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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Wednesday morning episode of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Perraultz. You guys

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Speaker 2: can follow me across all of my socials at Sports

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Speaker 2: Talk Matts and I don't know what I need to do.

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Speaker 2: I think we're into the JOBU sacrificing chicken type of

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Speaker 2: angle because it's just one of those runs. It's been worse.

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Speaker 2: I don't know we're getting there. We've had bad runs before,

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Speaker 2: but we're in the bad run situation here for us.

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Speaker 2: We went one in one with our college basketball bat.

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Speaker 2: Saint Joseph's does not cover. They were covering almost the

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Speaker 2: entire game and at the end they don't cover. Unfortunately,

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Speaker 2: they lose by fifteen. Wichita gets there on the hook.

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Speaker 2: We were lucky there. They will lost by four. It

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Speaker 2: also wins by four Wichita plus four and a half,

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Speaker 2: so that comes in The player prop was under eighteen

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Speaker 2: and a half points and assists for Grace and Allen

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Speaker 2: of the Suns in their game against the Nuggets. He

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Speaker 2: currently has nineteen points and two assists. I don't know

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Speaker 2: what it will to end up with. It doesn't matter

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Speaker 2: one in two day for us, so we were down

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Speaker 2: zero to one on Monday one and two on Tuesday.

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Speaker 2: It's just one of those runs, man, and hopefully things

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Speaker 2: will change.

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Speaker 1: Now. This is a big day of bets.

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Speaker 2: The College Basketball Betting Show will come out at some

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Speaker 2: point today for the NCAA Tournament Sweet sixteen. We will

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Speaker 2: have at least four plays to give you guys coming

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Speaker 2: up for Thursday and Friday for the NCUBLEA Tournament games.

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Speaker 2: I don't know yet exactly how many I'll wund up with,

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Speaker 2: but we will release at some point in the midday

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Speaker 2: coming up today for us with that, so those bets

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Speaker 2: do not count onto the Daily Juicees record. But I've

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Speaker 2: got four plays for us here today, including the return

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Speaker 2: of baseball happening happy Opening Day. On top of the

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Speaker 2: fact that the Celtics and the Thunder play in the

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Speaker 2: Game of the Day in the NBA. Heck, the game

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Speaker 2: of the day period in sports is Boston hosting OKC.

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Speaker 2: So that's a monster game. I don't know, really, in

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Speaker 2: my mind, I don't know when this turns. I just

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Speaker 2: know that it's going to turn. But until then you

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Speaker 2: can fade away. And I'm not angry about it at all.

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Speaker 2: I've told you guys this before that. Oftentimes, fading when

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Speaker 2: I'm cold is the thing to do. At some point

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Speaker 2: it will turn when that will be, I don't know.

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Speaker 2: I mean on days where I'm like, I'm going to

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Speaker 2: be awful. I went four and one the last time

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Speaker 2: we got really really cold, and then I went four

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Speaker 2: in one and we're up three units. So just kind

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Speaker 2: of how things go, unfortunately. So maybe I'm due for

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Speaker 2: a big day here with four bets. We've got a

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Speaker 2: bet in and we got two bets in the NIT,

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Speaker 2: one bet in the NBA, in one bet in MLB

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Speaker 2: with the Yankees at the Giants as the only game

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Speaker 2: on Netflix eight o'clock Eastern time tonight, as Major League

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Speaker 2: Baseball comes back, reminder that we had a really good

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Speaker 2: year last year in Major League Baseball, I would be

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Speaker 2: a little bit on the worried side for that, just

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Speaker 2: FYI I would let I would let me kind of

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Speaker 2: get into it a little bit before you start blindly

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Speaker 2: trailing dramatically. We were up twenty five units last season

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Speaker 2: in Major League baseball. Okay, we did really really well

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Speaker 2: in Major League Baseball. The year before that, I was

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Speaker 2: awful and I couldn't pick anything from Major League Baseball.

