1 00:00:14,520 --> 00:00:15,080 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? 2 00:00:15,120 --> 00:00:17,880 Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Tuesday morning episode of 3 00:00:17,880 --> 00:00:18,960 Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast. 4 00:00:19,000 --> 00:00:19,840 Speaker 1: My name is Matt Perolt. 5 00:00:19,840 --> 00:00:22,440 Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all socials at Sports 6 00:00:22,640 --> 00:00:28,520 Speaker 2: Talk Matt for July the thirtieth, Today is my daughter's 7 00:00:28,600 --> 00:00:35,400 Speaker 2: tenth birthday, so to celebrate, I'm not betting anything. 8 00:00:34,840 --> 00:00:36,360 Speaker 1: That I can lose money on today. 9 00:00:37,520 --> 00:00:40,400 Speaker 2: After what happened last night with the Pirates and then 10 00:00:40,479 --> 00:00:43,120 Speaker 2: Under a three run home run in the top of 11 00:00:43,120 --> 00:00:48,519 Speaker 2: the ninth inning, still five to two, bases loaded. I mean, 12 00:00:48,720 --> 00:00:53,400 Speaker 2: your closer comes in, he's facing Alvarez. I get it, 13 00:00:53,440 --> 00:00:56,360 Speaker 2: really scary. One pitch, one swing, game over. You lose 14 00:00:56,400 --> 00:00:58,520 Speaker 2: the game. You walk in or run five to three. 15 00:00:58,600 --> 00:01:02,400 Speaker 2: The final game was a dead under first five under 16 00:01:02,480 --> 00:01:03,160 Speaker 2: better bet right. 17 00:01:04,800 --> 00:01:05,400 Speaker 1: I mean. 18 00:01:07,480 --> 00:01:09,960 Speaker 2: We got the Royals right. I got that game right. 19 00:01:10,360 --> 00:01:12,280 Speaker 2: I got the Pirates to win the game. I was 20 00:01:12,360 --> 00:01:14,360 Speaker 2: right to bet the Pirates late. I got that before 21 00:01:14,400 --> 00:01:17,160 Speaker 2: the game started because the move came on the Astros. 22 00:01:17,200 --> 00:01:19,679 Speaker 2: It was too good of a price at minus one thirty, 23 00:01:20,280 --> 00:01:25,520 Speaker 2: not taking Pirates, but with the ease of the prop 24 00:01:25,600 --> 00:01:29,280 Speaker 2: bets that came in, Asia Wilson easily over twenty and 25 00:01:29,280 --> 00:01:33,800 Speaker 2: a half Chelsea Gray had six assists way before halftime, 26 00:01:34,120 --> 00:01:37,199 Speaker 2: like halfway through the second quarter. We got both those 27 00:01:37,440 --> 00:01:41,640 Speaker 2: prop bets so easy. The fact that we wind up 28 00:01:43,200 --> 00:01:47,840 Speaker 2: losing any money yesterday was ridiculous. I mean, a two 29 00:01:47,880 --> 00:01:50,080 Speaker 2: to one record, but we win a unit thanks to 30 00:01:50,120 --> 00:01:52,560 Speaker 2: the prop bets, and then the under comes in at 31 00:01:52,560 --> 00:01:55,480 Speaker 2: minus one p fifteen and we lose one point five 32 00:01:55,600 --> 00:01:57,680 Speaker 2: units to start the week. 33 00:01:59,120 --> 00:02:00,600 Speaker 1: I'm done losing my money in July. 34 00:02:01,520 --> 00:02:04,600 Speaker 2: Okay, this is a couple of things people have asked 35 00:02:04,600 --> 00:02:07,160 Speaker 2: me over to the course of July, like does it 36 00:02:07,200 --> 00:02:10,440 Speaker 2: bother you that you're losing and getting killed in baseball? 37 00:02:10,560 --> 00:02:14,120 Speaker 2: I hate betting baseball. I am one anti betting baseball. 38 00:02:14,160 --> 00:02:16,760 Speaker 2: I hate it. I hate the month of July. In fact, 39 00:02:16,800 --> 00:02:20,080 Speaker 2: like people have said, Matt, just take the month off. 40 00:02:20,160 --> 00:02:22,520 Speaker 2: I can't take the month off. You guys know this, right, 41 00:02:22,560 --> 00:02:25,040 Speaker 2: That's how this podcast works. So when I go on 42 00:02:25,200 --> 00:02:28,920 Speaker 2: vacation and I'm on vacation for two weeks and I 43 00:02:28,960 --> 00:02:32,640 Speaker 2: got drilled during July on vacation, that's just the nature 44 00:02:32,680 --> 00:02:32,880 Speaker 2: of this. 45 00:02:32,960 --> 00:02:33,320 Speaker 1: Okay. 46 00:02:33,720 --> 00:02:38,160 Speaker 2: You tell me another job in America where you do 47 00:02:38,240 --> 00:02:41,079 Speaker 2: it three hundred and sixty five days a year without 48 00:02:41,120 --> 00:02:48,880 Speaker 2: any breaks. No vacation, no holiday, none. This podcast never stops. 49 00:02:49,760 --> 00:02:53,560 Speaker 2: We're going on four years. Another guy came in and 50 00:02:53,600 --> 00:02:55,919 Speaker 2: did it and couldn't handle it, didn't want to do it, 51 00:02:56,000 --> 00:02:56,520 Speaker 2: so he left. 52 00:02:56,560 --> 00:02:59,200 Speaker 1: They brought me back. That's just facts. 53 00:03:00,080 --> 00:03:03,519 Speaker 2: This is not easy, okay, doing this every single night, 54 00:03:03,880 --> 00:03:09,040 Speaker 2: changing my I mean, my parenting, changing my relationships, changing 55 00:03:09,120 --> 00:03:09,600 Speaker 2: going out. 56 00:03:09,840 --> 00:03:11,920 Speaker 1: This is all very hard. Okay. 57 00:03:12,320 --> 00:03:15,160 Speaker 2: So just so when people say betting baseball is easy, 58 00:03:15,240 --> 00:03:18,119 Speaker 2: it fires me up when you say that. If it's 59 00:03:18,120 --> 00:03:20,400 Speaker 2: so easy, why are you watching this podcast? Why not 60 00:03:20,520 --> 00:03:24,000 Speaker 2: just bet baseball and retire. Betting baseball is so simple? 