1 00:00:08,880 --> 00:00:12,560 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast presented by BET three 2 00:00:12,680 --> 00:00:15,520 Speaker 1: sixty five. We are part of the Action Network. Today 3 00:00:15,600 --> 00:00:20,960 Speaker 1: is the first of our Super Bowl preview episodes. I 4 00:00:21,000 --> 00:00:25,439 Speaker 1: am Chad Millman, Chief Content Officer of the Action Network. 5 00:00:25,560 --> 00:00:29,880 Speaker 1: We've got the San Francisco forty nine ers and the 6 00:00:30,000 --> 00:00:34,600 Speaker 1: Kansas City Chiefs. We've got Kyle Shanahan trying to heal 7 00:00:34,880 --> 00:00:42,360 Speaker 1: those festering old Super Bowl wounds. Twice a coach in 8 00:00:42,400 --> 00:00:45,199 Speaker 1: the Super Bowl as a coordinator and then as a 9 00:00:45,240 --> 00:00:48,960 Speaker 1: head coach giving up huge leads. Don't forget he was 10 00:00:49,000 --> 00:00:51,839 Speaker 1: the coach of the coordinator for the Falcons when they 11 00:00:51,840 --> 00:00:53,959 Speaker 1: blew that massive lead to Tom Brady and the Patriots. 12 00:00:54,240 --> 00:00:58,040 Speaker 1: He's got a quarterback who can finally execute the entirety 13 00:00:58,080 --> 00:01:02,800 Speaker 1: of his brilliant offensive scheme. Oh, he's got to beat 14 00:01:03,000 --> 00:01:06,759 Speaker 1: Andy Reid. Probably on a track to be top three 15 00:01:06,920 --> 00:01:11,440 Speaker 1: all time NFL coach Patrick Mahomes the entirety of the 16 00:01:11,520 --> 00:01:15,560 Speaker 1: Taylor Swift universe. He is not battling one team in 17 00:01:15,600 --> 00:01:21,000 Speaker 1: this game. He is battling all time greatness. In this game, 18 00:01:22,040 --> 00:01:26,880 Speaker 1: an offense that is dominated all season long is favored 19 00:01:27,240 --> 00:01:31,680 Speaker 1: against the quarterback who may already only have one legacy. 20 00:01:31,720 --> 00:01:36,160 Speaker 1: He is chasing Tom Brady. We are going to kick 21 00:01:36,200 --> 00:01:40,080 Speaker 1: off the hype machine. Also later in the show, we 22 00:01:40,120 --> 00:01:44,520 Speaker 1: will shout out some of the best listeners submissions we've 23 00:01:44,560 --> 00:01:47,920 Speaker 1: received so far in our Bet three six ' five 24 00:01:48,080 --> 00:01:51,440 Speaker 1: super Bowl prop contest. If you want a chance to 25 00:01:51,480 --> 00:01:57,000 Speaker 1: see your custom made Super Bowl prop bet posted on 26 00:01:57,040 --> 00:02:02,400 Speaker 1: Bet three sixty five, stay tuned for details in the show. Man. 27 00:02:02,640 --> 00:02:05,360 Speaker 1: That is a wind up from my bff, my co host, 28 00:02:05,400 --> 00:02:12,480 Speaker 1: my companion, Mike Capadre. Professional better signon under you know, Simon. 29 00:02:13,400 --> 00:02:16,040 Speaker 2: Chad super Bowl weeks. Baby, So good to be. 30 00:02:16,000 --> 00:02:21,280 Speaker 1: Here, dude, you are so famous. This podcast has gotten 31 00:02:21,360 --> 00:02:26,799 Speaker 1: so big. Tell everybody what just happened to you in 32 00:02:26,880 --> 00:02:29,359 Speaker 1: your tiny, tiny island of Hawaii. 33 00:02:30,160 --> 00:02:32,880 Speaker 2: I'll try to make it a quick story, but I 34 00:02:32,960 --> 00:02:36,600 Speaker 2: basically I'm a psychopath and me chat finish for our show. Sunday, 35 00:02:37,040 --> 00:02:39,640 Speaker 2: I go right into super Bowl mode and you know, 36 00:02:39,760 --> 00:02:42,079 Speaker 2: start working on the phone, start watching film, and I 37 00:02:42,160 --> 00:02:44,240 Speaker 2: basically just pull an all nighter. It's just I'm a 38 00:02:44,240 --> 00:02:46,440 Speaker 2: creature of habit. I've done it all season. I like 39 00:02:46,480 --> 00:02:50,120 Speaker 2: to stay up through Sunday night into Monday, and then 40 00:02:50,120 --> 00:02:53,959 Speaker 2: I'll eat an unhealthy amount of food that midday Monday, 41 00:02:53,960 --> 00:02:56,560 Speaker 2: and then I'll just sleep until you see me right now. 42 00:02:56,639 --> 00:02:59,080 Speaker 2: So I literally stay up and then I just sleep 43 00:02:59,120 --> 00:03:02,080 Speaker 2: from midday Monday until seven am five am depends on 44 00:03:02,080 --> 00:03:06,320 Speaker 2: our showtime Tuesday. And I always order a big meal, 45 00:03:06,480 --> 00:03:09,079 Speaker 2: and obviously I don't drive because I'm not an idiot. 46 00:03:09,120 --> 00:03:12,239 Speaker 2: I know how many people be get injured, drive and 47 00:03:12,280 --> 00:03:15,440 Speaker 2: sleep deprived. I always ordered delivery. So when I order 48 00:03:16,000 --> 00:03:19,280 Speaker 2: on my name name on the site, it's Simon H. 49 00:03:19,480 --> 00:03:22,360 Speaker 2: So I ordered food and apparently this guy is a 50 00:03:22,400 --> 00:03:25,359 Speaker 2: fan of our show. Saw this order for Simon H. 51 00:03:26,080 --> 00:03:27,960 Speaker 2: And he lives in Mawe. So he put it together 52 00:03:28,680 --> 00:03:30,799 Speaker 2: and he pulled up and he saw my car with 53 00:03:31,000 --> 00:03:34,320 Speaker 2: new Jersey license plate. So I told Chat it was funny. 54 00:03:34,320 --> 00:03:37,960 Speaker 2: When he came up, my door's open and like letting 55 00:03:37,960 --> 00:03:40,040 Speaker 2: the wind in. Instead of knocking, he just said my name, 56 00:03:40,120 --> 00:03:42,520 Speaker 2: which again is normal because it's on the back. So 57 00:03:42,560 --> 00:03:44,720 Speaker 2: I just popped out because I'm obviously who is not 58 00:03:44,800 --> 00:03:47,320 Speaker 2: excited for their food delivery. There's a few better feelings 59 00:03:47,800 --> 00:03:50,400 Speaker 2: they can finally get in your food. And turns out 60 00:03:50,400 --> 00:03:51,880 Speaker 2: he's a fan of me and Chat and our show 61 00:03:52,880 --> 00:03:54,119 Speaker 2: couldn't have been a nicer guy. 62 00:03:54,960 --> 00:03:55,160 Speaker 3: You know. 63 00:03:55,800 --> 00:03:58,520 Speaker 2: Of course remembered a couple of my bad beats, a 64 00:03:58,560 --> 00:04:00,600 Speaker 2: couple of my bad bets on the Jets and Panthers, 65 00:04:00,640 --> 00:04:02,360 Speaker 2: and wanted to bring that up and why we wanted 66 00:04:02,360 --> 00:04:05,560 Speaker 2: to bet them so bad this season. But was also 67 00:04:05,640 --> 00:04:09,040 Speaker 2: just crazy, nice guy and just pretty surreal how big 68 00:04:09,080 --> 00:04:11,320 Speaker 2: this show has gotten. So I want to give a 69 00:04:11,320 --> 00:04:14,640 Speaker 2: shout to our guy, Brian. He's a scuba diver master 70 00:04:14,720 --> 00:04:18,560 Speaker 2: instructor here in MAUI Google him, hit him up. I mean, 71 00:04:18,960 --> 00:04:20,600 Speaker 2: he seemed like a really cool dude, and he gave 72 00:04:20,640 --> 00:04:23,159 Speaker 2: me a business card and on here it says he's 73 00:04:23,160 --> 00:04:26,720 Speaker 2: certified dives and he does turtle dives, he does kayak dives, 74 00:04:26,720 --> 00:04:30,000 Speaker 2: he does shipwreck dives. He does it all so really 75 00:04:30,040 --> 00:04:32,760 Speaker 2: cool dude, and he's living all our dream chat. He 76 00:04:32,839 --> 00:04:36,360 Speaker 2: just hangs out, dives in Hawaii and bets on football. 77 00:04:36,680 --> 00:04:37,760 Speaker 2: Not a bad life. 78 00:04:38,400 --> 00:04:42,120 Speaker 1: December third, twenty three, that is the day that we 79 00:04:42,240 --> 00:04:45,800 Speaker 1: decided to bet both the Jets and the Panthers on 80 00:04:45,880 --> 00:04:50,320 Speaker 1: the same day. I will never forget it. Shout out 81 00:04:50,680 --> 00:04:55,320 Speaker 1: to all our fans in the great state of Hawaii. 82 00:04:55,880 --> 00:05:00,920 Speaker 1: I mean, that's just fantastic, not scary at all. Simon. 