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Speaker 1: All right, and welcome into the Betting Pros College Football

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Speaker 1: Show and it's official, folks for her halfway through the

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty five college football season, So let's turn things up, hoping.

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Speaker 2: For a successful second half, starting in this episode with

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Speaker 2: our week eight early picks and line movement predictions. I'm

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Speaker 2: your host of Seth Wilcox sporting the Blue and White

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Speaker 2: today because I stand behind Penn State athletic director Pat

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Speaker 2: craft decision to fire.

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Speaker 1: Head coach James Franklin. And am I just salty because

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Speaker 1: he killed the parlay once again against Northwestern? Perhaps does

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Speaker 1: that change anything we've witnessed over the past three weeks?

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Speaker 1: That's a negative ghost writer and inequally high spirits is

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Speaker 1: my co host, Texas longhornbacker Scott big time Bogman Scottie,

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Speaker 1: how are you after another wild weekend of college ball?

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Speaker 1: My friend Seth, what.

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Speaker 3: A great weekend it was here in week seven? I

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Speaker 3: know not for everybody, but seven and three on my

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Speaker 3: show Picks, Let's go, it's a good week. The Longhorns

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Speaker 3: win and smoke Oklahoma. Been over seven hundred and fifty

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Speaker 3: days since Oklahoma last quarter a touchdown against the Longhorns

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Speaker 3: and they're gonna have to wait another three to sixty

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Speaker 3: plus to get there, so not gonna be anytime soon.

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Speaker 3: We're gonna get over quads there against the Sooners. The

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Speaker 3: Steelers went on Sunday. So as long as my Monday

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Speaker 3: night card looks good, all my bets got my parlay too,

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Speaker 3: my second parlay and it's those bigger odds this time.

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Speaker 3: Treill got his too, so good week for the Parlay

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Speaker 3: Show as well. So yeah, man, I'm feeling pretty good.

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Speaker 3: So ready to be humbled again, I'll tell you that much.

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Speaker 3: So seeing the field with confidence right now, which is.

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Speaker 4: Not always the best thing. You know, sports will humble you.

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Speaker 4: But I like where we're at.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, we're just a Penn State team total over from

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Speaker 1: getting a three for three on the Parlay Show, so

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Speaker 1: of course gonna come through for me. But that's Penn

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Speaker 1: State football, baby. And today's program does look like this.

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Speaker 1: We'll recap all the week seven action, the betting, the

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Speaker 1: betting followers, plus we'll give you an early handicap of

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Speaker 1: the top ten games for Week eight. As always, shout

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Speaker 1: to everyone who continues to make us a part of

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Speaker 1: their weekly rotation by tuning in either here on the

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros YouTube channel or the audio feed the easiest

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Speaker 1: freeway support us. Give this video a thumbs up if

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Speaker 1: you enjoy this type of content, and if you're new,

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Speaker 1: make sure you subscribe to the channels STI don't miss

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Speaker 1: a moment of college football betting coverage this season. Also,

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Speaker 1: if you want a chance to score this signed Nick Chubb,

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Speaker 1: Cleveland Brown's helmet for free curse of our Friendsover Pristine

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Speaker 1: Auction dot com. All you need to do is head

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Speaker 1: review for the Betting Pros podcast, or see Subscribe to

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Speaker 1: our social media channels. We're at Betting Pros on x

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Speaker 1: The more actions you complete, the more entries you're gonna receive,

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Speaker 1: and we will announce a winner right here on the program,

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Speaker 1: So make sure you ring the bell so you can

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Speaker 1: be alerted when new episodes are up and to claim

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Speaker 1: your prize if you are that lucky winner. And before

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Speaker 1: we look ahead, let's look back at the week that

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Speaker 1: it was in college football Kannessas State. On Thursday night,

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Speaker 1: they upset Louisiana Tech thirty five to seven. Number twenty

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Speaker 1: four South Florida. They bet unbeaten North Texas sixty three

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Speaker 1: thirty six and really fun Friday night game number one

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Speaker 1: Ohio State. They win and cover against number seventeen Illinois

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Speaker 1: thirty five to sixteen. Colorado upsets number twenty two Iowa

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Speaker 1: State twenty four to seventeen. Number twelve Tennessee survives the

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Speaker 1: dead cap bounce thirty four to thirty one against Arkansas

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Speaker 1: Number nine. Texas Tech stays perfect forty two to fifteen

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Speaker 1: against Kansas number four Ole miss They survive at Washington

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Speaker 1: State in a nail byder twenty four twenty seven and

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Speaker 1: number seven Indiana they upset Oregon thirty to twenty seven.

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Speaker 1: Penn State loses twenty two to twenty one to Northwestern

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Speaker 1: and Happy Valley. They fire James Franklin. As a result,

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Speaker 1: Texas wins the Golden Hat Trophy once again twenty three

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Speaker 1: six over Atlholma there number eight Alabama. They win in

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Speaker 1: Columbia twenty seven to twenty four over Missouri and Georgia.

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Speaker 1: They get past Auburn here twenty to ten they stay

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Speaker 1: ranked in the country in the number five Texas A

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Speaker 1: and M. They run away from Florida thirty four to seventeen,

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Speaker 1: number eleven, LSU stands tall twenty ten against South Carolina,

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Speaker 1: and then Utah blows out the Sam Levitt list number

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Speaker 1: twenty one Arizona State sun devils forty two to ten.

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Speaker 1: So bogs. Before we get to the elephant in the

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Speaker 1: room and break down what the changes mean for the

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Speaker 1: Nitney Lions moving forward, let's talk about the rest of

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Speaker 1: the betting riders and followers across the nation for you

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Speaker 1: in week seven?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, let's just find out where Wisconsin is

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Speaker 3: playing for the rest of the year and take the

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Speaker 3: team total under for the rest of time. Right Like

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Speaker 3: that one is paying off so well for me. But obviously,

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Speaker 3: Ohio State still looks really good. I mean, I thought

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Speaker 3: they were gonna chunk our Illinois under ooh we were

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Speaker 3: sweaty two point converse that one way the two point conversion,

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Speaker 3: and then they were driving at the end for nothing

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Speaker 3: in Ohio State didn't really seem to care, so didn't

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Speaker 3: like that. But I mean, Missouri looked good but just

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Speaker 3: couldn't pull it out at the end. There were a

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Speaker 3: couple of plays away from making a big upset Oklahoma.

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Speaker 3: I mean, look, you know, in this maybe we're just

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Speaker 3: continuing this Heisman curse of whoever is your number one odds?

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Speaker 3: Because Matier came back and looked god awful throwing the

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Speaker 3: ball and it wasn't really the ball and the thumb

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Speaker 3: surgery and all that it did hurt.

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Speaker 4: It was bleeding.

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Speaker 3: You could see him wiping it on his pants and

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Speaker 3: all of that, but the decisions with the ball were horrible.

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Speaker 3: Indiana going to Oregon, it beating the Ducks set was

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Speaker 3: wild to me. I did not see that coming. I

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Speaker 3: was one of the three that I missed this week

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Speaker 3: as well. I mean not only to win, but to

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Speaker 3: win by double digits going away as well. Like this

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Speaker 3: was just such a great, complete game from Indiana to

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Speaker 3: win their So obviously they're up in the number what

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Speaker 3: is it three spot now, right, so they've been great.

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Speaker 3: I'm done with Michigan, I can tell you that much

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Speaker 3: right now. After disappointing me against USC, Auburn is a

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Speaker 3: complete mess. They couldn't win at home against you know, look,

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Speaker 3: this is a Georgia is still really good roster. But

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Speaker 3: Georgia is not the Georgia that they have been in

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Speaker 3: the past. This was a winnable game for Auburn and

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Speaker 3: it didn't even look competitive in it. Texas Tech look great,

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Speaker 3: LSU still has no offense, so we're concerned about that,

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Speaker 3: and ASU is just a different team without Levitt. So

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Speaker 3: there's a couple of teams trending down, a couple of

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Speaker 3: teams trending up. But yeah, this week has a lot

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Speaker 3: of really good games. I think we have the ten

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Speaker 3: the best ten, but there's a couple other games that

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Speaker 3: are good here as well.

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Speaker 4: So this is going to.

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Speaker 3: Be another fun week set. And we're learning more and

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Speaker 3: more about these teams every week as we move forward here.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, every single week we continue to gain more information

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Speaker 1: further our notebooks ask betters for what we can continue

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Speaker 1: to expect from some of these teams. Again, there's always

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Speaker 1: gonna be surprises bumps along the way, but seems like

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Speaker 1: we're starting as a unit to you know, see that

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Speaker 1: field pretty well. So excited about that, Boggs. I do

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Speaker 1: want to talk about Penn State though here as well.

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Speaker 1: You know, I put out about a six minute rant

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Speaker 1: on social media Saturday.

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Speaker 3: Some people might have described it as unhinged or too fast.

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Speaker 3: But yeah, look, you were upset, you had things to say,

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Speaker 3: and you set them, so let's go.

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Speaker 4: Yeah.

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Speaker 1: I mean, look, man, you can lose in a tight

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Speaker 1: spot to Oregon, right and I'm okay with what happened there.

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Speaker 1: You can go ahead and get upset by UCLA. You

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Speaker 1: know their trap games all the time. New Housle was

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Speaker 1: on a heater play calling you can't go home where.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know if you saw the scenes

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Speaker 1: from outside Beaver Stadium, Bogs, but it was pretty much

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Speaker 1: a boycott, Like there was really nobody there. Usually the

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Speaker 1: front lawn in front of Beaver packed with cars, packed

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Speaker 1: with peel tailgating. It was a pretty nice day here

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Speaker 1: October weatherwise, and there was really nobody out there stadium

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Speaker 1: half empty paper bags being worn.

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Speaker 4: So that just as damning as the result. Yes, like, yes,

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Speaker 4: the result was the final nail.

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Speaker 3: But the people not showing up for a program that

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Speaker 3: is traditionally beloved by the entire town and most of

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Speaker 3: the state. I mean, you know, it is very very disappointing.

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Speaker 3: I think that played into the firing just as much

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Speaker 3: as the result. The result was just the final nail.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and I think when you go out and you

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Speaker 1: just completely kind of give up, right, That's kind of

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Speaker 1: how it felt. Felt like they just were like ready

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Speaker 1: to throw in the towel for Franklin and one of

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Speaker 1: those situations. You have muff punts, you have unnecessary roughnesses

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Speaker 1: on the kickoffs that don't make sense. You have unforced

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Speaker 1: errors in the red zone on the first drive when

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Speaker 1: you have two of the best running backs in the

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Speaker 1: country were forcing it on a corner route. So just

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Speaker 1: a lot of things that kind of led to this.

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Speaker 1: I mean, obviously it's going to be a long road

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Speaker 1: ahead for Penn State, like rest of the season betting wise,

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Speaker 1: are they a fade to you? Do you think they

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Speaker 1: maybe get a dead cat bounce here Ohio State in

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Speaker 1: just a couple of weeks and Indiana not too far

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Speaker 1: passed that as well.

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Speaker 4: Who is our quarterback now that Drew allers con.

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Speaker 1: He is a young buck. He is a young buck.

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Speaker 1: He has not played much seventeen Honestly, can't remember his

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Speaker 1: name Bogs because he hasn't played much action for us.

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Speaker 3: That's the thing, right, Like, I don't want to fade

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Speaker 3: the defense because the defense is still really good, but

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Speaker 3: I think we're probably going to be looking at your

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Speaker 3: regular big ten games of the winter, the sevens to thirteen's,

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Speaker 3: the twenty one to tens, you know what I mean,

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Speaker 3: Because I just don't think we're going to see a

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Speaker 3: lot from this Penn State offense, at least passing the

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Speaker 3: ball moving forward. I mean, the pass catchers that you

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Speaker 3: got are probably the biggest reason why James Franklin lost

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Speaker 3: these games and ended up fired anyway, Right, so the

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Speaker 3: wide receivers aren't good.

