WEBVTT - Covid Swabs Supply Depends on Two Cousins

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stanibek. We're here every day bringing

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<v Speaker 1>you the latest news from the world of business and finance,

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<v Speaker 1>plus technology, politics, economics, all harnessing the power of Business

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<v Speaker 1>Week reporters and editors, not to mention our journalists and

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<v Speaker 1>analyst in more than one d and twenty countries. You

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<v Speaker 1>can download Bloomberg Business Week and iTunes, SoundCloud, or Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>dot com. You can also listen to our radio show

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<v Speaker 1>at two pm Eastern Time on Bloomberg Radio or watch

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<v Speaker 1>us on YouTube search Bloomberg Global News. The global COVID

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<v Speaker 1>cases a hundred and twenty one point three million deaths

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<v Speaker 1>topping two point six eight million. So let's get an

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<v Speaker 1>update on kind of where we are. Let's bring in

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<v Speaker 1>Alexander White, Assistant Professor of sociology and the History of

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<v Speaker 1>Medicine at Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, which

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<v Speaker 1>is supported by Michael R. Bloomberg, founder of Bloomberg LP

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<v Speaker 1>and Bloomberg Philanthropies. Alexander on the phone in Baltimore, Alexander,

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<v Speaker 1>nice to have you here. It does feel like vaccines

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<v Speaker 1>are getting out to more people globally, certainly here in

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<v Speaker 1>the United States. At the same time, you know, we

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<v Speaker 1>still have a lot of cases, and we still have

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<v Speaker 1>areas of the world that are going into lockdown. How

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<v Speaker 1>do you see kind of where we are when it

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<v Speaker 1>comes to COVID nineteen. Hi, thank you, thank you so

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<v Speaker 1>much for having me. So I think we're we're in

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<v Speaker 1>an interesting I think we're an interesting inflection point um

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<v Speaker 1>with with the pandemic. We're obviously we're seeing large and

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<v Speaker 1>much higher rates of vaccination, but we're also seeing concerning

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<v Speaker 1>risers in cases. So at this moment, you know, it's

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<v Speaker 1>very critical that we remain um masking, we remain social distancing,

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<v Speaker 1>while also getting out as many vaccines as possible. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>and to that point, we have often talked here on

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg about the difficulty in reaching all populations. Are all

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<v Speaker 1>populations wanting to take the vaccine, but it does seem

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<v Speaker 1>like increasingly the story is people want to take the vaccine,

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<v Speaker 1>but they can't always figure out how to sign up

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<v Speaker 1>for it, or they don't have access to the technology

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<v Speaker 1>to sign up, or they just can't get to a

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<v Speaker 1>place to get the actual vaccine. How are you seeing that. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>that that's exactly right. UM. I think it's a very

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<v Speaker 1>serious concern. You know, in the early days of when

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<v Speaker 1>the vaccine was being rolled out in the United States especially,

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<v Speaker 1>the concern was overwhelmingly about vaccine hesitancy, especially in UM, black,

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<v Speaker 1>Indigenous and minority populations that have historically been UM negatively

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<v Speaker 1>exposed to public health interactions, incidences of medical race and etcetera.

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<v Speaker 1>What we're seeing now is actually, you know, in many ways,

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<v Speaker 1>the those initial concerns about vaccine hesitancy and really dropping.

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<v Speaker 1>And what's much more serious is you you know, as

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<v Speaker 1>you mentioned, increasing access to vaccine, increasing accessibility on how

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<v Speaker 1>to to access a vaccine, how to access technology and

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<v Speaker 1>allow you to sign up UM, and and these issues

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<v Speaker 1>which are becoming more and more important as we scale

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<v Speaker 1>up the vaccine delivery across the country. Well, let's talk

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<v Speaker 1>about this organization that you've been working with, communivacs Exactly.

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<v Speaker 1>Who are they, what are they, what are they setting

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<v Speaker 1>out to do? Yes, so, UM Communitas is a national

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<v Speaker 1>alliance of social scientists, public health experts, and community advocates

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<v Speaker 1>who seek your last sting solutions to this particular serious problem.

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<v Speaker 1>As we all know, in the United States historically underserved,

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<v Speaker 1>underserved in the realm of healthcare. Black, Indigenous and Latin

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<v Speaker 1>populations have endured negative health and economic impacts from COVID

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<v Speaker 1>from COVID nineteen pandemic at tragic and disproportionate rates. And

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<v Speaker 1>while these communities could benefit greatly from safe and effective

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<v Speaker 1>to the nineteen vactinations, longstanding biases and barriers hinder their

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<v Speaker 1>access to the vaccine. And you know, our coalition is

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<v Speaker 1>is strengthening an attempting to strengthen national and local COVID

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<v Speaker 1>vactination efforts in the United States by really putting communities

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<v Speaker 1>of color at the center of these endeavors, with the

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<v Speaker 1>goal of building towards not only the equitable delivery of

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<v Speaker 1>COVID nineteen vaccines around the country, but also pushed towards

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<v Speaker 1>collaborative and equitable public health service the place minoritized community

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<v Speaker 1>is really at the center of decision making. Alexander's Alexand

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<v Speaker 1>let me just let me just jump in for a second.