83 00:05:00,960 --> 00:05:03,520 Speaker 1: Over the next two weeks, we will determine once and 84 00:05:03,600 --> 00:05:06,640 Speaker 1: for all, have we learned our lesson when it comes 85 00:05:06,720 --> 00:05:11,320 Speaker 1: to betting against Patrick Mahomes as an underdog. As a 86 00:05:11,320 --> 00:05:13,920 Speaker 1: reminder of the Favorites podcast is presented by Bet three 87 00:05:13,920 --> 00:05:16,560 Speaker 1: sixty five. Bet three sixty five doesn't do ordinary. That's 88 00:05:16,560 --> 00:05:18,960 Speaker 1: why you get more boosts with them than with anyone else. 89 00:05:20,200 --> 00:05:22,760 Speaker 1: Every day they power up the odds on hundreds of 90 00:05:22,800 --> 00:05:24,599 Speaker 1: bets to give you a chance to win more. Bet 91 00:05:24,640 --> 00:05:27,839 Speaker 1: three sixty five boost specific markets, your winnings and even parlays, 92 00:05:28,400 --> 00:05:30,160 Speaker 1: and they don't stop. They are keeping out for their 93 00:05:30,160 --> 00:05:33,760 Speaker 1: biggest and best odds with the incredible super boosts. Check 94 00:05:33,760 --> 00:05:36,440 Speaker 1: out the boost and see why it's never ordinary at 95 00:05:36,440 --> 00:05:39,560 Speaker 1: Bet three sixty five. Must be twenty one or older 96 00:05:39,600 --> 00:05:46,520 Speaker 1: and present in Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana, New Jersey, Ohio, Virginia, 97 00:05:46,920 --> 00:05:50,640 Speaker 1: or eighteen and older in Kentucky. Gambling problem called one 98 00:05:50,720 --> 00:05:53,960 Speaker 1: eight hundred gambler or one eight hundred bets off in 99 00:05:54,000 --> 00:05:58,960 Speaker 1: Iowa terms. Conditions restrictions apply, and don't forget every episode 100 00:05:58,960 --> 00:06:01,000 Speaker 1: of The Favorites Live on You two. For those enjoying, 101 00:06:01,880 --> 00:06:03,800 Speaker 1: don't forget to give us a like and subscribe to 102 00:06:03,839 --> 00:06:09,159 Speaker 1: the Action Network. You to page. Look, there's one game. 103 00:06:10,160 --> 00:06:14,200 Speaker 1: It's not being played for another ten days, and right 104 00:06:14,240 --> 00:06:17,000 Speaker 1: now the Kansas City Chiefs are one and a half 105 00:06:17,040 --> 00:06:22,520 Speaker 1: point underdogs to the San Francisco forty nine Ers. Here's 106 00:06:22,520 --> 00:06:25,839 Speaker 1: a little reminder of how far we've come in terms 107 00:06:25,839 --> 00:06:31,640 Speaker 1: of coverage of betting in the media. During the championship game, 108 00:06:32,920 --> 00:06:37,320 Speaker 1: Tony Romo started talking about how if he's a bookmaker, 109 00:06:38,120 --> 00:06:43,360 Speaker 1: there's no way he's ever making Patrick Mahomes an underdog. 110 00:06:44,080 --> 00:06:47,400 Speaker 1: And yet the Chiefs opened at two and a half. 111 00:06:47,400 --> 00:06:50,279 Speaker 1: At three. For about four minutes, you got the three. 112 00:06:50,320 --> 00:06:52,159 Speaker 1: I did not went down to two and a half, 113 00:06:52,240 --> 00:06:57,960 Speaker 1: then two, then one and a half, Like it's basically 114 00:06:58,040 --> 00:07:01,200 Speaker 1: at one and a half. In holding, I've been doing research. 115 00:07:01,200 --> 00:07:03,599 Speaker 1: You've been doing research for the past thirty six hours. 116 00:07:04,720 --> 00:07:07,280 Speaker 1: We definitely do it differently. I haven't stayed up all night, 117 00:07:07,320 --> 00:07:11,240 Speaker 1: eating one meal and then gone back to bed. I 118 00:07:11,280 --> 00:07:12,840 Speaker 1: can't see any reason why I wouldn't want to bet 119 00:07:12,840 --> 00:07:13,640 Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes. 120 00:07:14,080 --> 00:07:16,640 Speaker 2: Obviously, there's a lot that goes into it. First time, 121 00:07:16,640 --> 00:07:19,080 Speaker 2: we start by saying I've heard a lot of people 122 00:07:19,120 --> 00:07:20,880 Speaker 2: complaining about this season. I don't know if you've heard 123 00:07:20,880 --> 00:07:23,080 Speaker 2: this people complaining that this season wasn't that fun and 124 00:07:23,160 --> 00:07:25,200 Speaker 2: kind of a boring season because it ended up being 125 00:07:25,640 --> 00:07:28,920 Speaker 2: forty nine Ers versus Chiefs. Come on, man, I feel 126 00:07:28,920 --> 00:07:30,440 Speaker 2: like this was such a great season. We had a 127 00:07:30,440 --> 00:07:33,200 Speaker 2: Puka and Nakua come out of nowhere, break all these 128 00:07:33,280 --> 00:07:37,120 Speaker 2: rookie receiving records. That was pretty amazing. CJ. Stroud, pretty 129 00:07:37,160 --> 00:07:40,440 Speaker 2: amazing rookie season. The fact that we had the Browns 130 00:07:40,480 --> 00:07:42,800 Speaker 2: and the Lions in the playoffs and people were kind 131 00:07:42,800 --> 00:07:45,120 Speaker 2: of scared of them was pretty amazing. I felt like 132 00:07:45,200 --> 00:07:49,800 Speaker 2: it was a great season. And the perspective of, yes, 133 00:07:49,960 --> 00:07:52,000 Speaker 2: does it suck that we're having a rematch from five 134 00:07:52,080 --> 00:07:55,520 Speaker 2: years ago instead of having the Lions versus the Chiefs. Yeah, 135 00:07:55,560 --> 00:07:57,840 Speaker 2: we all wanted the Lions there. I agree with that part. 136 00:07:57,960 --> 00:08:02,680 Speaker 2: But I love Super Bowls like people getting bogged down 137 00:08:02,720 --> 00:08:05,559 Speaker 2: because it's the same old teams that are always in there. 138 00:08:06,640 --> 00:08:09,600 Speaker 2: It's annoying to me. So, like you just talked about 139 00:08:09,960 --> 00:08:13,480 Speaker 2: the public everyone pros. I just felt like when that 140 00:08:13,520 --> 00:08:15,560 Speaker 2: we talked Sunday night, it was like, Okay, the money's 141 00:08:15,560 --> 00:08:17,560 Speaker 2: gonna come on the Chiefs. Even though the Chiefs didn't 142 00:08:17,560 --> 00:08:21,920 Speaker 2: play the perfect game. The Mahomes factor is just so 143 00:08:22,280 --> 00:08:24,920 Speaker 2: above anything else the forty Niners could have done. I 144 00:08:24,920 --> 00:08:26,760 Speaker 2: believe you know, if the Fortyniners would have blown out 145 00:08:26,840 --> 00:08:30,520 Speaker 2: and rolled the Lions, I still could see this number 146 00:08:30,560 --> 00:08:32,959 Speaker 2: moving the way it had. But the fact that the 147 00:08:33,320 --> 00:08:36,720 Speaker 2: forty nine ers back to back weeks are getting thrown 148 00:08:36,800 --> 00:08:40,440 Speaker 2: on by Jordan Love and thrown on by golf, it 149 00:08:40,520 --> 00:08:43,160 Speaker 2: makes sense, right this number would come down. I'm looking 150 00:08:43,200 --> 00:08:45,360 Speaker 2: our app right now. All the money, all the bets 151 00:08:45,440 --> 00:08:48,240 Speaker 2: jet are on the Chiefs, and you know, I talked 152 00:08:48,240 --> 00:08:50,920 Speaker 2: to a couple of professionals. They were happy to wait 153 00:08:50,960 --> 00:08:52,760 Speaker 2: it out. They like the forty nine ers. They'll let 154 00:08:52,800 --> 00:08:54,400 Speaker 2: the money come in and they'll wait and they'll come 155 00:08:54,440 --> 00:08:56,640 Speaker 2: on the other side. And a couple of them that 156 00:08:56,720 --> 00:08:58,280 Speaker 2: bit the bullet and made the bet on the forty 157 00:08:58,360 --> 00:09:01,680 Speaker 2: nine ers. So the keeps bouncing now from one and 158 00:09:01,679 --> 00:09:05,600 Speaker 2: a half to two, and it makes sense. It's like, 159 00:09:06,280 --> 00:09:08,960 Speaker 2: if you have a model, the forty nine ers are 160 00:09:08,960 --> 00:09:11,400 Speaker 2: going to be the better team. They have the more 161 00:09:11,480 --> 00:09:13,800 Speaker 2: complete team. And me and Chad both know why that is. 162 00:09:14,000 --> 00:09:16,760 Speaker 2: One team is spending twenty five percent of their money 163 00:09:16,760 --> 00:09:19,400 Speaker 2: on one quarterback. The other team has a seventh round, 164 00:09:20,400 --> 00:09:23,079 Speaker 2: last pick in the draft. Rookie contract, what does he 165 00:09:23,160 --> 00:09:26,160 Speaker 2: make a nine hundred k a year? Perty Like, it's 166 00:09:26,240 --> 00:09:29,760 Speaker 2: it's Apple's oranges, right, Like every everyone's gonna have it 167 00:09:29,800 --> 00:09:33,720 Speaker 2: constructed that the forty Niners are the better team. No 168 00:09:33,720 --> 00:09:35,800 Speaker 2: one's disagreeing with that. If you're a forty Niners fan, 169 00:09:36,000 --> 00:09:38,160 Speaker 2: that's that's what you're believing in this game. It's like 170 00:09:38,520 --> 00:09:42,160 Speaker 2: you have the better team. But me and Chad joked 171 00:09:42,160 --> 00:09:45,480 Speaker 2: about it, it's it's not that hard. We're getting Mahomes, 172 00:09:45,559 --> 00:09:48,800 Speaker 2: the dog. Mahomes is the X factor. He's the best player. 173 00:09:48,880 --> 00:09:52,800 Speaker 2: So what I've done watching the film, I really what 174 00:09:52,840 --> 00:09:54,800 Speaker 2: I was looking for in the film is what is 175 00:09:54,840 --> 00:09:58,040 Speaker 2: wrong with this forty nine Ers secondary? And I do 176 00:09:58,120 --> 00:10:01,640 Speaker 2: think Baltimore kind of the blueprint on what to do 177 00:10:01,720 --> 00:10:04,880 Speaker 2: against the secondary of forty nine ers. If you watched 178 00:10:04,880 --> 00:10:08,600 Speaker 2: since that game, different teams have attacked in the same way, 179 00:10:08,800 --> 00:10:12,360 Speaker 2: which is it's not so much running just downfield, it's 180 00:10:12,400 --> 00:10:15,440 Speaker 2: running downfield and cutting back into the middle. So they've 181 00:10:15,480 --> 00:10:17,320 Speaker 2: they pretty much have found I mean, any team can 182 00:10:17,360 --> 00:10:19,440 Speaker 2: look at it that. It's like these guys like Fred Warner, 183 00:10:19,840 --> 00:10:22,160 Speaker 2: he steps up right he's really been protecting it against 184 00:10:22,160 --> 00:10:24,400 Speaker 2: the runner of the tight end. The middle of that 185 00:10:24,480 --> 00:10:27,000 Speaker 2: open field. They don't have the best safeties this FORRTNAS team, 186 00:10:27,040 --> 00:10:28,520 Speaker 2: Like the middle of that open field has been opened. 187 00:10:28,559 --> 00:10:30,800 Speaker 2: That's why these teams have been able to move the ball. 188 00:10:30,920 --> 00:10:34,360 Speaker 2: So it's there are things where I can get where 189 00:10:34,360 --> 00:10:37,079 Speaker 2: It's like, I'm not just blindly betting the Chiefs here. 190 00:10:37,080 --> 00:10:39,880 Speaker 2: There is logic and reasoning behind it. And the biggest 191 00:10:39,880 --> 00:10:42,360 Speaker 2: one is that and just all the love we're gonna 192 00:10:42,400 --> 00:10:44,040 Speaker 2: I mean we haven't even talked much about it, but 193 00:10:44,240 --> 00:10:48,680 Speaker 2: Spags like everything he's done for that defense of the Chiefs, 194 00:10:48,760 --> 00:10:52,360 Speaker 2: it's like that's the game changer, isn't it, Like isn't 195 00:10:52,360 --> 00:10:54,160 Speaker 2: that the difference in this matchup where it's like we're 196 00:10:54,160 --> 00:10:56,680 Speaker 2: giving this guy two weeks now to prepare for party. 197 00:10:56,720 --> 00:10:59,520 Speaker 2: In this offense, I think they're gonna be able to 198 00:10:59,559 --> 00:11:02,240 Speaker 2: get stopped. Like when I think of this Chiefs defense 199 00:11:02,280 --> 00:11:05,480 Speaker 2: and getting stops, I like that advantage really really do 200 00:11:05,679 --> 00:11:09,800 Speaker 2: for them. And offensively, we talked about it, it's my 201 00:11:09,840 --> 00:11:12,360 Speaker 2: homes like he's gotten more comfortable with their offensive weapons 202 00:11:12,760 --> 00:11:16,000 Speaker 2: and whenever he needs a play, Andy has in his 203 00:11:16,040 --> 00:11:19,000 Speaker 2: back pocket, Like it feels like on third down plays, 204 00:11:19,360 --> 00:11:21,760 Speaker 2: they're just saving different plays and different looks for Kelsey 205 00:11:21,800 --> 00:11:24,560 Speaker 2: that just get him open. And he's obviously been a 206 00:11:24,559 --> 00:11:26,960 Speaker 2: totally different player of this playoffs. And I just don't know, 207 00:11:27,000 --> 00:11:30,199 Speaker 2: if you know, we saw Colle Hamilton, the best cover 208 00:11:30,440 --> 00:11:34,719 Speaker 2: safety in football that touchdown to Kelsey. Everyone that saw 209 00:11:34,800 --> 00:11:37,400 Speaker 2: that touchdown said, that's Hall of Fame players right there. 210 00:11:37,400 --> 00:11:40,440 Speaker 2: It was a perfect ball in the perfect spot against 211 00:11:40,440 --> 00:11:42,040 Speaker 2: perfect coverage against Colle Hamilton. 212 00:11:42,600 --> 00:11:42,959 Speaker 3: No one. 213 00:11:43,160 --> 00:11:45,880 Speaker 2: There is not a single player on that forty nine 214 00:11:45,920 --> 00:11:48,480 Speaker 2: Ers defense again cover like Kyla Hamilton against Kelsey. So 215 00:11:49,120 --> 00:11:52,440 Speaker 2: there's just so many different little advantages towards this Chiefs 216 00:11:52,440 --> 00:11:55,479 Speaker 2: team that it makes you feel comfortable taking them despite 217 00:11:55,840 --> 00:11:58,320 Speaker 2: the forty nine Ers having the overwhelmingly better roster. 218 00:11:58,760 --> 00:12:02,079 Speaker 1: All Right, he said something really interesting, and we're gonna 219 00:12:02,080 --> 00:12:05,079 Speaker 1: we're gonna go so deep into this game. But the 220 00:12:05,160 --> 00:12:07,800 Speaker 1: idea that this was not a fun season, I don't 221 00:12:07,800 --> 00:12:12,400 Speaker 1: disagree with. It was actually a pretty agonizing season. There 222 00:12:12,480 --> 00:12:15,800 Speaker 1: was there was so much bad football. There were so 223 00:12:15,880 --> 00:12:19,319 Speaker 1: many teams that couldn't execute. There were so many bad 224 00:12:19,480 --> 00:12:24,680 Speaker 1: calls by the refs on procedural plays right, so many 225 00:12:25,480 --> 00:12:30,680 Speaker 1: linemen down field, so much illegal like shifts, so many 226 00:12:30,679 --> 00:12:34,400 Speaker 1: things that they decided to focus on this year that 227 00:12:34,600 --> 00:12:37,880 Speaker 1: just slowed the play down, made people lose momentum. It's 228 00:12:37,920 --> 00:12:43,080 Speaker 1: like it was honestly at times excruciating to watch these 229 00:12:43,080 --> 00:12:45,880 Speaker 1: games this year. Like a, I know that the ratings 230 00:12:45,880 --> 00:12:48,680 Speaker 1: are through the fucking roof right now, but this was 231 00:12:48,760 --> 00:12:51,400 Speaker 1: not as good a product as it has been in 232 00:12:51,440 --> 00:12:55,360 Speaker 1: the past to me, Like it was at times unwatchable. 233 00:12:57,320 --> 00:12:59,240 Speaker 1: So I understand what people are saying, and look, if 234 00:12:59,280 --> 00:13:02,280 Speaker 1: you're a better as we are, and a lot of 235 00:13:02,320 --> 00:13:05,720 Speaker 1: betters who have experience are used to playing where are 236 00:13:05,800 --> 00:13:07,959 Speaker 1: used to betting on the underdogs, those are a shitty 237 00:13:08,040 --> 00:13:11,240 Speaker 1: year for bettan underdogs right Like it was a huge 238 00:13:11,280 --> 00:13:14,120 Speaker 1: year for betting favorites. Favorites continued to cash this year. 239 00:13:14,160 --> 00:13:17,160 Speaker 1: Favorites were covering in an epic rape. Just not a 240 00:13:17,240 --> 00:13:21,080 Speaker 1: great year for doing that for our side of the ball, 241 00:13:21,400 --> 00:13:25,720 Speaker 1: so to speak. Can't argue with anything you're saying about 242 00:13:25,760 --> 00:13:29,280 Speaker 1: the Niners will go much much deeper into this, but 243 00:13:30,720 --> 00:13:34,720 Speaker 1: you know, like I think the key thing here is 244 00:13:35,559 --> 00:13:39,719 Speaker 1: we were all over the Ravens against the Chiefs because 245 00:13:40,080 --> 00:13:43,280 Speaker 1: we felt like it was a better team in the 246 00:13:43,360 --> 00:13:46,840 Speaker 1: right situation to finally get over the hump. And that 247 00:13:46,920 --> 00:13:48,840 Speaker 1: is a lot of the logic on this Niners team 248 00:13:48,840 --> 00:13:52,480 Speaker 1: as well. And You've said it, I've said it, everyone 249 00:13:52,559 --> 00:13:55,040 Speaker 1: is saying it. I think it's more true now than ever. 250 00:13:56,080 --> 00:13:59,880 Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes is a cheat code. He is in pervious 251 00:14:00,320 --> 00:14:03,920 Speaker 1: to pressure. He steps up in the pocket to find 252 00:14:03,960 --> 00:14:06,200 Speaker 1: a guy and get the ball exactly where it needs 253 00:14:06,240 --> 00:14:08,880 Speaker 1: to go. He steps up in the pocket to gain 254 00:14:08,920 --> 00:14:11,320 Speaker 1: the fifteen yards he needs to get the first down 255 00:14:11,679 --> 00:14:17,160 Speaker 1: on third and long. Those are backbreaking, emotionally draining plays. 256 00:14:17,760 --> 00:14:21,120 Speaker 1: And you can look at every part of this game 257 00:14:22,240 --> 00:14:26,240 Speaker 1: which we're all going to and that is worth so 258 00:14:26,400 --> 00:14:29,720 Speaker 1: much more. Like if you think about Patrick Mahomes, he's 259 00:14:29,720 --> 00:14:31,400 Speaker 1: far and away. We're at the most point to get 260 00:14:31,440 --> 00:14:34,760 Speaker 1: the point spread than any other quarterback in the NFL. 261 00:14:35,800 --> 00:14:38,560 Speaker 1: Like I would think there is a ten to twelve 262 00:14:38,560 --> 00:14:42,600 Speaker 1: point difference between Patrick Mahomes and the backup for the 263 00:14:42,680 --> 00:14:45,400 Speaker 1: Kansas City Chiefs. That's how important this guy is when 264 00:14:45,400 --> 00:14:46,360 Speaker 1: it comes to the points spread. 265 00:14:48,160 --> 00:14:50,760 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's I don't know if it's that extreme, but 266 00:14:50,880 --> 00:14:54,840 Speaker 2: I mean it's close. Just again because Spags and that defense, 267 00:14:54,880 --> 00:14:58,120 Speaker 2: it's like that has quietly been their identity all season. Right, 268 00:14:58,200 --> 00:14:59,720 Speaker 2: the fact that we knew go into that game. I 269 00:14:59,760 --> 00:15:01,880 Speaker 2: think what was that stat It was like they're geting 270 00:15:01,920 --> 00:15:06,520 Speaker 2: up seventeen points per game. Yeah, obviously that Chiefs defense, 271 00:15:06,720 --> 00:15:09,600 Speaker 2: like Mahomes has never had this, He's never had this 272 00:15:09,680 --> 00:15:13,080 Speaker 2: type of defense. And you know, obviously a major blow 273 00:15:13,120 --> 00:15:15,080 Speaker 2: to them. I believe one of their best pass rushers 274 00:15:15,080 --> 00:15:19,400 Speaker 2: towards acl Yeah, they guy which trip sacked Lamar. Big 275 00:15:19,440 --> 00:15:22,440 Speaker 2: deal to that team, of course. But they're also a 276 00:15:22,480 --> 00:15:25,160 Speaker 2: team of like next man up, right, that's what they 277 00:15:25,160 --> 00:15:27,080 Speaker 2: feel like, the kind of team of like you know, 278 00:15:27,200 --> 00:15:30,080 Speaker 2: they're a bunch of faceless guys. Right, it's really Chris 279 00:15:30,120 --> 00:15:31,520 Speaker 2: Jones in the middle and then a bunch of guys 280 00:15:31,520 --> 00:15:36,040 Speaker 2: around them, and they've really made it work. We talked 281 00:15:36,080 --> 00:15:39,240 Speaker 2: their secondary one of the best in the league all season. 282 00:15:40,080 --> 00:15:43,800 Speaker 2: Their biggest weakness is the run. And that's what again 283 00:15:44,000 --> 00:15:46,840 Speaker 2: me and you bet what we bet was true. Right, 284 00:15:47,080 --> 00:15:49,280 Speaker 2: The Ravens could run the ball against them, they chose 285 00:15:49,360 --> 00:15:52,800 Speaker 2: not to. Ravens could defend them for the most part, 286 00:15:52,960 --> 00:15:57,040 Speaker 2: like they were matchups that did favor the Ravens. It 287 00:15:57,200 --> 00:16:01,160 Speaker 2: was just all scheme in Mahomes that just dominate that 288 00:16:01,240 --> 00:16:03,360 Speaker 2: like we talked about it on Sunday, It's like the 289 00:16:03,720 --> 00:16:06,720 Speaker 2: Ravens for some reason, whatever that Mahomes effect is, it 290 00:16:06,760 --> 00:16:10,200 Speaker 2: affected them so much they completely abandon who they were, 291 00:16:10,480 --> 00:16:13,480 Speaker 2: their total identity in the entire season, and just put 292 00:16:13,520 --> 00:16:15,680 Speaker 2: the ball totally Lamar's hands and just had throw at 293 00:16:15,720 --> 00:16:17,880 Speaker 2: thirty forty times and let's see if we can win this, 294 00:16:17,960 --> 00:16:21,200 Speaker 2: which on his best day would have been in a 295 00:16:21,200 --> 00:16:23,320 Speaker 2: crazy idea, but it wasn't. It was like one of 296 00:16:23,320 --> 00:16:25,200 Speaker 2: his worst games he's ever played, and they were trying 297 00:16:25,200 --> 00:16:28,600 Speaker 2: to make him force throw. So the blueprint is there 298 00:16:28,600 --> 00:16:30,800 Speaker 2: for this forty NURS team like run the ball and 299 00:16:30,880 --> 00:16:35,720 Speaker 2: McCaffrey ball control. It's over. But what have we seen 300 00:16:35,760 --> 00:16:38,080 Speaker 2: these last couple of weeks. They've come out slow, Chat, 301 00:16:38,240 --> 00:16:41,920 Speaker 2: They've come out slow, They've gone behind, and they had 302 00:16:41,960 --> 00:16:45,480 Speaker 2: a miracle comeback against the really young team in Green Bay, 303 00:16:45,920 --> 00:16:49,720 Speaker 2: and they had an incredible comeback against a bad secondary 304 00:16:49,760 --> 00:16:52,560 Speaker 2: in the Lions. They're not going to have that here. 305 00:16:52,760 --> 00:16:55,560 Speaker 2: I mean, it's just it's a totally different situation of 306 00:16:57,280 --> 00:16:59,600 Speaker 2: party can be young and growing and becoming a better 307 00:16:59,600 --> 00:17:03,880 Speaker 2: player every week in this game with all this pressure, 308 00:17:04,520 --> 00:17:06,800 Speaker 2: how is Purtty going to handle this mentally because these 309 00:17:06,880 --> 00:17:09,880 Speaker 2: last two weeks he has been an incredible season VET 310 00:17:10,000 --> 00:17:12,200 Speaker 2: where it's like he the moment's not been too big 311 00:17:12,240 --> 00:17:14,720 Speaker 2: for Purdy. He's come back in two back to back 312 00:17:14,800 --> 00:17:18,000 Speaker 2: games and one you know, not all on him, right, 313 00:17:18,200 --> 00:17:22,360 Speaker 2: Like a lot of that stuff was McCaffrey making big 314 00:17:22,440 --> 00:17:24,920 Speaker 2: runs and guys getting wide open, But like I talked 315 00:17:24,920 --> 00:17:28,520 Speaker 2: about last week, he was desperate in that game, and 316 00:17:28,560 --> 00:17:30,920 Speaker 2: he played desperate and it really worked for him where 317 00:17:30,920 --> 00:17:32,600 Speaker 2: it's like he was pulling it down and running something 318 00:17:32,600 --> 00:17:35,040 Speaker 2: we hadn't seen all season. And it wasn't just like, 319 00:17:35,119 --> 00:17:37,040 Speaker 2: oh he was getting luck in these runs. If you 320 00:17:37,080 --> 00:17:38,920 Speaker 2: watch it, he had an incredible vision on those plays. 321 00:17:38,960 --> 00:17:41,920 Speaker 2: He was making the right reads, setting guys up downfield 322 00:17:42,280 --> 00:17:44,480 Speaker 2: to make a cut on them. It was like, who 323 00:17:44,560 --> 00:17:46,520 Speaker 2: is this guy? We have not seen that from Party 324 00:17:46,560 --> 00:17:50,960 Speaker 2: in his career. So if he plays that way, I mean, 325 00:17:51,040 --> 00:17:52,680 Speaker 2: the foy nin Ers definitely have a chance. 326 00:17:52,760 --> 00:17:52,920 Speaker 3: Right. 327 00:17:52,960 --> 00:17:55,480 Speaker 2: If he's playing that style, I just how can I 328 00:17:55,520 --> 00:17:58,280 Speaker 2: cap that? It's it's really flaky. We've never seen pretty 329 00:17:58,320 --> 00:18:01,639 Speaker 2: play that way before, so it's it's hard for me 330 00:18:01,680 --> 00:18:04,720 Speaker 2: to really bank on that. Where me and you, like 331 00:18:04,760 --> 00:18:06,600 Speaker 2: back in my homescrewers, I feel like we know exactly 332 00:18:06,640 --> 00:18:08,600 Speaker 2: what we're getting. Even at one and a half, I'm 333 00:18:08,600 --> 00:18:10,439 Speaker 2: still comfortable taking that number ism a dog. But I 334 00:18:10,440 --> 00:18:12,359 Speaker 2: think you just said it where it's like, shouldn't we 335 00:18:12,359 --> 00:18:13,639 Speaker 2: just take the money line at this point if it 336 00:18:13,640 --> 00:18:15,760 Speaker 2: gets up to plus one twenty plus one, ten, and 337 00:18:15,840 --> 00:18:17,400 Speaker 2: that you want to take the two, which we talk 338 00:18:17,400 --> 00:18:19,639 Speaker 2: all the time. Two is such a key number, you 339 00:18:19,720 --> 00:18:21,359 Speaker 2: might as well take the money line. But it's just 340 00:18:21,840 --> 00:18:25,280 Speaker 2: I feel comfortable with Mahomes knowing that if this game 341 00:18:25,359 --> 00:18:27,320 Speaker 2: is close and it's in the fourth quarter and we 342 00:18:27,359 --> 00:18:30,480 Speaker 2: have Mahomes a dog and he is the ball, don't 343 00:18:30,480 --> 00:18:32,240 Speaker 2: you mean don't we feel like we're going to cover 344 00:18:32,280 --> 00:18:34,760 Speaker 2: this number? Chats where I can't say the same. I 345 00:18:34,760 --> 00:18:36,879 Speaker 2: don't have that confidence. You know, Party's played great these 346 00:18:36,920 --> 00:18:39,640 Speaker 2: last two weeks. I think it says more about those 347 00:18:39,680 --> 00:18:42,479 Speaker 2: defense he's played where this Chiefs defense and Spags all 348 00:18:42,480 --> 00:18:44,359 Speaker 2: the different looks are going to give him. I just 349 00:18:44,400 --> 00:18:45,880 Speaker 2: don't have the faith in it where I just don't 350 00:18:45,880 --> 00:18:46,960 Speaker 2: think we'll be able to do what he did the 351 00:18:47,040 --> 00:18:50,000 Speaker 2: last couple of weeks against the defense. So it's it's 352 00:18:50,000 --> 00:18:51,639 Speaker 2: hard to go against Party because this is one of 353 00:18:51,680 --> 00:18:54,920 Speaker 2: my favorite stories ever. Right, a seventh round, last pick 354 00:18:54,920 --> 00:18:57,239 Speaker 2: in the draft making it to a super Bowl in 355 00:18:57,240 --> 00:19:00,679 Speaker 2: his first year. I mean, it is a story like 356 00:19:00,720 --> 00:19:03,640 Speaker 2: it really is inspirational. But we gotta I gotta play 357 00:19:03,640 --> 00:19:05,800 Speaker 2: Myhomes here. I gotta play Mahomes as a dog. 358 00:19:06,600 --> 00:19:08,880 Speaker 1: So listen, you mentioned the Chiefs defense a couple of times, 359 00:19:08,880 --> 00:19:11,240 Speaker 1: and I do want to talk about the under in 360 00:19:11,280 --> 00:19:13,200 Speaker 1: this game, because that was a bet that we talked 361 00:19:13,200 --> 00:19:14,320 Speaker 1: a little bit about on Sunday night. 362 00:19:14,440 --> 00:19:14,600 Speaker 2: Yeah. 363 00:19:14,600 --> 00:19:16,119 Speaker 1: I can't believe that in a move though that we 364 00:19:16,320 --> 00:19:19,840 Speaker 1: that we might like even more than the side. The 365 00:19:19,920 --> 00:19:22,840 Speaker 1: last thing I'll say about Mahomes and again we will 366 00:19:22,960 --> 00:19:25,640 Speaker 1: we will dig much deeper into this game. Uh as 367 00:19:25,640 --> 00:19:31,760 Speaker 1: the weeks go on. Not only is he impervious to pressure, 368 00:19:32,600 --> 00:19:36,440 Speaker 1: but he puts so much pressure on the opposing team. 369 00:19:36,840 --> 00:19:40,359 Speaker 1: We have just seen for three straight weeks the three 370 00:19:40,440 --> 00:19:44,959 Speaker 1: best offenses in the NFL crack and completely change their 371 00:19:45,000 --> 00:19:48,760 Speaker 1: game plans because of what Patrick Mahomes was doing or 372 00:19:48,800 --> 00:19:51,840 Speaker 1: what they believed he could do. On the other side. 373 00:19:52,040 --> 00:19:54,960 Speaker 1: That is an advantage that Andy Reid knows he has, 374 00:19:55,240 --> 00:19:59,440 Speaker 1: and I think it also plays into why the totals 375 00:19:59,800 --> 00:20:02,359 Speaker 1: have been so low have the scoring has been so 376 00:20:02,440 --> 00:20:07,160 Speaker 1: low for the Chiefs. But first, Simon, can you name 377 00:20:07,240 --> 00:20:10,560 Speaker 1: the fastest scrowing ticketing app in the United States? 378 00:20:11,240 --> 00:20:12,000 Speaker 2: Game Time? 379 00:20:12,440 --> 00:20:15,000 Speaker 1: That's right, it's game Time. I love game Time for 380 00:20:15,000 --> 00:20:18,639 Speaker 1: two reasons. First, they sponsor this show. Stick can actually 381 00:20:18,720 --> 00:20:21,440 Speaker 1: use game Time all the time. They have amazing last 382 00:20:21,480 --> 00:20:26,760 Speaker 1: minute deals, including pro and college sports, speaking of which, 383 00:20:26,840 --> 00:20:29,560 Speaker 1: I'm in New York City right now. I'm actually going 384 00:20:29,600 --> 00:20:32,160 Speaker 1: to open the game Time app. Right now, I am 385 00:20:32,240 --> 00:20:35,720 Speaker 1: ten blocks from Madison Square Garden. I can get into 386 00:20:35,760 --> 00:20:40,280 Speaker 1: a New York Knickerbockers game, the streaking New York Knickerbockers 387 00:20:40,680 --> 00:20:43,960 Speaker 1: less than one hundred box. No matter where you live, 388 00:20:44,840 --> 00:20:47,160 Speaker 1: download the game Time app. Get out have some fun 389 00:20:47,240 --> 00:20:49,720 Speaker 1: this week. You deserve it. You can redeem code favorites 390 00:20:49,760 --> 00:20:54,000 Speaker 1: for twenty dollars off your first purchase. Terms apply again. 391 00:20:54,119 --> 00:20:56,480 Speaker 1: Just download the game Time app and use code favorites 392 00:20:56,520 --> 00:20:59,639 Speaker 1: for twenty dollars off to first purchase last minute tickets. 393 00:20:59,640 --> 00:21:01,560 Speaker 1: Lowest price is Garren t. 394 00:21:02,119 --> 00:21:04,439 Speaker 3: That's summer all here with John Matten and all that 395 00:21:04,600 --> 00:21:06,960 Speaker 3: build up and all of this soup law John, is 396 00:21:07,000 --> 00:21:09,399 Speaker 3: it as big as it seems? I think it's bigger 397 00:21:09,400 --> 00:21:12,240 Speaker 3: than it seems. It's not just getting here today, but 398 00:21:12,320 --> 00:21:15,119 Speaker 3: it's winning today. And I think that the biggest gap 399 00:21:15,160 --> 00:21:17,320 Speaker 3: in sports is a difference between the winner and the 400 00:21:17,359 --> 00:21:20,440 Speaker 3: loser of the super Bowl. The winner your world champion. 401 00:21:20,600 --> 00:21:22,800 Speaker 3: They can never take it away from you, You'll never 402 00:21:22,880 --> 00:21:25,800 Speaker 3: forget it. The loser, they just get thrown back in 403 00:21:25,840 --> 00:21:26,280 Speaker 3: the pile. 404 00:21:26,840 --> 00:21:30,280 Speaker 1: All right, Forty seven and a half is the total. 405 00:21:30,320 --> 00:21:33,600 Speaker 1: Sunday Night, you mentioned you liked the under. I like 406 00:21:33,680 --> 00:21:38,239 Speaker 1: the under as well. I played the under. I've got 407 00:21:38,280 --> 00:21:41,400 Speaker 1: a lot of stats and details, but before I dig 408 00:21:41,440 --> 00:21:44,119 Speaker 1: into those, give me some of your logic. 409 00:21:44,760 --> 00:21:46,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's same as last year fan the show. Last year, 410 00:21:46,880 --> 00:21:49,280 Speaker 2: it's if I take a position on a total, I 411 00:21:49,320 --> 00:21:53,480 Speaker 2: go all in, so first quarter last year over first half, 412 00:21:53,520 --> 00:21:56,199 Speaker 2: over third quarter, over fourth quarter over game over, like, 413 00:21:56,240 --> 00:21:58,160 Speaker 2: I go all in on those kind of bets. I'll 414 00:21:58,160 --> 00:21:59,560 Speaker 2: be doing the same year with the under. I just 415 00:21:59,640 --> 00:22:03,040 Speaker 2: love the under. And there's a bunch of different reasons, 416 00:22:03,080 --> 00:22:05,120 Speaker 2: but the biggest one will just be what Chad talked about, 417 00:22:05,119 --> 00:22:10,640 Speaker 2: where I believe not only will the Chiefs defense get stops. 418 00:22:11,440 --> 00:22:15,119 Speaker 2: I'm still not fully convinced. I know it's crazy on 419 00:22:15,160 --> 00:22:17,760 Speaker 2: Mahomes getting touchdowns in the red zone. But it's like 420 00:22:18,280 --> 00:22:20,399 Speaker 2: I could still see them getting threes. So if I 421 00:22:20,560 --> 00:22:23,840 Speaker 2: feel like the safest side will be rock pretty playing tight, 422 00:22:24,119 --> 00:22:27,520 Speaker 2: settling for field goals, the Chiefs offense could get a 423 00:22:27,560 --> 00:22:31,880 Speaker 2: little you know. I don't want to say, I don't 424 00:22:31,880 --> 00:22:34,399 Speaker 2: want to say they'll struggle, but I could see this 425 00:22:34,440 --> 00:22:37,000 Speaker 2: forty on our team being finally giving up tons of 426 00:22:37,080 --> 00:22:38,840 Speaker 2: yards in the middle of the field, but then really 427 00:22:38,920 --> 00:22:40,720 Speaker 2: counting on it's getting stops in the red zone. That 428 00:22:40,760 --> 00:22:42,600 Speaker 2: will be the key to them to this game. So 429 00:22:43,960 --> 00:22:46,720 Speaker 2: not shocked that the number has come down. I believe 430 00:22:46,720 --> 00:22:48,960 Speaker 2: a couple of books opened at forty nine forty eight 431 00:22:49,000 --> 00:22:50,879 Speaker 2: and a half. It went right down. I think by 432 00:22:50,880 --> 00:22:52,280 Speaker 2: the time we even did our show Sunday it was 433 00:22:52,320 --> 00:22:53,280 Speaker 2: down to forty seven and a half. 434 00:22:53,359 --> 00:22:55,399 Speaker 1: Yeah it was. If it was at forty nine and 435 00:22:55,440 --> 00:22:58,840 Speaker 1: forty eight, it was there for milliseconds. 436 00:22:58,520 --> 00:23:00,720 Speaker 2: Never saw it, so we only saw the forty seven 437 00:23:00,720 --> 00:23:04,160 Speaker 2: and a half. It's been holding there a week now 438 00:23:04,280 --> 00:23:08,240 Speaker 2: despite all the pros just hitting the under again. Public 439 00:23:08,280 --> 00:23:10,920 Speaker 2: money mean chat talk all the time, all the money, 440 00:23:10,960 --> 00:23:14,320 Speaker 2: all the public bets will come in from Saturday morning 441 00:23:14,480 --> 00:23:18,080 Speaker 2: till midday Sunday, that's when the then again that's Chad 442 00:23:18,119 --> 00:23:19,960 Speaker 2: just said it. That's eleven days, ten days from now. 443 00:23:20,040 --> 00:23:23,879 Speaker 2: So if you're looking the app yes, the early money, 444 00:23:24,240 --> 00:23:26,520 Speaker 2: it tends to be professional money. You don't mind locking 445 00:23:26,560 --> 00:23:28,320 Speaker 2: their money up for the next couple of weeks. They're 446 00:23:28,359 --> 00:23:30,680 Speaker 2: just trying to get the best of the number. That's 447 00:23:30,720 --> 00:23:32,719 Speaker 2: what it is right now. So the early money, obviously 448 00:23:32,800 --> 00:23:36,000 Speaker 2: Chiefs early money on the under you're gonna hit us 449 00:23:36,000 --> 00:23:38,280 Speaker 2: all the trends in the stats. My basic thinking for 450 00:23:38,400 --> 00:23:41,920 Speaker 2: it is just I have faith in this Chiefs defense, 451 00:23:41,960 --> 00:23:43,960 Speaker 2: and I think the forty aers could get tight, and 452 00:23:44,080 --> 00:23:46,720 Speaker 2: Sam goes with the Chiefs offense where it's like I'm 453 00:23:46,760 --> 00:23:49,080 Speaker 2: a buyer. I'm a buyer in mahomes and if he 454 00:23:49,119 --> 00:23:51,199 Speaker 2: needs to get seven, he can get it. I'm just 455 00:23:51,240 --> 00:23:53,040 Speaker 2: not a buyer, and then be consistent. I still think 456 00:23:53,040 --> 00:23:55,840 Speaker 2: they will set out for three. That's just who they've 457 00:23:55,880 --> 00:23:58,639 Speaker 2: been this season. So the fact that it is at 458 00:23:58,680 --> 00:24:00,800 Speaker 2: a key number though, forty seven and a half, that's 459 00:24:00,800 --> 00:24:02,720 Speaker 2: why I wanted people to grab it now, just because 460 00:24:03,000 --> 00:24:05,400 Speaker 2: if it does go down, you're gonna miss out again. 461 00:24:05,480 --> 00:24:08,200 Speaker 2: Forty seven a half. It's shocking, but it's a key number. 462 00:24:08,400 --> 00:24:11,000 Speaker 2: It lands there more than you would believe. So just 463 00:24:11,040 --> 00:24:13,200 Speaker 2: in case it does drop down to forty six, which 464 00:24:13,240 --> 00:24:15,080 Speaker 2: I don't think I will. I do think a public 465 00:24:15,080 --> 00:24:17,000 Speaker 2: will coming on the over and I'll go back up. 466 00:24:17,000 --> 00:24:19,520 Speaker 2: We'll be'll get better value just grabbing the forty seven 467 00:24:19,520 --> 00:24:21,640 Speaker 2: and a half now. I'll make a bigger bet later 468 00:24:21,680 --> 00:24:22,679 Speaker 2: in the week if it does go up. 469 00:24:22,720 --> 00:24:28,280 Speaker 1: Obviously, these are the number two and number three scoring 470 00:24:28,359 --> 00:24:32,360 Speaker 1: defenses in the league, just after the Ravens the Chiefs 471 00:24:32,359 --> 00:24:35,880 Speaker 1: this season, and this is really you know, it's been 472 00:24:35,920 --> 00:24:40,080 Speaker 1: so long since Patrick Mahomes had a defense that could 473 00:24:40,119 --> 00:24:44,359 Speaker 1: play to his caliber, and we've seen this season what 474 00:24:44,480 --> 00:24:47,680 Speaker 1: an impact that has had. And they're just not getting 475 00:24:47,720 --> 00:24:52,520 Speaker 1: credit for it in the marketplace because people still think 476 00:24:52,560 --> 00:24:55,400 Speaker 1: of it as Patrick Mahomes and a high scoring offense. 477 00:24:55,440 --> 00:24:58,040 Speaker 1: But the truth is they're not that high scoring of 478 00:24:58,080 --> 00:25:02,240 Speaker 1: an offense. And they gave up, forget about offense for 479 00:25:02,240 --> 00:25:05,000 Speaker 1: a second, more than twenty one points just three times 480 00:25:05,000 --> 00:25:08,200 Speaker 1: all year. The most they gave up was twenty seven 481 00:25:08,800 --> 00:25:12,840 Speaker 1: against the Packers. One of those times was in the playoffs, 482 00:25:12,880 --> 00:25:15,480 Speaker 1: they gave up twenty four to the Bills. They had 483 00:25:15,600 --> 00:25:19,040 Speaker 1: four games in which they didn't give up double digits, 484 00:25:19,600 --> 00:25:22,399 Speaker 1: So they had more games in which they didn't give 485 00:25:22,480 --> 00:25:25,280 Speaker 1: up double digits than they did in which they gave 486 00:25:25,359 --> 00:25:29,159 Speaker 1: up more than three touchdowns. Like that's insane. And then 487 00:25:29,200 --> 00:25:31,919 Speaker 1: look at the playoffs. They just dominated three of the 488 00:25:31,960 --> 00:25:36,840 Speaker 1: best offenses in the league during the playoffs, the Ravens 489 00:25:37,440 --> 00:25:41,760 Speaker 1: number one rush offense in the league, the Bills, one 490 00:25:41,760 --> 00:25:46,080 Speaker 1: of the highest scoring quarterbacks in the league. Fifty freaking 491 00:25:46,240 --> 00:25:50,720 Speaker 1: touchdowns for Josh Allen Miami Dolphins, no matter the circumstances, 492 00:25:50,720 --> 00:25:52,960 Speaker 1: no matter how bad it was in Kansas City, this 493 00:25:53,160 --> 00:25:57,480 Speaker 1: was a record setting offense on par with what the 494 00:25:57,600 --> 00:26:00,439 Speaker 1: Greatest Show on Turf was doing for the Rams in 495 00:26:00,480 --> 00:26:06,760 Speaker 1: the late nineties early two thousands. The second half adjustments 496 00:26:07,080 --> 00:26:11,719 Speaker 1: on offense and defense have been masterful. They've given up 497 00:26:11,800 --> 00:26:16,520 Speaker 1: ten second half points in those three playoff games. That's it, 498 00:26:17,640 --> 00:26:21,440 Speaker 1: three and a third points a game in the second 499 00:26:21,520 --> 00:26:26,000 Speaker 1: half in the playoffs. And Andy Reid they just play 500 00:26:26,040 --> 00:26:27,879 Speaker 1: a different game in the second half. And he's always 501 00:26:27,960 --> 00:26:30,520 Speaker 1: done this, which is why the under is a good 502 00:26:30,520 --> 00:26:33,639 Speaker 1: play for the Chiefs. Now, of course, the more we 503 00:26:33,680 --> 00:26:37,240 Speaker 1: talk about how convinced we are, it's Mahomes in the under. 504 00:26:38,000 --> 00:26:41,639 Speaker 1: It's gonna be like seventy five seventy with Brock Purty 505 00:26:41,680 --> 00:26:43,280 Speaker 1: throwing for one thousand yards. 506 00:26:45,000 --> 00:26:47,160 Speaker 2: No, don't let them scourge you. That's just how super 507 00:26:47,160 --> 00:26:50,520 Speaker 2: Bowl Week is, where it's like you're literally beating yourself 508 00:26:50,560 --> 00:26:52,960 Speaker 2: up for two weeks about making these plays, where it's like, yeah, 509 00:26:53,000 --> 00:26:55,920 Speaker 2: the doubt eventual will creep in, where it's like, am 510 00:26:55,920 --> 00:26:59,480 Speaker 2: I disconvinced on this side again? Last year, I was 511 00:26:59,480 --> 00:27:01,399 Speaker 2: an idiot that took the egos against my homes and 512 00:27:01,440 --> 00:27:03,920 Speaker 2: it was like, they're the better team on paper, they're 513 00:27:03,920 --> 00:27:06,000 Speaker 2: the best team and end up coming down to a 514 00:27:06,040 --> 00:27:08,600 Speaker 2: coin flip Chiefs one by three. But I mean, that's 515 00:27:08,640 --> 00:27:11,679 Speaker 2: that's kind of how it goes. Just the season before, 516 00:27:12,760 --> 00:27:16,160 Speaker 2: we talked about usually teams that win and win cover. 517 00:27:17,520 --> 00:27:19,800 Speaker 2: We did have a team cover and not win. Obviously 518 00:27:19,840 --> 00:27:21,639 Speaker 2: in the Bengals a couple of years was it two, 519 00:27:21,680 --> 00:27:23,479 Speaker 2: three years ago, they had the four and a half. 520 00:27:24,720 --> 00:27:27,840 Speaker 2: I believe that what they missed an extra point something 521 00:27:27,880 --> 00:27:32,159 Speaker 2: weird were landed on three with the Ravens. So just 522 00:27:32,200 --> 00:27:34,560 Speaker 2: a brutal beat, especially then where people had the three 523 00:27:34,600 --> 00:27:39,680 Speaker 2: and a half. Rams. Yeah, Rams, yes, you're right, your Rams. 524 00:27:39,480 --> 00:27:42,199 Speaker 2: It's it is a thing. Where we talk all the 525 00:27:42,200 --> 00:27:45,239 Speaker 2: time about like you know, you're gonna hear a lot 526 00:27:45,280 --> 00:27:47,760 Speaker 2: of noise this week. That's why I try to make 527 00:27:47,840 --> 00:27:51,600 Speaker 2: take my position early on where even again we'll do 528 00:27:51,640 --> 00:27:54,000 Speaker 2: sharp calls next week. The amount of calls I got 529 00:27:54,080 --> 00:27:57,560 Speaker 2: after our show being like, you know, the forty nine 530 00:27:57,600 --> 00:27:58,920 Speaker 2: ers are the better team, and I just have to 531 00:27:58,960 --> 00:28:01,639 Speaker 2: smack them back and be like, you know, Mahomes is 532 00:28:01,680 --> 00:28:04,320 Speaker 2: the cheat code. And that's that's really the big thing 533 00:28:04,359 --> 00:28:06,479 Speaker 2: here where it's like we all know the Fighters are 534 00:28:06,480 --> 00:28:08,480 Speaker 2: the better team. We all can do simple math, and 535 00:28:08,520 --> 00:28:10,960 Speaker 2: we've all seen the product they put on the field, 536 00:28:10,960 --> 00:28:13,280 Speaker 2: Like they got the big dogs, They got everything they 537 00:28:13,320 --> 00:28:17,639 Speaker 2: need on that team. It's just the most important position, 538 00:28:17,800 --> 00:28:20,680 Speaker 2: right the quarterback position. And we've seen time and time again, 539 00:28:20,760 --> 00:28:25,119 Speaker 2: unless you have an incredible dominant thing, right say, the 540 00:28:25,160 --> 00:28:28,320 Speaker 2: Foynaire has had this incredible dominant front line, that would 541 00:28:28,400 --> 00:28:29,920 Speaker 2: change my opinion on this. If they had our front 542 00:28:29,920 --> 00:28:32,520 Speaker 2: four that was incredible against the run and really good 543 00:28:32,520 --> 00:28:35,639 Speaker 2: at getting pressure, this wild change my opinion. They're not. 544 00:28:35,920 --> 00:28:37,800 Speaker 2: The forty nine ers are just not that dominant of 545 00:28:37,800 --> 00:28:39,959 Speaker 2: our front line as we expect them to be this season. 546 00:28:40,040 --> 00:28:43,920 Speaker 2: So you know, if you want to look back on 547 00:28:44,040 --> 00:28:47,360 Speaker 2: the type of defenses that give Mahomes trouble. This really 548 00:28:47,440 --> 00:28:49,880 Speaker 2: isn't the defense this time with defense is not that 549 00:28:50,000 --> 00:28:53,000 Speaker 2: style for the forty nine ers. So again, Chad, I 550 00:28:53,040 --> 00:28:55,280 Speaker 2: get where you're coming from, like the doubt will creep in, 551 00:28:55,720 --> 00:28:57,520 Speaker 2: but I'm locked in right now. And this Chiefs and 552 00:28:57,560 --> 00:28:58,280 Speaker 2: the under. 553 00:28:58,840 --> 00:29:01,960 Speaker 1: Well, look, that was something You're right. There's too much 554 00:29:01,960 --> 00:29:05,800 Speaker 1: time to talk about these games, just way too much time. 555 00:29:06,880 --> 00:29:09,640 Speaker 1: I thought it was really interesting. Both games. They talked 556 00:29:09,640 --> 00:29:14,720 Speaker 1: about how the Ravens and the Niners like to play 557 00:29:14,800 --> 00:29:19,280 Speaker 1: a lot of zone and they those are not the 558 00:29:19,360 --> 00:29:23,600 Speaker 1: kind of matchups the well against those two teams, you're 559 00:29:23,640 --> 00:29:28,120 Speaker 1: gonna play zone. Against the Chiefs, Patrick Mahomes is just 560 00:29:28,120 --> 00:29:31,200 Speaker 1: gonna pick you apart all day and if someone's not open, 561 00:29:31,640 --> 00:29:37,080 Speaker 1: he's just gonna run. That's it. And so that is fascinating. 562 00:29:37,560 --> 00:29:39,480 Speaker 1: But here is the thing you really got to think about. 563 00:29:41,200 --> 00:29:45,120 Speaker 1: When you have someone as special as Mahomes, when what 564 00:29:45,240 --> 00:29:51,120 Speaker 1: you are witnessing is breaking the bounds of convention, does 565 00:29:51,160 --> 00:29:53,720 Speaker 1: that have more influence in how you account for the 566 00:29:53,760 --> 00:29:59,959 Speaker 1: circumstances and outcome of anything. Right, we're watching the equival 567 00:30:00,360 --> 00:30:05,880 Speaker 1: of Picasso of Shakespeare of the people who did this 568 00:30:06,080 --> 00:30:11,760 Speaker 1: in ways that set entirely new dynamics for everything. Right, 569 00:30:12,120 --> 00:30:16,600 Speaker 1: So he's the freaking Beatles rolled into one. Like he's 570 00:30:16,640 --> 00:30:19,479 Speaker 1: setting the standard that is different, and so you have 571 00:30:19,560 --> 00:30:22,000 Speaker 1: to account for that. It can't be Well, the Niners 572 00:30:22,000 --> 00:30:24,479 Speaker 1: got a better team. So we think that the model 573 00:30:24,520 --> 00:30:28,800 Speaker 1: says this. Mahomes is a model breaker. He just is. 574 00:30:30,720 --> 00:30:32,959 Speaker 2: I mean, you keep getting back to the human element 575 00:30:33,000 --> 00:30:36,240 Speaker 2: of it. Of if the fid and are down by 576 00:30:36,360 --> 00:30:38,560 Speaker 2: seven and they're looking across the field of the Mahomes 577 00:30:38,560 --> 00:30:39,960 Speaker 2: and they know even if they drive their field and 578 00:30:40,000 --> 00:30:41,960 Speaker 2: tie it up, they still have left too much time 579 00:30:41,960 --> 00:30:43,840 Speaker 2: for Mahomes get down the field and kick a three. 580 00:30:43,880 --> 00:30:47,000 Speaker 2: Like that's just pure mental warfare, and that's what they're 581 00:30:47,040 --> 00:30:49,400 Speaker 2: so good at. I mean, even though I know it's 582 00:30:49,440 --> 00:30:52,000 Speaker 2: the corniest thing ever, them screwing with a kicker and 583 00:30:52,040 --> 00:30:56,000 Speaker 2: Tucker on the Ravens. It's like, guys need that kind 584 00:30:56,000 --> 00:30:59,000 Speaker 2: of stuff right in their own head, Like Mahomes. I 585 00:30:59,040 --> 00:31:01,160 Speaker 2: know it sounds stupid, but he took it as disrespect. 586 00:31:01,560 --> 00:31:03,320 Speaker 2: How did you start that Ravens game? Chat? What was 587 00:31:03,320 --> 00:31:06,600 Speaker 2: that eleven for eleven against the yeah defense? So that's 588 00:31:06,640 --> 00:31:10,480 Speaker 2: what I mean, it's like the littlest light. These kind 589 00:31:10,520 --> 00:31:13,040 Speaker 2: of guys, like the Michael Jordan type, just take it 590 00:31:13,080 --> 00:31:14,880 Speaker 2: to a whole other level. And that's what makes these 591 00:31:14,920 --> 00:31:18,880 Speaker 2: guys so great. So, yeah, the books making Mahomes a 592 00:31:18,920 --> 00:31:21,600 Speaker 2: dog again, Chad, we don't even need we don't even 593 00:31:21,640 --> 00:31:24,760 Speaker 2: need anyone say anything. Mahomes already knows that people doubt 594 00:31:24,800 --> 00:31:27,960 Speaker 2: them again. So I think Evan had an amazing stat 595 00:31:28,040 --> 00:31:30,040 Speaker 2: first time. This would be the first time in his career. 596 00:31:30,680 --> 00:31:34,040 Speaker 2: He's been a dog three straight weeks. So the way 597 00:31:34,040 --> 00:31:37,040 Speaker 2: the numbers trending, it's going up, it looks like Mahomes 598 00:31:37,080 --> 00:31:39,880 Speaker 2: is going to close the dog. So it's it's historical 599 00:31:40,160 --> 00:31:42,520 Speaker 2: and I feel like a fool for not taking advantage 600 00:31:42,520 --> 00:31:44,040 Speaker 2: of it. So I'm not gonna miss out on this one. 601 00:31:44,080 --> 00:31:46,280 Speaker 2: I'm gonna take him in the super Bowl. Especially now 602 00:31:46,320 --> 00:31:48,480 Speaker 2: you can get the two Why would you not go 603 00:31:48,560 --> 00:31:50,080 Speaker 2: grab that or grab the money line. 604 00:31:50,600 --> 00:31:53,160 Speaker 1: You can catch every episode of The Favorites live on YouTube. 605 00:31:53,200 --> 00:31:55,280 Speaker 1: For those enjoying that on YouTube, don't forget to give 606 00:31:55,320 --> 00:31:58,840 Speaker 1: us a like and subscribe to the Action Network YouTube page. 607 00:31:58,880 --> 00:32:03,480 Speaker 1: All right, reminder, we've got the bet three sixty five. 608 00:32:03,760 --> 00:32:09,400 Speaker 1: I'm a super Bowl prop contest going on. I want 609 00:32:09,400 --> 00:32:13,120 Speaker 1: to remind people how to submit. If you have an 610 00:32:13,160 --> 00:32:17,600 Speaker 1: idea for a prop you like to see posted on 611 00:32:17,760 --> 00:32:20,880 Speaker 1: Bet three sixty five for the Super Bowl Email it 612 00:32:21,160 --> 00:32:27,760 Speaker 1: Too podcasts at actionnetwork dot com. Today, Matt Mitchell is 613 00:32:27,920 --> 00:32:32,920 Speaker 1: monitoring the inbox. The person who submits the winning pick 614 00:32:33,040 --> 00:32:35,880 Speaker 1: will get there bet posted by Bet three sixty five 615 00:32:36,080 --> 00:32:40,520 Speaker 1: plus some Action Network prizes and a chance, not a guarantee, 616 00:32:40,960 --> 00:32:44,200 Speaker 1: a chance to join us on the podcast. First, you'll 617 00:32:44,240 --> 00:32:47,440 Speaker 1: have to be vetted by Matt Mitchell. So here's an 618 00:32:47,440 --> 00:32:49,760 Speaker 1: example of a couple of a couple that have come 619 00:32:49,800 --> 00:32:52,360 Speaker 1: in that we think would work right Because I said 620 00:32:52,360 --> 00:32:57,160 Speaker 1: the other day, it has to be quantifiable, it has 621 00:32:57,240 --> 00:33:00,240 Speaker 1: to be objective. It has to be something that can 622 00:33:00,240 --> 00:33:05,520 Speaker 1: be graded by bookmakers off of the information and data 623 00:33:05,880 --> 00:33:09,360 Speaker 1: that is available and calculated in the game. So here's 624 00:33:09,360 --> 00:33:13,560 Speaker 1: an example minute Rice over under sixty and a half 625 00:33:13,600 --> 00:33:17,480 Speaker 1: receiving yards for she Rice cute title. I like that. 626 00:33:17,760 --> 00:33:19,840 Speaker 1: It's important you got a cute title to catch Matt 627 00:33:19,840 --> 00:33:23,480 Speaker 1: Mitchell's eye. The prop is kind of whatever, like they're 628 00:33:23,520 --> 00:33:25,560 Speaker 1: going to set a prop. I get sixty and a 629 00:33:25,600 --> 00:33:29,120 Speaker 1: half minute Rice, that's cute. Little little wordplay. I like 630 00:33:29,160 --> 00:33:34,440 Speaker 1: a little double entendre. All you had to do was 631 00:33:34,600 --> 00:33:40,960 Speaker 1: stay this. This is really good. More false start penalties 632 00:33:41,520 --> 00:33:47,240 Speaker 1: or Taylor Swift Swift Album of the Year Grammys Interesting. 633 00:33:47,880 --> 00:33:49,680 Speaker 1: I like it. I don't like that. I can't settle 634 00:33:49,720 --> 00:33:53,120 Speaker 1: it all at the same time, shake it off. Travis 635 00:33:53,200 --> 00:33:57,680 Speaker 1: Kelsey to lose a fumble and anytime touchdown. See now 636 00:33:57,680 --> 00:34:02,680 Speaker 1: we're getting somewhere irrelevant. Yard Brock Party passyards versus Draft 637 00:34:03,400 --> 00:34:08,920 Speaker 1: persist position two hundred and sixty two. So okay, gold 638 00:34:09,000 --> 00:34:14,040 Speaker 1: Rush Brock Party and Mahomes forty nine plus rushing yards. Look, guys, 639 00:34:15,200 --> 00:34:20,040 Speaker 1: these are hitting all the marks. Clever. I like pop 640 00:34:20,080 --> 00:34:24,320 Speaker 1: culture as part of it. Good titles. You can measure 641 00:34:24,360 --> 00:34:28,040 Speaker 1: this like we're already getting great suggestions. If you want 642 00:34:28,040 --> 00:34:32,120 Speaker 1: to be part of the party, send Matt Mitchell an 643 00:34:32,120 --> 00:34:35,640 Speaker 1: email Podcasts at actionnetwork dot com. I think you get 644 00:34:35,680 --> 00:34:39,560 Speaker 1: the gist all right. The Favorites podcast is presented by 645 00:34:39,600 --> 00:34:43,160 Speaker 1: Bet three six five. 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Be sure to catch our 658 00:35:18,960 --> 00:35:22,160 Speaker 1: next episode of the Favorites on the Action Network YouTube 659 00:35:22,160 --> 00:35:26,200 Speaker 1: page this Thursday eleven am Eastern. Downloaders from Spotify, Apple 660 00:35:26,200 --> 00:35:29,399 Speaker 1: Pods wherever you get your pods, Rate review, subscribe, leave 661 00:35:29,440 --> 00:35:32,680 Speaker 1: us five stars, say whatever you want. Feedback is a 662 00:35:32,680 --> 00:35:42,960 Speaker 1: gift until Thursday eleven am Eastern, Love You. Action Network 663 00:35:43,000 --> 00:35:47,120 Speaker 1: reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you 664 00:35:47,200 --> 00:35:50,360 Speaker 1: care about has a gambling problem. Help is available twenty 665 00:35:50,360 --> 00:35:52,600 Speaker 1: four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler