1 00:00:14,440 --> 00:00:16,400 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Tuesday 2 00:00:16,400 --> 00:00:18,680 Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is 3 00:00:18,680 --> 00:00:20,479 Speaker 1: Matt Peroltz. You guys can follow me across all of 4 00:00:20,480 --> 00:00:23,040 Speaker 1: my socials at Sports Talk Matt in This podcast being 5 00:00:23,040 --> 00:00:25,720 Speaker 1: brought to you by our friends at Draftking. So a 6 00:00:25,760 --> 00:00:29,360 Speaker 1: step back night last night. It didn't have to be though. 7 00:00:30,040 --> 00:00:33,559 Speaker 1: Iowa State had three shots at the rim and then 8 00:00:33,600 --> 00:00:36,440 Speaker 1: a free throw to go over eighty two and a 9 00:00:36,479 --> 00:00:40,400 Speaker 1: half points. They missed them all in the final minute, 10 00:00:41,240 --> 00:00:44,600 Speaker 1: they fall eighty two. We lose that bet, We lose 11 00:00:44,640 --> 00:00:48,400 Speaker 1: one point four units in the process, and that kills 12 00:00:48,400 --> 00:00:51,720 Speaker 1: the entire night. Unfortunately, the Clipper bet comes in that 13 00:00:51,920 --> 00:00:54,240 Speaker 1: was on the Betting pros app. If you guys haven't 14 00:00:54,280 --> 00:00:56,520 Speaker 1: gone and followed me on there, you should, ad Sports 15 00:00:56,560 --> 00:00:59,000 Speaker 1: Talk Matt, go download the Betting pros app. It's free 16 00:00:59,280 --> 00:01:01,320 Speaker 1: and then follow me when I put different plays up 17 00:01:01,360 --> 00:01:04,120 Speaker 1: that I was eyeballing Clippers plus six and a half. 18 00:01:04,160 --> 00:01:06,319 Speaker 1: We got the injury news we were looking for there 19 00:01:06,360 --> 00:01:08,399 Speaker 1: and we cashed the only bet of the night. The 20 00:01:08,440 --> 00:01:11,200 Speaker 1: teaser misses because I don't know what Sean McVay was 21 00:01:11,240 --> 00:01:14,480 Speaker 1: doing there at the end. Go score a touchdown, two 22 00:01:14,480 --> 00:01:17,720 Speaker 1: point conversion. Then on side kick kicking that field goal 23 00:01:17,800 --> 00:01:20,200 Speaker 1: was dumb because the on side kick is incredibly hard 24 00:01:20,240 --> 00:01:22,280 Speaker 1: to get, but even if you do get it, you 25 00:01:22,319 --> 00:01:24,520 Speaker 1: have no time to get into field goal range. So 26 00:01:25,080 --> 00:01:28,160 Speaker 1: not really sure what that play was. So we missed out. Unfortunately, 27 00:01:28,240 --> 00:01:31,600 Speaker 1: twenty three to what thirteen was the final right, so 28 00:01:31,640 --> 00:01:33,360 Speaker 1: we don't get the over forty two and a half. 29 00:01:33,400 --> 00:01:35,680 Speaker 1: The Dolphins play should just been all on its own 30 00:01:35,920 --> 00:01:38,160 Speaker 1: plus two and a half, I would say, like we mentioned, 31 00:01:38,200 --> 00:01:40,040 Speaker 1: And then the hockey bet was disastrous. I got to 32 00:01:40,040 --> 00:01:42,080 Speaker 1: stay away from hockey for a little bit because, well, 33 00:01:42,120 --> 00:01:44,560 Speaker 1: my I bet under six and a half. It was 34 00:01:44,600 --> 00:01:47,119 Speaker 1: pretty much dead in the first period because Dallas scored 35 00:01:47,160 --> 00:01:49,560 Speaker 1: six goals. They were up six to nothing in the 36 00:01:49,600 --> 00:01:52,000 Speaker 1: first period. I didn't even see where that game ended. 