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Speaker 4: It's Ethan grunken Meyer.

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Speaker 1: Drunk Meyer.

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Speaker 4: Grunk Meyer.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, thirteen career attempts coming into next week.

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Speaker 4: He only played spatterings of games here.

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Speaker 3: It looks like So, I mean, look, maybe the kid

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Speaker 3: surprises and he looks great like the kid from Pitt. Right,

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Speaker 3: We're gonna find out really quick because he's thrown right

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Speaker 3: into the fire. But I think I would expect unders.

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Speaker 3: I expect low scoring games, and the defense is still

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Speaker 3: good at Penn State, so that's expect movies.

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Speaker 1: I don't know how good they are, honestly, Like, we

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Speaker 1: just let Northwestern run down our throat to close out

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Speaker 1: that game, you know, pick up three four yards every

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Speaker 1: single play, So.

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Speaker 3: I don't know man like defensive performance rating is still

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Speaker 3: like thirtieth so far this year. Okay, but the roster

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Speaker 3: is still top fifteen.

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Speaker 1: So for under on them to make a ball.

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Speaker 4: Do you think, what do you how many wins do

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Speaker 4: you have right now? Let me look at the schedule.

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Speaker 1: We have three wins right now. Rest of the schedule

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Speaker 1: looks like this.

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Speaker 4: Three wins you get, I mean, you gotta make it.

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Speaker 1: We have Iowa, we have Penn State, we have Indiana

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Speaker 1: at when we're at Iowa, so maybe maybe one win

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Speaker 1: there and then then we would have to and if

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Speaker 1: we don't get any wins there, we have to run

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Speaker 1: the table against Michigan State, Nebraska, and Rutgers.

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Speaker 4: I don't know.

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Speaker 1: We might not be going bowling, man, we might not

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Speaker 1: be going bulling.

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Speaker 3: I don't realized this is so bad. You're not beating

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Speaker 3: Iowa right at Iowa. Nope, not beating Ohio State, not

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Speaker 3: beating Indiana. So that's three weeks in a row. So

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Speaker 3: here the thing you could beat Iowa like, it's in

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Speaker 3: within the Roman possibility dead cat bounce maybe right yep.

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Speaker 3: Michigan State, you're beating Nebraska, Rutgers are legit questions right

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Speaker 3: now Nebraska is playing pretty well. I don't trust them

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Speaker 3: at all, so I would take Penn State in that game.

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Speaker 3: By the time you get to Rutgers, hopefully you're hitting

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Speaker 3: on all cylinders and you can make it. But you're

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Speaker 3: not beating Ohio State or Indiana for sure. So gotta

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Speaker 3: win three out of those four, and that's a tight window.

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Speaker 4: It's tough.

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Speaker 3: I still think they're gonna go, you know, like I

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Speaker 3: said to you yesterday, probably Texas versus Penn State and

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Speaker 3: the Music City bawl when it was supposed to be

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Speaker 3: the Natty. So yeah, look, if it's the Music City

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Speaker 3: ball seth and I are going to try to go yep,

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Speaker 3: all right, like five dollars tickets, all you gotta pay

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Speaker 3: for is a flight and then leave right after.

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Speaker 4: I'm fine with that.

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Speaker 1: So Evan, it's what we do, uh, betting card two

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Speaker 1: and three for me on the weekend as well. So

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Speaker 1: like Penn State, we're gonna keep on swinging. Hopefully we

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Speaker 1: get a little dead cat bounce here and let's kick

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Speaker 1: it off in week eight and let's get underway with

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Speaker 1: a Friday night acc clash in South Beach with the

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Speaker 1: number two Miami Hurricanes. They're hosting the Louisville Cardinals as

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Speaker 1: twelve and a half to thirteen and a half point

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Speaker 1: favors Miami coming off the bye. Here, they're currently five

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Speaker 1: and oh straight up four and one ATS, and it's

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Speaker 1: really been this top ten scoring defense led by Reuben

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Speaker 1: Bain Junior, a key messador on that defensive front leading

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Speaker 1: the way. Carson Beckett quarterback. He's really returned to form

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Speaker 1: as well. He leads the AEC and completion percentage and

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Speaker 1: pass or efficiency rating. Louisville the come in off the

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Speaker 1: buy as well, four and one straight up, but just

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Speaker 1: one in four ATS this season under Jeff brom transfer

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Speaker 1: quarterback Miller Moss, he's been okay getting the Cardinals to

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Speaker 1: the twenty first ranked passing offense, but their defense is

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Speaker 1: also very much improved here, specifically against the pass. So Boggs,

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Speaker 1: this has been a fairly contested, high scoring rivalry. What

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Speaker 1: do you think we'll see this year? And where do

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Speaker 1: you think this line moves as well?

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Speaker 4: I think Miami is a wagon. What do you say

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Speaker 4: it's at right now?

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Speaker 1: Right now? You are anywhere from twelve and a half

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Speaker 1: to thirteen and a half.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, so it's moved towards Louisville a little bit in

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Speaker 3: some spots, because I saw it thirteen and a half

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Speaker 3: last night, and it looks like tickets were on Louisville,

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Speaker 3: but cash was on Miami. But I'm on the Miami

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Speaker 3: side here.

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Speaker 4: I probably I might like the under a.

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Speaker 3: Little more because both these teams played a slow pace

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Speaker 3: eighty ninth for Louisville, one hundred and twenty eighth for Miami.

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Speaker 3: But the biggest difference in this game is along the

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Speaker 3: defensive line. As you mentioned, Bain and Door are incredible,

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Speaker 3: right and this season the offensive line for Louisville has

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Speaker 3: been bad. They're one hundred and fifth in pass blocking grade.

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Speaker 3: There are one hundred and twelfth and sacks allowed per

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Speaker 3: game right now at two point six per game right now,

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Speaker 3: Miami's getting two point four. They play the run well,

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Speaker 3: and I think if you start hitting Miller Moss, he'll

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Speaker 3: start coughing the ball up.

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Speaker 4: Making bad decisions.

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Speaker 3: And I think at home on a Friday night for Miami,

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Speaker 3: that's just what it's gonna be. I think Miami is

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Speaker 3: gonna get to Miller Moss, hit him, he's gonna panic,

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Speaker 3: He's gonna start throwing interceptions. And Miami starts to.

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Speaker 4: Walk away with it.

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Speaker 3: So I'm gonna be on the Hurricanes here. Louisville's a

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Speaker 3: good team, but I don't think they're in the Cane

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Speaker 3: zip code this year, so Mike lean is going to

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Speaker 3: be towards Miami. But I hope it, like, let's hope

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Speaker 3: it just comes down. I would like it to come

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Speaker 3: down as long as it stays under two touchdowns.

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Speaker 2: Though.

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Speaker 3: I think I'm gonna be on the Miami side here

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Speaker 3: in on the under fifty three and a half here,

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Speaker 3: because both these teams played a slow rate and I

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Speaker 3: just don't think Louisville is gonna score many points here.

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Speaker 1: Okay, if you want something maybe in the futures market

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Speaker 1: as well, for a Miami player, would you be interested in,

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Speaker 1: like Ruben Bain maybe to be the first overall draft pick.

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Speaker 1: He's starting to get some buzz there. I don't see

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Speaker 1: the odds currently here in Pennsylvania, we don't have draft Dodds,

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Speaker 1: So is that something if you got.

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Speaker 4: To the number to early for it's too early for that.

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Speaker 4: Like if you want to get to.

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Speaker 1: The last last team right now, and they're a defensive

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Speaker 1: minded head coach.

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Speaker 3: I can tell you right now, said they will take

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Speaker 3: Tys Simpson if he comes out. If the draft was

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Speaker 3: today and they had to make a pick, it's ty Simpson.

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Speaker 3: They have Will McDonald Jermaine Johnson on the on the

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Speaker 3: line here. Uh, they would have to have a quarterback

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Speaker 3: because field sucks, or offensive lineman because your boy Fashnu

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Speaker 3: is not that good.

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Speaker 1: So I mean I resulting the wound.

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Speaker 2: Friend.

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Speaker 3: Sorry, sorry, sorry, but yeah, it's been it's been rough

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Speaker 3: there for them. But I think they would go for

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Speaker 3: a quarterback, so okay, I mean maybe maybe Tony for

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Speaker 3: Freshman of the year. Right, okay, but uh, nothing on

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Speaker 3: draft quite yet. Way too early for that.

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Speaker 1: All right, Well, I'm gonna be up my eyes, Field,

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Speaker 1: because the future.

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Speaker 3: Is trying to find something to keep you entertained. Seth,

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Speaker 3: I see where you're at.

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Speaker 1: I get it exactly exactly. We got eyes on that baby.

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Speaker 1: The Big House will be bumping at noon on Saturday,

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Speaker 1: with the Wolverines hosting the Washington Huskies as four and

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Speaker 1: a half to five and a half point favorites. Washington

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Speaker 1: is five and one straight up three and three ats

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Speaker 1: this season, with their only outright loss coming to Ohio State.

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Speaker 1: They've also picked up two big ten wins since that loss,

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Speaker 1: failing to cover at Maryland and then beating Rutgers thirty

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Speaker 1: eight to nineteen last week at home. This is a

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Speaker 1: lethal top twenty offense in the country. They're led by

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Speaker 1: dole threat quarterback Demond Williams Junior and twenty twenty six

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Speaker 1: NFL draft prospects Joanah Coleman and wide receiver Denzel Boston. Plus,

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Speaker 1: Washington has a top ten ranked rushing defense to boot Michigan.

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Speaker 1: They come off their second loss this season, falling two

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Speaker 1: four and two straight up two and four ats as well.

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Speaker 1: The Wolverines are once again carried by their defense and

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Speaker 1: a top twenty range rushing offense. Washington won this game

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Speaker 1: twenty seven to seventeen last year in Seattle. So, Boggs,

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Speaker 1: were you surprised to see them catching over a field

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Speaker 1: goal here in and Arbor?

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Speaker 4: Yeah?

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Speaker 3: I mean mainly because I've been so wrong about Michigan

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Speaker 3: this year, right, But after what we saw from Washington

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Speaker 3: and their comeback, I think Demon Williams is starting to

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00:17:18,040 --> 00:17:21,679
Speaker 3: roll down hill and we just haven't seen Underwood.

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Speaker 4: Hit that gear yet.

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Speaker 3: Michigan also has a major question running back with Haynes

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Speaker 3: down as well. So with Demon Williams looking good, a

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Speaker 3: couple of the fact that don't put pressure on posting

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Speaker 3: quarterbacks and Washington doesn't stop the pass well in stats

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Speaker 3: or grade, they're eighty six in pass defense. My favorite

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Speaker 3: play here is the over right now, it's fifteen one

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Speaker 3: and a half. I think we're gonna take that, but

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Speaker 3: cash and tickets are on the over right now, so

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Speaker 3: it might start to expand Michigan stops the run well,

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Speaker 3: but USC showed us.

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Speaker 4: That they will give up yards and points.

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Speaker 3: Four hundred and eighty nine total yards against USC two

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Speaker 3: hundred and sixty five passing, two hundred and twenty four rushing,

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Speaker 3: and thirty one points my favorite bet, and it's probably

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Speaker 3: gonna stay this way. Right now, the Washington team total

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Speaker 3: is twenty two and a half. I didn't think they

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Speaker 3: easily can get to twenty four because I just don't

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Speaker 3: really like what Michigan is doing right now. And Demon

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Speaker 3: Williams is really It seemed like in that second half

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Speaker 3: he started to hit a new gear, so I think

385
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Speaker 3: it's starting to click for him. That was a road game.

