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Speaker 1: Welcome to The Favorites, the podcast presented by BET three

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Speaker 1: six five. We are part of the Volume podcast Network.

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Speaker 1: I am Chad Moman of the Action Network. Today is

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Speaker 1: our Tuesday Week eighteen episode. We will break down the

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Speaker 1: entire slate of NFL games. We'll discuss our exact decision

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Speaker 1: our Simon says, we'll start to narrow down the options

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Speaker 1: for our five phaves to put into the last week

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Speaker 1: of The Favorites podcast one hundred thousand dollars Pro Football

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Speaker 1: Pick Them contest. We went two and three this past week.

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Speaker 1: A bit of a theme this year. Live from our

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Speaker 1: Tommy John Holmes Studios. I'm joined as always buy my

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Speaker 1: co host, my companion, Mike and padre My BFF professional

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Speaker 1: better Simon Hunter Simon. I want to be the very

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Speaker 1: first to officially wish you and our audience and Matt

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Speaker 1: Mitchell and Gifford and Evan happy Happy New Year's December

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Speaker 1: thirty first, the end of twenty twenty four. We're going

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Speaker 1: to ring in twenty twenty five. How you doing, buddy? Hell?

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Speaker 1: Oh so I'm in.

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Speaker 2: Happy New Year Chat.

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Speaker 3: Yeah. I'm gonna try to see if I can give

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Speaker 3: up my favorite thing in the world. For a month

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Speaker 3: after the New Year's and that's chocolate. So I'm going

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Speaker 3: hard today on chocolate. People are going out getting drunk,

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Speaker 3: going partying. Me just eating tons and tons of chocolate.

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Speaker 1: What kind? What are you eating?

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Speaker 3: I get a ton of chocolate from England for Christmas,

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Speaker 3: so I go to town on.

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Speaker 1: That chocolate with nougat, chocolate with nuts.

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Speaker 3: Now you know me, I'm a milk chocolate guy. With

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Speaker 3: caramel's that's my go to.

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Speaker 1: Salt it do you put any salt? Is it salted?

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Speaker 3: It salted a little bit? I don't overdo it. I

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Speaker 3: mean that those chocolate pretzels I send you, those are

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Speaker 3: the that's the salted, perfect, the amount of chocolate. So yeah,

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Speaker 3: those should be out your doorstep any day.

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Speaker 1: You those and you love giving those like you're so

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Speaker 1: excited to give those, and you'd like to tell me

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Speaker 1: how to eat them. I gotta let it all melt

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Speaker 1: in my mouth. I can't just chew on my fat.

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Speaker 1: Appreciated with your instructions on the gift giving h for Hanukah.

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Speaker 1: My younger son knows me so well. He got me

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Speaker 1: a cookbook, A thousand ways to cook nuts in your house.

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Speaker 3: I swear to God, I wish you had opened up

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Speaker 3: and we've just been a joke of these nuts. That'd

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Speaker 3: have been great.

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Speaker 1: I get that a lot here too. Listen. We joked

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Speaker 1: on Sunday night about how it's been an off year,

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Speaker 1: uh for us. You know, if you want to your

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Speaker 1: contrarian better, if you're fading the public, if you like

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Speaker 1: the bed home dogs, if you're looking for places where

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Speaker 1: you think the bookmakers are leaning into what they expect

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Speaker 1: to be group think from the public and shading lines,

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Speaker 1: shading favorites and tricky trap spots, this has not been

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Speaker 1: the year for you. It has not been the year

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Speaker 1: for us. Situations that have gone our way and Better's

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Speaker 1: ways for years have completely flipped, so much so that

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Speaker 1: when we had the Broncos at plus three and a

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Speaker 1: half on Saturday afternoon and lost on a late overtime

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Speaker 1: touchdown after both coaches had mismanaged the clock and the

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Speaker 1: Bengals kicker hit the upright on a thirty three yard

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Speaker 1: field goal to win the game and give us the cover,

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Speaker 1: it didn't even seem like it was a fluke. And

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Speaker 1: you know what, Simon, it wasn't. Because on Sunday night

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Speaker 1: we lost another game in which we had the dog

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Speaker 1: plus three and a half after a coach mismanaged the

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Speaker 1: clock and a miss field goal to give us the

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Speaker 1: cover went awry and a touchdown in ot was scored.

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Speaker 1: I like, I don't even I didn't even watch it.

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Speaker 1: I don't know about you. I went to bed. Then,

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Speaker 1: of course our two wins were booke ended the Chargers

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Speaker 1: on the road and the Lions on the road. So

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Speaker 1: you know that's the perfect example of the kind of

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Speaker 1: year has been, right.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it's it's sickening as someone who, like you just said,

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Speaker 3: has been doing this for almost half my life at

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Speaker 3: this point, and you know that Sunday game historically is

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Speaker 3: an easy, easy winner on that Atlanta team. Okay, the

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Speaker 3: favorites at that point, I believe, were what twelve and

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Speaker 3: three or eleven and three, whatever the number was, and

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Speaker 3: the public got really fat over Christmas break, and the

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Speaker 3: books usually slaughter them Sunday night they didn't. Okay, that's

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Speaker 3: fine by me, me and you. I thought our bet

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Speaker 3: on Detroit was absolutely dead. That bet never ever wins

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Speaker 3: the Monday night game after the public just has a

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Speaker 3: weekend like they did. Favorites are whatever at that point,

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Speaker 3: they're fifteen oh one straight up or fourteen oh one

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Speaker 3: straight up heading into that game, and you know the

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Speaker 3: guys I respect. I get a call on Sunday and

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Speaker 3: basically there's some guys I'm convinced their time travelers because

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Speaker 3: they just never bet.

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Speaker 2: When they do bet, it's a winner.

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Speaker 3: They came in heavy on the forty nine ers, Like

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Speaker 3: as soon as that happened, I'm like, oh, gay Me

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Speaker 3: and Chatter are going one to four. That's a dead bet.

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Speaker 3: You know, Brock Pretty comes out is just cruising. They're

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Speaker 3: putting up twenty one. We're again, it's just an insane game.

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Speaker 3: And they lost and they didn't cover, like the kicker

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Speaker 3: missed the kick, like all.

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Speaker 2: These things happen.

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Speaker 3: Pretty throws a pick and they get a walk off

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Speaker 3: touchdown or whatever it was, and it's just been brutal,

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Speaker 3: like someone that's done. It's a long time. I've never

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Speaker 3: never experiencing like this. We're betting dumb, bad lines and

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Speaker 3: that's the only thing winning for us right now. Like

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Speaker 3: that Detroit bet, Yeah, we basically bet it because we

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Speaker 3: were just like Detroit's better. They close out games, they

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Speaker 3: play hard. The forty nine ers suck. They're gonna choke

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Speaker 3: that game away and they somehow didn't. It just is

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Speaker 3: never this easy. So it's been again. I can't wait

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Speaker 3: for the season to be over because this is just such.

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Speaker 2: A freak year.

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Speaker 3: And yeah, guys, are you know guys braggingly having sixty

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Speaker 3: percent this season? It's like you, I'm sure this is

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Speaker 3: the one of every ten years that they win big

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Speaker 3: because this is just the most flukiest random year ever.

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Speaker 1: Betting on favorites, well, let me give you some stats

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Speaker 1: from Evan Abrams to back that up. Favorites have now

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Speaker 1: gone seventy two percent straight up this year. That's the

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Speaker 1: most profitable season since two thousand and five, seventy nine

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Speaker 1: percent straight up since Week thirteen, the least profitable season

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Speaker 1: for underdogs on the money line since two thousand and five.

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Speaker 1: Teams getting at least sixty six percent of the spread bets.

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Speaker 1: We talk about the public all the time. When we

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Speaker 1: see and we track in the action app the percentage

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Speaker 1: of bets on one side that is the public, That

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Speaker 1: is an indication that you usually want to fade it.

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Speaker 1: This season fifty nine percent against the spread, those teams

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Speaker 1: are seventy three percent on the money line and thirty

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Speaker 1: eight and eight thirty six and eight eighty two percent

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Speaker 1: since week thirteen. Straight up home underdogs another bet we

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Speaker 1: love to play. It's been automatic for years. The wise

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Speaker 1: guys know it, the professionals know it. Home underdogs. There's

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Speaker 1: always value there because that means the team they're playing

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Speaker 1: is usually better. In the eyes of the public. It

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Speaker 1: gets shaded in their direction. This year forty three percent

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Speaker 1: against the spread, least profitable season since two thousand and five.

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Speaker 1: Here's one for you. Favorites of six or more twenty

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Speaker 1: nine and one straight up since week thirteen, the only

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Speaker 1: loss the Giants over the Colts. This past weekend. Favorites

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Speaker 1: are also sixty nine percent since week fifteen, sixty nine percent.

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Speaker 1: We see it. Our only wins the past few weeks

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Speaker 1: have been on favorites. Yeah, you know, the playoffs are

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Speaker 1: just around the corner. So the question is going to be,

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Speaker 1: and we love the playoffs, The question is going to be,

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Speaker 1: are we spooked by what's been happening? Are we gonna

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Speaker 1: revert to the patterns that we've played our entire lives?

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Speaker 1: Do we think things will go back to normal when

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Speaker 1: there are two good teams playing like I do think

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Speaker 1: a big part of the issue this year has been

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Speaker 1: a real decrease in quality play from quarterbacks and increase

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Speaker 1: in variance high variants plays from coaches going for it

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Speaker 1: for two points, going forward and fourth downs, and the

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Speaker 1: fact that kickoffs have given teams in extra ten yards

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Speaker 1: and good teams can take advantage of that. You know

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Speaker 1: we're gonna have to talk about that, but first you

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Speaker 1: and I may be far, far far out of it

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Speaker 1: in the contest. We are pros. We don't rest on

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Speaker 1: the last week of the season, do we.

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Speaker 2: Now we have to make picks.

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Speaker 1: Let's go to week eighteen. As a reminder, the Favorite

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Speaker 1: podcast is present by Bet three sixty five and now

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Speaker 1: new bed three sixty five. Customers get one hundred and

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Speaker 1: fifty dollars in bonus bets when you bet five dollars,

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Speaker 1: sign up using promo code Favorites, deposit ten dollars place

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Speaker 1: at bet for five dollars to get one hundred and

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Speaker 1: fifty dollars in bonus bets. Those bonus bets can be

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Speaker 1: used on spreads, totals, player props, futures and more. Waitever

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Speaker 1: the moment, It's never ordinary at Bet three six five

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Speaker 1: must be twenty one or older in present in Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana,

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Speaker 1: North Carolina, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, or eighteen and

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Speaker 1: older in Kentucky. Gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler

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Speaker 1: or one eight hundred bets off in Iowa terms. Conditions

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Speaker 1: restrictions apply. All right, last notice, It's our final week

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Speaker 1: of the season for the favorites one hundred thousand dollars

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Speaker 1: Pro Football Pick Them contest forty thousand dollars first place

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Speaker 1: prize will soon be climbed. Tens of thousands more paid

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Speaker 1: out to the entire top ten. First place is currently

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Speaker 1: d Winsenburg with sixty one points two above every b else.

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Speaker 1: Can d Winsenberg stay the course and claim the forty

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Speaker 1: k extremely exciting race to the finish line. Good luck

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Speaker 1: to all of this year's participants. Matt Mitchell quickly in

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Speaker 1: the chat. Are we doing Saturday games this week? And

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Speaker 1: if so, do people have to get it in by

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Speaker 1: one pm? Sorry if this is later in the script

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Speaker 1: and I had missed it, But Sunday only Sunday only

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Speaker 1: this week? All right, Sunday only games this week? Just

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Speaker 1: so people know, Sunday only. Here's how I want to

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Speaker 1: lay this out. This show for listeners, Week eighteen is

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Speaker 1: so weird because of playoff scenarios, draft scenarios, people trying

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Speaker 1: to figure it out by googling playoff scenarios seventy five times.

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Speaker 1: What I want for this episode. This is your one

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Speaker 1: stop shop. I wanted to provide a few things all

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Speaker 1: in one place for sports fans. We are nothing if

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Speaker 1: not utility driven. I want this to be what we

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Speaker 1: know to be the most up to date information about

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Speaker 1: which teams are playing starters and who isn't. I've been

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Speaker 1: tracking that, We've all been tracking that playoff scenarios impacting

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Speaker 1: their decisions. So I want people to understand which teams

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Speaker 1: are playing for something or nothing, draft orders, and those

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Speaker 1: scenarios impacting team decisions, and then we'll give our standard

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Speaker 1: betting advice based on all of the above. We are

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Speaker 1: not ignoring Saturday games. Cleveland at Baltimore. Baltimore is a

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Speaker 1: seventeen and a half point favorite.

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Speaker 3: Well, you want me to run through the list real

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Speaker 3: quick chat and break down all the scenarios for everyone?

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Speaker 1: No, No, I'm going to go through them with each game

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Speaker 1: so people can have it as we get to the game.

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Speaker 1: They can include that in context for how we are

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Speaker 1: thinking about it from a betting point of view. That way,

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Speaker 1: they don't have to remember all right, let me. I

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Speaker 1: don't want to make people go back be like all right,

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Speaker 1: what was the scenario here? We'll give it to them

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Speaker 1: in context. So Cleveland Baltimore, Baltimore's a seventeen and a

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Speaker 1: half point favorite. Cleveland right now has the third pick.

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Speaker 1: They they're basically guaranteed a top five pick. I don't

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Speaker 1: think that's going to impact the play here. The Ravens

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Speaker 1: a loss would give Pittsburgh the AFC North. If Pittsburgh

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Speaker 1: beat Cincinnati, Baltimore would then go to the five seed

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Speaker 1: and have a road game against the Texans in Round one.

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Speaker 1: So I say this, they will play their best players

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Speaker 1: because they need to win this game. They don't want

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Speaker 1: to go on the road. They want to win the division,

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Speaker 1: and they want to be the three seed. That's my

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Speaker 1: take on the game and the scenario. Do you have

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Speaker 1: strong thoughts on the seventeen and a half right now?

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Speaker 2: Yeah?

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Speaker 3: I would love to take Cleveland, but I won't do it.

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Speaker 3: Won't do it.

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Speaker 2: Chad ain't gonna do it.

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Speaker 1: Won't do it because we've been getting burned because historian

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Speaker 1: Thompson Robinson, who scored nine points and we waiting for

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Speaker 1: in two weeks are waiting for Jamis now.

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Speaker 2: We've been burning.

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Speaker 3: Even if there is two points of value on this,

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Speaker 3: trust the books right now, the books have just been

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Speaker 3: laying bad giving out bad numbers. And you know, I

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Speaker 3: don't know what it is. Look, we just talked about it.

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Speaker 3: Maybe it is because every team started at the thirty.

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Speaker 3: If you literally get one first down, all of a sudden,

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Speaker 3: you're at the forty forty five yard line, and that

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Speaker 3: that's a big deal, rather than you've been at the

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Speaker 3: twenty five thirty yard line. So you're right, that's that's

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Speaker 3: a big deal. It's been huge for the favorites. And

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Speaker 3: this is pretty simple. The Ravens, they they win this,

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Speaker 3: they win the division. And on the flip side, if

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Speaker 3: they win this, like we just talked about Steelers, they

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Speaker 3: play later that day. They might not even play their

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Speaker 3: starters because there's nothing to play for it at that

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Speaker 3: point and they're kind of locked in. So yeah, they

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Speaker 3: want they need our money, clearly, Chad, there, it's seventeen

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Speaker 3: and a half. They need our money. This is all

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Speaker 3: Ravens money. For the minute it opened, it was.

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Speaker 2: All Ravens money.

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Speaker 3: So I'm in no rush. It's a great number, obviously,

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Speaker 3: seventeen and a half. That's a huge key number, but

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Speaker 3: I just I won't do it right now.

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Speaker 1: Teams getting less than thirty percent of the betting tickets,

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Speaker 1: so teams that the public has no interest in cover

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Speaker 1: the spread about sixty percent of the time if they

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Speaker 1: if they're off a game in which they scored single digits. Amazingly,

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Speaker 1: there are several teams that qualify for this system this week.

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Speaker 1: I think it's a tricky one because I think there's

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Speaker 1: so many bad teams and so much bad quarterback play.

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Speaker 1: There's a real disparity in the league right now. The

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Speaker 1: league has lived on parody for so many years. I

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Speaker 1: don't think there is parody in this league right now.

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Speaker 1: I don't know, if you're crazy.

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Speaker 3: NFC is the most parody it's ever been.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, but the bad are so bad. I don't mean

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Speaker 1: like individual divisions. We can cherry pick the teams, but

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Speaker 1: some of these bad teams are just so bad. The

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Speaker 1: quarterback play is so bad you cannot count on them

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Speaker 1: to do the fluky thing to do the right things

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Speaker 1: to put themselves in a position to win. You Like,

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Speaker 1: we've seen it week in and week out. There's some

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Speaker 1: really bad football teams out there, and the Browns have

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Speaker 1: zero quarterback plays there is.

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Speaker 3: But I told you we're in the golden age of quarterbacks.

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Speaker 3: You're spoiled. Like when Baker Mayfield's thrown for five touchdowns

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Speaker 3: and Sam Darnold is throwing for three hundred and fifty

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Speaker 3: yards and three touchdowns and playing for the one seed,

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Speaker 3: You're spoiled.

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Speaker 2: You sound spoiled.

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Speaker 3: It's like, how many good quarterbacks do you want? Chad

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Speaker 3: On a good I mean, if I go back and

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Speaker 3: look at the mid two thousands, if we had four

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Speaker 3: or five good quarterbacks, we.

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Speaker 2: Were living the dream.

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Speaker 3: It was like, oh my god, we have Rogers, Peyton Manning,

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Speaker 3: Brady Phillip Rivers, like these guys are all great quarterbacks.

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Speaker 3: Now it's there's just so much good QB play that Yes,

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Speaker 3: when you see bad quarterbacks, it really stands out.

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Speaker 2: And I agree the.

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Speaker 3: Browns they don't have a legit started quarterback on their roster,

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Speaker 3: and it is interesting to me though they have not

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Speaker 3: gone back to Winston like in that game against Miami.

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Speaker 3: Why don't go back to Jamis he must be really

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Speaker 3: seriously hurt.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, well, you know they listed him as having an

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Speaker 1: injured shoulder, and he was I think even inactive last week.

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Speaker 1: That's one question I'm sort of looking at this week.

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Speaker 1: Would they consider going back to him? Is he going

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Speaker 1: to practice? You know, I want to see how that

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Speaker 1: goes before we got deep into this game. Yeah, no

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Speaker 1: for me yet, Yeah, no, bet since he and Pittsburgh,

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Speaker 1: this one is you know, racked with all sorts of circumstances. Right,

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Speaker 1: we've leaned Cincy on Tuesday night when it was two

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Speaker 1: and a half. It's moved in the opposite direction. So

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Speaker 1: people are buying into the idea that what you said

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Speaker 1: on Sunday night? Could this be a get right game

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Speaker 1: for Russell Wilson? Do you back Mike Tomlin in the

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Speaker 1: raw ross spot where he's twenty two and sixteen straight

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Speaker 1: up as an underdog versus a divisional opponent, twenty six

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Speaker 1: ten and two against the spread as an underdog against

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Speaker 1: a divisional opponent. Will know something at this point, you know,

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Speaker 1: the NFL is like the WWE. Right, they have set

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Speaker 1: this up so it's all TV drama. The Steelers will

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Speaker 1: know their circumstances. They'll know if they have got a

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Speaker 1: shot to win the division or if they're gonna move down.

