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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorite. I'm Chad Milman of the Action Network.

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Speaker 1: It's Monday, which means this is the Parlay Show. We're

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Speaker 1: getting you ready for what to bet this weekend. I

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Speaker 1: am joined as I am every Monday, by Jeff Schwartz,

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Speaker 1: eight years in the NFL as an offensive lineman, Action

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Speaker 1: Network contributor Paul Laduka. Ten years in the major leagues,

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Speaker 1: four time All Star. Some of those years the beginning

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Speaker 1: of those years with the Los Angeles Dodgers, who lost

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Speaker 1: the World Series last night. Yeah, played New York, New

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Speaker 1: York when they won. It seems like that's fitting. Tell

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Speaker 1: me everything you're thinking about the Dodgers right now. Uh,

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Speaker 1: there's a lot of things I'm thinking. Um that Dave

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Speaker 1: Roberts completely overmatched by by Alex Cora and listen, I

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Speaker 1: was critical of him on Twitter. Uh, and he's one

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Speaker 1: of my good friends. He just it was awful. Um,

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Speaker 1: you know, and you're in one of those situations where

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Speaker 1: every single trigger you pull is just the wrong trigger. So, um,

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Speaker 1: Alex is just his baseball mind is beyond his and

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Speaker 1: and in the product that's Boston throughout there, it was

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Speaker 1: just better. They're relentless. So um A lot of Boston

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Speaker 1: fans at that game last night, and you know, Dodger Baseball.

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Speaker 1: For the longest time, I used to tell people, Um,

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Speaker 1: how come the fans on the show up? How come

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Speaker 1: they're fake fans? And you get that a lot from

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Speaker 1: outside people, and you sto upset me. Um, And the

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Speaker 1: reason and half the reason why, let's be honest, it's

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Speaker 1: because of the traffic. Nobody can really get to anywhere

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Speaker 1: in your Dodger's stadium it or like six o'clock because

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Speaker 1: it's just impossible. Um. And they don't have, you know,

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Speaker 1: the kind of transportation to get you there. They're trying

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Speaker 1: to get the light rail and a lot of other things.

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Speaker 1: But um, it was. It was weird to see at

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Speaker 1: the end of the thing, just like twenty thousand Boston

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Speaker 1: fans there and all the l A fans just went

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Speaker 1: home like like nothing. So they deserved it. Listen, they

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Speaker 1: went through everybody like they were standing still. The Dodgers

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Speaker 1: some questionable calls with Rich Hill, some questionable calls in

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Speaker 1: Game one, Um, a lot of questionable calls in that series.

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Speaker 1: But the Dodgers in the long run just don't play

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Speaker 1: good enough defense and just didn't play enough uh. I

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Speaker 1: was at the World Series on Wednesday night of this

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Speaker 1: past week. I bet first five under four and a half.

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Speaker 1: It was three one, two outs, bottom of the fourth,

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Speaker 1: two strikes on the number nine, hit her for the

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Speaker 1: Red Sox. Yeah, he slaps a single the right next,

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Speaker 1: better up, leadoff hit her for the Red Sox. Two outs,

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Speaker 1: bottom the fourth, two strikes. I think he slept a

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Speaker 1: single the center. The Red Sox score three runs that inning.

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Speaker 1: Not a single run was scored the rest of the game. Chad,

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Speaker 1: Welcome to betting baseball. It's brutal. It's so bad. It's

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Speaker 1: like all it's all like I've been all season in baseball.

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Speaker 1: It's it's maddening. It is maddening. It's manding. Hey, So,

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Speaker 1: the Dodgers and the Astros opened up the two thousand

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Speaker 1: nineteen World Series as six to one favorites to win

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Speaker 1: it all. Yeah, you're looking. I saw that, and I

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Speaker 1: don't get the the whole the Dodger thing. I didn't

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Speaker 1: really get, and then I sort of backed up a

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Speaker 1: little bit. They get Seeker back. I don't know what

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Speaker 1: they're gonna do with the Otto, but they're gonna be

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Speaker 1: back next year, right, Yeah, I mean It depends where

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Speaker 1: they go. It depends if they even bring their manager back.

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Speaker 1: It's amazing that the manager could be in trouble after

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Speaker 1: going the back to back World series just because in

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Speaker 1: two World series. Let's not forget you Darvish, he willed

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Speaker 1: you Darvish back out there last year. So he's made

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Speaker 1: multiple mistakes in World series. So I don't know who

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Speaker 1: the GM is there because they fired Ned Collettie, but

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Speaker 1: then he was there with his rug. Uh. They don't

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Speaker 1: even know what's going on in the front office. That's

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Speaker 1: half the problem with Here's here's here's my question, Paul.

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Speaker 1: This is this is why I don't want to I

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Speaker 1: think it's it's odd to give all the blame to Roberts.

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Speaker 1: You have Roberts making like a million dollars and the

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Speaker 1: GM is making like seven eight million dollars. So the

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Speaker 1: GM feels in charge of what's happening. They have an

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Speaker 1: analytics guy in the dugout, and you see Roberts all

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Speaker 1: the time just looking down at a car because remember,

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Speaker 1: you know, I don't see Cora all the time. And

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Speaker 1: I'm sure he has and he uses analysts, which I

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Speaker 1: know he does. He was on you know, coach in Houston.

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Speaker 1: That was a big part of that. But you know

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Speaker 1: Roberts is always looking at the analysts. I don't think

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Speaker 1: he makes these decisions. I think these decisions are done

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Speaker 1: by the front office. Like in games, wanted to to

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Speaker 1: not play all your lefties. I get you did that

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Speaker 1: for the last month of season. You had the best

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Speaker 1: offense in baseball. It worked, But how can you not

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Speaker 1: play Bellinger in Game one after he just won the

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Speaker 1: NLCS m v p UM. I noticed that, But just like,

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Speaker 1: what sign does that show your team that you're just

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Speaker 1: gonna stick to the book at all times? And so

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Speaker 1: I don't I don't think he's making these a lot

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Speaker 1: of these decisions. I think these are on on upper

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Speaker 1: management to make. Yeah, I didn't get it that there's

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Speaker 1: a book, there's a book that they go by, but

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Speaker 1: when it comes to the playoffs, you guys throw it out.

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Speaker 1: I agree with that. You have to throw it out

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Speaker 1: the window. You have to manage on Greeel, this is

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Speaker 1: a guy that won a World Series by stealing a base, agree,

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Speaker 1: and then Alex core goes out there and steals every

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Speaker 1: base on him, every base Like you know, I'm sitting

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Speaker 1: there at home going, hey, Dave, how about throwing one

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Speaker 1: pitch out just to remind him that you have that

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Speaker 1: in your back pocket and then you might call it.

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Speaker 1: He didn't call one pitch out, like he did nothing

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Speaker 1: to stop the running game. They just it was I

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Speaker 1: sat here and watched this whole thing go down, and

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Speaker 1: like when you go by the book and you read

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Speaker 1: it's the safest play. I've said this for years. He

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Speaker 1: is now is he gonna get ripped? Yeah, he got

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Speaker 1: ripped for taking out and not bringing him by as

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Speaker 1: Um in game one and that ended that. But then

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Speaker 1: after that everyone is justified. Let me tell you something.

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Speaker 1: If Rich Hill's last name was Clayton Kershaw in games

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Speaker 1: M four and he had seven in the third innings,

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Speaker 1: he doesn't get taken out of that game because you

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Speaker 1: know why you're leaving Clayton Kershaw and like you did

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Speaker 1: last night and you got lucky because he had David

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Speaker 1: Price up. But because his name is rich Hill, it's

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Speaker 1: okay to take rich Hill out because you know what

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Speaker 1: the next day his name is rich Hill. He's not

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Speaker 1: a Hall of Famer named Clayton Kershaw. So here's what's interesting.

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Speaker 1: This is where it gets interesting. It's a safe play.

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Speaker 1: Next year, you got the Astros and the Red Sox

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Speaker 1: at six to one, Dodgers and Yankees at seven to one,

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Speaker 1: Cubs that tend to one, Indians tend to one, Braves

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Speaker 1: Brewers twelve, twelve to one. Out there in the universe,

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Speaker 1: Bryce Harper and Manny Machado, it's like, you need to

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Speaker 1: find a way to calculate what are the odds for

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Speaker 1: where Bryce Harper is going to go? What are the

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Speaker 1: odds for where Manny Machado is gonna go? And then

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Speaker 1: it's not going to be the Red Sox. It's not

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Speaker 1: going to be the Astros. It could be the Dodgers,

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Speaker 1: it could be the Yankees, could be the Cubs. So

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Speaker 1: is the value right now in trying to figure out

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Speaker 1: where does Bryce Harper Manny Machado go and getting one

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Speaker 1: of the teams that are at the lower numbers or

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Speaker 1: higher numbers, but whichever the case may be, and then

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Speaker 1: trying to sort of trying to do the math on that.

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Speaker 1: But doesn't matter because we see we saw in this

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Speaker 1: World series that having Machado didn't help with Dodgers and

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Speaker 1: Steve Pierce was the MVP who they traded for in

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Speaker 1: like in like July to just going to be a

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Speaker 1: rotational guy on their team and he want the MVP.

