WEBVTT - Apple Unveils iPhone 16, Touts Artificial Intelligence Features

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news. This is Bloomberg business

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<v Speaker 1>Week inside from the reporters and editors who bring you

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<v Speaker 1>America's most trusted business magazine, plus global business, finance and

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<v Speaker 1>tech news. The Bloomberg Business Week Podcast with Carol Messer

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<v Speaker 1>and Tim Stenebek from Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, sure's an Apple lower right now by about a

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<v Speaker 2>percentage point. The company holding its product launch event at

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<v Speaker 2>its headquarters today at Apple Park in Coopertino, California, right now,

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<v Speaker 2>announcing details of the iPhone sixteen, refresh of AirPods, Apple

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<v Speaker 2>Watch as well and more. The keynote continuing to be underway.

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<v Speaker 2>We've also got a great live blog covering the event.

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<v Speaker 2>I encourage everybody to check that out too. Let's go

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<v Speaker 2>now to Ed lud Though, co host of Bloomberg Technology

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<v Speaker 2>on Bloomberg TV. He's been at Apple Park in Coopertino,

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<v Speaker 2>California since the wee hours of the morning. We appreciate

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<v Speaker 2>that he joins us Now, Ed, what is one new

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<v Speaker 2>thing that you learned today?

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<v Speaker 3>Oh goodness, Well, one new thing that I learned today

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<v Speaker 3>is that what's old is new. We have a button

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<v Speaker 3>called camera control on the iPhone sixteen generation, and you

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<v Speaker 3>think if it as something akin to the shutter button

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<v Speaker 3>on a DSLR camera. For you photography enthusiasts out there,

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<v Speaker 3>you know very simply, if you're holding the iPhone sixteen

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<v Speaker 3>in your hand and you see something you're desperate to

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<v Speaker 3>take a photograph, Bam, hit the camera control button. Camera

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<v Speaker 3>comes up. But don't worry, Tim, You don't need to

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<v Speaker 3>turn your hands or readjust or turn the screen boom,

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<v Speaker 3>just hit the button again and it takes a photo.

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<v Speaker 3>This is groundbreaking innovation. Is this, as you guys know

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<v Speaker 3>enough report?

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah?

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<v Speaker 2>Is this enough to get people to buy the iPhone

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<v Speaker 2>sixteen to upgrade from the fifteen or the fourteen or,

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<v Speaker 2>like me, the lowly thirteen.

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<v Speaker 3>Joking aside as I've heard them talk about camera control

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<v Speaker 3>actually sounds like an awesome idea and I can't wait

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<v Speaker 3>to get my hands on it and test it. But

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<v Speaker 3>it probably isn't enough. And so you need to separate

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<v Speaker 3>the hardware story from the software story. And when I

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<v Speaker 3>say software, I mean AI and so these are not

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<v Speaker 3>substantive hardware upgrades from the prior generation I've one fifteen,

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<v Speaker 3>although there is some improvement to the capabilities of the

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<v Speaker 3>processor in the Base sixteen. What they're talking about in

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<v Speaker 3>real time because the events ongoing obviously, is why we

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<v Speaker 3>need Apple Intelligence their AI suite in our lives. And

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<v Speaker 3>very simple summary is that it basically improves the tasks

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<v Speaker 3>that we already do on our phones each day, makes

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<v Speaker 3>them more efficient, easier to do, rather than being some

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<v Speaker 3>kind of wholesale change to how we interact with our

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<v Speaker 3>mobile phones.

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<v Speaker 5>Just very briefly, on the camera, Timmy, my husband.

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<v Speaker 2>He's he's a photographer, a real photographer.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, he actually switched from the Android to the Apple

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<v Speaker 5>a couple of years ago just because of the camera.

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<v Speaker 5>But add to your point, I don't know if this

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<v Speaker 5>is enough. It's very cool, but I don't know if

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<v Speaker 5>it's enough to sort of pull forward that upgrade cycle.

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<v Speaker 5>I mean, tod just a little bit more about the

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<v Speaker 5>software though, about Apple Intelligence, because the narrative is out

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<v Speaker 5>there that Apple is kind of behind where they should

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<v Speaker 5>be when it comes to AI. And of course this

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<v Speaker 5>arms race that's underwayo big among all the big tech companies.

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<v Speaker 5>How far does this event go if it all in

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<v Speaker 5>dispelling that storyline.

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<v Speaker 3>Well, the most important piece of news I suppose so

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<v Speaker 3>far is that it will start rolling out in October,

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<v Speaker 3>which confirms Bloomberg's existing reporting, And so then think about

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<v Speaker 3>chronology of events. You know, we'll get the full details

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<v Speaker 3>of the handsets themselves today, they'll start shipping probably by

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<v Speaker 3>the end of the September, and you won't get access

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<v Speaker 3>Sapple Intelligence until next month. So it's actually a slight

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<v Speaker 3>delay in terms of like, well, hold on, I just

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<v Speaker 3>got a new phone, but I don't yet have access

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<v Speaker 3>to those tools. But the thing I re emphasized, and

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<v Speaker 3>I think I just did a post in the blog

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<v Speaker 3>that they'll put out soon, is that this isn't sort

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<v Speaker 3>of a new functionality. A lot of what they outlined,

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<v Speaker 3>be it photo related or task related drafting of an email,

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<v Speaker 3>reviewing information, it's just a sort of more automated way

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<v Speaker 3>of doing things we already do, rather than some new

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<v Speaker 3>brilliant functional task that Generative AI has brought us through

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<v Speaker 3>the handset. But again Apple being Apple, super heavy emphasis

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<v Speaker 3>on privacy data security. That's something they always go back

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<v Speaker 3>and lean into because they feel they're in a strong

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<v Speaker 3>position there and they have a great track record.

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<v Speaker 2>Maybe that's a good segue to talk about some of

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<v Speaker 2>the health features that were announced today. In Cooper Tino

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<v Speaker 2>ed give us an idea from a health perspective, not

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<v Speaker 2>just when it comes to sleep apnea, but also what

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<v Speaker 2>we heard about audio and ear health in the new

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<v Speaker 2>AirPods lineup.

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<v Speaker 3>Yes, so sleep apnea starting with Apple Watch series ten

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<v Speaker 3>pending FDA approval, but it's close a really interesting piece

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<v Speaker 3>of technology. You know, we don't need to the three

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<v Speaker 3>of us go into our sleeping habits, but sleep apnea

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<v Speaker 3>is a real thing. You know, many people listening to

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<v Speaker 3>the pro will have loved ones that have some sort

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<v Speaker 3>of degree of sleep ATNA. I know people that have

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<v Speaker 3>had strokes as a result of sleep ATNA. And I

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<v Speaker 3>can tell you that inside the Steve Jobs Theater when

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<v Speaker 3>they confirm that function, there was real engagement with the audience.

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<v Speaker 3>This is part of the Apple story about getting wanting

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<v Speaker 3>to get into more healthcare services and very similarly with

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<v Speaker 3>the current general next generation of AirPods being used as

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<v Speaker 3>a sort of hearing aid device. You know, they gave

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<v Speaker 3>the example in the presentation of a woman who was

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<v Speaker 3>hard of hearing and her son speaking to her at

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<v Speaker 3>a special event and saying like this is why you're

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<v Speaker 3>so important to us, and using the sort of audio

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<v Speaker 3>experience of normal hearing versus amplified hearing using the airpod's

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<v Speaker 3>new territory in some sense for Apple, but again confirms

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<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg Mark German's reporting.

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<v Speaker 5>So that's ears. Let's move to the risk and let's

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<v Speaker 5>talk about the watch. The watch is interesting, I mean,

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<v Speaker 5>some new stuff coming there, especially with sleep apnea, but

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<v Speaker 5>talk to us a little bit about blood oxygen sensing.

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<v Speaker 5>This goes back to the beginning of the year. Of course,

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<v Speaker 5>that lawsuit with Massimo. I mean, is there any sense

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<v Speaker 5>of whether that'll affect users, Are users holding out for

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<v Speaker 5>that or is that sort of just indefinitely off the table, you.

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<v Speaker 3>Know, I remember that week. Well, there are a lot

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<v Speaker 3>of noise at the time. I don't think there is

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<v Speaker 3>that much evidence that it sort of puts people off

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<v Speaker 3>this product and makes them look elsewhere, because it's something

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<v Speaker 3>core to what they want.

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<v Speaker 2>You know.

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<v Speaker 3>The sleep apnea detection, along with other monitoring, is a

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<v Speaker 3>big selling point for the Apple Watch. There's one point

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<v Speaker 3>that Bloombergsy and King and I made in the blog though,

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<v Speaker 3>that I would say the health stuff's really important, but

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<v Speaker 3>you also have to remember what wearables and Apple watches

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<v Speaker 3>and to all intents and purposes. It's a lower barrier

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<v Speaker 3>to entry. Think about the price of the series ten, three,

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<v Speaker 3>nine nine, right, and think about the price of an

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<v Speaker 3>iPhone handset. We're yet to get the details. I think

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<v Speaker 3>for the pro if we get it, you'll jump in.

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<v Speaker 3>But the handset's probably one thousand dollars. So there is

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<v Speaker 3>a consumer audience out there that can't afford the smartphone,

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<v Speaker 3>but maybe they can afford the wearables. Low is the

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<v Speaker 3>barrier to entry for the Apple ecosystem. It's fashion, you know, Katie,

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<v Speaker 3>this one's for you. It's a piece of jewelry and

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<v Speaker 3>the heavy emphasis on the materials, the partnership with themes,

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<v Speaker 3>on the on the wrist straps. There's an audience for

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<v Speaker 3>that out there right there.

