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Speaker 1: Good luck with the most beautiful game. Ju us prow

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Speaker 1: read enough no.

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Speaker 2: For running again, so smoothe so sweet stipid.

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Speaker 1: Sixteen just glorious extecution.

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Speaker 3: Guys, all I'm looking for is sixty percent effort four

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Speaker 3: thousand percent of the time.

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Speaker 2: How shot with that? Shop with mind?

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Speaker 4: Good buddy, and that's why you see your beautiful tiers.

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Speaker 3: Look at his movements the most.

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Speaker 2: Dangerous amount of the planet. Nobody picks them.

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Speaker 1: Shut up, I'm trying.

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Speaker 3: The one is.

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Speaker 2: Left to of the wide eyed, drilled fibus How old

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Speaker 2: earth pick that happens?

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Speaker 1: Helloi one. Welcome back to Wondergul, the soccer betting podcast

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Speaker 1: from the Action Network, presented to you by bet three

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Speaker 1: sixty five. My name is Michael Liba, joining me for

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Speaker 1: a brand new season of footy The Taga Soccers back

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Speaker 1: across the Pond. My friends Anthony Dbundo and BJ Cunningham.

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Speaker 1: Together the three of us will break down the upcoming

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Speaker 1: Premier League sleet Slate will also talk a little La

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Speaker 1: Liga as that's the an enlego. BJ is back as well,

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Speaker 1: so we'll talk a little bit about those two leagues.

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Speaker 1: We'll save Bundesliga and Syria Off and when they come back,

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Speaker 1: of course, and if you want to hear our big

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Speaker 1: picture season previews, be sure to check those episodes out

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Speaker 1: on this channel. We broke down the Premier League, these

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Speaker 1: two gentlemen, did a deep tive on the other big

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Speaker 1: four leagues in Europe, and we did a point total

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Speaker 1: traft with our friend Alon Shapiro from the fml FPL pod.

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Speaker 1: You can listen to all those episodes on this channel.

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Speaker 1: Be sure to do so before you can kind of

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Speaker 1: get our general feel hot or cold on all twenty

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Speaker 1: teams of the Premier League and beyond. But for this week,

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Speaker 1: we're taking a much more immediate view, and then immediate

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Speaker 1: view is going to be on match Week one, which

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Speaker 1: gets underway Friday. Before we get into the slate, sink

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Speaker 1: our teeth into it. Just a reminder that Wonder Goal

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Speaker 1: is proudly presented by Bet three six five, the world's

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Speaker 1: favorite sportsbook brand. Sign up with promo code action to

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Speaker 1: get Bet three six fives exclusive sign up offer. Bet

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Speaker 1: one dollar on any game and get two hundred dollars

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Speaker 1: in bonus bets. You must be twenty one or older.

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Speaker 1: The offer is available in Colorado, New Jersey, Ohio, Virginia,

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Speaker 1: and Iowa and the United States. And if you have

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Speaker 1: a gambling problem, please call or text one eight hundred gambler.

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Speaker 3: This is how this works.

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Speaker 1: If you're new here. We're gonna go game by game,

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Speaker 1: match by match in the Premier League. We'll give out

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Speaker 1: any bets we like in those matches, and then at

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Speaker 1: the end of the episode, we'll talk about our favorite

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Speaker 1: bets for the upcoming Premier League slate as well as

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Speaker 1: our favorite underdogs. Will wrap those into a three leg parlay.

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Speaker 1: Those picks have to be plus two hundred or longer

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Speaker 1: to qualify for that section. Last year we hit one

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Speaker 1: that sounds bad, but it was two hundred and one

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Speaker 1: to one, so we ended up well in the black.

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Speaker 1: And we're gonna start with a big dog. We're gonna

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Speaker 1: start with Burnley Welcome back Friday afternoon, hosting the three

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Speaker 1: time defending champions Man City at Turf More. Burnley's plus

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Speaker 1: seven fifty find higher numbers out there as well City

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Speaker 1: minus three thirty four, the Jaws plus five hundred Anthony

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Speaker 1: Vincent Company's clarits. Welcome back, Burnley. What do you think?

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Speaker 2: Well, this is the first time since we started this

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Speaker 2: podcast that we will not that I will not have

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Speaker 2: a bet on the first match. You know, we all

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Speaker 2: rode Brentford two years ago on Opening Day to a

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Speaker 2: rousing victory at home against Arsenal and then we all

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Speaker 2: lost on Crystal Palace. I guess really a win against

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Speaker 2: the actually right?

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Speaker 1: Bet that actually right? Yeah right bet City?

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Speaker 2: Yep, bju betted too, so you can't even say anything anyway.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, we did actually see this match up last

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Speaker 2: year in the FA Cup. It did not go well

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Speaker 2: for Burnley. Burnley couldn't really stop Man City at all

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Speaker 2: in you know, progressing the ball easily to the penalty area.

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Speaker 2: It was six nothing final in the quarterfinals. I know

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Speaker 2: because I had the under I thought that City would

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Speaker 2: actually you know struggle to keep possession against against Burnley

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Speaker 2: in that matchup, and that Burnley could could maybe be

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Speaker 2: competitive there. They out got out shot twenty to six.

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Speaker 2: City pretty much rolled. But this was City at the

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Speaker 2: peak form. I don't think we saw City at their

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Speaker 2: best on Sunday against Arsenal. Earlin Holland didn't register a shot. Now,

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Speaker 2: I know last year's conversation we did the same song

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Speaker 2: and dance wherever we.

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Speaker 1: Talk about the community shields as if it matters at all.

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Speaker 3: Arsenals are got trophies in their their ace. Michael.

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Speaker 2: Anyway, early Holland didn't get a shot, so you know

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Speaker 2: City wasn't quite at their best. It is a tough

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Speaker 2: spot to go on the road against a newly promoted

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Speaker 2: team in the first but I think this number is

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Speaker 2: about right, So I'm going to be.

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Speaker 1: Sitting this one out. I mean, you can't keep me

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Speaker 1: away from a number this big in the first match

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Speaker 1: of the season, so I'm in. I think you want

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Speaker 1: to pick your spots against City when you're gonna try

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Speaker 1: to take them on. And that kind of goes for

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Speaker 1: the other elite teams in the Premier League as well.

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Speaker 1: This is one of them. I mean, I know they

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Speaker 1: they We probably said the same thing about them last

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Speaker 1: year and they had a tougher match up against west

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Speaker 1: Ham in that first match and took care of business

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Speaker 1: pretty easily in a two nil win. And that was

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Speaker 1: right after we had said that you don't want to

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Speaker 1: go near the prices for Earling Holland to win the

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Speaker 1: Golden Boot. We'll see if he can, if his game

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Speaker 1: will translate. I think Anthony said that City will be

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Speaker 1: worse with hot Holland and then he scored two goals

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Speaker 1: in the first what sixty two minutes if in the

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Speaker 1: Premier League in his premier career.

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Speaker 2: I said that halfway through the season when they were

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Speaker 2: and then they went on that run.

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Speaker 1: And I the whole point here is not going to

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Speaker 1: be numbers with with this matchup, Like if every number

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Speaker 1: you're gonna look at it is going to tell you

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Speaker 1: that City romps. But it's the first match back at

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Speaker 1: turf More. I think that it's almost like a rebirth

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Speaker 1: for this club coming back to the Premier League with

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Speaker 1: Vincent Company. It's it's a totally new identity for a

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Speaker 1: team that did everything it could for what a decade

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Speaker 1: plus in their two stints in the Premier League that

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Speaker 1: we all know this team from right like that their

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Speaker 1: goal was simple and it was fight tooth and nail,

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Speaker 1: do whatever dark arts you needed to do to stay up. Well,

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Speaker 1: that's not this ethos anymore. This team's ethos. So it

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Speaker 1: does feel like a little bit of a rejuvenation for

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Speaker 1: for a club should be a party atmosphere at turf More.

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Speaker 1: It's not obviously not a lot of travel for City

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Speaker 1: to go there, but it's it's not a. I would

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Speaker 1: to say it's an ideal spot for for for City

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Speaker 1: to open a season where one team is going to

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Speaker 1: be coming off of, like I said, coming into a

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Speaker 1: party atmosphere. The other one is going to need to

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Speaker 1: find its legs after winning a lot more important matches

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Speaker 1: than the first match of the season in the summer

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Speaker 1: against Burnley. So I think that extenuating circumstances here are

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Speaker 1: enough for me to take a little nibble. You can

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Speaker 1: get nine to one on Burnley, I mean it's more

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Speaker 1: likely that that City ends up winning you know, this

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Speaker 1: one three nil and a snoozer on Friday afternoon. But

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Speaker 1: if we do catch them like we did with that

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Speaker 1: that Brentford match, I mean, even those those palace matches,

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Speaker 1: you can catch City here and there, and you want

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Speaker 1: to pick your spots, and I think that first match

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Speaker 1: of the season, the match before international breaks, or you

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Speaker 1: know situations like that where you catch them in like

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Speaker 1: Sandwich spots with Champions League as well, like those, these

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Speaker 1: are the times you want to take on City. So

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Speaker 1: I'll take the nine to one and hopefully if those

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Speaker 1: first twelve minutes before City and Holland go up with

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Speaker 1: nil are fun for me bj what do you got.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm kind of with Anthony that I'm passing on

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Speaker 4: this one if we can you know, if Burnley gets

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Speaker 4: to plus one point seventy five, we can have a

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Speaker 4: different conversation. But I need to see how this is

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Speaker 4: gonna work for Burnley in the Premier League. You know,

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Speaker 4: Anthony mentioned that FA Cup match where City just powdered

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Speaker 4: them six nothing. Burnley was just so used to be

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Speaker 4: able to dominate possession time and time again in the

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Speaker 4: Championship and then they have to go play Manchester City

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Speaker 4: and it's like, oh crap, we can't control possession and

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Speaker 4: we're not really that great out of possession and defending

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Speaker 4: for large stretches of the match. So you know, there

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Speaker 4: were some nice additions from Burnley in the off season.

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Speaker 4: You know, Trafford obviously coming over from Manchester City is

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Speaker 4: a good addition of goalkeeper. Bayer and O'Shea are good

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Speaker 4: center backs, good ball progressors. But again, can Burnley do

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Speaker 4: better than essentially what Fulham did last year, because that's

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Speaker 4: the conversation we're having, And Fulham did draw a Liverpool

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Speaker 4: on the opening guys, so there is to be a

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Speaker 4: conversation to be had that maybe they can do it,

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Speaker 4: but I need to see it happen first before I

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Speaker 4: decide to put my money down on Burnley.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean the case. The case for Burnley is

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Speaker 2: that underdogs have been historically profitable the first week of

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Speaker 2: the season. And we're not really a trends podcast. We

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Speaker 2: don't really do trends here, but match week one of

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Speaker 2: underdogs of plus two hundred or better since twenty twelve,

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Speaker 2: they only hit it at twenty four percent rate. But

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Speaker 2: that is good for if you bet one hundred dollars

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Speaker 2: on every one, you'd be up two four hundred and

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Speaker 2: fifty dollars. That was going in the last season, and

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Speaker 2: of course last year we did have a couple upsets,

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Speaker 2: including Brighton being a big one over Man nighted at

186
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Speaker 2: five to one, and you know, if you just hit one,

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Speaker 2: it pays for pretty much the rest of the slates.

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Speaker 2: So trying to figure out which underdog is the right one,

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Speaker 2: this is one of the more intriguing ones to me

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Speaker 2: relatively but overall, like, if it gets up to ten

191
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Speaker 2: to one, you know, I'll probably fire on it. Just

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Speaker 2: a small, small speculative wager to have the first bet

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Speaker 2: first game of the season have some action, but in

194
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Speaker 2: terms of you know, what we trying to do here,

195
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Speaker 2: I don't really have a ton on this match.

196
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Speaker 4: I will be interest to see where the market goes

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Speaker 4: when we get closer to match time, if City gets

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Speaker 4: steamed or if money money.

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Speaker 3: Comes in on Burnley. I'm very interested to see how

200
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Speaker 3: people in.

201
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Speaker 1: The market rate once they see my Beck come through.

202
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Speaker 1: I know, I know Burnley is going to be fourteen

203
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Speaker 1: to one.

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Speaker 2: As high as nine to one out there.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, just talking about week one. Yeah, like you said, Anthony,

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Speaker 1: we saw that Brighton went over Manchester United, then we

207
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Speaker 1: saw a draw with Fulham in Liverpool, and then the

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Speaker 1: other surprising result was born Myth at home against Villa.

209
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Speaker 1: If you remember that when born Mis scored like ninety

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Speaker 1: seconds into that match.

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Speaker 3: Yep, they scored on pieces.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and then they scored late with Key for more.

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Speaker 1: So you'll see some surprises. It's almost guaranteed you're gonna

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Speaker 1: see some surprises on uh in match week one, which

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Speaker 1: is like I said, it's it's not really a thing

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Speaker 1: about numbers here. It's hard. It's hard to dive into

217
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Speaker 1: numbers match week one, especially after a summer like we've

218
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Speaker 1: had with it just wasn't ordinary in terms of the

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Speaker 1: transfer market with the advantation of the Saudi Pro League

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Speaker 1: as the six big club in Europe basically six big

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Speaker 1: league in Europe, basically UH. And there's still the Kyle

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Speaker 1: Walker situation is still UH at large with with City,

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Speaker 1: as is Bernardo Silva. They're trying to hold onto them,

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Speaker 1: so they were interested in Lucas Pakhetta's like that. There's

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Speaker 1: there's a lot more odds and ends for City to

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Speaker 1: tie up than Burnley and Pep, just as I don't

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Speaker 1: think Pep. I mean, he's fussed about every detail of

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Speaker 1: every match, but I don't think that this city is

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Speaker 1: gonna feel like their season is on the line on

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Speaker 1: Friday should they drop two or more points. But yes,

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Speaker 1: for Burnley it's it's a free shot, so I'll take

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Speaker 1: the claret. And what's funny is I think all three

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Speaker 1: of us are a little skeptical of Burnley's chances overall

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Speaker 1: this season. We talk a lot about that on our

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Speaker 1: season preview pods. Is that the market love for this

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Speaker 1: team and the momentum the hype train around them is

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Speaker 1: perhaps a little not out of control, but it's it's

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Speaker 1: getting there. So I had Burnley circled. A's like a

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Speaker 1: bet against team, but not in this situation. All right,

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Speaker 1: So that's Friday, three pm Eastern time. We're gonna now

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Speaker 1: skip to what is the headliner on the sleet Sunday.

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Speaker 1: It's an eleven thirty am kickoff between Chelsea and Liverpool

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Speaker 1: at Stanford Bridge. Chelsea plus one ninety, Liverpool a favorite

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Speaker 1: on the road plus one thirty seven, and the draw

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Speaker 1: plus two forty. You two on the same side. So

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Speaker 1: I'll flip it over to you guys, BJ What are

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Speaker 1: your thoughts here?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I think it's total is way too low here.

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Speaker 4: You know, Liverpool and Chelsea both are going to come

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Speaker 4: into this season now they there's still some time here

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Speaker 4: in the transfer market for.

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Speaker 3: Things to happen.

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Speaker 4: But livers Pool is just not going to have a

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Speaker 4: defensive midfielder available other than maybe Curtis Jones because it

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Speaker 4: looks like the ago is going to be out for

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Speaker 4: this match. So what type of cover do they have

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Speaker 4: in transition here? So that's the big problem for them

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Speaker 4: going into this and more and throughout the season. What

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Speaker 4: Liverpool essentially is saying is they're just going to try

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Speaker 4: to outscore everybody because they go out and signed Solba Slide,

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Speaker 4: they sign McAllister, and they have just so much depth

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Speaker 4: and attacking talent just everywhere.

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Speaker 3: And I think Klop what.

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Speaker 4: He's relying on is all of these players just being

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Speaker 4: elite at counter pressing once they lose the ball, because

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Speaker 4: that's really what Liverpool is going to be trying to do.

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Speaker 4: They're gonna try to win the ball high and they're

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Speaker 4: gonna try to catch teams out of position because once

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Speaker 4: teams get in behind them.

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Speaker 3: I mean, we talked about.

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Speaker 4: At length last season, but teams just got out them

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Speaker 4: and in transition so many times they allowed one point

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Speaker 4: three to four goals for ninety minutes. That was eighth

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Speaker 4: in the Premier League. Like, that's not good if you're

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Speaker 4: gonna be contending for the Champions League. They had one

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Speaker 4: of the worst final third to box entry conversion rates allow,

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Speaker 4: which means they were bad. Once teams got into their

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Speaker 4: final third, they easily get in the penalty area. And

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Speaker 4: for Chelsea, I mean, it's kind of the same thing.

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Speaker 4: You know, their philosophy is going to change a tad

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Speaker 4: bit and Marisio Pochatino comes in, Anthony knows is better

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Speaker 4: than anybody. He wants to play in the front foot,

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Speaker 4: he wants to be aggressive, wants to play attacking football,

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Speaker 4: he wants his teams to press high. But Chelsea also

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Speaker 4: is going into the season with just Enzo Fernandez and

286
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Speaker 4: Connor Gallagher as they're only two midfielders, so that's also

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Speaker 4: a problem when you're trying to defend Liverpool, and I

288
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Speaker 4: do expect Chelsea's offense to get much better with another

289
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Speaker 4: year of Mudrick. You know, came out today that in

290
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Speaker 4: Kuku was going to miss this match, but Nicholas Jackson

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Speaker 4: has looked great in his preseason, so he should be

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Speaker 4: fine at the number nine position coming into this one.

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Speaker 4: And they obviously still have Raheem Sterling. But I don't

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Speaker 4: really see why the total is is this low considering

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Speaker 4: this is probably gonna be a very open, end to

296
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Speaker 4: end style match with two offenses that are going to

297
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Speaker 4: be top six to seven in the Premier League this season.

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Speaker 4: So I love over two and a half goals at minus

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Speaker 4: one thirty.

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Speaker 3: If you want to chase a.

301
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Speaker 4: Bigger price, maybe over three or over three and a half,

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Speaker 4: it's definitely worth a sprinkle because without these two teams

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Speaker 4: having solidity in their defensive midfield positions. I mean, the

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00:15:18,320 --> 00:15:21,880
Speaker 4: transition opportunities are just going to be immense for both

305
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Speaker 4: of these teams in this match.

306
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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think there's a good chance this kind of

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00:15:24,880 --> 00:15:26,720
Speaker 2: resembles a basketball match by the end. There's gonna be

308
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Speaker 2: a lot of back and forth, a lot of transition. Chelsea,

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00:15:30,640 --> 00:15:33,800
Speaker 2: you mentioned it, without the defensive midfield situation, they also

310
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Speaker 2: have their two best attacking fullbacks available and that was

311
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Speaker 2: an underrated part of what went wrong for Chelsea last

312
00:15:38,360 --> 00:15:41,240
Speaker 2: year is that their fullbacks were never healthy. When they

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Speaker 2: were healthy, they had got considerably more attacking production out

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Speaker 2: of Reech James and Ben Chilwell and they're both fit

315
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Speaker 2: here and Kungku might be out till January. So the

316
00:15:50,120 --> 00:15:52,520
Speaker 2: rumor was a torn MCL. Nothing's been confirmed yet, but

317
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Speaker 2: that's a huge loss for Chelsea. Probably was going to

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Speaker 2: be their second goal scoring option. So it's a big

319
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Speaker 2: red flag for how good they're going to be. But yeah,

320
00:16:01,440 --> 00:16:04,680
Speaker 2: Poccino team, you expect more pressing, more chaotic, and remember

321
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Speaker 2: when Pocacino first got to Spurs, they had a ton

322
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Speaker 2: of pressing and when they got broken open, they give

323
00:16:11,800 --> 00:16:13,440
Speaker 2: up a lot of big scoring chances and that's pretty

324
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Speaker 2: much what Liverpool is at this point too. At this

325
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Speaker 2: current rate, this Liverpool team kind of reminds me of

326
00:16:18,080 --> 00:16:21,000
Speaker 2: the early clop days when they had the elite front

327
00:16:21,040 --> 00:16:25,960
Speaker 2: three of Mo Mane and Formino, but they couldn't really

328
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Speaker 2: defend and it wasn't until they you know, got it

329
00:16:27,800 --> 00:16:30,880
Speaker 2: Fabinho and Thiago and Van Dyke in there that they

330
00:16:30,880 --> 00:16:33,400
Speaker 2: were able to reach that elite, elite level. It kind

331
00:16:33,400 --> 00:16:35,600
Speaker 2: of feels like Liverpool's got the similar vibe here with

332
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Speaker 2: you know, the playing the midfield of McAllister, Jones and

333
00:16:38,760 --> 00:16:42,040
Speaker 2: Sola bush Lye. Like they're going to be more athletic

334
00:16:42,120 --> 00:16:44,680
Speaker 2: and more powerful and better at pressing, but they're also

335
00:16:44,800 --> 00:16:46,680
Speaker 2: not going to have any ball winning. Curtis Jones is

336
00:16:46,800 --> 00:16:50,920
Speaker 2: a forward first attacker or a midfielder, so is so

337
00:16:51,240 --> 00:16:54,560
Speaker 2: is McAllister. So I think that there's some real holes

338
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Speaker 2: defensively both teams. Chelsea's attack can't be worse than it

339
00:16:57,560 --> 00:17:00,480
Speaker 2: was last year. They'll have real tactics this year. And

340
00:17:00,520 --> 00:17:03,120
Speaker 2: this has been the zero zero derby if you remember,

341
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Speaker 2: the last four meetings have not had a goal, but

342
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Speaker 2: it hasn't been for a lack of trying. I mean

343
00:17:07,600 --> 00:17:10,440
Speaker 2: the two point six x G in the last match

344
00:17:10,680 --> 00:17:15,919
Speaker 2: at Chelsea, with Liverpool having a pretty reserve lineup for

345
00:17:15,960 --> 00:17:19,119
Speaker 2: that game. The first meeting last year had over two

346
00:17:19,160 --> 00:17:21,639
Speaker 2: and a half ended with three XG and then both

347
00:17:21,680 --> 00:17:25,360
Speaker 2: cup finals. It was a comedy of airs to lead

348
00:17:25,400 --> 00:17:27,840
Speaker 2: to no goals in those games. Bad finishing, elite goalkeeping

349
00:17:27,880 --> 00:17:30,159
Speaker 2: all that. So this has been the zero zero Derby.

350
00:17:30,200 --> 00:17:32,840
Speaker 2: But I agree this should be three. So over two

351
00:17:32,840 --> 00:17:35,160
Speaker 2: and a half minus one thirty one forty. The market

352
00:17:35,240 --> 00:17:37,320
Speaker 2: hasn't really moved on this in Kunku news either, which

353
00:17:37,320 --> 00:17:41,000
Speaker 2: is interesting to me. I still like deal Over, even.

354
00:17:40,840 --> 00:17:41,520
Speaker 3: With him out.

355
00:17:41,640 --> 00:17:44,479
Speaker 1: I think what you guys said kind of translates to

356
00:17:44,520 --> 00:17:48,000
Speaker 1: what I will go into. I think before the match,

357
00:17:48,080 --> 00:17:51,040
Speaker 1: if you made me pick a bet that has more value,

358
00:17:51,680 --> 00:17:54,960
Speaker 1: I'd lean towards Chelsea just because they're home. I think

359
00:17:55,000 --> 00:17:57,879
Speaker 1: these two teams are I think Liverpool's the better team

360
00:17:58,000 --> 00:18:01,400
Speaker 1: big picture right now, but a lot of questions about

361
00:18:01,520 --> 00:18:04,000
Speaker 1: both teams defensively and in the middle of the field.

362
00:18:05,119 --> 00:18:07,720
Speaker 1: The thing I want to do for this match out

363
00:18:07,720 --> 00:18:10,439
Speaker 1: it's you know, Sunday eleven thirty am kickoff, It's a

364
00:18:10,640 --> 00:18:15,840
Speaker 1: standalone match. I'm hoping you guys are right that the

365
00:18:15,880 --> 00:18:18,320
Speaker 1: goals come early and often, because I think this is

366
00:18:18,359 --> 00:18:21,320
Speaker 1: a great match to live bet, and even if that

367
00:18:21,400 --> 00:18:23,560
Speaker 1: live bet is waiting for the first fifteen minutes, and

368
00:18:23,560 --> 00:18:26,760
Speaker 1: if it's still nil nail, then betting it over because

369
00:18:26,920 --> 00:18:30,919
Speaker 1: there should be like a pretty frenetic pace here. Not

370
00:18:31,119 --> 00:18:34,760
Speaker 1: too sure how these defenses are going to fare in

371
00:18:34,800 --> 00:18:39,680
Speaker 1: the first few few weeks as Chelsea gets adjusted to

372
00:18:39,720 --> 00:18:42,520
Speaker 1: a new manager in Liverpool tries to sort out its

373
00:18:42,640 --> 00:18:45,960
Speaker 1: defensive flaws from a season ago. So it's a good

374
00:18:46,000 --> 00:18:49,720
Speaker 1: live betting match backing a team to come back and

375
00:18:50,119 --> 00:18:52,159
Speaker 1: earn a late draw. I think that's also something we

376
00:18:52,160 --> 00:18:56,080
Speaker 1: should touch on here, is that it's going to be

377
00:18:56,119 --> 00:18:58,800
Speaker 1: fun to live bet these matches, you know, in like

378
00:18:58,800 --> 00:19:01,280
Speaker 1: the eighty fourth minute or something thing in like a

379
00:19:01,320 --> 00:19:09,320
Speaker 1: one nilt game. I'm I'll put my hands up. I am.

380
00:19:09,480 --> 00:19:12,200
Speaker 1: I've always wanted time wasting to be punished, and now

381
00:19:12,240 --> 00:19:14,840
Speaker 1: it's starting to to be. But it's going to.

382
00:19:15,760 --> 00:19:17,040
Speaker 3: It's gonna cost so much more pain.

383
00:19:17,119 --> 00:19:19,080
Speaker 1: It's gonna make for a headache. Oh my god.

384
00:19:19,280 --> 00:19:22,439
Speaker 2: We we are in Underdogs and unders podcast.

385
00:19:22,320 --> 00:19:24,600
Speaker 1: And now we get and now they're going to tut

386
00:19:25,160 --> 00:19:28,400
Speaker 1: twelve more minutes, Like I mean, think about the Everden

387
00:19:28,480 --> 00:19:32,439
Speaker 1: Bournemouth game. I mean that that there was I had

388
00:19:32,440 --> 00:19:34,719
Speaker 1: to watch and grit through that and it felt like

389
00:19:35,200 --> 00:19:37,520
Speaker 1: your time was what twenty eight minutes? It felt like

390
00:19:38,040 --> 00:19:40,440
Speaker 1: what about what about last year the very last match

391
00:19:40,480 --> 00:19:42,920
Speaker 1: of the season, the Bundga Mine's thirteen to one against

392
00:19:42,920 --> 00:19:45,640
Speaker 1: Dorment That was a stoppage time one.

393
00:19:45,680 --> 00:19:48,000
Speaker 3: Michael, this is this what's gonna happen to us all

394
00:19:48,680 --> 00:19:49,879
Speaker 3: year long.

395
00:19:50,000 --> 00:19:50,840
Speaker 1: It's gonna happen to us.

396
00:19:50,840 --> 00:19:52,520
Speaker 2: Already happened to me at the World Cup.

397
00:19:52,840 --> 00:19:55,280
Speaker 1: He never had and we've never had to go the

398
00:19:55,320 --> 00:19:57,600
Speaker 1: other way, right, I've never won a bet on a

399
00:19:57,800 --> 00:20:03,000
Speaker 1: one hundred and second minute Ivan Tony Anthony was I

400
00:20:03,119 --> 00:20:04,199
Speaker 1: was kidding around.

401
00:20:05,640 --> 00:20:09,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, it only goes one way. The worst, we tend

402
00:20:09,000 --> 00:20:11,040
Speaker 2: to bet the bad teams on this podcast. We don't

403
00:20:11,040 --> 00:20:12,800
Speaker 2: really like to bet the good teams, and the good

404
00:20:12,800 --> 00:20:15,399
Speaker 2: teams are more likely to score on the bad teams,

405
00:20:15,560 --> 00:20:18,280
Speaker 2: So it doesn't go very well for us when the

406
00:20:18,280 --> 00:20:20,240
Speaker 2: bad teams have to defend the good teams for an

407
00:20:20,240 --> 00:20:21,399
Speaker 2: extra five to ten minutes.

408
00:20:21,920 --> 00:20:24,440
Speaker 1: But I think this that this conversation kind of lends

409
00:20:24,440 --> 00:20:25,959
Speaker 1: into what you guys are saying about the over you're

410
00:20:26,000 --> 00:20:28,280
Speaker 1: going to get an extra ten minutes in this match,

411
00:20:28,400 --> 00:20:31,520
Speaker 1: especially with klop you know he gets he gets whatever

412
00:20:31,560 --> 00:20:35,400
Speaker 1: he wants from the fourth official. So this this match

413
00:20:35,400 --> 00:20:37,320
Speaker 1: could be one hundred and thirty seven minutes long if

414
00:20:37,320 --> 00:20:39,119
Speaker 1: if Liverpool needs a goal, or it could be ninety

415
00:20:39,119 --> 00:20:41,320
Speaker 1: one minutes long if Chelsea needs the goal.

416
00:20:42,400 --> 00:20:43,919
Speaker 4: One more thing, Michael, I want to just point out

417
00:20:43,960 --> 00:20:45,960
Speaker 4: on this and what this is something Liverpool did towards

418
00:20:45,960 --> 00:20:48,119
Speaker 4: the end of last season is obviously the big talking

419
00:20:48,160 --> 00:20:50,480
Speaker 4: point is moving Trent Alexander Arnold in the middle of

420
00:20:50,520 --> 00:20:53,800
Speaker 4: the pitch. Well, Anthony also knows this, but Poachastine loves

421
00:20:53,960 --> 00:20:56,200
Speaker 4: Uliza's fallbacks. He made a great point about both them,

422
00:20:56,280 --> 00:20:59,680
Speaker 4: Chilwell and Reece James both being healthy. How is Liverpool

423
00:20:59,680 --> 00:21:02,159
Speaker 4: going to be in wide areas if you know they

424
00:21:02,200 --> 00:21:04,919
Speaker 4: can't beat the first press, there's gonna be nobody there.

425
00:21:04,960 --> 00:21:06,840
Speaker 4: It's just gonna be acres and acres of space. So,

426
00:21:06,920 --> 00:21:09,920
Speaker 4: like Anthony said, we got a nice basketball match coming

427
00:21:10,000 --> 00:21:11,960
Speaker 4: up here to beyond the season.

428
00:21:12,920 --> 00:21:19,399
Speaker 1: Saturday, seven am Eastern time. Bj or Arsenal second favorites

429
00:21:19,440 --> 00:21:25,040
Speaker 1: to win the title, famously choked it away last year. Yeah,

430
00:21:25,080 --> 00:21:28,880
Speaker 1: there minus five hundred they are prohibitive favorites against Nottingham Force,

431
00:21:29,960 --> 00:21:33,119
Speaker 1: their second season back up under Steve Cooper Force. The

432
00:21:33,119 --> 00:21:35,960
Speaker 1: tricky trees are eleven to one, the draw here six

433
00:21:36,040 --> 00:21:40,600
Speaker 1: to one. Not anything too interesting here for me. Uh,

434
00:21:41,119 --> 00:21:42,119
Speaker 1: BJ will start with you.

435
00:21:42,840 --> 00:21:45,080
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean the only thing I would. I mean,

436
00:21:45,119 --> 00:21:47,199
Speaker 4: I'm I'm pretty much in line with my projection right

437
00:21:47,240 --> 00:21:48,840
Speaker 4: in what the market has, So I have no play

438
00:21:48,840 --> 00:21:50,560
Speaker 4: for this match. But you know, if you wanted to

439
00:21:50,680 --> 00:21:53,840
Speaker 4: chase an Arsenal minus two and a half or something

440
00:21:53,880 --> 00:21:56,560
Speaker 4: like that, I mean, Nottingham Forest is gonna be without

441
00:21:56,560 --> 00:21:57,520
Speaker 4: Taywa awen Owing.

442
00:21:57,400 --> 00:21:58,960
Speaker 3: Which is obviously massive for them.

443
00:21:59,119 --> 00:22:03,640
Speaker 4: Yeah, their home road splits. Let's just say we're quite

444
00:22:03,680 --> 00:22:09,160
Speaker 4: bad last season, but a minus minus one actually differential

445
00:22:09,160 --> 00:22:10,920
Speaker 4: away from home. Arsenal is one of the best teams

446
00:22:10,920 --> 00:22:14,280
Speaker 4: at home last season. And I mean, this is just

447
00:22:14,320 --> 00:22:15,920
Speaker 4: the conversation that I have with the title is that

448
00:22:16,040 --> 00:22:18,440
Speaker 4: Arsenal is going to have so much more game control

449
00:22:18,800 --> 00:22:19,080
Speaker 4: and be.

450
00:22:19,040 --> 00:22:20,479
Speaker 3: Able to break down these low blocks.

451
00:22:20,480 --> 00:22:23,879
Speaker 4: With the additions of Kaiavertz and Declan Rice, it allows

452
00:22:23,880 --> 00:22:26,440
Speaker 4: so many guys to get up on that opponent's back line.

453
00:22:26,480 --> 00:22:27,960
Speaker 4: So I don't take too much stock into the fact

454
00:22:28,440 --> 00:22:30,600
Speaker 4: Obviously people are gonna say, well not Eingham Forest beat

455
00:22:30,680 --> 00:22:32,800
Speaker 4: Arsenal towards the end of last season and their title hopes.

456
00:22:32,840 --> 00:22:35,040
Speaker 4: I don't really put too much stock in that. I

457
00:22:35,040 --> 00:22:38,200
Speaker 4: think this is an interesting spot for Arsenal coming off

458
00:22:38,240 --> 00:22:42,920
Speaker 4: winning the Community Shield against against City. Hopefully they can

459
00:22:43,280 --> 00:22:45,639
Speaker 4: kind of stop the party and then put that behind

460
00:22:45,680 --> 00:22:47,960
Speaker 4: them and really focus on this because you know they

461
00:22:48,040 --> 00:22:50,840
Speaker 4: beat They did beat Notingham Forst five nothing last season

462
00:22:50,840 --> 00:22:54,600
Speaker 4: at the Enmirates. It really wasn't that competitive, so I

463
00:22:54,600 --> 00:22:57,720
Speaker 4: think we could see something similar like that. You know,

464
00:22:57,920 --> 00:22:59,480
Speaker 4: obviously not even Forst is going to defend it a

465
00:22:59,520 --> 00:23:02,040
Speaker 4: low block, but I'm telling you Arsenal is going.

466
00:23:02,000 --> 00:23:03,879
Speaker 3: To be ableay to break down low blocks this season.

467
00:23:03,920 --> 00:23:05,760
Speaker 4: So if you want to chase a price on Arsenal,

468
00:23:06,240 --> 00:23:07,960
Speaker 4: I don't hate taking them minus two and a half

469
00:23:08,040 --> 00:23:09,400
Speaker 4: or even minus three.

470
00:23:10,200 --> 00:23:12,520
Speaker 1: Anthony, anything to add there before we move on to

471
00:23:12,640 --> 00:23:13,880
Speaker 1: more compelling matches.

472
00:23:14,680 --> 00:23:17,520
Speaker 2: No, Awen Nawi makes both teams to score no interesting.

473
00:23:17,800 --> 00:23:20,720
Speaker 2: And I know that we made a killing betting team

474
00:23:20,760 --> 00:23:24,320
Speaker 2: total overs against Arsenal last season, but this Nottingham for

475
00:23:24,400 --> 00:23:28,360
Speaker 2: US attack away from home last season was diabolical. They

476
00:23:28,440 --> 00:23:33,760
Speaker 2: don't really have a great setup to press Arsenal here.

477
00:23:33,760 --> 00:23:35,400
Speaker 2: I don't really think it's a great matchup for them

478
00:23:35,440 --> 00:23:39,879
Speaker 2: on paper, and thus I would lean towards the BTTs.

479
00:23:39,920 --> 00:23:43,080
Speaker 2: No almost here, right around minus one ten. But yeah,

480
00:23:43,160 --> 00:23:43,679
Speaker 2: no bet for me.

481
00:23:44,200 --> 00:23:46,960
Speaker 1: All right, ten am slate. Now we'll start with Brighton

482
00:23:47,440 --> 00:23:51,600
Speaker 1: minus three thirty four hosting newly promoted Looton Town. They're

483
00:23:51,600 --> 00:23:55,880
Speaker 1: plus fifty the draws plus four fifty. Anthony, right back

484
00:23:55,880 --> 00:23:59,000
Speaker 1: to you. I think what you're about to make an

485
00:23:59,080 --> 00:24:01,359
Speaker 1: argument for is the only thing I would think about here,

486
00:24:02,960 --> 00:24:06,560
Speaker 1: or perhaps getting in on the Seagulls live if things

487
00:24:06,880 --> 00:24:09,919
Speaker 1: take a while to get going. But h it seems

488
00:24:09,920 --> 00:24:11,240
Speaker 1: like this should be one way traffic.