37 00:01:52,000 --> 00:01:54,960 Speaker 1: What did that was a final score? That game? It 38 00:01:55,000 --> 00:01:57,520 Speaker 1: was so hard to watch. I was like, yeah, we're 39 00:01:57,520 --> 00:01:59,760 Speaker 1: just not going to pay attention to Dallas because Dallas 40 00:01:59,760 --> 00:02:01,720 Speaker 1: hadn't been scoring, and all of a sudden, Dallas scored 41 00:02:01,760 --> 00:02:04,760 Speaker 1: seven to one. Was the final score, so dead there 42 00:02:04,840 --> 00:02:07,120 Speaker 1: on that play six nothing in the first period. That 43 00:02:07,240 --> 00:02:10,880 Speaker 1: kills an under pretty quickly and easily. First period under 44 00:02:11,160 --> 00:02:14,040 Speaker 1: gift did not hit. So if you bet all three, 45 00:02:14,080 --> 00:02:16,840 Speaker 1: I apologize you missed all three bets on that not 46 00:02:16,919 --> 00:02:20,200 Speaker 1: a good night for me overall, obviously, So back at 47 00:02:20,240 --> 00:02:22,720 Speaker 1: it here on a Tuesday where I've got two bets 48 00:02:22,720 --> 00:02:25,200 Speaker 1: in the two big college basketball games in one bet 49 00:02:25,240 --> 00:02:27,360 Speaker 1: in the big NBA game. I normally try to stay 50 00:02:27,360 --> 00:02:29,680 Speaker 1: away from the marquee matchups, but why not, Let's get 51 00:02:29,680 --> 00:02:31,720 Speaker 1: involved with the biggest games of the night. Let's have 52 00:02:31,840 --> 00:02:36,400 Speaker 1: some fun. Let's have some action on Duke in Kentucky, Kansas, 53 00:02:36,440 --> 00:02:39,320 Speaker 1: Michigan State, and the Warriors and the Mavericks. Those are 54 00:02:39,320 --> 00:02:41,880 Speaker 1: the three biggest games going on here tonight. I don't 55 00:02:41,919 --> 00:02:44,640 Speaker 1: always do this, but why not. Let's get involved with 56 00:02:44,639 --> 00:02:47,120 Speaker 1: the biggest games tonight on the docket. On the slate 57 00:02:47,200 --> 00:02:49,959 Speaker 1: to bet first and foremost DraftKings Pick six. If you 58 00:02:50,000 --> 00:02:52,359 Speaker 1: guys haven't gone and downloaded the new DraftKings Pick six app, 59 00:02:52,400 --> 00:02:54,120 Speaker 1: go and do so. You play five dollars. You get 60 00:02:54,160 --> 00:02:56,880 Speaker 1: fifty dollars back instantly in Pick six credits when you 61 00:02:56,960 --> 00:02:59,880 Speaker 1: use the code Juice at sign up. Very simple to 62 00:02:59,919 --> 00:03:02,920 Speaker 1: go and download the app where you gig apps and 63 00:03:03,040 --> 00:03:06,400 Speaker 1: use the code Juice at sign up. Gambling problem called 64 00:03:06,400 --> 00:03:09,280 Speaker 1: one hundred. 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For terms, go to 73 00:03:35,720 --> 00:03:40,760 Speaker 1: Pick six dot DraftKings dot com slash promos. Okay, let's 74 00:03:40,840 --> 00:03:45,440 Speaker 1: start with the big ones. Duke and Kentucky. Kempom has 75 00:03:45,560 --> 00:03:49,720 Speaker 1: this as a seven point win for Duke. I would 76 00:03:49,760 --> 00:03:53,800 Speaker 1: expect this number to climb as the day progresses. This 77 00:03:53,920 --> 00:03:59,880 Speaker 1: number for Duke it opened up at five. It's currently 78 00:04:00,280 --> 00:04:03,520 Speaker 1: five and a half or six. I got five and 79 00:04:03,520 --> 00:04:08,440 Speaker 1: a half. Duke has won nine of the last eleven 80 00:04:08,520 --> 00:04:13,720 Speaker 1: meetings between Duke and Kentucky. No John Calipari obviously no 81 00:04:13,840 --> 00:04:18,560 Speaker 1: coach k here. It's shire up again with Duke, and 82 00:04:18,600 --> 00:04:21,320 Speaker 1: we've got Mark pope As making his debut as the 83 00:04:21,360 --> 00:04:25,159 Speaker 1: head coach of Kentucky. Both these coaches won national championships 84 00:04:25,160 --> 00:04:29,599 Speaker 1: as players and now trying to win national championship as coaches. 85 00:04:29,800 --> 00:04:32,360 Speaker 1: Duke is eight and five in the Champions Classic. They've 86 00:04:32,360 --> 00:04:35,120 Speaker 1: won three to the last four games against the Wildcats overall. 87 00:04:35,440 --> 00:04:37,840 Speaker 1: The last time they played in Atlanta, the Devil's won 88 00:04:37,920 --> 00:04:40,080 Speaker 1: seventy five to sixty eight, but that was back in 89 00:04:40,080 --> 00:04:43,599 Speaker 1: twenty twelve. This is the Cooper Flag Show. Have you 90 00:04:43,680 --> 00:04:46,960 Speaker 1: seen this kid yet? If you haven't, look out, this 91 00:04:47,040 --> 00:04:49,880 Speaker 1: kid is going to show out tonight. I think Kentucky 92 00:04:50,000 --> 00:04:52,680 Speaker 1: is young. They are a team to watch. They've got 93 00:04:52,680 --> 00:04:55,440 Speaker 1: some veterans that they're gonna lean on early in this season. 94 00:04:55,520 --> 00:04:58,400 Speaker 1: But Kentucky is a team that it's Kentucky. They're gonna 95 00:04:58,400 --> 00:05:01,520 Speaker 1: be led by some very talented youngster here. I'll be 96 00:05:01,720 --> 00:05:03,839 Speaker 1: very curious to see how the role players for Duke 97 00:05:03,960 --> 00:05:06,760 Speaker 1: play here tonight. But I think Duke is deeper. I 98 00:05:06,760 --> 00:05:09,240 Speaker 1: think Duke is better. I think the Ken Pom projection 99 00:05:09,440 --> 00:05:12,200 Speaker 1: is there. I think Duke wins the game by eight 100 00:05:12,240 --> 00:05:15,160 Speaker 1: to ten points here in this one. I'm gonna come 101 00:05:15,200 --> 00:05:16,800 Speaker 1: in I'm going to lay the five and a half 102 00:05:16,839 --> 00:05:20,520 Speaker 1: with Duke here Duke minus five and a half for 103 00:05:20,640 --> 00:05:23,080 Speaker 1: one point one units. If you want to bet money line, 104 00:05:23,120 --> 00:05:26,239 Speaker 1: go ahead, But it's pretty darn expensive to bet money 105 00:05:26,279 --> 00:05:29,120 Speaker 1: line here on Duke. I don't really like it. I'm 106 00:05:29,120 --> 00:05:32,240 Speaker 1: not interested in laying two sixty five, Okay, I've told 107 00:05:32,240 --> 00:05:34,960 Speaker 1: you before. I'd rather not lay five and a half 108 00:05:35,040 --> 00:05:38,359 Speaker 1: points and get burned. But I'd rather lay one point 109 00:05:38,360 --> 00:05:40,800 Speaker 1: one units than laying minus two sixty five. I think 110 00:05:40,839 --> 00:05:43,440 Speaker 1: Duke wins. I think Duke covers. Rather bet that than 111 00:05:43,440 --> 00:05:45,400 Speaker 1: bet money line. I don't think it's worth it. It's 112 00:05:45,400 --> 00:05:49,360 Speaker 1: just too darn expensive to bet that. Second bet Kansas 113 00:05:49,480 --> 00:05:52,719 Speaker 1: against Michigan State also in Atlanta at State far Marina 114 00:05:52,760 --> 00:05:55,840 Speaker 1: here with the with the Champions Classic. This game's going 115 00:05:55,920 --> 00:05:59,640 Speaker 1: to be a lot of fun. According to kempom, this 116 00:05:59,720 --> 00:06:02,880 Speaker 1: is a five point win for Kansas. The number at 117 00:06:03,040 --> 00:06:05,480 Speaker 1: FanDuel is six and a half. I hope you guys 118 00:06:05,480 --> 00:06:07,880 Speaker 1: get six and a half or six, not five and 119 00:06:07,920 --> 00:06:13,080 Speaker 1: a half. The numbers coming down why, Well it's tom Izzo, Okay. Yes, 120 00:06:13,200 --> 00:06:18,359 Speaker 1: Kansas is undefeated. Yes, KU beat North Carolina at home 121 00:06:19,120 --> 00:06:20,840 Speaker 1: in a barn burner of a game. But we were 122 00:06:20,839 --> 00:06:24,480 Speaker 1: on Carolina there and I'm gonna do the same thing here. 123 00:06:24,520 --> 00:06:27,960 Speaker 1: I'm taking Michigan State. I think Kansas is a little 124 00:06:28,000 --> 00:06:30,719 Speaker 1: bit inflated here. I think everyone thinks KU is just 125 00:06:30,760 --> 00:06:32,640 Speaker 1: the best team in the country by far, and I 126 00:06:32,720 --> 00:06:36,760 Speaker 1: don't agree. Look, Hunter Dickinson's tremendous. He's gonna be a 127 00:06:36,800 --> 00:06:39,839 Speaker 1: major problem, but I love Izzo's ability to get his 128 00:06:39,920 --> 00:06:42,839 Speaker 1: team ready to go here in key games, in Marquee 129 00:06:42,880 --> 00:06:46,120 Speaker 1: games in particular early in the year, when coaching really 130 00:06:46,160 --> 00:06:49,240 Speaker 1: does matter. I think it's a tight game. This game 131 00:06:49,279 --> 00:06:51,520 Speaker 1: may be a bit more high scoring than people think, 132 00:06:51,920 --> 00:06:55,599 Speaker 1: but I think you've got a good opportunity here for 133 00:06:55,640 --> 00:06:58,720 Speaker 1: Michigan State to win the game outright. Michigan State is 134 00:06:58,760 --> 00:07:01,080 Speaker 1: two and zero in the year, the beaten Monmouth eighty 135 00:07:01,120 --> 00:07:04,440 Speaker 1: one fifty seven, and they beat Niagara ninety six to sixty. 136 00:07:04,480 --> 00:07:08,080 Speaker 1: This is by far their biggest step up in competition, obviously, 137 00:07:08,160 --> 00:07:11,040 Speaker 1: but at six and a half points, I think you 138 00:07:11,080 --> 00:07:13,320 Speaker 1: can look at the Kempom number and the projection there, 139 00:07:13,360 --> 00:07:14,600 Speaker 1: and I think a lot of people are going to 140 00:07:14,640 --> 00:07:17,520 Speaker 1: be taking the dog here. I'll take Izzo early here 141 00:07:17,840 --> 00:07:20,320 Speaker 1: to have these guys ready to go. I'll take the 142 00:07:20,360 --> 00:07:24,440 Speaker 1: dog here Michigan State to maybe even upset Kansas and 143 00:07:24,440 --> 00:07:27,280 Speaker 1: give the Jayhawks their first loss of the year. I 144 00:07:27,400 --> 00:07:30,520 Speaker 1: love tom Izzo, I love his coaching ability. Yes, the 145 00:07:30,560 --> 00:07:33,800 Speaker 1: talent discrepancy will be heavily on KU, but we saw 146 00:07:33,840 --> 00:07:37,200 Speaker 1: that against UNC. Even when they get up, you know, 147 00:07:37,280 --> 00:07:40,080 Speaker 1: they've got some tendencies to relax, and they've got some 148 00:07:40,360 --> 00:07:43,120 Speaker 1: you know, they can go cold from the outside. We 149 00:07:43,160 --> 00:07:45,440 Speaker 1: need Jay Natkins to have a big game here tonight 150 00:07:45,960 --> 00:07:48,640 Speaker 1: for Michigan State. He's leading the team in scoring with 151 00:07:48,720 --> 00:07:51,080 Speaker 1: sixteen and a half points. We need him and others 152 00:07:51,080 --> 00:07:53,679 Speaker 1: to come up with big This is a team. Look, 153 00:07:53,760 --> 00:07:56,360 Speaker 1: the numbers are really early, Okay, so I don't want 154 00:07:56,360 --> 00:07:58,200 Speaker 1: to fall in love with the unders in terms of 155 00:07:58,240 --> 00:08:01,080 Speaker 1: these numbers. But Michigan State's defense is already top ten 156 00:08:01,400 --> 00:08:05,920 Speaker 1: in adjusted efficiency. They're already fifth in two point percentage. 157 00:08:05,920 --> 00:08:09,560 Speaker 1: Now again, competition level, right, But I mean they've been 158 00:08:09,600 --> 00:08:11,560 Speaker 1: pretty good. They give up a bunch of threes. They're 159 00:08:11,600 --> 00:08:14,480 Speaker 1: not great in the three point defense, but that's early. Offensively, 160 00:08:14,520 --> 00:08:17,120 Speaker 1: Michigan State hasn't been awful. They've got a really good 161 00:08:17,160 --> 00:08:20,000 Speaker 1: offensive rebound percentage top fifteen in the country. But again 162 00:08:20,040 --> 00:08:23,920 Speaker 1: it's very early. For Kansas, they're top five in offensive 163 00:08:23,920 --> 00:08:27,400 Speaker 1: efficiency and they have played somebody pretty good in North Carolina. 164 00:08:28,480 --> 00:08:31,920 Speaker 1: They are top sixty five and three point percentage, their 165 00:08:31,960 --> 00:08:33,880 Speaker 1: top fifty to fifty third in the country and two 166 00:08:33,920 --> 00:08:36,280 Speaker 1: point percentage. They haven't hit their free throws very well. 167 00:08:36,400 --> 00:08:39,200 Speaker 1: They got to improve upon that. But for KU defensively, 168 00:08:39,679 --> 00:08:42,760 Speaker 1: they've been okay, giving up a bunch of threes. They're 169 00:08:42,800 --> 00:08:45,960 Speaker 1: nearly they're outside the top one eighty in the country 170 00:08:46,000 --> 00:08:47,920 Speaker 1: for three point defense and they're out to the top 171 00:08:47,960 --> 00:08:51,880 Speaker 1: eighty five for two point defense as well. Michigan State scores, 172 00:08:52,000 --> 00:08:53,840 Speaker 1: they'll be in the game, and I think they'll cover. 173 00:08:54,200 --> 00:08:59,480 Speaker 1: I'll take the points. Michigan State plus five and at 174 00:08:59,480 --> 00:09:01,880 Speaker 1: plus six and a half for one point one units. 175 00:09:01,880 --> 00:09:03,560 Speaker 1: Some one of you guys just heard that my dog 176 00:09:03,640 --> 00:09:05,720 Speaker 1: was making a very strange noise. Sorry I paused there 177 00:09:05,760 --> 00:09:08,040 Speaker 1: for a second, but my animal is not making dog 178 00:09:08,160 --> 00:09:10,160 Speaker 1: was barking. That's good. Maybe that's good for US. Michigan 179 00:09:10,200 --> 00:09:13,319 Speaker 1: State plus six and a half for one point one units. 180 00:09:13,360 --> 00:09:15,880 Speaker 1: And let's go to the game of the night, Golden 181 00:09:15,880 --> 00:09:19,800 Speaker 1: State hosting Dallas. It's the return of Klay Thompson dram 182 00:09:21,040 --> 00:09:26,520 Speaker 1: this number is going to ping pong around today. All right. Look, 183 00:09:27,120 --> 00:09:30,920 Speaker 1: it's two and a half, pretty much painted offshores at three. 184 00:09:31,160 --> 00:09:33,800 Speaker 1: The number is going up. It opened it two and 185 00:09:33,840 --> 00:09:38,440 Speaker 1: we're climbing. Okay, I'm not gonna play around here with 186 00:09:38,559 --> 00:09:42,280 Speaker 1: the number. Golden State is eight and two this season, 187 00:09:42,320 --> 00:09:45,559 Speaker 1: straight up. Dallas is five and five. Dallas is one 188 00:09:45,600 --> 00:09:48,600 Speaker 1: and two. On the road, Golden State is two and one. 189 00:09:48,640 --> 00:09:50,760 Speaker 1: They've been awesome on the road. They're coming off a 190 00:09:50,800 --> 00:09:53,440 Speaker 1: five game road trip where they went four and one 191 00:09:53,480 --> 00:09:55,920 Speaker 1: and they beat up at Oklahoma City one twenty seven 192 00:09:56,000 --> 00:09:59,439 Speaker 1: to one sixteen. In preparation for the return for Klay Thompson. 193 00:10:00,080 --> 00:10:02,320 Speaker 1: This is not just any old game, Okay. Dallas has 194 00:10:02,360 --> 00:10:05,760 Speaker 1: lost three of four, excuse me, three or four. They 195 00:10:05,760 --> 00:10:07,839 Speaker 1: lost to Denver in their last game one twenty two 196 00:10:07,840 --> 00:10:11,240 Speaker 1: to one twenty. They lost to Phoenix one fourteen to 197 00:10:11,320 --> 00:10:14,240 Speaker 1: one thirteen. They are right on the edge. I don't 198 00:10:14,240 --> 00:10:16,320 Speaker 1: want to play around here in lay points and have 199 00:10:16,400 --> 00:10:18,560 Speaker 1: Golden State win the game by one or two points 200 00:10:18,600 --> 00:10:22,680 Speaker 1: and have us lose there. Instead, I think Steph Curry 201 00:10:22,679 --> 00:10:24,959 Speaker 1: and company, I think this is going to be a 202 00:10:25,000 --> 00:10:28,840 Speaker 1: really fun basketball game, and I cannot wait to watch 203 00:10:28,920 --> 00:10:31,080 Speaker 1: this game to see how it all plays out. But 204 00:10:31,160 --> 00:10:34,360 Speaker 1: I've been super impressed with the bench. Buddy Heels played 205 00:10:34,400 --> 00:10:37,959 Speaker 1: really well for Golden State so far and the Warriors, 206 00:10:38,000 --> 00:10:40,240 Speaker 1: I think, even though against the number, if you don't 207 00:10:40,240 --> 00:10:41,800 Speaker 1: want to lay this juice, you can. They're eight and 208 00:10:41,840 --> 00:10:43,959 Speaker 1: two ats as much as eight and two straight up. 209 00:10:44,040 --> 00:10:45,920 Speaker 1: They're eight and two ats. So if you want to 210 00:10:45,960 --> 00:10:48,400 Speaker 1: lay the two and a half, go ahead. But instead 211 00:10:48,679 --> 00:10:50,719 Speaker 1: I'm just gonna jump in here and I'm gonna lay 212 00:10:50,720 --> 00:10:53,000 Speaker 1: the money line mine one thirty five on the Warriors 213 00:10:53,040 --> 00:10:57,439 Speaker 1: to win here, to keep this Dallas slide going Warriors 214 00:10:57,480 --> 00:11:01,200 Speaker 1: off their big win against OKAC or win for one 215 00:11:01,200 --> 00:11:03,240 Speaker 1: point three to five units. You can lay them, you know, 216 00:11:03,320 --> 00:11:04,880 Speaker 1: mis two and a half if you want. I just 217 00:11:04,920 --> 00:11:06,640 Speaker 1: don't want to lose on the hook. Have the win 218 00:11:06,679 --> 00:11:09,360 Speaker 1: by two and lose on the hook. So it'll be 219 00:11:09,360 --> 00:11:12,560 Speaker 1: an awesome game, tight game, fun game out west between 220 00:11:12,559 --> 00:11:15,040 Speaker 1: the Warriors and the Dallas Mavericks. All right, so three 221 00:11:15,080 --> 00:11:17,280 Speaker 1: plays for us here on Tuesday. We're laying the five 222 00:11:17,320 --> 00:11:19,440 Speaker 1: and a half with Duke for one point one units. 223 00:11:19,559 --> 00:11:21,800 Speaker 1: Michigan State plus six and a half for one point 224 00:11:21,840 --> 00:11:24,800 Speaker 1: one units both those games on neutral courts in Atlanta, 225 00:11:25,120 --> 00:11:28,240 Speaker 1: Duke Kentucky, Michigan State, Kansas, and the Warriors money line 226 00:11:28,240 --> 00:11:30,480 Speaker 1: against the Warriors at minus one thirty five for one 227 00:11:30,480 --> 00:11:32,679 Speaker 1: point three five units minus. Matt Paraliti, You guys and 228 00:11:32,679 --> 00:11:35,160 Speaker 1: following mircast all my socials at sports Talk Matt. Every 229 00:11:35,200 --> 00:11:38,679 Speaker 1: morning it's the DL Juice podcast presented by DraftKings