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Speaker 2: So it's just it does go in cycles. So if

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Speaker 2: we're going to be off and then on, the pattern

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Speaker 2: would be to be back off this year for Major

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Speaker 2: League Baseball. But let's see how it all plays out

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Speaker 2: coming up here for us start the long journey to

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Speaker 2: October for Major League Baseball's World Series. But Day one,

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Speaker 2: Game one coming up. But before we get into that,

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Speaker 2: if you guys would like to win this autographed Team

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Speaker 2: USA Penny Hardaway jersey, you must be a subscriber to

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Speaker 2: the Betting Pros YouTube channel and you must leave a comment.

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Speaker 1: On this video.

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Speaker 2: If you do so and we like it, we'll pick

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Speaker 2: it and later on this very month, at the end

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Speaker 2: of the month, we will draw one lucky winner in

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Speaker 2: Pristine Auction dot Com. We'll send you the Penny Hardaway

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Speaker 2: signed jersey. Subscribe and comment to be entered into the

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Speaker 2: giveaway for Penny Hardaway's Team USA signed jersey that will

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Speaker 2: go to somebody by the end of March in the

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Speaker 2: beginning of April. Okay, let's get into a bunch of

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Speaker 2: games to get through, a bunch of games to break

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Speaker 2: down coming up here. Let's start with Nevada and their

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Speaker 2: game against Auburn. Auburn is the lone power team left

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Speaker 2: power conference team left in this NIT tournament. So eighty

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Speaker 2: four sixty nine the win for Saint Joe's they covered

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Speaker 2: the eleven and a half point number eighty three seventy

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Speaker 2: nine the win. Yet last night for Tulsa, they did

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Speaker 2: not cover the four and a half in their game

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Speaker 2: against Wichita. This is an Auburn team that has been

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Speaker 2: very inconsistent this year. They were nineteen and sixteen this

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Speaker 2: year straight up, fourteen and twenty one against the spread.

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Speaker 2: They were much better at home thirteen and four straight

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Speaker 2: up at home.

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Speaker 1: Four and eight Nevada on the road.

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Speaker 2: However, for Nevada, they were nine and eight ats away

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Speaker 2: from home. They have covered in four of their last

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Speaker 2: five games, including two games.

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Speaker 1: In a row.

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Speaker 2: Auburn is one in four ats over their last five games.

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Speaker 2: They are two and eight ats over their last ten games,

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Speaker 2: and they were seven and ten against the number at home.

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Speaker 2: This is somewhat surprising to see Auburn be favored by

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Speaker 2: this much. They were favored by eighteen and a half

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Speaker 2: to South Alabama and they won by eleven. They were

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Speaker 2: favored by fourteen and a half against Seattle and they

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Speaker 2: won by six. Now they're favored by nine and a

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Speaker 2: half up against Nevada, who won by ten in one

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Speaker 2: by fourteen in their two games in the n at home,

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Speaker 2: covering a seven and a half point number against Liberty

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Speaker 2: and an eight and a half point number against Murray State.

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Speaker 1: One team is acting like they want to be.

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Speaker 2: In this tournament, the other is not, and the other

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Speaker 2: is thinking I want to be anywhere else but playing

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Speaker 2: in this tournament. At the moment, I think it just

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Speaker 2: comes down to motivation, and I think it comes down

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Speaker 2: to is this an important tournament for Auburn? And my

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Speaker 2: answer is no, this is not an important tournament for Auburn.

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Speaker 2: For Nevada, I think it is chance to keep on

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Speaker 2: playing eighty one seventy three the final. According to KEMPOM,

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Speaker 2: that would be covering the nine and a half point

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Speaker 2: number here Auburn wins Nevada covers. Defensively, Auburn has not

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Speaker 2: been good this year at all, two hundred and ninety

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Speaker 2: fourth in effective field goal percentage three hundred and forty,

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Speaker 2: third in three point defense two hundred and twenty fourth

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Speaker 2: in two point defense. To cover big numbers, you've got

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Speaker 2: to shut down teams, and look, Auburn's got better athletes.