61 00:03:24,960 --> 00:03:27,040 Speaker 2: Why do you watch this? Why do you listen to this? 62 00:03:27,320 --> 00:03:30,920 Speaker 2: Go bet baseball every night? Retire, Go have a summer home, Like, 63 00:03:30,960 --> 00:03:33,760 Speaker 2: what do you need me for? Bet against me? Okay, 64 00:03:33,800 --> 00:03:35,520 Speaker 2: I would have set you up. You'd be going well 65 00:03:35,560 --> 00:03:37,760 Speaker 2: betting against me in baseball. Hopefully most of you have 66 00:03:37,880 --> 00:03:41,200 Speaker 2: done that with baseball, given how unlucky and how bad 67 00:03:41,280 --> 00:03:44,040 Speaker 2: July has been. But I will say this last year, 68 00:03:44,080 --> 00:03:46,480 Speaker 2: at this time, I was in a very similar spot, 69 00:03:47,160 --> 00:03:50,200 Speaker 2: and then in August in September I wound up up 70 00:03:50,280 --> 00:03:54,160 Speaker 2: one unit because I did much better in August, much 71 00:03:54,200 --> 00:03:58,080 Speaker 2: better in September, the playoffs started and things got well. 72 00:03:58,360 --> 00:04:01,520 Speaker 2: It became a whole lot less incan assistant, became a 73 00:04:01,520 --> 00:04:03,840 Speaker 2: whole lot more predictable, became a whole lot more. When 74 00:04:03,880 --> 00:04:06,200 Speaker 2: you do your research and the numbers pan it out, 75 00:04:06,320 --> 00:04:09,440 Speaker 2: you go okay. Games like last night don't go over. 76 00:04:10,240 --> 00:04:13,560 Speaker 2: Games like last night stay under because you don't get 77 00:04:13,560 --> 00:04:15,040 Speaker 2: a three run home run in the top of the 78 00:04:15,160 --> 00:04:18,120 Speaker 2: ninth inning from a scrub. So the first time a 79 00:04:18,160 --> 00:04:20,040 Speaker 2: guy off the bench had stolen a base that hit 80 00:04:20,080 --> 00:04:22,760 Speaker 2: a home run for the Pirates since nineteen ninety three. 81 00:04:23,800 --> 00:04:26,400 Speaker 1: Nineteen ninety three was the last time that happened. 82 00:04:27,320 --> 00:04:29,680 Speaker 2: So when those things are going on, when those wonky 83 00:04:29,760 --> 00:04:32,280 Speaker 2: crazy things are, it's just like a message of like, look, 84 00:04:32,320 --> 00:04:35,000 Speaker 2: bet everything else, just don't bet baseball. Well, I have 85 00:04:35,040 --> 00:04:37,160 Speaker 2: to bet baseball because some nights I have no choice, 86 00:04:37,279 --> 00:04:38,200 Speaker 2: but I because I have to. 87 00:04:38,120 --> 00:04:39,040 Speaker 1: Bet every single day. 88 00:04:39,680 --> 00:04:43,400 Speaker 2: So you know, I'm not here to complain or whine, 89 00:04:43,640 --> 00:04:45,960 Speaker 2: and I want to like absolutely rip the throat out 90 00:04:46,000 --> 00:04:47,760 Speaker 2: of you some of you guys in the comment section, 91 00:04:48,120 --> 00:04:51,800 Speaker 2: Like I would love I occasionally clap back, but for 92 00:04:51,880 --> 00:04:53,679 Speaker 2: a lot of you guys, I would hunt you down 93 00:04:53,760 --> 00:04:55,520 Speaker 2: and literally make you say what you say to me 94 00:04:55,560 --> 00:04:56,039 Speaker 2: to my face. 95 00:04:56,760 --> 00:04:59,279 Speaker 1: But that's just the way this thing goes. 96 00:05:00,480 --> 00:05:04,560 Speaker 2: The podcast was designed back in July of twenty twenty 97 00:05:05,880 --> 00:05:09,120 Speaker 2: for an everyday experiment to see what would happen if 98 00:05:09,120 --> 00:05:11,800 Speaker 2: we bet every single day and built a community of 99 00:05:11,839 --> 00:05:14,120 Speaker 2: people that knew a podcast was going to be there 100 00:05:14,160 --> 00:05:16,800 Speaker 2: for them every single day. And I know those of 101 00:05:16,800 --> 00:05:20,360 Speaker 2: you who really do bet understand why I'm pissed off tonight, 102 00:05:20,480 --> 00:05:22,400 Speaker 2: Like you get why I'm mad, and you get why 103 00:05:22,440 --> 00:05:24,760 Speaker 2: I'm frustrated, because I am mad and I am frustrated, 104 00:05:24,880 --> 00:05:26,560 Speaker 2: and I do hit this point every once in a 105 00:05:26,600 --> 00:05:30,560 Speaker 2: while when you're like, wow, you're losing money. 106 00:05:31,120 --> 00:05:31,480 Speaker 1: Yep. 107 00:05:32,640 --> 00:05:37,400 Speaker 2: Thank you for being captain obvious. But I've always said this, 108 00:05:37,600 --> 00:05:40,279 Speaker 2: I get paid to do this. I will never be 109 00:05:40,360 --> 00:05:43,680 Speaker 2: in the red. I am always in the black always. 110 00:05:44,320 --> 00:05:48,520 Speaker 2: I'm different than you guys. I'm lucky to have this position. 111 00:05:48,560 --> 00:05:50,320 Speaker 2: I'm lucky to have this job. I'm lucky to work 112 00:05:50,360 --> 00:05:53,080 Speaker 2: for Betting Pros. I love working for this company. I 113 00:05:53,120 --> 00:05:56,600 Speaker 2: love doing this podcast. I love the Discord Channel, I 114 00:05:56,640 --> 00:05:59,040 Speaker 2: love the community we have built. I love the fact 115 00:05:59,040 --> 00:06:01,800 Speaker 2: that we have over fourteen million listens in four years 116 00:06:01,880 --> 00:06:04,840 Speaker 2: of just the audio we have millions of views on 117 00:06:04,880 --> 00:06:08,479 Speaker 2: YouTube since this podcast began, and we got plans for 118 00:06:08,560 --> 00:06:11,680 Speaker 2: bigger and better things, to grow and to expand and 119 00:06:11,720 --> 00:06:18,720 Speaker 2: do different things. But my natural indication, my teaching, my talent, 120 00:06:18,800 --> 00:06:20,160 Speaker 2: if you want to call it that is. I am 121 00:06:20,200 --> 00:06:23,479 Speaker 2: a sports talk show host. So I'm gonna rant and 122 00:06:23,560 --> 00:06:26,360 Speaker 2: I'm going to say these things. And if you don't 123 00:06:26,680 --> 00:06:29,560 Speaker 2: like that, you don't like it, don't listen and don't watch. 124 00:06:30,279 --> 00:06:34,280 Speaker 2: This is a free podcast. Do you understand what free means? 125 00:06:34,720 --> 00:06:39,320 Speaker 2: You are free to go do something else? Seriously, Okay, 126 00:06:39,480 --> 00:06:42,919 Speaker 2: you are free to go spend your energy somewhere else, 127 00:06:43,640 --> 00:06:46,760 Speaker 2: not in the comments section, not in my DMS. 128 00:06:47,200 --> 00:06:49,039 Speaker 1: I don't need any of it. I really don't. 129 00:06:49,120 --> 00:06:53,240 Speaker 2: It doesn't create a good situation, doesn't create anything. All 130 00:06:53,279 --> 00:06:55,440 Speaker 2: it does is make me more angry because you would 131 00:06:55,440 --> 00:06:57,960 Speaker 2: never most of you haters would never have the guts 132 00:06:57,960 --> 00:07:00,440 Speaker 2: to say anything to my face because to you or 133 00:07:00,520 --> 00:07:02,120 Speaker 2: like really like twelve year olds in a lot of 134 00:07:02,160 --> 00:07:03,880 Speaker 2: ways who are going to comment and just want to 135 00:07:03,880 --> 00:07:04,640 Speaker 2: see me react. 136 00:07:04,839 --> 00:07:06,560 Speaker 1: So I don't give it to you. I don't comment. 137 00:07:06,880 --> 00:07:07,440 Speaker 1: That's fine. 138 00:07:08,320 --> 00:07:11,200 Speaker 2: So it's a long story, short way of telling you 139 00:07:11,200 --> 00:07:15,000 Speaker 2: that four years ago today, four years or ten years ago. 140 00:07:15,000 --> 00:07:20,760 Speaker 2: Today my daughter was born and changed everything for me, 141 00:07:21,120 --> 00:07:23,640 Speaker 2: changed my life in such incredible ways. And she said 142 00:07:23,640 --> 00:07:25,480 Speaker 2: to me yesterday, she goes, you know, today is the 143 00:07:25,520 --> 00:07:27,040 Speaker 2: last day that I'll be single digits. 144 00:07:27,280 --> 00:07:28,080 Speaker 1: That's true, right. 145 00:07:29,720 --> 00:07:32,239 Speaker 2: I don't remember turning nine, or turning ten, or turning eleven, 146 00:07:32,320 --> 00:07:32,800 Speaker 2: or turning twelve. 147 00:07:32,840 --> 00:07:34,880 Speaker 1: I don't remember any of that. She hopefully will, and 148 00:07:34,920 --> 00:07:36,119 Speaker 1: we're going to have a fun day today. 149 00:07:36,160 --> 00:07:40,480 Speaker 2: So in celebration of that, I thought, Okay, let's do 150 00:07:40,520 --> 00:07:43,200 Speaker 2: college football futures for the first time in the summer. 151 00:07:43,680 --> 00:07:45,560 Speaker 1: Let's do it today, Let's do it tomorrow. 152 00:07:45,680 --> 00:07:48,120 Speaker 2: Let's close out July, and let's just put it to 153 00:07:48,160 --> 00:07:50,280 Speaker 2: bed and move on to August. Because on August the 154 00:07:50,360 --> 00:07:53,000 Speaker 2: first we have a football game to talk about and 155 00:07:53,040 --> 00:07:55,520 Speaker 2: bet on in the Hall of Fame game. Amazingly enough, 156 00:07:55,800 --> 00:07:59,040 Speaker 2: football is here. Do I bet preseason football? You bet 157 00:07:59,040 --> 00:08:03,400 Speaker 2: your bottom dollar. I do. I can't wait to bet football, 158 00:08:03,760 --> 00:08:06,880 Speaker 2: any football, fake football, but still football, and bet it. 159 00:08:07,240 --> 00:08:09,800 Speaker 2: And I'll bet Team USA, both men's and women's basketball. 160 00:08:09,920 --> 00:08:11,920 Speaker 2: I may bet the golf, there's different things. I'll pick 161 00:08:11,960 --> 00:08:14,440 Speaker 2: and play on the Olympics, but I'm not betting rowing. 162 00:08:14,440 --> 00:08:17,160 Speaker 2: I'm not betting rugby. I'm not betting the marathon. I'm 163 00:08:17,160 --> 00:08:21,040 Speaker 2: not betting anything dumb like that. But there is pro 164 00:08:21,040 --> 00:08:23,640 Speaker 2: football to go ahead and talk about. So you know, 165 00:08:24,520 --> 00:08:26,280 Speaker 2: look at trends and things like that we'll talk about 166 00:08:26,320 --> 00:08:28,440 Speaker 2: on Thursday. So to get us to Thursday, to get 167 00:08:28,520 --> 00:08:30,480 Speaker 2: us to the Hall of Fame game, I'm going to 168 00:08:30,520 --> 00:08:33,040 Speaker 2: do college football futures, two of them tonight, two of 169 00:08:33,080 --> 00:08:37,560 Speaker 2: them tomorrow. And since it is my daughter's birthday, the 170 00:08:37,600 --> 00:08:40,640 Speaker 2: place I moved back from the state of Iowa, it's 171 00:08:40,679 --> 00:08:43,680 Speaker 2: going to be the focus of these two picks here 172 00:08:43,720 --> 00:08:46,520 Speaker 2: today from a college football future standpoint. 173 00:08:46,880 --> 00:08:48,680 Speaker 1: Let's start with Iowa. 174 00:08:49,200 --> 00:08:52,280 Speaker 2: Now you can find eight or eight and a half 175 00:08:52,320 --> 00:08:55,439 Speaker 2: from a win total perspective for the Hawkeyes. A couple 176 00:08:55,520 --> 00:08:57,839 Speaker 2: of really cool things jump out when you look at 177 00:08:57,840 --> 00:09:01,560 Speaker 2: Iowa and you look at Iowa's schedule. Right, Iowa opens 178 00:09:01,640 --> 00:09:05,199 Speaker 2: up at home against Illinois State. They have the Syhawks series, 179 00:09:05,240 --> 00:09:07,640 Speaker 2: where they have won seven of eight over Iowa State. 180 00:09:08,200 --> 00:09:11,760 Speaker 2: They play Troy at home, They're on the road at Minnesota, 181 00:09:12,200 --> 00:09:16,120 Speaker 2: They're at Ohio State, they play Washington back at home, 182 00:09:16,720 --> 00:09:22,000 Speaker 2: Michigan State at on the road Northwestern for homecoming Wisconsin 183 00:09:22,080 --> 00:09:26,320 Speaker 2: for the Blackout game, Ucla in the Rose Bowl, which Maryland, 184 00:09:26,400 --> 00:09:29,160 Speaker 2: I mean, which is gonna be full of Hawkeye fans there, 185 00:09:29,600 --> 00:09:32,520 Speaker 2: Maryland on the road, and then Nebraska on Senior Day, 186 00:09:32,520 --> 00:09:36,240 Speaker 2: which they're now calling the Pioneer Heroes Game, which is okay. 187 00:09:37,640 --> 00:09:40,320 Speaker 2: They don't play Michigan, although how good will Michigan be. 188 00:09:41,240 --> 00:09:45,839 Speaker 2: They don't play Oregon, they don't play. 189 00:09:47,000 --> 00:09:47,559 Speaker 1: The teams. 190 00:09:47,720 --> 00:09:52,000 Speaker 2: You might go, well, huh, Iowa's picked fifth in the 191 00:09:52,000 --> 00:09:57,839 Speaker 2: Big Ten, but Iowa could be a sneaky, sleepy team 192 00:09:58,600 --> 00:10:04,400 Speaker 2: to go what eleven and one? It's not crazy. Go 193 00:10:04,440 --> 00:10:08,000 Speaker 2: through the schedule. FanDuel has this an eight and a 194 00:10:08,040 --> 00:10:12,600 Speaker 2: half wins at plus one sixty. They're gonna win over 195 00:10:12,640 --> 00:10:16,360 Speaker 2: Illinois State. They've beaten Iowa State, and they have Iowa 196 00:10:16,360 --> 00:10:20,280 Speaker 2: State at Kinnick. They've beaten them seven of eight. I 197 00:10:20,320 --> 00:10:23,560 Speaker 2: think it will go eight of nine. They'll beat Troy. 198 00:10:24,160 --> 00:10:27,000 Speaker 2: I think they'll beat PJ. Fleck, and they'll beat Minnesota 199 00:10:27,040 --> 00:10:30,640 Speaker 2: on the road. They'll lose to Ohio State. Obviously, Ohio 200 00:10:30,720 --> 00:10:32,080 Speaker 2: State's gonna be the best team in the Big Ten, 201 00:10:32,120 --> 00:10:33,240 Speaker 2: maybe the best team of the country. 202 00:10:33,280 --> 00:10:34,640 Speaker 1: Okay, so one of. 203 00:10:36,600 --> 00:10:40,680 Speaker 2: Washington is not good. They're bringing back. I believe it's 204 00:10:41,040 --> 00:10:44,840 Speaker 2: two starters. I believe they have not I believe, I 205 00:10:44,880 --> 00:10:47,000 Speaker 2: know they have an entirely new coaching staff for their 206 00:10:47,000 --> 00:10:50,640 Speaker 2: first trek into the Big Ten. They're going to Kinnick Stadium. 207 00:10:51,000 --> 00:10:57,120 Speaker 2: Washington going to Kinnick Stadium in October. Good luck, I 208 00:10:57,120 --> 00:11:01,480 Speaker 2: mean good luck. That's a really, really tough game for Washington. 209 00:11:02,440 --> 00:11:05,480 Speaker 2: They go to take on Michigan State, and look, Iowa 210 00:11:05,520 --> 00:11:09,080 Speaker 2: always plays well against Michigan State. That's a dead undergame. 211 00:11:09,280 --> 00:11:12,559 Speaker 2: Bet that under right now. I mean that's thirty points, right, 212 00:11:12,559 --> 00:11:14,080 Speaker 2: that's typical Iowa football. 213 00:11:14,160 --> 00:11:16,880 Speaker 1: They'll win by three. Iowa wins that game. 214 00:11:17,160 --> 00:11:20,400 Speaker 2: Iowa beat Northwestern because well, Northwestern doesn't really go to 215 00:11:20,480 --> 00:11:24,760 Speaker 2: Kinnick Stadium and it's homecoming. Iowa wins that game. I've 216 00:11:24,760 --> 00:11:29,120 Speaker 2: got one loss here as we head to Wisconsin on 217 00:11:29,240 --> 00:11:33,240 Speaker 2: the road, where they might lose that game. I mean 218 00:11:33,280 --> 00:11:37,960 Speaker 2: there's a question mark there. But then they take on 219 00:11:38,880 --> 00:11:43,400 Speaker 2: a UCLA team that in the Big Ten. Can they 220 00:11:43,440 --> 00:11:46,320 Speaker 2: play smash mouth football? With how bad they've been recently? 