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<v Speaker 1>Is it safe to say that the problem is because

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<v Speaker 1>I'm curious, how come there isn't the same access to

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<v Speaker 1>all communities within the United States? And is it kind

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<v Speaker 1>of similar to great healthcare. It isn't the same access

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<v Speaker 1>to all communities of the United States. So there's a bigger,

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<v Speaker 1>broader problem here. It's not just vaccine distribution, but it

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<v Speaker 1>it really digs more deeply into you know, the access

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<v Speaker 1>to overall great health care here exactly exactly, and it

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<v Speaker 1>is it is a bigger problem, brother problem, and it's

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<v Speaker 1>something that you know, we can't get account very seriously. One.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, in the United States, we've seen public health

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<v Speaker 1>funding really decrease UM acutely in the last twenty years,

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<v Speaker 1>but also really over the over a longer period of time,

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<v Speaker 1>UM such that you know, as we've as we've seen

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<v Speaker 1>we've been generally unprepared for large scale UM pandemics of

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<v Speaker 1>this sort. And there's a result. You know, we've especially

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<v Speaker 1>seen lack of public health support, funding and investment in

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<v Speaker 1>underserved communities that would all already be UM as a

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<v Speaker 1>result of systemic launch of systemic and equalities such as

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<v Speaker 1>segregation or even out of housing situation, or broader lack

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<v Speaker 1>of infrastructure support really without the out access to healthcare,

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<v Speaker 1>to public health intervention. And also, you know, as we

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<v Speaker 1>see most pressingly in this case, a lack of access

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<v Speaker 1>to UM to these vaccines. So it's a critical, critical problem. Hey,

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<v Speaker 1>you just got about thirty seconds here in terms of

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<v Speaker 1>the work that you guys are doing at community acts,

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<v Speaker 1>do you see that you're making progress and reaching out

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<v Speaker 1>to these communities to make sure they do have that

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<v Speaker 1>access to getting the COVID vaccine just quickly. Yeah, we

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<v Speaker 1>are seeing progress, and I think it's very exciting. We're

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<v Speaker 1>working in local communities across the country and we're amassing

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<v Speaker 1>not only you know, great um strategies for increasing access,

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<v Speaker 1>increasing transportation drives and things to too sites, but also

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<v Speaker 1>you know, we're seeing ways of really building a collaborative

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<v Speaker 1>public health care campaign for the future. COVID nineteen backs

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<v Speaker 1>bactinae Um. Your mission is really only the beginning. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>good luck with with all of your work. Great to

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<v Speaker 1>hear about it. Alexander White. He is Assistant Professor of

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<v Speaker 1>Sociology in the History of Medicine at Johns Hopkins Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>School of Public Health, of course, supported by Michael R. Bloomberg, founder,

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg LP and Bloomberg Philanthropies. Alexander joining us on the

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<v Speaker 1>phone in Baltimore. This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol

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<v Speaker 1>Masser and Bloomberg Quick takes Tim Stinovich from Bloomberg Radio. So, yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>it's been a pretty busy week for this next reporter

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<v Speaker 1>and the venerable Wall Street firm, Goldman Sax. We've got

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<v Speaker 1>two stories, not one, two stories about Goldman today on

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<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg terminal. They are the most read number one

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<v Speaker 1>and two in the past eight hours on the Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>reporting on Goldman Street. Not Rajan, He's our finance reporter

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<v Speaker 1>at Bloomberg News. He joins us on the phone in

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<v Speaker 1>New York City. You've had a busy week. Well, it's

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<v Speaker 1>a prominent institution. I was making you. What can I do?

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<v Speaker 1>I know, Oh, I know, indeed indeed, so listen. First

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<v Speaker 1>of all, let's talk about that move down south to

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<v Speaker 1>West Palm Beach by government. It feels like it's picking

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<v Speaker 1>up some momentum in reality to it. Oh absolutely. If

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<v Speaker 1>you remember back in December, we talked about how government's

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<v Speaker 1>act executives were weighing the option of centering their asset

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<v Speaker 1>management business uh somewhere in South Florida. They were looking

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<v Speaker 1>at offices in between the Miami to Palm Beach corridor.

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<v Speaker 1>The idea of being you create a new hub and

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<v Speaker 1>that pretty much fits in line with the David Solomon's

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<v Speaker 1>strategy of moving more jobs into cheaper lookouts to trim

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<v Speaker 1>expenses for the Bank Florida. Of course, garners more interest

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<v Speaker 1>just because this is also the time in our economy,

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<v Speaker 1>in fact, in New York's economy, if you may were,

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<v Speaker 1>a number of firms from this experience of remote working.

