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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Monday

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Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Perrault. You guys can follow me across all of

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Speaker 1: my socials ad sports talk. Matt to this podcast being

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Speaker 1: brought to you by our friends at DraftKings. All right,

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Speaker 1: we are rapidly approaching the end of the twenty twenty

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Speaker 1: four year. Second to last day of the year. Our

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Speaker 1: final NFL Sunday, it's our didn't go very well. Our

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Speaker 1: final NFL Monday is tonight. Stinks because I had a

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Speaker 1: really good week going and we were up over three units,

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Speaker 1: and then Sunday happened. And you know, that's betting. You

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Speaker 1: get hot for four or five days and then you

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Speaker 1: go flat and you fall on your face and you

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Speaker 1: lose everything. Panthers got killed, the Cults lost, the Packers covered,

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Speaker 1: the Bolt lost outright, and more on that here. In

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Speaker 1: just one second, the props went zero to two. Looking

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Speaker 1: at Sunday Night Football. At the moment we're trending, the

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Speaker 1: current live number I believe is forty nine, so we're

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Speaker 1: trending in the wrong direction for that game tonight, but

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Speaker 1: it's fourteen to seven. Late second quarter there, so we

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Speaker 1: might get there, but most likely I'm going to say

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Speaker 1: that's going to be an o for on a Sunday.

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Speaker 1: It's going to cause a losing week. If we win

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Speaker 1: the under on the Sunday Night football bet, I think

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Speaker 1: that puts us pretty much flat for the week, which

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Speaker 1: isn't great, but it's better than a losing week, which

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Speaker 1: is kind of what we're looking at right now. If

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Speaker 1: the over comes in on Sunday Night football, which has

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Speaker 1: been a dead under bet for the better part of

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Speaker 1: the entire year. But given the quarterbacks and given the offenses,

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Speaker 1: it was a risky bet. But we'll see how it goes.

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Speaker 1: I don't know. It's about nine point thirty on the

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Speaker 1: East Coast at the moment when I'm taping this, so

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Speaker 1: game is still very much in doubt and we'll see

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Speaker 1: what happens with the under there for Falcons and the

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Speaker 1: Commanders coming up here tonight. So what are we doing today?

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Speaker 1: I have one NFL bet, I have one college football bet,

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Speaker 1: and I have one college basketball bet for us here

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Speaker 1: on a Monday. As I leave in the morning on

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Speaker 1: Monday morning, I'll be in d C. So I'll be

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Speaker 1: taping the Tuesday morning podcast in DC for New Year's Eve,

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Speaker 1: as we'll get heavily involved, obviously with the college football

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Speaker 1: playoffs for the thirty first and the first, so bets

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Speaker 1: on that. Just a heads up. The card is going

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Speaker 1: to be thin this week. This is not going to

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Speaker 1: be a big card. Okay. I'm gonna have one or

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Speaker 1: two plays a day, probably two a day, probably not

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Speaker 1: three a day's I just have the time to sit

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Speaker 1: there and really do the work. And the lines in

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Speaker 1: d C are supposedly horrific. I haven't bet there, but

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Speaker 1: when I'm in Virginia, I'll make some plays, but not

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Speaker 1: great from a line perspective. There's only one book in

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Speaker 1: the whole district of Columbia and I've heard kind of

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Speaker 1: negative things about it. So when I get over to Virginia,

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Speaker 1: it'll be a wider opportunity to bet and be able

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Speaker 1: to put some wagers down either on the thirty first

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Speaker 1: up either on the first. So just a quick little

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Speaker 1: heads up as to what's happening with the week. It's

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Speaker 1: not going to be nearly as big of a betting

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Speaker 1: week for me, just given the fact that I'm not

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Speaker 1: going to be in Vegas and I'm not going to

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Speaker 1: be home, So just a heads up on that. So

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Speaker 1: this podcast being brought to you by the DraftKings Pick

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Speaker 1: dot dot DraftKings dot com slash promos. Okay, so let's

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Speaker 1: start with tonight's game with the Lions and the forty

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Speaker 1: nine Ers. It's been not good for the Lions up

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Speaker 1: against the forty nine Ers. They are two and seventeen

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Speaker 1: straight right up, eight and eleven ats again San Francisco.

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Speaker 1: Over their last nineteen meetings that's dating back to nineteen

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Speaker 1: eighty eight. The Lions haven't won in San Francisco for

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Speaker 1: fourteen consecutive games. That's nineteen seventy five. Okay, long time. However,

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Speaker 1: the NFC North has been dominant. They're now thirty two

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Speaker 1: and ten going into yesterday, so up the check and

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Speaker 1: see the Vikings and the Packers played each other. Bears lost,

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Speaker 1: so it's thirty two and ten. They're twenty eight and

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Speaker 1: fourteen against any other division ATS wise this year. That's

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Speaker 1: the second best straight up and ATS mark for a

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Speaker 1: full season by any division since nineteen ninety, when the

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Speaker 1: twenty and thirteen MC West were this good. But the

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Speaker 1: first half over the last three years have been so

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Speaker 1: dominant for the Lions. They're thirty eight thirteen and one

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Speaker 1: against the spread in the first half. When the Lions

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Speaker 1: play outside the Eastern time zone, they're fourteen to three

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Speaker 1: and one ATS in the first half. They're three to

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Speaker 1: oher in the Mountain Pacific time zones ats Dan Campbell

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Speaker 1: in the first half of night games ten to four

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Speaker 1: and one in the first half, including four and oh

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Speaker 1: on Monday Night Football. That four and oh mark is

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Speaker 1: tied with Mike Singletary, is the best mark over the

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Speaker 1: last twenty years for a head coach in the first half.

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Speaker 1: And we made this bet last week. We're making this

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Speaker 1: bet again. I don't want to lay the three and

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Speaker 1: a half. Okay, I'm not interested in losing this game.

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Speaker 1: On the hook, I play the phone. I play the

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Speaker 1: first half. Lions minus two and a half in the

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Speaker 1: first half for one point one units. Look, Brock Purdy

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Speaker 1: has been awful dating back to Christmas of last year.

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Speaker 1: Party's one in eight ats for teams five hundred are

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Speaker 1: better on the year. He's been awful. Okay, the Niners

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Speaker 1: have just been bad period with all the injuries and

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Speaker 1: everything else that's been going on. Rock Purty as an underdog.

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Speaker 1: He started two games as a dog. None of them

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Speaker 1: been at home, by the way, he's a dog here.

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Speaker 1: Oh and two straight up? Oh and two ats. No,

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Speaker 1: I don't want to play around with it thinking the

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Speaker 1: Niners might rise up in the second half. I'll take

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Speaker 1: Jared Golf and the Lions offense to come out hot

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Speaker 1: here and get a w early. We'll go and jump

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Speaker 1: on it. Lions minus two and a half in the

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Speaker 1: first half for one point one units. Okay, bet number

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Speaker 1: three or two. Rather, let's talk about college football. Iowa

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Speaker 1: in the Music City Bowl up against Missouri. The total

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Speaker 1: was forty. Iowa was nine and three to the over

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Speaker 1: this year. This is not a big handicap. Okay, there's

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Speaker 1: been quarterback movement with Iowa. There's been transfer movement with Missouri.

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Speaker 1: It's all I'm betting over. Okay, Why because Iowa needs

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Speaker 1: to show something offensively for their fans. Okay. They played

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Speaker 1: Nebraska thirteen to ten. They won, but thirteen to ten.

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Speaker 1: In their last game, they played Maryland on the road.

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Speaker 1: They scored twenty nine points. They won twenty nine to thirteen.

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Speaker 1: Against Ucla on the road, they lost twenty to seventeen.

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Speaker 1: This were just teen points in that game. They beat

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Speaker 1: with Wisconsin forty two to ten. They beat Northwestern forty

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Speaker 1: to fourteen. I think Missouri can score. This is by

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Speaker 1: far the lowest total for i guess not by far.

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Speaker 1: This is the lowest total for a game involving Missouri.

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Speaker 1: Forty two was the previous low. Thirty twenty three was

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Speaker 1: the final. Game went over by eleven points. South Carolina

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Speaker 1: was forty two and a half for Missouri. Thirty four

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Speaker 1: to thirty was the final. It went over by twenty

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Speaker 1: one and a half points. This is a forty point total.

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Speaker 1: We're playing the over in the Music City Bowl for Iowa.

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Speaker 1: And Missouri. Don't care about opt outs, don't care about

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Speaker 1: who's playing quarterback for Iowa, don't care about any of

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Speaker 1: that stuff. We're going offense because I think Iowa needs

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Speaker 1: to score. I think Missouri will give it up. But

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Speaker 1: I also think Missouri will have a chance to score

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Speaker 1: and potentially win this game outright here in Nashville. Be

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Speaker 1: curious to see whose fan base shows up more though

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Speaker 1: Iowa or Missouri's. But we're going over over forty for

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Speaker 1: one point one units. And finally to college basketball go.

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Speaker 1: This is Houston's first true road game of the year,

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Speaker 1: which is stunning. Is December the thirtieth, they played a

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Speaker 1: semi home game against Auburn and they lost that game. Outright.

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Speaker 1: They played Alabama on a neutral and lost that game.

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Speaker 1: They played San Diego State on a neutral and they

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Speaker 1: lost that game. First true road game. You know what

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Speaker 1: we're doing here. We're fading the team on a first

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Speaker 1: true road team, and I don't care how good. Houston

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Speaker 1: is the fourth best team according to kempom Okie State

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Speaker 1: one hundred and fourth. Okie State hasn't covered at home

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Speaker 1: yet this year. They're zero to five at home. Bought

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Speaker 1: Houston's oh to four on the road. Ats. Like I mentioned,

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Speaker 1: they're coming off of a big win over Texas A

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Speaker 1: and M Corpus Christy, which is the former team coached

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Speaker 1: by Steve Lutz. Steve Lutz is currently the head coach

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Speaker 1: of Oklahoma State. Texa A and M went to the

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Speaker 1: NHAA Tournament under Steve Lutz. He is now the head

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Speaker 1: coach of Okie State. They beat Oral Roberts by twelve.

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Speaker 1: They beat Charlington State by five. They've won two games

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Speaker 1: in a row. They lost to Oklahoma as a four

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Speaker 1: point dog by fifteen on our neutral but they beat

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Speaker 1: Seaton Hall away from home. They beat Tulsa away from home.

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Speaker 1: They've had games like against Miami where they beat Miami.

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Speaker 1: Now Jim Lahernega retired and whatnot. But look, it's twelve.

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Speaker 1: I think Oak Houston wins the game. But I'm going

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Speaker 1: to bank on the home crowd, the post holiday hangover

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Speaker 1: for Houston here, and I'm gonna bank on Okie State

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Speaker 1: to hopefully come and play a little bit better defensively

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Speaker 1: than what they've had this year, because defensively they've been bad.

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Speaker 1: Three hundred and third effective field goal percentage one hundred

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Speaker 1: and seventh in efficiency two hundred and eighty fourth and

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Speaker 1: three point defense two hundred and seventy sixth in two

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Speaker 1: point defense. Houston the exact opposite. They're third in defense,

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Speaker 1: their first and effective field goal percentage, their first and

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Speaker 1: two point percentage, their thirty ninth and three point percentage.

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Speaker 1: They're second in block percentage. I mean, Houston is unbelievable.

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Speaker 1: But they got to go to Stillwater, they got to

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Speaker 1: go to Hoki Land, they got to go take on

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Speaker 1: the Pokes. This is going to be an awesome environment.

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Speaker 1: I can't wait to watch this game. But Houston at

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Speaker 1: Oki State, I'm taking the twelve points. Give me the

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Speaker 1: Cowboys plus twelve for one point one units. All right,

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Speaker 1: So three bets for us here today on a Monday.

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Speaker 1: Lions lay in two and a half in the first

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Speaker 1: half for them for one point one units against the Niners.

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Speaker 1: On Monday night football Iowa Missouri and the Music City

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Speaker 1: Bowl over forty for one point one units. In Oklahoma

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Speaker 1: State at home up against Houston, plus twelve for the

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Speaker 1: Cowboys for one point one units. Those are the plays

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Speaker 1: for us on a Monday. My name is Matt Parol.

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Speaker 1: You guys can follow me across all socials at Sports

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Speaker 1: Talk Matt. Every morning it's the Dale Juice podcast, presented

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Speaker 1: by DraftKings