1 00:00:14,080 --> 00:00:15,960 Speaker 1: What's up? Guys? How are you welcome into a Friday 2 00:00:16,000 --> 00:00:18,680 Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice Podcast with me Matt 3 00:00:18,720 --> 00:00:21,760 Speaker 1: Perrault at Sports Talk Matt to follow me across all socials. 4 00:00:21,800 --> 00:00:26,040 Speaker 1: This podcast being brought to you by Omaha Steaks dot Com. 5 00:00:26,079 --> 00:00:28,440 Speaker 1: You guys know every morning I tell you about our 6 00:00:28,440 --> 00:00:31,000 Speaker 1: friends at Omaha Steaks dot com. 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Simply go to 15 00:01:05,880 --> 00:01:08,400 Speaker 1: Omas Steaks dot com, enter Juice into the search bar 16 00:01:08,720 --> 00:01:14,080 Speaker 1: and shop these exclusive packages two day. Okay, So, the 17 00:01:14,120 --> 00:01:16,280 Speaker 1: Hall of Fame game was profitable depending on on if 18 00:01:16,400 --> 00:01:18,319 Speaker 1: if you bet all three at options that gave you 19 00:01:18,400 --> 00:01:24,399 Speaker 1: last night Browns one to thirteen margin of victory plus 20 00:01:24,480 --> 00:01:27,800 Speaker 1: one eighty five or one eighty depending when you got it. Okay, 21 00:01:28,400 --> 00:01:32,360 Speaker 1: up point one point eighty five units on that lost 22 00:01:32,520 --> 00:01:35,760 Speaker 1: the Jets obviously, right, so you're up point eight five. 23 00:01:35,800 --> 00:01:38,280 Speaker 1: If you bet the teaser, you won a unit there, 24 00:01:38,720 --> 00:01:41,240 Speaker 1: so that would be up one point eight five units, 25 00:01:41,480 --> 00:01:43,880 Speaker 1: and then we lost one point one units on the 26 00:01:43,959 --> 00:01:50,480 Speaker 1: Jets minus two. So profitable for me. Profitable game, not 27 00:01:50,640 --> 00:01:54,480 Speaker 1: profitable for the official record, unfortunately. So if you bet 28 00:01:54,520 --> 00:01:56,200 Speaker 1: all three, like I talked about last night, you had 29 00:01:56,200 --> 00:01:57,920 Speaker 1: a good Hall of Fame game, you had a winning night. 30 00:01:58,000 --> 00:02:01,200 Speaker 1: If you did not, you had a losing and we 31 00:02:01,240 --> 00:02:03,440 Speaker 1: went well. Actually no, I mean technically it would have 32 00:02:03,520 --> 00:02:05,000 Speaker 1: been down even all of that would have been you 33 00:02:05,120 --> 00:02:07,280 Speaker 1: bet the other two baseball bets, it would have been 34 00:02:07,280 --> 00:02:08,600 Speaker 1: a wash. Yeah, so you would have been Yeah, it 35 00:02:08,600 --> 00:02:09,720 Speaker 1: would have been a wash. It would have been a 36 00:02:09,720 --> 00:02:13,400 Speaker 1: winnim a night if you bet all three. But officially 37 00:02:13,440 --> 00:02:16,440 Speaker 1: we're down one point one units because we split with 38 00:02:16,480 --> 00:02:18,560 Speaker 1: Baseball and then we got the Hall of Fame game. 39 00:02:18,800 --> 00:02:21,520 Speaker 1: Officially wrong. But hopefully you guys took some advice. I 40 00:02:21,520 --> 00:02:23,480 Speaker 1: know a bunch of you guys were sending me tweets 41 00:02:23,520 --> 00:02:27,679 Speaker 1: and DMS saying you played the bet both sides and 42 00:02:27,960 --> 00:02:30,280 Speaker 1: bet it and forget it type of situation. I didn't 43 00:02:30,320 --> 00:02:32,320 Speaker 1: watch the fourth quarter another the Jets had some type 44 00:02:32,320 --> 00:02:35,120 Speaker 1: of an opportunity to win the game, So it really 45 00:02:35,160 --> 00:02:36,560 Speaker 1: was a wash at that point. Either we were gonna 46 00:02:36,560 --> 00:02:39,280 Speaker 1: get gonna win though minus one and a half bet 47 00:02:39,680 --> 00:02:43,000 Speaker 1: and win that with a two point win for the Jets, 48 