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Speaker 1: They do have some motivation. They could still move down

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Speaker 1: further in the playoff seedings if they lose this game.

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Speaker 1: So I don't think they're gonna come out and rest starters.

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Speaker 1: Even if the Ravens win the game.

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Speaker 3: That's fair to me, that would be a mistake. I

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Speaker 3: think they should. But obviously I'm a degenerate gambler and

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Speaker 3: I have money invested already in the Bengals, and I

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Speaker 3: love the Bengals. Yeah, it's I guess it's a big

328
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Speaker 3: deal if they flip seedings. But at the end of

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Speaker 3: the day, it's like, you know, I get it, Like

330
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Speaker 3: they win to get to play Houston, that's a big deal, right,

331
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Speaker 3: Like you want to face them rather than having to face.

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Speaker 1: You want to face like the Bravens.

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Speaker 2: Right, right, right, So, no, you're right.

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Speaker 3: I honestly love this one for since because it just

335
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Speaker 3: feels like this is the game. Since he wins, and

336
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Speaker 3: then you know it doesn't matter. They're not going to

337
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Speaker 3: make the playoffs regardless, and just the way Joe Joe

338
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Speaker 3: Brows been playing overcoming one of the worst defenses in

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Speaker 3: all football. It's really impressible, Like you just said it,

340
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Speaker 3: Like normally we hammer this and like tomlin spot, but

341
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Speaker 3: like so much unknown. I just don't know how motivated

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Speaker 3: they're going to be this exact scenario that. Yeah, I'm

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Speaker 3: still still on Cincy. Most professionals I've talked to at

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Speaker 3: this point they like, obviously this Pittsburgh team for what

345
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Speaker 3: we just talked about. It's it's a nice spot for

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Speaker 3: Tomlin to bounce back with an offense that you know

347
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Speaker 3: they've been struggling.

348
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Speaker 2: But you know, we didn't really talk about it.

349
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Speaker 3: The Ravens defense has been much better the second half

350
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Speaker 3: of the season. Yeah, the Chiefs obviously one of the

351
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Speaker 3: better defense in all football. You already know the Eagles

352
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Speaker 3: have a top three defense. So going from playing three

353
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Speaker 3: of the hardest defense in the football and out of

354
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Speaker 3: playing one of the worst defense in football, we expect

355
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Speaker 3: Pittsburgh to look good and be able to move the

356
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Speaker 3: ball here. But yeah, it's no.

357
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Speaker 2: They moved it to one and a half now, I

358
00:19:12,280 --> 00:19:12,760
Speaker 2: can't help it.

359
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Speaker 1: I got a bet since is this a Simon says,

360
00:19:15,240 --> 00:19:17,960
Speaker 1: do you worry that I'll go back to no?

361
00:19:18,040 --> 00:19:19,760
Speaker 2: But I would grab her now if you want it.

362
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Speaker 3: Like, like we just talked about, like we don't know

363
00:19:21,840 --> 00:19:24,439
Speaker 3: the incentive of this Pittsburgh team and what they're going

364
00:19:24,520 --> 00:19:26,800
Speaker 3: to do if the brown I mean the Ravens doing

365
00:19:26,840 --> 00:19:28,159
Speaker 3: I know, we just said they're going to try to

366
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Speaker 3: play it out. But that bye week, at this point

367
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Speaker 3: of season, especially you just played three games in eleven days,

368
00:19:34,280 --> 00:19:36,440
Speaker 3: that's a huge deal. Like that little bit of MIDI

369
00:19:36,480 --> 00:19:38,360
Speaker 3: bye week they can take right here before the playoffs,

370
00:19:38,359 --> 00:19:40,960
Speaker 3: that's that's a really big deal. So yeah, it's tough

371
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Speaker 3: to get a read on this one.

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Speaker 1: Buffalo at New England. New England is a three point

373
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Speaker 1: underdog at home. It's come way down since it was

374
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Speaker 1: posted on Sunday night. It opened at five and a half.

375
00:19:53,800 --> 00:19:56,440
Speaker 1: It was within fifteen minutes, it was down to one

376
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Speaker 1: and a half. It moved back up to two and

377
00:19:58,640 --> 00:20:01,320
Speaker 1: a half. Now it's at three. The Patriots have the

378
00:20:01,400 --> 00:20:03,800
Speaker 1: number one pick in the NFL right now, and they're

379
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Speaker 1: in a glorious spot because they don't need to draft

380
00:20:05,760 --> 00:20:11,119
Speaker 1: a quarterback. So the optionality with that pick, you gotta

381
00:20:11,160 --> 00:20:14,120
Speaker 1: want to keep it. The assumption is that Josh Allen

382
00:20:14,160 --> 00:20:18,000
Speaker 1: will at least play a series to keep his starting

383
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Speaker 1: streak alive, which apparently Matt Mitchell says is important him

384
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Speaker 1: and Matt Mitchell, you know, was our Buffalo correspondent. Do

385
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Speaker 1: we think the Pats will play Drake May? Will they

386
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Speaker 1: sit him to give them the best chance to win

387
00:20:31,560 --> 00:20:35,200
Speaker 1: the number one pick? I don't really have a strong

388
00:20:35,240 --> 00:20:36,080
Speaker 1: opinion on this game.

389
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Speaker 2: Yeah, pretty interesting.

390
00:20:37,840 --> 00:20:40,320
Speaker 3: Bill is automatically locked in the two seeds. So this

391
00:20:40,480 --> 00:20:42,360
Speaker 3: is truly a meaningless game for them in.

392
00:20:42,359 --> 00:20:43,240
Speaker 2: Every which way.

393
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Speaker 3: And yeah, why would they not want to let New

394
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Speaker 3: England beat them?

395
00:20:48,080 --> 00:20:48,320
Speaker 2: Right?

396
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Speaker 3: Not not let them get the top draft pick. But

397
00:20:51,400 --> 00:20:54,320
Speaker 3: I do love Patriots fans being like, oh, this is great.

398
00:20:54,400 --> 00:20:56,760
Speaker 3: We can use this as leverage a trade down and

399
00:20:56,800 --> 00:20:59,840
Speaker 3: get more draft capitable as if they can draft good players.

400
00:21:00,160 --> 00:21:02,640
Speaker 3: It's like, we have no faith. I have zero faith

401
00:21:02,640 --> 00:21:04,479
Speaker 3: in their GM or head coach right now in New England.

402
00:21:04,560 --> 00:21:06,320
Speaker 2: And I'm a psychopath too.

403
00:21:06,320 --> 00:21:10,199
Speaker 3: Where it's like Drake May, he showed little flashes, but

404
00:21:10,280 --> 00:21:14,040
Speaker 3: nothing compared to Jayden Daniels or bow Nicks of like,

405
00:21:14,840 --> 00:21:16,880
Speaker 3: even Caleb Williams had moments where I was like, Okay,

406
00:21:16,880 --> 00:21:19,480
Speaker 3: this guy's a legit start in this league. Drake May,

407
00:21:19,520 --> 00:21:20,960
Speaker 3: to me, there was a lot of fifty to fifty

408
00:21:20,960 --> 00:21:23,399
Speaker 3: balls that he's gotten lucky on and he can scramble.

409
00:21:24,119 --> 00:21:24,600
Speaker 2: I don't know.

410
00:21:24,680 --> 00:21:27,760
Speaker 3: If this was a really good draft for quarterbacks, I

411
00:21:27,800 --> 00:21:30,919
Speaker 3: don't think they'd be hesitant to draft a quarterback. I

412
00:21:30,920 --> 00:21:33,200
Speaker 3: know that sounds crazy Patriots fans because I love Drake May,

413
00:21:33,280 --> 00:21:36,240
Speaker 3: but it's like, dude, they don't work that way in

414
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Speaker 3: the NFL.

415
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Speaker 2: I mean, Chad just talked about it.

416
00:21:37,800 --> 00:21:40,080
Speaker 3: He's sick of the qv play because there's only ten

417
00:21:40,160 --> 00:21:42,920
Speaker 3: guys that are like legit. That's how hard it is.

418
00:21:43,040 --> 00:21:46,080
Speaker 3: Like the odds of you drafting a legit guy is

419
00:21:46,160 --> 00:21:49,720
Speaker 3: just so rare. I'm just all about the Washington Even

420
00:21:49,760 --> 00:21:52,119
Speaker 3: the Eagles did it like we had Carson Wentz. We

421
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Speaker 3: took Hurts in the second round.

422
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Speaker 2: Like I don't know.

423
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Speaker 3: People get to attach to these quarterbacks and their egos,

424
00:21:58,040 --> 00:22:01,360
Speaker 3: and it's I think they're unique opportunity if they if

425
00:22:01,359 --> 00:22:04,320
Speaker 3: they break down they love this draft class of quarterback

426
00:22:04,720 --> 00:22:06,359
Speaker 3: and they have their one pick, I think they should

427
00:22:06,359 --> 00:22:09,520
Speaker 3: look into it. But yeah, Travis Hunter, whoever they want

428
00:22:09,520 --> 00:22:11,280
Speaker 3: to go with at that top pick, or if they

429
00:22:11,320 --> 00:22:13,240
Speaker 3: do want to trade down to get more draft capital

430
00:22:13,280 --> 00:22:16,399
Speaker 3: to draft more players, sure, go for it new them,

431
00:22:16,480 --> 00:22:20,320
Speaker 3: but I easily see them could upset he winning this game. Right,

432
00:22:20,520 --> 00:22:24,200
Speaker 3: Like Mitch Trubisky, Chad knows we've been through it. He's

433
00:22:24,480 --> 00:22:26,119
Speaker 3: he can be good for a quarter, but we know

434
00:22:26,240 --> 00:22:29,359
Speaker 3: that eventually he's gonna throw a pick. So if Drake

435
00:22:29,400 --> 00:22:31,280
Speaker 3: made is in this game, I think it could be competitive.

436
00:22:31,480 --> 00:22:34,480
Speaker 3: I wouldn't hesitate to take the plus three. But yeah,

437
00:22:34,520 --> 00:22:36,840
Speaker 3: it's another game where it's a lot of we don't

438
00:22:36,880 --> 00:22:38,919
Speaker 3: know who's playing yet this point. I haven't bet it,

439
00:22:39,520 --> 00:22:41,240
Speaker 3: waiting to get more info on it. The only reason

440
00:22:41,240 --> 00:22:43,199
Speaker 3: I bet the three is just because I'm shocked they

441
00:22:43,240 --> 00:22:45,040
Speaker 3: went up to three. I thought this would be a

442
00:22:45,080 --> 00:22:48,080
Speaker 3: pick them. So that just shows how bad this this

443
00:22:48,160 --> 00:22:51,080
Speaker 3: Patriots team is. There basically a home dog to a

444
00:22:51,119 --> 00:22:52,480
Speaker 3: team of backups in Buffalo.

445
00:22:52,880 --> 00:22:55,240
Speaker 1: It's very rare that anyone in the NFL is going

446
00:22:55,320 --> 00:23:01,880
Speaker 1: to not suffer from the sunk cost fallacy. Right, you've

447
00:23:01,920 --> 00:23:05,280
Speaker 1: got a quarterback, You've drafted a quarterback. You want to

448
00:23:05,320 --> 00:23:07,959
Speaker 1: invest in that quarterback. You want to grow that quarterback.

449
00:23:08,280 --> 00:23:10,120
Speaker 1: You don't want to feel like the person who wasted

450
00:23:10,119 --> 00:23:12,760
Speaker 1: the year to pick the year before. You want to

451
00:23:12,800 --> 00:23:17,399
Speaker 1: realize that ROI the very few teams have done it.

452
00:23:17,400 --> 00:23:19,479
Speaker 1: The most recent one I can think of is the

453
00:23:19,520 --> 00:23:23,200
Speaker 1: Cardinals had drafted Josh Rosen top ten and the next

454
00:23:23,280 --> 00:23:26,040
Speaker 1: year drafted Kyler Murray. Right, they immediately were like, this

455
00:23:26,080 --> 00:23:30,280
Speaker 1: guy sucks. We can improve our lot, no brainer, don't

456
00:23:30,320 --> 00:23:32,640
Speaker 1: worry about what we've done in the past. You don't

457
00:23:32,680 --> 00:23:35,720
Speaker 1: get teams drafting quarterbacks unless you're the Bears, and you

458
00:23:35,840 --> 00:23:38,399
Speaker 1: draft a quarterback in the top five every three years.

459
00:23:39,680 --> 00:23:41,800
Speaker 1: And that's not because they're smart enough to walk away.

460
00:23:42,640 --> 00:23:44,119
Speaker 1: They're just bad enough to choose the room.

461
00:23:44,240 --> 00:23:45,919
Speaker 3: They are smart enough, though, like you're saying they're not.

462
00:23:46,440 --> 00:23:49,120
Speaker 3: That was I mean, think how crazy the fans were.

463
00:23:49,119 --> 00:23:51,120
Speaker 3: They're like, no, we like Justin. We want to keep Justin.

464
00:23:51,200 --> 00:23:54,399
Speaker 3: It's like, god damn. People just get to attach to

465
00:23:54,440 --> 00:23:58,639
Speaker 3: these quarterbacks. They just they love potential. And again, the

466
00:23:58,720 --> 00:24:00,560
Speaker 3: Vikings and the reason I was down on them, they

467
00:24:00,840 --> 00:24:03,480
Speaker 3: punted on their first round pick. They got Sam Donald.

468
00:24:03,480 --> 00:24:07,840
Speaker 3: Then they drafted you know, JJ, like that was a

469
00:24:07,880 --> 00:24:10,120
Speaker 3: big deal. And now they're in a weird spot where

470
00:24:10,119 --> 00:24:13,160
Speaker 3: it's like, are they the Vikings gonna trade JJ and

471
00:24:13,240 --> 00:24:16,880
Speaker 3: just keep Sam Donald? Like their dream for JJ McCarthy

472
00:24:16,920 --> 00:24:19,360
Speaker 3: would to be what Sam Donald just did this season, right,

473
00:24:19,440 --> 00:24:22,560
Speaker 3: That's it's as good as it's gonna get. So that's

474
00:24:22,600 --> 00:24:24,119
Speaker 3: what I mean though, It's just you got to just

475
00:24:24,240 --> 00:24:26,359
Speaker 3: keep firing on these quarterbacks and you just have to

476
00:24:26,440 --> 00:24:29,960
Speaker 3: hit one unicorn and your franchise is set for fifteen years.

477
00:24:30,040 --> 00:24:32,800
Speaker 3: So it's like, I get a Patriots fans, your attached

478
00:24:32,800 --> 00:24:35,000
Speaker 3: to Drake May even though he's done nothing. You're the

479
00:24:35,080 --> 00:24:37,520
Speaker 3: worst team in football this year. You can blame your coach,

480
00:24:37,840 --> 00:24:40,160
Speaker 3: you can blame your lack of talent. Is that gonna

481
00:24:40,200 --> 00:24:42,960
Speaker 3: change next year? I'm already seeing they're rejecting Vrabel to

482
00:24:43,000 --> 00:24:45,199
Speaker 3: bring back that coach for one more one more year

483
00:24:45,200 --> 00:24:47,960
Speaker 3: in May. Like, they're just a terribly run organization, and

484
00:24:48,040 --> 00:24:50,000
Speaker 3: I think we're all starting to figure that out that

485
00:24:50,040 --> 00:24:53,320
Speaker 3: it was just really Belichick and Tom and nothing up top.

486
00:24:53,480 --> 00:24:56,439
Speaker 3: It was just blatant luck by Craft that he got

487
00:24:56,920 --> 00:24:59,480
Speaker 3: this incredible quarterback in the seventh, sixth round and he

488
00:24:59,520 --> 00:25:02,160
Speaker 3: got check instead of going to the Jets, he came there.

489
00:25:02,160 --> 00:25:03,840
Speaker 3: And it just that's how football is, right, you can

490
00:25:03,880 --> 00:25:06,520
Speaker 3: walk yourself into dumb luck. And right now it just

491
00:25:06,560 --> 00:25:09,720
Speaker 3: feels like this they're the most dysfunctional organization and I

492
00:25:09,720 --> 00:25:11,080
Speaker 3: don't know if you love it, but I love it

493
00:25:11,119 --> 00:25:14,119
Speaker 3: like I hated that Patriots run and they're cocky, know

494
00:25:14,200 --> 00:25:17,320
Speaker 3: what all fans? And now they are just the bottom

495
00:25:17,400 --> 00:25:20,800
Speaker 3: of the barrel. And enjoy your number one pick Patriots.

496
00:25:20,720 --> 00:25:23,240
Speaker 1: Quick Recap for Week seventeen in the Favorites one hundred

497
00:25:23,280 --> 00:25:26,760
Speaker 1: thousand dollars Pro Football to Come contest. Congratulations to Rodney

498
00:25:26,840 --> 00:25:29,560
Speaker 1: Valentine are week seventeen first place winner. He went five

499
00:25:29,560 --> 00:25:31,159
Speaker 1: and oh got with any yard of the tiebreaker. He

500
00:25:31,200 --> 00:25:33,840
Speaker 1: takes home our one thousand dollars a weekly prize. As always,

501
00:25:33,840 --> 00:25:36,440
Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell was selected the Producer's Cup award for the

502
00:25:36,560 --> 00:25:38,359
Speaker 1: entry that finished dead fucking last.

503
00:25:38,680 --> 00:25:45,240
Speaker 3: Have you about the loads loser? He's a Louis about

504
00:25:45,359 --> 00:25:46,800
Speaker 3: He still kids dry.

505
00:25:50,119 --> 00:25:52,879
Speaker 1: This week's Producer's Cup goes to m M Haus who

506
00:25:52,960 --> 00:25:56,280
Speaker 1: went one five missed the tiebreaker by almost four hundred yrards.

507
00:25:56,640 --> 00:25:59,239
Speaker 1: M M has please email our producer at podcast at

508
00:25:59,240 --> 00:26:02,640
Speaker 1: Action Network dot com to claim me prize. Houston at Tennessee.

509
00:26:02,960 --> 00:26:07,119
Speaker 1: This one has been on a freaking roller coaster. Yeah,

510
00:26:07,200 --> 00:26:09,880
Speaker 1: Texans cannot change their draft.

511
00:26:10,280 --> 00:26:11,880
Speaker 2: Locked in at four, Locked.

512
00:26:11,680 --> 00:26:14,680
Speaker 1: In at four, They're the worst record of the division winners.

513
00:26:14,960 --> 00:26:17,800
Speaker 1: Titans currently own the number two spot in the draft.