221 00:11:46,760 --> 00:11:49,240 Speaker 2: They have a new head coach who didn't really sound 222 00:11:49,240 --> 00:11:51,040 Speaker 2: great at Big Ten Football media days. 223 00:11:51,320 --> 00:11:52,920 Speaker 1: I like Iowa to win that game. 224 00:11:53,720 --> 00:11:56,080 Speaker 2: Still, I think they could lose to Maryland, and they 225 00:11:56,080 --> 00:11:59,120 Speaker 2: could lose to Nebraska. But I think a nine to 226 00:11:59,120 --> 00:12:03,480 Speaker 2: three season is really, really possible. I mean, I think 227 00:12:03,520 --> 00:12:05,520 Speaker 2: Nebraska is a team. We're gonna talk about them tomorrow, 228 00:12:05,559 --> 00:12:08,160 Speaker 2: but Nebraska the team you gotta talk about. But to 229 00:12:08,240 --> 00:12:11,760 Speaker 2: win nine games, I call him eight and four Farans, Okay, 230 00:12:11,880 --> 00:12:13,959 Speaker 2: Kirk Farrence, eight and four Farrance. And if you want 231 00:12:14,000 --> 00:12:16,240 Speaker 2: to take eight wins and just go minus one ten 232 00:12:16,280 --> 00:12:18,240 Speaker 2: and that's it, I don't mind that at all. To 233 00:12:18,240 --> 00:12:20,120 Speaker 2: sit there with Iowa. But I'm gonna roll the dice 234 00:12:20,160 --> 00:12:22,280 Speaker 2: here and say they win nine. I'm gonna go to Fandel. 235 00:12:22,320 --> 00:12:25,000 Speaker 2: I'm gonna bet the plus one sixty and go over. 236 00:12:25,520 --> 00:12:27,600 Speaker 2: It's kind of like an all total, but not really. 237 00:12:27,640 --> 00:12:29,920 Speaker 2: You can get eight eights are out there, but eight 238 00:12:29,960 --> 00:12:32,280 Speaker 2: and a half at FanDuel at plus one sixty to 239 00:12:32,360 --> 00:12:35,840 Speaker 2: go nine and three, I think Iowa does it. I 240 00:12:35,840 --> 00:12:38,719 Speaker 2: think Iowa with Cade McNamara, they have a brand new 241 00:12:38,720 --> 00:12:42,400 Speaker 2: offensive coordinator, so they're bringing in a guy who should 242 00:12:42,400 --> 00:12:45,240 Speaker 2: be able to get this offense at least moving forward 243 00:12:45,280 --> 00:12:47,040 Speaker 2: in the right direction. I don't know if Tim Lester 244 00:12:47,320 --> 00:12:49,160 Speaker 2: is gonna come in and set the world on fire. But 245 00:12:49,200 --> 00:12:51,080 Speaker 2: anybody could be better, better than Brian Ferrence. 246 00:12:51,160 --> 00:12:51,480 Speaker 1: Okay. 247 00:12:51,920 --> 00:12:54,280 Speaker 2: I mean their defense has been too good. What is 248 00:12:54,320 --> 00:12:57,680 Speaker 2: Iowa good at. Iowa's good at tight ends, running the football, 249 00:12:57,960 --> 00:13:02,800 Speaker 2: offensive line, and linebackers. That's Iowa football, Okay. And it's 250 00:13:02,840 --> 00:13:05,120 Speaker 2: just going to be a typical year for Iowa. I 251 00:13:05,200 --> 00:13:08,559 Speaker 2: just think this team. I don't think they'll make the playoffs, 252 00:13:08,559 --> 00:13:11,479 Speaker 2: but I think they'll be in the conversation for the playoffs. 253 00:13:11,640 --> 00:13:13,720 Speaker 2: If the Big Ten were to get four teams in, 254 00:13:13,760 --> 00:13:16,640 Speaker 2: and if Iowa goes ten and two or eleven and one, 255 00:13:17,040 --> 00:13:20,040 Speaker 2: it's not crazy that the Big Ten gets four teams 256 00:13:20,040 --> 00:13:26,480 Speaker 2: in Ohio State, Oregon, and then it's PennState, Iowa. Those 257 00:13:26,520 --> 00:13:29,120 Speaker 2: are your four that could get in in my opinion. 258 00:13:29,720 --> 00:13:35,559 Speaker 2: So this schedule is very conducive for Iowa. Having Nebraska 259 00:13:35,600 --> 00:13:38,600 Speaker 2: at home, having Iowa State at home. You have a 260 00:13:38,640 --> 00:13:40,839 Speaker 2: trip to Columbus, which is going to be tough. You'll 261 00:13:40,880 --> 00:13:43,360 Speaker 2: lose that game to Ohio State, but you don't play Oregon, 262 00:13:43,880 --> 00:13:47,040 Speaker 2: you play Ucla. You don't play a ton of the 263 00:13:47,080 --> 00:13:49,480 Speaker 2: Pac twelve teams coming in, or you play two of them, 264 00:13:49,480 --> 00:13:51,839 Speaker 2: I guess, but both Washington at home and Ucla on 265 00:13:51,880 --> 00:13:55,199 Speaker 2: the road. You're not playing USC, you're not playing Oregon. 266 00:13:55,360 --> 00:13:58,160 Speaker 2: I mean that's big to me to not have those 267 00:13:58,200 --> 00:14:00,240 Speaker 2: the better of the four. You're playing the two two 268 00:14:00,240 --> 00:14:03,360 Speaker 2: week teams coming over from the PAC twelve into the 269 00:14:03,360 --> 00:14:06,920 Speaker 2: Big Ten. Michigan State's a road trip, but Michigan State 270 00:14:07,040 --> 00:14:10,160 Speaker 2: is a team that Iowa should go and win. Northwestern's 271 00:14:10,160 --> 00:14:13,360 Speaker 2: at home, Wisconsin's at home. You're not going to jump around. 272 00:14:13,360 --> 00:14:15,480 Speaker 2: You're not gonna have a deal with that on the 273 00:14:15,559 --> 00:14:18,880 Speaker 2: road to Wisconsin. You're at home for that game. You 274 00:14:18,880 --> 00:14:21,000 Speaker 2: should win that game. In the blackout game, it should 275 00:14:21,040 --> 00:14:25,440 Speaker 2: be a night game, most likely in November. I like 276 00:14:25,520 --> 00:14:28,280 Speaker 2: over eight and a half wins plus one sixty Iowa. 277 00:14:29,000 --> 00:14:31,400 Speaker 2: I always bet more than one unit, but because I 278 00:14:31,440 --> 00:14:34,160 Speaker 2: am always conservative, I tell you guys, officially it's a. 279 00:14:34,120 --> 00:14:36,640 Speaker 1: One unit play. I will bet more than one unit 280 00:14:36,680 --> 00:14:37,520 Speaker 1: on this for sure. 281 00:14:38,160 --> 00:14:40,840 Speaker 2: I like Iowa over eight and a half wins at 282 00:14:40,880 --> 00:14:45,880 Speaker 2: plus one sixty at fandel second bet, and we're gonna 283 00:14:45,880 --> 00:14:48,160 Speaker 2: stay in the state and we're gonna go right to 284 00:14:48,320 --> 00:14:52,840 Speaker 2: Iowa State. Look at this is a sleepy team that 285 00:14:52,840 --> 00:14:55,160 Speaker 2: you've got to pay attention to. A lot of people 286 00:14:55,240 --> 00:15:00,600 Speaker 2: aren't talking about Iowa State. Okay, but they should. Rock 287 00:15:00,640 --> 00:15:03,000 Speaker 2: Lellbecky was a guy who got forced to play last 288 00:15:03,080 --> 00:15:07,040 Speaker 2: year because of the scandal with the gambling, and yet 289 00:15:07,720 --> 00:15:11,160 Speaker 2: this kid comes in and impressed some things. Matt Campbell 290 00:15:11,880 --> 00:15:15,040 Speaker 2: has a winning year six of his last seven seasons, 291 00:15:15,760 --> 00:15:19,720 Speaker 2: had a tough start, had all that investigation, a weird season, 292 00:15:20,160 --> 00:15:22,840 Speaker 2: and now they have a chance to potentially go here 293 00:15:23,240 --> 00:15:28,120 Speaker 2: and make some noise. This offense needs to run the football. 294 00:15:28,200 --> 00:15:30,720 Speaker 2: They should be able to run the football much better 295 00:15:30,960 --> 00:15:34,600 Speaker 2: than they did last year. Iowa State's offensive line should 296 00:15:34,640 --> 00:15:38,920 Speaker 2: be good and having rock lebeck as a playmaker who 297 00:15:38,920 --> 00:15:43,440 Speaker 2: could really get going huge bowl game against Memphis. The 298 00:15:43,560 --> 00:15:47,920 Speaker 2: receivers are good, are really good. They got some weapons 299 00:15:47,960 --> 00:15:52,960 Speaker 2: on the outside. The defense should be pretty good. Iowa 300 00:15:52,960 --> 00:15:57,080 Speaker 2: State's defense should be really good. Remember Texas and Oklahoma. 301 00:15:57,240 --> 00:16:01,440 Speaker 2: They're gone from the Big twelve, which is massive. They 302 00:16:01,440 --> 00:16:06,080 Speaker 2: have an experienced secondary, I mean Iowa State. Look, they 303 00:16:06,080 --> 00:16:09,080 Speaker 2: can't turn the football over. Okay, they gotta be good. 304 00:16:09,280 --> 00:16:11,800 Speaker 2: They got a placekicker worth talking about that could you 305 00:16:11,840 --> 00:16:15,880 Speaker 2: know have a couple of game winning kicks. I can't 306 00:16:15,920 --> 00:16:18,920 Speaker 2: wait to watch this Cyclone. Schedule to watch the Cyclone team. 307 00:16:19,000 --> 00:16:21,680 Speaker 2: I think this is a team that's going to be 308 00:16:21,680 --> 00:16:25,160 Speaker 2: better than people think. The win total is seven and 309 00:16:25,160 --> 00:16:28,960 Speaker 2: a half, okay, so let's go over it. They play 310 00:16:29,040 --> 00:16:32,440 Speaker 2: North Dakota State at home, they play Iowa, then a 311 00:16:32,520 --> 00:16:36,320 Speaker 2: bye week, okay, Then they play Arkansas State, then they 312 00:16:36,320 --> 00:16:40,280 Speaker 2: play at Houston. Now the road games are at Houston, 313 00:16:40,480 --> 00:16:44,760 Speaker 2: at West Virginia, at Kansas, at Utah. They only play 314 00:16:44,960 --> 00:16:49,680 Speaker 2: four road games, okay. And the Kansas game is at Arrowhead. 315 00:16:49,840 --> 00:16:54,560 Speaker 2: It's not at Dyton Lawrence. Iowa State fans love going 316 00:16:54,600 --> 00:16:56,360 Speaker 2: to Kansas City, love. 317 00:16:56,160 --> 00:16:58,640 Speaker 1: It going to Arrowhead. They've played there before. 318 00:16:58,680 --> 00:17:00,840 Speaker 2: They're actually zero to three all time in games at 319 00:17:00,920 --> 00:17:03,200 Speaker 2: Arrowhead Stadium, but they've all been non conference games. 320 00:17:03,240 --> 00:17:05,160 Speaker 1: Or I think they played Kansas State there once. They've 321 00:17:05,160 --> 00:17:07,640 Speaker 1: lost them all by one possession. So no typical Iowa 322 00:17:07,680 --> 00:17:11,600 Speaker 1: State football. But there's all we need is eight and four. 323 00:17:12,160 --> 00:17:12,720 Speaker 1: Eight and four. 324 00:17:13,119 --> 00:17:15,399 Speaker 2: So let's just say they lose against Iowa on the 325 00:17:15,480 --> 00:17:17,600 Speaker 2: road too. Forrag about the Iowa game two but conference 326 00:17:17,640 --> 00:17:22,560 Speaker 2: games only four. They should beat Kansas at Kansas, they 327 00:17:23,240 --> 00:17:26,040 Speaker 2: should beat Houston at Houston. Let's just give those two. 328 00:17:26,080 --> 00:17:28,800 Speaker 2: And let's say they lose at West Virginia. They lose 329 00:17:28,920 --> 00:17:32,600 Speaker 2: at Utah, and they lose at Iowa. Okay, those are 330 00:17:32,720 --> 00:17:39,919 Speaker 2: three losses. At home North Dakota. Do they win that game, yes, yes, 331 00:17:40,480 --> 00:17:45,080 Speaker 2: Arkansas State yes, Baylor at home they should. They should 332 00:17:45,119 --> 00:17:48,680 Speaker 2: beat Baylor at home, UCF at home. Yes, they should 333 00:17:48,680 --> 00:17:52,120 Speaker 2: beat UCS at home. Texas Tech, Yes, they should beat 334 00:17:52,160 --> 00:17:55,800 Speaker 2: Texas Tech at home, Cincinnati at home. Yes, they should 335 00:17:55,800 --> 00:17:59,160 Speaker 2: beat Cincinnati at home, and Kansas State at home. They 336 00:17:59,160 --> 00:18:02,760 Speaker 2: should beat Kansas State at home. I mean their road 337 00:18:02,760 --> 00:18:06,440 Speaker 2: games are tough. I mean Iowa is a tough road game, 338 00:18:06,800 --> 00:18:09,800 Speaker 2: but that's always an interesting one, right clip foop the coin. 339 00:18:10,280 --> 00:18:12,120 Speaker 2: Iowas they can win that game, and it would help 340 00:18:12,200 --> 00:18:14,760 Speaker 2: this bet. They play each other, one of our teams 341 00:18:14,800 --> 00:18:16,800 Speaker 2: that we're gonna we're talking about here guaranteed win, so 342 00:18:16,800 --> 00:18:18,000 Speaker 2: they're gonna get one win there. 343 00:18:18,280 --> 00:18:19,040 Speaker 1: So that's huge. 344 00:18:19,080 --> 00:18:21,200 Speaker 2: So one of these two teams, either Iowa or Iowa State, 345 00:18:21,240 --> 00:18:24,040 Speaker 2: will open up two and oho. I just think when 346 00:18:24,080 --> 00:18:26,360 Speaker 2: you look at the offense, you look at last year, 347 00:18:26,440 --> 00:18:29,840 Speaker 2: you look at Matt Campbell, his contract, his stability, and 348 00:18:29,880 --> 00:18:31,600 Speaker 2: the fact that we have seven and a half wins. 349 00:18:32,240 --> 00:18:37,080 Speaker 2: We can lose four games and still win this bet. 350 00:18:37,320 --> 00:18:41,640 Speaker 2: They can lose at Iowa they can lose at West Virginia, 351 00:18:42,119 --> 00:18:45,720 Speaker 2: they can lose at Utah, and then we have one 352 00:18:45,760 --> 00:18:47,960 Speaker 2: other game to play with at home if they can 353 00:18:48,040 --> 00:18:50,080 Speaker 2: lose and we still cash the bet. 354 00:18:50,240 --> 00:18:51,800 Speaker 1: They can lose at home Texas Tech. 355 00:18:52,040 --> 00:18:54,520 Speaker 2: They could lose at home to Baylor, they can lose 356 00:18:54,560 --> 00:18:57,800 Speaker 2: at Houston, and it's still an eight and four season. 357 00:18:59,160 --> 00:19:01,240 Speaker 2: I mean, I think this win total seven and a 358 00:19:01,280 --> 00:19:04,520 Speaker 2: half for Iowa State is massive. It's minus one to 359 00:19:04,520 --> 00:19:06,760 Speaker 2: fifteen or minus one ten. I found minus one ten 360 00:19:06,800 --> 00:19:09,040 Speaker 2: Fandals at one fifteen. I found a minus one ten 361 00:19:09,080 --> 00:19:11,960 Speaker 2: here in Vegas. I think this Iowa State team people 362 00:19:12,000 --> 00:19:14,399 Speaker 2: are sleeping on. I think they have a chance. They 363 00:19:14,400 --> 00:19:16,480 Speaker 2: don't play Arizona. They do't play Arizona State, they don't 364 00:19:16,480 --> 00:19:19,199 Speaker 2: play BYU, theyn't play Colorado, theyn't play Oklhoma State, they 365 00:19:19,200 --> 00:19:22,320 Speaker 2: don't play TCU. I mean teams Iowa State normally would 366 00:19:22,320 --> 00:19:24,119 Speaker 2: struggled with. Look, the Utah game is gonna be brutal. 367 00:19:24,119 --> 00:19:26,399 Speaker 2: Okay Utah most is probably gonna win. The Pack win 368 00:19:26,440 --> 00:19:28,440 Speaker 2: the big twelve. Okay Utah is gonna be a really 369 00:19:28,480 --> 00:19:31,960 Speaker 2: tough team to watch and play against, and especially on 370 00:19:32,000 --> 00:19:33,600 Speaker 2: the road. To go with the two Salt Lake to 371 00:19:33,600 --> 00:19:37,240 Speaker 2: play Utah, good luck. But other than that, I mean 372 00:19:37,400 --> 00:19:40,320 Speaker 2: they've gone in won these games. Yes, West Virginia's gonna 373 00:19:40,359 --> 00:19:42,560 Speaker 2: be tough. I'll give you that, Okay, but you look 374 00:19:42,560 --> 00:19:44,360 Speaker 2: at the schedule. One you're like, all right, they lose 375 00:19:44,400 --> 00:19:47,240 Speaker 2: to Iowa, which I think that they will, but after 376 00:19:47,320 --> 00:19:49,760 Speaker 2: that they could win every game on their schedule. But Utah, 377 00:19:49,960 --> 00:19:52,960 Speaker 2: I mean, it's not nuts if they went ten and two, Like, 378 00:19:54,359 --> 00:19:57,199 Speaker 2: quarterback plays should be up, wide RECEI play should be up, 379 00:19:57,280 --> 00:19:59,800 Speaker 2: the running game should be back, the defense should be good. 380 00:20:00,280 --> 00:20:04,280 Speaker 2: No Texas, no Oklahoma, Ah give me i Alowa stayed 381 00:20:04,320 --> 00:20:06,800 Speaker 2: over seven and a half wins at minus one fifteen. 382 00:20:07,119 --> 00:20:09,560 Speaker 2: I think the Hawkeye State's gonna have a great football year. 383 00:20:09,640 --> 00:20:10,800 Speaker 2: I think it's gonna be a lot of fun to 384 00:20:10,800 --> 00:20:12,840 Speaker 2: watch these two teams. And yes, they play each other 385 00:20:12,840 --> 00:20:15,080 Speaker 2: every year in the Syhawk Game. But I think both 386 00:20:15,080 --> 00:20:18,800 Speaker 2: teams are going over. Iowa State over eight and a half, sorry, 387 00:20:19,000 --> 00:20:21,480 Speaker 2: Iowa over eight and a half wins at plus one 388 00:20:21,560 --> 00:20:25,240 Speaker 2: sixty at FanDuel for one unit, and Iowa stayed over 389 00:20:25,320 --> 00:20:28,040 Speaker 2: seven and a half wins at minus one ten for 390 00:20:28,200 --> 00:20:31,359 Speaker 2: one unit. Again, I bet more than one unit on futures. 391 00:20:31,520 --> 00:20:33,639 Speaker 2: But you guys can do whatever you feel comfortable with 392 00:20:33,720 --> 00:20:35,639 Speaker 2: on this. It's just what I do. I just I 393 00:20:35,640 --> 00:20:38,000 Speaker 2: give out one unit plays. I don't talk about, you know, 394 00:20:38,280 --> 00:20:39,800 Speaker 2: my play in the month, or my play of the 395 00:20:39,800 --> 00:20:43,159 Speaker 2: week or my triple dog dare beat your buckie nonsense. 396 00:20:43,200 --> 00:20:44,520 Speaker 2: I don't do any of that. I just give you 397 00:20:44,680 --> 00:20:47,359 Speaker 2: one unit plays. You can bet whatever you feel comfortable with. 398 00:20:47,800 --> 00:20:50,080 Speaker 2: But I just think over eight and a half wins, 399 00:20:50,119 --> 00:20:52,359 Speaker 2: Iowa to go nine and three, I always State to 400 00:20:52,359 --> 00:20:55,240 Speaker 2: go eight and four. I think those are very very 401 00:20:55,560 --> 00:20:58,440 Speaker 2: likely outcomes for this college football season for these two 402 00:20:58,440 --> 00:21:01,000 Speaker 2: football teams. And I really can't wait to watch the 403 00:21:01,000 --> 00:21:03,720 Speaker 2: Syhawk game in Week two on September the seventh. It's 404 00:21:03,760 --> 00:21:06,600 Speaker 2: gonna be awesome. Both these teams play in Week one 405 00:21:06,840 --> 00:21:09,040 Speaker 2: on August the thirty first. They don't play any Week 406 00:21:09,200 --> 00:21:13,240 Speaker 2: zero games, So we are basically exactly one month away 407 00:21:13,640 --> 00:21:15,959 Speaker 2: from the start of the season for these two teams. 408 00:21:16,560 --> 00:21:19,040 Speaker 2: And I think Cad McNamara, I think Rock Quebec. I 409 00:21:19,080 --> 00:21:21,840 Speaker 2: think we got quarterback play in the state. Iowa's offense 410 00:21:21,840 --> 00:21:24,760 Speaker 2: should be better. Iowa State's offensive line and their whole 411 00:21:24,840 --> 00:21:28,560 Speaker 2: running game should be better this year. I think it's 412 00:21:28,560 --> 00:21:30,160 Speaker 2: gonna be fun. I think this is gonna be a really, 413 00:21:30,240 --> 00:21:32,760 Speaker 2: really fun season. There are two bye weeks in this 414 00:21:33,440 --> 00:21:35,440 Speaker 2: Texas Tech is homecoming for Iowa State. 415 00:21:35,480 --> 00:21:38,199 Speaker 1: They have a bye week before that, which is huge. 416 00:21:38,480 --> 00:21:39,359 Speaker 1: The Arkansas State. 417 00:21:39,359 --> 00:21:40,760 Speaker 2: I mean, if they lose to Iowa, they have a 418 00:21:40,800 --> 00:21:42,560 Speaker 2: game a week off to kind of lick their wounds 419 00:21:42,600 --> 00:21:45,240 Speaker 2: and get ready to go for Arkansas State, which is gigantic. 420 00:21:45,240 --> 00:21:48,760 Speaker 2: But that Tekstick homecoming game, that's gonna be huge. Kansas 421 00:21:48,840 --> 00:21:51,879 Speaker 2: at Arrowhead. I think they win that game. You know, 422 00:21:51,880 --> 00:21:53,800 Speaker 2: that's gonna be a fun football game though. And then 423 00:21:53,800 --> 00:21:56,960 Speaker 2: home for Cincinnati home for Kansas State, you know, sandwiched 424 00:21:57,000 --> 00:21:59,200 Speaker 2: in between a Utah trip which would be really difficult 425 00:22:00,080 --> 00:22:02,600 Speaker 2: over seven and a half, Iowa State over eight and 426 00:22:02,600 --> 00:22:05,720 Speaker 2: a half, Iowa plus one sixty on the Iowa bet 427 00:22:06,080 --> 00:22:09,399 Speaker 2: and Mis one fifteen for the bet. Here tomorrow, we 428 00:22:09,520 --> 00:22:12,880 Speaker 2: have two more college football plays for us here as 429 00:22:12,880 --> 00:22:14,560 Speaker 2: we roll, it should be a lot of fun. 430 00:22:14,800 --> 00:22:15,720 Speaker 1: My name is Matt Parolt. 431 00:22:15,720 --> 00:22:18,120 Speaker 2: He doesn't following me across all socials at Sports Talk Matt. 432 00:22:18,359 --> 00:22:20,879 Speaker 2: Every morning Dale Juice podcast being brought to you by 433 00:22:20,920 --> 00:22:36,200 Speaker 2: Bettanpros dot Com