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Speaker 3: This is a road game, and I'm pretty excited about

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Speaker 3: the Washington offense. Once we get going, because speak of

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Speaker 3: the draft man Denzel Boston is so good and he

389
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Speaker 3: made a disgusting catch last week, so let's see more

390
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Speaker 3: of that.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I almost was leaning to the under again, but

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Speaker 1: I think maybe that's a little recncy buyas just because

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Speaker 1: I was on that Michigan under last week. And this

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Speaker 1: is Justice Haynes for Michigan versus Washington, who has Jonah Coleman,

395
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Speaker 1: like what I would say, two of the top five

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Speaker 1: running backs in the country right now. So I don't know.

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Speaker 1: It's a tough one. I'm really really interested in it.

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Speaker 1: I can tell you one thing for sure, though, Bobbin,

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Speaker 1: neither one of us are gonna lay the points with

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Speaker 1: Michigan here.

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00:18:58,560 --> 00:19:02,880
Speaker 4: Yeah, zero chance not taking Michigan again. Now.

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Speaker 3: I think they're four and two against the spread and

403
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Speaker 3: the two they lost with the ones I took, So

404
00:19:06,320 --> 00:19:07,560
Speaker 3: pass on Michigan.

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00:20:40,000 --> 00:20:42,199
Speaker 5: eight hundred and nine with it gambling problem called one

439
00:20:42,359 --> 00:20:45,920
Speaker 5: hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois. In New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee.

440
00:20:45,600 --> 00:20:49,840
Speaker 1: Virginia, It's a top twenty five game in the Music City,

441
00:20:49,880 --> 00:20:53,200
Speaker 1: with the seventeenth ranked Vanderbilt Commodore sitting as two and

442
00:20:53,240 --> 00:20:56,880
Speaker 1: a half point home favorites against the tenth ranked LSU Tigers.

443
00:20:57,200 --> 00:21:00,000
Speaker 1: LSU comes off a home win twenty to ten against

444
00:21:00,080 --> 00:21:03,560
Speaker 1: South Carolina, but it's just three and three ats, failing

445
00:21:03,560 --> 00:21:07,000
Speaker 1: to cover against the likes of Old Miss, Southeast Louisiana

446
00:21:07,080 --> 00:21:10,200
Speaker 1: and LA Tech. The Tigers rely on this bend, don't

447
00:21:10,240 --> 00:21:13,399
Speaker 1: break type of top five scoring defense, but continues to

448
00:21:13,400 --> 00:21:16,800
Speaker 1: struggle on offense, ranking forty eighth in passing with nuss

449
00:21:16,840 --> 00:21:19,640
Speaker 1: still leading the SEC in pass attempts, though, and one

450
00:21:19,720 --> 00:21:22,560
Speaker 1: hundred and thirteenth in rushing. Van Dey is four and

451
00:21:22,640 --> 00:21:25,440
Speaker 1: two ats. They failed to cover in two straight games

452
00:21:25,560 --> 00:21:29,199
Speaker 1: against Utah State and Alabama. Still they're coming off the

453
00:21:29,200 --> 00:21:31,679
Speaker 1: buye here. They have a top ten scoring offense and

454
00:21:31,760 --> 00:21:35,359
Speaker 1: our thirty second in total defense. Between Pavey under center,

455
00:21:35,400 --> 00:21:38,240
Speaker 1: Cedric Alexander in the backfield, plus one of the nation's

456
00:21:38,280 --> 00:21:40,800
Speaker 1: top tight ends, Eli Stowers. This is maybe the most

457
00:21:40,840 --> 00:21:44,480
Speaker 1: loaded Vandy team in my lifetime. But do they still

458
00:21:44,520 --> 00:21:48,040
Speaker 1: warn't being favored in this matchup against LSU Bogman.

459
00:21:48,400 --> 00:21:52,679
Speaker 3: No, not at all, And I am pretty surprised by this,

460
00:21:52,760 --> 00:21:56,400
Speaker 3: and I cannot wait for the fight with Terrell on

461
00:21:56,480 --> 00:22:00,720
Speaker 3: Wednesday here. But look, I think that LSU is more

462
00:22:00,720 --> 00:22:03,480
Speaker 3: than a field goal better than Vandy. But Vandy has

463
00:22:03,560 --> 00:22:06,520
Speaker 3: looked strong against everyone but Alabama. If I'm looking for

464
00:22:06,600 --> 00:22:09,680
Speaker 3: cracks here for Vandy, I think it's the passing offense,

465
00:22:09,800 --> 00:22:13,080
Speaker 3: right Like I think they're just a little vulnerable. And

466
00:22:13,119 --> 00:22:16,120
Speaker 3: I also like Nussmeyer, I don't know that he can

467
00:22:16,160 --> 00:22:20,960
Speaker 3: take advantage of this pass defense either. But nuts is

468
00:22:21,000 --> 00:22:24,480
Speaker 3: only mass two hundred and fifty yards twice this season.

469
00:22:24,520 --> 00:22:25,880
Speaker 3: He's throwing five picks already.

470
00:22:26,040 --> 00:22:26,800
Speaker 1: Insane.

471
00:22:27,000 --> 00:22:29,720
Speaker 3: I kind of like the under here NUS looks rough.

472
00:22:29,760 --> 00:22:36,440
Speaker 3: The LSU run offense has been non existent. LSU is

473
00:22:36,480 --> 00:22:39,280
Speaker 3: one of the best defenses in the country as well. Like,

474
00:22:39,720 --> 00:22:41,959
Speaker 3: they are not working on offense right now, but they

475
00:22:42,000 --> 00:22:44,760
Speaker 3: are definitely working on defense. Vandy didn't score in the

476
00:22:44,840 --> 00:22:48,480
Speaker 3: second half against Bama. I definitely think LSU was overrated

477
00:22:48,520 --> 00:22:51,160
Speaker 3: going into the year, and they're probably still overrated right

478
00:22:51,800 --> 00:22:55,000
Speaker 3: but so is Vandy. I think Vandy's way overrated right now.

479
00:22:55,040 --> 00:22:57,280
Speaker 3: I think people are excited for this story. This is

480
00:22:57,320 --> 00:23:00,359
Speaker 3: a good team. Vandy might beat Texas right like that.

481
00:23:00,480 --> 00:23:03,120
Speaker 3: They're in that range of like, you're a really good

482
00:23:03,200 --> 00:23:05,720
Speaker 3: SEC team. I just don't know if you're competing with

483
00:23:05,760 --> 00:23:08,960
Speaker 3: the upper echelon of the SEC. I don't consider South

484
00:23:08,960 --> 00:23:12,520
Speaker 3: Carolina in there either, who they have smoked. I think

485
00:23:12,680 --> 00:23:15,840
Speaker 3: LSU is I think once LSU's offense gets rolling, they're

486
00:23:15,840 --> 00:23:19,479
Speaker 3: a very dangerous team. But that's also if the offense

487
00:23:19,480 --> 00:23:21,960
Speaker 3: gets rolling. So let's just stay away from the sides

488
00:23:22,000 --> 00:23:25,240
Speaker 3: in this game, Seth and let's take the under. Yeah,

489
00:23:25,280 --> 00:23:27,960
Speaker 3: it's already kind of low forty eight and a half,

490
00:23:28,000 --> 00:23:30,359
Speaker 3: but I like the under in this one. LSU has

491
00:23:30,400 --> 00:23:33,359
Speaker 3: been holding everybody. They haven't been moving the ball well either,

492
00:23:33,480 --> 00:23:36,280
Speaker 3: so I mean, maybe this is a game I'm just

493
00:23:36,320 --> 00:23:36,880
Speaker 3: reading wrong.

494
00:23:36,920 --> 00:23:38,120
Speaker 4: I've been wrong on Bandy in.

495
00:23:38,040 --> 00:23:42,480
Speaker 3: The past, but I'm not counting on LSU, so I'm

496
00:23:42,480 --> 00:23:44,480
Speaker 3: not taking aside here, even though I do think ls

497
00:23:44,600 --> 00:23:47,399
Speaker 3: wins this game. That is my heavy lean, which is

498
00:23:47,440 --> 00:23:49,280
Speaker 3: the only kind of lean that I have anyway, but

499
00:23:49,560 --> 00:23:52,640
Speaker 3: it's a lean that I have on LSU.

500
00:23:52,800 --> 00:23:54,560
Speaker 4: But I love the under here.

501
00:23:54,680 --> 00:23:58,360
Speaker 3: I just really like this LSU defense, and I don't

502
00:23:58,440 --> 00:24:01,159
Speaker 3: think that LSU has anything on offense. I think they

503
00:24:01,200 --> 00:24:04,440
Speaker 3: will control this game as well. So yeah, uh lean

504
00:24:04,480 --> 00:24:06,360
Speaker 3: towards the Tigers, But I love the under here.

505
00:24:06,880 --> 00:24:08,760
Speaker 1: I think this is actually a really sharp play on

506
00:24:08,760 --> 00:24:11,720
Speaker 1: the under here, Boggan, because the only game for LSU

507
00:24:11,800 --> 00:24:14,600
Speaker 1: this season that has gone over fifty points, it's the

508
00:24:14,640 --> 00:24:19,200
Speaker 1: one against Southeast Louisiana, right like even Old Miss twenty

509
00:24:19,200 --> 00:24:21,280
Speaker 1: four to nineteen, that that's probably the best offense they

510
00:24:21,359 --> 00:24:22,040
Speaker 1: faced so far.

511
00:24:22,240 --> 00:24:25,040
Speaker 3: So yeah, slow in pace to one hundred and eleventh

512
00:24:25,320 --> 00:24:27,919
Speaker 3: for LSU and one hundred and seventeenth for Vandy. You know,

513
00:24:27,960 --> 00:24:30,399
Speaker 3: they make a lot of checks both these teams pass

514
00:24:30,440 --> 00:24:33,399
Speaker 3: a lot, so that is like gets a little dicey.

515
00:24:33,480 --> 00:24:37,280
Speaker 3: Fifty six point one for Vandy and sixty percent for LSU,

516
00:24:37,320 --> 00:24:40,400
Speaker 3: But LSU passes because of the lack of a run game.

517
00:24:40,760 --> 00:24:42,760
Speaker 3: And King Durham was a little better last week, but

518
00:24:43,480 --> 00:24:45,880
Speaker 3: I mean they just don't have much there at all.

519
00:24:46,040 --> 00:24:49,080
Speaker 3: So yeah, I don't trust either one of these offenses.

520
00:24:49,200 --> 00:24:51,399
Speaker 3: Played a slow pace. Both defenses look strong.

521
00:24:52,080 --> 00:24:54,040
Speaker 4: Let's go under favorite better of the week.

522
00:24:54,080 --> 00:24:56,159
Speaker 1: I think right there, you heard it here first, So

523
00:24:56,560 --> 00:25:00,359
Speaker 1: tailor fade at your own your own risk, folks. Stuff.