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<v Speaker 1>Over the last year have had serious conversations and this

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<v Speaker 1>is the discussion that is happening across many boardrooms in

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<v Speaker 1>corporate America is do you really need all your employees

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<v Speaker 1>to be working out a one big central location or

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<v Speaker 1>prominent cities when you could offer uh possibly ostensibly a

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<v Speaker 1>better standard of living in cheaper cities further away from

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<v Speaker 1>the center. And the experience of remote working, the experience

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<v Speaker 1>of working almost seamlessly for many of the big firms

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<v Speaker 1>from disparate locations, has given rise to this idea, to

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<v Speaker 1>the art of the possible, and they realized that they

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<v Speaker 1>could move more jobs away from big city centers like

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<v Speaker 1>New York, Chicago, San Francisco and still function properly and

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<v Speaker 1>improve the bottom line. So, and this is what what

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<v Speaker 1>David Salomon calls is it high value cities. That is

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<v Speaker 1>that is indeed a very goverment terminology, high value locations.

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<v Speaker 1>But simply put, it translates to locations that are not

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<v Speaker 1>as expensive as New York City. Yeah, well wasn't you

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<v Speaker 1>know shred. Does it come down to that it's just

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<v Speaker 1>about cutting costs or is it? Is it some thing more?

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<v Speaker 1>Because it does feel very much I feel like the

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<v Speaker 1>conversations we've been having with you as of late, if

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<v Speaker 1>David Solomon, he calls himself a modern CEO, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>really kind of remaking Goldman to some extent in his

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<v Speaker 1>own image, but maybe also for the twenty one century.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, one thing that we have to be clear

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<v Speaker 1>about it this is this idea of moving jobs to

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<v Speaker 1>high value locations at Goldman has been underway for about

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<v Speaker 1>a decade. Uh. You know, in the last and years

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<v Speaker 1>we've seen places like Salt Lake City in Utah, Dallas

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<v Speaker 1>in Texas where where you've already shifted in a number

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<v Speaker 1>of jobs because Goldman did realize that it could. Gonner

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<v Speaker 1>benefits from moving jobs there. A lot of their jobs

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<v Speaker 1>that especially back office roles in their new consumer operations,

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<v Speaker 1>are are centered out as Salt Lake City. They have

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<v Speaker 1>also moved a number of legal compliance and similar roles

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<v Speaker 1>to places like Dallas. So it is a shift that's

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<v Speaker 1>been happening. But under Solomon, I think Goldman has leaned

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<v Speaker 1>a little harder into the strategy. You've heard them talk

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<v Speaker 1>and earning s calls and at conferences that the experience

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<v Speaker 1>of the pandemic has taught them that they were not

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<v Speaker 1>giving themselves enough credit for how well they could operate

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<v Speaker 1>from a varied number of locations. And at the end

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<v Speaker 1>of the day, if it is going to help with

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<v Speaker 1>the bottom line, why shy away from it? Yeah? Why not? Right? Hey, listen,

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<v Speaker 1>your second most read story on the Bloomberg Today has

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<v Speaker 1>a talk about Goldmen bankers, Goldman analysts, those first year

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<v Speaker 1>analysts begging to work only eighty hour weeks. Basically, they're

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<v Speaker 1>pushing back. Just got about thirty five seconds. What do

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<v Speaker 1>we need to know about this story? Well, the most

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<v Speaker 1>important thing you need to know is if I ever

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<v Speaker 1>beg for saying, please let me work only eight hours

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<v Speaker 1>a week, please take me to the back Ellen shoot me.

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<v Speaker 1>But that is the reality of Wall three. You you

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<v Speaker 1>work these big crazy ears for the big bugs. The

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<v Speaker 1>hope is or the real it clashes against this idea

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<v Speaker 1>that the softer kind of Wall Street was promoting a

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<v Speaker 1>better work life balance. But this, in this past twelve

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<v Speaker 1>months of crazy banking business, it seems uh that dream

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<v Speaker 1>hasn't quite fanned out. They just want to shower, They

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<v Speaker 1>just want to each tree. They're just asking for a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit of time. Sounds like they just had a

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<v Speaker 1>kid and they're trying to juggle who work and life. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>we all can relate to that. Alright, three great stuff.

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<v Speaker 1>Really appreciate it. Tree not a rag. And he's finance

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<v Speaker 1>reporter at Bloomberg News joining us on the phone in

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<v Speaker 1>New York City. This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol

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<v Speaker 1>Messer and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stinovich from Bloomberg Radio. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>this week's cover story is about an essential business during

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<v Speaker 1>the pandemic that also happens to be the one company

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<v Speaker 1>in the US that makes a very important thing for

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<v Speaker 1>COVID tests. And it also is about the two feuding

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<v Speaker 1>cousins behind the business. The tale told by Bloomberg News

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<v Speaker 1>technology reporter Olivia Carvel. She joins us right here in

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<v Speaker 1>our interactor Broker's studio along with Bloomberg Business Week editor

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<v Speaker 1>Joel Webber on the Access line in Brooklyn. First of all, Joel,

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, who knew so much was going on behind

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<v Speaker 1>those very important nasal swaps? That's right. This is I

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<v Speaker 1>think one of my favorite stories that we've bushed over

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<v Speaker 1>the last year. UM. I think it's a great untold

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<v Speaker 1>story of the pandemic. UM, which is basically, imagine having

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<v Speaker 1>a business that, UM, you know, a year ago, you

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<v Speaker 1>basically the world discovers, Um, we're gonna need a lot

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<v Speaker 1>more nasal swabs than you. Happen to be basically one

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<v Speaker 1>of two companies in the world that makes them. And

0:12:20.000 --> 0:12:23.600
<v Speaker 1>it's a company called called Puritan. It's a closely held

0:12:23.640 --> 0:12:27.120
<v Speaker 1>family company in Maine. UM, at the very outside of

0:12:27.120 --> 0:12:30.120
<v Speaker 1>the pandemic, we happen to have done a photo shoot UM,

0:12:30.160 --> 0:12:34.960
<v Speaker 1>basically showing their their operation and UM Olivia came to

0:12:35.080 --> 0:12:37.400
<v Speaker 1>us a couple of months later and said, by the way,

0:12:37.400 --> 0:12:40.160
<v Speaker 1>do you guys know about this epic lawsuit between the

0:12:40.320 --> 0:12:43.400
<v Speaker 1>two cousins who own the business. And we're like, no,

0:12:43.679 --> 0:12:46.440
<v Speaker 1>tell us more so, Olivia, tell us more. Who are

0:12:46.480 --> 0:12:49.120
<v Speaker 1>the owners and what are they fusing over? Yeah, well

0:12:49.160 --> 0:12:52.640
<v Speaker 1>thanks for having me, UM. The owners of Puriton is

0:12:53.040 --> 0:12:57.280
<v Speaker 1>Timothy Tinpltt and John Cartwright, the both based up in Maine.

0:12:57.360 --> 0:13:00.400
<v Speaker 1>This is a family business. It's been around for you know,

0:13:00.440 --> 0:13:04.680
<v Speaker 1>more than a hundred years now, and they haven't liked

0:13:04.720 --> 0:13:07.160
<v Speaker 1>each other for a really long time. One of the

0:13:07.160 --> 0:13:10.480
<v Speaker 1>most fascinating things about reporting the story is the timing

0:13:10.520 --> 0:13:13.120
<v Speaker 1>of it all. Like in the lead up to the pandemic,

0:13:13.280 --> 0:13:16.920
<v Speaker 1>probably two years before COVID really hit or became a

0:13:16.960 --> 0:13:20.080
<v Speaker 1>household name, they stopped speaking to each other. One of

0:13:20.080 --> 0:13:22.319
<v Speaker 1>them just walked out of a meeting and refused to

0:13:22.360 --> 0:13:25.280
<v Speaker 1>have anything to do with the other. And um, they

0:13:25.320 --> 0:13:27.440
<v Speaker 1>refused to be in the same room, didn't want to

0:13:27.440 --> 0:13:29.880
<v Speaker 1>talk to each other, And that led to some really

0:13:30.400 --> 0:13:35.280
<v Speaker 1>big problems inside the company. There was their manufacturing equipment

0:13:35.440 --> 0:13:38.720
<v Speaker 1>wasn't being modernized, they weren't updating their technology. Their back

0:13:38.720 --> 0:13:42.000
<v Speaker 1>office technology system was twenty years old. They had and

0:13:42.080 --> 0:13:48.600
<v Speaker 1>updated their wages or given staff salary increases, and then, um,

0:13:48.640 --> 0:13:52.160
<v Speaker 1>three weeks literally three weeks before the White House called

0:13:52.200 --> 0:13:54.560
<v Speaker 1>this company to say we need you to ramp up

0:13:54.679 --> 0:13:57.840
<v Speaker 1>swab production, one of them filed a lawsuit against the

0:13:57.880 --> 0:14:00.920
<v Speaker 1>other to dissolve the entire business all right, and then

0:14:00.960 --> 0:14:05.040
<v Speaker 1>walks in the government exactly. Yeah, that brought them all together,

0:14:05.080 --> 0:14:07.600
<v Speaker 1>and they're not happy and living happily living, you know,

0:14:07.960 --> 0:14:10.560
<v Speaker 1>ever after. Well, that's a really interesting part of the

0:14:10.600 --> 0:14:12.800
<v Speaker 1>story is that the government was like, we need you

0:14:12.840 --> 0:14:15.680
<v Speaker 1>to sit aside your differences for the good of the country,

0:14:15.760 --> 0:14:18.920
<v Speaker 1>and they said that they would, but we access the

0:14:19.000 --> 0:14:22.880
<v Speaker 1>legal file and inside private courtroom sessions, they continued to

0:14:22.920 --> 0:14:27.960
<v Speaker 1>fight and are still fighting to this day. Which, um,

0:14:28.080 --> 0:14:30.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, let's let's go ahead and talk about the

0:14:30.040 --> 0:14:33.360
<v Speaker 1>money here. Um, how much money is the US government

0:14:33.480 --> 0:14:36.840
<v Speaker 1>put into making sure period and keeps coming Over the

0:14:36.840 --> 0:14:40.080
<v Speaker 1>past year, They've invested two hundred and fifty million dollars

0:14:40.200 --> 0:14:43.400
<v Speaker 1>into the company and plans are underway for another facility

0:14:43.400 --> 0:14:45.960
<v Speaker 1>in Tennessee. So that's only going to go up. I mean,

0:14:46.000 --> 0:14:47.640
<v Speaker 1>why don't they get along? And I know in your

0:14:47.640 --> 0:14:49.320
<v Speaker 1>story you talk about that it might have started as

0:14:49.360 --> 0:14:52.040
<v Speaker 1>they were kids. I mean, but it's noticeable. Employees know it,

0:14:52.080 --> 0:14:55.400
<v Speaker 1>and it wasn't until right the President visited that they

0:14:55.400 --> 0:14:58.720
<v Speaker 1>were actually seen together. Yeah. I think that they're just

0:14:59.000 --> 0:15:02.400
<v Speaker 1>both really stubborn. Um, they both have their own vision

0:15:02.480 --> 0:15:04.560
<v Speaker 1>for how they see the future of the company going.

0:15:05.080 --> 0:15:08.200
<v Speaker 1>Puritan has actually got a sister business called Hardwood, which

0:15:08.240 --> 0:15:12.000
<v Speaker 1>started out making minted toothpicks like a hundred years ago.

0:15:12.400 --> 0:15:15.320
<v Speaker 1>And John Cartwright, one of the cousins, is really heavily

0:15:15.360 --> 0:15:17.840
<v Speaker 1>involved in the hardwood side of the business, and Timothy

0:15:17.880 --> 0:15:21.000
<v Speaker 1>Template is involved in the Puritan the medical side, And

0:15:21.040 --> 0:15:23.960
<v Speaker 1>as these two companies had kind of gone in different directions,

0:15:24.320 --> 0:15:28.400
<v Speaker 1>they really felt struggled to kind of work together to

0:15:28.480 --> 0:15:31.120
<v Speaker 1>see a future for both of them. So, you know,

0:15:31.200 --> 0:15:33.680
<v Speaker 1>just two stubborn people who had their own vision and

0:15:33.720 --> 0:15:37.640
<v Speaker 1>just didn't want to back down. Okay, so you got

0:15:37.680 --> 0:15:40.320
<v Speaker 1>to spend some time in me in the summer, which

0:15:40.360 --> 0:15:44.080
<v Speaker 1>made the reporting like so much greater, Carol. Just to

0:15:44.120 --> 0:15:47.080
<v Speaker 1>have Olivia basically being like pitching the story and then

0:15:47.080 --> 0:15:48.560
<v Speaker 1>being like, by the way, I'm going to be in

0:15:48.680 --> 0:15:50.320
<v Speaker 1>Vain for a little while. I was like, oh my god,

0:15:50.320 --> 0:15:52.680
<v Speaker 1>you can't make this up. Amazing. So you got to

0:15:52.760 --> 0:15:57.440
<v Speaker 1>know basically everyone in Guilford. So put us on the

0:15:57.840 --> 0:16:00.640
<v Speaker 1>wasn't that hard, Jol. There are only fifty a hundred

0:16:00.760 --> 0:16:05.240
<v Speaker 1>people who live in Guilford. Tell us about the company

0:16:05.280 --> 0:16:08.600
<v Speaker 1>and how it fits into mean and the meaning of

0:16:08.640 --> 0:16:12.560
<v Speaker 1>it all. Yeah, Well, Guildford is a tiny town. There

0:16:12.640 --> 0:16:15.640
<v Speaker 1>is one restaurant there, which also serves as the local bar.

0:16:15.840 --> 0:16:19.280
<v Speaker 1>There's no Starbucks, there's no McDonald's. Like very very small

0:16:19.320 --> 0:16:23.440
<v Speaker 1>town America and Hardwood Puritan or the business is the

0:16:23.440 --> 0:16:25.760
<v Speaker 1>biggest part of the whole town. They do a lot

0:16:25.800 --> 0:16:30.040
<v Speaker 1>for the for the town. They often put on fireworks shows,

0:16:30.160 --> 0:16:33.760
<v Speaker 1>they donate playground equipment, They help maintain the local parks.

0:16:34.200 --> 0:16:37.640
<v Speaker 1>Everyone who lives in Guilford knows the company had has

0:16:37.640 --> 0:16:40.240
<v Speaker 1>either worked there, had a family member who worked there,

0:16:40.720 --> 0:16:44.960
<v Speaker 1>or you know, knows the owners specifically. Everyone knows where

0:16:45.000 --> 0:16:47.800
<v Speaker 1>they grew up. They can point out their homes. John

0:16:47.840 --> 0:16:51.160
<v Speaker 1>Cartwright has quite a big, sprawling estate on one of

0:16:51.200 --> 0:16:54.800
<v Speaker 1>the highways hitting out of Guilford, and people actually direct,

0:16:55.440 --> 0:16:58.480
<v Speaker 1>you know, make directions based around his home. They're like, oh,

0:16:58.560 --> 0:17:01.680
<v Speaker 1>take a lift after the John's giant white mansion on

0:17:01.720 --> 0:17:05.520
<v Speaker 1>the corner. So that the feud between the owners was

0:17:05.600 --> 0:17:09.280
<v Speaker 1>really really well known in the town as well. Okay,