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Speaker 2: But Nevada's defense is not great, but it's better than

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Speaker 2: what Auburn's has been at least on paper seventy seventh

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Speaker 2: and defensive efficiency one hundred and sixty second in effective

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Speaker 2: field goal percentage one hundred and eighty second, and three

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Speaker 2: point defense in one hundred and forty ninth in two

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Speaker 2: point defense. But Auburn has been highly effective offensively, but

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Speaker 2: they're not a good shooting team. Like efficiency, they're eleventh

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Speaker 2: in the country, but effective field goal percentage there are

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Speaker 2: one hundred and two twenty seventh. I just don't think

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Speaker 2: Auburn's gonna go and score ninety and hold Nevada down

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Speaker 2: to like seventy five points. I don't mind to play

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Speaker 2: on the over, but I'm gonna come in here and

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna.

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Speaker 1: Take the points. Give me the points.

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Speaker 2: I'm taking Nevada plus nine and a half here in

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Speaker 2: the ni bet number two. Let's stay in the n

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Speaker 2: and let's go to the other game. Dayton up against

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Speaker 2: Illinois State. So this is an interesting game. Numbers one

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Speaker 2: thirty nine. From a total perspective, Dayton's favored by seven

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Speaker 2: and a half the total for this game is super low.

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Speaker 2: Why because Dayton's been an under machine on paper. Two

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Speaker 2: of their last ten games have gone over eight and

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Speaker 2: two to the under, three and two to the over

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Speaker 2: for Illinois State. But overall on the year they were

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Speaker 2: nineteen and fourteen to the under and on the road

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Speaker 2: they were ten and eight to the under. But the

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Speaker 2: two games in the n both on the road for

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Speaker 2: Dayton over one forty and a half by five and

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Speaker 2: a half points against Bradley and over one thirty nine

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Speaker 2: and a half by one and a half points in

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Speaker 2: eighty to sixty one win for Dayton. On the other side,

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Speaker 2: the game against Kent State went under by sixteen and

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Speaker 2: a half points for Illinois State, but the road game

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Speaker 2: against wake Forest went over by half a point. That

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Speaker 2: was one fifty two and a half. But both these

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Speaker 2: teams see I mean pace of play comes into factor here,

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Speaker 2: But the totals for most games involving Dayton at home,

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Speaker 2: even on neutral normally it's in the one forty five

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Speaker 2: one forty seven range for them. And yeah, there was

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Speaker 2: a one forty and a half against Davidson, then went

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Speaker 2: under by eleven and a half points. There was a

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Speaker 2: Liola Chicago game that was one forty two and a

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Speaker 2: half that went under. Most of their games are one

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Speaker 2: forty five or higher. This one thirty nine is super low,

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Speaker 2: but it's also super low for Illinois State one fifty

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Speaker 2: two and a half one fifty three and a half,

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Speaker 2: won thirty and a half against Northern Iowa. That game

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Speaker 2: did go under in the Valley tournaments, but Belmont won

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Speaker 2: fifty and a half, one thirty two and a half,

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Speaker 2: one forty four.

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Speaker 1: And a half. I mean normally they're in the one.

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Speaker 2: Forty and one forty and a half as well. This

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Speaker 2: is a super low number here for this game at

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Speaker 2: one thirty nine. I think it's depressed. I think it's

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Speaker 2: too low to be quite honest. I think we come

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Speaker 2: in and we take the over here. I think one

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Speaker 2: thirty nine. I think we're going to see offense and

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Speaker 2: scoring here in this game, with Dayton going a little

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Speaker 2: bit more up tempo than maybe some people think that

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Speaker 2: they're going to and you know, this is should be

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Speaker 2: a really good basketball environment with a chance for them

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Speaker 2: to go to New York to the Final four.

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Speaker 1: This is a seventy two to sixty five.

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Speaker 2: Win here for for Dayton, which wouldn't cover and it.

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Speaker 1: Would technically go under.

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Speaker 2: I guess it would be, you know, fall seven, the

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Speaker 2: number seven and a half those one three already nine,

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Speaker 2: so you know, I think we're gonna be right around

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Speaker 2: the number. But I think we get into the one forties.

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Speaker 2: I think both teams can score seventy points here. I

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Speaker 2: think could be a seventy five to seventy type of final.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna bet the over. Let's go over one thirty

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Speaker 2: nine here. I don't know if it flies over, but

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Speaker 2: we're gonna go over one thirty nine for Dayton in

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Speaker 2: Illinois state. Here in the NI. Now to Major League Baseball.

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Speaker 2: Eight o'clock Eastern time in San Francisco, first pitch, five

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Speaker 2: o'clock Pacific time. It's going to be pretty nice now, overcast, cloudy,

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Speaker 2: but about sixty degrees so typical spring in San Francisco.

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Speaker 2: Nothing like here in Nevada, or it's super hot. It

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Speaker 2: was ninety six yesterday, it's gonna be ninety five today.

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Speaker 2: But the weather, I think, you know, in March sometimes

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Speaker 2: can be a little bit tricky. What's interesting about this game,

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Speaker 2: at least for me when I'm looking at this and

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Speaker 2: breaking it down I'm looking at the Yankees, and I'm

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Speaker 2: looking at the uh looking at the off for the Giants,

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Speaker 2: where they're pretty much a dead under team. I mean

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Speaker 2: most in most years at home, they're a dead under team.

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Speaker 2: And yet here we have two starting pitchers that really

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Speaker 2: tend to, you know, not give up many runs at

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Speaker 2: home or on the road. Max Freed lefty, going good

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Speaker 2: to have a lefty in this ballpark at you know,

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Speaker 2: in San Francisco. And then you've got obviously the starting

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Speaker 2: pitcher in Logan Web who's been tremendous. A lot of

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Speaker 2: these hitters, a bunch of them played for Team USA,

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Speaker 2: namely Aaron Judge. So maybe you say the offense might

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Speaker 2: be a little more alive. But typically speaking, pitchers are

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Speaker 2: ahead of hitters early, and unders tend to rule. In

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Speaker 2: particular in Unders Ballpark, the numbers open opened up at

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Speaker 2: six and a half. That was the first number put

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Speaker 2: up by the books. It was bet to seven. I

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Speaker 2: think that's somewhat of an overreaction a little bit here,

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Speaker 2: but I think this could very well easily be a

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Speaker 2: four to two type final. And you look at the

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Speaker 2: way these games were played early in the year. Last

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Speaker 2: year at Yankee stadium. The games tended to be more

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Speaker 2: offensively heaven heavy because they were being played, obviously in

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Speaker 2: New York. This is being played in San Francisco. Logan

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Speaker 2: Webb last year. If you look at his game log

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Speaker 2: last year, in the month of April, he had an

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Speaker 2: ERA of two point four to eight. He pitched thirty

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Speaker 2: six of the third innings at home against Cincinnati to

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Speaker 2: nothing at home against Milwaukee four to two.

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Speaker 1: That's April. This is March. Okay.

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Speaker 2: Now, he pitched on the road again Cincinnati in March

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Speaker 2: last year. He went five innings, gave up three earned runs.

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Speaker 2: It's not awesome. It was a six to four final,

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Speaker 2: but that's in Cincinnati, which is somewhat of a launch

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Speaker 2: pad of a ballpark.

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Speaker 1: We know we've been a lot of overs.

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Speaker 2: Max Freed, on the other hand, for him going last

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Speaker 2: year in the month of April, only pitched one time, sorry,

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Speaker 2: one time in March. It was a twenty to nine

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Speaker 2: final for him. In that game, he pitched four and

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Speaker 2: two thirds, gave up six runs, only two of them

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Speaker 2: earned in in April, though he had a point zero

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Speaker 2: a point eight two ERA in the month of April,

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Speaker 2: he was outstanding. He won every start. The team won

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Speaker 2: every start in April. He pitched thirty three innings worth

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Speaker 2: of work. He gave up three earned runs, two solo

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Speaker 2: home runs. That's about it. That's what he gave up

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Speaker 2: basically in the entire month of April last year.

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Speaker 1: I think you can see a very.

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Speaker 2: Similar type performance here for Max Freed, who was nineteen

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Speaker 2: and five with a two point eight six ERA last year.

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Speaker 2: He was absolutely tremendous, and we'll see what he looks

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Speaker 2: like again this season. But on the road last year

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Speaker 2: he had a three point two to eight EERRA. But

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Speaker 2: he's eleven and three with an opposing batting average of

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Speaker 2: two thirty eight. So Max Freed was great. You obviously

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Speaker 2: worry about the home run and the ball traveling for

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Speaker 2: the Yankees, but I think with Logan Webb and what

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Speaker 2: he did last year at home in this ballpark, he

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Speaker 2: was tremendous. He had a three point one zero ERA

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Speaker 2: eight and four record, two point sixty four opposing bat average,

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Speaker 2: only forty earned runs given up in one hundred and

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Speaker 2: sixteen innings worth of work at home. Let's go in

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Speaker 2: here and let's jump on the under under seven for

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Speaker 2: this It could push could be a four to three final,

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Speaker 2: but play the under for the Yankees and the Giants

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Speaker 2: under seven for ed minus one point fifteen for one

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Speaker 2: point one five units. That takes us to our hard

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Speaker 2: Rock Bet Bet of the Day hard Rock Bet Better

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Speaker 2: the Day, being brought to you by our friends at

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Speaker 2: hard Rock Bet. Obviously we got a lot going on here.

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Speaker 2: If your bradgets busted, you're not alone. Don't worry. You

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00:15:34,440 --> 00:15:37,720
Speaker 2: can still hit the next big upset and pick turn

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Speaker 2: your picks into paydays at hard rock Bet.

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Speaker 1: Coming up with the tournament that gets back going on Thursday.

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Speaker 2: Remember that those heart stopping zero clock moments pay at

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Speaker 2: hard Rock Bet. They're giving out twenty five dollars bonus

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00:15:49,600 --> 00:15:52,120
Speaker 2: bets throughout the tournaments if a team you bet on

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Speaker 2: to win or cover hits a buzzer beater.

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Speaker 1: So don't sit on the bench.

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Speaker 2: Download the hard rock Bet app today and let's get

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Speaker 2: the party started. Hard Rock Bet of the Day goes

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Speaker 2: to the NBA and it's the game of the Day.

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Speaker 2: In the NBA, it is the Boston and Celtics hosting

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Speaker 2: the OKC Thunder. Here is the interesting thing about this

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Speaker 2: current rivalry. Boston is zero to two so far against

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Speaker 2: the Thunder. This is the third and final time these

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Speaker 2: teams will play each other coming up here. Boston is

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Speaker 2: at home up against the Thunder, and the two previous

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Speaker 2: games have not been pretty in some ways. Unless the

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Speaker 2: last previous game wasn't pretty. It's an interesting matchup between

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Speaker 2: these two teams, and when you look at it from

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Speaker 2: a numbers perspective, Boston was I don't want to say

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Speaker 2: they punted on the game, the one oh four to

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Speaker 2: one o two, but they didn't play Jascentatum and they

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Speaker 2: didn't play Derek White. Now they've got them both here

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Speaker 2: in this game. Two games last year in January of

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Speaker 2: twenty five in March of twenty five, both won by

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Speaker 2: the Thunder on their way to a championship one five