524
00:25:00,400 --> 00:25:02,879
Speaker 1: We have the fourteenth ranked Oklahoma Sooners. They hope to

525
00:25:02,920 --> 00:25:05,439
Speaker 1: get back on the saddle this weekend as they traveled

526
00:25:05,480 --> 00:25:07,640
Speaker 1: to Columbia, where they're three and a half to four

527
00:25:07,680 --> 00:25:10,120
Speaker 1: and a half point road favorites depending where you look

528
00:25:10,160 --> 00:25:13,440
Speaker 1: against the South Carolina game Cocks. Oh you suffered its

529
00:25:13,480 --> 00:25:15,800
Speaker 1: first loss of the season at the hands of Texas

530
00:25:15,880 --> 00:25:18,200
Speaker 1: last week at the Cotton Bowl, and they are now

531
00:25:18,240 --> 00:25:21,480
Speaker 1: three and three ats as well. John Mattier we talked

532
00:25:21,480 --> 00:25:23,880
Speaker 1: about at the top, didn't really look right last week,

533
00:25:24,119 --> 00:25:26,760
Speaker 1: turning the ball over three times. The Sooners now ranked

534
00:25:26,800 --> 00:25:31,280
Speaker 1: seventieth in total offense. But Brett Venables defense is the

535
00:25:31,320 --> 00:25:34,119
Speaker 1: top ranked unit in total yards allowed and second in

536
00:25:34,200 --> 00:25:38,200
Speaker 1: scoring defense, allowing under ten points per game. Beamer ball Man,

537
00:25:38,320 --> 00:25:41,080
Speaker 1: I mean it's just seen flat lately. They have lost

538
00:25:41,119 --> 00:25:43,160
Speaker 1: and failed to cover in three of their last four

539
00:25:43,200 --> 00:25:46,520
Speaker 1: games to LSU Maszoo. Vandy didn't really feel like they

540
00:25:46,560 --> 00:25:48,639
Speaker 1: were in most of those games for a majority of

541
00:25:48,680 --> 00:25:52,520
Speaker 1: them as well. The offense has been stagnant under preseason

542
00:25:52,560 --> 00:25:55,720
Speaker 1: Heisman hopeful, with Nora Sellers ranking one hundredth in passing,

543
00:25:55,920 --> 00:25:57,920
Speaker 1: one hundred and twelfth in rushing, and one hundred and

544
00:25:57,960 --> 00:26:00,880
Speaker 1: fourth in scoring. Their defense is it's been okay as well,

545
00:26:00,960 --> 00:26:04,320
Speaker 1: ranking fiftieth in total defense bogs. With that said, is

546
00:26:04,359 --> 00:26:06,520
Speaker 1: this a bounce back spot for the Sooners? You think

547
00:26:07,640 --> 00:26:08,199
Speaker 1: it could be?

548
00:26:08,600 --> 00:26:12,119
Speaker 3: South Carolina's bad Mattier played hurt last week and if

549
00:26:12,160 --> 00:26:14,960
Speaker 3: he's still going this week, he's clearly less than one

550
00:26:15,040 --> 00:26:18,240
Speaker 3: hundred percent. The ball didn't even look bad, but the

551
00:26:18,280 --> 00:26:21,479
Speaker 3: decision making was terrible, so maybe it's just knocking some

552
00:26:21,520 --> 00:26:24,240
Speaker 3: of the rust off here. Sellers has looked rough, and

553
00:26:24,280 --> 00:26:26,760
Speaker 3: Oklahoma's still one of the best defensive teams, so the

554
00:26:26,760 --> 00:26:29,160
Speaker 3: game cock should be relatively shut down in this one.

555
00:26:29,720 --> 00:26:31,760
Speaker 3: Let's go with the under again in this game the

556
00:26:31,800 --> 00:26:34,639
Speaker 3: game cox defense is given up thirty points once. That

557
00:26:34,720 --> 00:26:37,320
Speaker 3: was against Mandy when Sellers was hurt and they turned

558
00:26:37,320 --> 00:26:39,920
Speaker 3: the ball over four times, So that defense still played

559
00:26:39,960 --> 00:26:41,520
Speaker 3: well in that game because they were on the field

560
00:26:41,520 --> 00:26:45,440
Speaker 3: so much the twenty plus games. Sc has gave last

561
00:26:45,440 --> 00:26:48,159
Speaker 3: week twenty to LSU on the road else he was

562
00:26:48,160 --> 00:26:50,480
Speaker 3: coming off a bye, and they gave up twenty nine

563
00:26:50,520 --> 00:26:54,600
Speaker 3: at Miszoo when South Carolina had negative nine yards rushing.

564
00:26:54,600 --> 00:26:57,359
Speaker 3: But they haven't given up thirty points. These offenses are

565
00:26:57,440 --> 00:27:01,480
Speaker 3: so stunted. I see this game being seventeen to ten,

566
00:27:02,440 --> 00:27:07,640
Speaker 3: fourteen to ten, twenty one to ten. You know, even

567
00:27:07,680 --> 00:27:11,160
Speaker 3: twenty one seventeen gets us home because it's forty three

568
00:27:11,200 --> 00:27:13,960
Speaker 3: and a half. So uh yeah, man, I just don't

569
00:27:14,000 --> 00:27:16,600
Speaker 3: see how either of these offenses are scoring right now.

570
00:27:17,359 --> 00:27:19,600
Speaker 3: Maybe Matteer takes a big step up, But even if

571
00:27:19,640 --> 00:27:21,800
Speaker 3: he takes a big step up, South Carolina's defense has

572
00:27:21,800 --> 00:27:25,359
Speaker 3: been good, their offense has been bad. So again, I

573
00:27:25,440 --> 00:27:27,480
Speaker 3: like the under in this game. Another game where let's

574
00:27:27,520 --> 00:27:29,119
Speaker 3: just not mess with the side at all because it's

575
00:27:29,200 --> 00:27:31,880
Speaker 3: kind of close and take the total and go under.

576
00:27:32,320 --> 00:27:35,080
Speaker 1: Would you feel comfortable with the Maybia South Carolina team

577
00:27:35,119 --> 00:27:38,600
Speaker 1: total under, just because I think if there is an improvement,

578
00:27:38,640 --> 00:27:41,199
Speaker 1: as you mentioned, it's probably Oklahoma. Like it feels like

579
00:27:41,240 --> 00:27:43,199
Speaker 1: South Carolina's kind of stuck in their ways right now,

580
00:27:43,200 --> 00:27:44,840
Speaker 1: and I don't think facing the best defense in the

581
00:27:44,880 --> 00:27:45,960
Speaker 1: country is going to help them.

582
00:27:46,600 --> 00:27:48,000
Speaker 4: It might be real low.

583
00:27:48,480 --> 00:27:53,080
Speaker 3: That's my only, like, my only caveat So let me

584
00:27:53,280 --> 00:27:56,800
Speaker 3: check and see where we can get this number.

585
00:27:56,960 --> 00:27:58,480
Speaker 4: So I would imagine.

586
00:27:58,160 --> 00:28:01,399
Speaker 1: It's probably around seventeen points or so. I if the

587
00:28:01,440 --> 00:28:04,879
Speaker 1: total at a hole is forty two, you got Oklahoma

588
00:28:04,920 --> 00:28:06,880
Speaker 1: favored by three and a half, I would think it's

589
00:28:06,880 --> 00:28:09,879
Speaker 1: probably around seventeen. Eighteen points is probably what it's. I

590
00:28:09,880 --> 00:28:11,480
Speaker 1: if I get the hook seventeen and a half, I

591
00:28:11,520 --> 00:28:13,239
Speaker 1: think I'll be on the under. Is that what it is?

592
00:28:13,640 --> 00:28:16,200
Speaker 3: Great news it's eighteen and a half, So eighteen and

593
00:28:16,200 --> 00:28:19,000
Speaker 3: a half, I think I'm on the under with you

594
00:28:19,080 --> 00:28:21,760
Speaker 3: as well. Under eighteen and a half. My only slight

595
00:28:21,840 --> 00:28:24,639
Speaker 3: worry in this game is like, what if one of

596
00:28:24,680 --> 00:28:27,320
Speaker 3: these quarterbacks turns the ball over a ton? But even

597
00:28:27,400 --> 00:28:30,359
Speaker 3: then I still don't know that it matters because neither

598
00:28:30,400 --> 00:28:32,119
Speaker 3: offense has been pushing it.

599
00:28:32,200 --> 00:28:33,800
Speaker 4: So if we can avoid the.

600
00:28:33,720 --> 00:28:36,000
Speaker 3: Big turnovers, play a lot in the middle of the field,

601
00:28:36,480 --> 00:28:39,880
Speaker 3: obviously a lot of running from South Carolina. I don't know,

602
00:28:40,320 --> 00:28:42,680
Speaker 3: Oklahoma has not had a very good run game outside

603
00:28:42,760 --> 00:28:43,200
Speaker 3: of a tier.

604
00:28:43,680 --> 00:28:46,440
Speaker 4: So yeah, I think I think the under.

605
00:28:46,480 --> 00:28:49,000
Speaker 3: And if we find out that Hawkins is playing for

606
00:28:49,040 --> 00:28:52,440
Speaker 3: whatever reason because Matier looks so him another week, then

607
00:28:52,840 --> 00:28:54,280
Speaker 3: run and get the under.

608
00:28:54,600 --> 00:28:57,240
Speaker 1: I will say to him. And Tier's turnovers. Last thing

609
00:28:57,560 --> 00:28:59,720
Speaker 1: on ou is like one of those was just like

610
00:28:59,760 --> 00:29:01,640
Speaker 1: a you know, end of the half yo loo ball.

611
00:29:01,680 --> 00:29:03,320
Speaker 1: The other one was a tip ball. So like, I

612
00:29:03,360 --> 00:29:06,000
Speaker 1: think I still trust Jeh Mattier more, at least more

613
00:29:06,040 --> 00:29:08,320
Speaker 1: than I do. Leonora sellers as well, So like I

614
00:29:08,360 --> 00:29:11,280
Speaker 1: wouldn't even mind maybe a little like, oh, you you know,

615
00:29:11,320 --> 00:29:13,680
Speaker 1: money line parlay with that team total under something like that.

616
00:29:13,720 --> 00:29:16,320
Speaker 1: We'll see, maybe that's parlay of the weeklyan. So yeah,

617
00:29:16,560 --> 00:29:18,320
Speaker 1: we'll touch on that later in the week with THRELLI

618
00:29:18,400 --> 00:29:21,080
Speaker 1: get his thoughts. Let's first get to Athens, where College

619
00:29:21,120 --> 00:29:23,000
Speaker 1: Game Day will be on the scene to see the

620
00:29:23,080 --> 00:29:25,760
Speaker 1: ninth rank Georgia Bulldogs. They are hosting the fifth ranked

621
00:29:25,760 --> 00:29:28,680
Speaker 1: and undefeated Almost Rebels as six and a half two

622
00:29:28,800 --> 00:29:31,160
Speaker 1: seven and a half point favorites. The Revs come off

623
00:29:31,200 --> 00:29:34,680
Speaker 1: a near upset against Washington State last week, and they

624
00:29:34,720 --> 00:29:38,240
Speaker 1: sit for into ATS this season, with their signature win

625
00:29:38,360 --> 00:29:41,800
Speaker 1: coming in Week five against LSU. Lane Kiffin he has

626
00:29:41,800 --> 00:29:45,120
Speaker 1: reopened the door now whether it could be quarterback Trinidad

627
00:29:45,200 --> 00:29:49,360
Speaker 1: Shambliss or Austin Simmons starting this game. Either way, this

628
00:29:49,440 --> 00:29:51,600
Speaker 1: is a top five total offense. They are led by

629
00:29:51,640 --> 00:29:55,080
Speaker 1: sophomore running back Kawan Lacey, who has had an SEC

630
00:29:55,160 --> 00:29:57,320
Speaker 1: high one hundred and twenty six carries on the season,

631
00:29:57,640 --> 00:30:00,840
Speaker 1: also in the Doke Walker Award. Can see right now

632
00:30:01,120 --> 00:30:03,520
Speaker 1: the Dogs. They come off their second straight win and

633
00:30:03,560 --> 00:30:06,240
Speaker 1: cover at Auburn last week to get to five and

634
00:30:06,280 --> 00:30:09,560
Speaker 1: one straight up two and four ats. Georgia is your

635
00:30:09,600 --> 00:30:12,360
Speaker 1: classic Jack of All Master of None program. They ranked

636
00:30:12,400 --> 00:30:16,360
Speaker 1: fiftieth in scoring offense nineteenth in scoring defense, but they

637
00:30:16,360 --> 00:30:20,000
Speaker 1: are playing at a substantially lower pace than Ole Miss.

