1 00:00:00,960 --> 00:00:05,320 Speaker 1: Hello, everyone, Welcome to the Betting pros preview of the Masters. 2 00:00:05,400 --> 00:00:06,480 Speaker 2: I'm Pat fitz Morris. 3 00:00:06,840 --> 00:00:10,239 Speaker 1: Find me on Twitter at bits Underscore FF and here 4 00:00:10,240 --> 00:00:13,680 Speaker 1: with me today is mister Pat Mao. He is the 5 00:00:13,760 --> 00:00:16,759 Speaker 1: proprietor of the Mayo Media Network and the host of 6 00:00:16,800 --> 00:00:19,919 Speaker 1: the Pat Mao Experience. If you can bet on it 7 00:00:20,040 --> 00:00:23,000 Speaker 1: or make a fantasy league out of it, Pat covers 8 00:00:23,000 --> 00:00:25,400 Speaker 1: it on his show, and I think it's safe to 9 00:00:25,400 --> 00:00:29,639 Speaker 1: say that PGA Tour wagering is squarely in mister Mayo's wheelhouse. 10 00:00:30,080 --> 00:00:34,760 Speaker 2: Find him on Twitter at the pme. Pat. Thank you 11 00:00:34,800 --> 00:00:35,520 Speaker 2: for being here. 12 00:00:36,440 --> 00:00:39,080 Speaker 1: Doing a Master's betting preview show with Pat Mayo is 13 00:00:39,120 --> 00:00:40,519 Speaker 1: like a bucket list item for me. 14 00:00:40,560 --> 00:00:42,479 Speaker 2: I've never wanted to go skydiving. 15 00:00:42,960 --> 00:00:45,239 Speaker 1: I don't really care if I see the Great Pyramid, 16 00:00:46,360 --> 00:00:48,720 Speaker 1: But yeah, man, getting to talk to Pat Mayo about 17 00:00:48,760 --> 00:00:52,800 Speaker 1: the goings on at Augustin National and Pat, I know 18 00:00:52,840 --> 00:00:55,360 Speaker 1: you're up in Canada, Chili, Canada. 19 00:00:55,960 --> 00:00:58,000 Speaker 2: So is the game? Hold on? 20 00:00:58,040 --> 00:01:00,000 Speaker 3: Hold on, hold on, hold on, Where are you at? 21 00:01:00,160 --> 00:01:01,040 Speaker 2: I'm in Chicago. 22 00:01:01,560 --> 00:01:04,640 Speaker 3: I bet you it's warmer here than it is there today. 23 00:01:04,920 --> 00:01:06,720 Speaker 1: We're in the sixties today, and believe it or not, 24 00:01:06,760 --> 00:01:10,320 Speaker 1: I've been playing outdoor golf here in January and February. 25 00:01:10,959 --> 00:01:14,200 Speaker 4: Yeah, I played my last round I think December eleventh 26 00:01:14,200 --> 00:01:14,640 Speaker 4: this year. 27 00:01:15,120 --> 00:01:16,640 Speaker 2: Wow, sir, are you in mid season fourm? 28 00:01:16,720 --> 00:01:16,880 Speaker 1: Then? 29 00:01:17,040 --> 00:01:19,160 Speaker 2: Probably not? Are you at least getting to the simulator 30 00:01:19,280 --> 00:01:20,840 Speaker 2: every week or so? Yeah? 31 00:01:20,840 --> 00:01:22,600 Speaker 4: My club has a simulator, so I've been trying to 32 00:01:22,680 --> 00:01:24,200 Speaker 4: hit those like once every two weeks. I was in 33 00:01:24,280 --> 00:01:27,120 Speaker 4: Vegas for the FSGA a few weeks ago, me in 34 00:01:27,200 --> 00:01:29,000 Speaker 4: a couple of pals. We just walked on over to 35 00:01:29,080 --> 00:01:32,720 Speaker 4: Top Golf and the game was a bit out of sorts. 36 00:01:32,560 --> 00:01:33,319 Speaker 3: Nice at that time. 37 00:01:33,360 --> 00:01:35,520 Speaker 2: That's all right, all right, No one's going to expect anything. 38 00:01:35,920 --> 00:01:38,880 Speaker 1: We don't expect a par breaking round from you until July, 39 00:01:39,040 --> 00:01:41,479 Speaker 1: so you've got some time to get the bugs ironed 40 00:01:41,480 --> 00:01:43,960 Speaker 1: out of your game. Pat and I are going to 41 00:01:44,000 --> 00:01:46,720 Speaker 1: get down to business in just a moment. But first, 42 00:01:47,440 --> 00:01:50,640 Speaker 1: I humbly ask that you subscribe to the Betting Pros 43 00:01:50,680 --> 00:01:53,920 Speaker 1: YouTube channel and comment below on this video, because when 44 00:01:54,000 --> 00:01:56,360 Speaker 1: you do, you could win a free upgrade to Betting 45 00:01:56,360 --> 00:01:59,960 Speaker 1: Pros Premium. Whether you're looking for access to exclusive pick 46 00:02:00,600 --> 00:02:03,640 Speaker 1: top rated player props or custom analysis of your own 47 00:02:03,720 --> 00:02:07,400 Speaker 1: betting performance. Betting Pros premium has the tools to help 48 00:02:07,440 --> 00:02:08,840 Speaker 1: you cash more. 49 00:02:09,240 --> 00:02:12,359 Speaker 2: That's plain and simple. Don't want to wait for the giveaway. 50 00:02:12,720 --> 00:02:16,560 Speaker 1: Sign up today at bettingpros dot com, slash upgrade and 51 00:02:16,680 --> 00:02:20,760 Speaker 1: start betting smarter, not harder. Okay, Pat, we should probably 52 00:02:21,160 --> 00:02:24,040 Speaker 1: start with the weather forecast, which is a. 53 00:02:24,040 --> 00:02:25,760 Speaker 2: Little dire at this point. 54 00:02:26,520 --> 00:02:29,560 Speaker 1: On Thursday, it's gonna be hot, high eighty six degrees 55 00:02:29,800 --> 00:02:32,160 Speaker 1: with light and variable wins and a chance of the 56 00:02:32,200 --> 00:02:35,360 Speaker 1: stray shower thunderstorm should get in the Thursday round. But 57 00:02:35,440 --> 00:02:38,880 Speaker 1: then Friday, I have only seventy and the rain chances 58 00:02:38,960 --> 00:02:41,680 Speaker 1: really kick in, showers early and then a steady rain 59 00:02:41,720 --> 00:02:44,320 Speaker 1: in the afternoon. There's also going to be some wind, 60 00:02:45,280 --> 00:02:48,799 Speaker 1: and yeah, steady twelve miles an hour with gusts up 61 00:02:48,800 --> 00:02:52,239 Speaker 1: to twenty conditions could be flat out miserable. 62 00:02:52,240 --> 00:02:53,040 Speaker 2: On Saturday, I. 63 00:02:53,120 --> 00:02:56,959 Speaker 1: Have only fifty three degrees, rain all day and breezy conditions. 64 00:02:57,040 --> 00:02:59,000 Speaker 1: Yet again, it's gonna be like a late season Green 65 00:02:59,040 --> 00:03:02,360 Speaker 1: Bay Packers game at Agasta And on Sunday rain showers 66 00:03:02,400 --> 00:03:05,360 Speaker 1: early than cool, breezy conditions the rest of the day. 67 00:03:05,520 --> 00:03:09,880 Speaker 1: So thatt is the forecast fundamentally changing the way you're 68 00:03:09,919 --> 00:03:10,440 Speaker 1: going to bet. 69 00:03:10,480 --> 00:03:11,119 Speaker 2: The tournaments. 70 00:03:11,400 --> 00:03:13,600 Speaker 1: Are there any players you are going to include or 71 00:03:13,680 --> 00:03:17,720 Speaker 1: exclude because of the weather on your betting card? Are 72 00:03:17,760 --> 00:03:20,880 Speaker 1: you paying closer attention to tea times? Are the conditions 73 00:03:20,960 --> 00:03:23,880 Speaker 1: changing anything else about the way you're viewing the tourney. 74 00:03:25,160 --> 00:03:27,720 Speaker 4: Well, it's been twofold for me when it comes to 75 00:03:27,760 --> 00:03:29,880 Speaker 4: how the tournament is going and you're thrown out fahrenheit 76 00:03:29,960 --> 00:03:31,079 Speaker 4: numbers and don't what the hell that means. 77 00:03:31,080 --> 00:03:32,320 Speaker 3: It sounds like made up temperature. 78 00:03:32,360 --> 00:03:33,280 Speaker 2: But that's just me. 79 00:03:33,680 --> 00:03:34,600 Speaker 3: I can't figure it out. 80 00:03:34,639 --> 00:03:37,360 Speaker 4: But I'm sure most Americans can wrap their mind around. 81 00:03:37,400 --> 00:03:40,160 Speaker 4: Whoever the hell seventy is. I assume that's like fifteen 82 00:03:40,240 --> 00:03:42,600 Speaker 4: something like that, you know, in real temperature, but either 83 00:03:42,640 --> 00:03:47,360 Speaker 4: way room temperature. Yeah, everyone plays like there's no split 84 00:03:47,400 --> 00:03:49,480 Speaker 4: teas at the Masters, like especially when we get to 85 00:03:49,480 --> 00:03:51,080 Speaker 4: the weekend, so everyone's going to go off of one. 86 00:03:51,200 --> 00:03:54,080 Speaker 4: I mean, they've made exceptions in the past. The last 87 00:03:54,080 --> 00:03:55,600 Speaker 4: time that happened was I think it was the first 88 00:03:55,640 --> 00:03:57,280 Speaker 4: time it ever happened was the year the Tiger One 89 00:03:57,280 --> 00:03:59,720 Speaker 4: in twenty nineteen, so they could get it all in 90 00:04:00,200 --> 00:04:02,520 Speaker 4: on that day before the inclement weather came in. And 91 00:04:02,560 --> 00:04:04,640 Speaker 4: now it's looking like they might have to play two 92 00:04:04,720 --> 00:04:08,160 Speaker 4: rounds on Sunday because there is a good chance that 93 00:04:08,360 --> 00:04:13,760 Speaker 4: no golf gets played whatsoever. Probably on Friday, I'm guessing. 94 00:04:13,800 --> 00:04:15,880 Speaker 4: I mean, there looks like there's even more rain on Saturday. 95 00:04:15,880 --> 00:04:18,240 Speaker 4: The good thing about Augusta National, unlike any other golf 96 00:04:18,279 --> 00:04:20,800 Speaker 4: course that these pro see, is that there's a subair 97 00:04:20,839 --> 00:04:24,000 Speaker 4: system underneath the greens. That's not unique to Augusta Nashal. 