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Speaker 1: I don't know what does that matter? If I thought Harper?

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Speaker 1: And what is it matter? Jeff, We're just trying to

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Speaker 1: figure out how to have a little bit of fun.

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Speaker 1: You want to bet the Cubs? That's why it comes

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Speaker 1: down to see, I knew there was a there's a

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Speaker 1: motive here. Do you want? Do you want Harper on

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Speaker 1: the Cubs? You gotta you got a shot? Chen? Are

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Speaker 1: you gonna pay for him? I don't think we have

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Speaker 1: a shot. I think it's gonna go to the Yankees. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: you know what? That just the Giants weirdly have supposedly

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Speaker 1: are in this, which I don't understand. I don't have

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Speaker 1: a ton of cap space. They can make some moves,

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Speaker 1: I mean, but they're not. But I'm a Giants fan.

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Speaker 1: They're not any good Giants? Are ye to repeat? Red

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Speaker 1: Sox are at six to one? Yeah, it would be

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Speaker 1: interesting what happens if David Price and Chris so can

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Speaker 1: pitch the way they pitched. I get tim, I had

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Speaker 1: to hit. I'm happy a little bit for David Price.

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Speaker 1: A great picture that that pitched well, um for the

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Speaker 1: first time in the postseason. And again I feel sorry

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Speaker 1: for Clayton. I know Clayton personally in like probably the

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Speaker 1: most dominant picture maybe our our generation in the non postseason,

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Speaker 1: and then it just gets in the postseason. It just

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Speaker 1: it just doesn't work. It falls off a cliff except

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Speaker 1: for his curveball. But boom boom. Hey, guys, guess what

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Speaker 1: we need to do? A nine team parlay this week,

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Speaker 1: which I consider to be a privilege. Um, last week

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Speaker 1: we went three and six, which I also consider to

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Speaker 1: be a market improvement over the week before, because we

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Speaker 1: went one in eight. Um. Last week, Uh, let's see,

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Speaker 1: I went one and two because I picked the Rams

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Speaker 1: unfortunately also picked the Giants and then I had Minnesota. Boy,

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Speaker 1: that Adam Feeland fumble. Really they never recovered from that. Paully,

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Speaker 1: you had the Broncos plus ten. Nice job. You had Minnesota. Uh,

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Speaker 1: New Orleans under fifty two, well done, and Standford minus

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Speaker 1: three and a half. You lost that one, jeff When

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Speaker 1: your parents were disappointed in you, would they call you Jeffrey? Yeah, Jeffrey, Jeffrey.

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Speaker 1: You had U c l A plus ten, Yeah, I

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Speaker 1: think very well. Yeah, Detroit minus two and a half

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Speaker 1: didn't also don't go very well. You can't go very well.

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Speaker 1: Who is your third pick? I'm glad. I'm glad you're

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Speaker 1: Cleveland plus eight and a half. I'm glad. For whatever reason,

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Speaker 1: I don't actually bet these most of these, like when

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Speaker 1: it comes down to Sunday, because we have time all

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Speaker 1: week to look at these stuff. But yeah, I need

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Speaker 1: to do I need to do better. I need to

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Speaker 1: help us out. We need to win one of these. Well, listen,

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Speaker 1: it's not all on you. You're a big man, but

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Speaker 1: you don't have to shoulder the burden. You know what

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Speaker 1: I'm as I am shoulder. It doesn't bother me. It

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Speaker 1: doesn't bother me one bit. Let's make some let's move that.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna make it happen at some point. Let's rock

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Speaker 1: and roll. Let's make a parley. Oh boy, if we

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Speaker 1: if we win the parlay this week, we never have

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Speaker 1: to hear you soon again. Did you finish your diaries yet? Yeah?

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Speaker 1: Put it up? Put it up last night? What night?

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Speaker 1: Didn't retweet it before? You understand this because I had

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Speaker 1: it done last night. It was pretty easy because like

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Speaker 1: by the second half, it was clear the Saints we're

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Speaker 1: gonna win that game. I slacked Scott Miller at like

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Speaker 1: thirty and said, I'm pretty much sure I can. I'm

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Speaker 1: pretty sure I can just write the ending on this

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Speaker 1: right now because I know how this is going. Um,

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Speaker 1: because we had the vikings. I had the vikings. So

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Speaker 1: the diaries are up. Go read him. What's interesting about

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Speaker 1: the diaries, if I do say so myself, the reason

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Speaker 1: why the john and lull you into betting them is

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Speaker 1: because you look at Eli stats and they're the best

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Speaker 1: stats he's ever had in his career. It's the best

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Speaker 1: he's ever had in his career, and you think, how

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Speaker 1: could they lose these games? And then you watch the

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Speaker 1: games and like you only see him making bad plays,

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Speaker 1: and it is so frustrating. I watched that game obviously,

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Speaker 1: I was on I was on the red zone. Red Zone,

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Speaker 1: which was craptastic by the way they showed. They showed

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Speaker 1: me like the entire Bengals Bucks game and did not

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Speaker 1: show me any highlights from any other the games, Like

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Speaker 1: it was five minutes behind everything yesterday. It was an embarrassment.

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Speaker 1: The red zone yesterday, and it's my favorite thing of

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Speaker 1: all time. It is mine too, and yet it was

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Speaker 1: just just and I had, and I had, and I had,

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Speaker 1: I had the bucks yesterday it was fantastic, bully for you.

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Speaker 1: I missed a live Cardinals, like a twenty yard pass

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Speaker 1: during their final game winning drive. Because Red Zone is

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Speaker 1: showing me a replay of Adrian Peterson clinching the Redskins

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Speaker 1: win and my Giants loss, I'm like, what the funk? Dudes,

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Speaker 1: why are you putting a shive directly through my belly button.

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Speaker 1: There were times yesterday, I will say this, I was

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Speaker 1: watching the Red Zone channel and there was like the

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Speaker 1: end I think it was the end of of one

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Speaker 1: game was happening, and they refused to get off double

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Speaker 1: screens even though the other game was like in the

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Speaker 1: first quarter, and like, God, give me the full screen.

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Speaker 1: I want the full screen of the end of this game.

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Speaker 1: So I do agree that it wasn't it didn't feel

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Speaker 1: quite the same yesterday. You know, they're not gonna be

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Speaker 1: in there on their game every single week. You know

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Speaker 1: what that's I disagree with you. There is a formula

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Speaker 1: for this. It's it's that simple. Like if the Cardinals

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Speaker 1: are on the other side of midfield and the Rams

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Speaker 1: are on their own thirty, show me the fucking Cardinals,

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Speaker 1: don't show me the Rams. I'm with you, he's control.

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Speaker 1: But if you're but if you are, if you are

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Speaker 1: betting in that game, then you're not going to have

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Speaker 1: as much vested in that. More people want to watch

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Speaker 1: the Rams and the Packers then want to watch the Cardinals.

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Speaker 1: Well everybody should have been betting on the Cardinals because

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Speaker 1: that line didn't make any sense. I had the Cardinals too,

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Speaker 1: I bet on the Cardinals. So how did you guys feel?

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Speaker 1: How do you guys feel? Okay, So Todd Gurley, it's

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Speaker 1: about so I haven't I had the Packers, by the

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Speaker 1: way early in the week at nine and a half,

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Speaker 1: so it would have mattered to me. But it's interesting

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Speaker 1: about about the narrative about that on social media was

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Speaker 1: that like the Rams backers got screwed, But really that

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Speaker 1: if he would have scored the Packers, the people that

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Speaker 1: backed the Packers will be screw because the Rams the

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Speaker 1: entire game had barely over chance of winning that bet.

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Speaker 1: I mean it was even at some points Packers, so

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Speaker 1: it would it would be a worse loss for the

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Speaker 1: Packers backers. Had the Rams scored, there, had Gurley chord

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Speaker 1: than it was then you know, then it was for

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Speaker 1: the Rams backers and Twitter lost their minds, like the

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Speaker 1: Rams got screwed. The people that bet on the Rams

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Speaker 1: got screwed. You didn't get screwed that the Packers would

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Speaker 1: have been screwed. Yes, I had I had the Rams

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Speaker 1: at eight and a half. I had the over in

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Speaker 1: the second half and impacted every single thing. And it

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Speaker 1: would have impacted Vegas big time because it would have

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Speaker 1: landed right in the middle of the number. Um uh,

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Speaker 1: because a lot of people had eight and a half

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Speaker 1: to nine and a half, so it would have landed

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Speaker 1: on nine, saying he would have made the extra point, um,

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Speaker 1: and then it would have went over and then the

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Speaker 1: Rams would have covered the second half on the over

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Speaker 1: which I played. It cost me three different plays. But

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Speaker 1: a lot of people are saying, oh, you know extra

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Speaker 1: points success Uh, it isn't having the same success rate.

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Speaker 1: That's why he went down. There was eleven seconds seconds left, Like,

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Speaker 1: just go in the end zone, bro, Like I get it.