638
00:30:20,280 --> 00:30:23,680
Speaker 1: So Boggs, we're flowing right around these key numbers right now.

639
00:30:24,000 --> 00:30:26,320
Speaker 1: Is this a spot to take some early action or

640
00:30:26,360 --> 00:30:29,000
Speaker 1: do you think maybe these lines hold throughout the week.

641
00:30:29,400 --> 00:30:31,120
Speaker 3: I'm gonna stay the hell away from this one. I'll

642
00:30:31,120 --> 00:30:33,200
Speaker 3: tell you that, much like this game has been back

643
00:30:33,240 --> 00:30:36,080
Speaker 3: and forth in recent history with blowouts in the last

644
00:30:36,120 --> 00:30:38,400
Speaker 3: four straight. This game has been won by eighteen or

645
00:30:38,480 --> 00:30:40,360
Speaker 3: more points in last four straight games, heating back to

646
00:30:40,360 --> 00:30:42,240
Speaker 3: twenty twelve. But this will be the third year in

647
00:30:42,280 --> 00:30:44,280
Speaker 3: a row that they've played it, So I guess as

648
00:30:44,280 --> 00:30:45,960
Speaker 3: a favorite a home, I think that's right.

649
00:30:46,240 --> 00:30:47,680
Speaker 4: They've been so up and down.

650
00:30:48,480 --> 00:30:50,560
Speaker 3: I feel like the dogs have buckled down since that

651
00:30:50,640 --> 00:30:53,600
Speaker 3: Tennessee scare right, like they played ben but don't break

652
00:30:53,640 --> 00:30:57,560
Speaker 3: against Bama. They smoked Tennessee and they kept both Kentucky

653
00:30:57,560 --> 00:31:00,320
Speaker 3: and Auburn under fifteen points three hundred total yards. Ole

654
00:31:00,360 --> 00:31:03,640
Speaker 3: Miss couldn't cover against Kentucky, they barely did against ARCI.

655
00:31:04,800 --> 00:31:08,120
Speaker 3: They lost straight up to LSU and one by three.

656
00:31:08,240 --> 00:31:11,120
Speaker 3: As thirty point favorites last week against Washington State, Now

657
00:31:11,160 --> 00:31:13,400
Speaker 3: we can say that was a look ahead to Georgia.

658
00:31:13,520 --> 00:31:16,400
Speaker 3: I think it's pretty obvious that it was. But they

659
00:31:16,480 --> 00:31:18,920
Speaker 3: drove down the field, they just didn't score. And Georgia's

660
00:31:18,920 --> 00:31:22,680
Speaker 3: defense has played much better recently, so I will lean

661
00:31:23,600 --> 00:31:26,680
Speaker 3: on the Georgia side here. But I don't like this number.

662
00:31:26,880 --> 00:31:29,480
Speaker 3: I think it's gonna come back towards Old Miss, and

663
00:31:29,480 --> 00:31:31,200
Speaker 3: I would rather get it at three and a half

664
00:31:31,280 --> 00:31:32,960
Speaker 3: or four and a half than have to take it

665
00:31:33,000 --> 00:31:36,760
Speaker 3: at anything over five. But again, I will not be

666
00:31:36,760 --> 00:31:40,760
Speaker 3: betting any of my hard earned American dollars on this game.

667
00:31:41,200 --> 00:31:43,920
Speaker 3: Maybe some players in this game, but not on this game.

668
00:31:44,080 --> 00:31:47,040
Speaker 3: So this one is just gonna be too tight and weird.

669
00:31:47,080 --> 00:31:48,800
Speaker 3: It'll probably end up in a blowout one way or

670
00:31:48,840 --> 00:31:50,240
Speaker 3: the other, but I don't know which way it goes.

671
00:31:50,440 --> 00:31:52,120
Speaker 3: My guess would be towards Georgia.

672
00:31:52,400 --> 00:31:54,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, I should have gone on the Georgia money line

673
00:31:54,280 --> 00:31:57,080
Speaker 1: last week and found a way to drink that juice

674
00:31:57,120 --> 00:31:58,880
Speaker 1: and pay for it. I was just worried because their

675
00:31:58,920 --> 00:32:01,680
Speaker 1: offensive lineman. You know, they had two of them who

676
00:32:01,680 --> 00:32:03,760
Speaker 1: were not expected to play in that game. I'm not

677
00:32:03,760 --> 00:32:05,920
Speaker 1: sure if they did or not, but I mean they

678
00:32:06,000 --> 00:32:08,280
Speaker 1: held serf, so that was probably the way to go

679
00:32:08,360 --> 00:32:11,440
Speaker 1: last week, was betting the dog's money line against Auburn.

680
00:32:11,840 --> 00:32:14,840
Speaker 1: But yeah, I just won't be getting invested here, and

681
00:32:14,880 --> 00:32:16,760
Speaker 1: like I would like to bet the under too, just

682
00:32:17,120 --> 00:32:19,200
Speaker 1: you know, potentially. But at the same time, you know

683
00:32:19,240 --> 00:32:21,360
Speaker 1: how Lane Kiffin gets bro like. He is a fast

684
00:32:21,360 --> 00:32:24,480
Speaker 1: paced play caller and it feels like Ole miss even

685
00:32:24,480 --> 00:32:26,120
Speaker 1: though they were relying on the run a lot more

686
00:32:26,160 --> 00:32:29,240
Speaker 1: this season that they could still blow up at any minute.

687
00:32:29,840 --> 00:32:32,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean this, I don't I don't trust any

688
00:32:32,480 --> 00:32:33,320
Speaker 3: part of this game.

689
00:32:33,600 --> 00:32:34,240
Speaker 4: That's really it.

690
00:32:34,400 --> 00:32:37,840
Speaker 3: Like, yeah, oh, miss just they chunk a game. I

691
00:32:37,920 --> 00:32:41,480
Speaker 3: thought that was Kentucky right where. They blew that game

692
00:32:41,520 --> 00:32:44,040
Speaker 3: at the end of the cover at least, but Washington

693
00:32:44,120 --> 00:32:47,400
Speaker 3: State at home right now, they got to go on

694
00:32:47,440 --> 00:32:48,560
Speaker 3: the road and play Georgia.

695
00:32:48,680 --> 00:32:51,360
Speaker 1: I just they're due for a lot. Eventually, they're due.

696
00:32:51,160 --> 00:32:54,240
Speaker 3: For a lot, are They're good for one weird one

697
00:32:54,280 --> 00:32:55,960
Speaker 3: out of nowhere and this isn't even weird.

698
00:32:56,120 --> 00:32:57,480
Speaker 4: So yeah, I'm gonna take the dogs.

699
00:32:58,200 --> 00:33:00,960
Speaker 1: At four pm Eastern time, the numbers seven Texas Tech

700
00:33:01,080 --> 00:33:04,400
Speaker 1: Red Raiders in Vague, Tempe. They are ten and a

701
00:33:04,440 --> 00:33:06,960
Speaker 1: half two twelve and a half point favorites against the

702
00:33:07,000 --> 00:33:09,840
Speaker 1: Arizona State Sun Devils. Tech is now just one of

703
00:33:09,920 --> 00:33:14,640
Speaker 1: two undefeated teams ats this season. Their head coach Joey Maguire.

704
00:33:14,760 --> 00:33:17,200
Speaker 1: He has put big money to good use with this

705
00:33:17,280 --> 00:33:20,960
Speaker 1: team ranked second in scoring offense, first in total offense.

706
00:33:21,040 --> 00:33:24,560
Speaker 1: They're also six in scoring defense ninth in total defense.

707
00:33:24,760 --> 00:33:27,480
Speaker 1: So very much a top ten team. Not much to

708
00:33:27,600 --> 00:33:30,200
Speaker 1: nitpick about them. They are one hundred and thirty first

709
00:33:30,200 --> 00:33:32,400
Speaker 1: in penalties per game. Need to clean that up. They

710
00:33:32,400 --> 00:33:34,880
Speaker 1: have only had the eighty ninth toughest strength of schedule

711
00:33:34,880 --> 00:33:37,800
Speaker 1: as well, the authority Pete Famill. He is reporting that

712
00:33:37,880 --> 00:33:41,040
Speaker 1: quarterback Baron Morton is day to day after leaving the

713
00:33:41,080 --> 00:33:45,160
Speaker 1: game against Kansas last weekend. ASU. Meanwhile, they got killed

714
00:33:45,240 --> 00:33:48,600
Speaker 1: last week at Utah without Sam Levitt. He is currently

715
00:33:48,680 --> 00:33:51,600
Speaker 1: day to day as well being limited at practice all

716
00:33:51,720 --> 00:33:55,240
Speaker 1: last week. They have Jeff Simms under center here potentially,

717
00:33:55,400 --> 00:33:59,000
Speaker 1: which could hamper their offenses. Already ranked outside the top

718
00:33:59,040 --> 00:34:02,520
Speaker 1: seventy in passing, they're struggling to move the ball, specifically

719
00:34:02,560 --> 00:34:05,920
Speaker 1: on third down, so bogs without us knowing or the

720
00:34:05,920 --> 00:34:08,719
Speaker 1: books even knowing the full status of these qbs, is

721
00:34:08,760 --> 00:34:10,920
Speaker 1: there any early line value out there potentially?

722
00:34:11,640 --> 00:34:14,359
Speaker 3: I mean, I'm just gonna continue to back Texas Tech,

723
00:34:14,520 --> 00:34:17,480
Speaker 3: right like, even if Baron Morton doesn't play. Will Ham

724
00:34:17,600 --> 00:34:21,160
Speaker 3: has proved himself twice already this year. You know, he

725
00:34:21,200 --> 00:34:24,120
Speaker 3: came in, he looked kind of shaky against Kansas right

726
00:34:24,160 --> 00:34:27,399
Speaker 3: after Morton went down. Didn't look good throwing the ball,

727
00:34:27,440 --> 00:34:29,680
Speaker 3: but he ran it well. And when all you have

728
00:34:29,719 --> 00:34:31,000
Speaker 3: to do is turn around to hand the ball to

729
00:34:31,080 --> 00:34:33,760
Speaker 3: Cameron Dickie and he's picking up fifteen yards a chunk.

730
00:34:33,960 --> 00:34:38,279
Speaker 3: It doesn't matter who your quarterback is. Two hundred and

731
00:34:38,320 --> 00:34:41,360
Speaker 3: sixty three yards and two scores on twenty one carries.

732
00:34:41,800 --> 00:34:44,920
Speaker 3: Just an incredible run for him and Will Hammond ran

733
00:34:45,000 --> 00:34:47,000
Speaker 3: for sixty one yards and two touchdowns.

734
00:34:47,160 --> 00:34:48,080
Speaker 4: Tech will win by.

735
00:34:47,960 --> 00:34:50,520
Speaker 3: Way more than eleven and a half if there's no Levitt,

736
00:34:50,600 --> 00:34:52,799
Speaker 3: and I think they might do that even if he

737
00:34:52,880 --> 00:34:55,160
Speaker 3: does play. So Tech is the number one run dy

738
00:34:55,200 --> 00:34:57,920
Speaker 3: in the country. ASU will want to run it with Sims.

739
00:34:58,080 --> 00:35:00,640
Speaker 3: If Levitt was one hundred percent, I might take the

740
00:35:00,680 --> 00:35:03,640
Speaker 3: Devils with the points at home. But this is a

741
00:35:03,680 --> 00:35:06,719
Speaker 3: sloppy team right now. This is a hurt team right now.

742
00:35:07,440 --> 00:35:10,520
Speaker 3: I just don't like what the Devils are doing right now,

743
00:35:10,520 --> 00:35:12,400
Speaker 3: and this is disappointing. This was my pick to win

744
00:35:12,440 --> 00:35:14,520
Speaker 3: the Big Twelve before the season started.

745
00:35:14,600 --> 00:35:17,120
Speaker 4: I thought I had a playoff Jordan Sam Levitt Man.

746
00:35:17,200 --> 00:35:17,439
Speaker 1: Yeah.

747
00:35:17,480 --> 00:35:18,839
Speaker 3: I thought it was going to take a little bit

748
00:35:18,840 --> 00:35:21,160
Speaker 3: longer for everything to jel it at Texas Tech.

749
00:35:21,200 --> 00:35:21,799
Speaker 4: But it has not.

750
00:35:22,200 --> 00:35:25,040
Speaker 3: They went into Utah and smacked them around. They're beating

751
00:35:25,080 --> 00:35:28,839
Speaker 3: the breaks off of everybody right now, and specifically, if

752
00:35:28,880 --> 00:35:30,080
Speaker 3: there is no Sam Levitt.

753
00:35:30,480 --> 00:35:32,239
Speaker 4: I think they're just going to continue this trend. This

754
00:35:32,320 --> 00:35:33,400
Speaker 4: is a weird place to play it.

755
00:35:33,560 --> 00:35:36,320
Speaker 3: At any point in ASU, it's probably gonna be pretty hot.

756
00:35:37,040 --> 00:35:40,560
Speaker 3: But I just the Red Raiders are are destroying everybody

757
00:35:40,640 --> 00:35:41,920
Speaker 3: right now, and I can't come off of that.

758
00:35:42,719 --> 00:35:45,120
Speaker 1: Yeah, I get it, man, they've been printing money for people.

759
00:35:45,160 --> 00:35:47,680
Speaker 1: And I mean, shout to my voy Dickie. Man, he

760
00:35:47,719 --> 00:35:49,800
Speaker 1: wasn't supposed to be the starter. It was Quentin Joyner

761
00:35:49,880 --> 00:35:52,520
Speaker 1: if you remember, coming over from US this season. He

762
00:35:52,600 --> 00:35:54,799
Speaker 1: got hurt before. I think it was an acl tair

763
00:35:54,840 --> 00:35:58,040
Speaker 1: potentially in the preseason that put him out. And I mean,

764
00:35:58,200 --> 00:36:01,160
Speaker 1: Dicky's been unbelievable. He's added a really, really nice element

765
00:36:01,200 --> 00:36:03,000
Speaker 1: to this team that already had a great pass catcher.

766
00:36:03,120 --> 00:36:05,400
Speaker 1: So really excited to see the Red Raiders continue to

767
00:36:05,400 --> 00:36:07,880
Speaker 1: tear it up. Also excited for you to continue to

768
00:36:07,880 --> 00:36:10,040
Speaker 1: tear up your betting where you can track your bets,

769
00:36:10,080 --> 00:36:13,160
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770
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771
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772
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773
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777
00:36:36,920 --> 00:36:40,000
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779
00:36:46,360 --> 00:36:50,000
Speaker 1: The thirteenth rank Notre Dame Fighting Irish. They have their

780
00:36:50,040 --> 00:36:53,840
Speaker 1: CFP hopes on the line Saturday at seven thirty pm

781
00:36:53,920 --> 00:36:56,560
Speaker 1: Eastern Time in South Bend, as they're laying seven and

782
00:36:56,560 --> 00:36:58,680
Speaker 1: a half to eight and a half points against the

783
00:36:58,719 --> 00:37:02,760
Speaker 1: twentieth rank USC T Trojans. Lincoln Riley's team. As always

784
00:37:02,800 --> 00:37:06,000
Speaker 1: their high flying offense, they rank third in scoring, second

785
00:37:06,080 --> 00:37:09,239
Speaker 1: in total yards as well three to three ats, coming

786
00:37:09,280 --> 00:37:12,200
Speaker 1: off a win and a cover against Michigan, a team

787
00:37:12,239 --> 00:37:15,160
Speaker 1: that struggles to air the ball out. That's something that

788
00:37:15,239 --> 00:37:18,160
Speaker 1: Notre Dame has had a lot of success doing this season,

789
00:37:18,200 --> 00:37:22,520
Speaker 1: actually averaging the nineteenth most passing yards per game. Like USC,

790
00:37:22,640 --> 00:37:25,520
Speaker 1: the Irish have an elite offense led by an improving

791
00:37:25,600 --> 00:37:29,040
Speaker 1: quarterback a couple stud running backs, but they struggle on defense,

792
00:37:29,080 --> 00:37:32,719
Speaker 1: particularly through the air, So Boggs, this feels like a

793
00:37:32,760 --> 00:37:36,680
Speaker 1: really obvious overplay. But sixty one points is a big number.

794
00:37:36,760 --> 00:37:39,360
Speaker 1: Any interest there or some other market for this game.

795
00:37:39,640 --> 00:37:43,560
Speaker 3: Hi, USC, We've discussed the Notre Dame schedule or lack thereof,

796
00:37:43,680 --> 00:37:46,680
Speaker 3: and the Irish have to win this game if they

797
00:37:46,760 --> 00:37:49,640
Speaker 3: have a shred of a chance to make the tourney.

798
00:37:50,080 --> 00:37:52,719
Speaker 3: But in US he did lose their leading rusher for

799
00:37:52,719 --> 00:37:56,680
Speaker 3: at least a month. But we just saw USC take

800
00:37:56,840 --> 00:38:00,200
Speaker 3: Michigan to the woodshed. Backup running back King Miller went

801
00:38:00,320 --> 00:38:03,239
Speaker 3: eighteen for one fifty eight in a score. Makaylea Lemon

802
00:38:03,320 --> 00:38:05,719
Speaker 3: has the second best odds to win the Ballettnikoff, behind

803
00:38:05,760 --> 00:38:09,920
Speaker 3: Jeremiah Smith. Right now, USC just seems unstoppable on offense,

804
00:38:09,920 --> 00:38:12,160
Speaker 3: and they've played the run very well, rush the passer

805
00:38:12,360 --> 00:38:14,520
Speaker 3: well enough to make up for any issues that they

806
00:38:14,560 --> 00:38:16,680
Speaker 3: had in the secondary so far this year.

807
00:38:16,760 --> 00:38:18,320
Speaker 4: So give me USC.

808
00:38:18,640 --> 00:38:21,400
Speaker 3: I'll take the points, but I'm also gonna sprinkle on

809
00:38:21,440 --> 00:38:24,040
Speaker 3: the money line as well. I think USC is an

810
00:38:24,160 --> 00:38:27,080
Speaker 3: underrated team right now. I didn't expect them to hold

811
00:38:27,120 --> 00:38:28,960
Speaker 3: up against Michigan at they were at home in that game.

812
00:38:29,200 --> 00:38:31,279
Speaker 3: I didn't expect them to because they got beat so

813
00:38:31,360 --> 00:38:33,279
Speaker 3: bad on the ground last year. I didn't think that

814
00:38:33,440 --> 00:38:35,399
Speaker 3: was they were gonna be able to stop Michigan again,

815
00:38:35,440 --> 00:38:38,759
Speaker 3: and they were, So I understand Notre Dame is throwing

816
00:38:38,800 --> 00:38:42,279
Speaker 3: the ball, okay, but Jeremiah Love and Uh Price, those

817
00:38:42,280 --> 00:38:44,880
Speaker 3: are your main guys. They're running still over fifty percent

818
00:38:45,239 --> 00:38:47,880
Speaker 3: clip and this run d has been pretty good for

819
00:38:48,000 --> 00:38:51,480
Speaker 3: USC beat Michigan yesterday. This is a taller task, of course,

820
00:38:51,680 --> 00:38:54,719
Speaker 3: but I kind of like USC with the points and

821
00:38:55,400 --> 00:38:57,000
Speaker 3: I might take them on the money line as well.

822
00:38:57,600 --> 00:39:00,279
Speaker 1: Yeah, this is a tough one for me. Like, I

823
00:39:00,280 --> 00:39:02,880
Speaker 1: think there is some value though with USC based on

824
00:39:02,920 --> 00:39:05,640
Speaker 1: what we saw last week, and we'd like to see

825
00:39:05,840 --> 00:39:08,160
Speaker 1: a Notre Dame pick it up here. But you know me, Bogs,

826
00:39:08,200 --> 00:39:10,120
Speaker 1: I mean, I lost freaking eight units right off the

827
00:39:10,160 --> 00:39:13,320
Speaker 1: rip this season on Notre Dame sign getting back invested there.

828
00:39:13,120 --> 00:39:14,799
Speaker 4: And they're so frustrating.

829
00:39:15,239 --> 00:39:17,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, this is it for him too, dude, Like this

830
00:39:17,520 --> 00:39:20,000
Speaker 1: is really it. So we'll see what happens there. Up

831
00:39:20,000 --> 00:39:23,960
Speaker 1: in South Bend. Also in primetime is the third Saturday

832
00:39:24,000 --> 00:39:28,000
Speaker 1: in October, a rivalry matchup between the eleventh ranked Tennessee

833
00:39:28,080 --> 00:39:32,040
Speaker 1: Volunteers and the six ranked Crimson Tide. Tennessee comes off

834
00:39:32,080 --> 00:39:34,520
Speaker 1: back to back one score wins and failed to cover

835
00:39:34,960 --> 00:39:39,520
Speaker 1: against SEC opponents like Arkansas and Mississippi State. They're now

836
00:39:39,600 --> 00:39:43,320
Speaker 1: three and three ATS and haven't covered since their overtime

837
00:39:43,360 --> 00:39:46,080
Speaker 1: loss to Georgia. Still they're scoring at a high clip.

838
00:39:46,080 --> 00:39:48,080
Speaker 1: They lead the country in points per game with forty

839
00:39:48,120 --> 00:39:51,040
Speaker 1: eight point two, but their defense is outside of the

840
00:39:51,040 --> 00:39:54,960
Speaker 1: top one hundred in points and total yards allowed. Bama.

841
00:39:55,080 --> 00:39:57,560
Speaker 1: They have been on a war path since being upset

842
00:39:57,600 --> 00:40:00,720
Speaker 1: by Florida State in Week one, winning five straight covering

843
00:40:00,760 --> 00:40:03,319
Speaker 1: in four or five as well. These wins include three

844
00:40:03,400 --> 00:40:07,399
Speaker 1: ranked wins at Georgia, versus Vanderbilt and in Miszoo. Their

845
00:40:07,480 --> 00:40:10,600
Speaker 1: quarterback Tys Simpson. Boggs mentioned him early, maybe as a

846
00:40:10,840 --> 00:40:13,640
Speaker 1: potential first round pick, number one overall type of guy.

847
00:40:13,719 --> 00:40:16,360
Speaker 1: He is in the Heisman favorites right now, carrying this

848
00:40:16,480 --> 00:40:20,279
Speaker 1: offense with his arm. The pass defense has also been sensational,

849
00:40:20,320 --> 00:40:23,080
Speaker 1: but their rushing defense did enough to shut down the

850
00:40:23,120 --> 00:40:25,200
Speaker 1: number one team on the ground last week in Miszoo.

851
00:40:25,560 --> 00:40:28,520
Speaker 1: Bama has won this game in eight of their last ten,

852
00:40:28,880 --> 00:40:31,200
Speaker 1: but lost two of the last three, with both those

853
00:40:31,200 --> 00:40:34,160
Speaker 1: games coming in Knoxville. So Boggs. When it comes to

854
00:40:34,200 --> 00:40:37,240
Speaker 1: Tennessee here, do you think they trimp up Bama once again,

855
00:40:37,320 --> 00:40:38,480
Speaker 1: this time in Tuscaloosa.

856
00:40:39,239 --> 00:40:42,239
Speaker 4: I like the team total over in this game here.

857
00:40:42,280 --> 00:40:44,839
Speaker 3: Bama hasn't quite figured out the run game, but they

858
00:40:44,880 --> 00:40:46,960
Speaker 3: won't need it against Tennessee this week.

859
00:40:47,000 --> 00:40:48,719
Speaker 4: I do think that that will eventually haunt them, but

860
00:40:48,760 --> 00:40:49,239
Speaker 4: not this week.

861
00:40:49,280 --> 00:40:51,439
Speaker 3: The balls have rushed to pass a well, but if

862
00:40:51,440 --> 00:40:54,240
Speaker 3: you give a quarterback time against them like the Georgia

863
00:40:54,280 --> 00:40:58,120
Speaker 3: Bulldogs did, your wide receivers are gonna dust this secondary.

864
00:40:58,160 --> 00:40:59,600
Speaker 4: And I think that's definitely going to happen.

865
00:41:00,520 --> 00:41:03,440
Speaker 3: Obama has given up some sacks for to Vandy a

866
00:41:03,520 --> 00:41:06,040
Speaker 3: couple last week, but they won both those games and

867
00:41:06,160 --> 00:41:08,759
Speaker 3: Uga only got them once. Ryan Williams didn't even have

868
00:41:08,800 --> 00:41:12,320
Speaker 3: a catch last week, and the run game is starting

869
00:41:12,360 --> 00:41:14,040
Speaker 3: to turn a little.

870
00:41:14,960 --> 00:41:18,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, he has dropping the ball all the time too, dude.

871
00:41:18,520 --> 00:41:21,120
Speaker 3: I think he might be playing hurt. So we'll see

872
00:41:21,160 --> 00:41:23,560
Speaker 3: what's going on with Ryan Williams, but I don't know

873
00:41:23,560 --> 00:41:26,320
Speaker 3: if they need him either. Tennessee is a very strong squad,

874
00:41:26,440 --> 00:41:29,400
Speaker 3: but they blew their chance against Georgia. They played a

875
00:41:29,400 --> 00:41:32,919
Speaker 3: one score game against Archie and Mississippi State Mississippi State

876
00:41:32,960 --> 00:41:35,160
Speaker 3: was just under four hundred yards and scored thirty four

877
00:41:35,160 --> 00:41:38,520
Speaker 3: points against them. Arkie had just under five hundred yards

878
00:41:38,719 --> 00:41:41,480
Speaker 3: and put up thirty one against them. Bama should control

879
00:41:41,520 --> 00:41:44,120
Speaker 3: the clock. They're going to play better in the secondary

880
00:41:44,160 --> 00:41:46,920
Speaker 3: than the balls. But the spread, the spread is a

881
00:41:46,960 --> 00:41:49,520
Speaker 3: little big for me. You said it's eight and a half.

882
00:41:49,480 --> 00:41:51,520
Speaker 1: Right now, all the way up to nine and a

883
00:41:51,560 --> 00:41:53,000
Speaker 1: half too, nine and a half.

884
00:41:53,120 --> 00:41:56,080
Speaker 3: Man, I do think Bama wins, but let's just go

885
00:41:56,120 --> 00:41:58,560
Speaker 3: with the team total currently. It was set under thirty

886
00:41:58,560 --> 00:42:00,640
Speaker 3: four and a half last night. Even if it goes

887
00:42:00,719 --> 00:42:02,319
Speaker 3: up to thirty five and a half, I just think

888
00:42:02,320 --> 00:42:05,520
Speaker 3: Bama scores. I think that's the thing. If Tennessee can

889
00:42:05,520 --> 00:42:08,080
Speaker 3: get to ty Simpson, then they will have a chance

890
00:42:08,080 --> 00:42:10,000
Speaker 3: in this game. I don't think they're going to, So

891
00:42:10,560 --> 00:42:13,520
Speaker 3: give me the Bama team total over here. And I

892
00:42:13,560 --> 00:42:18,319
Speaker 3: really don't like this creeping towards Bama as well. This

893
00:42:18,440 --> 00:42:20,839
Speaker 3: might get up to double digits. I don't like it.

894
00:42:20,960 --> 00:42:23,200
Speaker 3: So yeah, just stick with the team total here. I

895
00:42:23,200 --> 00:42:24,160
Speaker 3: don't like this line.

896
00:42:24,440 --> 00:42:26,600
Speaker 1: It's funny how things can change a couple weeks ago

897
00:42:26,640 --> 00:42:30,239
Speaker 1: before these pretty bad games for Tennessee. If you would

898
00:42:30,280 --> 00:42:31,960
Speaker 1: have told me I could get them nine and a

899
00:42:32,000 --> 00:42:34,399
Speaker 1: half point dogs against Alabama, I would have been all

900
00:42:34,440 --> 00:42:36,920
Speaker 1: over it. And now it's like, I don't know, they

901
00:42:37,000 --> 00:42:38,920
Speaker 1: just it feels like two teams kind of trending in

902
00:42:39,000 --> 00:42:43,080
Speaker 1: different directions. I do trust Tennessee's offense, like I might

903
00:42:43,160 --> 00:42:45,400
Speaker 1: just lay the points here and get in on a

904
00:42:45,440 --> 00:42:47,439
Speaker 1: total if I can get it, you know, creeping under

905
00:42:47,440 --> 00:42:49,280
Speaker 1: sixty points. I don't think I want to lay sixty

906
00:42:49,320 --> 00:42:51,399
Speaker 1: And I'd have to maybe look back at some game

907
00:42:51,440 --> 00:42:53,759
Speaker 1: trends to see where this lies. But I'll do some

908
00:42:53,760 --> 00:42:56,680
Speaker 1: more you know, recon before Wednesday's show with Terrell and

909
00:42:57,080 --> 00:42:59,360
Speaker 1: see what we can scoop up there. But I expect

910
00:42:59,360 --> 00:43:01,799
Speaker 1: a lot of points in this one, especially in Tuscaloosa here.

911
00:43:01,920 --> 00:43:04,439
Speaker 1: So I don't know if we've talked about a three

912
00:43:04,480 --> 00:43:06,800
Speaker 1: and three team more this year than the Auburn Tigers,

913
00:43:06,800 --> 00:43:09,360
Speaker 1: who are hosting the Missouri Tigers at seven to forty

914
00:43:09,360 --> 00:43:12,239
Speaker 1: five Eastern time Saturday night. And this is a game

915
00:43:12,280 --> 00:43:14,440
Speaker 1: we might want to get down early on because you

916
00:43:14,440 --> 00:43:17,440
Speaker 1: can actually find this line anywhere from one and a

917
00:43:17,440 --> 00:43:19,600
Speaker 1: half points in favor of Auburn all the way down

918
00:43:19,680 --> 00:43:22,400
Speaker 1: to pick them, depending where you're looking and it was

919
00:43:22,400 --> 00:43:24,799
Speaker 1: the same old story last week for Auburn, right they

920
00:43:24,840 --> 00:43:27,480
Speaker 1: couldn't throw the ball with quarterback Jackson Arnold when needed

921
00:43:27,520 --> 00:43:30,239
Speaker 1: against Georgia, now ranking one hundred and twenty first in

922
00:43:30,280 --> 00:43:34,760
Speaker 1: passing offense. Missouri meanwhile is slightly above average in passing

923
00:43:34,760 --> 00:43:37,440
Speaker 1: offense under Bo Papuola, but they are top six on

924
00:43:37,520 --> 00:43:40,680
Speaker 1: the ground as well with Doke Walker Award favorite Ahmad

925
00:43:40,719 --> 00:43:43,560
Speaker 1: Hardy in the backfield. They also have the second ranked

926
00:43:43,560 --> 00:43:46,799
Speaker 1: total defense and are explosive, ranking third and ten plus

927
00:43:46,920 --> 00:43:49,480
Speaker 1: yards plays compared to Auburn, who is one hundred and

928
00:43:49,480 --> 00:43:52,399
Speaker 1: twenty first in that metric. So Boggs, do we jump

929
00:43:52,440 --> 00:43:54,480
Speaker 1: on Miszoo while they're a dog right now? Or is

930
00:43:54,480 --> 00:43:57,960
Speaker 1: this potential letdown spot after that close one against Alabama?

931
00:43:58,040 --> 00:43:59,960
Speaker 1: Because I feel like I want to lay the points

932
00:44:00,080 --> 00:44:02,560
Speaker 1: here with Maszoo and and come in as an underdog.

933
00:44:02,600 --> 00:44:03,520
Speaker 1: But I just don't know.

934
00:44:04,000 --> 00:44:07,160
Speaker 3: Your boy has two tickets on the Tigers, Missouri in

935
00:44:07,239 --> 00:44:10,840
Speaker 3: the Tiger Ball already. Like I looked at this and

936
00:44:11,160 --> 00:44:13,680
Speaker 3: I was like, Okay, something's wrong here. Let me let

937
00:44:13,680 --> 00:44:18,040
Speaker 3: me go tell people they have this line wrong. And

938
00:44:18,080 --> 00:44:21,240
Speaker 3: then I woke up today and it's still the same

939
00:44:21,320 --> 00:44:25,319
Speaker 3: incorrect line. I don't understand why Auburn is favored. They're

940
00:44:25,360 --> 00:44:28,480
Speaker 3: at home, they have stopped the run. Well, so those

941
00:44:28,520 --> 00:44:31,200
Speaker 3: are that's why. Like I can say, I don't know why.

942
00:44:31,239 --> 00:44:32,080
Speaker 3: That's why, but.

943
00:44:32,080 --> 00:44:32,719
Speaker 1: They gave up.

944
00:44:32,880 --> 00:44:34,920
Speaker 3: They were gashed by A and M for two hundred

945
00:44:34,920 --> 00:44:38,640
Speaker 3: and seven. The Georgia Bulldogs don't have a run game

946
00:44:38,680 --> 00:44:41,920
Speaker 3: this year. Oh you Baylor are both pass heavy teams.

947
00:44:41,960 --> 00:44:44,239
Speaker 3: I think Missouri is going to be able to run

948
00:44:44,280 --> 00:44:48,480
Speaker 3: the ball effectively. I think MISSOO should be a touchdown favorite,

949
00:44:49,000 --> 00:44:51,640
Speaker 3: or at least a field goal favorite in this game.

950
00:44:51,800 --> 00:44:54,920
Speaker 3: Auburn has no run game. Jackson Arnold is everything and

951
00:44:54,960 --> 00:44:58,080
Speaker 3: he's starting to take a beating this year. As long

952
00:44:58,120 --> 00:45:01,359
Speaker 3: as Massoo doesn't let Bama beat them twice like we've

953
00:45:01,400 --> 00:45:04,040
Speaker 3: seen some teams do this year, this should be an

954
00:45:04,040 --> 00:45:06,399
Speaker 3: easy win for them. I know jord and Hare can

955
00:45:06,440 --> 00:45:09,400
Speaker 3: get weird in a night game, but it didn't last week,

956
00:45:09,640 --> 00:45:11,640
Speaker 3: and they're not gonna get a crowd like they had

957
00:45:11,719 --> 00:45:12,200
Speaker 3: last week.

958
00:45:12,440 --> 00:45:13,920
Speaker 4: So wrong team is favored.

959
00:45:13,960 --> 00:45:17,880
Speaker 3: Here, Give me Missouri and take these points, take the points,

960
00:45:17,880 --> 00:45:19,359
Speaker 3: take the money line, and take whatever you want.

961
00:45:19,520 --> 00:45:20,920
Speaker 4: I like Missouri here big.

962
00:45:21,320 --> 00:45:23,520
Speaker 1: Okay, Yeah, I think I'll be riding with that as well.

963
00:45:23,520 --> 00:45:25,480
Speaker 1: And do you think it's now? You think it's now,

964
00:45:25,520 --> 00:45:27,600
Speaker 1: You think this is number is not gonna last? Probably think, ok,

965
00:45:27,719 --> 00:45:29,080
Speaker 1: there's probably gonna be a lot of money coming in

966
00:45:29,120 --> 00:45:29,640
Speaker 1: on the zoo.

967
00:45:30,280 --> 00:45:36,720
Speaker 3: I mean, yeah, the cash is overwhelmingly in Missoo's favor.

968
00:45:36,760 --> 00:45:40,439
Speaker 3: And by the way, I think this has flipped because

969
00:45:40,480 --> 00:45:43,680
Speaker 3: now I'm seeing it as Missoo minus one and a half.

970
00:45:43,719 --> 00:45:46,200
Speaker 3: Missoo is minus one and a half everywhere. So it's

971
00:45:46,200 --> 00:45:48,680
Speaker 3: too late now. But if you can get them under

972
00:45:48,680 --> 00:45:50,720
Speaker 3: a field goal, do it, take them on the money

973
00:45:50,719 --> 00:45:53,480
Speaker 3: line whatever like. So it is too late, but I

974
00:45:53,760 --> 00:45:55,480
Speaker 3: definitely have them at plus one and a half on

975
00:45:55,520 --> 00:45:58,040
Speaker 3: a couple of tickets already. I didn't get this one

976
00:45:58,080 --> 00:46:00,560
Speaker 3: at all, and the market is also not understanding it.

977
00:46:01,239 --> 00:46:04,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, very very interesting there, I'm you know, this is

978
00:46:04,200 --> 00:46:05,759
Speaker 1: why you gotta be on top of things. It's why

979
00:46:05,800 --> 00:46:08,160
Speaker 1: you gotta be connecting with bogs in the discord and

980
00:46:08,400 --> 00:46:12,200
Speaker 1: over on social media as well. So mazoo, yeah, yeah,

981
00:46:12,320 --> 00:46:14,400
Speaker 1: pretty much everywhere. I'm seeing too minus one and a

982
00:46:14,440 --> 00:46:16,960
Speaker 1: half now, So apology is about the inaccurate number. I

983
00:46:17,080 --> 00:46:18,960
Speaker 1: just pulled that earlier. This I mean this.

984
00:46:19,719 --> 00:46:22,799
Speaker 3: You pulled us fifteen minutes ago and it switched. Uh,

985
00:46:22,840 --> 00:46:25,000
Speaker 3: well right before we start. I did put my bets

986
00:46:25,040 --> 00:46:27,960
Speaker 3: on there, so maybe maybe that goes, but I don't.

987
00:46:27,840 --> 00:46:33,799
Speaker 1: Think moving the line, baby big money. Let's round out

988
00:46:33,840 --> 00:46:37,000
Speaker 1: the program with a top twenty five in state rivalry

989
00:46:37,000 --> 00:46:39,799
Speaker 1: game with the number twenty three UTAI Utes traveling to

990
00:46:39,880 --> 00:46:43,360
Speaker 1: Provo as three and a half point favorites against the

991
00:46:43,440 --> 00:46:48,000
Speaker 1: number fifteen BYU Cougars. We've been following this Utah team

992
00:46:48,040 --> 00:46:51,640
Speaker 1: pretty closely since the preseason because of Terrell's future play

993
00:46:51,680 --> 00:46:54,400
Speaker 1: on them. He loves Devin dan Pierre. He's been leading

994
00:46:54,440 --> 00:46:57,719
Speaker 1: them to the sixteenth ranked scoring offense. They also have

995
00:46:57,760 --> 00:46:59,799
Speaker 1: a top twenty total defense as well. The Utes are

996
00:46:59,840 --> 00:47:02,560
Speaker 1: five I haven't won ats and straight up their only

997
00:47:02,600 --> 00:47:05,200
Speaker 1: loss and fail to cover coming against that Texas tech

998
00:47:05,280 --> 00:47:08,239
Speaker 1: wagon by Use, a team meanwhile that we've yet to

999
00:47:08,280 --> 00:47:11,239
Speaker 1: handicap this year, coming in six to zero straight up

1000
00:47:11,280 --> 00:47:14,640
Speaker 1: four and two ats with some close big twelve wins

1001
00:47:14,680 --> 00:47:18,279
Speaker 1: coming in Boulder and Tucson. No more Jake Retsaw for

1002
00:47:18,400 --> 00:47:21,960
Speaker 1: them at quarterback. Instead, it's Bear vack in Meyer. He

1003
00:47:22,120 --> 00:47:25,160
Speaker 1: is combined for fifteen touchdowns three interceptions, hearing a little

1004
00:47:25,160 --> 00:47:28,560
Speaker 1: bit of rumbles a Baptis quarterback situation out there right now,

1005
00:47:28,600 --> 00:47:30,759
Speaker 1: so Bogs, maybe you can shed a little light on that.

1006
00:47:30,840 --> 00:47:33,840
Speaker 1: But they also have their lead running back LJ. Martin,

1007
00:47:33,880 --> 00:47:36,680
Speaker 1: who is currently ahead of the conference right now in rushing,

1008
00:47:36,920 --> 00:47:39,799
Speaker 1: giving the Kuges a top eleven ranked rushing offense to

1009
00:47:39,800 --> 00:47:43,360
Speaker 1: go with their top thirteen scoring defense. Bogman, this is

1010
00:47:43,400 --> 00:47:45,320
Speaker 1: a really tough one to get a read on, considering

1011
00:47:45,360 --> 00:47:48,520
Speaker 1: both programs have faced fairly light schedules to this point.

1012
00:47:48,600 --> 00:47:51,200
Speaker 1: So any thoughts on the line or game itself.

1013
00:47:51,719 --> 00:47:53,680
Speaker 4: I hate this game. You know what they call this one?

1014
00:47:53,960 --> 00:47:54,680
Speaker 4: The Holy War?

1015
00:47:55,440 --> 00:47:59,759
Speaker 3: Yes, yes, uh look, I hate this one. I'm gonna

1016
00:47:59,800 --> 00:48:03,000
Speaker 3: lead towards Utah. I don't think BYU has played anyone

1017
00:48:03,000 --> 00:48:06,759
Speaker 3: as you alluded to Portland State, Stanford, ECU, Colorado in

1018
00:48:06,760 --> 00:48:09,400
Speaker 3: the middle of the QB musical chairs and they barely

1019
00:48:09,400 --> 00:48:12,680
Speaker 3: won that one WVU at home and then Arizona on

1020
00:48:12,719 --> 00:48:15,040
Speaker 3: the road. Utah is the same deal, right. The only

1021
00:48:15,080 --> 00:48:17,879
Speaker 3: real competition that they have had was Texas Tech, who

1022
00:48:17,960 --> 00:48:21,200
Speaker 3: ran them down at home, and Arizona State without the

1023
00:48:21,320 --> 00:48:22,800
Speaker 3: quarterback late in the week.

1024
00:48:22,960 --> 00:48:25,040
Speaker 4: Yep, right, they went on the road and.

1025
00:48:25,040 --> 00:48:28,279
Speaker 3: Beat WVU forty eight to fourteen. I think dam Pier

1026
00:48:28,320 --> 00:48:30,439
Speaker 3: gets it done in this one. I might wait and see,

1027
00:48:30,719 --> 00:48:32,920
Speaker 3: because what did we say the line is? Is it

1028
00:48:33,040 --> 00:48:35,399
Speaker 3: still three and a half? Yeah?

1029
00:48:35,440 --> 00:48:37,080
Speaker 1: I mean a less things have flipped again. On mean

1030
00:48:37,080 --> 00:48:38,600
Speaker 1: if we're looking at three and a half three and

1031
00:48:38,640 --> 00:48:39,520
Speaker 1: a half, yep.

1032
00:48:39,520 --> 00:48:41,560
Speaker 3: No, I'm still seeing three and a half. I might

1033
00:48:41,640 --> 00:48:43,840
Speaker 3: wait and see if we can get that hooked down,

1034
00:48:44,239 --> 00:48:46,600
Speaker 3: or I might just the way the money is going,

1035
00:48:46,640 --> 00:48:49,000
Speaker 3: it's all towards Utah right now, so I might just

1036
00:48:49,160 --> 00:48:52,400
Speaker 3: wait and take an alt line on this one. But

1037
00:48:53,040 --> 00:48:54,719
Speaker 3: I don't know that I really trust either one of

1038
00:48:54,760 --> 00:48:56,840
Speaker 3: these teams, so I don't think i'd want to bet

1039
00:48:57,120 --> 00:49:01,480
Speaker 3: on either of them. BP shows a slight lean towards

1040
00:49:01,480 --> 00:49:03,480
Speaker 3: the over. It's a low total of forty seven and

1041
00:49:03,480 --> 00:49:06,160
Speaker 3: a half. Maybe I like that. Maybe this game gets

1042
00:49:06,160 --> 00:49:09,680
Speaker 3: a little shootouty, but I don't think there will be

1043
00:49:09,719 --> 00:49:12,279
Speaker 3: any issues with Byu and bear Bach. Marie through three

1044
00:49:12,360 --> 00:49:15,520
Speaker 3: touchdowns last week, so I think that's where they stick.

1045
00:49:15,840 --> 00:49:17,319
Speaker 3: I just really don't like this game, so I'm not

1046
00:49:17,320 --> 00:49:20,600
Speaker 3: gonna bet it. So lean Utah, but stay away, all.

1047
00:49:20,640 --> 00:49:22,440
Speaker 1: Right, Well that's gonna do it for us folks. On

1048
00:49:22,480 --> 00:49:25,959
Speaker 1: this early Picks episode of the Betting Pros College Football Show,

1049
00:49:26,239 --> 00:49:28,480
Speaker 1: still to come later this week and every week right

1050
00:49:28,480 --> 00:49:30,680
Speaker 1: here on the bank Pros YouTube channel and the audio

1051
00:49:30,719 --> 00:49:33,880
Speaker 1: feed our picks and prediction show with Trell Furman, Junior

1052
00:49:34,120 --> 00:49:36,960
Speaker 1: Bog's best bets and our parlay picks. Let us know

1053
00:49:37,080 --> 00:49:39,720
Speaker 1: down in the comments below your favorite week seven picks,

1054
00:49:39,760 --> 00:49:42,160
Speaker 1: and while you're here, make sure you're smashing that like

1055
00:49:42,200 --> 00:49:44,719
Speaker 1: butt and subscribing to the channel. If you're new for

1056
00:49:44,800 --> 00:49:47,480
Speaker 1: Scott big Time Bogman, I've set with Wilcock take care

1057
00:49:47,480 --> 00:49:48,719
Speaker 1: of y'all.

1058
00:49:48,760 --> 00:49:51,360
Speaker 6: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros Podcast. If you

1059
00:49:51,440 --> 00:49:53,799
Speaker 6: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

1060
00:49:53,800 --> 00:49:57,239
Speaker 6: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

1061
00:49:57,520 --> 00:50:00,160
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1062
00:50:00,239 --> 00:50:03,880
Speaker 6: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube

1063
00:50:03,960 --> 00:50:06,440
Speaker 6: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros