WEBVTT - Crypto Exchanges Have a Plan to Beat Binance

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carole Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stanovk. We're here every day bringing

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<v Speaker 1>you the latest news from the world to business and finance,

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<v Speaker 1>plus technology, politics, economics, all partnising the power of Business

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<v Speaker 1>Week reporters and editors, not to mention our journalists and

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<v Speaker 1>can also listen to our radio show at two pm

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<v Speaker 1>Eastern Time on the Bloomberg Radio or watch us on

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<v Speaker 1>YouTube search Bloomberg Global News. Tim and I just broke

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<v Speaker 1>down some of the cases, and I do think among

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<v Speaker 1>those top headlines are confirmed cases in the US or

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<v Speaker 1>forty seven percent excuse me in the weekending Sunday. So

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<v Speaker 1>that's the largest weekly rise since April. And we know

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<v Speaker 1>even in the europe in you in European nations like

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<v Speaker 1>they're opening up, Tim, but they're very cautious, uh, in

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<v Speaker 1>terms of how they do it. It's not just that

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<v Speaker 1>we're also seeing some vaccine news, the Watchington Post reporting

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<v Speaker 1>that the FDA is expected to announce new warnings on

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<v Speaker 1>Jane Jay COVID vaccine. We saw J and J shares

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<v Speaker 1>fall on that news. Well, let's get right into it

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<v Speaker 1>with Dr Rohnda Meadows, President of Health Management Providence St.

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<v Speaker 1>Joseph Help, joining us on the phone from Renton, Washington.

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<v Speaker 1>Doctor Meadows, Um, how are you? I am doing great?

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<v Speaker 1>How are you doing well? You know, Carol and I

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<v Speaker 1>late last week we started talking a lot about the variant,

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<v Speaker 1>and we started talking a lot about what we should

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<v Speaker 1>be doing even though we're vaccinated to protect ourselves as

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<v Speaker 1>we continue to see cases increase, and we're just eager

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<v Speaker 1>to hear from you how you're reading into the startling

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<v Speaker 1>number of cases that we're seeing reported around the United States,

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<v Speaker 1>even when vaccinations are readily available. Well they're readily available,

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<v Speaker 1>but we've got people who are not taking advantage of

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<v Speaker 1>their their access the ability they actually get them. We

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<v Speaker 1>talk about people being vaccine hesitant, but if we really

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<v Speaker 1>looked at it, there's probably five different groups. People who

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<v Speaker 1>decline the vaccine because they don't believe that COVID virus

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<v Speaker 1>itself is going to be a harm to them or

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<v Speaker 1>to their loved ones. People who delay because they wanted

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<v Speaker 1>to see how the vaccine is going to do in

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<v Speaker 1>terms of long term time effects and immunity. And the

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<v Speaker 1>people who have four recently decided that they want to

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<v Speaker 1>get it now, they need to find access, transportation, and

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<v Speaker 1>time out of work to go'll get the vaccine itself.

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<v Speaker 1>And then finally, remember that our children at the age

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<v Speaker 1>of twelve are not yet authorized to receive the vaccine.

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<v Speaker 1>They've got a lot of people who are unvaccinated. At

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<v Speaker 1>a time when the COVID virus itself continues to grow

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<v Speaker 1>and to mutate. The Delta variant is the one that

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<v Speaker 1>we are all watching. It's the one that is the

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<v Speaker 1>dominant COVID virus that is going across our nation as

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<v Speaker 1>we speak. Um. That is its accounting for about of

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<v Speaker 1>all hospitalizations from COVID and all almost deaths. Dr medus.

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<v Speaker 1>One of the reasons we love talking with you and

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<v Speaker 1>all of the team at Providence St. Joseph's health is

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<v Speaker 1>the first official case was confirmed of COVID nineteen in

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<v Speaker 1>Washington State at Providence Regional Medical Center and Everett. That

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<v Speaker 1>was back in Jevary January. I've got to say, is

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<v Speaker 1>there any discussions that you guys are having a little

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<v Speaker 1>bit of like tangles up the spine, saying, wait a minute,

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<v Speaker 1>we've we've felt this before, we've seen this before, or

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<v Speaker 1>is it different because we do have a playbook on

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<v Speaker 1>how to treat it, we do have vaccines. So what's

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<v Speaker 1>the difference of people who might be listening to our

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<v Speaker 1>broadcast right now and who might be a little nervous. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>I have to tell you that what's different is we

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<v Speaker 1>actually know quite a bit more than we did last January. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>We actually know that the vaccine does work when it

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<v Speaker 1>is received by people, and we know how to better

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<v Speaker 1>treat people when they do come down with the viral

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<v Speaker 1>infection itself. We've got a lot of more things to

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<v Speaker 1>do to help people now than we had last year.

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<v Speaker 1>Our difficulty is now and making sure that we do

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<v Speaker 1>the extra work and identifying where there are pockets of

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<v Speaker 1>people who are unvacculated and helping them get access to

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<v Speaker 1>those vaccines. And if they don't want it, then we

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<v Speaker 1>have to make sure that they understand what risk they're

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<v Speaker 1>taking and what risk they're putting others out. Well, that's

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<v Speaker 1>a good question, and especially you know Tim pointed out,

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<v Speaker 1>and this is I think probably our most important headline

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<v Speaker 1>today is the FDA expected to announce a new warning

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<v Speaker 1>on the J and J COVID vaccine is coming from

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<v Speaker 1>the Washington Post. Headlines like that make people even more

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<v Speaker 1>nervous about getting the vaccine. By not getting the vaccine,

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<v Speaker 1>you can't force somebody to do it, right, It's it's

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<v Speaker 1>their choice. But having said that, then for those who

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<v Speaker 1>do get vaccinated, what do they need to be careful about?

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<v Speaker 1>Then understanding that there are people still out there that

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<v Speaker 1>can be hosts and carriers of new variants, and can

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<v Speaker 1>we who are vaccinated be a carrier of these new

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<v Speaker 1>variants as well? So less likely if you're fully vaccinated,

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<v Speaker 1>meaning you can see two doses of either the Visor

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<v Speaker 1>or more Donna vaccine, you are less likely to be

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<v Speaker 1>a kill. You're u less likely to get the illness,

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<v Speaker 1>not but maybe something percent right, so much higher? Um.

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<v Speaker 1>I think what people need to think about when they're

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<v Speaker 1>getting the vaccine today, even when they hear the different news,

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<v Speaker 1>whether Richard J and J or someone else, is an

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<v Speaker 1>a mixture that they weigh their own risk, their own

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<v Speaker 1>health risk to of what COVID would do to them

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<v Speaker 1>if they actually got it the actual illness itself, and

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<v Speaker 1>make sure that they also weigh the risk of what

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<v Speaker 1>it will do to their loved ones because they are

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<v Speaker 1>the carrier for the source of transmission to their loved

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<v Speaker 1>ones in their home, particularly when people live in multi

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<v Speaker 1>generational homes, there's an increased risk. That's that's that far

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<v Speaker 1>exceeds in east side effects potential, But the vacuum itself.

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<v Speaker 1>I understand worries. Well, we have heard stories just in

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<v Speaker 1>the last minute. Then we're gonna come back with you, um,

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<v Speaker 1>doctor Meadows. But I'm wondering if you at a Providence

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<v Speaker 1>Saint Choseph's Health are are requiring people who work there

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<v Speaker 1>to get vaccinated. We we don't actually have a vaccine mandate.

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<v Speaker 1>We have a vaccine policy where we're encouraging our workforce

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<v Speaker 1>to get the vaccine. If they decline to get the

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<v Speaker 1>vaccine for whatever reason, then they are actually required to

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<v Speaker 1>wear a personal protective gear to protect both themselves, the

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<v Speaker 1>patients and their colleagues at work. Um. This applies to

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<v Speaker 1>everybody in our health care facilities m both ambiatory acute

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<v Speaker 1>anywhere that and long term care. Do you anticipate that

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<v Speaker 1>could change if these get full FDA approval? I do.

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<v Speaker 1>I think it's a matter of when it gets full approval.

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<v Speaker 1>When we're able to get people to really buy in

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<v Speaker 1>and feel more trust. That small group that's still has itant,

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<v Speaker 1>we have work to do to encourage them um to

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<v Speaker 1>make sure they understand what's going on. At the same time,

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<v Speaker 1>we also need to continue the effort of keeping people

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<v Speaker 1>that they are treating and care for safe. That responsibility

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<v Speaker 1>as well. I want to get back to Dr Rohnda Meadows,

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<v Speaker 1>president of Health Management at Providence St. Joseph Health. It

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<v Speaker 1>is one of the largest health care systems in the

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<v Speaker 1>U S. Was home to the first confirmed COVID case

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<v Speaker 1>back in early She's still with us on the phone

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<v Speaker 1>from Wenton Washington, Rent in Washington. Excuse me, hey, Dr Meadows.

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<v Speaker 1>One thing I want to just follow up on the

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<v Speaker 1>conversation we were having before the break is that, so

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<v Speaker 1>what do we there are those individuals who have gotten

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<v Speaker 1>the vacs seen need to be concerned about worry about

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<v Speaker 1>when it comes to those who haven't had it. I

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<v Speaker 1>think it's more a matter of those who are already

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<v Speaker 1>vaccinated encouraging those who haven't to get vaccinated, because as

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<v Speaker 1>long as they are unvaccinated pockets of people there is

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<v Speaker 1>actually the opportunity for the virus to continue to mutate

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<v Speaker 1>and spread. Right now with the delta variant, we're looking

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<v Speaker 1>at something that is more highly transmissible UM, and it

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<v Speaker 1>is causing the people who are sick in hospitalization for

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<v Speaker 1>covid UM. There's also accounting for nine of the death

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<v Speaker 1>that are occurring. Accounts are increasing. The people who are

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<v Speaker 1>vaccinated are actually much more protected UM. They're less likely

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<v Speaker 1>to get ill UM, but with what we don't want

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<v Speaker 1>them to do is to become carriers. Less likely but

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<v Speaker 1>still possible. So it's really more about the unvaccinated UM.

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<v Speaker 1>The people who are vascinated have children are going to

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<v Speaker 1>be wanting to protect their children if they run as

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<v Speaker 1>well on seriod of TALL and can't be vaccinated. If yet,

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<v Speaker 1>Dr Meadows, I want to talk about something that Carol

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<v Speaker 1>and I have spoken a lot about on on Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Business Week Radio, and it's the other crisis that are happening. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>we are still dealing with this pandemic. There has been

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<v Speaker 1>a renewed focus on mental health over the last eighteen

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<v Speaker 1>months because of isolation in the way that the pandemic

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<v Speaker 1>has affected each and every one of us in different

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<v Speaker 1>and diverse ways. And then I'm wondering about community support

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<v Speaker 1>systems for mental health during crises such as these, What

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<v Speaker 1>is available and to what extent are are people actually

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<v Speaker 1>tapping into them? Okay, I think we're going to find

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<v Speaker 1>UM that what the services that people chapped into during

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<v Speaker 1>one Most of us knew that we did not have

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<v Speaker 1>enough clinic or professional base in person fights available for access.

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<v Speaker 1>People have availed themselves to virtual online mental health services

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<v Speaker 1>and group counseling a group chats will need more of those.

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<v Speaker 1>What I'm expecting, and I think what most of us

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<v Speaker 1>are expecting is that the increase in depression, substance use,

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<v Speaker 1>substance abuse UM, anxiety disorders, post traumatic stress type disorders

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<v Speaker 1>will not have been resolved anytime soon. We can do

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<v Speaker 1>is actually get the resources increased and available to address them.

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<v Speaker 1>And this is not just for adults. I am probably

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<v Speaker 1>more concerned about children because they again not only have

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<v Speaker 1>suffered through the pandemic, but disruption of their social starcles,

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<v Speaker 1>of their education, of their home life UM, and of

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<v Speaker 1>the social supports that they normally would get if they

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<v Speaker 1>were in the schools or in community groups and activities.

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<v Speaker 1>So this abject is going to be a long term

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<v Speaker 1>UM challenge that we're going to have to address and

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<v Speaker 1>if we haven't started enough now we need to get

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<v Speaker 1>going and whither wise we may find ourselves with a

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<v Speaker 1>generation of lost children. No, it's a really good point,

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<v Speaker 1>a really important point, uh, and something we can't just

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<v Speaker 1>kind of forget as the world gets back to somewhat

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<v Speaker 1>of a quote unquote normal status. UM. I do have

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<v Speaker 1>a question for you though, in your conversations with health

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<v Speaker 1>care plans, I mean, are things changing in terms of

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<v Speaker 1>how we think about care wellness care? We have lots

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<v Speaker 1>of conversations about it, but I do wonder whether or

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<v Speaker 1>not we're thinking differently about how we all take care

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<v Speaker 1>of our health generally when we're feeling good, and how

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<v Speaker 1>we look about think about maintaining that wellness. And just

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<v Speaker 1>got about forty seconds here, Okay, we are both on

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<v Speaker 1>the health plan side and our delivery side, and I think, well,

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<v Speaker 1>this I'm speaking about Providence is actually across the board

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<v Speaker 1>and other industry partners that we've been working with UM wellness, prevention, immunization,

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<v Speaker 1>but also the importance of actually doing integrated care that

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<v Speaker 1>includes mental health services. Most places you will see will

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<v Speaker 1>also have a commitment to health equity, which means addressing

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<v Speaker 1>the disparities that have been there long term, as well

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<v Speaker 1>as disparities and COVID. Right now, we have another opportunity

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<v Speaker 1>right now today to prevent the next wave of a

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<v Speaker 1>bit illnesses from being desparing right from impacting black and

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<v Speaker 1>hispatic populations. Worse. Right now, the vaccination rates and these

0:11:09.320 --> 0:11:12.720
<v Speaker 1>populations are still lower that we want to see them.

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<v Speaker 1>They We didn't make some gains, but not enough. We

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<v Speaker 1>have blocks of work to do, all right, We've got

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<v Speaker 1>to run um. Thank you so much for your time today.

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<v Speaker 1>Dr Rhonda Meadows, president of Health Management at Providence St.

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<v Speaker 1>Joseph's Health, on the phone from Wenton, Washington. The gaps

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<v Speaker 1>just are still their ten. Yeah. It's it's in a way,

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<v Speaker 1>it's just mind boggling to think we're so far but

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<v Speaker 1>yet so far away from actually being done with this pandemic. Yeah, exactly.

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Masser and Bloomberg

0:11:40.840 --> 0:11:44.920
<v Speaker 1>Quick Takes Tim Stinovic from Bloomberg Radio. Coming up in

0:11:44.960 --> 0:11:47.640
<v Speaker 1>this week's issue of Bloomberg Business Week a story on

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<v Speaker 1>how crypto exchanges have a plan to beat finance. It's

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<v Speaker 1>the exchange that has quietly and rather mysteriously taken the

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<v Speaker 1>top spot among the world's cryptocurrency exchanges. So unraveling some

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<v Speaker 1>of the mystery of this very mysterious world in general.

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<v Speaker 1>Is Bloomberg News Finance reporter Catch Klinsky. She's on the

0:12:03.520 --> 0:12:05.520
<v Speaker 1>phone in New York City along with Business Week editor

0:12:05.760 --> 0:12:07.760
<v Speaker 1>Chill Weber on the remote access line in Brooklyn, and

0:12:07.800 --> 0:12:11.280
<v Speaker 1>we already had like a really great conversation about everything.

0:12:11.280 --> 0:12:15.679
<v Speaker 1>We said, again, mind, you know what, what stands out

0:12:15.720 --> 0:12:17.960
<v Speaker 1>to me the story that Cat is the lead writer

0:12:18.080 --> 0:12:21.600
<v Speaker 1>on is sort of what this universe of crypto exchanges

0:12:21.679 --> 0:12:24.000
<v Speaker 1>looks like. And there is a sort of a bad

0:12:24.040 --> 0:12:25.920
<v Speaker 1>boy actor that is the elephant in the room here,

0:12:25.920 --> 0:12:28.959
<v Speaker 1>which is which is binance? Right? Cat? And in order

0:12:29.000 --> 0:12:34.800
<v Speaker 1>to compete with um finance, what have the competitive landscaped

0:12:34.840 --> 0:12:39.560
<v Speaker 1>of crypto exchanges chosen to do? For many years now,

0:12:39.600 --> 0:12:41.880
<v Speaker 1>it's been really hard to compete with Finance. I mean,

0:12:42.000 --> 0:12:44.600
<v Speaker 1>they list so many coins, you know, they really are

0:12:45.080 --> 0:12:47.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, they've taken the top spot UM quite easily.

0:12:48.160 --> 0:12:50.640
<v Speaker 1>And so now we're seeing a lot of exchanges as

0:12:50.679 --> 0:12:52.679
<v Speaker 1>finance sort of in the cross hairs of a lot

0:12:52.720 --> 0:12:55.880
<v Speaker 1>of global regulators and under a lot of scrutiny. We

0:12:55.960 --> 0:12:58.920
<v Speaker 1>see more exchanges saying, hey, no, we're going to be

0:12:59.080 --> 0:13:01.160
<v Speaker 1>sort of, you know, the one that follows the rules,

0:13:01.200 --> 0:13:03.199
<v Speaker 1>and we're going to hope that that strategy long term

0:13:03.200 --> 0:13:05.439
<v Speaker 1>pays off. Whether it does, I think will be sort

0:13:05.480 --> 0:13:07.800
<v Speaker 1>of remains to be seen. But you know, I think

0:13:07.800 --> 0:13:09.839
<v Speaker 1>it's one way that a lot of exchanges now are

0:13:09.840 --> 0:13:14.000
<v Speaker 1>trying to plot their own path. Finance, though, doesn't even

0:13:14.040 --> 0:13:18.480
<v Speaker 1>allow US customers explain what's going on here because there's

0:13:18.480 --> 0:13:21.079
<v Speaker 1>also Finance am I saying this right, Finance dot US

0:13:21.720 --> 0:13:24.440
<v Speaker 1>or Finance U S you're correct, and yeah, and they're

0:13:24.640 --> 0:13:26.920
<v Speaker 1>they're different. They were founded by the you know, same person,

0:13:27.040 --> 0:13:30.480
<v Speaker 1>and they have licensed some technology in the past, but

0:13:31.080 --> 0:13:33.240
<v Speaker 1>but they maintain it very separately. And I think that's

0:13:33.240 --> 0:13:35.400
<v Speaker 1>what you've seen a lot of science changes. I mean,

0:13:35.400 --> 0:13:37.360
<v Speaker 1>if you look at many of the top ones, a

0:13:37.400 --> 0:13:40.160
<v Speaker 1>lot of them don't actually allow US investors. And part

0:13:40.160 --> 0:13:44.200
<v Speaker 1>of this is sort of district regulatory regime we tend

0:13:44.240 --> 0:13:46.840
<v Speaker 1>to have in this country, even though you know, crypto

0:13:46.880 --> 0:13:50.080
<v Speaker 1>obviously is still a newer asset to be regulated. And

0:13:50.120 --> 0:13:52.360
<v Speaker 1>I think part of that is many many of these

0:13:52.360 --> 0:13:54.439
<v Speaker 1>exchanges say, we don't you know, We're not going to

0:13:54.520 --> 0:13:57.440
<v Speaker 1>go through all these hurtles in a constantly changing world.

0:13:57.800 --> 0:14:00.400
<v Speaker 1>But you see many exchanges like you know, take Gemini

0:14:00.520 --> 0:14:03.960
<v Speaker 1>obviously founded by the Winklebox twin. They're really trying to say, no,

0:14:04.200 --> 0:14:07.120
<v Speaker 1>it's the right path is to enter this you know,

0:14:07.480 --> 0:14:10.559
<v Speaker 1>this more regulated country and trying and plot a path here.

0:14:10.600 --> 0:14:13.840
<v Speaker 1>And that's how long term, you know, our strategy is

0:14:13.840 --> 0:14:15.800
<v Speaker 1>going to pay off. Let's let's talk more about the

0:14:15.800 --> 0:14:19.560
<v Speaker 1>Winkle v the plural form of the winkle box tins

0:14:19.760 --> 0:14:23.440
<v Speaker 1>um and Gemini um cat. So that what they basically

0:14:23.600 --> 0:14:26.640
<v Speaker 1>say they're doing is like, we know that there will

0:14:26.680 --> 0:14:29.800
<v Speaker 1>be rules eventually, and so we need to basically get

0:14:29.840 --> 0:14:34.320
<v Speaker 1>ahead of regulators and and except that there will be rules, right, Um,

0:14:34.720 --> 0:14:37.760
<v Speaker 1>So how has that worked out for them versus even

0:14:37.800 --> 0:14:42.520
<v Speaker 1>the other exchanges that are saying something similar? Yeah, So,

0:14:42.560 --> 0:14:45.560
<v Speaker 1>I mean that is their strategy. They created the Virtual

0:14:45.600 --> 0:14:48.560
<v Speaker 1>Commodity Association, which was sort of, you know, essentially to

0:14:48.560 --> 0:14:51.160
<v Speaker 1>be like kind of almost a self policing share for

0:14:51.200 --> 0:14:53.920
<v Speaker 1>this industry to think about, how do you actually you know,

0:14:54.160 --> 0:14:56.560
<v Speaker 1>set up a regulatory theme and an asset that's so

0:14:56.680 --> 0:14:58.760
<v Speaker 1>knew that many regulators are just trying to get their

0:14:58.800 --> 0:15:02.080
<v Speaker 1>heads around. But you know, it hasn't worked out obviously

0:15:02.360 --> 0:15:05.440
<v Speaker 1>that well yet, and that's because it's being companies like

0:15:05.520 --> 0:15:08.960
<v Speaker 1>Finance who will list every point, you know, and um

0:15:09.200 --> 0:15:12.480
<v Speaker 1>maybe are a little less scrutinizing with those. Um we've

0:15:12.480 --> 0:15:14.840
<v Speaker 1>seen them jep to the top. And I think you know,

0:15:15.160 --> 0:15:18.000
<v Speaker 1>but the companies that are trying to follow these regulations

0:15:18.000 --> 0:15:20.760
<v Speaker 1>are saying now that Finance is under a lot of scrutiny,

0:15:20.840 --> 0:15:23.360
<v Speaker 1>they're saying, hey, you know, this is this is part

0:15:23.360 --> 0:15:26.680
<v Speaker 1>of our strategy is to work our way through these

0:15:26.760 --> 0:15:29.880
<v Speaker 1>you know, regulations, even if they're new, because it is

0:15:29.920 --> 0:15:32.440
<v Speaker 1>going to be worth it in the end. Um. But

0:15:32.560 --> 0:15:35.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, even to Gemini's point, you know, they say,

0:15:35.560 --> 0:15:38.520
<v Speaker 1>the landscape here in the US moving very slow, so

0:15:38.640 --> 0:15:41.120
<v Speaker 1>they've got to you know, kind of expand a little

0:15:41.160 --> 0:15:44.080
<v Speaker 1>more globally to make sure that that they can keep

0:15:44.080 --> 0:15:47.200
<v Speaker 1>pace right and cut us the exchanges to to something

0:15:47.200 --> 0:15:49.720
<v Speaker 1>extented doing their own policing right. I mean, there's so

0:15:49.760 --> 0:15:53.720
<v Speaker 1>many new cryptocurrencies out there, there's thousands, so they've got

0:15:53.720 --> 0:15:56.920
<v Speaker 1>to kind of weed through and decide which ones actually

0:15:56.960 --> 0:16:00.200
<v Speaker 1>get to trade on their exchanges, agreed. And it is

0:16:00.200 --> 0:16:02.720
<v Speaker 1>actually kind of challenging. You know. We we talked to

0:16:02.920 --> 0:16:06.040
<v Speaker 1>someone at Galaxy Digital, Jason Urban. He's there a global

0:16:06.080 --> 0:16:08.920
<v Speaker 1>cohead of trading, and he said, you know, not only

0:16:08.960 --> 0:16:11.520
<v Speaker 1>do you have to a figure out how to connect

0:16:11.560 --> 0:16:13.800
<v Speaker 1>all these coins to the exchange, you have to make

0:16:13.800 --> 0:16:16.200
<v Speaker 1>sure you have to set up in the technology behind it,

0:16:16.240 --> 0:16:18.720
<v Speaker 1>but you also have to sort of scrutinize, you know,

0:16:18.800 --> 0:16:23.440
<v Speaker 1>whether this is an unregistrated unregistrated security and there's not

0:16:23.480 --> 0:16:25.320
<v Speaker 1>a lot of clarity, so you have to sort of

0:16:26.080 --> 0:16:28.200
<v Speaker 1>you know, have a lot of legal and compliance teams.

0:16:28.200 --> 0:16:30.560
<v Speaker 1>And that's what we've seen over the past you know years,

0:16:30.720 --> 0:16:33.520
<v Speaker 1>is a lot of these exchanges, such as coin Base,

0:16:33.560 --> 0:16:36.880
<v Speaker 1>which obviously recently went public, hiring more people to help

0:16:36.880 --> 0:16:40.080
<v Speaker 1>with compliance and policy and issues like that, which is

0:16:40.080 --> 0:16:42.040
<v Speaker 1>a whole other issue. If you become a public entity

0:16:42.080 --> 0:16:44.160
<v Speaker 1>where you're trading, I don't know, I can't get my

0:16:44.200 --> 0:16:45.800
<v Speaker 1>head around it. Okay, can we just take a step

0:16:45.800 --> 0:16:47.160
<v Speaker 1>back here, because I think this is a world that

0:16:47.240 --> 0:16:49.800
<v Speaker 1>is still unfamiliar to so many people and and really

0:16:49.840 --> 0:16:53.800
<v Speaker 1>explain people, for people who haven't necessarily bought and sold cryptocurrency,

0:16:53.800 --> 0:16:58.040
<v Speaker 1>what it is exactly these exchanges do the services they offer. Yeah,

0:16:58.080 --> 0:17:01.120
<v Speaker 1>so many of them obviously offer range of services, but

0:17:01.560 --> 0:17:03.960
<v Speaker 1>obviously the big one is they allow you to actually

0:17:03.960 --> 0:17:06.120
<v Speaker 1>trade the coins on them. Some of them will offer

0:17:06.280 --> 0:17:10.400
<v Speaker 1>also offer services such as custody and different um different

0:17:10.840 --> 0:17:14.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, offerings for institutional clients as well, so any

0:17:14.160 --> 0:17:18.280
<v Speaker 1>you know, pictured plant touch managers anything like that. Um So. Yeah,

0:17:18.280 --> 0:17:20.359
<v Speaker 1>so they often have a range of services, but trading

0:17:20.440 --> 0:17:23.280
<v Speaker 1>is obviously the big one. You know. They essentially want

0:17:23.320 --> 0:17:25.920
<v Speaker 1>to have you know, investors who are interested to help

0:17:26.000 --> 0:17:29.280
<v Speaker 1>kind of beef up the activity on their platform, but

0:17:29.320 --> 0:17:31.320
<v Speaker 1>they also need to be scrutinizing and make sure that

0:17:31.359 --> 0:17:33.840
<v Speaker 1>they're you know, not adding coins that are just you know,

0:17:33.920 --> 0:17:38.679
<v Speaker 1>com completely fraudules. So when when you think about and

0:17:38.760 --> 0:17:41.480
<v Speaker 1>this is super simplistic, but you have the rules and

0:17:41.600 --> 0:17:43.760
<v Speaker 1>the exchanges that are buiding by the rules, and maybe

0:17:43.800 --> 0:17:47.239
<v Speaker 1>the binances that are maybe not as clear how they

0:17:47.280 --> 0:17:49.840
<v Speaker 1>stand on it. And then you've got obviously the regulators,

0:17:50.280 --> 0:17:52.399
<v Speaker 1>and what do we think that the regulators are just

0:17:52.400 --> 0:17:55.720
<v Speaker 1>going to look at you know, even these homegrown rules,

0:17:55.760 --> 0:17:57.280
<v Speaker 1>if you will, How are they going to look at

0:17:57.320 --> 0:18:00.960
<v Speaker 1>that when the time comes? Yeah, I mean I think

0:18:01.119 --> 0:18:04.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, regulators are trying and We've seen it a lot,

0:18:04.160 --> 0:18:07.480
<v Speaker 1>especially with comments from the Biden administration. You know, regulators

0:18:07.480 --> 0:18:10.479
<v Speaker 1>are trying to really kind of wrap their heads around it,

0:18:10.560 --> 0:18:13.520
<v Speaker 1>and how do you actually impose sort of a framework

0:18:13.560 --> 0:18:15.879
<v Speaker 1>on this world, which is you know, meant to be

0:18:16.040 --> 0:18:20.880
<v Speaker 1>sort of uh a little more, a little more outside

0:18:20.960 --> 0:18:24.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, the realms of normal, normal finance. Um. So,

0:18:24.080 --> 0:18:26.120
<v Speaker 1>I think there's going to be a lot of changes

0:18:26.200 --> 0:18:29.480
<v Speaker 1>probably over the next few years, as regulators start to say,

0:18:29.960 --> 0:18:33.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, here's what we need from this from this

0:18:33.119 --> 0:18:35.879
<v Speaker 1>part of the market. I just feel like there's so

0:18:35.920 --> 0:18:37.520
<v Speaker 1>many questions gotta figure it out. What do you end

0:18:37.600 --> 0:18:40.400
<v Speaker 1>up with multiple exchanges? Like, I mean, I think that's

0:18:40.400 --> 0:18:45.240
<v Speaker 1>exactly right, right, I mean, that's not without uh you

0:18:45.280 --> 0:18:49.200
<v Speaker 1>know president how it works. I mean, well, one thing

0:18:49.200 --> 0:18:51.159
<v Speaker 1>that's amazing to me is just how big they become

0:18:51.240 --> 0:18:56.639
<v Speaker 1>when such a small portion of it's effectively like you

0:18:56.640 --> 0:19:00.320
<v Speaker 1>you blinked and it's ntic. Yeah. Well, which is what

0:19:00.359 --> 0:19:02.840
<v Speaker 1>you were saying before we got started, is think about

0:19:02.880 --> 0:19:05.639
<v Speaker 1>what happened in the past decade, like what the next

0:19:05.680 --> 0:19:09.760
<v Speaker 1>decade breaks, I mean exactly right, like ten years of

0:19:09.800 --> 0:19:12.040
<v Speaker 1>what we've just gone through, and then you think about

0:19:12.040 --> 0:19:14.840
<v Speaker 1>all the splintering. I'm like thinking of watching Loki just

0:19:14.880 --> 0:19:18.560
<v Speaker 1>to understand what happens with time. Oh man, that's the

0:19:18.600 --> 0:19:22.840
<v Speaker 1>best reference the week already. All right, thank you so much,

0:19:22.920 --> 0:19:31.120
<v Speaker 1>catch glean Skin and Toolebber. This is Bloomberg Business Week

0:19:31.280 --> 0:19:35.160
<v Speaker 1>with Carol Masser and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stinovik on

0:19:35.280 --> 0:19:38.399
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio. So there have been a flour of headlines

0:19:38.480 --> 0:19:40.840
<v Speaker 1>out of China's The Chinese government has been cracking down

0:19:40.840 --> 0:19:43.360
<v Speaker 1>on data security, and the big Chinese companies that collected

0:19:43.359 --> 0:19:46.440
<v Speaker 1>all on the crossfire DV Global, they warn't today have

0:19:46.440 --> 0:19:49.480
<v Speaker 1>an adverse impact after complying with the Chinese order to

0:19:49.800 --> 0:19:52.919
<v Speaker 1>remove twenty five more apps from mobile stories for violations

0:19:52.960 --> 0:19:55.320
<v Speaker 1>of data security loss. So much going on, Tim, you

0:19:55.320 --> 0:19:57.320
<v Speaker 1>and I have been talking about it. We couldn't wait

0:19:57.320 --> 0:19:59.199
<v Speaker 1>to kind of catch up with Andy Brown. He's been

0:19:59.240 --> 0:20:02.120
<v Speaker 1>on vacation, but he's here now because we know China

0:20:02.200 --> 0:20:04.439
<v Speaker 1>is clearly on a mission. And of course, Bloomberg New

0:20:04.480 --> 0:20:08.480
<v Speaker 1>Economy Editorial director uh in our Interactor Broker's studio, the

0:20:08.480 --> 0:20:10.760
<v Speaker 1>reason we want to talk to you is you understand

0:20:10.840 --> 0:20:15.000
<v Speaker 1>China like no other. To be quite honest, you've worked there,

0:20:15.119 --> 0:20:17.720
<v Speaker 1>lived there Um worked for the Wall Street Journal for

0:20:17.760 --> 0:20:20.520
<v Speaker 1>a long time. What what is the mission that China's

0:20:20.760 --> 0:20:25.520
<v Speaker 1>on right now? What we're seeing right now is for

0:20:25.680 --> 0:20:31.439
<v Speaker 1>the evidence that the US and Chinese economies decoupling. The

0:20:31.480 --> 0:20:36.200
<v Speaker 1>relationship is falling apart. We've seen it in the tech space,

0:20:36.280 --> 0:20:40.000
<v Speaker 1>We've seen it in the internet space, and now we're

0:20:40.000 --> 0:20:44.000
<v Speaker 1>starting to see it in capital markets. That China is

0:20:44.040 --> 0:20:47.960
<v Speaker 1>effectively making it a lot more difficult for its own

0:20:48.000 --> 0:20:53.440
<v Speaker 1>companies to access US capital markets, which ironically is exactly

0:20:53.920 --> 0:20:58.800
<v Speaker 1>what two successive US presidents, starting with Donald Trump and

0:20:58.880 --> 0:21:02.600
<v Speaker 1>continuing now under Joe Biden, have had in mind. It's

0:21:02.720 --> 0:21:06.520
<v Speaker 1>their agenda too. They have been sanctioning Chinese companies and

0:21:06.600 --> 0:21:10.200
<v Speaker 1>making it more difficult for US investors to buy into

0:21:10.240 --> 0:21:14.840
<v Speaker 1>their shares. This extends that what is the motivation? Why

0:21:14.880 --> 0:21:17.080
<v Speaker 1>would they do that? Because it seems like they wanted

0:21:17.119 --> 0:21:21.520
<v Speaker 1>to be a part of the global market scene, right, Well,

0:21:21.680 --> 0:21:26.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, data isn't certainly right at the heart of it,

0:21:27.280 --> 0:21:30.280
<v Speaker 1>so Um, But also you know, you have to remember,

0:21:30.600 --> 0:21:33.520
<v Speaker 1>and this is interesting, and people don't I think acknowledge

0:21:33.720 --> 0:21:38.320
<v Speaker 1>is nearly enough that the Chinese tech sector was really

0:21:38.680 --> 0:21:46.840
<v Speaker 1>funded and incubated by Western vcs, Western Private equity UM

0:21:46.960 --> 0:21:48.879
<v Speaker 1>and China is in a different place now, it's a

0:21:48.880 --> 0:21:54.560
<v Speaker 1>different era and they really don't need US capital in

0:21:54.600 --> 0:21:58.399
<v Speaker 1>the same way as they did. And now they're concerned

0:21:58.480 --> 0:22:02.480
<v Speaker 1>about control over data. That concerned about it as part

0:22:02.520 --> 0:22:06.679
<v Speaker 1>of the geopolitical struggle with the United States, and also

0:22:06.760 --> 0:22:10.479
<v Speaker 1>in terms of economic management. They want the data and

0:22:10.560 --> 0:22:13.960
<v Speaker 1>control over the data that Chinese tech giants have. I

0:22:14.320 --> 0:22:16.840
<v Speaker 1>get that that that makes sense, I understand that, But

0:22:16.840 --> 0:22:19.800
<v Speaker 1>but what does that mean for a company like Disney,

0:22:19.920 --> 0:22:23.000
<v Speaker 1>or a company like Nike, or a company like Apple,

0:22:23.160 --> 0:22:26.240
<v Speaker 1>three very different companies. But the companies that see the

0:22:26.359 --> 0:22:30.360
<v Speaker 1>Chinese market as really really important and companies that are

0:22:31.359 --> 0:22:34.879
<v Speaker 1>have products that are gobbled up by Chinese consumers. You know,

0:22:35.680 --> 0:22:39.919
<v Speaker 1>China wants Chinese data in China, stored in China and

0:22:40.040 --> 0:22:44.520
<v Speaker 1>subject to you to Chinese regulatory control, which Apple has

0:22:44.560 --> 0:22:47.120
<v Speaker 1>been able to figure out a way to successfully navigate.

0:22:47.119 --> 0:22:52.159
<v Speaker 1>The This is this is much more about Chinese companies

0:22:52.280 --> 0:22:56.840
<v Speaker 1>going off shore to get foreign investment. But but if

0:22:56.880 --> 0:22:59.800
<v Speaker 1>if we're indeed seeing a decoupling of these two economies,

0:22:59.800 --> 0:23:03.560
<v Speaker 1>then wonder about the companies that don't necessarily have data

0:23:03.640 --> 0:23:06.159
<v Speaker 1>like a Nike for example, or a Disney or is

0:23:06.200 --> 0:23:09.040
<v Speaker 1>are we going to see a decoupling there? That has

0:23:09.080 --> 0:23:12.359
<v Speaker 1>to be the risk any US company, any foreign company

0:23:12.400 --> 0:23:17.840
<v Speaker 1>that has access to Chinese data could find itself as

0:23:17.920 --> 0:23:22.199
<v Speaker 1>this decoupling progresses, in a vulnerable position. Over the weekend,

0:23:22.400 --> 0:23:25.320
<v Speaker 1>we saw a regulation coming out, new rules coming out

0:23:25.359 --> 0:23:29.280
<v Speaker 1>that says that any Chinese company that has over one

0:23:29.600 --> 0:23:33.040
<v Speaker 1>Internet company that has over one million subscribers is going

0:23:33.080 --> 0:23:36.120
<v Speaker 1>to be subject to a cybersecurity review before it can

0:23:36.160 --> 0:23:40.639
<v Speaker 1>list overseas. That basically accounts for every Internet company in China,

0:23:40.800 --> 0:23:44.600
<v Speaker 1>right exactly. That's a small number of users, right, So, Andy,

0:23:44.640 --> 0:23:47.440
<v Speaker 1>what's the risk of China and all of this or yeah,

0:23:47.560 --> 0:23:49.080
<v Speaker 1>is there a real risk for them of kind of

0:23:49.119 --> 0:23:53.760
<v Speaker 1>cutting themselves off? It feels like yeah, I mean, you know,

0:23:53.920 --> 0:24:00.000
<v Speaker 1>the the risk is that you're going to disincentivize innovation

0:24:00.359 --> 0:24:05.720
<v Speaker 1>in China. Um. They're going after their tech champions, starting

0:24:05.760 --> 0:24:09.240
<v Speaker 1>with Ali Baba. You know, Jack ma Uh, the founder,

0:24:09.400 --> 0:24:13.760
<v Speaker 1>co founder of Ali Baba, was the most public figure

0:24:13.880 --> 0:24:16.720
<v Speaker 1>in China. You don't hear from him anymore. He's he's

0:24:16.800 --> 0:24:21.000
<v Speaker 1>he's he's gone, he's gone to ground. They've effectively silenced him.

0:24:21.119 --> 0:24:24.840
<v Speaker 1>Ali Baba has lost one third of its market value

0:24:25.000 --> 0:24:29.000
<v Speaker 1>since the whole business started with the listing of Aunt Financial,

0:24:29.000 --> 0:24:31.600
<v Speaker 1>which is going to be the biggest Chinese foreign listing

0:24:32.040 --> 0:24:35.600
<v Speaker 1>in history, and now that's extended now ten cents under pressure.

0:24:35.680 --> 0:24:39.240
<v Speaker 1>Now Matoine is under under pressure. And these the giants

0:24:39.359 --> 0:24:42.320
<v Speaker 1>of Chinese innovation. What does it mean for a company

0:24:42.320 --> 0:24:44.800
<v Speaker 1>like Bite Dance, the parent company of TikTok. This is

0:24:44.800 --> 0:24:46.760
<v Speaker 1>a company that Bloomberg has reported that in the private

0:24:46.760 --> 0:24:50.360
<v Speaker 1>markets it's valued at two and fifty billion dollars right,

0:24:50.480 --> 0:24:53.800
<v Speaker 1>So so TikTok might well have been one of those

0:24:53.800 --> 0:24:56.480
<v Speaker 1>companies that was going to go off shore. We don't

0:24:56.480 --> 0:24:58.919
<v Speaker 1>know quite what its plans were, and now of course

0:24:59.280 --> 0:25:03.800
<v Speaker 1>this cost doubt about whether it's ever gonna list overseas.

0:25:03.880 --> 0:25:07.000
<v Speaker 1>Some of these companies, however, might end up in Hong Kong.

0:25:07.080 --> 0:25:11.000
<v Speaker 1>The problem there is that actually the hurdle, the regulatory

0:25:11.080 --> 0:25:14.160
<v Speaker 1>hurdles for listing in Hong Kong and in the mainland

0:25:14.200 --> 0:25:17.320
<v Speaker 1>are substantially higher than they are in the United States.

0:25:17.560 --> 0:25:19.960
<v Speaker 1>So you you might get some companies that won't list

0:25:20.119 --> 0:25:21.920
<v Speaker 1>at all as a result of it. But I don't

0:25:21.960 --> 0:25:24.680
<v Speaker 1>understand is I feel like, you know, China has been

0:25:24.720 --> 0:25:27.639
<v Speaker 1>working to be part of kind of the mainstream world right.

0:25:27.640 --> 0:25:29.840
<v Speaker 1>They want to be innovators. They want to be in

0:25:29.880 --> 0:25:32.879
<v Speaker 1>the capital markets. They're trying to attack bringing rather the

0:25:33.119 --> 0:25:36.280
<v Speaker 1>global financial sector. It feels like they're just turning their

0:25:36.320 --> 0:25:38.800
<v Speaker 1>back on the world. Are they in essence and will

0:25:38.840 --> 0:25:41.399
<v Speaker 1>they isolate themselves? And doesn't really matter because they've got

0:25:41.440 --> 0:25:43.840
<v Speaker 1>a billion plus and they can probably do just find

0:25:43.880 --> 0:25:46.639
<v Speaker 1>feels like the world is breaking into over tech is

0:25:46.720 --> 0:25:49.639
<v Speaker 1>breaking into two. You're going to have a China and

0:25:49.680 --> 0:25:53.560
<v Speaker 1>the Chinese sphere of tech influence and then a US

0:25:53.720 --> 0:25:57.960
<v Speaker 1>US influenced sphere. The breaking a part of the global

0:25:57.960 --> 0:26:01.200
<v Speaker 1>economy is one of the greatest risk to global growth

0:26:01.240 --> 0:26:02.919
<v Speaker 1>going forward. Well, the rest of the world have to

0:26:02.960 --> 0:26:05.520
<v Speaker 1>make clear choices about I'm with I'm either with the

0:26:05.560 --> 0:26:08.199
<v Speaker 1>US or I'm with China. The world doesn't want to

0:26:08.240 --> 0:26:11.040
<v Speaker 1>have to make those choices. China's neighbors certainly don't want

0:26:11.080 --> 0:26:13.280
<v Speaker 1>to make those choices, but increasingly it looks like they're

0:26:13.280 --> 0:26:15.880
<v Speaker 1>going to have to choose. What is alright, twenty seconds left.

0:26:15.920 --> 0:26:17.639
<v Speaker 1>Don't hate me because I'm jamming you. But what does

0:26:17.640 --> 0:26:19.600
<v Speaker 1>it mean for investors? Global investors? How they have to

0:26:19.600 --> 0:26:22.359
<v Speaker 1>look at this. You know, it doesn't mean that US

0:26:22.400 --> 0:26:26.440
<v Speaker 1>invests a cut off from investing in Chinese internet companies.

0:26:26.640 --> 0:26:30.000
<v Speaker 1>You can still invest as an American investor through this

0:26:30.119 --> 0:26:33.399
<v Speaker 1>tie up between Hong Kong, Shanhai, Shanja and stock exchanges.

0:26:33.720 --> 0:26:36.800
<v Speaker 1>It does, however, have a pretty big profound impact on

0:26:36.840 --> 0:26:40.080
<v Speaker 1>the likes of Global Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, who

0:26:40.119 --> 0:26:42.080
<v Speaker 1>made a lot of money last year out of a

0:26:42.160 --> 0:26:45.520
<v Speaker 1>very thick pipeline of Chinese listings, and that pipeline is

0:26:45.560 --> 0:26:47.919
<v Speaker 1>now drying out the I p O market. This is

0:26:47.960 --> 0:26:50.320
<v Speaker 1>why we we're waiting for you, Andy Brown. Thank you

0:26:50.400 --> 0:26:52.120
<v Speaker 1>so much. Good to have you back at a trail

0:26:52.200 --> 0:27:00.880
<v Speaker 1>director at Bloomberg New Economy here in our studio a journal. Yeah,

0:27:00.960 --> 0:27:06.240
<v Speaker 1>but you let me drive nor home, Honney. Please, I'll

0:27:06.280 --> 0:27:13.240
<v Speaker 1>do the right vel. I want to drive. Just drive baby,

0:27:16.040 --> 0:27:27.400
<v Speaker 1>good question trying. This is the drive to the Globe community. Thanks.

0:27:27.440 --> 0:27:31.879
<v Speaker 1>We'll dry us to dawn on Bluebird Radio. All right,

0:27:31.880 --> 0:27:33.560
<v Speaker 1>we've just got about ten and a half minutes left

0:27:33.560 --> 0:27:35.919
<v Speaker 1>in today's trading session on a Monday. Let's get to

0:27:36.000 --> 0:27:38.760
<v Speaker 1>it with Brian Jacobson, multi asset strategist over at Wells

0:27:38.760 --> 0:27:42.280
<v Speaker 1>Fargo Asset management five nine billion dollars in assets under

0:27:42.280 --> 0:27:45.840
<v Speaker 1>management on the phone from Milwaukee, Wisconsin, Brian. Nice to

0:27:45.880 --> 0:27:47.960
<v Speaker 1>have you here with Tim and myself. So when you

0:27:48.000 --> 0:27:49.840
<v Speaker 1>look at this week, there's a lot going on. There's

0:27:49.880 --> 0:27:53.840
<v Speaker 1>economic data. J Powell will be going up before Congress

0:27:53.880 --> 0:27:56.080
<v Speaker 1>and a couple of days of testimony, and then there's

0:27:56.119 --> 0:27:59.520
<v Speaker 1>the big bank earnings along with some some other earnings

0:27:59.560 --> 0:28:01.520
<v Speaker 1>that are coming at. Is it all about the big

0:28:01.520 --> 0:28:05.680
<v Speaker 1>banks for you? Yeah, thanks for having me on. Um, well,

0:28:05.680 --> 0:28:08.240
<v Speaker 1>it's probably about the bucks and the playoffs for me

0:28:08.600 --> 0:28:14.359
<v Speaker 1>or yeah, but you know, it is really about the

0:28:14.400 --> 0:28:18.040
<v Speaker 1>bank earnings. Earning season is kicking off, and um, I

0:28:18.080 --> 0:28:20.800
<v Speaker 1>have worked with Margie Patel, who you've had on the

0:28:20.800 --> 0:28:24.200
<v Speaker 1>shop or you know, and she taught me a long

0:28:24.240 --> 0:28:26.560
<v Speaker 1>time ago pay attention to what the banks are saying

0:28:26.600 --> 0:28:29.880
<v Speaker 1>as far as with the guidance. Uh. And that's I've

0:28:29.880 --> 0:28:31.960
<v Speaker 1>sort of lived by that and so far it's worked

0:28:31.960 --> 0:28:34.240
<v Speaker 1>out pretty well. Uh. You know, if they're saying that

0:28:34.240 --> 0:28:37.240
<v Speaker 1>the economic recovery is gathering steam, because they really do

0:28:37.359 --> 0:28:40.280
<v Speaker 1>have the boots on the ground in order to see

0:28:40.320 --> 0:28:43.479
<v Speaker 1>what's going on with not just you know, big corporate America,

0:28:43.520 --> 0:28:46.440
<v Speaker 1>but with small and medium sized enterprises and households. They

0:28:46.480 --> 0:28:49.120
<v Speaker 1>really do have their pulse on the health of the

0:28:49.120 --> 0:28:51.840
<v Speaker 1>economy and that's what I'm really interested in looking at.

0:28:52.200 --> 0:28:54.960
<v Speaker 1>What specifically are you gonna be listening for for for

0:28:54.960 --> 0:28:58.920
<v Speaker 1>for guidance for commentary on the economy from these executives

0:28:58.920 --> 0:29:02.680
<v Speaker 1>this week. Brian, Yeah, I'm really hoping to hear about

0:29:02.760 --> 0:29:06.959
<v Speaker 1>commentary as far as loan demands. You know that banks

0:29:07.120 --> 0:29:10.760
<v Speaker 1>are ready willing and able to lend, but is the

0:29:10.840 --> 0:29:13.800
<v Speaker 1>demand therefore it uh? And in the area of that

0:29:14.640 --> 0:29:17.440
<v Speaker 1>you are you talking financial business? What are you talking

0:29:17.480 --> 0:29:21.280
<v Speaker 1>specifically with London and mainly with small businesses as far

0:29:21.320 --> 0:29:25.280
<v Speaker 1>as their willingness to take out loans to expand. So

0:29:25.320 --> 0:29:28.120
<v Speaker 1>it really is looking at the small business lending because

0:29:28.120 --> 0:29:30.240
<v Speaker 1>so far, if you look at what banks have done

0:29:30.280 --> 0:29:34.440
<v Speaker 1>effectively is originate loans that are guaranteed by the government.

0:29:34.720 --> 0:29:37.600
<v Speaker 1>And what we'd like to see is more the risk

0:29:37.720 --> 0:29:41.560
<v Speaker 1>taking holding it on their own balance sheets with the banks,

0:29:41.800 --> 0:29:45.840
<v Speaker 1>which can also be a higher profit margin loans. And

0:29:46.160 --> 0:29:49.680
<v Speaker 1>that's one of the reasons why we're actually overweight financials

0:29:49.680 --> 0:29:52.320
<v Speaker 1>and more cyclical areas and a lot of our portfolios

0:29:52.360 --> 0:29:54.320
<v Speaker 1>on my team is because we do think that is

0:29:54.400 --> 0:29:57.080
<v Speaker 1>going to begin to happen, and so we're hoping to

0:29:57.280 --> 0:29:59.680
<v Speaker 1>see confirming evidence of it. So you would be taking

0:29:59.680 --> 0:30:02.080
<v Speaker 1>position and ahead of the results the quarterly results on

0:30:02.120 --> 0:30:04.440
<v Speaker 1>some of these big banks. They're they're up today and

0:30:04.480 --> 0:30:06.920
<v Speaker 1>there there are top performing major industry group in the

0:30:07.000 --> 0:30:09.280
<v Speaker 1>S and P five hundreds, the big banks. Uh, you're

0:30:09.280 --> 0:30:12.000
<v Speaker 1>seeing some significant gains here and really providing momentum for

0:30:12.040 --> 0:30:15.400
<v Speaker 1>the overall trade. Would you be taking positions ahead of

0:30:15.440 --> 0:30:18.680
<v Speaker 1>those results? Oh? Well, that is how we have been

0:30:18.720 --> 0:30:22.640
<v Speaker 1>positioning portfolios and anticipation of it. Yes, And so you know,

0:30:22.720 --> 0:30:27.680
<v Speaker 1>we were overweight cyclical areas like industrials, Uh, but we've

0:30:27.680 --> 0:30:31.160
<v Speaker 1>sort of rotated a little bit more into uh, like

0:30:31.200 --> 0:30:34.280
<v Speaker 1>the financials and materials getting more exploicure like that. But

0:30:34.320 --> 0:30:37.480
<v Speaker 1>a lot of it is also rotating more towards Europe

0:30:37.560 --> 0:30:40.600
<v Speaker 1>and emerging markets, where we think that you know, there

0:30:40.600 --> 0:30:42.960
<v Speaker 1>are a bellow a season behind us in terms of

0:30:43.080 --> 0:30:46.840
<v Speaker 1>with the vaccination rollout and the economic recovery, and so

0:30:46.880 --> 0:30:49.120
<v Speaker 1>we think that they might be a season behind us

0:30:49.120 --> 0:30:52.000
<v Speaker 1>in terms of the market moves. Hey, how weird are

0:30:52.040 --> 0:30:53.560
<v Speaker 1>you about in terms of some of the headlines we're

0:30:53.560 --> 0:30:56.040
<v Speaker 1>getting out of China specifically when it comes to their

0:30:56.080 --> 0:30:58.800
<v Speaker 1>growth rates and tempering back some of the growth that

0:30:58.840 --> 0:31:03.280
<v Speaker 1>we've seen China so crucial to overall global growth. Should

0:31:03.360 --> 0:31:06.000
<v Speaker 1>we be nervous as investors when we start to see

0:31:06.000 --> 0:31:08.120
<v Speaker 1>some of the growth numbers in China start to be

0:31:08.600 --> 0:31:11.320
<v Speaker 1>reined in. We we've seen China also doing taking steps

0:31:11.320 --> 0:31:13.600
<v Speaker 1>to Chinese government and the Chinese financial system to kind

0:31:13.600 --> 0:31:16.080
<v Speaker 1>of help juice their economic growth because they too are

0:31:16.080 --> 0:31:19.760
<v Speaker 1>seeing the slowdown. Oh, they are seeing that slowdown. Yeah,

0:31:19.800 --> 0:31:22.200
<v Speaker 1>coming out of the COVID recovery. You know, they were

0:31:22.240 --> 0:31:24.000
<v Speaker 1>the they were the first ones in and then they

0:31:24.000 --> 0:31:26.640
<v Speaker 1>were the first ones out. It was mainly led by

0:31:26.680 --> 0:31:29.800
<v Speaker 1>manufacturing and then by on the retail side. And it

0:31:29.800 --> 0:31:33.600
<v Speaker 1>doesn't seem like the retail getting a massive amount of traction.

0:31:33.680 --> 0:31:36.560
<v Speaker 1>And so I think that it does merit monitoring what's

0:31:36.560 --> 0:31:39.080
<v Speaker 1>going on with the Chinese growth numbers. But you know,

0:31:39.160 --> 0:31:41.840
<v Speaker 1>they do seem to want to almost play with the

0:31:41.880 --> 0:31:44.320
<v Speaker 1>throttle a little bit. And the most recent one is

0:31:44.360 --> 0:31:47.600
<v Speaker 1>as far as reducing reserve requirements for banks in order

0:31:47.600 --> 0:31:51.320
<v Speaker 1>to stimulate the lending um. So they I think that

0:31:51.480 --> 0:31:53.960
<v Speaker 1>it does merit monitoring, but we're not too worried about

0:31:54.240 --> 0:31:56.840
<v Speaker 1>them having any sort of like hard landing or anything

0:31:57.120 --> 0:32:00.120
<v Speaker 1>of those sorts, because, Uh, you know, thus far are

0:32:01.000 --> 0:32:04.000
<v Speaker 1>while the growth camp slowed, it's still a pretty aggressive

0:32:04.040 --> 0:32:07.800
<v Speaker 1>growth rate that we're seeing coming out of China. Brian,

0:32:07.840 --> 0:32:09.680
<v Speaker 1>what about you know later in the this is a

0:32:09.800 --> 0:32:12.200
<v Speaker 1>very busy weeks. Carol mentioned a ton of economic data.

0:32:12.200 --> 0:32:14.800
<v Speaker 1>We have bank earnings. I'm also fed Chair Powell heading

0:32:14.840 --> 0:32:18.400
<v Speaker 1>to Capitol Hill, Uh, for two days of testimony about

0:32:18.400 --> 0:32:22.080
<v Speaker 1>the economy, about monetary policy. Uh, what are you watching

0:32:22.080 --> 0:32:24.080
<v Speaker 1>for there? Do you think that we've seen Powell in

0:32:24.080 --> 0:32:26.880
<v Speaker 1>the past, he's been very restrained when when like many

0:32:26.920 --> 0:32:29.680
<v Speaker 1>fed chairs of of of past, when it comes to

0:32:29.720 --> 0:32:32.000
<v Speaker 1>answering questions, do you expect anything different than we saw

0:32:32.040 --> 0:32:35.000
<v Speaker 1>in in minutes? Do you expect anything different than we

0:32:35.000 --> 0:32:38.080
<v Speaker 1>saw at a press conference. Yeah, it's almost like we

0:32:38.280 --> 0:32:42.120
<v Speaker 1>see them every week, sometimes every day, and so it's

0:32:42.360 --> 0:32:44.680
<v Speaker 1>you know, what changes from one moment to the next.

0:32:44.720 --> 0:32:47.560
<v Speaker 1>But I think that with Chair Poll's testimony, Um, he

0:32:47.640 --> 0:32:51.320
<v Speaker 1>might want to start slow walking things towards tapering. Right,

0:32:51.680 --> 0:32:55.120
<v Speaker 1>we know that they didn't want to slow walk. I

0:32:55.160 --> 0:32:59.960
<v Speaker 1>think it's a crawl. Brian. Now, yeah, it's more like

0:33:00.280 --> 0:33:03.320
<v Speaker 1>this a glacial past towards the tapering, and I think

0:33:03.360 --> 0:33:06.360
<v Speaker 1>that's maybe what we're going to see in his testimony

0:33:06.440 --> 0:33:08.880
<v Speaker 1>is that, hey, you know what, the inflation data is

0:33:08.920 --> 0:33:11.080
<v Speaker 1>a little bit stronger than we thought, but the growth

0:33:11.160 --> 0:33:13.479
<v Speaker 1>numbers are stronger than we thought. We still have plenty

0:33:13.480 --> 0:33:16.440
<v Speaker 1>of room in order to um, you know, before we

0:33:16.480 --> 0:33:19.160
<v Speaker 1>get to having inflation being a problem. We have plenty

0:33:19.200 --> 0:33:21.920
<v Speaker 1>of tools to deal with this does. And so, yeah,

0:33:21.920 --> 0:33:24.760
<v Speaker 1>we're having the conversation about tapering, and so I think

0:33:24.760 --> 0:33:27.000
<v Speaker 1>that maybe he'll mention that a few more times. So

0:33:27.080 --> 0:33:29.600
<v Speaker 1>before it was like, you know, not even on the table,

0:33:29.680 --> 0:33:33.200
<v Speaker 1>and now it's become a centerpiece of the conversation of

0:33:33.840 --> 0:33:35.960
<v Speaker 1>the members of the fm C, and so we'll probably

0:33:36.040 --> 0:33:40.120
<v Speaker 1>just hear a little bit more about that during his testimony. Uh.

0:33:40.160 --> 0:33:43.520
<v Speaker 1>In terms of things to be concerned about, there's always

0:33:43.560 --> 0:33:46.800
<v Speaker 1>a list out there, and we keep trying to assess

0:33:46.840 --> 0:33:49.080
<v Speaker 1>the risks of you know, the variants that are coming

0:33:49.080 --> 0:33:50.520
<v Speaker 1>out with the virus and what that could mean for

0:33:50.560 --> 0:33:52.480
<v Speaker 1>the economy. Tim and I be talking to a bunch

0:33:52.480 --> 0:33:56.200
<v Speaker 1>of CEOs this week in different sectors, the cruise industry

0:33:56.440 --> 0:34:02.160
<v Speaker 1>and industrials. How do you factor in sess strategize around

0:34:02.440 --> 0:34:05.840
<v Speaker 1>what might come next when it comes to COVID. Yeah,

0:34:06.240 --> 0:34:09.960
<v Speaker 1>for us, it's more about a sentiment at the moment. Right.

0:34:10.120 --> 0:34:13.800
<v Speaker 1>A big part of the moves and the markets has

0:34:13.880 --> 0:34:16.839
<v Speaker 1>been about the anticipation of the economic recovery, and we're

0:34:16.880 --> 0:34:20.680
<v Speaker 1>beginning to see evidence of that of those things that

0:34:20.719 --> 0:34:24.280
<v Speaker 1>the market was anticipating. UM. And while we have gone

0:34:24.320 --> 0:34:27.120
<v Speaker 1>past the what we think we have gone past the

0:34:27.160 --> 0:34:30.879
<v Speaker 1>peak inflationary fears, we may have also gone past the

0:34:30.920 --> 0:34:35.680
<v Speaker 1>peak optimism fears or the peak optimism about growth. Right.

0:34:35.719 --> 0:34:40.399
<v Speaker 1>So you had peak inflation fears coupled with peak growth optimism,

0:34:40.800 --> 0:34:44.520
<v Speaker 1>and that created an environment with yields rising. Equity still

0:34:44.600 --> 0:34:48.880
<v Speaker 1>consntinuing the charge ahead. But if sentiment is beginning to

0:34:48.880 --> 0:34:50.560
<v Speaker 1>shift towards you know, is this as good as it

0:34:50.560 --> 0:34:54.880
<v Speaker 1>gets um, that's where it could create some more headwinds

0:34:54.960 --> 0:34:57.920
<v Speaker 1>for the equity markets until maybe we see the labor

0:34:57.960 --> 0:35:00.600
<v Speaker 1>market significantly improved, which we don't think we're going to

0:35:00.680 --> 0:35:04.200
<v Speaker 1>see more signs of that, definitive signs of it until

0:35:04.280 --> 0:35:07.800
<v Speaker 1>probably the fourth quarter of this year. So we're actually

0:35:07.880 --> 0:35:10.360
<v Speaker 1>preparing ourselves more to be a little bit more neutral

0:35:10.560 --> 0:35:15.440
<v Speaker 1>in terms of positioning um and to anticipate some volatility

0:35:15.600 --> 0:35:18.600
<v Speaker 1>through the summer months here, but setting us up for

0:35:18.760 --> 0:35:21.719
<v Speaker 1>probably a pretty decent fourth quarter. It's the master sell off,

0:35:21.719 --> 0:35:23.160
<v Speaker 1>That's what we call it, because every time I go

0:35:23.239 --> 0:35:25.840
<v Speaker 1>away in August, the last few summers, the last few years,

0:35:25.920 --> 0:35:27.879
<v Speaker 1>you know, kind of pre COVID, we would always get

0:35:28.120 --> 0:35:32.200
<v Speaker 1>a pretty decent sell off. You know, we thought it

0:35:32.200 --> 0:35:35.640
<v Speaker 1>was because it's my birthday. All right, it's the Brian

0:35:35.719 --> 0:35:39.480
<v Speaker 1>Jacobson birthday sell off. It's gonna go by Multiple News.

0:35:39.760 --> 0:35:42.240
<v Speaker 1>All right, listen, Brian, Thank you so much. Brian Jacobson,

0:35:42.320 --> 0:35:46.360
<v Speaker 1>multi assets strategist over at Wells Fargo asset Management, billion

0:35:46.400 --> 0:35:52.280
<v Speaker 1>in assets under management, on the phone from Milwaukee. Thanks

0:35:52.280 --> 0:35:56.160
<v Speaker 1>for listening to Bloomberg Business Week. Download the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud,

0:35:56.280 --> 0:35:58.400
<v Speaker 1>or Bloomberg dot com. And you can also listen to

0:35:58.440 --> 0:36:00.680
<v Speaker 1>our radio show at two pm Easter In on Bloomberg

0:36:00.760 --> 0:36:03.839
<v Speaker 1>Radio or watch us on YouTube search Bloomberg Global News

0:36:05.719 --> 0:36:05.759
<v Speaker 1>m