1 00:00:12,440 --> 00:00:14,319 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Sunday 2 00:00:14,360 --> 00:00:16,360 Speaker 1: morning edition of the Deal Juice Podcast. My name is 3 00:00:16,360 --> 00:00:18,079 Speaker 1: Matt Parott. You guys can follow me on Twitter at 4 00:00:18,120 --> 00:00:20,720 Speaker 1: sports Talk Matt. We're here on Bettingpros dot com, always 5 00:00:20,760 --> 00:00:22,760 Speaker 1: being brought to by bet MGM and they offer ten 6 00:00:22,800 --> 00:00:25,000 Speaker 1: dollars to win one hundred and fifty dollars on any 7 00:00:25,040 --> 00:00:28,320 Speaker 1: event using that promo co Juice one fifty at betmgm 8 00:00:28,360 --> 00:00:32,440 Speaker 1: dot com. All right, I am absolutely exhausted. It is late. 9 00:00:32,920 --> 00:00:35,360 Speaker 1: I just got back from the Porter fight Crawford fight, 10 00:00:35,800 --> 00:00:40,159 Speaker 1: and not a good day. But you know, one of 11 00:00:40,159 --> 00:00:43,360 Speaker 1: those days where again the personal plays saved me a 12 00:00:43,400 --> 00:00:47,080 Speaker 1: little bit. And if you're on the Discord channel, you 13 00:00:47,120 --> 00:00:48,720 Speaker 1: saw a bunch of them that I jumped in. You know, 14 00:00:48,720 --> 00:00:52,640 Speaker 1: we got Villanova in college basketball, right, and we got 15 00:00:52,640 --> 00:00:56,720 Speaker 1: the knockout for Terrence Crawford. Right. We came in once 16 00:00:56,840 --> 00:01:01,000 Speaker 1: Bud hit the ring, I just I started watching and 17 00:01:01,040 --> 00:01:04,600 Speaker 1: I looked at the two men and I went, oh, boy, okay, 18 00:01:04,600 --> 00:01:06,319 Speaker 1: this is not going to be a decision, and so 19 00:01:06,680 --> 00:01:08,680 Speaker 1: I jumped in for a half a unit at plus 20 00:01:08,680 --> 00:01:11,560 Speaker 1: one thirty five. There was a big push in Vegas 21 00:01:11,880 --> 00:01:14,040 Speaker 1: driving that number from plus one fifty down to plus 22 00:01:14,040 --> 00:01:17,120 Speaker 1: one thirty five for Crawford on the knockout. So I 23 00:01:17,200 --> 00:01:20,520 Speaker 1: jumped in on that. So the official play Mesa Tate 24 00:01:20,640 --> 00:01:23,000 Speaker 1: loses on a decision. It was sort of a day 25 00:01:23,000 --> 00:01:26,720 Speaker 1: of like really close losses, so Micha Tate loses on 26 00:01:27,120 --> 00:01:30,399 Speaker 1: the cards in her fight. So that partly got killed, 27 00:01:31,120 --> 00:01:36,320 Speaker 1: and we lost both college basketball bets. Both teams won, 28 00:01:36,600 --> 00:01:40,480 Speaker 1: but neither covered Drake one by three, and they were 29 00:01:40,959 --> 00:01:43,759 Speaker 1: four and a half point favorites. Leila Chicago won by 30 00:01:43,840 --> 00:01:47,080 Speaker 1: I think eleven or twelve. They were nineteen point favorites. 31 00:01:47,520 --> 00:01:51,000 Speaker 1: We got Baylor Wright, which was great. Wisconsin wins, but 32 00:01:51,080 --> 00:01:54,040 Speaker 1: they don't cover Wisconsin beats Nebraska but they don't cover 33 00:01:54,160 --> 00:01:56,280 Speaker 1: so kind of a bummer there. But you know, we 34 00:01:56,320 --> 00:01:58,120 Speaker 1: had a couple of decent things come in. The Iowa 35 00:01:58,360 --> 00:02:01,360 Speaker 1: underlost as well. That kind of compounded it. We went 36 00:02:01,400 --> 00:02:06,320 Speaker 1: three and one officially for college football one unit wagers 37 00:02:06,400 --> 00:02:13,760 Speaker 1: on for future wagers UNLV right ole miss right, Nebraska 38 00:02:13,840 --> 00:02:16,040 Speaker 1: under right over on the other two, and then we 39 00:02:16,120 --> 00:02:18,400 Speaker 1: got the Iowa under eight and a half wrong. Iowa 40 00:02:18,480 --> 00:02:21,239 Speaker 1: went had won their ninth game, so they're nine and 41 00:02:21,360 --> 00:02:25,520 Speaker 1: two so we get ourselves three and one there so 42 00:02:25,639 --> 00:02:28,160 Speaker 1: profitable in the futures market. We got one future left 43 00:02:28,160 --> 00:02:30,280 Speaker 1: in college with Matt corral to win the Heisman. That's 44 00:02:30,280 --> 00:02:32,920 Speaker 1: probably not gonna happen, given what's going on with the 45 00:02:33,040 --> 00:02:36,840 Speaker 1: quarterbacks right now. But maybe we'll say Matt Crows is 46 00:02:36,880 --> 00:02:39,160 Speaker 1: a pretty good year, but that's probably not gonna happen. 47 00:02:39,240 --> 00:02:43,920 Speaker 1: So all in all, a losing day, a loseing day 48 00:02:43,919 --> 00:02:47,040 Speaker 1: in the pod, losen day personally. And so today we 49 00:02:47,080 --> 00:02:49,560 Speaker 1: have the live stream going with Dan Harris and myself 50 00:02:49,680 --> 00:02:52,079 Speaker 1: at eleven am Eastern time, eight o'clock in the morning, 51 00:02:52,120 --> 00:02:54,639 Speaker 1: So I need to get to bed because we're gonna 52 00:02:54,680 --> 00:02:56,160 Speaker 1: have to get up really early to kind of crack 53 00:02:56,200 --> 00:02:59,240 Speaker 1: this and get after it. Here. I am going to 54 00:02:59,280 --> 00:03:01,600 Speaker 1: give you the three plays here that I'm going with, 55 00:03:01,639 --> 00:03:03,560 Speaker 1: but I'm not going to expend a ton of time 56 00:03:03,639 --> 00:03:07,640 Speaker 1: talking about the breakdown. Just give me, you know, just 57 00:03:07,720 --> 00:03:11,960 Speaker 1: deal with it for now, because I'm tired. And not 58 00:03:12,000 --> 00:03:13,720 Speaker 1: to say that you guys care that I'm tired, but 59 00:03:13,760 --> 00:03:16,520 Speaker 1: I normally would go through the whole breakdown of everything 60 00:03:16,560 --> 00:03:19,720 Speaker 1: and why I'm making these plays, and I'm just not 61 00:03:19,919 --> 00:03:22,640 Speaker 1: going to do that here right now. I'll do that 62 00:03:22,680 --> 00:03:24,680 Speaker 1: on the live stream when Dan Harris and I talk 63 00:03:24,680 --> 00:03:27,359 Speaker 1: about the games, I'll tell you why I'm betting the 64 00:03:27,400 --> 00:03:30,200 Speaker 1: games the way that I am betting, So all three 65 00:03:30,280 --> 00:03:33,640 Speaker 1: games are one unit plays. We will have a long 66 00:03:33,680 --> 00:03:35,720 Speaker 1: teaser which has missed the last two weeks. I believe 67 00:03:35,760 --> 00:03:37,840 Speaker 1: seven and four now on the Wong teasers. We've got 68 00:03:37,840 --> 00:03:40,240 Speaker 1: to pick up some the pace here a little bit 69 00:03:40,240 --> 00:03:42,920 Speaker 1: on this. We already want to know on the week. 70 00:03:43,200 --> 00:03:45,120 Speaker 1: On the week eleven in the NFL, we have the 71 00:03:45,120 --> 00:03:48,680 Speaker 1: Patriots game right against the Falcons here. So let's go 72 00:03:48,760 --> 00:03:53,440 Speaker 1: to New Orleans and Philadelphia, and man, this number is 73 00:03:53,480 --> 00:03:55,440 Speaker 1: two and a half. Get a road team in the 74 00:03:55,440 --> 00:03:58,160 Speaker 1: New Orleans Saints. I don't hate it if you want 75 00:03:58,200 --> 00:03:59,520 Speaker 1: to just skip all this and go right to the 76 00:03:59,560 --> 00:04:02,920 Speaker 1: money line at plus one thirty on this. But to 77 00:04:03,000 --> 00:04:05,480 Speaker 1: be conservative and to be a little safer, we're gonna 78 00:04:05,520 --> 00:04:07,120 Speaker 1: go ahead and take the plus two and a half 79 00:04:07,160 --> 00:04:11,640 Speaker 1: points with the New Orleans Saints. But I I don't 80 00:04:11,800 --> 00:04:15,320 Speaker 1: like the Eagles. They're ower and four at home, and 81 00:04:15,680 --> 00:04:18,560 Speaker 1: they're ower and four against the spread at home New 82 00:04:18,680 --> 00:04:21,640 Speaker 1: Orleans defense. I mean they they lost on the road 83 00:04:21,720 --> 00:04:24,680 Speaker 1: at Tennessee last week. But they covered, and I think 84 00:04:24,680 --> 00:04:27,440 Speaker 1: a very similar thing could happen here today. And I 85 00:04:27,520 --> 00:04:30,200 Speaker 1: know that people are saying the Eagles have momentum, and 86 00:04:30,440 --> 00:04:32,600 Speaker 1: you know, they're playing well here they've won two out 87 00:04:32,640 --> 00:04:36,360 Speaker 1: of three, but I'm not really you know, Okay, they're 88 00:04:36,360 --> 00:04:39,160 Speaker 1: getting Miles Sanders back and he expected to play. That's big. 89 00:04:39,200 --> 00:04:41,320 Speaker 1: And Alvin Kamara is not gonna play for the for 90 00:04:41,680 --> 00:04:44,279 Speaker 1: New Orleans. I know everyone's all panicky about that, but 91 00:04:45,040 --> 00:04:48,240 Speaker 1: I just think this is I don't like Nick Siriani personally, 92 00:04:48,480 --> 00:04:51,320 Speaker 1: and I think Sean Payton's a really good coach, and 93 00:04:51,360 --> 00:04:53,120 Speaker 1: I think Sean Payton knows he's got to kind of 94 00:04:53,160 --> 00:04:55,719 Speaker 1: coach his butt off here. They're five and four and 95 00:04:55,720 --> 00:04:57,320 Speaker 1: things are gonna be a little shaky for them, but 96 00:04:57,320 --> 00:04:59,440 Speaker 1: they're only one game back in New Orleans and the division, 97 00:04:59,760 --> 00:05:01,720 Speaker 1: sorry Tampa, for the Division, New Orleans six at five 98 00:05:01,720 --> 00:05:05,039 Speaker 1: and four. Tampa is six and three. New Orleans plus 99 00:05:05,040 --> 00:05:07,200 Speaker 1: two and a half team that I've liked all year. 100 00:05:07,240 --> 00:05:10,240 Speaker 1: I'm gonna keep on riding New Orleans one unit Saints 101 00:05:10,440 --> 00:05:15,920 Speaker 1: plus two and a half against the Philadelphia Eagles. Second bet, 102 00:05:16,440 --> 00:05:22,080 Speaker 1: let's get into the Indianapolis Colts and their game coming 103 00:05:22,200 --> 00:05:26,400 Speaker 1: up here today where they are catching seven points and 104 00:05:26,680 --> 00:05:30,080 Speaker 1: the Colts are an interesting team because the Bills. Everyone's 105 00:05:30,120 --> 00:05:32,200 Speaker 1: gonna go, ah, you gotta like Buffalo here. We gotta 106 00:05:32,240 --> 00:05:35,720 Speaker 1: like the Buffalos at home, right, six and three overall 107 00:05:35,800 --> 00:05:39,680 Speaker 1: three and one at home, Colts two and two. I 108 00:05:39,800 --> 00:05:43,080 Speaker 1: don't like this Bills rush defense. We'll get more into 109 00:05:43,120 --> 00:05:45,720 Speaker 1: this coming up here. But if you can get over seven, 110 00:05:46,279 --> 00:05:48,560 Speaker 1: seven is the minimum. Do not bet six and a half. 111 00:05:49,080 --> 00:05:52,160 Speaker 1: But if you get seven and or seven and a 112 00:05:52,200 --> 00:05:56,720 Speaker 1: half or higher in Indie plus seven, I think they 113 00:05:56,839 --> 00:06:00,479 Speaker 1: keep the game close. I think this is a team 114 00:06:00,680 --> 00:06:03,320 Speaker 1: that can run the ball with Jonathan Taylor, who's gonna 115 00:06:03,320 --> 00:06:04,880 Speaker 1: have to be like the whole offense for them. I 116 00:06:04,880 --> 00:06:07,960 Speaker 1: totally understand people are nervous about that, but I like 117 00:06:08,040 --> 00:06:11,200 Speaker 1: Indianapolis plus seven here to keep the game within a touchdown. 118 00:06:11,560 --> 00:06:15,760 Speaker 1: Indy really needs to keep pace here. I mean, the 119 00:06:15,760 --> 00:06:17,880 Speaker 1: Titans are eight and two, they're running away at the division. 120 00:06:18,880 --> 00:06:21,120 Speaker 1: Colts are five and five. Got to keep pace with 121 00:06:21,120 --> 00:06:23,760 Speaker 1: the wild card here and so they need to. And look, 122 00:06:23,800 --> 00:06:26,560 Speaker 1: Buffalo is really inconsistent. They're really up and down. And 123 00:06:26,640 --> 00:06:28,600 Speaker 1: I know they're three and one at home, but like 124 00:06:29,279 --> 00:06:32,040 Speaker 1: I don't know. They've lost two and two of our 125 00:06:32,120 --> 00:06:35,160 Speaker 1: last four games. They pounded the Jets. Everybody thinks they 126 00:06:35,160 --> 00:06:37,440 Speaker 1: got right against the Jets, but I'm not so sure. 127 00:06:37,680 --> 00:06:39,520 Speaker 1: I like the plus seven. I'm taking the Colts at 128 00:06:39,560 --> 00:06:42,280 Speaker 1: plus seven, and then I'm going off the beaten path 129 00:06:42,320 --> 00:06:47,440 Speaker 1: a little bit here for the third bet, and Washington 130 00:06:47,720 --> 00:06:50,919 Speaker 1: is plus three. They were three and a half, you 131 00:06:50,920 --> 00:06:54,159 Speaker 1: get back to three and a half. I love this. Look, 132 00:06:54,240 --> 00:06:58,160 Speaker 1: this is Ron Rivera up against Cam Newton, Like Ron 133 00:06:58,320 --> 00:07:01,240 Speaker 1: knows Cam really well. Well, they're on the road. They're 134 00:07:01,279 --> 00:07:03,640 Speaker 1: one and three on the road. Panthers are two and three. 135 00:07:04,200 --> 00:07:06,400 Speaker 1: I know people are in love with this Panthers team. 136 00:07:06,440 --> 00:07:09,560 Speaker 1: I think the Panthers are really really good. Look, I 137 00:07:10,240 --> 00:07:12,640 Speaker 1: may be dead wrong about this team. I don't think 138 00:07:12,680 --> 00:07:15,720 Speaker 1: the Panthers are that great. Okay. I know McCaffrey is 139 00:07:15,760 --> 00:07:19,120 Speaker 1: really difficult to stop. And by three picks, this is 140 00:07:19,160 --> 00:07:21,440 Speaker 1: probably my three bets. This is the one I'm probably 141 00:07:21,440 --> 00:07:25,840 Speaker 1: the most shaky with. But I think Cam is good 142 00:07:25,880 --> 00:07:27,920 Speaker 1: to throw a pick or two. I think this is 143 00:07:27,960 --> 00:07:29,800 Speaker 1: an entire you know, this is not Cam on short 144 00:07:29,880 --> 00:07:32,360 Speaker 1: yard you know, in the short yardage situation. This is 145 00:07:32,360 --> 00:07:35,760 Speaker 1: Cam Newton in a full game situation. I like Washington 146 00:07:35,800 --> 00:07:38,559 Speaker 1: plus the three. Three and a half will be better. 147 00:07:39,160 --> 00:07:41,000 Speaker 1: If you get three and a half, that's better. I 148 00:07:41,000 --> 00:07:42,360 Speaker 1: would love three and a half, but if you can 149 00:07:42,360 --> 00:07:45,840 Speaker 1: get three three, don't go under three. But Washington plus 150 00:07:45,880 --> 00:07:49,560 Speaker 1: three against Carolina, I will take it again. If you 151 00:07:49,560 --> 00:07:51,520 Speaker 1: find three and a half, it's a better play. And 152 00:07:51,880 --> 00:07:53,880 Speaker 1: if I can make it official at three and a half, 153 00:07:54,040 --> 00:07:56,960 Speaker 1: that would be awesome to do that. But I mean 154 00:07:57,000 --> 00:07:59,480 Speaker 1: I got three tonight and I took it like Washington 155 00:07:59,520 --> 00:08:02,600 Speaker 1: plus three up against the Carolina Panthers. I do think 156 00:08:02,680 --> 00:08:04,320 Speaker 1: this is going to be a field goal game one 157 00:08:04,320 --> 00:08:07,280 Speaker 1: way or the other. Christian McCaffrey being back's a big deal. 158 00:08:07,320 --> 00:08:10,120 Speaker 1: But the shock of having Cam out there, I think 159 00:08:10,120 --> 00:08:12,440 Speaker 1: the Cardinals weren't prepared for what that offense was gonna 160 00:08:12,440 --> 00:08:14,600 Speaker 1: look like. With Newton out there, Washington will have no 161 00:08:14,640 --> 00:08:17,200 Speaker 1: such problem here. Washington's three and six. I know they 162 00:08:17,320 --> 00:08:20,480 Speaker 1: got some really costly injuries, you guys that you just 163 00:08:20,680 --> 00:08:24,120 Speaker 1: hate to see go down, But I like Washington. Keep 164 00:08:24,160 --> 00:08:26,840 Speaker 1: this game close. Washington plus three with a chance to 165 00:08:26,880 --> 00:08:29,600 Speaker 1: win the game, I'll take Washington on the road plus 166 00:08:29,600 --> 00:08:32,760 Speaker 1: three for one unit. Okay, so those are my three 167 00:08:32,800 --> 00:08:37,880 Speaker 1: plays here Saints plus two and a half, Colts plus seven, 168 00:08:38,520 --> 00:08:42,360 Speaker 1: Washington plus three. I'm riding the dog. Trained dogs have 169 00:08:42,400 --> 00:08:44,960 Speaker 1: been so good this year. I'm riding it again here 170 00:08:45,000 --> 00:08:47,880 Speaker 1: coming up. I've had my fun with favorites, and I'm 171 00:08:47,920 --> 00:08:50,360 Speaker 1: just not very I'm not really interested in laying points, 172 00:08:51,200 --> 00:08:53,800 Speaker 1: although watch favorites go and killed this week and I 173 00:08:53,840 --> 00:08:56,439 Speaker 1: get burned. It could very well happen. But a good 174 00:08:56,480 --> 00:08:59,120 Speaker 1: week though, and just kind of a step backwards, you know, 175 00:08:59,200 --> 00:09:02,640 Speaker 1: really good all the week, really good, you know, Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, 176 00:09:03,280 --> 00:09:08,280 Speaker 1: good Thursday, decent Friday, and then a bad, bad Saturday. 177 00:09:08,320 --> 00:09:10,160 Speaker 1: So hopefully we have a decent Sunday here coming up 178 00:09:10,200 --> 00:09:12,120 Speaker 1: here again. All right, So we're going Saints plus two 179 00:09:12,160 --> 00:09:14,880 Speaker 1: and a half, Colts plus seven, Washington plus three, all 180 00:09:14,920 --> 00:09:17,240 Speaker 1: for one unit player props coming up well, another uniton 181 00:09:17,320 --> 00:09:19,280 Speaker 1: play and a loong teaser coming up as well. During 182 00:09:19,280 --> 00:09:21,800 Speaker 1: the live stream eight o'clock in the morning Pacific time, 183 00:09:21,840 --> 00:09:25,320 Speaker 1: eleven am Eastern on our YouTube channel for Betting Pros 184 00:09:25,400 --> 00:09:28,000 Speaker 1: minus Matt Perrault. Talk to you later on today with 185 00:09:28,120 --> 00:09:30,320 Speaker 1: Dan Harris and I for our live stream right here 186 00:09:30,360 --> 00:09:32,920 Speaker 1: on Bettingpros dot com. Follow me on Twitter at sports 187 00:09:32,960 --> 00:09:35,880 Speaker 1: Talk Matt. Every morning it's the Daly Juice Podcast, always 188 00:09:35,880 --> 00:09:37,480 Speaker 1: being brought to you by bet MGM