489
00:24:12,040 --> 00:24:13,919
Speaker 2: Yeah, I like Brighton and I'm laying the goal one

490
00:24:13,960 --> 00:24:16,399
Speaker 2: a half here. This for me is closer to one

491
00:24:16,440 --> 00:24:19,080
Speaker 2: point eight one point nine. I'm surprised it's not too

492
00:24:19,800 --> 00:24:23,480
Speaker 2: uh Lutontown just projecting up their numbers from the championship

493
00:24:23,600 --> 00:24:26,679
Speaker 2: still makes them the worst team in this league. Then

494
00:24:27,000 --> 00:24:30,040
Speaker 2: you know, Brighton closed minus one point twenty five against

495
00:24:30,080 --> 00:24:32,879
Speaker 2: Wolves toward the end of last season, beat them six. No,

496
00:24:33,400 --> 00:24:35,760
Speaker 2: if you look at some of the the market prices

497
00:24:35,800 --> 00:24:39,320
Speaker 2: on what Brighton was closing in in May and now,

498
00:24:39,400 --> 00:24:42,720
Speaker 2: you know, three months later with a pretty net net

499
00:24:42,800 --> 00:24:45,320
Speaker 2: same roster here, Why are the only minus one and

500
00:24:45,320 --> 00:24:48,920
Speaker 2: a half against Lutontown If Lutontown is priced as this,

501
00:24:49,800 --> 00:24:52,199
Speaker 2: you know, worst team ever type stuff, and I think

502
00:24:52,240 --> 00:24:54,000
Speaker 2: it's because, you know, the market is baking in some

503
00:24:54,000 --> 00:24:56,560
Speaker 2: season long regression for Brighton. I think it's very possible

504
00:24:57,040 --> 00:24:58,560
Speaker 2: that we're a little wrong and we're a little too

505
00:24:58,600 --> 00:25:00,840
Speaker 2: high on the Seagulls and that maybe they are just

506
00:25:00,840 --> 00:25:04,119
Speaker 2: the six or seventh best team, but at least right now,

507
00:25:04,760 --> 00:25:08,080
Speaker 2: given that they got their business done pretty early in

508
00:25:08,160 --> 00:25:11,320
Speaker 2: getting in, you know, and they're gonna get cootus later,

509
00:25:11,359 --> 00:25:15,000
Speaker 2: but they they've got their core guys fit and ready

510
00:25:15,000 --> 00:25:17,119
Speaker 2: to go for the start of the season. I just

511
00:25:17,160 --> 00:25:18,879
Speaker 2: think this number is short, and I think it's going

512
00:25:18,960 --> 00:25:20,400
Speaker 2: to be a common thing where I'm gonna be betting

513
00:25:20,400 --> 00:25:23,040
Speaker 2: Brighton a lot early in the season and expecting that

514
00:25:23,040 --> 00:25:25,800
Speaker 2: the market will catch on and eventually realize that the

515
00:25:25,800 --> 00:25:28,800
Speaker 2: market is a little wrong. So I'm gonna take positions

516
00:25:28,840 --> 00:25:31,000
Speaker 2: on teams and we're gonna probably bet them a bunch

517
00:25:31,040 --> 00:25:32,520
Speaker 2: early in the season, And just like last year, we

518
00:25:32,560 --> 00:25:34,600
Speaker 2: bet Brighton the first couple of matches this year. I've

519
00:25:34,600 --> 00:25:37,639
Speaker 2: already bet them this week against Newtontown minus one and

520
00:25:37,680 --> 00:25:39,560
Speaker 2: a half at home, and I bet them laying half

521
00:25:39,560 --> 00:25:42,280
Speaker 2: a goal at Wolves, who are a mess next week

522
00:25:42,320 --> 00:25:43,919
Speaker 2: as well. If you follow me in the app. I

523
00:25:43,960 --> 00:25:48,760
Speaker 2: posted that on Tuesday. So I like Brighton here minus

524
00:25:48,760 --> 00:25:48,960
Speaker 2: one and.

525
00:25:48,960 --> 00:25:54,520
Speaker 1: A half onto Everton and Fulham then Tofees baby headliner,

526
00:25:54,680 --> 00:25:59,960
Speaker 1: We're back the Marco Silva Darby Everton plus one ten

527
00:26:00,520 --> 00:26:04,200
Speaker 1: at home at Goodison Park Fulham plus two thirty. The

528
00:26:04,280 --> 00:26:08,920
Speaker 1: draw is plus two sixty here. It kind of lends

529
00:26:08,920 --> 00:26:10,760
Speaker 1: it to what you were just talking about, Anthony, about

530
00:26:10,760 --> 00:26:15,200
Speaker 1: taking positions on teams. All three of us are fading

531
00:26:15,240 --> 00:26:18,080
Speaker 1: Fulham early on. I think we would have felt a

532
00:26:18,080 --> 00:26:22,720
Speaker 1: little bit better if their first match was not at Everdon,

533
00:26:23,560 --> 00:26:26,119
Speaker 1: a team that I think we're maybe a little bit

534
00:26:26,119 --> 00:26:30,640
Speaker 1: more optimistic on as a podcast in the market considering

535
00:26:30,720 --> 00:26:33,240
Speaker 1: how they were. They were a mess last year. But

536
00:26:33,920 --> 00:26:36,760
Speaker 1: they should have a full season under Sean Ditsch here

537
00:26:36,840 --> 00:26:40,240
Speaker 1: or excuse me, a full summer. They should be decent

538
00:26:40,320 --> 00:26:43,480
Speaker 1: enough defensively, strong enough in the midfield and guess what,

539
00:26:43,600 --> 00:26:46,080
Speaker 1: Dominic Calvert Lewin doesn't hurt yet, which is a big deal.

540
00:26:46,400 --> 00:26:49,400
Speaker 1: But the important thing here is that Everdence's biggest weakness

541
00:26:49,440 --> 00:26:52,560
Speaker 1: is their inability to score, and Fulham's biggest issue is

542
00:26:53,040 --> 00:26:58,000
Speaker 1: their inability to prevent scoring chances. So this actually could

543
00:26:58,000 --> 00:27:00,600
Speaker 1: be a decent matchup. I don't mind making Evert in

544
00:27:00,640 --> 00:27:02,600
Speaker 1: here as a as a home favorite. I am an

545
00:27:02,600 --> 00:27:06,679
Speaker 1: Everton fan, so you can say I'm looking at this

546
00:27:06,760 --> 00:27:11,720
Speaker 1: match through some Royal blue tinted glasses, but at BJ

547
00:27:11,920 --> 00:27:15,679
Speaker 1: I was. I felt relieved to see that. I think

548
00:27:15,720 --> 00:27:17,600
Speaker 1: you probably bet evertt in more than me last season.

549
00:27:17,920 --> 00:27:18,560
Speaker 3: I think I did.

550
00:27:18,880 --> 00:27:21,800
Speaker 1: Yeah, and you know, not much.

551
00:27:21,840 --> 00:27:22,679
Speaker 3: I love Sean Diyche.

552
00:27:22,920 --> 00:27:26,040
Speaker 4: Yeah, no, I'm I'm very interesting to see Michael of

553
00:27:26,080 --> 00:27:28,520
Speaker 4: what Everton looks like when they're not in a state

554
00:27:28,560 --> 00:27:31,520
Speaker 4: of complete desperation, because that's what happened when Steisch took over.

555
00:27:31,600 --> 00:27:34,360
Speaker 4: It's like they were in the relegation fight. They were

556
00:27:34,400 --> 00:27:37,720
Speaker 4: incredibly desperate, so they played super, super aggressively. They tried

557
00:27:37,760 --> 00:27:39,280
Speaker 4: to press high and it did create a lot of

558
00:27:39,359 --> 00:27:42,359
Speaker 4: high scoring matches, and you know, they ended up surviving relegation.

559
00:27:42,520 --> 00:27:46,000
Speaker 4: But if he I mean, he'll obviously I think still

560
00:27:46,000 --> 00:27:47,840
Speaker 4: press high, but maybe not with the mode, with the

561
00:27:47,880 --> 00:27:50,120
Speaker 4: reckless abandonment that he did towards the end of last season,

562
00:27:50,160 --> 00:27:53,680
Speaker 4: which I think will create a much better structure for Everton, who,

563
00:27:53,760 --> 00:27:56,480
Speaker 4: like we mentioned our preview pod, they are solid in

564
00:27:56,520 --> 00:28:00,200
Speaker 4: the middle of the pitch with Onana and Adrisagana Gay

565
00:28:00,280 --> 00:28:03,479
Speaker 4: and alex So woebe. That's a pretty solid midfield for

566
00:28:03,560 --> 00:28:05,920
Speaker 4: a bottom half of the table club going up against

567
00:28:05,920 --> 00:28:08,320
Speaker 4: a everyteam that's excuse me, going against a Fulham team

568
00:28:08,520 --> 00:28:10,960
Speaker 4: that's gonna be without Paulina. We should talk about the

569
00:28:11,000 --> 00:28:15,400
Speaker 4: Alexander Mitchovich situation. As of today, he is still a

570
00:28:15,440 --> 00:28:19,720
Speaker 4: Fulham player. He did play for he did come off

571
00:28:19,720 --> 00:28:22,840
Speaker 4: the bench and their last friendly against Hoffenheim. He has

572
00:28:22,920 --> 00:28:25,600
Speaker 4: been training with the team. I don't know if he's

573
00:28:25,640 --> 00:28:27,879
Speaker 4: going to start in this match. I don't know, but

574
00:28:28,280 --> 00:28:32,520
Speaker 4: from what I've read, it sounds like all signs are

575
00:28:32,520 --> 00:28:33,959
Speaker 4: pointing to him playing this season.

576
00:28:34,480 --> 00:28:36,080
Speaker 3: So that's obviously not good for Everton.

577
00:28:36,160 --> 00:28:38,720
Speaker 4: But this is also a Fullham team that we talked

578
00:28:38,720 --> 00:28:41,880
Speaker 4: about many times that is so overdue for a ton

579
00:28:41,920 --> 00:28:44,560
Speaker 4: of negative aggression. They're gonna be without Paulinya, who's their

580
00:28:44,640 --> 00:28:47,920
Speaker 4: number one ball stopper in the middle of the pitch. Everton,

581
00:28:49,080 --> 00:28:51,960
Speaker 4: you know you mentioned dominicqe Calvert Lewin being healthy is

582
00:28:52,000 --> 00:28:54,640
Speaker 4: obviously huge because of what Sean Ditsch wants to do.

583
00:28:54,640 --> 00:28:56,400
Speaker 4: Everton doesn't really build out of the back. They like

584
00:28:56,440 --> 00:28:58,760
Speaker 4: to send the ball along. They need a tall striker

585
00:28:58,760 --> 00:29:00,479
Speaker 4: who's really good in the air that can hold up

586
00:29:00,480 --> 00:29:04,200
Speaker 4: the ball and allow somebody like Dan Juma who was

587
00:29:04,240 --> 00:29:07,040
Speaker 4: a really good guy and getting in behind defenses. It's

588
00:29:07,080 --> 00:29:09,200
Speaker 4: going to create a good, nice striking partnership here. And

589
00:29:09,200 --> 00:29:11,480
Speaker 4: Everton is pretty healthy going into this match when last

590
00:29:11,480 --> 00:29:14,320
Speaker 4: season they did have to go through you know a

591
00:29:14,360 --> 00:29:18,040
Speaker 4: lot of those injuries. Fulham did beat Everton three one

592
00:29:18,080 --> 00:29:20,800
Speaker 4: at Goodison Park last season towards the end it Sean

593
00:29:20,840 --> 00:29:23,880
Speaker 4: Diych was in charge, but it was a typical full

594
00:29:23,920 --> 00:29:26,200
Speaker 4: and performance that they just scored on like they are

595
00:29:26,240 --> 00:29:29,640
Speaker 4: only three transitional opportunities and that's you know the X.

596
00:29:29,720 --> 00:29:30,680
Speaker 3: She won't bear that out.

597
00:29:30,720 --> 00:29:34,719
Speaker 4: But Everton dominated the match for large stretches and then

598
00:29:34,800 --> 00:29:37,240
Speaker 4: you know, this just got caught with some variants.

599
00:29:37,280 --> 00:29:39,360
Speaker 3: So I don't know what's gonna have with Mitrovich. He's

600
00:29:39,360 --> 00:29:41,160
Speaker 3: obviously huge this line. But I did.

601
00:29:41,000 --> 00:29:45,680
Speaker 4: Project Everton at plus one oh one, so you know,

602
00:29:45,720 --> 00:29:47,040
Speaker 4: the best price I think you can find out there

603
00:29:47,080 --> 00:29:49,640
Speaker 4: is plus one twenty five on the topees.

604
00:29:50,600 --> 00:29:51,680
Speaker 3: I think it's a decent prise.

605
00:29:51,560 --> 00:29:54,280
Speaker 4: And opening weekend with them being at home against a

606
00:29:54,280 --> 00:29:56,920
Speaker 4: team that will probably be fading quite a bit this season.

607
00:29:58,040 --> 00:30:03,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, keep an eye on James Tarka. Yeah, questionable, But

608
00:30:03,640 --> 00:30:07,840
Speaker 1: I just generally think the sentiment here is that we

609
00:30:08,240 --> 00:30:11,320
Speaker 1: have a pretty good opinion on what we think Fulham

610
00:30:11,400 --> 00:30:13,640
Speaker 1: is going to be. And I think that this we

611
00:30:13,680 --> 00:30:17,680
Speaker 1: know where evidence floor likely is, and I think all

612
00:30:17,720 --> 00:30:20,760
Speaker 1: of us are questioning whether their ceiling might be a

613
00:30:20,760 --> 00:30:27,000
Speaker 1: little bit higher than what most people think. So let's

614
00:30:27,000 --> 00:30:29,080
Speaker 1: see if they can make good on then, Anthony, anything

615
00:30:29,080 --> 00:30:30,080
Speaker 1: to add there before we move on?

616
00:30:31,240 --> 00:30:33,760
Speaker 2: Are Everton plus one sixteen? How good is Cabert Loeum?

617
00:30:33,800 --> 00:30:36,680
Speaker 2: And he does play, he just changes the same.

618
00:30:38,440 --> 00:30:40,440
Speaker 1: It's just like a stylistic It's more of a stylistic

619
00:30:40,480 --> 00:30:43,600
Speaker 1: thing than anything, right, Like, he's he's so good at

620
00:30:43,680 --> 00:30:48,160
Speaker 1: at a couple of things that the team needs to

621
00:30:48,200 --> 00:30:48,920
Speaker 1: play their system.

622
00:30:49,320 --> 00:30:50,800
Speaker 2: Like part part of my thinking is that there just

623
00:30:50,840 --> 00:30:52,280
Speaker 2: isn't anybody else either.

624
00:30:53,920 --> 00:30:56,239
Speaker 4: Well, yeah, I mean if you know the strikers when

625
00:30:56,280 --> 00:30:59,000
Speaker 4: you're starting, you know Neil Mapai and others up top

626
00:30:59,120 --> 00:31:02,800
Speaker 4: last season, who just again, like we know what Sean

627
00:31:02,840 --> 00:31:03,360
Speaker 4: Diitch is.

628
00:31:03,880 --> 00:31:05,280
Speaker 3: He wants to play the ball along.

629
00:31:05,320 --> 00:31:07,280
Speaker 4: He wants to try to score off a set pieces

630
00:31:07,760 --> 00:31:11,320
Speaker 4: when you don't have good aerial threats, Like that's a problem.

631
00:31:11,520 --> 00:31:14,120
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I think it's about the exact opposite

632
00:31:14,840 --> 00:31:18,200
Speaker 1: blend of a striker compared to Calvert Lewin. I actually

633
00:31:18,240 --> 00:31:20,080
Speaker 1: think the two of them as a partnership would work well.

634
00:31:20,080 --> 00:31:22,040
Speaker 1: They just have never been able to play because because

635
00:31:22,080 --> 00:31:24,640
Speaker 1: Mouthpike can kind of be the little uh, you know,

636
00:31:25,080 --> 00:31:27,920
Speaker 1: Mosquito fleet kind of guy and pick up the balls

637
00:31:27,960 --> 00:31:32,400
Speaker 1: that Calvert Lewin's winning down in the box. But he

638
00:31:32,520 --> 00:31:35,200
Speaker 1: just he just changes the team. He makes He makes

639
00:31:35,200 --> 00:31:38,920
Speaker 1: his team makes everybody's life a lot simpler, which is

640
00:31:40,240 --> 00:31:44,360
Speaker 1: pretty important when you're when you're in a relegation fight

641
00:31:44,800 --> 00:31:48,840
Speaker 1: basically for well seven hundred and we're close to eight

642
00:31:48,960 --> 00:31:56,320
Speaker 1: hundred consecutive days basically onto onto another team, another matchup

643
00:31:56,320 --> 00:31:59,840
Speaker 1: where I think our pre season opinions on these two

644
00:31:59,840 --> 00:32:02,800
Speaker 1: team teams are at opposite ends of the spectrum. We

645
00:32:02,840 --> 00:32:06,000
Speaker 1: all like Bournemouth, we like we think that the ceiling's

646
00:32:06,000 --> 00:32:08,760
Speaker 1: pretty high for the Cherries compared to wear their price

647
00:32:08,800 --> 00:32:13,120
Speaker 1: in the market under Antoni Ireola, a former New York

648
00:32:13,160 --> 00:32:17,600
Speaker 1: City Football Club legend, his Cherries in his debut plus

649
00:32:17,600 --> 00:32:20,000
Speaker 1: one seventy at home west Ham plus one fifty five.

650
00:32:20,360 --> 00:32:22,920
Speaker 1: The draw is plus two forty. So as high as

651
00:32:22,920 --> 00:32:26,560
Speaker 1: we are on Bournemouth, we are pretty skeptical of west

652
00:32:26,600 --> 00:32:30,840
Speaker 1: Ham and that's saying something, especially for me. I've been

653
00:32:30,840 --> 00:32:33,400
Speaker 1: pretty high on on the Hammers the past two seasons

654
00:32:33,920 --> 00:32:38,440
Speaker 1: that we've been doing this podcast. But without Declan Rice

655
00:32:38,560 --> 00:32:42,760
Speaker 1: like this, this team completely changes and there's been nothing done.

656
00:32:43,480 --> 00:32:46,040
Speaker 1: I know, I know there's some some talk today about

657
00:32:48,160 --> 00:32:51,640
Speaker 1: some transfers in, but they're not going to no no

658
00:32:52,040 --> 00:32:57,560
Speaker 1: difference makers walking in that door for for Saturday. I

659
00:32:57,600 --> 00:32:59,400
Speaker 1: don't think that this team should be a road favorite

660
00:32:59,400 --> 00:33:01,920
Speaker 1: against basic any team in the Premier League as it

661
00:33:02,000 --> 00:33:04,400
Speaker 1: stands right now. Perhaps in like six weeks we have

662
00:33:04,480 --> 00:33:08,880
Speaker 1: a different conversations if they make some moves. But I'll

663
00:33:08,880 --> 00:33:12,040
Speaker 1: take bourn with as a plus one seventy home underdog

664
00:33:12,120 --> 00:33:18,320
Speaker 1: here and hope that the Antoni Rayola revolution gets off

665
00:33:18,360 --> 00:33:21,040
Speaker 1: and running. Anthony, what are your thoughts?

666
00:33:21,680 --> 00:33:24,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, West haven't quietly had really poor road form for

667
00:33:24,680 --> 00:33:27,840
Speaker 2: the better part of the last few years. Only they

668
00:33:27,880 --> 00:33:30,080
Speaker 2: have the worst. They have the most losses in the

669
00:33:30,120 --> 00:33:32,440
Speaker 2: last two seasons away from home of all teams who

670
00:33:32,480 --> 00:33:37,200
Speaker 2: have not been relegated, so you know they've been pretty

671
00:33:37,200 --> 00:33:39,400
Speaker 2: poor away from home. They did get it looks like

672
00:33:39,520 --> 00:33:42,360
Speaker 2: Edson Alvarez, but I don't think he's starting here. They're

673
00:33:42,360 --> 00:33:44,880
Speaker 2: in for mcdonmmin a. They may lose Pakatta now because

674
00:33:44,920 --> 00:33:49,280
Speaker 2: City wants to tap him up. Mckel antonio is potentially

675
00:33:49,280 --> 00:33:51,800
Speaker 2: benched for this match, so there's a lot of question

676
00:33:51,840 --> 00:33:54,120
Speaker 2: marks about what west Ham looks like. But what they

677
00:33:54,120 --> 00:33:59,200
Speaker 2: look like to me is a pretty mediocre midfield with

678
00:33:59,360 --> 00:34:06,160
Speaker 2: no real ball progression engines and no real striker. And thus,

679
00:34:06,280 --> 00:34:08,640
Speaker 2: you know, Bournemouth trending up in the right direction, new

680
00:34:08,680 --> 00:34:11,319
Speaker 2: manager coming in fresh whereas I think things are getting

681
00:34:11,320 --> 00:34:13,200
Speaker 2: a little stale with David Moyes's side. I know they

682
00:34:13,200 --> 00:34:16,200
Speaker 2: won the European Trophy, but I think there's some real

683
00:34:16,280 --> 00:34:18,440
Speaker 2: question marks about them, and there will be home spots.

684
00:34:18,480 --> 00:34:21,759
Speaker 2: To back west Ham for sure as an underdog, but

685
00:34:22,400 --> 00:34:25,400
Speaker 2: UH don't have a huge gap between these two teams.

686
00:34:26,120 --> 00:34:30,719
Speaker 2: Think that Bournemouth you're buying as a home slight home dog.

687
00:34:30,760 --> 00:34:32,400
Speaker 2: Basically pick them here. I like the Cherries.

688
00:34:32,920 --> 00:34:35,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, up the Cherries, BJ anything here before we move on.

689
00:34:36,520 --> 00:34:36,800
Speaker 3: Yeah.

690
00:34:36,840 --> 00:34:39,720
Speaker 4: So this is very interesting because I agree with everything

691
00:34:39,760 --> 00:34:41,600
Speaker 4: you guys are saying. I think has gotten a little

692
00:34:41,600 --> 00:34:43,560
Speaker 4: too short on Bournemouth. You know, if you go back

693
00:34:43,960 --> 00:34:46,279
Speaker 4: post World Cup went or post World Cup break, when

694
00:34:46,280 --> 00:34:49,080
Speaker 4: Bournemouth really started to find their form, you know, they

695
00:34:49,120 --> 00:34:51,600
Speaker 4: were still a minus fourteen expected gold official west Ham

696
00:34:51,680 --> 00:34:56,080
Speaker 4: was minus seven. So the gap in terms of, you know,

697
00:34:56,120 --> 00:34:58,800
Speaker 4: the underlying metrics last season from west Ham and Bournemouth

698
00:34:58,840 --> 00:35:00,680
Speaker 4: were pretty large.

699
00:35:00,880 --> 00:35:02,120
Speaker 3: And then now you.

700
00:35:02,080 --> 00:35:06,040
Speaker 4: Know, obviously for Bournemouth changing systems from a passive, low

701
00:35:06,080 --> 00:35:10,960
Speaker 4: block into a high pressure, high intensity pressing team. That

702
00:35:11,080 --> 00:35:13,680
Speaker 4: makes me a tad nervous if I'm somebody who's backing Burnemouth.

703
00:35:13,719 --> 00:35:15,560
Speaker 4: But again, the other side of the coin is, like

704
00:35:15,640 --> 00:35:18,880
Speaker 4: Anthony said, west Ham's got no ball ball progressors. They

705
00:35:18,880 --> 00:35:21,080
Speaker 4: have no press resistant guys that can play the ball

706
00:35:21,120 --> 00:35:24,040
Speaker 4: through the middle of the pitch, So Bournemouth pressure could

707
00:35:24,280 --> 00:35:26,279
Speaker 4: very easily went out here. So it's a I think

708
00:35:26,320 --> 00:35:28,160
Speaker 4: it's a very interesting match that I'm just gonna sit

709
00:35:28,200 --> 00:35:29,840
Speaker 4: back and watch. I really want to see what Bournemouth

710
00:35:29,840 --> 00:35:32,760
Speaker 4: looks like for one match before I decide to back them,

711
00:35:33,239 --> 00:35:34,400
Speaker 4: but we'll see what happens.

712
00:35:34,760 --> 00:35:38,000
Speaker 1: Yeah. I think bj you are the one who kind

713
00:35:38,000 --> 00:35:40,280
Speaker 1: of said this over the summer that Bournemouth has some

714
00:35:40,280 --> 00:35:43,160
Speaker 1: some Brentford potential to them now, and I think that's

715
00:35:43,200 --> 00:35:44,640
Speaker 1: a pretty good way to look at it, is that

716
00:35:45,080 --> 00:35:49,239
Speaker 1: they could be a team that really gives a lot

717
00:35:49,239 --> 00:35:52,680
Speaker 1: of teams that are better than them issues throughout the season.

718
00:35:52,760 --> 00:35:54,480
Speaker 1: It ends up finishing, you know, in that that mid

719
00:35:54,520 --> 00:35:57,160
Speaker 1: table and being the team that we do the most

720
00:35:57,200 --> 00:36:02,960
Speaker 1: pleasant surprise of the season. All right, another ten am kickoff.

721
00:36:03,040 --> 00:36:06,200
Speaker 1: Last one we'll talk about here is Sheffield United welcome back.

722
00:36:06,280 --> 00:36:09,520
Speaker 1: They are plus one eighty seven at home against Crystal

723
00:36:09,560 --> 00:36:12,440
Speaker 1: Palace who were plus one forty. The draw is plus

724
00:36:12,719 --> 00:36:16,200
Speaker 1: two forty. Palace kind of has a lot of similar

725
00:36:16,200 --> 00:36:21,239
Speaker 1: traits to west Ham to me, a team that we

726
00:36:21,280 --> 00:36:25,719
Speaker 1: all generally were high on going into last season for

727
00:36:25,840 --> 00:36:31,960
Speaker 1: good reason, and then they had such an unfortunate you know,

728
00:36:32,400 --> 00:36:34,600
Speaker 1: they lost the schedule lottery, which is hard to say

729
00:36:34,640 --> 00:36:38,759
Speaker 1: when every team plays everybody home and away, but the

730
00:36:38,760 --> 00:36:42,000
Speaker 1: way that their fixtures piled up, they ran that incredible

731
00:36:42,040 --> 00:36:46,120
Speaker 1: gauntlet that they just had no chance of looking good

732
00:36:46,200 --> 00:36:47,960
Speaker 1: or getting results out of it, and it ends up

733
00:36:48,080 --> 00:36:51,879
Speaker 1: costing Patrick Fierra's job, who we all thought was doing

734
00:36:51,880 --> 00:36:57,240
Speaker 1: a pretty decent work with Palace, especially the season before last.

735
00:36:57,920 --> 00:37:02,279
Speaker 1: And then comes Roy Hodgson. And as much as we

736
00:37:02,360 --> 00:37:04,919
Speaker 1: like Patrick Vieira as a as a manager and thought

737
00:37:04,920 --> 00:37:08,200
Speaker 1: he was doing a good job, I mean the smiles

738
00:37:08,239 --> 00:37:10,400
Speaker 1: on our faces to welcome back Roy Hodgson was just

739
00:37:10,640 --> 00:37:12,920
Speaker 1: it was such a peak. You know, you can't script

740
00:37:12,920 --> 00:37:15,279
Speaker 1: a Premier League moment. You can script the NFL all

741
00:37:15,280 --> 00:37:18,760
Speaker 1: you want, Anthony, you can script it from Hard Knocks

742
00:37:18,800 --> 00:37:21,600
Speaker 1: to the Super Bowl final play, but you cannot script

743
00:37:21,640 --> 00:37:26,839
Speaker 1: the Premier League. Generally speaking, I think all of us

744
00:37:26,840 --> 00:37:28,800
Speaker 1: are expecting Palace to have a little rough go, a

745
00:37:28,880 --> 00:37:33,480
Speaker 1: bit of a rough go of it. Sheffield United hard

746
00:37:34,440 --> 00:37:36,880
Speaker 1: to kind of guestimate where they're going to come out

747
00:37:36,880 --> 00:37:41,759
Speaker 1: of the blocks. They automatic promotion as BJ said that

748
00:37:41,880 --> 00:37:45,640
Speaker 1: they they have a statistical profile that wasn't too far

749
00:37:45,680 --> 00:37:51,080
Speaker 1: off of Burnley last championship season, and I think if

750
00:37:51,120 --> 00:37:53,400
Speaker 1: Burnley was the team hosting Crystal Palace here, this number

751
00:37:53,400 --> 00:37:57,160
Speaker 1: would almost be flipped or be much closer. So I

752
00:37:57,320 --> 00:38:00,680
Speaker 1: like United. I think you can find them north of

753
00:38:00,719 --> 00:38:03,319
Speaker 1: two to one around the market. I just wanted to

754
00:38:03,320 --> 00:38:06,000
Speaker 1: take on Palace here. As Anthony said, it's a good

755
00:38:06,000 --> 00:38:10,400
Speaker 1: week to back underdogs, especially at home. So give me

756
00:38:10,440 --> 00:38:13,680
Speaker 1: the Blades at a decent price. I'm just gonna try

757
00:38:13,680 --> 00:38:18,160
Speaker 1: to beat Crystal Palace early on until the numbers start

758
00:38:18,160 --> 00:38:23,000
Speaker 1: to tank a little bit. So yeah, another another newly

759
00:38:23,040 --> 00:38:24,880
Speaker 1: promoted side for me to bet here, two out of

760
00:38:24,920 --> 00:38:27,719
Speaker 1: the three right out of the gates, BJ, you're going

761
00:38:27,719 --> 00:38:28,719
Speaker 1: in a different direction here.

762
00:38:29,640 --> 00:38:29,879
Speaker 3: Yeah.

763
00:38:29,920 --> 00:38:35,400
Speaker 4: I don't know how either team scores here, honestly because

764
00:38:35,960 --> 00:38:38,080
Speaker 4: Crystal Palace we talked about it. You know, towards the

765
00:38:38,120 --> 00:38:40,920
Speaker 4: end of last season, they were really good when they

766
00:38:40,960 --> 00:38:43,160
Speaker 4: had to play lesser competition. You know, they had that

767
00:38:43,160 --> 00:38:44,920
Speaker 4: obviously that great stretch run at the end of the

768
00:38:44,920 --> 00:38:47,960
Speaker 4: season that almost they almost hit their point total. But

769
00:38:48,440 --> 00:38:50,319
Speaker 4: against the bottom eight offense is in the Premier League

770
00:38:50,400 --> 00:38:52,759
Speaker 4: last season, Palace only allowed zero point nine to four

771
00:38:53,480 --> 00:38:55,880
Speaker 4: expected goals per ninety minutes. Like they were not a

772
00:38:55,920 --> 00:38:59,760
Speaker 4: bad defensive team. They still have their center back partnership

773
00:38:59,800 --> 00:39:01,560
Speaker 4: that's together now. This is going to be year three

774
00:39:01,560 --> 00:39:02,560
Speaker 4: with Anderson.

775
00:39:02,160 --> 00:39:03,560
Speaker 3: And gay Hee.

776
00:39:04,200 --> 00:39:06,760
Speaker 4: Check De Correy was one of the more underrated defensive

777
00:39:06,800 --> 00:39:09,600
Speaker 4: midfielders in the Premier League. Less season, ninety seven percent

778
00:39:09,640 --> 00:39:12,920
Speaker 4: TILE in terms of interceptions, eighty fifth percent TILE in

779
00:39:13,000 --> 00:39:15,840
Speaker 4: terms of tackles per ninety really really good solid defensive

780
00:39:15,840 --> 00:39:20,320
Speaker 4: option Sheffield United, Bill Michael.

781
00:39:20,320 --> 00:39:21,800
Speaker 3: They do have a good statistical.

782
00:39:21,360 --> 00:39:25,000
Speaker 4: Profile and they're a team that is good out of possession,

783
00:39:25,040 --> 00:39:26,880
Speaker 4: doesn't need the ball, can play a five three two,

784
00:39:26,960 --> 00:39:31,640
Speaker 4: play five at the back offensively. Let's go down the

785
00:39:31,680 --> 00:39:34,719
Speaker 4: list here. They just sold and died to Marseille, who

786
00:39:34,840 --> 00:39:38,160
Speaker 4: was fourteen goals, eleven assists point four x g plus

787
00:39:38,320 --> 00:39:42,040
Speaker 4: expected assist per ninety minute rate in the Championship. He's gone,

788
00:39:42,600 --> 00:39:45,919
Speaker 4: so now we'll move on. Oliver McBurney scored thirteen goals.

789
00:39:45,920 --> 00:39:48,880
Speaker 4: He's questionable to play in this match. Next leading goalscorer

790
00:39:49,200 --> 00:39:52,239
Speaker 4: James McAtee scored nine goals from the midfield position. He

791
00:39:52,360 --> 00:39:54,439
Speaker 4: was on loan from Manchester City last season. They didn't

792
00:39:54,440 --> 00:39:58,879
Speaker 4: make his transfer permanent. And then finally sander Burge he's

793
00:39:58,920 --> 00:40:01,640
Speaker 4: going to Burnley. He won't sign a new contract. So

794
00:40:01,680 --> 00:40:04,920
Speaker 4: who does Sheffield United have left? Ryan Brewster, who is

795
00:40:04,920 --> 00:40:06,600
Speaker 4: their big signing like two years ago. He's injured for

796
00:40:06,640 --> 00:40:09,640
Speaker 4: this match too. I don't know how they score, I really,

797
00:40:09,640 --> 00:40:12,640
Speaker 4: honestly don't unless it's off of some Fluke set piece,

798
00:40:12,640 --> 00:40:16,160
Speaker 4: because we all know Palace to struggles with corners in Palace.

799
00:40:16,200 --> 00:40:17,640
Speaker 4: I mean, Anthony hit the nail on the head in

800
00:40:17,680 --> 00:40:21,759
Speaker 4: our preview pod. But Wilford Zaha is gone to galatass

801
00:40:21,840 --> 00:40:25,160
Speaker 4: rye zero point twenty seven x g per nine minute

802
00:40:25,200 --> 00:40:27,600
Speaker 4: scoring rate last season. That doesn't sound good, but that

803
00:40:27,719 --> 00:40:30,120
Speaker 4: was the best Crystal Palace had. That's how bad they

804
00:40:30,120 --> 00:40:32,680
Speaker 4: were offensively. Michael Elise is going to be injured for

805
00:40:32,719 --> 00:40:34,920
Speaker 4: this match. He had eleven assists for them last season,

806
00:40:35,000 --> 00:40:37,640
Speaker 4: was their best ball creator. So now you're just gonna

807
00:40:37,640 --> 00:40:41,239
Speaker 4: be relying on Edward and and Esse to be all

808
00:40:41,280 --> 00:40:43,640
Speaker 4: of your offense here against the team that's gonna play

809
00:40:43,760 --> 00:40:47,239
Speaker 4: very very compact. Gosh, I don't know. I don't know

810
00:40:47,280 --> 00:40:48,920
Speaker 4: what's gonna happen here. So I like under two and

811
00:40:48,920 --> 00:40:51,279
Speaker 4: a half goals, you know, minus one thirty five. I'm

812
00:40:51,320 --> 00:40:53,600
Speaker 4: also gonna do the Michael Lebos special and take the

813
00:40:53,719 --> 00:40:55,800
Speaker 4: nil nil draw at which you can find at plus

814
00:40:55,840 --> 00:40:59,520
Speaker 4: seven fifty at bet three sixty five, because I'm only

815
00:40:59,520 --> 00:41:03,959
Speaker 4: projecting point seven goals here. I really, honestly, I really

816
00:41:04,000 --> 00:41:06,160
Speaker 4: don't honestly know how either of these teams score. I

817
00:41:06,200 --> 00:41:09,440
Speaker 4: really don't like it's it's it's just puzzling me as

818
00:41:09,480 --> 00:41:11,560
Speaker 4: I'm going through this. So I'm just gonna been on

819
00:41:11,560 --> 00:41:13,600
Speaker 4: a low event, which means you all should probably bet

820
00:41:13,600 --> 00:41:15,439
Speaker 4: like over four and a half goals, like twenty five

821
00:41:15,480 --> 00:41:17,160
Speaker 4: to one, and this will probably end up being a thriller.

822
00:41:17,200 --> 00:41:19,200
Speaker 3: But I really don't see it.

823
00:41:20,040 --> 00:41:23,120
Speaker 2: The nil mil to two point one oh for me

824
00:41:23,560 --> 00:41:24,080
Speaker 2: two point one.

825
00:41:24,120 --> 00:41:24,680
Speaker 3: Oh, there you go.

826
00:41:25,239 --> 00:41:27,920
Speaker 1: The nil nil is you know, we're talking about sweating

827
00:41:28,160 --> 00:41:32,160
Speaker 1: those the extended injury time, we're gonna be betting. I

828
00:41:32,160 --> 00:41:34,319
Speaker 1: would say, by the end of season's end, close to

829
00:41:34,440 --> 00:41:37,600
Speaker 1: you know, twelve fifteen or so, I have nil nil

830
00:41:37,840 --> 00:41:42,359
Speaker 1: uh bets throughout like not just the Premier League, but uh,

831
00:41:42,840 --> 00:41:45,840
Speaker 1: you know, Champions League, et cetera. Those are going to

832
00:41:45,880 --> 00:41:50,520
Speaker 1: be torture, just absolute torture for the for the millions

833
00:41:50,520 --> 00:41:53,120
Speaker 1: and millions of people who bet nil nils all the time.

834
00:41:53,680 --> 00:41:56,400
Speaker 1: Good luck Bjay with that. I think what you were

835
00:41:56,440 --> 00:41:58,759
Speaker 1: saying kind of leads into why I like United here.

836
00:41:58,800 --> 00:42:01,200
Speaker 1: I think that this match is a coin flip and

837
00:42:01,560 --> 00:42:07,560
Speaker 1: I'll take the home dog in that situation. Anthony, anything here, Blades.

838
00:42:07,560 --> 00:42:10,560
Speaker 2: Unier or nothing, I'm gonna look into some under alts

839
00:42:10,800 --> 00:42:14,080
Speaker 2: because the wine is starting to move here under one

840
00:42:14,120 --> 00:42:17,719
Speaker 2: and a half. Under a half, I agree. I don't

841
00:42:17,719 --> 00:42:21,080
Speaker 2: really see much tag here either, but you can get

842
00:42:21,080 --> 00:42:23,560
Speaker 2: some weird results the first week of the season. But yeah,

843
00:42:23,560 --> 00:42:27,040
Speaker 2: this is definitely an under for me or nothing.

844
00:42:27,840 --> 00:42:30,880
Speaker 1: All right. The twelve thirty kickoff is Newcastle at home

845
00:42:31,040 --> 00:42:35,120
Speaker 1: minus one thirty four take on Aston Villa plus three

846
00:42:35,280 --> 00:42:38,160
Speaker 1: seventy five the Druss plus two sixty. Of course, these

847
00:42:38,200 --> 00:42:40,560
Speaker 1: odds are from our friends at Bet three sixty five.

848
00:42:41,400 --> 00:42:44,200
Speaker 1: One thing just generally is that you know, you look

849
00:42:44,239 --> 00:42:47,000
Speaker 1: at the teams that have that have the standalone fixed

850
00:42:47,520 --> 00:42:53,640
Speaker 1: time slots in the slate the first of the season, City, Arsenal,

851
00:42:54,840 --> 00:42:57,880
Speaker 1: Chelsea and Lip versus Liverpool United gets the Monday night

852
00:42:57,920 --> 00:43:01,400
Speaker 1: football spot and then Spurs nine am on Sunday and

853
00:43:01,480 --> 00:43:06,840
Speaker 1: then there's Newcastle. So it tells you where the league

854
00:43:06,880 --> 00:43:13,080
Speaker 1: and the bean counters think Newcastle's going, because they're getting

855
00:43:13,239 --> 00:43:16,959
Speaker 1: a prime spot here on match week one. It would

856
00:43:16,960 --> 00:43:18,759
Speaker 1: be Villa or nothing for me here. And this is

857
00:43:18,960 --> 00:43:23,839
Speaker 1: simply because I think it's it's when you're betting match

858
00:43:23,840 --> 00:43:27,960
Speaker 1: week one, it's so much more pencil and paper handicapping

859
00:43:28,000 --> 00:43:31,279
Speaker 1: than you're looking at numbers because we just don't have

860
00:43:31,320 --> 00:43:33,799
Speaker 1: a data set yet and fluky things happen in match

861
00:43:33,840 --> 00:43:36,719
Speaker 1: week one. But I want to see where this price goes,

862
00:43:36,719 --> 00:43:37,800
Speaker 1: because I think you might be able to get a

863
00:43:37,840 --> 00:43:42,040
Speaker 1: little bit bigger as we get towards kickoff. And I

864
00:43:42,120 --> 00:43:45,120
Speaker 1: just think Villa are good enough that the gap between

865
00:43:45,160 --> 00:43:47,719
Speaker 1: that palace or excuse me, Newcastle being like the third

866
00:43:47,760 --> 00:43:49,600
Speaker 1: or fourth best team and then Villa being like around

867
00:43:49,640 --> 00:43:52,959
Speaker 1: eighth or ninth, it's it looks a little wide given

868
00:43:53,000 --> 00:43:55,040
Speaker 1: the circumstances that it's the first week of the season.

869
00:43:55,080 --> 00:43:58,319
Speaker 1: So I'll take a deep breath and just kind of

870
00:43:58,320 --> 00:44:01,239
Speaker 1: focus on the other underdogs for but I'm sure by

871
00:44:01,400 --> 00:44:02,919
Speaker 1: by the time we kick off, I'll be in Villa,

872
00:44:02,960 --> 00:44:06,040
Speaker 1: which I know is the opposite direction of where you're going. BJ.

873
00:44:06,560 --> 00:44:08,040
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think the price is kind of short here

874
00:44:08,040 --> 00:44:11,520
Speaker 4: on Newcastle. Let's first talk about Villa. You know, we

875
00:44:11,920 --> 00:44:13,680
Speaker 4: I kind of mentioned in a point total draft, but

876
00:44:14,440 --> 00:44:16,880
Speaker 4: Villa is in an interesting spot right now with the

877
00:44:16,920 --> 00:44:18,839
Speaker 4: summer signings they come in. You know, they obviously bring

878
00:44:18,880 --> 00:44:22,000
Speaker 4: in Powa Torres, Musadiabi, Jerie Tilleman's who all looks like

879
00:44:22,520 --> 00:44:25,680
Speaker 4: fantastic signings, and they are. But the system is going

880
00:44:25,719 --> 00:44:27,480
Speaker 4: to have to change for aston Villa, and you've seen

881
00:44:27,520 --> 00:44:30,920
Speaker 4: that in their last two preseason matches before this one.

882
00:44:31,440 --> 00:44:33,279
Speaker 4: Essentially the gist of is this, and the t Faux

883
00:44:33,280 --> 00:44:35,239
Speaker 4: guys did a fantastic job breaking this down if you

884
00:44:35,239 --> 00:44:37,920
Speaker 4: want to go watch that, But essentially, Power Torres is

885
00:44:38,000 --> 00:44:40,600
Speaker 4: always played as a left center back. Well so is

886
00:44:40,640 --> 00:44:43,640
Speaker 4: Tyrone Mings. Neither of them have ever played at right

887
00:44:43,719 --> 00:44:45,960
Speaker 4: center back. So if you start Powo Torres, you obviously

888
00:44:46,000 --> 00:44:49,000
Speaker 4: have great ball progressor great passer from the left center

889
00:44:49,000 --> 00:44:51,200
Speaker 4: back position, but he's not a great defender. He's not

890
00:44:51,239 --> 00:44:53,799
Speaker 4: a great aerial defender, and that's something Tyrone Mings is

891
00:44:53,840 --> 00:44:57,439
Speaker 4: absolutely elite at. He's ninety fourth percentile an aerial dual

892
00:44:57,440 --> 00:45:02,040
Speaker 4: win percentage, while Powell Torres thirty second percent. So what

893
00:45:02,120 --> 00:45:04,680
Speaker 4: Unayamori has done in his last two matches, as he said, okay,

894
00:45:05,760 --> 00:45:07,120
Speaker 4: I'm going to try to start three at the back,

895
00:45:07,160 --> 00:45:10,359
Speaker 4: which he's never ever done as a manager. He's gonna

896
00:45:10,360 --> 00:45:12,319
Speaker 4: play Console on the right, Palal tore is gonna left,

897
00:45:12,320 --> 00:45:15,880
Speaker 4: and Tyro Mings in the center. Changing a system and

898
00:45:15,960 --> 00:45:19,440
Speaker 4: being a predominantly build up style team going up against

899
00:45:19,440 --> 00:45:22,719
Speaker 4: a team like Newcastle, how physical and how good they

900
00:45:22,719 --> 00:45:25,000
Speaker 4: are with their pressing top five and pass per defensive

901
00:45:25,040 --> 00:45:29,200
Speaker 4: action and high turnovers last season, it's a really really

902
00:45:29,280 --> 00:45:32,160
Speaker 4: dangerous thing, dangerous game to play. And you know, if

903
00:45:32,200 --> 00:45:34,800
Speaker 4: you go back to last season, Villa did beat Newcastle

904
00:45:34,840 --> 00:45:36,920
Speaker 4: three nothing. It was very impressive performance, but that always

905
00:45:36,920 --> 00:45:39,239
Speaker 4: at Villa Park. Now you're coming to Saint James Park,

906
00:45:39,239 --> 00:45:41,160
Speaker 4: which is one of the most hostile environments in the

907
00:45:41,160 --> 00:45:45,880
Speaker 4: Premier League, and Newcastle had the second best underlying metrics

908
00:45:45,880 --> 00:45:48,960
Speaker 4: at home of only City plus one point four to

909
00:45:48,960 --> 00:45:52,839
Speaker 4: six expected gold official prenatimants. They just torch teams at

910
00:45:52,840 --> 00:45:57,480
Speaker 4: Saint James Park. So I like Newcastle here, I'm projecting

911
00:45:57,520 --> 00:45:59,359
Speaker 4: them a minus one seventy. Villa is gonna be without

912
00:45:59,440 --> 00:46:02,440
Speaker 4: Jacob Ram and Alex Moreno to very key players and

913
00:46:02,440 --> 00:46:05,680
Speaker 4: they're starting eleven. I think it's a really bad spot

914
00:46:05,680 --> 00:46:08,239
Speaker 4: here for Villa changing his system, coming in having having

915
00:46:08,280 --> 00:46:10,440
Speaker 4: to try to build up against a team that is

916
00:46:10,440 --> 00:46:14,440
Speaker 4: good at pressing like Newcastle is. So give me anyhow

917
00:46:14,440 --> 00:46:16,280
Speaker 4: in the Magpies at minus one thirty.

918
00:46:16,040 --> 00:46:21,799
Speaker 1: Five, Anthony anything here Before we turn the page to Sunday.

919
00:46:22,640 --> 00:46:24,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm closer to bj than you on this one.

920
00:46:25,120 --> 00:46:26,840
Speaker 2: There is a lot of variance in Week one, but

921
00:46:27,280 --> 00:46:29,440
Speaker 2: higher than the market on Newcastle, lower than the market

922
00:46:29,440 --> 00:46:31,799
Speaker 2: on Villa. The result of that means that I have

923
00:46:31,840 --> 00:46:35,400
Speaker 2: this number higher. I agree on the matchup not being great.

924
00:46:36,480 --> 00:46:38,400
Speaker 2: If you're able to play through it, they can, you know,

925
00:46:38,440 --> 00:46:44,440
Speaker 2: generate a bunch against this Villa team, but overall no interest.

926
00:46:45,280 --> 00:46:47,080
Speaker 1: All right, well maybe you guys have talked me out

927
00:46:47,120 --> 00:46:50,479
Speaker 1: of a bet on Villa, so I don't know. Villa

928
00:46:50,560 --> 00:46:53,080
Speaker 1: did kind of torch them at a Villa park, so

929
00:46:53,560 --> 00:46:55,360
Speaker 1: all right, maybe I'm back in and half of the season,

930
00:46:55,680 --> 00:46:58,720
Speaker 1: who knows. Yeah, we'll see. I think that this Nevers

931
00:46:58,719 --> 00:47:02,680
Speaker 1: movie towards Newcastle workuard, so we'll wait see.

932
00:47:02,880 --> 00:47:05,319
Speaker 2: Certainly, Newcastle was a team that saw a lot of

933
00:47:05,320 --> 00:47:07,560
Speaker 2: market respect in the final hours leading up to kick

934
00:47:07,600 --> 00:47:10,879
Speaker 2: off last season, so if that rebeats then you'd be right.

935
00:47:12,280 --> 00:47:17,720
Speaker 1: Sunday nine am Anthony super Bowl. His Twitter profile picture

936
00:47:17,800 --> 00:47:20,200
Speaker 1: is a picture of him wearing a Brentford jersey.

937
00:47:20,840 --> 00:47:22,560
Speaker 2: They're plus up a Brentford jersey.

938
00:47:23,680 --> 00:47:26,040
Speaker 1: It looks like you're wearing it from afar.

939
00:47:26,480 --> 00:47:29,480
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's his second favorite team versus his third favorite team.

940
00:47:29,560 --> 00:47:31,680
Speaker 1: Yeah, exactly. If only we could have made this a

941
00:47:31,680 --> 00:47:35,040
Speaker 1: three way, you know, title match for the for the

942
00:47:35,040 --> 00:47:39,759
Speaker 1: Belt between Liverpool Brentford and Spurs Brentford plus twenty eighty

943
00:47:39,760 --> 00:47:42,880
Speaker 1: seven Spurs plus one thirty seven on the road the

944
00:47:42,960 --> 00:47:46,560
Speaker 1: draws plus two forty. If you're a regular listener to

945
00:47:46,680 --> 00:47:50,200
Speaker 1: this podcast, you probably saw this match and assume that

946
00:47:50,239 --> 00:47:52,720
Speaker 1: all three of us would be on the the bes

947
00:47:52,760 --> 00:47:57,919
Speaker 1: here as a home underdog against Spurs. But I think

948
00:47:58,000 --> 00:48:02,120
Speaker 1: Spurs are a team. I'm they're a play on team

949
00:48:02,120 --> 00:48:07,080
Speaker 1: for me. Like I think that. Think about who who's

950
00:48:07,239 --> 00:48:10,759
Speaker 1: been managing this team for past what six years or

951
00:48:10,800 --> 00:48:13,640
Speaker 1: so since since Poachatina left?

952
00:48:13,680 --> 00:48:15,600
Speaker 2: Right, it's not six years, It's like it's like two

953
00:48:15,600 --> 00:48:16,480
Speaker 2: and a half three.

954
00:48:16,880 --> 00:48:19,759
Speaker 1: How long is it? It feels a lot longer than that. Well,

955
00:48:19,800 --> 00:48:21,880
Speaker 1: you know what it's been. It's been like six managers and.

956
00:48:22,000 --> 00:48:24,640
Speaker 2: The fall of twenty twenty there you go, So.

957
00:48:26,120 --> 00:48:30,680
Speaker 1: Whatever, it's been four years, Marino, you know Conte, like

958
00:48:31,080 --> 00:48:36,080
Speaker 1: Brian Mason, in and out, this team's been in dealing

959
00:48:36,120 --> 00:48:42,800
Speaker 1: with some very negative negative I don't want to say negative.

960
00:48:43,000 --> 00:48:46,400
Speaker 2: Negative, yeah, negative, not like negative, like they hate the

961
00:48:46,480 --> 00:48:48,439
Speaker 2: team and talk shitrag negative.

962
00:48:48,160 --> 00:48:50,160
Speaker 1: Progative addicts, Yeah, pragmatic.

963
00:48:50,320 --> 00:48:52,280
Speaker 2: Just like you don't want the ball, you can have ball.

964
00:48:52,680 --> 00:48:55,239
Speaker 2: I'll tell you what. I watched the match today and

965
00:48:55,440 --> 00:48:57,919
Speaker 2: ball had me real excited. Now I'm trying to tell

966
00:48:57,920 --> 00:48:59,800
Speaker 2: you I was trying to tell you our defenders.

967
00:49:00,160 --> 00:49:03,719
Speaker 4: This comes down to Michael loves himself and plus the Coglo.

968
00:49:03,800 --> 00:49:07,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, and look, I love the the tactics. I thought

969
00:49:07,680 --> 00:49:10,040
Speaker 2: we we kind of were cooking Barsa for a while

970
00:49:10,080 --> 00:49:14,239
Speaker 2: and like out possessing Barcelona. It's kind of wild. Now

971
00:49:14,280 --> 00:49:17,239
Speaker 2: the defense, uh is super duper flawed and that's going

972
00:49:17,320 --> 00:49:20,600
Speaker 2: to be ultimately the main problem with the early stage

973
00:49:20,640 --> 00:49:23,480
Speaker 2: of the plus calgo era. I look to play the over,

974
00:49:23,600 --> 00:49:26,640
Speaker 2: but it's a little juiced. I'm probably gonna end up

975
00:49:26,640 --> 00:49:28,440
Speaker 2: waiting and seeing. But if this gets to pick minus

976
00:49:28,480 --> 00:49:32,960
Speaker 2: one ten, I will be betting Tottenham because Brentford without

977
00:49:32,960 --> 00:49:36,399
Speaker 2: Tony are not nearly as good and this market's gotten

978
00:49:36,400 --> 00:49:40,520
Speaker 2: a little crazy. Bj For me, it has like I know,

979
00:49:40,560 --> 00:49:43,200
Speaker 2: it used to get Brentford plus a half and they

980
00:49:43,239 --> 00:49:45,040
Speaker 2: would get the draw and you'd be like, yes, you

981
00:49:45,040 --> 00:49:47,040
Speaker 2: know what a result, or they pull the win you'd

982
00:49:47,040 --> 00:49:51,239
Speaker 2: be like yes, brilliant, but now like they're barely even underdogs. Yeah,

983
00:49:51,280 --> 00:49:53,080
Speaker 2: and I think the market's just gotten a little drunk

984
00:49:53,080 --> 00:49:57,040
Speaker 2: on the Bees. So I am Tottenham or nothing here.

985
00:49:58,040 --> 00:50:00,560
Speaker 1: I think I'm on Tottenham. I'm gonna bet the Spurs

986
00:50:00,560 --> 00:50:04,759
Speaker 1: my floors. Uh. And I'm gonna bet the Spurs money line.

987
00:50:04,760 --> 00:50:07,279
Speaker 1: I think I might play, uh, you know, split the

988
00:50:07,360 --> 00:50:09,120
Speaker 1: union on a minus one and a half as well.

989
00:50:11,200 --> 00:50:15,200
Speaker 1: I could see it. I'm telling you, man, just some

990
00:50:15,239 --> 00:50:17,960
Speaker 1: positivity in this in this camp is going to do something,

991
00:50:19,080 --> 00:50:21,920
Speaker 1: uh for Spurs. And you think about the attacking talent

992
00:50:22,000 --> 00:50:27,520
Speaker 1: they had, Like why when you're playing pragmatic or it's

993
00:50:27,520 --> 00:50:29,200
Speaker 1: antony wants to call it negative? I hate, just hate

994
00:50:29,200 --> 00:50:36,720
Speaker 1: saying negative defense first approach to soccer diabolical.

995
00:50:37,920 --> 00:50:40,240
Speaker 2: I was talking to a friend of the pod, Brody Miller,

996
00:50:40,440 --> 00:50:44,719
Speaker 2: about Tottenham today, oh gosh and uh, and we were

997
00:50:44,719 --> 00:50:47,560
Speaker 2: both in agreement that like, whether we win more or

998
00:50:47,560 --> 00:50:49,440
Speaker 2: lose more, like it's gonna be way more fun.

999
00:50:49,560 --> 00:50:50,640
Speaker 1: It'll be a breath of fresh air.

1000
00:50:50,680 --> 00:50:52,920
Speaker 2: I want to be entertained. I'm tired of like boring

1001
00:50:53,760 --> 00:50:56,680
Speaker 2: ass teams. Arcane doesn't thing every once in a while,

1002
00:50:56,680 --> 00:50:58,320
Speaker 2: and that's like the only chance we have of scoring,

1003
00:50:58,440 --> 00:51:01,920
Speaker 2: so uh yeah to the baby, we're back. We're playing

1004
00:51:01,960 --> 00:51:04,239
Speaker 2: our brand of footy. We're not gonna win that much.

1005
00:51:05,040 --> 00:51:08,719
Speaker 1: I just flawed, but I think you'll be able to

1006
00:51:08,920 --> 00:51:12,879
Speaker 1: outscore your problem against supposed to teams. Because to think

1007
00:51:12,920 --> 00:51:17,680
Speaker 1: that people forget that this team has so much attacking talenting.

1008
00:51:16,920 --> 00:51:19,840
Speaker 2: On Madison, like they are loaded.

1009
00:51:19,960 --> 00:51:22,839
Speaker 1: This is a team that should just go out there

1010
00:51:22,840 --> 00:51:24,439
Speaker 1: and and store almost.

1011
00:51:24,080 --> 00:51:25,880
Speaker 2: Like they're a team that's not built to play the

1012
00:51:25,920 --> 00:51:28,640
Speaker 2: way that content Reno had made them play for the

1013
00:51:28,719 --> 00:51:29,680
Speaker 2: multiple seasons.

1014
00:51:30,920 --> 00:51:33,359
Speaker 1: I'm glad you finally seen the light here. It took

1015
00:51:33,400 --> 00:51:35,279
Speaker 1: a week. It took a weekend for me to get

1016
00:51:35,280 --> 00:51:35,719
Speaker 1: it took me.

1017
00:51:35,760 --> 00:51:37,680
Speaker 2: It took me watching like forty five minutes of the

1018
00:51:37,880 --> 00:51:40,160
Speaker 2: of the match today against Barcelona to be all the

1019
00:51:40,200 --> 00:51:42,839
Speaker 2: way back in. And the more, the more that I've done,

1020
00:51:43,640 --> 00:51:45,799
Speaker 2: and I added some Tottenham plus one fifty to finish

1021
00:51:45,800 --> 00:51:48,160
Speaker 2: above Chelsea with the Kunku news and the Cane news,

1022
00:51:48,400 --> 00:51:50,160
Speaker 2: I think it's pretty significant now. And like I think

1023
00:51:50,160 --> 00:51:55,640
Speaker 2: Tottenham's gonna have way more attacking firepower than Chelsea.

1024
00:51:54,560 --> 00:51:57,840
Speaker 1: But bect them to win the league? Why not?

1025
00:51:58,800 --> 00:52:02,880
Speaker 2: Uh that our center backs today were still Davidson, Sanjo's

1026
00:52:02,880 --> 00:52:04,760
Speaker 2: and Eric Dyer for a team that wants.

1027
00:52:04,600 --> 00:52:06,759
Speaker 3: To have the ball. Van devends on his way on.

1028
00:52:07,280 --> 00:52:10,759
Speaker 2: Yeah, and I'm looking again. I think Tottenham is going

1029
00:52:10,840 --> 00:52:14,160
Speaker 2: to be a good buy team going forward, but I

1030
00:52:14,200 --> 00:52:16,080
Speaker 2: still I still have my question marks about the defense

1031
00:52:16,160 --> 00:52:16,400
Speaker 2: right now?

1032
00:52:16,960 --> 00:52:18,759
Speaker 1: Where was this Anthony on the other side of the

1033
00:52:18,800 --> 00:52:21,440
Speaker 1: weekend when I was trying to say this Spurs team.

1034
00:52:21,360 --> 00:52:23,640
Speaker 2: Well, I didn't. I agreed that you're buying at the floor.

1035
00:52:23,680 --> 00:52:24,400
Speaker 1: I just had to wait.

1036
00:52:24,400 --> 00:52:25,480
Speaker 2: They have no ceilings.

1037
00:52:27,040 --> 00:52:29,840
Speaker 1: Way for Brody Miller to convince you, kuld of, just

1038
00:52:29,880 --> 00:52:32,480
Speaker 1: wait for your your co host here to explain that

1039
00:52:32,560 --> 00:52:34,600
Speaker 1: this is this is a team that made a great

1040
00:52:34,680 --> 00:52:40,040
Speaker 1: managerial higher. Think about ang Andre's Celtic team against City

1041
00:52:40,080 --> 00:52:42,520
Speaker 1: that that first or I'm sorry, in that city who's

1042
00:52:42,520 --> 00:52:44,680
Speaker 1: a real Madrid in the Champions League that first match

1043
00:52:44,719 --> 00:52:47,120
Speaker 1: where they were just running rampant and then ended up

1044
00:52:47,160 --> 00:52:51,000
Speaker 1: losing because they hit eighteen crossbars. God, what a night

1045
00:52:51,080 --> 00:52:55,320
Speaker 1: that was Spurs. Anyways, so Anthony and I are on

1046
00:52:55,719 --> 00:52:59,400
Speaker 1: Tottenham here. I think Spurs are are going to be

1047
00:52:59,440 --> 00:53:02,239
Speaker 1: a a team You're gonna want to back a lot

1048
00:53:02,239 --> 00:53:05,879
Speaker 1: out of the gates and that never goes wrong, bj

1049
00:53:06,560 --> 00:53:07,680
Speaker 1: What are your thoughts?

1050
00:53:08,160 --> 00:53:10,000
Speaker 4: Yeah, you know, if you follow in the app, you

1051
00:53:10,239 --> 00:53:12,359
Speaker 4: probably know. I've already bet Brentford John and beat at

1052
00:53:12,360 --> 00:53:17,120
Speaker 4: plus one fourteen. I agree see that the market's gotten

1053
00:53:17,120 --> 00:53:19,839
Speaker 4: a little drunk on Brentford here, and I think we

1054
00:53:19,920 --> 00:53:21,680
Speaker 4: might just get a straight pick them by the time

1055
00:53:22,600 --> 00:53:25,919
Speaker 4: this comes around. But I mean, listen, Brentford won four

1056
00:53:25,960 --> 00:53:28,080
Speaker 4: matches at home against the Big Six last season. They

1057
00:53:28,080 --> 00:53:32,360
Speaker 4: beat City, Tottenham, Liverpool and United. Like they're outside of Brighton.

1058
00:53:32,400 --> 00:53:34,640
Speaker 4: They're the best team against the Big Six. And listen,

1059
00:53:35,440 --> 00:53:37,600
Speaker 4: And this is something I find funny when I'm watching

1060
00:53:37,640 --> 00:53:38,800
Speaker 4: transfer market activity.

1061
00:53:39,600 --> 00:53:41,840
Speaker 3: Are teams like Brentford and Brighton. They're no dummies.

1062
00:53:41,920 --> 00:53:44,120
Speaker 4: They know exactly when their players and they know when

1063
00:53:44,120 --> 00:53:46,000
Speaker 4: people want to are going to have their players. They

1064
00:53:46,000 --> 00:53:49,640
Speaker 4: already got Riya's replacement in this window, Mark Fleckin coming

1065
00:53:49,680 --> 00:53:51,399
Speaker 4: over from Freiburg, so it's not gonna be that big

1066
00:53:51,400 --> 00:53:54,120
Speaker 4: of a loss for them. They signed Kevin Shadey last

1067
00:53:54,120 --> 00:53:56,879
Speaker 4: season from also from Freiburg, who's a very similar team

1068
00:53:56,880 --> 00:53:59,360
Speaker 4: to how bright Brentford plays, So Brentford just kind of

1069
00:53:59,400 --> 00:54:02,319
Speaker 4: keeps stealing all of their best players. He's a good,

1070
00:54:02,440 --> 00:54:07,080
Speaker 4: tall striker who's good on set pieces, and I mean listen,

1071
00:54:07,160 --> 00:54:10,520
Speaker 4: like I think that the buy opportunity on Tottenham is

1072
00:54:10,560 --> 00:54:13,000
Speaker 4: not this week, it's next week, Michael.

1073
00:54:13,520 --> 00:54:13,920
Speaker 1: We'll be there.

1074
00:54:14,000 --> 00:54:16,400
Speaker 3: Ye I've already heard them because they're hosting United.

1075
00:54:16,400 --> 00:54:19,000
Speaker 1: And yeah, just because just because just because you're betting

1076
00:54:19,040 --> 00:54:21,800
Speaker 1: them next week, it doesn't mean you can't. You can't.

1077
00:54:22,880 --> 00:54:25,239
Speaker 4: What I want to say here is that, Okay, so Tottenham,

1078
00:54:25,400 --> 00:54:29,000
Speaker 4: they are going through this transition period right you want

1079
00:54:29,040 --> 00:54:32,520
Speaker 4: to high pressing, high intensity, and like Anthony mentioned, their

1080
00:54:32,600 --> 00:54:35,719
Speaker 4: center back situations. The problem right now, Brentford is not

1081
00:54:35,800 --> 00:54:37,319
Speaker 4: the team you want to play when you're going through

1082
00:54:37,360 --> 00:54:40,120
Speaker 4: a transitional period from different styles and having bad center

1083
00:54:40,160 --> 00:54:40,680
Speaker 4: backs like they.

1084
00:54:40,880 --> 00:54:43,720
Speaker 2: You never want to play Brentford. You never want to

1085
00:54:43,560 --> 00:54:43,920
Speaker 2: want to play.

1086
00:54:44,520 --> 00:54:45,879
Speaker 3: I mean, Totenham is only want to play.

1087
00:54:46,320 --> 00:54:48,000
Speaker 1: You just want to keep playing everten over and over

1088
00:54:48,040 --> 00:54:48,560
Speaker 1: and over again.

1089
00:54:48,600 --> 00:54:48,880
Speaker 3: Michael.

1090
00:54:48,920 --> 00:54:51,319
Speaker 4: Totenham is going from a team that was fourteenth and

1091
00:54:51,320 --> 00:54:54,120
Speaker 4: passes for defensive action, eighteenth and high turnovers and only

1092
00:54:54,120 --> 00:54:57,200
Speaker 4: held on average fifty percent possession last season to now

1093
00:54:57,280 --> 00:54:59,680
Speaker 4: this possession dominant build up style where they're going to

1094
00:54:59,719 --> 00:55:02,640
Speaker 4: press teams high. It's going to take some time for

1095
00:55:02,760 --> 00:55:04,520
Speaker 4: them to get to that peak, and I get and

1096
00:55:04,560 --> 00:55:08,400
Speaker 4: there will be great opportunities, just like next week against United,

1097
00:55:09,440 --> 00:55:09,919
Speaker 4: but we don't.

1098
00:55:10,040 --> 00:55:11,160
Speaker 3: We don't go against Bradford.

1099
00:55:11,200 --> 00:55:13,839
Speaker 4: What are you guys doing? This is a perfect bread

1100
00:55:14,160 --> 00:55:15,440
Speaker 4: but I don't know what you guys are doing.

1101
00:55:15,840 --> 00:55:18,320
Speaker 1: New slate, new season, new season.

1102
00:55:18,400 --> 00:55:19,920
Speaker 2: I'm trying to throw out my priors.

1103
00:55:20,280 --> 00:55:21,759
Speaker 1: We hate the bees by the.

1104
00:55:21,760 --> 00:55:24,319
Speaker 3: Way, you guys are gonna feel so dumb with love

1105
00:55:24,320 --> 00:55:27,680
Speaker 3: the cherries. We hate the piece and like the seventeenth minute.

1106
00:55:28,520 --> 00:55:28,959
Speaker 2: It's fine.

1107
00:55:29,040 --> 00:55:31,560
Speaker 1: Taught them to be up to by then and they'll

1108
00:55:31,600 --> 00:55:34,080
Speaker 1: they'll have eighty three more minutes to score.

1109
00:55:33,880 --> 00:55:37,160
Speaker 3: More Brandford money line. You guys talk to me into.

1110
00:55:37,000 --> 00:55:43,759
Speaker 1: It all right, Monday y football, awful match. Let me

1111
00:55:43,800 --> 00:55:44,480
Speaker 1: tell you something.

1112
00:55:44,680 --> 00:55:47,040
Speaker 2: United might win back that I thought, or they'll lose.

1113
00:55:47,360 --> 00:55:51,400
Speaker 1: I thought that immediately when this slate came out and whatever,

1114
00:55:51,440 --> 00:55:53,759
Speaker 1: I was like, this is I've got I'm already can tell.

1115
00:55:53,800 --> 00:55:55,400
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna be like I got nothing here, like

1116
00:55:55,560 --> 00:55:57,239
Speaker 1: do you guys have anything? But it's a Monday night

1117
00:55:57,239 --> 00:55:59,480
Speaker 1: football match. I'll try my best to find a you know,

1118
00:55:59,520 --> 00:56:06,120
Speaker 1: derivative bet to maybe play or something. And then Wolves

1119
00:56:06,120 --> 00:56:08,880
Speaker 1: fired their manager today, Julie Little Pittaki. And now I'm like,

1120
00:56:10,400 --> 00:56:12,440
Speaker 1: I gotta bet Wolves. I think this number is gonna

1121
00:56:12,840 --> 00:56:19,759
Speaker 1: fly to towards United. Like obviously Gary O'Neil's gonna come in.

1122
00:56:19,800 --> 00:56:22,040
Speaker 1: He's just gonna make this put ten people behind the ball.

1123
00:56:22,160 --> 00:56:25,840
Speaker 1: How does Wolf score? I've got no idea. I can't

1124
00:56:25,880 --> 00:56:29,720
Speaker 1: even fathom it in my own head. Maybe United passes

1125
00:56:29,719 --> 00:56:31,520
Speaker 1: it into their own goal or something. I don't know

1126
00:56:31,520 --> 00:56:32,040
Speaker 1: what it is.

1127
00:56:32,200 --> 00:56:34,080
Speaker 2: Spain women's team type stuff right there.

1128
00:56:34,440 --> 00:56:42,440
Speaker 1: But with the craziness of being it being weak one

1129
00:56:42,560 --> 00:56:48,120
Speaker 1: you already fired your manager three or four or five

1130
00:56:48,200 --> 00:56:53,560
Speaker 1: days before this match. At least nobody's expecting your team

1131
00:56:53,600 --> 00:56:56,279
Speaker 1: to do anything well, Like this is a trip to

1132
00:56:56,280 --> 00:57:02,960
Speaker 1: Old Trafford, the theater of dreams. How Premier League? Would

1133
00:57:02,960 --> 00:57:06,160
Speaker 1: it be just Wolves one nil?

1134
00:57:06,680 --> 00:57:09,640
Speaker 4: Didn't they be United two years ago at Old Trafford?

1135
00:57:10,920 --> 00:57:13,520
Speaker 4: I mean, I think they did eat him one nothing?

1136
00:57:13,600 --> 00:57:16,880
Speaker 1: If I remember right this, this this Wolves team stinks.

1137
00:57:17,440 --> 00:57:20,040
Speaker 3: They do, but they stink something.

1138
00:57:20,120 --> 00:57:22,240
Speaker 2: I mean, why did he leave? He left because they

1139
00:57:22,280 --> 00:57:23,520
Speaker 2: stay fusing to buy players.

1140
00:57:23,600 --> 00:57:27,400
Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, I think the addition of Gary O'Neil might

1141
00:57:27,480 --> 00:57:29,120
Speaker 4: I mean, I still that's what I'm saying it makes

1142
00:57:29,120 --> 00:57:30,920
Speaker 4: it might be actually that positive for them.

1143
00:57:30,920 --> 00:57:33,240
Speaker 3: They could what I don't know what is for Wolves

1144
00:57:33,280 --> 00:57:34,080
Speaker 3: at this point, but.

1145
00:57:34,040 --> 00:57:36,120
Speaker 1: Like it's staying up and he did it.

1146
00:57:37,760 --> 00:57:41,600
Speaker 4: Well, what they can finally do is stop players. Yeah,

1147
00:57:41,760 --> 00:57:44,240
Speaker 4: they can stop being something they're not, which is they

1148
00:57:44,440 --> 00:57:46,880
Speaker 4: keep trying to be this like build up, build up

1149
00:57:46,880 --> 00:57:49,280
Speaker 4: team out of the back who does like the short

1150
00:57:49,280 --> 00:57:52,200
Speaker 4: passing combination and tries to build through pressure and teams.

1151
00:57:52,640 --> 00:57:54,280
Speaker 4: And then of course we all know what happens when

1152
00:57:54,280 --> 00:57:56,320
Speaker 4: they get to the final third and Gary o'nil is

1153
00:57:56,320 --> 00:57:57,720
Speaker 4: going to come in and say no, no, no, let's just

1154
00:57:57,720 --> 00:57:59,320
Speaker 4: sit in a four four two or four or five

1155
00:57:59,400 --> 00:58:01,320
Speaker 4: one try to beat teams in transition.

1156
00:58:01,880 --> 00:58:02,640
Speaker 3: Why not? Right?

1157
00:58:03,120 --> 00:58:05,280
Speaker 4: And they might not be able to do it, but

1158
00:58:05,280 --> 00:58:07,160
Speaker 4: at least they don't still stop being something they're not.

1159
00:58:08,360 --> 00:58:11,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's what I'm saying that. And also the change

1160
00:58:11,320 --> 00:58:15,160
Speaker 1: today was I I'm fully on board with betting Wolves

1161
00:58:15,160 --> 00:58:18,800
Speaker 1: in the spot after the change, right I especially if

1162
00:58:18,880 --> 00:58:22,400
Speaker 1: if Cary comes in he's like, because it's not conferred

1163
00:58:22,480 --> 00:58:24,240
Speaker 1: or anything yet. As we're recording this on Tuesday night,

1164
00:58:24,720 --> 00:58:27,960
Speaker 1: it seems like he's he's coming in and he's just

1165
00:58:28,120 --> 00:58:30,280
Speaker 1: he's gonna sit deep.

1166
00:58:30,560 --> 00:58:33,120
Speaker 2: His his only time for training is gonna just be

1167
00:58:33,160 --> 00:58:34,439
Speaker 2: to go on lads.

1168
00:58:34,600 --> 00:58:36,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, but is it is it that hard to Is

1169
00:58:36,600 --> 00:58:38,600
Speaker 1: it that hard to tell tell ten guys to stay

1170
00:58:38,640 --> 00:58:42,000
Speaker 1: behind the ball against the team that had issues breaking

1171
00:58:42,040 --> 00:58:42,960
Speaker 1: that style down?

1172
00:58:43,760 --> 00:58:44,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't know.

1173
00:58:45,160 --> 00:58:47,880
Speaker 4: I didn't realize and thank you for this out because

1174
00:58:47,880 --> 00:58:49,600
Speaker 4: I hadn't looked at next week slate. Yeah, just because

1175
00:58:49,600 --> 00:58:51,920
Speaker 4: we've all been so busy with everything, I didn't realize

1176
00:58:51,920 --> 00:58:54,000
Speaker 4: Brian was just sitting there a minus one ten. So

1177
00:58:54,160 --> 00:58:55,800
Speaker 4: I just went and bet that as we were recording,

1178
00:58:55,840 --> 00:58:57,480
Speaker 4: because that's just an insane number.

1179
00:58:59,480 --> 00:58:59,720
Speaker 3: Yeah.

1180
00:58:59,760 --> 00:59:02,160
Speaker 2: Well, tried defensive possession because it was their only way

1181
00:59:02,160 --> 00:59:07,000
Speaker 2: to really keep their defense afloat because they're not a

1182
00:59:07,000 --> 00:59:11,440
Speaker 2: good defense either. They just kept enough defensive possession and

1183
00:59:11,440 --> 00:59:13,960
Speaker 2: did nothing with it that they stalled the clock out

1184
00:59:14,080 --> 00:59:17,520
Speaker 2: and stayed up because they never conceded any goals. But

1185
00:59:17,560 --> 00:59:20,160
Speaker 2: like they were below average defense to their bottom seven defense.

1186
00:59:21,400 --> 00:59:23,320
Speaker 3: You should also, can you get a new man Anthony.

1187
00:59:24,640 --> 00:59:25,200
Speaker 1: Starts?

1188
00:59:25,600 --> 00:59:27,560
Speaker 2: No, I've officially decided that's out.

1189
00:59:28,000 --> 00:59:30,600
Speaker 4: We should also take a victory lap on Jose Saw

1190
00:59:30,720 --> 00:59:33,440
Speaker 4: because he was terrible last season and that's you know,

1191
00:59:33,480 --> 00:59:35,640
Speaker 4: he had that unreal shots stopping season the season before

1192
00:59:35,680 --> 00:59:38,400
Speaker 4: where they finished tenth and he just turned into a pumpkin.

1193
00:59:38,520 --> 00:59:40,960
Speaker 3: So there's really no hope Wolves right now.

1194
00:59:42,600 --> 00:59:45,080
Speaker 1: That sounds like you guys are just trying to get

1195
00:59:45,120 --> 00:59:47,040
Speaker 1: me to bet them again and again and again. I'm

1196
00:59:47,040 --> 00:59:49,600
Speaker 1: all in. I'm Wolves in the spot because.

1197
00:59:50,920 --> 00:59:54,040
Speaker 3: Like it, how high are they going to get my

1198
00:59:54,080 --> 00:59:54,560
Speaker 3: match time?

1199
00:59:55,120 --> 00:59:56,120
Speaker 1: It's going to be a big number.

1200
00:59:56,160 --> 00:59:57,600
Speaker 2: I don't think they're going to get them much higher.

1201
00:59:58,600 --> 01:00:01,560
Speaker 3: You don't think you don't think so eight one right now?

1202
01:00:01,600 --> 01:00:02,280
Speaker 3: Would you rather?

1203
01:00:02,520 --> 01:00:05,640
Speaker 4: Would you rather close on the road against the United

1204
01:00:05,840 --> 01:00:07,800
Speaker 4: or Burnley at home against City?

1205
01:00:07,960 --> 01:00:13,760
Speaker 1: I'd rather take Burnley absolutely take yep. I think I

1206
01:00:13,840 --> 01:00:15,880
Speaker 1: think that they're still room for this number to grow.

1207
01:00:17,920 --> 01:00:22,320
Speaker 4: Yeah, if we get twelve, maybe we might.

1208
01:00:22,480 --> 01:00:22,960
Speaker 3: I don't know.

1209
01:00:23,560 --> 01:00:25,440
Speaker 1: We're not getting twelve, no, I think I think I

1210
01:00:25,440 --> 01:00:28,439
Speaker 1: think we could get ten though, Fabio Silva brace. Yeah.

1211
01:00:28,960 --> 01:00:30,320
Speaker 1: I mean it's just just I mean.

1212
01:00:30,360 --> 01:00:35,160
Speaker 4: Just just one transitional opportunity win the match one nothing

1213
01:00:35,520 --> 01:00:38,479
Speaker 4: final exg'z like United three point two to Wolves point three.

1214
01:00:39,720 --> 01:00:42,760
Speaker 3: Win, nice little variants kick off the season, who.

1215
01:00:42,720 --> 01:00:48,480
Speaker 2: Knows exactly, So I'll be betting Wolves inspiring handicap from

1216
01:00:48,560 --> 01:00:49,680
Speaker 2: us there, But.

1217
01:00:49,800 --> 01:00:51,360
Speaker 1: How what was you going to? How can you handicap?

1218
01:00:52,680 --> 01:00:55,000
Speaker 3: There's no way there, but it goes.

1219
01:00:55,240 --> 01:00:58,480
Speaker 1: That's what I'm saying. Like it's United are a much

1220
01:00:58,560 --> 01:01:01,880
Speaker 1: much better team on much much better footing that Wolf stink.

1221
01:01:03,240 --> 01:01:05,480
Speaker 1: But how does a team how does a team react

1222
01:01:05,480 --> 01:01:09,080
Speaker 1: to their manager basically begging to be fired and finally

1223
01:01:09,080 --> 01:01:12,080
Speaker 1: getting fired. It was it was public what was going on,

1224
01:01:12,240 --> 01:01:12,600
Speaker 1: So I.

1225
01:01:12,880 --> 01:01:16,160
Speaker 2: Don't think that's good. Also, they were good under they

1226
01:01:16,200 --> 01:01:20,480
Speaker 2: were quote good. They wont they won match, but that matters.

1227
01:01:21,000 --> 01:01:24,120
Speaker 2: Its the psychological impact. You know, they were luck boxing it,

1228
01:01:24,160 --> 01:01:24,880
Speaker 2: but they were winning.

1229
01:01:25,000 --> 01:01:27,280
Speaker 1: Ye who knows. I mean, look, it's it's a it's

1230
01:01:27,400 --> 01:01:30,880
Speaker 1: it's gonna be a huge number, and I think it's Uh.

1231
01:01:31,240 --> 01:01:33,440
Speaker 1: I'm just I'm gonna play it because i want to

1232
01:01:33,440 --> 01:01:35,880
Speaker 1: see how this team reacts and I'm in for the ride.

1233
01:01:35,920 --> 01:01:42,000
Speaker 1: I'm not saying it's a terrific bet. I'm I'm just

1234
01:01:42,080 --> 01:01:44,640
Speaker 1: totally in for the ride here, uh for a small

1235
01:01:44,640 --> 01:01:53,400
Speaker 1: bet on carry on deals Wolves. All right, LaLiga uh

1236
01:01:53,640 --> 01:01:57,800
Speaker 1: BJ LaLiga is back. It is you guys. You guys

1237
01:01:57,840 --> 01:02:02,240
Speaker 1: talked about uh LaLiga Legal Siria and the Bundesliga. In

1238
01:02:02,560 --> 01:02:06,200
Speaker 1: the preview pod, so much, so much talk about it,

1239
01:02:06,560 --> 01:02:11,360
Speaker 1: our boy Diego SIMIONI have you listened yet, I've been

1240
01:02:11,400 --> 01:02:12,680
Speaker 1: catching up. I've been doing.

1241
01:02:14,600 --> 01:02:16,800
Speaker 2: I kind of slant. I mentioned how you're definitely gonna

1242
01:02:17,120 --> 01:02:20,160
Speaker 2: bet the Champions League this year at LETTI. I will

1243
01:02:20,160 --> 01:02:21,200
Speaker 2: book that ticket this year.

1244
01:02:21,240 --> 01:02:24,640
Speaker 1: I decided, I mean they should be, they should be

1245
01:02:24,640 --> 01:02:29,560
Speaker 1: the second favorites behind City uh as they should every year.

1246
01:02:29,880 --> 01:02:32,600
Speaker 1: Uh BJ. What's your favorite bett in La Liga this week?

1247
01:02:33,480 --> 01:02:36,400
Speaker 4: Yeah, not really a team I typically bet in La Liga,

1248
01:02:36,520 --> 01:02:38,480
Speaker 4: but I think the price is too high. I like

1249
01:02:38,560 --> 01:02:41,280
Speaker 4: Real bettis plus a half plus one ten against Via

1250
01:02:41,360 --> 01:02:43,360
Speaker 4: Real and we me and Anthony talked about this in

1251
01:02:43,400 --> 01:02:46,000
Speaker 4: the preview pod. But VI Real, I mean they got

1252
01:02:46,080 --> 01:02:49,320
Speaker 4: raided completely. They lost powtre As, the best center back

1253
01:02:49,400 --> 01:02:53,160
Speaker 4: Nicolas Jack's and the best offensive threat Chaqueze off to

1254
01:02:53,160 --> 01:02:56,919
Speaker 4: Acey Milan, Loselso their best midfielder off and they've really

1255
01:02:56,960 --> 01:03:00,240
Speaker 4: only brought in soil off over from Socio Dads. So

1256
01:03:00,920 --> 01:03:03,520
Speaker 4: now you're looking at Real betis that you know they

1257
01:03:03,600 --> 01:03:05,880
Speaker 4: had a decent summer. They made the middle of the

1258
01:03:05,880 --> 01:03:09,280
Speaker 4: pitch a little deeper, signing Mark Rocca from Leeds. They

1259
01:03:09,280 --> 01:03:12,520
Speaker 4: signed Eastco as a free agent. Mark Barchi is coming

1260
01:03:12,560 --> 01:03:15,560
Speaker 4: back from Turkey to play center back, so a decent

1261
01:03:15,560 --> 01:03:18,000
Speaker 4: summer for Rial Bettis. They did overperform at both ends

1262
01:03:18,000 --> 01:03:20,120
Speaker 4: of the pitch last season, but they still had better

1263
01:03:20,120 --> 01:03:23,040
Speaker 4: defensive numbers than via Real. So you have a Vireal

1264
01:03:23,160 --> 01:03:27,320
Speaker 4: team that under Kik Setien averaged one point seventy four

1265
01:03:27,360 --> 01:03:30,800
Speaker 4: actually for ninety minutes. That's going to get significantly downgraded

1266
01:03:30,840 --> 01:03:33,800
Speaker 4: with the amount of attacking talent that they lost offensively,

1267
01:03:33,840 --> 01:03:36,240
Speaker 4: plus looks like one FOI if their best Their star

1268
01:03:36,360 --> 01:03:37,880
Speaker 4: right back is going to miss this match as well

1269
01:03:37,960 --> 01:03:39,960
Speaker 4: due to injury, So it's just kind of too high

1270
01:03:39,960 --> 01:03:42,920
Speaker 4: of a price here. On Virial, they're sitting minus one

1271
01:03:43,000 --> 01:03:45,520
Speaker 4: forty five minus one fifty, so I only have them

1272
01:03:45,560 --> 01:03:49,120
Speaker 4: projected at plus one o six. So I'll I'll take

1273
01:03:49,160 --> 01:03:50,920
Speaker 4: Real Betis plus a half at plus one ten.

1274
01:03:51,760 --> 01:03:55,000
Speaker 1: I'm going to take our boys from bill Boo. They

1275
01:03:55,000 --> 01:03:59,800
Speaker 1: finished eighth last season at Athletic Club Bill Boo, but

1276
01:03:59,800 --> 01:04:02,240
Speaker 1: if you look at their expected goals numbers, that they

1277
01:04:02,240 --> 01:04:05,760
Speaker 1: should have been challenging for a Champions League spot. One

1278
01:04:05,800 --> 01:04:10,080
Speaker 1: of the better defensive clubs in all of Europe underperformed

1279
01:04:12,000 --> 01:04:14,560
Speaker 1: both in terms of goals allowed compared to their expectacles

1280
01:04:14,600 --> 01:04:17,560
Speaker 1: allowed and goals scored compared to their expected goals for

1281
01:04:18,240 --> 01:04:20,040
Speaker 1: a team that we just love to bet and you

1282
01:04:20,120 --> 01:04:24,240
Speaker 1: love to bet them, especially as underdogs, and that's exactly

1283
01:04:24,320 --> 01:04:27,720
Speaker 1: what they are against Real Madrid coming out of the gates.

1284
01:04:27,880 --> 01:04:32,640
Speaker 1: The Kareem Benzima era is over. We'll see how Madrid

1285
01:04:32,840 --> 01:04:35,480
Speaker 1: kind of this. It's fair to call as a transition

1286
01:04:35,600 --> 01:04:41,040
Speaker 1: year for Madrid. I think it's just good value plus

1287
01:04:41,080 --> 01:04:44,360
Speaker 1: two forty on lost of the ones. Anthony, what about you?

1288
01:04:45,360 --> 01:04:49,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm an agreement. I like Real bettest and I

1289
01:04:49,800 --> 01:04:51,640
Speaker 2: like bill Bao. We're going to be a lot of

1290
01:04:51,640 --> 01:04:53,120
Speaker 2: agreement in the League of this weekend. But I'm going

1291
01:04:53,160 --> 01:04:56,320
Speaker 2: to start it on Friday with Sevilla and Valencia both

1292
01:04:56,320 --> 01:05:00,360
Speaker 2: teams to score. Yes at minus one oh five. Bja

1293
01:05:00,520 --> 01:05:01,640
Speaker 2: is cringing something.

1294
01:05:01,440 --> 01:05:02,960
Speaker 1: That has there ever been a lot of legal match

1295
01:05:02,960 --> 01:05:04,400
Speaker 1: where both teams scored to the safe game.

1296
01:05:04,480 --> 01:05:06,120
Speaker 2: No, in the history of the league. There's only there's

1297
01:05:06,120 --> 01:05:08,400
Speaker 2: only been a couple and I'm hoping that we get

1298
01:05:08,440 --> 01:05:13,760
Speaker 2: one more this weekend. Valencia. You know, I'm still down

1299
01:05:13,800 --> 01:05:15,600
Speaker 2: on the City of Defense. I think that you know,

1300
01:05:15,640 --> 01:05:18,720
Speaker 2: the changes they made in the second half of the season, uh,

1301
01:05:18,920 --> 01:05:21,800
Speaker 2: you know, once Lovitegy was out, they finally found you know,

1302
01:05:22,040 --> 01:05:24,320
Speaker 2: managerial situation that worked for them. They clearly got better

1303
01:05:24,360 --> 01:05:26,880
Speaker 2: in attack, and I think Valencia is pretty passive to

1304
01:05:26,920 --> 01:05:28,600
Speaker 2: the point where they're going to get enough time on

1305
01:05:28,640 --> 01:05:30,240
Speaker 2: the balls to be to get their crosses in to

1306
01:05:30,280 --> 01:05:32,760
Speaker 2: be effective going forward. Valencia has attacked one of the

1307
01:05:32,800 --> 01:05:35,840
Speaker 2: worst and unluckiest in all of Europe. Last year ran

1308
01:05:36,000 --> 01:05:39,800
Speaker 2: so ungodly cold, but had pretty good process numbers in

1309
01:05:39,920 --> 01:05:42,760
Speaker 2: terms of box entries and progressive passes to the point

1310
01:05:42,760 --> 01:05:45,920
Speaker 2: where I'm still just like higher than the market than

1311
01:05:46,080 --> 01:05:48,560
Speaker 2: on the Valencia attack. So give me both teams to

1312
01:05:48,560 --> 01:05:52,120
Speaker 2: score two fun play styles. First match of the first

1313
01:05:52,200 --> 01:05:55,120
Speaker 2: day of the season going to be a sweat the

1314
01:05:55,160 --> 01:05:57,640
Speaker 2: whole way, But I like it.

1315
01:05:57,640 --> 01:06:01,320
Speaker 1: It's a fun way to died off the La Liga.

1316
01:06:01,440 --> 01:06:04,240
Speaker 4: I really hope that teams don't start scoring in Lalla League,

1317
01:06:04,320 --> 01:06:09,400
Speaker 4: or else I might be broke, Michael, or are.

1318
01:06:09,240 --> 01:06:10,680
Speaker 1: You going with the Are you going the other way?

1319
01:06:10,720 --> 01:06:13,240
Speaker 1: You're going to be no, no, gosh no, all right,

1320
01:06:13,440 --> 01:06:16,720
Speaker 1: what about legal BJA. You're the only one with the

1321
01:06:16,760 --> 01:06:17,760
Speaker 1: play in France.

1322
01:06:18,840 --> 01:06:22,680
Speaker 4: Yeah, I like leone Pickham minus one fifteen on the

1323
01:06:22,720 --> 01:06:26,000
Speaker 4: road at Strasbourg, own boy Strasbourg.

1324
01:06:26,280 --> 01:06:27,080
Speaker 2: They're gonna be a team.

1325
01:06:27,280 --> 01:06:30,280
Speaker 4: They're gonna be one of the more interesting teams this

1326
01:06:30,320 --> 01:06:32,920
Speaker 4: season because of who owns them now, which is Chelsea.

1327
01:06:33,960 --> 01:06:36,000
Speaker 4: I feel like every single day I just see something

1328
01:06:36,000 --> 01:06:39,040
Speaker 4: on Twitter that Chelsea has signed some Brazilian talent for

1329
01:06:39,080 --> 01:06:39,600
Speaker 4: twenty million.

1330
01:06:39,640 --> 01:06:42,040
Speaker 3: He's gonna go on alone to Strasbourg. So they could

1331
01:06:42,120 --> 01:06:42,800
Speaker 3: turn out.

1332
01:06:42,640 --> 01:06:45,640
Speaker 4: To be a good team eventually, but you know, this

1333
01:06:45,720 --> 01:06:47,920
Speaker 4: is match week one. All those players aren't there yet.

1334
01:06:48,160 --> 01:06:51,320
Speaker 4: They were a massive disappointment last season. I think, you know,

1335
01:06:51,320 --> 01:06:53,160
Speaker 4: if we go back to our preview pod last season

1336
01:06:53,200 --> 01:06:55,560
Speaker 4: and I was touting them at that in terms of,

1337
01:06:56,440 --> 01:06:59,040
Speaker 4: you know, finished inside the top three after a great

1338
01:06:59,520 --> 01:07:03,120
Speaker 4: second season off of promotion, but they were really really

1339
01:07:03,200 --> 01:07:06,120
Speaker 4: bad defensively, finished allowing one point five expected goals for

1340
01:07:06,200 --> 01:07:09,200
Speaker 4: ninety mins. Patrick Vieira is now their manager, damn right,

1341
01:07:09,600 --> 01:07:13,480
Speaker 4: so you expect more intense pressing going forward, not a

1342
01:07:13,560 --> 01:07:18,080
Speaker 4: lot of defensive solidity. Leon was the top five team

1343
01:07:18,080 --> 01:07:20,680
Speaker 4: of playing through pressure last season in France and a

1344
01:07:20,680 --> 01:07:23,600
Speaker 4: team that really got a lot better post World Cup.

1345
01:07:23,960 --> 01:07:27,840
Speaker 4: They brought in Laurent Blanc if you remember him, obviously

1346
01:07:27,840 --> 01:07:29,919
Speaker 4: from the French national team in PSG for a long

1347
01:07:29,960 --> 01:07:34,120
Speaker 4: time post World Cup, Leon had the fourth best expected

1348
01:07:34,120 --> 01:07:37,160
Speaker 4: goal differential in the league uh round plus point five

1349
01:07:37,200 --> 01:07:40,080
Speaker 4: to five per ninety And the biggest thing is this

1350
01:07:40,200 --> 01:07:43,560
Speaker 4: summer they have kept all of their great players. Ryan

1351
01:07:43,640 --> 01:07:47,240
Speaker 4: Cherokee is still their dynamic young midfielder. Lacazette bag twenty

1352
01:07:47,240 --> 01:07:52,640
Speaker 4: seven goals last season. Lukeba is going to stay at

1353
01:07:52,640 --> 01:07:57,200
Speaker 4: the club despite interest coming from Chelsea and elsewhere. Is

1354
01:07:57,200 --> 01:08:01,240
Speaker 4: their best center back. But I owned the more talented team.

1355
01:08:01,360 --> 01:08:03,640
Speaker 4: They're good at playing through pressure. With the Strasbourg team

1356
01:08:03,960 --> 01:08:07,320
Speaker 4: playing under their first match under Patrick Vieira, I think

1357
01:08:07,360 --> 01:08:08,760
Speaker 4: it's a little too short of a price for a

1358
01:08:08,800 --> 01:08:11,200
Speaker 4: team that was a top five team in France over

1359
01:08:11,200 --> 01:08:12,320
Speaker 4: the second half of the season.

1360
01:08:13,000 --> 01:08:15,400
Speaker 3: So I like they owned Rawno Bett at minus one fifteen.

1361
01:08:16,479 --> 01:08:18,439
Speaker 2: I'm telling you Strasbourg is going to be decent this year.

1362
01:08:18,800 --> 01:08:19,120
Speaker 1: They are.

1363
01:08:19,280 --> 01:08:21,000
Speaker 2: I think, you know, it's like a post hype year.

1364
01:08:21,040 --> 01:08:23,479
Speaker 2: We hyped them last year. We were wrong. They sucked.

1365
01:08:24,000 --> 01:08:26,839
Speaker 2: Now everybody's out on Strasbourg. I'm still in. I like Vieira.

1366
01:08:27,240 --> 01:08:30,000
Speaker 2: You mentioned the kind of influx of talent, Like there's

1367
01:08:30,080 --> 01:08:32,400
Speaker 2: reasons to be optimistic about them being mid table, and

1368
01:08:32,720 --> 01:08:34,640
Speaker 2: thus I think that the market's about right here. But

1369
01:08:35,439 --> 01:08:37,400
Speaker 2: if you made me bet it, I would disagree with you, Jay,

1370
01:08:37,680 --> 01:08:39,280
Speaker 2: just because I think there's a there's a lot of

1371
01:08:39,320 --> 01:08:41,840
Speaker 2: upward mobility for the Strasbourg team. I think we kind

1372
01:08:41,840 --> 01:08:46,200
Speaker 2: of know what leone is, but there's still flawed. Both

1373
01:08:46,200 --> 01:08:48,320
Speaker 2: teams very flawed defensively, so it should be a fun match.

1374
01:08:48,760 --> 01:08:52,400
Speaker 1: Three hundred to one Strasburg to win legal sounds like.

1375
01:08:52,439 --> 01:08:54,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, I would not go that, farre It sounds like

1376
01:08:54,840 --> 01:08:55,960
Speaker 2: we have a bet for you. Michael.

1377
01:08:55,960 --> 01:08:57,920
Speaker 3: By the way, we bet for you. This is going

1378
01:08:57,960 --> 01:08:59,880
Speaker 3: to be a grouper. So if you missed.

1379
01:08:59,520 --> 01:09:04,920
Speaker 4: The the rest of Europe, pod Lil thirty five to

1380
01:09:04,960 --> 01:09:08,720
Speaker 4: one to win ling on with everything going on at.

1381
01:09:08,680 --> 01:09:12,680
Speaker 1: PSG, parlay that with the Brisbane Lions to win the

1382
01:09:12,760 --> 01:09:15,360
Speaker 1: Aussee Football League and maybe the Islanders when Stanley Cuppen

1383
01:09:15,479 --> 01:09:17,040
Speaker 1: and it can be interested.

1384
01:09:17,160 --> 01:09:18,679
Speaker 2: Them feast to win USO.

1385
01:09:20,400 --> 01:09:22,920
Speaker 1: On that note, we'll flip it to our favorite part

1386
01:09:23,280 --> 01:09:27,560
Speaker 1: of the program. Every week we will give you a

1387
01:09:27,800 --> 01:09:31,519
Speaker 1: three leg underdog parlay. Like I said, every team has

1388
01:09:31,560 --> 01:09:35,240
Speaker 1: to be plus two hundred or longer to qualify. Oftentimes

1389
01:09:35,320 --> 01:09:40,840
Speaker 1: they are much bigger prices than that. As we've said,

1390
01:09:40,880 --> 01:09:43,240
Speaker 1: we've we've hit one. It was two hundred one to one.

1391
01:09:43,280 --> 01:09:48,559
Speaker 1: These are absolutely entertainment bets, right. These are bets something

1392
01:09:48,560 --> 01:09:53,200
Speaker 1: you want to completely ignore or chuck some couch change,

1393
01:09:53,320 --> 01:09:56,840
Speaker 1: or if you find five dollars while walking through the

1394
01:09:56,920 --> 01:10:00,200
Speaker 1: zoo with your kids or something on the floor, that's

1395
01:10:00,240 --> 01:10:01,559
Speaker 1: the kind of money you want to throw in here.

1396
01:10:01,600 --> 01:10:03,960
Speaker 1: But they are a lot of fun. They usually end

1397
01:10:04,080 --> 01:10:08,320
Speaker 1: up losing in heartbreaking fashion, with BJ's team giving up

1398
01:10:08,400 --> 01:10:12,240
Speaker 1: a late equalizer because even though they were up a

1399
01:10:12,240 --> 01:10:17,679
Speaker 1: man and completely cratering the parlay. But once every two

1400
01:10:17,720 --> 01:10:20,160
Speaker 1: seasons they hit, so maybe we'll get off on the

1401
01:10:20,240 --> 01:10:24,320
Speaker 1: right foot end. As Anthony noted, match week one usually

1402
01:10:24,360 --> 01:10:26,559
Speaker 1: pretty good for underdogs. So let's see if we can

1403
01:10:26,600 --> 01:10:29,439
Speaker 1: get the right combination here across two leagues. You two

1404
01:10:29,520 --> 01:10:32,960
Speaker 1: have underdogs in La Liga. We'll start with BJ. Which

1405
01:10:33,000 --> 01:10:33,799
Speaker 1: one's yours?

1406
01:10:34,080 --> 01:10:36,200
Speaker 4: Yeah, Well, I'm going to be ending this parlay. His

1407
01:10:36,240 --> 01:10:40,400
Speaker 4: mind's gonna be on Monday afternoon. Relegation six pointer Kadi

1408
01:10:41,040 --> 01:10:45,400
Speaker 4: against Alavase. Welcome back Alabase after one season down in

1409
01:10:45,439 --> 01:10:46,280
Speaker 4: the second division.

1410
01:10:46,680 --> 01:10:48,479
Speaker 3: There is no way on earth Cadiz should be an

1411
01:10:48,479 --> 01:10:50,200
Speaker 3: odds on favor to win this match.

1412
01:10:50,280 --> 01:10:53,719
Speaker 4: So in our preview pod, I went out a length

1413
01:10:53,720 --> 01:10:55,120
Speaker 4: about KADIZI and go listen to them.

1414
01:10:55,200 --> 01:10:56,400
Speaker 3: I'm betting them for relegation.

1415
01:10:56,479 --> 01:10:59,400
Speaker 4: But essentially they had the worst expected goal diffronial in

1416
01:10:59,439 --> 01:11:01,800
Speaker 4: La Liga of any of the teams that survived around

1417
01:11:01,800 --> 01:11:04,800
Speaker 4: and they were at minus twenty minus point five to

1418
01:11:04,800 --> 01:11:08,280
Speaker 4: three per ninety A good exercise out there. Teams coming

1419
01:11:08,360 --> 01:11:13,280
Speaker 4: up from the second division in Spain historically, since expected

1420
01:11:13,280 --> 01:11:16,040
Speaker 4: goals started widely being tracked in the twenty eighteen nineteen season,

1421
01:11:16,520 --> 01:11:18,400
Speaker 4: teams coming up from the second division in their first

1422
01:11:18,400 --> 01:11:21,799
Speaker 4: season in La Liga see a twenty seven percent decrease

1423
01:11:21,840 --> 01:11:24,439
Speaker 4: in their expected goals four in a seventeen percent increase

1424
01:11:24,840 --> 01:11:27,639
Speaker 4: in their expectacles allowed, so essentially a forty four percent

1425
01:11:27,960 --> 01:11:30,960
Speaker 4: decrease in their expected goal differential. Alabas was only a

1426
01:11:30,960 --> 01:11:33,800
Speaker 4: plus point nine actually differential per ninety minutes, so they

1427
01:11:33,800 --> 01:11:37,599
Speaker 4: would be projected right around where Cadiz is going into

1428
01:11:37,600 --> 01:11:39,120
Speaker 4: the season. And then if you look at transfer market

1429
01:11:39,200 --> 01:11:42,120
Speaker 4: dot Com, these two teams are very similar in terms

1430
01:11:42,120 --> 01:11:45,840
Speaker 4: of their total squad value and Cadiz is losing their

1431
01:11:45,880 --> 01:11:50,160
Speaker 4: best attacking player. Theo Bongdanga is off to Russia. Have

1432
01:11:50,160 --> 01:11:53,479
Speaker 4: played for Spartak Moscow. He led them, Michael led them

1433
01:11:53,920 --> 01:11:56,400
Speaker 4: with four goals last season, and it's put their best

1434
01:11:57,000 --> 01:11:58,240
Speaker 4: is their best offensive thread.

1435
01:11:58,439 --> 01:11:59,799
Speaker 2: So team like that production.

1436
01:12:00,360 --> 01:12:03,800
Speaker 4: Yeah, and so if kiddies can't stop anybody defensively, they

1437
01:12:03,840 --> 01:12:06,719
Speaker 4: are bottom five defense, can't average over one non penalty

1438
01:12:06,720 --> 01:12:10,479
Speaker 4: expected goal, there's absolutely no reason why they should be

1439
01:12:10,520 --> 01:12:14,760
Speaker 4: an odds on favorite. So welcome back Dave Portibo Alaves

1440
01:12:15,200 --> 01:12:17,080
Speaker 4: plus two eighty five Burnley.

1441
01:12:17,520 --> 01:12:19,839
Speaker 1: I gotta do it. So BJ's going on a Monday

1442
01:12:20,479 --> 01:12:23,080
Speaker 1: Monday match. I'm going Friday. We'll see if this thing's

1443
01:12:23,080 --> 01:12:27,320
Speaker 1: got legs pretty quickly here on the weekend, it's the spot.

1444
01:12:27,400 --> 01:12:32,240
Speaker 1: It's match week one City coming off the Treble, Burnley

1445
01:12:32,280 --> 01:12:36,720
Speaker 1: coming back up from the Championship, some exciting new investors,

1446
01:12:37,080 --> 01:12:40,320
Speaker 1: a new ethos around the club since Vincent Company took over.

1447
01:12:40,600 --> 01:12:42,320
Speaker 1: Are they going to try to play City off the Park?

1448
01:12:42,360 --> 01:12:44,160
Speaker 1: I hope not, but it seems like that's what they're

1449
01:12:44,160 --> 01:12:46,160
Speaker 1: going to try to do. It probably won't work, but

1450
01:12:46,200 --> 01:12:48,760
Speaker 1: the number is just way too high for the situation.

1451
01:12:49,360 --> 01:12:53,599
Speaker 1: The build up the spectacle at Turf Moore. Can Pep

1452
01:12:53,640 --> 01:12:56,320
Speaker 1: do it on a cold, rainy night in August and

1453
01:12:56,360 --> 01:12:58,799
Speaker 1: at Turf More I don't think so. Give me Burnley

1454
01:13:00,000 --> 01:13:04,679
Speaker 1: plus nine hundred, it's plus nine hundred bow for me perfect.

1455
01:13:05,160 --> 01:13:07,880
Speaker 2: They've they've profiled well as an underdog. They're elite defensively,

1456
01:13:07,920 --> 01:13:12,439
Speaker 2: they have consistent and returning production in their attack. Real

1457
01:13:12,520 --> 01:13:16,200
Speaker 2: Madrid without Benzima unless they find a striker replacement just

1458
01:13:16,280 --> 01:13:18,720
Speaker 2: isn't as good and they're kind of kind of running too,

1459
01:13:18,720 --> 01:13:21,760
Speaker 2: a bit of a buyern problem, similar to losing Lewandowski,

1460
01:13:21,840 --> 01:13:24,640
Speaker 2: like losing Benzima and just not replacing him is going

1461
01:13:24,720 --> 01:13:26,920
Speaker 2: to be a problem. So I'm gonna take Bill Boo

1462
01:13:27,720 --> 01:13:30,960
Speaker 2: at home plus two forty in that match.

1463
01:13:31,960 --> 01:13:34,000
Speaker 1: Another thing about Bill Bao is because of the way

1464
01:13:33,880 --> 01:13:36,840
Speaker 1: they're club is set up, like there is really no

1465
01:13:36,920 --> 01:13:40,360
Speaker 1: ever transition period, right, Like it's just they are what

1466
01:13:40,439 --> 01:13:43,120
Speaker 1: they are. Yeah, they are they are every season they

1467
01:13:43,160 --> 01:13:45,599
Speaker 1: just step out. It's it's it's like it's just been

1468
01:13:45,600 --> 01:13:48,240
Speaker 1: one long season since the club was formed. That partlay

1469
01:13:48,320 --> 01:13:53,040
Speaker 1: Bill Boo, Alaves and Burnley and entire weekends worth of

1470
01:13:54,479 --> 01:13:57,599
Speaker 1: parlay for you one hundred and thirty to one should

1471
01:13:57,600 --> 01:14:01,080
Speaker 1: a cash, which it will, and that's how we'll start

1472
01:14:01,080 --> 01:14:03,439
Speaker 1: the season all right. Before we get out of here,

1473
01:14:03,479 --> 01:14:05,879
Speaker 1: we will wrap things up like we do every episode

1474
01:14:05,880 --> 01:14:09,240
Speaker 1: with our favorite Premier League bets. Anthony always logs HEAs

1475
01:14:09,280 --> 01:14:13,599
Speaker 1: into our wonder Goal account on the Action Network app,

1476
01:14:13,640 --> 01:14:15,760
Speaker 1: so be sure to download the app, be sure to rate,

1477
01:14:15,800 --> 01:14:19,080
Speaker 1: review of subscribe to this podcast. If you're new, Welcome aboard.

1478
01:14:19,080 --> 01:14:22,519
Speaker 1: This is basically what we do, with the exception of

1479
01:14:23,000 --> 01:14:26,439
Speaker 1: we will also talk Siria and Bundesliga when they come

1480
01:14:26,479 --> 01:14:28,120
Speaker 1: back in the same way we talked about Legal and

1481
01:14:28,360 --> 01:14:32,240
Speaker 1: La Liga. But we always close every episode, excuse me,

1482
01:14:32,240 --> 01:14:35,360
Speaker 1: every episode looking ahead to the weekend with our favorite

1483
01:14:35,360 --> 01:14:38,360
Speaker 1: bets for the Premier League and Anthony you can go

1484
01:14:38,400 --> 01:14:39,920
Speaker 1: first this time around. Yeah.

1485
01:14:40,000 --> 01:14:44,920
Speaker 2: The biggest difference between my projections and the upcoming season

1486
01:14:44,920 --> 01:14:47,559
Speaker 2: on teams is Brighton. I'm much higher than the market

1487
01:14:47,600 --> 01:14:50,479
Speaker 2: on Brighton. I think the market price Brighton is this

1488
01:14:50,520 --> 01:14:52,240
Speaker 2: elite team. In the second half of the season, they

1489
01:14:52,240 --> 01:14:55,120
Speaker 2: were the most profitable team. They had the most CLV

1490
01:14:55,200 --> 01:14:57,559
Speaker 2: by the end of the season two, and the market

1491
01:14:57,560 --> 01:15:00,080
Speaker 2: has just kind of baked in some regression here. I

1492
01:15:00,120 --> 01:15:01,919
Speaker 2: don't really agree with it. You know, they lose McAllister,

1493
01:15:02,000 --> 01:15:04,320
Speaker 2: but they keep the majority of that squad together so far.

1494
01:15:05,000 --> 01:15:08,120
Speaker 2: Evan Ferguson, you know, his minutes and Metoma's minutes, like

1495
01:15:08,880 --> 01:15:11,120
Speaker 2: all of what made them so dominant the second half

1496
01:15:11,120 --> 01:15:13,439
Speaker 2: of the season is kind of back this year. The

1497
01:15:13,520 --> 01:15:16,720
Speaker 2: deservey patterns that he's so effective at drilling. There's a

1498
01:15:16,760 --> 01:15:19,880
Speaker 2: lot to like with this team Lowton Town. There will

1499
01:15:19,880 --> 01:15:21,599
Speaker 2: be spots to bet them. I don't think a road

1500
01:15:21,640 --> 01:15:24,080
Speaker 2: dog in the first round of matches is one of them.

1501
01:15:24,400 --> 01:15:26,040
Speaker 2: So I'm going to take Brighton lay the goal and

1502
01:15:26,080 --> 01:15:27,960
Speaker 2: a half not something I do off, but think that

1503
01:15:28,000 --> 01:15:30,000
Speaker 2: the spread should be closer to two.

1504
01:15:30,080 --> 01:15:32,519
Speaker 1: When we take Bournemouth there plus one seventy at home

1505
01:15:32,560 --> 01:15:35,679
Speaker 1: against west Ham. I think right now, when we're looking

1506
01:15:35,680 --> 01:15:38,120
Speaker 1: at these teams in a vacuum going into match week one,

1507
01:15:38,400 --> 01:15:40,960
Speaker 1: don't really think there's much of a difference between Bournemouth

1508
01:15:41,000 --> 01:15:44,080
Speaker 1: and west Ham. We liked the ceiling for Bournemouth as

1509
01:15:44,080 --> 01:15:47,639
Speaker 1: a podcast under Irola. This team showed some serious gumption

1510
01:15:47,960 --> 01:15:50,280
Speaker 1: down the stretch last year. When you look at the

1511
01:15:50,280 --> 01:15:52,559
Speaker 1: teams that were in the relegation fight, like they were

1512
01:15:53,000 --> 01:15:55,680
Speaker 1: one of the most impressive post World Cup. So the

1513
01:15:55,760 --> 01:15:58,719
Speaker 1: Cherries start to build something last year, it should only

1514
01:15:59,040 --> 01:16:01,720
Speaker 1: go in the right direction and with one of the

1515
01:16:02,360 --> 01:16:05,400
Speaker 1: kind of more up and coming managers across all Europe.

1516
01:16:05,560 --> 01:16:07,519
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna take the Cherries against a west Ham

1517
01:16:07,640 --> 01:16:09,960
Speaker 1: team where it's kind of the opposite. It's like we've

1518
01:16:09,960 --> 01:16:12,160
Speaker 1: we've probably seen the peak of this version of west Ham.

1519
01:16:12,520 --> 01:16:14,960
Speaker 1: Looks like it's all going in one direction. They are

1520
01:16:15,439 --> 01:16:17,680
Speaker 1: the favorite on the road just based on what we

1521
01:16:17,720 --> 01:16:20,040
Speaker 1: saw last year and kind of pedigree. I think if

1522
01:16:20,040 --> 01:16:22,639
Speaker 1: you covered up the names here, you wouldn't make much

1523
01:16:22,680 --> 01:16:25,280
Speaker 1: sense to make west Ham a road favorite. So I'll

1524
01:16:25,320 --> 01:16:27,439
Speaker 1: take Bourne myth plus one seventy. That's my favorite bet

1525
01:16:27,720 --> 01:16:30,439
Speaker 1: for the weekend. I was pretty close to picking your Spurs, Anthony,

1526
01:16:30,479 --> 01:16:33,000
Speaker 1: but I'll go with Bournemouth instead. BJ What about you?

1527
01:16:33,280 --> 01:16:37,280
Speaker 4: Newcastle minus one thirty five at home against aston Villa.

1528
01:16:37,800 --> 01:16:41,080
Speaker 4: Aston Villa was really good under Uniamory last season. They

1529
01:16:41,160 --> 01:16:43,920
Speaker 4: charged up the table since November first, when we took over.

1530
01:16:43,920 --> 01:16:46,320
Speaker 4: They have a plus fourteen actual goal differential, but they

1531
01:16:46,560 --> 01:16:50,400
Speaker 4: drastically overperformed because their expectacle differential was only plus point

1532
01:16:50,439 --> 01:16:52,519
Speaker 4: four and like I already mentioned, the only way that

1533
01:16:52,640 --> 01:16:55,840
Speaker 4: Uniamory is gonna get the best characteristics of all three

1534
01:16:55,880 --> 01:16:58,280
Speaker 4: of his center backs is to play them all at

1535
01:16:58,280 --> 01:17:00,479
Speaker 4: once on the pitch, and he's never played free center

1536
01:17:00,560 --> 01:17:02,640
Speaker 4: back ever in his entire career. So going through that

1537
01:17:02,680 --> 01:17:05,559
Speaker 4: transitional period trying to be a team that predominantly builds

1538
01:17:05,560 --> 01:17:07,880
Speaker 4: out of the back against the most physical team in

1539
01:17:07,920 --> 01:17:10,000
Speaker 4: the Premier League in Newcastle that is a top five

1540
01:17:10,080 --> 01:17:11,439
Speaker 4: pressing team that really.

1541
01:17:11,320 --> 01:17:13,439
Speaker 3: Beats you up. If you try to build out against them.

1542
01:17:13,680 --> 01:17:16,599
Speaker 4: It's a really, really dangerous game to play, especially on

1543
01:17:16,640 --> 01:17:19,000
Speaker 4: the road at Saint James Park, where Newcastle was awesome

1544
01:17:19,080 --> 01:17:21,080
Speaker 4: last season had a plus one point four to six

1545
01:17:21,439 --> 01:17:24,360
Speaker 4: expect a goal differential per ninety minutes. Nason Villa will

1546
01:17:24,400 --> 01:17:27,360
Speaker 4: be without two key players, Alex Moreno and Jacob Ramsey.

1547
01:17:27,400 --> 01:17:28,960
Speaker 4: So I think this is a really really good spot

1548
01:17:29,120 --> 01:17:32,160
Speaker 4: and honestly a cheap price here on Newcastle at home.

1549
01:17:32,200 --> 01:17:35,080
Speaker 4: I have them projected minus one seventy so decent value

1550
01:17:35,120 --> 01:17:36,559
Speaker 4: on them at minus one thirty five.

1551
01:17:36,760 --> 01:17:39,080
Speaker 1: All right, gentlemen, that's it. That's match week one. In

1552
01:17:39,120 --> 01:17:42,280
Speaker 1: the books. We're often running here. Like I said, be

1553
01:17:42,320 --> 01:17:44,679
Speaker 1: sure to listen to our season preview pods on this channel.

1554
01:17:45,120 --> 01:17:47,320
Speaker 1: Be sure to rate and view and subscribe. Thanks again

1555
01:17:47,360 --> 01:17:49,519
Speaker 1: to our sponsors BET three six' five for B J

1556
01:17:49,640 --> 01:17:53,240
Speaker 1: cunningham And Anthony. Dubundo I'm Michael Lee buff here's the

1557
01:17:53,280 --> 01:17:56,920
Speaker 1: Starting this is twenty twenty, three twenty twenty Four Premier

1558
01:17:57,000 --> 01:18:00,160
Speaker 1: league season on the right, foot perhaps one third to

1559
01:18:00,200 --> 01:18:02,160
Speaker 1: one parlay in our. Pocket good luck this.

1560
01:18:02,240 --> 01:18:13,760
Speaker 2: Weekend Action network reminds you please gamble. Responsibly if you

1561
01:18:14,000 --> 01:18:16,760
Speaker 2: or someone you care about has a gambling, problem help

1562
01:18:16,840 --> 01:18:19,559
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1563
01:18:19,560 --> 01:18:20,040
Speaker 2: gambler