WEBVTT - The Biggest Tech-Regulation Questions

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<v Speaker 1>Hello, and welcome to the Votes and Verdicts podcast hosted

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<v Speaker 1>by Bloomberg Intelligence, Bloomberg LP's investment research platform. In this

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<v Speaker 1>podcast series, we talk about the intersection of business policy

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<v Speaker 1>and law.

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<v Speaker 2>My name is Matt Schuttenhelm.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm an analyst with Bloomberg Intelligence covering US litigation and

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<v Speaker 1>policy in the TMT space. I'm joined today by my

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Intelligence colleague in London, Tamlin Basin, who covers tech

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<v Speaker 1>litigation and policy in Europe. Today we're going to walk

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<v Speaker 1>through some of the biggest issues around US and EU

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<v Speaker 1>tech regulation with the goal of getting you up to

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<v Speaker 1>speed on our latest thinking on the current state of

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<v Speaker 1>play on all things tech. With one exception, we won't

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<v Speaker 1>be discussing antitrust in the tech space today. For that,

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<v Speaker 1>look for a future podcast from our Bloomberg Intelligence colleague,

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<v Speaker 1>Jennifer Reed.

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<v Speaker 3>Hi, Matt, I'm happy to be joining you today. It

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<v Speaker 3>seems like the tech industry has been caught in the

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<v Speaker 3>regulatory crosshairs of European regulators for a few years now,

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<v Speaker 3>and in Europe at least, the tough rhetoric has been

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<v Speaker 3>backed up by some fairly onerous regulations and it's starting

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<v Speaker 3>to feel like the US may be starting to catch up,

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<v Speaker 3>certainly catching up on the rhetoric side, at least. I

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<v Speaker 3>look forward to our discussion. I think we're going to

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<v Speaker 3>have any to talk about, even without waiting into those

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<v Speaker 3>competition issues that Jim will handle, right.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, So today, on the US side, we will walk

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<v Speaker 1>through questions on data privacy regulation, section two thirty of

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<v Speaker 1>the Communications Decency Act, a potential TikTok ban, and broadband regulation.

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<v Speaker 1>And then on the E side, we will talk about

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<v Speaker 1>GDPR enforcement, some new content moderation regulations, Europe's own response

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<v Speaker 1>to TikTok, and the fair shared debate. So with that,

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<v Speaker 1>let's let's dive right into the questions, and I'll start

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<v Speaker 1>with one for you, Tamlin. Years ago, we heard a

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<v Speaker 1>lot about how GDPR was going to massively change how

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<v Speaker 1>companies operated in Europe. Yet, at least from my perspective

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<v Speaker 1>here in the US, it seems like it hasn't had

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<v Speaker 1>that dramatic impact.

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<v Speaker 2>Can you talk us through what's what's going on there

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<v Speaker 2>with GDPR? Yeah, sure, Matt.

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<v Speaker 3>And we're actually nearing the five year anniversary of GDPR

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<v Speaker 3>first taking effect. That was in May eighteen when it

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<v Speaker 3>first really began to take effect, and it's true that

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<v Speaker 3>there hasn't been a sea change and how large platforms

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<v Speaker 3>have operated in Europe during that time, I would say

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<v Speaker 3>that there are some signs that its beginning to have

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<v Speaker 3>an impact now. The threat of GDPR, which stands for

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<v Speaker 3>the General Data Protection Regulation, was always basically twofold. One

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<v Speaker 3>was the direct financial liabilities and this is because GDPR

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<v Speaker 3>allows refines up to four percent of a company's total

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<v Speaker 3>annual revenue. The second, and arguably in the grand scope

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<v Speaker 3>of things, the larger threat, was on whether there was

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<v Speaker 3>going to be a significant change to how these platforms

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<v Speaker 3>collected and used personal data. Now, on the first threat

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<v Speaker 3>and looking at sort of damages and fines, there has

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<v Speaker 3>yet to be any one massive, multi billion dollar penalty

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<v Speaker 3>issued against the platforms. However, in twenty two alone, Ireland's

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<v Speaker 3>Data Protection Commissioner, which has jurisdiction over most of the

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<v Speaker 3>big platforms, issued a total of five decisions against Meta

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<v Speaker 3>for an aggregate of over one billion euros and financial penalties.

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<v Speaker 3>The highest of these was a four hundred and five

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<v Speaker 3>million euro penalty find based on how Instagram was collecting

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<v Speaker 3>and processing data on children in January it announced a

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<v Speaker 3>total of three hundred and ninety million euros and fines

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<v Speaker 3>for how the platform's Facebook and Instagram were allowed to

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<v Speaker 3>change their terms of service in order to gain a

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<v Speaker 3>legal basis for the collection and use of personal data

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<v Speaker 3>now here the Irish Commisioner. The Irish Commissioner ultimately said

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<v Speaker 3>that they couldn't sort of bake the terms bank consent

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<v Speaker 3>into their terms of service. But this is where we're

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<v Speaker 3>sort of going to detour. The reason that GDPR is

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<v Speaker 3>sort of slow moving is because it was designed to

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<v Speaker 3>get consensus from all of Europe's data regulators and the

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<v Speaker 3>way to do that is again, Ireland is sort of

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<v Speaker 3>the regulator of primary authority. But when Ireland wants to

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<v Speaker 3>issue you a financial penalty or say a platform does

