1 00:00:03,400 --> 00:00:06,640 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Surveillance. In order to engage in the 2 00:00:06,640 --> 00:00:09,240 Speaker 1: acquisition of a company, you have to have a view 3 00:00:09,240 --> 00:00:11,320 Speaker 1: on the future. M and A is a conviction market. 4 00:00:11,440 --> 00:00:14,000 Speaker 1: It is the last stop in long term planning. We 5 00:00:14,080 --> 00:00:17,000 Speaker 1: will continue to see those wage games pick up, and 6 00:00:17,040 --> 00:00:18,919 Speaker 1: I continue to believe that on a planet rate is 7 00:00:18,920 --> 00:00:21,440 Speaker 1: going to follow a lot faster than others believe. Overall, 8 00:00:21,480 --> 00:00:26,520 Speaker 1: the US financial conditions determined pretty much the dynamics of 9 00:00:26,560 --> 00:00:30,960 Speaker 1: what happens in emerging economics. Bloomberg Surveillance your link to 10 00:00:31,000 --> 00:00:35,360 Speaker 1: the world of economics, finance, and investment on Bloomberg Radio. 11 00:00:35,560 --> 00:00:38,920 Speaker 1: Good morning everyone, Michael McKee and Tom Keene Bloomberg Surveillance. 12 00:00:39,000 --> 00:00:41,200 Speaker 1: Markets on the move today. We'll give you extra data 13 00:00:41,320 --> 00:00:44,720 Speaker 1: checks in this our futures negative nine is an erosion 14 00:00:44,720 --> 00:00:48,600 Speaker 1: to equity futures, but they barely describe a record low 15 00:00:48,720 --> 00:00:52,880 Speaker 1: tenure yield in the United Kingdom. Many other indicators showing 16 00:00:53,560 --> 00:00:56,160 Speaker 1: not so much distress. I don't want to editorialize, but 17 00:00:56,240 --> 00:01:02,120 Speaker 1: certainly movement and stresses within equities, bonds, currencies come out 18 00:01:02,120 --> 00:01:04,959 Speaker 1: as yen one of six sixty three does better. In 19 00:01:05,000 --> 00:01:07,959 Speaker 1: the last two hours, We're gonna look at American politics 20 00:01:08,000 --> 00:01:10,520 Speaker 1: here in a moment as well. Let me get right 21 00:01:10,600 --> 00:01:13,840 Speaker 1: to our foreign exchange brief. We could do an hour 22 00:01:13,880 --> 00:01:17,160 Speaker 1: and that this morning always brought you by interactive brokers. 23 00:01:17,200 --> 00:01:21,960 Speaker 1: Forex traders focus on tightness of spreads if cost matters. 24 00:01:22,480 --> 00:01:25,760 Speaker 1: Visit ib k R dot com slash for x to 25 00:01:25,840 --> 00:01:28,480 Speaker 1: learn about their for x e c N. It includes 26 00:01:28,520 --> 00:01:31,920 Speaker 1: fourteen of the largest inter bank dealers. Yen stronger not 27 00:01:32,040 --> 00:01:34,480 Speaker 1: to a one oh five, one oh six sixty two 28 00:01:34,560 --> 00:01:38,839 Speaker 1: right now, euro weaker one thirteen twenty four euro yen 29 00:01:40,000 --> 00:01:45,280 Speaker 1: one twenty point seven three euro Danish corona was significant. 30 00:01:45,840 --> 00:01:50,000 Speaker 1: Danish strength as a remarkable chart back twenty years. And 31 00:01:50,040 --> 00:01:53,920 Speaker 1: I'd also mentioned Mike New Zealand dollar doing well. Why 32 00:01:53,920 --> 00:01:58,000 Speaker 1: did New Zealand dollar go stronger, Mike, because the Reserve 33 00:01:58,080 --> 00:02:01,800 Speaker 1: Bank of New Zealand did nothing today. They kept interest 34 00:02:01,840 --> 00:02:05,080 Speaker 1: rates unchanged and it's an interest rate differential play. We 35 00:02:05,120 --> 00:02:10,400 Speaker 1: will now have a same conversation on this presidential Canada 36 00:02:10,840 --> 00:02:15,560 Speaker 1: campaign with one H. Barber. He has been steeped into 37 00:02:15,600 --> 00:02:19,880 Speaker 1: Republican politics since time began. I don't think he needs 38 00:02:19,960 --> 00:02:24,960 Speaker 1: any introduction even to our international office. Governor Barber wonderful 39 00:02:24,960 --> 00:02:27,920 Speaker 1: to speak to. You you went out with Richard Nixon 40 00:02:28,080 --> 00:02:31,760 Speaker 1: in nineteen six, you were a mere lad at the 41 00:02:31,880 --> 00:02:36,080 Speaker 1: University of Mississippi. This is a little different this time. 42 00:02:36,600 --> 00:02:41,640 Speaker 1: What would be Richard Nixon's counsel to Donald Trump? Uh? Well, 43 00:02:41,680 --> 00:02:44,600 Speaker 1: I think that that President Nixon would tell Donald Trump 44 00:02:44,639 --> 00:02:47,080 Speaker 1: when something bad happens to Hillary Clinton, quit stepping on 45 00:02:47,120 --> 00:02:52,480 Speaker 1: the story. Uh that. Uh that when the Inspector General's 46 00:02:52,520 --> 00:02:57,040 Speaker 1: report came out, Uh, Trump made a lot of news 47 00:02:57,080 --> 00:02:59,880 Speaker 1: and and kind of helped to knock it off the 48 00:03:00,040 --> 00:03:04,560 Speaker 1: front page. And when when something something's bad for your opponent, 49 00:03:04,600 --> 00:03:05,800 Speaker 1: you don't want to get in the way of the 50 00:03:05,840 --> 00:03:08,920 Speaker 1: public find out about it. Uh. I think that would 51 00:03:08,919 --> 00:03:12,840 Speaker 1: be the thing that would be on his mind. Uh today. Uh. 52 00:03:13,080 --> 00:03:15,079 Speaker 1: I did work for next and forty eight years ago, 53 00:03:15,120 --> 00:03:18,040 Speaker 1: I dropped out of college and and ran thirty counties 54 00:03:18,040 --> 00:03:20,919 Speaker 1: in Mississippi. First time I ever saw a pole fix 55 00:03:21,320 --> 00:03:25,959 Speaker 1: six with Mississippians identified as Republicans. Had been optimist to 56 00:03:26,000 --> 00:03:28,519 Speaker 1: be a Republican Mississippi back then, So I got to 57 00:03:28,560 --> 00:03:33,440 Speaker 1: be an optimist today. Barbara Barbara B. Cannibal sat President 58 00:03:33,560 --> 00:03:37,080 Speaker 1: Nixon down and said it was over many decades ago. 59 00:03:37,600 --> 00:03:41,000 Speaker 1: Somebody's got to sit Mr Trump down of your ilk 60 00:03:41,800 --> 00:03:44,240 Speaker 1: and tell him you got to be a change agent 61 00:03:44,320 --> 00:03:46,880 Speaker 1: right now. If you're gonna move this thing forward, Who's 62 00:03:46,880 --> 00:03:53,360 Speaker 1: gonna tell Mr Trump what to do in your establishment? Well, 63 00:03:53,360 --> 00:03:57,520 Speaker 1: of course that's not up to me. To the degree, Uh, 64 00:03:57,640 --> 00:04:00,280 Speaker 1: Donald Trump wus my advoge. Of course, I'm gonna give it. 65 00:04:00,360 --> 00:04:04,360 Speaker 1: This is uh life series of choices and choice between 66 00:04:04,440 --> 00:04:06,680 Speaker 1: Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. I'm gonna pick Donald Trump 67 00:04:06,720 --> 00:04:11,760 Speaker 1: every time. Uh. And but I am not insider in 68 00:04:11,840 --> 00:04:14,400 Speaker 1: that campaign, and so I can't tell you. I can't 69 00:04:14,400 --> 00:04:17,760 Speaker 1: answer your question because I don't have the information. You 70 00:04:18,200 --> 00:04:22,280 Speaker 1: are right, You're You're clearly right. Uh. The advice I 71 00:04:22,279 --> 00:04:26,640 Speaker 1: would give him is make this election about policy making, 72 00:04:26,680 --> 00:04:31,680 Speaker 1: about Obama's record, his bad policies and failed results, which 73 00:04:31,720 --> 00:04:35,400 Speaker 1: Hillary Clinton has been telling people daily for months and 74 00:04:35,440 --> 00:04:37,560 Speaker 1: months and months that she's gonna be a third term 75 00:04:37,600 --> 00:04:41,040 Speaker 1: for Obama. Well, two thirds of the people in America 76 00:04:41,080 --> 00:04:43,160 Speaker 1: think our country is going in the wrong direction. They 77 00:04:43,200 --> 00:04:46,360 Speaker 1: don't want a third term for Obama, and we need 78 00:04:46,360 --> 00:04:50,280 Speaker 1: to make this election about his bad record and policies, 79 00:04:50,680 --> 00:04:53,880 Speaker 1: her total agreement and support of that, and what Donald 80 00:04:53,880 --> 00:04:57,120 Speaker 1: Trump would do differently so that we come out of 81 00:04:57,200 --> 00:05:01,360 Speaker 1: this very weak recovery. So we Americans back to work, 82 00:05:01,760 --> 00:05:05,839 Speaker 1: so we see middle class of working class people's wages 83 00:05:05,880 --> 00:05:09,440 Speaker 1: and incomes go up instead of down. Uh. Those are 84 00:05:09,440 --> 00:05:11,160 Speaker 1: the things that are on the minds of American people, 85 00:05:11,160 --> 00:05:15,760 Speaker 1: as well as security, national security particuted because of terrorism, 86 00:05:15,839 --> 00:05:19,680 Speaker 1: but also the the huge increase of crime in our country, 87 00:05:19,720 --> 00:05:25,200 Speaker 1: particularly violent crime. Heally, you and I have known each 88 00:05:25,200 --> 00:05:28,400 Speaker 1: other a long time. It's like a Uh, well, I'll 89 00:05:28,400 --> 00:05:31,680 Speaker 1: put you on the spot because you know I love you. Um, 90 00:05:32,120 --> 00:05:38,479 Speaker 1: but you got another exactly. Another Southern gentleman, Lindsey Graham, said, 91 00:05:38,520 --> 00:05:41,400 Speaker 1: at some point, love of country has to trump. Uh. 92 00:05:41,600 --> 00:05:46,680 Speaker 1: Dislike of Hillary Clinton given the policies, uh and the 93 00:05:46,720 --> 00:05:54,120 Speaker 1: pronouncements of Mr Trump. Can you live with that? Uh? Yes, 94 00:05:54,279 --> 00:05:57,960 Speaker 1: The answer is if the choice is Hillary Clinton versus 95 00:05:57,960 --> 00:06:01,560 Speaker 1: Donald Trump. For me, Donald, it's a right choice. I 96 00:06:01,600 --> 00:06:04,560 Speaker 1: don't want a third term for Obama. I don't want 97 00:06:05,200 --> 00:06:11,760 Speaker 1: to have a continual, continually weak economy, which we have had. Uh. 98 00:06:11,800 --> 00:06:15,440 Speaker 1: And and there's nothing about it that's getting better. I 99 00:06:15,480 --> 00:06:23,240 Speaker 1: saw George Soros, very very liberal democrat, very very faithful democrat, uh, 100 00:06:23,760 --> 00:06:26,000 Speaker 1: made a lot of moves in the stock market recently 101 00:06:26,520 --> 00:06:29,080 Speaker 1: that indicate that he thinks the economy is gonna get worse. 102 00:06:30,160 --> 00:06:33,280 Speaker 1: Now when the hard left admits that the economy is 103 00:06:33,279 --> 00:06:36,359 Speaker 1: gonna get worse, I think the average American has already 104 00:06:36,640 --> 00:06:39,640 Speaker 1: been seeing that. While the stock market has been going 105 00:06:39,760 --> 00:06:42,760 Speaker 1: up on main Street in the heart land, for working class, 106 00:06:42,839 --> 00:06:47,000 Speaker 1: middle class small business people, they can't tell the difference 107 00:06:47,000 --> 00:06:50,320 Speaker 1: between the recession and the recovery because there is no 108 00:06:50,480 --> 00:06:55,000 Speaker 1: recovery in a lot of America. Can the Republican Party 109 00:06:55,880 --> 00:07:01,839 Speaker 1: as uh as defined by Donald Trump as so anti Hispanic, 110 00:07:02,279 --> 00:07:07,800 Speaker 1: anti Muslim um, can it survives? You had Tom Freeman 111 00:07:07,839 --> 00:07:10,600 Speaker 1: in the New York Times suggesting that the Republican Party 112 00:07:10,640 --> 00:07:16,600 Speaker 1: needs to reinvent itself uh going forward. Well, when I 113 00:07:16,680 --> 00:07:23,360 Speaker 1: look at the Hispanic Latina Republican governor of New Mexico 114 00:07:23,720 --> 00:07:29,080 Speaker 1: or the Hispanic Latino Republican governor of Nevada, you know, 115 00:07:29,160 --> 00:07:34,680 Speaker 1: I am reminded of how many Republicans and how many 116 00:07:34,840 --> 00:07:39,400 Speaker 1: Hispanics or Republicans, and how many Republicans are Hispanic. George 117 00:07:39,400 --> 00:07:41,800 Speaker 1: Bush got forty four percent of the vote I worked 118 00:07:41,800 --> 00:07:44,760 Speaker 1: in of the Hispanic vote. When I work in the 119 00:07:44,800 --> 00:07:49,680 Speaker 1: Reagan Righthouse. President Reagan was very popular among Hispanics, and 120 00:07:49,680 --> 00:07:52,720 Speaker 1: there are many when my state does not have a 121 00:07:52,800 --> 00:07:58,400 Speaker 1: large Hispanic population, but Hispanic voters in Missippi overwhelmingly voted 122 00:07:58,440 --> 00:08:03,640 Speaker 1: for me twice. Uh. So I don't accept that because 123 00:08:03,720 --> 00:08:10,960 Speaker 1: Mitt Romney uh let himself be portrayed as anti immigrant. 124 00:08:11,960 --> 00:08:16,800 Speaker 1: Uh that that's the position of our party, it's not. Uh. 125 00:08:16,960 --> 00:08:19,920 Speaker 1: Donald Trump's positions on that I think a very out 126 00:08:19,920 --> 00:08:23,680 Speaker 1: of sync with most Republicans and uh and I do 127 00:08:23,800 --> 00:08:27,800 Speaker 1: think that's a serious political problem for him. The Mississippi 128 00:08:27,960 --> 00:08:32,880 Speaker 1: Second Congressional District, on that western spine of Mississippi is 129 00:08:33,120 --> 00:08:38,240 Speaker 1: roughly thirty five percent white Black with as you stay 130 00:08:38,320 --> 00:08:41,760 Speaker 1: with a little bit of a Hispanic vote at the margin. 131 00:08:42,360 --> 00:08:47,160 Speaker 1: How does Mr Trump reconnected with the second Congressional District 132 00:08:47,480 --> 00:08:52,920 Speaker 1: of Mississippi. Well, I happen to live in the second Congression. 133 00:08:52,960 --> 00:08:57,240 Speaker 1: That's why I brought and uh uh it is we 134 00:08:57,320 --> 00:09:01,199 Speaker 1: have a African American conffman and have had since nineteen 135 00:09:01,520 --> 00:09:06,199 Speaker 1: eighty six, not the same one but but but continuously 136 00:09:07,679 --> 00:09:10,520 Speaker 1: but but there are a lot of Republicans in that district. 137 00:09:11,480 --> 00:09:14,800 Speaker 1: And as as governor for re election, I got twenty 138 00:09:14,840 --> 00:09:17,800 Speaker 1: five of the black vote in Mississippi and probably got 139 00:09:17,800 --> 00:09:19,960 Speaker 1: a little bit higher percentage than that in that district 140 00:09:20,000 --> 00:09:24,880 Speaker 1: because it doesn't include my home county, but than Cochrane, 141 00:09:26,000 --> 00:09:29,480 Speaker 1: and most of his elections for Senator received the fourth 142 00:09:29,480 --> 00:09:31,800 Speaker 1: to a third of the Black vote. How does Mr 143 00:09:31,920 --> 00:09:35,400 Speaker 1: Trum what you do is you gotta try? Okay, Okay, 144 00:09:35,720 --> 00:09:38,760 Speaker 1: where's the try, Governor Barber? Where is the try of 145 00:09:38,960 --> 00:09:48,559 Speaker 1: Mr Trump to reconnect at the margin with Hayley Barber's Republicans? Well? Again, 146 00:09:48,600 --> 00:09:50,440 Speaker 1: I think the thing that would help him the most 147 00:09:50,840 --> 00:09:54,640 Speaker 1: is to start talking about policy, start talking about the 148 00:09:54,760 --> 00:09:58,800 Speaker 1: difference between what Obama has done, which has been a failure, 149 00:09:59,720 --> 00:10:02,480 Speaker 1: and what he would do. I thought what he made 150 00:10:02,520 --> 00:10:07,559 Speaker 1: his energy speech in North Dakota, uh, that the content 151 00:10:07,800 --> 00:10:14,840 Speaker 1: was very good, very republican. Uh. Yet it got overwhelmed 152 00:10:14,880 --> 00:10:18,440 Speaker 1: because of some other comments he made the same day 153 00:10:18,480 --> 00:10:21,079 Speaker 1: that uh, I think in the Wall Street Journal, which 154 00:10:21,080 --> 00:10:23,320 Speaker 1: you would think would be interested in the economic policy, 155 00:10:23,360 --> 00:10:28,560 Speaker 1: it's fair to say the energy speech was at the 156 00:10:28,679 --> 00:10:31,439 Speaker 1: very tail of about a forty paragraph story of that 157 00:10:31,640 --> 00:10:34,480 Speaker 1: just it was he stepped up an old story. As 158 00:10:34,520 --> 00:10:38,680 Speaker 1: my point, more about policy is what I think that 159 00:10:38,760 --> 00:10:43,040 Speaker 1: he need do, would do differently. We're out of time 160 00:10:43,240 --> 00:10:45,559 Speaker 1: with a governor from Mississippi, Henley Barber, we hope to 161 00:10:45,559 --> 00:10:47,760 Speaker 1: get a minor as he moved to the conventions. This 162 00:10:47,880 --> 00:10:54,599 Speaker 1: is Bloomberg's surveillance checking out with John Tucker. Get the 163 00:10:54,679 --> 00:10:57,079 Speaker 1: last one of the national heads. You want more politics? 164 00:10:57,280 --> 00:10:59,400 Speaker 1: Bernie Centers heads to the White House this morning for 165 00:10:59,440 --> 00:11:02,280 Speaker 1: a chat with President Obama. Aides The presidents say it 166 00:11:02,320 --> 00:11:05,720 Speaker 1: won't be issuing a demands. Uh Santers has refused to 167 00:11:05,720 --> 00:11:08,640 Speaker 1: exit the race, of course. A traditional Muslim funeral will 168 00:11:08,640 --> 00:11:11,800 Speaker 1: be held today in Louisville, Kentucky, for boxing great Muhammad Ali, 169 00:11:11,920 --> 00:11:15,520 Speaker 1: who died last Friday at the age of seventy four. 170 00:11:15,880 --> 00:11:18,360 Speaker 1: The tribal police officer faced the most serious charges in 171 00:11:18,400 --> 00:11:21,079 Speaker 1: the Fredday Gray case, set to begin today in Baltimore 172 00:11:21,120 --> 00:11:24,360 Speaker 1: City Circuit Court. At a weekend to June, two tropical 173 00:11:24,400 --> 00:11:26,880 Speaker 1: storms have drenched the US. Maybe a good time to 174 00:11:26,960 --> 00:11:30,199 Speaker 1: stock up on duct tape and plywood. The data take 175 00:11:30,200 --> 00:11:32,160 Speaker 1: the wind out of that idea. From nineteen fifty to 176 00:11:32,240 --> 00:11:35,720 Speaker 1: two thousand twelve, the number of hurricanes virtually the same, 177 00:11:35,840 --> 00:11:39,760 Speaker 1: whether the storm activity started in June or not. I 178 00:11:39,800 --> 00:11:42,080 Speaker 1: can tell you felt like a hurricane yesterday around here. 179 00:11:42,120 --> 00:11:46,640 Speaker 1: When blue through It's still called the temperature gradient wise. 180 00:11:46,679 --> 00:11:49,720 Speaker 1: When was something? Wasn't it? Yes? Global News twenty four 181 00:11:49,760 --> 00:11:52,240 Speaker 1: hours a day, powered by a twenty four hundred journalists 182 00:11:52,360 --> 00:11:56,400 Speaker 1: more than one fifty news bureaus around the world. Tom 183 00:11:56,280 --> 00:11:59,720 Speaker 1: the modestteration in futures, John Tucker Futures a negative ten. 184 00:12:00,040 --> 00:12:08,160 Speaker 1: It's Bloomberg Surveyance Marcot drivers. Brought you by your Mercedes 185 00:12:08,160 --> 00:12:10,079 Speaker 1: Benz Triestate dealer. The star you've been wishing for his 186 00:12:10,080 --> 00:12:11,880 Speaker 1: way to get the Mercedes ben Summer. Event Hew, do 187 00:12:11,960 --> 00:12:14,360 Speaker 1: your Mercedes ben Tri State dealer for more details. Sorry, 188 00:12:14,600 --> 00:12:17,439 Speaker 1: before this star flies by,