1 00:00:02,480 --> 00:00:06,800 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. 2 00:00:09,800 --> 00:00:10,360 Speaker 2: Good morning. 3 00:00:10,400 --> 00:00:13,360 Speaker 3: I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Amy Morris. Here are the 4 00:00:13,400 --> 00:00:14,960 Speaker 3: stories we're following today. 5 00:00:15,200 --> 00:00:15,520 Speaker 4: Amy. 6 00:00:15,640 --> 00:00:19,360 Speaker 5: Stocks begin this day at all time highs following yesterday's 7 00:00:19,360 --> 00:00:23,880 Speaker 5: double dose of economic news. Inflation came in softer than expected, 8 00:00:24,160 --> 00:00:26,880 Speaker 5: and the Federal Reserve did little to offset Wall Street's 9 00:00:26,880 --> 00:00:29,840 Speaker 5: bets that interest rates will drop at least twice in 10 00:00:29,880 --> 00:00:33,080 Speaker 5: twenty twenty four. Gina Martin Adams is chief US Equity 11 00:00:33,080 --> 00:00:34,760 Speaker 5: analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence. 12 00:00:35,080 --> 00:00:38,320 Speaker 6: I think that equities are experiencing a bit of inflation relief, 13 00:00:38,400 --> 00:00:41,680 Speaker 6: so as long as CPI is continuing to accelerate, equities 14 00:00:41,720 --> 00:00:43,400 Speaker 6: feel a lot better that at the very least, the 15 00:00:43,440 --> 00:00:45,760 Speaker 6: Fed is on hold. And frankly, the Fed on hold 16 00:00:45,800 --> 00:00:48,440 Speaker 6: is the best possible outcome for stocks. At this moment, 17 00:00:48,479 --> 00:00:50,880 Speaker 6: we weren't contending with the notion that maybe the Fed 18 00:00:50,920 --> 00:00:52,280 Speaker 6: would even have to tighten again. 19 00:00:52,680 --> 00:00:55,480 Speaker 5: Bloomberg Intelligence is Gina Martin Adams notes the S and 20 00:00:55,520 --> 00:00:57,960 Speaker 5: P five hundred top to fifty four hundred for the 21 00:00:58,000 --> 00:01:01,520 Speaker 5: first time in its history. Yes marked the twenty month 22 00:01:01,560 --> 00:01:04,040 Speaker 5: anniversary of this bullmarket, and. 23 00:01:04,040 --> 00:01:07,520 Speaker 3: Nathan asked for the Fed officials dialed back their expectations 24 00:01:07,520 --> 00:01:10,200 Speaker 3: for interest rate cuts this year, although they did keep 25 00:01:10,240 --> 00:01:13,080 Speaker 3: the door open for more. Jay Powell and company also 26 00:01:13,160 --> 00:01:16,920 Speaker 3: raising their forecasts for inflation, even after better data on 27 00:01:17,000 --> 00:01:21,240 Speaker 3: consumer prizes published earlier in the day provided cause for optimism. 28 00:01:21,400 --> 00:01:23,880 Speaker 7: We don't make decisions about future meetings until we get there. 29 00:01:24,120 --> 00:01:25,880 Speaker 7: I think in terms of what we need to see, 30 00:01:26,000 --> 00:01:29,480 Speaker 7: we want to gain further confidence. Certainly, more good inflation 31 00:01:29,600 --> 00:01:32,240 Speaker 7: readings will help with that. I'm not going to be 32 00:01:32,280 --> 00:01:34,920 Speaker 7: specific about how many, because you know, really it's going 33 00:01:35,000 --> 00:01:37,399 Speaker 7: to be not just the inflationing readings, It's going to 34 00:01:37,400 --> 00:01:38,800 Speaker 7: be the totality. 35 00:01:38,240 --> 00:01:38,720 Speaker 4: Of the data. 36 00:01:39,280 --> 00:01:42,160 Speaker 3: Jay Powell and the Fed yesterday left the benchmark federal 37 00:01:42,160 --> 00:01:44,320 Speaker 3: funds right in a range of five and a quarter 38 00:01:44,360 --> 00:01:45,480 Speaker 3: percent to five. 39 00:01:45,319 --> 00:01:47,800 Speaker 5: And a half percent, and reaction is still pouring in 40 00:01:48,080 --> 00:01:51,840 Speaker 5: to that decision, along with the inflation data. Amy Jeffrey 41 00:01:51,880 --> 00:01:55,040 Speaker 5: Rosenberg is a senior portfolio manager at black Rock. 42 00:01:55,320 --> 00:01:58,000 Speaker 8: What is clear here is that having been a little 43 00:01:58,040 --> 00:02:01,680 Speaker 8: bit burned by the enthusiasm at the end of last 44 00:02:01,760 --> 00:02:05,520 Speaker 8: year and then the reversal on inflation, they're not going 45 00:02:05,600 --> 00:02:09,360 Speaker 8: to want to reverse so quickly with just one good print. 46 00:02:09,400 --> 00:02:11,040 Speaker 8: And he stated again and again. 47 00:02:11,120 --> 00:02:16,120 Speaker 5: They'll need more than just one blackrocks. Jeffrey Rosenberg says 48 00:02:16,160 --> 00:02:19,280 Speaker 5: investors risk losing out on income by staying in cash. 49 00:02:19,320 --> 00:02:22,160 Speaker 5: He says treasuries maturing in two to five years are 50 00:02:22,280 --> 00:02:23,560 Speaker 5: more attractive investment. 51 00:02:24,080 --> 00:02:26,000 Speaker 3: And it looks like the tech rally is set to 52 00:02:26,040 --> 00:02:29,200 Speaker 3: continue Today and Nasdaq futures are up three quarters of 53 00:02:29,200 --> 00:02:32,760 Speaker 3: a percent, helping fuel gains. Broadcom those shares are up 54 00:02:32,840 --> 00:02:36,720 Speaker 3: fourteen percent. The chip supplier reported quarterly results in an 55 00:02:36,760 --> 00:02:41,359 Speaker 3: annual forecast, topping estimates, lifted by robust demand for artificial 56 00:02:41,400 --> 00:02:45,320 Speaker 3: intelligence products. We get more on that from Bloomberg's Charlie Pellett. 57 00:02:45,480 --> 00:02:48,880 Speaker 2: Broadcom is a chip supplier to Apple and other big 58 00:02:48,919 --> 00:02:52,440 Speaker 2: tech companies. It said sales in the full fiscal year, 59 00:02:52,680 --> 00:02:56,720 Speaker 2: which runs through October, will be about fifty one billion dollars. 60 00:02:57,000 --> 00:03:00,720 Speaker 2: Analysts had projected about fifty point six billion. In the 61 00:03:00,800 --> 00:03:06,119 Speaker 2: race to build artificial intelligence systems has benefited semiconductor companies 62 00:03:06,240 --> 00:03:09,600 Speaker 2: like Broadcom, even though they don't sell the highly prized 63 00:03:09,639 --> 00:03:13,120 Speaker 2: AI chips that are made by Nvidia in New York. 64 00:03:13,320 --> 00:03:15,120 Speaker 2: Charlie Pellett Bloomberg. 65 00:03:14,720 --> 00:03:17,119 Speaker 5: Radio, All right, Charlie, thanks On top of that, Broadcom 66 00:03:17,160 --> 00:03:19,960 Speaker 5: also announced a ten for one stock split, and sticking 67 00:03:19,960 --> 00:03:22,800 Speaker 5: with tech, Bloomberg News has learned open Ai is on 68 00:03:22,880 --> 00:03:26,240 Speaker 5: pace for three point four billion dollars of annual revenue, 69 00:03:26,360 --> 00:03:29,520 Speaker 5: sources say CEO Sam Altman told company staff the vast 70 00:03:29,520 --> 00:03:33,359 Speaker 5: majority of that is coming from open ais products and services, and. 71 00:03:33,400 --> 00:03:36,760 Speaker 3: Shares of Tesla up almost seven percent now to key 72 00:03:36,840 --> 00:03:40,640 Speaker 3: proposals to reratify Elon Musk's pay package and to make 73 00:03:40,720 --> 00:03:43,480 Speaker 3: Texas the legal home for Tesla appear to be on 74 00:03:43,520 --> 00:03:46,760 Speaker 3: the way to passing, according to a preliminary shareholder vote. 75 00:03:46,880 --> 00:03:49,800 Speaker 3: This all started in January, when a judge in Delaware 76 00:03:49,840 --> 00:03:53,120 Speaker 3: struck down Musk's fifty six billion dollar pay package after 77 00:03:53,160 --> 00:03:56,920 Speaker 3: a shareholder challenged it as excessive. That's what Musk said 78 00:03:56,960 --> 00:03:59,640 Speaker 3: he would move the company's legal home to Texas, but 79 00:03:59,720 --> 00:04:04,440 Speaker 3: both proposals require investor support. Tesla's shareholder meeting is today 80 00:04:04,480 --> 00:04:06,280 Speaker 3: at the company's headquarters in Austin. 81 00:04:06,640 --> 00:04:08,520 Speaker 5: Turning back to Washington, Amy, it's going to be a 82 00:04:08,560 --> 00:04:12,000 Speaker 5: day to watch on Capitol Hill. Former President Donald Trump 83 00:04:12,120 --> 00:04:14,640 Speaker 5: is coming back to the nation's capital for the first 84 00:04:14,720 --> 00:04:17,919 Speaker 5: time since his felony convictions in New York last month. 85 00:04:18,120 --> 00:04:20,880 Speaker 5: Trump will be meeting with GOP lawmakers for a show 86 00:04:20,880 --> 00:04:23,839 Speaker 5: of their support. We get more from Bloomberg's Wendy Benjaminson 87 00:04:23,880 --> 00:04:27,120 Speaker 5: in Washington, he is meeting with the House Republicans and 88 00:04:27,200 --> 00:04:30,560 Speaker 5: Senate Republicans to set the policy for the rest of this. 89 00:04:30,640 --> 00:04:33,800 Speaker 9: Year and then if they win after that. I think 90 00:04:33,839 --> 00:04:36,520 Speaker 9: even if he loses, he's still and Biden as president. 91 00:04:36,839 --> 00:04:39,760 Speaker 9: Republicans in Congress will still be pushed and pulled by 92 00:04:39,839 --> 00:04:42,800 Speaker 9: Donald Trump in terms of the policy that they're going 93 00:04:42,880 --> 00:04:45,279 Speaker 9: to talk about. Right before he goes and meets with 94 00:04:45,320 --> 00:04:47,120 Speaker 9: the most powerful CEOs in the. 95 00:04:47,040 --> 00:04:51,040 Speaker 5: Country, Bloomberg's Wendy Benjamin Sin says ceo is expected to 96 00:04:51,040 --> 00:04:54,560 Speaker 5: meet with the former president today include JP Morgan, Chases, 97 00:04:54,640 --> 00:04:57,719 Speaker 5: Jamie Diamond, Jane Fraser of City Group, Bank of Americas, 98 00:04:57,760 --> 00:05:01,400 Speaker 5: Brian moynihan, and Apple CEO Tim Cook. They'll be appearing 99 00:05:01,400 --> 00:05:04,240 Speaker 5: at an event hosted by the Business Roundtable. 100 00:05:04,480 --> 00:05:07,799 Speaker 3: And crucial talks are getting underway this morning in Barry, Italy. 101 00:05:08,200 --> 00:05:10,440 Speaker 3: That is where leaders of the Group of Seven Nations 102 00:05:10,520 --> 00:05:14,080 Speaker 3: are gathering to discuss a range of issues, from confronting 103 00:05:14,200 --> 00:05:17,680 Speaker 3: China to supporting Ukraine. And there's already progress on one 104 00:05:17,760 --> 00:05:20,400 Speaker 3: score Bloomberg News has learned the G seven has agreed 105 00:05:20,440 --> 00:05:23,600 Speaker 3: on a loan structure for Ukraine using the profits from 106 00:05:23,640 --> 00:05:27,360 Speaker 3: frozen Russian assets. More on this with Bloomberg's Oliver Crook 107 00:05:27,400 --> 00:05:28,359 Speaker 3: at the summit in Bari. 108 00:05:28,640 --> 00:05:31,400 Speaker 10: We've been talking about sums at about fifty billion dollars 109 00:05:31,600 --> 00:05:34,320 Speaker 10: and what it's looking like now. The agreement that's coalescing 110 00:05:34,600 --> 00:05:36,080 Speaker 10: is will be done in the sort of form of 111 00:05:36,120 --> 00:05:37,760 Speaker 10: a loan that's going to be backed by a number 112 00:05:37,760 --> 00:05:40,120 Speaker 10: of the G seven nations, mostly by the United States, 113 00:05:40,200 --> 00:05:42,000 Speaker 10: but topped up by others, and that gets sort of 114 00:05:42,000 --> 00:05:45,039 Speaker 10: pushed out to Ukraine, and then that loan gets eventually 115 00:05:45,080 --> 00:05:48,400 Speaker 10: repaid over time with the profits from those frozen assets 116 00:05:48,400 --> 00:05:50,400 Speaker 10: that sit mostly here in Europe. 117 00:05:50,839 --> 00:05:54,359 Speaker 3: But Bloomberg's Oliver Krik reports the final technical details on 118 00:05:54,400 --> 00:05:57,720 Speaker 3: the loan structure will be ironed out after this weekend summit. 119 00:05:58,040 --> 00:06:00,640 Speaker 5: Back to markets now, Amy and a focus on short 120 00:06:00,680 --> 00:06:04,560 Speaker 5: selling amid the resurgence of the Meme stock craze. Legendary 121 00:06:04,600 --> 00:06:08,119 Speaker 5: short seller Jim Chano says a relentless bull market leaves 122 00:06:08,160 --> 00:06:11,560 Speaker 5: many companies with bloated valuations that's made it harder to 123 00:06:11,680 --> 00:06:14,880 Speaker 5: raise capital for short sellers. Still, he tells Bloomberg, short 124 00:06:14,880 --> 00:06:17,240 Speaker 5: selling could help investors in the current environment. 125 00:06:17,520 --> 00:06:19,480 Speaker 2: I've called this the golden age of fraud. So there's 126 00:06:19,560 --> 00:06:23,760 Speaker 2: just so many companies, so many companies now that are 127 00:06:23,760 --> 00:06:27,080 Speaker 2: playing games that are to try and take advantage of investors. 128 00:06:27,120 --> 00:06:28,600 Speaker 2: So we need short sellers more than ever. 129 00:06:28,800 --> 00:06:29,800 Speaker 3: Jim Chano tells us. 130 00:06:29,839 --> 00:06:32,839 Speaker 5: Even though there are opportunities to expose corporate fraud, he 131 00:06:32,880 --> 00:06:35,880 Speaker 5: does not see short selling attracting big pools of capital 132 00:06:35,960 --> 00:06:36,720 Speaker 5: anytime soon. 133 00:06:37,440 --> 00:06:40,440 Speaker 3: And frankly, we hope you don't have a beef with 134 00:06:40,600 --> 00:06:43,600 Speaker 3: this final story. And Netflix says it will air a 135 00:06:43,680 --> 00:06:46,960 Speaker 3: live hot dog eating competition on Labor Day. I know 136 00:06:47,640 --> 00:06:51,760 Speaker 3: main combatants will be Joey Chestnut and rival to Karo Kobyashi. Now, 137 00:06:51,760 --> 00:06:54,440 Speaker 3: the announcement comes just a day after Chestnut was banned 138 00:06:54,480 --> 00:06:57,760 Speaker 3: from the annual Fourth of July Nathan's famous hot dog 139 00:06:57,800 --> 00:07:00,760 Speaker 3: eating contest in Coney Island. He signed up marketing deal 140 00:07:00,760 --> 00:07:03,640 Speaker 3: with Impossible Foods. That's a plant based food company that 141 00:07:03,760 --> 00:07:09,600 Speaker 3: sells meatless hot dogs. Time out for a look at 142 00:07:09,600 --> 00:07:11,480 Speaker 3: some of the other stories making news in New York 143 00:07:11,520 --> 00:07:13,360 Speaker 3: and around the world, and for that we're joined by 144 00:07:13,400 --> 00:07:15,640 Speaker 3: Bloomberg's Michael bar Good morning, Michael. 145 00:07:15,480 --> 00:07:17,920 Speaker 11: Good morning Amy. A man in New York City is 146 00:07:18,000 --> 00:07:21,320 Speaker 11: under arrest after police pulled him over for a traffic 147 00:07:21,360 --> 00:07:24,880 Speaker 11: stop and found a cache of weapons in his vehicle. 148 00:07:25,280 --> 00:07:28,200 Speaker 11: In MYPD, Chief Jeffrey Madrid members of. 149 00:07:28,120 --> 00:07:32,600 Speaker 12: Disapartment macgun arrest, weapons arrest arrest for knives every day, 150 00:07:33,120 --> 00:07:37,760 Speaker 12: but arrest of this magnitude the amount of ammunition, NYPD 151 00:07:38,280 --> 00:07:40,840 Speaker 12: paraphernalia in the car was significant. 152 00:07:41,120 --> 00:07:44,560 Speaker 11: Chief Madre says during their search, police found a handgun, 153 00:07:44,840 --> 00:07:51,440 Speaker 11: nine loaded magazines, body armor, handcuffs, NYPD uniform items, two axes, 154 00:07:51,720 --> 00:07:55,720 Speaker 11: a stun gun, multiple knives, a weighted whip, and an 155 00:07:55,760 --> 00:08:00,320 Speaker 11: expandable baton. A tropical disturbance has brought a rare flash 156 00:08:00,360 --> 00:08:03,760 Speaker 11: flood emergency to much of southern Florida. The downpours and 157 00:08:03,800 --> 00:08:09,000 Speaker 11: subsequent flooding blocked roads and floated vehicles. Dania Beach received 158 00:08:09,000 --> 00:08:11,200 Speaker 11: about a foot of rain. According to Mayor A. J. 159 00:08:11,400 --> 00:08:15,840 Speaker 13: Ryan, I've definitely seen residents in kayaks and rafts trying 160 00:08:15,840 --> 00:08:19,640 Speaker 13: to help other residents and you know, getting outside and 161 00:08:19,680 --> 00:08:22,280 Speaker 13: assisting others, so that that's really a great thing to see. 162 00:08:22,480 --> 00:08:26,840 Speaker 11: Floridians are preparing to weather more heavy rainfall today and tomorrow. 163 00:08:27,360 --> 00:08:30,600 Speaker 11: House Republicans voted to hold Attorney General Merrick Garland in 164 00:08:30,720 --> 00:08:34,560 Speaker 11: contempt of Congress. It was for refusing to turnover audio 165 00:08:34,600 --> 00:08:38,320 Speaker 11: recordings of President Biden's interview with a Special Console during 166 00:08:38,320 --> 00:08:42,720 Speaker 11: the Classified Documents investigation. The transcripts of that interview have 167 00:08:42,920 --> 00:08:47,040 Speaker 11: already been made public, and the Special Council declined to prosecute. 168 00:08:47,200 --> 00:08:51,120 Speaker 11: Republican James Comer of Kentucky explained why he was seeking 169 00:08:51,160 --> 00:08:52,920 Speaker 11: the contempt charge against Garland. 170 00:08:53,360 --> 00:08:56,680 Speaker 1: The House of Representatives cannot serve as a necessary check 171 00:08:56,679 --> 00:08:59,640 Speaker 1: on the presidency if the executive branch is free to 172 00:08:59,679 --> 00:09:01,679 Speaker 1: ignore the House is subpoenis. 173 00:09:01,679 --> 00:09:04,760 Speaker 11: However, Democrat Jamie Raskin said the effort was the latest 174 00:09:04,760 --> 00:09:08,560 Speaker 11: in a series of unfounded Republican attacks on the Biden administration. 175 00:09:08,920 --> 00:09:11,600 Speaker 14: Holding the Attorney JOm the United States in contempt is 176 00:09:11,679 --> 00:09:16,880 Speaker 14: one more useful distraction from the complete and devastating implosion 177 00:09:17,360 --> 00:09:20,319 Speaker 14: of the Biden impeachment probe, which, of course, was the 178 00:09:20,440 --> 00:09:23,360 Speaker 14: number one priority of these talented leaders. 179 00:09:23,440 --> 00:09:26,679 Speaker 11: The vote was mostly along party lines. The Southern Baptist 180 00:09:26,760 --> 00:09:30,640 Speaker 11: Convention voted to oppose the use of in vitro fertilization. 181 00:09:31,240 --> 00:09:36,840 Speaker 11: Southern Baptists, the country's largest Protestant denomination, has almost thirteen 182 00:09:37,240 --> 00:09:41,079 Speaker 11: million church members across the US. Global news twenty four 183 00:09:41,120 --> 00:09:43,280 Speaker 11: hours a day and whenever you want it with the 184 00:09:43,280 --> 00:09:46,800 Speaker 11: Bloomberg News. Now, I'm Michael Barr, and this is Bloomberg Gaming. 185 00:09:47,080 --> 00:09:54,160 Speaker 3: All right, Thank you, Michael. Time now for our Bloomberg 186 00:09:54,200 --> 00:09:57,120 Speaker 3: Sports Update. For that, we bring in John's Dash Hour. 187 00:09:57,120 --> 00:10:00,640 Speaker 15: Our good Morning Amy. Unless the Dallas mavericke do something 188 00:10:00,679 --> 00:10:03,440 Speaker 15: never before done in the NBA playoffs, the Boston Celtics 189 00:10:03,480 --> 00:10:05,680 Speaker 15: are gonna be NBA champs for the eighteenth time no 190 00:10:05,720 --> 00:10:07,599 Speaker 15: teams come back from a three to nothing definit of 191 00:10:07,600 --> 00:10:10,880 Speaker 15: The Celtics lead the finals three zip in Dallas. They 192 00:10:10,920 --> 00:10:13,480 Speaker 15: won the third quarter thirty five to nineteen, and they 193 00:10:13,520 --> 00:10:15,520 Speaker 15: won Game three one oh six to ninety nine, and 194 00:10:15,559 --> 00:10:18,480 Speaker 15: they can finish the final sweep tomorrow. And the Celts 195 00:10:18,480 --> 00:10:20,760 Speaker 15: are now seven seven to zero on the road. In 196 00:10:20,800 --> 00:10:23,160 Speaker 15: the playoffs. They were led by their stars. Jason Tatum 197 00:10:23,200 --> 00:10:25,880 Speaker 15: scored thirty one points, Jalen Brown scored thirty. He was 198 00:10:25,920 --> 00:10:27,960 Speaker 15: happier about what he did at the other end of 199 00:10:28,000 --> 00:10:28,360 Speaker 15: the court. 200 00:10:28,520 --> 00:10:31,920 Speaker 16: That's to be in these moments and so your defensive versatility, 201 00:10:31,960 --> 00:10:34,640 Speaker 16: I mean picking guys up guard and GUYZ in the post, 202 00:10:34,679 --> 00:10:40,000 Speaker 16: switching on blocking contested threes. It's been big for us, 203 00:10:40,000 --> 00:10:43,199 Speaker 16: but we got a lot of great defenders on this team, 204 00:10:43,240 --> 00:10:44,520 Speaker 16: so it has been a four team effort. 205 00:10:44,679 --> 00:10:46,600 Speaker 15: The four tip off a moment of silence for an 206 00:10:46,679 --> 00:10:49,600 Speaker 15: NBA legend, Jerry West, passed away at eighty six. You 207 00:10:49,600 --> 00:10:52,800 Speaker 15: can make the argument no one in sports history combine 208 00:10:52,880 --> 00:10:55,320 Speaker 15: excellence as both a player and then as a front 209 00:10:55,360 --> 00:10:58,160 Speaker 15: office executive. West played fourteen years with the Lakers, who 210 00:10:58,200 --> 00:11:00,640 Speaker 15: was an All Star in all of them, ented by 211 00:11:00,679 --> 00:11:03,320 Speaker 15: playoff disappointments. He lost eight times in the finals, but 212 00:11:03,360 --> 00:11:06,840 Speaker 15: he still ended up part of nine championship teams. Yankees 213 00:11:06,880 --> 00:11:09,320 Speaker 15: finished the sway in Kansas City. This went over very early, 214 00:11:09,360 --> 00:11:11,440 Speaker 15: a six run first inning. Yanks went on to win 215 00:11:11,480 --> 00:11:13,920 Speaker 15: eleven to five, three run homers for Jose Travino and 216 00:11:13,960 --> 00:11:16,360 Speaker 15: Glaber Torres, and the Yanks had won twelve with our 217 00:11:16,400 --> 00:11:19,400 Speaker 15: last fourteen. While they were scoring eleven runs, the Mets 218 00:11:19,400 --> 00:11:22,280 Speaker 15: put up ten a ten to four city field route 219 00:11:22,280 --> 00:11:25,280 Speaker 15: of Miami. Mets had fourteen hits, hit three homers. US 220 00:11:25,360 --> 00:11:28,240 Speaker 15: opened teas off this morning at Pinehurst number two in 221 00:11:28,280 --> 00:11:31,920 Speaker 15: North Carolina. There have been three previous opens at this course, 222 00:11:31,920 --> 00:11:35,000 Speaker 15: and only four have ever finished with the score under par. 223 00:11:35,480 --> 00:11:38,680 Speaker 15: Sixty thousand Patriots fans at Gillette Stadium for the Tom 224 00:11:38,720 --> 00:11:42,000 Speaker 15: Brady ceremony a lot different than that roast they recently 225 00:11:42,080 --> 00:11:44,120 Speaker 15: had for him. Over one hundred of its former teammates 226 00:11:44,320 --> 00:11:46,600 Speaker 15: on hands. So is Bill Belichick for the three hour 227 00:11:46,679 --> 00:11:49,680 Speaker 15: long tribute. John Stashenware Bloomberg Sports. 228 00:11:49,320 --> 00:11:49,880 Speaker 16: Amy and Nick. 229 00:11:52,520 --> 00:11:56,680 Speaker 4: Coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio nationwide on Sirius XM, 230 00:11:56,760 --> 00:11:59,600 Speaker 4: and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the 231 00:11:59,600 --> 00:12:04,319 Speaker 4: Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning, I'm 232 00:12:04,360 --> 00:12:07,120 Speaker 4: Nathan Hager. Where to bet on rates now? 233 00:12:07,360 --> 00:12:10,559 Speaker 5: When the Federal Reserve is dialing back its own expectations 234 00:12:10,679 --> 00:12:14,920 Speaker 5: on cuts this year, but Chairman Jerome Powell maybe leaving 235 00:12:14,920 --> 00:12:17,320 Speaker 5: the door open for more after the latest reading on 236 00:12:17,440 --> 00:12:21,319 Speaker 5: inflation came in cooler than expected, a one two economic 237 00:12:21,400 --> 00:12:25,199 Speaker 5: punch that investors are still sorting out. Let's get some 238 00:12:25,440 --> 00:12:28,720 Speaker 5: clarity if we can now from Jennifer Lee, senior economist 239 00:12:28,840 --> 00:12:32,360 Speaker 5: at BEMO Capital Markets. Jen always great to speak with you. 240 00:12:32,440 --> 00:12:35,680 Speaker 5: So the median dots up a bit, but there's a 241 00:12:35,679 --> 00:12:38,720 Speaker 5: lot of wiggle room in there. What's the signal you're 242 00:12:38,760 --> 00:12:41,880 Speaker 5: seeing from this Federal Reserve now, well, good. 243 00:12:41,800 --> 00:12:43,640 Speaker 17: Morning and thanks for having me on. It was a 244 00:12:43,840 --> 00:12:47,680 Speaker 17: very mixed signal, but clearly I think all the set 245 00:12:47,720 --> 00:12:51,600 Speaker 17: officials are being very cautious, you know, and again I'm 246 00:12:51,600 --> 00:12:54,439 Speaker 17: going to point to all those keywords that have been 247 00:12:54,520 --> 00:12:57,320 Speaker 17: used by every central bank around the world and certainly 248 00:12:57,320 --> 00:12:59,880 Speaker 17: buy it said to your Powell yesterday about the hotel, 249 00:13:00,120 --> 00:13:02,680 Speaker 17: looking at the totality of the data, how everything is 250 00:13:02,679 --> 00:13:04,960 Speaker 17: going to be dependent on the data, and how every 251 00:13:05,000 --> 00:13:06,960 Speaker 17: decision is going to be made on a meeting by 252 00:13:07,040 --> 00:13:09,400 Speaker 17: meeting basis. I thought it's quite interesting, by the way, 253 00:13:09,400 --> 00:13:12,720 Speaker 17: when he was talking about how they had this decision 254 00:13:12,800 --> 00:13:17,880 Speaker 17: actually reflected that great that or that very encouraging macp 255 00:13:18,000 --> 00:13:20,719 Speaker 17: I figured that was released earlier in the morning, but 256 00:13:20,840 --> 00:13:22,480 Speaker 17: only like I think a couple of them or a 257 00:13:22,480 --> 00:13:24,920 Speaker 17: few of them made some tweets to their to their diets. 258 00:13:24,960 --> 00:13:27,880 Speaker 17: I think everyone wants to be very cautious before they 259 00:13:27,880 --> 00:13:30,199 Speaker 17: get too excited about rate cuts. 260 00:13:30,840 --> 00:13:32,959 Speaker 5: So you don't think that the door is open then 261 00:13:33,120 --> 00:13:36,080 Speaker 5: for a rate cut in July. I mean, we do 262 00:13:36,280 --> 00:13:38,880 Speaker 5: get a fair amount of data between now and then. 263 00:13:39,640 --> 00:13:42,280 Speaker 17: Yeah, I think, I know, I don't think it's a 264 00:13:42,840 --> 00:13:44,800 Speaker 17: I think that would be far too see like so 265 00:13:44,880 --> 00:13:48,559 Speaker 17: far for being where we have September and December and 266 00:13:48,800 --> 00:13:51,440 Speaker 17: so far we're pretty comfortable with that. I mean, certainly, 267 00:13:51,600 --> 00:13:53,720 Speaker 17: you know, we saw yesterday market. You know, there's so 268 00:13:53,760 --> 00:13:56,520 Speaker 17: much joy in who will after that? After that very 269 00:13:56,600 --> 00:13:58,760 Speaker 17: encouraging report, But there's you know, that was only two 270 00:13:58,760 --> 00:14:02,320 Speaker 17: in a row. Arguably the first one last month was 271 00:14:02,720 --> 00:14:04,400 Speaker 17: encouraging as well, but I had a very low bar 272 00:14:04,520 --> 00:14:06,920 Speaker 17: to beat, so you know, that's only really one about half. 273 00:14:06,960 --> 00:14:09,640 Speaker 17: We'll say, these CPI reports, you're going to need a 274 00:14:09,679 --> 00:14:11,199 Speaker 17: lot more than that. So I think by the time 275 00:14:11,320 --> 00:14:14,920 Speaker 17: September rolls around, and plus I should also mentioned that 276 00:14:15,000 --> 00:14:18,680 Speaker 17: we're going to have the Jackson Hole meeting as well 277 00:14:18,720 --> 00:14:21,200 Speaker 17: in August to two over as well, so I think 278 00:14:21,240 --> 00:14:23,840 Speaker 17: that will hold a little bit more importance at that 279 00:14:23,960 --> 00:14:26,800 Speaker 17: point in time, which I guess time's going to fly 280 00:14:26,840 --> 00:14:28,680 Speaker 17: by as alone in a couple of months. So I 281 00:14:28,680 --> 00:14:31,120 Speaker 17: think July is far far too early, but I think 282 00:14:31,160 --> 00:14:32,840 Speaker 17: September is still quite doable. 283 00:14:33,160 --> 00:14:35,680 Speaker 5: We also saw the FED raise its projections for where 284 00:14:35,680 --> 00:14:38,000 Speaker 5: inflation is going to come down in the next few years. 285 00:14:38,000 --> 00:14:41,359 Speaker 5: Do those projections match with what you're seeing over Bemo. 286 00:14:43,480 --> 00:14:45,560 Speaker 17: Yes, I think, you know, he sort of downplayed it. 287 00:14:45,600 --> 00:14:48,000 Speaker 17: I think you know he's saying that they're being very conservative. 288 00:14:49,160 --> 00:14:51,400 Speaker 17: I think they would rather It would be very strange 289 00:14:51,440 --> 00:14:54,240 Speaker 17: if their dots came in, you know, as they did 290 00:14:54,280 --> 00:14:57,240 Speaker 17: with only one the median, seeing only one rate cut 291 00:14:57,280 --> 00:15:02,080 Speaker 17: this year, and yet having inflation forecast coming lower. So 292 00:15:02,120 --> 00:15:03,720 Speaker 17: I think, you know, I think it would be a 293 00:15:03,840 --> 00:15:06,800 Speaker 17: very mixed message at that point. So not too shocked 294 00:15:06,840 --> 00:15:10,320 Speaker 17: to see higher inflation factoring in, and then, of course, 295 00:15:10,400 --> 00:15:12,920 Speaker 17: you know, only one rate cut this year instead of three. 296 00:15:13,280 --> 00:15:16,320 Speaker 5: What's the risk in kicking off the rate cycle sooner 297 00:15:16,360 --> 00:15:17,600 Speaker 5: than the Fed is signaling? 298 00:15:17,600 --> 00:15:17,800 Speaker 4: Now? 299 00:15:17,840 --> 00:15:21,720 Speaker 5: Why not go ahead with rate cuts sooner than the 300 00:15:21,720 --> 00:15:22,440 Speaker 5: Fed's been saying. 301 00:15:23,240 --> 00:15:26,040 Speaker 17: I think there is a risk because right now the economy, 302 00:15:26,040 --> 00:15:28,040 Speaker 17: although we have it's only been very recent that we 303 00:15:28,160 --> 00:15:33,360 Speaker 17: started seeing some slower economic figures over the last say, 304 00:15:33,360 --> 00:15:35,520 Speaker 17: a couple of weeks. So I think it's too soon, 305 00:15:35,560 --> 00:15:37,160 Speaker 17: and it's going to be it's going to appear like 306 00:15:37,160 --> 00:15:39,160 Speaker 17: they're jumping in the gun and the last thing they 307 00:15:39,200 --> 00:15:42,000 Speaker 17: want to do is put in a rate cut say, 308 00:15:42,040 --> 00:15:44,480 Speaker 17: you know, in July, for example, have the economy turn 309 00:15:44,520 --> 00:15:48,760 Speaker 17: around and reaccelerate and have inflation accelerate again, and then 310 00:15:48,800 --> 00:15:51,560 Speaker 17: the set's going to have a huge, bigger issue on 311 00:15:51,600 --> 00:15:53,960 Speaker 17: their hands, which is credibility. So I think they're going 312 00:15:54,000 --> 00:15:58,160 Speaker 17: to be very patient. 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