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<v Speaker 3>or does not violate GDPR, and when it's a large

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<v Speaker 3>platform that sort of works across all countries in the EU,

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<v Speaker 3>it has to publish a sort of draft opinion and

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<v Speaker 3>get the essentially work towards towards consensus with the regulators

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<v Speaker 3>and the other countries. So going back to this terms

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<v Speaker 3>of service, Ireland's data regulator initially said that Facebook and

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<v Speaker 3>Instagram could do this. However, then when it sent that

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<v Speaker 3>draft opinion to other regulators, there was objections. Ultimately it

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<v Speaker 3>went to the European Data Protection Board. There was designed

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<v Speaker 3>to sort of resolve differences among regulators. Now the Data

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<v Speaker 3>Protection Board sided with someone's other regulators and said that

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<v Speaker 3>these terms of service could not be changed. So what

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<v Speaker 3>that means is Iron's diary regulator then had this fine opinion,

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<v Speaker 3>wasn't one that it initially agreed with, but one that

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<v Speaker 3>it had to enforce on Facebook, and it said that

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<v Speaker 3>it could not change those terms of service. That decision

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<v Speaker 3>is ultimately going to be appealed up to Europe's top court,

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<v Speaker 3>and that is going to take a few years. But

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<v Speaker 3>that takes a lot of time, which is makes a

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<v Speaker 3>lot of sense because GDPR was a massive new legislative

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<v Speaker 3>development and it's going to take its time to work

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<v Speaker 3>through the courts. It's still early days for GDPR, and

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<v Speaker 3>I think it's going to take some time to develop

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<v Speaker 3>and find out where the boundaries of those data collections are.

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<v Speaker 3>And I think that actually brings it back to you, Matt,

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<v Speaker 3>because because again GDPR began about eight nine years ago

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<v Speaker 3>when discussions initially began, but it seems like data previously

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<v Speaker 3>legislation at least in the last few congresses, has really

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<v Speaker 3>picked up for a few years now, and it seems

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<v Speaker 3>like there might be some momentum to actually getting something done.

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<v Speaker 3>Can you tell us how that stands?

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, yeah, Camlin, it's been on the US side. I

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<v Speaker 2>think you're right.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, it's definitely lagging behind and trying to catch

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<v Speaker 1>up to what Europe moved ahead with first.

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<v Speaker 2>But you know, it's remarkable.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, twenty years ago there was this bipartisan consensus

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<v Speaker 1>that that the Internet works best with with with the

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<v Speaker 1>regulators staying out of the way. Now that's that's basically

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<v Speaker 1>completely reversed, and everyone agrees there needs to be regulation

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<v Speaker 1>of these businesses. The problem is that no one's been

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<v Speaker 1>able to reach a consensus on how to do it here.

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<v Speaker 2>Here in the US.

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<v Speaker 1>But you're right, there has been progress for the first time,

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<v Speaker 1>and I think it's useful to step back and go

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<v Speaker 1>to what you were talking about, how how this can

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<v Speaker 1>impact the business model. You know, you know, Google and

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<v Speaker 1>Facebook make hundreds of billions of dollars a year using

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<v Speaker 1>data for advertising. And what we're talking about here is

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<v Speaker 1>is legislation or regulation that goes directly to imposing limits

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<v Speaker 1>on how they can use that data, and that can

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<v Speaker 1>be really impactful for these businesses. You look at, for example,

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<v Speaker 1>what Apple did with its change in app tracking, and

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<v Speaker 1>Facebook alone said it's change in the ability to track

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<v Speaker 1>data across different apps using Apple's products cost Meta ten

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<v Speaker 1>million dollars last year. We're potentially talking about more significant

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<v Speaker 1>changes in limits on how data is used, and so

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<v Speaker 1>it can have a really meaningful impact on these companies

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<v Speaker 1>depending on how this legislation takes shape. So far in Congress,

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<v Speaker 1>nothing has really gotten close to the finish line. But

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<v Speaker 1>we did, as we said, get closer than ever. I

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<v Speaker 1>think last term in Congress, when the House of Representatives

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<v Speaker 1>passed a law that made it out of the House Committee.

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<v Speaker 1>Now it ran into trouble because some in the Senate

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<v Speaker 1>didn't think it went far enough, it didn't regulate aggressively enough,

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<v Speaker 1>and some in California, which has adopted its own law,

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<v Speaker 1>we're concerned that this federal law would trump the state's

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<v Speaker 1>ability to do more in terms of regulation and so

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<v Speaker 1>and now we have a Congress that is more divided

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<v Speaker 1>than it was last year, with Republicans controlling the House

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<v Speaker 1>of Representatives and Democrats still controlling the Senate and the Presidency.

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<v Speaker 1>I think that makes it tougher for Congress to get

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<v Speaker 1>anything over the finish line. Given the difficulty of these

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<v Speaker 1>issues and how they're sometimes politicized. What I think is

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<v Speaker 1>really worth watching for investors in the near term, though,

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<v Speaker 1>is the Federal Trade Commission is trying to move ahead

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<v Speaker 1>with its own rules. It says, Okay, Congress, you're not

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<v Speaker 1>going to do this. We'll move ahead. We have the

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<v Speaker 1>power to make rules defining what is an unfair or

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<v Speaker 1>deceptive practice, and we're going to have We're going to

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<v Speaker 1>go ahead and tackle what what FTC chair Lena Khan

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<v Speaker 1>has called the surveillance advertising business market and tackle it

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<v Speaker 1>with regulations. And while I think that's going to take

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<v Speaker 1>some time, the FTC rulemaking process is extremely slow and

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<v Speaker 1>it's rarely been used before, and I think it's likely

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<v Speaker 1>to run into legal problems. If they go aggressive with

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<v Speaker 1>these new rules, as I think they will, I think

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<v Speaker 1>it still matters.

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<v Speaker 2>For these companies for this reason.

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<v Speaker 1>I think even if the whole effort fails in court,

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<v Speaker 1>I think those new rules end up shaping the debate

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<v Speaker 1>about what it is to regulate in an aggressive or

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<v Speaker 1>strong way, and So what now might be perceived as

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<v Speaker 1>strong regulation could change after the FTC moves ahead with

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<v Speaker 1>its proposals, and that could be a meaningful impact for

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<v Speaker 1>these companies.

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<v Speaker 2>So what I'm telling clients now is to keep an.

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<v Speaker 1>Eye on the advance of that FTC rulemaking because it

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<v Speaker 1>could be significant.

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<v Speaker 3>And that's really interesting, Matt to see how that's developed

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<v Speaker 3>over the years. Talking about how you know things potentially

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<v Speaker 3>failing in court, I want to bring your attention to

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<v Speaker 3>sort of the liability shield for Internet companies. This is

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<v Speaker 3>I think Section two thirty and I believe there was

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<v Speaker 3>a Supreme Court challenge to Section two thirty just a

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<v Speaker 3>few weeks ago, and you actually, I believe went to

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<v Speaker 3>the oral arguments. Can you tell tell us how those

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<v Speaker 3>arguments shaped out and what's going on there?

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah. Sure.

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<v Speaker 1>So that's a big deal because we again for the

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<v Speaker 1>you know, since since nineteen ninety six here in the US,

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<v Speaker 1>we've had this this protection in federal law that says

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<v Speaker 1>that anytime something bad in the real world happens that's

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<v Speaker 1>linked to the Internet, you can't sue the platform for that.

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<v Speaker 2>You can you can sue the.

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<v Speaker 1>The poster of that content, but not the platform that

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<v Speaker 1>hosts it. That's why Section two thirty is very important. Plus,

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<v Speaker 1>it says that the platforms have the ability to restrict

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<v Speaker 1>content if they're acting in good faith, they can go

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<v Speaker 1>clean up their sites and remove speech without facing liability

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<v Speaker 1>for that. And we've had again, the courts have adopted

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<v Speaker 1>a very broad reading of that liability protection over the

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<v Speaker 1>last twenty years, and so most cases against Internet platforms

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<v Speaker 1>tied to content posted by others, those cases get tossed

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<v Speaker 1>out very quickly with a motion to dismiss in court.

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<v Speaker 1>The companies don't face costly discovery, and so that's been

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<v Speaker 1>the status quo for a long time. But there's increasingly

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<v Speaker 1>been a lot of noise on both sides of the

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<v Speaker 1>political aisle suggesting maybe we need to change that liability shield,

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<v Speaker 1>and Congress has tried to do it, not really gotten

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<v Speaker 1>very far with serious efforts. But yes, the Supreme Court

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<v Speaker 1>sort of out of nowhere. There was no split in

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<v Speaker 1>the courts, which is usually why the Court steps in.

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<v Speaker 1>It took this case about Google, and that was surprising

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<v Speaker 1>in itself. Why would the Court take a case about

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<v Speaker 1>a statute that the courts aren't even divided about how

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<v Speaker 1>they read how they read it, and so that suggested

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<v Speaker 1>real risk. And the idea here pushed by the Biden

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<v Speaker 1>administration in the court case was that, Okay, maybe Google

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<v Speaker 1>and Facebook and these other platforms shouldn't be responsible for

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<v Speaker 1>content posted by third parties. That's what the liability shield does.

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<v Speaker 1>But if they recommend that content, and then they're taking

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<v Speaker 1>an affirmative act and they should be liable potentially at

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<v Speaker 1>least shouldn't be shielded by Section two thirty when they

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<v Speaker 1>take that affirmative step. And so that's what this case

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<v Speaker 1>was about. That was argued in February, and we went

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<v Speaker 1>into it with real concerns that the platforms could see

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<v Speaker 1>significant disruption. But what came out of the argument was

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<v Speaker 1>then a little bit surprising because despite the Supreme Court

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<v Speaker 1>sort of surprisingly taking this case, the justices didn't really seem.

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<v Speaker 2>Too anxious to make major changes in Section two thirty.

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<v Speaker 1>There was a real concern about disrupting how the Internet

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<v Speaker 1>operates because the meta Google, their whole system is built

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<v Speaker 1>on using algorithms to organize content and recommend content. And

0:14:44.280 --> 0:14:48.120
<v Speaker 1>the justices, I think we're worried that if the companies

0:14:48.120 --> 0:14:51.360
<v Speaker 1>face liability for that one, you're going to see it

0:14:51.480 --> 0:14:55.080
<v Speaker 1>just the court's flooded with lawsuits against these companies and

0:14:55.120 --> 0:14:57.280
<v Speaker 1>I think it could mean hundreds of millions of dollars

0:14:57.480 --> 0:15:02.200
<v Speaker 1>of new litigation expense for the companies, and the court

0:15:02.320 --> 0:15:05.040
<v Speaker 1>was concerned about that. But more than that, the court

0:15:05.120 --> 0:15:07.600
<v Speaker 1>was concerned that, you know, they might break the Internet,

0:15:07.840 --> 0:15:11.440
<v Speaker 1>and that these are nine judges that don't know very

0:15:11.520 --> 0:15:13.640
<v Speaker 1>much about how this stuff actually works. I think they're

0:15:13.680 --> 0:15:16.120
<v Speaker 1>a little bit wary about what they're stepping into there.