98 00:04:24,120 --> 00:04:26,960 Speaker 4: That happens at a lot of courses. However, what is 99 00:04:27,080 --> 00:04:30,400 Speaker 4: unique to Augusta Nashals They have that same subair system 100 00:04:30,760 --> 00:04:33,719 Speaker 4: underneath the entire course, So they're going to be able 101 00:04:33,760 --> 00:04:36,160 Speaker 4: to turn on the dehumidifier pretty quickly and suck all 102 00:04:36,160 --> 00:04:39,479 Speaker 4: that water out. Granted it ever stops raining, and that's 103 00:04:39,520 --> 00:04:42,159 Speaker 4: the issue right now. So there Initially as the week 104 00:04:42,200 --> 00:04:44,880 Speaker 4: started we started looking into this, it was going to 105 00:04:44,960 --> 00:04:48,800 Speaker 4: rain into Sunday. Now everything's got moved forward a little bit. 106 00:04:48,880 --> 00:04:51,600 Speaker 4: At the onset, there was no rain on Thursday. Now 107 00:04:51,600 --> 00:04:53,159 Speaker 4: it looks like the rain is going to start around 108 00:04:53,160 --> 00:04:58,159 Speaker 4: five pm local on Thursday and end sometime towards when 109 00:04:58,160 --> 00:05:00,120 Speaker 4: the end of the round should be on Saturday. So 110 00:05:00,120 --> 00:05:03,039 Speaker 4: I'm guessing it's just going to get rainier on Thursday 111 00:05:03,279 --> 00:05:05,400 Speaker 4: and the weekend might open up a bit. But it's 112 00:05:05,400 --> 00:05:06,839 Speaker 4: not the rain that concerns me. It's going to make 113 00:05:06,839 --> 00:05:08,719 Speaker 4: for a softer course, and the softness will go away. 114 00:05:08,839 --> 00:05:11,240 Speaker 4: We saw HITDECKI take advantage of a very similar thing 115 00:05:11,320 --> 00:05:14,640 Speaker 4: two years ago when he won his green jacket. 116 00:05:14,760 --> 00:05:16,000 Speaker 3: But I think what this does. 117 00:05:16,040 --> 00:05:19,280 Speaker 4: It doesn't necessarily negate any of the players that I'm 118 00:05:19,320 --> 00:05:21,599 Speaker 4: going to be picking, but it is giving me pause. 119 00:05:21,920 --> 00:05:24,440 Speaker 4: I want to wait until we get as close to 120 00:05:24,640 --> 00:05:28,000 Speaker 4: time as possible. Unfortunately, that's not great for the content game, 121 00:05:28,000 --> 00:05:29,920 Speaker 4: because you know I'm doing pick shows and bet shows. 122 00:05:29,960 --> 00:05:31,960 Speaker 4: I'm on with you trying to give out the bets, 123 00:05:32,000 --> 00:05:35,000 Speaker 4: but realistically, I have to figure out how I'm going 124 00:05:35,040 --> 00:05:36,960 Speaker 4: to structure my bets this week. And you know I 125 00:05:37,040 --> 00:05:39,840 Speaker 4: like to win seven, six, seven, eight times my money 126 00:05:40,160 --> 00:05:42,440 Speaker 4: during a week for the total amount that I've invested. 127 00:05:42,480 --> 00:05:44,320 Speaker 4: So that means if I want to bet Scotty Scheffler, 128 00:05:44,320 --> 00:05:46,920 Speaker 4: which I am eyeing right now, the best number I 129 00:05:46,960 --> 00:05:48,960 Speaker 4: can find is eight to twenty seven to one in 130 00:05:49,000 --> 00:05:52,440 Speaker 4: most places. Is that if I bet him, well, then 131 00:05:52,440 --> 00:05:54,400 Speaker 4: I can't bet Justin Thomas at twenty two to one, 132 00:05:54,440 --> 00:05:56,560 Speaker 4: I can't probably bet someone else at twenty eight to one, 133 00:05:56,640 --> 00:05:59,719 Speaker 4: because one Scotti Scheffler equals three guys at twenty one 134 00:05:59,760 --> 00:06:01,680 Speaker 4: to one based on the amount of money that you. 135 00:06:01,640 --> 00:06:02,159 Speaker 3: Have to put in. 136 00:06:02,200 --> 00:06:04,279 Speaker 4: So I think that's very important to realize when you 137 00:06:04,320 --> 00:06:05,800 Speaker 4: bet on golf, Like if you just want to go 138 00:06:05,920 --> 00:06:08,440 Speaker 4: out and say, hey, I'm gonna bet Scheffler and Rory, 139 00:06:08,880 --> 00:06:10,120 Speaker 4: like those are your only two bets of the week, 140 00:06:10,120 --> 00:06:12,880 Speaker 4: and that's probably a profitable strategy based on what we've seen. 141 00:06:12,920 --> 00:06:17,520 Speaker 4: But I think this weather cold, rainy, damp, kind of miserable. 142 00:06:18,040 --> 00:06:21,760 Speaker 4: I just feel like these Brits, International and euro players 143 00:06:21,800 --> 00:06:24,200 Speaker 4: are given such an advantage, the ones that you wouldn't 144 00:06:24,200 --> 00:06:26,720 Speaker 4: even think about, Like, yeah, Rom's gonna be good, Rory's 145 00:06:26,720 --> 00:06:29,040 Speaker 4: gonna be good, we know that, but now we're thinking 146 00:06:29,040 --> 00:06:32,680 Speaker 4: about Tommy Fleetwood, justin Rose, Shane Lowry, you have the 147 00:06:32,760 --> 00:06:36,039 Speaker 4: Ausies in min wou Lee, or even someone like a 148 00:06:36,040 --> 00:06:38,600 Speaker 4: New Zealand or like Ryan Fox, a Polish player like 149 00:06:38,640 --> 00:06:40,920 Speaker 4: Adrian Mornk, guys that just have played in this weather 150 00:06:41,000 --> 00:06:42,760 Speaker 4: a lot. Like the only guy I can really think 151 00:06:42,760 --> 00:06:45,240 Speaker 4: about fading and conditions like this is Patrick Cantlay because 152 00:06:45,240 --> 00:06:47,640 Speaker 4: he just he looks so miserable. Every time he has 153 00:06:47,680 --> 00:06:50,719 Speaker 4: to play a non ideal weather that just you gotta 154 00:06:50,720 --> 00:06:52,599 Speaker 4: look for reasons to cross guys off the car, and 155 00:06:52,600 --> 00:06:53,680 Speaker 4: that's a reason enough for me. 156 00:06:54,360 --> 00:06:57,360 Speaker 1: Yeah, it does make sense to maybe go less alid 157 00:06:57,440 --> 00:06:59,920 Speaker 1: in a guy like Can'tley grew up in California, used 158 00:07:00,080 --> 00:07:03,359 Speaker 1: pretty pristine weather conditions versus these guys who, as you 159 00:07:03,400 --> 00:07:06,720 Speaker 1: mentioned on the euro tour, you get everything thrown at 160 00:07:06,760 --> 00:07:08,480 Speaker 1: you man that continental climate or. 161 00:07:08,800 --> 00:07:11,480 Speaker 2: You know, it's just night and day. 162 00:07:11,520 --> 00:07:14,720 Speaker 1: And I kind of like Shane Lowry at his odds 163 00:07:14,760 --> 00:07:18,120 Speaker 1: man playing in the wind, playing in the conditions the wind, 164 00:07:18,200 --> 00:07:20,000 Speaker 1: you're the better for the big irishman who has a 165 00:07:20,000 --> 00:07:23,280 Speaker 1: lot of ballast and can anchor in there if the 166 00:07:23,280 --> 00:07:24,280 Speaker 1: winds start blowing. 167 00:07:24,640 --> 00:07:27,120 Speaker 2: So let's talk about some of the heavier favorites. 168 00:07:27,400 --> 00:07:32,560 Speaker 1: Pat Over at bet MGM defending champion, Scotti Scheffler and 169 00:07:32,800 --> 00:07:36,400 Speaker 1: Rory McElroy are the co favorites at plus seven hundred 170 00:07:36,640 --> 00:07:41,520 Speaker 1: to win outrights. And speaking of bet MGM, bet MGM 171 00:07:41,600 --> 00:07:44,360 Speaker 1: is offering one thousand dollars to new users with their 172 00:07:44,440 --> 00:07:48,280 Speaker 1: first bet free offer. Sign up at bet mgm using 173 00:07:48,280 --> 00:07:50,880 Speaker 1: the promo code Juice and get paid back up to 174 00:07:51,120 --> 00:07:54,560 Speaker 1: one thousand dollars in free bonuses even if you don't win, 175 00:07:55,080 --> 00:07:57,600 Speaker 1: all right, Pat, As I mentioned, Scotty Scheffler and Rory 176 00:07:57,680 --> 00:08:00,600 Speaker 1: McElroy co favorites plus seven to win. 177 00:08:00,880 --> 00:08:03,400 Speaker 2: They've both been in good form, Scheffler especially. 178 00:08:03,640 --> 00:08:06,080 Speaker 1: He's won two out of his last five tournaments, and 179 00:08:06,080 --> 00:08:08,240 Speaker 1: he made it to the semi finals of the WGC 180 00:08:08,360 --> 00:08:09,960 Speaker 1: Dell Matchplay events. 181 00:08:09,840 --> 00:08:12,240 Speaker 2: And Scheffler probably should have won that event. 182 00:08:12,320 --> 00:08:17,120 Speaker 1: He missed a short cut against Sam Burns that could 183 00:08:17,160 --> 00:08:19,480 Speaker 1: have closed out Burns, but instead Burns was able to 184 00:08:19,520 --> 00:08:22,440 Speaker 1: win in extra holes. And I guess we might as 185 00:08:22,480 --> 00:08:25,120 Speaker 1: well thrown Rom here too since he's hot on their 186 00:08:25,160 --> 00:08:28,200 Speaker 1: heels at plus nine hundred. So do you see value 187 00:08:28,240 --> 00:08:34,560 Speaker 1: in Scheffler or Rory or Rom? Could Rory finally win 188 00:08:34,960 --> 00:08:37,080 Speaker 1: the one major that's eluded him? 189 00:08:37,800 --> 00:08:40,160 Speaker 3: Obviously? All these guys can most definitely win. 190 00:08:40,240 --> 00:08:43,400 Speaker 4: If we had staged this tournament thirty days ago, John 191 00:08:43,480 --> 00:08:45,960 Speaker 4: Rohm would be a five to one favorite, But since 192 00:08:46,000 --> 00:08:47,440 Speaker 4: the first round at bay Hill when he was the 193 00:08:47,440 --> 00:08:50,840 Speaker 4: first round leader, things have not gone has planned for 194 00:08:50,880 --> 00:08:54,040 Speaker 4: the gigantic Spaniard. Now Scheffler has taken over that role 195 00:08:54,080 --> 00:08:56,040 Speaker 4: as the guy that looks unbeatable very much like he 196 00:08:56,160 --> 00:08:58,920 Speaker 4: looked going into the Masters last year when he won, 197 00:08:59,440 --> 00:09:01,640 Speaker 4: So I would say in terms of pure value, there's 198 00:09:01,679 --> 00:09:03,760 Speaker 4: no value on any of these guys. And that's the 199 00:09:03,760 --> 00:09:06,559 Speaker 4: thing about the golf betting market that the books take 200 00:09:06,640 --> 00:09:08,680 Speaker 4: so much handle, is that very rarely are you're going 201 00:09:08,760 --> 00:09:10,600 Speaker 4: to find someone that's actually a plus ev bet. So 202 00:09:10,640 --> 00:09:12,000 Speaker 4: you kind of have to go with what you feel. 203 00:09:12,000 --> 00:09:14,640 Speaker 4: And I'm targeting Scheffler. I don't know if I can 204 00:09:14,640 --> 00:09:17,199 Speaker 4: get there at the seven and six and a half, seven, 205 00:09:17,360 --> 00:09:19,400 Speaker 4: eight to one, whatever the final number comes in at 206 00:09:19,440 --> 00:09:21,880 Speaker 4: whatever you can find on Scheffler, but he is my 207 00:09:21,960 --> 00:09:25,080 Speaker 4: favorite of these top end guys. But like I said, 208 00:09:25,160 --> 00:09:29,240 Speaker 4: if you take Scotty Scheffer, you sacrifice so much with 209 00:09:29,320 --> 00:09:31,199 Speaker 4: the rest of your betting card. And I just ran 210 00:09:31,280 --> 00:09:34,520 Speaker 4: a thousand simulations in real time right now, and the 211 00:09:34,600 --> 00:09:37,000 Speaker 4: true odds it's giving me on Scotty Scheffler to win 212 00:09:37,040 --> 00:09:38,360 Speaker 4: this event is nine and a half. 213 00:09:38,200 --> 00:09:39,960 Speaker 3: To one, So that's not a huge difference. 214 00:09:40,080 --> 00:09:42,000 Speaker 4: I mean, when you look at the percentage wise between 215 00:09:42,080 --> 00:09:43,840 Speaker 4: nine and a half and seven, may mean it's like 216 00:09:43,840 --> 00:09:48,480 Speaker 4: what thirty four percent of a difference between it, But 217 00:09:48,920 --> 00:09:51,560 Speaker 4: after that you have, like Rory's true odds are twenty 218 00:09:51,559 --> 00:09:53,760 Speaker 4: two to one, not eight to one. Rom's Tru odds 219 00:09:53,760 --> 00:09:55,360 Speaker 4: are thirteen to one. I mean, it's pretty close to 220 00:09:55,400 --> 00:09:57,080 Speaker 4: ten to one. That actually might be better value. 221 00:09:57,160 --> 00:09:57,679 Speaker 2: But I just. 222 00:09:59,200 --> 00:10:01,160 Speaker 4: They have to win, and you have to back the 223 00:10:01,160 --> 00:10:03,080 Speaker 4: players that you think can actually win. And I just 224 00:10:03,400 --> 00:10:05,679 Speaker 4: it feels like, let me ask you. If we're sitting 225 00:10:05,720 --> 00:10:09,080 Speaker 4: there on Sunday and everything gets played, there's three holes left, 226 00:10:09,080 --> 00:10:10,840 Speaker 4: and I told you that this guy is in the 227 00:10:10,840 --> 00:10:12,959 Speaker 4: final group and he's up by one or down by one, 228 00:10:12,960 --> 00:10:14,800 Speaker 4: who would be the most confident bet you would put on. 229 00:10:14,840 --> 00:10:20,320 Speaker 2: The board for him to win? Outright? Up up one? 230 00:10:21,000 --> 00:10:25,040 Speaker 1: Man, I mean, like anything, I know, plus one, one thirty, 231 00:10:25,120 --> 00:10:25,960 Speaker 1: plus one forty. 232 00:10:26,840 --> 00:10:28,520 Speaker 3: But the name is Scotty Scheffler, right. 233 00:10:28,480 --> 00:10:31,520 Speaker 1: Oh okay, Yeah, I mean it's if it's Scotty, I'm 234 00:10:31,920 --> 00:10:33,880 Speaker 1: and he's got a one shot lead with three left 235 00:10:33,880 --> 00:10:36,120 Speaker 1: to go, you know, I'd probably take him as something 236 00:10:36,160 --> 00:10:37,480 Speaker 1: close to minus two hundred. 237 00:10:38,320 --> 00:10:38,600 Speaker 3: Yeah. 238 00:10:38,640 --> 00:10:40,199 Speaker 4: So if I was to ask you which of these 239 00:10:40,200 --> 00:10:42,560 Speaker 4: players are going to be there coming down the stretch 240 00:10:42,600 --> 00:10:44,560 Speaker 4: on Sunday and give me your most confident. 241 00:10:44,240 --> 00:10:44,920 Speaker 3: Pick, who would it be? 242 00:10:46,520 --> 00:10:48,360 Speaker 2: Scotty? It's Scott Scotty. 243 00:10:48,880 --> 00:10:51,520 Speaker 4: Everyone keeps coming back to Scotty and we keep fading him, 244 00:10:51,559 --> 00:10:52,920 Speaker 4: being oh, there's no value on him. 245 00:10:52,960 --> 00:10:53,720 Speaker 3: He just keeps winning. 246 00:10:54,000 --> 00:10:55,960 Speaker 4: I'm sick of I'm sick of losing because Scheffler keeps 247 00:10:55,960 --> 00:10:56,800 Speaker 4: winning every tournament. 248 00:10:58,240 --> 00:11:00,600 Speaker 1: Yeah, fading Scheffler is not a good way to make 249 00:11:00,679 --> 00:11:04,600 Speaker 1: money betting golf in recent weeks. So yeah, I'm with you, 250 00:11:05,640 --> 00:11:07,439 Speaker 1: Like he's just been in such good form and I 251 00:11:07,520 --> 00:11:10,800 Speaker 1: feel like Rory, I don't know, something just always happens 252 00:11:10,800 --> 00:11:12,679 Speaker 1: with Rory when he's I wonder if he's got too 253 00:11:12,679 --> 00:11:16,319 Speaker 1: many demons, Like he'll have these great runs and then 254 00:11:16,679 --> 00:11:18,120 Speaker 1: like something happens. 255 00:11:17,880 --> 00:11:19,160 Speaker 2: There's there's the hole where. 256 00:11:18,960 --> 00:11:21,880 Speaker 1: He glitches and comes off the rails, and like it 257 00:11:21,920 --> 00:11:23,680 Speaker 1: always takes him a little time to get it back. 258 00:11:24,040 --> 00:11:26,160 Speaker 1: He makes his charge and it's too little, too late. 259 00:11:27,240 --> 00:11:29,880 Speaker 1: There's a large group of interesting names dwelling in the 260 00:11:30,120 --> 00:11:34,440 Speaker 1: plus eighteen hundred to plus twenty five hundred range. Jordan Spieth, 261 00:11:34,920 --> 00:11:39,880 Speaker 1: who speaking of troubled histories at Augustin National Patrick Cantley, 262 00:11:40,120 --> 00:11:43,640 Speaker 1: you mentioned before, Cameron Smith, one of the prodigal sons 263 00:11:43,640 --> 00:11:49,000 Speaker 1: of the Live Tour, Justin Thomas, Colin Morikawa, Xander Schaffley, 264 00:11:49,200 --> 00:11:52,840 Speaker 1: another live guy with Dustin Johnson and Jason Day who's 265 00:11:53,040 --> 00:11:56,880 Speaker 1: contended here before and has strung together six consecutive top 266 00:11:56,920 --> 00:11:57,760 Speaker 1: twenty finishes. 267 00:11:58,559 --> 00:12:00,720 Speaker 2: Is there anyone from this group who appeals to you? 268 00:12:01,920 --> 00:12:05,520 Speaker 4: Justin Thomas appeals to me, And I can't really put 269 00:12:05,520 --> 00:12:08,920 Speaker 4: my finger on why is the problem. So there's all 270 00:12:08,920 --> 00:12:10,679 Speaker 4: these trends when you go and see the Masters, like 271 00:12:11,040 --> 00:12:13,839 Speaker 4: outside of Hideki, who is a very large outlier of 272 00:12:13,840 --> 00:12:16,400 Speaker 4: the year that he won, and there's were wind in 273 00:12:16,679 --> 00:12:21,160 Speaker 4: water affected conditions. Is that just to make it very simple, 274 00:12:22,200 --> 00:12:24,560 Speaker 4: the guys that win the Masters ten of the past 275 00:12:24,559 --> 00:12:28,120 Speaker 4: eleven have two top fifteen finishes in their past three 276 00:12:28,160 --> 00:12:30,280 Speaker 4: starts coming in just as a baseline. 277 00:12:30,360 --> 00:12:34,320 Speaker 3: So Thomas doesn't have that, but he's still playing pretty well. 278 00:12:34,320 --> 00:12:35,720 Speaker 3: It's just he can't putt. 279 00:12:35,800 --> 00:12:37,400 Speaker 4: But when you go and look at total strokes gained 280 00:12:37,440 --> 00:12:39,320 Speaker 4: at the Masters the past half decade, you're gonna see 281 00:12:39,360 --> 00:12:41,720 Speaker 4: Justin Thomas's name along with John Rahm. 282 00:12:41,480 --> 00:12:42,320 Speaker 3: At the very top. 283 00:12:42,520 --> 00:12:45,280 Speaker 4: It's just for whatever reason, it's almost like Rory in 284 00:12:45,320 --> 00:12:47,800 Speaker 4: a weird way, that stuff kind of glitches on him 285 00:12:47,800 --> 00:12:50,720 Speaker 4: at one second. So I think speed is my favorite, 286 00:12:50,720 --> 00:12:52,200 Speaker 4: but I don't like his odds, like if I'm gonna 287 00:12:52,240 --> 00:12:54,720 Speaker 4: bet Jordan's BEF, which I did, it is his first 288 00:12:54,840 --> 00:12:57,080 Speaker 4: round leader at twenty five to one because he comes 289 00:12:57,120 --> 00:12:58,640 Speaker 4: out of the gates hot, although he's in the very 290 00:12:58,720 --> 00:13:01,760 Speaker 4: last tea time on Thursday, which is not ideal based 291 00:13:01,760 --> 00:13:03,560 Speaker 4: on what the conditions are looking like right now. But 292 00:13:04,200 --> 00:13:06,200 Speaker 4: I do like speak the best of that range. Like 293 00:13:06,280 --> 00:13:08,640 Speaker 4: we can rattle off all the Jason Day consistency numbers. 294 00:13:08,679 --> 00:13:11,760 Speaker 4: He's been great, all the top twenties, all the top tens, 295 00:13:11,800 --> 00:13:14,480 Speaker 4: but not once has has he been in contention to 296 00:13:14,559 --> 00:13:15,520 Speaker 4: win a tournament this year. 297 00:13:15,559 --> 00:13:16,400 Speaker 3: It hasn't happened yet. 298 00:13:17,320 --> 00:13:20,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, I like Spith as maybe a top five or 299 00:13:20,080 --> 00:13:22,120 Speaker 1: top ten where he doesn't have to seal the deal. 300 00:13:22,280 --> 00:13:24,720 Speaker 1: I just, you know, if you're gonna get loose with 301 00:13:24,800 --> 00:13:27,439 Speaker 1: the driver, as Speith so often does, this is a 302 00:13:27,440 --> 00:13:29,160 Speaker 1: pretty good place to do it. You can only get 303 00:13:29,160 --> 00:13:30,920 Speaker 1: in so much trouble when there's not a lot of 304 00:13:31,000 --> 00:13:35,120 Speaker 1: rough But yeah, I mean, I just I'm still sort 305 00:13:35,160 --> 00:13:38,720 Speaker 1: of haunted by the meltdown that allowed Danny Willett. I 306 00:13:38,760 --> 00:13:41,360 Speaker 1: am not haunted by that want you had will at 307 00:13:41,360 --> 00:13:42,040 Speaker 1: that week. 308 00:13:41,880 --> 00:13:45,000 Speaker 3: Didn't you one hundred and fifty to one The best 309 00:13:45,000 --> 00:13:45,640 Speaker 3: bet of my life. 310 00:13:45,720 --> 00:13:46,920 Speaker 2: Amazing, amazing. 311 00:13:47,960 --> 00:13:50,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, I wonder about Justin Thomas and whether you can 312 00:13:50,040 --> 00:13:52,440 Speaker 1: pop well enough to do it. I mean, I know 313 00:13:52,559 --> 00:13:55,839 Speaker 1: you don't necessarily have to be a world class potter 314 00:13:55,920 --> 00:13:59,640 Speaker 1: to win at Augusta VJ. Singh one and never a 315 00:13:59,720 --> 00:14:03,559 Speaker 1: perchinicularly good putter HYDECKI not exactly a world class putter. 316 00:14:04,040 --> 00:14:09,680 Speaker 4: Scheffler sucks on the greens. Yeah, I mean he just 317 00:14:09,720 --> 00:14:12,560 Speaker 4: won the players losing strokes putting right. 318 00:14:13,080 --> 00:14:16,720 Speaker 1: Yeah, it's true. Maybe this is Thomas's year. I mean, 319 00:14:16,720 --> 00:14:20,680 Speaker 1: I'd love to see him. In contention, let's talk about 320 00:14:20,960 --> 00:14:23,440 Speaker 1: some of the other interesting options for this week. A 321 00:14:23,440 --> 00:14:26,520 Speaker 1: little bird told me you've got Victor Hobland, the Natalie 322 00:14:26,600 --> 00:14:31,000 Speaker 1: Dress Norwegian on your betting card this week. Bet MGM 323 00:14:31,080 --> 00:14:34,440 Speaker 1: has him at plus thirty three hundred outright, I've got 324 00:14:34,480 --> 00:14:35,920 Speaker 1: to tell you, Pat, I mean, I've got a soft 325 00:14:35,920 --> 00:14:38,760 Speaker 1: spot for Hobland because I am the worst chipper on 326 00:14:38,840 --> 00:14:41,200 Speaker 1: planet Earth, and I'm not especially good out of the 327 00:14:41,280 --> 00:14:45,360 Speaker 1: sand either, So I appreciate a world class player who's 328 00:14:45,440 --> 00:14:48,160 Speaker 1: nearly as bad at chipping and bunker play as I am. 329 00:14:48,840 --> 00:14:51,160 Speaker 1: But I do have concerns about putting money on a 330 00:14:51,200 --> 00:14:55,400 Speaker 1: guy who you know, with his shaky short game putting 331 00:14:55,480 --> 00:14:57,480 Speaker 1: on a course where a bad chip can roll out 332 00:14:57,520 --> 00:14:58,880 Speaker 1: sixty feet away from the hole. 333 00:15:00,840 --> 00:15:03,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, I've got some worries. 334 00:15:02,960 --> 00:15:05,520 Speaker 1: About Victor, even though he is a world class ball 335 00:15:05,560 --> 00:15:07,320 Speaker 1: striker for sure, and. 336 00:15:07,280 --> 00:15:08,400 Speaker 3: He's an excellent putter too. 337 00:15:08,440 --> 00:15:10,040 Speaker 4: I think that's the part that we always forget because 338 00:15:10,040 --> 00:15:11,520 Speaker 4: we lump in his putting with his short game. But 339 00:15:11,560 --> 00:15:14,280 Speaker 4: his putting is actually quite good, so that's a positive 340 00:15:14,400 --> 00:15:16,960 Speaker 4: at an event like this. And the funny thing about Victor, 341 00:15:17,000 --> 00:15:18,760 Speaker 4: I think he's lost strokes around the green and seven 342 00:15:18,800 --> 00:15:20,160 Speaker 4: consecutive events coming in. 343 00:15:20,880 --> 00:15:21,480 Speaker 3: That's not good. 344 00:15:21,640 --> 00:15:23,760 Speaker 4: I don't think anyone has actually ever won the Masters 345 00:15:23,760 --> 00:15:27,120 Speaker 4: with that sort of track record entering Augusta. However, if 346 00:15:27,200 --> 00:15:29,600 Speaker 4: you go back and look at his weighted numbers from 347 00:15:29,640 --> 00:15:33,400 Speaker 4: the Majors only over the past three years, he's gained 348 00:15:33,480 --> 00:15:37,000 Speaker 4: in nine of those twelve tournaments around the greens. I'm 349 00:15:37,040 --> 00:15:39,480 Speaker 4: trying to figure out why. I actually have no real reason. 350 00:15:39,520 --> 00:15:41,920 Speaker 4: Why have theories why that might be the case, and 351 00:15:41,960 --> 00:15:44,160 Speaker 4: I think it is is that the greens tend to 352 00:15:44,240 --> 00:15:46,320 Speaker 4: run so fast at majors or at. 353 00:15:46,240 --> 00:15:48,600 Speaker 3: Your typical PGA Tour event. 354 00:15:49,040 --> 00:15:51,600 Speaker 4: And you can attest to this you're gonna see Justin Thomas, 355 00:15:51,640 --> 00:15:54,320 Speaker 4: who's one of the most elite short game players in 356 00:15:54,360 --> 00:15:56,680 Speaker 4: the world. He's gonna have your He's going to double 357 00:15:56,680 --> 00:15:59,680 Speaker 4: bounce it up from twenty five feet away and get 358 00:15:59,680 --> 00:16:02,080 Speaker 4: it top on a dime, either in or one inch 359 00:16:02,120 --> 00:16:02,600 Speaker 4: from the hole. 360 00:16:03,080 --> 00:16:05,680 Speaker 3: That's what happens with him. It doesn't happen at Augusta. 361 00:16:05,800 --> 00:16:08,120 Speaker 4: So these guys that are elite short game players, they're 362 00:16:08,120 --> 00:16:12,240 Speaker 4: still good, but they're not generating tappins like they normally 363 00:16:12,280 --> 00:16:14,600 Speaker 4: would around the green. So whereas Victor tends to leave 364 00:16:14,600 --> 00:16:16,320 Speaker 4: his ball like four or five feet away and then 365 00:16:16,360 --> 00:16:18,640 Speaker 4: actually has to make a putt, everyone kind of does 366 00:16:18,680 --> 00:16:21,240 Speaker 4: that at the major championships because it's so much. 367 00:16:21,080 --> 00:16:21,920 Speaker 3: More difficult that. 368 00:16:22,360 --> 00:16:26,160 Speaker 4: Weirdly enough, I think that kind of normalizes his around 369 00:16:26,160 --> 00:16:27,440 Speaker 4: the green game. Now, this is going to be really 370 00:16:27,520 --> 00:16:29,320 Speaker 4: ludicrous when I see him in a bunker and it 371 00:16:29,320 --> 00:16:31,520 Speaker 4: takes him eight shots to get out, because I've kind 372 00:16:31,560 --> 00:16:34,720 Speaker 4: of witnessed that meltdown happened before. But ball striking wise, 373 00:16:34,840 --> 00:16:39,120 Speaker 4: off the t approach game, there are maybe three players 374 00:16:39,160 --> 00:16:40,880 Speaker 4: right now that coming in better form and if it's 375 00:16:40,920 --> 00:16:42,840 Speaker 4: going to be wet and he can attack pins like 376 00:16:42,880 --> 00:16:43,960 Speaker 4: that's the Victor setup. 377 00:16:44,360 --> 00:16:45,240 Speaker 2: It is it is. 378 00:16:45,280 --> 00:16:48,160 Speaker 1: I think he is a guy who foul Weather would 379 00:16:48,160 --> 00:16:52,720 Speaker 1: favor for certain now, will Zalatoris finished second at Augusta 380 00:16:52,720 --> 00:16:55,320 Speaker 1: when he debuted there in twenty twenty one, and he 381 00:16:55,360 --> 00:16:58,680 Speaker 1: finished sixth last year. But Xalatorus has been dealing with 382 00:16:58,760 --> 00:17:01,520 Speaker 1: back issues and the boy looked like he had a 383 00:17:01,520 --> 00:17:05,400 Speaker 1: bad case of the yips at the WGC match Play event, 384 00:17:05,400 --> 00:17:11,520 Speaker 1: where he had some absolutely spastic swings with the potter 385 00:17:11,560 --> 00:17:14,840 Speaker 1: at times. How do you feel about will Z with 386 00:17:15,000 --> 00:17:19,480 Speaker 1: a strong couple of Masters showings, but possibly some other 387 00:17:19,560 --> 00:17:23,400 Speaker 1: issues keeping him reasonably priced. 388 00:17:24,280 --> 00:17:24,879 Speaker 3: He has gained the. 389 00:17:24,880 --> 00:17:27,000 Speaker 4: Most strokes, putting out a gust of the last two years, 390 00:17:27,119 --> 00:17:29,840 Speaker 4: which is mind boggling considering how terrible he is on 391 00:17:29,880 --> 00:17:32,080 Speaker 4: the greens. In fact, before the yips that you talked about, 392 00:17:32,080 --> 00:17:35,320 Speaker 4: which we very much saw that got circulated around, he 393 00:17:35,359 --> 00:17:37,560 Speaker 4: had gained in six straight events on the greens before 394 00:17:37,680 --> 00:17:39,800 Speaker 4: heading to Florida. Then he dropped at the Arnold Palmer, 395 00:17:39,840 --> 00:17:42,639 Speaker 4: Then he dropped almost seven in four rounds at the Players, 396 00:17:42,640 --> 00:17:44,080 Speaker 4: and then we saw what happened at the match play. 397 00:17:44,119 --> 00:17:46,640 Speaker 4: So he seems before he withdrew with an illness and 398 00:17:47,040 --> 00:17:49,320 Speaker 4: was not specified what that illness was. It might just 399 00:17:49,359 --> 00:17:51,600 Speaker 4: be I'm in my own head. I don't know what's 400 00:17:51,640 --> 00:17:54,199 Speaker 4: going on. I can't make a one foot putt. But 401 00:17:54,440 --> 00:17:56,600 Speaker 4: then you kind of circle back with the Victor thing. 402 00:17:56,720 --> 00:18:00,840 Speaker 4: So the Victor and Xalatoris are pretty similar or type players. 403 00:18:00,840 --> 00:18:03,280 Speaker 4: To be perfectly honest with you, it's just Victor can't 404 00:18:03,320 --> 00:18:04,520 Speaker 4: chip sala Taurus Kenship. 405 00:18:04,520 --> 00:18:07,560 Speaker 3: He's excellent around the greens, he just can't putt from close. 406 00:18:07,680 --> 00:18:09,960 Speaker 4: He's actually a pretty good leg putter, and that's what 407 00:18:10,080 --> 00:18:13,320 Speaker 4: has really been so good for him at Augusta. These 408 00:18:13,359 --> 00:18:16,600 Speaker 4: are giant greens, are incredibly fast. His weight control from 409 00:18:16,600 --> 00:18:19,840 Speaker 4: seventy feet is excellent. It's just if he doesn't leave it, 410 00:18:20,080 --> 00:18:21,240 Speaker 4: you know, if he leaves it to three feet, he 411 00:18:21,320 --> 00:18:23,200 Speaker 4: might miss a three foot putt, which you're not really 412 00:18:23,240 --> 00:18:24,919 Speaker 4: concerned about with a lot of the other guys. So 413 00:18:25,040 --> 00:18:28,040 Speaker 4: I actually think he is the biggest mixed mystery box 414 00:18:28,440 --> 00:18:31,600 Speaker 4: this week going into Augusta, because it wasn't too long ago. 415 00:18:31,640 --> 00:18:33,280 Speaker 4: Let's say three weeks ago, he was twenty two to 416 00:18:33,320 --> 00:18:35,919 Speaker 4: one to win this tournament, and now we get double those. 417 00:18:35,800 --> 00:18:37,480 Speaker 3: Odds on will z Alatauris. 418 00:18:38,200 --> 00:18:41,040 Speaker 4: I don't know, there's got to be a number where 419 00:18:41,040 --> 00:18:42,960 Speaker 4: it comes crashing down to that all of a sudden. 420 00:18:42,960 --> 00:18:45,280 Speaker 4: You're like, I'm in, like blindly, just based on the 421 00:18:45,359 --> 00:18:48,280 Speaker 4: upside that you know is there. But I don't think 422 00:18:48,320 --> 00:18:50,359 Speaker 4: that forty or forty five is quite that number for 423 00:18:50,400 --> 00:18:50,720 Speaker 4: me yet. 424 00:18:50,840 --> 00:18:54,399 Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, it's definitely getting there for me given 425 00:18:54,480 --> 00:18:55,400 Speaker 1: his history here. 426 00:18:55,480 --> 00:18:57,360 Speaker 2: But yeah, what we saw from him on. 427 00:18:57,320 --> 00:19:01,920 Speaker 1: The greens at the match play event was so one alarming. Pat, 428 00:19:01,960 --> 00:19:04,800 Speaker 1: your countryman, Corey Connors is not only coming off a 429 00:19:04,880 --> 00:19:08,159 Speaker 1: win at the Valero Texas Open last weekend, but he 430 00:19:08,160 --> 00:19:11,440 Speaker 1: has finished top ten in each of his last three Masters. 431 00:19:11,800 --> 00:19:14,800 Speaker 1: He's plus four thousand to win outright at bt MGM, 432 00:19:15,080 --> 00:19:18,159 Speaker 1: plus six fifty for a top five, plus three hundred 433 00:19:18,320 --> 00:19:23,160 Speaker 1: for a top ten. Is that, in your estimation, pretty 434 00:19:23,200 --> 00:19:25,760 Speaker 1: good value for a guy this hot with this good 435 00:19:25,760 --> 00:19:26,520 Speaker 1: attract record. 436 00:19:26,520 --> 00:19:28,600 Speaker 2: At Augusta, it's not bad. 437 00:19:28,840 --> 00:19:30,960 Speaker 4: I mean, there's no chance I'm betting Corey Connors to win, 438 00:19:31,160 --> 00:19:33,000 Speaker 4: So let's just take that one off the table. 439 00:19:33,080 --> 00:19:33,520 Speaker 3: Top ten. 440 00:19:33,680 --> 00:19:35,520 Speaker 4: I think the top ten is fair. That's where he 441 00:19:35,520 --> 00:19:38,159 Speaker 4: has finished the past two years, three years now, and 442 00:19:38,240 --> 00:19:41,439 Speaker 4: obviously if he hadn't a won last week, let's say 443 00:19:41,440 --> 00:19:43,639 Speaker 4: he had missed the cut, you'll probably been getting like 444 00:19:43,640 --> 00:19:48,000 Speaker 4: triple this number, right, Yes, so all the value is 445 00:19:48,080 --> 00:19:49,800 Speaker 4: kind of baked out of it at this point. Now, 446 00:19:49,840 --> 00:19:52,040 Speaker 4: like before, you would bet on Corey Connors, be like, 447 00:19:52,040 --> 00:19:53,879 Speaker 4: and there's a guy who can't putt to save his life, right, 448 00:19:53,960 --> 00:19:56,240 Speaker 4: But for whatever reason at the Valero Texas Open and 449 00:19:56,280 --> 00:19:59,920 Speaker 4: Augusta he can. So I don't quite understand how that works. 450 00:20:00,000 --> 00:20:02,000 Speaker 4: He also can't chip. He is the worst of Ovlin, 451 00:20:02,080 --> 00:20:04,320 Speaker 4: with the worst of Xalatorus, and yet somehow he continues 452 00:20:04,359 --> 00:20:06,560 Speaker 4: to come inside the top ten. Another reason why putting 453 00:20:06,600 --> 00:20:09,199 Speaker 4: doesn't make that big of a difference At Augusta Nashley, 454 00:20:09,240 --> 00:20:10,800 Speaker 4: when you were rattling through a lot of these guys 455 00:20:10,840 --> 00:20:14,040 Speaker 4: like Sergio won here. Sergio Ken not putt, but he 456 00:20:14,080 --> 00:20:17,280 Speaker 4: won the Masters. I just don't think I'm going to 457 00:20:17,320 --> 00:20:19,880 Speaker 4: get there with Connors in terms of whatever his odds are, 458 00:20:19,920 --> 00:20:22,479 Speaker 4: just I missed the boat and his current odds are 459 00:20:22,480 --> 00:20:23,480 Speaker 4: too bad to bet on. 460 00:20:24,200 --> 00:20:29,200 Speaker 1: Gotcha you mentioned Sergio, We've got he's a pass champion. 461 00:20:29,359 --> 00:20:32,919 Speaker 1: Phil Mickelson obviously another pass champion coming back from the 462 00:20:32,960 --> 00:20:36,000 Speaker 1: Live Tour. Luis Ustazen, who has contended here in the 463 00:20:36,040 --> 00:20:41,400 Speaker 1: past and Brooks, who is an interesting candidate here, bless 464 00:20:41,400 --> 00:20:44,840 Speaker 1: you Brooks Kopka. Could he win, Pat, I mean, he 465 00:20:45,080 --> 00:20:48,119 Speaker 1: just won on the Live Tour last weekend. He's fared 466 00:20:48,119 --> 00:20:50,800 Speaker 1: well in the majors in the past. He's finished second 467 00:20:50,840 --> 00:20:54,480 Speaker 1: here in twenty nineteen. Sometimes it seems like he's able 468 00:20:54,520 --> 00:20:59,080 Speaker 1: to raise his game for when the spotlight is brightest. 469 00:20:59,200 --> 00:21:00,960 Speaker 2: He's kind of another mystery box guy. 470 00:21:02,440 --> 00:21:06,960 Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean his odds were seventy five to ninety 471 00:21:07,040 --> 00:21:09,199 Speaker 4: to one a week ago. Now he wins on a 472 00:21:09,240 --> 00:21:11,840 Speaker 4: no cut live event in Orlando. It's some like municipal course. 473 00:21:12,080 --> 00:21:13,720 Speaker 4: Now he's like thirty forty whatever. 474 00:21:13,520 --> 00:21:14,000 Speaker 3: It is to one. 475 00:21:14,080 --> 00:21:18,160 Speaker 4: I'm sorry I have to sneeze again. I think, well, 476 00:21:18,200 --> 00:21:18,879 Speaker 4: there we go. 477 00:21:18,800 --> 00:21:19,200 Speaker 3: Got it. 478 00:21:20,240 --> 00:21:22,119 Speaker 4: I just again the value was just baked out. If 479 00:21:22,119 --> 00:21:24,120 Speaker 4: you have that big number, that's great news. But at 480 00:21:24,160 --> 00:21:26,560 Speaker 4: the current moment, like he has. He won in Saudi 481 00:21:26,560 --> 00:21:28,840 Speaker 4: Arabia last year, he won in Orlando this year, everything 482 00:21:28,840 --> 00:21:31,280 Speaker 4: in between has just been god awful. The last time 483 00:21:31,320 --> 00:21:32,800 Speaker 4: he actually finished well in a major is when he 484 00:21:32,840 --> 00:21:35,760 Speaker 4: lost a phil I think now it was the US 485 00:21:35,840 --> 00:21:38,119 Speaker 4: Open in twenty twenty one, which was at I believe 486 00:21:38,160 --> 00:21:40,879 Speaker 4: Tory Pine's the one that John Robb won. He's not 487 00:21:40,960 --> 00:21:42,920 Speaker 4: quite the killer that he used to be, and he's 488 00:21:42,920 --> 00:21:45,879 Speaker 4: been lackluster in the final rounds of majors over the 489 00:21:45,920 --> 00:21:48,280 Speaker 4: past three years or so, and it's really hard to 490 00:21:48,320 --> 00:21:51,640 Speaker 4: gauge where his actual overall game is act because he's 491 00:21:51,640 --> 00:21:54,639 Speaker 4: not playing in these DP World Tour events like Patrick 492 00:21:54,680 --> 00:21:58,160 Speaker 4: Reid is doing where he can come second to Rory, 493 00:21:58,160 --> 00:22:00,480 Speaker 4: Like Rory needs to go out and beat Patrick Reed, 494 00:22:00,600 --> 00:22:03,080 Speaker 4: and Rory wins, Reid comes in second, but read is 495 00:22:03,080 --> 00:22:05,560 Speaker 4: still competitive in these larger field cut events. We just 496 00:22:05,560 --> 00:22:08,240 Speaker 4: don't know that with brooks Kepka, and again the value 497 00:22:08,280 --> 00:22:09,800 Speaker 4: has been beat out of his numbers. If you're making 498 00:22:09,840 --> 00:22:11,920 Speaker 4: it outright back, ken Brooks win, Yeah, of course Brooks 499 00:22:11,960 --> 00:22:12,239 Speaker 4: can win. 500 00:22:12,320 --> 00:22:13,919 Speaker 3: Is he going to win? Probably not so. 501 00:22:13,960 --> 00:22:16,840 Speaker 4: If we're thinking about live guys like Dustin and Cam 502 00:22:16,880 --> 00:22:18,720 Speaker 4: Smith are very clearly like the two that you would 503 00:22:18,760 --> 00:22:20,560 Speaker 4: put your money behind if you wanted to bet a 504 00:22:20,600 --> 00:22:22,600 Speaker 4: live guy, and after that, I think I would go 505 00:22:22,720 --> 00:22:23,400 Speaker 4: Read over. 506 00:22:23,440 --> 00:22:25,680 Speaker 3: I would go brooks Kepka right now. 507 00:22:25,560 --> 00:22:26,760 Speaker 2: Yeah, another past winner. 508 00:22:27,080 --> 00:22:29,280 Speaker 1: I would tend to agree that Reid is probably a 509 00:22:29,280 --> 00:22:36,159 Speaker 1: better value and Kopka's odds just artificially pumped up, banked 510 00:22:36,200 --> 00:22:38,600 Speaker 1: out any value with him with the win last week. 511 00:22:39,400 --> 00:22:41,560 Speaker 2: Is Tiger Woods just a total fade for you? 512 00:22:41,600 --> 00:22:44,080 Speaker 1: I mean, there's so little betting value with him most 513 00:22:44,119 --> 00:22:47,159 Speaker 1: of the time because of the public money coming in 514 00:22:47,240 --> 00:22:50,200 Speaker 1: on him. He's plus sixty six hundred to win, plus 515 00:22:50,200 --> 00:22:52,800 Speaker 1: eleven hundred for a top five, plus five hundred for 516 00:22:52,840 --> 00:22:55,680 Speaker 1: a top ten at bt MGM, I. 517 00:22:55,600 --> 00:22:57,879 Speaker 4: Guess if you got down into like the top forty market. 518 00:22:57,960 --> 00:22:59,320 Speaker 4: But the one good thing is that I've seen this 519 00:22:59,400 --> 00:23:00,800 Speaker 4: at a lot of sports books, is that they are 520 00:23:00,800 --> 00:23:03,199 Speaker 4: boosting Tiger Woods because everyone wants to bet something positive 521 00:23:03,240 --> 00:23:05,840 Speaker 4: on Tiger Woods. So a lot of places are offering 522 00:23:05,920 --> 00:23:07,800 Speaker 4: him to make the cut, even money, even though it's 523 00:23:07,840 --> 00:23:11,520 Speaker 4: a juiced bet that it's cat. You can only get 524 00:23:11,520 --> 00:23:12,800 Speaker 4: so much money down on it because I think the 525 00:23:12,800 --> 00:23:15,640 Speaker 4: actual odds are something like minus two seventy five minus 526 00:23:15,640 --> 00:23:17,760 Speaker 4: two to fifty minus three hundred, depending on where you look. 527 00:23:17,920 --> 00:23:19,359 Speaker 4: So I like Tiger to make the cut. I think 528 00:23:19,359 --> 00:23:21,199 Speaker 4: he plays well. I don't think he's gonna win, but 529 00:23:21,760 --> 00:23:24,119 Speaker 4: Tiger has surprised me way too many times before then 530 00:23:24,160 --> 00:23:26,640 Speaker 4: I wouldn't say that it's impossible that he could win. 531 00:23:26,760 --> 00:23:29,080 Speaker 4: It's just very, very unlikely, and especially at these odds 532 00:23:29,119 --> 00:23:30,639 Speaker 4: sixty six to one, Like, give me a break. 533 00:23:31,200 --> 00:23:32,680 Speaker 2: There's an interesting. 534 00:23:33,720 --> 00:23:37,760 Speaker 1: Player in Tyrrell Hatton, the temperamental Englishman. 535 00:23:38,200 --> 00:23:40,840 Speaker 2: He's been a really good form lately, but man, he has. 536 00:23:40,720 --> 00:23:44,080 Speaker 1: Had a rough history at Augusta National. I think he's 537 00:23:44,080 --> 00:23:47,159 Speaker 1: played like twenty competitive rounds here and he's only broken 538 00:23:47,240 --> 00:23:50,360 Speaker 1: power maybe three times. 539 00:23:50,920 --> 00:23:53,040 Speaker 2: Anything to like about him? 540 00:23:53,960 --> 00:23:58,520 Speaker 1: Is he just too not made for Augusta to consider 541 00:23:59,080 --> 00:23:59,760 Speaker 1: backing him. 542 00:24:00,440 --> 00:24:01,560 Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm not going to back him. 543 00:24:01,840 --> 00:24:04,560 Speaker 4: I like the other Brits better than I like Hatten 544 00:24:04,600 --> 00:24:06,720 Speaker 4: this week, who were in the same range. He did 545 00:24:06,760 --> 00:24:10,240 Speaker 4: finish eighteenth in twenty twenty one, which was the water 546 00:24:10,320 --> 00:24:12,879 Speaker 4: logged DECI year, so that's the only time he's ever 547 00:24:12,960 --> 00:24:15,280 Speaker 4: played well when conditions were kind of crappy, so I 548 00:24:15,280 --> 00:24:17,560 Speaker 4: guess that's a positive for him. We've seen him win 549 00:24:17,680 --> 00:24:20,600 Speaker 4: a ton of links courses in his career over in Europe, 550 00:24:20,720 --> 00:24:23,159 Speaker 4: so I don't want to say that he's going to 551 00:24:23,200 --> 00:24:25,119 Speaker 4: be like a train wreck and miss the cut, but 552 00:24:25,280 --> 00:24:27,640 Speaker 4: I don't envision a high performance from him. 553 00:24:27,680 --> 00:24:30,240 Speaker 1: All right, talk to me about Sleepers, Pat. You mentioned 554 00:24:30,240 --> 00:24:33,199 Speaker 1: minwu Lee earlier. You're a Minwu Lee guy. I know 555 00:24:33,280 --> 00:24:36,280 Speaker 1: you're Seawou Kim guy. Let's face it, your Rick Flair 556 00:24:36,320 --> 00:24:38,600 Speaker 1: golf better. The more Woo in your life, the better. 557 00:24:39,040 --> 00:24:42,040 Speaker 4: And when Seawu Kim wins you a seven hundred and 558 00:24:42,080 --> 00:24:44,120 Speaker 4: fifty to one bet to win the Players Championship, you're 559 00:24:44,119 --> 00:24:44,840 Speaker 4: with that guy for life. 560 00:24:44,840 --> 00:24:45,479 Speaker 3: What are you going to do? 561 00:24:45,880 --> 00:24:47,080 Speaker 2: Perfectly understandable? 562 00:24:47,080 --> 00:24:49,280 Speaker 1: Do you like either those guys this week or anyone 563 00:24:49,280 --> 00:24:52,880 Speaker 1: at longer odds? I think Min Wu is what sixty 564 00:24:52,920 --> 00:24:55,640 Speaker 1: six to one and Sea Wou maybe one hundred to one. 565 00:24:56,480 --> 00:24:58,440 Speaker 4: Yeah, I BET's on both of them, so that should 566 00:24:58,440 --> 00:25:01,119 Speaker 4: not be surprising to anyone. I gave it Minwu Lee 567 00:25:01,359 --> 00:25:03,960 Speaker 4: after the second round of the Players at He was 568 00:25:03,960 --> 00:25:05,720 Speaker 4: one hundred and fifty to one at that point because 569 00:25:05,720 --> 00:25:08,720 Speaker 4: he had not yet qualified for the Masters, but you'd 570 00:25:08,880 --> 00:25:10,479 Speaker 4: read the tea leaves that he was going to get 571 00:25:10,520 --> 00:25:12,760 Speaker 4: himself up into the proper world ranking. I don't know 572 00:25:12,840 --> 00:25:14,760 Speaker 4: if I could do sixty six. That seems a bit 573 00:25:14,800 --> 00:25:16,960 Speaker 4: steep based on the other players that are now in 574 00:25:17,040 --> 00:25:19,359 Speaker 4: his range, be it Rose or be At Lowry, whoever 575 00:25:19,400 --> 00:25:22,120 Speaker 4: it is that are ten points more. I think objectively 576 00:25:22,160 --> 00:25:24,040 Speaker 4: I like those guys better. But when he put one 577 00:25:24,119 --> 00:25:26,399 Speaker 4: hundred and fifty next to his name. All of a sudden, 578 00:25:26,520 --> 00:25:28,800 Speaker 4: now we're in business. There's a real long shot who 579 00:25:28,920 --> 00:25:30,560 Speaker 4: I do think has a chance to win. He's one 580 00:25:30,560 --> 00:25:32,719 Speaker 4: of the better drivers in the world. And you look 581 00:25:32,720 --> 00:25:34,080 Speaker 4: at it and you're like, who is this guy who's 582 00:25:34,119 --> 00:25:36,240 Speaker 4: like five foot six and weighs one hundred and ten pounds. 583 00:25:36,240 --> 00:25:38,600 Speaker 3: Now guy is long off the team. 584 00:25:38,640 --> 00:25:40,920 Speaker 4: He made his debut last year at Augusta, was the 585 00:25:40,960 --> 00:25:43,720 Speaker 4: low debutant, tied for fourteenth after even having a very 586 00:25:43,760 --> 00:25:47,000 Speaker 4: poor first round rally throughout the entire time, and when 587 00:25:47,040 --> 00:25:49,280 Speaker 4: you see the one big win that he has in 588 00:25:49,320 --> 00:25:51,760 Speaker 4: his career was that the Scottish Open against all these 589 00:25:51,760 --> 00:25:54,879 Speaker 4: top end Euros in top ENDPGA guys a week before 590 00:25:54,880 --> 00:25:57,359 Speaker 4: the Open Championship two years ago before more at Cowa 591 00:25:57,440 --> 00:26:00,840 Speaker 4: won bad conditions wind he can do. He's just another 592 00:26:00,880 --> 00:26:04,119 Speaker 4: one of these internationals that up turn on the wind machine, 593 00:26:04,119 --> 00:26:06,320 Speaker 4: make it a little bit colder. All of a sudden 594 00:26:06,359 --> 00:26:08,960 Speaker 4: he starts thriving. So he is kind of primed for 595 00:26:09,040 --> 00:26:11,720 Speaker 4: these conditions. If you can get him up to like eighty, 596 00:26:11,760 --> 00:26:13,040 Speaker 4: I think eighty is a good number to play it, 597 00:26:13,200 --> 00:26:14,480 Speaker 4: or just helpt him at sixty six. He won a 598 00:26:14,520 --> 00:26:17,159 Speaker 4: sixty six to one winner. It's still great, so I 599 00:26:17,200 --> 00:26:19,320 Speaker 4: wouldn't take anything away. It actually reminds me a lot 600 00:26:19,359 --> 00:26:22,679 Speaker 4: of the Danny Willet year, another year with terrible conditions 601 00:26:22,760 --> 00:26:24,920 Speaker 4: which allowed will It to win. We bet him at 602 00:26:24,920 --> 00:26:28,000 Speaker 4: one fifty in January. By the time we got to Augusta, 603 00:26:28,560 --> 00:26:31,119 Speaker 4: he was sixty six to one. So maybe this is 604 00:26:31,160 --> 00:26:33,680 Speaker 4: Fate doing it all over again for Min wou Lee 605 00:26:33,720 --> 00:26:35,720 Speaker 4: and Seewa See who never misses the cut at the Masters. 606 00:26:35,720 --> 00:26:37,200 Speaker 4: I think he missed it in his first time ever 607 00:26:37,400 --> 00:26:39,440 Speaker 4: and he's made six in a row. He's having a 608 00:26:39,480 --> 00:26:42,280 Speaker 4: really good year. He won the Sony Open earlier this season. 609 00:26:42,760 --> 00:26:45,800 Speaker 4: His putter has been shockingly good. For Seawou Kim. His 610 00:26:45,840 --> 00:26:47,880 Speaker 4: game has slipped off a bit obviously since the win, 611 00:26:48,040 --> 00:26:50,520 Speaker 4: but he's another guy just one hundred and twenty five 612 00:26:50,600 --> 00:26:52,760 Speaker 4: yards and in and now they've extended number thirteen, so 613 00:26:52,800 --> 00:26:54,639 Speaker 4: guys aren't going to be going for the green as much. 614 00:26:54,720 --> 00:26:56,440 Speaker 4: So a lot of wedge game, a lot of short game, 615 00:26:56,480 --> 00:26:58,720 Speaker 4: two things he really excels at, and he's hitting a 616 00:26:58,720 --> 00:27:02,480 Speaker 4: bunch of fairways. I really my newsletter last evening because 617 00:27:02,600 --> 00:27:04,280 Speaker 4: I really wanted to see with the weather, like, what 618 00:27:04,320 --> 00:27:07,600 Speaker 4: should we expect, what kind of leaderboard should we expect 619 00:27:07,880 --> 00:27:10,560 Speaker 4: at Augusta if it's super windy, which it does, it's not. 620 00:27:10,640 --> 00:27:11,040 Speaker 3: It's finey. 621 00:27:11,040 --> 00:27:13,159 Speaker 4: It's not windy on the rain days. But now you 622 00:27:13,240 --> 00:27:16,400 Speaker 4: look at Sunday, like average a thirteen gus up to thirty. 623 00:27:16,119 --> 00:27:18,000 Speaker 3: One, that doesn't sound like a whole lot of fun. 624 00:27:18,520 --> 00:27:19,920 Speaker 3: Like that sounds crazy. 625 00:27:20,000 --> 00:27:21,920 Speaker 4: And even if they do play into Monday, we're talking 626 00:27:21,960 --> 00:27:24,840 Speaker 4: about an average of fifteen with gus up to thirty again, 627 00:27:24,880 --> 00:27:27,399 Speaker 4: so they could be wreaking havoc all over the course 628 00:27:27,440 --> 00:27:29,240 Speaker 4: if they have to go into Monday or play two 629 00:27:29,320 --> 00:27:32,040 Speaker 4: rounds on Sunday. That seawoo very good in the wind, 630 00:27:32,520 --> 00:27:35,080 Speaker 4: just in general, because he keeps the ball relatively straight. 631 00:27:35,119 --> 00:27:36,840 Speaker 4: He's going to hit it blow the wind. He's not 632 00:27:36,840 --> 00:27:38,200 Speaker 4: going to go left or right. He just kind of 633 00:27:38,280 --> 00:27:40,280 Speaker 4: hits it down the dead center and you have to 634 00:27:40,280 --> 00:27:41,800 Speaker 4: hope he's kind of locked in. I always refer to 635 00:27:41,880 --> 00:27:44,359 Speaker 4: him as mini Rory because when Rory gets into his zone, 636 00:27:44,520 --> 00:27:46,080 Speaker 4: and you've seen this at tournaments and he wins about 637 00:27:46,200 --> 00:27:49,080 Speaker 4: seven strokes, it just it's pipe down the middle. He 638 00:27:49,160 --> 00:27:51,360 Speaker 4: hits whatever his iron is to two feet and goes 639 00:27:51,400 --> 00:27:53,199 Speaker 4: and taps it in. Now Rory does that a bit 640 00:27:53,200 --> 00:27:55,720 Speaker 4: more consistently. Seawoo does it for like two rounds a year, 641 00:27:56,040 --> 00:27:58,080 Speaker 4: but it's just electric to watch and you can see 642 00:27:58,119 --> 00:27:59,760 Speaker 4: when he has it and you can see when he 643 00:27:59,800 --> 00:28:01,879 Speaker 4: does doesn't have it. So hopefully it's just one of 644 00:28:01,880 --> 00:28:04,120 Speaker 4: these weeks where you can play some consistent golf, get 645 00:28:04,160 --> 00:28:06,840 Speaker 4: himself into the mix, and then just start firing at 646 00:28:06,880 --> 00:28:08,840 Speaker 4: pins when it gets a little bit wet, because he's 647 00:28:08,840 --> 00:28:11,080 Speaker 4: not going to be scared to go firing where other 648 00:28:11,080 --> 00:28:12,920 Speaker 4: guys are going to play it a bit more strategically. 649 00:28:13,080 --> 00:28:15,120 Speaker 4: I mean that's a big drawback with Hoveland as well 650 00:28:15,119 --> 00:28:18,560 Speaker 4: as Hoveland will fire at every pin even when you shouldn't. 651 00:28:18,720 --> 00:28:20,280 Speaker 4: But if he's hitting his best shots, he's going to 652 00:28:20,320 --> 00:28:22,000 Speaker 4: stick it on those holes and he's going to make 653 00:28:22,000 --> 00:28:24,600 Speaker 4: berdie where everyone else is trying not to make bogie 654 00:28:24,760 --> 00:28:26,719 Speaker 4: and hopefully they have a seven foot power putt. That's 655 00:28:26,760 --> 00:28:29,800 Speaker 4: how they're playing the hole, which normally is the proper strategy. 656 00:28:29,840 --> 00:28:32,960 Speaker 4: But if you do include an element of dampness and 657 00:28:33,000 --> 00:28:34,840 Speaker 4: the ball is going to stick and not roll quite 658 00:28:34,840 --> 00:28:37,119 Speaker 4: as much off the back of the green into the water, 659 00:28:37,480 --> 00:28:40,640 Speaker 4: these supreme ball strikers and aggressive players do all of 660 00:28:40,680 --> 00:28:43,240 Speaker 4: a sudden have an advantage. So again, you can subscribe 661 00:28:43,280 --> 00:28:45,560 Speaker 4: to the Mayo Media newsletter. It's on substack. It's completely 662 00:28:45,560 --> 00:28:47,720 Speaker 4: free and I'm given away a thousand bucks if you subscribe. 663 00:28:47,760 --> 00:28:49,880 Speaker 3: So I'd recommend that you go do that. 664 00:28:50,200 --> 00:28:53,680 Speaker 4: But to look back at the past to really wind 665 00:28:53,840 --> 00:28:58,720 Speaker 4: and water influence either and or Zach Johnson one in 666 00:28:58,760 --> 00:29:02,080 Speaker 4: two thousand and seven that was at plus one, very 667 00:29:02,120 --> 00:29:05,120 Speaker 4: difficult Masters, only the third player ever to win the 668 00:29:05,160 --> 00:29:06,000 Speaker 4: Masters at overpar. 669 00:29:06,120 --> 00:29:07,640 Speaker 3: I don't think it's going to be that difficult, but 670 00:29:07,720 --> 00:29:10,640 Speaker 3: it's a good barometer of a hard Masters. To look 671 00:29:10,680 --> 00:29:10,920 Speaker 3: at it. 672 00:29:10,960 --> 00:29:13,440 Speaker 4: In terms of driving distance that year, Tiger came second, 673 00:29:13,440 --> 00:29:16,600 Speaker 4: tied with Sabatini and Gooseen. Tiger was twelfth on tour 674 00:29:16,640 --> 00:29:19,680 Speaker 4: in two thousand and seven in driving distance. Everyone else 675 00:29:20,280 --> 00:29:22,880 Speaker 4: Dak Johnson one hundred and seventieth, Jerry Kelly, who tied 676 00:29:22,880 --> 00:29:25,680 Speaker 4: for fifthe hundred and sixtieth, Stuart Apple be eightieth, Justin 677 00:29:25,760 --> 00:29:28,840 Speaker 4: Rose ninety six, David Toms one hundred and fifty first, 678 00:29:28,920 --> 00:29:31,120 Speaker 4: Luke Donald one hundred and seventy seven. To put that 679 00:29:31,480 --> 00:29:35,040 Speaker 4: into some perspective, only one guy inside the top ten 680 00:29:35,120 --> 00:29:37,560 Speaker 4: a year ago finished outside the top one hundred and 681 00:29:37,640 --> 00:29:39,880 Speaker 4: driving distance for the year, and that was Cam Smith 682 00:29:40,080 --> 00:29:42,440 Speaker 4: at one oh one. Five of the top ten finished 683 00:29:42,440 --> 00:29:45,680 Speaker 4: inside the top twenty. So in great conditions the distance 684 00:29:45,720 --> 00:29:48,960 Speaker 4: really plays a factor. The harder the conditions, the shorter, 685 00:29:49,080 --> 00:29:51,840 Speaker 4: more accurate hitters all of a sudden get a lag 686 00:29:51,920 --> 00:29:54,480 Speaker 4: up the will a year when he won in twenty 687 00:29:54,640 --> 00:29:57,160 Speaker 4: sixteen minus five three strokes over Speith in Westwood. 688 00:29:57,200 --> 00:29:59,520 Speaker 3: Just think about some of those players. Those aren't bombers. Yes, 689 00:29:59,640 --> 00:30:00,320 Speaker 3: DJ JB. 690 00:30:00,440 --> 00:30:02,760 Speaker 4: Holmes finished inside the top five and they were both 691 00:30:02,760 --> 00:30:04,800 Speaker 4: top ten and driving distance. But other than that, you 692 00:30:04,840 --> 00:30:08,160 Speaker 4: had brand Snedeger, Matthew Fitzpatrick before he gained the distance, 693 00:30:08,320 --> 00:30:10,360 Speaker 4: the Danish player Soren Kelson. 694 00:30:10,200 --> 00:30:14,280 Speaker 3: Lee Westwood, will it speak. These aren't bombers off the tee. 695 00:30:14,360 --> 00:30:16,760 Speaker 4: They're great scramblers, they hit the ball low, they played 696 00:30:16,800 --> 00:30:18,120 Speaker 4: well in the win, but they don't have a ton 697 00:30:18,160 --> 00:30:21,080 Speaker 4: of distance. So there's a chance that that type of 698 00:30:21,120 --> 00:30:24,760 Speaker 4: player finds themselves moving up the scoreboard this year and 699 00:30:24,760 --> 00:30:27,120 Speaker 4: the leader board on these windy conditions. So these are 700 00:30:27,160 --> 00:30:28,560 Speaker 4: all things that I'm trying to play with. I think 701 00:30:28,600 --> 00:30:31,240 Speaker 4: Sea Wu is someone that could really fit into that bucket. 702 00:30:31,360 --> 00:30:31,800 Speaker 2: Interesting. 703 00:30:31,880 --> 00:30:34,240 Speaker 1: Yeah, the poor weather could bring a lot more guys 704 00:30:34,280 --> 00:30:38,600 Speaker 1: into contention with the less of a premium on the distance, 705 00:30:38,640 --> 00:30:41,920 Speaker 1: as you point out, and Minwoody is definitely an interesting 706 00:30:41,960 --> 00:30:44,040 Speaker 1: candidate there. All right, pet, before I let you go, 707 00:30:44,080 --> 00:30:46,240 Speaker 1: any other bets that capture your fancy, I know you've 708 00:30:46,240 --> 00:30:49,480 Speaker 1: got some bats on players to make or miss the cut, 709 00:30:49,480 --> 00:30:52,840 Speaker 1: maybe parlayed perhaps, What else is. 710 00:30:52,800 --> 00:30:55,240 Speaker 2: On the card? What other things are you eyeballing? 711 00:30:55,920 --> 00:30:57,800 Speaker 4: So Tiger to make the cut even money if you 712 00:30:57,800 --> 00:30:59,320 Speaker 4: can find it, I like that bet a lot. 713 00:31:00,120 --> 00:31:01,800 Speaker 3: Michelson to miss the cut. 714 00:31:02,280 --> 00:31:04,640 Speaker 4: Plus one twenty right now, Rice and Dave Schambeau to 715 00:31:04,680 --> 00:31:07,480 Speaker 4: miss the cut plus one fifty. Parlay those two together. 716 00:31:07,520 --> 00:31:09,720 Speaker 4: It's plus four to fifty. Throw Billy Horschel onto there 717 00:31:09,800 --> 00:31:11,640 Speaker 4: as well, to miss the cut. All of a sudden, 718 00:31:11,640 --> 00:31:13,600 Speaker 4: you got a twelve to one wager on your hand, 719 00:31:13,600 --> 00:31:16,200 Speaker 4: because I'm fading those three guys pretty hard this week. 720 00:31:16,280 --> 00:31:17,360 Speaker 2: And you know, here's some guy. 721 00:31:17,400 --> 00:31:18,800 Speaker 4: I mean, I'm going to have all of these in 722 00:31:18,800 --> 00:31:21,200 Speaker 4: the newsletter when I release my final bets. So I 723 00:31:21,200 --> 00:31:23,720 Speaker 4: have those three to miss the cut on the parlay, 724 00:31:24,000 --> 00:31:27,440 Speaker 4: along with nine other guys to make the cut, Abraham 725 00:31:27,480 --> 00:31:33,560 Speaker 4: Answer Live Guy, Seawoo, Rose, Lowry Connors, Cameron Taylor, Mori debutant, 726 00:31:33,560 --> 00:31:36,040 Speaker 4: I also like him, plus eight to fifty as Low debutant, 727 00:31:36,480 --> 00:31:39,160 Speaker 4: Danny Willett and minwoo Lee all to make the cut 728 00:31:39,520 --> 00:31:41,760 Speaker 4: fifteen dollars. I'll pay you thirty five hundred on that one. 729 00:31:42,160 --> 00:31:46,479 Speaker 1: Wow, Pats, that is going to do it for us 730 00:31:46,480 --> 00:31:48,400 Speaker 1: on this show. Thank you so much for coming on. 731 00:31:48,480 --> 00:31:50,520 Speaker 1: Are you doing anything special for the masters? Are you 732 00:31:50,720 --> 00:31:56,520 Speaker 1: making pimento cheese sandwiches, any special accompaniments when you're watching 733 00:31:56,720 --> 00:31:57,440 Speaker 1: the next few days. 734 00:31:58,000 --> 00:32:01,120 Speaker 4: No, I'll be taking notes and doing recap every single day. 735 00:32:01,120 --> 00:32:04,640 Speaker 4: I still have one more Patmeo experience to go before kickoff. 736 00:32:04,680 --> 00:32:07,440 Speaker 4: I will be with Tower Tambalini in the studio breaking 737 00:32:07,440 --> 00:32:09,720 Speaker 4: down the DraftKings picks, the final bets, the one and done, 738 00:32:09,760 --> 00:32:12,760 Speaker 4: the weather, all that final information that we need over 739 00:32:13,120 --> 00:32:14,200 Speaker 4: on Mayo Media Networks. 740 00:32:14,240 --> 00:32:14,959 Speaker 3: I'm excited for that. 741 00:32:15,000 --> 00:32:16,680 Speaker 4: We'll have the live cut sweat show, We'll have the 742 00:32:16,720 --> 00:32:19,760 Speaker 4: live recap show. I don't have time to be a 743 00:32:19,760 --> 00:32:21,320 Speaker 4: cup of cheese into myself here. I don't want to 744 00:32:21,320 --> 00:32:22,560 Speaker 4: be sitting on the can for an hour. 745 00:32:23,320 --> 00:32:25,280 Speaker 2: Folks. Check out the Patmeo experience. 746 00:32:25,720 --> 00:32:29,320 Speaker 1: Find Patmeo on Twitter at the pme and be sure 747 00:32:29,360 --> 00:32:31,800 Speaker 1: to sign up for his newsletter and check out Fantasy 748 00:32:31,920 --> 00:32:35,120 Speaker 1: National if you are into golf, patting or DFS golf. 749 00:32:35,520 --> 00:32:38,680 Speaker 1: Enjoy the tournament everyone, Good luck with all your master's pats. 750 00:32:38,680 --> 00:32:39,520 Speaker 2: We'll see again soon