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Speaker 2: ninety two, one eighteen to one twelve. This game was

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Speaker 2: one oh four to one oh two. I will be

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Speaker 2: on the under two seventeen and a half, Okay, I

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Speaker 2: will bet the under in this game. Yes, However, Boston's

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Speaker 2: catching three and a half points, and once this thing

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Speaker 2: got over three and got the three and a half,

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Speaker 2: this is simply just a principal play for me. The

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Speaker 2: Celtics this year are forty thirty and one ats The

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Speaker 2: Thunder are thirty four, thirty seven and one ats. Boston

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Speaker 2: is forty seven and twenty four straight up. The Thunder

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Speaker 2: a fifty seven and fifteen straight up on the road,

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Speaker 2: They're twenty eight and eight Boston's twenty four and.

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Speaker 1: Eleven straight up at home.

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Speaker 2: Boston and Joe Missoula, they remember this stuff and they

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Speaker 2: know that they might wind up playing these guys here

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Speaker 2: in the playoffs, in the NBA Finals. This is going

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Speaker 2: to be a rocking atmosphere in Boston. This game has

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Speaker 2: been circled on the schedule. This is a hard ticket

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Speaker 2: to get. I believe that Boston knows that they have

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Speaker 2: a two to eight record against the Thunder over their

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Speaker 2: last ten games. I expect a maximum effort, a playoff

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Speaker 2: type atmosphere out of the Boston Celtics coming up here tonight.

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Speaker 2: Thinks is going to be a heavyweight fight, comes down

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Speaker 2: to the buzzer. The last game was determined by two points.

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Speaker 2: I think it could very well come down to something similar.

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Speaker 2: I'm taking points here. Boston may not win, but I'll

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Speaker 2: take Boston to cover. Give me the Celtics for the

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Speaker 2: hard rock bet of the day Boston plus three and

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Speaker 2: a half up against OKAC. You don't get Boston as

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Speaker 2: a home dog very often, and we get them catching

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Speaker 2: over over three points. I just think it's something you

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Speaker 2: have to take when you get this opportunity. I can't

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Speaker 2: wait to watch this game. I think this is such

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Speaker 2: an awesome measuring stick game. It's by far the best

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Speaker 2: game of the night in the NBA. It's the best

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Speaker 2: game period in my opinion, and Boston is due. They're

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Speaker 2: one in four ATS over your last five games is

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Speaker 2: three and two, but three and seven ATS over their

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Speaker 2: last ten. As I mentioned, they're four games under five

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Speaker 2: hundred against the number this year, and on the road

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Speaker 2: they are eighteen and nineteen against the spread. Boston is

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Speaker 2: seventeen and eighteen at home, but after losing by ten

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Speaker 2: to Minnesota at home in their last game, you might

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Speaker 2: think they were looking ahead to this game.

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Speaker 1: Joe Mizzoula is going to have.

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Speaker 2: The guys ready to go and ready to play coming

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Speaker 2: up here for tonight. Obviously, check the injury report. Whenever

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Speaker 2: we were talking about an NBA game. It looks like

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Speaker 2: everybody that is supposed to play is going to play

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Speaker 2: here in this game. That means both Boston's stars and

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Speaker 2: Jason Tatum and Jalen Brown hard rock bet of the Day.

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Speaker 2: I'm taking the Boston Celtics plus three and a half

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Speaker 2: here up against the OKC thunder. Our other plays the

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Speaker 2: Yankees and the Giants under seven an opening day from

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Speaker 2: Major League Baseball, and in the NIT Nevada plus nine

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Speaker 2: and a half on the road against Auburn and Dayton

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Speaker 2: in Illinois State over one point thirty nine here.

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Speaker 1: Tonight in the NIT. Myna is Matt Parolzi.

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Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all my socials at

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Speaker 2: Sports Talk Matt every morning wherever you guys get your podcasts.

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Speaker 1: It is the Daily Juice.