1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:03,279 Speaker 1: Hello friends. First of all, a heads up. We're talking 2 00:00:03,279 --> 00:00:06,320 Speaker 1: about smallpox today and descriptions of the disease may be 3 00:00:06,440 --> 00:00:10,520 Speaker 1: upsetting for some listeners. It was pretty awful and we're 4 00:00:10,600 --> 00:00:13,720 Speaker 1: super lucky we don't have to deal with it anymore. Second, 5 00:00:13,880 --> 00:00:16,920 Speaker 1: I'm heading to the UK in August. The Royal Society 6 00:00:16,960 --> 00:00:19,400 Speaker 1: is sending me to the Edinburgh Book Festival. I'm going 7 00:00:19,440 --> 00:00:22,480 Speaker 1: to be doing events on August twelfth and the thirteenth, 8 00:00:22,520 --> 00:00:25,239 Speaker 1: and on August twelfth the Royal Society will announce the 9 00:00:25,280 --> 00:00:27,800 Speaker 1: shortlist for their twenty twenty five book Prize at the 10 00:00:27,880 --> 00:00:29,880 Speaker 1: end of the event i'm doing. If you're at the 11 00:00:29,880 --> 00:00:33,080 Speaker 1: book Festival, please come by and introduce yourself. I would 12 00:00:33,159 --> 00:00:39,120 Speaker 1: love to meet you. All Right on with the show. 13 00:00:46,200 --> 00:00:49,960 Speaker 1: No disease has ever been so instantly recognized or so 14 00:00:50,120 --> 00:00:55,720 Speaker 1: widely known and feared. Smallpox was hideous and unforgettable for me. 15 00:00:56,080 --> 00:00:59,440 Speaker 1: The memory of award full of smallpox victims thirty five 16 00:00:59,520 --> 00:01:03,120 Speaker 1: years ago in Dhaka, Bangladesh is still vividly etched in 17 00:01:03,200 --> 00:01:08,480 Speaker 1: my mind. Anxious, pleading, pock deformed faces, the ugly penetrating 18 00:01:08,520 --> 00:01:11,800 Speaker 1: odor of decaying flesh that hung over the ward, the 19 00:01:11,920 --> 00:01:16,080 Speaker 1: hands covered with pustules reaching out as people begged for help. 20 00:01:16,640 --> 00:01:20,679 Speaker 1: Neither water nor food offered comfort. Puss filled lesions covered 21 00:01:20,680 --> 00:01:23,119 Speaker 1: the insides of their mouth, making it painful for them 22 00:01:23,120 --> 00:01:28,000 Speaker 1: to even chew or swallow Flies were everywhere, thickly clustered 23 00:01:28,040 --> 00:01:31,800 Speaker 1: over eyes half closed by the pustules. More than half 24 00:01:31,840 --> 00:01:34,840 Speaker 1: the patients were dying, and there was no drug, no 25 00:01:34,880 --> 00:01:38,240 Speaker 1: treatment that we could give to help them. This was 26 00:01:38,240 --> 00:01:42,280 Speaker 1: a paragraph from D. A. Henderson's twenty nineteen book Smallpox, 27 00:01:42,400 --> 00:01:45,560 Speaker 1: The Death of a Disease. Smallpox is estimated to have 28 00:01:45,600 --> 00:01:49,040 Speaker 1: taken hundreds of millions of lives, and the story of 29 00:01:49,080 --> 00:01:53,000 Speaker 1: how humanity eradicated smallpox is the story of one of 30 00:01:53,040 --> 00:01:58,440 Speaker 1: our greatest victories. Coordinating across cultures and continents, we harnessed 31 00:01:58,480 --> 00:02:03,160 Speaker 1: science to spare future generations from this devastating scorge. Today, 32 00:02:03,320 --> 00:02:06,080 Speaker 1: we're going to talk about a project coordinated through the 33 00:02:06,120 --> 00:02:09,640 Speaker 1: World Health Organization and led by D. A. Henderson to 34 00:02:09,760 --> 00:02:14,280 Speaker 1: drive smallpox out of our bodies. However, smallpox remains in 35 00:02:14,320 --> 00:02:17,240 Speaker 1: our labs, and we'll talk about the risk that poses 36 00:02:17,280 --> 00:02:22,119 Speaker 1: for humanity. Welcome to Daniel and Kelly's Smallpox Free Universe. 37 00:02:35,440 --> 00:02:39,600 Speaker 2: Hi, I'm Daniel, I'm a particle physicist. I've never had smallpox. 38 00:02:39,720 --> 00:02:42,560 Speaker 2: I did have chicken pox, and I've always wanted to say, 39 00:02:42,760 --> 00:02:44,480 Speaker 2: a pox on both your houses. 40 00:02:45,600 --> 00:02:48,920 Speaker 1: I'm Kelly Waiter Smith. I study parasites and space. I 41 00:02:48,960 --> 00:02:51,880 Speaker 1: have also never had smallpox, thank goodness. I don't think 42 00:02:51,880 --> 00:02:54,640 Speaker 1: anyone has had smallpox since the nineteen eighties. And I 43 00:02:54,720 --> 00:02:59,040 Speaker 1: also lived in the era of chicken pox and had 44 00:02:59,080 --> 00:03:00,360 Speaker 1: that pox upon my house. 45 00:03:03,639 --> 00:03:06,680 Speaker 2: Welcome to Talk some Pox, new podcast. 46 00:03:09,720 --> 00:03:11,680 Speaker 1: I'm pretty glad I never had to see my kids 47 00:03:11,720 --> 00:03:12,560 Speaker 1: with chicken pox. 48 00:03:12,680 --> 00:03:16,880 Speaker 2: Hmm, Yeah, I remember it being pretty miserable. Yeah, it's 49 00:03:16,919 --> 00:03:20,239 Speaker 2: like a few days home trying desperately not to scratch 50 00:03:20,320 --> 00:03:21,640 Speaker 2: all those itchy spots. 51 00:03:21,720 --> 00:03:23,880 Speaker 1: Well, you know what was even worse. So Zach got 52 00:03:23,960 --> 00:03:28,120 Speaker 1: chicken pox, and when you're older, shingles is essentially chicken 53 00:03:28,160 --> 00:03:31,680 Speaker 1: pox waking up. Yeah, And right after our second child 54 00:03:31,800 --> 00:03:36,360 Speaker 1: was born, Zach got shingles on his back, and our 55 00:03:36,440 --> 00:03:39,240 Speaker 1: son wasn't vaccinated because he had just been born, and 56 00:03:39,280 --> 00:03:41,120 Speaker 1: I didn't want him to get chicken pox, and so 57 00:03:41,360 --> 00:03:45,120 Speaker 1: I had to stay upstairs with our newborn and didn't 58 00:03:45,200 --> 00:03:48,000 Speaker 1: let Zach up, and Zach stayed downstairs with our three 59 00:03:48,080 --> 00:03:51,760 Speaker 1: year old, who did not at all care that Zach 60 00:03:51,960 --> 00:03:55,880 Speaker 1: was suffering mightily, and so she would like smack him 61 00:03:55,880 --> 00:03:58,240 Speaker 1: on the back where he had his shingles spot, and 62 00:03:58,280 --> 00:04:00,840 Speaker 1: she'd be like, take me to the zoo, carry me around. 63 00:04:01,560 --> 00:04:04,440 Speaker 1: Then he was such a saint because he was miserable. 64 00:04:04,520 --> 00:04:06,000 Speaker 1: Shingles is the worst. 65 00:04:06,360 --> 00:04:09,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, And shingles is also like maybe the most terrifying 66 00:04:09,360 --> 00:04:11,880 Speaker 2: name for a disease. Yeah, you know the other ones 67 00:04:11,960 --> 00:04:14,680 Speaker 2: like cow pox, smallpox, measles, whatever. It's sort of an 68 00:04:14,680 --> 00:04:17,840 Speaker 2: abstract thing, but shingles makes me feel like you're gradually 69 00:04:17,839 --> 00:04:20,359 Speaker 2: turning into a house or something. I don't know. The 70 00:04:20,440 --> 00:04:22,560 Speaker 2: visual that conjures up in my mind is terrible. 71 00:04:22,760 --> 00:04:25,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think because I was reading about smallpox and 72 00:04:25,720 --> 00:04:28,400 Speaker 1: I saw a bunch of pictures of people with smallpox. 73 00:04:28,960 --> 00:04:31,360 Speaker 1: That is a worse image to me than a house. 74 00:04:31,440 --> 00:04:31,800 Speaker 2: Yeah. 75 00:04:31,839 --> 00:04:33,560 Speaker 1: I think I'd rather turn into a house than a 76 00:04:33,560 --> 00:04:34,480 Speaker 1: smallpox victim. 77 00:04:35,600 --> 00:04:38,479 Speaker 2: Well, it's unfortunately an appropriate time to be talking about 78 00:04:38,480 --> 00:04:42,920 Speaker 2: smallpox and vaccinations and the science behind disease and pathogens 79 00:04:42,960 --> 00:04:47,200 Speaker 2: and infection. So we're dedicating today's episode to that topic. 80 00:04:47,600 --> 00:04:49,839 Speaker 1: Yes we are. Yeah, it's a scary time. I just 81 00:04:49,880 --> 00:04:52,359 Speaker 1: got a message my daughter's starting a summer school, and 82 00:04:52,400 --> 00:04:55,200 Speaker 1: I got a message about measles being in the area 83 00:04:55,279 --> 00:04:57,480 Speaker 1: and how we all need to be alert to make 84 00:04:57,520 --> 00:05:00,200 Speaker 1: sure our kids don't bring measles to camp or I'm 85 00:05:00,200 --> 00:05:01,719 Speaker 1: home with measles from camp. 86 00:05:01,880 --> 00:05:04,320 Speaker 2: Killers of the past are returning like zombies. 87 00:05:04,520 --> 00:05:06,720 Speaker 1: Yes, but let's hope smallpox doesn't come back, which we 88 00:05:06,760 --> 00:05:08,920 Speaker 1: will return to at the end of the episode. 89 00:05:09,240 --> 00:05:12,880 Speaker 2: All right, so you asked our listeners a question about smallpox. 90 00:05:13,160 --> 00:05:16,600 Speaker 1: Yeah. So, while we are living in a moderately depressing 91 00:05:16,640 --> 00:05:19,840 Speaker 1: time in terms of measles making a comeback, at least 92 00:05:19,880 --> 00:05:23,000 Speaker 1: in the US, there is a lot to be excited 93 00:05:23,000 --> 00:05:25,160 Speaker 1: about that has happened in the past in terms of 94 00:05:25,160 --> 00:05:29,240 Speaker 1: disease control. And so I asked our listeners. D A. 95 00:05:29,520 --> 00:05:34,520 Speaker 1: Henderson led the effort to eradicate which deadly disease. And 96 00:05:34,560 --> 00:05:36,800 Speaker 1: I will tell you that DA Henderson is one of 97 00:05:36,800 --> 00:05:39,320 Speaker 1: my heroes, and I think everybody should know his name 98 00:05:39,360 --> 00:05:42,320 Speaker 1: because many of us probably owe our lives to the 99 00:05:42,360 --> 00:05:44,840 Speaker 1: fact that this man lived on this planet. So let's 100 00:05:44,839 --> 00:05:46,360 Speaker 1: see what our listeners had to say. 101 00:05:46,800 --> 00:05:48,159 Speaker 3: Could it have been polio? 102 00:05:48,640 --> 00:05:49,520 Speaker 2: We will be a gift. 103 00:05:49,720 --> 00:05:54,960 Speaker 3: But to extrap a light from eradication, I have to 104 00:05:55,000 --> 00:05:57,120 Speaker 3: guess to these small books. 105 00:05:56,880 --> 00:06:01,719 Speaker 4: Da Henderson worked tirelessly to help eradicate disco fever. 106 00:06:03,600 --> 00:06:10,120 Speaker 2: I have no idea what disease da Henderson tried to eradicate. 107 00:06:10,520 --> 00:06:13,320 Speaker 5: I don't recognize the name. But there's only two diseases 108 00:06:13,360 --> 00:06:17,240 Speaker 5: that have been eradicated, smallpox and renderpest. Might be one 109 00:06:17,240 --> 00:06:19,839 Speaker 5: of those, or it's something that he tried to eradicate 110 00:06:19,920 --> 00:06:22,799 Speaker 5: and did not succeed, in which case I have no idea. 111 00:06:23,279 --> 00:06:27,960 Speaker 3: I do believe that we've only eradicated one actual disease 112 00:06:28,279 --> 00:06:31,479 Speaker 3: and the rest are just minimized but still happened. So 113 00:06:31,960 --> 00:06:35,159 Speaker 3: I'm going to guess at smallpox that I don't know. 114 00:06:35,279 --> 00:06:37,880 Speaker 4: This person in their work just goes to show that 115 00:06:38,160 --> 00:06:42,120 Speaker 4: a lot of research and effort goes into saving lives 116 00:06:42,120 --> 00:06:44,920 Speaker 4: and making lives better without notoriety. 117 00:06:45,279 --> 00:06:47,320 Speaker 2: I don't know what dia Henderson helped that with. 118 00:06:47,880 --> 00:06:51,800 Speaker 3: Maybe polio or tuberculosis, but I don't know. I think 119 00:06:51,880 --> 00:06:55,680 Speaker 3: you you're the disease of using initials for first and 120 00:06:55,800 --> 00:06:56,760 Speaker 3: middle names. 121 00:06:57,640 --> 00:06:58,880 Speaker 1: Good mix of answers here. 122 00:07:01,279 --> 00:07:04,440 Speaker 2: What are da Henderson's first and middle names and why 123 00:07:04,480 --> 00:07:05,640 Speaker 2: does he go by initials? 124 00:07:05,839 --> 00:07:12,200 Speaker 1: Well, let's look it up already, Like good start all right, 125 00:07:13,240 --> 00:07:15,680 Speaker 1: Donald Ainsley Henderson. 126 00:07:15,360 --> 00:07:17,240 Speaker 2: That's not so bad. Why did we go by Da? 127 00:07:17,320 --> 00:07:20,080 Speaker 1: I don't know someone whose last name is Wienersmith. It 128 00:07:20,160 --> 00:07:22,400 Speaker 1: sounds totally reasonable to me. I'm not sure what he's 129 00:07:22,400 --> 00:07:26,320 Speaker 1: so embarrassed about. He should be loud and proud. But 130 00:07:26,560 --> 00:07:29,480 Speaker 1: as I suspected, there actually weren't a lot of people 131 00:07:29,480 --> 00:07:33,920 Speaker 1: who immediately were like DA Henderson helped eradicate smallpox. I 132 00:07:34,040 --> 00:07:36,280 Speaker 1: know that name, yeah, you know, it's as important a 133 00:07:36,360 --> 00:07:38,600 Speaker 1: name to me as Lincoln or something like that. But 134 00:07:38,680 --> 00:07:42,800 Speaker 1: this man probably saved many, many, many lives. Smallpox was 135 00:07:42,840 --> 00:07:47,520 Speaker 1: a horrible scourge on humanity for like thousands of years, 136 00:07:47,920 --> 00:07:50,520 Speaker 1: and he played a huge role in eradicating it. So 137 00:07:50,520 --> 00:07:52,400 Speaker 1: how much do you know about smallpox, Daniel? 138 00:07:52,680 --> 00:07:55,200 Speaker 2: I know that it sounds terrible, okay, and that I 139 00:07:55,200 --> 00:07:57,520 Speaker 2: don't have to worry about it, for which I'm grateful 140 00:07:57,600 --> 00:08:01,160 Speaker 2: to people whose research is actually practical unlike mine. 141 00:08:01,280 --> 00:08:03,280 Speaker 1: And I would like to point out how amazing it 142 00:08:03,440 --> 00:08:07,040 Speaker 1: is that smallpox is not at the forefront of like 143 00:08:07,160 --> 00:08:10,080 Speaker 1: anyone's mind in our generation. You know, I was born 144 00:08:10,280 --> 00:08:13,400 Speaker 1: in eighty two, which is two years after the declaration 145 00:08:13,480 --> 00:08:16,840 Speaker 1: that smallpox was eradicated, and so I don't think much 146 00:08:16,840 --> 00:08:20,320 Speaker 1: about this, but if you were born in the eighteen hundreds, 147 00:08:20,360 --> 00:08:22,400 Speaker 1: for example, there was a good chance that you would 148 00:08:22,440 --> 00:08:24,600 Speaker 1: lose someone in your family to smallpox. 149 00:08:24,800 --> 00:08:28,240 Speaker 2: I think it has interestingly a different cultural impact than polio. 150 00:08:28,760 --> 00:08:31,800 Speaker 2: Polio we sort of know more about, and we've heard 151 00:08:31,840 --> 00:08:34,920 Speaker 2: maybe more about the vaccination and the success there. And 152 00:08:34,960 --> 00:08:37,840 Speaker 2: I wonder if it's because polio didn't kill all of 153 00:08:37,840 --> 00:08:40,240 Speaker 2: its victims, it left them paralyzed. And so there are 154 00:08:40,280 --> 00:08:44,120 Speaker 2: people around today like Mitch McConnell who suffered from polio 155 00:08:44,240 --> 00:08:47,520 Speaker 2: as a kid and like can talk about it, whereas smallpox' 156 00:08:47,600 --> 00:08:49,280 Speaker 2: victims are like, you know dead. 157 00:08:49,559 --> 00:08:53,199 Speaker 1: Well, polio still is around, right, Polio is coming back 158 00:08:53,280 --> 00:08:55,360 Speaker 1: you Yeah, smallpox is gone. 159 00:08:55,480 --> 00:08:55,720 Speaker 2: Yeah. 160 00:08:55,760 --> 00:08:59,960 Speaker 1: No one has had smallpox for what forty plus years 161 00:09:00,120 --> 00:09:03,000 Speaker 1: now or something, which is incredible wood knock on wood. 162 00:09:03,000 --> 00:09:04,839 Speaker 1: But but I mean people who did have it, it 163 00:09:04,880 --> 00:09:08,199 Speaker 1: was horrible. So there's Yeah, smallpox is caused by a virus, 164 00:09:08,600 --> 00:09:13,320 Speaker 1: and there's two main versions. There's Variola major and veryola minor. 165 00:09:13,440 --> 00:09:17,760 Speaker 1: The major one is majorly awful. It kills something like 166 00:09:17,800 --> 00:09:20,960 Speaker 1: thirty percent of the people who get infected. Oh wow, Yeah, 167 00:09:21,000 --> 00:09:24,160 Speaker 1: it was really common in asia, and then there's variola minor. 168 00:09:24,280 --> 00:09:27,080 Speaker 1: The death rate is lower, it's about one to two percent, 169 00:09:27,120 --> 00:09:29,240 Speaker 1: which still, like, you know, if my kid got infected 170 00:09:29,240 --> 00:09:31,800 Speaker 1: by smallpox, I wouldn't like those odds. That's petrifying. 171 00:09:31,880 --> 00:09:33,040 Speaker 2: Nobody wants to roll that die. 172 00:09:33,120 --> 00:09:35,360 Speaker 1: Yeah, no, absolutely not. And it was miserable. So you 173 00:09:35,400 --> 00:09:38,160 Speaker 1: mentioned that polio leaves a lot of people debilitated for 174 00:09:38,200 --> 00:09:41,240 Speaker 1: the rest of their lives. Smallpox creates you know, sort 175 00:09:41,280 --> 00:09:44,280 Speaker 1: of like chicken pox, but much worse, pos all over 176 00:09:44,320 --> 00:09:46,920 Speaker 1: your body. Often they scar and they'd leave sort of 177 00:09:46,960 --> 00:09:48,959 Speaker 1: pits in your skin that you'd have for the rest 178 00:09:49,000 --> 00:09:53,040 Speaker 1: of your life. And if the smallpox ended up getting 179 00:09:53,080 --> 00:09:56,200 Speaker 1: into your eyes, you would also go blind. And so 180 00:09:56,280 --> 00:09:58,920 Speaker 1: smallpox was a leading cause of blindness, and so it 181 00:09:58,960 --> 00:10:01,840 Speaker 1: would also leave a life of people debilitated if it 182 00:10:01,880 --> 00:10:03,199 Speaker 1: didn't happen to kill them. 183 00:10:03,200 --> 00:10:05,480 Speaker 2: Right, And how does it actually work? Like what is 184 00:10:05,520 --> 00:10:06,360 Speaker 2: the virus doing? 185 00:10:06,720 --> 00:10:08,520 Speaker 1: Well? So, typically the way you get infected by the 186 00:10:08,600 --> 00:10:11,840 Speaker 1: viruses you breathe it in. So like if somebody talks 187 00:10:11,840 --> 00:10:14,800 Speaker 1: in some of their like saliva, it gets aerosolized and 188 00:10:14,800 --> 00:10:17,120 Speaker 1: then you breathe it in. A couple days later, you 189 00:10:17,200 --> 00:10:21,760 Speaker 1: start showing symptoms. The symptoms include puss filled lesions that 190 00:10:21,880 --> 00:10:26,240 Speaker 1: cover your entire body, including inside of your mouth. Oh 191 00:10:26,240 --> 00:10:29,920 Speaker 1: and yes, and these lesions start, you know, like weeping puss, 192 00:10:30,320 --> 00:10:34,520 Speaker 1: and that puss is contagious, and it becomes almost impossible 193 00:10:34,600 --> 00:10:38,000 Speaker 1: to drink water, to breathe, and I think your you know, 194 00:10:38,080 --> 00:10:40,520 Speaker 1: your immune system probably just gets overwhelmed. To be honest, 195 00:10:40,520 --> 00:10:42,800 Speaker 1: I'm not one hundred percent sure what it is that's 196 00:10:42,880 --> 00:10:45,680 Speaker 1: killing someone, but you just end up covered in these 197 00:10:46,000 --> 00:10:49,040 Speaker 1: horribly painful lesions. And we didn't have a treatment, so 198 00:10:49,120 --> 00:10:51,400 Speaker 1: if you got it, you just had to work your 199 00:10:51,440 --> 00:10:53,600 Speaker 1: way through it. There wasn't like a medicine for it. 200 00:10:53,440 --> 00:10:56,400 Speaker 2: So no antivirals, no treatment even for the symptoms. 201 00:10:56,720 --> 00:10:59,640 Speaker 1: Uh no, wow, No, I mean so like there's a 202 00:10:59,679 --> 00:11:02,319 Speaker 1: quote for the opening from da Henderson where he was 203 00:11:02,360 --> 00:11:06,080 Speaker 1: describing seeing this in a hospital in Bangladesh and they 204 00:11:06,120 --> 00:11:08,720 Speaker 1: were just all of these people suffering, they couldn't drink water, 205 00:11:08,880 --> 00:11:11,600 Speaker 1: and he was lamenting that there was just nothing we 206 00:11:11,679 --> 00:11:15,240 Speaker 1: could do for them once they got infected. But for 207 00:11:15,320 --> 00:11:18,120 Speaker 1: a while, we actually did have some pretty good ways 208 00:11:18,360 --> 00:11:22,400 Speaker 1: of preventing people from getting infected. So smallpox is one 209 00:11:22,440 --> 00:11:25,600 Speaker 1: of our early stories about figuring out ways to vaccinate people, 210 00:11:25,600 --> 00:11:28,400 Speaker 1: which is kind of amazing. Initially we did this thing 211 00:11:28,520 --> 00:11:32,280 Speaker 1: called vari elation. And so the idea here is that 212 00:11:32,360 --> 00:11:36,000 Speaker 1: there's some strains of smallpox that are more lethal than others. 213 00:11:36,480 --> 00:11:39,080 Speaker 1: And so if somebody in your family comes down with 214 00:11:39,160 --> 00:11:41,959 Speaker 1: a mild case of smallpox, you like managed to hit 215 00:11:41,960 --> 00:11:44,880 Speaker 1: that incredible jackpot where they got smallpox, but not the 216 00:11:44,920 --> 00:11:47,720 Speaker 1: really bad one. Ye, you would take the puss from 217 00:11:47,720 --> 00:11:51,720 Speaker 1: one of their lesions and you would use a needle 218 00:11:51,800 --> 00:11:53,640 Speaker 1: to like inject it under your own skin. 219 00:11:53,760 --> 00:11:54,280 Speaker 2: Oh my god. 220 00:11:54,480 --> 00:11:57,959 Speaker 1: Couple things. So, One, you're getting a less virulent strain, 221 00:11:58,800 --> 00:12:01,760 Speaker 1: and if you breathe that in, it's worse for you 222 00:12:02,200 --> 00:12:04,679 Speaker 1: than if you get it through your skin. I don't 223 00:12:04,720 --> 00:12:06,600 Speaker 1: think we totally understand why that is the case. 224 00:12:06,960 --> 00:12:09,760 Speaker 2: But the big picture strategy here is get infected by 225 00:12:09,760 --> 00:12:12,560 Speaker 2: the lesser one, which will protect you against the worse one. 226 00:12:12,840 --> 00:12:16,720 Speaker 1: Yes, exactly, but you know, you'd still often get covered 227 00:12:16,800 --> 00:12:19,319 Speaker 1: in those pocks and you'd be you know, scarred for 228 00:12:19,360 --> 00:12:20,880 Speaker 1: the rest of your life, but you had a better 229 00:12:21,000 --> 00:12:23,880 Speaker 1: chance of surviving. But a problem with this method is 230 00:12:23,920 --> 00:12:27,640 Speaker 1: you were still infected by smallpox, and you were more mobile, 231 00:12:27,720 --> 00:12:29,520 Speaker 1: you could move around more because you had a less 232 00:12:29,600 --> 00:12:30,240 Speaker 1: bad case. 233 00:12:30,400 --> 00:12:32,560 Speaker 2: Oh so you're spreading it exactly, Yes. 234 00:12:32,480 --> 00:12:35,080 Speaker 1: So you're breathing it out. And there's some stories about 235 00:12:35,120 --> 00:12:39,720 Speaker 1: people like sending vary related individuals into war zones to 236 00:12:39,760 --> 00:12:42,600 Speaker 1: try to like get the other side infected by smallpox. 237 00:12:42,640 --> 00:12:46,640 Speaker 1: Oh gosh, I know, absolutely horrible, like early examples of biowarfare. 238 00:12:46,800 --> 00:12:49,000 Speaker 2: How far back in history is this, Like have people 239 00:12:49,000 --> 00:12:52,000 Speaker 2: been infected by smallpox for all of human history? Or 240 00:12:52,040 --> 00:12:52,760 Speaker 2: is it a recent thing? 241 00:12:52,880 --> 00:12:55,720 Speaker 1: Yeah, so we don't know exactly when it first popped up. 242 00:12:55,760 --> 00:12:58,080 Speaker 1: We think that it was first infecting rodents, and what 243 00:12:58,160 --> 00:13:00,280 Speaker 1: probably happened is there were a couple instances where it 244 00:13:00,360 --> 00:13:03,560 Speaker 1: jumped from rodents to humans and then it probably fizzled 245 00:13:03,559 --> 00:13:06,480 Speaker 1: out and didn't go from human to human. But one 246 00:13:06,480 --> 00:13:08,880 Speaker 1: of those times when smallpox jumped from a rodent to 247 00:13:08,920 --> 00:13:11,480 Speaker 1: a human, it also had the ability to go from 248 00:13:11,600 --> 00:13:12,839 Speaker 1: human to human after that. 249 00:13:13,040 --> 00:13:15,680 Speaker 2: Are we blaming this on rodents with good data or 250 00:13:15,840 --> 00:13:18,360 Speaker 2: we just bigoted against rats because I'm pro rat. 251 00:13:18,559 --> 00:13:20,800 Speaker 1: We have established that you and I are both pro rat. 252 00:13:21,160 --> 00:13:23,200 Speaker 1: I've been looking into adopting a rat, but it would 253 00:13:23,200 --> 00:13:24,679 Speaker 1: have to live in my office, and then it might 254 00:13:24,679 --> 00:13:26,440 Speaker 1: mess up our audio, So I think I might not 255 00:13:26,520 --> 00:13:28,760 Speaker 1: adopt a rat. 256 00:13:28,960 --> 00:13:31,080 Speaker 2: I think the listeners would like hearing a few stups 257 00:13:31,080 --> 00:13:32,960 Speaker 2: from a rat now, and then I think they might. 258 00:13:33,080 --> 00:13:34,959 Speaker 1: They might have could play in my lap while we're 259 00:13:34,960 --> 00:13:36,080 Speaker 1: having these conversations. 260 00:13:36,080 --> 00:13:38,520 Speaker 2: We'll see we can interpret it sounds as whether it's 261 00:13:38,520 --> 00:13:40,959 Speaker 2: agreeing with you or disagreeing with you. It'd be fun. 262 00:13:41,200 --> 00:13:41,920 Speaker 2: I vote yes. 263 00:13:42,160 --> 00:13:48,280 Speaker 4: I vote rat include citations, Kelly, workshop that joke a 264 00:13:48,280 --> 00:13:52,160 Speaker 4: bit more, Kelly, calm down, rat it to me. 265 00:13:52,280 --> 00:13:52,920 Speaker 1: I'll get to it. 266 00:13:53,320 --> 00:13:55,800 Speaker 2: I think we're envisioning the rats like those grumpy guys 267 00:13:55,800 --> 00:13:57,920 Speaker 2: on the Muppets, you know, sitting in the theater. 268 00:13:58,520 --> 00:14:01,560 Speaker 1: I love those two those But anyway, back on track, 269 00:14:01,679 --> 00:14:02,120 Speaker 1: So are. 270 00:14:02,040 --> 00:14:04,320 Speaker 2: The rats really to blame here or are they just 271 00:14:04,480 --> 00:14:05,800 Speaker 2: escapegoat or escape rat? 272 00:14:05,880 --> 00:14:07,559 Speaker 1: Yeah, we can't be one hundred percent sure, but there's 273 00:14:07,600 --> 00:14:11,400 Speaker 1: pretty good evidence that smallpox is similar to viruses that 274 00:14:11,440 --> 00:14:13,200 Speaker 1: you find in rats, So there's a good chance that 275 00:14:13,240 --> 00:14:13,720 Speaker 1: it jumped. 276 00:14:13,800 --> 00:14:15,480 Speaker 2: So why didn't we call it rat pox? Because the 277 00:14:15,480 --> 00:14:17,720 Speaker 2: other one we call it cowpox or chicken pox, right, 278 00:14:17,760 --> 00:14:19,000 Speaker 2: so why do we call it rat pox? 279 00:14:19,080 --> 00:14:22,920 Speaker 1: I believe that those are also not very well named poxes. 280 00:14:23,120 --> 00:14:26,520 Speaker 1: I think that we encounter cow pox when it's in cows, 281 00:14:26,520 --> 00:14:29,560 Speaker 1: but I think that that also is often in rats, 282 00:14:29,880 --> 00:14:32,400 Speaker 1: And so I think these viruses are often in rats, 283 00:14:32,400 --> 00:14:35,120 Speaker 1: but then it jumps into other organisms that we interact 284 00:14:35,160 --> 00:14:37,840 Speaker 1: with more regularly, and then we name it after that. 285 00:14:38,040 --> 00:14:41,080 Speaker 2: So rats are to blame for rat pox and cowpox 286 00:14:41,120 --> 00:14:41,920 Speaker 2: and chicken pox. 287 00:14:42,640 --> 00:14:44,320 Speaker 1: I no, I'm not going on the record for all 288 00:14:44,360 --> 00:14:47,240 Speaker 1: of those. I'm sure there's some variability, but I think 289 00:14:47,240 --> 00:14:50,280 Speaker 1: I remember reading that cow pox also is often in rats. 290 00:14:50,560 --> 00:14:52,680 Speaker 1: But you know, that's not relevant to us. What's relevant 291 00:14:52,760 --> 00:14:55,480 Speaker 1: is that when we're milking the cows, we see the pustules. 292 00:14:55,600 --> 00:14:57,640 Speaker 2: All right, so we think it came from rats. But 293 00:14:57,760 --> 00:14:59,680 Speaker 2: how long ago are we talking about? What's the earliest 294 00:14:59,680 --> 00:15:01,680 Speaker 2: record forward evidence of smallpox? 295 00:15:01,880 --> 00:15:04,440 Speaker 1: I don't know exactly when the earliest recorded evidence is. 296 00:15:04,480 --> 00:15:07,840 Speaker 1: I did come across in eleven fifty seven BC. Ramsey's 297 00:15:07,880 --> 00:15:11,240 Speaker 1: the fifth in ancient Egypt, appears to have died from smallpox. 298 00:15:11,280 --> 00:15:14,200 Speaker 1: You can see the like pox in his mummy. 299 00:15:14,280 --> 00:15:14,640 Speaker 2: Wow. 300 00:15:14,680 --> 00:15:17,080 Speaker 1: So it's been around for a while. And you know, 301 00:15:17,080 --> 00:15:19,320 Speaker 1: we were talking about variolation, which is when you like 302 00:15:19,440 --> 00:15:23,960 Speaker 1: pass less virulent strains. We have evidence that that started 303 00:15:24,040 --> 00:15:28,120 Speaker 1: in India sometime around one thousand BC, and about two 304 00:15:28,120 --> 00:15:30,680 Speaker 1: thousand years later it was introduced into China. And so 305 00:15:30,800 --> 00:15:33,600 Speaker 1: we've been as a species dealing with this thing for 306 00:15:33,680 --> 00:15:37,520 Speaker 1: thousands of years. But this very clever species that we 307 00:15:37,560 --> 00:15:39,960 Speaker 1: are managed to eradicate it in the nineteen eighties. So 308 00:15:40,720 --> 00:15:41,600 Speaker 1: that's pretty amazing. 309 00:15:41,640 --> 00:15:44,120 Speaker 2: Actually, it is amazing when you live in a turning 310 00:15:44,160 --> 00:15:46,640 Speaker 2: point in human history, right where you have like thousands 311 00:15:46,640 --> 00:15:48,680 Speaker 2: of years where we live one way and then we've 312 00:15:48,720 --> 00:15:51,840 Speaker 2: done something to change fundamentally to human experience. That's incredible 313 00:15:51,840 --> 00:15:53,119 Speaker 2: to live in those moments. 314 00:15:52,960 --> 00:15:55,360 Speaker 1: Right, Yes, Yeah, I mean like when my daughter was born, 315 00:15:56,240 --> 00:15:59,040 Speaker 1: I had very high anxiety post part of anxiety, and 316 00:15:59,040 --> 00:16:01,560 Speaker 1: so almost every day I would think to myself, I 317 00:16:01,600 --> 00:16:03,200 Speaker 1: am so lucky that I don't have to worry about 318 00:16:03,200 --> 00:16:06,560 Speaker 1: smallpox on top of everything else, Like, there's no way 319 00:16:06,600 --> 00:16:10,240 Speaker 1: my daughter's getting smallpox. How lucky am I? But yeah, no, 320 00:16:10,720 --> 00:16:14,200 Speaker 1: this is a fundamental difference in what parents and people 321 00:16:14,240 --> 00:16:14,920 Speaker 1: need to worry about. 322 00:16:15,040 --> 00:16:17,200 Speaker 2: I'm like an anxious person also and a worrier as 323 00:16:17,240 --> 00:16:20,160 Speaker 2: a parent, but I've never worried about smallpox. I've worried 324 00:16:20,160 --> 00:16:23,200 Speaker 2: about cars, I've worried about lightning. I've worried about coyotes. 325 00:16:23,360 --> 00:16:25,920 Speaker 2: I've worried about all sorts of crazy stuff, but never 326 00:16:25,960 --> 00:16:28,560 Speaker 2: a small fox. That's amazing. Where did that even come 327 00:16:28,600 --> 00:16:29,440 Speaker 2: from in your mind? 328 00:16:30,040 --> 00:16:33,240 Speaker 1: When my daughter was born, I had trouble sleeping at night, 329 00:16:33,320 --> 00:16:37,200 Speaker 1: and Da Henderson's story about eradicating smallpox. Where a bunch 330 00:16:37,200 --> 00:16:40,000 Speaker 1: of these facts today come from was what I read 331 00:16:40,080 --> 00:16:41,720 Speaker 1: in the middle of the night when I couldn't fall asleep. 332 00:16:42,240 --> 00:16:45,680 Speaker 2: And maybe not a great idea from middle of the 333 00:16:45,760 --> 00:16:46,800 Speaker 2: night reading I'm a new parent. 334 00:16:46,920 --> 00:16:49,280 Speaker 1: No, I made a lot of bad choices with my 335 00:16:49,360 --> 00:16:51,880 Speaker 1: reading materials back then. But that was the same year 336 00:16:52,480 --> 00:16:54,840 Speaker 1: where we found in one of the labs in the 337 00:16:54,920 --> 00:16:59,600 Speaker 1: United States old vials of smallpox that somebody had not 338 00:17:00,440 --> 00:17:02,640 Speaker 1: destroyed like they were supposed to. They had forgotten them, 339 00:17:02,680 --> 00:17:04,480 Speaker 1: and they were in a closet somewhere. And if that 340 00:17:04,520 --> 00:17:07,240 Speaker 1: had gotten out, yea, we would have like And so anyway, 341 00:17:07,240 --> 00:17:08,919 Speaker 1: I was thinking, oh my gosh, do we still have 342 00:17:09,000 --> 00:17:13,000 Speaker 1: like vaccine stockpiles somewhere? What would happen if smallpox came out? 343 00:17:13,000 --> 00:17:14,359 Speaker 1: But anyway, we're going to get back to that at 344 00:17:14,400 --> 00:17:17,760 Speaker 1: the end. So getting back to solutions. 345 00:17:17,920 --> 00:17:20,680 Speaker 2: So for thousands of years we've been suffering with smallpox. 346 00:17:20,720 --> 00:17:25,439 Speaker 2: We had this variolation strategy to minimize the impact of smallpox. 347 00:17:25,920 --> 00:17:28,520 Speaker 2: When did things change? When did humanity like step up 348 00:17:28,560 --> 00:17:29,399 Speaker 2: our approach to this. 349 00:17:29,840 --> 00:17:33,400 Speaker 1: Well, so the variolation technique was great. It brought death 350 00:17:33,440 --> 00:17:36,520 Speaker 1: rates from like thirty percent to one percent, but it 351 00:17:36,600 --> 00:17:38,760 Speaker 1: was still a risky procedure. You know, there was still 352 00:17:38,800 --> 00:17:40,600 Speaker 1: some chance that you were going to end up killing 353 00:17:40,600 --> 00:17:43,400 Speaker 1: your kid when you variolate to them. So in seventeen 354 00:17:43,520 --> 00:17:47,800 Speaker 1: ninety six, Jenner makes this amazing observation, which is that 355 00:17:48,080 --> 00:17:51,200 Speaker 1: women who work with cows who like milk cows, they'll 356 00:17:51,240 --> 00:17:53,880 Speaker 1: get these like pustules on their hands. So the cows 357 00:17:53,960 --> 00:17:57,639 Speaker 1: get cow pox, which is a closely related but different 358 00:17:57,760 --> 00:18:01,840 Speaker 1: virus causing these poxes. The women who are milking the cows, 359 00:18:02,480 --> 00:18:06,000 Speaker 1: you know, become very close to the puss that's produced 360 00:18:06,040 --> 00:18:08,160 Speaker 1: by these pustuls, and they end up getting cow pox 361 00:18:08,240 --> 00:18:10,720 Speaker 1: on their hands. But it's not a big deal. But 362 00:18:11,080 --> 00:18:15,440 Speaker 1: that virus is closely related enough to smallpox that getting 363 00:18:15,480 --> 00:18:19,280 Speaker 1: those pustuls on your hands was correlated with not getting 364 00:18:19,280 --> 00:18:21,879 Speaker 1: smallpox throughout the course of your life. And so this 365 00:18:22,000 --> 00:18:24,520 Speaker 1: had become sort of anecdotal, and then someone started taking 366 00:18:24,560 --> 00:18:27,840 Speaker 1: it seriously and they were like, hold on, what if 367 00:18:27,880 --> 00:18:32,120 Speaker 1: we just start purposefully infecting people with the puss from 368 00:18:32,160 --> 00:18:35,159 Speaker 1: these you know, these poxes on cows and see if 369 00:18:35,200 --> 00:18:37,920 Speaker 1: we can use that to protect people from smallpox. 370 00:18:38,080 --> 00:18:40,000 Speaker 2: Let's go from correlation to causation. 371 00:18:40,119 --> 00:18:43,640 Speaker 1: Yeah, that's right. And so they started like purposefully infecting 372 00:18:43,680 --> 00:18:46,879 Speaker 1: people with puss from these like boils on the cows. 373 00:18:47,480 --> 00:18:51,359 Speaker 1: And the people who got this method of vaccination and 374 00:18:51,400 --> 00:18:55,080 Speaker 1: it was called vaccination because vodka is a word for cow. 375 00:18:55,320 --> 00:18:59,520 Speaker 2: Oh my gosh, isn't that where vaccine comes from? From vodka? 376 00:19:00,640 --> 00:19:01,520 Speaker 2: I had no idea. 377 00:19:01,840 --> 00:19:03,600 Speaker 1: Yeah, so cool, so cool. 378 00:19:03,720 --> 00:19:05,879 Speaker 2: We should call it vakapox. 379 00:19:06,160 --> 00:19:07,600 Speaker 1: It rolls off the tongue a little bit. 380 00:19:07,560 --> 00:19:09,000 Speaker 2: Better better than cow box. 381 00:19:09,440 --> 00:19:12,000 Speaker 1: But I mean, this was like about one hundred years 382 00:19:12,040 --> 00:19:14,359 Speaker 1: before the germ theory of disease, and there was just 383 00:19:14,400 --> 00:19:17,199 Speaker 1: this like correlation that someone picked up on and they 384 00:19:17,200 --> 00:19:19,920 Speaker 1: were like, let's try it, and many lives were saved. 385 00:19:20,560 --> 00:19:22,879 Speaker 1: But it also wasn't a perfect method, do you. 386 00:19:22,920 --> 00:19:24,520 Speaker 2: Know what they were thinking? Like, they didn't have the 387 00:19:24,600 --> 00:19:27,400 Speaker 2: germ theory, but they obviously were being kind of scientific 388 00:19:27,400 --> 00:19:30,760 Speaker 2: about it, right, They're looking for evidence finding, correlations making, hypotheses, 389 00:19:30,840 --> 00:19:33,880 Speaker 2: testing these things. Did they have an idea for why 390 00:19:33,920 --> 00:19:34,440 Speaker 2: it would work? 391 00:19:34,640 --> 00:19:37,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, So I can't say that I have read widely 392 00:19:37,200 --> 00:19:39,440 Speaker 1: what people were thinking at that time, but I would 393 00:19:39,480 --> 00:19:42,680 Speaker 1: guess that the thought process wants something like you only 394 00:19:42,680 --> 00:19:45,080 Speaker 1: get smallpox once in your life, Like if somebody lives 395 00:19:45,119 --> 00:19:47,239 Speaker 1: through smallpox, they're not going to get it again. And 396 00:19:47,280 --> 00:19:51,160 Speaker 1: we knew that, and they probably noticed that, like, look, 397 00:19:51,200 --> 00:19:54,240 Speaker 1: this other person is getting some sort of pustial POxy 398 00:19:54,320 --> 00:19:57,320 Speaker 1: related thing and then they don't get smallpox. And I 399 00:19:57,359 --> 00:19:59,720 Speaker 1: don't know why that is, but let's lean into it, like, 400 00:20:00,200 --> 00:20:02,560 Speaker 1: you know, assumed it was some kind of immunity. 401 00:20:02,160 --> 00:20:04,200 Speaker 2: And that might sound sort of like ad hawk to people, 402 00:20:04,280 --> 00:20:07,320 Speaker 2: But don't forget that there's lots of modern medicine that 403 00:20:07,359 --> 00:20:10,520 Speaker 2: we rely on because it's effective, but still don't fully 404 00:20:10,560 --> 00:20:13,080 Speaker 2: understand how it works. Like Katrina was telling me the 405 00:20:13,080 --> 00:20:16,000 Speaker 2: other day, we don't understand the molecular basis for like 406 00:20:16,080 --> 00:20:19,840 Speaker 2: tile and all, wow, why exactly that works? Well? All right, 407 00:20:19,880 --> 00:20:21,320 Speaker 2: but we have a lot of data that it does, 408 00:20:21,600 --> 00:20:22,960 Speaker 2: so we feel safe. 409 00:20:23,000 --> 00:20:24,960 Speaker 1: And we talked a couple episodes ago about how we 410 00:20:25,000 --> 00:20:28,000 Speaker 1: don't really understand how general anesthesia works at a like 411 00:20:28,080 --> 00:20:31,880 Speaker 1: molecular level, but you know, you make these steps forward 412 00:20:32,200 --> 00:20:34,199 Speaker 1: and you kind of try to figure out why they 413 00:20:34,280 --> 00:20:36,359 Speaker 1: worked after the fact. But if it works, you know, 414 00:20:36,400 --> 00:20:37,399 Speaker 1: you keep moving forward. 415 00:20:37,520 --> 00:20:39,760 Speaker 2: And this is a really important point for public health, 416 00:20:39,840 --> 00:20:43,320 Speaker 2: right because in fundamental science, we can like you know, 417 00:20:43,640 --> 00:20:46,480 Speaker 2: twitter around for years wondering about what's the nature of 418 00:20:46,560 --> 00:20:48,320 Speaker 2: space and time and try to figure it out and 419 00:20:48,359 --> 00:20:50,840 Speaker 2: take a decade or whatever. But public health, like you 420 00:20:50,920 --> 00:20:52,919 Speaker 2: have to make decisions. You got to say, like what 421 00:20:52,960 --> 00:20:54,439 Speaker 2: are we doing, are we doing this, we're doing that? 422 00:20:54,720 --> 00:20:57,080 Speaker 2: Are we recommending this to kids? And were recommending that? 423 00:20:57,680 --> 00:21:00,320 Speaker 2: And so the scientific debates can and should still canntinue, 424 00:21:00,359 --> 00:21:03,359 Speaker 2: but you also have to make policy decisions even without 425 00:21:03,400 --> 00:21:05,800 Speaker 2: perfect information. So it's like super. 426 00:21:05,520 --> 00:21:07,520 Speaker 1: Challenging, Oh my gosh. And in the next segment we're 427 00:21:07,560 --> 00:21:10,760 Speaker 1: going to get into more detail about how difficult it was. 428 00:21:10,800 --> 00:21:12,680 Speaker 1: You know, when you decide that you need to vaccinate 429 00:21:12,800 --> 00:21:15,399 Speaker 1: like most of the world to try to eradicate smallpox, 430 00:21:15,440 --> 00:21:17,840 Speaker 1: what do you do about the people who say, I 431 00:21:17,840 --> 00:21:20,600 Speaker 1: don't want to take the vaccine. Yeah, yeah, it's complicated. 432 00:21:20,640 --> 00:21:24,479 Speaker 1: And so this vaccinating using cowpox worked great, but there 433 00:21:24,520 --> 00:21:27,640 Speaker 1: were some problems. You know, cows aren't always producing lesions 434 00:21:27,640 --> 00:21:30,720 Speaker 1: at the time when you want to vaccinate people. Sometimes 435 00:21:30,760 --> 00:21:34,679 Speaker 1: cows get puss filled lesions caused by other stuff, and 436 00:21:34,760 --> 00:21:38,240 Speaker 1: so instead of actually vaccinating somebody, you've just injected some 437 00:21:38,320 --> 00:21:42,040 Speaker 1: bacteria into their body and so not perfect. And then 438 00:21:42,119 --> 00:21:44,520 Speaker 1: often what would happen is that you would use the 439 00:21:44,720 --> 00:21:47,879 Speaker 1: lesion from the cow to infect the first person, and 440 00:21:47,920 --> 00:21:50,000 Speaker 1: then that person would get a lesion on their arm, 441 00:21:50,520 --> 00:21:53,159 Speaker 1: and then you would transfer it from one person to another. 442 00:21:53,240 --> 00:21:56,360 Speaker 1: So there's stories about kids with lesions on their arms 443 00:21:56,400 --> 00:22:00,680 Speaker 1: getting sent across the sea to like move that vaccine 444 00:22:00,720 --> 00:22:03,280 Speaker 1: from person to person to like bring the vaccine to America, 445 00:22:03,359 --> 00:22:05,520 Speaker 1: because it was easier to do that than to do 446 00:22:05,560 --> 00:22:06,440 Speaker 1: it with a cow. 447 00:22:06,800 --> 00:22:09,159 Speaker 2: Children are smaller than cows, that's true. It's easier to 448 00:22:09,160 --> 00:22:12,160 Speaker 2: shift than I found. Yeah, it's a smaller box required. 449 00:22:11,960 --> 00:22:14,520 Speaker 1: Right, Some of them cooperate better than cows. Two not 450 00:22:14,640 --> 00:22:17,439 Speaker 1: all of them, but at least they're smaller, so you know, 451 00:22:17,760 --> 00:22:20,800 Speaker 1: you can push them around. But sometimes they would also 452 00:22:20,920 --> 00:22:24,760 Speaker 1: transmit tuberculosis, and not necessarily for the children, but if 453 00:22:24,800 --> 00:22:27,640 Speaker 1: you were doing this with adults, sometimes you'd transmit syphilis 454 00:22:27,680 --> 00:22:30,879 Speaker 1: from person to person. So also not a perfect method. 455 00:22:31,160 --> 00:22:34,000 Speaker 2: All right, so we moved past just suffering through smallpox 456 00:22:34,240 --> 00:22:39,000 Speaker 2: and pasted variolation to minimize the impact into early forms 457 00:22:39,080 --> 00:22:41,440 Speaker 2: of vaccination. Let's take a break, and when we come back, 458 00:22:41,480 --> 00:22:45,199 Speaker 2: we'll hear more about the modern approaches to vaccination and 459 00:22:45,280 --> 00:22:48,280 Speaker 2: the role played by D. A. Henderson and keeping Kelly 460 00:22:48,440 --> 00:23:11,160 Speaker 2: up at night. All Right, we're back, and we're hearing 461 00:23:11,160 --> 00:23:16,280 Speaker 2: about humanity's struggle and victory against smallpox, the macroscopic beings 462 00:23:16,320 --> 00:23:18,680 Speaker 2: finally winning out over the microscopic It's amazing that we 463 00:23:18,680 --> 00:23:23,240 Speaker 2: can eradicate smallpox, but not rats, right, Rats just seem 464 00:23:23,320 --> 00:23:24,479 Speaker 2: like they're going to be here forever. 465 00:23:24,720 --> 00:23:28,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, No, they absolutely are. I would not center your 466 00:23:28,200 --> 00:23:30,920 Speaker 1: hopes high for eradicating rats. There's a lot of kinds 467 00:23:30,920 --> 00:23:32,280 Speaker 1: of rats. It's complicated. 468 00:23:32,560 --> 00:23:35,439 Speaker 2: Yeah. Yeah, And I like rats anyway, So I'm not 469 00:23:35,480 --> 00:23:38,320 Speaker 2: saying we should. I'm just saying it's amazing how we 470 00:23:38,400 --> 00:23:41,680 Speaker 2: can actually squash out an entire form of life because 471 00:23:41,680 --> 00:23:42,840 Speaker 2: we decided it's too dangerous. 472 00:23:43,000 --> 00:23:45,560 Speaker 1: Yeah. So, I mean, we were successful at squashing smallpox, 473 00:23:45,600 --> 00:23:47,639 Speaker 1: but we've tried. I mean, the amount of money that 474 00:23:47,680 --> 00:23:51,080 Speaker 1: has gone into trying to squash malaria has been intense, 475 00:23:51,720 --> 00:23:54,480 Speaker 1: but we have not succeeded. And we were trying at 476 00:23:54,480 --> 00:23:56,840 Speaker 1: the same time to eradicate malaria as we were trying 477 00:23:56,880 --> 00:24:00,359 Speaker 1: to eradicate smallpox. But one of the quote unquote nice 478 00:24:00,400 --> 00:24:04,800 Speaker 1: things about smallpox is that it just infects people, and 479 00:24:04,880 --> 00:24:07,480 Speaker 1: so that makes it a little bit easier to eradicate. 480 00:24:07,600 --> 00:24:10,120 Speaker 1: And we were able to create a vaccine that was effective, 481 00:24:10,240 --> 00:24:15,760 Speaker 1: whereas attempts to eradicate malaria using vaccines haven't been as successful. 482 00:24:15,800 --> 00:24:18,439 Speaker 1: And I'm queuing up an episode with an expert on 483 00:24:18,480 --> 00:24:21,119 Speaker 1: why it's so hard to make vaccines for parasites. But 484 00:24:21,160 --> 00:24:24,080 Speaker 1: we got lucky that smallpox was easy to control with 485 00:24:24,080 --> 00:24:27,280 Speaker 1: the vaccine and only impacted people, so we didn't have 486 00:24:27,320 --> 00:24:29,560 Speaker 1: to also control something like mosquitoes. 487 00:24:29,760 --> 00:24:31,320 Speaker 2: All right, So then tell us about how we started 488 00:24:31,359 --> 00:24:34,000 Speaker 2: to make more rapid progress against smallpox. 489 00:24:34,320 --> 00:24:38,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, So this method of using cows to help vaccinate 490 00:24:38,040 --> 00:24:42,240 Speaker 1: people and then vaccinating arm to arm was difficult and laborious, 491 00:24:42,280 --> 00:24:45,360 Speaker 1: and it was hard to do mass vaccination. But then 492 00:24:45,359 --> 00:24:48,520 Speaker 1: we figured out ways to dry the vaccine and then 493 00:24:48,640 --> 00:24:52,000 Speaker 1: rehydrate it so that you could essentially have a farm 494 00:24:52,359 --> 00:24:55,919 Speaker 1: with loads of cows. You could collect a bunch of pus. 495 00:24:55,920 --> 00:24:57,919 Speaker 1: You could dry it out and then it would be 496 00:24:57,960 --> 00:25:00,560 Speaker 1: stable for longer periods of time, and then you could 497 00:25:00,600 --> 00:25:03,080 Speaker 1: rehydrate it wherever you decided that you needed it. 498 00:25:03,119 --> 00:25:07,280 Speaker 2: But we're still using essentially cowpus as a vaccine for smallpox, 499 00:25:07,320 --> 00:25:09,159 Speaker 2: that's right, Yeah, And you said that started in the 500 00:25:09,240 --> 00:25:11,720 Speaker 2: late seventeen hundreds. How long did. 501 00:25:11,600 --> 00:25:15,400 Speaker 1: That go on for till we eradicated smallpox? As much 502 00:25:15,400 --> 00:25:19,240 Speaker 1: as possible, We were using cowpox to vaccinate people instead 503 00:25:19,280 --> 00:25:20,800 Speaker 1: of smallpox because it was just safer. 504 00:25:20,920 --> 00:25:23,439 Speaker 2: So early part of last century, early nineteen hundreds, were 505 00:25:23,480 --> 00:25:25,399 Speaker 2: still using cowpus to fight smallpox. 506 00:25:25,600 --> 00:25:27,880 Speaker 1: So when I was reading about this in the nineteen fifties, 507 00:25:27,880 --> 00:25:30,120 Speaker 1: they were talking about how they learned how to freeze 508 00:25:30,320 --> 00:25:34,320 Speaker 1: dry the viruses for the vaccine, and they were still 509 00:25:34,720 --> 00:25:38,439 Speaker 1: using cows, and they thought it was cow pox that 510 00:25:38,480 --> 00:25:41,800 Speaker 1: they were using, but then when they genotyped it later on, 511 00:25:41,880 --> 00:25:44,720 Speaker 1: it looked like they were using vaccinia, which is another 512 00:25:44,760 --> 00:25:48,200 Speaker 1: closely related virus, and so maybe that virus got into cows, 513 00:25:48,240 --> 00:25:53,440 Speaker 1: but we were using stuff collected from cows, is the point, 514 00:25:53,560 --> 00:25:55,760 Speaker 1: because it was just less likely to kill people. But 515 00:25:55,800 --> 00:25:58,360 Speaker 1: it was still a problem for immunocompromise people. There were 516 00:25:58,440 --> 00:26:01,359 Speaker 1: still some people who had very bad reactions and some 517 00:26:01,440 --> 00:26:03,399 Speaker 1: who passed away from using this vaccine. 518 00:26:03,480 --> 00:26:06,159 Speaker 2: So we started out not knowing at all how it worked. 519 00:26:06,600 --> 00:26:08,960 Speaker 2: And then we developed germ theory while we were still 520 00:26:09,000 --> 00:26:11,000 Speaker 2: doing this, and then we kept using it even after 521 00:26:11,040 --> 00:26:14,199 Speaker 2: we had a deeper understanding of like the microbiology of 522 00:26:14,240 --> 00:26:16,520 Speaker 2: what's going on here. That's fascinating. 523 00:26:16,680 --> 00:26:18,639 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, we kept using it, but we got better, 524 00:26:18,760 --> 00:26:20,600 Speaker 1: and you know, we ended up with better techniques, and 525 00:26:20,640 --> 00:26:23,160 Speaker 1: at some point, like during the World Wars, we had 526 00:26:23,160 --> 00:26:26,120 Speaker 1: created essentially this like vaccine gun where somebody would come 527 00:26:26,119 --> 00:26:29,280 Speaker 1: by and it was like hydraulically operated and it would 528 00:26:29,320 --> 00:26:31,600 Speaker 1: like inject the vaccine and then you could get the 529 00:26:31,640 --> 00:26:33,480 Speaker 1: next person in and now you could do a thousand 530 00:26:33,480 --> 00:26:35,600 Speaker 1: people in an hour, and that really sped things up. 531 00:26:36,000 --> 00:26:39,200 Speaker 1: But the method that ended up being used to eradicate 532 00:26:39,280 --> 00:26:43,280 Speaker 1: smallpox was much easier. So they created this cheap, very 533 00:26:43,359 --> 00:26:46,399 Speaker 1: short needle that was bifurcated, so it's like a fork 534 00:26:46,440 --> 00:26:48,760 Speaker 1: with only two times, and what you do is you 535 00:26:48,760 --> 00:26:51,880 Speaker 1: would stick it into vaccine that had been freezed, dried, 536 00:26:51,920 --> 00:26:55,639 Speaker 1: and then rehydrated, and surface tension would hold the water 537 00:26:55,960 --> 00:26:59,320 Speaker 1: with the virus particles between the times. 538 00:26:59,080 --> 00:27:01,359 Speaker 2: Like a fork. We're talking a fork basically. 539 00:27:01,000 --> 00:27:02,439 Speaker 1: Like a fork. Yeah, and then they'd stab you in 540 00:27:02,440 --> 00:27:05,280 Speaker 1: the arm a bunch of times and it didn't hurt 541 00:27:05,280 --> 00:27:07,280 Speaker 1: that much because it didn't need to like go too 542 00:27:07,320 --> 00:27:09,679 Speaker 1: far in, but they would like get it under your 543 00:27:09,680 --> 00:27:11,400 Speaker 1: skin by doing that over and over and over again. 544 00:27:11,440 --> 00:27:13,359 Speaker 1: But they could do it really fast, and then when 545 00:27:13,359 --> 00:27:15,399 Speaker 1: they were done, they'd put it in another container and 546 00:27:15,480 --> 00:27:18,480 Speaker 1: at night they would sterilize those containers and you could 547 00:27:18,560 --> 00:27:21,000 Speaker 1: use the needles over and over and over again. And 548 00:27:21,040 --> 00:27:23,280 Speaker 1: they were cheap. They didn't require a lot of training. 549 00:27:23,320 --> 00:27:25,840 Speaker 1: You could literally train someone by giving them an orange 550 00:27:25,880 --> 00:27:29,160 Speaker 1: and being like practice stabbing this orange, and then they'd 551 00:27:29,160 --> 00:27:29,520 Speaker 1: be good. 552 00:27:32,520 --> 00:27:34,080 Speaker 2: So then when you're sitting down to get stabbed, and 553 00:27:34,080 --> 00:27:35,679 Speaker 2: you asked your nurse have you done this before? And 554 00:27:35,720 --> 00:27:39,520 Speaker 2: she says, oh, I vaccinated lots of oranges, mangoes, soap apples, 555 00:27:39,640 --> 00:27:41,920 Speaker 2: I'm super experienced. Yeah, that's right. 556 00:27:41,960 --> 00:27:44,240 Speaker 1: Any fruit you can think of I have stabbed. 557 00:27:45,560 --> 00:27:47,720 Speaker 2: Thank you to all the oranges who suffered so the 558 00:27:47,800 --> 00:27:50,920 Speaker 2: humans could survive. Really, that's taking it for the team. Yeah, 559 00:27:51,240 --> 00:27:53,680 Speaker 2: So this is really a step forward, not in terms 560 00:27:53,720 --> 00:27:58,040 Speaker 2: of like virology or microbiology, but in engineering, right, this 561 00:27:58,160 --> 00:28:00,479 Speaker 2: is just like, how do we get this vaccine rapidly 562 00:28:00,640 --> 00:28:01,399 Speaker 2: to a lot of people? 563 00:28:01,680 --> 00:28:03,880 Speaker 1: I mean yes and no. So like that jet injector 564 00:28:03,920 --> 00:28:06,120 Speaker 1: we were talking about, that was an amazing step forward 565 00:28:06,160 --> 00:28:07,720 Speaker 1: at the time, but it still broke a lot and 566 00:28:07,760 --> 00:28:10,120 Speaker 1: you needed to bring replacement equipment with you. And when 567 00:28:10,119 --> 00:28:13,040 Speaker 1: you're going to really remote places, if you ran out 568 00:28:13,080 --> 00:28:15,000 Speaker 1: of replacement equipment, you'd be in a lot of trouble. 569 00:28:15,200 --> 00:28:18,440 Speaker 1: Where's these bifurcated needles? This was a very simple solution. 570 00:28:18,680 --> 00:28:20,840 Speaker 1: It was about five dollars for a thousand of them. 571 00:28:20,880 --> 00:28:23,960 Speaker 1: They could be reused one hundred times. You could sterilize 572 00:28:23,960 --> 00:28:27,000 Speaker 1: them in boiling water. It becomes much easier. And so 573 00:28:27,119 --> 00:28:30,159 Speaker 1: sometimes it's not about like the most complicated engineering solution, 574 00:28:30,240 --> 00:28:34,040 Speaker 1: it's just finding the thing that is cheap and efficient, 575 00:28:34,880 --> 00:28:37,000 Speaker 1: and in this case, it was a bifurcated needle. 576 00:28:37,119 --> 00:28:39,320 Speaker 2: But I think that is the best engineering solution, right, 577 00:28:39,400 --> 00:28:41,480 Speaker 2: not like over engineered, but just like, how can we 578 00:28:41,560 --> 00:28:45,240 Speaker 2: use our manufacturing process and deal with the reality situation 579 00:28:45,320 --> 00:28:48,680 Speaker 2: to solve this problem efficiently, effectively and cheaply. I think 580 00:28:48,720 --> 00:28:49,800 Speaker 2: that's great engineering. 581 00:28:49,880 --> 00:28:52,720 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, amazing, and they even like would shorten the 582 00:28:52,720 --> 00:28:54,560 Speaker 1: needle to get the cost down so that they could, 583 00:28:54,640 --> 00:28:57,320 Speaker 1: you know, use less metal for each one. Okay, so 584 00:28:57,400 --> 00:29:00,360 Speaker 1: that is how we made and delivered the vaccine that 585 00:29:00,440 --> 00:29:02,400 Speaker 1: eventually eradicated smallpox. 586 00:29:02,560 --> 00:29:06,440 Speaker 2: And so we're still again using the cow sourced one, right, Yeah, 587 00:29:06,520 --> 00:29:08,600 Speaker 2: that's surprising me. I thought this whole story was gonna 588 00:29:08,600 --> 00:29:10,680 Speaker 2: be like and then we figured out how to actually 589 00:29:10,680 --> 00:29:14,080 Speaker 2: build a vaccine again smallpox by like crippling it or 590 00:29:14,200 --> 00:29:17,120 Speaker 2: one of the typical vaccination strategies. But you're saying we 591 00:29:17,240 --> 00:29:19,400 Speaker 2: used one disease against another the whole time. 592 00:29:19,560 --> 00:29:20,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, it's incredible. 593 00:29:20,720 --> 00:29:21,760 Speaker 2: That's amazing. 594 00:29:21,880 --> 00:29:22,920 Speaker 1: What that is? Amazing? 595 00:29:23,280 --> 00:29:25,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, all right, so tell us about the campaign to 596 00:29:25,080 --> 00:29:26,120 Speaker 2: eradicate smallpox. 597 00:29:26,320 --> 00:29:28,640 Speaker 1: Amazingly, it kind of starts with the Soviet Union. So 598 00:29:28,760 --> 00:29:30,800 Speaker 1: during the Cold War, the Soviet Union kind of like 599 00:29:30,880 --> 00:29:34,960 Speaker 1: backed away from the international community, and after Stalin died, 600 00:29:35,240 --> 00:29:37,560 Speaker 1: thank goodness, Stalin died. Wish he had died sooner, but 601 00:29:37,640 --> 00:29:38,040 Speaker 1: he didn't. 602 00:29:38,080 --> 00:29:42,440 Speaker 2: So anyway, speaking ill of the dead, is that what 603 00:29:42,480 --> 00:29:42,760 Speaker 2: you're doing? 604 00:29:42,880 --> 00:29:46,280 Speaker 1: He just decided, like millions of people, Yes, I am so. Anyway, 605 00:29:46,720 --> 00:29:49,960 Speaker 1: in nineteen fifty nine, the Soviet Union is like stepping 606 00:29:50,000 --> 00:29:52,240 Speaker 1: back into the World Health Assembly and trying to get 607 00:29:52,280 --> 00:29:57,160 Speaker 1: involved in the international community again. And they propose, hey, 608 00:29:57,360 --> 00:30:02,160 Speaker 1: let's eradicate smallpox and we we will volunteer to donate 609 00:30:02,400 --> 00:30:06,719 Speaker 1: freeze dried doses of vaccines, literally millions of them, and 610 00:30:06,760 --> 00:30:08,640 Speaker 1: this is their way of kind of like getting good 611 00:30:08,640 --> 00:30:12,480 Speaker 1: with the international community and the international community. I think 612 00:30:12,520 --> 00:30:15,240 Speaker 1: the idea at the time was, you know, we probably 613 00:30:15,240 --> 00:30:18,240 Speaker 1: can't actually eradicate smallpox. There have been some efforts to 614 00:30:18,280 --> 00:30:20,720 Speaker 1: eradicate other diseases that had kind of fallen flat on 615 00:30:20,760 --> 00:30:23,640 Speaker 1: their face. People weren't super optimistic this was going to work, 616 00:30:23,920 --> 00:30:26,120 Speaker 1: but they were sort of humoring the Soviets because they 617 00:30:26,160 --> 00:30:28,680 Speaker 1: were happy that they were back. And so while this 618 00:30:28,840 --> 00:30:32,800 Speaker 1: proposal was accepted, not a lot of momentum happened. Not 619 00:30:32,880 --> 00:30:34,959 Speaker 1: a lot of people were dedicated to the project. There 620 00:30:35,000 --> 00:30:37,360 Speaker 1: wasn't a lot of money dedicated, but it was clear 621 00:30:37,360 --> 00:30:40,120 Speaker 1: that the Soviets were on board. So around the mid 622 00:30:40,240 --> 00:30:47,800 Speaker 1: nineteen sixties, USAID, which I'll note we tanked, got doged. Yes, right, 623 00:30:47,840 --> 00:30:52,080 Speaker 1: so USAID got doged. Doesn't exist anymore, which I think 624 00:30:52,160 --> 00:30:54,480 Speaker 1: is devastating. But anyway, so they teamed up with the 625 00:30:54,520 --> 00:30:57,280 Speaker 1: Center for Disease Control, or the CDC in the US, 626 00:30:57,720 --> 00:31:01,200 Speaker 1: and they started trying to eliminate smallpox and measles from 627 00:31:01,200 --> 00:31:04,240 Speaker 1: twenty countries in West Africa. So they were starting to 628 00:31:04,240 --> 00:31:07,800 Speaker 1: get the ball rolling and momentum is starting to build, 629 00:31:07,840 --> 00:31:12,280 Speaker 1: and the World Health Organization, with the US's input, passes 630 00:31:12,320 --> 00:31:16,240 Speaker 1: this proposal that Okay, we're going to take eradicating smallpox seriously. 631 00:31:16,800 --> 00:31:18,959 Speaker 1: And there was a bit of contention here, so there 632 00:31:19,000 --> 00:31:21,000 Speaker 1: was enough members of the community thinking that this was 633 00:31:21,080 --> 00:31:24,280 Speaker 1: actually impossible that when it kind of got pushed by 634 00:31:24,320 --> 00:31:29,440 Speaker 1: the US DA, Henderson got put in charge almost as punishment. 635 00:31:29,840 --> 00:31:32,200 Speaker 1: So the guy in charge of the World Health Organization 636 00:31:32,600 --> 00:31:35,840 Speaker 1: thought this was going to fail, and because the Americans 637 00:31:35,840 --> 00:31:39,239 Speaker 1: had pushed it, he wanted an American leading it so 638 00:31:39,280 --> 00:31:42,120 Speaker 1: that when it failed, the blame would fall on the Americans. 639 00:31:42,320 --> 00:31:46,440 Speaker 2: Wow, the politics, the politicist. So but tell us who 640 00:31:46,480 --> 00:31:49,040 Speaker 2: is Dea Henderson. Now he's appeared in our story. But 641 00:31:49,280 --> 00:31:50,520 Speaker 2: what's he been doing this whole time? 642 00:31:50,680 --> 00:31:53,240 Speaker 1: Yeah, so he's been studying public health. He was working 643 00:31:53,360 --> 00:31:55,960 Speaker 1: at the CDC on that project where they were trying 644 00:31:56,000 --> 00:32:00,000 Speaker 1: to eradicate smallpox and measles. And it turns out he's 645 00:32:00,000 --> 00:32:04,480 Speaker 1: it's just really great at organizing stuff. He's a really 646 00:32:04,520 --> 00:32:08,400 Speaker 1: great administrator, and he is really good at like cutting 647 00:32:08,440 --> 00:32:13,080 Speaker 1: through the bullsh and just getting stuff done. And he 648 00:32:13,120 --> 00:32:16,239 Speaker 1: sort of gets a really good reputation for being a 649 00:32:16,240 --> 00:32:17,600 Speaker 1: person who makes things happen. 650 00:32:17,720 --> 00:32:20,560 Speaker 2: And it's fascinating that this is basically the obstacle, right, Like, 651 00:32:20,600 --> 00:32:22,960 Speaker 2: at this point, we have the technology, We even have 652 00:32:23,000 --> 00:32:26,040 Speaker 2: the engineering to manufacture these things so they're simple and 653 00:32:26,160 --> 00:32:28,720 Speaker 2: cheap and robust. He's just a question of like getting 654 00:32:28,800 --> 00:32:31,200 Speaker 2: all these things to all the arms in the world. Right, 655 00:32:31,200 --> 00:32:33,840 Speaker 2: it's really just a paperwork and organization. 656 00:32:34,000 --> 00:32:36,880 Speaker 1: Yeah, it's paperwork and organization, but it's also like the 657 00:32:36,960 --> 00:32:39,600 Speaker 1: cleverness to think through the right system. So initially the 658 00:32:39,640 --> 00:32:43,480 Speaker 1: thought was, you know what if we can vaccinate eighty 659 00:32:43,520 --> 00:32:46,560 Speaker 1: percent of the people in the countries where you're still 660 00:32:46,600 --> 00:32:50,120 Speaker 1: getting smallpox, right, we'll get what's called herd immunity. And 661 00:32:50,160 --> 00:32:53,520 Speaker 1: the idea is that there's enough people who are resistant 662 00:32:53,600 --> 00:32:56,120 Speaker 1: to the disease that it will run out of people 663 00:32:56,160 --> 00:32:59,120 Speaker 1: can infect and it'll fizzle out. But it turned out 664 00:32:59,160 --> 00:33:02,200 Speaker 1: eighty percent just wasn't high enough. There were still there 665 00:33:02,240 --> 00:33:05,040 Speaker 1: were enough people being born, especially in places like India, 666 00:33:05,080 --> 00:33:08,480 Speaker 1: where population density is really high, that this herd immunity 667 00:33:08,480 --> 00:33:09,920 Speaker 1: at eighty percent wasn't doing the. 668 00:33:09,880 --> 00:33:12,360 Speaker 2: Trick walking me through the thinking here. So even if 669 00:33:12,400 --> 00:33:14,800 Speaker 2: you have twenty percent of the population that still is 670 00:33:14,840 --> 00:33:18,520 Speaker 2: susceptible to smallpox, they're like surrounded by a buffer of 671 00:33:18,560 --> 00:33:21,320 Speaker 2: people who are immune, and so the disease just like 672 00:33:21,360 --> 00:33:24,080 Speaker 2: fizzles out because it can't jump into another host. How 673 00:33:24,160 --> 00:33:26,520 Speaker 2: do you calculate that eighty percent number? Doesn't it depend 674 00:33:26,560 --> 00:33:29,760 Speaker 2: on like density and interactions and all sorts of stuff. 675 00:33:29,880 --> 00:33:32,400 Speaker 1: Everything you said is correct. Oh yeah, they started off 676 00:33:32,440 --> 00:33:35,040 Speaker 1: thinking eighty percent was going to be enough, and then 677 00:33:35,280 --> 00:33:37,640 Speaker 1: when they actually started observing things out there, they would 678 00:33:37,720 --> 00:33:40,640 Speaker 1: hit eighty percent, and the disease still had plenty of 679 00:33:40,680 --> 00:33:44,000 Speaker 1: people to infect, plenty of new babies being born, and 680 00:33:44,040 --> 00:33:47,640 Speaker 1: it could still it's so contagious that that twenty percent 681 00:33:47,800 --> 00:33:51,160 Speaker 1: that were left, ye, were enough to keep that disease going. 682 00:33:51,400 --> 00:33:53,880 Speaker 2: Because if I had to calculate this, like eighty percent 683 00:33:53,960 --> 00:33:55,720 Speaker 2: seems like, I don't know, it's a reasonable figure, But 684 00:33:55,880 --> 00:33:57,480 Speaker 2: if I had to estimate it, I would have guessed 685 00:33:57,480 --> 00:34:00,320 Speaker 2: like ninety nine points something. Yeah, because as it is 686 00:34:00,360 --> 00:34:04,120 Speaker 2: an infectious disease, right, and it came from one origin, right, 687 00:34:04,160 --> 00:34:06,600 Speaker 2: so in principle, one person with it still out there 688 00:34:06,640 --> 00:34:07,680 Speaker 2: could infect new. 689 00:34:07,560 --> 00:34:10,800 Speaker 1: People absolutely, and so that ended up being the reality 690 00:34:10,800 --> 00:34:12,959 Speaker 1: on the ground was that eighty percent was not enough, 691 00:34:13,000 --> 00:34:15,239 Speaker 1: and there was some discussion about, well, maybe if we 692 00:34:15,560 --> 00:34:17,440 Speaker 1: kick it up to ninety percent, and so, you know, 693 00:34:17,480 --> 00:34:20,000 Speaker 1: part of it I think is well, what number do 694 00:34:20,040 --> 00:34:22,799 Speaker 1: we think mathematically will work, and then another part of 695 00:34:22,800 --> 00:34:26,280 Speaker 1: it is well, what realistically could we accomplish. And another 696 00:34:26,320 --> 00:34:28,400 Speaker 1: problem they were experiencing was like, so you know, the 697 00:34:28,440 --> 00:34:31,440 Speaker 1: Soviets were donating a lot of vaccine, but a lot 698 00:34:31,480 --> 00:34:33,880 Speaker 1: of the vaccine they were donating was low quality and 699 00:34:34,000 --> 00:34:37,360 Speaker 1: wasn't working, and so that was also causing them some problems. 700 00:34:37,360 --> 00:34:39,440 Speaker 1: And what they ended up deciding was that, like, look 701 00:34:39,480 --> 00:34:42,960 Speaker 1: for this disease in particular, hitting some percentage is not 702 00:34:43,000 --> 00:34:45,480 Speaker 1: going to work. So what they did was they vaccinate 703 00:34:45,520 --> 00:34:47,879 Speaker 1: as many people as they could, and then they would 704 00:34:47,920 --> 00:34:51,399 Speaker 1: do contact tracing, so essentially they would wait to hear 705 00:34:51,840 --> 00:34:54,600 Speaker 1: if someone got infected, and when they got the message 706 00:34:54,600 --> 00:34:57,520 Speaker 1: that there was an infected person in some city, some village, 707 00:34:57,560 --> 00:35:01,680 Speaker 1: some herding community, they would go out there. They would 708 00:35:01,880 --> 00:35:04,680 Speaker 1: lock down that person, they would figure out everybody that 709 00:35:04,719 --> 00:35:08,239 Speaker 1: person had interacted with, and then who those people. 710 00:35:08,120 --> 00:35:09,960 Speaker 2: They would kill them and they would kill them. 711 00:35:10,280 --> 00:35:12,840 Speaker 1: No, and no, they. 712 00:35:12,320 --> 00:35:14,239 Speaker 2: Would send them to a farm where they can run 713 00:35:14,280 --> 00:35:15,600 Speaker 2: and jump all day long. 714 00:35:15,840 --> 00:35:18,880 Speaker 1: No, no, it was much nicer than they would offer 715 00:35:18,920 --> 00:35:20,160 Speaker 1: them free vaccines. 716 00:35:20,560 --> 00:35:23,000 Speaker 2: Oh okay, yes, but they've already been infected, right. 717 00:35:22,880 --> 00:35:25,920 Speaker 1: Well maybe yes, maybe no. And so you know, just 718 00:35:25,960 --> 00:35:29,719 Speaker 1: because you have encountered somebody doesn't necessarily mean you got infected. 719 00:35:30,120 --> 00:35:31,879 Speaker 1: And then also to try to make sure, like if 720 00:35:31,880 --> 00:35:33,799 Speaker 1: those people did get infected, you want to make sure 721 00:35:33,840 --> 00:35:35,600 Speaker 1: that they don't pass it to other people. And so 722 00:35:35,719 --> 00:35:39,319 Speaker 1: you not only vaccinate the first group of people who 723 00:35:39,400 --> 00:35:42,480 Speaker 1: you think contacted the initial infected person you know of, 724 00:35:42,840 --> 00:35:46,280 Speaker 1: you also vaccinate all of the contacts of those people. 725 00:35:46,840 --> 00:35:49,360 Speaker 1: And in this way you make the most use of 726 00:35:49,400 --> 00:35:52,319 Speaker 1: your vaccine, and you like take the oxygen out of 727 00:35:52,360 --> 00:35:53,799 Speaker 1: the fire that could have started there. 728 00:35:54,239 --> 00:35:56,160 Speaker 2: So you're pouring water on all the embers just to 729 00:35:56,239 --> 00:35:57,920 Speaker 2: make sure they don't spread uncontrolled. 730 00:35:58,080 --> 00:36:00,479 Speaker 1: Yes, exactly. And one of the things that we lucked 731 00:36:00,480 --> 00:36:02,880 Speaker 1: out with is you know, like with a disease like syphilis, 732 00:36:02,880 --> 00:36:06,240 Speaker 1: there's also a sort of moral judgment that gets passed 733 00:36:06,560 --> 00:36:09,520 Speaker 1: on the person who gets infected smallpox didn't have that 734 00:36:09,640 --> 00:36:12,360 Speaker 1: kind of moral judgment, and so people were more likely 735 00:36:12,840 --> 00:36:15,040 Speaker 1: to come forward if they had a case, they would 736 00:36:15,040 --> 00:36:18,040 Speaker 1: be less likely to hide it. And in some cases 737 00:36:18,080 --> 00:36:20,640 Speaker 1: and in some countries, to try to really encourage people 738 00:36:20,680 --> 00:36:23,080 Speaker 1: to come forward or to encourage people to rat out 739 00:36:23,120 --> 00:36:26,120 Speaker 1: other people, we would offer monetary rewards. 740 00:36:26,360 --> 00:36:29,479 Speaker 2: Listen to you using the word rat in a negative way. 741 00:36:29,680 --> 00:36:32,640 Speaker 2: Oh maybe, I mean language, This is where it comes from, Kelly. 742 00:36:32,760 --> 00:36:34,600 Speaker 2: You're propagating anti rat bigotry. 743 00:36:35,040 --> 00:36:37,239 Speaker 1: Thank you so much for pointing that out. I will 744 00:36:37,280 --> 00:36:38,800 Speaker 1: work on doing a better job. 745 00:36:39,120 --> 00:36:40,440 Speaker 2: You need to be in a rat ally. 746 00:36:40,600 --> 00:36:42,960 Speaker 1: I mean really, I think of myself as a rat 747 00:36:43,000 --> 00:36:44,919 Speaker 1: ally as long as they're not in my chicken coop. 748 00:36:46,600 --> 00:36:49,320 Speaker 1: I didn't like them there anyway. 749 00:36:49,360 --> 00:36:50,560 Speaker 2: But this is a good point where we need to 750 00:36:50,680 --> 00:36:52,799 Speaker 2: know where the outbreaks are and we can only know 751 00:36:52,800 --> 00:36:56,000 Speaker 2: that if people report. So it's important that people are 752 00:36:56,040 --> 00:36:56,680 Speaker 2: not embarrassed. 753 00:36:56,719 --> 00:36:59,040 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, that's right. It's important that people aren't embarrassed. 754 00:36:59,040 --> 00:37:00,640 Speaker 1: And the other thing that I think what's important to 755 00:37:00,719 --> 00:37:04,920 Speaker 1: learn here is they learned over the course of the 756 00:37:04,960 --> 00:37:07,959 Speaker 1: work that they were doing, and they adjusted the way 757 00:37:08,000 --> 00:37:10,440 Speaker 1: that they were working. You know, so when you're doing science, 758 00:37:10,480 --> 00:37:13,200 Speaker 1: so often you start off with one plan and then 759 00:37:13,280 --> 00:37:15,640 Speaker 1: when the rubber hits the road, you need to be like, 760 00:37:15,800 --> 00:37:18,680 Speaker 1: this isn't working. What can we do that's better? And 761 00:37:18,760 --> 00:37:22,240 Speaker 1: so they adjusted and man, this is an amazing story 762 00:37:22,280 --> 00:37:25,759 Speaker 1: of people adjusting to so many different conditions. 763 00:37:25,840 --> 00:37:26,360 Speaker 2: For example. 764 00:37:26,440 --> 00:37:28,800 Speaker 1: For example, so when the World Health Organization decided that 765 00:37:28,800 --> 00:37:30,880 Speaker 1: they were going to really try to eradicate this disease, 766 00:37:31,440 --> 00:37:34,120 Speaker 1: it was still pretty common in about thirty one different 767 00:37:34,120 --> 00:37:38,560 Speaker 1: countries and there were a lot of complicated things happening 768 00:37:38,560 --> 00:37:40,879 Speaker 1: in those countries. So, for example, they had wiped out 769 00:37:40,880 --> 00:37:45,200 Speaker 1: smallpox in Bangladesh and then partition happened and the war 770 00:37:45,320 --> 00:37:48,800 Speaker 1: broke out between Pakistan and Bangladesh. And when that happened, 771 00:37:48,920 --> 00:37:53,279 Speaker 1: Bangladeshis crossed the border into India en mass where they 772 00:37:53,360 --> 00:37:57,920 Speaker 1: picked up smallpox again refugee camps, yes, And then India 773 00:37:57,960 --> 00:38:02,000 Speaker 1: went in and kicked out the Pakistanis and the Bangladeshis 774 00:38:02,040 --> 00:38:05,080 Speaker 1: went back home and they brought smallpox with them. 775 00:38:05,280 --> 00:38:05,759 Speaker 2: Oh boy. 776 00:38:05,880 --> 00:38:07,880 Speaker 1: So the World Health Organization was in there and they 777 00:38:07,880 --> 00:38:10,879 Speaker 1: were trying to keep people from getting smallpox and trying 778 00:38:10,880 --> 00:38:12,880 Speaker 1: to contain it as it moved back into a country, 779 00:38:13,160 --> 00:38:15,240 Speaker 1: but there were a number of different cases where civil 780 00:38:15,280 --> 00:38:18,160 Speaker 1: wars or wars of one sort or another would break out, 781 00:38:18,719 --> 00:38:21,200 Speaker 1: and there were people who were trying to eradicate smallpox 782 00:38:21,200 --> 00:38:24,000 Speaker 1: who would sort of die through this process. But they were, 783 00:38:24,040 --> 00:38:25,880 Speaker 1: you know, doing the best they could to figure out, 784 00:38:25,920 --> 00:38:28,839 Speaker 1: like how do you vaccinate people when you have all 785 00:38:28,880 --> 00:38:31,360 Speaker 1: of these refugees moving from one place to another, and 786 00:38:31,360 --> 00:38:33,960 Speaker 1: how do you track things? But amazingly they did it. 787 00:38:34,360 --> 00:38:36,440 Speaker 1: And then there were a couple cases where, you know, 788 00:38:36,520 --> 00:38:39,919 Speaker 1: we talked about how there's not really a stigma around smallpox, 789 00:38:40,400 --> 00:38:43,000 Speaker 1: there was a stigma around being a nation that still 790 00:38:43,040 --> 00:38:46,080 Speaker 1: had smallpox in an era where it was being eradicated. 791 00:38:46,520 --> 00:38:49,680 Speaker 1: So there was a setback. In nineteen seventy one, Iran 792 00:38:49,840 --> 00:38:52,400 Speaker 1: got a case of smallpox, but they didn't want anybody 793 00:38:52,400 --> 00:38:55,400 Speaker 1: to know because they wanted to commemorate the two thy, 794 00:38:55,560 --> 00:39:00,600 Speaker 1: five hundredth anniversary of the Persian Empire. So the Iranian 795 00:39:00,640 --> 00:39:03,120 Speaker 1: government wanted to have this big celebration. But you don't 796 00:39:03,160 --> 00:39:05,879 Speaker 1: want people from all over the world descending on your 797 00:39:05,880 --> 00:39:09,200 Speaker 1: country if you have smallpox. Yeah, and so they were 798 00:39:09,239 --> 00:39:12,680 Speaker 1: trying to eradicate it with a mass vaccine campaign sort 799 00:39:12,719 --> 00:39:15,920 Speaker 1: of kept on the down low, but their stocks were 800 00:39:15,920 --> 00:39:18,680 Speaker 1: of poor quality and it wasn't working. So the World 801 00:39:18,719 --> 00:39:22,080 Speaker 1: Health Organization eventually got involved. They brought their better freeze 802 00:39:22,120 --> 00:39:24,880 Speaker 1: dried vaccine and they managed to wipe it out. But 803 00:39:24,920 --> 00:39:27,479 Speaker 1: there were all of these cases of like things came up, 804 00:39:27,920 --> 00:39:29,680 Speaker 1: and you know, I can just imagine that if I 805 00:39:29,760 --> 00:39:32,759 Speaker 1: was at the World Health Organization at smallpox broke out, 806 00:39:32,840 --> 00:39:36,040 Speaker 1: and it was because some countries rulers were like trying 807 00:39:36,080 --> 00:39:38,239 Speaker 1: to make sure I didn't find out about it. Man, 808 00:39:38,239 --> 00:39:39,880 Speaker 1: at some point you got to be like, how are 809 00:39:39,880 --> 00:39:41,600 Speaker 1: we ever going to do this? Like this is never 810 00:39:41,640 --> 00:39:44,719 Speaker 1: going to happen. I quit, amazing, But Dea Henderson never quit. 811 00:39:44,760 --> 00:39:47,200 Speaker 1: He just kept going and it's amazing. 812 00:39:47,440 --> 00:39:49,799 Speaker 2: And what was he like as a bureaucrat? Was he 813 00:39:49,920 --> 00:39:52,759 Speaker 2: like a rule follower? Was he like a tyrant? 814 00:39:53,520 --> 00:39:56,239 Speaker 1: He was not a rule follower. If you read the 815 00:39:56,280 --> 00:39:59,200 Speaker 1: book that he wrote about eradicating smallpox, it is mostly 816 00:39:59,239 --> 00:40:01,120 Speaker 1: a story about how he was told to do one 817 00:40:01,160 --> 00:40:02,240 Speaker 1: thing and he did another. 818 00:40:04,239 --> 00:40:06,040 Speaker 2: And that's how you get stuff done, folks. 819 00:40:06,160 --> 00:40:08,160 Speaker 1: Well that's how he got this done. And you know, 820 00:40:08,200 --> 00:40:12,080 Speaker 1: each different nations would have different bureaucracies that you had 821 00:40:12,080 --> 00:40:15,200 Speaker 1: to understand or route around. So, for example, there were 822 00:40:15,280 --> 00:40:18,400 Speaker 1: instances where he had to send mail through an intermediary 823 00:40:18,480 --> 00:40:21,600 Speaker 1: and he wouldn't get a response back on a timescale 824 00:40:21,680 --> 00:40:25,600 Speaker 1: that was useful for trying to attack an outbreak. And 825 00:40:25,680 --> 00:40:27,919 Speaker 1: so even though he was supposed to send the mail 826 00:40:27,960 --> 00:40:31,040 Speaker 1: through an intermediary, he started sending the mail to the 827 00:40:31,080 --> 00:40:33,840 Speaker 1: intermediary at the same time as he sent it directly 828 00:40:33,880 --> 00:40:36,360 Speaker 1: to the other person. And he knew he wasn't supposed 829 00:40:36,360 --> 00:40:37,920 Speaker 1: to do that, but there were all sorts of cases 830 00:40:37,920 --> 00:40:40,160 Speaker 1: where he was like, look, if I don't break this rule, 831 00:40:40,360 --> 00:40:43,000 Speaker 1: we are not eradicating small box. So I'm doing it. 832 00:40:43,080 --> 00:40:45,799 Speaker 1: And so yeah, he was he was a bit of 833 00:40:45,840 --> 00:40:46,360 Speaker 1: a character. 834 00:40:48,800 --> 00:40:51,480 Speaker 2: Well, sometimes you got to break a few constitutional eggs 835 00:40:51,480 --> 00:40:54,600 Speaker 2: to make me Onlet right, and so let's take a break, 836 00:40:54,600 --> 00:40:56,840 Speaker 2: and when we come back, we'll hear about the last 837 00:40:56,960 --> 00:41:01,160 Speaker 2: gasps of smallpox, eradicating it finally and string humans from 838 00:41:01,200 --> 00:41:23,720 Speaker 2: that suffering. All right, we're back, and we're hearing about 839 00:41:23,719 --> 00:41:28,399 Speaker 2: the story of smallpox, humanity's victory over the microbe. So 840 00:41:28,560 --> 00:41:30,839 Speaker 2: we're near the end of this. Tell us what were 841 00:41:30,840 --> 00:41:33,400 Speaker 2: the last battles in eradicating smallpox? 842 00:41:33,600 --> 00:41:35,800 Speaker 1: So towards the end India still had about sixty percent 843 00:41:35,880 --> 00:41:38,520 Speaker 1: of the remaining cases. There's a lot of people in India. 844 00:41:38,600 --> 00:41:41,800 Speaker 1: That density and the fact that this country is huge 845 00:41:42,200 --> 00:41:45,440 Speaker 1: made it really hard to eradicate. And as we mentioned, 846 00:41:45,440 --> 00:41:48,400 Speaker 1: there was that conflict happening with Pakistan and Bangladesh. There 847 00:41:48,400 --> 00:41:51,200 Speaker 1: were people crossing borders. It was getting really hard to 848 00:41:51,239 --> 00:41:54,120 Speaker 1: get this stuff under control. Additionally, there was an issue 849 00:41:54,160 --> 00:41:57,360 Speaker 1: because there was a small community who had a religious 850 00:41:57,440 --> 00:42:00,960 Speaker 1: leader that was refusing the vaccine and was refusing the 851 00:42:01,040 --> 00:42:03,960 Speaker 1: vaccine for the rest of the community as well. So 852 00:42:04,000 --> 00:42:06,359 Speaker 1: we talked earlier about like, you know, what, what do 853 00:42:06,400 --> 00:42:08,280 Speaker 1: you do in this case? Like so, at this point, 854 00:42:08,600 --> 00:42:12,239 Speaker 1: almost all the countries in the world had smallpox eliminated. 855 00:42:12,520 --> 00:42:15,319 Speaker 1: They were closing in on being able to eradicate this 856 00:42:15,400 --> 00:42:18,760 Speaker 1: disease which has killed millions of people millions of people 857 00:42:18,760 --> 00:42:21,320 Speaker 1: in our history for thousands of years yea for thousands 858 00:42:21,320 --> 00:42:24,040 Speaker 1: of years. And so the question is do you respect 859 00:42:24,080 --> 00:42:28,560 Speaker 1: this religious leader's desire to not get the vaccine when 860 00:42:28,800 --> 00:42:31,840 Speaker 1: it has been documented that smallpox cases are popping up 861 00:42:31,920 --> 00:42:34,800 Speaker 1: in this community and are then spreading to surrounding regions. 862 00:42:34,800 --> 00:42:37,040 Speaker 1: And so this is not something that will burn out 863 00:42:37,080 --> 00:42:39,800 Speaker 1: on its own this has been causing problems that are spreading. 864 00:42:40,320 --> 00:42:42,919 Speaker 1: And what they end up deciding they need to do 865 00:42:43,880 --> 00:42:47,160 Speaker 1: is they essentially pin the religious leader down and vaccinate 866 00:42:47,239 --> 00:42:51,360 Speaker 1: him wow, against his will. And once he's vaccinated, he 867 00:42:51,400 --> 00:42:54,920 Speaker 1: says something to the effect of, all right, well I 868 00:42:54,920 --> 00:42:57,080 Speaker 1: guess that was God's will. Everybody else should ge vaccinated 869 00:42:57,080 --> 00:43:01,560 Speaker 1: to that's a good handle, yeah, I guess, and so 870 00:43:02,400 --> 00:43:05,560 Speaker 1: but yeah, so there were some very difficult ethical questions. 871 00:43:05,600 --> 00:43:07,279 Speaker 1: I think in general, what they would try to do 872 00:43:07,520 --> 00:43:10,239 Speaker 1: is they would in every country where they started a 873 00:43:10,280 --> 00:43:14,160 Speaker 1: program for eradication, they would try to find local medical 874 00:43:14,200 --> 00:43:16,880 Speaker 1: people and get them on board and have talked to 875 00:43:16,920 --> 00:43:19,960 Speaker 1: them about how the vaccine worked and help them talk 876 00:43:20,000 --> 00:43:22,840 Speaker 1: to the community so that people could have their questions answered. 877 00:43:23,320 --> 00:43:25,280 Speaker 1: And this could be done in the most like ethical, 878 00:43:26,000 --> 00:43:29,560 Speaker 1: not like pushy way possible. But at the end there, 879 00:43:30,160 --> 00:43:31,560 Speaker 1: I don't think there were a lot of cases where 880 00:43:31,560 --> 00:43:34,480 Speaker 1: people were pinned down and vaccinated, but at the end 881 00:43:34,520 --> 00:43:37,160 Speaker 1: there they were like, look, we are closing all the loops. 882 00:43:37,400 --> 00:43:40,760 Speaker 2: Yeah. Well, it's a fascinating question and a real puzzle 883 00:43:40,960 --> 00:43:44,200 Speaker 2: for policymakers, right how to deal with these things and 884 00:43:44,200 --> 00:43:46,440 Speaker 2: their arguments for it on both sides. Right, it's clearly 885 00:43:46,440 --> 00:43:50,040 Speaker 2: a balance between like public good and individual freedom. Yeah right, 886 00:43:50,160 --> 00:43:52,439 Speaker 2: It's not clear where to draw that line, and it's 887 00:43:52,440 --> 00:43:55,960 Speaker 2: different in every case. And I'm a philosopher or an ethicist. 888 00:43:56,320 --> 00:43:59,440 Speaker 2: You know, imagine somebody is like walking around shooting guns 889 00:43:59,480 --> 00:44:02,239 Speaker 2: out them directions in public areas. You'd be like, yeah, 890 00:44:02,239 --> 00:44:05,479 Speaker 2: that's not allowed. That's clearly over the line. You could 891 00:44:05,520 --> 00:44:07,840 Speaker 2: make the argument that, you know, walking around spreading a 892 00:44:07,840 --> 00:44:10,640 Speaker 2: disease is similar to that, And so I'm not making 893 00:44:10,640 --> 00:44:13,920 Speaker 2: that argument. I don't want to be authoritarian about lockdowns whatever. 894 00:44:13,960 --> 00:44:16,120 Speaker 2: I know this is a really touchy subject. Yeah, I 895 00:44:16,160 --> 00:44:18,280 Speaker 2: just want to highlight that there's never an easy answer 896 00:44:18,320 --> 00:44:19,800 Speaker 2: here for public health officials. 897 00:44:19,960 --> 00:44:22,120 Speaker 1: You know, so many times during COVID I would hear 898 00:44:22,160 --> 00:44:25,799 Speaker 1: people complaining about how things were being managed, and my 899 00:44:25,880 --> 00:44:28,920 Speaker 1: response every time was, I am so glad I'm not 900 00:44:28,960 --> 00:44:31,479 Speaker 1: in charge right now. Like me too, I would hate 901 00:44:31,520 --> 00:44:34,400 Speaker 1: to make these decisions because you know, lives are on 902 00:44:34,440 --> 00:44:38,120 Speaker 1: the line. Every decision that you make has a downside 903 00:44:38,280 --> 00:44:40,320 Speaker 1: no matter what you do, and even if you do nothing, 904 00:44:40,360 --> 00:44:42,319 Speaker 1: then you're sort of still on the hook for a 905 00:44:42,320 --> 00:44:43,080 Speaker 1: bunch of deaths. 906 00:44:43,239 --> 00:44:46,080 Speaker 2: And the scientific understanding is evolving, right, Like, we don't 907 00:44:46,160 --> 00:44:48,840 Speaker 2: understand how is this spread, what works, what doesn't work. 908 00:44:49,200 --> 00:44:51,920 Speaker 2: And as we were saying earlier, you need clear policies, right, 909 00:44:51,960 --> 00:44:54,680 Speaker 2: you can't always convey like, hey, everybody, go read these papers. 910 00:44:54,760 --> 00:44:57,480 Speaker 2: Let's discuss. You know, somebody's going to make a decision 911 00:44:57,600 --> 00:45:00,520 Speaker 2: like do we close schools or not. Yeah, those are 912 00:45:00,560 --> 00:45:03,040 Speaker 2: hard decisions to make, and science informs them. But in 913 00:45:03,120 --> 00:45:05,520 Speaker 2: the end it's a political decision. Right, how do you 914 00:45:05,600 --> 00:45:08,920 Speaker 2: balance this versus that this risk versus that risk. Science 915 00:45:08,960 --> 00:45:12,120 Speaker 2: doesn't make the decisions, it just informs them. And sometimes 916 00:45:12,160 --> 00:45:15,000 Speaker 2: science is wrong, right, It's never fully settled and it's 917 00:45:15,040 --> 00:45:17,560 Speaker 2: always in flux. So yeah, wow, it's hard to be 918 00:45:17,600 --> 00:45:18,760 Speaker 2: a public health official. 919 00:45:19,360 --> 00:45:22,040 Speaker 1: Oh my gosh. Yeah, so hard and so important that 920 00:45:22,080 --> 00:45:24,480 Speaker 1: we are spending this time when there isn't a major 921 00:45:24,520 --> 00:45:27,239 Speaker 1: pandemic killing a bunch of people, that we try to 922 00:45:27,280 --> 00:45:31,080 Speaker 1: spend that time helping the public to understand science and 923 00:45:31,160 --> 00:45:34,279 Speaker 1: trying to build trust. Yeah, that we then get to 924 00:45:34,320 --> 00:45:38,120 Speaker 1: benefit from, you know, when something like that happens. But anyway, 925 00:45:38,640 --> 00:45:39,279 Speaker 1: so tell us. 926 00:45:39,160 --> 00:45:41,560 Speaker 2: About the victory. Right, So people worked in India. They 927 00:45:41,600 --> 00:45:44,640 Speaker 2: pinned down this religious leader to stamp out those last 928 00:45:44,680 --> 00:45:46,600 Speaker 2: embers was that the end of smallpox. 929 00:45:46,760 --> 00:45:49,400 Speaker 1: I believe the last case in nineteen seventy five was 930 00:45:49,480 --> 00:45:52,680 Speaker 1: a homeless person on a railway platform that they found 931 00:45:52,760 --> 00:45:56,480 Speaker 1: and they treated and quarantined and it didn't get passed. 932 00:45:56,560 --> 00:45:59,440 Speaker 1: And then Ethiopia was the last country to have smallpox. 933 00:45:59,719 --> 00:46:01,600 Speaker 1: That a little complicated because there were a lot of 934 00:46:01,600 --> 00:46:05,160 Speaker 1: nomadic herders, so it was hard to get in touch with, 935 00:46:05,320 --> 00:46:07,160 Speaker 1: you know, each herd to make sure there hadn't been 936 00:46:07,200 --> 00:46:10,600 Speaker 1: any cases of smallpox. So we had a period where 937 00:46:10,640 --> 00:46:14,080 Speaker 1: no smallpox cases were reported. We thought we had eradicated it. 938 00:46:14,480 --> 00:46:17,960 Speaker 1: We waited for an additional two years where people were 939 00:46:18,040 --> 00:46:20,840 Speaker 1: hired to like go around the world looking for cases 940 00:46:21,480 --> 00:46:24,360 Speaker 1: and like go into communities trying to find it. And 941 00:46:24,440 --> 00:46:27,040 Speaker 1: after two years of looking hard for smallpox and not 942 00:46:27,200 --> 00:46:31,040 Speaker 1: finding it, we declared in nineteen eighty that smallpox had 943 00:46:31,080 --> 00:46:36,720 Speaker 1: been eradicated. Amazing, yay. But this wouldn't be an episode 944 00:46:36,800 --> 00:46:39,600 Speaker 1: run by Kelly if there wasn't something scary at the end. 945 00:46:40,160 --> 00:46:44,759 Speaker 1: So one of the difficult things about smallpox is that 946 00:46:44,880 --> 00:46:48,839 Speaker 1: it looks like chicken pox and monkey pox, and so 947 00:46:49,000 --> 00:46:51,000 Speaker 1: when you're trying to figure out if you've eradicated it 948 00:46:51,080 --> 00:46:54,160 Speaker 1: or not. If a pox case pops up, you want 949 00:46:54,200 --> 00:46:57,480 Speaker 1: to send a sample of that virus to a lab 950 00:46:57,520 --> 00:47:00,680 Speaker 1: to confirm, Hey, this is definitely chicken pox, for example, 951 00:47:00,719 --> 00:47:05,000 Speaker 1: smallpox popping back up again. And so during this eradication procedure, 952 00:47:05,400 --> 00:47:08,920 Speaker 1: it was regularly the case that samples of the pox 953 00:47:09,440 --> 00:47:12,400 Speaker 1: were sent to labs in the Soviet Union and the 954 00:47:12,480 --> 00:47:15,160 Speaker 1: United States, and they split the case load because it 955 00:47:15,160 --> 00:47:17,880 Speaker 1: was a lot of work verifying you know, what virus 956 00:47:17,960 --> 00:47:21,560 Speaker 1: was which. But at the end of this process, a 957 00:47:21,640 --> 00:47:23,360 Speaker 1: lab in the United States and a lab in the 958 00:47:23,360 --> 00:47:29,040 Speaker 1: Soviet Union had lots of different virus samples in their freezers. 959 00:47:29,239 --> 00:47:29,840 Speaker 2: Oh I see. 960 00:47:30,280 --> 00:47:33,759 Speaker 1: So at the end of this process, the virus had 961 00:47:33,760 --> 00:47:36,920 Speaker 1: been eradicated in the wild and had been eradicated in 962 00:47:37,000 --> 00:47:40,320 Speaker 1: human bodies, but it was still existing in labs. 963 00:47:40,520 --> 00:47:43,480 Speaker 2: And Kelly at three in the morning as a new mom, 964 00:47:43,520 --> 00:47:46,080 Speaker 2: where you worried about this escaping from labs and affecting 965 00:47:46,120 --> 00:47:46,600 Speaker 2: your children. 966 00:47:46,719 --> 00:47:49,799 Speaker 1: Not initially, but as I said, in twenty fourteen, they 967 00:47:49,840 --> 00:47:53,000 Speaker 1: found some smallpox vials that were in a lab in 968 00:47:53,040 --> 00:47:56,319 Speaker 1: the US that were just in some stinking closet where 969 00:47:56,360 --> 00:48:00,239 Speaker 1: somebody had forgotten them there. And at this point we 970 00:48:00,320 --> 00:48:03,799 Speaker 1: probably don't have immunity anymore, none of us, and so 971 00:48:04,120 --> 00:48:06,480 Speaker 1: if it got out, it could spread quickly, and it 972 00:48:06,520 --> 00:48:08,600 Speaker 1: does get out of labs sometimes it does. 973 00:48:08,680 --> 00:48:10,000 Speaker 2: Are there documented cases of that? 974 00:48:10,239 --> 00:48:12,880 Speaker 1: Yeah, So in nineteen seventy eight there was a woman 975 00:48:12,920 --> 00:48:16,240 Speaker 1: who was working in a lab above a UK lab 976 00:48:16,520 --> 00:48:20,359 Speaker 1: that studied smallpox, and smallpox must have gotten into the 977 00:48:20,600 --> 00:48:23,920 Speaker 1: ventilation system and ended up in her lab and she 978 00:48:24,040 --> 00:48:28,160 Speaker 1: got smallpox and died, And so we know that sometimes 979 00:48:28,160 --> 00:48:30,440 Speaker 1: it does get out. And I think after that the 980 00:48:30,560 --> 00:48:33,440 Speaker 1: UK was like, you know what, we'll just destroy all 981 00:48:33,440 --> 00:48:37,080 Speaker 1: of our stores. But the scientific community has decided to 982 00:48:37,320 --> 00:48:40,000 Speaker 1: not get rid of all of our samples. And there's 983 00:48:40,040 --> 00:48:43,319 Speaker 1: a complicated reason why. So in nineteen seventy two, a 984 00:48:43,360 --> 00:48:46,359 Speaker 1: bunch of countries agreed, look, we're not going to try 985 00:48:46,400 --> 00:48:50,480 Speaker 1: to make biological weapons anymore. And so nations were supposed 986 00:48:50,480 --> 00:48:53,040 Speaker 1: to stop doing that kind of research, but the Soviet 987 00:48:53,120 --> 00:48:55,759 Speaker 1: Union kept doing it, and in particular, they kept doing 988 00:48:55,840 --> 00:48:59,840 Speaker 1: research on how you could weaponize smallpox. And there's some 989 00:49:00,040 --> 00:49:02,319 Speaker 1: reason to believe that they thought the US was doing 990 00:49:02,400 --> 00:49:04,000 Speaker 1: it too, and so they had to do it to 991 00:49:04,080 --> 00:49:06,960 Speaker 1: keep up. But the US wasn't doing it or at 992 00:49:07,000 --> 00:49:09,160 Speaker 1: least if the US was doing it, that has not 993 00:49:09,239 --> 00:49:12,600 Speaker 1: become public. And so the Soviet Union continued to do it. 994 00:49:12,640 --> 00:49:15,520 Speaker 1: And so around the time when there was discussions about like, okay, 995 00:49:16,000 --> 00:49:19,239 Speaker 1: all the labs that still have smallpox, we should destroy it, 996 00:49:20,040 --> 00:49:22,960 Speaker 1: this news came out that the Soviet Union had been 997 00:49:23,040 --> 00:49:25,480 Speaker 1: using it for biological weapons. And now the US didn't 998 00:49:25,480 --> 00:49:29,960 Speaker 1: want to eradicate THEIRS, because what if a biological weapon 999 00:49:30,400 --> 00:49:34,759 Speaker 1: made from smallpox does get released? If you have smallpox 1000 00:49:34,800 --> 00:49:36,840 Speaker 1: in your lab, then you've got a starting point for 1001 00:49:36,920 --> 00:49:40,239 Speaker 1: doing research to figure out how you can, you know, 1002 00:49:40,280 --> 00:49:42,960 Speaker 1: maybe make more vaccines or how you can address this. 1003 00:49:43,600 --> 00:49:46,920 Speaker 1: And so it ended up being determined that the US 1004 00:49:47,120 --> 00:49:50,000 Speaker 1: didn't want to eradicate theirs, and then the Soviet Union 1005 00:49:50,040 --> 00:49:52,400 Speaker 1: didn't want to eradicate THEIRS. And then when the Soviet 1006 00:49:52,520 --> 00:49:56,800 Speaker 1: Union fell apart, scientists who had access to the vaccines 1007 00:49:56,880 --> 00:49:58,759 Speaker 1: ended up all over the place, and there was some 1008 00:49:58,840 --> 00:50:01,279 Speaker 1: concern that, you know, a lot of the scientists during 1009 00:50:01,280 --> 00:50:03,640 Speaker 1: the fall of the Soviet Union didn't have enough money 1010 00:50:03,640 --> 00:50:06,400 Speaker 1: to feed their families. So are they selling it to 1011 00:50:06,840 --> 00:50:09,400 Speaker 1: you know, nations that might like to have smallpox to 1012 00:50:09,440 --> 00:50:12,960 Speaker 1: make their own biological weapons. And so it is still 1013 00:50:12,960 --> 00:50:17,040 Speaker 1: the case that we have these samples in our freezers 1014 00:50:17,600 --> 00:50:19,480 Speaker 1: and hopefully they never get out a lot of I mean, 1015 00:50:19,520 --> 00:50:22,680 Speaker 1: they're under many layers of security, but they're kept for 1016 00:50:22,680 --> 00:50:25,720 Speaker 1: a variety of reasons. The bio warfare stuff we talked about. Also, 1017 00:50:25,800 --> 00:50:27,960 Speaker 1: you know, maybe if monkey pocks jumps to humans in 1018 00:50:27,960 --> 00:50:30,040 Speaker 1: a way where it's even more transmissible than it has 1019 00:50:30,080 --> 00:50:32,920 Speaker 1: been in the past, maybe understanding smallpox could help us 1020 00:50:32,960 --> 00:50:35,160 Speaker 1: with that. And so there's a bunch of different science 1021 00:50:35,239 --> 00:50:38,040 Speaker 1: related reasons that we've come up with. But the point 1022 00:50:38,160 --> 00:50:42,640 Speaker 1: is smallpox still exists on this planet, and that keeps 1023 00:50:42,719 --> 00:50:43,440 Speaker 1: Kelly up at night. 1024 00:50:46,120 --> 00:50:48,640 Speaker 2: So why don't we just keep vaccinating people? Like, yeah, 1025 00:50:48,680 --> 00:50:50,799 Speaker 2: we eradicated it, but it sure would be nice to 1026 00:50:50,800 --> 00:50:53,239 Speaker 2: be immune. What's the cost of vaccination? 1027 00:50:53,800 --> 00:50:58,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, so difficult is with vaccination is another reason why 1028 00:50:58,560 --> 00:51:01,000 Speaker 1: some people argue that we need to keep smallpox around. 1029 00:51:01,080 --> 00:51:03,759 Speaker 1: So the current vaccine that we have using that cowpox 1030 00:51:04,520 --> 00:51:08,480 Speaker 1: is dangerous for people who are immunocompromised. So, for example, 1031 00:51:08,520 --> 00:51:12,080 Speaker 1: people with HIV AIDS could die if they got this vaccine. 1032 00:51:12,360 --> 00:51:14,560 Speaker 1: And so there are folks who argue, like, look, we 1033 00:51:14,600 --> 00:51:16,960 Speaker 1: need to keep smallpox around because we might be able 1034 00:51:17,000 --> 00:51:19,520 Speaker 1: to as you mentioned earlier in the show, maybe we 1035 00:51:19,560 --> 00:51:22,880 Speaker 1: could genetically modify smallpox so that we could create a 1036 00:51:22,960 --> 00:51:28,399 Speaker 1: vaccine that makes people immune to smallpox without killing people 1037 00:51:28,400 --> 00:51:32,360 Speaker 1: who are immunocompromised. And so, because we don't have a 1038 00:51:32,360 --> 00:51:35,239 Speaker 1: perfect vaccine, maybe you want to keep smallpox around in 1039 00:51:35,239 --> 00:51:37,600 Speaker 1: case you need to do more vaccine research in the future. 1040 00:51:38,280 --> 00:51:40,520 Speaker 1: To more clearly address your question, you asked, why don't 1041 00:51:40,520 --> 00:51:44,040 Speaker 1: we just vaccinate everybody? So one you'd have to always 1042 00:51:44,120 --> 00:51:47,359 Speaker 1: vaccinate everybody for a disease that isn't in circulation right now. 1043 00:51:47,360 --> 00:51:51,799 Speaker 1: That would be incredibly expensive. And this vaccine is not 1044 00:51:52,080 --> 00:51:54,919 Speaker 1: without risks, And so if you vaccinated everybody, there would 1045 00:51:54,920 --> 00:51:56,960 Speaker 1: be a subset of the population who would die from 1046 00:51:56,960 --> 00:52:01,200 Speaker 1: this vaccine every year, which seems unnecessary at a time 1047 00:52:01,280 --> 00:52:03,800 Speaker 1: when this disease is not spreading in the United States 1048 00:52:04,040 --> 00:52:04,680 Speaker 1: or in the world. 1049 00:52:04,840 --> 00:52:07,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, so there really are risks there, and you 1050 00:52:07,239 --> 00:52:09,600 Speaker 2: don't just want to vaccinate people, yeah. 1051 00:52:09,320 --> 00:52:12,360 Speaker 1: Just for the heck of it. Although, man, in twenty fourteen, 1052 00:52:12,400 --> 00:52:14,799 Speaker 1: if you had told me I could vaccinate my daughter 1053 00:52:14,840 --> 00:52:17,279 Speaker 1: for smallpox, I might have. I might have gone for 1054 00:52:17,360 --> 00:52:19,040 Speaker 1: it because I was a little crazy in the middle 1055 00:52:19,080 --> 00:52:22,000 Speaker 1: of the night. I was talking to a friend who's 1056 00:52:22,040 --> 00:52:24,360 Speaker 1: in the military, and I think he said that he 1057 00:52:24,560 --> 00:52:27,000 Speaker 1: did get vaccinated for smallpox. And so I think there 1058 00:52:27,040 --> 00:52:30,600 Speaker 1: are some people working in some government job where if 1059 00:52:30,640 --> 00:52:32,799 Speaker 1: you are not immunal compromised, you might still get the 1060 00:52:32,840 --> 00:52:34,719 Speaker 1: vaccine on the off chance that you would be the 1061 00:52:34,800 --> 00:52:37,520 Speaker 1: kind of person who would encounter a bio weapon on 1062 00:52:37,600 --> 00:52:40,160 Speaker 1: the front line. But this conversation I had was like 1063 00:52:40,200 --> 00:52:42,520 Speaker 1: over a decade ago, So maybe we don't do that anymore. 1064 00:52:42,880 --> 00:52:45,200 Speaker 2: All right, Well, it's amazing what humanity can do when 1065 00:52:45,239 --> 00:52:48,799 Speaker 2: they come together and get organized and decide that we 1066 00:52:48,960 --> 00:52:50,680 Speaker 2: all have the same goal and we're going to make 1067 00:52:50,680 --> 00:52:54,279 Speaker 2: the sacrifices and used the resources necessary to achieve that goal. 1068 00:52:54,320 --> 00:52:55,000 Speaker 2: It's incredible. 1069 00:52:55,080 --> 00:52:56,719 Speaker 1: It is incredible. And so you know, when I was 1070 00:52:56,760 --> 00:53:00,520 Speaker 1: rereading da Henderson's book, and I also reread School by 1071 00:53:00,600 --> 00:53:03,800 Speaker 1: Jonathan Tucker, And while I was rereading these stories. 1072 00:53:03,560 --> 00:53:06,040 Speaker 2: I love your pronunciation of that word scurge. 1073 00:53:06,360 --> 00:53:07,160 Speaker 1: How do you say it? 1074 00:53:07,520 --> 00:53:08,160 Speaker 2: Scourge? 1075 00:53:08,320 --> 00:53:11,799 Speaker 1: Scourge? Oh? No, is it like three up prions where 1076 00:53:11,800 --> 00:53:12,600 Speaker 1: I'm saying it wrong? 1077 00:53:13,080 --> 00:53:15,400 Speaker 2: No one of us is all right. 1078 00:53:15,200 --> 00:53:19,720 Speaker 1: Well, okay, sounds good. But so, while I was reading 1079 00:53:19,760 --> 00:53:22,440 Speaker 1: those stories, you know, I was, I was getting pretty depressed. 1080 00:53:22,480 --> 00:53:24,880 Speaker 1: So I was uplifted by the fact that our species 1081 00:53:24,920 --> 00:53:28,840 Speaker 1: came together and cooperated across nations to eradicate this disease 1082 00:53:28,880 --> 00:53:31,120 Speaker 1: that had killed millions of us for thousands of years. 1083 00:53:31,360 --> 00:53:35,520 Speaker 1: But on the other hand, us AID is not around anymore, 1084 00:53:35,719 --> 00:53:38,800 Speaker 1: and the World Health Organization the United States has pulled 1085 00:53:38,840 --> 00:53:40,560 Speaker 1: out of that. And I don't want to pretend that 1086 00:53:40,560 --> 00:53:44,600 Speaker 1: the World Health Organization is without problems, because da Henderson 1087 00:53:44,640 --> 00:53:48,080 Speaker 1: complains about the bureaucracy and that organization over and over 1088 00:53:48,120 --> 00:53:52,439 Speaker 1: and over again. But he was still able to coordinate 1089 00:53:52,719 --> 00:53:55,520 Speaker 1: this effort that brought all the nations of the world 1090 00:53:55,520 --> 00:53:58,680 Speaker 1: together and brought all of our resources together, and the 1091 00:53:58,719 --> 00:54:02,480 Speaker 1: strength of this organization and with this particular person in charge, 1092 00:54:03,120 --> 00:54:05,759 Speaker 1: was able to eradicate this disease. And you know, I'm 1093 00:54:05,800 --> 00:54:09,239 Speaker 1: worried that we, you know, instead of fixing institutions that 1094 00:54:09,280 --> 00:54:12,239 Speaker 1: have problems in the United States, we're just pulling out 1095 00:54:12,320 --> 00:54:14,759 Speaker 1: of them. And I worry that the next time we 1096 00:54:14,800 --> 00:54:16,640 Speaker 1: need to coordinate, we are going to be in a 1097 00:54:16,719 --> 00:54:19,440 Speaker 1: less good position to do that. And so anyway, I was, 1098 00:54:19,480 --> 00:54:22,279 Speaker 1: on the one hand, very proud of our species for 1099 00:54:22,320 --> 00:54:25,480 Speaker 1: eradicating smallpox and a bit scared for our ability to 1100 00:54:25,520 --> 00:54:27,080 Speaker 1: do something like that again in the future. 1101 00:54:27,320 --> 00:54:29,560 Speaker 2: Well, as scientists, the best we can do is to 1102 00:54:29,600 --> 00:54:32,839 Speaker 2: help people understand how this works, what's going on, what 1103 00:54:32,880 --> 00:54:34,799 Speaker 2: do we know, what do we not know, what are 1104 00:54:34,840 --> 00:54:37,160 Speaker 2: the risks, what are the benefits? And we hope that 1105 00:54:37,160 --> 00:54:40,160 Speaker 2: that helps people be informed when they make their decisions, 1106 00:54:40,160 --> 00:54:41,919 Speaker 2: policy makers and individuals. 1107 00:54:42,080 --> 00:54:44,120 Speaker 1: Yep, yep. But to end on a high note, you know, 1108 00:54:44,160 --> 00:54:47,800 Speaker 1: I do think it's worth sitting and thinking how lucky 1109 00:54:47,840 --> 00:54:50,040 Speaker 1: we are that most of us don't have to worry 1110 00:54:50,040 --> 00:54:53,560 Speaker 1: about tuberculosis or smallpox. We can be vaccinated for measles 1111 00:54:53,560 --> 00:54:56,160 Speaker 1: and for polio. There's so many things that would have 1112 00:54:56,200 --> 00:55:00,920 Speaker 1: occupied so much time and worry for parents or you know, anyone, 1113 00:55:01,000 --> 00:55:04,239 Speaker 1: for people living in the past that you know, we 1114 00:55:04,239 --> 00:55:06,879 Speaker 1: we can forget about today. So many people have never 1115 00:55:06,920 --> 00:55:11,040 Speaker 1: thought about smallpox more than five seconds. And what a 1116 00:55:11,120 --> 00:55:12,839 Speaker 1: blessing isn't the word I'm looking for. What's the word 1117 00:55:12,840 --> 00:55:14,960 Speaker 1: I'm looking for? What a luxury that is? 1118 00:55:15,040 --> 00:55:16,960 Speaker 2: What a what a mitzvah that is? 1119 00:55:19,560 --> 00:55:22,520 Speaker 1: What a mitzvah that is? And so anyway, we are 1120 00:55:22,640 --> 00:55:24,480 Speaker 1: very lucky to live in the time we live in. 1121 00:55:24,560 --> 00:55:27,200 Speaker 2: Yeah. And also it's a testament to what humans can accomplish. Right. 1122 00:55:27,239 --> 00:55:29,560 Speaker 2: We have changed the nature of life on Earth. We've 1123 00:55:29,600 --> 00:55:33,839 Speaker 2: removed a big source of suffering and misery. Yeah, and 1124 00:55:33,880 --> 00:55:35,600 Speaker 2: that tells me that we can do more, We can 1125 00:55:35,640 --> 00:55:38,920 Speaker 2: improve lives. Science really does help us improve the quality 1126 00:55:38,920 --> 00:55:39,640 Speaker 2: of our life. 1127 00:55:40,200 --> 00:55:42,799 Speaker 1: Yay science, Yay science. Let's end on that. 1128 00:55:43,160 --> 00:55:47,000 Speaker 2: So thank you Toda Anderson for coordinating that massive international 1129 00:55:47,040 --> 00:55:48,960 Speaker 2: project to improve all of our lives, and thank you 1130 00:55:49,040 --> 00:55:51,400 Speaker 2: all for joining us on this historical tour of a 1131 00:55:51,440 --> 00:55:52,200 Speaker 2: human victory. 1132 00:55:59,120 --> 00:56:02,960 Speaker 1: Daniel and Kelly's Extraordinary Universe is produced by iHeartRadio. 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