514
00:26:18,080 --> 00:26:23,280
Speaker 1: They're desperate for a quarterback. This one huge moves up

515
00:26:23,320 --> 00:26:28,240
Speaker 1: and down. Opened it seven thirty five PM Sunday night

516
00:26:29,000 --> 00:26:33,080
Speaker 1: with Tennessee as a one point underdog. By the time

517
00:26:33,160 --> 00:26:34,879
Speaker 1: you and I we do the show seven thirty to

518
00:26:34,920 --> 00:26:38,320
Speaker 1: about eight eight fifteen. By the time we were on

519
00:26:38,359 --> 00:26:41,520
Speaker 1: the air midway through the show, Tennessee was a four

520
00:26:41,520 --> 00:26:44,399
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. Now it's back down to

521
00:26:44,440 --> 00:26:48,800
Speaker 1: Tennessee minus one. No upside for the Texans, locked in

522
00:26:48,800 --> 00:26:51,920
Speaker 1: at the four. Like I said, why is this line

523
00:26:51,960 --> 00:26:53,359
Speaker 1: Simon moving so much?

524
00:26:54,240 --> 00:26:56,400
Speaker 2: Simon says, give me Tennessee plus one.

525
00:26:56,960 --> 00:26:59,679
Speaker 3: When Simon says do it, we do it.

526
00:27:01,280 --> 00:27:01,880
Speaker 1: Minus one.

527
00:27:02,400 --> 00:27:05,920
Speaker 3: Beth Svive it is yeah, okay, yeah, I don't get it.

528
00:27:06,119 --> 00:27:07,200
Speaker 2: I do not get it at all.

529
00:27:07,920 --> 00:27:09,920
Speaker 3: It's all public money too, Like I'm looking the Action

530
00:27:10,000 --> 00:27:13,919
Speaker 3: app and it's all public just hammering this Texan side

531
00:27:14,000 --> 00:27:18,000
Speaker 3: and we kind of talk about it. Like these NFL teams,

532
00:27:18,000 --> 00:27:19,760
Speaker 3: you saw it a lot, especially in that Giants locker

533
00:27:19,840 --> 00:27:23,520
Speaker 3: room after that game. They do not care about draft position.

534
00:27:23,760 --> 00:27:26,520
Speaker 3: Like these guys just want to win, and a lot

535
00:27:26,520 --> 00:27:28,000
Speaker 3: of them are playing for their jobs and playing for

536
00:27:28,040 --> 00:27:31,880
Speaker 3: their futures and say what you about the Tennessee being

537
00:27:31,960 --> 00:27:34,120
Speaker 3: terrible and them losing and not covering all these games

538
00:27:34,119 --> 00:27:36,760
Speaker 3: in a row, they at least been trying and being

539
00:27:36,760 --> 00:27:38,520
Speaker 3: competitive in these games. Like a lot of these games

540
00:27:38,560 --> 00:27:41,120
Speaker 3: are close games, Like, it's not them just getting rolled

541
00:27:41,119 --> 00:27:44,080
Speaker 3: by thirty forty points, right, it's a lot of times

542
00:27:44,119 --> 00:27:46,359
Speaker 3: I'm coming back losing by a touchdown or just failing

543
00:27:46,440 --> 00:27:50,159
Speaker 3: that last drive. And me and you have talked a

544
00:27:50,160 --> 00:27:52,560
Speaker 3: ton about this Texans team, about how bad they are

545
00:27:52,760 --> 00:27:55,760
Speaker 3: mainly because of injuries, right, And they were a top

546
00:27:55,800 --> 00:27:57,520
Speaker 3: heavy team coming of the year. They were stars of

547
00:27:57,520 --> 00:28:00,919
Speaker 3: the scrub type of team, right. And now in this game,

548
00:28:01,280 --> 00:28:03,280
Speaker 3: all the stars will be out. All the reasons they've

549
00:28:03,320 --> 00:28:06,159
Speaker 3: been even be able to keep this thing together is

550
00:28:06,160 --> 00:28:08,480
Speaker 3: going to be out for this Houston team. On the

551
00:28:08,480 --> 00:28:12,000
Speaker 3: flip side, I just could see Tennessee messing up their

552
00:28:12,080 --> 00:28:15,040
Speaker 3: draft position and wanting to win this game. And they're

553
00:28:15,080 --> 00:28:17,520
Speaker 3: desperate for a win. I mean they've gone months without

554
00:28:17,520 --> 00:28:18,800
Speaker 3: a win like that.

555
00:28:18,800 --> 00:28:19,880
Speaker 2: That just wears on you.

556
00:28:20,080 --> 00:28:23,200
Speaker 3: And we've already talked about how it's an anomaly them

557
00:28:23,240 --> 00:28:25,880
Speaker 3: against the spread, right, two and fourteen against the spread this.

558
00:28:25,840 --> 00:28:29,600
Speaker 1: Season against the spread ever.

559
00:28:30,840 --> 00:28:33,439
Speaker 3: Ever, and again, I know people don't give us crudest,

560
00:28:33,440 --> 00:28:36,480
Speaker 3: but like we've avoided them this whole time. We literally

561
00:28:36,520 --> 00:28:38,440
Speaker 3: have avoided them this whole time.

562
00:28:38,840 --> 00:28:42,200
Speaker 1: But we deserve credit for our It's.

563
00:28:42,000 --> 00:28:44,480
Speaker 3: Been hard, honestly though, it's been hard because every week

564
00:28:44,480 --> 00:28:46,640
Speaker 3: the books are giving us a free two to three points,

565
00:28:46,640 --> 00:28:50,240
Speaker 3: no joke, like they're just begging for Tennessee money. And

566
00:28:50,280 --> 00:28:52,560
Speaker 3: every week it just was not coming through. And I

567
00:28:52,600 --> 00:28:54,960
Speaker 3: know some pros have just been chasing this for well

568
00:28:55,000 --> 00:28:56,720
Speaker 3: over a month on this Tennessee team.

569
00:28:56,760 --> 00:29:00,240
Speaker 2: So yeah, I I I just.

570
00:29:00,240 --> 00:29:02,880
Speaker 3: Think Tennessee is in a good spot here playing against

571
00:29:02,960 --> 00:29:07,000
Speaker 3: a bunch of backups that you know, I don't think

572
00:29:07,000 --> 00:29:08,400
Speaker 3: he still is going to care at all about this game.

573
00:29:08,440 --> 00:29:10,040
Speaker 3: On the flip side, I think Tennessee is going to

574
00:29:10,080 --> 00:29:13,320
Speaker 3: care about getting this last win. Callahan just before the

575
00:29:13,440 --> 00:29:15,200
Speaker 3: end of the season, try to feel good about themselves.

576
00:29:15,240 --> 00:29:17,440
Speaker 3: And we've see it all the time teams like this

577
00:29:17,640 --> 00:29:20,520
Speaker 3: that I've a horrible year, nothing to play for.

578
00:29:20,600 --> 00:29:21,920
Speaker 2: They kind of steal one of these games the end

579
00:29:21,960 --> 00:29:22,320
Speaker 2: of the year.

580
00:29:22,400 --> 00:29:25,520
Speaker 3: So yeah, it makes me I've seen a normal year.

581
00:29:25,560 --> 00:29:27,760
Speaker 3: It feel good knowing the public's heavy on our road

582
00:29:27,800 --> 00:29:30,360
Speaker 3: favorite in Houston, but it has not been the case

583
00:29:30,400 --> 00:29:32,440
Speaker 3: this season. But I still I still like Tennessee at

584
00:29:32,440 --> 00:29:34,840
Speaker 3: this number. I do think it goes up by kickoff.

585
00:29:35,480 --> 00:29:38,640
Speaker 1: Very interesting. Finally pulling the trigger on the Tennessee Titans.

586
00:29:38,720 --> 00:29:40,360
Speaker 1: I got to tell you, I didn't see that one coming.

587
00:29:41,360 --> 00:29:43,280
Speaker 1: I wanted to go in. I've hated them, Yeah, I

588
00:29:43,360 --> 00:29:45,800
Speaker 1: want Look, you walk me back from the last week,

589
00:29:45,880 --> 00:29:50,880
Speaker 1: like I was itching to bet the Titans, and you're like, no, no, no, no.

590
00:29:51,200 --> 00:29:51,560
Speaker 3: You're right.

591
00:29:51,600 --> 00:29:55,680
Speaker 1: We do deserve credit for not falling prey and betting

592
00:29:55,680 --> 00:29:59,160
Speaker 1: the Titans all season long. Maybe no credit for betting

593
00:29:59,160 --> 00:30:02,320
Speaker 1: the Panthers sas long, but we totally deserve credit for

594
00:30:02,440 --> 00:30:05,600
Speaker 1: not betting the Titans when we absolutely when that number

595
00:30:05,880 --> 00:30:11,280
Speaker 1: was bloated every single week. Good for us, Simon, Simon,

596
00:30:11,320 --> 00:30:13,360
Speaker 1: A new year is dawning. Now is the time to

597
00:30:13,560 --> 00:30:16,520
Speaker 1: make our resolutions, choose a path to live better in

598
00:30:16,600 --> 00:30:21,959
Speaker 1: twenty twenty five. For me, it's about living authentically, and

599
00:30:22,000 --> 00:30:27,040
Speaker 1: to me, there's nothing more authentic than being comfortable, especially downstairs.

600
00:30:27,360 --> 00:30:30,320
Speaker 1: And with a special sale for our listeners, you can

601
00:30:30,400 --> 00:30:34,560
Speaker 1: share my resolution to make Tommy John a big part

602
00:30:34,640 --> 00:30:39,720
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603
00:30:39,960 --> 00:30:43,640
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604
00:30:43,720 --> 00:30:46,400
Speaker 1: and able to live your life like a whole new

605
00:30:46,440 --> 00:30:50,040
Speaker 1: person for the long year ahead. Simon, why will you

606
00:30:50,080 --> 00:30:51,800
Speaker 1: be giving the gift of Tommy John in the year twenty

607
00:30:51,800 --> 00:30:52,240
Speaker 1: twenty five?

608
00:30:53,040 --> 00:30:54,880
Speaker 2: Cause chat, it's the gift that last.

609
00:30:55,200 --> 00:30:58,200
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610
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611
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612
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Speaker 1: Tommy John dot com slash favorites. That's Tommy John dot

613
00:31:06,400 --> 00:31:11,240
Speaker 1: com slash favorites. Yesterday, yesterday, I made my younger son

614
00:31:12,480 --> 00:31:15,960
Speaker 1: give me a hug. He was being mean to me,

615
00:31:16,160 --> 00:31:19,360
Speaker 1: and I'm like, let's just hug. There's no reason to

616
00:31:19,360 --> 00:31:23,960
Speaker 1: be mean. And when we hugged, he uh said, wow,

617
00:31:24,520 --> 00:31:29,920
Speaker 1: this shirt is so soft? Is this Tommy John? And

618
00:31:29,960 --> 00:31:35,160
Speaker 1: I was wearing a quilted Tommy John pullover. We buy it,

619
00:31:35,480 --> 00:31:41,800
Speaker 1: we like it. Jacksonville at Indy, Anthony Richardson missed last

620
00:31:41,840 --> 00:31:44,240
Speaker 1: week and he's a five point favorite here with backspasms.

621
00:31:44,800 --> 00:31:47,240
Speaker 1: If he is healthy, the cults say he will play.

622
00:31:47,280 --> 00:31:51,520
Speaker 1: There's no word yet on if he is healthy. Obviously, like,

623
00:31:52,240 --> 00:31:54,640
Speaker 1: there's not a ton on the line here. The Jags

624
00:31:54,640 --> 00:31:58,440
Speaker 1: have the fifth pick overall draft position, not likely to

625
00:31:58,480 --> 00:32:00,520
Speaker 1: impact any decisions about who will play. They've got the

626
00:32:00,560 --> 00:32:03,480
Speaker 1: quarterback they say they want, They've got some costs, They're

627
00:32:03,480 --> 00:32:07,320
Speaker 1: not walking away from Trevor Lawrence. Kind of a normal

628
00:32:07,320 --> 00:32:10,240
Speaker 1: handicap to me. A team that won't stop trying in

629
00:32:10,280 --> 00:32:16,640
Speaker 1: the Jags versus a team that feels like culturally in house,

630
00:32:17,600 --> 00:32:19,880
Speaker 1: it is in big trouble. I don't know if you've

631
00:32:19,880 --> 00:32:25,720
Speaker 1: been keeping up with Pat McAfee versus the Indianapolis Colts franchise,

632
00:32:25,800 --> 00:32:29,800
Speaker 1: but he's been railing on this team and now they

633
00:32:29,800 --> 00:32:33,120
Speaker 1: are fighting back. And they were just so bad. They

634
00:32:33,120 --> 00:32:35,520
Speaker 1: had so many chances to win that game, staying contention

635
00:32:35,600 --> 00:32:39,440
Speaker 1: against the Giants defense could not stop Drew Locke. So

636
00:32:40,320 --> 00:32:44,200
Speaker 1: are the Jags way overvalued because they've been competitive? Are

637
00:32:44,200 --> 00:32:48,400
Speaker 1: the Colts undervalued? After last week's games? The numbers moved

638
00:32:48,440 --> 00:32:53,880
Speaker 1: down a little bit. It's pro Jo's game for what

639
00:32:53,880 --> 00:32:57,240
Speaker 1: it's worth. Tickets on the Jags, money on the Colts.

640
00:32:58,040 --> 00:33:00,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, brutal, brutal a year for the Colts.

641
00:33:00,240 --> 00:33:01,480
Speaker 2: I saw the part of my take.

642
00:33:01,520 --> 00:33:05,440
Speaker 3: Boys had a crazy statu about Ballard and basically since

643
00:33:05,440 --> 00:33:08,520
Speaker 3: he's taken over, every team has won this division twice.

644
00:33:08,680 --> 00:33:11,640
Speaker 3: So the Texas have won it twice, Jacksonville's won it twice,

645
00:33:11,920 --> 00:33:15,360
Speaker 3: Tennessee's won it twice. They've won a zero times since

646
00:33:15,400 --> 00:33:18,840
Speaker 3: he's taken over. Come on, Yeah, it's pretty insane that

647
00:33:18,920 --> 00:33:20,800
Speaker 3: Ers has let this man hang around.

648
00:33:20,560 --> 00:33:23,240
Speaker 1: At this and everyone always talks about what a brilliant

649
00:33:24,360 --> 00:33:25,120
Speaker 1: GM he is.

650
00:33:26,120 --> 00:33:28,720
Speaker 3: He honestly isn't some aspect where, like, you know, the

651
00:33:28,760 --> 00:33:30,800
Speaker 3: offensive line and some of the trafficks he hit on

652
00:33:30,920 --> 00:33:33,960
Speaker 3: were great, but he just obviously clearly never figured out

653
00:33:34,000 --> 00:33:36,920
Speaker 3: the quarterback situation. And every year he's just been throwing

654
00:33:37,000 --> 00:33:39,520
Speaker 3: darts and it's the wrong dart he just throws to

655
00:33:39,600 --> 00:33:43,880
Speaker 3: the So, yeah, another game of I want to take

656
00:33:44,000 --> 00:33:49,440
Speaker 3: Jacksonville this They've they've been playing, you know, with their

657
00:33:49,440 --> 00:33:51,680
Speaker 3: backups where you want to call it, for months.

658
00:33:51,720 --> 00:33:53,080
Speaker 2: They're used to it.

659
00:33:53,160 --> 00:33:56,160
Speaker 3: The Colts any guy with the even semi injured coming

660
00:33:56,200 --> 00:33:58,160
Speaker 3: out of last week, why would they play in this

661
00:33:58,280 --> 00:34:02,160
Speaker 3: game like they're that? How does that not just suck

662
00:34:02,200 --> 00:34:04,000
Speaker 3: your soul out? You put in so much work. I mean,

663
00:34:04,000 --> 00:34:05,800
Speaker 3: they're interviewing guys who've been there a long time in

664
00:34:05,800 --> 00:34:08,360
Speaker 3: the locker room and they're just like, it's the same

665
00:34:08,400 --> 00:34:09,240
Speaker 3: old every season.

666
00:34:09,280 --> 00:34:12,799
Speaker 2: This is how it goes, and like that that.

667
00:34:12,840 --> 00:34:14,640
Speaker 3: To me, like we just talked about that's the worst

668
00:34:14,680 --> 00:34:16,880
Speaker 3: loss of the season, right, You're playing for your, yeah,

669
00:34:17,560 --> 00:34:19,680
Speaker 3: your lives to make the playoffs and you lose to

670
00:34:19,719 --> 00:34:21,560
Speaker 3: a team that literally hadn't won a home game all

671
00:34:21,560 --> 00:34:23,640
Speaker 3: season and you lose to a quarterback and Drew Lock.

672
00:34:23,719 --> 00:34:26,320
Speaker 3: That just looked like an all pro against your secondary,

673
00:34:26,400 --> 00:34:27,920
Speaker 3: like tour you guys up.

674
00:34:28,080 --> 00:34:30,600
Speaker 1: Every single time they got close and had a chance.

675
00:34:30,600 --> 00:34:37,160
Speaker 1: They needed one stop, one stop multiple times to get

676
00:34:37,200 --> 00:34:39,759
Speaker 1: back in that game. If they do well, they drive

677
00:34:39,800 --> 00:34:42,839
Speaker 1: down the field, they score, they're taking the lead. They

678
00:34:42,920 --> 00:34:44,600
Speaker 1: could not freaking do it.

679
00:34:45,040 --> 00:34:47,440
Speaker 3: No, And like again, the game was summed up perfectly.

680
00:34:47,520 --> 00:34:50,359
Speaker 3: The announcer said the Colts had four drives and they

681
00:34:50,360 --> 00:34:53,480
Speaker 3: had six points. Drew Lock had three drives, he had

682
00:34:53,520 --> 00:34:57,319
Speaker 3: three touchdowns. Just insane to think about that, that type

683
00:34:57,320 --> 00:35:00,160
Speaker 3: of thing. That's why we love betting though. That's you know,

684
00:35:00,200 --> 00:35:01,879
Speaker 3: that was the one big dog that we just talked

685
00:35:01,920 --> 00:35:05,680
Speaker 3: about one outright, So, yeah, the Colts are just so bad.

686
00:35:05,960 --> 00:35:07,919
Speaker 3: This feels like way too much respect to this team,

687
00:35:08,000 --> 00:35:10,680
Speaker 3: especially at four and a half. Call me a sucker

688
00:35:10,680 --> 00:35:12,239
Speaker 3: for this Jackson. I just love the way they've been

689
00:35:12,239 --> 00:35:15,360
Speaker 3: playing down the stretcher. I'll take mac Jones Brian Thompson

690
00:35:15,440 --> 00:35:17,080
Speaker 3: Junior at plus four and a half.

691
00:35:17,520 --> 00:35:22,520
Speaker 1: I agree with you, Like I kept thinking, like we're

692
00:35:22,560 --> 00:35:25,880
Speaker 1: seeing the Jacks compete every single week. This was a

693
00:35:25,880 --> 00:35:29,879
Speaker 1: great stat from Evan mac Jones. With Doug Peterson three

694
00:35:29,920 --> 00:35:33,600
Speaker 1: and three against the spread. He was something like, you know,

695
00:35:34,440 --> 00:35:40,200
Speaker 1: fifteen and thirty against the spread with the Patriots. So

696
00:35:40,719 --> 00:35:43,200
Speaker 1: clearly Doug Peterson is getting something out of mac Jones

697
00:35:43,200 --> 00:35:46,840
Speaker 1: that Bill Belichick wasn't getting. But he's got swagger and

698
00:35:47,000 --> 00:35:50,160
Speaker 1: he doesn't deserve it. But he's making bad throws that

699
00:35:50,239 --> 00:35:53,200
Speaker 1: Brian Thomas Junior continues to make him look good on him, like,

700
00:35:54,160 --> 00:35:55,399
Speaker 1: I don't know, I.

701
00:35:55,360 --> 00:35:57,080
Speaker 3: Got a better one for you. He's got the same

702
00:35:57,120 --> 00:36:00,239
Speaker 3: amount of wins this year and whatever it is six

703
00:36:00,280 --> 00:36:03,920
Speaker 3: starts as Drake May has for the whole season.

704
00:36:04,719 --> 00:36:06,160
Speaker 2: Suck on that. In New England.

705
00:36:09,360 --> 00:36:14,759
Speaker 1: Washington at Dallas. This one opened Dallas plus five and

706
00:36:14,920 --> 00:36:18,399
Speaker 1: shortly after the Commanders won on Sunday night, moved down

707
00:36:18,400 --> 00:36:22,120
Speaker 1: to three. Now it's back up to four. Look there's

708
00:36:22,160 --> 00:36:26,319
Speaker 1: still playoff seating incentive for the Commanders, right, If they

709
00:36:26,440 --> 00:36:32,640
Speaker 1: do win, they're locked in at the sixth seed, they

710
00:36:32,640 --> 00:36:34,920
Speaker 1: get the Bucks or the Rams. They gotta travel, but

711
00:36:34,920 --> 00:36:36,920
Speaker 1: they get the Bucks of the Rams. If they lose,

712
00:36:37,680 --> 00:36:42,440
Speaker 1: they're the seventh seed. They're playing the Eagles. I mean

713
00:36:43,200 --> 00:36:45,120
Speaker 1: that's incentive to me, do you want to play the

714
00:36:45,160 --> 00:36:47,560
Speaker 1: Eagles or do you want to play the Bucks or

715
00:36:47,560 --> 00:36:50,640
Speaker 1: the Rams? So to me, this should be a totally

716
00:36:50,760 --> 00:36:51,680
Speaker 1: normal handicap.

717
00:36:53,360 --> 00:36:55,359
Speaker 3: Even more so, doesn't feel like this is the type

718
00:36:55,360 --> 00:36:58,680
Speaker 3: of game that Washington just absolutely rolls the Cowboys. Like

719
00:36:58,719 --> 00:37:01,879
Speaker 3: the Cowboys that think we realized they've had their Super

720
00:37:01,920 --> 00:37:04,320
Speaker 3: Bowl against that Tampa team in that primetime game.

721
00:37:05,000 --> 00:37:06,640
Speaker 2: And you know, as.

722
00:37:06,560 --> 00:37:09,080
Speaker 3: Bad as I looked against the Eagles, I don't know

723
00:37:09,080 --> 00:37:11,359
Speaker 3: how much better they're going to play against Washington. Right.

724
00:37:11,560 --> 00:37:14,200
Speaker 2: These guys all have their trips booked, they're ready to go.

725
00:37:15,400 --> 00:37:15,600
Speaker 2: You know.

726
00:37:15,800 --> 00:37:18,400
Speaker 3: Michael Parsons comments after the game were just madly insane,

727
00:37:18,440 --> 00:37:19,640
Speaker 3: Like it just seems to go a team that's kind

728
00:37:19,640 --> 00:37:22,640
Speaker 3: of lost their mind at this point. The Cowboys, Washington,

729
00:37:23,880 --> 00:37:25,440
Speaker 3: I feel like you just nailed it, right. This is

730
00:37:25,480 --> 00:37:27,480
Speaker 3: a game they really want to win because it really

731
00:37:27,560 --> 00:37:29,759
Speaker 3: defines who they're going to be playing in this playoffs,

732
00:37:29,760 --> 00:37:31,960
Speaker 3: and of course they want to come to Philly. Like

733
00:37:32,000 --> 00:37:33,160
Speaker 3: you don't want to say you don't want to face

734
00:37:33,160 --> 00:37:35,799
Speaker 3: the same same team three times? Right we all know that.

735
00:37:36,280 --> 00:37:39,960
Speaker 3: So yeah, the fact that this has moved the way

736
00:37:40,000 --> 00:37:41,719
Speaker 3: it's moved just makes total sense to me, Like the

737
00:37:41,760 --> 00:37:44,000
Speaker 3: pros and the public to me, will be on Washington.

738
00:37:44,480 --> 00:37:46,080
Speaker 3: I could see this keep going up, Like, to me,

739
00:37:46,160 --> 00:37:48,920
Speaker 3: this should be six by kickoff. So the fact you

740
00:37:48,920 --> 00:37:50,640
Speaker 3: can still get four and a half on Washington, I

741
00:37:50,680 --> 00:37:51,439
Speaker 3: don't hate that number.

742
00:37:51,440 --> 00:37:52,480
Speaker 2: I don't hate that value.

743
00:37:52,920 --> 00:37:57,359
Speaker 1: Get four at bat three sixty five. This is one

744
00:37:57,400 --> 00:38:02,680
Speaker 1: of those stats and system that we mentioned, Oh, play Cowboys,

745
00:38:03,320 --> 00:38:06,640
Speaker 1: Play the Cowboys, right, Teams getting less than thirty percent

746
00:38:06,680 --> 00:38:11,560
Speaker 1: of the tickets cover the spread sixty percent of the

747
00:38:11,600 --> 00:38:14,480
Speaker 1: time if they're off a game in which they scored

748
00:38:14,680 --> 00:38:20,640
Speaker 1: single digits. Again, it's a it's a weird stat because

749
00:38:20,680 --> 00:38:25,800
Speaker 1: it basically tells you to favor the worst teams. Right, yeah,

750
00:38:26,280 --> 00:38:29,640
Speaker 1: we're talking. We're talking about the Cowboys. This week we saw.

751
00:38:29,480 --> 00:38:32,439
Speaker 2: The hot big of a deal was the lu CD though, right, Yeah,

752
00:38:32,840 --> 00:38:34,680
Speaker 2: like not how was a big deal?

753
00:38:35,080 --> 00:38:39,759
Speaker 1: I will say this, Cooper Rush, he chucks it man,

754
00:38:39,920 --> 00:38:42,399
Speaker 1: he's willing to play, He'll throw it into the fire.

755
00:38:42,520 --> 00:38:46,120
Speaker 1: He still makes some good throws. Brandon Cooks stepped in nicely,

756
00:38:46,520 --> 00:38:50,840
Speaker 1: and we knew the Eagles are kryptonite for Cooper Rush.

757
00:38:50,880 --> 00:38:54,560
Speaker 1: His worst games as a backup have come against the Eagles.

758
00:38:54,920 --> 00:38:58,040
Speaker 1: And I don't necessarily think he's going to mail it in.

759
00:38:58,640 --> 00:39:00,879
Speaker 1: He's a backup quarterback who wants to do as well

760
00:39:00,920 --> 00:39:03,799
Speaker 1: as he can. And I don't think Mike McCarthy's going

761
00:39:03,880 --> 00:39:05,640
Speaker 1: to nail it in. Nail it in because I think

762
00:39:05,680 --> 00:39:08,920
Speaker 1: he is still trying to win the games for next year.

763
00:39:09,360 --> 00:39:11,120
Speaker 1: If you if I had to bet on if he

764
00:39:11,160 --> 00:39:12,880
Speaker 1: will be the coach, I would say he will be

765
00:39:14,560 --> 00:39:17,240
Speaker 1: next year. Seems like the sentiment is that the tide

766
00:39:17,239 --> 00:39:19,719
Speaker 1: is turning on that so I don't it's to me,

767
00:39:19,800 --> 00:39:22,799
Speaker 1: it's not an automatic with Washington. If it gets higher,

768
00:39:22,840 --> 00:39:24,160
Speaker 1: I might just want to play the Cowboys.

769
00:39:24,360 --> 00:39:24,880
Speaker 2: That's fair.

770
00:39:25,920 --> 00:39:27,440
Speaker 1: So we'll put him on the list because why not.

771
00:39:27,880 --> 00:39:30,520
Speaker 1: How much worse can it get for us New Orleans

772
00:39:30,520 --> 00:39:34,800
Speaker 1: of Tampa Bay. You teased wanting to take the Saints

773
00:39:34,840 --> 00:39:38,680
Speaker 1: on Sunday Night. It's moved down half a point. This

774
00:39:38,719 --> 00:39:40,440
Speaker 1: is a normal handicapp to me. The Bucks need to

775
00:39:40,480 --> 00:39:43,520
Speaker 1: win to get in. Any year we are taking the Saints,

776
00:39:43,520 --> 00:39:47,640
Speaker 1: but this is not any year. My biggest worry is

777
00:39:47,640 --> 00:39:51,560
Speaker 1: that the Saints don't have any playmakers. I mean, they

778
00:39:51,560 --> 00:39:52,680
Speaker 1: truly are a JV team.

779
00:39:52,760 --> 00:39:53,480
Speaker 3: Cam Jordan.

780
00:39:55,760 --> 00:40:00,759
Speaker 1: Five year old kna You know, I like to play

781
00:40:00,760 --> 00:40:07,399
Speaker 1: this game with my kid. You know, jersey retirement, Hall

782
00:40:07,440 --> 00:40:11,520
Speaker 1: of Fame team Hall of Fame statue, Cam Jordan, Where

783
00:40:11,520 --> 00:40:12,560
Speaker 1: do you think he qualifies?

784
00:40:12,600 --> 00:40:12,640
Speaker 3: Like?

785
00:40:12,680 --> 00:40:14,640
Speaker 1: He's one of the best players defensively the Saints I have

786
00:40:14,680 --> 00:40:15,160
Speaker 1: ever had.

787
00:40:15,400 --> 00:40:17,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, he leads them in sacks, right.

788
00:40:17,840 --> 00:40:20,239
Speaker 1: Pillar in the community, always a Walter Payton Man of

789
00:40:20,239 --> 00:40:25,440
Speaker 1: the Year Award nominee. Does he get a statue? Does

790
00:40:25,520 --> 00:40:29,320
Speaker 1: he get his jersey retired? Or is he in the Saints'

791
00:40:29,800 --> 00:40:30,400
Speaker 1: Ring of honor?

792
00:40:31,120 --> 00:40:33,879
Speaker 3: Gotta retire jersey if you're the Saints. He's the all

793
00:40:33,920 --> 00:40:38,120
Speaker 3: time leader in sacks. That's it's just insane to think

794
00:40:38,239 --> 00:40:42,200
Speaker 3: with that organization. This guy is basically a de tackle

795
00:40:42,280 --> 00:40:46,960
Speaker 3: that is just dominated across what ten fifteen years, I

796
00:40:47,000 --> 00:40:48,520
Speaker 3: mean not long he's been in the league now.

797
00:40:48,400 --> 00:40:51,719
Speaker 1: But I think seventy five years. I think he was

798
00:40:51,760 --> 00:40:55,840
Speaker 1: an original member of the of the NFL.

799
00:40:55,800 --> 00:40:57,839
Speaker 3: Even that game last week, like they needed a couple

800
00:40:57,880 --> 00:41:00,480
Speaker 3: of big plays on a couple of Creek third and

801
00:41:00,520 --> 00:41:02,319
Speaker 3: he felt like he was always the one that made

802
00:41:02,320 --> 00:41:04,120
Speaker 3: the big play for them. Yeah, obviously it didn't matter

803
00:41:04,120 --> 00:41:06,640
Speaker 3: because they're just a terrible team. But yeah, this number

804
00:41:06,640 --> 00:41:08,040
Speaker 3: is crazy. Ch had at one point it was up

805
00:41:08,080 --> 00:41:12,640
Speaker 3: to fourteen and a half, the Saints number, so obviously

806
00:41:12,719 --> 00:41:15,200
Speaker 3: professional when has come in at this point bought it back.

807
00:41:15,520 --> 00:41:18,520
Speaker 3: It's at thirteen and a half. Now, I won't do it.

808
00:41:18,800 --> 00:41:20,600
Speaker 3: I won't take it at a bad number. It if

809
00:41:20,600 --> 00:41:22,120
Speaker 3: it gets back up to fourteen fourteen and a half,

810
00:41:22,120 --> 00:41:23,640
Speaker 3: I'm happy to give it out and take it again.

811
00:41:23,680 --> 00:41:27,160
Speaker 3: But I'm not chasing this number after it already moved,

812
00:41:27,200 --> 00:41:29,320
Speaker 3: and no one would be safe, no one would be

813
00:41:29,360 --> 00:41:32,800
Speaker 3: shocked if Tampa just absolutely rolls on Tampa. That Bucky

814
00:41:32,880 --> 00:41:39,720
Speaker 3: Irving Baker Mike Evans combo is just one right now, terrifying. Yeah,

815
00:41:39,880 --> 00:41:42,520
Speaker 3: so you just nailed it. Like the Saints have nothing

816
00:41:42,560 --> 00:41:44,640
Speaker 3: offensively that can keep up with this Bucks team. We'd

817
00:41:44,640 --> 00:41:49,560
Speaker 3: basically need a really really bad Baker game, which, honestly,

818
00:41:49,600 --> 00:41:51,640
Speaker 3: at fourteen and a half, I feel way comfortable betting

819
00:41:51,680 --> 00:41:53,480
Speaker 3: on that because it can happen, like we've seen the

820
00:41:53,480 --> 00:41:55,040
Speaker 3: time and time again, he can't turn the ball over,

821
00:41:55,160 --> 00:41:58,680
Speaker 3: give short field to this Saints team. But at thirteen

822
00:41:58,680 --> 00:42:00,279
Speaker 3: and a half, it's like, I'm not chasing in that

823
00:42:00,320 --> 00:42:04,000
Speaker 3: bad number. Give me a better number here, sportsbooks.

824
00:42:03,480 --> 00:42:07,480
Speaker 1: Baker has fifteen picks. That's one behind Kirk Cousins. But

825
00:42:07,520 --> 00:42:13,040
Speaker 1: he's also on pace to earn two point five million

826
00:42:13,120 --> 00:42:18,799
Speaker 1: dollars in incentives for individual stats. Evan has a great

827
00:42:18,800 --> 00:42:21,360
Speaker 1: story up in Action network dot com. There's five different

828
00:42:22,360 --> 00:42:25,720
Speaker 1: stats that if he finishes top five in the NFC

829
00:42:25,880 --> 00:42:30,480
Speaker 1: or top ten in the league across completion, percentage, yards, touchdowns,

830
00:42:30,480 --> 00:42:34,240
Speaker 1: et cetera, he gets five hundred grand for each one,

831
00:42:34,520 --> 00:42:37,920
Speaker 1: and he's well within the range for all of them

832
00:42:38,000 --> 00:42:41,040
Speaker 1: right now. So I got a feeling Baker's going to

833
00:42:41,120 --> 00:42:44,279
Speaker 1: go out there and he's going to sling it, which

834
00:42:44,360 --> 00:42:48,200
Speaker 1: could spell doom right for the Saints.

835
00:42:48,760 --> 00:42:52,120
Speaker 3: I saw a crazy article though, just about how Tom

836
00:42:52,160 --> 00:42:54,759
Speaker 3: Brady left New England. Look what happened to them. He

837
00:42:54,840 --> 00:42:56,880
Speaker 3: left Tampa and they've still been able to win the

838
00:42:56,880 --> 00:42:58,879
Speaker 3: division now and they could win it again this year,

839
00:42:58,920 --> 00:43:01,960
Speaker 3: two times, which is just insane to think about, Like

840
00:43:02,440 --> 00:43:05,239
Speaker 3: you lose arguably the best player in football history. One

841
00:43:05,280 --> 00:43:07,400
Speaker 3: team went the way they should have right, the completely

842
00:43:07,440 --> 00:43:10,000
Speaker 3: fell apart. I've just been in despair for the last

843
00:43:10,000 --> 00:43:14,080
Speaker 3: five six years. Baker the ultimate shavior of Tampa. Like

844
00:43:14,120 --> 00:43:16,840
Speaker 3: truly incredible. This man went from being scout team D

845
00:43:17,040 --> 00:43:20,960
Speaker 3: line with Carolina to now potentially back to back divisional

846
00:43:20,960 --> 00:43:24,160
Speaker 3: winner of the South. It's really remarkable what Baker's done.

847
00:43:24,360 --> 00:43:27,799
Speaker 1: Someone needs to do this story. I mean to call

848
00:43:27,880 --> 00:43:30,040
Speaker 1: some my NFL writer buddies and get them on this,

849
00:43:30,480 --> 00:43:33,480
Speaker 1: just to go back to my old days with signing stories.

850
00:43:33,480 --> 00:43:39,160
Speaker 1: But what exactly happened with Baker and Sean McVay in

851
00:43:39,280 --> 00:43:42,320
Speaker 1: Los Angeles in that last month of the season a

852
00:43:42,360 --> 00:43:44,839
Speaker 1: couple of years ago, right, because he points that as

853
00:43:44,880 --> 00:43:47,799
Speaker 1: being like a pivotal moment in his career where he

854
00:43:47,920 --> 00:43:51,240
Speaker 1: learned so much about playing quarterback and he's been brilliant

855
00:43:51,280 --> 00:43:53,839
Speaker 1: since then, and like that was at the end of

856
00:43:53,880 --> 00:43:58,319
Speaker 1: a long road of journeyman type stuff. I think that

857
00:43:58,480 --> 00:44:00,840
Speaker 1: was the last stop before Tampa if I'm not mistaken,

858
00:44:01,520 --> 00:44:03,280
Speaker 1: But he says that's where you learn to play quarterback.

859
00:44:03,560 --> 00:44:05,200
Speaker 1: I'd love to be in the room there. That's a

860
00:44:05,200 --> 00:44:09,839
Speaker 1: great story. I gotta get Wickersham on that call. Wicker Sham,

861
00:44:09,880 --> 00:44:15,719
Speaker 1: have him do that, Carolina at Atlanta. Atlanta's ain't a

862
00:44:15,719 --> 00:44:18,000
Speaker 1: half point favorite, Simon, It's gone up from seven and

863
00:44:18,040 --> 00:44:22,080
Speaker 1: a half. I mean, we're gonna do it, you know.

864
00:44:22,960 --> 00:44:25,920
Speaker 1: The the Falcons have to win and the Bucks need

865
00:44:25,960 --> 00:44:29,960
Speaker 1: to lose for them to get into the playoffs. Nobody's

866
00:44:30,000 --> 00:44:33,359
Speaker 1: gonna know what's happening in this game because they're both

867
00:44:33,400 --> 00:44:36,840
Speaker 1: playing at the same time. Here's the scenario. The Bucks

868
00:44:36,840 --> 00:44:40,160
Speaker 1: are crushing the Saints at halftime, the Falcons are demoralized,

869
00:44:40,200 --> 00:44:43,160
Speaker 1: the Panthers find a way to cover. I don't hate it.