0:15:16.160 --> 0:15:20.800
<v Speaker 1>So what looked like a significant threat I think might

0:15:20.960 --> 0:15:23.200
<v Speaker 1>not turn out to be. I expect we'll see a

0:15:23.240 --> 0:15:27.440
<v Speaker 1>decision in the second quarter of this year on that.

0:15:28.480 --> 0:15:30.240
<v Speaker 1>And with that, let me let me toss it back

0:15:30.240 --> 0:15:35.040
<v Speaker 1>to you, Tamlin. So, Europe recently adopted two new sets

0:15:35.080 --> 0:15:38.600
<v Speaker 1>of rules that were again aimed at the tech industry,

0:15:38.640 --> 0:15:41.280
<v Speaker 1>the d m A and the DSA. Can you tell

0:15:41.360 --> 0:15:42.600
<v Speaker 1>us what those are about?

0:15:43.200 --> 0:15:46.480
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, absolutely, Matt. So I'm gonna focus mostly on the

0:15:46.560 --> 0:15:50.480
<v Speaker 3>Digital Services Act or the DSA. And this sort of

0:15:50.480 --> 0:15:52.360
<v Speaker 3>builds off what you were just talking about because we

0:15:52.360 --> 0:15:55.280
<v Speaker 3>can sort of think of this as the counterpart to

0:15:55.440 --> 0:15:59.920
<v Speaker 3>Section thirty two thirty, although it's a much updated counterpart

0:16:00.280 --> 0:16:04.160
<v Speaker 3>as it just took effect this year, and actually, in

0:16:04.200 --> 0:16:06.480
<v Speaker 3>fact companies still have a few months until they must

0:16:06.560 --> 0:16:10.400
<v Speaker 3>fully comply. However, light two thirty Section two thirty there

0:16:10.520 --> 0:16:14.760
<v Speaker 3>is protection for the platforms against liability for the post

0:16:14.800 --> 0:16:18.240
<v Speaker 3>name of third party content, which is a huge thing because,

0:16:18.440 --> 0:16:21.600
<v Speaker 3>as you said, so many people are saying roll this back,

0:16:21.680 --> 0:16:27.440
<v Speaker 3>and you really risk some unintended consequences for the Internet. However,

0:16:27.480 --> 0:16:31.880
<v Speaker 3>the updated law treats platforms differently based on bizarre or

0:16:32.040 --> 0:16:35.480
<v Speaker 3>we'll say delightful acronym v LOOP, which stands for a

0:16:35.600 --> 0:16:40.240
<v Speaker 3>very large, large online platform. Now, for these platforms, there

0:16:40.240 --> 0:16:44.560
<v Speaker 3>are going to be heightened obligations relating to transparency for

0:16:44.720 --> 0:16:49.040
<v Speaker 3>how content moderation policies are made and how these policies

0:16:49.040 --> 0:16:51.800
<v Speaker 3>are carried out. Now, this is an update to the

0:16:51.960 --> 0:16:55.560
<v Speaker 3>former law which was called the e Commerce Directive, and

0:16:56.600 --> 0:16:59.720
<v Speaker 3>unlike the e Commerce Directive, under the DSA, there are

0:17:00.120 --> 0:17:06.440
<v Speaker 3>significant penalties in the wings if very large, very large

0:17:06.480 --> 0:17:10.119
<v Speaker 3>platforms run a fowel of these moderation rules. This is

0:17:10.160 --> 0:17:13.320
<v Speaker 3>even more than GDPR because it's up to six percent

0:17:13.480 --> 0:17:17.040
<v Speaker 3>of total global revenue. So there's definitely some degree of

0:17:17.080 --> 0:17:21.040
<v Speaker 3>added risk here for the platforms. I think it's going

0:17:21.080 --> 0:17:24.520
<v Speaker 3>to take time to find out how strict these rules

0:17:24.560 --> 0:17:30.879
<v Speaker 3>are being applied. I'll just say anecdotally, so far, the

0:17:30.960 --> 0:17:33.520
<v Speaker 3>one firm that is getting the most attention under the

0:17:33.600 --> 0:17:37.720
<v Speaker 3>DSA is Twitter, and the reason is because regulators have

0:17:37.840 --> 0:17:40.760
<v Speaker 3>been very interested in how all of the layoffs and

0:17:41.200 --> 0:17:45.280
<v Speaker 3>how all of the volatility within that company is impacting

0:17:45.400 --> 0:17:49.920
<v Speaker 3>its ability to monitor against illegal or harm content, which

0:17:50.040 --> 0:17:52.560
<v Speaker 3>was one of the motivating factors for sort of updating

0:17:52.640 --> 0:17:56.720
<v Speaker 3>the DSA. Turning over the DNA, which stands for the

0:17:56.760 --> 0:18:01.240
<v Speaker 3>Digital Markets Act. Now, this primarily targets what it calls

0:18:01.400 --> 0:18:05.080
<v Speaker 3>gatekeeper platforms, and it's going to harness those platforms with

0:18:05.160 --> 0:18:09.920
<v Speaker 3>a wrap of obligations intended to allow new players to entermarkets.

0:18:10.680 --> 0:18:13.480
<v Speaker 3>It goes into effect later this year. It's definitely something

0:18:13.480 --> 0:18:16.400
<v Speaker 3>to keep an eye on. But this is is primarily

0:18:16.440 --> 0:18:19.280
<v Speaker 3>a competition based law, so we're gonna leave it there

0:18:19.320 --> 0:18:24.439
<v Speaker 3>for now. I do, however, Matt, want to turn it

0:18:24.520 --> 0:18:28.119
<v Speaker 3>to your favorite app, TikTok, And there's a lot of

0:18:28.160 --> 0:18:31.600
<v Speaker 3>noise I think on both sides of the Atlantic about

0:18:32.240 --> 0:18:37.120
<v Speaker 3>potential risks that TikTok poses and whether or not TikTok

0:18:37.200 --> 0:18:39.080
<v Speaker 3>should be banned. So can you tell us what's the

0:18:39.160 --> 0:18:43.240
<v Speaker 3>likelihood of TikTok being removed from everybody's stone in the US.

0:18:43.760 --> 0:18:46.520
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, that's a great question, Tamlin and I and this

0:18:46.600 --> 0:18:50.240
<v Speaker 1>is really I think, you know, great news for companies

0:18:50.280 --> 0:18:53.400
<v Speaker 1>like like Meta and Alphabet, which have faced so much

0:18:53.440 --> 0:18:57.359
<v Speaker 1>scrutiny over the past couple of years here here in DC,

0:18:58.880 --> 0:19:03.840
<v Speaker 1>to finally shift the focus to to someone else in itself.

0:19:04.520 --> 0:19:05.520
<v Speaker 2>Is is a good thing?

0:19:06.119 --> 0:19:09.000
<v Speaker 1>Is it going to be stripped off of your phone

0:19:09.200 --> 0:19:13.120
<v Speaker 1>in the US? I'm I'm pretty skeptical that that's going

0:19:13.160 --> 0:19:16.560
<v Speaker 1>to play out, But but you're absolutely right that this

0:19:16.680 --> 0:19:21.680
<v Speaker 1>is this is a growing movement I think where and

0:19:21.800 --> 0:19:26.840
<v Speaker 1>you're you're seeing bipartisan interests in in upping the pressure

0:19:27.119 --> 0:19:29.560
<v Speaker 1>on on TikTok. You right now, you have the Biden

0:19:29.680 --> 0:19:34.400
<v Speaker 1>administration going through what's known as it's scipious process uh

0:19:34.440 --> 0:19:39.280
<v Speaker 1>TO to review TikTok for national security reasons. At the

0:19:39.359 --> 0:19:43.679
<v Speaker 1>same time, you have states moving ahead with bans on

0:19:44.560 --> 0:19:47.639
<v Speaker 1>use of the app for government employees. You saw the

0:19:47.640 --> 0:19:52.160
<v Speaker 1>federal government do that and and ban use for federal

0:19:52.200 --> 0:19:59.439
<v Speaker 1>government employees, and and you see Republican House members advancing

0:19:59.520 --> 0:20:03.280
<v Speaker 1>bills last week, you saw in the Senate Mark Warner,

0:20:03.840 --> 0:20:06.879
<v Speaker 1>a leading Democrat, advance a bill that would give the

0:20:06.880 --> 0:20:12.439
<v Speaker 1>Biden administration new power outside of the scipious process to

0:20:12.680 --> 0:20:18.800
<v Speaker 1>step in and mitigate or prohibit security threats, and TikTok

0:20:18.880 --> 0:20:22.240
<v Speaker 1>could potentially be on the list of things that that

0:20:22.280 --> 0:20:26.080
<v Speaker 1>the Biden administration could use for that new power. Now,

0:20:26.840 --> 0:20:31.120
<v Speaker 1>there is momentum for these things that's different though than

0:20:31.400 --> 0:20:35.000
<v Speaker 1>I think, suggesting that this is likely to lead to

0:20:35.440 --> 0:20:39.720
<v Speaker 1>a band that makes you know, Facebook and Google see

0:20:39.720 --> 0:20:42.760
<v Speaker 1>a competitor disappear here in the United States.

0:20:43.440 --> 0:20:45.080
<v Speaker 2>And I said that for two reasons.

0:20:45.200 --> 0:20:51.520
<v Speaker 1>One, TikTok is extremely popular here, and there is potential

0:20:51.680 --> 0:20:55.359
<v Speaker 1>political risk I think for this administration if it were

0:20:55.480 --> 0:20:58.160
<v Speaker 1>to move ahead and take that, you know.

0:20:58.200 --> 0:21:00.360
<v Speaker 2>Most extreme step for.

0:21:00.400 --> 0:21:02.960
<v Speaker 1>People, unless you know, maybe you and I are a

0:21:03.000 --> 0:21:06.440
<v Speaker 1>little more engaged in this than a lot of America's

0:21:06.560 --> 0:21:10.080
<v Speaker 1>younger voters, and I think there could be a concern

0:21:10.440 --> 0:21:16.200
<v Speaker 1>that their reaction to this might not be a great

0:21:16.240 --> 0:21:19.679
<v Speaker 1>thing for the next presidential election. I think that's a

0:21:19.760 --> 0:21:22.639
<v Speaker 1>concern for the administration if it were to go to

0:21:22.680 --> 0:21:23.840
<v Speaker 1>that most extreme step.

0:21:24.160 --> 0:21:26.600
<v Speaker 2>Number Two, there's a First Amendment problem here.

0:21:27.520 --> 0:21:30.440
<v Speaker 1>The Trump administration tried to move ahead with a TikTok

0:21:30.520 --> 0:21:34.640
<v Speaker 1>band and it ran into trouble in court for two reasons. One,

0:21:34.720 --> 0:21:37.080
<v Speaker 1>the statute didn't let it do what it wanted to do,

0:21:37.160 --> 0:21:40.080
<v Speaker 1>but also the First Amendment. Now, Congress can fix the

0:21:40.119 --> 0:21:44.560
<v Speaker 1>statute part and remove that as a legal problem, but

0:21:44.680 --> 0:21:48.560
<v Speaker 1>Congress can't change the Constitution, and the First Amendment is

0:21:48.600 --> 0:21:50.760
<v Speaker 1>still going to be a problem. And basically courts are

0:21:50.760 --> 0:21:54.640
<v Speaker 1>going to say, Okay, maybe you have an important interest

0:21:55.240 --> 0:21:59.520
<v Speaker 1>in going after TikTok here, but are you tailoring your

0:21:59.560 --> 0:22:02.520
<v Speaker 1>response appropriately or are you blocking more.

0:22:02.320 --> 0:22:03.760
<v Speaker 2>Speech than is necessary?

0:22:04.040 --> 0:22:08.080
<v Speaker 1>And that effectively is going to make the Biden administration

0:22:08.440 --> 0:22:11.200
<v Speaker 1>use a total ban as sort of a last resource.

0:22:11.560 --> 0:22:14.439
<v Speaker 1>It's going to have to pursue other alternatives first, and

0:22:14.440 --> 0:22:17.399
<v Speaker 1>I think that's where we're more likely to land. Is

0:22:17.480 --> 0:22:22.200
<v Speaker 1>some sort of divestiture or other measures too to reduce

0:22:22.480 --> 0:22:29.160
<v Speaker 1>China's potential influence over TikTok. But I think it's unlikely

0:22:29.760 --> 0:22:33.000
<v Speaker 1>that that they'll go to a total band, that that

0:22:33.000 --> 0:22:36.080
<v Speaker 1>that is a major gain for for the competitors, for Google,

0:22:36.160 --> 0:22:39.120
<v Speaker 1>for Facebook, and just to see this this competitor fall

0:22:39.160 --> 0:22:40.960
<v Speaker 1>away in the US, that seems unlikely.

0:22:41.000 --> 0:22:43.080
<v Speaker 2>What about what about in Europe? What are you seeing

0:22:43.119 --> 0:22:45.359
<v Speaker 2>on on on the TikTok side there.

0:22:46.080 --> 0:22:48.199
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, so it's actually a bit similar to what you

0:22:48.200 --> 0:22:51.439
<v Speaker 3>were describing in the US. So we have seen some

0:22:51.720 --> 0:22:55.040
<v Speaker 3>moves to ban the apps from the phones for staff

0:22:55.160 --> 0:22:59.159
<v Speaker 3>of the European Parliament, some moves like that. TikTok is

0:22:59.280 --> 0:23:03.000
<v Speaker 3>trying to peers in Europe. It's sort of proactively taken

0:23:03.040 --> 0:23:07.600
<v Speaker 3>measures to update and enhance its privacy and data security practices,

0:23:08.040 --> 0:23:09.960
<v Speaker 3>trying to sort of mute a lot of the criticism

0:23:10.400 --> 0:23:14.440
<v Speaker 3>criticism it's facing. So it's still early days here, but

0:23:15.080 --> 0:23:18.760
<v Speaker 3>TikTok is definitely facing some headwinds. I like you, I'm

0:23:18.760 --> 0:23:21.080
<v Speaker 3>a bit skeptical that there's going to be a total

0:23:21.119 --> 0:23:25.160
<v Speaker 3>ban in Europe. On the popularity that you mentioned as

0:23:25.200 --> 0:23:28.520
<v Speaker 3>a counterweight to a potential ban, it is one reason

0:23:28.520 --> 0:23:32.040
<v Speaker 3>that's also relevant here. On the flip side, though, I'll

0:23:32.080 --> 0:23:35.040
<v Speaker 3>note that there's a bit of a corollary in Europe

0:23:35.040 --> 0:23:38.199
<v Speaker 3>that might not necessarily be present in the US, and

0:23:38.240 --> 0:23:41.880
<v Speaker 3>that's what happened a few years ago with regards to Huawei. Now,

0:23:41.880 --> 0:23:45.680
<v Speaker 3>in terms of positioning and network infrastructure, the Chinese firm

0:23:46.119 --> 0:23:48.879
<v Speaker 3>didn't have all that much of a foothold in the US,

0:23:49.400 --> 0:23:54.160
<v Speaker 3>but it's kit had been heavily leveraged to build four

0:23:54.200 --> 0:23:58.280
<v Speaker 3>G networks in Europe. However, pressure and a lot of

0:23:58.320 --> 0:24:02.280
<v Speaker 3>it that came from the US government on the inclusion

0:24:02.440 --> 0:24:05.640
<v Speaker 3>of Huawei and five G network builds caused a lot

0:24:05.680 --> 0:24:08.719
<v Speaker 3>of European carriers to sort of turn against it and

0:24:08.760 --> 0:24:12.720
<v Speaker 3>in some place rip out the existing Huawei infrastructure and

0:24:12.760 --> 0:24:16.840
<v Speaker 3>replace it. The beneficiaries of that have primarily been Nokia

0:24:16.880 --> 0:24:22.080
<v Speaker 3>and ericson, So so there, you know, there things can happen,

0:24:22.560 --> 0:24:26.480
<v Speaker 3>and its potential that that the push to ban TikTok

0:24:26.520 --> 0:24:30.720
<v Speaker 3>could accelerate. That said, I think there are a few

0:24:30.800 --> 0:24:34.560
<v Speaker 3>reasons to think that a popular customer facing app like

0:24:34.640 --> 0:24:39.000
<v Speaker 3>TikTok would be treated differently than Huawei was, which, at

0:24:39.080 --> 0:24:42.359
<v Speaker 3>least with respect to network build outs, Huawei was fairly

0:24:42.400 --> 0:24:46.440
<v Speaker 3>far removed from the public's awareness. It's will definitely have

0:24:46.520 --> 0:24:48.280
<v Speaker 3>to wait and see how it's developing, because it does

0:24:48.400 --> 0:24:50.960
<v Speaker 3>definitely seems like every week there's a little bit more

0:24:50.960 --> 0:24:53.399
<v Speaker 3>momentum and people are talking about a potential ban a

0:24:53.440 --> 0:24:56.480
<v Speaker 3>little bit more. But right now I'm a bit dubious

0:24:56.520 --> 0:25:00.159
<v Speaker 3>that it goes that way. I'm gonna I'm gonna one

0:25:00.200 --> 0:25:03.080
<v Speaker 3>final question, Matt, and this this is one of your

0:25:03.080 --> 0:25:06.080
<v Speaker 3>favorite topics going back quite a few years, and it's

0:25:06.119 --> 0:25:08.760
<v Speaker 3>net neutrality. Seems like we've been talking about net neutrality

0:25:08.840 --> 0:25:12.680
<v Speaker 3>for a decade, maybe longer, but in the last few years,

0:25:12.680 --> 0:25:14.600
<v Speaker 3>I haven't seen on that much about it. Is Is

0:25:14.640 --> 0:25:18.159
<v Speaker 3>there a chance that Biden's FCC might revive some of

0:25:18.200 --> 0:25:19.080
<v Speaker 3>those rules.

0:25:19.760 --> 0:25:21.040
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, there's there's a chance.

0:25:21.119 --> 0:25:23.359
<v Speaker 1>I mean, that's sort of the remarkable thing is is

0:25:23.440 --> 0:25:27.080
<v Speaker 1>what a hot topic net neutrality was here in DC

0:25:27.320 --> 0:25:31.600
<v Speaker 1>for so long, and now how so much of the

0:25:31.640 --> 0:25:36.880
<v Speaker 1>focus has shifted from the platforms that deliver you the Internet,

0:25:36.920 --> 0:25:39.800
<v Speaker 1>the wires and the wireless delivery of that. We're talking

0:25:39.920 --> 0:25:43.720
<v Speaker 1>you know, your your internet service provider, Comcast, AT and T, Verizon,

0:25:44.880 --> 0:25:48.200
<v Speaker 1>T Mobile. It's now shifted so much to what we've

0:25:48.240 --> 0:25:51.040
<v Speaker 1>We've spent most of this call on the the actual

0:25:51.080 --> 0:25:57.040
<v Speaker 1>Internet platforms themselves, Meta and Facebook and Google and and

0:25:57.080 --> 0:26:00.800
<v Speaker 1>so net neutrality has really been by it for a

0:26:00.840 --> 0:26:04.800
<v Speaker 1>couple of years now, since the Trump administration tore down

0:26:05.000 --> 0:26:10.439
<v Speaker 1>the rules that the Obama administration had had put in place.

0:26:10.720 --> 0:26:16.760
<v Speaker 1>There is very little broadband regulation in federal law right now.

0:26:17.200 --> 0:26:22.760
<v Speaker 1>Some states are moving ahead and though the FCC under Biden,

0:26:22.800 --> 0:26:27.640
<v Speaker 1>I think, would like to move ahead with restoring aggressive

0:26:27.880 --> 0:26:33.400
<v Speaker 1>broadband regulation. It's had trouble getting anything off the ground,

0:26:33.440 --> 0:26:36.080
<v Speaker 1>and one of the reasons for that is that the

0:26:36.160 --> 0:26:38.680
<v Speaker 1>FCC is still.

0:26:38.960 --> 0:26:40.280
<v Speaker 2>Stuck in a dead block.

0:26:40.800 --> 0:26:46.080
<v Speaker 1>There are two Democrat commissioners and two Republican commissioners, and

0:26:46.560 --> 0:26:49.359
<v Speaker 1>President Biden has been unable to get the Senate to

0:26:49.440 --> 0:26:52.920
<v Speaker 1>confirm a third Democrat, and he's just about to start

0:26:53.000 --> 0:26:56.800
<v Speaker 1>over in that process to nominate a new candidate. That

0:26:56.960 --> 0:27:00.840
<v Speaker 1>in itself is likely going to drag for months. And

0:27:00.880 --> 0:27:03.679
<v Speaker 1>so even if the FCC wanted to start on something

0:27:03.720 --> 0:27:06.679
<v Speaker 1>controversial like this, it doesn't have the votes until it

0:27:06.720 --> 0:27:10.320
<v Speaker 1>gets that that fifth member. Then even when that can

0:27:10.359 --> 0:27:13.200
<v Speaker 1>get started, it takes a long time to get through

0:27:13.240 --> 0:27:15.080
<v Speaker 1>the regulatory process.

0:27:15.680 --> 0:27:18.400
<v Speaker 2>And the courts are are pretty.

0:27:20.000 --> 0:27:26.359
<v Speaker 1>Aggressive lately in terms of limiting agency's power to adopt

0:27:26.800 --> 0:27:30.000
<v Speaker 1>major rules. And and what I'm referring to here is

0:27:30.000 --> 0:27:35.240
<v Speaker 1>is the major Question doctrine the Supreme Court announced last year.

0:27:35.840 --> 0:27:39.960
<v Speaker 1>I think you're going to see that new doctrine used

0:27:40.000 --> 0:27:44.320
<v Speaker 1>against the FCC if it moves ahead with aggressive broadband regulation.

0:27:44.600 --> 0:27:50.080
<v Speaker 1>So there are there are substantial hurdles facing broadband regulation

0:27:50.280 --> 0:27:53.000
<v Speaker 1>here in the US, and so I think the the

0:27:53.040 --> 0:27:55.960
<v Speaker 1>internet service providers should should feel pretty good in the

0:27:56.000 --> 0:27:59.439
<v Speaker 1>near term that that they shouldn't see major disruption on

0:27:59.520 --> 0:28:04.399
<v Speaker 1>the regular tory side anytime soon. How About in Europe

0:28:05.160 --> 0:28:07.879
<v Speaker 1>there seems to be some sort of net neutrality like

0:28:08.000 --> 0:28:09.320
<v Speaker 1>arguments brewing there.

0:28:09.640 --> 0:28:12.160
<v Speaker 2>Can can you walk us through that? Yeah?

0:28:12.160 --> 0:28:16.640
<v Speaker 3>Absolutely, and yeah this is very recent In fact, in February,

0:28:16.760 --> 0:28:21.639
<v Speaker 3>the European Commission launched a twelve week consultation on, among

0:28:21.720 --> 0:28:26.200
<v Speaker 3>other things, whether all stakeholders are contributing a fair share

0:28:26.320 --> 0:28:30.720
<v Speaker 3>to making sure networks are really sufficiently equipped to meet

0:28:30.720 --> 0:28:34.760
<v Speaker 3>these really bold connectivity and broad band goals that the

0:28:34.800 --> 0:28:37.639
<v Speaker 3>EU has put in place. It really In short, the

0:28:37.720 --> 0:28:42.840
<v Speaker 3>question is whether services like TikTok, Netflix, YouTube and potentially Meta,

0:28:43.080 --> 0:28:46.680
<v Speaker 3>whether they should be forking over more funds to reduce

0:28:46.760 --> 0:28:51.400
<v Speaker 3>the capital intensive burden on telecom carriers as they build

0:28:51.440 --> 0:28:55.680
<v Speaker 3>out these five G networks. Now, unsurprisingly the idea was

0:28:55.720 --> 0:28:59.080
<v Speaker 3>welcomed by some of those telecom carriers, and there's pretty

0:28:59.080 --> 0:29:02.560
<v Speaker 3>serious opposite from the tech terms. I'll note that my

0:29:02.640 --> 0:29:04.920
<v Speaker 3>colleague Matthew Bloxham is going to go to in the

0:29:05.000 --> 0:29:08.840
<v Speaker 3>greater detail at a during a webinar later this month,

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<v Speaker 3>which is actually going to have stakeholders from both the

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<v Speaker 3>sort of big tech content side as well as the

0:29:15.240 --> 0:29:18.760
<v Speaker 3>carrier side. So I strongly encourage listeners to check that

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<v Speaker 3>out to get a deeper understanding of how this argument

0:29:22.120 --> 0:29:25.719
<v Speaker 3>is beginning to shape up in Europe. So it's definitely

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<v Speaker 3>another one to watch for, and I think over the

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<v Speaker 3>summer we're going to see a lot of lobbying by

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<v Speaker 3>votes or the platform side and the carrier side to

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<v Speaker 3>really try to shape how this consultation goes. And now, Matt,

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<v Speaker 3>I think that wraps up what we have time for today.

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<v Speaker 3>As a reminder, you can find Bloomberg Intelligent Research Intelligence

0:29:49.520 --> 0:29:52.800
<v Speaker 3>research on all of the topics that we've discussed today

0:29:53.280 --> 0:29:56.600
<v Speaker 3>and on many more on the Bloomberg terminal by typing

0:29:56.680 --> 0:30:01.280
<v Speaker 3>big bi for Bloomberg Intelligence. Thanks a lot for joining me,

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<v Speaker 3>and let's definitely try to reconnect in a few months

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<v Speaker 3>to see what else is growing across the tech regulation landscape.

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<v Speaker 2>Sounds good, Thanks dam Ling.