining up to be the two thousand and seven

172
00:08:15,920 --> 00:08:19,080
Speaker 1: college football season. But for college hoops, like, anyone who

173
00:08:19,280 --> 00:08:22,840
Speaker 1: is a top five team has proven multiple times that

174
00:08:22,920 --> 00:08:25,760
Speaker 1: they can't be trusted. So at this point, will anyone

175
00:08:25,840 --> 00:08:29,840
Speaker 1: emerge in that like fifteen to twenty five range of

176
00:08:29,880 --> 00:08:32,040
Speaker 1: the AP Poll to say, like, if everything goes right,

177
00:08:32,080 --> 00:08:33,880
Speaker 1: we're gonna win the national championship Because I don't even

178
00:08:33,880 --> 00:08:36,160
Speaker 1: feel good about that group either. It's not like there's

179
00:08:36,160 --> 00:08:38,920
Speaker 1: a lot of could be, should be teams that are

180
00:08:38,920 --> 00:08:41,760
Speaker 1: going to break through. So it's gonna make the debates

181
00:08:41,800 --> 00:08:44,600
Speaker 1: really interesting leading up to selection Sunday.

182
00:08:44,720 --> 00:08:49,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, Bjbyn Key takeaways and then anything they'ren about.

183
00:08:49,800 --> 00:08:52,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, mine's just more iranicy Key take aways

184
00:08:52,160 --> 00:08:54,800
Speaker 2: obviously that there's just is no good team in college basketball.

185
00:08:54,880 --> 00:08:57,280
Speaker 4: And also people out there just don't be fooled by.

186
00:08:57,160 --> 00:08:59,000
Speaker 2: What Tennessee did against Alabama.

187
00:08:59,080 --> 00:09:00,920
Speaker 4: Yeah it was impressive. Yeah they turned them over a bunch.

188
00:09:00,960 --> 00:09:02,320
Speaker 4: Yeah they defended the rim very well.

189
00:09:02,360 --> 00:09:05,920
Speaker 2: But I mean, what you watch going forward with Tennessee,

190
00:09:05,920 --> 00:09:08,720
Speaker 2: we'll have another poor shooting performance and they'll shoot themselves

191
00:09:08,800 --> 00:09:09,800
Speaker 2: right out of the national.

192
00:09:09,559 --> 00:09:11,720
Speaker 3: Title hunts spot for a great spot.

193
00:09:11,760 --> 00:09:12,640
Speaker 4: For that's great spot.

194
00:09:12,640 --> 00:09:12,800
Speaker 3: It was.

195
00:09:12,800 --> 00:09:15,240
Speaker 4: It was good win for them. The team they are,

196
00:09:15,280 --> 00:09:15,880
Speaker 4: they're a good team.

197
00:09:15,920 --> 00:09:18,320
Speaker 2: They're just not a national title contender.

198
00:09:18,520 --> 00:09:18,800
Speaker 3: Really.

199
00:09:20,440 --> 00:09:22,280
Speaker 4: I have a couple rants uh.

200
00:09:22,160 --> 00:09:25,040
Speaker 2: Number one uh with Love's got the memo that Florida

201
00:09:25,080 --> 00:09:27,839
Speaker 2: State had quit on the season because they got blown

202
00:09:27,840 --> 00:09:30,320
Speaker 2: out of their webson and also, and this is just

203
00:09:30,360 --> 00:09:33,240
Speaker 2: something college sports in general, it's kind of just the

204
00:09:33,360 --> 00:09:37,640
Speaker 2: nature of the beast, but the late announcement of injuries

205
00:09:37,760 --> 00:09:41,040
Speaker 2: for team's best players are driving me absolutely nuts. Like

206
00:09:41,080 --> 00:09:43,079
Speaker 2: Matthew Cleveland was out of Florida State, It's like, okay,

207
00:09:43,280 --> 00:09:44,800
Speaker 2: would have been nice to know that for betting him.

208
00:09:44,800 --> 00:09:46,960
Speaker 2: And then Fresno State, I just took them on the

209
00:09:46,960 --> 00:09:49,280
Speaker 2: money line, you know, last night, just for fun. At

210
00:09:49,280 --> 00:09:51,040
Speaker 2: the end, you know, I saw you get your arms stock,

211
00:09:51,080 --> 00:09:52,880
Speaker 2: so I was like, okay, I'll just throw a little

212
00:09:52,880 --> 00:09:54,719
Speaker 2: bit on their money line. They announced Isaiah more of

213
00:09:54,760 --> 00:09:56,959
Speaker 2: their best players out right before the game, and then

214
00:09:57,000 --> 00:09:59,400
Speaker 2: down the stretch they just oh my gosh, it was

215
00:09:59,440 --> 00:10:01,199
Speaker 2: so painful to watch them try to shoot the ball.

216
00:10:01,200 --> 00:10:03,760
Speaker 4: They went two of twenty five from beyond the arc.

217
00:10:03,840 --> 00:10:05,600
Speaker 2: They still only lost by two to San Diego State,

218
00:10:05,640 --> 00:10:07,920
Speaker 2: who you know, Like you mentioned, Matt Bradley about shot

219
00:10:07,920 --> 00:10:08,839
Speaker 2: them out of the game, but.

220
00:10:09,520 --> 00:10:12,520
Speaker 3: They had a three to present one final one final

221
00:10:12,559 --> 00:10:14,520
Speaker 3: three to one final three to miss at the end

222
00:10:14,559 --> 00:10:16,240
Speaker 3: to win it, and that missed too.

223
00:10:16,720 --> 00:10:20,680
Speaker 2: They went out, and they had so many opportunities to

224
00:10:20,840 --> 00:10:23,400
Speaker 2: just make a freaking shot to win the game because

225
00:10:23,440 --> 00:10:25,360
Speaker 2: San Diego State just kept missing shots as well and

226
00:10:25,400 --> 00:10:28,240
Speaker 2: missing free throws. So yeah, that was just frustrating. But yeah,

227
00:10:28,280 --> 00:10:30,920
Speaker 2: I mean that's just the nature of college sports in general.

228
00:10:30,960 --> 00:10:33,640
Speaker 2: It's like, it's it's why I get nervous betting like

229
00:10:33,679 --> 00:10:36,520
Speaker 2: really small school games, because you just have no idea

230
00:10:36,640 --> 00:10:38,480
Speaker 2: what the injury issues and you just never get any

231
00:10:38,600 --> 00:10:42,720
Speaker 2: news from them as well. So late announcements of injuries

232
00:10:42,760 --> 00:10:43,640
Speaker 2: are one that's.

233
00:10:43,440 --> 00:10:44,360
Speaker 1: Just drive me insane.

234
00:10:44,640 --> 00:10:45,600
Speaker 4: But that's part of the game.

235
00:10:46,240 --> 00:10:49,600
Speaker 3: I've been pissed with Mike Miles. I thought he really

236
00:10:49,600 --> 00:10:52,440
Speaker 3: thought he was gonna play. He was practicing, and then

237
00:10:52,440 --> 00:10:54,120
Speaker 3: he got announced out and then I knew my ticket

238
00:10:54,160 --> 00:10:57,920
Speaker 3: was obviously dead. Last light against Iowa State. All right,

239
00:10:57,960 --> 00:11:01,760
Speaker 3: let's move on to Friday. Night. Why let football have

240
00:11:01,880 --> 00:11:07,000
Speaker 3: all the fun. Let's bet Friday night lights. I actually

241
00:11:07,000 --> 00:11:09,520
Speaker 3: have nothing circled, and I'm gonna give you a a

242
00:11:09,520 --> 00:11:14,040
Speaker 3: little a little cheat code in degeneracy. So Friday nights,

243
00:11:14,080 --> 00:11:18,640
Speaker 3: like college basketball, card is usually usually pretty poor. So

244
00:11:19,080 --> 00:11:21,880
Speaker 3: if you're no, I think it's for twenty years, it's

245
00:11:21,880 --> 00:11:23,320
Speaker 3: always been this way. They've been a little there's been

246
00:11:23,360 --> 00:11:25,839
Speaker 3: a couple more bigger games on Friday nights at times,

247
00:11:25,840 --> 00:11:27,520
Speaker 3: but they've always been bad cards. So like if you

248
00:11:27,600 --> 00:11:30,679
Speaker 3: had a girlfriend or not my wife, that's always when

249
00:11:30,679 --> 00:11:32,200
Speaker 3: I was like, hey, you want to do something, you

250
00:11:32,200 --> 00:11:34,120
Speaker 3: always have to make sure you do it on Friday night.

251
00:11:34,480 --> 00:11:37,960
Speaker 3: So I was away in Cleveland and then it's like,

252
00:11:38,040 --> 00:11:40,079
Speaker 3: you know, we got back for well it's kind of

253
00:11:40,120 --> 00:11:41,839
Speaker 3: busy for Valentine's Day, and I was like, you know,

254
00:11:41,960 --> 00:11:43,880
Speaker 3: let's not deal with all the crowds for a Let's

255
00:11:43,960 --> 00:11:46,000
Speaker 3: let's go out to dinner on Friday night and nice,

256
00:11:46,080 --> 00:11:49,240
Speaker 3: Well we'll hang out and so, yeah, Friday night is

257
00:11:49,320 --> 00:11:52,960
Speaker 3: Valentine's Day, and that's how it should be to be

258
00:11:53,080 --> 00:11:56,720
Speaker 3: every Friday night. A Friday night in February. So I

259
00:11:56,760 --> 00:11:59,040
Speaker 3: have nothing circled. If there's an degregious number that's off.

260
00:11:59,080 --> 00:12:03,559
Speaker 3: I will bet it. Why it's a horrible card. I

261
00:12:03,600 --> 00:12:06,600
Speaker 3: was digging and digging, and I just I line just

262
00:12:06,600 --> 00:12:08,120
Speaker 3: came out. Let's say, Well, as you guys are talking,

263
00:12:08,120 --> 00:12:10,000
Speaker 3: maybe I'll see a line that looks off to me. Mike,

264
00:12:10,080 --> 00:12:11,520
Speaker 3: I'll throw to you what he got for Friday night.

265
00:12:11,720 --> 00:12:14,120
Speaker 1: Well, I'm just gonna tell the wife, Hey, would you

266
00:12:14,200 --> 00:12:16,719
Speaker 1: like to watch a high scoring Horizon League basketball game?

267
00:12:16,720 --> 00:12:19,400
Speaker 1: Because I sure would? Were one forty eight and a

268
00:12:19,440 --> 00:12:22,120
Speaker 1: half right State Cleveland State their first meeting, one hundred

269
00:12:22,160 --> 00:12:24,600
Speaker 1: and sixty two points for the total. The Raiders are

270
00:12:24,600 --> 00:12:27,920
Speaker 1: red hot. They've won five to six. Tray Calvin is

271
00:12:27,960 --> 00:12:31,200
Speaker 1: an absolute gunner, so he's going to get the green light,

272
00:12:31,240 --> 00:12:33,560
Speaker 1: maybe take thirty shots in this game. The Raiders are

273
00:12:33,559 --> 00:12:36,040
Speaker 1: twentieth in points per game, two hundred and seventy ninth

274
00:12:36,120 --> 00:12:39,040
Speaker 1: in points per game allowed, their seventh nationally and shooting

275
00:12:39,080 --> 00:12:43,040
Speaker 1: percentage two hundred and forty third in two point percentage defense,

276
00:12:43,440 --> 00:12:45,720
Speaker 1: and they're gonna play fast. They are their fourteenth possessions

277
00:12:45,720 --> 00:12:48,559
Speaker 1: per game. But as I dig deeper, because this was

278
00:12:48,600 --> 00:12:50,000
Speaker 1: the only one, I agree with you, it is a

279
00:12:50,000 --> 00:12:52,160
Speaker 1: really thin slate. As I dug deeper into this, you

280
00:12:52,200 --> 00:12:55,840
Speaker 1: start to look at these two teams in Horizon League play.

281
00:12:55,880 --> 00:12:58,960
Speaker 1: When you put together their performance against the closing total

282
00:12:59,200 --> 00:13:01,760
Speaker 1: twenty three and nine into the over, that's seventy two percent.

283
00:13:02,200 --> 00:13:04,640
Speaker 1: Cleveland State was happy to get sped up in their

284
00:13:04,640 --> 00:13:07,520
Speaker 1: first meeting. They're not a very fast team in terms

285
00:13:07,559 --> 00:13:10,080
Speaker 1: of tempo, but they went ahead and played at Wright

286
00:13:10,120 --> 00:13:12,680
Speaker 1: State's preferred tempo. They got four scores that go for

287
00:13:12,800 --> 00:13:15,240
Speaker 1: double digits per game. They have a seven man rotation.

288
00:13:15,320 --> 00:13:17,600
Speaker 1: I really like this about Cleveland State and potentially for

289
00:13:17,679 --> 00:13:19,839
Speaker 1: them to win the Horizon League tournament. They have a

290
00:13:19,880 --> 00:13:22,720
Speaker 1: seven man rotation that's played every game together this year,

291
00:13:22,800 --> 00:13:25,720
Speaker 1: So that kind of continuity and also sharing the basketball

292
00:13:25,760 --> 00:13:29,480
Speaker 1: I think really ends up playing in their favor. And then, finally,

293
00:13:29,520 --> 00:13:32,000
Speaker 1: like I said, seventy two percent between the two of

294
00:13:32,040 --> 00:13:35,280
Speaker 1: them to go to the over and they've done it drastically.

295
00:13:35,400 --> 00:13:38,280
Speaker 1: Right State's gone over the closing total in Horizon League

296
00:13:38,280 --> 00:13:41,240
Speaker 1: play by over ten points per game. Cleveland State at

297
00:13:41,320 --> 00:13:44,040
Speaker 1: nine point eight points per game. That's both top fifteen

298
00:13:44,080 --> 00:13:47,040
Speaker 1: in the country and conference play as it relates to total.