870
00:44:43,560 --> 00:44:45,240
Speaker 1: Get to bet the Panthers one last time.

871
00:44:46,640 --> 00:44:49,000
Speaker 3: So I was so distraught I couldn't sleep after that

872
00:44:49,080 --> 00:44:51,759
Speaker 3: Atlanta loss. On Sunday night against watchingon, I end upuying

873
00:44:51,760 --> 00:44:54,640
Speaker 3: a flame thrower, no joke, no way. Yeah, that's how

874
00:44:54,680 --> 00:44:56,040
Speaker 3: much his teams affect in my life.

875
00:44:56,120 --> 00:44:56,919
Speaker 2: This Atlanta team.

876
00:44:56,960 --> 00:44:59,200
Speaker 1: What are you going to do with the flame thrower? Uh?

877
00:44:59,280 --> 00:45:02,160
Speaker 2: Give rid of black I don't want to. I don't

878
00:45:02,160 --> 00:45:03,319
Speaker 2: want to slip on any black ice.

879
00:45:03,320 --> 00:45:05,480
Speaker 3: So I'm just gonna whip out the flame thrower through

880
00:45:05,480 --> 00:45:07,640
Speaker 3: the driveway off so I can walk out to my car.

881
00:45:07,760 --> 00:45:10,720
Speaker 1: But isn't that terrible for the concrete? Doesn't it create

882
00:45:11,120 --> 00:45:12,080
Speaker 1: cracks and stuff?

883
00:45:12,719 --> 00:45:14,319
Speaker 2: I don't think so. But it's legal as well.

884
00:45:14,320 --> 00:45:17,240
Speaker 3: It's considered a farm tool in America, so God bless America.

885
00:45:17,320 --> 00:45:19,640
Speaker 3: You can buy a flamethrower people online if you want

886
00:45:20,239 --> 00:45:21,040
Speaker 3: America made.

887
00:45:21,200 --> 00:45:23,719
Speaker 1: What were you just on Amazon? You're like, find me

888
00:45:23,760 --> 00:45:24,680
Speaker 1: a flame thrower?

889
00:45:24,880 --> 00:45:26,320
Speaker 3: No, I was just going through all the motions. I

890
00:45:26,360 --> 00:45:27,759
Speaker 3: think I was playing some World War two game. I

891
00:45:27,760 --> 00:45:29,400
Speaker 3: was like, why do I not own a flamethrower? I

892
00:45:29,400 --> 00:45:32,040
Speaker 3: own everything else? And it was pretty simple to get

893
00:45:32,280 --> 00:45:36,680
Speaker 3: get a flamethrow here in America. I can't help myself.

894
00:45:36,719 --> 00:45:39,080
Speaker 3: I'm betting Panthers at plus eight and a half. I've

895
00:45:39,120 --> 00:45:42,080
Speaker 3: already bet their money line. I love this as an

896
00:45:42,120 --> 00:45:44,400
Speaker 3: upset for this this Carolina team. This is going to

897
00:45:44,480 --> 00:45:47,960
Speaker 3: feel like an actual playoff game for Panix in this

898
00:45:48,040 --> 00:45:50,160
Speaker 3: Atlanta team. And I can just see them getting tight

899
00:45:50,680 --> 00:45:53,040
Speaker 3: and no one's be back on this Carolina team after

900
00:45:53,080 --> 00:45:54,399
Speaker 3: them just getting rolled and blown out.

901
00:45:54,400 --> 00:45:57,560
Speaker 2: But we've seen that the Panthers. They bounced back from

902
00:45:57,600 --> 00:45:58,720
Speaker 2: those embarrassing losses.

903
00:45:58,880 --> 00:46:02,640
Speaker 3: And you know, Bryce Young obviously didn't play well last week.

904
00:46:02,640 --> 00:46:03,640
Speaker 2: I like him to bounce back.

905
00:46:03,719 --> 00:46:06,440
Speaker 3: So yeah, I, as people can tell, I just love

906
00:46:06,440 --> 00:46:08,920
Speaker 3: this Panthers team, especially now that's plus eight and a half.

907
00:46:09,200 --> 00:46:11,160
Speaker 3: Can't quit them one last time. Chad, give me the

908
00:46:11,160 --> 00:46:12,719
Speaker 3: Panthers in twenty twenty four.

909
00:46:13,040 --> 00:46:16,279
Speaker 1: I feel like we have to, just because you got

910
00:46:16,280 --> 00:46:20,480
Speaker 1: to complete the circle. And you knows as smart as

911
00:46:20,520 --> 00:46:27,759
Speaker 1: we've been about Tennessee, we've we've been right about Carolina

912
00:46:27,840 --> 00:46:30,680
Speaker 1: the second half of the year. Obviously, not last week.

913
00:46:31,239 --> 00:46:33,160
Speaker 3: That was the first loss though we were five and

914
00:46:33,239 --> 00:46:35,040
Speaker 3: zero betting them. Yea, we were in a nice streak

915
00:46:35,080 --> 00:46:36,440
Speaker 3: with them. That was our first loss.

916
00:46:36,480 --> 00:46:39,480
Speaker 1: I got. I got no issues going back to Carolina, Obviously,

917
00:46:39,520 --> 00:46:41,600
Speaker 1: I said, I feel like we're going to have to

918
00:46:41,600 --> 00:46:43,680
Speaker 1: do it. I'm glad we're doing it.

919
00:46:43,920 --> 00:46:46,600
Speaker 3: Plus three forty on the money line shocked the world.

920
00:46:47,560 --> 00:46:49,000
Speaker 1: All right, Well, we know they'll be in the money

921
00:46:49,000 --> 00:46:51,640
Speaker 1: line underdog round robin and probably in the bed. Three

922
00:46:51,719 --> 00:46:57,160
Speaker 1: sixty five boosted parlay Chicago at Green Bay. So the

923
00:46:57,200 --> 00:47:00,879
Speaker 1: Packers can only move up from the seventh seed and

924
00:47:00,920 --> 00:47:03,719
Speaker 1: facing the Eagles if the Commanders lose to Dallas. So

925
00:47:03,719 --> 00:47:06,000
Speaker 1: they're both playing at one at one pm, so we

926
00:47:06,040 --> 00:47:09,120
Speaker 1: could have another scoreboard watching situation like we have with Atlanta.

927
00:47:09,680 --> 00:47:13,440
Speaker 1: A couple stats because I can't decide if we assume

928
00:47:13,520 --> 00:47:15,680
Speaker 1: this is a normal handicap or not. I haven't seen

929
00:47:15,680 --> 00:47:19,600
Speaker 1: anything from Laflor to indicate which way they're going to go.

930
00:47:19,880 --> 00:47:22,600
Speaker 1: My sense is they're at least going to start their starters,

931
00:47:22,880 --> 00:47:25,399
Speaker 1: see how the game is going, and if there's no chance,

932
00:47:25,440 --> 00:47:29,520
Speaker 1: maybe they pull them. So there's a couple systems that

933
00:47:29,560 --> 00:47:34,120
Speaker 1: the Bears fit. The Bears have a winning percentage of

934
00:47:34,239 --> 00:47:38,080
Speaker 1: less than twenty five percent. They are a bad team

935
00:47:38,560 --> 00:47:41,359
Speaker 1: in this scenario going against a good team that since

936
00:47:41,400 --> 00:47:44,400
Speaker 1: Week five has been covering by more than five points

937
00:47:44,440 --> 00:47:47,400
Speaker 1: per game, So that is the Packers. The team in

938
00:47:47,600 --> 00:47:49,919
Speaker 1: the bad team in the scenario covers fifty nine percent

939
00:47:49,960 --> 00:47:53,080
Speaker 1: of the time. Plus the Bears getting less than thirty

940
00:47:53,080 --> 00:47:56,239
Speaker 1: percent of the tickets. I mean they're getting faded by

941
00:47:56,280 --> 00:47:59,640
Speaker 1: the public. They just scored single digits three points against

942
00:47:59,640 --> 00:48:04,319
Speaker 1: the Sea how at home, you know, so they cover

943
00:48:04,400 --> 00:48:08,000
Speaker 1: sixty percent of the time in this scenario. Two systems

944
00:48:08,040 --> 00:48:10,359
Speaker 1: both north of you know, one hundred and fifty close

945
00:48:10,360 --> 00:48:15,360
Speaker 1: to two hundred you know games as a sample set.

946
00:48:17,239 --> 00:48:18,600
Speaker 1: But I'm not backing the Bears here.

947
00:48:19,120 --> 00:48:21,560
Speaker 2: No all right, I'm I'm all in on them. I

948
00:48:21,560 --> 00:48:23,600
Speaker 2: love them. I bet their money line as well for

949
00:48:23,600 --> 00:48:24,000
Speaker 2: this one.

950
00:48:24,040 --> 00:48:26,560
Speaker 3: I'm just Jesus Christ, I'm a sucker for these Week

951
00:48:26,640 --> 00:48:29,439
Speaker 3: eighteen games in the sense that I just love these

952
00:48:29,480 --> 00:48:32,560
Speaker 3: dogs in these exact spots of what you just talked about.

953
00:48:32,640 --> 00:48:35,319
Speaker 3: Everyone is totally out on this Bears team. The only

954
00:48:35,400 --> 00:48:37,839
Speaker 3: unfortunate part was this was ten and this numbers now

955
00:48:37,960 --> 00:48:39,920
Speaker 3: moved down to nine, nine and a half of most books.

956
00:48:39,920 --> 00:48:41,200
Speaker 2: I was really hoping we'd get the ten.

957
00:48:41,719 --> 00:48:44,319
Speaker 1: It'll go back up. I guarantee it'll go back up

958
00:48:44,360 --> 00:48:46,919
Speaker 1: before this game is kicking off.

959
00:48:47,000 --> 00:48:48,560
Speaker 3: I think you just touched on the key though, is

960
00:48:48,600 --> 00:48:50,440
Speaker 3: what Laflour's gonna say during the week. I think that

961
00:48:50,600 --> 00:48:53,680
Speaker 3: as is gonna dictate this line. Like if Laflooryd's basically

962
00:48:53,680 --> 00:48:57,319
Speaker 3: tell us people like, Okay, we'll pull starters in the

963
00:48:57,360 --> 00:49:01,320
Speaker 3: second half or whatever. If you know Commanders are winning

964
00:49:01,320 --> 00:49:04,279
Speaker 3: big against Dallas, whatever it may be, I think there

965
00:49:04,320 --> 00:49:06,600
Speaker 3: is value here to take advantage of. Then. I mean,

966
00:49:06,640 --> 00:49:08,080
Speaker 3: I remember when these teams played last time. I know

967
00:49:08,120 --> 00:49:10,360
Speaker 3: that feels like a lifetime ago. Because of the coaching

968
00:49:10,480 --> 00:49:12,000
Speaker 3: change and how bad the Bears have been down the

969
00:49:12,000 --> 00:49:14,920
Speaker 3: stretch here. But you know, the Bears, they should have

970
00:49:14,960 --> 00:49:16,640
Speaker 3: beat them, they should have upset them. And it seems

971
00:49:16,680 --> 00:49:20,040
Speaker 3: like this Bears team actually matches up pretty well against

972
00:49:20,080 --> 00:49:20,919
Speaker 3: this Green Bay team.

973
00:49:20,960 --> 00:49:24,640
Speaker 1: So they don't, No, they don't. The Bears do not

974
00:49:24,760 --> 00:49:25,800
Speaker 1: know how to play defense.

975
00:49:26,800 --> 00:49:29,920
Speaker 3: They held Seattle to sixth coven on in.

976
00:49:29,800 --> 00:49:32,680
Speaker 1: The rain and a shitty night in Chicago on Thursday.

977
00:49:33,120 --> 00:49:36,680
Speaker 1: Those Thursday night games. You can't take anything defensively on

978
00:49:36,800 --> 00:49:39,799
Speaker 1: those games. And by the way, the Bears still don't

979
00:49:39,800 --> 00:49:41,880
Speaker 1: know how to score in the first half. They're going

980
00:49:41,920 --> 00:49:44,600
Speaker 1: to need to score thirty points in the second half

981
00:49:44,960 --> 00:49:47,839
Speaker 1: to cover this spread. I swear to God because because

982
00:49:47,840 --> 00:49:50,959
Speaker 1: what's gonna happen is lafleur. If anything, I would say,

983
00:49:51,200 --> 00:49:55,000
Speaker 1: let's take the Packers first half and then and let's

984
00:49:55,000 --> 00:49:56,320
Speaker 1: take the Bears second half.

985
00:49:56,880 --> 00:49:59,160
Speaker 3: We can do that. But yeah, for our pick contest

986
00:50:00,000 --> 00:50:04,160
Speaker 3: obviously doesn't work, now, you know, I just these are

987
00:50:04,239 --> 00:50:06,279
Speaker 3: the type of games that just the Bears win. This

988
00:50:06,400 --> 00:50:09,360
Speaker 3: a meaningless game that affects their draft position. That's another reason.

989
00:50:09,400 --> 00:50:11,839
Speaker 3: It's just like you just said, they're just everything they

990
00:50:11,840 --> 00:50:13,560
Speaker 3: do they do to torture their fan base. And this

991
00:50:13,680 --> 00:50:16,120
Speaker 3: feels like another game. But you wouldn't be happy if

992
00:50:16,120 --> 00:50:17,920
Speaker 3: they beat Green Bay. I mean when the last time

993
00:50:17,920 --> 00:50:18,919
Speaker 3: you guys beat Green Bay?

994
00:50:19,320 --> 00:50:22,759
Speaker 1: I don't care. It's not even a rivalry shit, So.

995
00:50:22,760 --> 00:50:25,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't know. It's it's really about the number. Yeah,

996
00:50:25,000 --> 00:50:26,920
Speaker 3: I'm not rushing to bet this one because Chad's right,

997
00:50:26,960 --> 00:50:29,920
Speaker 3: this could easily go back up depending what quotes come

998
00:50:29,960 --> 00:50:32,640
Speaker 3: out this weekend. We've already missed the ten, so I'm

999
00:50:32,640 --> 00:50:34,200
Speaker 3: not going to rush that bet at but it's definitely

1000
00:50:34,239 --> 00:50:35,960
Speaker 3: a game on my radar of a dog.

1001
00:50:36,040 --> 00:50:39,000
Speaker 1: I like bears, haven't won a road game on a

1002
00:50:39,080 --> 00:50:42,040
Speaker 1: Sunday in three full calendar years, twenty straight games. The

1003
00:50:42,120 --> 00:50:47,040
Speaker 1: last QP to do it in this spot Nick Foles

1004
00:50:47,080 --> 00:50:50,439
Speaker 1: December of twenty one. There you go. He's the only guy.

1005
00:50:50,560 --> 00:50:53,320
Speaker 1: He's the only quarterback who can make us both happy Giants.

1006
00:50:53,520 --> 00:50:57,240
Speaker 3: Willy, you guys, didn't you go up to New England

1007
00:50:57,239 --> 00:51:00,400
Speaker 3: and beat New England on the road on a Thursday

1008
00:51:00,480 --> 00:51:01,520
Speaker 3: night game or something like that?

1009
00:51:01,560 --> 00:51:02,320
Speaker 1: I said, Sunday.

1010
00:51:02,640 --> 00:51:04,680
Speaker 3: Oh fuck, that's a good disclaimer.

1011
00:51:04,760 --> 00:51:08,480
Speaker 1: Sunday Okay, Yeah, New England and Philly, Philly is this

1012
00:51:08,600 --> 00:51:11,319
Speaker 1: is priced as if Philly is benching. Everyone has moved

1013
00:51:11,360 --> 00:51:14,120
Speaker 1: from four and a half to three. Giants, you know,

1014
00:51:14,360 --> 00:51:17,359
Speaker 1: had the number one pick, and now it's over. If

1015
00:51:17,400 --> 00:51:19,720
Speaker 1: they win, they could actually fall out of the top five.

1016
00:51:21,760 --> 00:51:23,920
Speaker 1: My week, neighbors, I think wants to go off in

1017
00:51:23,960 --> 00:51:26,320
Speaker 1: this game. And this is one of those games where

1018
00:51:26,640 --> 00:51:28,520
Speaker 1: you back the team with a win percentage of twenty

1019
00:51:28,560 --> 00:51:32,560
Speaker 1: five percent or less. So the Giants are just stupid

1020
00:51:32,640 --> 00:51:34,960
Speaker 1: enough to keep trying to win here, and.

1021
00:51:34,880 --> 00:51:36,520
Speaker 3: I'm pissed the move. This was gonna be my signment,

1022
00:51:36,560 --> 00:51:38,560
Speaker 3: says play. I loved it. It was four when we

1023
00:51:38,600 --> 00:51:40,319
Speaker 3: talked about Sunday, and like you just said, it's now,

1024
00:51:40,320 --> 00:51:43,080
Speaker 3: it's down to three. At most books still would better now.

1025
00:51:43,080 --> 00:51:47,280
Speaker 3: I still think it's gonna keep dropping. Obviously, Terry McKee

1026
00:51:47,280 --> 00:51:49,360
Speaker 3: looked good for his four passes. He came in and

1027
00:51:49,400 --> 00:51:52,640
Speaker 3: played for the Eagles. But you expect the Giants to

1028
00:51:52,760 --> 00:51:55,319
Speaker 3: keep playing hard with the Eagles. This is a vacation week.

1029
00:51:55,320 --> 00:51:56,919
Speaker 3: I know they're gonna their backups in there. We're gonna

1030
00:51:56,960 --> 00:52:00,719
Speaker 3: be trying, but you know, just looking at this matchup,

1031
00:52:01,320 --> 00:52:03,319
Speaker 3: it just feels like another game that as the game

1032
00:52:03,360 --> 00:52:06,080
Speaker 3: goes along, Eagles will keep pulling out guys right, putting

1033
00:52:06,120 --> 00:52:10,080
Speaker 3: special teamers in the play linebacker, safety, or corner, like

1034
00:52:10,200 --> 00:52:12,560
Speaker 3: just giving them reps in time that they never get

1035
00:52:12,640 --> 00:52:14,800
Speaker 3: in the regular season. And the flip side of the Giants.

1036
00:52:15,440 --> 00:52:17,200
Speaker 3: I totally get why people want to fade them. Right

1037
00:52:17,200 --> 00:52:21,120
Speaker 3: after Drew Lock's best game, you expect it to drop off, right,

1038
00:52:21,200 --> 00:52:22,799
Speaker 3: You expect them they'll just lay down and have a

1039
00:52:22,840 --> 00:52:25,120
Speaker 3: bad game here. But I think Chad's right, like this

1040
00:52:25,239 --> 00:52:27,640
Speaker 3: just feels like another team that could script their draft position,

1041
00:52:28,040 --> 00:52:30,680
Speaker 3: come out, play hard. You know, they don't care, like

1042
00:52:30,719 --> 00:52:32,799
Speaker 3: they just they want to win. They don't care about

1043
00:52:32,800 --> 00:52:34,000
Speaker 3: what the draft. They don't even if they be on

1044
00:52:34,000 --> 00:52:37,480
Speaker 3: this team next year, let alone. So yeah, just all

1045
00:52:37,520 --> 00:52:39,719
Speaker 3: about the number. Feels like this is still too high

1046
00:52:39,840 --> 00:52:42,480
Speaker 3: plus three. The value just is all on this Giants team.

1047
00:52:42,480 --> 00:52:46,200
Speaker 1: At this point, Chargers are five point favorites against five

1048
00:52:46,239 --> 00:52:48,840
Speaker 1: and a half point favorites against the Raiders. The Chargers

1049
00:52:48,880 --> 00:52:51,879
Speaker 1: kind of know what they need. When they play Steelers win,

1050
00:52:52,040 --> 00:52:54,600
Speaker 1: Chargers will be a six seed. If the Steelers lose,

1051
00:52:55,000 --> 00:52:57,359
Speaker 1: then the Chargers have to win to be the fifth seed.

1052
00:52:58,040 --> 00:52:59,719
Speaker 1: At five, they get the Texans at six, they get

1053
00:52:59,760 --> 00:53:02,160
Speaker 1: the rate events. Do we take the Chargers now as

1054
00:53:02,160 --> 00:53:05,400
Speaker 1: a hedge in case the Steelers lose and this line

1055
00:53:05,440 --> 00:53:09,360
Speaker 1: goes up because of motivation. Normally you'd want to fade

1056
00:53:10,680 --> 00:53:15,600
Speaker 1: the favorite against the bad team.

1057
00:53:14,920 --> 00:53:15,080
Speaker 3: But.

1058
00:53:17,400 --> 00:53:20,600
Speaker 1: We like playing the Chargers. They don't stop trying, especially

1059
00:53:20,640 --> 00:53:23,480
Speaker 1: if they have a little bit of motivation. And I

1060
00:53:23,480 --> 00:53:25,600
Speaker 1: think we're at the top of the market on the Raiders.

1061
00:53:27,000 --> 00:53:28,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, And it's interesting.

1062
00:53:28,280 --> 00:53:30,000
Speaker 3: A lot of pros I've talked to Chad, they actually

1063
00:53:30,040 --> 00:53:32,279
Speaker 3: really like the Raiders here. They like this r they do.

1064
00:53:32,440 --> 00:53:35,000
Speaker 1: I know why, because the pros all season long they

1065
00:53:35,080 --> 00:53:37,399
Speaker 1: like the shitty teams that are underdogs and that's why

1066
00:53:37,400 --> 00:53:38,480
Speaker 1: they've been fucking losing.

1067
00:53:38,880 --> 00:53:41,239
Speaker 3: Not even that, I think it's it's more about how

1068
00:53:41,280 --> 00:53:43,160
Speaker 3: they've been playing down the stretch here, Like they've been

1069
00:53:43,200 --> 00:53:46,959
Speaker 3: really competitive against bad teams. And I think I agree

1070
00:53:46,960 --> 00:53:49,200
Speaker 3: with you and the fact that this Chargers team is

1071
00:53:49,239 --> 00:53:50,360
Speaker 3: such a huge step.

1072
00:53:50,160 --> 00:53:51,879
Speaker 2: Above those teams they've been being up on.

1073
00:53:52,040 --> 00:53:54,799
Speaker 3: Like this is a legit good team that you know,

1074
00:53:54,880 --> 00:53:57,799
Speaker 3: Vegas is gonna have an O'Connell making mistakes, They're not

1075
00:53:57,840 --> 00:53:59,600
Speaker 3: going to get the ball back right. This Chargers team

1076
00:53:59,640 --> 00:54:01,520
Speaker 3: is going to dominate them if they do make the

1077
00:54:01,640 --> 00:54:04,360
Speaker 3: stupid mistakes. So nothing changed for me. I'm still with

1078
00:54:04,440 --> 00:54:06,239
Speaker 3: you on the Chargers team still like at a five

1079
00:54:06,280 --> 00:54:09,319
Speaker 3: and a half. You know, I get where the pros

1080
00:54:09,360 --> 00:54:12,280
Speaker 3: are coming from. The Vegas has been playing better, but this,

1081
00:54:12,280 --> 00:54:13,600
Speaker 3: this Chargers team just feels like they're.

1082
00:54:13,480 --> 00:54:15,080
Speaker 2: Hitting on every level right now.

1083
00:54:15,120 --> 00:54:18,840
Speaker 3: Like they just seem like so in control offensively, defensively,

1084
00:54:18,840 --> 00:54:20,880
Speaker 3: it feels like they found their identity as well. Like

1085
00:54:21,040 --> 00:54:24,160
Speaker 3: even Khalil Mack and Bosa have been playing really well

1086
00:54:24,200 --> 00:54:28,200
Speaker 3: down the stretchers. So yeah, Chargers team is probably a

1087
00:54:28,200 --> 00:54:30,319
Speaker 3: little underrated here at this point. Chad, You're right, this

1088
00:54:30,360 --> 00:54:32,080
Speaker 3: probably could get up to six and a half seven

1089
00:54:32,160 --> 00:54:34,759
Speaker 3: by kickoff if they are playing all out for this game.

1090
00:54:35,239 --> 00:54:42,120
Speaker 1: Yeah, totally. Okay, are you ready four my executive decision?

1091
00:54:44,000 --> 00:54:44,239
Speaker 2: Do it?

1092
00:54:45,880 --> 00:54:52,400
Speaker 1: I'm going with a road favorite, the Seattle Seahawks minus

1093
00:54:52,400 --> 00:54:56,759
Speaker 1: three against the Los Angeles Rams. The choice between the

1094
00:54:56,960 --> 00:54:58,920
Speaker 1: unthinkable and the impossible?

1095
00:54:59,080 --> 00:55:03,280
Speaker 3: Are you Heavyrwners? Thanks for your executive decision.

1096
00:55:03,960 --> 00:55:06,160
Speaker 1: The Rams actually have something to play for. If they win,

1097
00:55:06,200 --> 00:55:08,319
Speaker 1: they get the three seed. They play Green Bay or

1098
00:55:08,360 --> 00:55:10,880
Speaker 1: Washington at home. If they lose, they played Minnesota Detroit

1099
00:55:10,960 --> 00:55:15,560
Speaker 1: at home. But Sean McVay set on his radio show

1100
00:55:15,640 --> 00:55:19,680
Speaker 1: yesterday this is how deep we go that he's leaning

1101
00:55:19,719 --> 00:55:23,239
Speaker 1: towards resting his starters. He even said he was excited

1102
00:55:23,239 --> 00:55:26,920
Speaker 1: to see how Jimmy Garoppolo could do. He's excited to

1103
00:55:26,960 --> 00:55:30,400
Speaker 1: see how Blake Korham could do with more carries. Pretty

1104
00:55:30,440 --> 00:55:35,000
Speaker 1: good indication to me that the Rams are going to

1105
00:55:35,040 --> 00:55:38,399
Speaker 1: be resting the Seahawks while they beat the Bears. Are

1106
00:55:38,440 --> 00:55:41,120
Speaker 1: still one of those teams where they're getting less than

1107
00:55:41,120 --> 00:55:43,880
Speaker 1: thirty percent of the public ticket of the betting tickets,

1108
00:55:43,920 --> 00:55:46,160
Speaker 1: so the public is fading them, and they're coming off

1109
00:55:46,160 --> 00:55:50,879
Speaker 1: a game in which they scored single digits. And then

1110
00:55:50,920 --> 00:55:59,160
Speaker 1: there's this Gino is due four million dollars in incentive

1111
00:56:00,040 --> 00:56:02,359
Speaker 1: if he throws for another one hundred and eighty six

1112
00:56:02,440 --> 00:56:07,200
Speaker 1: yards and he finishes with a completion percentage of sixty

1113
00:56:07,280 --> 00:56:10,920
Speaker 1: nine point seventy five. He's at seventy point two. So

1114
00:56:10,960 --> 00:56:15,319
Speaker 1: for each of those he gets two million dollars. He's

1115
00:56:15,360 --> 00:56:17,840
Speaker 1: going to come into this game. He's gonna want to

1116
00:56:17,920 --> 00:56:22,040
Speaker 1: fire away. The Rams are going to be resting their starters.

1117
00:56:22,520 --> 00:56:26,400
Speaker 1: Give me the Seahawks and Gino going for four Mili

1118
00:56:27,600 --> 00:56:29,120
Speaker 1: minus three.

1119
00:56:29,680 --> 00:56:30,359
Speaker 2: I don't hate it.

1120
00:56:30,400 --> 00:56:32,880
Speaker 3: And the only scary part is, yes, Seattle is not

1121
00:56:32,920 --> 00:56:34,799
Speaker 3: playing for a single thing, right, Gino is the only

1122
00:56:34,800 --> 00:56:36,080
Speaker 3: one really sounds like he's motive here.

1123
00:56:36,080 --> 00:56:37,399
Speaker 2: I'm so there's other guys that have.

1124
00:56:37,400 --> 00:56:42,480
Speaker 3: Money incentives, but yeah, the biggest thing to me is

1125
00:56:42,520 --> 00:56:45,480
Speaker 3: just the fact that the Rams had a pretty bad

1126
00:56:45,520 --> 00:56:49,719
Speaker 3: offensive line. Now they're putting their backups in with Jimmy Garoppolo. Like,

1127
00:56:49,960 --> 00:56:52,440
Speaker 3: to me, that's that makes you really fired up to

1128
00:56:52,520 --> 00:56:55,680
Speaker 3: back the Seattle team. That they do have a good

1129
00:56:55,680 --> 00:56:57,920
Speaker 3: pass rush, and like we just said, they're playing their

1130
00:56:57,960 --> 00:57:02,160
Speaker 3: starters so that they're gonna playing their So I agree

1131
00:57:02,160 --> 00:57:02,279
Speaker 3: with you.

1132
00:57:02,360 --> 00:57:03,520
Speaker 2: I like Seattle in the.

1133
00:57:03,480 --> 00:57:06,879
Speaker 3: Spot, especially the fact that we're getting against a Ramps.

1134
00:57:06,880 --> 00:57:09,560
Speaker 3: Seem that there are another team that's top heavy, right

1135
00:57:09,560 --> 00:57:11,919
Speaker 3: there are Stars and scrub team, and they've drafted well

1136
00:57:11,960 --> 00:57:13,840
Speaker 3: now like these last couple of years, they have drafted

1137
00:57:13,840 --> 00:57:15,280
Speaker 3: really well, and they have some really good young talent.

1138
00:57:16,040 --> 00:57:17,560
Speaker 3: I've read that none of those kids are going to

1139
00:57:17,600 --> 00:57:19,800
Speaker 3: play either. Like McVeigh is basically going to set all

1140
00:57:19,840 --> 00:57:21,439
Speaker 3: these guys. Try to give them this by a week

1141
00:57:21,480 --> 00:57:23,720
Speaker 3: so huge deal. Like Chad just said, if you can

1142
00:57:23,760 --> 00:57:26,560
Speaker 3: get them minus three, that's that's really a great number

1143
00:57:26,560 --> 00:57:27,680
Speaker 3: for the Seattle team.

1144
00:57:29,480 --> 00:57:31,400
Speaker 1: I'm glad We're in an agreement on that. I also

1145
00:57:31,600 --> 00:57:34,560
Speaker 1: like that they've got a first year coach. They're going

1146
00:57:34,600 --> 00:57:36,320
Speaker 1: to want to finish as strong as they can. They

1147
00:57:36,400 --> 00:57:38,280
Speaker 1: want to win as many games as they can. A

1148
00:57:38,280 --> 00:57:40,360
Speaker 1: lot of these guys are going to be back next year,

1149
00:57:40,680 --> 00:57:42,640
Speaker 1: so it is going to matter to them how they

1150
00:57:42,680 --> 00:57:45,240
Speaker 1: finish the season, how they show up on tape. Miami

1151
00:57:45,240 --> 00:57:47,000
Speaker 1: at the New York Jets. The Jets are plus one,

1152
00:57:47,040 --> 00:57:51,360
Speaker 1: two is still questionable. Miami is only in if Denver

1153
00:57:51,600 --> 00:57:54,680
Speaker 1: loses to case. I'm not sure. I'm worried about the

1154
00:57:54,720 --> 00:57:56,919
Speaker 1: quarterback status here, to be honest, Like we were willing

1155
00:57:56,920 --> 00:58:00,920
Speaker 1: to bet Huntley, you know, back in the day in

1156
00:58:00,960 --> 00:58:05,360
Speaker 1: the playoffs against good teams, and he played well against

1157
00:58:05,400 --> 00:58:07,800
Speaker 1: the Browns. Eighty percent of his passes were completed twenty

1158
00:58:07,800 --> 00:58:11,200
Speaker 1: two to twenty six to twenty five in a touch like,

1159
00:58:11,880 --> 00:58:13,960
Speaker 1: what are the Jets plan for here? It makes no

1160
00:58:14,120 --> 00:58:16,840
Speaker 1: sense to me. There is money coming in on the

1161
00:58:16,920 --> 00:58:21,280
Speaker 1: Jets right now. Why are professional betters week after week?

1162
00:58:21,480 --> 00:58:25,360
Speaker 1: I know you to bet the Jets. Sauce Gardner and

1163
00:58:25,400 --> 00:58:29,200
Speaker 1: Dj Reeder already talking about guys who quit. I know

1164
00:58:29,240 --> 00:58:31,240
Speaker 1: we want to back the teams after a blowout, But

1165
00:58:32,240 --> 00:58:35,920
Speaker 1: what are we doing here? This is just silly.

1166
00:58:36,360 --> 00:58:37,920
Speaker 2: What if it's our guy, Tyra Taylor?

1167
00:58:37,960 --> 00:58:43,800
Speaker 1: Though you think it will be, I don't know.

1168
00:58:43,880 --> 00:58:47,280
Speaker 3: I've the stuff I read. It seems like the hate

1169
00:58:47,640 --> 00:58:53,200
Speaker 3: is mutual between Rogers and ownership, and I would honestly

1170
00:58:53,240 --> 00:58:54,640
Speaker 3: love for them to sit him so he can't get

1171
00:58:54,640 --> 00:58:59,120
Speaker 3: his five hundredth passing touchdown. To Adam I mean to

1172
00:58:59,120 --> 00:59:01,480
Speaker 3: Adams really wants Rogers, wants to do it with them.

1173
00:59:02,200 --> 00:59:04,720
Speaker 3: I would love if they sat him, and they're just like, Nah,

1174
00:59:04,920 --> 00:59:08,920
Speaker 3: you don't deserve it. I saw another really funny meme

1175
00:59:09,120 --> 00:59:12,120
Speaker 3: and it was basically it was four quarterbacks played in

1176
00:59:12,160 --> 00:59:15,880
Speaker 3: that Bills game. Three of them all had touchdowns passing.

1177
00:59:16,240 --> 00:59:18,960
Speaker 3: The only one that did it was Aaron Rodgers. Yeah,

1178
00:59:19,200 --> 00:59:21,920
Speaker 3: I mean Mitch u Bisky, tyrod Taylor just outshining Rogers.

1179
00:59:21,960 --> 00:59:26,080
Speaker 3: So yeah, it's it's all bad in New York. And

1180
00:59:26,080 --> 00:59:28,560
Speaker 3: you're right, Chet, I'm a sucker like these their professionals.

1181
00:59:28,560 --> 00:59:30,280
Speaker 3: Immediately when I saw this number, I was like, oh,

1182
00:59:30,320 --> 00:59:33,240
Speaker 3: I can't wait to bet the Jets, but time I've

1183
00:59:33,280 --> 00:59:35,120
Speaker 3: had to sit on it. I don't want to put

1184
00:59:35,160 --> 00:59:37,400
Speaker 3: any money any more money on this Jets team. Or

1185
00:59:37,440 --> 00:59:40,120
Speaker 3: even involve myself in a game with them. So I

1186
00:59:40,160 --> 00:59:43,400
Speaker 3: get if you're on Miami's side. It's the chalk the

1187
00:59:43,440 --> 00:59:46,040
Speaker 3: public has been winning on these road favorites. Like, I'm

1188
00:59:46,040 --> 00:59:48,080
Speaker 3: not going to try to talk anyone off bet in Miami.

1189
00:59:48,160 --> 00:59:50,880
Speaker 3: I just my instincts. I can't do it, and I

1190
00:59:51,320 --> 00:59:53,360
Speaker 3: just I hate the Jets at this point, I do

1191
00:59:53,440 --> 00:59:54,800
Speaker 3: not want to put any more money in this team.

1192
00:59:54,840 --> 00:59:56,480
Speaker 2: So this is the game I'm gonna happily pass on.

1193
00:59:56,920 --> 01:00:00,480
Speaker 1: Wow, I'm surprised to hear that the dolph and seemed

1194
01:00:00,520 --> 01:00:01,880
Speaker 1: like such the obvious play.

1195
01:00:02,880 --> 01:00:05,440
Speaker 3: The Dolphins suck. They got lucky as hell that the

1196
01:00:05,480 --> 01:00:08,640
Speaker 3: Cleveland just laid down and died last week. So I

1197
01:00:08,680 --> 01:00:12,760
Speaker 3: give you coming from though. Like as far as vibes go, Yeah,

1198
01:00:12,880 --> 01:00:16,640
Speaker 3: Miami is way better right now than this Jets team.

1199
01:00:17,160 --> 01:00:21,360
Speaker 1: Sempster's scoring Arizona, congrats to anyone like Evan Abrams who

1200
01:00:21,360 --> 01:00:25,360
Speaker 1: bet the Cardinals is underdogs before the brock Purty injury

1201
01:00:25,440 --> 01:00:30,960
Speaker 1: last night. Yeah, questionable status like to me given the

1202
01:00:31,000 --> 01:00:35,040
Speaker 1: injury status, uh, and the Cards now with three point favorites,

1203
01:00:36,120 --> 01:00:37,680
Speaker 1: this is a game, Like, we got plenty of games

1204
01:00:37,720 --> 01:00:39,800
Speaker 1: we can choose from. For five we got two more

1205
01:00:39,840 --> 01:00:42,320
Speaker 1: games more to discuss. I don't have a strong opinion

1206
01:00:42,320 --> 01:00:42,840
Speaker 1: on this game.

1207
01:00:43,960 --> 01:00:46,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's looking like the pastor not's gonna be the quarterback, right,

1208
01:00:47,280 --> 01:00:52,360
Speaker 3: So pretty pretty insane. Now that Brock purty reinjured that

1209
01:00:52,400 --> 01:00:54,480
Speaker 3: elbow he had surgery on what was a year and

1210
01:00:54,480 --> 01:00:55,280
Speaker 3: a half ago.

1211
01:00:55,240 --> 01:00:58,000
Speaker 1: He said it wasn't the elbow. Everyone has been saying

1212
01:00:58,040 --> 01:01:01,320
Speaker 1: that it feels okay, nerves. I haven't seen the latest updates.

1213
01:01:01,560 --> 01:01:03,000
Speaker 1: That was what I saw before we came on the

1214
01:01:03,040 --> 01:01:07,160
Speaker 1: air today, so you know what, what's new. Supposed to

1215
01:01:07,200 --> 01:01:10,560
Speaker 1: get some MRI today. But he was saying yesterday that

1216
01:01:10,640 --> 01:01:11,960
Speaker 1: it was more nerves than elbow.

1217
01:01:13,040 --> 01:01:14,640
Speaker 3: That's why I thought was elbow though, because that is

1218
01:01:14,680 --> 01:01:16,760
Speaker 3: all connected to your your hands and your fingers where

1219
01:01:16,760 --> 01:01:20,080
Speaker 3: he couldn't grip the ball apparently, and it's like that

1220
01:01:20,080 --> 01:01:22,640
Speaker 3: that's usually it could be something frequent, it's a back

1221
01:01:22,680 --> 01:01:25,320
Speaker 3: problem or like these doctors are saying that could be

1222
01:01:25,680 --> 01:01:28,400
Speaker 3: from his elbow surgery. So maybe he's just trying to

1223
01:01:28,400 --> 01:01:31,840
Speaker 3: say face. We know obviously, you know, big off season

1224
01:01:31,880 --> 01:01:34,120
Speaker 3: for Purdy. He's trying to get a contract right now,

1225
01:01:34,240 --> 01:01:38,959
Speaker 3: and you know, I was looking like he's basically gonna

1226
01:01:39,000 --> 01:01:40,440
Speaker 3: lock it up in that game if they felt like

1227
01:01:40,480 --> 01:01:43,000
Speaker 3: if they had won that game and he didn't have

1228
01:01:43,040 --> 01:01:46,959
Speaker 3: those true those two interceptions, it felt like they probably

1229
01:01:46,960 --> 01:01:49,040
Speaker 3: would end up giveting the deal. But that that second pick,

1230
01:01:49,080 --> 01:01:51,440
Speaker 3: they showed John Lynch up in the box of just

1231
01:01:51,480 --> 01:01:52,280
Speaker 3: pure disgusted.

1232
01:01:52,640 --> 01:01:56,120
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, you could see the money draining from his

1233
01:01:56,160 --> 01:01:59,680
Speaker 1: bank account as he threw those picks and Kyle Shanahan

1234
01:01:59,800 --> 01:02:03,720
Speaker 1: going nuts, going he's so mad. He's so mad that

1235
01:02:03,800 --> 01:02:07,520
Speaker 1: he's got to cover his face with the play sheet

1236
01:02:07,760 --> 01:02:11,240
Speaker 1: when he's talking into the mic after that first overthrow

1237
01:02:11,400 --> 01:02:15,640
Speaker 1: interception that Purty threw, Like you can't imagine what he

1238
01:02:15,760 --> 01:02:18,080
Speaker 1: was saying. I haven't seen the press conference to see

1239
01:02:18,080 --> 01:02:20,280
Speaker 1: if anyone asked what he was saying, because it was

1240
01:02:20,320 --> 01:02:22,920
Speaker 1: so obvious and such a great piece of television video

1241
01:02:23,440 --> 01:02:27,600
Speaker 1: to see him just losing and then John Lynch losing

1242
01:02:27,680 --> 01:02:30,880
Speaker 1: his mind after the second one. Those were not good

1243
01:02:30,920 --> 01:02:33,600
Speaker 1: throws and like he was brilliant, but those were money

1244
01:02:33,600 --> 01:02:34,720
Speaker 1: losing throws last night.

1245
01:02:35,400 --> 01:02:37,400
Speaker 3: But I mean, I saw a lot of the tweets

1246
01:02:37,400 --> 01:02:40,240
Speaker 3: about it, like this has been the problem with Brock Purdy.

1247
01:02:40,280 --> 01:02:43,920
Speaker 3: When his team is behind, he is horrible statistically, Like

1248
01:02:43,960 --> 01:02:46,280
Speaker 3: he has I believe when he's been trailing in his career,

1249
01:02:46,320 --> 01:02:48,880
Speaker 3: he has three touchdowns to seven interceptions. Like, he's just

1250
01:02:48,960 --> 01:02:52,240
Speaker 3: struggled really bad in those exact scenarios where he's coming

1251
01:02:52,280 --> 01:02:54,360
Speaker 3: from behind, need to push the ball downfield and the

1252
01:02:54,400 --> 01:02:56,800
Speaker 3: defense knows he's having to push the ball downfield, and

1253
01:02:56,840 --> 01:02:59,919
Speaker 3: he struggled. So my immaily thought was like Sam Darnod

1254
01:03:00,080 --> 01:03:03,040
Speaker 3: agent just texting a bunch of money bags to John

1255
01:03:03,120 --> 01:03:09,680
Speaker 3: Lynch like that. That's me my first initial thought. So, yeah,

1256
01:03:09,680 --> 01:03:13,360
Speaker 3: in this game, it's all about where the number goes, Chad,

1257
01:03:13,400 --> 01:03:15,400
Speaker 3: if this gets up to three and a half, how

1258
01:03:15,400 --> 01:03:19,240
Speaker 3: do we not fail? Fade Kyler Murray Like this is

1259
01:03:19,280 --> 01:03:22,360
Speaker 3: the exact game he does not win. He's just he's

1260
01:03:22,360 --> 01:03:26,960
Speaker 3: been so disappointed Kyler Murray. And you know, I am

1261
01:03:27,040 --> 01:03:28,959
Speaker 3: tempteded to forty nineers here, but you just said it's

1262
01:03:28,960 --> 01:03:30,800
Speaker 3: like I'm on a rush about this one. There's plenty

1263
01:03:30,800 --> 01:03:32,640
Speaker 3: of other games I'm happy to bet where we have

1264
01:03:32,680 --> 01:03:35,720
Speaker 3: more infos. So once again, if it gets them three

1265
01:03:35,760 --> 01:03:37,880
Speaker 3: and a half, four, I almost like you gonna be

1266
01:03:37,920 --> 01:03:39,800
Speaker 3: the forty nine ers at this point, I'm not betting it.

1267
01:03:40,760 --> 01:03:44,840
Speaker 1: Casey at Denver. Denver's a ten point favorite. I just

1268
01:03:44,920 --> 01:03:51,840
Speaker 1: keep feeling like this number is so high. And the Chiefs,

1269
01:03:52,520 --> 01:03:56,240
Speaker 1: the Chiefs are a one loss team who have been

1270
01:03:56,240 --> 01:04:01,920
Speaker 1: playing second stringers in various positions all season long. I

1271
01:04:02,000 --> 01:04:05,320
Speaker 1: know they're gonna play Carson Wentz. But if anybody can

1272
01:04:05,360 --> 01:04:09,160
Speaker 1: make Carson Wentz a serviceable quarterback and put him in

1273
01:04:09,160 --> 01:04:11,200
Speaker 1: the position to make the exact right play at the

1274
01:04:11,200 --> 01:04:13,560
Speaker 1: exact right time three or four times in the game,

1275
01:04:14,760 --> 01:04:20,120
Speaker 1: isn't it Andy Reid against like bow Knicks, who I

1276
01:04:20,160 --> 01:04:23,680
Speaker 1: have a great stat for you, great stat. But let's

1277
01:04:23,720 --> 01:04:28,040
Speaker 1: be serious about bo Nicks. He's been throwing picks like

1278
01:04:28,120 --> 01:04:31,600
Speaker 1: he's just like he just gives the ball away the

1279
01:04:31,720 --> 01:04:35,160
Speaker 1: last four or five games, including against the Bengals. So

1280
01:04:37,320 --> 01:04:39,760
Speaker 1: why am I so confident in a Denver team is

1281
01:04:39,800 --> 01:04:41,360
Speaker 1: a ten point favorite. I know they got to win,

1282
01:04:41,520 --> 01:04:42,840
Speaker 1: but feels like a lot.

1283
01:04:44,240 --> 01:04:46,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, and this is going to be part of my

1284
01:04:46,120 --> 01:04:50,360
Speaker 3: little money line round Robin brother. Like the Chiefs plus

1285
01:04:50,360 --> 01:04:57,400
Speaker 3: three ninety, you know, Bears plus three ten, and the capitolf.

1286
01:04:56,960 --> 01:04:58,280
Speaker 2: Of Carolina plus three forty.

1287
01:04:58,280 --> 01:05:01,680
Speaker 3: I just I think all these numbers too big, too much,

1288
01:05:01,680 --> 01:05:04,160
Speaker 3: you respect, and that any of these teams could pull

1289
01:05:04,160 --> 01:05:07,880
Speaker 3: an upset on these teams, and you know the public

1290
01:05:07,920 --> 01:05:11,080
Speaker 3: perception of the Chiefs will just roll over and die

1291
01:05:11,120 --> 01:05:14,280
Speaker 3: here and that they want this team to win in Denver, right,

1292
01:05:14,320 --> 01:05:16,640
Speaker 3: they'd much rather have the Denver make the playoffs.

1293
01:05:16,800 --> 01:05:18,120
Speaker 2: How does that help them in any way?

1294
01:05:18,240 --> 01:05:20,360
Speaker 3: Denver is going to play the Bills like they don't care.

1295
01:05:20,440 --> 01:05:23,240
Speaker 3: They're trying to win this game. Especially Carson Wentz, this

1296
01:05:23,360 --> 01:05:25,760
Speaker 3: is a big mum for him to show off that

1297
01:05:25,800 --> 01:05:27,600
Speaker 3: he's still got it and he's hoping to get picked

1298
01:05:27,640 --> 01:05:30,040
Speaker 3: up by another team. And we've seen that in these

1299
01:05:30,120 --> 01:05:32,160
Speaker 3: last weeks, right. I mean the one that really jumps

1300
01:05:32,160 --> 01:05:36,479
Speaker 3: out to me will always be the teams that start

1301
01:05:36,520 --> 01:05:38,160
Speaker 3: the backup quarterback and they could come out and just

1302
01:05:38,280 --> 01:05:39,760
Speaker 3: like the light it up and they can get a

1303
01:05:39,760 --> 01:05:42,000
Speaker 3: contract that way. And this feels like this exact scenario

1304
01:05:42,480 --> 01:05:46,360
Speaker 3: for Carson Wentz and I agree. You know, the fear

1305
01:05:46,480 --> 01:05:49,200
Speaker 3: is this Chiefs offensive line is really really bad, even

1306
01:05:49,240 --> 01:05:51,720
Speaker 3: the starters, that their backups are going to be absolutely brutal,

1307
01:05:52,000 --> 01:05:54,840
Speaker 3: and denverroll be able to attack that. I think there's

1308
01:05:54,880 --> 01:05:56,640
Speaker 3: gonna be ways for Rain to redaccounter that, like he's

1309
01:05:56,680 --> 01:05:58,640
Speaker 3: no dummy. If he needs to keep another tight ending

1310
01:05:58,680 --> 01:06:01,360
Speaker 3: and keep their running back in there. He'll do that happily.

1311
01:06:01,440 --> 01:06:04,440
Speaker 3: And we've seen with Carson Wentz that he can have

1312
01:06:04,480 --> 01:06:06,600
Speaker 3: a game where he can look like an all pro,

1313
01:06:06,920 --> 01:06:08,040
Speaker 3: or he can go the other way. He can just

1314
01:06:08,040 --> 01:06:09,800
Speaker 3: be absolutely terrible from the get go right and we're

1315
01:06:09,800 --> 01:06:12,400
Speaker 3: burned right away. But at ten points, we have a

1316
01:06:12,440 --> 01:06:14,800
Speaker 3: lot of built in insurance on that, like we're it's

1317
01:06:14,800 --> 01:06:17,240
Speaker 3: already built in the fact that this is all backups

1318
01:06:17,560 --> 01:06:19,880
Speaker 3: and Carson Wentz can struggle in these tepe scenarios. So

1319
01:06:20,400 --> 01:06:22,960
Speaker 3: you're right, ten point being a ten point favorite for

1320
01:06:22,960 --> 01:06:26,320
Speaker 3: a rookie way way too many points, way too much respect.

1321
01:06:26,400 --> 01:06:27,920
Speaker 2: And I think the.

1322
01:06:29,600 --> 01:06:32,360
Speaker 3: Not the books, but the public is really like, there's

1323
01:06:32,360 --> 01:06:34,480
Speaker 3: no chance this Chiefs team is gonna win or cover

1324
01:06:34,520 --> 01:06:38,160
Speaker 3: this number. Now I've seen some like smart books have

1325
01:06:38,480 --> 01:06:41,640
Speaker 3: taken some really smart money all this Chiefs team, and

1326
01:06:41,680 --> 01:06:43,520
Speaker 3: they even against it, have moved it up. So they

1327
01:06:43,560 --> 01:06:44,880
Speaker 3: moved it from nine to nine and a half up

1328
01:06:44,920 --> 01:06:47,600
Speaker 3: to ten. So a little nerve wracking because it's basically

1329
01:06:47,640 --> 01:06:49,960
Speaker 3: them taking a stand here on this Denver team. But

1330
01:06:50,440 --> 01:06:52,320
Speaker 3: I do love this spot for this Chiefs team, even

1331
01:06:52,360 --> 01:06:53,160
Speaker 3: with Carson Wentz.

1332
01:06:54,080 --> 01:06:57,600
Speaker 1: So let me lay the stat on you ready Bonix

1333
01:06:57,640 --> 01:07:01,200
Speaker 1: has closed as a favorite seven times and teen career starts.

1334
01:07:01,240 --> 01:07:04,960
Speaker 1: Thank you, Evan seven and oh straight up and against

1335
01:07:04,960 --> 01:07:08,520
Speaker 1: the spread, covering by twelve point one points per game,

1336
01:07:09,080 --> 01:07:12,400
Speaker 1: the lone remaining QB undefeated against the spread as a

1337
01:07:12,440 --> 01:07:13,160
Speaker 1: favorite this year.

1338
01:07:13,600 --> 01:07:16,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, that is in insane set seven and zero. That's crazy.

1339
01:07:16,600 --> 01:07:19,440
Speaker 1: It's crazy, right because he was.

1340
01:07:19,440 --> 01:07:22,040
Speaker 3: So dominant on the as a road as a road

1341
01:07:22,600 --> 01:07:25,120
Speaker 3: you know, bet, Like that's why we loved him yes

1342
01:07:25,200 --> 01:07:27,040
Speaker 3: week is he had basically covered every week as a

1343
01:07:27,120 --> 01:07:30,400
Speaker 3: road road dog. So that's that's that's an insane run

1344
01:07:30,400 --> 01:07:30,800
Speaker 3: he's been on.

1345
01:07:31,280 --> 01:07:33,280
Speaker 1: All good streaks come to an end, and I believe

1346
01:07:33,320 --> 01:07:34,040
Speaker 1: this could be the week.

1347
01:07:34,160 --> 01:07:34,560
Speaker 2: Let's go.

1348
01:07:34,800 --> 01:07:37,520
Speaker 1: That's Minnesota at Detroit.

1349
01:07:38,000 --> 01:07:40,480
Speaker 3: I love this freaking team. I love the coaches, I

1350
01:07:40,560 --> 01:07:42,840
Speaker 3: love the players, I love everything about it. Man, we

1351
01:07:42,880 --> 01:07:45,600
Speaker 3: are so freaking hardened. Even when she doesn't go the

1352
01:07:45,600 --> 01:07:47,440
Speaker 3: way we want it to, maybe you find a way.

1353
01:07:47,640 --> 01:07:51,600
Speaker 1: Look, I love the NFL. They're so fucking smart. Like

1354
01:07:51,960 --> 01:07:55,520
Speaker 1: they made us all wait until Monday to get the schedule.

1355
01:07:55,840 --> 01:07:58,720
Speaker 1: Then they've got it all worked out, so no team

1356
01:07:58,960 --> 01:08:03,240
Speaker 1: knows like their situation except for one or two until

1357
01:08:03,800 --> 01:08:07,240
Speaker 1: they all play at the same time. It's just it's

1358
01:08:07,360 --> 01:08:10,120
Speaker 1: so good, and then they cap it with the game.

1359
01:08:10,160 --> 01:08:14,200
Speaker 1: When they made the schedule, they're hopeing like these late

1360
01:08:14,320 --> 01:08:20,400
Speaker 1: season division games will have a scenario like this Minnesota Detroit,

1361
01:08:20,400 --> 01:08:23,240
Speaker 1: Detroit's two and a half point favorite. I'm a little

1362
01:08:23,240 --> 01:08:26,000
Speaker 1: surprised this hasn't moved in the Vikings direction after last

1363
01:08:26,080 --> 01:08:29,760
Speaker 1: night because everything the Niners did, which is everything the

1364
01:08:29,800 --> 01:08:32,200
Speaker 1: Bills did a couple of weeks earlier, which is everything

1365
01:08:32,200 --> 01:08:34,400
Speaker 1: the Packers did against the Lions the week before, that

1366
01:08:35,080 --> 01:08:38,559
Speaker 1: is what the Vikings can do. Move the ball with

1367
01:08:38,760 --> 01:08:44,240
Speaker 1: ease against a beaten up and beaten down defense. The

1368
01:08:44,320 --> 01:08:48,439
Speaker 1: total has moved since last night from fifty two and

1369
01:08:48,520 --> 01:08:52,280
Speaker 1: a half to fifty seven and a half, highest total

1370
01:08:52,280 --> 01:08:57,000
Speaker 1: in a game since twenty twenty one. I still like Detroit.

1371
01:08:58,920 --> 01:09:01,080
Speaker 3: Now let's go from Let's start from the top. Though

1372
01:09:01,200 --> 01:09:04,639
Speaker 3: this is basically before the season started, me and Chad

1373
01:09:04,840 --> 01:09:06,960
Speaker 3: talk about our favorite team to win this division.

1374
01:09:07,000 --> 01:09:08,040
Speaker 2: We both like Detroit.

1375
01:09:08,600 --> 01:09:12,120
Speaker 3: I already talked about I like parlaye these divisional winners together.

1376
01:09:12,160 --> 01:09:14,000
Speaker 3: So if you are someone that followed that and you

1377
01:09:14,040 --> 01:09:18,080
Speaker 3: have Detroit paired with the Chiefs and the Eagles or whoever,

1378
01:09:18,840 --> 01:09:20,960
Speaker 3: This is like the dream scenario for hedging, like if

1379
01:09:21,000 --> 01:09:22,960
Speaker 3: you can get especially if you can find a plus three,

1380
01:09:22,960 --> 01:09:24,240
Speaker 3: I don't know if it's going to get back to it.