00:02:43,080 --> 00:02:45,640 Speaker 1: or we were gonna win the teaser and we were 49 00:02:45,639 --> 00:02:48,440 Speaker 1: gonna win the margin of victory bet either way. So 50 00:02:48,480 --> 00:02:50,920 Speaker 1: that was gonna come in regardless. So just one of 51 00:02:50,919 --> 00:02:53,560 Speaker 1: those opportunities that we look to jump in on grab 52 00:02:53,600 --> 00:02:56,520 Speaker 1: a hold of. Not always would we get the opportunity 53 00:02:56,520 --> 00:02:58,600 Speaker 1: if the books keep on putting those games up, though 54 00:02:58,919 --> 00:03:01,640 Speaker 1: a lot of preseason games are gonna fall between one 55 00:03:01,680 --> 00:03:05,320 Speaker 1: and thirteen points. Just fyi, if Fandal keeps on putting 56 00:03:05,320 --> 00:03:08,399 Speaker 1: that up, it's not a bad bet. Okay, just bet 57 00:03:08,440 --> 00:03:11,040 Speaker 1: it and forget it and bet both sides to get 58 00:03:11,080 --> 00:03:13,720 Speaker 1: plus money on both sides, bet posts both sides, it 59 00:03:13,760 --> 00:03:16,640 Speaker 1: doesn't really matter. It becomes a profit making opportunity versus 60 00:03:16,639 --> 00:03:19,200 Speaker 1: a bet. So not a bad Hall of Fame game, 61 00:03:19,400 --> 00:03:22,760 Speaker 1: but officially down one point one units there one point 62 00:03:22,760 --> 00:03:27,120 Speaker 1: one units on the night. Okay, let's talk baseball tonight. 63 00:03:28,480 --> 00:03:31,280 Speaker 1: I don't have a number on the Braves and the Cubs, Okay, 64 00:03:31,320 --> 00:03:33,600 Speaker 1: but I want to bet the team total or the 65 00:03:33,639 --> 00:03:38,040 Speaker 1: first five over, either Braves team total or first five over, 66 00:03:38,120 --> 00:03:40,920 Speaker 1: depending on what the books put up. Now, why Kyle 67 00:03:41,000 --> 00:03:44,560 Speaker 1: Hendrix is why? I know opposite him is a picture 68 00:03:44,600 --> 00:03:46,280 Speaker 1: that we have to pay attention to with the Braves. 69 00:03:46,280 --> 00:03:49,680 Speaker 1: But Hendrix at home this year has a four point 70 00:03:49,680 --> 00:03:52,520 Speaker 1: two to two ERA posing betting average of two eighty 71 00:03:52,560 --> 00:03:56,720 Speaker 1: three fifteen earned runs in thirty two innings worth of 72 00:03:56,720 --> 00:03:59,320 Speaker 1: work for the Cubs. And we know what the Cubs 73 00:03:59,360 --> 00:04:01,680 Speaker 1: have been doing here. Henrick was pretty good in his 74 00:04:01,720 --> 00:04:03,480 Speaker 1: last start against the Nationals, by the way, six innings, 75 00:04:03,480 --> 00:04:05,040 Speaker 1: only one earned run, but the Red Sox before that 76 00:04:05,480 --> 00:04:08,480 Speaker 1: four and two thirds five earned runs. He gave up 77 00:04:08,600 --> 00:04:11,280 Speaker 1: their three. He gave up three earned runs against the 78 00:04:11,280 --> 00:04:14,880 Speaker 1: Phillies the time before that. This is going to be 79 00:04:14,880 --> 00:04:16,640 Speaker 1: a high scoring series. It's going to be a high 80 00:04:16,640 --> 00:04:19,200 Speaker 1: scoring game. Why because the Cubs are coming off of 81 00:04:19,240 --> 00:04:22,640 Speaker 1: a historic three game stretch in which they have scored 82 00:04:23,000 --> 00:04:26,360 Speaker 1: so many runs. They scored five runs yesterday they won 83 00:04:26,520 --> 00:04:30,520 Speaker 1: five to three. The first half the first five over 84 00:04:30,640 --> 00:04:32,760 Speaker 1: five and a half hit for us. The game actually 85 00:04:32,760 --> 00:04:37,160 Speaker 1: stayed under, but Max Freed going for the Braves. Depending 86 00:04:37,200 --> 00:04:39,839 Speaker 1: on the price. Max Freed on the road has a 87 00:04:39,960 --> 00:04:44,920 Speaker 1: point an zero point six to eight era. Okay, has 88 00:04:44,960 --> 00:04:46,800 Speaker 1: it pitched a ton on the road, he's been hurt, 89 00:04:47,080 --> 00:04:50,719 Speaker 1: but two and zero one earned run in thirteen and 90 00:04:50,760 --> 00:04:52,760 Speaker 1: one third innings worth of work a two twenty four 91 00:04:52,760 --> 00:04:55,000 Speaker 1: opposing batting average. So I think I'm just going to 92 00:04:55,040 --> 00:04:58,360 Speaker 1: focus on the Braves offense against the Cubs pitching most likely, 93 00:04:58,400 --> 00:05:00,440 Speaker 1: But you need a number, Okay, don't know what the 94 00:05:00,440 --> 00:05:02,719 Speaker 1: team total is. Once I get it in the discord 95 00:05:02,800 --> 00:05:05,720 Speaker 1: channel bettingpros dot Com slash chat, I'll tell you what 96 00:05:05,760 --> 00:05:07,800 Speaker 1: I'm doing with the Braves and the Cubs, either team 97 00:05:07,839 --> 00:05:10,839 Speaker 1: total over or first five over, depending on the juice 98 00:05:10,839 --> 00:05:13,240 Speaker 1: and the price. So check back with me later for 99 00:05:13,279 --> 00:05:16,880 Speaker 1: the for that bet here on Friday, now bets, I 100 00:05:16,960 --> 00:05:22,640 Speaker 1: have made let's talk Phillies and their game against Phillies 101 00:05:22,680 --> 00:05:25,800 Speaker 1: and the hold on. I'm blanking on the field, Oh, 102 00:05:25,800 --> 00:05:31,359 Speaker 1: Phillies and the Royals, so it is an opportunity to 103 00:05:32,080 --> 00:05:36,760 Speaker 1: hop in ways Phillies. Sorry, yeah, yeah, yeah, it's Phillies. Royals. Okay, 104 00:05:36,880 --> 00:05:40,360 Speaker 1: Jordan Lyles day, it is an opportunity to jump in here. 105 00:05:40,600 --> 00:05:42,960 Speaker 1: Jordan Lyles is two and twelve with a six point 106 00:05:42,960 --> 00:05:46,440 Speaker 1: one five e RA. Okay. The Phillies team total is 107 00:05:46,600 --> 00:05:48,919 Speaker 1: five and a half at minus one oh two. Jordan 108 00:05:49,000 --> 00:05:52,159 Speaker 1: Lyles on the road this season has a seven point 109 00:05:52,240 --> 00:05:54,960 Speaker 1: five to two e RA. He's one and six opposing 110 00:05:55,000 --> 00:05:57,320 Speaker 1: batting average of two ninety one. Okay. If you look 111 00:05:57,360 --> 00:06:01,760 Speaker 1: at offense and teams run unscored per game at home 112 00:06:02,120 --> 00:06:05,080 Speaker 1: for the Phillies, they are averaging four point five to 113 00:06:05,160 --> 00:06:08,000 Speaker 1: six runs per game at home, so I need a 114 00:06:08,040 --> 00:06:11,160 Speaker 1: full run more than what the Phillies average at home. 115 00:06:11,240 --> 00:06:14,880 Speaker 1: But again it is up against Jordan Lyles and Jordan 116 00:06:14,960 --> 00:06:17,600 Speaker 1: Lyles has not been a good pitcher on the road. 117 00:06:17,640 --> 00:06:20,520 Speaker 1: His last time out against the Yankees, five earned runs 118 00:06:20,560 --> 00:06:24,719 Speaker 1: in five innings. The Yankees scored eight runs against Cleveland 119 00:06:24,800 --> 00:06:26,760 Speaker 1: on the road, he only gave up one earned run, 120 00:06:26,800 --> 00:06:30,360 Speaker 1: but the bullpen gave up five six earned runs scored 121 00:06:30,400 --> 00:06:32,960 Speaker 1: for Cleveland in a six to one loss against Tampa, 122 00:06:33,320 --> 00:06:35,400 Speaker 1: four earned runs given up. They won the game nine 123 00:06:35,440 --> 00:06:37,800 Speaker 1: to four, so that stayed under But against Detroit he 124 00:06:37,839 --> 00:06:40,520 Speaker 1: gave up three earned runs in six innings, team gave 125 00:06:40,600 --> 00:06:44,520 Speaker 1: up six that would have gone over against Miami five 126 00:06:44,560 --> 00:06:47,160 Speaker 1: earned runs given up in seven innings, team gave up 127 00:06:47,200 --> 00:06:49,600 Speaker 1: six that would have gone over five and a half. 128 00:06:49,920 --> 00:06:54,320 Speaker 1: So on the road in his last five games, the 129 00:06:54,440 --> 00:06:57,960 Speaker 1: other team, the opponent has scored six runs or more 130 00:06:58,120 --> 00:07:02,000 Speaker 1: in every game but one one to the over five 131 00:07:02,040 --> 00:07:05,000 Speaker 1: and a half runs. From a team total perspective, we 132 00:07:05,080 --> 00:07:08,279 Speaker 1: know the Phillies can score. We know Jordan Lyles gives 133 00:07:08,360 --> 00:07:10,920 Speaker 1: up bombs. We know this is an opportunity for us 134 00:07:10,960 --> 00:07:13,160 Speaker 1: to jump in here with the Phillies as they start 135 00:07:13,160 --> 00:07:15,920 Speaker 1: to beat up on bad baseball teams and the launching 136 00:07:15,960 --> 00:07:18,600 Speaker 1: pad that is the bell. They're twenty eight to twenty 137 00:07:18,680 --> 00:07:21,240 Speaker 1: at home. This is the first game these teams have played. 138 00:07:21,720 --> 00:07:23,960 Speaker 1: The Phillies are coming off of a pretty long road trip, 139 00:07:24,040 --> 00:07:27,080 Speaker 1: which things did not go extremely well for them on 140 00:07:27,200 --> 00:07:31,200 Speaker 1: that road trip, but they come back home here at home. 141 00:07:31,320 --> 00:07:35,320 Speaker 1: This team has been scoring pretty consistently. You know, five 142 00:07:35,440 --> 00:07:38,080 Speaker 1: six runs, we should be right around this number. It's 143 00:07:38,120 --> 00:07:42,240 Speaker 1: only minus one oh two. Phillies team total over five 144 00:07:42,320 --> 00:07:44,680 Speaker 1: and a half at minus one oh two for one 145 00:07:44,680 --> 00:07:48,520 Speaker 1: point zero two units. And the second bet we're going 146 00:07:48,600 --> 00:07:52,920 Speaker 1: Marlins and the Rangers. Jesus Lozardo is going for the Marlins, 147 00:07:53,000 --> 00:07:57,200 Speaker 1: and I do like Jesus Lozardo, But on the road 148 00:07:57,760 --> 00:08:00,280 Speaker 1: he's a different pitcher than he is at home point 149 00:08:00,280 --> 00:08:03,320 Speaker 1: sixty three ERA four and three record, a two eighty 150 00:08:03,360 --> 00:08:06,640 Speaker 1: eight opposing batting average, twenty four earned runs in forty 151 00:08:06,640 --> 00:08:10,280 Speaker 1: six and two thirds innings worth of work. But it 152 00:08:10,320 --> 00:08:13,400 Speaker 1: really is about Jordan Montgomery, who is coming over to 153 00:08:13,440 --> 00:08:16,720 Speaker 1: the Texas Rangers here, and I don't know, I kind 154 00:08:16,720 --> 00:08:19,320 Speaker 1: of like fading teams and taking a look at guys 155 00:08:19,360 --> 00:08:21,320 Speaker 1: who are making starts for the first time for their 156 00:08:21,360 --> 00:08:24,480 Speaker 1: new team. A little bit of jitters, maybe a little 157 00:08:24,520 --> 00:08:26,720 Speaker 1: bit of a rocky pitching start. We saw it with 158 00:08:26,880 --> 00:08:31,160 Speaker 1: Giledo pitching for the Angels. Montgomery coming over now to 159 00:08:31,240 --> 00:08:34,960 Speaker 1: the Rangers on the road, and again this is a 160 00:08:34,960 --> 00:08:38,520 Speaker 1: different type of situation. But on the road three point 161 00:08:38,520 --> 00:08:41,920 Speaker 1: three four ERA at home three point five zero four 162 00:08:41,960 --> 00:08:44,920 Speaker 1: and four record with a two sixty two opposing batting average. 