WEBVTT - UAW, EVs, Med Tech, and Microsoft

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to the Bloomberg Markets Podcast. I'm Paul Sweeney, alongside

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<v Speaker 1>my co host Matt Miller.

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<v Speaker 2>Every business day we bring you interviews from CEOs, market pros,

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<v Speaker 2>and Bloomberg experts, along with essential market moven news.

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<v Speaker 1>Find the Bloomberg Markets podcast called Apple Podcasts or wherever

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<v Speaker 1>you listen to podcasts, and at Bloomberg dot com Slash podcast.

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<v Speaker 2>Let's get back to the strike because we're getting red

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<v Speaker 2>headlines across the Bloomberg terminal. Now from Sean Fain's Facebook

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<v Speaker 2>live presentation, he says, the United Autoworkers Union is going

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<v Speaker 2>to expand its strike, but only against General Motors and Stilantis.

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<v Speaker 2>They're not going to expand their strike against Ford. Now.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm not sure what's going to happen to Bronco Production.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm sure a lot of people want to know about that,

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<v Speaker 2>so I'll find out and get back to you on it.

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<v Speaker 2>But they are going to expand their strike against GM.

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<v Speaker 2>At Silantis, we have Kevin Tyne and standing by on

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<v Speaker 2>the phone, Bloomberg Intelligence US autos analyst. Wait is he

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<v Speaker 2>is he there?

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah?

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, good, he's on camera. He's not him on the phone.

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<v Speaker 2>Did you hire him?

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<v Speaker 1>Probably?

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<v Speaker 2>Congratulations, he's very good, Kevin, What do you think about this?

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<v Speaker 2>So it seems like they're getting along a little better

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<v Speaker 2>with Bill Ford now and historically they do get along

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<v Speaker 2>better with the Ford Motor Company because of the Ford

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<v Speaker 2>family and because of Bill. Really with GM and Stilantis,

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<v Speaker 2>they still have serious beef. How do you read it?

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I mean using it as leverage, right, saying by

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<v Speaker 4>expanding for Stilanthason GM and holding the line on Ford

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<v Speaker 4>probably motivates, you know, the competitors to get in there

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<v Speaker 4>and be a little bit more aggressive with with their

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<v Speaker 4>negotiating in terms of what they're willing to give. But

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<v Speaker 4>but you know, it's it's not over yet. You know,

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<v Speaker 4>there's still probably a ways to go, and and you know,

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<v Speaker 4>things like this, you might mean the biggest issues or

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<v Speaker 4>the easiest issue, use the low hanging fruit is handled,

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<v Speaker 4>but it's probably going to be in the details before

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<v Speaker 4>anything is really agreed to across the board.

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<v Speaker 1>Hey, Kevin, is there like you've probably done I'm sure

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<v Speaker 1>you've done analysis. When does his strike start there hurt

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<v Speaker 1>them financially? The big three?

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<v Speaker 4>It's weeks, not you know, not days obviously, And keep

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<v Speaker 4>in mind too, there's there was a build up of

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<v Speaker 4>inventory ahead, so there are units on the ground, and

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<v Speaker 4>you could think of it of a little bit of

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<v Speaker 4>a working capital shift from one quarter to the next

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<v Speaker 4>unless it gets you know, very long. The last one

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<v Speaker 4>was forty days and twenty nineteen against General Motors, and

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<v Speaker 4>that's significant, right, so, and historically, even though inventory is

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<v Speaker 4>above where it was a year ago, it's still very low. Historically.

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<v Speaker 4>I think I calculated it out to start September was

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<v Speaker 4>probably about forty three days of inventory for the end

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<v Speaker 4>Street has a whole and typically fifty five to sixty

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<v Speaker 4>five days is considered manageable. So it's below what's considered

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<v Speaker 4>you know, a healthy level. And at the worst, these

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<v Speaker 4>the domestic automakers, they would have eighty ninety days supply

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<v Speaker 4>in some months, so significantly off that, but but not

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<v Speaker 4>as bad as it was prior to the to the pandemic.

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<v Speaker 2>In terms of job security, I mean, we know that

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<v Speaker 2>they're asking for pay rises. Obviously they also want to

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<v Speaker 2>be pension, which is seems less likely, although I'd love

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<v Speaker 2>to hear your take a four day work week, which

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<v Speaker 2>is like nice, there's no way in hell, right, But

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<v Speaker 2>they want actual job security. So from GM there's a

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<v Speaker 2>ton of cars coming, you know, new production. Mary Barros

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<v Speaker 2>say is they won't need fewer workers for electric vehicles.

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<v Speaker 2>There's just a massive offering there from Stilantis, not so much.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, they have a couple brands that seems like

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<v Speaker 2>they're about to die out.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, look, and I think it's it's the line of

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<v Speaker 4>sight is pretty clear, right. So the automakers have made

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<v Speaker 4>a lot of money in the past couple of years,

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<v Speaker 4>not even just through the last contract, but probably over

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<v Speaker 4>the last decade, and it's very easy for the union

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<v Speaker 4>to point to that and say, we want our share

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<v Speaker 4>of that. You've been very profitable due to the concessions

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<v Speaker 4>we've given over the last couple of contracts, all the

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<v Speaker 4>way through the bankruptcy period, and it's not going to

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<v Speaker 4>be easy for the manufacturers to hide that, right that

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<v Speaker 4>you can see that money every day in every filing.

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<v Speaker 4>But at the same time, the manufacturers can look at

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<v Speaker 4>the unions and say, but look at our production. Look

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<v Speaker 4>at our sales volume is way down from the twenty

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<v Speaker 4>seventeen peak in this country. US sales in twenty seventeen,

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<v Speaker 4>we're seventeen and a half million. We're running out of

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<v Speaker 4>fifteen to four. So I think it's going to be

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<v Speaker 4>the manufacturer's pointing to that and telling the union, we

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<v Speaker 4>can't give you a whole lot of job security. This

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<v Speaker 4>market is smaller and it's going to continue to be smaller.

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<v Speaker 4>Transaction prices will be higher, margins will be better, the

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<v Speaker 4>money will be there, but we can't guarantee capacity and

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<v Speaker 4>headcount going forward. We need that flexibility. And then on

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<v Speaker 4>pensions and healthcare, you know, the manufacturers have a very

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<v Speaker 4>easy time of directing the eye of the union too.

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<v Speaker 4>That's what we were bankrupt, remember in twenty two, thousand

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<v Speaker 4>and nine and twenty ten, and that's the structure we had, right,

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<v Speaker 4>So two of those three things are a little bit

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<v Speaker 4>easier for the manufacturer to explain away.

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<v Speaker 3>The money is not. So I think when.

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<v Speaker 4>All is said and done, the likelihood is that the

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<v Speaker 4>manufacturers pay up, but they want that flexibility to adjust

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<v Speaker 4>the cost structure going forward. And I think, you know,

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<v Speaker 4>the pension and healthcare going back to the way it

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<v Speaker 4>was in prior to the bankruptcy period is just a

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<v Speaker 4>non starter. I don't even think that gets discussed in

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<v Speaker 4>any seriousness.

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<v Speaker 1>So I didn't believe you, Kevin A. Couple of years

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<v Speaker 1>ago when you said the industry was going to go

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<v Speaker 1>from a mode of seventeen seventeen and a half million

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<v Speaker 1>production down to you know, something materially less like fifteen

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<v Speaker 1>and a half or something like that. But once again

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<v Speaker 1>you were right, and that do you think the union

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<v Speaker 1>believes that?

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<v Speaker 4>Well, here's the thing, right is that is that you

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<v Speaker 4>have to look at at least one other input. Right,

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<v Speaker 4>everybody wants to talk about volume and the headline of

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<v Speaker 4>seventeen and a half versus fifteen four, but revenue per

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<v Speaker 4>unit matters, right, So while production and sales are down,

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<v Speaker 4>average transaction price is at a record, right, We're heading

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<v Speaker 4>to fifty thousand dollars, So when you multiply out just

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<v Speaker 4>back of the envelope, the revenue pool is actually larger.

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<v Speaker 4>So you know, you have to understand that not every

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<v Speaker 4>unit is the same as every other unit. You know,

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<v Speaker 4>a twenty thousand dollars Toyota Corolla is not a sixty

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<v Speaker 4>five thousand dollars f one point fifty. And this industry

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<v Speaker 4>is moving towards the latter to say, we just want

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<v Speaker 4>to sell as many sixty five thousand dollars things as

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<v Speaker 4>we can. We're willing to give up the bottom.

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<v Speaker 3>Of that market.

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<v Speaker 4>It means our volume goes away, but really the revenue

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<v Speaker 4>pool and the revenue contribution and the profit contribution and

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<v Speaker 4>your margins are just way better. And I think that's

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<v Speaker 4>what this industry becomes going forward.

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<v Speaker 2>By the way, on that note, I wanted originally I

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<v Speaker 2>was planning on talking with you about the Jeep Grand

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<v Speaker 2>Wagoneer Obsidian Series three that I'm driving right now, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>before this hard news crash the party. But that is

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<v Speaker 2>an extremely expensive vehicle. It's the biggest vehicle Jeep has

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<v Speaker 2>ever made. The one I'm driving is one hundred and

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<v Speaker 2>fourteen hundred and fifteen thousand dollars in this trim. And

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<v Speaker 2>though I love the new Hurricane five to ten, the

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<v Speaker 2>Inline six, it's amazing, five hundred and ten horse power,

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<v Speaker 2>five hundred pound feet of torque. For the same price,

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<v Speaker 2>you can get a Range Rover or a BMW X

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<v Speaker 2>seven the M sixty version, or a Cadillac Escalade the

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<v Speaker 2>Ultra super Luxury Platinum version. Like why are they selling

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<v Speaker 2>these one hundred and thirteen hundred and fourteen thousand dollars Jeeps?

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I mean, then look the average on Grand Wagoneer.

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<v Speaker 4>I just looked it up. Is one hundred and five

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<v Speaker 4>thousand is the average, you know, sales weighted, you know,

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<v Speaker 4>but that's right there with Expedition, it's there with Suburban.

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<v Speaker 4>That's what you know. Those have become the profit centers

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<v Speaker 4>because you're sharing platform and components with pickup trucks and

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<v Speaker 4>now you're just adding content that's pure profits. So you know,

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<v Speaker 4>that's kind of my point is that, look, if you

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<v Speaker 4>sell one of those how many you know, dodged darts

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<v Speaker 4>did you have to sell to get.

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<v Speaker 2>Anywhere near that?

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<v Speaker 4>And you probably lost money on every Dodge Dart, which

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<v Speaker 4>is why it doesn't exist anymore.

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<v Speaker 3>You know.

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<v Speaker 2>So the old world the hornet coming out.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, well the old world would be like, run production

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<v Speaker 4>on hornet all day long and then figure out how

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<v Speaker 4>to sell it. And it's like the new model is

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<v Speaker 4>going to be, Hey, if we can sell one or

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<v Speaker 4>two Grand Wagoneers, we can cut production of hornet. Which

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<v Speaker 4>is why I say in this contract negotiation, you know,

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<v Speaker 4>the manufacturers need to protect that flexibility going forward, saying

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<v Speaker 4>this is going to be a smaller market because we're

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<v Speaker 4>selling more expensive things.

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<v Speaker 1>Man's if I were an investor, I'd be like, I

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<v Speaker 1>like this auto industry better than the old auto industry.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, for sure.

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<v Speaker 1>This industry's more, more problem and that's w Kevin has

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<v Speaker 1>been telling us for years. That's where it's going.

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<v Speaker 2>But if you're a UAW were feel that way.

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<v Speaker 1>No, absolute opposite, Kevin Tinny, thanks so much for joining us.

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<v Speaker 1>Kevin is our lead auto analyst for Bloomberg Intelligence.

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<v Speaker 5>You're listening to the team Ken's are Live program Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 5>Markets weekdays at ten am Eastern on Bloomberg dot com,

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<v Speaker 5>the iHeartRadio app and the Bloomberg Business app, or listen

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<v Speaker 5>on demand wherever you get your podcasts.

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<v Speaker 2>Now. Yesterday, Paul and I were talking with a gentleman

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<v Speaker 2>who said, you know, one of the big problems in

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<v Speaker 2>terms of battery production is that a lot of the

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<v Speaker 2>stuff is mined elsewhere, and then most of it is

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<v Speaker 2>processed in China. Yep, China, China. So our next guest

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<v Speaker 2>is hoping to change that a little bit. Nevade Alum

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<v Speaker 2>joins us. He's president CEO of Evolution and they are

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<v Speaker 2>working on a I guess cobalt processing plant in Yuma, Arizona,

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<v Speaker 2>which should supply when it's up to speed about a

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<v Speaker 2>million batteries? What a year, Nevade? Is that an annual

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<v Speaker 2>figure that you want to be a cobalt for a

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<v Speaker 2>million batteries a year?

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<v Speaker 6>Yes, that's correct, Matt, one million a year. You know,

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<v Speaker 6>right now.

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<v Speaker 7>There's thirty cobalt processing facilities in China and zero in

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<v Speaker 7>North America, so you know we need to catch up here.

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<v Speaker 7>That's and you know, luckily we started this process a

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<v Speaker 7>few years ago before the IRA and the other laws,

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<v Speaker 7>and now we're catching a nice ailwind.

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<v Speaker 6>So it's going really well.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, do you get any financing benefits from that? Tax

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<v Speaker 2>breaks from that legislation? I mean, are there subsidies that

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<v Speaker 2>you can take advantage of here?

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah?

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<v Speaker 7>Absolutely, though I will say we were going to do

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<v Speaker 7>this plant without those.

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<v Speaker 6>Subsidies, but it's a great help for us for sure.

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<v Speaker 2>So how much are you going to spend to build

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<v Speaker 2>this plant? I know that Uma because I read in

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<v Speaker 2>a local newspaper expects to have a ton of revenue

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<v Speaker 2>sort of as a job as a knock on effect

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<v Speaker 2>jobs and everything. But how much youre going to spend

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<v Speaker 2>to build it? And when are you gonna be done

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<v Speaker 2>making it all?

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<v Speaker 1>A park?

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<v Speaker 7>Around three hundred million dollars and it'll be done in

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<v Speaker 7>twenty twenty six.

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<v Speaker 6>We think, all.

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<v Speaker 1>Right, so what actually happens at a cobalt processing facility

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<v Speaker 1>and how does that how's that part of the whole

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<v Speaker 1>battery situation.

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<v Speaker 7>So cobolt is a really important metal, uh for EV batteries,

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<v Speaker 7>for normal regulation and for energy density and for you know,

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<v Speaker 7>giving you long range and good cold weather performance. It's

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<v Speaker 7>also extremely important in aerospace and defense. It's used in

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<v Speaker 7>hypersonic missiles and stealth bombers. So it's a really critical

0:12:16.040 --> 0:12:20.680
<v Speaker 7>material for the United States to have self sufficiency in.

0:12:22.280 --> 0:12:26.920
<v Speaker 7>So what we do is we take cobalt hydroxide, so

0:12:27.080 --> 0:12:32.319
<v Speaker 7>already processed cobalt that is processed in Africa, and then

0:12:32.400 --> 0:12:34.600
<v Speaker 7>it'll come here to the United States instead of going

0:12:34.640 --> 0:12:37.760
<v Speaker 7>to China. And you know what the Chinese do is

0:12:37.800 --> 0:12:39.680
<v Speaker 7>they just process it there and then send it back

0:12:39.720 --> 0:12:42.520
<v Speaker 7>to the United States for the cars here such as

0:12:42.520 --> 0:12:48.480
<v Speaker 7>Tesla and other electric automakers. But we want to skip

0:12:48.480 --> 0:12:50.840
<v Speaker 7>the China step, just bring it straight here to America,

0:12:51.000 --> 0:12:55.679
<v Speaker 7>process it into cobalt sulfate, which is the salt that

0:12:55.800 --> 0:13:00.559
<v Speaker 7>goes into the cathode portion of the EV battery. And

0:13:01.000 --> 0:13:04.120
<v Speaker 7>sell it to the new plants that have been announced

0:13:04.160 --> 0:13:09.840
<v Speaker 7>in the United States by General Motors, LG, Samsung Ford.

0:13:10.080 --> 0:13:13.280
<v Speaker 7>You know, they're spending billions of dollars building these what

0:13:13.320 --> 0:13:19.240
<v Speaker 7>they call battery precursor plants. They're going to use nickel sulfate,

0:13:19.320 --> 0:13:22.760
<v Speaker 7>cobalt sulfate, manganese sulfate and put it all together and

0:13:22.800 --> 0:13:23.640
<v Speaker 7>make a battery pack.

0:13:24.440 --> 0:13:28.079
<v Speaker 2>Now I've seen I guess a rendering of the plant

0:13:28.720 --> 0:13:33.320
<v Speaker 2>in Yuma, and one of the things you immediately notice, Paul,

0:13:33.400 --> 0:13:38.080
<v Speaker 2>check this out. Yeah, giant colar facility, even bigger than

0:13:38.120 --> 0:13:41.720
<v Speaker 2>the actual processing plant. So I know, you guys want

0:13:41.720 --> 0:13:44.679
<v Speaker 2>to be carbon neutral. This is all going to be

0:13:45.120 --> 0:13:46.320
<v Speaker 2>powered by the sun.

0:13:47.480 --> 0:13:50.760
<v Speaker 7>Yes, Indeed, Yuma County is the sunniest county in the

0:13:50.880 --> 0:13:53.719
<v Speaker 7>United States, so it's it's pretty easy, we think, to

0:13:54.440 --> 0:13:58.480
<v Speaker 7>do the full on solar power one hundred percent solar,

0:13:58.600 --> 0:14:01.800
<v Speaker 7>no greenhouse gas, is, no propane, no diesel.

0:14:03.040 --> 0:14:06.080
<v Speaker 6>So we also are.

0:14:05.760 --> 0:14:08.320
<v Speaker 7>Going to be benefiting the local farmers by selling them

0:14:08.360 --> 0:14:12.480
<v Speaker 7>back some of our excess solar production at cost. They're

0:14:12.480 --> 0:14:14.959
<v Speaker 7>losing a lot of hydro power from.

0:14:14.800 --> 0:14:17.120
<v Speaker 6>The lower levels on the Colorado.

0:14:16.640 --> 0:14:20.440
<v Speaker 7>River, so they're very excited about our coming in and

0:14:20.720 --> 0:14:22.080
<v Speaker 7>building this facility there.

0:14:22.280 --> 0:14:24.960
<v Speaker 2>Well, I heard that you know you like Yuma, not

0:14:25.000 --> 0:14:27.360
<v Speaker 2>only because I guess apparently your wife is from Yuma

0:14:27.800 --> 0:14:28.280
<v Speaker 2>for one thing.

0:14:28.360 --> 0:14:28.840
<v Speaker 6>That's right.

0:14:29.320 --> 0:14:34.440
<v Speaker 2>It's also very sunny, low cost of living, low regulatory

0:14:34.840 --> 0:14:40.320
<v Speaker 2>kind of hassle there, but it's close to like all

0:14:40.360 --> 0:14:43.360
<v Speaker 2>the used batteries coming back out of California is what

0:14:43.400 --> 0:14:46.480
<v Speaker 2>I read. So are you recycling cobalt there?

0:14:47.560 --> 0:14:49.880
<v Speaker 6>We will. We intend to recycle as well.

0:14:50.040 --> 0:14:53.800
<v Speaker 7>So you know, our first phase is to build a

0:14:53.880 --> 0:14:58.000
<v Speaker 7>sulfate facility, which is sort of I think the easy,

0:14:58.360 --> 0:15:01.080
<v Speaker 7>easier thing. It's a very established to tchnology around the world.

0:15:01.120 --> 0:15:03.240
<v Speaker 7>As I said, there's thirty of these plants in China.

0:15:03.880 --> 0:15:09.000
<v Speaker 7>And then as more and more batteries are spent and

0:15:09.120 --> 0:15:11.920
<v Speaker 7>used up, we want to recycle some of those into

0:15:12.480 --> 0:15:14.960
<v Speaker 7>turning them around and getting the cobalt back out of them.

0:15:15.520 --> 0:15:19.800
<v Speaker 7>And then lastly we want to add a cobalt metal

0:15:20.200 --> 0:15:22.480
<v Speaker 7>facility for aerospace and defense.

0:15:22.960 --> 0:15:24.920
<v Speaker 6>So that's part of the strategic.

0:15:24.520 --> 0:15:29.160
<v Speaker 7>Reserve announced by the President under the Defense Production Act.

0:15:29.200 --> 0:15:31.840
<v Speaker 1>How do you think you will be able to compete

0:15:32.040 --> 0:15:35.800
<v Speaker 1>against the Chinese? They actually have much greater scale, presumably

0:15:36.520 --> 0:15:39.400
<v Speaker 1>government support to some level. How do you think about

0:15:39.400 --> 0:15:40.320
<v Speaker 1>the competitive environment.

0:15:41.920 --> 0:15:45.320
<v Speaker 7>Well, you know, there is no cobalt mined in China either.

0:15:45.520 --> 0:15:48.120
<v Speaker 7>They all take it out of Africa, so we're competing

0:15:48.120 --> 0:15:50.040
<v Speaker 7>with them in Africa. We're going to bring it here

0:15:50.080 --> 0:15:53.400
<v Speaker 7>instead of taking to China, and so logistically we save money.

0:15:53.680 --> 0:15:55.920
<v Speaker 7>The other great thing about Yuma County and where we

0:15:55.960 --> 0:15:59.200
<v Speaker 7>are is right on the border of California and Mexico.

0:15:59.280 --> 0:16:01.080
<v Speaker 7>So we need to come through the port of Long

0:16:01.120 --> 0:16:04.240
<v Speaker 7>Beach or the port of Ensenada with our inputs. So

0:16:04.440 --> 0:16:07.240
<v Speaker 7>and it's only three hours by truck from Ensenada or

0:16:07.320 --> 0:16:10.520
<v Speaker 7>Long Beach. So I think logistically it's the great spot

0:16:10.560 --> 0:16:13.720
<v Speaker 7>we're on in State eight. We're on the up railroad,

0:16:14.200 --> 0:16:17.280
<v Speaker 7>so we we picked it. Also because logistics are important

0:16:17.360 --> 0:16:20.000
<v Speaker 7>in these in these kinds of deals.

0:16:20.640 --> 0:16:24.480
<v Speaker 1>What is it I mean from a competitive perspective? Again,

0:16:24.800 --> 0:16:27.400
<v Speaker 1>can you will you be competing on price to your

0:16:27.440 --> 0:16:31.040
<v Speaker 1>customers here? Can you because of the lower presumably the

0:16:31.080 --> 0:16:34.880
<v Speaker 1>lower logistics costs of nothing else away from China?

0:16:36.000 --> 0:16:38.760
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, Well, look, it's it's a combination of price, and

0:16:38.840 --> 0:16:42.040
<v Speaker 7>we would have been competing on price initially, but more

0:16:42.120 --> 0:16:45.720
<v Speaker 7>now there's tariffs on Chinese sul faith, there's the IRA

0:16:46.400 --> 0:16:52.520
<v Speaker 7>regulations about Chinese inputs that come in to the EV

0:16:52.720 --> 0:16:55.480
<v Speaker 7>battery supply chain. You know, there's a lot of new

0:16:55.800 --> 0:16:58.840
<v Speaker 7>laws that are sort of helping us compete on price,

0:16:59.320 --> 0:17:03.240
<v Speaker 7>so we may be able to charge us higher price

0:17:03.280 --> 0:17:06.120
<v Speaker 7>than we might have ordinarily, you know if there were

0:17:06.119 --> 0:17:07.040
<v Speaker 7>none of these laws.

0:17:08.240 --> 0:17:10.560
<v Speaker 2>All right, it's I think a fascinating story, and we're

0:17:10.600 --> 0:17:13.520
<v Speaker 2>finally starting to see movement, maybe because it's.

0:17:13.359 --> 0:17:15.080
<v Speaker 1>Climate Week and we saw a bunch of these folks

0:17:15.080 --> 0:17:15.520
<v Speaker 1>this week.

0:17:15.840 --> 0:17:19.280
<v Speaker 2>No, I mean, I mean in terms of bringing processing

0:17:19.280 --> 0:17:23.480
<v Speaker 2>here because Nevade, I don't know how much you talk

0:17:23.560 --> 0:17:26.359
<v Speaker 2>with other people in the kind of battery supply chain,

0:17:26.440 --> 0:17:29.359
<v Speaker 2>but I imagine we must be trying to bring a

0:17:29.400 --> 0:17:33.159
<v Speaker 2>lot more processing of cobalt, lithium and rare earths to

0:17:33.200 --> 0:17:34.439
<v Speaker 2>the US at some point.

0:17:34.520 --> 0:17:37.280
<v Speaker 6>Right, Yes, it's all happening.

0:17:37.320 --> 0:17:41.240
<v Speaker 7>It's it's hundreds of billions of dollars of investment, real

0:17:41.480 --> 0:17:45.200
<v Speaker 7>you know, team effort, Lots of big corporations, as I mentioned, LG,

0:17:45.440 --> 0:17:49.880
<v Speaker 7>General Motors, Samsung. They've announced billion dollar plants in Georgia,

0:17:50.000 --> 0:17:53.879
<v Speaker 7>South Carolina, Tennessee, even Arizona. LG is building in a

0:17:53.920 --> 0:17:57.120
<v Speaker 7>five and a half billion dollar plant just up the road.

0:17:57.880 --> 0:17:59.520
<v Speaker 6>In Phoenix, just south of Phoenix.

0:17:59.560 --> 0:18:02.960
<v Speaker 7>So that you know, is going to help us sell

0:18:03.000 --> 0:18:05.000
<v Speaker 7>our product into the United States.

0:18:05.240 --> 0:18:08.120
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, so it's moving. Yeah, the infrastructure, the supply chain

0:18:08.160 --> 0:18:08.880
<v Speaker 2>is moving here.

0:18:09.119 --> 0:18:11.199
<v Speaker 1>That's right, all right, Neved, thanks so much for joining us.

0:18:11.280 --> 0:18:14.720
<v Speaker 1>Nevade Alam he is a president and CEO of Evolution

0:18:15.359 --> 0:18:17.760
<v Speaker 1>there in getting into the battery business and the processing

0:18:17.760 --> 0:18:19.720
<v Speaker 1>of all the cobolt and all that kind of stuff.

0:18:19.760 --> 0:18:23.360
<v Speaker 5>You're listening to the tape cancer Live program Bloomberg Markets

0:18:23.400 --> 0:18:26.800
<v Speaker 5>weekdays at ten am Eastern on Bloomberg Radio, the tune

0:18:26.840 --> 0:18:29.800
<v Speaker 5>in app, Bloomberg dot Com, and the Bloomberg Business App.

0:18:29.840 --> 0:18:32.639
<v Speaker 5>You can also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our

0:18:32.680 --> 0:18:37.720
<v Speaker 5>flagship New York station. Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty.

0:18:39.119 --> 0:18:41.960
<v Speaker 1>It is United Nations General Assembly Week here in New York.

0:18:42.000 --> 0:18:44.960
<v Speaker 1>And then we've got lots of unga, lots of stuff happened,

0:18:45.040 --> 0:18:47.560
<v Speaker 1>lots of terrible traffic. But one of the key areas

0:18:47.720 --> 0:18:51.479
<v Speaker 1>is Russia and various sanctions on Russia as it relates

0:18:51.480 --> 0:18:54.040
<v Speaker 1>to the Ukraine War. One area that is going to

0:18:54.040 --> 0:18:57.560
<v Speaker 1>come up for discussion very soon is going to be

0:18:57.600 --> 0:19:00.879
<v Speaker 1>banned on Russian diamonds, so we went to get to

0:19:00.960 --> 0:19:02.639
<v Speaker 1>the bottom of that. We could do that with our

0:19:02.680 --> 0:19:07.720
<v Speaker 1>next guest on Core Daga, CEO of Ongara and Encore,

0:19:07.800 --> 0:19:11.760
<v Speaker 1>thanks so much for joining us again here talk to

0:19:11.840 --> 0:19:15.639
<v Speaker 1>us about just remind us what you do at Angara.

0:19:15.800 --> 0:19:16.080
<v Speaker 5>Sure.

0:19:16.160 --> 0:19:19.679
<v Speaker 8>So, at Angara we are vertically integrated online jewelers. So

0:19:19.720 --> 0:19:23.280
<v Speaker 8>we do everything from cutting and polishing gemstones, to designing jewelry,

0:19:23.280 --> 0:19:26.120
<v Speaker 8>to manufacturing jewelry to retailing over the web in over

0:19:26.200 --> 0:19:26.920
<v Speaker 8>thirty countries.

0:19:28.680 --> 0:19:29.040
<v Speaker 6>All right.

0:19:29.160 --> 0:19:31.439
<v Speaker 2>So I all right, So I had a question on

0:19:31.480 --> 0:19:33.800
<v Speaker 2>a slightly dip before we get into that business, on

0:19:33.880 --> 0:19:38.000
<v Speaker 2>a slightly different thing. I always kind of wonder, isn't

0:19:38.080 --> 0:19:41.879
<v Speaker 2>Wharton the grad school? And I see some people who

0:19:41.960 --> 0:19:44.240
<v Speaker 2>do the undergraduate thing at Wharton, But isn't that Penn.

0:19:45.359 --> 0:19:47.600
<v Speaker 8>Yes, so Wharton is one of the schools in Penn.

0:19:48.440 --> 0:19:50.240
<v Speaker 8>But it is undergrad and grad school.

0:19:50.280 --> 0:19:50.600
<v Speaker 6>All right.

0:19:50.680 --> 0:19:55.200
<v Speaker 2>So you go to Wharton, you study finance there in entrepreneurship,

0:19:55.200 --> 0:19:57.680
<v Speaker 2>then you go get your MBA from Harvard. I've heard

0:19:57.720 --> 0:20:01.760
<v Speaker 2>of it trade school. You decide I'm going to become

0:20:01.760 --> 0:20:02.280
<v Speaker 2>a jeweler.

0:20:03.119 --> 0:20:03.320
<v Speaker 3>Yeah.

0:20:03.359 --> 0:20:05.840
<v Speaker 8>So interestingly, I grew up in the jewelry business, so

0:20:05.920 --> 0:20:08.879
<v Speaker 8>I've kind of played with gemstones a say, age of five.

0:20:09.800 --> 0:20:11.959
<v Speaker 8>I always thought I would never come into the industry

0:20:11.960 --> 0:20:14.879
<v Speaker 8>because it is pretty antiquated and old fashioned, as you

0:20:14.920 --> 0:20:18.360
<v Speaker 8>can imagine. But after work and I went to McKenzie.

0:20:18.440 --> 0:20:21.560
<v Speaker 8>My largest project was turning around a major jewelry retailer,

0:20:21.960 --> 0:20:23.880
<v Speaker 8>and that's when I fell in love with the trade again.

0:20:23.920 --> 0:20:26.120
<v Speaker 8>I saw a lot of opportunities, especially online.

0:20:26.880 --> 0:20:27.480
<v Speaker 1>So here we are.

0:20:27.760 --> 0:20:31.480
<v Speaker 2>So you could have just gone straight to the jewelry business.

0:20:31.720 --> 0:20:34.120
<v Speaker 2>You didn't need to stop. You didn't need to stop

0:20:34.160 --> 0:20:37.520
<v Speaker 2>at McKenzie, You didn't need to stop at Harvard, right,

0:20:37.960 --> 0:20:42.400
<v Speaker 2>But what did you learn at those places that gave

0:20:42.440 --> 0:20:45.120
<v Speaker 2>you an edge now in this business?

0:20:45.400 --> 0:20:47.879
<v Speaker 8>So, I think the industry is one of the most

0:20:47.920 --> 0:20:50.960
<v Speaker 8>fragmented industries out there. So when you compare it to

0:20:51.040 --> 0:20:55.040
<v Speaker 8>any other part of retail. So for example, Signet, which

0:20:55.080 --> 0:20:56.960
<v Speaker 8>is the number one jeweler in the US, only has

0:20:57.040 --> 0:20:59.600
<v Speaker 8>less than ten percent market share you compared to something

0:20:59.640 --> 0:21:02.720
<v Speaker 8>like a best By, which has a much more dominant position.

0:21:02.800 --> 0:21:05.040
<v Speaker 8>So the idea was, how do we structure the industry

0:21:05.080 --> 0:21:07.280
<v Speaker 8>in a way that allows us to get to that

0:21:07.440 --> 0:21:09.480
<v Speaker 8>scale where we can really dominate the industry?

0:21:10.680 --> 0:21:12.600
<v Speaker 1>All Right, so one of the news items you and

0:21:12.640 --> 0:21:15.720
<v Speaker 1>I were talking about it before is Russia. Russia supplies

0:21:15.720 --> 0:21:17.920
<v Speaker 1>a lot of diamonds. Then they're going to I guess

0:21:17.920 --> 0:21:19.520
<v Speaker 1>the G seven is gonna put some sanctions on it

0:21:19.640 --> 0:21:21.000
<v Speaker 1>or something like that. What's what's happening there.

0:21:21.160 --> 0:21:23.080
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, So in a couple of weeks there's likely to

0:21:23.160 --> 0:21:25.600
<v Speaker 8>be a ban announced, and the ban would be for

0:21:25.680 --> 0:21:28.719
<v Speaker 8>all Russian diamonds. So just as a precursor to this,

0:21:28.840 --> 0:21:32.600
<v Speaker 8>April twenty twenty two, the Biden administration is issued in

0:21:32.640 --> 0:21:35.800
<v Speaker 8>executive order to ban Russian diamonds. So this has already

0:21:35.800 --> 0:21:39.040
<v Speaker 8>been done by the US and UK. The key difference

0:21:39.040 --> 0:21:41.560
<v Speaker 8>here is twofold. One is instead of two countries, it's

0:21:41.560 --> 0:21:44.840
<v Speaker 8>seven countries. And second, and I think far more importantly,

0:21:45.640 --> 0:21:48.399
<v Speaker 8>is the previous band was only on rough. Now the

0:21:48.440 --> 0:21:52.560
<v Speaker 8>thing is for rough diamonds, those get exported typically from

0:21:52.600 --> 0:21:56.919
<v Speaker 8>Russia to India, China or Antwerp, and in this case,

0:21:57.400 --> 0:22:00.680
<v Speaker 8>the cutting and polishing happens in those centers and those

0:22:00.680 --> 0:22:03.520
<v Speaker 8>are then substantially transformed goods, so they are no longer

0:22:03.520 --> 0:22:07.919
<v Speaker 8>considered Russian diamonds. So that previous band really had no teeth.

0:22:08.080 --> 0:22:12.560
<v Speaker 8>This is very different because they're thinking about prohibiting cutting

0:22:12.600 --> 0:22:16.520
<v Speaker 8>and polished Russian diamonds from entering any of the G seven,

0:22:16.560 --> 0:22:20.879
<v Speaker 8>which is really sixty five percent of the total market demand.

0:22:21.840 --> 0:22:24.399
<v Speaker 2>This is what we do with Russian goods that we

0:22:24.440 --> 0:22:28.040
<v Speaker 2>want to put sanctions on them, so you know we're serious.

0:22:28.400 --> 0:22:31.720
<v Speaker 2>But they can send the goods to India or China

0:22:31.760 --> 0:22:33.720
<v Speaker 2>to get finished and then we'll buy them. Yeah, you

0:22:33.760 --> 0:22:35.600
<v Speaker 2>know exactly.

0:22:36.560 --> 0:22:39.000
<v Speaker 1>Russian terms of how big is Russian terms of being

0:22:39.000 --> 0:22:39.520
<v Speaker 1>a supplier.

0:22:39.880 --> 0:22:42.800
<v Speaker 8>So Russian diamond market is roughly four billion. There was

0:22:42.800 --> 0:22:45.320
<v Speaker 8>four billion in exports back in twenty twenty one before

0:22:45.359 --> 0:22:48.720
<v Speaker 8>the war. Just you know, just to compare that to

0:22:48.760 --> 0:22:52.320
<v Speaker 8>the overall GDP. Overall Russian GDP in twenty twenty one

0:22:52.440 --> 0:22:55.080
<v Speaker 8>was one point seven trillion, So you're really talking about

0:22:55.160 --> 0:22:58.600
<v Speaker 8>point two percent of the market. To the previous point,

0:22:58.680 --> 0:23:02.399
<v Speaker 8>it is more optics than reality because point two percent

0:23:02.440 --> 0:23:06.359
<v Speaker 8>is a pretty small part of the overall market to change.

0:23:06.520 --> 0:23:09.880
<v Speaker 1>All right, So where where do you typically get your diamonds?

0:23:10.840 --> 0:23:14.480
<v Speaker 8>So we typically buy from siteholders, which are the customers

0:23:14.480 --> 0:23:18.040
<v Speaker 8>of Dibber's. So typically Botswan and Sort is our number

0:23:18.080 --> 0:23:21.359
<v Speaker 8>one source. So we started avoiding Russian diamonds back in

0:23:21.440 --> 0:23:23.359
<v Speaker 8>twenty twenty two when the ban in the US was

0:23:23.400 --> 0:23:27.119
<v Speaker 8>announced preemptively. So for US it doesn't really affect us

0:23:27.160 --> 0:23:29.320
<v Speaker 8>because we don't source Russian diamonds in any case.

0:23:30.560 --> 0:23:36.159
<v Speaker 2>How fungible are these stones? I mean, how would you

0:23:36.480 --> 0:23:40.520
<v Speaker 2>know if a diamond came, you know, cut, polished, finished,

0:23:40.600 --> 0:23:42.399
<v Speaker 2>out of Russia. It doesn't have any kind of like

0:23:42.760 --> 0:23:43.960
<v Speaker 2>microchip inside it.

0:23:44.000 --> 0:23:47.720
<v Speaker 8>There's no tag, right, It's hard, and that's why this

0:23:47.840 --> 0:23:51.080
<v Speaker 8>ban is going to be especially difficult to enforce. But

0:23:51.480 --> 0:23:55.159
<v Speaker 8>the idea behind it is really implementing blockchain technology and

0:23:55.280 --> 0:23:58.719
<v Speaker 8>ledger systems throughout the supply chain to be able to

0:23:59.040 --> 0:24:02.399
<v Speaker 8>figure out what's going from Russia versus elsewhere. And honestly,

0:24:02.440 --> 0:24:04.399
<v Speaker 8>I think it's actually kind of great because all of

0:24:04.400 --> 0:24:08.520
<v Speaker 8>a sudden traceability becomes enforced in the diamond industry, which

0:24:08.560 --> 0:24:11.000
<v Speaker 8>is great soul. We can make sure we don't get

0:24:11.000 --> 0:24:13.080
<v Speaker 8>any conflict diamonds, blood diamonds and the like.

0:24:13.680 --> 0:24:15.720
<v Speaker 1>Talk to us about the diamond market today, how's it

0:24:15.760 --> 0:24:17.760
<v Speaker 1>been over the last year or two or is it?

0:24:17.960 --> 0:24:19.840
<v Speaker 1>Are diamonds more expensive less expensive?

0:24:20.280 --> 0:24:24.280
<v Speaker 8>So natural diamonds have been getting crushed so since their

0:24:24.359 --> 0:24:29.919
<v Speaker 8>peak in mid twenty twenty two, they are down roughly

0:24:30.000 --> 0:24:31.639
<v Speaker 8>thirty five to fifty percent.

0:24:31.400 --> 0:24:34.600
<v Speaker 1>In wise of value. A few reasons.

0:24:34.640 --> 0:24:37.600
<v Speaker 8>One is that there is a natural lack of demand

0:24:37.800 --> 0:24:40.439
<v Speaker 8>in China as well as the US, which are the

0:24:40.440 --> 0:24:44.840
<v Speaker 8>two major consumers of diamonds, and people are going out

0:24:44.880 --> 0:24:47.240
<v Speaker 8>a lot more. They're eating out, traveling, and a lot

0:24:47.280 --> 0:24:49.560
<v Speaker 8>of that consumption power is going there. But I think

0:24:49.560 --> 0:24:51.520
<v Speaker 8>the bigger issue is lab grown diamonds.

0:24:51.840 --> 0:24:53.720
<v Speaker 1>And you guys do lab grown diamonds, right.

0:24:53.600 --> 0:24:56.600
<v Speaker 8>We have launched lab grown and so a few interesting

0:24:56.640 --> 0:24:59.399
<v Speaker 8>statistics on lab grown Back in twenty eighteen, it was

0:24:59.400 --> 0:25:02.960
<v Speaker 8>like two percent the market. This last year, thirty six

0:25:03.119 --> 0:25:06.720
<v Speaker 8>percent of engagement rings sold were labrown engagement rings. Over

0:25:06.960 --> 0:25:10.600
<v Speaker 8>half of current diamond distribution in the US is lab grown,

0:25:11.080 --> 0:25:15.200
<v Speaker 8>So really they've taken off it's a perfect substitute chemically, physically, optically,

0:25:15.200 --> 0:25:18.440
<v Speaker 8>the same discounts ranging anywhere from seventy five to ninety

0:25:18.440 --> 0:25:19.120
<v Speaker 8>percent of their name.

0:25:19.119 --> 0:25:19.439
<v Speaker 6>Wow.

0:25:20.480 --> 0:25:25.440
<v Speaker 2>So basically I get my wife a lab grown diamond, Yeah,

0:25:26.080 --> 0:25:28.359
<v Speaker 2>if I give her a two carrot honker on a

0:25:28.400 --> 0:25:32.800
<v Speaker 2>platinum ring, she will be just as pleased as if

0:25:32.800 --> 0:25:34.600
<v Speaker 2>I gave her like a real blood.

0:25:34.359 --> 0:25:38.040
<v Speaker 8>Diamond, well, not a blood diamond. Per se, but a

0:25:38.119 --> 0:25:41.800
<v Speaker 8>natural diamonds call it yes, yeah, so absolutely, and she.

0:25:41.800 --> 0:25:44.080
<v Speaker 2>Takes it down to Wilson Jewelers and Scarsdale. They're not

0:25:44.080 --> 0:25:44.840
<v Speaker 2>going to know the difference.

0:25:44.960 --> 0:25:46.480
<v Speaker 8>They will not. The only way you can know the

0:25:46.480 --> 0:25:48.679
<v Speaker 8>difference is if you send it to the GIA or

0:25:48.720 --> 0:25:52.040
<v Speaker 8>IGI or another certification lab and there's small traces of

0:25:52.119 --> 0:25:56.720
<v Speaker 8>nitrogen in natural diamonds that do not exist in lab room.

0:25:56.760 --> 0:25:58.640
<v Speaker 8>That's really the only way you'll be able to tell

0:25:58.680 --> 0:25:59.080
<v Speaker 8>the difference.

0:25:59.080 --> 0:26:01.680
<v Speaker 2>But it's visually. I'm never buying a real diamond a game.

0:26:01.800 --> 0:26:03.720
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I mean, boy, if I had known that back

0:26:03.760 --> 0:26:05.840
<v Speaker 1>in the day, they didn't have them that guy, I know,

0:26:05.920 --> 0:26:08.280
<v Speaker 1>I know, I know, I know. Trust me. Ancor Daga,

0:26:08.320 --> 0:26:11.640
<v Speaker 1>thanks so much for joining us. Acre Daga, CEO of ANGAA.

0:26:13.080 --> 0:26:16.480
<v Speaker 5>You're listening to the team. Ken's are Live program Bloomberg

0:26:16.520 --> 0:26:19.919
<v Speaker 5>Markets weekdays at ten am Eastern on Bloomberg dot com,

0:26:20.000 --> 0:26:23.120
<v Speaker 5>the iHeartRadio app and the Bloomberg Business App, or listen

0:26:23.200 --> 0:26:25.320
<v Speaker 5>on demand wherever you get your podcasts.

0:26:27.200 --> 0:26:31.200
<v Speaker 1>Let's talk med tech Boston Scientific. I have no idea

0:26:31.280 --> 0:26:33.480
<v Speaker 1>what they do, but it's a big company. It's like

0:26:33.520 --> 0:26:36.879
<v Speaker 1>eighty billion dollars in market cap stocks up sixteen percent.

0:26:36.960 --> 0:26:38.200
<v Speaker 2>Do they make medical hardware?

0:26:38.359 --> 0:26:39.120
<v Speaker 1>Medical devices?

0:26:39.200 --> 0:26:39.280
<v Speaker 9>Right?

0:26:39.280 --> 0:26:41.800
<v Speaker 1>Stuff StuffYeah stuff that you know, so it's medical devices.

0:26:41.800 --> 0:26:44.000
<v Speaker 1>Matt Hendrickson, he knows what they do. He's a senior

0:26:44.040 --> 0:26:47.679
<v Speaker 1>equity analyst covering the med tech business with Bloomberg Intelligence

0:26:48.359 --> 0:26:51.240
<v Speaker 1>Boston Scientific. Just give me the thirty seconds. What did

0:26:51.240 --> 0:26:53.680
<v Speaker 1>they do and why do we care?

0:26:53.800 --> 0:26:54.000
<v Speaker 3>Yeah?

0:26:54.000 --> 0:26:57.520
<v Speaker 10>They make stuff okay, like stints, right, So they make stints.

0:26:57.520 --> 0:26:59.360
<v Speaker 3>It started off with stints and then it turned into

0:26:59.359 --> 0:26:59.840
<v Speaker 3>heart vale.

0:27:00.080 --> 0:27:02.240
<v Speaker 10>This turns into and what some of the products we'll

0:27:02.280 --> 0:27:04.760
<v Speaker 10>probably talk about is the Watchmen device, which goes into

0:27:04.760 --> 0:27:08.639
<v Speaker 10>the heart. They create catheters and then they go into endoscopy,

0:27:08.760 --> 0:27:13.240
<v Speaker 10>so singles use scopes to help with you know, various

0:27:13.920 --> 0:27:15.119
<v Speaker 10>endoscopic procedures.

0:27:15.240 --> 0:27:18.040
<v Speaker 1>All right, So like splunk splunk, except what the people

0:27:18.200 --> 0:27:20.560
<v Speaker 1>splunk for people? Okay, now that makes sense, I get

0:27:20.640 --> 0:27:24.159
<v Speaker 1>it now. During the pandemic, hospitals were overloaded with just

0:27:24.320 --> 0:27:27.560
<v Speaker 1>dealing with COVID patients, so people weren't doing surgeries and

0:27:27.600 --> 0:27:30.439
<v Speaker 1>procedures and things like that. And that's not good for

0:27:30.480 --> 0:27:33.359
<v Speaker 1>a company like uh Post and Scientific or Metronic or

0:27:33.359 --> 0:27:33.800
<v Speaker 1>something like that.

0:27:33.960 --> 0:27:37.080
<v Speaker 10>No, they need procedural volume, especially in the cardiology side

0:27:37.119 --> 0:27:40.720
<v Speaker 10>to get their organic revenue growth, which is kind of

0:27:40.720 --> 0:27:44.800
<v Speaker 10>the key driver for their valuation all those aspects.

0:27:44.840 --> 0:27:47.840
<v Speaker 3>Once the hospital beds are filled with COVID patients.

0:27:47.600 --> 0:27:51.760
<v Speaker 10>They couldn't do heart procedures. That that's mostly in the

0:27:51.800 --> 0:27:53.240
<v Speaker 10>back mirror.

0:27:53.400 --> 0:27:56.119
<v Speaker 1>So now are we back to more normalized.

0:27:55.680 --> 0:27:58.359
<v Speaker 10>If anything, we're kind of going still through kind of

0:27:58.359 --> 0:28:01.879
<v Speaker 10>this backlogs. We're kind of getting an extra tailwind in enitionship.

0:28:01.359 --> 0:28:06.199
<v Speaker 2>Operations maybe as opposed to revenge travel, although surely that

0:28:07.160 --> 0:28:09.400
<v Speaker 2>is happening. I mean it must be happening.

0:28:09.560 --> 0:28:13.480
<v Speaker 10>Well someone I mean for Boston, I mean someone who

0:28:13.680 --> 0:28:16.120
<v Speaker 10>can probably wait a year or two for a procedure.

0:28:16.200 --> 0:28:18.320
<v Speaker 10>Now they're going back to their doctor like hey, I'm

0:28:18.400 --> 0:28:21.040
<v Speaker 10>ready now, and you know, the doctor's like, great, we.

0:28:21.000 --> 0:28:22.800
<v Speaker 3>Need the volume. We need to make our money, so

0:28:22.960 --> 0:28:23.320
<v Speaker 3>come on.

0:28:23.320 --> 0:28:23.760
<v Speaker 6>In, all right.

0:28:23.800 --> 0:28:26.959
<v Speaker 1>So Boston Scientific had an investor day. What was kind

0:28:27.000 --> 0:28:28.439
<v Speaker 1>of the message they wanted to get across.

0:28:28.520 --> 0:28:31.719
<v Speaker 10>Well, the big thing was so we talked about organic

0:28:31.760 --> 0:28:34.960
<v Speaker 10>growth being kind of the driver for valuation. They were

0:28:34.960 --> 0:28:37.320
<v Speaker 10>traditionally in the high single digit so they were in

0:28:37.400 --> 0:28:39.400
<v Speaker 10>six to eight percent. Was kind of their long term

0:28:39.440 --> 0:28:45.480
<v Speaker 10>project or long term outlook. Or goal, and so this

0:28:45.480 --> 0:28:48.120
<v Speaker 10>this meeting this week, they bumped it up to eight

0:28:48.200 --> 0:28:50.920
<v Speaker 10>to ten percent. Okay, so it's and this is a

0:28:50.920 --> 0:28:53.520
<v Speaker 10>company that's making fourteen expected to make fourteen.

0:28:53.240 --> 0:28:54.960
<v Speaker 3>Billion dollars in sales this year.

0:28:55.040 --> 0:28:58.240
<v Speaker 10>So we're not talking about some small company making additional

0:28:58.400 --> 0:29:00.600
<v Speaker 10>like two million dollars to get to that growth. You're

0:29:00.640 --> 0:29:04.200
<v Speaker 10>talking about very incremental growth to kind of drive that

0:29:04.360 --> 0:29:06.479
<v Speaker 10>eight to time pent organic growth.

0:29:06.680 --> 0:29:08.760
<v Speaker 1>So what did the market. Had the market respond to that?

0:29:09.200 --> 0:29:10.880
<v Speaker 3>They were They were up two percent, and so so

0:29:10.920 --> 0:29:12.160
<v Speaker 3>far this week they're still up.

0:29:12.480 --> 0:29:15.960
<v Speaker 1>Well, so what's driving is it? What's driving this growth here?

0:29:16.000 --> 0:29:18.040
<v Speaker 2>I mean, is they also make I mean they do

0:29:18.200 --> 0:29:20.160
<v Speaker 2>M and A right, and they just do a deal yep.

0:29:20.280 --> 0:29:23.320
<v Speaker 10>So yeah, they just acquired a company called Relievant, which

0:29:23.360 --> 0:29:27.040
<v Speaker 10>is the procedure in your vertebrate to ablate the nerves

0:29:27.080 --> 0:29:27.800
<v Speaker 10>to help.

0:29:27.600 --> 0:29:29.520
<v Speaker 3>With that lower back pain essentially.

0:29:29.640 --> 0:29:30.040
<v Speaker 9>Wow.

0:29:30.240 --> 0:29:32.480
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, that sounds like a good thing, but it hurts

0:29:32.520 --> 0:29:33.920
<v Speaker 2>to even think about that procedure.

0:29:34.360 --> 0:29:35.960
<v Speaker 1>People say back is the worst.

0:29:36.400 --> 0:29:37.920
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, can't get it all.

0:29:37.880 --> 0:29:40.320
<v Speaker 1>Right, So what's so what's your call on Boston Scientific?

0:29:40.760 --> 0:29:40.880
<v Speaker 9>Well?

0:29:40.920 --> 0:29:44.680
<v Speaker 3>I think I mean right now it's trading at about you.

0:29:44.600 --> 0:29:48.160
<v Speaker 1>Can't read those numbers. The font on his page of

0:29:48.200 --> 0:29:51.040
<v Speaker 1>his compage, give me, give me this. It is the

0:29:51.080 --> 0:29:54.200
<v Speaker 1>smallest font. Yeah, it's like, forget about it. You can't

0:29:54.240 --> 0:29:54.800
<v Speaker 1>read that.

0:29:54.760 --> 0:29:56.959
<v Speaker 3>It's my little chie cheek. Yeah, okay exactly, but it's

0:29:57.280 --> 0:29:58.560
<v Speaker 3>training twenty four times.

0:29:58.800 --> 0:30:03.280
<v Speaker 10>Pe got that eight percent growth, the call should be

0:30:03.320 --> 0:30:07.360
<v Speaker 10>that investor or the analyst, the consensus should be upping

0:30:07.400 --> 0:30:10.160
<v Speaker 10>their estimates and that should be getting you know, normally,

0:30:10.200 --> 0:30:12.680
<v Speaker 10>when you say eight to ten percent, you know the

0:30:12.680 --> 0:30:13.840
<v Speaker 10>street goes at nine percent.

0:30:13.920 --> 0:30:15.040
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, r down in the middle.

0:30:15.280 --> 0:30:17.040
<v Speaker 10>If you get that nine percent growth, you should be

0:30:17.040 --> 0:30:19.200
<v Speaker 10>able to see that multiple go up to something that's

0:30:19.200 --> 0:30:21.320
<v Speaker 10>more like like the twenty eight times range. And so

0:30:21.400 --> 0:30:23.719
<v Speaker 10>that's kind of the big call, as they kind of

0:30:23.880 --> 0:30:26.480
<v Speaker 10>you know, during the meeting, they kept saying the next level,

0:30:26.520 --> 0:30:28.560
<v Speaker 10>the next level, the next level. Right, Well, if they're

0:30:28.560 --> 0:30:31.000
<v Speaker 10>able to be able to achieve that growth and get

0:30:31.040 --> 0:30:33.920
<v Speaker 10>too closer to ten percent versus the eight percent, they'll

0:30:33.960 --> 0:30:35.480
<v Speaker 10>get to that next level in the multiple.

0:30:35.560 --> 0:30:38.320
<v Speaker 2>By the wait, I mean, who else is there? If

0:30:38.360 --> 0:30:39.800
<v Speaker 2>I want a stent, I'm probably going to get it

0:30:39.800 --> 0:30:41.480
<v Speaker 2>from Boston Scientific, right, Well.

0:30:41.320 --> 0:30:44.120
<v Speaker 10>I mean, yeah, a stent is a stent is you're

0:30:44.160 --> 0:30:46.680
<v Speaker 10>gonna get is either a bit Metronic or Boston, but

0:30:46.680 --> 0:30:49.120
<v Speaker 10>those are kind of the slower growing side. This is

0:30:49.560 --> 0:30:51.600
<v Speaker 10>some of their key growth drivers beside the M and

0:30:51.680 --> 0:30:53.560
<v Speaker 10>A is going to be the Watchman device. Now that's

0:30:53.560 --> 0:30:56.120
<v Speaker 10>a product that's going from like a two billion dollar

0:30:56.240 --> 0:30:57.080
<v Speaker 10>market to.

0:30:57.160 --> 0:30:58.320
<v Speaker 1>What's the Watchmen device.

0:30:58.360 --> 0:30:59.320
<v Speaker 3>Watchmen is for.

0:30:59.400 --> 0:31:03.240
<v Speaker 10>Its device that closes the left atrial appendage in the heart,

0:31:03.560 --> 0:31:06.760
<v Speaker 10>and essentially what it does is that appendage for people

0:31:06.760 --> 0:31:10.360
<v Speaker 10>with atrial fibrillation, holds blood in that little appendage, it

0:31:10.440 --> 0:31:13.120
<v Speaker 10>clots and then it turns into a stroke risk. They

0:31:13.120 --> 0:31:17.480
<v Speaker 10>close that appendage with this device and then therefore essentially

0:31:17.760 --> 0:31:20.960
<v Speaker 10>removing the risk of blood clotting in that appendage and then.

0:31:20.840 --> 0:31:22.160
<v Speaker 3>Going up to the brain for a stroke.

0:31:22.480 --> 0:31:24.520
<v Speaker 2>But did we not need that appendage to begin with?

0:31:24.560 --> 0:31:26.880
<v Speaker 3>I mean, you know, that's what they found out over time,

0:31:26.960 --> 0:31:27.600
<v Speaker 3>is that no, they didn't.

0:31:27.600 --> 0:31:29.080
<v Speaker 10>It's kind of the same thing as your appendix, you

0:31:29.200 --> 0:31:30.920
<v Speaker 10>kind of it's kind of just sticking out there and

0:31:30.960 --> 0:31:32.000
<v Speaker 10>you don't need it, and you can.

0:31:31.840 --> 0:31:34.040
<v Speaker 3>Cut it off. They were cutting it off.

0:31:34.200 --> 0:31:37.560
<v Speaker 10>Now this is a non surgical procedure for being able

0:31:37.560 --> 0:31:38.200
<v Speaker 10>to do the same thing.

0:31:38.280 --> 0:31:41.200
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, all right, So talk to us just more broadly

0:31:41.200 --> 0:31:42.800
<v Speaker 1>about the medical device business.

0:31:42.840 --> 0:31:46.360
<v Speaker 2>What's thea you mentioned a couple Abbot, Medtronic. I know

0:31:46.440 --> 0:31:49.000
<v Speaker 2>Striker because I love the name and they make you know,

0:31:49.080 --> 0:31:49.960
<v Speaker 2>hips and stuff.

0:31:51.040 --> 0:31:53.920
<v Speaker 3>Edward's Life Sciences, Yep, they're they're doing heart valves yep.

0:31:54.080 --> 0:31:56.120
<v Speaker 3>So that's you know, everything.

0:31:56.600 --> 0:32:00.800
<v Speaker 10>Everything is trying to minimize kind of the openness of surgery.

0:32:00.840 --> 0:32:04.840
<v Speaker 10>So it's all minimally invasive procedure. So you know, you're

0:32:04.880 --> 0:32:07.280
<v Speaker 10>just the last one was Edwards. They have taken an

0:32:07.400 --> 0:32:11.760
<v Speaker 10>open heart procedure and have created a technology that you

0:32:11.840 --> 0:32:13.040
<v Speaker 10>take a catheter and.

0:32:12.920 --> 0:32:14.520
<v Speaker 3>You don't have to open the heart. You can just

0:32:14.560 --> 0:32:15.960
<v Speaker 3>go straight up through the or earth.

0:32:16.200 --> 0:32:18.600
<v Speaker 10>It's like it looks like a little like spy like

0:32:18.840 --> 0:32:21.080
<v Speaker 10>in the spy movies, those little like cameras, like those

0:32:21.080 --> 0:32:21.720
<v Speaker 10>snakes around.

0:32:21.800 --> 0:32:22.640
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, it's kind of just.

0:32:22.600 --> 0:32:25.480
<v Speaker 10>Like that, and it delivers the valve and there it's done.

0:32:25.520 --> 0:32:29.360
<v Speaker 10>There it's been but the medtech sector has been hit

0:32:29.440 --> 0:32:32.920
<v Speaker 10>hard because of kind of the g LP trend that's

0:32:32.960 --> 0:32:36.520
<v Speaker 10>going on. What's the goop trin the GOLP drugs that

0:32:36.560 --> 0:32:40.440
<v Speaker 10>are coming out for obesity.

0:32:40.520 --> 0:32:44.880
<v Speaker 2>Yes, true, gov we go v and I would sell

0:32:44.920 --> 0:32:47.240
<v Speaker 2>a medical device company because I think there's gonna be

0:32:47.320 --> 0:32:49.960
<v Speaker 2>less prestigures, because gonna be you're not gonna you're not

0:32:49.960 --> 0:32:54.080
<v Speaker 2>gonna be nearly as at risk of a heart attack

0:32:54.160 --> 0:32:56.959
<v Speaker 2>or stroke if you don't weigh three hundred pounds. So

0:32:57.120 --> 0:32:59.720
<v Speaker 2>if you used to weigh three hundred pounds and you

0:32:59.800 --> 0:33:02.240
<v Speaker 2>go it an ozepic shot once a week or I

0:33:02.280 --> 0:33:03.480
<v Speaker 2>don't know, once a month, however it.

0:33:03.440 --> 0:33:07.360
<v Speaker 3>Works sometime it's daily or yeah.

0:33:07.480 --> 0:33:10.280
<v Speaker 2>Pill forms as well. So if you can take these

0:33:10.400 --> 0:33:13.800
<v Speaker 2>drugs and get into better shape, you're not gonna need

0:33:13.840 --> 0:33:14.560
<v Speaker 2>a stint.

0:33:15.040 --> 0:33:17.000
<v Speaker 3>That's that's the that's the thesis going on right now.

0:33:17.000 --> 0:33:17.400
<v Speaker 9>Wow.

0:33:17.800 --> 0:33:20.840
<v Speaker 3>But I mean there's there's a lot of caveats too.

0:33:20.880 --> 0:33:25.160
<v Speaker 10>There's zimmer Bioment, for example, it's another orthopedic company like Striker.

0:33:25.520 --> 0:33:28.160
<v Speaker 10>Their CEO came out and said, hey, some of these

0:33:28.160 --> 0:33:31.040
<v Speaker 10>patients who were too obese for surgery, if they take

0:33:31.080 --> 0:33:34.080
<v Speaker 10>these weight loss drugs, then they'll be healthy enough to

0:33:34.240 --> 0:33:36.920
<v Speaker 10>get their knee replacement or to get their hip replacement.

0:33:37.360 --> 0:33:37.479
<v Speaker 3>Uh.

0:33:37.520 --> 0:33:39.000
<v Speaker 10>And then the other thing too is you know there's

0:33:39.120 --> 0:33:41.400
<v Speaker 10>data coming out. I mean, the diabetes companies have been

0:33:41.400 --> 0:33:43.840
<v Speaker 10>trying to fight back hard on this, but they're showing

0:33:44.040 --> 0:33:47.080
<v Speaker 10>data that these patients who are taking these glps, these

0:33:47.120 --> 0:33:50.239
<v Speaker 10>weight loss drugs, they're they're not taking them after a year,

0:33:50.280 --> 0:33:51.640
<v Speaker 10>they're not taking them after two years.

0:33:51.640 --> 0:33:53.240
<v Speaker 3>So it's you know, and it's something.

0:33:53.000 --> 0:33:54.200
<v Speaker 2>Where but they keep the weight off.

0:33:54.520 --> 0:33:56.880
<v Speaker 3>No, So these they try.

0:33:56.680 --> 0:33:57.760
<v Speaker 2>These, they don't keep the weight off.

0:33:57.960 --> 0:34:00.640
<v Speaker 3>And half of these patients are like just dropping out

0:34:00.680 --> 0:34:01.760
<v Speaker 3>after a year even more.

0:34:01.960 --> 0:34:04.280
<v Speaker 2>But so they lose weight, They lose a year and

0:34:04.280 --> 0:34:06.360
<v Speaker 2>then they're like I liked being fat.

0:34:06.800 --> 0:34:09.600
<v Speaker 10>I see it as like, do you want to keep

0:34:10.239 --> 0:34:12.920
<v Speaker 10>you know, injecting yourself with this every single day or

0:34:12.960 --> 0:34:13.759
<v Speaker 10>even once a week.

0:34:13.840 --> 0:34:15.680
<v Speaker 3>It's you know, it's a it's it's a lot.

0:34:15.840 --> 0:34:18.320
<v Speaker 2>And yeah, but so as being obese, Yeah, so I

0:34:18.320 --> 0:34:20.839
<v Speaker 2>would probably rather object inject myself.

0:34:21.040 --> 0:34:22.960
<v Speaker 10>Probably, But I also at the same time, if you

0:34:23.120 --> 0:34:25.360
<v Speaker 10>keep injecting yourself and then you know there is bariatric

0:34:25.440 --> 0:34:28.920
<v Speaker 10>surgery as kind of that you know, safe safety net there.

0:34:28.920 --> 0:34:30.920
<v Speaker 2>Then you go like this would be interesting to hear.

0:34:30.960 --> 0:34:34.760
<v Speaker 2>I I mean, I wonder if beriatric surgery is better

0:34:35.440 --> 0:34:40.080
<v Speaker 2>or worse the band in terms of in terms of

0:34:40.120 --> 0:34:41.960
<v Speaker 2>losing the weight and keeping it off. I wonder which

0:34:41.960 --> 0:34:43.000
<v Speaker 2>one's better longer term.

0:34:43.680 --> 0:34:45.560
<v Speaker 3>We hear more about that kind of in this third

0:34:45.640 --> 0:34:46.080
<v Speaker 3>quarter call.

0:34:46.120 --> 0:34:48.239
<v Speaker 10>And so that's could be intuitive surgical, and that's gonna

0:34:48.239 --> 0:34:48.840
<v Speaker 10>be metronic.

0:34:48.920 --> 0:34:51.919
<v Speaker 3>And yeah, it's a it's a stay tuned type of dude.

0:34:51.920 --> 0:34:53.359
<v Speaker 2>What a fascinating industry to.

0:34:53.320 --> 0:34:54.880
<v Speaker 3>Cover it is?

0:34:54.640 --> 0:34:56.400
<v Speaker 1>It is, it's good stuff. I mean, the whole healthcare

0:34:56.480 --> 0:34:58.799
<v Speaker 1>space is just you got it. It's just it's never

0:34:58.840 --> 0:35:01.920
<v Speaker 1>going away. It's always a growth industry. You're always going

0:35:02.000 --> 0:35:03.640
<v Speaker 1>to have a job if you're in the helpcare well.

0:35:03.680 --> 0:35:06.400
<v Speaker 2>And lately I've been looking at like pictures of FDR

0:35:06.640 --> 0:35:08.640
<v Speaker 2>or pictures of ideas, say it looked like one hundred

0:35:08.680 --> 0:35:10.000
<v Speaker 2>years old and they died when they were sixty.

0:35:10.040 --> 0:35:12.920
<v Speaker 1>Matt Hundredston's senior ecodanalysts covering all the medtech space for

0:35:12.960 --> 0:35:15.680
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Intelligence, joining us live here in our Bloomberg Interactive

0:35:15.680 --> 0:35:17.400
<v Speaker 1>broker studio. This is Bloomberg.

0:35:17.840 --> 0:35:20.960
<v Speaker 5>You're listening to the tape Cat's are live program Bloomberg

0:35:21.000 --> 0:35:24.600
<v Speaker 5>Markets weekdays at ten am Eastern on Bloomberg Radio, the

0:35:24.680 --> 0:35:27.919
<v Speaker 5>tune in app, Bloomberg dot Com, and the Bloomberg Business App.

0:35:27.920 --> 0:35:30.759
<v Speaker 5>You can also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our

0:35:30.760 --> 0:35:35.840
<v Speaker 5>flagship New York station. Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty.

0:35:37.080 --> 0:35:38.600
<v Speaker 1>Let's look at the M and A front here. We've

0:35:38.600 --> 0:35:40.160
<v Speaker 1>got a big M and A trade looks like it

0:35:40.200 --> 0:35:46.320
<v Speaker 1>actually might close. Microsoft Activision sixty nine billion dollars. We

0:35:46.440 --> 0:35:50.280
<v Speaker 1>got some approval I think from the UK's regulatory body.

0:35:50.280 --> 0:35:52.440
<v Speaker 1>That was kind of the last one to fall. Jennifer

0:35:52.560 --> 0:35:56.439
<v Speaker 1>rejoins us. She's a senior litigation analyst. She focuses on antitrust.

0:35:56.480 --> 0:35:58.759
<v Speaker 1>It is right down her alley. She does that off

0:35:58.760 --> 0:36:02.640
<v Speaker 1>for Bloomberg Intelligence. So, Jen, what did the UK authority's

0:36:03.400 --> 0:36:05.959
<v Speaker 1>rule here on this Microsoft Activision deal?

0:36:07.320 --> 0:36:10.080
<v Speaker 9>Well, Paul, at long last, it finally looks like this

0:36:10.120 --> 0:36:12.920
<v Speaker 9>deal is going to close. What they have said is

0:36:12.920 --> 0:36:16.560
<v Speaker 9>that a new remedy that Microsoft proposed about a month

0:36:16.600 --> 0:36:20.360
<v Speaker 9>ago or so is probably sufficient to cure the concerns

0:36:20.400 --> 0:36:22.960
<v Speaker 9>they had about the deal. That it looks likely that

0:36:23.000 --> 0:36:26.080
<v Speaker 9>it's sufficient. This is a provisional decision, and so what

0:36:26.120 --> 0:36:29.200
<v Speaker 9>they will do now is listen to comments by interested

0:36:29.280 --> 0:36:33.120
<v Speaker 9>public other entities to participate in the market, and then

0:36:33.160 --> 0:36:36.080
<v Speaker 9>at some point after October sixth, issue of final ruling.

0:36:36.120 --> 0:36:39.239
<v Speaker 9>But really, Paul, this is called provisional, but this is it.

0:36:39.320 --> 0:36:41.479
<v Speaker 9>I mean, they're going to ultimately clear this deal, there's

0:36:41.480 --> 0:36:42.359
<v Speaker 9>no doubt in my mind.

0:36:43.160 --> 0:36:45.640
<v Speaker 2>The weird thing to me was, if you're going to

0:36:45.680 --> 0:36:47.880
<v Speaker 2>do a big M and a transaction, I get that

0:36:47.920 --> 0:36:52.239
<v Speaker 2>you need to have the US regulators approve it, right

0:36:52.360 --> 0:36:54.399
<v Speaker 2>and I get because it's a massive market, I get

0:36:54.440 --> 0:36:56.719
<v Speaker 2>that you're going to have to have Europe approve it.

0:36:57.280 --> 0:36:59.960
<v Speaker 2>But England do they really matter that much anymore?

0:37:01.480 --> 0:37:04.560
<v Speaker 9>Well, I guess they do now they've made a big

0:37:04.600 --> 0:37:08.160
<v Speaker 9>splash in the antitrust world. You know, the UK used

0:37:08.160 --> 0:37:11.560
<v Speaker 9>to be part of the European Union before Brexit, so

0:37:12.160 --> 0:37:15.680
<v Speaker 9>it didn't really issue its own opinions with respect to

0:37:15.719 --> 0:37:18.360
<v Speaker 9>these big global mergers that were big enough to trigger

0:37:18.719 --> 0:37:21.239
<v Speaker 9>European Commission review. You know, there might have been other

0:37:21.320 --> 0:37:24.880
<v Speaker 9>deals that actually did trigger just only UK review in

0:37:24.920 --> 0:37:27.520
<v Speaker 9>which the UK was still involved, but for the most part,

0:37:27.560 --> 0:37:30.920
<v Speaker 9>when you had these big acquisitions like Microsoft activisions, you

0:37:31.200 --> 0:37:34.759
<v Speaker 9>didn't have the UK independently involved. And now they are,

0:37:35.160 --> 0:37:37.240
<v Speaker 9>and I think they really want to flex their muscles.

0:37:37.239 --> 0:37:40.640
<v Speaker 9>They want to show that they are a real antidrus regulator.

0:37:40.760 --> 0:37:43.839
<v Speaker 2>I mean, obviously that would common as tongue in cheek.

0:37:43.880 --> 0:37:47.000
<v Speaker 2>So if you're British and you're offended. Please don't email

0:37:47.040 --> 0:37:49.839
<v Speaker 2>my boss. They do have sixty seven million people, but

0:37:49.960 --> 0:37:52.480
<v Speaker 2>again it's only sixty seven million people in the UK.

0:37:53.680 --> 0:37:55.840
<v Speaker 2>What other regulators do I have to worry about?

0:37:57.000 --> 0:37:57.400
<v Speaker 6>Am I am?

0:37:57.440 --> 0:37:59.680
<v Speaker 2>I going to the Indonesian regulator. They have a lot

0:37:59.719 --> 0:38:02.040
<v Speaker 2>of people, Well what about India? Do they look at

0:38:02.040 --> 0:38:03.400
<v Speaker 2>the M and a deal?

0:38:03.640 --> 0:38:07.759
<v Speaker 9>You know, you know what people don't notice. But I'll

0:38:07.840 --> 0:38:10.799
<v Speaker 9>tell you what. When these deals get filed, sometimes they're

0:38:10.840 --> 0:38:14.279
<v Speaker 9>filed with over one hundred jurisdictions. There are they could

0:38:14.280 --> 0:38:17.480
<v Speaker 9>be fire out filed in Azerbijan. There are so many

0:38:17.600 --> 0:38:21.160
<v Speaker 9>jurisdictions with competition authorities, so you know there's a whole

0:38:21.200 --> 0:38:23.680
<v Speaker 9>group within these law firms. We have to assess every

0:38:23.719 --> 0:38:26.640
<v Speaker 9>single jurisdiction globally where a deal has to get filed,

0:38:26.719 --> 0:38:29.319
<v Speaker 9>where it might trigger the thresholds for that country or

0:38:29.320 --> 0:38:34.040
<v Speaker 9>that jurisdiction. But in reality, the jurisdictions that really have

0:38:34.200 --> 0:38:36.520
<v Speaker 9>the law behind them and I think the will to

0:38:36.640 --> 0:38:41.320
<v Speaker 9>actually block a deal are primarily the US, EU, China

0:38:41.480 --> 0:38:42.200
<v Speaker 9>and now UK.

0:38:43.000 --> 0:38:45.480
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, it's interesting. So I mean I saw some reporting

0:38:45.600 --> 0:38:47.719
<v Speaker 1>jen which kind of goes to what you said to

0:38:48.040 --> 0:38:49.560
<v Speaker 1>that the what you're talking about about the UK, and

0:38:49.600 --> 0:38:53.399
<v Speaker 1>the UK says, hey, you know, we're going to kind

0:38:53.400 --> 0:38:56.160
<v Speaker 1>of prove this one here, but you better be careful

0:38:56.160 --> 0:38:58.080
<v Speaker 1>what you bring to us because we're going to be

0:38:58.480 --> 0:39:00.880
<v Speaker 1>We're not going to be a pushover here. So I

0:39:00.920 --> 0:39:03.520
<v Speaker 1>guess that if you're an anti trust m and a lawyer,

0:39:03.560 --> 0:39:04.680
<v Speaker 1>you got to keep that into account.

0:39:04.719 --> 0:39:08.600
<v Speaker 9>These days, you know, absolutely, I think it's getting harder

0:39:08.600 --> 0:39:11.640
<v Speaker 9>and harder. I mean, just the fact that the FTC

0:39:11.800 --> 0:39:14.520
<v Speaker 9>and DJ are changing a lot of rules, making it

0:39:14.560 --> 0:39:17.880
<v Speaker 9>more onerous actually to notify the deal to the regulators,

0:39:17.960 --> 0:39:22.239
<v Speaker 9>more expensive as well, and have these extended review timelines

0:39:22.320 --> 0:39:25.319
<v Speaker 9>and have become very unpredictable. Now you have to deal

0:39:25.360 --> 0:39:28.719
<v Speaker 9>also with this unpredictable CMA in the UK, and I

0:39:28.760 --> 0:39:32.240
<v Speaker 9>think that it just adds to the uncertainty of deals

0:39:32.239 --> 0:39:34.120
<v Speaker 9>that makes it harder and harder for the merger arbe

0:39:34.120 --> 0:39:38.080
<v Speaker 9>treasures to actually do what they do. And I think,

0:39:38.120 --> 0:39:39.759
<v Speaker 9>you know what I'm thinking about right now is the

0:39:39.800 --> 0:39:42.239
<v Speaker 9>Adobe Sigma deal because I wonder what the UK is

0:39:42.239 --> 0:39:43.960
<v Speaker 9>going to do on that one. It's moved into a

0:39:44.000 --> 0:39:46.640
<v Speaker 9>phase two on it, and I could see the UK

0:39:46.800 --> 0:39:49.440
<v Speaker 9>actually being one of those regulators that tries to block

0:39:49.480 --> 0:39:49.919
<v Speaker 9>that deal.

0:39:50.560 --> 0:39:53.720
<v Speaker 1>Hey, Jen. I mean on the banking side, we usually

0:39:53.800 --> 0:39:57.200
<v Speaker 1>charged a percentage of the deal size as our fee,

0:39:57.200 --> 0:39:59.600
<v Speaker 1>and that got negotiated up front, that percentage. How does

0:39:59.640 --> 0:40:02.719
<v Speaker 1>it work on the legal side? Is it still all

0:40:02.760 --> 0:40:05.640
<v Speaker 1>about hours? Billable hours? So I mean a case like

0:40:05.760 --> 0:40:08.759
<v Speaker 1>this with all the anti trust must have been just

0:40:08.800 --> 0:40:11.200
<v Speaker 1>a juicy yeah, juicy deal for the lawyers.

0:40:11.360 --> 0:40:14.680
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, oh yeah, it's all about hours. And I'll tell

0:40:14.680 --> 0:40:18.239
<v Speaker 9>you the attorney's logs and serious hours. When these jurisdictions

0:40:18.280 --> 0:40:21.680
<v Speaker 9>go into those in depth investigations, they are rigorous. They

0:40:21.719 --> 0:40:23.400
<v Speaker 9>take a lot of work. I mean, that's what I

0:40:23.440 --> 0:40:26.360
<v Speaker 9>spent most of my legal practice doing was responding to

0:40:26.400 --> 0:40:29.080
<v Speaker 9>these second requests from the Federal Trade Commission in the

0:40:29.080 --> 0:40:31.920
<v Speaker 9>Department of Justice, and they ask for a lot of data,

0:40:32.040 --> 0:40:35.720
<v Speaker 9>a lot of information, a lot of responses to questions.

0:40:35.800 --> 0:40:40.279
<v Speaker 9>There are depositions, there are interviews of company executives. It

0:40:40.360 --> 0:40:42.719
<v Speaker 9>takes a lot of time, and when it's so protracted

0:40:42.760 --> 0:40:46.000
<v Speaker 9>like Microsoft activision, with appeals and going in to court,

0:40:46.360 --> 0:40:49.839
<v Speaker 9>it is expensive. Those lawyers did very well, by the way.

0:40:50.040 --> 0:40:53.520
<v Speaker 2>On that note, and kind of an aside, but do

0:40:53.560 --> 0:40:56.440
<v Speaker 2>you round up to the nearest hour? I mean, if

0:40:56.520 --> 0:41:00.200
<v Speaker 2>you're if you're driving home to Westchester and you a

0:41:00.239 --> 0:41:02.839
<v Speaker 2>lawyer for one of these cases and somebody calls you

0:41:02.960 --> 0:41:05.880
<v Speaker 2>from the company to talk about it, and it's like

0:41:05.920 --> 0:41:08.160
<v Speaker 2>a five minute conversation. Is that one billable hour?

0:41:09.840 --> 0:41:10.280
<v Speaker 6>No?

0:41:10.280 --> 0:41:13.080
<v Speaker 9>No, Now, I will say that every law firm has

0:41:13.160 --> 0:41:16.160
<v Speaker 9>different rules about what becomes a billable hour and what

0:41:16.280 --> 0:41:18.920
<v Speaker 9>doesn't become a billable hour. I can only vouch for

0:41:18.960 --> 0:41:21.360
<v Speaker 9>the firm I work for, which was very careful about

0:41:21.360 --> 0:41:23.360
<v Speaker 9>these things, and a five minute call would not have

0:41:23.440 --> 0:41:26.520
<v Speaker 9>been a billable hour. But if those five minute calls

0:41:26.520 --> 0:41:28.920
<v Speaker 9>start to add up, you know, maybe you have a

0:41:28.920 --> 0:41:29.839
<v Speaker 9>billable hour there.

0:41:30.360 --> 0:41:31.080
<v Speaker 6>And it also.

0:41:30.880 --> 0:41:34.080
<v Speaker 9>Sometimes depends on how much do the legal counsel within

0:41:34.120 --> 0:41:36.560
<v Speaker 9>the company push back on those bills, because they do

0:41:36.640 --> 0:41:38.560
<v Speaker 9>and they can, and you.

0:41:38.520 --> 0:41:41.560
<v Speaker 1>Know see in my experience, it's been, well, quarter hours

0:41:41.600 --> 0:41:43.319
<v Speaker 1>you get built for like a five minute phone call,

0:41:43.320 --> 0:41:44.760
<v Speaker 1>you'd get built a quarter hour.

0:41:44.880 --> 0:41:46.680
<v Speaker 2>Right, Well, that makes more sense.

0:41:47.400 --> 0:41:50.400
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, and Jen, how about the senior partner just devolved

0:41:50.400 --> 0:41:53.759
<v Speaker 1>away from Michigan, I mean, no Microsoft, Microsoft, to just

0:41:53.840 --> 0:41:56.520
<v Speaker 1>kind of how they make money. So the senior partners

0:41:56.560 --> 0:41:59.560
<v Speaker 1>at these white che New York law firms, do they

0:41:59.600 --> 0:42:01.800
<v Speaker 1>still have the bill hours or they just take a salary.

0:42:03.280 --> 0:42:06.560
<v Speaker 9>Oh no, they bill hours, everybody built. Yeah, no, they

0:42:06.600 --> 0:42:09.239
<v Speaker 9>bill hours and it goes to the client. I mean, look,

0:42:09.440 --> 0:42:12.000
<v Speaker 9>I haven't done practicing on now for about eight years,

0:42:12.000 --> 0:42:14.160
<v Speaker 9>but as far as I know, things haven't changed. And

0:42:14.400 --> 0:42:16.640
<v Speaker 9>the senior partners have to keep the calendar just the

0:42:16.680 --> 0:42:19.439
<v Speaker 9>same way the associates do and log all their time,

0:42:19.560 --> 0:42:20.400
<v Speaker 9>bill their hours.

0:42:20.560 --> 0:42:23.120
<v Speaker 1>That is just no way to live a life, right, Yeah.

0:42:23.160 --> 0:42:24.960
<v Speaker 2>I feel like the bankers may have it figured out,

0:42:24.960 --> 0:42:25.759
<v Speaker 2>but maybe I'm wrong.

0:42:25.920 --> 0:42:27.920
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I don't know. The lawyers do just fine as

0:42:27.920 --> 0:42:29.600
<v Speaker 1>far as I can tell you. All right, Jen, thanks

0:42:29.600 --> 0:42:31.880
<v Speaker 1>so much for joining us giving us a little primer

0:42:31.960 --> 0:42:34.480
<v Speaker 1>on how to how you earn your money in the

0:42:34.560 --> 0:42:37.240
<v Speaker 1>law firm. So your bill hours, I guess. Jennifer Ree,

0:42:37.280 --> 0:42:41.000
<v Speaker 1>senior litigation analyst covering the anti hour costs.

0:42:40.960 --> 0:42:43.040
<v Speaker 2>At one of the top white shoe law firms.

0:42:43.080 --> 0:42:45.680
<v Speaker 1>Boy, I don't know. Five hundred hour, thousand dollars an hour,

0:42:45.760 --> 0:42:49.279
<v Speaker 1>definitely over a thousand, over a thousand bank all right.

0:42:49.360 --> 0:42:52.040
<v Speaker 1>I mean I don't know if I would break down

0:42:52.080 --> 0:42:54.040
<v Speaker 1>my deal feed into hours, and I don't know how

0:42:54.040 --> 0:42:54.719
<v Speaker 1>that would be looking.

0:42:54.920 --> 0:42:58.000
<v Speaker 2>Thanks for listening to the Bloomberg Markets podcast. You can

0:42:58.000 --> 0:43:01.800
<v Speaker 2>subscribe and listen to interviews at Apple Podcasts or whatever

0:43:01.880 --> 0:43:05.600
<v Speaker 2>podcast platform you prefer. I'm Matt Miller. I'm on Twitter

0:43:05.800 --> 0:43:07.719
<v Speaker 2>at Matt Miller nineteen seventy three.

0:43:08.160 --> 0:43:10.640
<v Speaker 1>And I'm Paul Sweeney. I'm on Twitter at pt Sweeney.

0:43:10.680 --> 0:43:13.319
<v Speaker 1>Before the podcast, you can always catch us worldwide at

0:43:13.360 --> 0:43:14.120
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio