WEBVTT - Deep Dive on Third Downs, Christian Wilkins Production, Responding to Adversity and Post Game Show Discussion 0:00:00.960 --> 0:00:15.680 That's looking down field, touchdown, Miami que drawn. What is up? Dolphins? 0:00:15.840 --> 0:00:19.279 And welcome to the Drivetime Podcast, part of the Miami 0:00:19.320 --> 0:00:24.599 Dolphins podcast network, covering your team, your Miami Dolphins. How's 0:00:24.640 --> 0:00:28.080 it going everybody? I am your host, Travis Wingfield, and 0:00:28.120 --> 0:00:31.600 I'm here to bring you your daily dose of Miami 0:00:31.640 --> 0:00:35.080 Dolphins football. And on today's show, it's a deep dive Wednesday. 0:00:35.159 --> 0:00:37.839 We're gonna look at the money down, third down and 0:00:37.880 --> 0:00:41.320 also resilience in the face of adversity and will quantify 0:00:41.440 --> 0:00:44.800 Christian Wilkins third season production. Plus we'll play a segment 0:00:44.840 --> 0:00:47.199 from the post game show if we have time, and 0:00:47.280 --> 0:00:51.320 we'll hear from the coordinators and their Tuesday media availability 0:00:51.400 --> 0:00:55.000 from the Baptist Health Studios inside the Baptist Health Training Complex. 0:00:55.040 --> 0:01:02.480 This is the Drivetime podcastamipice. We are presented by Auto 0:01:02.600 --> 0:01:05.600 Nation and we're gonna dive right into this story that 0:01:05.640 --> 0:01:08.040 I wrote from Miami Dolphins dot Com on the top 0:01:08.120 --> 0:01:11.120 news story on Tuesday. We do top News every Tuesday 0:01:11.160 --> 0:01:14.240 and Friday here on Miami Dolphins dot Com, and usually 0:01:14.640 --> 0:01:17.520 the Tuesday piece kind of coincides with the podcast and 0:01:17.520 --> 0:01:20.480 gives us a chance to look at something outside the 0:01:20.480 --> 0:01:22.640 framework of what happened in the previous game or the 0:01:22.720 --> 0:01:24.800 upcoming game and just kind of give us a general 0:01:24.840 --> 0:01:28.480 bird's eye view of something that I personally find interesting. 0:01:28.680 --> 0:01:30.800 If you ever have any ideas for the deep Dive 0:01:30.840 --> 0:01:33.120 Wednesday that you want me to look into, send me 0:01:33.200 --> 0:01:36.440 your ideas on Twitter at Wingfield NFL and I'll see 0:01:36.440 --> 0:01:38.600 what you guys got and see if it jives with 0:01:38.680 --> 0:01:41.000 what I want to do for the podcast. But you 0:01:41.040 --> 0:01:42.800 guys are the podcast as well, so I want to 0:01:42.800 --> 0:01:44.680 hear from you and get your input on this. But 0:01:44.880 --> 0:01:47.400 today we're talking about third down and it's called the 0:01:47.400 --> 0:01:51.160 money down for a reason. The outcomes of third downs 0:01:52.400 --> 0:01:55.960 have the third biggest swing and win probability than any 0:01:56.000 --> 0:01:58.680 play in football. The other two, of course turnovers and 0:01:58.720 --> 0:02:03.040 scoring plays. But turnovers and scoring plays makeup for eight 0:02:03.160 --> 0:02:06.200 nine ten plays a game, where third down snaps are 0:02:06.280 --> 0:02:09.320 roughly thirty place per game on average. It's a sixty 0:02:09.360 --> 0:02:12.600 minute collection on those third down plays of these mini 0:02:12.680 --> 0:02:16.280 battles within the game to determine the ultimate victor of 0:02:16.360 --> 0:02:18.640 the quote unquote war. And I hate using war as 0:02:18.639 --> 0:02:22.239 an analogy and football, but you get what I'm saying. Thus, 0:02:22.240 --> 0:02:24.720 the money down where players and coaches really earned their salt, 0:02:24.760 --> 0:02:28.480 where complementary football is magnified. You convert on third down. 0:02:28.480 --> 0:02:30.840 That helps keep the defense fresh, It helps keep your 0:02:30.880 --> 0:02:33.320 special teams kind of gearing up, ready to go. It 0:02:33.400 --> 0:02:36.000 just helps everything. And defensively, it gets your punt return 0:02:36.080 --> 0:02:38.760 team on the field, It gets your offense ready and 0:02:38.800 --> 0:02:41.760 back on the field for the ensuing drive. So it's 0:02:41.880 --> 0:02:44.680 very complimentary when you can execute on third down, both 0:02:44.720 --> 0:02:50.360 offensively and defensively. Now, not been our year defensively in 0:02:50.360 --> 0:02:52.800 this regard. Last year certainly was, and you saw the 0:02:52.840 --> 0:02:56.840 impact that had and how Miami was able to become 0:02:56.960 --> 0:03:00.360 victorious and ten of their sixteen football games due large 0:03:00.400 --> 0:03:02.720 part to the defense finding a way to get so 0:03:02.760 --> 0:03:04.880 many stops on the third down. We we had games 0:03:04.919 --> 0:03:07.440 last year where the opposed the opposition had like one 0:03:07.520 --> 0:03:09.880 or two conversions. I'm thinking about the Jets game for instance. 0:03:10.200 --> 0:03:11.600 I think it took him to the fourth quarter to 0:03:11.600 --> 0:03:13.400 convert a third down, and a couple of those games 0:03:13.600 --> 0:03:15.720 against the Jets last year. But back to the offense, 0:03:16.040 --> 0:03:21.480 Miami's third down production this year has increased exponentially over 0:03:21.520 --> 0:03:24.280 the last two weeks, from thirty five point four percent 0:03:24.680 --> 0:03:28.160 in weeks one through five, up to sixty four point 0:03:28.240 --> 0:03:31.440 three percent in weeks six and seven. So I asked 0:03:31.800 --> 0:03:35.000 coach Eric Studisville, the co offensive coordinator here in Miami, 0:03:35.240 --> 0:03:38.600 about the uptick. And no, this is not erlick Bachman 0:03:38.680 --> 0:03:43.040 taking the uptick from Jared's indiscretions, going behind Richard's back 0:03:43.080 --> 0:03:45.360 to pay for a click farm to give them the uptick. 0:03:45.400 --> 0:03:48.640 We're talking about real substantial production here. So I asked 0:03:48.680 --> 0:03:50.680 coach about the uptick and what they can attribute to 0:03:50.720 --> 0:03:54.240 that production. Here is Coach Studisville on Miami's increased third 0:03:54.240 --> 0:03:56.480 down performance the last couple of weeks. Well, I hope 0:03:56.680 --> 0:03:59.680 it's an increased emphasis in it, you know, which we're 0:03:59.720 --> 0:04:02.320 talking about all the time. You know, coach talks about 0:04:02.320 --> 0:04:06.240 that with the team, that that's an important situational football 0:04:06.680 --> 0:04:10.160 um parameter for us to address. So we constantly talk 0:04:10.240 --> 0:04:12.560 about that, He talks about it, he addresses it. We 0:04:12.600 --> 0:04:15.600 spend a lot of time on third down talking about 0:04:15.680 --> 0:04:17.520 what we want to execute, how we want to do 0:04:17.560 --> 0:04:19.800 things on third down. And I think then it goes 0:04:19.880 --> 0:04:22.520 it becomes a credit to the players where they're studying 0:04:22.640 --> 0:04:24.840 and buying in and they're executing then when we call 0:04:24.920 --> 0:04:27.560 those things. So I think it's a it's a whole 0:04:27.560 --> 0:04:30.479 philosophy that starts with flow all the way down to 0:04:30.600 --> 0:04:33.320 everybody that, hey, we understand the importance of that third 0:04:33.320 --> 0:04:35.800 down situation and we have to be better to be 0:04:35.839 --> 0:04:37.599 able to stay on the field to get more plays 0:04:37.640 --> 0:04:39.560 to continue drives. So there you go. You have them 0:04:39.600 --> 0:04:42.200 talking about the complementary aspect. They're staying on the field, 0:04:42.440 --> 0:04:44.480 helps your defense, helps your special teams. When you can 0:04:44.520 --> 0:04:46.440 do that as an offense, if you have the football, 0:04:46.920 --> 0:04:48.279 they're not going to put points in the board, right 0:04:48.360 --> 0:04:50.120 unless they pick six or scoop and score you. But 0:04:50.120 --> 0:04:52.320 how often does that happen? So, and just a quick 0:04:52.320 --> 0:04:55.920 aside here on that coach Studentsville commentary. He also was 0:04:55.960 --> 0:04:57.800 asked about the running game, and he talks about how 0:04:57.800 --> 0:05:00.640 they want to be efficient and effective, and he complimented 0:05:00.680 --> 0:05:03.000 the offensive line and the tight ends. But where I 0:05:03.000 --> 0:05:06.599 found coaches comments interesting as he talked about the running 0:05:06.600 --> 0:05:08.920 back position, how at times he thought they ran it well, 0:05:09.080 --> 0:05:11.960 but he thought it was too inconsistent and guys missing cuts, 0:05:11.960 --> 0:05:14.479 are missing gaps and leaving me on the bone. In 0:05:14.520 --> 0:05:17.240 the running game, we talked about the four Smiths tackles 0:05:17.240 --> 0:05:20.080 in the yards after contact average here on the podcast 0:05:20.160 --> 0:05:22.560 every single Tuesday when we do the PFF and next 0:05:22.640 --> 0:05:25.960 Gen stats rundown and yeah, I mean the numbers, back 0:05:26.040 --> 0:05:27.840 up the film and back up what coach says. They're 0:05:27.839 --> 0:05:29.719 about how I do believe there are more yards to 0:05:29.800 --> 0:05:32.480 be had in the running game from the running back. 0:05:32.560 --> 0:05:34.920 So interesting comment there. But back to the third down 0:05:34.920 --> 0:05:38.480 conversion stuff. That third down conversion rate in weeks six 0:05:38.480 --> 0:05:42.080 and seven ranks second in the National Football League over 0:05:42.120 --> 0:05:44.480 that span among teams who played two games. There's a 0:05:44.480 --> 0:05:47.679 couple of teams. I think the Jets and the Bills 0:05:47.760 --> 0:05:50.080 are ahead of Miami, but they both played one game 0:05:50.839 --> 0:05:54.080 over that stretch of time. In terms of the two 0:05:54.120 --> 0:05:56.560 weeks span, Arizona is the only team that has a 0:05:56.560 --> 0:05:59.480 better third down conversion rate among teams that played both 0:05:59.480 --> 0:06:02.960 weeks then Miami and quarterback to a Tonga, Bloa has 0:06:02.960 --> 0:06:06.000 been especially sharp on the money down. He's completed sixteen 0:06:06.120 --> 0:06:08.960 of twenty three third down passes for one hundred and 0:06:09.000 --> 0:06:13.080 seventy three yards, a touchdown pass and thirteen total conversions, 0:06:13.160 --> 0:06:16.000 two of those with his legs. Since he came back 0:06:16.040 --> 0:06:18.680 off the injured reserve, and the average distance to gain 0:06:18.720 --> 0:06:22.120 on those third downs it's not cheap seven point two yards. 0:06:22.160 --> 0:06:24.960 So thirteen conversions out of twenty three from the quarterback 0:06:25.000 --> 0:06:27.359 position with an average of seven point two yards. That 0:06:27.440 --> 0:06:29.919 takes away your third and one conversion from Jacobe Brissette. 0:06:29.960 --> 0:06:31.520 I think there was a third and one conversion from 0:06:31.560 --> 0:06:33.800 Malcolm Brown two weeks ago. There was a third and 0:06:33.880 --> 0:06:36.960 two conversion from Savan Akhmed this week. So strictly in 0:06:37.000 --> 0:06:39.520 the passing numbers, that's what you get. Seven point two 0:06:39.560 --> 0:06:41.719 yards to go and you're over fifty percent. If you 0:06:41.720 --> 0:06:44.479 look at league averages, third and seven or longer is 0:06:44.520 --> 0:06:48.440 well below So to A playing about fifteen percent above 0:06:48.520 --> 0:06:51.119 board with third down conversions over the last two weeks 0:06:51.120 --> 0:06:54.200 compared to the average across the league based upon distance 0:06:54.240 --> 0:06:56.520 to gain, was that way too much info? I hope 0:06:56.520 --> 0:06:59.640 it made sense. Other teams convert third and seven plus 0:06:59.760 --> 0:07:02.200 or the average in the NFL, and third seven plus 0:07:02.240 --> 0:07:05.640 is about the last two weeks from Miami. The passing game, 0:07:05.680 --> 0:07:08.280 third and seven plus about fifty five, So not a 0:07:08.279 --> 0:07:09.840 bad place to be. And so I wanted to go 0:07:09.880 --> 0:07:11.880 through and chart all those dropbacks from two A Toungo 0:07:11.920 --> 0:07:15.480 Byaloa twenty three in total here, and I charted the 0:07:15.560 --> 0:07:17.200 result of all of them when there was a pressure, 0:07:17.400 --> 0:07:19.880 a hurry, or a hit, whether the pass was completed, 0:07:20.000 --> 0:07:22.240 whether or not they converted the first down, and how 0:07:22.280 --> 0:07:24.200 many yards they had to gain. I'm not going to 0:07:24.280 --> 0:07:27.000 go through the results of all twenty three individual plays there, 0:07:27.160 --> 0:07:30.880 but I'll give you the cumulative results here. Fifteen total 0:07:30.920 --> 0:07:34.560 pressures on those twenty three dropbacks. No sacks, so that's great, 0:07:34.600 --> 0:07:37.640 No third down sacks. Six QB hits on the twenty 0:07:37.640 --> 0:07:40.080 three drop backs, so one of every four he gets hit, 0:07:40.120 --> 0:07:44.120 and about oh gosh, math um a little over half 0:07:44.120 --> 0:07:46.720 the time he's pressured. So when he's pressured, he's nine 0:07:46.760 --> 0:07:49.080 for twelve on these third down looks and eight for 0:07:49.160 --> 0:07:51.920 fifteen conversion because the three rush attempts two of them 0:07:51.920 --> 0:07:54.440 were converted, one of them was not. But eight for 0:07:54.560 --> 0:07:58.640 fifteen with an average distance of six point to two yards. 0:07:58.680 --> 0:08:02.920 That's right about in that four conversion range right across 0:08:02.960 --> 0:08:06.280 the league, and the Dolphins are over once again in 0:08:06.280 --> 0:08:09.480 that regard. When he's not pressured, five for eight completion, 0:08:09.600 --> 0:08:13.240 four for eight conversions. Now that's only fifty percent obviously, 0:08:13.280 --> 0:08:16.160 but the average distance seven point five yards, so once 0:08:16.160 --> 0:08:19.400 again well above board as far as average conversion right 0:08:19.440 --> 0:08:22.640 across the National Football League. And then when the uh 0:08:22.640 --> 0:08:25.040 when when he's hit when he's hit back there, Sorry, 0:08:25.040 --> 0:08:26.720 I'm trying to read some stuff here in numbers, and 0:08:26.840 --> 0:08:28.240 it doesn't go very well for your boy when I 0:08:28.240 --> 0:08:31.160 do both those things together. But four for seven converting 0:08:31.440 --> 0:08:35.080 when he's hit on third downs with an average distance 0:08:35.080 --> 0:08:37.280 of six point one four yards, So it's been good 0:08:37.480 --> 0:08:41.040 regardless of distance to gain. If the early down success 0:08:41.120 --> 0:08:43.360 is not there, they still have a fighting chance to convert. 0:08:43.559 --> 0:08:45.080 And this goes back to what we talked about all 0:08:45.120 --> 0:08:47.760 the time right on this podcast locked on Dolphins and 0:08:47.800 --> 0:08:51.120 everything I've done in my football career so far, or 0:08:51.200 --> 0:08:55.760 I guess media football analysts career. Every time you watch 0:08:55.760 --> 0:08:59.800 a quarterback the most, if you're trying to evaluate the 0:08:59.800 --> 0:09:01.960 town on the tape, you look at the real you 0:09:02.040 --> 0:09:04.360 look at his third and six plus And what I 0:09:04.440 --> 0:09:06.240 just told you is that third and six pluses went 0:09:06.280 --> 0:09:08.560 two has kind of been at his best. On top 0:09:08.559 --> 0:09:10.760 of the fact that we don't really talk about him 0:09:10.760 --> 0:09:14.280 ever missing layups. So those two things working together, to 0:09:14.400 --> 0:09:17.960 me paint a very positive picture, and to kind of 0:09:18.000 --> 0:09:23.200 piggyback off that point, what is third and long. It's adversity, right, 0:09:23.200 --> 0:09:25.280 It's a tough situation. The team has to put their 0:09:25.320 --> 0:09:28.280 best forward for their best foot forward to get a completion, 0:09:28.280 --> 0:09:30.400 to get a conversion, and keep their offense on the field. 0:09:30.720 --> 0:09:34.080 It's the big moment in the game that requires your 0:09:34.120 --> 0:09:37.160 focus and execution in a difficult spot. And so I 0:09:37.160 --> 0:09:40.239 wanted to look at some of the factors that contribute 0:09:40.280 --> 0:09:44.280 to being a resilient player or team and the I 0:09:44.320 --> 0:09:47.680 was looking at the volatility of third down production as 0:09:48.040 --> 0:09:50.760 one of the key factors for teams across the league 0:09:51.160 --> 0:09:54.200 that contributes to the ups and downs of an NFL season, 0:09:54.200 --> 0:09:56.080 because every team has them for the most part, right 0:09:56.120 --> 0:09:59.319 like even the Chiefs right now. Personally, I would never 0:09:59.320 --> 0:10:01.360 worry if I was the Chiefs with Patrick Mahomes and 0:10:01.400 --> 0:10:03.440 the skill players they have on offense, regardless of how 0:10:03.440 --> 0:10:05.920 the defense is playing, regardless of how you know protection 0:10:05.920 --> 0:10:08.000 can have breakdowns, whatever the case may be. I just 0:10:08.000 --> 0:10:11.160 wouldn't worry about it because I think I know they're 0:10:11.200 --> 0:10:14.480 gonna be okay come January. But look at the value 0:10:14.520 --> 0:10:16.200 there and right now compared to the peaks they've been 0:10:16.280 --> 0:10:20.000 enjoying all the Patrick Mahomes era. It's true for every team. 0:10:20.000 --> 0:10:22.440 Every Super Bowl champion can look back to a certain 0:10:22.440 --> 0:10:24.080 stretch of the season where they were not thought of 0:10:24.160 --> 0:10:26.199 as a Super Bowl team at that time. Go back 0:10:26.240 --> 0:10:28.280 to the Bucks last year a perfect example of that. 0:10:28.679 --> 0:10:30.600 Or a lot of the Patriots rings, even I mean 0:10:30.640 --> 0:10:32.640 some of them were dominant throughout, but some of the 0:10:32.640 --> 0:10:35.120 Patriots rings you look back and it's like they had 0:10:35.160 --> 0:10:37.720 some struggles there at certain moments of the season. Like there, 0:10:37.720 --> 0:10:39.640 I think their second ring in two thousand three was 0:10:39.720 --> 0:10:42.560 the famous Lawyer Malloy release, and then he goes to 0:10:42.600 --> 0:10:44.640 Buffalo and they beat him by the thirty four points 0:10:44.640 --> 0:10:46.839 on opening Day, and then New England lost like one 0:10:46.840 --> 0:10:48.920 more game the rest of the way. The point is 0:10:49.280 --> 0:10:51.320 you're gonna have peaks and valleys in the season, and 0:10:51.360 --> 0:10:53.559 one of the biggest contributing factors to that is your 0:10:53.559 --> 0:10:56.000 third down conversion rate. So I looked at a team 0:10:56.040 --> 0:11:00.360 who has the most unique four week experience in the 0:11:00.440 --> 0:11:05.160 National Football League right now, the Tennessee Titans, who over 0:11:05.200 --> 0:11:07.000 that four weeks span they've had a buyer. They beat 0:11:07.000 --> 0:11:10.560 the Jacksonville Jaguars in there, but they beat the Chiefs 0:11:10.880 --> 0:11:13.839 and the Bills and lost to the New York Jets, 0:11:13.880 --> 0:11:16.079 who are one in six but taking out both of 0:11:16.160 --> 0:11:20.560 last year's AFC Championship contender or representatives. And the biggest 0:11:20.559 --> 0:11:23.560 difference their third down production. They were twelve for twenty 0:11:23.640 --> 0:11:27.280 five on third downs and the two victories and just 0:11:27.360 --> 0:11:31.000 five for nineteen and the loss to the Jets, so 0:11:31.040 --> 0:11:33.360 more than double their production there on third downs. So 0:11:33.400 --> 0:11:35.800 you consider the perception of the Titans in the eyes 0:11:35.880 --> 0:11:39.480 of fans and media and public and you know, national 0:11:39.559 --> 0:11:43.320 perception after that Week five loss that this team can't 0:11:43.360 --> 0:11:45.320 go anywhere, right because they lost to a bad football team. 0:11:45.320 --> 0:11:47.480 But the only way to flip that script was to 0:11:47.520 --> 0:11:50.640 perform against that adversity and just basically say, we don't 0:11:50.679 --> 0:11:52.840 care what your power rankings, what you're talking points on 0:11:52.880 --> 0:11:55.079 talk shows are. We have to go out and accomplish 0:11:55.200 --> 0:11:57.520 on the football field what we think is true that 0:11:57.600 --> 0:12:00.719 we are a contender. And they did beat Kansas City 0:12:00.720 --> 0:12:03.760 and Buffalo, And that brings us back to the where 0:12:03.800 --> 0:12:06.839 the tangent takes us back to Miami, who have endured 0:12:06.880 --> 0:12:10.840 plenty of in game affliction this season, but have responded 0:12:11.160 --> 0:12:14.440 to give the team an opportunity to snatch victory, even 0:12:14.480 --> 0:12:17.520 though they did not snatch said victory. The roadblock from 0:12:17.520 --> 0:12:20.280 Miami these last two weeks has been the turnover and 0:12:20.320 --> 0:12:23.199 to stretch it further, including the Week one interception to 0:12:23.360 --> 0:12:25.319 a tongue of Blowa has been picked off three times 0:12:25.320 --> 0:12:27.480 in the second half this season. Three of his four 0:12:27.559 --> 0:12:30.200 picks have been in the second half of games, and 0:12:30.200 --> 0:12:32.800 head coach Brian Flores said he likes the way his 0:12:32.880 --> 0:12:37.120 quarterback in this particular question. Durham Smyth as well responded 0:12:37.160 --> 0:12:39.640 to the turnover on Sunday against Atlanta, and we played 0:12:39.679 --> 0:12:41.160 it on the show for you yesterday, so I won't 0:12:41.160 --> 0:12:42.760 play it again, but I'll tell you what he said. 0:12:43.080 --> 0:12:44.880 He says he thinks two of wishes he had that 0:12:44.920 --> 0:12:46.760 one back, and Durham does as well. But when you 0:12:46.800 --> 0:12:48.360 look at it that way, there are some other places 0:12:48.360 --> 0:12:50.320 we could have gone with the football. What I like 0:12:50.440 --> 0:12:53.920 most about that was Towah's response, Durham's response and being 0:12:53.920 --> 0:12:56.439 able to turn it around and create some positive plays 0:12:56.520 --> 0:13:01.560 after that mishap. End quote following the three second half 0:13:01.559 --> 0:13:05.600 interceptions this season, and this came from at vbs uh 0:13:05.640 --> 0:13:08.120 Sports on Twitter I believe was his name. Tongue of 0:13:08.160 --> 0:13:11.640 Vloa has completed twenty one of twenty four passes for 0:13:11.800 --> 0:13:15.760 two forty six yards, three touchdowns and a passer rating 0:13:15.800 --> 0:13:20.440 of one after the pick in the second half in 0:13:20.520 --> 0:13:23.520 three games, and the three passes that were incomplete were 0:13:23.600 --> 0:13:33.720 drops from Pro Football Focus what I mean. Yeah, so 0:13:33.760 --> 0:13:37.600 while the turnaround hasn't impacted the wind column, it's a 0:13:37.600 --> 0:13:40.040 positive sign moving forward. And one more stat before I 0:13:40.040 --> 0:13:41.400 flipped over to the other side of the football and 0:13:41.440 --> 0:13:44.040 talk some defense here, I saw Chris Kaufman. You guys 0:13:44.080 --> 0:13:45.959 know who he is. Pulled us up. He's at C 0:13:46.160 --> 0:13:48.800 K Parrott on Twitter. He did a stat head search, 0:13:48.840 --> 0:13:51.040 which is what I used also, so good company there 0:13:51.240 --> 0:13:53.680 to find out the Tongue of Bola was the highest 0:13:54.400 --> 0:13:58.000 rated passer in the fourth quarter in the NFL from 0:13:59.240 --> 0:14:02.360 two thousand twenty one current date minimum nine attempts. So 0:14:02.400 --> 0:14:04.760 any quarterback that has a decent chunk of sample size 0:14:04.760 --> 0:14:07.600 in the fourth quarter over the last how many years 0:14:07.679 --> 0:14:12.160 is that? Oh? For fourteen twenty seven years two as 0:14:12.200 --> 0:14:14.960 the highest passer rating of any ever other quarterbacks ever 0:14:15.000 --> 0:14:17.320 played in that stretch in the fourth quarter with minimum 0:14:17.360 --> 0:14:20.480 ninety attempts, it's one eleven point six. It's an eight 0:14:20.560 --> 0:14:24.000 yards per attempt average, and his a n y average, 0:14:24.200 --> 0:14:27.120 which is any play that includes sacks and passes seven 0:14:27.120 --> 0:14:29.400 point nine yards per play in the fourth quarter when 0:14:29.400 --> 0:14:32.280 two was under center and taking snaps to throw the 0:14:32.280 --> 0:14:35.760 football or to scramble, seventy eight point five percent completion, 0:14:35.840 --> 0:14:38.560 seven touchdowns, three picks, and just three sacks on a 0:14:38.800 --> 0:14:40.680 dred and eight team plays for negative twenty yards. So 0:14:40.680 --> 0:14:43.800 that's why you're You're any average play yards per play 0:14:43.800 --> 0:14:46.080 comes up like that, not a bad stat to hang 0:14:46.120 --> 0:14:48.760 your hat on their fourth quarter production. It's where games 0:14:48.760 --> 0:14:50.640 are one and lost. On the other side of the ball. 0:14:52.320 --> 0:14:54.280 There are some signs of progress as well, like the 0:14:54.360 --> 0:14:59.600 trajectory of Christian Wilkins career, durable, dependable, versatile defensive lineman 0:14:59.600 --> 0:15:01.600 who play as hard as anybody in the league and 0:15:01.680 --> 0:15:06.600 creates chances for his teammates. Now the counting stats, which 0:15:06.720 --> 0:15:11.640 I'm not crazy about using those without context, but contextually 0:15:11.640 --> 0:15:13.760 it matches the film. The counting stats are now there 0:15:13.760 --> 0:15:15.480 too to match up what he's been doing for this 0:15:15.560 --> 0:15:17.960 team for three years now. So I asked Josh Boyer 0:15:18.480 --> 0:15:20.400 what difference in his game. Do you see that has 0:15:20.440 --> 0:15:23.360 caused the uptick in the statistical production for Christian Wilkins. 0:15:23.360 --> 0:15:26.800 Here's coach, Well, I think Christians always played with great effort. 0:15:27.000 --> 0:15:29.880 I think it it starts with that. And uh, I 0:15:29.920 --> 0:15:32.360 think he's doing, uh, you know, a good job of 0:15:32.400 --> 0:15:35.240 working on his fundamentals and his techniques to put himself 0:15:35.320 --> 0:15:37.480 in position to make plays. And then when he does 0:15:37.600 --> 0:15:40.040 and when he has opportunities, he's been able to make 0:15:40.080 --> 0:15:43.200 those plays. So I think that's kind of a byproduct 0:15:43.240 --> 0:15:45.880 of him knowing and understanding the system a little bit 0:15:45.880 --> 0:15:50.040 better him No. One and understanding his techniques and fundamentals 0:15:50.080 --> 0:15:53.320 a little bit better. And you know, and also when 0:15:53.440 --> 0:15:55.560 when you know those things, you know when you can 0:15:55.600 --> 0:15:58.360 take chances that are probably going to be in your favor. 0:15:58.400 --> 0:16:01.360 And I think he's done it very well. I have 0:16:01.520 --> 0:16:04.560 so many takes off of that answer from coach, which 0:16:04.600 --> 0:16:06.800 was great, by the way, I thought from Coach Boyer there. 0:16:07.560 --> 0:16:10.520 But we talked on the podcast yesterday about the scanning 0:16:10.520 --> 0:16:13.360 the social segment about players kind of hitting that second, 0:16:13.560 --> 0:16:15.560 third and fourth year and that's when their play begins 0:16:15.600 --> 0:16:17.640 to really start to take off after you know X 0:16:17.680 --> 0:16:20.520 amount of games, Mike Kasiki, you know, twenty four games 0:16:20.520 --> 0:16:22.440 in his career, has a ninety four yard game and 0:16:22.480 --> 0:16:25.160 then starts scoring touchdowns or having eight yards or like 0:16:25.160 --> 0:16:28.040 every other week. He's doing this after twenty four games 0:16:28.040 --> 0:16:30.800 of you know, three and four catches for forty yards 0:16:30.920 --> 0:16:33.880 on average throughout the course of his career. Xavian Howard 0:16:33.960 --> 0:16:36.760 midway through his second year as a pro, just starts 0:16:36.800 --> 0:16:38.560 picking off everybody and then turns into that for the 0:16:38.560 --> 0:16:40.160 rest of his career. I don't have to go over 0:16:40.160 --> 0:16:42.120 them all again. You heard it on yesterday's podcast. You've 0:16:42.120 --> 0:16:46.000 heard it several times from me. But what does that 0:16:46.040 --> 0:16:48.120 tell you? I mean, what is Peyton Manning on the 0:16:48.120 --> 0:16:50.400 paint and Eli broadcast telling you how much he hates 0:16:50.480 --> 0:16:52.800 learning a new system because you just don't have that 0:16:52.960 --> 0:16:56.880 natural reactionary feel to the system to know. If I'm 0:16:56.920 --> 0:16:58.920 looking front side here and I don't have that, the 0:16:58.920 --> 0:17:00.520 picture I see tells me what I have on the 0:17:00.520 --> 0:17:02.840 back side, and I can get to it without thinking. 0:17:02.880 --> 0:17:05.639 I can just feel it, let that thing rip. So 0:17:05.680 --> 0:17:08.440 it works for quarterbacks. You heard coach with the telling 0:17:08.560 --> 0:17:10.560 tell you about how it works for defensive tackles, Like 0:17:10.600 --> 0:17:12.440 when I watch the tape on defensive line, and I'm 0:17:12.440 --> 0:17:14.399 always kind of intrigued, like, how do you like when 0:17:14.440 --> 0:17:17.320 they fire off the snap? You have to like shock 0:17:17.400 --> 0:17:18.720 the guy, you have to be able to peak the 0:17:18.800 --> 0:17:21.200 running back. Like there's so much going on that if 0:17:21.200 --> 0:17:24.639 you don't play reactionary style football, you have no chance 0:17:24.640 --> 0:17:27.439 to succeed. And so when you hear him talk about 0:17:27.760 --> 0:17:31.000 Christian really developing those fundamentals and technique and really trusting 0:17:31.000 --> 0:17:34.120 in them and them kind of becoming second nature, then 0:17:34.200 --> 0:17:36.919 he can maybe take a chance on, you know, jumping 0:17:36.920 --> 0:17:39.000 a gap or whatever the case may be. And I 0:17:39.000 --> 0:17:41.640 think you're seeing that that play out. I think there's 0:17:41.640 --> 0:17:44.200 so much to learn from that with regards to how 0:17:44.280 --> 0:17:48.000 guys can progress in their career. And it's evident to me. 0:17:48.400 --> 0:17:50.840 It's it's evident that you just need to give guys 0:17:50.880 --> 0:17:53.640 time sometimes to develop. It's not gonna happen overnight. When 0:17:53.640 --> 0:17:55.840 it does, great, it's fantastic. A couple of guys do 0:17:55.840 --> 0:17:57.400 it every single year, but it's an only a couple 0:17:57.400 --> 0:18:00.600 of guys. But what I'm most concerned about is how 0:18:00.680 --> 0:18:04.840 their longevity and sustainability and consistency can be not just 0:18:04.880 --> 0:18:07.520 throughout the rookie contract, but into that second contract, which 0:18:07.560 --> 0:18:10.080 if they perform and produce and develop the way you 0:18:10.119 --> 0:18:12.479 want them to, they then earn that. And I think 0:18:12.560 --> 0:18:14.679 you've seen that with so many players here that it 0:18:14.760 --> 0:18:17.480 makes me ask the question, why are you so impatient 0:18:17.520 --> 0:18:20.160 with others? And I'm just talking, you know, kind of 0:18:21.000 --> 0:18:23.360 little pining to the masses out there. Why would you 0:18:23.480 --> 0:18:25.640 question the development of others when you've seen it works 0:18:25.640 --> 0:18:28.000 so many times with other guys on the roster here. 0:18:28.000 --> 0:18:29.760 So that's kind of my thought. And back to the 0:18:29.800 --> 0:18:32.720 effort of Christian Wilkins. It was evident on the first quarter, 0:18:33.240 --> 0:18:35.879 or on a first quarter play in the game on Sunday. 0:18:35.880 --> 0:18:39.200 Screen passes in the NFL or football in general are 0:18:39.200 --> 0:18:41.880 said to be defensive ends plays. It measures their motors 0:18:42.119 --> 0:18:44.760 to get up the field, chase the quarterback, only to 0:18:44.920 --> 0:18:48.160 retrace back outside and then flag down the receiver. Now 0:18:48.200 --> 0:18:52.240 on this um, wasn't Calvin Ridley, was Russell gauge reception. 0:18:52.560 --> 0:18:56.679 Wilkins retraces outside, then retraces back inside and helps finish 0:18:56.720 --> 0:18:59.119 off the ball carrier by landing on the pile there 0:18:59.160 --> 0:19:01.080 after the fact or you know, as he's going down 0:19:01.119 --> 0:19:03.520 he puts the last hit there on Russell gauge, and 0:19:03.560 --> 0:19:06.400 I say defense events to make a point that it's 0:19:06.400 --> 0:19:08.520 even more impressive when a defensive tackle does it. So 0:19:08.600 --> 0:19:10.400 Christian to get out there and do that. I put 0:19:10.440 --> 0:19:12.360 the video up on Twitter, so go check it out 0:19:12.520 --> 0:19:15.119 if you haven't seen it already. But just fantastic hustle, effort, 0:19:15.520 --> 0:19:18.200 effort play there from Christian Wilkins, which has always been there, 0:19:18.240 --> 0:19:21.040 but so too. Now are the counting stats. He has 0:19:21.040 --> 0:19:23.600 two secs, He has six QB hits, He has four 0:19:23.600 --> 0:19:26.600 tackles for loss and thirty three total tackles, which pro 0:19:26.760 --> 0:19:29.960