163 00:08:45,760 --> 00:08:48,000 Speaker 1: But we've got a game log for Jordan Montgomery that 164 00:08:48,080 --> 00:08:50,679 Speaker 1: hasn't been great. It's been kind of up and down. 165 00:08:50,800 --> 00:08:53,920 Speaker 1: He's been decent at times, He's been hit hard at times, 166 00:08:54,640 --> 00:08:56,400 Speaker 1: but I think we have a chance to get some 167 00:08:56,480 --> 00:09:01,400 Speaker 1: offense here because Texas first five offense is absolutely tremendous 168 00:09:01,480 --> 00:09:03,440 Speaker 1: at home. They have a three point nine to one 169 00:09:04,240 --> 00:09:09,280 Speaker 1: at home runs per first five. Miami has not been great, 170 00:09:09,400 --> 00:09:12,840 Speaker 1: but Miami hasn't been horrible either. On the road, Miami 171 00:09:13,040 --> 00:09:15,360 Speaker 1: can put some runs up on the board. Their offense 172 00:09:15,360 --> 00:09:18,040 Speaker 1: has been anemic at times. But if you get two 173 00:09:18,240 --> 00:09:21,160 Speaker 1: or three runs out of Miami here, this is gonna 174 00:09:21,160 --> 00:09:23,040 Speaker 1: be easy. Over four and a half, we really on 175 00:09:23,120 --> 00:09:26,320 Speaker 1: need two runs, three runs out of Texas. And Texas 176 00:09:26,360 --> 00:09:29,240 Speaker 1: has been at home first five averaging three point nine 177 00:09:29,280 --> 00:09:33,640 Speaker 1: to one runs per game first five, and I think 178 00:09:33,640 --> 00:09:35,840 Speaker 1: they got a chance to put some runs up on 179 00:09:35,880 --> 00:09:37,600 Speaker 1: the board. And I get it. I mean there's always 180 00:09:37,640 --> 00:09:40,800 Speaker 1: been good. But they get two, we get three, three, 181 00:09:40,920 --> 00:09:43,439 Speaker 1: two after five, and we go over four and a 182 00:09:43,520 --> 00:09:49,400 Speaker 1: half here at minus one eighteen. Texas Marlins Inner League 183 00:09:49,720 --> 00:09:54,320 Speaker 1: over first five minus one eighteen for one point one 184 00:09:54,400 --> 00:09:57,720 Speaker 1: eight units. Okay, so Braves team total or the first 185 00:09:57,800 --> 00:10:00,000 Speaker 1: five over. We'll see how that plays out little bit 186 00:10:00,080 --> 00:10:02,400 Speaker 1: later on today Discord channel for that. Betting pros dot 187 00:10:02,400 --> 00:10:05,719 Speaker 1: COM's last chat, Phillies over team total five and a 188 00:10:05,760 --> 00:10:09,480 Speaker 1: half at minus one two against Kansas City, Texas and 189 00:10:09,559 --> 00:10:12,840 Speaker 1: Miami first five over four and a half runs at 190 00:10:12,880 --> 00:10:15,920 Speaker 1: minus one eighteen. We're having a winning week. Let's have 191 00:10:15,960 --> 00:10:18,839 Speaker 1: a good Friday. Let's head towards Saturday. A lot of 192 00:10:18,920 --> 00:10:21,000 Speaker 1: things to bet on Saturday, a lot of things to 193 00:10:21,040 --> 00:10:23,720 Speaker 1: bet on on Sunday. I don't think I'm betting on 194 00:10:23,800 --> 00:10:28,480 Speaker 1: Nate Diez and Jake Paul Okay, so you can stop 195 00:10:28,520 --> 00:10:30,840 Speaker 1: asking that question. I will not have action on that fight. 196 00:10:30,960 --> 00:10:33,520 Speaker 1: I don't think I'll even watch that fight, but not 197 00:10:33,559 --> 00:10:35,800 Speaker 1: gonna bet that fight. But there was a good UFC card, 198 00:10:35,880 --> 00:10:39,440 Speaker 1: Rob font fighting against Corey Sandhagen in Nashville, Big cart, 199 00:10:39,520 --> 00:10:42,200 Speaker 1: good card for the UFC. Have something on that other 200 00:10:42,280 --> 00:10:44,480 Speaker 1: things as well to jump in here for the weekend. 201 00:10:44,520 --> 00:10:46,240 Speaker 1: Let's head off to it and have a good time 202 00:10:46,320 --> 00:10:48,480 Speaker 1: with it. Minus Matt Parolz. You guys can follow me 203 00:10:48,520 --> 00:10:51,280 Speaker 1: across all socials at Sports Talk Matt every morning. This 204 00:10:51,400 --> 00:10:54,200 Speaker 1: podcast being brought to you The Daily Juice by Omaha 205 00:10:54,240 --> 00:11:06,480 Speaker 1: Steaks dot Com.