0:17:09.320 --> 0:17:12.680
<v Speaker 1>so you've spent months on this story. What's your favorite

0:17:13.800 --> 0:17:16.320
<v Speaker 1>detail from all the report, the great reporting that you did,

0:17:16.400 --> 0:17:18.560
<v Speaker 1>and just have about thirty thirty five seconds. Yeah, sure,

0:17:18.760 --> 0:17:21.480
<v Speaker 1>I think it was really going through the court documents

0:17:21.520 --> 0:17:24.840
<v Speaker 1>and seeing just the extent of the fight. They disagreed

0:17:24.880 --> 0:17:28.400
<v Speaker 1>on everything from the location of the case to delaying

0:17:28.400 --> 0:17:31.480
<v Speaker 1>the case when the pandemic hit, to expediting it to

0:17:31.880 --> 0:17:34.879
<v Speaker 1>putting it off all together. And then when Bloomberg filed

0:17:34.920 --> 0:17:38.320
<v Speaker 1>a motion to access the legal documents, they actually disagreed

0:17:38.359 --> 0:17:40.720
<v Speaker 1>on how to respond to that as well. One of

0:17:40.760 --> 0:17:42.920
<v Speaker 1>them said, no, we're going to fight it and push back,

0:17:43.000 --> 0:17:45.439
<v Speaker 1>and the other said, oh, it's okay, go for it,

0:17:45.480 --> 0:17:47.520
<v Speaker 1>like you can access the documents if you want them.

0:17:47.600 --> 0:17:52.119
<v Speaker 1>So just the extent of their disagreement was unbelievable. All Right.

0:17:52.200 --> 0:17:53.920
<v Speaker 1>I do say there's several times, but I do feel

0:17:53.920 --> 0:17:56.160
<v Speaker 1>like this could be again like a Netflix or Amazon

0:17:56.240 --> 0:17:58.400
<v Speaker 1>series because it's amazing and what I hear is there's

0:17:58.400 --> 0:18:00.320
<v Speaker 1>going to be an Olivia Crevell Street and gil Ford. No,

0:18:00.440 --> 0:18:04.119
<v Speaker 1>I don't know that. Uh, it's a great story. Um,

0:18:04.200 --> 0:18:06.600
<v Speaker 1>so much information and we'll put it out on Twitter

0:18:06.640 --> 0:18:09.200
<v Speaker 1>and I highly recommend everybody check it out. M Olivia,

0:18:09.240 --> 0:18:12.240
<v Speaker 1>thank you, Olivia Carvell of Bloomberg News, along with Joe

0:18:12.280 --> 0:18:20.200
<v Speaker 1>Webber of Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Broom mac Journal. Yeah,

0:18:20.240 --> 0:18:25.240
<v Speaker 1>but you let me drive no no, no, d N please,

0:18:25.359 --> 0:18:32.560
<v Speaker 1>I'll drivel lets me. I want to drive, just drive baby,

0:18:35.040 --> 0:18:44.720
<v Speaker 1>it's good questions drying yea, this is the drive to

0:18:44.800 --> 0:18:48.160
<v Speaker 1>the globe. Give me thanks. We'll drying us to dawn

0:18:48.440 --> 0:18:51.640
<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg Radio. And gotta say, taken just a leg

0:18:51.680 --> 0:18:54.000
<v Speaker 1>down in the last hour or so, and we are

0:18:54.000 --> 0:18:56.119
<v Speaker 1>pretty much at our loads of the session when it

0:18:56.160 --> 0:18:58.440
<v Speaker 1>comes to those major equity averages down one point five

0:18:58.760 --> 0:19:01.320
<v Speaker 1>on the SNP DAL off half a percent, and the

0:19:01.400 --> 0:19:05.200
<v Speaker 1>NASDAC really taking it. The biggest decliner on a percentage

0:19:05.200 --> 0:19:08.440
<v Speaker 1>basis down three or decline a four hundred six points.

0:19:08.520 --> 0:19:10.920
<v Speaker 1>Let's get into it with Alan Zaffron, founding partner and

0:19:11.000 --> 0:19:14.000
<v Speaker 1>co ce io at i e Q Capital eleven point

0:19:14.040 --> 0:19:16.800
<v Speaker 1>six billion in assets under management, joining us once again

0:19:17.080 --> 0:19:20.120
<v Speaker 1>from Foster City, California. Allen, nice to have you here

0:19:20.160 --> 0:19:24.440
<v Speaker 1>with Tim and me. So, okay, how do you see

0:19:24.520 --> 0:19:28.119
<v Speaker 1>like a trade like today where we're seeing more momentum

0:19:28.600 --> 0:19:31.159
<v Speaker 1>to the downside pickup on the equity trade, particularly the

0:19:31.200 --> 0:19:34.720
<v Speaker 1>tech trade. And one day after the FED where some

0:19:34.840 --> 0:19:37.000
<v Speaker 1>said you know where Jpal came out and said, listen,

0:19:37.040 --> 0:19:41.280
<v Speaker 1>we're gonna keep rates low for some time. Yeah, Carol, Tim,

0:19:41.320 --> 0:19:43.720
<v Speaker 1>thanks for having me back on the show and today

0:19:43.760 --> 0:19:46.640
<v Speaker 1>as a microcosm of the battle we're going to see

0:19:46.640 --> 0:19:48.600
<v Speaker 1>in the next three to six months, and it's the

0:19:48.600 --> 0:19:53.760
<v Speaker 1>battle between rising rates and inflation scares stopping this massive

0:19:53.840 --> 0:19:57.119
<v Speaker 1>large cap growth rat had for many years, versus the

0:19:57.160 --> 0:20:00.680
<v Speaker 1>fact that if inflation is kept under control, you're actually

0:20:00.680 --> 0:20:04.080
<v Speaker 1>gonna have productivity growth, really nice world GDP growth, actually

0:20:04.119 --> 0:20:07.879
<v Speaker 1>earnings growth better than expected, and that drives stocks higher.

0:20:08.040 --> 0:20:10.959
<v Speaker 1>So what's really spooking the market is something called the

0:20:11.000 --> 0:20:14.960
<v Speaker 1>base effects. The next three months, when we talk about inflation,

0:20:15.200 --> 0:20:17.560
<v Speaker 1>it's gonna look like it's going crazy because in March

0:20:17.840 --> 0:20:21.040
<v Speaker 1>and April and May last year, prices were falling, and

0:20:21.160 --> 0:20:24.479
<v Speaker 1>we compare inflation year over year, it's gonna look terrible

0:20:24.520 --> 0:20:26.480
<v Speaker 1>for the next three months. It's going to spook everybody.

0:20:26.520 --> 0:20:31.720
<v Speaker 1>This tenure is headed to two question. We have to listen.

0:20:31.760 --> 0:20:34.840
<v Speaker 1>It could be weaks. I mean, this market is moving quickly, right,

0:20:35.080 --> 0:20:38.680
<v Speaker 1>but the short end isn't going anywhere, because al told

0:20:38.720 --> 0:20:41.520
<v Speaker 1>you is staying there if you believe him three more years,

0:20:41.520 --> 0:20:43.879
<v Speaker 1>if you believe the futures market at least two more years.

0:20:43.880 --> 0:20:48.680
<v Speaker 1>So the kurb Stevens but two isn't a problem. It's

0:20:48.720 --> 0:20:51.879
<v Speaker 1>the speed at which this moves. The market can't calibrate

0:20:51.960 --> 0:20:54.720
<v Speaker 1>quickly enough, right, It has to move and fits and starts.

0:20:54.760 --> 0:20:58.000
<v Speaker 1>But that the question, Tim is really is this inflation

0:20:58.119 --> 0:20:59.800
<v Speaker 1>going to be tolerable or is it going to get

0:20:59.840 --> 0:21:01.880
<v Speaker 1>out control? I will tell you that we still believe

0:21:01.920 --> 0:21:04.919
<v Speaker 1>it's tolerable, which is what J believe it, which is

0:21:05.000 --> 0:21:07.600
<v Speaker 1>kind of what Alan J. Powell seemed to say. To

0:21:07.640 --> 0:21:09.520
<v Speaker 1>hang on a second though, because Tim and I were like,

0:21:09.600 --> 0:21:11.720
<v Speaker 1>what did he say? Did he say baked defect? What

0:21:11.840 --> 0:21:16.480
<v Speaker 1>did you say? The base effects base? Okay? Meaning what?

0:21:17.600 --> 0:21:20.439
<v Speaker 1>So you're comparing year when you read about what's going on,

0:21:20.520 --> 0:21:25.200
<v Speaker 1>you compare year over year statistics. If I'm arbitrarily comparing

0:21:25.720 --> 0:21:29.200
<v Speaker 1>last March, April and May when we're in the throes

0:21:29.320 --> 0:21:32.439
<v Speaker 1>of locking down and prices were falling, and now you

0:21:32.440 --> 0:21:35.560
<v Speaker 1>look at prices this year, we will look like we're

0:21:35.600 --> 0:21:39.680
<v Speaker 1>speed up extraordinarily because you're comparing rising prices this year

0:21:39.720 --> 0:21:42.640
<v Speaker 1>with falling prices last year. By the time we get

0:21:42.680 --> 0:21:45.880
<v Speaker 1>to July and August, even though prices this year are

0:21:45.920 --> 0:21:49.639
<v Speaker 1>going up, prices last year we're also going up. So

0:21:49.680 --> 0:21:52.560
<v Speaker 1>the spread will begin to narrow and it will calm down.

0:21:52.600 --> 0:21:57.080
<v Speaker 1>Investors at the rate of inflation again is moderating. We

0:21:57.119 --> 0:21:58.800
<v Speaker 1>have to get past the next three or four months

0:21:58.840 --> 0:22:01.920
<v Speaker 1>to see the mod rating rate of inflation, which tim

0:22:01.960 --> 0:22:05.320
<v Speaker 1>will probably stop long term rates from going higher. And

0:22:05.359 --> 0:22:09.280
<v Speaker 1>then everybody will chill say, oh Apple, And now you know,

0:22:09.359 --> 0:22:12.560
<v Speaker 1>Apple and Microsoft are still solid businesses and they're gonna

0:22:12.640 --> 0:22:14.800
<v Speaker 1>do just fine. And let me give it the other

0:22:14.880 --> 0:22:18.400
<v Speaker 1>irony of all this. This is definitely a year where

0:22:18.440 --> 0:22:23.360
<v Speaker 1>probably value stocks, non large cap tech stocks probably outperformed.

0:22:24.440 --> 0:22:27.240
<v Speaker 1>You know, Zone do as well to large cap stocks.

0:22:27.240 --> 0:22:31.920
<v Speaker 1>But pre COVID, we have a slow grinding economy and

0:22:32.320 --> 0:22:36.000
<v Speaker 1>growth stocks, the companies that generate growth regardless of the economy,

0:22:36.520 --> 0:22:39.120
<v Speaker 1>outperforming in a slow going economy. We're going to head

0:22:39.200 --> 0:22:41.040
<v Speaker 1>right back there when we get through all the sugar

0:22:41.119 --> 0:22:44.760
<v Speaker 1>hiph from the fiscal stimulus. So it's possible a year

0:22:44.840 --> 0:22:47.520
<v Speaker 1>from now we'll be talking about growth stocks outperforming value

0:22:47.560 --> 0:22:50.320
<v Speaker 1>stocks again. So what are you telling clients? Wayne? So

0:22:50.359 --> 0:22:52.120
<v Speaker 1>what are you telling clients right now? Are you? Are

0:22:52.119 --> 0:22:54.960
<v Speaker 1>you telling them? Essentially, just sit tight for a few months,

0:22:54.960 --> 0:22:58.399
<v Speaker 1>don't you anything? Yeah, and by the disk if it

0:22:58.440 --> 0:23:00.080
<v Speaker 1>comes in, because this is going to be a that

0:23:00.119 --> 0:23:02.320
<v Speaker 1>you're gonna see real GDP growth. The FED is saying

0:23:02.359 --> 0:23:04.480
<v Speaker 1>six and a half percent this this economy, you just

0:23:04.600 --> 0:23:07.000
<v Speaker 1>could go up eight to this yere and if it's

0:23:07.000 --> 0:23:10.680
<v Speaker 1>really non inflationary, we're gonna have huge earnings out performance

0:23:10.680 --> 0:23:14.200
<v Speaker 1>relative to expectations. And cash is trash and zero percent

0:23:14.240 --> 0:23:17.159
<v Speaker 1>and bonds don't pay you much. So stay the course.

0:23:17.760 --> 0:23:21.160
<v Speaker 1>Value stocks are maybe a trade, but ultimately you need balance.

0:23:21.440 --> 0:23:24.239
<v Speaker 1>Don't throw away the growth stocks have both, don't you know,

0:23:24.359 --> 0:23:27.800
<v Speaker 1>Stay rational, stay diversified. So just quickly twenty seconds when

0:23:27.840 --> 0:23:29.359
<v Speaker 1>you say by the dip, are you talking about by

0:23:29.400 --> 0:23:32.600
<v Speaker 1>the dip of those growth stocks that you like so much. Yeah,

0:23:32.800 --> 0:23:35.160
<v Speaker 1>but let's be clear about these growth stocks are like,

0:23:35.240 --> 0:23:37.720
<v Speaker 1>you know, wild roller coasters, So don't buy on the

0:23:37.720 --> 0:23:40.160
<v Speaker 1>first day it's down. Pick a spot where you can

0:23:40.160 --> 0:23:43.120
<v Speaker 1>get comfortable and be a long term investor. Don't think

0:23:43.160 --> 0:23:46.080
<v Speaker 1>you can gay trade these. They are insanely bald. All right,

0:23:46.080 --> 0:23:47.840
<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna leave it on that note. Hey, Allen, have

0:23:47.880 --> 0:23:50.960
<v Speaker 1>a good weekend. Alan's Afron founding partner in co CEO

0:23:51.320 --> 0:23:54.280
<v Speaker 1>of i e Q Capital eleven point six billion in assets,

0:23:54.680 --> 0:23:57.280
<v Speaker 1>under manage it with us from Foster City, California. But

0:23:57.320 --> 0:24:00.000
<v Speaker 1>on a day where Nazac is a little bit more

0:24:00.000 --> 0:24:04.120
<v Speaker 1>on sale because it's down about Hey, he's saying buckle up, yeah,

0:24:04.160 --> 0:24:06.719
<v Speaker 1>but he's longer term, still likes those growth names right

0:24:06.760 --> 0:24:11.199
<v Speaker 1>and sees that's where the momentum will be. Thanks for

0:24:11.200 --> 0:24:15.000
<v Speaker 1>listening to Bloomberg Business Week. Download the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud,

0:24:15.080 --> 0:24:17.280
<v Speaker 1>or Bloomberg dot com, and you can also listen to

0:24:17.280 --> 0:24:19.840
<v Speaker 1>our radio show at two pm Eastern on Bloomberg Radio

0:24:19.960 --> 0:24:25.640
<v Speaker 1>or watch us on YouTube. Search to Bloomberg Global News