1381
01:09:24,240 --> 01:09:26,439
Speaker 3: You might have to unfortunately buy half a point to

1382
01:09:26,479 --> 01:09:30,880
Speaker 3: get up to that plus three. But we already talked

1383
01:09:30,880 --> 01:09:33,400
Speaker 3: about this one. This feels like whoever's the possession last

1384
01:09:33,479 --> 01:09:37,559
Speaker 3: wins this game Like this, both defenses we know can

1385
01:09:37,800 --> 01:09:41,200
Speaker 3: be moved against, like they're the Vikings have been a

1386
01:09:41,240 --> 01:09:43,760
Speaker 3: team that have excelled this season because of takeaways. Right,

1387
01:09:43,800 --> 01:09:46,040
Speaker 3: That's kind of been the thing that the saving grace

1388
01:09:46,080 --> 01:09:48,080
Speaker 3: for that defense that you know just doesn't have that

1389
01:09:48,160 --> 01:09:50,360
Speaker 3: much talent, right that we knew that coming to the season,

1390
01:09:50,400 --> 01:09:53,240
Speaker 3: but between scheme and takeaways, they've been able to really

1391
01:09:53,240 --> 01:09:58,320
Speaker 3: piece it together defensively. On Detroit side, Oh my god, Chad,

1392
01:09:58,640 --> 01:10:01,960
Speaker 3: like they just have nothing nothing.

1393
01:10:01,439 --> 01:10:05,960
Speaker 1: It's it's so sad to watch, Like the sideline shots

1394
01:10:06,000 --> 01:10:09,200
Speaker 1: of Aaron Glenn, the poor guy, Like he's just he's

1395
01:10:09,240 --> 01:10:12,240
Speaker 1: looking down at his play sheet and he's got those

1396
01:10:12,280 --> 01:10:15,799
Speaker 1: fun glasses on they're always a different color, and he's

1397
01:10:16,000 --> 01:10:19,759
Speaker 1: just he's looking for answers. He's yelling into his headset.

1398
01:10:19,800 --> 01:10:23,960
Speaker 1: There's just there's nothing they can do, like literally nothing.

1399
01:10:24,000 --> 01:10:27,320
Speaker 1: They just they're the Saints' offense, only you know, like

1400
01:10:28,080 --> 01:10:31,599
Speaker 1: they just don't have the players, and they desperately desperately

1401
01:10:31,600 --> 01:10:34,559
Speaker 1: need to win this game. They desperately desperately need to

1402
01:10:34,560 --> 01:10:37,680
Speaker 1: buy to get some guys some rest, to get some

1403
01:10:37,760 --> 01:10:40,559
Speaker 1: guys healthy so they can get two or three guys

1404
01:10:41,320 --> 01:10:44,840
Speaker 1: back by the time they're playing in the playoffs. I

1405
01:10:44,840 --> 01:10:47,840
Speaker 1: don't know how they're going to stop the Vikings, and

1406
01:10:47,880 --> 01:10:48,320
Speaker 1: I don't know.

1407
01:10:48,240 --> 01:10:51,880
Speaker 3: Who's betting Detroit. Honestly, after watching that game, I said,

1408
01:10:51,920 --> 01:10:53,280
Speaker 3: I wanted to be on Detroit. When it was two

1409
01:10:53,320 --> 01:10:54,479
Speaker 3: and a half, I was like, that feels like the

1410
01:10:54,640 --> 01:10:57,719
Speaker 3: right number for them. But after watching that defenseive seeing

1411
01:10:57,720 --> 01:11:00,680
Speaker 3: how their linebackers play, they have no speed. They have

1412
01:11:00,840 --> 01:11:02,920
Speaker 3: no speed in the middle of the field. That means

1413
01:11:02,960 --> 01:11:04,800
Speaker 3: you can attack the middle of the field at any

1414
01:11:04,800 --> 01:11:07,160
Speaker 3: time you want, and we know that's what O'Connor wants

1415
01:11:07,200 --> 01:11:07,639
Speaker 3: to do here.

1416
01:11:07,720 --> 01:11:12,920
Speaker 1: So Yeah, Sam Donaldi ist Sam Donald has been brilliant

1417
01:11:13,400 --> 01:11:15,800
Speaker 1: throwing between the numbers this year, and.

1418
01:11:15,760 --> 01:11:17,400
Speaker 3: It's interesting looking at the early money here in the

1419
01:11:17,400 --> 01:11:21,559
Speaker 3: action app. It's it's basically all Detroit, which is honestly surprising. Yeah,

1420
01:11:21,640 --> 01:11:24,519
Speaker 3: the fact that this team is on a short week

1421
01:11:25,680 --> 01:11:28,559
Speaker 3: and they're already devastated all those like we talked about

1422
01:11:28,560 --> 01:11:31,200
Speaker 3: all those injuries. You know, I think they were talking

1423
01:11:31,200 --> 01:11:33,920
Speaker 3: about the broadcast last night. They had one of the

1424
01:11:33,920 --> 01:11:36,280
Speaker 3: earliest bye weeks in the whole season. So it's like

1425
01:11:37,760 --> 01:11:40,839
Speaker 3: not a good matchup for a spot for this team.

1426
01:11:40,920 --> 01:11:44,760
Speaker 3: And you know, maybe it's a human all of it

1427
01:11:44,800 --> 01:11:47,519
Speaker 3: to me, but I just I want the Vikings to

1428
01:11:47,520 --> 01:11:49,479
Speaker 3: get this one seed at this point. Like as much

1429
01:11:49,479 --> 01:11:51,240
Speaker 3: as I love this Detroit team, and I've already said

1430
01:11:51,280 --> 01:11:54,800
Speaker 3: I'm on record about it, like Detroit the Bills heading

1431
01:11:54,840 --> 01:11:57,400
Speaker 3: to this Super Bowl run. If I had to pick

1432
01:11:57,439 --> 01:11:59,000
Speaker 3: a seam outside the Eagles, these are the teams I

1433
01:11:59,000 --> 01:12:01,200
Speaker 3: want to win the Super Bowl. I love Detroit's fan base,

1434
01:12:01,400 --> 01:12:04,200
Speaker 3: Bill's fan base, two best fan bases. No one has

1435
01:12:04,240 --> 01:12:05,680
Speaker 3: been through more hell in those two fans. I mean,

1436
01:12:05,680 --> 01:12:10,720
Speaker 3: guess the Browns. But like they broke the curse last year, right,

1437
01:12:10,760 --> 01:12:12,559
Speaker 3: they had one playoff win in fifty years. They won

1438
01:12:12,600 --> 01:12:14,920
Speaker 3: two playoff games last year. It was all lined up

1439
01:12:15,200 --> 01:12:17,599
Speaker 3: for Detroit and they just got screwed, Like they got

1440
01:12:17,600 --> 01:12:20,439
Speaker 3: screwed by injury bug. And you know, man Campbell he's

1441
01:12:20,439 --> 01:12:22,840
Speaker 3: gonna be aggressive, he's gonna keep doing his fourth down thing,

1442
01:12:22,880 --> 01:12:25,080
Speaker 3: and you know Ben Johnson is just in his back

1443
01:12:25,200 --> 01:12:28,400
Speaker 3: calling these great plays in these really unique situations. It's

1444
01:12:28,479 --> 01:12:30,599
Speaker 3: gonna catch them. Like they they of all the teams

1445
01:12:30,600 --> 01:12:32,479
Speaker 3: in the playoffs, they need the most amount of luck

1446
01:12:32,840 --> 01:12:35,040
Speaker 3: because of how bad their defense is. And they basically

1447
01:12:35,640 --> 01:12:37,960
Speaker 3: if golf has an off day, they're dead. That's the

1448
01:12:38,000 --> 01:12:40,960
Speaker 3: honest truth. Like they, he is so dependent on right now.

1449
01:12:41,520 --> 01:12:44,519
Speaker 3: Obviously he's not an MVP discussion, but I mean he

1450
01:12:44,600 --> 01:12:46,600
Speaker 3: should be. The way he's carried this team down the

1451
01:12:46,600 --> 01:12:50,440
Speaker 3: stretch with all their injuries they've had, it's just been remarkable.

1452
01:12:50,520 --> 01:12:53,200
Speaker 3: So it's pain for him. It's pain for painful to

1453
01:12:53,280 --> 01:12:56,160
Speaker 3: do right now, Chad. But I do love the Vikings.

1454
01:12:56,200 --> 01:12:58,840
Speaker 3: I think it's very telling. The books are holding strong

1455
01:12:58,920 --> 01:13:01,080
Speaker 3: right now two and a half, So I'm not gonna

1456
01:13:01,120 --> 01:13:02,960
Speaker 3: rush to bed Vikings, cause I do think maybe we'll

1457
01:13:03,000 --> 01:13:04,639
Speaker 3: get back to a three with all this public lovel

1458
01:13:04,640 --> 01:13:09,519
Speaker 3: in Detroit. But man, it's in a normal year, a

1459
01:13:09,600 --> 01:13:11,959
Speaker 3: year where the books are right and laying good numbers

1460
01:13:12,040 --> 01:13:15,439
Speaker 3: and people doubt the dog, this would be one of

1461
01:13:15,439 --> 01:13:17,919
Speaker 3: my bigger bets. I love this spot so much for Minnesota.

1462
01:13:17,920 --> 01:13:20,920
Speaker 3: I just think offensively they're actually better to me in

1463
01:13:20,960 --> 01:13:21,519
Speaker 3: my opinion.

1464
01:13:21,720 --> 01:13:22,920
Speaker 2: I think defensively they.

1465
01:13:22,840 --> 01:13:25,000
Speaker 3: Still have the guys who are healthy enough to.

1466
01:13:25,000 --> 01:13:26,040
Speaker 2: Make game changing plays.

1467
01:13:26,040 --> 01:13:28,160
Speaker 3: For Detroit, they just don't have the piece of defensively

1468
01:13:28,200 --> 01:13:30,400
Speaker 3: to make the game changing plays like I know they

1469
01:13:30,400 --> 01:13:33,360
Speaker 3: have right now. It was other safety that's leading the

1470
01:13:33,400 --> 01:13:35,000
Speaker 3: league in interceptions. I forget who it is.

1471
01:13:35,080 --> 01:13:35,719
Speaker 1: Kirby Joseph.

1472
01:13:35,800 --> 01:13:39,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, incredible season. But it's like, I don't know,

1473
01:13:40,040 --> 01:13:42,479
Speaker 3: there's ways they can get around that on the Vikings team.

1474
01:13:42,560 --> 01:13:45,400
Speaker 3: So yeah, I can't believe it, but I do love

1475
01:13:45,400 --> 01:13:46,040
Speaker 3: this Vikings here.

1476
01:13:46,040 --> 01:13:48,439
Speaker 1: Plus two and a half, Well, you need miracles like

1477
01:13:48,520 --> 01:13:51,519
Speaker 1: Kirby Joseph last night with two picks against brock Perdity.

1478
01:13:51,840 --> 01:13:54,280
Speaker 1: Otherwise I don't know if they win that game. It's

1479
01:13:54,320 --> 01:13:58,720
Speaker 1: funny you mentioned we talked about that was one of

1480
01:13:58,760 --> 01:14:02,280
Speaker 1: our five picks, and in the middle of the game,

1481
01:14:02,640 --> 01:14:04,120
Speaker 1: and you said you thought it was a dead bet.

1482
01:14:04,120 --> 01:14:07,559
Speaker 1: We're one and four. I had kind of forgotten. I'd

1483
01:14:07,560 --> 01:14:10,320
Speaker 1: forgotten I bet the Lions minus three. I forgot we

1484
01:14:10,360 --> 01:14:13,519
Speaker 1: had a minus three half in the contest. Well, I

1485
01:14:13,600 --> 01:14:16,840
Speaker 1: was just I was actually just looking ahead and trying

1486
01:14:16,840 --> 01:14:19,200
Speaker 1: to see, all right, has the number moved on the

1487
01:14:19,280 --> 01:14:22,680
Speaker 1: Vikings yet? Because I was surprised with how badly the

1488
01:14:22,720 --> 01:14:29,040
Speaker 1: lines defense was playing, thinking about the number not moving

1489
01:14:29,800 --> 01:14:33,680
Speaker 1: because I was looking to sort of play the vikings

1490
01:14:34,600 --> 01:14:37,760
Speaker 1: before the number got out of control. It hasn't and

1491
01:14:37,800 --> 01:14:41,880
Speaker 1: it hasn't budged. No, And it's it's interesting to hear

1492
01:14:41,920 --> 01:14:46,800
Speaker 1: you talk about the vikings because rationally, you're right. Emotionally,

1493
01:14:47,560 --> 01:14:49,559
Speaker 1: I just want this Lion's team to win so bad.

1494
01:14:50,640 --> 01:14:54,479
Speaker 1: Even as a Bears fan. I love Dan Campbell, I

1495
01:14:54,560 --> 01:14:57,719
Speaker 1: love the story. I feel like with Ben Jonson, everyone

1496
01:14:57,840 --> 01:15:00,840
Speaker 1: knows he's gone. This is this is a great shot

1497
01:15:00,880 --> 01:15:03,880
Speaker 1: for them. I want them to get healthy. They deserve it.

1498
01:15:04,280 --> 01:15:05,880
Speaker 1: They deserve it for the way they pull See.

1499
01:15:05,920 --> 01:15:07,080
Speaker 3: This is probably my favorite team to watch. I do

1500
01:15:07,160 --> 01:15:08,880
Speaker 3: believe this is my favorite team to watch this season.

1501
01:15:08,920 --> 01:15:09,320
Speaker 2: Every game.

1502
01:15:09,439 --> 01:15:14,519
Speaker 1: Excite love this team, love their attitude. I want I

1503
01:15:14,560 --> 01:15:16,479
Speaker 1: don't know if I can bet this game because I

1504
01:15:16,520 --> 01:15:17,960
Speaker 1: want them to win so badly.

1505
01:15:18,040 --> 01:15:19,519
Speaker 2: I don't want to throw the vikings in a teaser

1506
01:15:19,520 --> 01:15:20,599
Speaker 2: then get up to eight and a half.

1507
01:15:20,640 --> 01:15:23,000
Speaker 1: That's a nice number, all right, I'm gonna do that,

1508
01:15:23,040 --> 01:15:25,200
Speaker 1: Like I can't. I just don't want to bet against.

1509
01:15:25,600 --> 01:15:27,560
Speaker 3: You can throw chargers in to win, outright, throw the

1510
01:15:27,640 --> 01:15:28,840
Speaker 3: Vikings in the cover eight and a half.

1511
01:15:28,840 --> 01:15:29,719
Speaker 2: That's a nice teezer.

1512
01:15:30,120 --> 01:15:34,759
Speaker 1: Okay, that's what I'll do. That's that makes me feel better. Campbell,

1513
01:15:34,760 --> 01:15:39,240
Speaker 1: by the way, sixty four against the spreads as a

1514
01:15:39,280 --> 01:15:42,760
Speaker 1: head coach. That is the best for any head coach

1515
01:15:42,800 --> 01:15:45,559
Speaker 1: with a minimum twenty games in the Super Bowl era.

1516
01:15:46,360 --> 01:15:48,600
Speaker 3: I listen, Man, just say that I'm proud of you.

1517
01:15:48,640 --> 01:15:52,360
Speaker 3: It would be a massive understatement composure to medication.

1518
01:15:52,960 --> 01:15:57,639
Speaker 1: And how's this? The Lions the past four years seventy

1519
01:15:57,680 --> 01:16:00,439
Speaker 1: percent against the spread. Don't forget Dan Campbell like a

1520
01:16:00,479 --> 01:16:02,720
Speaker 1: short stint as the Dolphins head coach. That's why his

1521
01:16:02,800 --> 01:16:05,720
Speaker 1: number isn't the same as the Lions. The best three

1522
01:16:05,880 --> 01:16:12,280
Speaker 1: year against the spread stretch since the sixteen to eighteen

1523
01:16:12,520 --> 01:16:16,320
Speaker 1: New England Patriots, and as of now, the best four

1524
01:16:16,479 --> 01:16:20,840
Speaker 1: year stretch for any team in the Super Bowl era.

1525
01:16:21,479 --> 01:16:23,559
Speaker 3: And correct me if I'm wrong, Evan, but I have

1526
01:16:23,640 --> 01:16:25,880
Speaker 3: this amazing memory of me and Chad Base We're all

1527
01:16:25,920 --> 01:16:28,000
Speaker 3: in on this Detroit team and might have been twenty

1528
01:16:28,040 --> 01:16:30,880
Speaker 3: twenty one. I was Man Campbell's first year and they're

1529
01:16:30,960 --> 01:16:33,559
Speaker 3: zero for nine playing Minnesota. We had them in our

1530
01:16:33,600 --> 01:16:36,200
Speaker 3: money line round robin. I believe it was fourth down,

1531
01:16:36,280 --> 01:16:38,880
Speaker 3: last play of the game. Jared Goff throws that touchdown

1532
01:16:38,880 --> 01:16:41,400
Speaker 3: against the Vikings to get their first win of the

1533
01:16:41,439 --> 01:16:44,840
Speaker 3: season for Detroit, And it's kind of full circle moment,

1534
01:16:44,920 --> 01:16:48,559
Speaker 3: like both these teams now three years later, fourteen and two.

1535
01:16:48,640 --> 01:16:52,040
Speaker 3: First time in history we've had two teams at fourteen

1536
01:16:52,080 --> 01:16:55,439
Speaker 3: and two playing for their division and the loser will

1537
01:16:55,479 --> 01:16:57,599
Speaker 3: be It's insane to think it'll be fourteen and three

1538
01:16:57,600 --> 01:17:01,200
Speaker 3: and be the fifth seed. It's just I love this

1539
01:17:01,280 --> 01:17:03,439
Speaker 3: matchup so much. This is this is truly a historical

1540
01:17:03,479 --> 01:17:05,840
Speaker 3: game we're seeing here, all right.

1541
01:17:05,840 --> 01:17:08,360
Speaker 1: Well, my exec decision on Seattle at minus three, since

1542
01:17:08,400 --> 01:17:10,839
Speaker 1: I had mentioned it because I move numbers and it's

1543
01:17:10,920 --> 01:17:13,920
Speaker 1: freakish how often it happens, is now up to four.

1544
01:17:15,680 --> 01:17:17,880
Speaker 3: Charlotte A sharp, Sharp Sharp.

1545
01:17:18,000 --> 01:17:21,800
Speaker 1: Chad Melman Sharp. As a reminder, The Favorite podcast is

1546
01:17:21,840 --> 01:17:24,200
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1547
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Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia or eighteen and older in Kentucky.

1556
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Speaker 1: and I We'll return next year in twenty twenty five

1559
01:18:03,840 --> 01:18:06,479
Speaker 1: with our next episode of The Favorites. On the Action

1560
01:18:06,520 --> 01:18:10,439
Speaker 1: Network YouTube page Lebonam Eastern Thursday to talk our final

1561
01:18:10,760 --> 01:18:14,439
Speaker 1: best bets of the regular season. Download us from Spotify,

1562
01:18:14,479 --> 01:18:17,000
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1564
01:18:19,720 --> 01:18:22,640
Speaker 1: a gift. Happy New Year. Until next time, Love you.

1565
01:18:29,840 --> 01:18:34,360
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1566
01:18:34,360 --> 01:18:37,720
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1567
01:18:37,760 --> 01:18:40,320
Speaker 1: Twenty four to seven at one eight hundred gambler