299
00:13:47,160 --> 00:13:48,959
Speaker 1: So why not have some fun if you're going to

300
00:13:49,000 --> 00:13:50,920
Speaker 1: watch a game. I believe this one's on ESPN. You

301
00:13:51,280 --> 00:13:55,120
Speaker 1: go for a game that well, the final thing, I'll say, interestingly,

302
00:13:55,120 --> 00:13:56,680
Speaker 1: in a lot of Horizon League games I ended up

303
00:13:56,679 --> 00:13:58,880
Speaker 1: benefiting from this. I want to say last week in

304
00:13:58,920 --> 00:14:01,800
Speaker 1: the Youngstown State game. They can have slow starts and

305
00:14:01,840 --> 00:14:03,439
Speaker 1: then these teams can score one hundred points in the

306
00:14:03,440 --> 00:14:05,920
Speaker 1: second half, no problem. So at no point do I

307
00:14:05,960 --> 00:14:08,280
Speaker 1: think this total will be dead even if it gets

308
00:14:08,280 --> 00:14:10,040
Speaker 1: off to a slow start out of the gates. So

309
00:14:10,320 --> 00:14:12,360
Speaker 1: I to go over the Raiders and Vikings here.

310
00:14:12,880 --> 00:14:15,680
Speaker 3: Did you say it was? It was on ESPNU?

311
00:14:16,120 --> 00:14:17,559
Speaker 1: I believe so. I think it's it was when I

312
00:14:17,640 --> 00:14:20,840
Speaker 1: was a ticker like ESPN plus slash ESPNU.

313
00:14:21,120 --> 00:14:23,640
Speaker 3: All right, so if that's the case, yeah, it looks

314
00:14:23,640 --> 00:14:27,640
Speaker 3: like it is. So you can have some rose pedals.

315
00:14:28,000 --> 00:14:31,920
Speaker 3: Get the rose pedals out and sprinkle them from the

316
00:14:32,040 --> 00:14:34,480
Speaker 3: front door all the way to your TV and have

317
00:14:34,760 --> 00:14:37,520
Speaker 3: ESPNU on, and then at you know, six fifty eight,

318
00:14:38,400 --> 00:14:41,120
Speaker 3: take your wife or significant other to the front door

319
00:14:41,160 --> 00:14:43,960
Speaker 3: and guide her to the TV and watch a little

320
00:14:43,960 --> 00:14:46,480
Speaker 3: Horizon League action. I can't think of a more romantic

321
00:14:46,560 --> 00:14:49,720
Speaker 3: way to spend an evening BJ Can you top that?

322
00:14:50,040 --> 00:14:53,520
Speaker 4: Any I can make them evening a little more romantic.

323
00:14:53,800 --> 00:14:55,320
Speaker 4: Stuck here, Maybe.

324
00:14:55,520 --> 00:14:57,520
Speaker 2: Branch off a little bit of those rose pedals and

325
00:14:57,600 --> 00:15:01,360
Speaker 2: lead it to your laptop or your iPad and fire

326
00:15:01,440 --> 00:15:03,720
Speaker 2: up ESPN plus and turn on.

327
00:15:03,720 --> 00:15:05,880
Speaker 3: Maybe maybe the fireplace too, Gabe.

328
00:15:05,800 --> 00:15:08,840
Speaker 2: Fireplays going and turn on another Horizon League game. How

329
00:15:08,880 --> 00:15:12,360
Speaker 2: about Detroit and Oakland? I like Oakland plus one at home.

330
00:15:13,320 --> 00:15:15,360
Speaker 2: They beat Detroit in the previous meeting. They did it

331
00:15:15,360 --> 00:15:18,560
Speaker 2: without their starting shooting guard, Blake Lampman, who's their main

332
00:15:18,600 --> 00:15:20,920
Speaker 2: three point shooter, and the reason Oakland won that game,

333
00:15:21,200 --> 00:15:22,800
Speaker 2: it's because they went to the free throw line twenty

334
00:15:22,880 --> 00:15:24,880
Speaker 2: nine times, which really isn't surprising because they're the number

335
00:15:24,880 --> 00:15:26,640
Speaker 2: one team in the Horizon League and free throw rate.

336
00:15:26,880 --> 00:15:29,560
Speaker 2: But they're also the number one team in the Horizon

337
00:15:29,600 --> 00:15:32,520
Speaker 2: and free throw rate allowed, which is huge against Detroit,

338
00:15:32,520 --> 00:15:35,320
Speaker 2: who is shooting close to eighty percent from the charity

339
00:15:35,320 --> 00:15:38,360
Speaker 2: striking conference play in Detroit is the number one frequency

340
00:15:38,360 --> 00:15:41,040
Speaker 2: team in the country in terms of isolation sets, Oakland's

341
00:15:41,080 --> 00:15:41,520
Speaker 2: very good.

342
00:15:41,360 --> 00:15:41,920
Speaker 4: At defending them.

343
00:15:41,920 --> 00:15:45,000
Speaker 2: The Toks top sixteen points per posession allowed. Oakland is

344
00:15:45,040 --> 00:15:48,120
Speaker 2: also allowing under thirty three percent from beyond the arc

345
00:15:48,160 --> 00:15:50,760
Speaker 2: and conference play, which is huge against Detroit, who's a

346
00:15:50,840 --> 00:15:52,760
Speaker 2: top ten team in the country in three point field

347
00:15:52,760 --> 00:15:54,840
Speaker 2: goal percentage and in the last meaning held them just

348
00:15:54,840 --> 00:15:57,440
Speaker 2: eight of twenty six from beyond the arc. In Detroit,

349
00:15:57,720 --> 00:16:00,040
Speaker 2: they're three hundred and fifty seventh in the country in

350
00:16:00,120 --> 00:16:02,920
Speaker 2: terms of their percentage of points coming from two point

351
00:16:03,280 --> 00:16:05,120
Speaker 2: made field goals. So if you can keep them off

352
00:16:05,120 --> 00:16:07,080
Speaker 2: the free throw line, and you can defend the three

353
00:16:07,080 --> 00:16:09,800
Speaker 2: point line pretty well, which two things Oakland is very

354
00:16:09,840 --> 00:16:12,000
Speaker 2: capable of doing, you should be able to hold them.

355
00:16:12,000 --> 00:16:14,040
Speaker 2: And check in if you look at Detroit, they've only

356
00:16:14,080 --> 00:16:17,080
Speaker 2: won three games in conference play away from home. One

357
00:16:17,120 --> 00:16:20,040
Speaker 2: of them was on December first against Perdue fort Way

358
00:16:20,040 --> 00:16:22,600
Speaker 2: and the other two came against Iupui and Green Bay,

359
00:16:22,600 --> 00:16:24,760
Speaker 2: who are two of the worst teams in the entire country.

360
00:16:24,840 --> 00:16:28,680
Speaker 2: So Oakland plus one at home to add on to

361
00:16:28,840 --> 00:16:32,600
Speaker 2: just a wonderful Friday night, a Valentine's Day with your

362
00:16:32,640 --> 00:16:33,280
Speaker 2: significant other.

363
00:16:33,800 --> 00:16:35,760
Speaker 1: What are your thoughts on playing the alternate line there?

364
00:16:35,800 --> 00:16:37,960
Speaker 1: Because Detroit to me is a boom or bus team

365
00:16:38,040 --> 00:16:40,000
Speaker 1: because of exactly how you laid it out, Like if

366
00:16:40,040 --> 00:16:42,760
Speaker 1: they make twelve or thirteen three pointers, they'll win this

367
00:16:42,840 --> 00:16:45,360
Speaker 1: game out right, but they'll shoot their way right out

368
00:16:45,360 --> 00:16:48,200
Speaker 1: of the gym and lose by fifteen if it's not flowing,

369
00:16:48,200 --> 00:16:51,240
Speaker 1: particularly with you know, Davis leading the way bombing away

370
00:16:51,240 --> 00:16:51,680
Speaker 1: from three.

371
00:16:51,960 --> 00:16:54,200
Speaker 2: Don't hate it at all, Mike, Yeah, I mean, what

372
00:16:54,240 --> 00:16:56,960
Speaker 2: better way to spend Valentine's Day with an Oakland alt

373
00:16:57,000 --> 00:17:00,880
Speaker 2: line watching ESPN Plus along with the other Horizon League game.

374
00:17:01,080 --> 00:17:02,920
Speaker 2: Can't think of a better way to spend Valentine's Day.

375
00:17:03,680 --> 00:17:07,840
Speaker 3: Take your relationships to the next level, Horizon, No, to

376
00:17:07,920 --> 00:17:08,840
Speaker 3: a new horizon.

377
00:17:09,000 --> 00:17:10,760
Speaker 1: Oh, this sounds like an ad Reid stucky.

378
00:17:11,000 --> 00:17:12,320
Speaker 4: You know, don't waste this for free.

379
00:17:12,359 --> 00:17:14,120
Speaker 1: If you're good at something, never do it for free.

380
00:17:15,480 --> 00:17:19,000
Speaker 3: All right? Yeah? No, No lines look off for me.

381
00:17:19,119 --> 00:17:22,040
Speaker 3: So I'm gonna I'm gonna sprinkle. I'm gonna sprinkle some

382
00:17:23,000 --> 00:17:26,480
Speaker 3: Horizon League action and follow you guys on Friday Night.

383
00:17:27,640 --> 00:17:30,240
Speaker 3: As a reminder before we go any further, college basketball

384
00:17:30,240 --> 00:17:32,440
Speaker 3: season is in full swing, so get in on the

385
00:17:32,480 --> 00:17:35,560
Speaker 3: action with the King of Sportsbooks. Sign up with bet

386
00:17:35,680 --> 00:17:40,280
Speaker 3: MGM using bonus code action and receive first bet insurance

387
00:17:40,400 --> 00:17:44,600
Speaker 3: up to one thousand dollars. Visit betmgm dot com for

388
00:17:44,680 --> 00:17:49,800
Speaker 3: terms conditions. Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, and Hiowa, Kansas, Lousiana, Mischississippi, Nebana,

389
00:17:49,800 --> 00:17:53,639
Speaker 3: New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Puerto Rico, Tennessee, Virginia, Washington, DC,

390
00:17:53,760 --> 00:17:56,560
Speaker 3: West Virginia, Wyoming, or Ontario only. Must be twenty one

391
00:17:56,600 --> 00:17:58,840
Speaker 3: or older to wager nineteen or older in Ontario New

392
00:17:58,840 --> 00:18:02,000
Speaker 3: Customer Offer. All promotions are objectiveufcation of coeligibility requirements. Rewards

393
00:18:02,000 --> 00:18:04,439
Speaker 3: issued as non withdrawable free bets or site credit free

394
00:18:04,480 --> 00:18:07,960
Speaker 3: bets expire sven days. Promissions excludes Michigan dissociated persons. Please

395
00:18:07,960 --> 00:18:10,840
Speaker 3: gamble responsibly. Gambling problem call one one hundred next step

396
00:18:10,960 --> 00:18:13,200
Speaker 3: in Arizona one one hundred five two two four seven

397
00:18:13,280 --> 00:18:16,600
Speaker 3: zero zero in Colorado, DC, Kansas, Louisiana, Nevada, Wyoming, or

398
00:18:16,720 --> 00:18:19,200
Speaker 3: Virginia one eight hundred two seven zero seven to one

399
00:18:19,240 --> 00:18:21,840
Speaker 3: one seven for confidential help in Michigan one eight hundred

400
00:18:21,960 --> 00:18:24,840
Speaker 3: gambler in Indiana, Maryland, New Jersey or West Virginia. One

401
00:18:24,840 --> 00:18:27,840
Speaker 3: eight hundred bets off in Iowa one hundred nine eight

402
00:18:27,840 --> 00:18:29,800
Speaker 3: one zero zero two three In Puerto Rico call eight

403
00:18:29,840 --> 00:18:33,320
Speaker 3: seven seven eight Hope and Why or text hope and Why.

404
00:18:33,400 --> 00:18:36,080
Speaker 3: In New York called texts the Tennessee Redline at twenty

405
00:18:36,080 --> 00:18:38,040
Speaker 3: one hundred eight eight nine nine seven eight nine, or

406
00:18:38,040 --> 00:18:40,199
Speaker 3: call one eight eight eight seven seven seven nine six

407
00:18:40,320 --> 00:18:42,480
Speaker 3: nine six in Mississippi. In Ontario, if you have questions

408
00:18:42,560 --> 00:18:44,399
Speaker 3: or concerns about your gambling or someone close to you,

409
00:18:44,440 --> 00:18:46,959
Speaker 3: please contact Connects Ontario at one eight six six five

410
00:18:47,000 --> 00:18:48,679
Speaker 3: three one two six zero zero to speak to an

411
00:18:48,680 --> 00:18:51,240
Speaker 3: advisor free charge. Sports betting is void in Georgia, Hawaii,

412
00:18:51,359 --> 00:18:53,960
Speaker 3: and Utah and other states were prohibited. Promotional offers not

413
00:18:54,000 --> 00:18:57,040
Speaker 3: available in Nevada in New York. All right, before we

414
00:18:57,080 --> 00:18:59,720
Speaker 3: get to Saturday, kind of go around the horn and

415
00:19:00,600 --> 00:19:03,280
Speaker 3: wet's talk a little big East. Let's get to our

416
00:19:03,320 --> 00:19:07,359
Speaker 3: futures portfolio. All right. We have, as of right now,

417
00:19:07,960 --> 00:19:11,919
Speaker 3: we have TCU, which I'm I'm you know, Mike Miles

418
00:19:11,960 --> 00:19:15,760
Speaker 3: is practicing. I'm still comfortable with They're comfortably in the tournament.

419
00:19:16,800 --> 00:19:19,359
Speaker 3: We have Yukon, which I think has looked a little

420
00:19:19,600 --> 00:19:22,160
Speaker 3: which is look they look better. I think Caravan's figuring

421
00:19:22,240 --> 00:19:25,280
Speaker 3: out defensively. Very comfortable with them and the price we

422
00:19:25,320 --> 00:19:29,440
Speaker 3: have there. Marquette is sort of a longer shot. I'm

423
00:19:29,440 --> 00:19:31,480
Speaker 3: a little worried about their rim defense but it's just

424
00:19:31,480 --> 00:19:33,280
Speaker 3: a team. They're well coached, they have a lot of

425
00:19:33,840 --> 00:19:36,880
Speaker 3: they just they don't to rely on one guy. They

426
00:19:36,920 --> 00:19:39,639
Speaker 3: find ways. I think that they can make some noise.

427
00:19:40,080 --> 00:19:42,000
Speaker 3: And then we have Indiana at a really good price

428
00:19:42,000 --> 00:19:44,199
Speaker 3: of fifty to one, which I love, and I think

429
00:19:44,240 --> 00:19:46,080
Speaker 3: that they're a top ten to fifteen team and they

430
00:19:46,119 --> 00:19:48,560
Speaker 3: still are going to get some guys back before we

431
00:19:48,600 --> 00:19:50,760
Speaker 3: get to March. So I really like what we've done

432
00:19:50,880 --> 00:19:54,240
Speaker 3: so far. Obviously it's gonna there's gonna be some luck involved,

433
00:19:54,280 --> 00:19:58,240
Speaker 3: and hopefully we have one of these teams left standing

434
00:19:58,680 --> 00:20:01,760
Speaker 3: when it's all said and done. So for this week,

435
00:20:02,640 --> 00:20:04,840
Speaker 3: let's see who we are bringing to the table. If

436
00:20:04,840 --> 00:20:06,800
Speaker 3: you're new to the show, we each bring one future,

437
00:20:07,200 --> 00:20:09,639
Speaker 3: make our case, and then all three of us vote

438
00:20:09,680 --> 00:20:11,679
Speaker 3: for one that's not ours, and if it's tied, if

439
00:20:11,720 --> 00:20:13,760
Speaker 3: we haven't had a tie yet, then I would break

440
00:20:13,800 --> 00:20:16,160
Speaker 3: the tie. Mike. Let me go to you, which future

441
00:20:16,359 --> 00:20:18,879
Speaker 3: are you bringing to the table this week?

442
00:20:19,320 --> 00:20:22,959
Speaker 1: The like thirty to eighty to one neighborhood to win

443
00:20:23,000 --> 00:20:25,040
Speaker 1: the national title is not a neighborhood that I like

444
00:20:25,080 --> 00:20:27,840
Speaker 1: to hang out in. Just the teams. As I'm scrolling through,

445
00:20:27,880 --> 00:20:30,560
Speaker 1: I'm just like nope, nope, don't trust them to win

446
00:20:30,680 --> 00:20:34,000
Speaker 1: two games in a row, let alone six away from home.

447
00:20:34,640 --> 00:20:37,520
Speaker 1: So I think, finally, because the market's kind of settled in,

448
00:20:37,640 --> 00:20:39,399
Speaker 1: this is the best price you're going to get them

449
00:20:39,440 --> 00:20:41,960
Speaker 1: at for the rest of the season. I'm on Saint

450
00:20:42,040 --> 00:20:45,080
Speaker 1: Mary's at forty to one at this point really because

451
00:20:45,440 --> 00:20:47,679
Speaker 1: I'm looking at the way that March Madness games can

452
00:20:47,720 --> 00:20:51,040
Speaker 1: play out the half court grinders. They can win those

453
00:20:51,119 --> 00:20:53,720
Speaker 1: low scoring games without playing their best offense. You know,

454
00:20:53,760 --> 00:20:56,560
Speaker 1: they're fourth nationally in scoring defense at fifty eight point

455
00:20:56,560 --> 00:20:59,000
Speaker 1: five points per game. They make it really difficult to

456
00:20:59,000 --> 00:21:02,000
Speaker 1: share the basketball. Second in terms of defense allowing Assistan

457
00:21:02,080 --> 00:21:05,720
Speaker 1: made basket ratio, and then from a pace perspective as well,

458
00:21:06,000 --> 00:21:08,359
Speaker 1: it's not quite as drastic as facing a triple option

459
00:21:08,520 --> 00:21:11,760
Speaker 1: team in college football, but by playing a lot slower,

460
00:21:11,800 --> 00:21:13,879
Speaker 1: I think they're going to take some teams if they

461
00:21:13,880 --> 00:21:16,360
Speaker 1: get the right matchups out of their comfort level, out

462
00:21:16,359 --> 00:21:19,639
Speaker 1: of their running game, reduce those transition points. So at

463
00:21:19,720 --> 00:21:22,320
Speaker 1: forty to one, I'm really interested. We talk about this

464
00:21:22,400 --> 00:21:24,400
Speaker 1: a lot in terms of ken Pom. When you add

465
00:21:24,440 --> 00:21:27,840
Speaker 1: up their offensive defensive efficiency ratings, ken Pom has them

466
00:21:27,920 --> 00:21:31,480
Speaker 1: seventh nationally right now overall thirty second on offense, and

467
00:21:31,520 --> 00:21:33,560
Speaker 1: I still think they can play better on that side

468
00:21:33,600 --> 00:21:35,719
Speaker 1: of the ball. And then finally on defense, they're all

469
00:21:35,720 --> 00:21:38,639
Speaker 1: the way up to fifth. So have they done it

470
00:21:38,680 --> 00:21:41,600
Speaker 1: against quality opponents? They were able to slay Gonzaga this

471
00:21:41,720 --> 00:21:44,280
Speaker 1: year and do it in a game that required them

472
00:21:44,280 --> 00:21:46,800
Speaker 1: to go to overtime, but in general, they forced a

473
00:21:46,800 --> 00:21:49,280
Speaker 1: Gonzaga team that wanted to play quickly down to their

474
00:21:49,359 --> 00:21:52,560
Speaker 1: level to play slow play at that sniales pace. So

475
00:21:52,760 --> 00:21:54,480
Speaker 1: I'm on the Gales here. I think forty to one

476
00:21:54,720 --> 00:21:57,160
Speaker 1: is the best value on the board when you look

477
00:21:57,160 --> 00:21:59,840
Speaker 1: at those thirty to eighty to one teams that I

478
00:21:59,880 --> 00:22:02,840
Speaker 1: was discussing, because a lot of these teams are just

479
00:22:02,960 --> 00:22:06,320
Speaker 1: Power conference teams that are deeply flawed or haven't put

480
00:22:06,320 --> 00:22:08,400
Speaker 1: it together even for three games in a row, where

481
00:22:08,400 --> 00:22:10,600
Speaker 1: at least Saint Mary's I understand it's it's still a

482
00:22:10,640 --> 00:22:12,800
Speaker 1: mid major conference. They've been able to do it over

483
00:22:12,840 --> 00:22:14,800
Speaker 1: the long haul. So I'm on the gails here. What

484
00:22:14,840 --> 00:22:15,560
Speaker 1: are your thoughts?

485
00:22:15,880 --> 00:22:19,520
Speaker 3: I will share my thoughts once Ja mentioned is because

486
00:22:19,760 --> 00:22:21,040
Speaker 3: I might end up grouping in I did it. I

487
00:22:21,080 --> 00:22:23,080
Speaker 3: just recently did a piece on futures and the teams

488
00:22:23,119 --> 00:22:24,840
Speaker 3: that I think could win at all. So let me

489
00:22:24,880 --> 00:22:27,080
Speaker 3: see if PJ mentioned one of these TEMs, BEJ, what

490
00:22:27,119 --> 00:22:27,640
Speaker 3: do you bring them.

491
00:22:27,760 --> 00:22:32,320
Speaker 2: I'm going to bring Illinois at fifty to one. They've

492
00:22:32,320 --> 00:22:34,159
Speaker 2: gone through a lot of rough stretches this season. They

493
00:22:34,200 --> 00:22:37,000
Speaker 2: haven't performed all on the road, but they.

494
00:22:36,840 --> 00:22:39,240
Speaker 4: Have shown some flashes.

495
00:22:38,880 --> 00:22:41,800
Speaker 2: As being an elite team in college basketball in the

496
00:22:41,880 --> 00:22:44,200
Speaker 2: non conference. They do have Neutra court wins over UCLA

497
00:22:44,280 --> 00:22:47,760
Speaker 2: in Texas. They don't have that signature Big Ten win yet,

498
00:22:48,080 --> 00:22:49,600
Speaker 2: but I think this is a team that has all

499
00:22:49,640 --> 00:22:52,680
Speaker 2: the tools to potentially make a run at a national title.

500
00:22:52,680 --> 00:22:55,320
Speaker 2: So they're incredibly good at defending inside their second in

501
00:22:55,359 --> 00:22:57,240
Speaker 2: the country in points for possessional on at the rim

502
00:22:57,520 --> 00:23:00,560
Speaker 2: tenth and two point field goal percentage allowed top seventy five,

503
00:23:00,560 --> 00:23:03,159
Speaker 2: and defensive rebounding top twenty in heights, so very very

504
00:23:03,160 --> 00:23:05,879
Speaker 2: good at defending inside. They're also defend the three point

505
00:23:05,960 --> 00:23:09,240
Speaker 2: line very well, twenty seventh in three point field goal

506
00:23:09,280 --> 00:23:13,359
Speaker 2: attempts allowed, which means they're forcing their opponents into thirty

507
00:23:13,520 --> 00:23:15,720
Speaker 2: thirty percent of their field goal attempts coming from the

508
00:23:15,760 --> 00:23:18,720
Speaker 2: mid range, which is the highest frequency in the entire country.

509
00:23:18,880 --> 00:23:21,800
Speaker 2: And the flip side of that, since they're good defensively download,

510
00:23:21,840 --> 00:23:22,560
Speaker 2: they're also very.

511
00:23:22,440 --> 00:23:23,479
Speaker 4: Good offensively download.

512
00:23:23,480 --> 00:23:25,400
Speaker 2: I mean they're fourteenth to two point field goal percentage,

513
00:23:25,480 --> 00:23:28,200
Speaker 2: sixty four percent on shot attempts at the rim, and

514
00:23:28,280 --> 00:23:31,280
Speaker 2: a top fifty offensive rebounding team. There's just one thing

515
00:23:31,280 --> 00:23:33,840
Speaker 2: that's plagued them all season long, and this is the

516
00:23:33,880 --> 00:23:35,639
Speaker 2: one knock against them, and this is the reason why

517
00:23:35,680 --> 00:23:36,480
Speaker 2: they're fifty to one.

518
00:23:37,040 --> 00:23:38,679
Speaker 4: They take way too.

519
00:23:38,560 --> 00:23:41,879
Speaker 2: Many three pointers and they are shooting horrible from beyond

520
00:23:41,880 --> 00:23:45,000
Speaker 2: the arc thirty one point three percent. And you know,

521
00:23:45,040 --> 00:23:47,000
Speaker 2: if you look at shot quality, it doesn't say they're

522
00:23:47,000 --> 00:23:49,040
Speaker 2: gonna actually regress forward a little bit. I mean, their

523
00:23:49,080 --> 00:23:51,280
Speaker 2: thirty shot quality has them as saying they should shoot

524
00:23:51,520 --> 00:23:54,240
Speaker 2: thirty three percent. But for a team that has all

525
00:23:54,280 --> 00:23:57,840
Speaker 2: the tools, has everything else, but just this one thing,

526
00:23:58,160 --> 00:24:01,080
Speaker 2: if they could potentially maybe get high from three point range,

527
00:24:01,480 --> 00:24:03,399
Speaker 2: they think they can make a run at the title.

528
00:24:03,440 --> 00:24:05,520
Speaker 4: So Illinois fifty to one for.

529
00:24:05,520 --> 00:24:08,480
Speaker 3: Me, all right, So I did a piece Illinois I

530
00:24:08,800 --> 00:24:10,959
Speaker 3: disagree with. I could see like if you plopped them

531
00:24:11,000 --> 00:24:13,879
Speaker 3: in the final four, they could win it. Like it

532
00:24:13,880 --> 00:24:16,000
Speaker 3: doesn't matter who else is there. I just don't know.

533
00:24:16,119 --> 00:24:21,080
Speaker 3: I don't trust them. They're so inconsistent. Like you beat beat,

534
00:24:21,560 --> 00:24:23,440
Speaker 3: beat the brains out of Rutgers eventually when you wake

535
00:24:23,480 --> 00:24:24,800
Speaker 3: up and then you go to Penn State and give

536
00:24:24,880 --> 00:24:29,120
Speaker 3: up one hundred. Just all year it's up and down

537
00:24:29,119 --> 00:24:30,399
Speaker 3: and up and down. But here a piece I did,

538
00:24:31,040 --> 00:24:33,400
Speaker 3: and I'll leave. This will lead into the piece, lead

539
00:24:33,440 --> 00:24:35,600
Speaker 3: into my reactions to your picks, and then what mine is.

540
00:24:35,840 --> 00:24:38,359
Speaker 3: If you go back the last twenty years, the teams

541
00:24:38,359 --> 00:24:41,119
Speaker 3: that have won the national title, they've had an adjusted

542
00:24:41,240 --> 00:24:43,560
Speaker 3: Now this is leading into the tournament. You never want

543
00:24:43,560 --> 00:24:44,840
Speaker 3: to go back and keep bum and look after the

544
00:24:44,840 --> 00:24:48,440
Speaker 3: tournament because that means they've won six games against quality opponents.

545
00:24:48,760 --> 00:24:51,479
Speaker 3: So leading into the tournament, the national the eventual national

546
00:24:51,480 --> 00:24:56,160
Speaker 3: title winner has that an offensive and defensive efficiency rank

547
00:24:56,200 --> 00:24:58,720
Speaker 3: if you add them up of less than fifty and

548
00:24:58,960 --> 00:25:03,439
Speaker 3: a top twenty five offense and adjusted offensive efficiency. So

549
00:25:03,480 --> 00:25:06,480
Speaker 3: there's only eight teams that fit that mold right now.

550
00:25:06,640 --> 00:25:08,840
Speaker 3: Now that some of them could drop out, someone could

551
00:25:08,920 --> 00:25:17,040
Speaker 3: drop in, but that's Houston, Alabama, Ucla, Purdue, Yukon, Kansas, Texas,

552
00:25:17,080 --> 00:25:20,639
Speaker 3: and Virginia. So if you look at those odds, you

553
00:25:20,680 --> 00:25:21,920
Speaker 3: know the odds of all those teams, I don't want

554
00:25:21,920 --> 00:25:23,479
Speaker 3: any part of a team that's below twenty to one

555
00:25:23,520 --> 00:25:25,680
Speaker 3: odds this year, just for how wide open it is.

556
00:25:25,960 --> 00:25:31,560
Speaker 3: So that knocks out Houston, Alabama, Ucla, Purdue, Kansas. You know,

557
00:25:31,640 --> 00:25:33,600
Speaker 3: Texas and Virginia are right there. You can maybe find

558
00:25:33,640 --> 00:25:36,640
Speaker 3: them twenty five to one. I don't necessarily know if

559
00:25:36,640 --> 00:25:39,040
Speaker 3: I if they had the go to guy at the

560
00:25:39,119 --> 00:25:41,080
Speaker 3: end of the game. That's what worries me about both

561
00:25:41,080 --> 00:25:43,800
Speaker 3: those teams. But I would make more of a case

562
00:25:43,800 --> 00:25:46,240
Speaker 3: for Virginia than Texas. And then we have Yukon, who

563
00:25:46,240 --> 00:25:47,800
Speaker 3: are already on a thirty to one. They have the

564
00:25:47,840 --> 00:25:50,440
Speaker 3: longest odds of any of those teams. Then I went

565
00:25:50,520 --> 00:25:53,040
Speaker 3: into this piece on Action network dot Com the X

566
00:25:53,119 --> 00:25:55,560
Speaker 3: numberk cap it's the sweet sixteen, sixteen teams that potentially

567
00:25:55,560 --> 00:25:57,680
Speaker 3: could it at all. Then I went into the other

568
00:25:57,760 --> 00:26:02,080
Speaker 3: eight teams that I think think could either get to

569
00:26:02,119 --> 00:26:06,040
Speaker 3: that level or aren't at that level right now because

570
00:26:06,280 --> 00:26:09,840
Speaker 3: of a reason. Right, so, TCU, Mike Miles doesn't played

571
00:26:09,880 --> 00:26:12,280
Speaker 3: a third of their games, right, Lampkin's been hurt, They're

572
00:26:12,320 --> 00:26:17,120
Speaker 3: still at you know, fiftieth offense, eighteenth defense. Indiana they're

573
00:26:17,280 --> 00:26:20,560
Speaker 3: twenty third offense, thirty six defense. So they're right there,

574
00:26:21,280 --> 00:26:23,600
Speaker 3: and they've had injuries themselves, and I think they could

575
00:26:23,600 --> 00:26:25,680
Speaker 3: play their way right into that top fifty. We already

576
00:26:25,720 --> 00:26:28,600
Speaker 3: have those two. Then you have Arkansas because of the

577
00:26:28,640 --> 00:26:32,680
Speaker 3: Knick Smith edition, they're at seventy second. When you combine them,

578
00:26:32,680 --> 00:26:34,959
Speaker 3: they're at fifty to one. I don't trust their shooting,

579
00:26:35,080 --> 00:26:36,760
Speaker 3: and now that if they're not even going to play them,

580
00:26:36,760 --> 00:26:41,200
Speaker 3: who cares. You have Baylor, who's at number one offense,

581
00:26:41,560 --> 00:26:45,960
Speaker 3: number seventy nine defense. Does the addition of every day

582
00:26:46,040 --> 00:26:50,600
Speaker 3: John does does he make their defense better in the post?

583
00:26:50,680 --> 00:26:52,800
Speaker 3: I don't know. It didn't look that way against CCU,

584
00:26:52,840 --> 00:26:54,280
Speaker 3: but their offense and their guards is gonna give me

585
00:26:54,320 --> 00:26:56,639
Speaker 3: a shot. The problem is they're fourteen to one, right,

586
00:26:58,080 --> 00:27:01,040
Speaker 3: don't care at that price level. If San Diego State,

587
00:27:01,480 --> 00:27:05,000
Speaker 3: who's thirty one offense, twenty seven defense, as a longer shot,

588
00:27:05,040 --> 00:27:06,720
Speaker 3: if you could find one hundred to one, but you

589
00:27:06,760 --> 00:27:09,000
Speaker 3: saw last night like I kind of like it, and

590
00:27:09,040 --> 00:27:11,080
Speaker 3: as a long shot because Matt Bridley could shoot him

591
00:27:11,080 --> 00:27:13,160
Speaker 3: in or out of the game. But their offense does scare

592
00:27:13,160 --> 00:27:15,480
Speaker 3: you a bit. Maybe the Mountain West is overrated. As usual,

593
00:27:15,760 --> 00:27:19,160
Speaker 3: you have Arizona's at fifty three combined, but they're at

594
00:27:19,160 --> 00:27:23,080
Speaker 3: fifteen to one. I don't necessarily trust their erratic guards

595
00:27:23,840 --> 00:27:25,720
Speaker 3: and I don't have no interest at that price level.

596
00:27:25,800 --> 00:27:28,359
Speaker 3: Saint Mary's was the other one, and I mentioned thirty

597
00:27:28,400 --> 00:27:31,080
Speaker 3: four offense, six defense, so they're not at the top

598
00:27:31,119 --> 00:27:34,920
Speaker 3: twenty five offense, but they're at forty overall. And look,

599
00:27:34,960 --> 00:27:37,200
Speaker 3: they have a great coach, which is another thing that

600
00:27:37,240 --> 00:27:39,119
Speaker 3: I look for, great game planner, one of the best

601
00:27:39,320 --> 00:27:41,359
Speaker 3: in all college basketball, and then a go to player

602
00:27:41,640 --> 00:27:44,919
Speaker 3: in Mahani. I just don't know if I trust their

603
00:27:44,960 --> 00:27:47,080
Speaker 3: offense enough. They go, they go through droughts, and the

604
00:27:47,200 --> 00:27:51,280
Speaker 3: problem is they play in grinders. No matter who they play,

605
00:27:52,119 --> 00:27:54,800
Speaker 3: it's gonna be. It could be forty eight, forty, It

606
00:27:54,800 --> 00:27:56,920
Speaker 3: could be like that San Diego State Fresno game last night,

607
00:27:56,960 --> 00:27:59,719
Speaker 3: because they're another three hundred and fifty to fifth adjusted

608
00:27:59,680 --> 00:28:04,280
Speaker 3: the tempt So the variance of in a game is

609
00:28:04,359 --> 00:28:07,320
Speaker 3: goes up, wit goes up a lot. If they're cold

610
00:28:07,320 --> 00:28:08,840
Speaker 3: for three and they just run into a team that's

611
00:28:08,840 --> 00:28:10,879
Speaker 3: just making some threes, you could be gone in the

612
00:28:10,920 --> 00:28:14,920
Speaker 3: first round. Their defense is excellent. The other team that's

613
00:28:14,960 --> 00:28:19,600
Speaker 3: left and it's my pick for my future at thirty

614
00:28:19,640 --> 00:28:23,119
Speaker 3: to one, and you know whatever, we're gonna have three

615
00:28:23,160 --> 00:28:24,680
Speaker 3: Big East teams if we go my route, but I'll

616
00:28:24,720 --> 00:28:28,640
Speaker 3: go with Creighton. So they're adjusted offensive efficiencies thirty, their

617
00:28:28,640 --> 00:28:31,440
Speaker 3: defense is eleven, so they're at forty one. Overall, they're

618
00:28:31,480 --> 00:28:34,080
Speaker 3: in that top fifty five spots away from that top

619
00:28:34,119 --> 00:28:37,600
Speaker 3: twenty five offense. And they didn't have Kalkbrenner, but Manto,

620
00:28:37,720 --> 00:28:40,400
Speaker 3: who's I think the best player in the conference, and

621
00:28:40,560 --> 00:28:44,040
Speaker 3: since he's been back. Overall, but justin eficiency, this is

622
00:28:44,120 --> 00:28:46,800
Speaker 3: a top five team since December twenty second. They won

623
00:28:46,840 --> 00:28:48,840
Speaker 3: eight in a row. They just lost the problems. They

624
00:28:48,840 --> 00:28:50,360
Speaker 3: had a shot to win it in a tough spot,

625
00:28:50,400 --> 00:28:51,920
Speaker 3: top environment player, they just had a shot to win

626
00:28:51,920 --> 00:28:53,800
Speaker 3: it at the end of the regulation. They shot the

627
00:28:53,800 --> 00:28:55,160
Speaker 3: win at the end of the first four time whatever

628
00:28:55,160 --> 00:28:57,320
Speaker 3: they lost. And now if you look at their schedule,

629
00:28:58,080 --> 00:29:00,800
Speaker 3: they only have Marquette left at home, the only tournament

630
00:29:00,800 --> 00:29:02,560
Speaker 3: team that they play the rest of the way before

631
00:29:02,560 --> 00:29:04,680
Speaker 3: the Big East tournament. So I don't think that this

632
00:29:04,720 --> 00:29:06,400
Speaker 3: is probably the best price that you'll get them at.

633
00:29:06,440 --> 00:29:08,640
Speaker 3: They could improve their seating as well, which I don't

634
00:29:08,640 --> 00:29:11,640
Speaker 3: think is as important this year. But still, and I

635
00:29:11,680 --> 00:29:13,840
Speaker 3: think that they're a top five to ten team and

636
00:29:13,840 --> 00:29:16,920
Speaker 3: we're getting that thirty to one like this, This is

637
00:29:17,360 --> 00:29:19,320
Speaker 3: what I am hunting for, and I think it's the

638
00:29:19,360 --> 00:29:21,080
Speaker 3: right time to buy them. The only thing I'm worried

639
00:29:21,080 --> 00:29:23,680
Speaker 3: about is the depth, and that's only if there's an injury, right,

640
00:29:23,720 --> 00:29:26,000
Speaker 3: they don't. They're not a really deep team. But this

641
00:29:26,080 --> 00:29:27,360
Speaker 3: is a team that could play in the half court.

642
00:29:27,400 --> 00:29:29,120
Speaker 3: They're well coached, they have a number of go to

643
00:29:29,240 --> 00:29:32,800
Speaker 3: guys at the end of the games, very experienced guards,

644
00:29:32,800 --> 00:29:36,560
Speaker 3: and then you obviously have Calkbretter in the interior Columa.

645
00:29:36,600 --> 00:29:38,960
Speaker 3: I mean, I really like this team. I think they're

646
00:29:39,000 --> 00:29:41,520
Speaker 3: going to make a deep run and they're very consistent.

647
00:29:41,600 --> 00:29:43,080
Speaker 3: Like I'm not worried about them going out in like

648
00:29:43,120 --> 00:29:47,360
Speaker 3: the first round, which Illinois could do easily, and then

649
00:29:47,400 --> 00:29:50,000
Speaker 3: Saint Mary's maybe because of the way that they play

650
00:29:50,280 --> 00:29:51,680
Speaker 3: and it might just be a low scoring game and

651
00:29:51,720 --> 00:29:55,280
Speaker 3: they're off. So yeah, we're gonna be big East heavy

652
00:29:55,320 --> 00:29:58,280
Speaker 3: if we go this direction. But I'm gonna go creating

653
00:29:58,320 --> 00:29:59,760
Speaker 3: with a thirty to one out there, which I bet

654
00:29:59,760 --> 00:30:03,480
Speaker 3: myself off today. All Right, I'll get your guys' reactions

655
00:30:03,880 --> 00:30:06,000
Speaker 3: before well, do you want to give your inputs the

656
00:30:06,000 --> 00:30:09,040
Speaker 3: first before the votes, you can sway the votes might

657
00:30:09,120 --> 00:30:11,840
Speaker 3: give any anything on Illinois and or Creighton.

658
00:30:12,320 --> 00:30:14,960
Speaker 1: Well, I'm all over Creton personally. I got him at

659
00:30:15,240 --> 00:30:18,640
Speaker 1: fifty to one about two and a half three weeks ago.

660
00:30:19,240 --> 00:30:20,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, I should have met them.

661
00:30:20,520 --> 00:30:22,720
Speaker 1: I was very excited to get that, and I'll get

662
00:30:22,720 --> 00:30:27,360
Speaker 1: into it in our biggiest conversation. I agree with BJ's

663
00:30:27,400 --> 00:30:29,600
Speaker 1: breakdown of Illinois. I was there in the garden when

664
00:30:29,600 --> 00:30:33,640
Speaker 1: they beat Texas. They have such a high ceiling for

665
00:30:33,720 --> 00:30:36,280
Speaker 1: a team at their current price, But you talked about like,

666
00:30:36,360 --> 00:30:38,520
Speaker 1: is there a reason not to buy for me? It's

667
00:30:38,560 --> 00:30:41,400
Speaker 1: simply Brad Underwood when you look at what he's done

668
00:30:41,440 --> 00:30:44,320
Speaker 1: in the tournament and then also his overall temperament. This

669
00:30:44,440 --> 00:30:47,280
Speaker 1: was a borderline mutiny at you know, in December or

670
00:30:47,360 --> 00:30:49,840
Speaker 1: late November, I can't remember exactly when he went to

671
00:30:49,840 --> 00:30:52,840
Speaker 1: the media and was calling out players to be able

672
00:30:52,840 --> 00:30:55,320
Speaker 1: to circle the wagons and to play well in the

673
00:30:55,320 --> 00:30:58,440
Speaker 1: Big Ten tournament and then have a magical run in March.

674
00:30:58,480 --> 00:30:58,920
Speaker 3: Madness.

675
00:30:58,960 --> 00:31:02,840
Speaker 1: I would like to see cohesiveness from them overall as

676
00:31:02,840 --> 00:31:04,600
Speaker 1: a team. And then, like I said, it's one of

677
00:31:04,640 --> 00:31:07,959
Speaker 1: the reasons why I can't quite talk myself in the

678
00:31:08,000 --> 00:31:11,200
Speaker 1: Marquette making a deep run. Because of Shaka Smart's recent

679
00:31:11,280 --> 00:31:13,000
Speaker 1: history in the tournament, I have to be just as

680
00:31:13,040 --> 00:31:15,920
Speaker 1: critical of Brad Underwood. So I'm gonna go ahead and

681
00:31:16,040 --> 00:31:18,040
Speaker 1: pass on on Illinois and that spot.

682
00:31:18,360 --> 00:31:23,040
Speaker 3: Bj any thoughts on Creighton and or Saint Mary's.

683
00:31:23,200 --> 00:31:25,959
Speaker 2: Yeah, I also have a piece of Creighton at forty

684
00:31:25,960 --> 00:31:27,640
Speaker 2: five to one, So I agree with you that I

685
00:31:27,720 --> 00:31:30,560
Speaker 2: think anything. Yeah, I think that thirty to one mark

686
00:31:30,680 --> 00:31:32,880
Speaker 2: is probably the line that you would draw in the

687
00:31:32,880 --> 00:31:35,680
Speaker 2: sand of when you don't want to play Creighton or not.

688
00:31:35,720 --> 00:31:37,080
Speaker 2: You know, they're gonna be I'm not sure what they

689
00:31:37,080 --> 00:31:40,000
Speaker 2: are in terms of bracket matrix, but they're not gonna

690
00:31:40,040 --> 00:31:41,360
Speaker 2: be one of the top seeds.

691
00:31:41,400 --> 00:31:45,200
Speaker 1: So yeah, they're currently a six. Yeah, I think probably

692
00:31:45,240 --> 00:31:48,080
Speaker 1: their ceiling if they, like I said, I'll get work

693
00:31:48,280 --> 00:31:50,240
Speaker 1: the Big East. Yeah, four would probably be their ceiling.

694
00:31:50,360 --> 00:31:52,400
Speaker 2: And that's fine, Like that's not a big deal in

695
00:31:52,520 --> 00:31:55,520
Speaker 2: this type of and say a tournament environment, because if

696
00:31:55,520 --> 00:31:58,240
Speaker 2: they get paired with any of these one seeds produce Kansas,

697
00:31:58,480 --> 00:32:02,320
Speaker 2: Albama or Houston, they can beat any of those teams, right,

698
00:32:02,800 --> 00:32:04,800
Speaker 2: especially if they have Cal Brinder healthy. That's just been

699
00:32:05,200 --> 00:32:07,000
Speaker 2: the biggest thing for them in the last two seasons

700
00:32:07,040 --> 00:32:10,160
Speaker 2: because it happened last year in the tournament where Calperner

701
00:32:10,200 --> 00:32:13,280
Speaker 2: wasn't healthy and they fell that and they obviously went out.

702
00:32:13,320 --> 00:32:16,000
Speaker 2: I think it wasn't the second or third round. Yeah, no,

703
00:32:16,120 --> 00:32:18,240
Speaker 2: I've already played Credens. I totally agree with that. Saint

704
00:32:18,320 --> 00:32:21,880
Speaker 2: Mary's is very very interesting, Mike, because I agree with

705
00:32:21,920 --> 00:32:25,480
Speaker 2: you that variance comes into play big time with a

706
00:32:25,520 --> 00:32:28,320
Speaker 2: team like that, obviously, because they play so slow, they're

707
00:32:28,400 --> 00:32:31,080
Speaker 2: very reliant on scoring inside and are a very very

708
00:32:31,120 --> 00:32:34,800
Speaker 2: good defense. The question always becomes in the same it

709
00:32:34,880 --> 00:32:37,480
Speaker 2: was the same argument against Gonzaga for how many years,

710
00:32:37,800 --> 00:32:39,960
Speaker 2: is if you play in one of the lesser mid

711
00:32:39,960 --> 00:32:42,360
Speaker 2: major type conferences for such a long period of time,

712
00:32:42,760 --> 00:32:45,200
Speaker 2: when you get to the tournament, does that effect when

713
00:32:45,240 --> 00:32:46,880
Speaker 2: you have to play one of the bigger teams, which

714
00:32:46,880 --> 00:32:49,640
Speaker 2: in this case, I don't think it really does because again,

715
00:32:49,720 --> 00:32:52,240
Speaker 2: how open the field is. So I agree, I would

716
00:32:52,280 --> 00:32:55,480
Speaker 2: probably play both of those, both.

717
00:32:55,320 --> 00:32:56,280
Speaker 4: Of those numbers right now.

718
00:32:56,320 --> 00:32:57,920
Speaker 2: And yeah, I agree with you. My probably feels like

719
00:32:58,000 --> 00:33:01,240
Speaker 2: Saint Mary's is forty to one is probably the best

720
00:33:01,320 --> 00:33:03,280
Speaker 2: number you're gonna get on them going forward.

721
00:33:03,760 --> 00:33:07,320
Speaker 3: All right, it's time to vote. Hold up, A one

722
00:33:07,920 --> 00:33:11,440
Speaker 3: for Saint Mary's, A two for Illinois, and a three

723
00:33:11,920 --> 00:33:18,760
Speaker 3: for Creighton. Three two one, all right, we're going with Creighton.

724
00:33:18,760 --> 00:33:21,720
Speaker 3: I voted for Saint Mary's. You guys both voted for Creighton.

725
00:33:21,960 --> 00:33:24,000
Speaker 3: We're gonna be living on the four or five.

726
00:33:23,840 --> 00:33:26,480
Speaker 4: Line, which is a good place to live, honestly.

727
00:33:27,360 --> 00:33:29,840
Speaker 3: Yeah, we're gonna have like all thirty to ones in

728
00:33:29,880 --> 00:33:33,200
Speaker 3: the four or five line and uh, you know TCU

729
00:33:33,440 --> 00:33:35,240
Speaker 3: and forty to one in the out of fifty to one.

730
00:33:35,440 --> 00:33:37,920
Speaker 3: So I love it. All right, another Big East edition.

731
00:33:38,560 --> 00:33:41,800
Speaker 3: Speaking of the Big East, that was the topic for

732
00:33:41,960 --> 00:33:46,000
Speaker 3: our Buy Sell Conference segment this week. I'm gonna throw

733
00:33:46,040 --> 00:33:48,200
Speaker 3: out I'll throw out mine first, but actually, in case

734
00:33:48,240 --> 00:33:50,280
Speaker 3: you guys brought others to the table, I'll throw it

735
00:33:50,280 --> 00:33:52,720
Speaker 3: to you, Mike. What do you got by cell Big East?

736
00:33:53,080 --> 00:33:53,400
Speaker 3: All right?

737
00:33:53,440 --> 00:33:56,280
Speaker 1: For BUYE I'll make this quick because it's the Blue Jays.

738
00:33:56,680 --> 00:33:58,560
Speaker 1: I think Creighton wins out when you'll get like, at

739
00:33:58,560 --> 00:34:00,400
Speaker 1: this point in the season, you really want to focus

740
00:34:00,440 --> 00:34:03,400
Speaker 1: in on schedule. It's not too forward looking to consider

741
00:34:03,440 --> 00:34:05,960
Speaker 1: that they go to Saint John's. Who I thinks in

742
00:34:06,000 --> 00:34:08,960
Speaker 1: the right spot to play against the Johnny's having just

743
00:34:09,000 --> 00:34:13,359
Speaker 1: won two because overall they just their backcourt is kind

744
00:34:13,400 --> 00:34:15,640
Speaker 1: of in question for me. They get Marquette at home.

745
00:34:15,800 --> 00:34:18,160
Speaker 1: I think that's the game that Creighton wins to kind

746
00:34:18,160 --> 00:34:19,600
Speaker 1: of turn the corner. I'm not sure that they can

747
00:34:19,600 --> 00:34:23,200
Speaker 1: win the regular season title because Marquette has a red carpet,

748
00:34:23,239 --> 00:34:25,120
Speaker 1: you know, to the Big East Tournament the rest of

749
00:34:25,120 --> 00:34:26,480
Speaker 1: the way other than that game, and they have a

750
00:34:26,520 --> 00:34:28,239
Speaker 1: one and a half game lead right now. Then they

751
00:34:28,239 --> 00:34:29,880
Speaker 1: go to Nova, they get Georgetown a home, they're at

752
00:34:29,920 --> 00:34:32,799
Speaker 1: the Paul In general, you know, when you look at

753
00:34:32,800 --> 00:34:35,080
Speaker 1: their eight game winning streak that they just had, here's

754
00:34:35,320 --> 00:34:37,840
Speaker 1: the one thing about Creighton that I absolutely love. In

755
00:34:37,880 --> 00:34:41,080
Speaker 1: those eight games, they had five different leading scorers. This

756
00:34:41,239 --> 00:34:43,760
Speaker 1: is what you need to win six games in March Madness.

757
00:34:43,760 --> 00:34:48,080
Speaker 1: Trey Alexander neb hard Shireman, great backcourt, Kyle Brenner. You've

758
00:34:48,120 --> 00:34:50,880
Speaker 1: talked a lot about He's twelfth in terms of player

759
00:34:50,920 --> 00:34:54,840
Speaker 1: efficiency of high major Power conference players in the entire country.

760
00:34:54,840 --> 00:34:57,319
Speaker 1: That's how importantly is they shoot the ball incredibly well

761
00:34:57,360 --> 00:35:00,480
Speaker 1: as a team, twenty eighth in EFFECTI field goal percon image.

762
00:35:00,680 --> 00:35:02,439
Speaker 1: And now they're up all the way to thirty fourth

763
00:35:02,480 --> 00:35:05,480
Speaker 1: in effective field goal percentage defense. And they're doing all

764
00:35:05,520 --> 00:35:08,480
Speaker 1: that without fouling. Nowhing is more frustrating than wasting a

765
00:35:08,480 --> 00:35:10,560
Speaker 1: good defensive performance by sending a team to the line

766
00:35:10,600 --> 00:35:14,240
Speaker 1: twenty five times. They're second nationally in foul shots attempted

767
00:35:14,239 --> 00:35:16,680
Speaker 1: by their opponents per game. You got into it with

768
00:35:16,760 --> 00:35:19,239
Speaker 1: Ken Palm twenty eighth on offense, twelfth in defense, three

769
00:35:19,280 --> 00:35:21,520
Speaker 1: hundred and forty fifth in luck. So maybe it's time

770
00:35:21,520 --> 00:35:23,600
Speaker 1: of it starts breaking their way, you know, down the

771
00:35:23,600 --> 00:35:26,319
Speaker 1: stretch here, and then finally you know they can play

772
00:35:26,320 --> 00:35:28,759
Speaker 1: their way up to the four line. I like McDermott's

773
00:35:28,800 --> 00:35:31,520
Speaker 1: history in the tournament. He's won at least one game

774
00:35:31,640 --> 00:35:34,120
Speaker 1: in March Madness in five to seven appearances with Creighton

775
00:35:34,160 --> 00:35:36,400
Speaker 1: digging back to twenty twelve, So I like all the

776
00:35:36,400 --> 00:35:38,520
Speaker 1: elements there. And then if you want to get throw

777
00:35:38,520 --> 00:35:41,800
Speaker 1: out my cell team Saint John's. They've just been wretched

778
00:35:41,840 --> 00:35:43,560
Speaker 1: on the road this season, two and seven straight up,

779
00:35:43,600 --> 00:35:46,279
Speaker 1: three and six against the closing number. They're really bad

780
00:35:46,280 --> 00:35:49,279
Speaker 1: from the line. They don't offer anything from three point range.

781
00:35:49,280 --> 00:35:51,000
Speaker 1: They only make a third of their threes, they only

782
00:35:51,000 --> 00:35:53,879
Speaker 1: take eighteen per game, they turn you over. Yes it's

783
00:35:53,880 --> 00:35:56,680
Speaker 1: a Mike Anderson coach team, but they offset that by

784
00:35:56,719 --> 00:35:58,960
Speaker 1: being really sloppy with the basketball themselves. So in terms

785
00:35:58,960 --> 00:36:01,319
Speaker 1: of they're you know, turnover more and it's raised or thin.

786
00:36:01,680 --> 00:36:04,040
Speaker 1: And finally, I just don't trust their backcourt. You know,

787
00:36:04,120 --> 00:36:07,920
Speaker 1: Posh Curbelo, a de Wusu, like, are any of them

788
00:36:07,960 --> 00:36:10,280
Speaker 1: gonna go big in a game? None of them average

789
00:36:10,320 --> 00:36:13,840
Speaker 1: double digits offensively, So in crunch time, you saw it

790
00:36:13,840 --> 00:36:17,200
Speaker 1: against Butler, you know last week. I just don't trust

791
00:36:17,200 --> 00:36:19,200
Speaker 1: the Johnnies to get it done. Their remaining schedule, as

792
00:36:19,200 --> 00:36:21,319
Speaker 1: I mentioned, they get Creighton, they go to Georgetown, then

793
00:36:21,320 --> 00:36:23,640
Speaker 1: they get Yukon in a revenge game for Yukon, and

794
00:36:23,680 --> 00:36:26,680
Speaker 1: then at Marquette that smells like one in three straight

795
00:36:26,760 --> 00:36:28,400
Speaker 1: up to me and kind of the end of their season.

796
00:36:28,400 --> 00:36:30,040
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna go ahead and sell the Johnny's right.

797
00:36:29,920 --> 00:36:32,239
Speaker 2: Now, BJ what you got, I'm going to buy. It

798
00:36:32,239 --> 00:36:34,440
Speaker 2: feels weird to buy this team, but they are eight

799
00:36:34,480 --> 00:36:39,160
Speaker 2: and seven in Big East Play connecticutte They've just gone

800
00:36:39,200 --> 00:36:42,399
Speaker 2: through a lot of just bad variants throughout the Big

801
00:36:42,440 --> 00:36:44,600
Speaker 2: East Play. I mean, they came into the biggest undefeated

802
00:36:45,040 --> 00:36:47,160
Speaker 2: and now they're sitting in the middle of the conference,

803
00:36:47,200 --> 00:36:49,239
Speaker 2: you know, after that loss at Creighton, which could have

804
00:36:49,280 --> 00:36:51,680
Speaker 2: gone either way. But I mean we're looking at let's

805
00:36:51,680 --> 00:36:55,000
Speaker 2: see one, two, three, four, five losses under ten points

806
00:36:55,360 --> 00:36:57,600
Speaker 2: in Big East Play. I mean, this is still number

807
00:36:57,640 --> 00:37:00,320
Speaker 2: sixteen and Ken Palmuck We've already mentioned there. And credibly

808
00:37:00,320 --> 00:37:04,719
Speaker 2: good offensive rebounding team, very very good on defense, and

809
00:37:05,360 --> 00:37:08,399
Speaker 2: they are really really good at moving the ball. They're

810
00:37:08,400 --> 00:37:10,520
Speaker 2: at ninth and assistant field goal and made percentage. They

811
00:37:10,520 --> 00:37:12,240
Speaker 2: don't allow you to take a lot of three pointers.

812
00:37:12,239 --> 00:37:15,200
Speaker 2: They're very good at disrupting ball movement as well. So

813
00:37:15,760 --> 00:37:18,440
Speaker 2: it feels weird to buy Connecticut because of how good

814
00:37:18,440 --> 00:37:20,600
Speaker 2: their underlying metrics are. But you know, if you're somebody

815
00:37:20,600 --> 00:37:22,239
Speaker 2: who doesn't look at them and you're like, wow, they're

816
00:37:22,239 --> 00:37:24,040
Speaker 2: just eight and seven in the Big East Play, they

817
00:37:24,040 --> 00:37:26,680
Speaker 2: have a good schedule coming home. They play Seaton Hall

818
00:37:26,719 --> 00:37:29,600
Speaker 2: at home this weekend, then against Providence at home, Saint

819
00:37:29,640 --> 00:37:30,480
Speaker 2: John's in the road, to.

820
00:37:30,400 --> 00:37:31,879
Speaker 4: Pall at home, and then Villanova on the road.

821
00:37:31,880 --> 00:37:34,560
Speaker 2: So they could very easily go five and zero to

822
00:37:34,680 --> 00:37:36,800
Speaker 2: end Big East Play and get right back into the

823
00:37:36,840 --> 00:37:40,080
Speaker 2: national title conversation. So Connecticut is who I'm buying. I'm

824
00:37:40,200 --> 00:37:44,319
Speaker 2: selling who they are playing this weekend, Seaton Hall, who

825
00:37:44,440 --> 00:37:47,239
Speaker 2: is just very very good defensively, but a lot of

826
00:37:47,320 --> 00:37:49,680
Speaker 2: smoke and mirrors on offense, like they are turning the

827
00:37:49,719 --> 00:37:52,200
Speaker 2: ball over an incredibly high rate. They're outside the top

828
00:37:52,200 --> 00:37:54,279
Speaker 2: two hundred and both three point and two point field

829
00:37:54,320 --> 00:37:57,160
Speaker 2: goal percentage, and really their whole offense is built on

830
00:37:57,400 --> 00:37:59,440
Speaker 2: just getting to the free throw line, which they're only

831
00:37:59,480 --> 00:38:03,040
Speaker 2: shooting around sixty eight percent for the seasons. And if

832
00:38:03,080 --> 00:38:06,040
Speaker 2: you look at their wins, it's basically come against the

833
00:38:06,080 --> 00:38:08,279
Speaker 2: bottom of the Big East Conference. They have multiple wins

834
00:38:08,320 --> 00:38:13,320
Speaker 2: over Butler and Georgetown and Saint John's but and DePaul

835
00:38:13,320 --> 00:38:17,040
Speaker 2: as well, and they did beat Connecticut at home by

836
00:38:17,040 --> 00:38:19,880
Speaker 2: one in a game that Connecticut absolutely collapsed and was

837
00:38:19,960 --> 00:38:22,800
Speaker 2: leading at one point by seventeen in the first half.

838
00:38:22,840 --> 00:38:25,880
Speaker 2: So seedon Hall, even though they are ahead of Connecticut

839
00:38:25,880 --> 00:38:27,600
Speaker 2: in the standings, I think they are a team to

840
00:38:27,719 --> 00:38:30,440
Speaker 2: sell going down the stretch. They do have a tough schedule.

841
00:38:30,440 --> 00:38:33,680
Speaker 2: They go they host Xavier after Connecticut host Pillanova, and

842
00:38:33,680 --> 00:38:36,000
Speaker 2: then end the season at Providence at the Dunk, which

843
00:38:36,040 --> 00:38:38,320
Speaker 2: is always a very difficult place to play, so it

844
00:38:38,440 --> 00:38:40,280
Speaker 2: kind of works out well. Buy and Sell are playing

845
00:38:40,280 --> 00:38:43,480
Speaker 2: each other this weekend, so you know, obviously won't regurgitate it,

846
00:38:43,480 --> 00:38:45,360
Speaker 2: but Connecticut will probably be one of my picks this weekend.

847
00:38:45,920 --> 00:38:51,359
Speaker 3: Yeah for sell for buy, I'm gonna go with I mean,

848
00:38:51,480 --> 00:38:53,680
Speaker 3: Nova's stole on my radar to buy just because Justin

849
00:38:53,680 --> 00:38:55,239
Speaker 3: Moore did, Like, do you know one of the things

850
00:38:55,280 --> 00:38:56,719
Speaker 3: I really want to spend some time on in the

851
00:38:56,760 --> 00:38:59,120
Speaker 3: off season is figuring out how long it takes someone

852
00:38:59,719 --> 00:39:02,319
Speaker 3: before or they're effectively back after returning from a long

853
00:39:02,480 --> 00:39:05,520
Speaker 3: extended absence. Right, so someone comes back into the fold

854
00:39:06,360 --> 00:39:10,400
Speaker 3: in you know, we saw from Arkansas, Dick Smith junior,

855
00:39:10,480 --> 00:39:12,960
Speaker 3: he came in. We saw Justin Morcomb back in like

856
00:39:13,120 --> 00:39:16,919
Speaker 3: January February. How long does it take on average right

857
00:39:16,960 --> 00:39:20,399
Speaker 3: before you're back up to full efficiency? Is it three?

858
00:39:20,480 --> 00:39:23,360
Speaker 3: Is at four games? You know obviously it's gonna be

859
00:39:23,400 --> 00:39:25,800
Speaker 3: different for everybody until they get assimilated back in the lineup.

860
00:39:25,800 --> 00:39:28,600
Speaker 3: But Justin Moore at his best game last game, and

861
00:39:28,840 --> 00:39:31,640
Speaker 3: he looked great, I mean, and then you know the

862
00:39:31,680 --> 00:39:33,359
Speaker 3: game before that, he was not great. The game before

863
00:39:33,360 --> 00:39:35,200
Speaker 3: that he was great, but you can see him slowly

864
00:39:35,239 --> 00:39:38,240
Speaker 3: ramping up. They'll have a and this will be probably

865
00:39:38,320 --> 00:39:41,680
Speaker 3: my first spot for Saturday. I was mentioned now they're

866
00:39:41,719 --> 00:39:47,120
Speaker 3: at Providence, who's off that double overtime thriller against Creighton

867
00:39:47,160 --> 00:39:49,279
Speaker 3: in which they won. And they also your province is

868
00:39:49,360 --> 00:39:51,719
Speaker 3: Yukon on deck. Nova played them tight at home. You

869
00:39:51,800 --> 00:39:54,640
Speaker 3: might be getting catching some value here with Villanova. I'll

870
00:39:54,640 --> 00:39:56,440
Speaker 3: also be looking to buy to Paul just as a

871
00:39:56,480 --> 00:39:59,839
Speaker 3: big dog. They got some you know, they got their

872
00:40:00,120 --> 00:40:04,279
Speaker 3: enter back. Speaking of guys back, they got on Genda back,

873
00:40:04,320 --> 00:40:07,279
Speaker 3: and then Jayalen Terry also came back. And then if

874
00:40:07,320 --> 00:40:11,200
Speaker 3: you look at their schedule, you know they have Xavier, Marquette,

875
00:40:11,400 --> 00:40:14,680
Speaker 3: Connecticut and Creighton left on their schedule, So you might

876
00:40:14,680 --> 00:40:17,000
Speaker 3: be catching I don't like playing them as favorites or

877
00:40:17,400 --> 00:40:21,800
Speaker 3: a short number, but you might be catching some juicy

878
00:40:21,840 --> 00:40:25,320
Speaker 3: double digit numbers the rest of the way with DePaul.

879
00:40:25,440 --> 00:40:28,479
Speaker 3: So they're a potential buy team for me and then

880
00:40:28,920 --> 00:40:34,120
Speaker 3: my cell in the Big East, it's probably gonna be

881
00:40:35,080 --> 00:40:37,200
Speaker 3: I mean, I like this team, but it's probably gonna

882
00:40:37,200 --> 00:40:38,840
Speaker 3: be Marquette there, and I mean they're they're thirteen and

883
00:40:38,920 --> 00:40:43,640
Speaker 3: three in conference in the first place, and they just

884
00:40:43,680 --> 00:40:46,120
Speaker 3: by looking at the schedule, this is where I'm going,

885
00:40:46,120 --> 00:40:47,919
Speaker 3: and I think that they're you know, now, they're all

886
00:40:47,920 --> 00:40:49,480
Speaker 3: in the first place, it's probably the peak of their

887
00:40:49,480 --> 00:40:54,080
Speaker 3: market value. And they're at Creighton. Creighton has revenge. I'm

888
00:40:54,080 --> 00:40:57,080
Speaker 3: also buying Creighton. Then they're home against the Paul. I

889
00:40:57,080 --> 00:40:58,759
Speaker 3: think that number will probably be a little bit too

890
00:40:58,840 --> 00:41:01,399
Speaker 3: high against the DePaul team getting healthier than they're at

891
00:41:01,400 --> 00:41:04,600
Speaker 3: Butler home against Saint John's Matt. So there's not any

892
00:41:04,600 --> 00:41:07,440
Speaker 3: good spots I like for them. I think they're probably

893
00:41:07,480 --> 00:41:10,479
Speaker 3: at the peak of their market value. So I'm gonna

894
00:41:10,520 --> 00:41:16,600
Speaker 3: go ahead and sell Marquette. Although it's nothing, it's not

895
00:41:16,680 --> 00:41:19,040
Speaker 3: that anti Marquette, it's more of Okay, I think this

896
00:41:19,080 --> 00:41:22,040
Speaker 3: is probably that they're at the peak of their value.

897
00:41:23,000 --> 00:41:25,359
Speaker 3: All right, good stuff on the Big East who we

898
00:41:25,440 --> 00:41:30,200
Speaker 3: will be heavily cheering for as a podcast, and come

899
00:41:31,040 --> 00:41:33,120
Speaker 3: the madness. But let's move on to Saturday.

900
00:41:34,239 --> 00:41:41,399
Speaker 1: Satay, Saturday, I.

901
00:41:41,360 --> 00:41:43,480
Speaker 3: Started things off with Nova. That's what I'm gonna be

902
00:41:43,520 --> 00:41:48,320
Speaker 3: looking for Nova against, hopefully getting a nice number over

903
00:41:48,840 --> 00:41:52,960
Speaker 3: seven at Providence. Mike, let me throw it to you,

904
00:41:53,000 --> 00:41:54,800
Speaker 3: what's your first fight you want to bring up for Saturday?

905
00:41:54,920 --> 00:41:58,160
Speaker 1: I like Indiana and a bounce back, probably laying about

906
00:41:58,200 --> 00:42:02,280
Speaker 1: five against Illinois. You know that Northwestern game, the Wildcats

907
00:42:02,280 --> 00:42:06,600
Speaker 1: said did a nice job trapping you know, Trace Jackson

908
00:42:06,640 --> 00:42:09,799
Speaker 1: Davis in the post and really limited him in the

909
00:42:09,800 --> 00:42:12,080
Speaker 1: first half. He ended up just being a stat sheet

910
00:42:12,120 --> 00:42:15,240
Speaker 1: stuffer in the second half of that game. But Indiana

911
00:42:15,239 --> 00:42:18,080
Speaker 1: in general, going back to Bloomington is a huge benefit

912
00:42:18,120 --> 00:42:19,920
Speaker 1: for them. They're the fourth best shooting team at home

913
00:42:19,920 --> 00:42:22,759
Speaker 1: in the entire country. And then, as we discussed with Illinois,

914
00:42:23,160 --> 00:42:25,320
Speaker 1: great at home twelve and two straight up nine to

915
00:42:25,320 --> 00:42:27,600
Speaker 1: four and one against the closing number. On the road

916
00:42:27,600 --> 00:42:29,640
Speaker 1: they're middling. They're three and four straight up, four and

917
00:42:29,680 --> 00:42:31,880
Speaker 1: three against the spread. And when you look at their

918
00:42:31,960 --> 00:42:35,360
Speaker 1: last two road games, they gave up eighty one to

919
00:42:35,400 --> 00:42:38,319
Speaker 1: at Iowa and a loss, and ninety three to Penn

920
00:42:38,320 --> 00:42:41,240
Speaker 1: State and a loss. Jalen Pickett gave him forty one points.

921
00:42:41,560 --> 00:42:44,319
Speaker 1: So this defense has no floor. It can go, you know,

922
00:42:44,520 --> 00:42:46,840
Speaker 1: through the floor into the basement. Proud bad the fighting

923
00:42:46,880 --> 00:42:49,600
Speaker 1: line I can be defensively when they play on the road.

924
00:42:49,920 --> 00:42:51,719
Speaker 1: And then the final question is, you know, do you

925
00:42:51,760 --> 00:42:53,680
Speaker 1: want to go ahead and bet the opener with the

926
00:42:53,840 --> 00:42:55,759
Speaker 1: question of do we get Zavid Johnson back? Is that

927
00:42:55,800 --> 00:42:57,239
Speaker 1: a good thing? Is that a bad thing. All he

928
00:42:57,360 --> 00:42:59,600
Speaker 1: said publicly is that he wants to play at some

929
00:42:59,680 --> 00:43:03,160
Speaker 1: point this month in the regular season. Does that mean that's,

930
00:43:03,239 --> 00:43:05,880
Speaker 1: you know, on Saturday or not. I would say probably not.

931
00:43:06,000 --> 00:43:07,719
Speaker 1: But I actually think that's a good thing in terms

932
00:43:07,719 --> 00:43:10,279
Speaker 1: of Indiana against the spread here because I don't want

933
00:43:10,320 --> 00:43:14,200
Speaker 1: to see them lose any continuity or you know, try

934
00:43:14,239 --> 00:43:17,200
Speaker 1: to waste time working him back into the lineup in

935
00:43:17,239 --> 00:43:19,920
Speaker 1: a game that's critical for them. And also at you know,

936
00:43:20,000 --> 00:43:21,799
Speaker 1: minus five, it's probably a game that's going to be

937
00:43:21,800 --> 00:43:24,160
Speaker 1: played in the you know, two or three possession range.

938
00:43:24,280 --> 00:43:26,600
Speaker 1: So I don't want to necessarily take a step backwards

939
00:43:26,600 --> 00:43:28,800
Speaker 1: with Zavie Johnson working his way back into the lineup.

940
00:43:28,920 --> 00:43:30,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, I can't go around with Indiana at home this year.

941
00:43:30,640 --> 00:43:33,080
Speaker 3: They've been an absolute wagon there. Big ten home teams

942
00:43:33,080 --> 00:43:36,640
Speaker 3: in general have just been red hot. BJ what he.

943
00:43:36,680 --> 00:43:41,759
Speaker 2: Got, Let's go Missouri pick him against Texas, A and M.

944
00:43:41,840 --> 00:43:45,680
Speaker 2: Missouri got beat by seven thousand points against Auburn on Tuesday,

945
00:43:45,719 --> 00:43:50,279
Speaker 2: great call stuck while texts A and M again race

946
00:43:50,480 --> 00:43:53,560
Speaker 2: another double digit deficit to win and cover at home

947
00:43:53,600 --> 00:43:54,400
Speaker 2: against Arkansas.

948
00:43:54,440 --> 00:43:56,800
Speaker 4: I was also in Arkansas. That was very annoying to watch.

949
00:43:57,760 --> 00:43:59,919
Speaker 2: But this text A and M team, they're just incredibly

950
00:44:00,520 --> 00:44:04,359
Speaker 2: reliant on getting offensive rebounds and getting the free throw line.

951
00:44:04,360 --> 00:44:06,640
Speaker 2: Their top ten in the country in both those. In

952
00:44:06,680 --> 00:44:10,040
Speaker 2: every other offensive category, they're average to below average. Now,

953
00:44:10,400 --> 00:44:13,640
Speaker 2: Missouri is terrible defensively in both those categories, but they

954
00:44:13,680 --> 00:44:16,040
Speaker 2: are a top thirty teen in points possession allowed. In

955
00:44:16,040 --> 00:44:18,839
Speaker 2: transition to defense, they defend mid range jumpers really well,

956
00:44:18,880 --> 00:44:20,960
Speaker 2: and they're very good defending isolation sets, which are all

957
00:44:20,960 --> 00:44:23,719
Speaker 2: three areas that TECHAM is a very high frequency team

958
00:44:23,760 --> 00:44:26,480
Speaker 2: on offense. In the other end of the court, Missouri

959
00:44:26,680 --> 00:44:28,520
Speaker 2: is a really good offense. They attack the rim at

960
00:44:28,520 --> 00:44:30,920
Speaker 2: a very high rate. They're shooting sixty four percent on

961
00:44:31,000 --> 00:44:33,520
Speaker 2: those shots, while TECHA and M is allowing close to

962
00:44:33,560 --> 00:44:36,000
Speaker 2: sixty percent at the rim. Missouri also a very good

963
00:44:36,040 --> 00:44:38,960
Speaker 2: three point shooting team, over thirty four percent in conference play,

964
00:44:39,320 --> 00:44:41,719
Speaker 2: top forty in the country and open three point rate

965
00:44:41,760 --> 00:44:44,560
Speaker 2: per shot quality. Techs A and M decent three point

966
00:44:44,560 --> 00:44:46,520
Speaker 2: defense but is middle of the conference and three point

967
00:44:46,600 --> 00:44:49,960
Speaker 2: rate allowed. Also the free throw variants for text A

968
00:44:50,000 --> 00:44:51,799
Speaker 2: and M, and this is why they keep winning these

969
00:44:51,840 --> 00:44:52,359
Speaker 2: close games.

970
00:44:52,360 --> 00:44:53,280
Speaker 4: It's just it's crazy.

971
00:44:53,280 --> 00:44:55,560
Speaker 2: I mean, they are hitting seventy five percent of their

972
00:44:55,560 --> 00:44:57,839
Speaker 2: free throws and conference play, but their opponents are only

973
00:44:57,880 --> 00:45:00,080
Speaker 2: shooting sixty eight percent from the free throw line. So

974
00:45:00,320 --> 00:45:03,000
Speaker 2: Missouri's only lost two games at home this season. It'spenning

975
00:45:03,040 --> 00:45:05,319
Speaker 2: to Kansas and Alabama, or two of the best teams

976
00:45:05,360 --> 00:45:07,080
Speaker 2: in the country. So I think this is a good

977
00:45:07,080 --> 00:45:10,560
Speaker 2: spot for the Tigers, good bounce back spot after the

978
00:45:10,640 --> 00:45:12,760
Speaker 2: loss at Auburn, an extra day rest.

979
00:45:13,360 --> 00:45:16,200
Speaker 4: So give me Missouri pick them at home in Columbia.

980
00:45:16,680 --> 00:45:20,160
Speaker 3: Love that one. That was one I had circled as well.

981
00:45:20,640 --> 00:45:22,799
Speaker 3: I'm gonna go with. I'm gonna go I finally get

982
00:45:22,800 --> 00:45:26,560
Speaker 3: to say my cats Kentucky at home against Tennessee. Yes,

983
00:45:26,600 --> 00:45:29,040
Speaker 3: we're right back on the Tennessee fade train. I think

984
00:45:29,120 --> 00:45:31,399
Speaker 3: Kentucky matches up pretty well with Tennessee, as we saw

985
00:45:31,400 --> 00:45:34,000
Speaker 3: when they went on the road and beat Tennessee. Oh

986
00:45:34,080 --> 00:45:36,600
Speaker 3: this year is twelve point underdogs. I don't think we're

987
00:45:36,600 --> 00:45:38,319
Speaker 3: going to be getting five or sixs of that line

988
00:45:38,360 --> 00:45:40,880
Speaker 3: would apply, But I think Kentucky wins this game. They

989
00:45:40,880 --> 00:45:43,960
Speaker 3: match up pretty well because Tennessee's an elite defensive team

990
00:45:44,239 --> 00:45:45,600
Speaker 3: and they take away what you want to do, but

991
00:45:45,680 --> 00:45:47,799
Speaker 3: Kentucky doesn't really want to do much except you know,

992
00:45:48,040 --> 00:45:51,160
Speaker 3: use their talent and athleticism to beat you one on one,

993
00:45:51,200 --> 00:45:53,560
Speaker 3: and then they can have Shebay get some offensive rebounds

994
00:45:53,600 --> 00:45:57,120
Speaker 3: and so kind of they can give Tennessee problems with

995
00:45:57,160 --> 00:45:59,800
Speaker 3: their length and athleticism. Did the same things on the

996
00:45:59,840 --> 00:46:03,040
Speaker 3: other and the most importantly, Oscar Shebay is a liability

997
00:46:03,280 --> 00:46:08,759
Speaker 3: in like in some aspects in post defense and when

998
00:46:08,920 --> 00:46:10,440
Speaker 3: teams can get them and pick and roll and they

999
00:46:10,440 --> 00:46:12,480
Speaker 3: have big that can shoot. None of those things Tennessee

1000
00:46:12,520 --> 00:46:15,160
Speaker 3: really does. They don't have like. So this is a

1001
00:46:15,200 --> 00:46:20,800
Speaker 3: pretty good matchup just schematically for Kentucky. Enormous game for them.

1002
00:46:21,680 --> 00:46:24,560
Speaker 3: I think if you win, you're you're probably really close

1003
00:46:24,600 --> 00:46:28,040
Speaker 3: to in. And then Tennessee's coming off that emotional win

1004
00:46:28,239 --> 00:46:32,120
Speaker 3: over Alabama. I'm still in the neighborhood of selling them.

1005
00:46:32,200 --> 00:46:36,000
Speaker 3: So yeah, give me Kentucky all day here, Mike.

1006
00:46:36,360 --> 00:46:39,640
Speaker 1: I'll go way down the board here, Vermont lay in

1007
00:46:39,760 --> 00:46:43,640
Speaker 1: ten at nji T you know, just scroll stroll into

1008
00:46:43,800 --> 00:46:46,120
Speaker 1: Newark and walk out with the victory. And actually say

1009
00:46:46,120 --> 00:46:49,720
Speaker 1: that in a serious tone. Because NJIC has been great

1010
00:46:49,760 --> 00:46:52,200
Speaker 1: in America East in terms of playing at home. They've

1011
00:46:52,200 --> 00:46:55,880
Speaker 1: either won or taken the top teams in the AE

1012
00:46:56,120 --> 00:46:58,440
Speaker 1: all the way down to the wire. But this number,

1013
00:46:58,480 --> 00:47:01,200
Speaker 1: if you can get it sub eleven and a half, eleven,

1014
00:47:01,320 --> 00:47:03,399
Speaker 1: ten and a half, somewhere in that range, I think

1015
00:47:03,480 --> 00:47:06,200
Speaker 1: that's the way to go. Because Vermont finally turned the corner.

1016
00:47:06,200 --> 00:47:08,359
Speaker 1: They had a very slow start to the season. They're

1017
00:47:08,360 --> 00:47:10,800
Speaker 1: generally considered to be one of the best major programs

1018
00:47:10,800 --> 00:47:12,799
Speaker 1: in the entire country, but it took a while for

1019
00:47:12,880 --> 00:47:16,520
Speaker 1: them to gel Dylan Penn and Finn Sullivan to really

1020
00:47:16,520 --> 00:47:18,920
Speaker 1: come together and start carrying this team. And now when

1021
00:47:18,920 --> 00:47:22,200
Speaker 1: you look at a conference play, their second in offensive efficiency,

1022
00:47:22,239 --> 00:47:25,439
Speaker 1: top rated defense, and that's a huge thing in terms

1023
00:47:25,520 --> 00:47:27,640
Speaker 1: of being able to play good basketball on the road.

1024
00:47:27,960 --> 00:47:28,440
Speaker 4: They have the.

1025
00:47:28,480 --> 00:47:31,040
Speaker 1: Highest turnover margin in the conference at plus four and

1026
00:47:31,080 --> 00:47:33,640
Speaker 1: a half per game. They rarely ever turned the ball

1027
00:47:33,680 --> 00:47:37,200
Speaker 1: over and just historically, you know, with this head coach,

1028
00:47:37,600 --> 00:47:39,880
Speaker 1: they've been the class of the American East against the

1029
00:47:39,880 --> 00:47:42,239
Speaker 1: spread last two years, twenty three and ten against the

1030
00:47:42,280 --> 00:47:45,200
Speaker 1: spread in conference play. So I'll go ahead and finally

1031
00:47:45,480 --> 00:47:48,600
Speaker 1: count on a little, you know, regression from the Highlanders

1032
00:47:48,800 --> 00:47:51,440
Speaker 1: at home for a team that's played so well throughout

1033
00:47:51,719 --> 00:47:54,720
Speaker 1: against the Catamount Sewer just you know, at this point,

1034
00:47:54,760 --> 00:47:58,000
Speaker 1: steaming towards yet another regular season title and probably another

1035
00:47:58,040 --> 00:47:59,160
Speaker 1: ticket to March Madness.

1036
00:47:59,400 --> 00:48:03,680
Speaker 3: Nobody's rolls into the Estelle and Zoom Fleisher Athletic Center

1037
00:48:04,480 --> 00:48:08,080
Speaker 3: and rolls by double digit accept from at this weekend, PJ,

1038
00:48:08,320 --> 00:48:09,080
Speaker 3: what else you got?

1039
00:48:09,320 --> 00:48:14,240
Speaker 2: Let's go Wisconsin at home against Rutgers. Rutgers has looked

1040
00:48:14,440 --> 00:48:18,399
Speaker 2: terrible without Mawatt mag They lost at Illinois, lost at

1041
00:48:18,400 --> 00:48:20,880
Speaker 2: home against a really bad Nebraska team. Now they're traveling

1042
00:48:20,880 --> 00:48:23,320
Speaker 2: on the road to face Wisconsin after they just beat Michigan.

1043
00:48:23,840 --> 00:48:24,480
Speaker 4: Wisconsin.

1044
00:48:24,560 --> 00:48:27,640
Speaker 2: Offensively, they're either getting the ball into the post or

1045
00:48:27,680 --> 00:48:29,920
Speaker 2: they're shooting threes, and there's really no in between. They

1046
00:48:29,920 --> 00:48:32,520
Speaker 2: are the second highest frequency post up team in the country,

1047
00:48:32,760 --> 00:48:35,359
Speaker 2: just good against Rutgers, who is outside the top two

1048
00:48:35,440 --> 00:48:37,640
Speaker 2: fifteen points for possession allowed off of post ups. And

1049
00:48:37,680 --> 00:48:39,919
Speaker 2: again they're still without They are going to be without

1050
00:48:39,960 --> 00:48:41,959
Speaker 2: for the rest of the season. Their second best big men,

1051
00:48:42,160 --> 00:48:44,120
Speaker 2: Rutgers also two hundred and eighty fifth in the country

1052
00:48:44,120 --> 00:48:46,440
Speaker 2: and defending catch and shoot three pointers, which is where

1053
00:48:46,880 --> 00:48:50,240
Speaker 2: twenty four percent of Wisconsin's shot attempts.

1054
00:48:49,840 --> 00:48:50,560
Speaker 4: Are coming from.

1055
00:48:51,000 --> 00:48:53,840
Speaker 2: Also, Rutgers number one team in the Big tenant forcing turnovers.

1056
00:48:53,880 --> 00:48:55,719
Speaker 2: It's why they've been one of the best defensive teams

1057
00:48:55,760 --> 00:48:58,360
Speaker 2: in the country. Wisconsin one of the best offenses in

1058
00:48:58,400 --> 00:49:00,200
Speaker 2: the country at not turning the ball up, so that

1059
00:49:00,280 --> 00:49:04,120
Speaker 2: we have neutralized one of rutgers biggest advantages. And Rutgers offensively,

1060
00:49:04,600 --> 00:49:06,839
Speaker 2: they just want to get the ball inside and right

1061
00:49:06,880 --> 00:49:08,840
Speaker 2: at the rim. Like They're six in the country in

1062
00:49:08,920 --> 00:49:11,279
Speaker 2: terms of efficiency at finishing at the rim. Wisconsin is

1063
00:49:11,320 --> 00:49:13,440
Speaker 2: top forty at defending at the rim, but when you

1064
00:49:13,480 --> 00:49:16,360
Speaker 2: look at how Rutgers performs once the ball gets further

1065
00:49:16,440 --> 00:49:19,080
Speaker 2: and further away from the rim, it's pretty bad. They're

1066
00:49:19,400 --> 00:49:22,320
Speaker 2: jooting just thirty percent from mid range thirty two percent

1067
00:49:22,320 --> 00:49:24,680
Speaker 2: from beyond the arc. Wisconsin very good at defending in

1068
00:49:24,760 --> 00:49:28,600
Speaker 2: both transition, while Rutgers is also top sixty frequency team

1069
00:49:28,600 --> 00:49:32,280
Speaker 2: in transition. So I like the spot here for Wisconsin. Also,

1070
00:49:32,360 --> 00:49:36,120
Speaker 2: Rutgers I think is still dead last and haslo metrics

1071
00:49:37,239 --> 00:49:41,800
Speaker 2: away from home metrics, so a good spot here for Wisconsin.

1072
00:49:41,840 --> 00:49:44,719
Speaker 2: At home, they'll likely probably be a three or four

1073
00:49:44,719 --> 00:49:48,040
Speaker 2: point favorite, so I'll play them anything up to minus six.

1074
00:49:48,960 --> 00:49:50,719
Speaker 3: Yeah, they really must back on the defensive end. Who

1075
00:49:50,760 --> 00:49:53,080
Speaker 3: was uber important for a lot of things that they

1076
00:49:53,120 --> 00:49:56,520
Speaker 3: did on that end of the floor. I'll throw out,

1077
00:49:57,160 --> 00:50:01,520
Speaker 3: let's go with Vandy at home against Auburn. Auburn off that, yeah,

1078
00:50:01,560 --> 00:50:04,600
Speaker 3: you know, huge blowout win. And I still don't trust

1079
00:50:04,760 --> 00:50:08,080
Speaker 3: their guards away from home, specifically, they're a little erratic.

1080
00:50:08,120 --> 00:50:10,440
Speaker 3: They take poor shots. In Vanderbilt, you know, they run

1081
00:50:10,480 --> 00:50:13,160
Speaker 3: some of the best stuff in the country offensively, and

1082
00:50:13,280 --> 00:50:15,960
Speaker 3: everything is clicking right now. I think Liam Robbins can

1083
00:50:16,000 --> 00:50:20,000
Speaker 3: prevent presents some matchup problems to Auburn and their elite

1084
00:50:20,080 --> 00:50:22,759
Speaker 3: rim defense. He can, you know, kind of take their

1085
00:50:22,840 --> 00:50:26,480
Speaker 3: big away from the rim and they're just running such

1086
00:50:26,560 --> 00:50:29,879
Speaker 3: good offense and it's all clicking right now for Vanderbilt.

1087
00:50:29,880 --> 00:50:32,360
Speaker 3: And who knows Vanderbilt he went out, You could they

1088
00:50:32,360 --> 00:50:35,760
Speaker 3: could find themselves maybe on the bubble, but they're playing

1089
00:50:35,760 --> 00:50:38,040
Speaker 3: so well right now. I like them at home. Here

1090
00:50:38,080 --> 00:50:40,360
Speaker 3: in this spot, Mike, you got and the others.

1091
00:50:40,120 --> 00:50:43,000
Speaker 1: I got one more. Gonna fade the best team in

1092
00:50:43,000 --> 00:50:45,320
Speaker 1: the State of Georgia, of course, referring to the Kennesaus

1093
00:50:45,400 --> 00:50:48,800
Speaker 1: State Owls. I'm gonna go with Queens, not the borough,

1094
00:50:48,960 --> 00:50:52,480
Speaker 1: but the team, the Royal Royals in ten on the

1095
00:50:52,560 --> 00:50:56,719
Speaker 1: road and Queens has lost by ten points or ten

1096
00:50:56,760 --> 00:50:59,560
Speaker 1: points plus just once the entire season, a twelve point

1097
00:50:59,560 --> 00:51:01,680
Speaker 1: loss on the road to Lasal. When you look at

1098
00:51:01,719 --> 00:51:04,440
Speaker 1: their losses in the a Sun, they've been absolutely competitive

1099
00:51:04,440 --> 00:51:09,160
Speaker 1: from start to finish. Their their losses by five, nine, one, five, seven, six,

1100
00:51:09,280 --> 00:51:12,279
Speaker 1: four four. They're always hanging around because they have really

1101
00:51:12,320 --> 00:51:15,000
Speaker 1: good guard play for a team that's in transition up

1102
00:51:15,040 --> 00:51:17,600
Speaker 1: to the Division one level. Kenny Die and AJ mcckee

1103
00:51:17,640 --> 00:51:19,359
Speaker 1: can fill it up. These two guys can put in

1104
00:51:19,520 --> 00:51:22,239
Speaker 1: fifty points plus for the Royals here, no problem. Their

1105
00:51:22,280 --> 00:51:25,120
Speaker 1: defense does stink. It absolutely is off right. But they

1106
00:51:25,160 --> 00:51:28,240
Speaker 1: already played Kanisau once this year. They lost by nine,

1107
00:51:28,480 --> 00:51:30,399
Speaker 1: and in that game they ended up scoring I think

1108
00:51:30,440 --> 00:51:32,640
Speaker 1: forty four to forty five points in the second half.

1109
00:51:32,800 --> 00:51:34,719
Speaker 1: And it's up against the Kannasau State team that doesn't

1110
00:51:34,719 --> 00:51:37,239
Speaker 1: play super fast, and they're not a great shooting team

1111
00:51:37,239 --> 00:51:39,279
Speaker 1: that they're pretty good by a Sun standards, but not

1112
00:51:39,480 --> 00:51:41,600
Speaker 1: top one hundred in any of the meaningful metrics. The

1113
00:51:41,680 --> 00:51:44,040
Speaker 1: last thing that's key for me that kind of tip

1114
00:51:44,120 --> 00:51:47,239
Speaker 1: this in the favor of taking the Royals kennisaw three

1115
00:51:47,280 --> 00:51:50,120
Speaker 1: hundred and twenty third in shooting foul shots this year,

1116
00:51:50,160 --> 00:51:52,400
Speaker 1: sixty six percent as team. I think that I'll leave

1117
00:51:52,440 --> 00:51:54,600
Speaker 1: the back door open in the closing minutes, and I

1118
00:51:54,600 --> 00:51:56,040
Speaker 1: think the Royals get it done. As long as you

1119
00:51:56,080 --> 00:51:58,040
Speaker 1: can get a good number, I'd say I probably play

1120
00:51:58,040 --> 00:51:58,919
Speaker 1: it down to plus nine.

1121
00:51:59,160 --> 00:52:03,920
Speaker 3: Yeah. Another thing that makes SIS even better spot is

1122
00:52:05,120 --> 00:52:07,880
Speaker 3: in the Believe it or Not, Liberty and Kennessas State

1123
00:52:08,000 --> 00:52:10,719
Speaker 3: tonight will play for first place in the A S.

1124
00:52:10,920 --> 00:52:13,520
Speaker 3: Winner that's probably gonna win the regular season title. I

1125
00:52:13,520 --> 00:52:16,719
Speaker 3: mean almost definitely, because they don't. They won't play again

1126
00:52:16,760 --> 00:52:19,239
Speaker 3: in the one game lead. They've only played once off

1127
00:52:19,280 --> 00:52:21,239
Speaker 3: a tiebreaker, so Kenesaw State's either gonna be coming off

1128
00:52:21,280 --> 00:52:24,640
Speaker 3: a huge win or a deflating win, regardless as an

1129
00:52:24,680 --> 00:52:28,280
Speaker 3: emotional game against Liberty, and yeah, I agree those those

1130
00:52:28,400 --> 00:52:32,520
Speaker 3: Queen's guards are can be electric. And yeah, I would

1131
00:52:32,520 --> 00:52:35,279
Speaker 3: love to get a juicy number there as well in

1132
00:52:35,320 --> 00:52:37,440
Speaker 3: a great spot. DJA, anything else do you have?

1133
00:52:37,880 --> 00:52:38,760
Speaker 4: I'll do one more?

1134
00:52:39,280 --> 00:52:42,160
Speaker 2: How about Arkansas at home against Florida. I mean, Arkansas

1135
00:52:42,320 --> 00:52:46,080
Speaker 2: obviously off that collapse against Texas A and M, but

1136
00:52:46,680 --> 00:52:48,120
Speaker 2: this is a good matchup for them. They should be

1137
00:52:48,120 --> 00:52:50,360
Speaker 2: able to dominate inside in the glass. Florida dead last

1138
00:52:50,760 --> 00:52:54,640
Speaker 2: in the SEC and offensive rebounding percentage. Second was just

1139
00:52:54,680 --> 00:52:57,040
Speaker 2: about saying that Colin Castle's out for the rest of

1140
00:52:57,040 --> 00:52:59,600
Speaker 2: the season by far, not only their best rebounder but

1141
00:52:59,640 --> 00:53:01,600
Speaker 2: their best player. That he's top twenty five in the

1142
00:53:01,600 --> 00:53:05,160
Speaker 2: country in block percentage. So Arkansas, who's a top thirty

1143
00:53:05,160 --> 00:53:07,480
Speaker 2: frequency team in terms of finishing at the rim and

1144
00:53:07,520 --> 00:53:10,400
Speaker 2: shooting sixty to sixty six percent on those shots of

1145
00:53:10,480 --> 00:53:12,960
Speaker 2: the rim, going against Florida, who doesn't have their best

1146
00:53:12,960 --> 00:53:16,680
Speaker 2: big guy, is very, very troublesome. Florida offensively was pretty

1147
00:53:16,680 --> 00:53:18,520
Speaker 2: relying on Castle, and they don't take a high number

1148
00:53:18,560 --> 00:53:20,959
Speaker 2: of three pointers. They're only shooting thirty two percent from.

1149
00:53:20,920 --> 00:53:21,440
Speaker 4: Beyond the arc.

1150
00:53:21,800 --> 00:53:24,279
Speaker 2: Arkansas top fifteen in the country and two point field

1151
00:53:24,280 --> 00:53:27,760
Speaker 2: goal percent allowed and only allowing fifty percent on shot

1152
00:53:27,760 --> 00:53:30,439
Speaker 2: attempts at the rim. So this is a perfect get

1153
00:53:30,520 --> 00:53:33,799
Speaker 2: right spot for Arkansas. So I'll play them. Ken Palm

1154
00:53:33,840 --> 00:53:37,680
Speaker 2: has it at Arkansas minus six, so I'll go up

1155
00:53:37,680 --> 00:53:41,640
Speaker 2: to Arkansas. Anything minus ten or better.

1156
00:53:42,080 --> 00:53:46,759
Speaker 3: All right, good stuff there. Hopefully Musselman plays Nick his life.

1157
00:53:46,840 --> 00:53:49,440
Speaker 4: Let's hope some maybe Colin can get McCallum.

1158
00:53:49,680 --> 00:53:53,759
Speaker 3: Yeah, seriously, Colin, let muscleman know that'll do it for us.

1159
00:53:54,680 --> 00:54:00,279
Speaker 3: Enjoy your Romantic Horizon League evenings and Saturday slates, but

1160
00:54:00,360 --> 00:54:03,759
Speaker 3: appreciate all of you for listening. Thanks as always to

1161
00:54:04,000 --> 00:54:06,080
Speaker 3: Mike and BJ for joining me. Thanks to our audio

1162
00:54:06,080 --> 00:54:11,480
Speaker 3: and video teams on the back end. Make sure you subscribe, unsubscribe, subscribe, unsubscribe, subscribe.

1163
00:54:11,520 --> 00:54:13,440
Speaker 3: You know the drill. Tell a friend, tell an enemy,

1164
00:54:14,040 --> 00:54:16,120
Speaker 3: leave a review. Five star reviews really help us out.

1165
00:54:16,120 --> 00:54:17,520
Speaker 3: You can say whatever you want. If you already don't

1166
00:54:17,520 --> 00:54:19,520
Speaker 3: want in the past, just borrow your friends, your moms,

1167
00:54:19,560 --> 00:54:22,240
Speaker 3: I don't care his phone and leave a five star review.

1168
00:54:22,800 --> 00:54:24,879
Speaker 3: I will be back Saturday morning ten thirty Amy sterm

1169
00:54:24,880 --> 00:54:26,640
Speaker 3: with the guys from The Three Men. We will preview

1170
00:54:26,719 --> 00:54:29,839
Speaker 3: the Saturday slate, and then we will be back on

1171
00:54:30,080 --> 00:54:34,520
Speaker 3: Monday previewing Monday night and recapping the weekend that was.

1172
00:54:35,560 --> 00:54:38,399
Speaker 3: Good luck on all of your wagers this weekend. We'll

1173
00:54:38,400 --> 00:54:39,000
Speaker 3: catch you all later.

1174
00:54:39,040 --> 00:54:51,360
Speaker 5: Cheers.

1175
00:54:52,480 --> 00:54:57,000
Speaker 3: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1176
00:54:57,040 --> 00:54:59,799
Speaker 3: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help us.

1177
00:54:59,800 --> 00:55:02,480
Speaker 1: A available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred

1178
00:55:02,480 --> 00:55:02,960
Speaker 1: Gambler