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Speaker 1: I get why he sat down, and he wants to

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Speaker 1: be a smart player, but I mean, you just walk

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Speaker 1: into the end zone. There's nobody you're going up. There's

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Speaker 1: no nine Polly, there's no nice it was the right play,

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Speaker 1: and to me, because you had, Because you had, he's

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Speaker 1: the MVP of the I fil right now. There's no

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Speaker 1: more exactly just whatever side you're on is the right side.

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Speaker 1: There's no winner or loser in this. If I were,

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Speaker 1: if I were voting on m VP right now, Josh

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Speaker 1: Rosen one Toddy to oh and then Byron Leftwich new

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Speaker 1: offensive coordinator for the Cardinals. Three. Rosen is going to

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Speaker 1: be so good when he gets adequate help on offensive

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Speaker 1: line and coordinator, it's gonna be fantastic. He was amazing.

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Speaker 1: He's really good. Yeah, he's very he's very accurate. He

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Speaker 1: looks also on the field, also fearless. He you know what,

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Speaker 1: he just looks like a dick. Who cares. That's what

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Speaker 1: I got with water dick in real life. Who cares.

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Speaker 1: I know, it's great. I love guys like that. But

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Speaker 1: I never I never bought this this thing about Josh

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Speaker 1: Rosen to where like he's arrogant. Yeah, he's a quarterback.

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Speaker 1: I hope he's arrogant. He's the best. He's supposed to

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Speaker 1: be the best player on your team. Like, I hope

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Speaker 1: that the quarterback is arrogant. I hope he wants to

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Speaker 1: know why things are done. Like all this Chris is

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Speaker 1: about Josh Rosen was so stupid. If he didn't have

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Speaker 1: any of those, he would have been the first pick

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Speaker 1: overall in the draft. So I think he's I said

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Speaker 1: it from the starting, to be the best quarterback in

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Speaker 1: this draft. I still think that, Um just give him

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Speaker 1: some time with a competent offense. Let's pick some games, boys,

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Speaker 1: do it, Let's build a partly. That's what it would

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Speaker 1: sound like if we were doing a musical about this,

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Speaker 1: If it was like The Favorites the musical, the opening

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Speaker 1: act would be, you know, we're making a parlay. Hey, hey,

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Speaker 1: heyre making hey hey, oh my god, you think this

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Speaker 1: could be a music? Just do some sort of Hamilton's

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Speaker 1: musical There. No, it was like it was like there,

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Speaker 1: It's like in the opening act, like there's a group

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Speaker 1: of people and they are like whispering in the background,

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Speaker 1: like it builds to a crescendo and they do some

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Speaker 1: jazz hands and at the end it's like, you know,

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Speaker 1: a whole line kick and they're screaming like something about

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Speaker 1: making a parlay on a Monday morning. That's how I

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Speaker 1: see it. Uh, we start with me I'm a visionary.

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Speaker 1: Mm hmmm, throw them bones, brother, Alright, I'm up, all right,

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Speaker 1: how about this. It's a weird board, by the way,

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Speaker 1: on a Monday morning. Let's look at this thing. Um,

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Speaker 1: let's go with New Orleans plus one at home against

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Speaker 1: the Rams. The Rams have to lose at some point.

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Speaker 1: They're not gonna be undefeated. We've seen them so far

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Speaker 1: this year. You know, have have road games, UM in

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Speaker 1: Denver that weren't weren't as pretty, Seattle weren't as pretty.

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Speaker 1: They almost lost yesterday. And look who knows of time

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Speaker 1: Montgomery holds onto the football or just fair catches or

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Speaker 1: takes a knee in the end zone. Um, you have

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Speaker 1: Rogers two minutes left, um to drive down the field

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Speaker 1: against that Rams defense that really has struggled at times,

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Speaker 1: especially in the back end. Marcus Peters a lot has struggled. Um.

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Speaker 1: Their pass rushes Aaron Donald and Sue there's no edge

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Speaker 1: rush at all. So UM, I think I think the

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Speaker 1: Packers have a good chance of going down and scoring

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Speaker 1: and winning that game. I think New Orleans right now.

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Speaker 1: You know we talked last week about that the value

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Speaker 1: on them will never be higher. Well, they went into

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Speaker 1: Minnesota and stomped on the Vikings. Um. The Saints are

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Speaker 1: a really good football team. They go home now where

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Speaker 1: we know they play even better. I just don't see

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Speaker 1: how the Rams end up being able to guard all

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Speaker 1: these weapons that they have. I think the Saints winning

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Speaker 1: a shootout here. What do you think of their defense

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Speaker 1: right now? Like, is their defense getting better? Yes? Well

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Speaker 1: this is this has been a theme of there's the

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Speaker 1: last couple of years where there they start really slow.

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Speaker 1: Remember the previous four years chat they started owing to

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Speaker 1: the lead, and then this year they almost went on

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Speaker 1: into the brown Smith four field goals in Week two

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Speaker 1: in New Orleans. And so you have Marcus Davenport they

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Speaker 1: drafted the first round, who had two sacks yesterday. He's

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Speaker 1: playing a lot better now. The Vikings offensive line not

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Speaker 1: very good. Uh. And this in general that they're starting

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Speaker 1: to play just continuing to to improve each week. They

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Speaker 1: had had Eli Apple in there at corner from from

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Speaker 1: New York who they traded four Um to keep getting better.

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Speaker 1: That that's what they do. It's a sign of a

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Speaker 1: good team in my opinion, not the slow start part,

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Speaker 1: but just the part of getting better throughout the season.

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Speaker 1: I think they can really feel it this year like

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Speaker 1: they you have that sense that they they're feeling themselves

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Speaker 1: um winning the NFC because if they win this game,

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Speaker 1: it might put them on track two to host the

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Speaker 1: Ancy Championship game. Inside in New Orance, in that place

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Speaker 1: gets loud like it gets you can't hear anything loud.

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Speaker 1: It's a loud it's a loud place. It's fun to play.

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Speaker 1: Is this a good time to subtly yet humble braggy

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Speaker 1: remind people that I bet the New Orleans Saints to

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Speaker 1: win the Super Bowl at eighteen to one. It's a

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Speaker 1: good bet. It's a good better is also bet the Texans.

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Speaker 1: Also bet the Texans a nice try. You mock what

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Speaker 1: you don't understand, Jeffrey who all right, if I'll think

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Speaker 1: of a bet if the Texas in the super Bowl,

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Speaker 1: I do something. But there's no there's not a chance

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Speaker 1: that Texas even make a super Bowl. But sure you

387
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Speaker 1: can have a dream that can be like the second

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Speaker 1: song in the musical, because every every musical has to

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Speaker 1: have like uh song where it includes the phrase dream.

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Speaker 1: So like I can be you can be standing on

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Speaker 1: one side of the stage like towards the front, and

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Speaker 1: I can be standing on the other side of the stage,

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Speaker 1: and there'll be a spotlight on you and a spotlight

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Speaker 1: on me, and you can start singing about like how

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Speaker 1: I'm dreaming of the Texans winning the super Bowl, and

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Speaker 1: then like almost like I don't know what they call

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Speaker 1: that in the music business, but while you're singing one

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Speaker 1: one song, I'm singing another song about dreaming of the

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Speaker 1: Texans winning the super Bowl, and you're telling me I'm wrong,

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Speaker 1: and I'm saying I can believe you. You do seem

401
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Speaker 1: like the musical type, so it makes sense that you

402
00:22:18,840 --> 00:22:21,240
Speaker 1: seem very in tune. I just saw Hamilton this week too,

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Speaker 1: so I listen. I actually can't. I actually hate musicals.

404
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Speaker 1: Um no, no, but I'm just I'm I'm seeing it

405
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Speaker 1: right now. I just feel it, like sometimes you feel it.

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Speaker 1: You've got to get these things out. After this is over,

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00:22:33,520 --> 00:22:35,280
Speaker 1: I'm going to replay the podcast just so I can

408
00:22:35,359 --> 00:22:37,359
Speaker 1: make some notes, and I'm gonna send this off to

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Speaker 1: lin Manuel. I think that's what he's gonna want to do. Listen. Betting.

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Speaker 1: Betting is big business right now. People want to be

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Speaker 1: in the betting business. We get calls every day. We

412
00:22:45,800 --> 00:22:47,679
Speaker 1: want a partner about this. We want to partner about that.

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Speaker 1: We want to do this, we want to do that.

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Speaker 1: I think I can get this. I can get this,

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Speaker 1: like on the needer Lander stage. All right, you you

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Speaker 1: took your coffee this morning, chat, I appreciate that. I'm

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Speaker 1: half a green tea in I'm a little nauseous. I

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Speaker 1: think I probably have to eat something because I'm in

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00:23:07,960 --> 00:23:11,639
Speaker 1: that weird phase. Was my my younger son's twelve birthday

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00:23:11,720 --> 00:23:14,679
Speaker 1: yesterday and he wanted an ice cream cake, and I

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00:23:14,680 --> 00:23:18,399
Speaker 1: think I ate half that fucker, like by myself watching

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Speaker 1: the Saints Vikings game last night. So I'm feling a

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Speaker 1: little sick this morn. I'm gonna have to get in

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Speaker 1: the bike soon. Poli, I think you're up, buddy. Okay,

425
00:23:31,119 --> 00:23:34,919
Speaker 1: what's the third song in our musical, Laduca. It's called

426
00:23:35,280 --> 00:23:40,919
Speaker 1: the Mic. We're gonna call it Tilt and it's just

427
00:23:40,960 --> 00:23:46,679
Speaker 1: gonna be you Tap Danson. No right? Oh god? Uh.

428
00:23:47,359 --> 00:23:53,159
Speaker 1: Tennessee Titans plus six against the Dallas Cowboys already an

429
00:23:53,200 --> 00:23:58,240
Speaker 1: overreaction to Marie Cooper. I actually was one of the

430
00:23:58,240 --> 00:24:01,959
Speaker 1: few that stayed up, actually stayed up, got up because

431
00:24:02,000 --> 00:24:05,640
Speaker 1: I actually needed the Tennessee game over. When they played

432
00:24:05,720 --> 00:24:10,840
Speaker 1: Jack excuse me. When they played, um, what's you called

433
00:24:10,840 --> 00:24:14,760
Speaker 1: the the Chargers in London? And you know the Chargers

434
00:24:14,800 --> 00:24:16,879
Speaker 1: dominated so of that game, but if you looked, the

435
00:24:16,920 --> 00:24:20,960
Speaker 1: Tennessee dominated the time of possession, really should have won

436
00:24:21,000 --> 00:24:23,880
Speaker 1: the game. And then they scored and then Rabel for

437
00:24:23,920 --> 00:24:26,320
Speaker 1: some reason, went for two. We went for the jugular,

438
00:24:26,880 --> 00:24:29,199
Speaker 1: went for the aggressive play. I told you guys before,

439
00:24:29,720 --> 00:24:33,120
Speaker 1: he's on my pick list with the horses. He's a gambler. Um,

440
00:24:33,640 --> 00:24:36,200
Speaker 1: I just don't see a six point difference between these

441
00:24:36,240 --> 00:24:39,399
Speaker 1: two teams. Amari Cooper needs to get to the to

442
00:24:39,560 --> 00:24:42,199
Speaker 1: the playbook. Does he make them a better Yeah, he

443
00:24:42,280 --> 00:24:44,280
Speaker 1: probably will make them a little bit better, But I

444
00:24:44,280 --> 00:24:47,360
Speaker 1: don't know if there's six points better than the Tennessee Titans.

445
00:24:47,440 --> 00:24:50,560
Speaker 1: The Titans you know three and four and if you

446
00:24:50,600 --> 00:24:53,760
Speaker 1: look they that division is still a vision that can

447
00:24:53,800 --> 00:24:56,520
Speaker 1: be up for grabs. So, um, I just think this

448
00:24:56,600 --> 00:25:00,200
Speaker 1: is a solid play. Well, there's a couple of things

449
00:25:00,200 --> 00:25:02,000
Speaker 1: you said in there that I'm I agree with and

450
00:25:02,040 --> 00:25:05,280
Speaker 1: a couple of things you just I disagree with. One broadly.

451
00:25:06,320 --> 00:25:10,080
Speaker 1: I love the new gun slinging NFL. I love that

452
00:25:10,119 --> 00:25:12,280
Speaker 1: people are going forward in fourth down. I love that

453
00:25:12,320 --> 00:25:15,320
Speaker 1: people are fake punting from their own fifteen. I love

454
00:25:15,400 --> 00:25:17,280
Speaker 1: that Rabel is going for two and going for the

455
00:25:17,280 --> 00:25:20,280
Speaker 1: win and not playing for overtimes and ties. Um I

456
00:25:20,280 --> 00:25:22,280
Speaker 1: think and Rabel has done that a few times this year.

457
00:25:22,320 --> 00:25:25,640
Speaker 1: I think it's amazing. It makes it so much more interesting.

458
00:25:26,520 --> 00:25:30,159
Speaker 1: And it's also just smarter football, like from from a

459
00:25:30,240 --> 00:25:34,320
Speaker 1: math perspective, like it's just much better. Um, I think

460
00:25:34,600 --> 00:25:37,600
Speaker 1: I I think you said something else that I disagree

461
00:25:37,600 --> 00:25:42,720
Speaker 1: with and I can't remember now. It's too bad. Good,

462
00:25:43,480 --> 00:25:45,919
Speaker 1: But the Cowboys aren't six points better than six points

463
00:25:45,920 --> 00:25:48,280
Speaker 1: better though, No I think they are, so I don't

464
00:25:48,280 --> 00:25:50,480
Speaker 1: think they are either. I think, uh, I think it's

465
00:25:50,480 --> 00:25:54,239
Speaker 1: completely the right side. Um, I don't know what it is.

466
00:25:54,359 --> 00:25:56,399
Speaker 1: I lost my train of thought started thinking about the

467
00:25:56,440 --> 00:25:58,600
Speaker 1: fourth song of the music or about the London hangover?

468
00:25:58,640 --> 00:26:01,399
Speaker 1: Anything to that? Have you? You you played over their

469
00:26:01,400 --> 00:26:04,440
Speaker 1: short see no, but they had to buy so they

470
00:26:04,520 --> 00:26:07,240
Speaker 1: when you come back from Mondon. That's my thought process.

471
00:26:07,240 --> 00:26:09,359
Speaker 1: And I wonder if there's always a hangover. And so

472
00:26:09,440 --> 00:26:11,760
Speaker 1: far we've seen teams I don't know. I probably should

473
00:26:11,800 --> 00:26:13,720
Speaker 1: look this up or have one of our our bet

474
00:26:13,760 --> 00:26:16,639
Speaker 1: labs people look up like teams this year seemed to

475
00:26:16,640 --> 00:26:18,080
Speaker 1: be playing really well off and by. I know not

476
00:26:18,119 --> 00:26:20,200
Speaker 1: all of them do, but we've seen, like we I

477
00:26:20,320 --> 00:26:22,560
Speaker 1: bet against, I bet against a lot of teams coming

478
00:26:22,600 --> 00:26:24,200
Speaker 1: off of buy and that they have all like won

479
00:26:24,240 --> 00:26:26,040
Speaker 1: the game. I know there's certain teams like New Orleans

480
00:26:26,080 --> 00:26:28,320
Speaker 1: who I think Sean Page's thirteen and two after by,

481
00:26:28,400 --> 00:26:31,399
Speaker 1: Andy Reid something like fourteen and two, fifteen and two

482
00:26:31,440 --> 00:26:33,800
Speaker 1: after by. I mean, some coaches are really good after bye.

483
00:26:34,480 --> 00:26:36,480
Speaker 1: But it seems like, you know, the Seahawks yesterday I

484
00:26:36,520 --> 00:26:39,400
Speaker 1: played really well after by might be the best offensiveportance

485
00:26:39,440 --> 00:26:41,879
Speaker 1: that they had all year. Like they just teams just

486
00:26:41,920 --> 00:26:44,920
Speaker 1: have been playing well off of bye. Tennessee off six points,

487
00:26:44,960 --> 00:26:46,879
Speaker 1: that was not six points better than than anyone in

488
00:26:46,880 --> 00:26:52,560
Speaker 1: the NFL. Right now, I remembered what I was gonna say, Polly,

489
00:26:53,040 --> 00:26:55,639
Speaker 1: This division in the a f C South is not

490
00:26:55,720 --> 00:26:58,239
Speaker 1: wide open because the Texans are running away with this

491
00:26:58,280 --> 00:27:06,359
Speaker 1: thing running away. You watched one game, yeah, in the

492
00:27:06,480 --> 00:27:12,159
Speaker 1: endless and the the Dolphins are in disarray, the running

493
00:27:13,640 --> 00:27:16,639
Speaker 1: The Dolphins are in disarray. The Titans are good, but

494
00:27:16,760 --> 00:27:21,439
Speaker 1: not great. I'm talking the Jaguars. The Jaguars are in

495
00:27:21,440 --> 00:27:26,720
Speaker 1: a free fall exactly. Houston Texans are winning this division,

496
00:27:30,720 --> 00:27:33,359
Speaker 1: but I think we are to look but it's just

497
00:27:33,520 --> 00:27:35,400
Speaker 1: one of those tickets where you're like the horses in front,

498
00:27:35,440 --> 00:27:39,480
Speaker 1: but you know he's going to fade. Washington Redskins minus

499
00:27:39,520 --> 00:27:41,760
Speaker 1: one and a half pint cavorites at home against the

500
00:27:41,800 --> 00:27:45,720
Speaker 1: Atlanta Falcons. Do you say Smith a holiday card every year?

501
00:27:46,560 --> 00:27:49,840
Speaker 1: Do I do? You said? Like Smith the holiday card

502
00:27:49,880 --> 00:27:58,040
Speaker 1: every year? I'm going to how do you not bet

503
00:27:58,040 --> 00:28:02,160
Speaker 1: the Redskins? Like their defense is pretty good and like

504
00:28:02,520 --> 00:28:05,639
Speaker 1: they just keep winning? Like why wouldn't I bet them

505
00:28:05,640 --> 00:28:07,520
Speaker 1: as a short home favorite against a team that I

506
00:28:07,600 --> 00:28:10,680
Speaker 1: don't like it at all? All Ox Smith does is

507
00:28:10,720 --> 00:28:13,440
Speaker 1: win football games in the regular season. All Alex Smith

508
00:28:13,440 --> 00:28:16,960
Speaker 1: does is win football games in the regular season. Atlanta

509
00:28:17,040 --> 00:28:21,199
Speaker 1: is off the bye week, Yeah great, Lena, Atlanta is

510
00:28:21,280 --> 00:28:26,080
Speaker 1: now outside though in in Washington, um their defense that

511
00:28:26,200 --> 00:28:29,920
Speaker 1: the bye week doesn't help there they have. Give me.

512
00:28:30,040 --> 00:28:33,760
Speaker 1: Give me an underachieving team going on the road, playing

513
00:28:33,800 --> 00:28:37,159
Speaker 1: outside when they're built for a fast track against a

514
00:28:37,160 --> 00:28:40,560
Speaker 1: team with a good defense, a quarterback who doesn't make mistakes,

515
00:28:40,760 --> 00:28:44,040
Speaker 1: and a team that consistently wins. Yeah, I'll take that

516
00:28:44,160 --> 00:28:48,240
Speaker 1: as a short home favorite. It's supposed to be fifties

517
00:28:48,240 --> 00:28:51,960
Speaker 1: seven degrees to kick off. Come with this game too.

518
00:28:52,200 --> 00:28:54,320
Speaker 1: I feel like sometimes you have to stick with what

519
00:28:54,360 --> 00:28:58,160
Speaker 1: you do, right, which is a short home favorite. Yeah,

520
00:28:58,400 --> 00:29:02,080
Speaker 1: no reason not to. Yeah, kind of like this Atlanta

521
00:29:02,160 --> 00:29:04,040
Speaker 1: is playing outside it is. It's just a different team,

522
00:29:04,120 --> 00:29:07,600
Speaker 1: especially with all those injuries. That that's a good good point.

523
00:29:07,880 --> 00:29:10,080
Speaker 1: Whether it's gonna be starting to factory in here pretty

524
00:29:10,120 --> 00:29:11,880
Speaker 1: soon or I did a little bit, but that's a

525
00:29:11,880 --> 00:29:16,400
Speaker 1: good point. The quartsy Tampa blade plus seven against Carolina

526
00:29:16,760 --> 00:29:19,560
Speaker 1: on the road. Here's a deal that these games are close.

527
00:29:19,600 --> 00:29:22,480
Speaker 1: When Tampa plays Carolina, fits Magic is gonna probably start

528
00:29:22,560 --> 00:29:24,960
Speaker 1: this game right now. If you look at last year

529
00:29:25,840 --> 00:29:28,480
Speaker 1: three point game early in the season, very early season,

530
00:29:28,480 --> 00:29:33,480
Speaker 1: the game was UM was fourteen points. But even last

531
00:29:33,560 --> 00:29:36,440
Speaker 1: year one point game, three point game seven points for

532
00:29:36,480 --> 00:29:39,080
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay, especially if it's Magic plays as too many points.

533
00:29:39,080 --> 00:29:42,520
Speaker 1: They can score a lot on offense UM with DeShawn Jackson,

534
00:29:42,600 --> 00:29:45,600
Speaker 1: Mike Evans, o J Howard. We saw yesterday what that

535
00:29:45,680 --> 00:29:48,080
Speaker 1: offense can do coming from behind. The Panthers are playing

536
00:29:48,080 --> 00:29:51,120
Speaker 1: really well right now. I get that, but we're over

537
00:29:51,160 --> 00:29:53,520
Speaker 1: in playing their defense a little bit. After the Ravens performance,

538
00:29:53,560 --> 00:29:56,720
Speaker 1: their their defense, at least statistically, the efficiency is not

539
00:29:56,840 --> 00:29:59,640
Speaker 1: as high as it happened in the past. UM I

540
00:29:59,680 --> 00:30:01,800
Speaker 1: think the Tampa Bay keeps this game close. Seven points

541
00:30:01,840 --> 00:30:04,720
Speaker 1: is a lot, especially in division for kind of Tampa

542
00:30:04,720 --> 00:30:08,480
Speaker 1: Bay just kind of has their number the Panthers number

543
00:30:08,520 --> 00:30:11,520
Speaker 1: of times. UM So I think that this game is

544
00:30:11,600 --> 00:30:15,680
Speaker 1: really close. Parentthers probably still win at seven points. I

545
00:30:15,760 --> 00:30:18,440
Speaker 1: like the bigger question is what what do the what

546
00:30:18,480 --> 00:30:21,640
Speaker 1: do the Buccaneers do about Jamis Winston right now? They

547
00:30:21,680 --> 00:30:23,840
Speaker 1: don't they just get another quarterback in the draft and

548
00:30:23,840 --> 00:30:26,760
Speaker 1: they let him go. Really, they're in a weird They're

549
00:30:26,760 --> 00:30:30,040
Speaker 1: in a weird spot right now where they're kind of

550
00:30:30,040 --> 00:30:32,360
Speaker 1: a no man's land because Jamis Wilson is clearly not

551
00:30:32,440 --> 00:30:34,960
Speaker 1: the future. Now you can think maybe we will will

552
00:30:35,000 --> 00:30:36,600
Speaker 1: give him his one will give him his one year

553
00:30:36,640 --> 00:30:39,280
Speaker 1: option UM next year, and we'll bring in a new

554
00:30:39,280 --> 00:30:41,400
Speaker 1: coach because I only Cutter makes it, and we'll see

555
00:30:41,400 --> 00:30:43,760
Speaker 1: how he does under that new coach. But he's he

556
00:30:43,960 --> 00:30:47,200
Speaker 1: in the status pull up in forty nine games, I

557
00:30:47,200 --> 00:30:49,600
Speaker 1: think he's he's turned here. It is right here. In

558
00:30:49,680 --> 00:30:53,160
Speaker 1: forty nine games, Jamis has done fifty four interceptions and

559
00:30:53,200 --> 00:30:55,800
Speaker 1: fumbled thirty six times, and I think that's even before

560
00:30:55,840 --> 00:30:58,880
Speaker 1: he threw like his last two interceptions yesterday. So that's

561
00:30:58,920 --> 00:31:01,440
Speaker 1: not good to who's the ball ninety times? Now, not

562
00:31:01,440 --> 00:31:06,440
Speaker 1: all those fumbles were recovered, but not not Nonetheless, you

563
00:31:06,480 --> 00:31:09,400
Speaker 1: can't do that if you're Jamis. So the players you

564
00:31:09,400 --> 00:31:12,080
Speaker 1: could tell there's a difference in the player's attitudes on

565
00:31:12,120 --> 00:31:14,480
Speaker 1: the field and when Fitz comes in. But Fits is

566
00:31:14,480 --> 00:31:16,840
Speaker 1: also not the future of the franchise either, so you

567
00:31:16,960 --> 00:31:19,560
Speaker 1: kind of have no future quarterback, which is a terrible

568
00:31:19,560 --> 00:31:22,000
Speaker 1: place to be in NFL. And they're not bad enough

569
00:31:22,000 --> 00:31:25,640
Speaker 1: to have the number one pick, and so they're gonna

570
00:31:25,680 --> 00:31:28,840
Speaker 1: have to find some quarterback, maybe Teddy Bridgewater this offset.

571
00:31:28,880 --> 00:31:33,600
Speaker 1: Someone's gonna have to come in and play quarterback for them. Yeah,

572
00:31:34,040 --> 00:31:36,479
Speaker 1: Winston's got a little bit of Eli Manning and him

573
00:31:36,520 --> 00:31:38,800
Speaker 1: where he just throws that pick where there's just like

574
00:31:38,960 --> 00:31:42,240
Speaker 1: nobody within Yeah, the one feature the linebacker yesterday, like

575
00:31:42,400 --> 00:31:45,360
Speaker 1: just literally there are seven Bengals and zero Buccaneers. You

576
00:31:45,400 --> 00:31:48,840
Speaker 1: prow the ball right in the linebacker's chest. It's like

577
00:31:49,280 --> 00:31:51,320
Speaker 1: two quarterbacks in the league. Eli does it too. It's

578
00:31:51,400 --> 00:31:53,720
Speaker 1: like yes, and then he like looks around like the

579
00:31:53,720 --> 00:32:01,959
Speaker 1: guy should be there, Polly, you're up. Okay, Uh Steelers Ravens.

580
00:32:03,400 --> 00:32:05,760
Speaker 1: I love the Ravens here minus three and a couple

581
00:32:05,760 --> 00:32:09,680
Speaker 1: of reasons why. Um, they already beat the Steelers in

582
00:32:09,800 --> 00:32:12,480
Speaker 1: this year. There are four and four now and listen,

583
00:32:12,480 --> 00:32:15,680
Speaker 1: they were on the rise, told what two weeks ago,

584
00:32:15,760 --> 00:32:18,480
Speaker 1: three weeks ago? And I think that the lost in

585
00:32:18,520 --> 00:32:21,840
Speaker 1: New Orleans was crushing justin Tucker and misses the extra point.

586
00:32:21,840 --> 00:32:24,000
Speaker 1: They have a little bit of a hangover against Carolina.

587
00:32:24,040 --> 00:32:29,160
Speaker 1: They're never in that game. After shutting out Tennessee. UM.

588
00:32:29,200 --> 00:32:32,440
Speaker 1: And you know, Pittsburgh, I get it they did. They

589
00:32:32,440 --> 00:32:35,720
Speaker 1: blew out Cleveland yesterday and they're starting a little a

590
00:32:35,720 --> 00:32:40,280
Speaker 1: little bit better UM on the offensive. On the defensive side,

591
00:32:40,320 --> 00:32:43,160
Speaker 1: I still think they're vulnerable. And I do think that

592
00:32:43,400 --> 00:32:47,600
Speaker 1: Baltimore always matches up well against Pittsburgh, and three points

593
00:32:47,760 --> 00:32:50,440
Speaker 1: at home, they'll be able to put pressure on on

594
00:32:50,600 --> 00:32:54,760
Speaker 1: Big Ben Um. And I just like this play divisional play.

595
00:32:55,240 --> 00:32:56,800
Speaker 1: I think it will be a knock it out game.

596
00:32:56,800 --> 00:32:58,520
Speaker 1: I can't believe the under over is that high forty

597
00:32:58,560 --> 00:33:02,240
Speaker 1: seven degrees. It's supposed to be really low temperatures in Baltimore.

598
00:33:02,320 --> 00:33:06,400
Speaker 1: But um, this is a kind of thing where the overreaction.

599
00:33:06,440 --> 00:33:10,000
Speaker 1: I'm getting decent value on the Ravens at ninus three,

600
00:33:10,040 --> 00:33:12,080
Speaker 1: sometimes minus two and a half in some other books.

601
00:33:13,360 --> 00:33:18,800
Speaker 1: I agree with you. I think this whole thing is

602
00:33:18,840 --> 00:33:22,440
Speaker 1: out of whack. I think the Ravens are have been

603
00:33:22,480 --> 00:33:25,840
Speaker 1: playing sort of. They haven't playing great. The last couple

604
00:33:25,920 --> 00:33:29,480
Speaker 1: of weeks, Pittsburgh had a big win against against Cleveland,

605
00:33:29,480 --> 00:33:31,040
Speaker 1: a team that I think a lot of people were

606
00:33:31,080 --> 00:33:35,040
Speaker 1: thinking could keep these games close. Um, these games are

607
00:33:35,080 --> 00:33:37,640
Speaker 1: always tight. It's always like in that three or five

608
00:33:37,680 --> 00:33:45,280
Speaker 1: point range. I'm with you with the only challenge, by

609
00:33:45,320 --> 00:33:48,760
Speaker 1: the way, the only challenge here is that, like I worry,

610
00:33:48,760 --> 00:33:51,479
Speaker 1: this number is gonna come down? Do you think so?

611
00:33:53,040 --> 00:33:56,640
Speaker 1: Will they take it off the key number? Mm hmm,

612
00:33:57,360 --> 00:34:02,840
Speaker 1: I don't know. I'm to go you guys ready? Are

613
00:34:02,880 --> 00:34:05,520
Speaker 1: you ready? It sounds like it's going to be a

614
00:34:05,520 --> 00:34:08,640
Speaker 1: pick that we're not gonna like, but go ahead, don't

615
00:34:08,680 --> 00:34:16,040
Speaker 1: play the Giants please? Are they off this week? You're ready? Yes?

616
00:34:17,680 --> 00:34:21,000
Speaker 1: This is the game I'm really struggling with, really really

617
00:34:21,000 --> 00:34:33,239
Speaker 1: struggling with l A Chargers plus one at Seattle. If

618
00:34:33,239 --> 00:34:35,479
Speaker 1: someone were to throw a challenge flag on this and say, nope,

619
00:34:35,480 --> 00:34:37,560
Speaker 1: we got to take the Seahawks. I could do that too,

620
00:34:38,000 --> 00:34:46,760
Speaker 1: but this is the same I know, I know, I know. Yeah,

621
00:34:47,200 --> 00:34:53,239
Speaker 1: Seattle is finally healthy. He scares me good coming off

622
00:34:53,239 --> 00:34:56,320
Speaker 1: the bye week, same Chargers coming off the by the

623
00:34:56,320 --> 00:34:58,719
Speaker 1: They're a really good team. They've only lost to the

624
00:34:58,800 --> 00:35:01,480
Speaker 1: Rams and the Chiefs. At this point. Philip Rivers is

625
00:35:01,520 --> 00:35:05,000
Speaker 1: having an m v P type year, very quietly like,

626
00:35:05,880 --> 00:35:11,160
Speaker 1: I don't know, maybe it should be the Seahawks. Like

627
00:35:12,360 --> 00:35:16,279
Speaker 1: I don't know. I I am torn because that's the

628
00:35:16,320 --> 00:35:18,480
Speaker 1: same play you made when you took the Chargers over

629
00:35:18,520 --> 00:35:20,960
Speaker 1: the Browns the Charges were in Cleveland, Like you went

630
00:35:20,960 --> 00:35:24,319
Speaker 1: against your gut of your normal play, which is the

631
00:35:24,320 --> 00:35:26,920
Speaker 1: short home favorite. So if you feel this way, I

632
00:35:26,960 --> 00:35:30,040
Speaker 1: feel like there's a reason why you feel so good

633
00:35:30,040 --> 00:35:32,960
Speaker 1: about this pick. I just think the Chargers are like,

634
00:35:35,760 --> 00:35:37,800
Speaker 1: I think they're really good. I think they're good and

635
00:35:37,800 --> 00:35:43,200
Speaker 1: they're being ignored. I can see that they're very good

636
00:35:43,200 --> 00:35:45,799
Speaker 1: on offense. They're way better offensive team than people think,

637
00:35:46,000 --> 00:35:48,319
Speaker 1: so I'd like this play. Oh, I can't believe you

638
00:35:48,360 --> 00:35:50,920
Speaker 1: gave Blackjack thirteen and a half of the Patriots tonight.

639
00:35:50,920 --> 00:35:53,480
Speaker 1: I mind football on your favorites like that is so

640
00:35:53,680 --> 00:35:57,319
Speaker 1: not your deal. I just gave up. I'm just so

641
00:35:57,360 --> 00:36:00,880
Speaker 1: sick of listening to that talk about the playtriots that

642
00:36:01,000 --> 00:36:06,400
Speaker 1: like your doctor for secondhand jewel smoke pretty It's like

643
00:36:06,440 --> 00:36:10,080
Speaker 1: I just I could not listen to him talk about

644
00:36:10,360 --> 00:36:15,000
Speaker 1: having about the Patriots anymore, and like this will give me.

645
00:36:15,080 --> 00:36:18,080
Speaker 1: If they win, I win, and if they lose, I

646
00:36:18,160 --> 00:36:21,319
Speaker 1: win because I get everything. I need to sort of

647
00:36:21,320 --> 00:36:25,120
Speaker 1: say to him, we're done. My way is the right way.

648
00:36:25,520 --> 00:36:29,680
Speaker 1: Your way has been flukey. So that's it. You're in

649
00:36:29,680 --> 00:36:31,920
Speaker 1: a rare form today, Chad. I love it. Jeff, you

650
00:36:32,480 --> 00:36:34,440
Speaker 1: you're fired up today. All Right, I gott get to

651
00:36:34,480 --> 00:36:36,919
Speaker 1: my I gotta go film an episode of I'll take

652
00:36:36,960 --> 00:36:39,080
Speaker 1: that bet. So let's let's do it. Man, we gotta

653
00:36:39,120 --> 00:36:41,840
Speaker 1: get down ten minutes. You've got your a multimedia superstar.

654
00:36:41,960 --> 00:36:44,560
Speaker 1: Let's get let's get let's get my third pick. How

655
00:36:44,560 --> 00:36:47,520
Speaker 1: about this college football? Last two weeks have been rough

656
00:36:47,560 --> 00:36:49,399
Speaker 1: for me, but we're gonna make a comeback this week.

657
00:36:49,440 --> 00:36:55,480
Speaker 1: God Friday Night, Friday Night Patrol after Dark, Arizona's four

658
00:36:55,480 --> 00:36:58,800
Speaker 1: point favorites over Colorado at home. Give me the Wildcats

659
00:36:59,480 --> 00:37:01,680
Speaker 1: Colorado this week, by the way, like this is they

660
00:37:01,680 --> 00:37:03,239
Speaker 1: had a loss on Saturday that you just don't come

661
00:37:03,280 --> 00:37:07,520
Speaker 1: back from. Like you don't up thirty one to three

662
00:37:07,520 --> 00:37:09,440
Speaker 1: on Organ State. Organ State might be one of the

663
00:37:09,480 --> 00:37:11,000
Speaker 1: worst teams in the country. They had they had won

664
00:37:11,080 --> 00:37:14,239
Speaker 1: one game this season against Southern Utah. The thirty one

665
00:37:14,280 --> 00:37:17,479
Speaker 1: to three in the third quarter. That's seventy year touchedo

666
00:37:17,520 --> 00:37:20,800
Speaker 1: around first play of the of the second half of

667
00:37:21,239 --> 00:37:24,239
Speaker 1: three at home. They lose it overtime, forty one to

668
00:37:24,320 --> 00:37:27,000
Speaker 1: thirty four. You don't recover from that game. You don't.

669
00:37:27,360 --> 00:37:30,160
Speaker 1: Arizona beat a ranked organ team that the didn't beat them.

670
00:37:30,160 --> 00:37:33,000
Speaker 1: They demolish the ranked Organ team to fifteen at home

671
00:37:33,280 --> 00:37:36,000
Speaker 1: this weekend. Now they get a Friday night game. Two songs.

672
00:37:36,000 --> 00:37:37,879
Speaker 1: A tough place to play is loud there. It gets

673
00:37:37,880 --> 00:37:40,040
Speaker 1: a little rowdy. Uh. They like to drink a lot

674
00:37:40,080 --> 00:37:43,080
Speaker 1: in that in that in that college campus. Um and

675
00:37:44,160 --> 00:37:46,360
Speaker 1: Tait's playing better. They're starting to get the offense down.

676
00:37:46,800 --> 00:37:49,799
Speaker 1: I feel like Colorado just their seasons over. They're not

677
00:37:49,840 --> 00:37:53,200
Speaker 1: coming back from that loss. You there's no way you can.

678
00:37:53,520 --> 00:37:56,719
Speaker 1: But I'm just excited. That will be dead on Friday nights,

679
00:37:56,719 --> 00:37:57,960
Speaker 1: so I don't have think about it for the rest

680
00:37:57,960 --> 00:38:00,359
Speaker 1: of the weekend. It actually will be dead Sunday morning

681
00:38:00,360 --> 00:38:02,560
Speaker 1: with Saturday morning when you wake up because you're not

682
00:38:02,600 --> 00:38:05,600
Speaker 1: watching this game. No, no, I'll be asleep. Yeah, you'll

683
00:38:05,600 --> 00:38:08,480
Speaker 1: be asleep. I'll be If you don't like it, throw

684
00:38:08,600 --> 00:38:12,919
Speaker 1: challenge flag, then I'll be in a theater space rehearsing. Chad,

685
00:38:12,960 --> 00:38:14,879
Speaker 1: you should go to two soon. There's one place to go.

686
00:38:15,120 --> 00:38:19,640
Speaker 1: You know the name of it is dirt bags. Yeah,

687
00:38:20,360 --> 00:38:23,239
Speaker 1: so the baseball players are at dirt bags our own

688
00:38:23,800 --> 00:38:27,680
Speaker 1: Lauren Joffey wildcat. She's been in the dirt bags many times.

689
00:38:29,440 --> 00:38:31,080
Speaker 1: So you throw a challenge flog. If you don't like this,

690
00:38:31,120 --> 00:38:33,880
Speaker 1: then I actually love this pick. What do I listen to?

691
00:38:34,440 --> 00:38:36,640
Speaker 1: What do I know about the pack twelve? I've already stayed.

692
00:38:36,719 --> 00:38:40,000
Speaker 1: I've already made the case like staying up till late

693
00:38:40,000 --> 00:38:43,480
Speaker 1: at night and watch Organ lose. I think finally last

694
00:38:43,520 --> 00:38:47,840
Speaker 1: week the rich rod like smell went finally went away,

695
00:38:48,960 --> 00:38:51,920
Speaker 1: and I think someone extension has gone like someone finally.

696
00:38:52,000 --> 00:38:54,800
Speaker 1: The last couple of weeks, he was a backup quarterback

697
00:38:55,280 --> 00:38:58,080
Speaker 1: and almost beat U c l A. Tate comes back,

698
00:38:58,160 --> 00:39:00,840
Speaker 1: has his best game this season. He looked completely helping

699
00:39:00,840 --> 00:39:05,080
Speaker 1: and he's right. They boat raced Oregon last week. I

700
00:39:05,160 --> 00:39:06,440
Speaker 1: have a bunk to pick, by the way, with your

701
00:39:06,440 --> 00:39:10,839
Speaker 1: sun devils, they screwed me royally. The same thing happened, Chad.

702
00:39:10,840 --> 00:39:15,239
Speaker 1: The same thing happened with Todd Gurley. Um happened in

703
00:39:15,280 --> 00:39:17,600
Speaker 1: the Arizona State game, but the opposite I needed. I

704
00:39:17,640 --> 00:39:20,600
Speaker 1: needed a second half under to cover the under their

705
00:39:20,640 --> 00:39:24,680
Speaker 1: loss for the game because they scored to two times

706
00:39:24,680 --> 00:39:27,120
Speaker 1: off a turnover and nine five yard punt return where

707
00:39:27,160 --> 00:39:29,120
Speaker 1: the where the runner start at once, I felt right

708
00:39:29,239 --> 00:39:31,800
Speaker 1: across the field down the sideline, So I just needed

709
00:39:31,840 --> 00:39:34,520
Speaker 1: them Arizona State at a fourth, third and one s

710
00:39:34,600 --> 00:39:36,200
Speaker 1: he had no time outs left. All that to do

711
00:39:36,280 --> 00:39:38,440
Speaker 1: was just get a first down and fall down. The

712
00:39:38,520 --> 00:39:41,800
Speaker 1: quarterback runs into for a touchdown in the same stadium,

713
00:39:41,800 --> 00:39:44,960
Speaker 1: and the coloseum was it was, I don't like yourself.

714
00:39:44,960 --> 00:39:47,360
Speaker 1: I'm not betting on some devils anymore. It sounds like

715
00:39:47,400 --> 00:39:49,560
Speaker 1: you're chasing a little bit. You're chasing the second half.

716
00:39:49,719 --> 00:39:53,239
Speaker 1: Oh I was second half. The best part was is

717
00:39:53,320 --> 00:39:56,480
Speaker 1: I got the text that wasn't like a text like

718
00:39:56,520 --> 00:39:58,640
Speaker 1: they screwed me. He sent me the text attached with

719
00:39:58,719 --> 00:40:00,960
Speaker 1: the tweet Chad, so I could read his tweet. So

720
00:40:01,000 --> 00:40:02,960
Speaker 1: I just don't want have to explain myself again. I

721
00:40:03,000 --> 00:40:08,839
Speaker 1: just said, like, you screwed me. That's so funny. Hi Polly,

722
00:40:08,960 --> 00:40:14,200
Speaker 1: We're going with it. We're doing it. UM craptastic college bet. Oh,

723
00:40:14,239 --> 00:40:16,000
Speaker 1: this is the best bet. This is the moral lock

724
00:40:16,000 --> 00:40:21,879
Speaker 1: of the week. Penn State plus ten at Michigan. First

725
00:40:21,880 --> 00:40:23,680
Speaker 1: of all, I don't even know how Michigan is a

726
00:40:23,719 --> 00:40:26,680
Speaker 1: ten point favorite against Penn State. Penn State lost the

727
00:40:26,719 --> 00:40:29,799
Speaker 1: game against Ohio State. They should have never lost. That

728
00:40:29,880 --> 00:40:32,360
Speaker 1: was a joke of a loss. They took it into

729
00:40:32,440 --> 00:40:35,520
Speaker 1: next week to lose to Michigan State. They came back,

730
00:40:35,680 --> 00:40:38,360
Speaker 1: they beat Penn State, and you know what, I was

731
00:40:38,400 --> 00:40:42,759
Speaker 1: a very very underrated, very good team and they were

732
00:40:42,760 --> 00:40:45,280
Speaker 1: on a role coming in. Penn State held them off.

733
00:40:45,320 --> 00:40:49,720
Speaker 1: And now they gotta go to Michigan UM. And everybody's

734
00:40:49,719 --> 00:40:52,600
Speaker 1: talking about Michigan might have the best defense UM in

735
00:40:52,640 --> 00:40:55,759
Speaker 1: the nation, but they just really don't blow anybody out.

736
00:40:55,800 --> 00:40:57,480
Speaker 1: I mean, I understand they beat Michigan State, but they

737
00:40:57,480 --> 00:40:59,680
Speaker 1: don't score points. They don't have a good enough officainse.

738
00:40:59,760 --> 00:41:03,040
Speaker 1: What's Wisconsin is not good, Maryland is not good, Northwestern

739
00:41:03,160 --> 00:41:05,880
Speaker 1: is not good, Nebraska is not good. S m U

740
00:41:06,080 --> 00:41:08,799
Speaker 1: is not good. Western Michigan is not good. They have

741
00:41:08,920 --> 00:41:12,560
Speaker 1: not played anybody with quality. And I'm getting ten points

742
00:41:12,560 --> 00:41:16,080
Speaker 1: with Penn State that that is an absolute joke to

743
00:41:16,120 --> 00:41:20,479
Speaker 1: that line. Is that high? Well, the one thing that

744
00:41:21,239 --> 00:41:23,759
Speaker 1: the Neutrals is good defense is a running quarterback, and

745
00:41:23,840 --> 00:41:25,880
Speaker 1: we've seen Trading Story in the second half of games

746
00:41:25,920 --> 00:41:28,239
Speaker 1: really take over with his legs and so you can

747
00:41:28,280 --> 00:41:30,080
Speaker 1: be as good of a defense as you want, but

748
00:41:30,080 --> 00:41:33,560
Speaker 1: it's hard to defend a quarterback that can do um

749
00:41:33,880 --> 00:41:37,240
Speaker 1: multiple things. I mean, we've seen even Alabama. Alabama's downfall

750
00:41:37,400 --> 00:41:40,319
Speaker 1: times on defense has been the dual threat quarterback. If

751
00:41:40,360 --> 00:41:42,160
Speaker 1: you have if you do one thing well, they'll take

752
00:41:42,160 --> 00:41:43,640
Speaker 1: it away. But if you have a quarterback that can

753
00:41:43,640 --> 00:41:45,480
Speaker 1: do both. And not every team matches this year that

754
00:41:45,480 --> 00:41:48,000
Speaker 1: has a great defense. But um, I do think ten

755
00:41:48,040 --> 00:41:50,920
Speaker 1: points is an awful lot here from Michigan, who uh,

756
00:41:51,040 --> 00:41:55,120
Speaker 1: offensively never really has been great under Harball. They really

757
00:41:55,120 --> 00:41:58,120
Speaker 1: are good. Defensively, they're really good. But um, I mean,

758
00:41:58,160 --> 00:42:00,239
Speaker 1: Penn State can score enough points to keep this games.

759
00:42:00,719 --> 00:42:03,239
Speaker 1: Are you ready? No, I can tell him, we're not

760
00:42:03,280 --> 00:42:06,960
Speaker 1: ready for this, but sure give me the Baker Mayfield

761
00:42:07,040 --> 00:42:09,640
Speaker 1: plus eight against the Kansas City Chiefs at home coming

762
00:42:11,360 --> 00:42:18,919
Speaker 1: knew it. Save the best for last? Is Nick Chebb

763
00:42:18,920 --> 00:42:21,160
Speaker 1: gonna get the ball fifty times? Because that's the only

764
00:42:21,160 --> 00:42:25,839
Speaker 1: way they cover fifty times. You gotta take a it's

765
00:42:25,840 --> 00:42:28,440
Speaker 1: a home dog eight points. You gotta get it. I

766
00:42:28,440 --> 00:42:30,480
Speaker 1: get it, I get I get it, huge, Huge, How

767
00:42:30,520 --> 00:42:32,680
Speaker 1: does your huge ax to keep his job away? He's coached.

768
00:42:35,360 --> 00:42:38,640
Speaker 1: The post conferences that he does too are just mind

769
00:42:38,680 --> 00:42:40,799
Speaker 1: but they're so arrogant. He's just he's so arrogant. Like

770
00:42:40,800 --> 00:42:43,720
Speaker 1: where do you get this arrogans from you? Your three

771
00:42:43,719 --> 00:42:45,600
Speaker 1: and thirty seven is a head coach? Like, where do

772
00:42:45,600 --> 00:42:48,719
Speaker 1: you get the arrogans from man? Guys? Are you with me?

773
00:42:48,719 --> 00:42:51,880
Speaker 1: He was a good player. We got it to chang.

774
00:42:51,520 --> 00:42:54,680
Speaker 1: We generally I try not to bet on Chiefs games,

775
00:42:54,719 --> 00:42:57,640
Speaker 1: but um, that's right, that's what you want to take.

776
00:42:57,840 --> 00:43:00,800
Speaker 1: I sort of like, listen, there's like if the two teams,

777
00:43:00,800 --> 00:43:05,040
Speaker 1: like the Rams golf showed a little bit, he was

778
00:43:05,080 --> 00:43:10,040
Speaker 1: off a tiny bit. Mahomes, they can't be perfect every week.

779
00:43:10,520 --> 00:43:12,319
Speaker 1: The worry that you have been against these two teams.

780
00:43:12,320 --> 00:43:14,359
Speaker 1: They can put up twenty one points in like in

781
00:43:14,400 --> 00:43:17,799
Speaker 1: three minutes. But I get it. It's in Cleveland. They

782
00:43:17,800 --> 00:43:19,840
Speaker 1: should be able to put some pressure on him, you know,

783
00:43:20,000 --> 00:43:23,760
Speaker 1: especially at home. I'm sure Williams will go after him. Uh.

784
00:43:25,200 --> 00:43:27,160
Speaker 1: They need to start scoring points. They and if they're

785
00:43:27,160 --> 00:43:28,360
Speaker 1: ever gonna do it, they should do it on this

786
00:43:28,440 --> 00:43:32,080
Speaker 1: defense at home. I guess it shouldn't should be freezing,

787
00:43:32,120 --> 00:43:34,799
Speaker 1: I would think in Cleveland. Yeah, I don't know if

788
00:43:34,800 --> 00:43:41,239
Speaker 1: Pat Mahomes can be able to hold the ball. Here

789
00:43:41,239 --> 00:43:43,120
Speaker 1: we go, guys, we gotta parlay. Are you ready? You

790
00:43:43,160 --> 00:43:46,680
Speaker 1: want to hear it? Yes? New Orleans Saints plus one

791
00:43:47,040 --> 00:43:51,240
Speaker 1: against the Los Angeles Rams. Tennessee Titans plus six against Dallas.

792
00:43:51,239 --> 00:43:54,759
Speaker 1: I love that pick. Washington Redskins minus one versus the

793
00:43:54,800 --> 00:43:59,000
Speaker 1: Atlanta Falcons they are in Washington. Tampa Bay plus seven

794
00:43:59,080 --> 00:44:03,960
Speaker 1: versus the Carolina at Baltimore minus three against the Steelers,

795
00:44:04,000 --> 00:44:08,879
Speaker 1: the l A Chargers on the road at Seattle one

796
00:44:08,920 --> 00:44:13,960
Speaker 1: point dogs. L A Chargers plus one, Arizona Wildcats minus four,

797
00:44:14,160 --> 00:44:17,920
Speaker 1: pack twelve after dark Friday night versus the Colorado Buffaloes.

798
00:44:18,560 --> 00:44:22,720
Speaker 1: Penn State Nitney Lions plus ten against the anemic offense

799
00:44:22,840 --> 00:44:28,640
Speaker 1: yet stellar defense of the Michigan Wolverines. But Cleveland Browns

800
00:44:28,960 --> 00:44:34,960
Speaker 1: at home eight point underdogs versus the high flying Kansas

801
00:44:35,080 --> 00:44:42,480
Speaker 1: City chiefs rub it in, Chad. Yeah, but the Charlotte

802
00:44:42,520 --> 00:44:47,080
Speaker 1: forty Niners beat Southern miss plus two points, like I

803
00:44:47,160 --> 00:44:49,919
Speaker 1: told Chad, like I told Jeff Schwortz, they would. That's

804
00:44:49,920 --> 00:44:53,600
Speaker 1: a core. Yeah, Here's what I want people to do.

805
00:44:54,360 --> 00:44:58,760
Speaker 1: Are you ready? As everybody knows, We're gonna put twenty

806
00:44:58,760 --> 00:45:02,040
Speaker 1: dollars each on this nine team parley. If you do

807
00:45:02,239 --> 00:45:09,560
Speaker 1: the same, you will win nineteen thousand dollars generally generally

808
00:45:10,400 --> 00:45:16,400
Speaker 1: dollars depending on the juice or whatever. The beauty of this.

809
00:45:16,400 --> 00:45:19,399
Speaker 1: This has been our podcast, folks. I am Chad Mollman

810
00:45:19,440 --> 00:45:22,960
Speaker 1: of the Action Network. That is Paul la Duca giggling away.

811
00:45:23,560 --> 00:45:27,320
Speaker 1: That is Jeff Schwartz of the Action Network signing away.

812
00:45:27,680 --> 00:45:31,480
Speaker 1: We do this every Monday, Wednesday, and Friday. We are

813
00:45:31,520 --> 00:45:34,799
Speaker 1: the Favorites. Join me on Wednesday when Scooch and I

814
00:45:35,120 --> 00:45:37,359
Speaker 1: check out the markets. What are the wise guys doing?

815
00:45:37,440 --> 00:45:40,120
Speaker 1: Why are the lines moving the way they're moving? Join

816
00:45:40,280 --> 00:45:44,760
Speaker 1: us in the spring of two thousand nineteen for the Favorites,

817
00:45:44,800 --> 00:45:51,839
Speaker 1: the musical premiering at the meter Lander Theater on Broadway

818
00:45:52,560 --> 00:45:53,479
Speaker 1: until next time.