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<v Speaker 5>Definitely is. I have to say, though, Ed, I'm a

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<v Speaker 5>garment gal and she's gonna take a lot to get

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<v Speaker 5>me away from brand loyalty. But no, they're probably I

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<v Speaker 5>like this because you know, it really communicates a piece

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<v Speaker 5>of my personality. I'm sporty, tim. I don't know if

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<v Speaker 5>the Apple Watch does that.

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<v Speaker 2>She's wearing hookahs. That is true. That's not a joke.

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<v Speaker 2>She actually is. Before we let you go, a couple

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<v Speaker 2>questions I have about this. I was able to tune

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<v Speaker 2>into some of the presentation as I was preparing for

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<v Speaker 2>this show. All of it that I saw was pre

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<v Speaker 2>recorded and very heavily produced. I mean, I'm old enough

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<v Speaker 2>to remember when very little was pre produced, and a

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<v Speaker 2>lot of it had to do with like Tim Cook

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<v Speaker 2>and Craig Frederighi on stage telling you that you know

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<v Speaker 2>you two was coming to your iPhone. How much of

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<v Speaker 2>this is pre produced versus live demos?

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<v Speaker 3>Honestly, I think it's really important to say that it's

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<v Speaker 3>largely all pre produced. A really interesting question posed in

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<v Speaker 3>the blog by Ian King is was AI used because,

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<v Speaker 3>for example, you know, they have key executives standing in

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<v Speaker 3>front of the Golden gate Bridge in San Francisco and

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<v Speaker 3>chrissy Field the Palace of Fine Arts, like very well

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<v Speaker 3>known known landmark, there are no people around them. I mean,

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<v Speaker 3>these are places that I go almost every day, and

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<v Speaker 3>I can tell you there's often at least five people there,

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<v Speaker 3>more than zero, you know, if not dozens or hundreds

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<v Speaker 3>of tourists. So that's kind of interesting. But you are right.

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<v Speaker 3>I mean, the notable thing is that Apple has a

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<v Speaker 3>deep bench of talent you know, there are many product

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<v Speaker 3>leads and number two's in the hierarchy that are part

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<v Speaker 3>of this presentation, and that's become normal in the pandemic

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<v Speaker 3>post pandemic era for sure.

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<v Speaker 2>Ed Ludlow, co host of Bloomberg Technology on bloom Bloomberg TV.

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<v Speaker 2>He's got to get back to that demo happening at

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<v Speaker 2>the Steve Jobs Theater at Apple Park in Coupertino, California. Ed,

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<v Speaker 2>thanks so much for joining us with all the updates. Again,

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<v Speaker 2>we do have a live blog going. It's contributing to that.

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<v Speaker 2>We got a great team contributing to that. Do check

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<v Speaker 2>that out on the Bloomberg terminal and at Bloomberg dot com. Well,

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<v Speaker 2>speaking of Apple, it's worth three point four trillion dollars.

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<v Speaker 2>It's more than any other company in the world. Twenty

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<v Speaker 2>twenty three revenue came in at nearly four hundred billion dollars.

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<v Speaker 2>It's about as big as the entire economy of Denmark

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<v Speaker 2>or the Philippines. Most of the business is about iPhones,

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<v Speaker 2>but last quarter Apple sales just from digital services reached

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<v Speaker 2>twenty four point two billion dollars. It's more than the

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<v Speaker 2>combined revenue of Adobe, Airbnb, Netflix, Palanteer, Spotify, Zoom and

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<v Speaker 2>x from Elon Musk. Investors seem to have no problem

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<v Speaker 2>with this kind of dominance, as Apples storing stock price

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<v Speaker 2>over the past decade, it makes clear regulators, on the

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<v Speaker 2>other hand, have some questions. It's today's Big Take, written

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<v Speaker 2>by Austin Carr and Max Chafkin. Austin is a Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 2>News technology reporter. He joins us from our Boston bureau.

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<v Speaker 2>Check out their story and more from the Bloomberg Big

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<v Speaker 2>Take on the Bloomberg Terminal and at bloomberg dot com

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<v Speaker 2>Slash Big Take. Austin give us an idea of the

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<v Speaker 2>way that regulators, not just here in the US, but

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<v Speaker 2>around the world have attempted to take aim at Apple's dominance,

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<v Speaker 2>and also described that dominance this so called Apple tech.

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah, so the controversy comes down to how much Apple

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<v Speaker 6>controls its ecosystem, what they will let into It's so

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<v Speaker 6>called waldgarden, the sort of confines of its platform. And

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<v Speaker 6>the truth is they don't let a whole a lot

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<v Speaker 6>in that they don't regulate review and also charge certain

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<v Speaker 6>commissions and fees on which is what a lot of

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<v Speaker 6>developers are taking issues with. If you want to see

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<v Speaker 6>where the market is seeing a little bit of change.

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<v Speaker 6>It's actually in Europe with the DMA, the Digital Markets

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<v Speaker 6>app with the European Union has put Apple on a

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<v Speaker 6>under some pressure to actually change its ways and open

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<v Speaker 6>up that's Apple Guard, that walled garden effect. So actually

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<v Speaker 6>there you're seeing some pretty novel differences with how you

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<v Speaker 6>have an iPhone in the US. Just for example, they're

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<v Speaker 6>opening up alternative marketplaces in Europe, so you can actually

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<v Speaker 6>download a different app store if you want a different

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<v Speaker 6>set of experience from different software makers, like Epic Games

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<v Speaker 6>or another called Alt Store. In fact, over in the EU,

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<v Speaker 6>you can actually delete Apple native apps, like soon you'll

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<v Speaker 6>be able to delete the browser Safari, the camera app,

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<v Speaker 6>and even the app store itself, which is opening up

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<v Speaker 6>a sort of fundamentally different experience that's a little bit

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<v Speaker 6>more flexible and open than what we have in the

0:11:40.320 --> 0:11:42.280
<v Speaker 6>rest of the world. So that's actually a good preview

0:11:42.320 --> 0:11:44.240
<v Speaker 6>of what you might see on the horizon depending on

0:11:44.320 --> 0:11:46.000
<v Speaker 6>how regulation shapes up in the US.

0:11:46.400 --> 0:11:48.880
<v Speaker 5>And it's interesting because you can trust that with investors.

0:11:48.880 --> 0:11:52.200
<v Speaker 5>It feels like potentially a case where regulators are and

0:11:52.320 --> 0:11:55.520
<v Speaker 5>investors are at odds here because I don't know, Austin,

0:11:55.559 --> 0:11:58.640
<v Speaker 5>do you see any signs that investors are uneasy with

0:11:58.800 --> 0:12:00.840
<v Speaker 5>just how dumb an Apple is?

0:12:02.240 --> 0:12:04.400
<v Speaker 6>No. I mean, I think that lock in effect is

0:12:04.400 --> 0:12:07.400
<v Speaker 6>actually what ironically makes it so enticing for investors and

0:12:07.440 --> 0:12:10.560
<v Speaker 6>also such a beloved company for consumers. I mean, look,

0:12:11.000 --> 0:12:13.600
<v Speaker 6>the tough thing for the DJ here in the US,

0:12:14.000 --> 0:12:17.200
<v Speaker 6>which filed its anti trust complaint earlier in March, is

0:12:17.240 --> 0:12:19.760
<v Speaker 6>that what they take issue with the way that Apple

0:12:19.800 --> 0:12:23.439
<v Speaker 6>controls its ecosystem and integrates its hardware, software and services

0:12:23.720 --> 0:12:26.560
<v Speaker 6>is usually what consumers really love about it. You know,

0:12:26.600 --> 0:12:29.079
<v Speaker 6>we like that it works really together if you have

0:12:29.120 --> 0:12:32.480
<v Speaker 6>a MacBook and Apple Watch, AirPods and an iPhone at.

0:12:32.320 --> 0:12:32.880
<v Speaker 2>The same time.

0:12:32.920 --> 0:12:36.800
<v Speaker 6>We don't really quite grasp that because of that integrated experience,

0:12:36.840 --> 0:12:39.960
<v Speaker 6>what it's locking out it can be a detriment to

0:12:40.040 --> 0:12:43.559
<v Speaker 6>the experience itself, even if we like the Apple sort

0:12:43.559 --> 0:12:45.559
<v Speaker 6>of day to day incremental updates. So I think actually

0:12:45.600 --> 0:12:49.280
<v Speaker 6>today's event with AI, where they didn't really release any

0:12:49.320 --> 0:12:51.840
<v Speaker 6>new AI features that they hadn't already previewed, they're not

0:12:51.880 --> 0:12:54.520
<v Speaker 6>actually going to come for a few months. That's one

0:12:54.520 --> 0:12:57.000
<v Speaker 6>example of the ways that perhaps they're not incentivized to

0:12:57.040 --> 0:12:59.600
<v Speaker 6>move as fast and as risky and as innovatively as

0:12:59.640 --> 0:13:01.640
<v Speaker 6>they had in years past, because there's not a lot

0:13:01.640 --> 0:13:03.560
<v Speaker 6>of risk that I as an iPhone user and going

0:13:03.600 --> 0:13:05.000
<v Speaker 6>to leave to a different ecosystem.

0:13:05.160 --> 0:13:06.880
<v Speaker 5>Right, Well, let's talk about that a little bit more,

0:13:06.920 --> 0:13:09.240
<v Speaker 5>because we're talking about regulators. Then we talked about investors,

0:13:09.280 --> 0:13:12.200
<v Speaker 5>and you bring up the end user of course, the customer,

0:13:12.240 --> 0:13:15.480
<v Speaker 5>the person who is buying into this walled garden. I mean,

0:13:15.920 --> 0:13:20.000
<v Speaker 5>what is the sense there are users getting frustrated with

0:13:20.040 --> 0:13:23.000
<v Speaker 5>the fact that you do have to buy into an ecosystem.

0:13:23.040 --> 0:13:25.480
<v Speaker 5>You can't really buy just a product one off and

0:13:25.520 --> 0:13:28.680
<v Speaker 5>then integrate it with other products from other companies.

0:13:29.840 --> 0:13:32.120
<v Speaker 6>The thing is that this isn't an overnight switch. This

0:13:32.200 --> 0:13:34.520
<v Speaker 6>is something that they've essentially been building out from when

0:13:34.559 --> 0:13:37.000
<v Speaker 6>Steve Jobs came back and released the iMac, then the

0:13:37.040 --> 0:13:39.920
<v Speaker 6>iPod and so on. You started building up that ecosystem

0:13:39.920 --> 0:13:42.520
<v Speaker 6>over the course of decades, where if you have an iPhone,

0:13:42.800 --> 0:13:45.160
<v Speaker 6>remember that device came out before there was an app store.

0:13:45.280 --> 0:13:47.480
<v Speaker 6>Then they introduced the app store a year later. Then

0:13:47.520 --> 0:13:51.120
<v Speaker 6>they introduced a lot of companion devices like the iPad,

0:13:51.280 --> 0:13:54.920
<v Speaker 6>like the Apple Watch, like air pods, and then on

0:13:54.960 --> 0:13:57.640
<v Speaker 6>top of that part of what makes CEO Tim Cooks

0:13:57.679 --> 0:14:01.160
<v Speaker 6>Era so monumental has been this push into services. So

0:14:01.240 --> 0:14:05.960
<v Speaker 6>you subscribe to iCloud, you subscribe to TV plus, fitness subscriptions,

0:14:05.960 --> 0:14:07.760
<v Speaker 6>things like that, and so these are all things that

0:14:07.960 --> 0:14:10.480
<v Speaker 6>add on to the experience and make it just that

0:14:10.600 --> 0:14:12.920
<v Speaker 6>much easier to add a new Apple device or a

0:14:12.920 --> 0:14:15.600
<v Speaker 6>new Apple subscription because that's your default, that's what you're

0:14:15.640 --> 0:14:18.600
<v Speaker 6>going to want to add to. Now. That also makes

0:14:18.600 --> 0:14:21.680
<v Speaker 6>it easier to escape that ecosystem. You know, once you've

0:14:21.720 --> 0:14:24.800
<v Speaker 6>invested thousands of dollars in the Apple ecosystem, you're not

0:14:24.840 --> 0:14:28.240
<v Speaker 6>going to suddenly overnight switch to a Windows PC or

0:14:28.280 --> 0:14:30.640
<v Speaker 6>a Google Pixel phone just because they add a new

0:14:30.720 --> 0:14:33.920
<v Speaker 6>AI feature. It makes that sort of mote that Apple

0:14:34.040 --> 0:14:36.800
<v Speaker 6>has all the wider because it is very difficult to

0:14:36.800 --> 0:14:39.040
<v Speaker 6>people not just to switch one device, but to switch

0:14:39.080 --> 0:14:41.560
<v Speaker 6>their entire portfolio of hardware and software. And I think

0:14:41.560 --> 0:14:44.600
<v Speaker 6>that's why shareholders really love Apple stock, because its mode

0:14:44.680 --> 0:14:47.000
<v Speaker 6>is so wide. It's walled garden barriers are so tall.

0:14:47.280 --> 0:14:49.720
<v Speaker 2>Austin and you and Max I love the way you

0:14:49.720 --> 0:14:52.880
<v Speaker 2>start the piece that iconic nineteen eighty four Apple ad

0:14:53.320 --> 0:14:56.600
<v Speaker 2>the sort of David versus Golias, you know, and where

0:14:56.600 --> 0:15:01.120
<v Speaker 2>Apple has come since then and from then. I wonder,

0:15:01.200 --> 0:15:03.080
<v Speaker 2>just in the last thirty seconds that we have with you,

0:15:03.400 --> 0:15:05.920
<v Speaker 2>what the biggest threat to Apple is right now moving forward.

0:15:07.040 --> 0:15:09.240
<v Speaker 6>I mean, I think it is sort of a feeling

0:15:09.280 --> 0:15:13.680
<v Speaker 6>of incrementalism of you know, things aren't seemingly disruptive until

0:15:13.720 --> 0:15:17.520
<v Speaker 6>they are being able to disrupt, until they are disrupted.

0:15:17.600 --> 0:15:17.800
<v Speaker 1>You know.

0:15:17.840 --> 0:15:20.120
<v Speaker 6>I think when chat ChiPT came along in late twenty

0:15:20.160 --> 0:15:22.280
<v Speaker 6>twenty two, that shocked a lot of people. No one

0:15:22.280 --> 0:15:24.600
<v Speaker 6>had ever seen anything like that. And here we are

0:15:24.640 --> 0:15:27.520
<v Speaker 6>two years later and Apple's just getting around to rolling

0:15:27.520 --> 0:15:29.720
<v Speaker 6>out its AI features, many of which won't roll out

0:15:29.760 --> 0:15:32.560
<v Speaker 6>to twenty twenty five. Now, did that disrupt you know,

0:15:32.640 --> 0:15:35.000
<v Speaker 6>sales of the iPhone going forward? No, there's not really

0:15:35.000 --> 0:15:37.520
<v Speaker 6>a chat ChiPT phone that's out there. But you can

0:15:37.560 --> 0:15:41.200
<v Speaker 6>see the risks of sort of slowly introducing some of

0:15:41.240 --> 0:15:45.000
<v Speaker 6>this this innovation. You know, it has downsides for consumers.

0:15:45.080 --> 0:15:46.520
<v Speaker 6>At what point are they going to say, you know what,

0:15:46.560 --> 0:15:48.520
<v Speaker 6>I want something a little bit sooner. I want something

0:15:48.520 --> 0:15:49.920
<v Speaker 6>a little bit faster and cooler.

0:15:50.120 --> 0:15:52.360
<v Speaker 2>Austin Carr, one half of the team that did today's

0:15:52.360 --> 0:15:54.600
<v Speaker 2>at Bloomberg Big take. Check it out at Bloomberg dot com,

0:15:54.600 --> 0:15:57.240
<v Speaker 2>slash the Big Take, and of course, on the terminal.

0:15:57.600 --> 0:16:01.400
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week. Catch us Live

0:16:01.480 --> 0:16:04.520
<v Speaker 1>weekday afternoons from two to five pm Eastern, Listen on

0:16:04.560 --> 0:16:07.120
<v Speaker 1>Apple car Play and then brout Auto with a Bloomberg

0:16:07.160 --> 0:16:11.280
<v Speaker 1>Business at or watch us Live on YouTube.

0:16:11.440 --> 0:16:13.520
<v Speaker 2>Home sales in Manhattan rose to the first time in

0:16:13.600 --> 0:16:15.920
<v Speaker 2>two years. This was in the second quarter of the year.

0:16:16.360 --> 0:16:19.160
<v Speaker 2>This as impatient buyers who'd been waiting for interest rates

0:16:19.160 --> 0:16:22.200
<v Speaker 2>to fall took the plunge. Closings of co ops and

0:16:22.240 --> 0:16:25.440
<v Speaker 2>condos byke twelve point two percent in Manhattan in the

0:16:25.480 --> 0:16:27.440
<v Speaker 2>three months through June from the same period in twenty

0:16:27.480 --> 0:16:30.800
<v Speaker 2>twenty three. That's according to appraiser Miller Samuel and brokerage

0:16:30.880 --> 0:16:33.720
<v Speaker 2>Douglas Elman Real Estate. The median price of one point

0:16:33.760 --> 0:16:36.200
<v Speaker 2>one eight million dollars in the quarter dips slightly from

0:16:36.320 --> 0:16:39.240
<v Speaker 2>year earlier, still though hovering near record since rate stored

0:16:39.320 --> 0:16:43.320
<v Speaker 2>back in mid twenty twenty two. For an update on

0:16:43.440 --> 0:16:46.240
<v Speaker 2>how things look in this quarter and forward, we turned

0:16:46.240 --> 0:16:48.880
<v Speaker 2>to Barbara Fox. She's president of Fox Residential Group. It's

0:16:48.920 --> 0:16:51.480
<v Speaker 2>a brokerage firm that works with buyers and sellers throughout

0:16:51.480 --> 0:16:54.200
<v Speaker 2>New York City, and that is where this afternoon we

0:16:54.240 --> 0:16:57.240
<v Speaker 2>find at Barbara. Barbara, how would you describe where we

0:16:57.280 --> 0:16:59.560
<v Speaker 2>are in the third quarter of the year, now that

0:16:59.600 --> 0:17:01.640
<v Speaker 2>we're in the final month of the quarter.

0:17:02.960 --> 0:17:06.480
<v Speaker 7>Well, it's an interesting market and we can rest assured

0:17:06.480 --> 0:17:09.920
<v Speaker 7>of one thing. Our market never is static. We came

0:17:09.960 --> 0:17:14.640
<v Speaker 7>off of a very slow summer, very little activity, and

0:17:15.800 --> 0:17:19.760
<v Speaker 7>it didn't really change prices very much. But we're now

0:17:19.960 --> 0:17:25.119
<v Speaker 7>into a little bit more of an active, frisky market,

0:17:25.760 --> 0:17:27.440
<v Speaker 7>one that we haven't seen in a while.

0:17:28.119 --> 0:17:31.440
<v Speaker 5>A frisky market, A frisky at New York real estate market.

0:17:31.480 --> 0:17:34.280
<v Speaker 5>I mean, what does that mean in terms of prices?

0:17:34.320 --> 0:17:36.760
<v Speaker 5>And I mean actually zooming back from that even what

0:17:36.840 --> 0:17:39.000
<v Speaker 5>do you attribute that to? Because of course rates have

0:17:39.040 --> 0:17:42.439
<v Speaker 5>come down, mortgage rates, but not by that much.

0:17:44.680 --> 0:17:46.760
<v Speaker 7>They haven't and we're not going to see the mortgage

0:17:46.840 --> 0:17:49.640
<v Speaker 7>rates we saw before ever again. And I think people

0:17:49.720 --> 0:17:52.040
<v Speaker 7>are getting more used to that. You know, everything becomes

0:17:52.040 --> 0:17:58.760
<v Speaker 7>a new normal in New York. The what's happening right

0:17:58.840 --> 0:18:04.679
<v Speaker 7>now is that there is very little product on the market.

0:18:04.720 --> 0:18:07.520
<v Speaker 7>There's a real shortage of products. There are a lot

0:18:07.520 --> 0:18:11.000
<v Speaker 7>of apartments on the market and properties, but there's a

0:18:11.080 --> 0:18:16.560
<v Speaker 7>shortage of compared to other periods of time, but prices

0:18:16.600 --> 0:18:19.719
<v Speaker 7>have never been higher than they are right now, So

0:18:19.800 --> 0:18:22.760
<v Speaker 7>you have sort of this juxtaposition of two things that

0:18:22.840 --> 0:18:29.560
<v Speaker 7>don't necessarily jive. What we really are seeing is with

0:18:29.680 --> 0:18:32.720
<v Speaker 7>this increase in activity that's come up in the last

0:18:32.760 --> 0:18:36.320
<v Speaker 7>couple of weeks, and this actually started before Labor Day,

0:18:37.560 --> 0:18:41.000
<v Speaker 7>I think people are realizing that everybody, you know, there's

0:18:41.040 --> 0:18:43.720
<v Speaker 7>a market, always an active market in New York. It's

0:18:43.800 --> 0:18:47.840
<v Speaker 7>just the degree of activity. So people are thinking that,

0:18:48.040 --> 0:18:50.800
<v Speaker 7>you know, it's time to start looking again, because once

0:18:51.680 --> 0:18:54.200
<v Speaker 7>more comes on, the more product comes on the market

0:18:54.240 --> 0:18:57.320
<v Speaker 7>and more people come into the market, the prices, it

0:18:57.320 --> 0:19:00.359
<v Speaker 7>will push the prices even higher. So buyers will looking

0:19:00.440 --> 0:19:03.560
<v Speaker 7>still looking for good buys which they can still get

0:19:04.280 --> 0:19:11.040
<v Speaker 7>and and it's it's just interest rates probably aren't going

0:19:11.119 --> 0:19:14.240
<v Speaker 7>to go down too much more than they have already.

0:19:14.320 --> 0:19:19.320
<v Speaker 7>I think the UH they averaged about six and six

0:19:19.359 --> 0:19:23.600
<v Speaker 7>point three five percent over in the last eighteen months

0:19:23.680 --> 0:19:26.560
<v Speaker 7>or so. I'm not sure something like that, and I

0:19:26.600 --> 0:19:28.760
<v Speaker 7>don't think they're gonna we're going to see interest rates

0:19:28.840 --> 0:19:32.120
<v Speaker 7>much for a six percent. So people are getting used

0:19:32.119 --> 0:19:35.639
<v Speaker 7>to these new numbers. People still need to buy things.

0:19:35.760 --> 0:19:39.160
<v Speaker 7>They need to buy homes, and I really think that

0:19:40.000 --> 0:19:43.000
<v Speaker 7>the buyer demand is going to pick up as long

0:19:43.040 --> 0:19:44.719
<v Speaker 7>as interest rates don't go back up.

0:19:45.280 --> 0:19:47.560
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, and of course, I mean six percent is still

0:19:47.680 --> 0:19:51.800
<v Speaker 5>so high. Uh, it's not four percent historically, though, certainly

0:19:51.800 --> 0:19:52.679
<v Speaker 5>better than eight percent.

0:19:52.800 --> 0:19:54.720
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, and better than where things were in the nineteen eighties.

0:19:54.720 --> 0:19:56.760
<v Speaker 2>That's what you know. Carol always reminded, I was.

0:19:56.880 --> 0:19:58.720
<v Speaker 7>I was in the business in the I was in

0:19:58.760 --> 0:20:00.680
<v Speaker 7>the business of the eighties, and we we had eighteen

0:20:00.760 --> 0:20:04.480
<v Speaker 7>percent interest rates at that point. I know, it's crazy,

0:20:04.720 --> 0:20:07.280
<v Speaker 7>I cannot and then they went down to two three percent,

0:20:07.400 --> 0:20:09.280
<v Speaker 7>so go fig Yeah.

0:20:09.359 --> 0:20:12.080
<v Speaker 5>Well, let's talk about about the price dynamics a little bit.

0:20:12.119 --> 0:20:14.639
<v Speaker 5>I'm looking at some of the listings that you have,

0:20:14.800 --> 0:20:19.199
<v Speaker 5>the sales you're currently representing some pretty big price tags

0:20:19.480 --> 0:20:23.879
<v Speaker 5>multimillion dollars there. I mean, are you we seeing big markdowns?

0:20:23.880 --> 0:20:27.000
<v Speaker 5>I mean, how are Okay, maybe these buyers are getting

0:20:27.080 --> 0:20:30.399
<v Speaker 5>used to, you know, interest rates where they are, but

0:20:30.720 --> 0:20:33.800
<v Speaker 5>how are we seeing that translate into the prices that

0:20:33.880 --> 0:20:34.920
<v Speaker 5>sellers can ask.

0:20:34.720 --> 0:20:43.440
<v Speaker 7>For When you're in a market which is very volatile

0:20:44.119 --> 0:20:47.520
<v Speaker 7>as we are seeing now, And I think this volatility

0:20:47.640 --> 0:20:51.720
<v Speaker 7>will pretty much remain until after the election. I mean,

0:20:51.760 --> 0:20:54.720
<v Speaker 7>we have so much bad stuff going on all over

0:20:54.760 --> 0:20:57.080
<v Speaker 7>the world right now. It's it's going to be volatile

0:20:57.119 --> 0:21:04.000
<v Speaker 7>for a while, and sellers need to understand that even

0:21:04.000 --> 0:21:08.879
<v Speaker 7>though their prices are are they even though they price

0:21:09.359 --> 0:21:14.240
<v Speaker 7>their units at a certain point and hopefully they've gotten

0:21:14.280 --> 0:21:17.680
<v Speaker 7>some good advice from brokers, it doesn't necessarily mean there's

0:21:17.720 --> 0:21:19.399
<v Speaker 7>going to be a buyer to buy it at that

0:21:19.560 --> 0:21:24.240
<v Speaker 7>price point. So sellers really need to be lefts rigid

0:21:25.080 --> 0:21:28.600
<v Speaker 7>in their expectation of sale prices in this kind of

0:21:28.680 --> 0:21:32.840
<v Speaker 7>volatile market. I think finding, particularly in New York, finding

0:21:32.880 --> 0:21:36.000
<v Speaker 7>the right buyer and the right timing is a little

0:21:36.080 --> 0:21:41.440
<v Speaker 7>more important even than finding the right price, and prices

0:21:41.440 --> 0:21:42.680
<v Speaker 7>are always negotiable.

0:21:42.760 --> 0:21:47.920
<v Speaker 2>So, Barbara, over the last few years, when we've spoken

0:21:47.960 --> 0:21:50.800
<v Speaker 2>to you, and we've spoken to folks in New York

0:21:50.840 --> 0:21:53.880
<v Speaker 2>City who are in the real estate industry, we've seen

0:21:53.920 --> 0:21:56.560
<v Speaker 2>different themes emerge. Early on in the pandemic, it was

0:21:56.600 --> 0:21:59.520
<v Speaker 2>people leaving the city, and then a little later it

0:21:59.560 --> 0:22:02.560
<v Speaker 2>was people coming back to the city. We saw an

0:22:02.560 --> 0:22:06.879
<v Speaker 2>explosion of all cash deals when rates went higher. Initially,

0:22:07.480 --> 0:22:09.800
<v Speaker 2>what's the pattern and the theme that you're seeing right

0:22:09.880 --> 0:22:12.600
<v Speaker 2>now when people are who are moving to the city

0:22:12.680 --> 0:22:15.080
<v Speaker 2>or moving within the city, why are they moving and

0:22:15.119 --> 0:22:16.840
<v Speaker 2>how are they buying and where are they going?

0:22:18.280 --> 0:22:23.240
<v Speaker 7>Well, I don't think there's any great desire to move

0:22:23.359 --> 0:22:25.320
<v Speaker 7>out of the city right now. We're not seeing a

0:22:25.320 --> 0:22:30.040
<v Speaker 7>lot of that, which is why the supply of apartments

0:22:30.080 --> 0:22:33.920
<v Speaker 7>and properties in New York and Manhattan are so low.

0:22:35.119 --> 0:22:37.679
<v Speaker 7>There's not a lot of people moving. There are not

0:22:37.800 --> 0:22:40.720
<v Speaker 7>a lot of people moving for a lot of reasons.

0:22:40.760 --> 0:22:43.280
<v Speaker 7>But for one reason is they they a lot of

0:22:43.280 --> 0:22:45.800
<v Speaker 7>people are sitting with these fixed three, two and three

0:22:45.880 --> 0:22:47.960
<v Speaker 7>or four percent interest rates and they don't want to

0:22:48.000 --> 0:22:50.760
<v Speaker 7>have to redo those into a six or seven percent

0:22:50.840 --> 0:22:54.199
<v Speaker 7>interest rate, so they're not moving for that reason. And

0:22:54.440 --> 0:22:59.320
<v Speaker 7>just generally, I don't think that there is a particular

0:22:59.440 --> 0:23:04.159
<v Speaker 7>there's no desired to escape the city anymore, and that

0:23:04.400 --> 0:23:07.639
<v Speaker 7>was very prevalent after COVID and during COVID. But I

0:23:07.680 --> 0:23:10.080
<v Speaker 7>think a lot of people have moved back to the

0:23:10.080 --> 0:23:13.639
<v Speaker 7>city and are happily ensconced here. And that's great, and

0:23:14.000 --> 0:23:17.200
<v Speaker 7>you know, everything that's great about the city remains really great,

0:23:17.240 --> 0:23:20.000
<v Speaker 7>and it's very buoyant.

0:23:20.080 --> 0:23:23.040
<v Speaker 2>Right now, Barbara, we're gonna have to leave it there.

0:23:23.240 --> 0:23:25.400
<v Speaker 2>Do appreciate you taking the time. Always good to check

0:23:25.400 --> 0:23:28.280
<v Speaker 2>in with you. Barbara Fox as president of Fox Residential Group.

0:23:28.680 --> 0:23:31.479
<v Speaker 2>It's a brokerage firm that works with buyers and sellers

0:23:31.520 --> 0:23:32.919
<v Speaker 2>throughout New York City.

0:23:34.560 --> 0:23:38.440
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Listen live

0:23:38.520 --> 0:23:41.720
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0:23:47.960 --> 0:23:51.920
<v Speaker 1>York station, Just Say Alexa playing Bloomberg eleven thirty.

0:23:52.840 --> 0:23:57.120
<v Speaker 2>Well shares of the cybersecurity company Secure Works rallied late

0:23:57.200 --> 0:23:59.760
<v Speaker 2>last week Thursday and Friday, this after the company narrowed

0:23:59.760 --> 0:24:03.000
<v Speaker 2>its total revenue forecast for the full year and Barkley's

0:24:03.160 --> 0:24:05.800
<v Speaker 2>raised its price target on the stock. We've got back

0:24:05.840 --> 0:24:09.200
<v Speaker 2>with us Wendy Thomas, president and CEO at Secure Work.

0:24:09.280 --> 0:24:11.600
<v Speaker 2>She joins us from Atlanta. Wendy, how are you?

0:24:12.760 --> 0:24:14.000
<v Speaker 4>I am well, Thanks for having me.

0:24:14.119 --> 0:24:16.240
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, thanks so much for joining us. I want to

0:24:16.240 --> 0:24:18.080
<v Speaker 2>talk about the latest quarter and then big picture of

0:24:18.080 --> 0:24:22.600
<v Speaker 2>cybersecurity in just a minute. But talk about the most

0:24:22.600 --> 0:24:27.119
<v Speaker 2>recent quarter, what worked and what investors really we're happy with.

0:24:28.760 --> 0:24:32.000
<v Speaker 4>They were thrilled that we more than met our financial commitments,

0:24:32.640 --> 0:24:36.960
<v Speaker 4>growing our revenue and arr on our new security platform business.

0:24:37.160 --> 0:24:40.359
<v Speaker 4>We are done with our transformation to build our AI

0:24:40.440 --> 0:24:43.800
<v Speaker 4>platform and move our customers over to it, and that's

0:24:43.880 --> 0:24:48.880
<v Speaker 4>led to expanding gross margins positively but cash flow positive

0:24:48.960 --> 0:24:51.439
<v Speaker 4>quarter and all that on the backs of bunching new

0:24:51.480 --> 0:24:55.720
<v Speaker 4>products and offerings like identity detection and response. So we're

0:24:55.800 --> 0:24:58.760
<v Speaker 4>thrilled with what we were able to deliver and we're

0:24:58.920 --> 0:25:00.000
<v Speaker 4>nowhere close to done yet.

0:25:00.800 --> 0:25:03.520
<v Speaker 5>And maybe for our listeners who aren't as well acquainted

0:25:03.560 --> 0:25:08.320
<v Speaker 5>with what Secure Works does, cybersecurity obviously a broad church

0:25:08.400 --> 0:25:10.600
<v Speaker 5>tell us a little bit about what you do, who

0:25:10.680 --> 0:25:14.320
<v Speaker 5>your customers are, whether of course it's businesses or you

0:25:14.720 --> 0:25:19.720
<v Speaker 5>protecting individuals for example, with their own cyber hygiene.

0:25:20.040 --> 0:25:25.000
<v Speaker 4>So we do protect businesses and nonprofit organizations around the globe.

0:25:25.080 --> 0:25:28.600
<v Speaker 4>We operate in about sixty countries around the world, and

0:25:28.640 --> 0:25:33.560
<v Speaker 4>we provide a holistic approach to security for customers. In

0:25:33.600 --> 0:25:37.040
<v Speaker 4>the industry parlance, it's called managed detection and response, but

0:25:37.119 --> 0:25:39.840
<v Speaker 4>it is what it is across their entire technology estate.

0:25:40.040 --> 0:25:44.160
<v Speaker 4>We can detect any security events or possible security events,

0:25:44.520 --> 0:25:48.959
<v Speaker 4>help them proactively manage their security posture to prevent breaches

0:25:49.000 --> 0:25:51.719
<v Speaker 4>from happening and help them in the event that something

0:25:52.240 --> 0:25:55.520
<v Speaker 4>does occur someone clicks on that fishing link, We're able

0:25:55.560 --> 0:25:58.880
<v Speaker 4>to respond quickly again to prevent any expltration of data

0:25:58.960 --> 0:26:02.080
<v Speaker 4>or deployment of ransomware, to keep those customers secure twenty

0:26:02.119 --> 0:26:03.400
<v Speaker 4>four to seven, three sixty five.

0:26:04.840 --> 0:26:06.680
<v Speaker 2>Before we go any further, Wendy got to ask about

0:26:06.720 --> 0:26:09.800
<v Speaker 2>some news that came out late last month from Reuter's

0:26:09.920 --> 0:26:14.080
<v Speaker 2>Dell Tech exploring a possible sale of secure Works. According

0:26:14.119 --> 0:26:17.240
<v Speaker 2>to Reuter's, they said it unidentified people familiar with the matter.

0:26:17.320 --> 0:26:19.600
<v Speaker 2>Shares of secure Works that day jumped as much as

0:26:19.600 --> 0:26:22.800
<v Speaker 2>thirty five percent. It was an intra day record. We

0:26:22.880 --> 0:26:26.000
<v Speaker 2>do know that Dell holds pretty much all the company's

0:26:26.080 --> 0:26:29.520
<v Speaker 2>Class B shares, so they do have about eighty percent

0:26:29.960 --> 0:26:32.720
<v Speaker 2>of the company, and they explore a sale of secure

0:26:32.720 --> 0:26:35.840
<v Speaker 2>works back in twenty nineteen. Help us and our investors

0:26:35.920 --> 0:26:37.440
<v Speaker 2>understand what's going on here.

0:26:39.320 --> 0:26:43.439
<v Speaker 4>Sure, there's no shortage of rumors in our technology space

0:26:43.520 --> 0:26:46.879
<v Speaker 4>and security in particular, And well, I can't comment on

0:26:47.720 --> 0:26:52.040
<v Speaker 4>speculations that come and go years past or currently. I

0:26:52.080 --> 0:26:56.639
<v Speaker 4>can say that our shareholders talk to us about how

0:26:57.200 --> 0:26:59.960
<v Speaker 4>pleased they are with the value that we have created

0:27:00.119 --> 0:27:03.760
<v Speaker 4>in the business and that they are looking toward the

0:27:03.800 --> 0:27:07.760
<v Speaker 4>future when the stock can really start to reflect that

0:27:08.480 --> 0:27:11.399
<v Speaker 4>change in the underlying business. We are absolutely at an

0:27:11.440 --> 0:27:15.800
<v Speaker 4>inflection point focused on executing our business strategy, have completed

0:27:15.800 --> 0:27:19.000
<v Speaker 4>this transformation and turn profitable, So it's not a surprise

0:27:19.080 --> 0:27:22.480
<v Speaker 4>to me that the shareholder base is interested in the

0:27:22.520 --> 0:27:24.960
<v Speaker 4>stock and sort of waiting for that inflection point to hit.

0:27:25.840 --> 0:27:28.119
<v Speaker 4>And we've got the capital structure we need today and

0:27:28.160 --> 0:27:30.920
<v Speaker 4>tomorrow to be able to deliver that for shareholder.

0:27:31.160 --> 0:27:33.720
<v Speaker 2>As a publicly traded company, you have the capital.

0:27:33.359 --> 0:27:38.960
<v Speaker 4>Structure, you do absolutely. I always view capital structure as

0:27:39.000 --> 0:27:42.320
<v Speaker 4>a tool, not a goal, and the backing that we

0:27:42.400 --> 0:27:46.640
<v Speaker 4>have had and continue to have from Dell is an

0:27:46.640 --> 0:27:50.880
<v Speaker 4>important thing for us, but it's not everything to who

0:27:50.880 --> 0:27:53.080
<v Speaker 4>we are as a company. We were able to make

0:27:53.119 --> 0:27:56.280
<v Speaker 4>this incredible investment in our platform, some two hundred and

0:27:56.280 --> 0:27:59.960
<v Speaker 4>fifty million dollars in building out this AI powered technology

0:28:00.080 --> 0:28:04.520
<v Speaker 4>for security detection and response, and that support has been

0:28:04.720 --> 0:28:08.320
<v Speaker 4>tremendous from both our shareholders and from Dell's, our biggest shareholder,

0:28:08.960 --> 0:28:11.040
<v Speaker 4>But it is not the thing that makes our breaks.

0:28:11.080 --> 0:28:13.760
<v Speaker 4>Our ability to stay ahead of the adversary, or to

0:28:14.680 --> 0:28:17.600
<v Speaker 4>become profitable, to grow our revenue. All of those are

0:28:17.600 --> 0:28:21.040
<v Speaker 4>moving in the right direction. And like I said, it's

0:28:21.040 --> 0:28:22.919
<v Speaker 4>important to think of capital structure as a tool, not

0:28:22.960 --> 0:28:23.240
<v Speaker 4>a goal.

0:28:23.640 --> 0:28:25.399
<v Speaker 5>Well, let's talk about some of the risks that are

0:28:25.440 --> 0:28:28.520
<v Speaker 5>out there in the cybersecurity space. Of course, we are

0:28:28.520 --> 0:28:31.359
<v Speaker 5>counting down to the US presidential election in less than

0:28:31.400 --> 0:28:34.240
<v Speaker 5>two months to go. How are you viewing the threat

0:28:34.320 --> 0:28:36.679
<v Speaker 5>landscape amid those upcoming elections?

0:28:38.760 --> 0:28:41.440
<v Speaker 4>Sure, so it is an important time in terms of

0:28:42.080 --> 0:28:46.920
<v Speaker 4>a couple of areas of threat around elections in particular.

0:28:47.440 --> 0:28:50.360
<v Speaker 4>So we think of things around the ability to use

0:28:50.480 --> 0:28:55.000
<v Speaker 4>generative AI in particular right now for social engineering and

0:28:55.040 --> 0:28:58.880
<v Speaker 4>sort of those fishing emails that are so much better

0:28:59.360 --> 0:29:04.200
<v Speaker 4>personalized potentially scraping social media information about you, and also

0:29:04.360 --> 0:29:09.720
<v Speaker 4>used for we call information operations right political misinformation or

0:29:09.840 --> 0:29:15.000
<v Speaker 4>interference in some way. And we do certainly see recent

0:29:15.120 --> 0:29:20.200
<v Speaker 4>campaigns exposed by different law enforcement agencies, both in the

0:29:20.320 --> 0:29:24.360
<v Speaker 4>US and overseas, targeting both the Trump and the Harris campaigns.

0:29:25.120 --> 0:29:28.000
<v Speaker 4>These actions are to be expected that the difference is

0:29:28.040 --> 0:29:34.000
<v Speaker 4>our ability to see prevent damage from those quickly communicate

0:29:34.360 --> 0:29:37.680
<v Speaker 4>around those so that the wider community is aware of those.

0:29:38.160 --> 0:29:41.800
<v Speaker 4>It's so important to ensuring that we don't undermine even

0:29:41.800 --> 0:29:46.960
<v Speaker 4>the perception of the integrity of our elections because our

0:29:47.000 --> 0:29:51.560
<v Speaker 4>elections they are secure, and so between law enforcement the

0:29:51.880 --> 0:29:54.680
<v Speaker 4>private security community, this is something that we're going to

0:29:54.680 --> 0:29:57.520
<v Speaker 4>be particularly vigilant about now through November.

0:29:58.200 --> 0:30:01.800
<v Speaker 5>And I'm curious about how AI wraps into that conversation,

0:30:02.040 --> 0:30:05.880
<v Speaker 5>especially with these developments and generative AI that you know

0:30:05.960 --> 0:30:08.360
<v Speaker 5>we all watch. Do you think that that will make

0:30:08.440 --> 0:30:11.680
<v Speaker 5>cyber attacks worse potentially or do you think that it'll

0:30:11.720 --> 0:30:15.240
<v Speaker 5>actually help companies more when it comes to preventing attacks

0:30:15.240 --> 0:30:19.840
<v Speaker 5>we're talking about just general attacks and also election risk.

0:30:21.920 --> 0:30:22.160
<v Speaker 1>Sure.

0:30:22.200 --> 0:30:25.080
<v Speaker 4>I always talk about the power and the peril of

0:30:25.440 --> 0:30:28.680
<v Speaker 4>new technologies, and so generative AI is one of them.

0:30:29.120 --> 0:30:33.680
<v Speaker 4>It has already for Secure Works been a boon to

0:30:33.760 --> 0:30:38.320
<v Speaker 4>help with the effectiveness of our detection and response where

0:30:38.320 --> 0:30:42.400
<v Speaker 4>we can use large language models to do a lot

0:30:42.440 --> 0:30:44.920
<v Speaker 4>of the work to author an initial security report for

0:30:45.000 --> 0:30:48.320
<v Speaker 4>our customers using the reports that our team has written,

0:30:48.720 --> 0:30:51.479
<v Speaker 4>you know, thousands and thousands each year as the training

0:30:51.560 --> 0:30:53.960
<v Speaker 4>data for that. Now, we never let anything go out

0:30:53.960 --> 0:30:58.000
<v Speaker 4>without a human expert looking at it, but having our

0:30:58.040 --> 0:31:02.600
<v Speaker 4>platform explain and sort of consumable everyday language or even

0:31:02.640 --> 0:31:05.400
<v Speaker 4>translate to other languages what we see in terms of

0:31:05.440 --> 0:31:08.080
<v Speaker 4>a security threat, to take it out of the technical

0:31:08.200 --> 0:31:11.680
<v Speaker 4>into the business speak. Those are powerful applications that are

0:31:11.720 --> 0:31:15.200
<v Speaker 4>already helping. When you think about the pyrel we certainly

0:31:15.280 --> 0:31:18.200
<v Speaker 4>are seeing, especially in the realm of deep big videos,

0:31:18.800 --> 0:31:23.360
<v Speaker 4>the use of AI to make old techniques, particularly around

0:31:23.400 --> 0:31:27.520
<v Speaker 4>social engineering or phishing emails, harder to detect.

0:31:27.440 --> 0:31:31.160
<v Speaker 2>More belise, I mean, it's pretty terrifying. It's pretty terribly

0:31:31.760 --> 0:31:34.640
<v Speaker 2>Some of the videos that I've seen, and they've been

0:31:34.680 --> 0:31:40.240
<v Speaker 2>clearly marked as AI, they're out of this world accurate

0:31:41.120 --> 0:31:46.360
<v Speaker 2>and getting better I can do. Yeah, it's pretty wild.

0:31:47.480 --> 0:31:50.920
<v Speaker 2>What I mean, if people are you know, if people

0:31:51.000 --> 0:31:55.600
<v Speaker 2>are convinced by fake like actual fake news, that's you know,

0:31:55.760 --> 0:31:59.720
<v Speaker 2>clearly something that's not right. What kind of prayer do

0:31:59.760 --> 0:32:01.160
<v Speaker 2>we have have, Wendy in this world?

0:32:03.840 --> 0:32:08.600
<v Speaker 4>This is all about. Even if they're able to convince

0:32:08.680 --> 0:32:12.080
<v Speaker 4>a human that they are who they say they are

0:32:12.080 --> 0:32:14.800
<v Speaker 4>in that video or that phone call or that email,

0:32:15.200 --> 0:32:18.480
<v Speaker 4>we can use the power of technology to prevent data

0:32:18.520 --> 0:32:23.240
<v Speaker 4>from going outside of our systems, to prevent to create

0:32:23.920 --> 0:32:29.200
<v Speaker 4>multiple layers of checking things against a baseline or identity

0:32:29.320 --> 0:32:34.520
<v Speaker 4>verification that can prevent actual damage from being done. And

0:32:34.560 --> 0:32:38.960
<v Speaker 4>that's why we introduced this identity detection response because this

0:32:39.680 --> 0:32:43.560
<v Speaker 4>deep big videos, the phishing emails that are targeting individuals.

0:32:44.480 --> 0:32:48.000
<v Speaker 4>Securing your identity, what you're able to access, what you're

0:32:48.040 --> 0:32:51.280
<v Speaker 4>able to do is kind of the next edge in

0:32:51.400 --> 0:32:55.720
<v Speaker 4>security because of this world of we can no longer

0:32:55.760 --> 0:32:58.960
<v Speaker 4>count on our instincts as humans to figure out whether

0:32:59.000 --> 0:33:01.080
<v Speaker 4>something is real or not. We need the machine to

0:33:01.080 --> 0:33:01.840
<v Speaker 4>help protect us.

0:33:02.200 --> 0:33:04.800
<v Speaker 2>Hey, Wendy, you're joining us at the beginning of September,

0:33:04.880 --> 0:33:07.680
<v Speaker 2>and it's something that we talk about each and every

0:33:07.760 --> 0:33:10.680
<v Speaker 2>year as the anniversary of the nine to eleven attacks

0:33:10.800 --> 0:33:15.240
<v Speaker 2>comes upon us. I was Katie looking over Lower Manhattan

0:33:15.280 --> 0:33:17.280
<v Speaker 2>over the weekend and they have the lights up already

0:33:18.200 --> 0:33:21.360
<v Speaker 2>commemorating at nine to eleven. Wendy, I know you've done

0:33:21.360 --> 0:33:23.720
<v Speaker 2>a lot of work with the nine to eleven Memorial

0:33:23.960 --> 0:33:26.280
<v Speaker 2>and Museum. That's actually how you got on our radar

0:33:26.320 --> 0:33:29.240
<v Speaker 2>because you and Carol were down there doing a panel

0:33:29.440 --> 0:33:32.200
<v Speaker 2>in the fall of last year. I talk to us

0:33:32.200 --> 0:33:33.959
<v Speaker 2>a little bitbout the work that you do there and

0:33:34.000 --> 0:33:36.400
<v Speaker 2>how you try to keep the memory and the legacy

0:33:36.440 --> 0:33:37.600
<v Speaker 2>of those loss there alive.

0:33:39.440 --> 0:33:43.080
<v Speaker 4>Absolutely. So this is the twenty third anniversary of those attacks,

0:33:43.120 --> 0:33:47.280
<v Speaker 4>and we are incredibly proud to secure the memorial and

0:33:47.320 --> 0:33:50.800
<v Speaker 4>the museum and have been for years through the pandemic

0:33:50.840 --> 0:33:53.440
<v Speaker 4>and everything. I think we all remember where we were

0:33:53.720 --> 0:33:56.600
<v Speaker 4>when that happened, and so for us, it's all about

0:33:56.640 --> 0:33:59.320
<v Speaker 4>continuing to remember and honor the victims and survivors and

0:33:59.360 --> 0:34:04.440
<v Speaker 4>first response, but also to continue to fortify their cyber defenses. Unfortunately,

0:34:04.520 --> 0:34:07.600
<v Speaker 4>they are under attack each day, and so by the

0:34:07.680 --> 0:34:10.400
<v Speaker 4>nature of what it represents, they continue to be a

0:34:10.440 --> 0:34:13.920
<v Speaker 4>high profile target. And our ability to help them scale

0:34:13.920 --> 0:34:17.640
<v Speaker 4>their small team and equip them with the protections they

0:34:17.680 --> 0:34:19.960
<v Speaker 4>need at a at a price that makes sense for

0:34:20.000 --> 0:34:22.759
<v Speaker 4>an organization of their type. We're absolutely proud to do

0:34:22.800 --> 0:34:23.520
<v Speaker 4>it as Cure Works.

0:34:24.239 --> 0:34:27.120
<v Speaker 2>Wendy always appreciate you taking the time and joining us.

0:34:27.160 --> 0:34:31.319
<v Speaker 2>That's Wendy Thomas, president and CEO at Secure Work. She

0:34:31.400 --> 0:34:34.640
<v Speaker 2>joins us this afternoon from Atlanta, Georgia.

0:34:35.760 --> 0:34:37.680
<v Speaker 4>I'm brothering Mack.

0:34:39.640 --> 0:34:42.120
<v Speaker 3>Journal about you let me drive?

0:34:42.400 --> 0:34:48.439
<v Speaker 2>Oh no, no, no, no, all right, please, I'll do these.

0:34:48.920 --> 0:34:49.680
<v Speaker 1>I want to try it.

0:34:51.920 --> 0:34:53.799
<v Speaker 2>It's a good question to good time.

0:34:56.600 --> 0:34:58.839
<v Speaker 1>This is the drive to the Globe.

0:34:59.040 --> 0:35:00.160
<v Speaker 5>Comer thing on.

0:35:02.120 --> 0:35:03.040
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio.

0:35:04.120 --> 0:35:08.480
<v Speaker 2>You know what time it is, Katie, Almost four o'clock. Yeah, yeah,

0:35:08.480 --> 0:35:09.680
<v Speaker 2>pretty much three forty two.

0:35:09.840 --> 0:35:11.080
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, we're pretty much there.

0:35:10.960 --> 0:35:14.320
<v Speaker 2>Pretty much eighteen minutes ago until the close of trading

0:35:14.360 --> 0:35:17.800
<v Speaker 2>on this Monday, the ninth of September. Kind of feels

0:35:17.840 --> 0:35:20.520
<v Speaker 2>weird having a real full week, I know, given that

0:35:20.600 --> 0:35:22.480
<v Speaker 2>last week was a holiday shortened trading week. I think

0:35:22.520 --> 0:35:23.480
<v Speaker 2>everybody's back now.

0:35:23.480 --> 0:35:25.879
<v Speaker 5>So just in general, the five day work week is

0:35:26.000 --> 0:35:27.120
<v Speaker 5>unrealistically long.

0:35:27.480 --> 0:35:30.200
<v Speaker 2>I agree with you. What does your boss think about?

0:35:31.000 --> 0:35:34.480
<v Speaker 5>Uh, you know, it's a hard subject to bring up.

0:35:34.640 --> 0:35:34.920
<v Speaker 7>It is.

0:35:35.360 --> 0:35:37.200
<v Speaker 2>I'm not going to make you talk about it right now. Instead,

0:35:37.200 --> 0:35:38.880
<v Speaker 2>we're going to talk about the markets, because we got

0:35:38.960 --> 0:35:42.640
<v Speaker 2>Katie Kaminski sanding By. She's chief research strategist and portfolio

0:35:42.640 --> 0:35:47.600
<v Speaker 2>manager at Alpha Simplex Group. She joins us from Cambridge, Massachusetts. Katie,

0:35:47.680 --> 0:35:50.840
<v Speaker 2>good to have you back with us. The volatility that

0:35:50.880 --> 0:35:52.759
<v Speaker 2>we saw last week, Katie and I brought up some

0:35:52.760 --> 0:35:57.120
<v Speaker 2>of the superlatives a little bit ago. Yeah, worst week

0:35:57.160 --> 0:35:59.840
<v Speaker 2>on the socks since twenty twenty, worst week for the

0:36:00.040 --> 0:36:01.839
<v Speaker 2>and P five hundred going back to twenty twenty three,

0:36:01.920 --> 0:36:05.000
<v Speaker 2>the regional banking crisis, Katie, is the volatility behind us

0:36:05.000 --> 0:36:05.800
<v Speaker 2>in the short term?

0:36:07.200 --> 0:36:11.400
<v Speaker 8>Unfortunately, I don't think so. I feel like it's September's

0:36:11.960 --> 0:36:15.799
<v Speaker 8>difficult month and October tends to be difficult. So there's

0:36:15.800 --> 0:36:17.640
<v Speaker 8>just a lot of stuff up in the air right now.

0:36:18.960 --> 0:36:21.719
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, it's a good reminder that we are going according

0:36:21.760 --> 0:36:25.160
<v Speaker 5>to script. We all know that September seasonally is terrible

0:36:25.200 --> 0:36:26.279
<v Speaker 5>for the S and P five hundred.

0:36:26.320 --> 0:36:28.319
<v Speaker 2>We notice that, though I don't know, we.

0:36:28.280 --> 0:36:32.759
<v Speaker 5>Know that seasonally November is great. I mean, Katie, what

0:36:32.920 --> 0:36:34.400
<v Speaker 5>is the rhyme or reason or do you just have

0:36:34.480 --> 0:36:37.520
<v Speaker 5>to kind of respect seasonality here and let the market

0:36:37.600 --> 0:36:39.279
<v Speaker 5>work through this spout of volatility.

0:36:40.640 --> 0:36:42.960
<v Speaker 8>Well, I think what we've really been seeing is the

0:36:43.000 --> 0:36:46.560
<v Speaker 8>market is going through rotation. We went through a period

0:36:46.640 --> 0:36:49.319
<v Speaker 8>where we were really focused on inflation as the key

0:36:49.360 --> 0:36:54.560
<v Speaker 8>culprit for monetary policy remaining on hold, and now we're

0:36:54.600 --> 0:36:58.560
<v Speaker 8>shifting to a point where we're going to soon be

0:36:58.640 --> 0:37:02.920
<v Speaker 8>going most likely through a cutting cycle, and economic data

0:37:03.080 --> 0:37:06.000
<v Speaker 8>is coming out more mixed and more challenging, and so

0:37:06.480 --> 0:37:09.440
<v Speaker 8>the market is focused on what are the impacts of

0:37:09.480 --> 0:37:13.040
<v Speaker 8>this policy, and through that we're actually seeing some very

0:37:13.080 --> 0:37:15.719
<v Speaker 8>defensive signals, especially outside of equities.

0:37:16.920 --> 0:37:20.040
<v Speaker 5>Outside of equities, we'll talk to us about that. Fixed income,

0:37:20.080 --> 0:37:23.080
<v Speaker 5>of course, treasuries have rallied pretty mightily. It feels like

0:37:24.280 --> 0:37:27.200
<v Speaker 5>maybe a make or break moment is approaching with the

0:37:27.239 --> 0:37:30.680
<v Speaker 5>FED twenty five or fifty basis points. But how much

0:37:30.680 --> 0:37:34.080
<v Speaker 5>does it truly matter for your treasury's position right now

0:37:34.160 --> 0:37:36.000
<v Speaker 5>or is are just the direction of travel?

0:37:37.360 --> 0:37:39.840
<v Speaker 8>Well, it's that has been the strongest trend in the

0:37:40.000 --> 0:37:42.760
<v Speaker 8>recent period, and I think whenever you have a really

0:37:42.800 --> 0:37:46.800
<v Speaker 8>strong risk off type moves, it definitely is very positive

0:37:46.840 --> 0:37:50.080
<v Speaker 8>for fixed income. The fact that we have rate cuts

0:37:50.200 --> 0:37:53.720
<v Speaker 8>on the horizon that's also generally positive for fixed income,

0:37:54.200 --> 0:37:57.160
<v Speaker 8>But it also to me, represents a little bit of nerves.

0:37:58.040 --> 0:38:01.719
<v Speaker 8>A lot of investors are concerned about valuations and the

0:38:01.760 --> 0:38:05.279
<v Speaker 8>equity markets. They're concerned about the impact of policy and

0:38:05.320 --> 0:38:08.560
<v Speaker 8>the timing. So I do think fixed income is sort

0:38:08.600 --> 0:38:11.560
<v Speaker 8>of your go to right now. But we've also seen

0:38:11.600 --> 0:38:15.600
<v Speaker 8>other asset classes like commodities be very different short signals there,

0:38:16.239 --> 0:38:18.479
<v Speaker 8>and the dollar has really been under pressure as well,

0:38:18.520 --> 0:38:20.520
<v Speaker 8>so a lot of moves in the last two to

0:38:20.600 --> 0:38:21.160
<v Speaker 8>three months.

0:38:21.400 --> 0:38:24.279
<v Speaker 5>I'm just going to keep going tim you.

0:38:25.239 --> 0:38:28.080
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, you're you know what, you can do whatever you want, Katie.

0:38:28.280 --> 0:38:29.640
<v Speaker 2>You are my guest here, Katie to.

0:38:29.680 --> 0:38:32.319
<v Speaker 5>Katie having a conversation right now, and given that you

0:38:32.320 --> 0:38:35.440
<v Speaker 5>have this unique cross asset perspective, I mean, talk to

0:38:35.520 --> 0:38:38.600
<v Speaker 5>us about how the different asset classes are talking to

0:38:38.680 --> 0:38:41.040
<v Speaker 5>each other right now. Is this a very correlated market

0:38:41.120 --> 0:38:43.560
<v Speaker 5>or are we starting to see some nuance in how

0:38:43.680 --> 0:38:47.840
<v Speaker 5>the dynamic between these different asset classes are actually performing.

0:38:49.200 --> 0:38:52.239
<v Speaker 8>So what's been interesting to me is you've really seen

0:38:52.280 --> 0:38:56.560
<v Speaker 8>a pivot in cross asset class themes. It hasn't happened

0:38:56.560 --> 0:38:59.200
<v Speaker 8>in the equity markets yet, but this is very common

0:38:59.320 --> 0:39:01.640
<v Speaker 8>during a period where we might have a recession or

0:39:01.680 --> 0:39:05.359
<v Speaker 8>a crisis. But of course each crisis or draw down

0:39:05.440 --> 0:39:07.839
<v Speaker 8>is so different in history. But if you look at

0:39:07.840 --> 0:39:11.680
<v Speaker 8>a time like COVID, you actually saw somewhat similar signals

0:39:11.680 --> 0:39:15.000
<v Speaker 8>to now. So that would be short commodities, long fixed income.

0:39:15.040 --> 0:39:18.920
<v Speaker 8>That's a risk off type of move. It really suggests

0:39:18.920 --> 0:39:21.319
<v Speaker 8>that the market is a little nervous about growth and

0:39:21.360 --> 0:39:25.640
<v Speaker 8>it's nervous about valuations, and so that is a big

0:39:25.680 --> 0:39:27.799
<v Speaker 8>difference from what we've been dealing with for the last

0:39:27.840 --> 0:39:31.200
<v Speaker 8>two or so years, where it's really been about higher rates,

0:39:31.200 --> 0:39:34.320
<v Speaker 8>it's been about inflation, and so to us, it's definitely

0:39:34.320 --> 0:39:36.640
<v Speaker 8>something we've been studying a little bit, just looking at

0:39:36.680 --> 0:39:39.759
<v Speaker 8>how how often does this happen that you really see

0:39:39.760 --> 0:39:42.359
<v Speaker 8>this type of pivot that looks more defensive in other

0:39:42.440 --> 0:39:43.320
<v Speaker 8>asset classes.

0:39:44.040 --> 0:39:47.440
<v Speaker 2>First, how nervous should we be about growth?

0:39:50.200 --> 0:39:54.080
<v Speaker 8>I'm myself a little nervous, and that's just because what

0:39:54.200 --> 0:39:57.040
<v Speaker 8>makes me nervous is, you know, there's a lead lag

0:39:57.080 --> 0:40:00.520
<v Speaker 8>effect in policy. And I think why people have been

0:40:00.560 --> 0:40:05.319
<v Speaker 8>so concerned about different economic data coming out, particularly employment,

0:40:05.840 --> 0:40:09.400
<v Speaker 8>is that maybe somewhat of an indication that the effect

0:40:09.400 --> 0:40:13.399
<v Speaker 8>of tighter policy does actually have effects, and we might

0:40:13.440 --> 0:40:16.960
<v Speaker 8>need to wait to see if cutting rates is able

0:40:17.040 --> 0:40:19.080
<v Speaker 8>to slow that down. And I think that's where a

0:40:19.120 --> 0:40:21.719
<v Speaker 8>lot of people are going to be concerned, is that

0:40:21.960 --> 0:40:25.319
<v Speaker 8>you could growth be stunted a little bit, and then

0:40:25.440 --> 0:40:27.160
<v Speaker 8>that could cause pressure and equities.

0:40:28.000 --> 0:40:29.759
<v Speaker 5>I want to talk about sentiment a little bit here,

0:40:29.800 --> 0:40:32.760
<v Speaker 5>because going back to the twenty five versus fifty debate,

0:40:33.719 --> 0:40:36.240
<v Speaker 5>I've been listening to a lot of Neil Dutta, for example,

0:40:36.239 --> 0:40:39.040
<v Speaker 5>who has just been pounding the table that this FED

0:40:39.040 --> 0:40:43.120
<v Speaker 5>should move by fifty basis points you read into Christopher

0:40:43.239 --> 0:40:46.840
<v Speaker 5>Waller's speech on Friday talking about the possibility of front

0:40:46.840 --> 0:40:50.719
<v Speaker 5>loading hikes or rate cuts rather if appropriate, sort of

0:40:50.760 --> 0:40:53.319
<v Speaker 5>opening the door to it but not exactly going through.

0:40:53.320 --> 0:40:55.080
<v Speaker 5>But we are in a blackout period for the FED,

0:40:55.360 --> 0:40:58.319
<v Speaker 5>any of the likes of Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson saying

0:40:58.360 --> 0:41:00.839
<v Speaker 5>that that would really freak markets out if they want

0:41:00.840 --> 0:41:03.360
<v Speaker 5>ahead with a fifty basis point cut. Where do you

0:41:03.480 --> 0:41:06.520
<v Speaker 5>fall on what the FED should do at this month's

0:41:06.520 --> 0:41:09.560
<v Speaker 5>meeting and we're what they actually will do, Katie.

0:41:10.760 --> 0:41:13.880
<v Speaker 8>Well, I think they I probably think more in the

0:41:13.880 --> 0:41:17.279
<v Speaker 8>camp of Williams that twenty five is sort of starting

0:41:17.880 --> 0:41:20.880
<v Speaker 8>the force of rate cuts. If you go with fifty,

0:41:20.960 --> 0:41:23.560
<v Speaker 8>I would agree that that might sort of send a

0:41:23.560 --> 0:41:26.239
<v Speaker 8>signal that we know more than you, that you know,

0:41:26.320 --> 0:41:28.800
<v Speaker 8>what we're concerned about is real. And so I think

0:41:29.040 --> 0:41:32.160
<v Speaker 8>starting with twenty five is sort of a safe way

0:41:32.200 --> 0:41:36.200
<v Speaker 8>to start the process of easing. And so I think

0:41:36.239 --> 0:41:38.719
<v Speaker 8>that I'm tending to think that it's going to be

0:41:38.840 --> 0:41:41.520
<v Speaker 8>about easing into the process instead of jumping in.

0:41:42.120 --> 0:41:43.680
<v Speaker 2>Okay, how do you ease into it?

0:41:45.239 --> 0:41:51.080
<v Speaker 8>Starting with twenty five? I'd say, I mean, what that's yeah, sorry, oh.

0:41:50.960 --> 0:41:53.120
<v Speaker 2>No, I mean but what if you get what if

0:41:53.120 --> 0:41:55.120
<v Speaker 2>you get data between now and then that says, hey,

0:41:55.239 --> 0:41:57.160
<v Speaker 2>this is not something we need to be easing into

0:41:57.280 --> 0:41:58.879
<v Speaker 2>right now. And if they do ease into it, then

0:41:58.880 --> 0:42:02.240
<v Speaker 2>the market reacts negatively that Yeah.

0:42:02.000 --> 0:42:04.920
<v Speaker 8>That's tricky because I think we only have a short

0:42:04.920 --> 0:42:07.600
<v Speaker 8>period and only a couple of numbers of data that's

0:42:07.600 --> 0:42:10.239
<v Speaker 8>in between now and the first cut. And if you

0:42:10.280 --> 0:42:12.920
<v Speaker 8>look at what happened in August, there was a huge

0:42:12.960 --> 0:42:16.759
<v Speaker 8>reaction and the Fed didn't react. So to me, it

0:42:16.880 --> 0:42:20.160
<v Speaker 8>seems that they would hedge themselves and say, you know,

0:42:20.239 --> 0:42:22.239
<v Speaker 8>this may be one number, but we're looking at all

0:42:22.280 --> 0:42:24.920
<v Speaker 8>the data and we're sort of going in that direction.

0:42:25.160 --> 0:42:28.520
<v Speaker 8>So I'm a little bit more towards the camp that

0:42:28.560 --> 0:42:29.760
<v Speaker 8>they'll be cautious.

0:42:30.320 --> 0:42:30.759
<v Speaker 1>All right.

0:42:31.000 --> 0:42:35.319
<v Speaker 2>Katiekaminski the camp that they should be cautious. She's Chief

0:42:35.320 --> 0:42:39.040
<v Speaker 2>Research Strategies and portfolio manager at Alpha Simplex Group, joining

0:42:39.120 --> 0:42:40.839
<v Speaker 2>us from Cambridge, Massachusetts.

0:42:41.400 --> 0:42:45.200
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