1 00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:05,280 Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast Podcast. Pot all right, 2 00:00:05,280 --> 00:00:05,920 Speaker 1: here we go. 3 00:00:10,960 --> 00:00:14,760 Speaker 2: Fifteen hony, twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty forty five 4 00:00:14,800 --> 00:00:21,040 Speaker 2: fifty and the chickis block. Look call it football over stunder. 5 00:00:22,200 --> 00:00:27,760 Speaker 1: God, Oh my goodness, he stumbled and football the lateral 6 00:00:28,840 --> 00:00:29,800 Speaker 1: turn a canter on. 7 00:00:29,840 --> 00:00:35,440 Speaker 2: The exide, get you the lad table off the field 8 00:00:35,520 --> 00:00:35,919 Speaker 2: to night. 9 00:00:39,520 --> 00:00:43,239 Speaker 1: It's not the sage of the dog in the fighting, it's. 10 00:00:43,040 --> 00:00:45,000 Speaker 3: The sage of the fight in the roll. 11 00:00:48,080 --> 00:00:50,560 Speaker 2: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets 12 00:00:50,600 --> 00:00:55,320 Speaker 2: on Campus Podcast presented by Bett MGM. This is the 13 00:00:55,520 --> 00:01:01,440 Speaker 2: SEC East Betting Preview. I'm stucky enjoining me as Colin 14 00:01:01,480 --> 00:01:06,280 Speaker 2: Wilson live from lovely Las Vegas. Colin, you ready to 15 00:01:06,319 --> 00:01:12,400 Speaker 2: talk some Billy Napier and Cats Kentucky football and of 16 00:01:12,480 --> 00:01:13,600 Speaker 2: course the rating champs. 17 00:01:13,959 --> 00:01:16,640 Speaker 1: Isn't it great that Anthony Rigerdson is no longer with 18 00:01:16,800 --> 00:01:19,319 Speaker 1: Florida so I don't have to worry about these backdoor covers. 19 00:01:19,360 --> 00:01:21,200 Speaker 1: I don't have to worry about this tempo with two 20 00:01:21,200 --> 00:01:23,360 Speaker 1: minutes left, Like, I don't think there was a perfect 21 00:01:23,360 --> 00:01:26,600 Speaker 1: marriage for Billy Napier more than having Anthony regards and 22 00:01:26,640 --> 00:01:28,920 Speaker 1: at quarterback, just to run totals up at the end 23 00:01:28,920 --> 00:01:32,200 Speaker 1: of the game. So we're going to see how Napier 24 00:01:32,200 --> 00:01:34,280 Speaker 1: handles Florida here in this division when he doesn't have 25 00:01:34,319 --> 00:01:38,080 Speaker 1: a you know, Graham Merz to Anthony Rigerdson, whoof scared. 26 00:01:37,840 --> 00:01:38,800 Speaker 2: Money, don't make money. 27 00:01:39,760 --> 00:01:41,240 Speaker 1: Scared money, don't make money. 28 00:01:41,319 --> 00:01:43,399 Speaker 2: You know. Well, this will be the first of two 29 00:01:43,480 --> 00:01:47,800 Speaker 2: episodes covering the SEC. We'll do the SEC West next. 30 00:01:47,800 --> 00:01:51,520 Speaker 2: So let me kind of lay the land for the SEC, 31 00:01:51,640 --> 00:01:57,640 Speaker 2: which is obviously dominated the college football landscape over the 32 00:01:57,680 --> 00:02:00,560 Speaker 2: past couple of years, with Georgia winning the past two 33 00:02:00,680 --> 00:02:05,559 Speaker 2: national championships, buying to become the first team to three 34 00:02:05,600 --> 00:02:08,760 Speaker 2: peat since the thirties, I believe it or not, Minnesota 35 00:02:08,760 --> 00:02:12,480 Speaker 2: did it in the pre ap whole era. There are 36 00:02:12,600 --> 00:02:18,480 Speaker 2: two new head coaches we have at Mississippi State, alrightp 37 00:02:18,639 --> 00:02:22,280 Speaker 2: Mike Leach and then of course the Hugh Freezer begins 38 00:02:23,480 --> 00:02:26,800 Speaker 2: Stretcher and all has made it to Auburn. Nine new 39 00:02:26,840 --> 00:02:31,760 Speaker 2: offensive coordinators, six new defensive coordinators, lots of QB change. 40 00:02:31,800 --> 00:02:36,000 Speaker 2: I mean, you had young Bennett Levis, Richardson Hooker all 41 00:02:36,040 --> 00:02:40,400 Speaker 2: go to the NFL. You could have what seven eight 42 00:02:40,600 --> 00:02:41,960 Speaker 2: nine new quarterbacks? 43 00:02:42,160 --> 00:02:45,160 Speaker 1: Well technical too, right. I mean he didn't play as 44 00:02:45,240 --> 00:02:46,919 Speaker 1: much as you consider him new, but he still was 45 00:02:46,919 --> 00:02:49,160 Speaker 1: a freshman. He should be completely improved, right, I mean 46 00:02:49,200 --> 00:02:52,000 Speaker 1: this is this division's brand new Yeah. 47 00:02:52,080 --> 00:02:58,200 Speaker 2: Overall in the SEC QB battles, but Alabama, Auburn, Florida, 48 00:02:59,080 --> 00:03:01,840 Speaker 2: I mean, some of these have very likely startist But 49 00:03:01,919 --> 00:03:04,360 Speaker 2: Georgia Missourial Miss you could say so a lot of 50 00:03:04,400 --> 00:03:07,880 Speaker 2: quarterback turnover. The only two teams it looks like have 51 00:03:07,960 --> 00:03:11,880 Speaker 2: the same head coach, offensive coordinator, defense coordinator, quarterback from 52 00:03:11,919 --> 00:03:13,959 Speaker 2: the end of last year. I think it is Vandy 53 00:03:13,960 --> 00:03:18,360 Speaker 2: and LSU. That's kind of the overarching view of the SEC. 54 00:03:18,400 --> 00:03:19,919 Speaker 2: We're going to focus on the SC East and the 55 00:03:19,960 --> 00:03:21,720 Speaker 2: next podcast will focus on the SC West. 56 00:03:24,040 --> 00:03:27,079 Speaker 3: Hey, guys, sorry to interrupt. This is producer Matt Mitchell 57 00:03:27,160 --> 00:03:30,600 Speaker 3: with a very special message from our own Brett McMurphy. 58 00:03:31,120 --> 00:03:32,919 Speaker 1: Hey, it's me Brett McMurphy. 59 00:03:33,280 --> 00:03:36,520 Speaker 4: I'm taking a brief pause from breaking college realignment news 60 00:03:36,560 --> 00:03:39,120 Speaker 4: to tell you about Action Network's new game, What's it 61 00:03:39,160 --> 00:03:42,800 Speaker 4: called McMurphy's Coach Match. I asked all one hundred and 62 00:03:42,840 --> 00:03:45,800 Speaker 4: thirty three college football head coaches to name their favorite 63 00:03:45,880 --> 00:03:49,200 Speaker 4: musical artists instead of just listening the answers. We've got 64 00:03:49,200 --> 00:03:51,240 Speaker 4: a cool game where you try to match the coach 65 00:03:51,360 --> 00:03:54,320 Speaker 4: to his musical artist. So how can you play one? 66 00:03:54,680 --> 00:03:57,480 Speaker 4: Go to the CFB section of the Action Network app, 67 00:03:57,760 --> 00:04:01,960 Speaker 4: or go to Actionnetwork dot com McMurphy Coach Match, or 68 00:04:02,120 --> 00:04:05,320 Speaker 4: follow me on Twitter at Brett Underscore McMurphy. I will 69 00:04:05,320 --> 00:04:08,080 Speaker 4: tweet out a new edition every day at nine am 70 00:04:08,160 --> 00:04:12,040 Speaker 4: Eastern Time through August twenty sixth. Our staff will even 71 00:04:12,040 --> 00:04:15,200 Speaker 4: pick some winners on Twitter so they can win daily prizes. 72 00:04:15,320 --> 00:04:18,000 Speaker 4: So be sure to play along. Don't be like Washington 73 00:04:18,000 --> 00:04:20,800 Speaker 4: State and Oregon State and get left behind. Oh sorry, 74 00:04:20,800 --> 00:04:24,279 Speaker 4: too soon, Cougar and Beaver fans that name one more time. 75 00:04:24,720 --> 00:04:27,600 Speaker 4: McMurphy Coach Match back to you, guys. 76 00:04:28,880 --> 00:04:33,800 Speaker 2: Let's dive right into it. Georgia is obviously the overwhelming 77 00:04:33,839 --> 00:04:37,400 Speaker 2: favorite here. They are minus one ten to win the 78 00:04:37,560 --> 00:04:43,039 Speaker 2: entire SEC, minus five hundred to win the division win 79 00:04:43,120 --> 00:04:47,360 Speaker 2: total set over eleven and a half plus one point fifteen. 80 00:04:48,320 --> 00:04:50,799 Speaker 2: So you want to go against Georgia, you're basically betting 81 00:04:51,320 --> 00:04:56,160 Speaker 2: will they lose a game? Their schedule is pretty damn easy. 82 00:04:56,400 --> 00:04:59,440 Speaker 2: They draw at Auburn and Ole Miss from the SEC 83 00:04:59,520 --> 00:05:03,080 Speaker 2: West and they should be double digit favorites or close 84 00:05:03,160 --> 00:05:06,839 Speaker 2: to in every game. They'll get tested towards the end 85 00:05:06,880 --> 00:05:09,919 Speaker 2: of the year, really tested at Tennessee depending on what 86 00:05:09,960 --> 00:05:13,080 Speaker 2: you think of the Vols. But the schedule is very 87 00:05:13,200 --> 00:05:16,960 Speaker 2: favorable for a two time defending champ. They did lose 88 00:05:17,000 --> 00:05:19,479 Speaker 2: ten players to the NFL, not as many as they 89 00:05:19,520 --> 00:05:23,600 Speaker 2: did last year when they lost fifteen. You're going to 90 00:05:23,680 --> 00:05:29,320 Speaker 2: have a new quarterback, likely Carson Beck, who has some backup, 91 00:05:29,400 --> 00:05:32,800 Speaker 2: who has some experiences to backup over Stetson Bennett, and 92 00:05:32,839 --> 00:05:35,920 Speaker 2: maybe more importantly of a new offensive coordinator coming in 93 00:05:35,920 --> 00:05:40,960 Speaker 2: in Mike Bobo, who takes over for a man who 94 00:05:41,240 --> 00:05:45,720 Speaker 2: was very, very highly respected and is now on my 95 00:05:45,920 --> 00:05:49,920 Speaker 2: Baltimore Ravens calling plays for Lamar Jackson. So that's one 96 00:05:50,000 --> 00:05:53,560 Speaker 2: I think the biggest question. It's offensive coordinator, new quarterback, 97 00:05:53,600 --> 00:05:56,480 Speaker 2: and then I guess, in a way, are you satisfied 98 00:05:56,800 --> 00:05:59,440 Speaker 2: are their distractions right? Especially with an easy schedule. I 99 00:05:59,440 --> 00:06:01,200 Speaker 2: think that leads into it like, hey, we won it 100 00:06:01,279 --> 00:06:03,200 Speaker 2: twice a round, we know how good we are. If 101 00:06:03,240 --> 00:06:07,320 Speaker 2: it was a loaded schedule, maybe that breeds focus. So 102 00:06:07,480 --> 00:06:10,000 Speaker 2: what do you think about this Georgia team? Obviously one 103 00:06:10,040 --> 00:06:13,320 Speaker 2: of the best in the country. The national title favorites 104 00:06:13,560 --> 00:06:15,960 Speaker 2: as well a little over two to one. But do 105 00:06:16,000 --> 00:06:18,880 Speaker 2: you have questions about losing Todd Monkin? Obviously lose Stetson 106 00:06:18,880 --> 00:06:21,479 Speaker 2: Bennett and lose some important defensive pieces. But this is 107 00:06:21,480 --> 00:06:23,720 Speaker 2: a team that's at at a place where they're they're 108 00:06:23,760 --> 00:06:26,640 Speaker 2: going to reload with five stars across the board as 109 00:06:26,680 --> 00:06:30,560 Speaker 2: we saw last year. What are your thoughts on the Dogs? 110 00:06:31,279 --> 00:06:35,240 Speaker 1: The man still sitting in the head coaching chair might 111 00:06:35,320 --> 00:06:37,000 Speaker 1: be the best in the nation. I say that with 112 00:06:37,080 --> 00:06:39,119 Speaker 1: respect to Nick Saby, because if Nick Saban wasn't around, 113 00:06:39,120 --> 00:06:43,880 Speaker 1: he would be the best. Kirby Smart's speech about the 114 00:06:43,920 --> 00:06:46,880 Speaker 1: cost of leadership, you guys can go google it. It's 115 00:06:46,920 --> 00:06:49,320 Speaker 1: one of the best. I wanted to stand up and 116 00:06:49,480 --> 00:06:51,839 Speaker 1: run through a wall. Now I know why these players 117 00:06:52,440 --> 00:06:53,880 Speaker 1: play so hard for him. 118 00:06:54,360 --> 00:06:59,560 Speaker 3: You can't ignore the cost of leadership. Great leaders are 119 00:06:59,600 --> 00:07:02,760 Speaker 3: willing to accept those costs. Number one, you will have 120 00:07:02,839 --> 00:07:07,159 Speaker 3: to make hard decisions that negatively affect people you care about. 121 00:07:07,880 --> 00:07:11,480 Speaker 3: Number two, you will be disliked despite your best attempts 122 00:07:11,640 --> 00:07:14,720 Speaker 3: to do the best for the most. And number three, 123 00:07:14,960 --> 00:07:18,760 Speaker 3: you will be misunderstood and won't always have the opportunity 124 00:07:18,800 --> 00:07:19,640 Speaker 3: to defend yourself. 125 00:07:19,880 --> 00:07:21,680 Speaker 1: You know, when he was a defensive coordinator Alabama, I 126 00:07:21,680 --> 00:07:24,880 Speaker 1: didn't know that he was this great of a motivational speaker. 127 00:07:25,200 --> 00:07:27,520 Speaker 1: And so what you say is is it doesn't matter 128 00:07:27,520 --> 00:07:29,600 Speaker 1: who the schedule is, he's going to convince his team 129 00:07:29,680 --> 00:07:33,560 Speaker 1: that they're underdogs and that no one respects them and 130 00:07:33,600 --> 00:07:36,600 Speaker 1: that hey, we've won two and everybody hates us. I 131 00:07:36,600 --> 00:07:38,040 Speaker 1: think what we have to look for on the schedule 132 00:07:38,080 --> 00:07:41,600 Speaker 1: and we can't determine it now that Jefferson pilot eleven 133 00:07:41,640 --> 00:07:44,280 Speaker 1: AM central spot is going to come. Do we know 134 00:07:44,280 --> 00:07:45,800 Speaker 1: if it's going to be Missouri? Do we know if 135 00:07:45,800 --> 00:07:48,560 Speaker 1: it's going to be Old Miss We don't know. But 136 00:07:48,680 --> 00:07:51,240 Speaker 1: when that spot comes, it's a dead spot on the schedule, 137 00:07:51,400 --> 00:07:53,640 Speaker 1: and you know that is a spot where you would 138 00:07:53,640 --> 00:07:58,440 Speaker 1: want to take a spread against Georgia. But as far 139 00:07:58,520 --> 00:08:01,680 Speaker 1: as a win total goes, only Auburn and Old Miss 140 00:08:01,720 --> 00:08:05,360 Speaker 1: and my projections are within two touchdowns as underdogs, of 141 00:08:05,400 --> 00:08:07,960 Speaker 1: course Georgia's favorite every game. I only have Auburn and 142 00:08:08,000 --> 00:08:11,760 Speaker 1: Old Miss favored within two tds. So to say over 143 00:08:11,760 --> 00:08:14,120 Speaker 1: eleven and a half plus one point fifteen has value 144 00:08:14,160 --> 00:08:19,080 Speaker 1: it mathematically? It does? Are there cracks that worry me, right, 145 00:08:19,120 --> 00:08:23,000 Speaker 1: I look at coordinators Mike Bobo, you know, Colorado, State, Georgia, everywhere. 146 00:08:23,040 --> 00:08:24,960 Speaker 1: You and I have been betting Mike Bobo for years. 147 00:08:25,840 --> 00:08:28,880 Speaker 1: We know what his offense is and where there are flaws. 148 00:08:28,960 --> 00:08:31,840 Speaker 1: But they've said, this is still Monkin's offense. We are 149 00:08:31,840 --> 00:08:35,280 Speaker 1: not veering away. We are Georgia. We promote from within. 150 00:08:35,800 --> 00:08:38,040 Speaker 1: This system is for the players, and the coaches have 151 00:08:38,080 --> 00:08:40,040 Speaker 1: to adapt to that. So you're still going to get 152 00:08:40,040 --> 00:08:45,120 Speaker 1: read option, pistol, shotgun, inside zone, counter twelve. Brock Bauers 153 00:08:45,160 --> 00:08:46,880 Speaker 1: is going to be a Heisman candidate. I don't think 154 00:08:46,920 --> 00:08:48,640 Speaker 1: the tight end can ever win the Heisman. I think 155 00:08:48,679 --> 00:08:51,840 Speaker 1: brock Bauers, you know, without Darnell Washington, has a better 156 00:08:51,920 --> 00:08:54,560 Speaker 1: chance to shine from a target's perspective, you know, and 157 00:08:54,600 --> 00:08:57,040 Speaker 1: then love it transferring dominic love it turns it in 158 00:08:57,080 --> 00:08:59,959 Speaker 1: from Missouri, We'll get to Missouri two point nine four 159 00:09:00,240 --> 00:09:02,520 Speaker 1: yards per route run. That is one of the most 160 00:09:02,559 --> 00:09:06,240 Speaker 1: explosive numbers in all of college football. I don't know 161 00:09:06,280 --> 00:09:08,720 Speaker 1: how to find a crack and this team stuck. The 162 00:09:08,720 --> 00:09:10,280 Speaker 1: only way to play these guys, if you're ever going 163 00:09:10,320 --> 00:09:12,080 Speaker 1: to fade them and doubt them, is to find that 164 00:09:12,200 --> 00:09:15,200 Speaker 1: Jefferson Pilot spot at eleven am. Other than that they're 165 00:09:15,200 --> 00:09:17,880 Speaker 1: going to the SEC Championship game. The gap between them 166 00:09:17,960 --> 00:09:20,120 Speaker 1: and the rest of the teams in this league is 167 00:09:20,200 --> 00:09:23,280 Speaker 1: so large. The future bet is going to be on Georgia. 168 00:09:23,320 --> 00:09:24,280 Speaker 1: At the end of this podcast. 169 00:09:25,200 --> 00:09:30,640 Speaker 2: Well, I'm going to disagree, and I'm going to say 170 00:09:30,920 --> 00:09:35,080 Speaker 2: that Georgia does get to the SEC Championship game, but 171 00:09:35,920 --> 00:09:37,760 Speaker 2: I'm going to say that Georgia does lose a game. 172 00:09:38,640 --> 00:09:43,080 Speaker 2: Is This is reminiscent of my bet in twenty twenty 173 00:09:43,120 --> 00:09:46,640 Speaker 2: one when I went under eleven and a half on Alabama, 174 00:09:47,080 --> 00:09:49,719 Speaker 2: who still made it to the Best Seat Championship and 175 00:09:49,720 --> 00:09:52,160 Speaker 2: then they made it to the National Championship game where 176 00:09:52,160 --> 00:09:54,480 Speaker 2: they lost to Georgia. I went under eleven and a 177 00:09:54,480 --> 00:09:57,160 Speaker 2: half on that Alabama team, the defending national champs. They 178 00:09:57,240 --> 00:10:00,160 Speaker 2: ended up losing his three touchdown favorites at Tech to 179 00:10:00,200 --> 00:10:01,920 Speaker 2: saying that not the game I had circle that they 180 00:10:01,920 --> 00:10:02,600 Speaker 2: were going to lose. 181 00:10:03,160 --> 00:10:03,920 Speaker 1: Are you kidding me? 182 00:10:04,160 --> 00:10:04,679 Speaker 4: Who? Kids? 183 00:10:05,440 --> 00:10:05,680 Speaker 3: We have. 184 00:10:07,520 --> 00:10:11,000 Speaker 2: Up? But I have similar vibes this. Obviously it's my 185 00:10:11,200 --> 00:10:13,199 Speaker 2: number one power of the team, But there there are 186 00:10:13,240 --> 00:10:15,000 Speaker 2: some holes and I don't think that the more I 187 00:10:15,040 --> 00:10:16,800 Speaker 2: love Todd munkin. I think there is going to be 188 00:10:16,800 --> 00:10:19,480 Speaker 2: a slight drop off, but you know, you lose both tackles, 189 00:10:19,480 --> 00:10:21,240 Speaker 2: and I don't think sets and Betett again is getting 190 00:10:21,320 --> 00:10:24,880 Speaker 2: enough respect, Like we're just like, oh, it's okay, who cares. 191 00:10:24,880 --> 00:10:27,600 Speaker 1: You're on now you're you're no. 192 00:10:27,679 --> 00:10:30,600 Speaker 2: I mean, I look, I came around on sets of better. 193 00:10:30,679 --> 00:10:33,240 Speaker 2: What he did was absolutely incredible, and we just think that, 194 00:10:33,480 --> 00:10:35,520 Speaker 2: you know, Carson Beck or you know, if it's not, 195 00:10:35,640 --> 00:10:38,440 Speaker 2: I'm almost positive he's going to be back. It's just 196 00:10:38,440 --> 00:10:40,720 Speaker 2: going to come in and it's gonna be plug and play. 197 00:10:40,760 --> 00:10:42,440 Speaker 2: I look, the offense is still gonna be really good, 198 00:10:43,320 --> 00:10:47,480 Speaker 2: and I do think love it is a huge gets there. 199 00:10:47,640 --> 00:10:48,839 Speaker 1: Kendall Milton is still there. 200 00:10:48,840 --> 00:10:51,319 Speaker 2: There's look it's gonna be I'm not saying it's it's 201 00:10:51,360 --> 00:10:54,559 Speaker 2: my number one team, like when we're we're nitpicking here 202 00:10:54,559 --> 00:10:58,400 Speaker 2: when we're talking about falls, I just think there's there's 203 00:10:58,400 --> 00:11:00,680 Speaker 2: a couple of questions, Like you know, in the secondary, 204 00:11:00,679 --> 00:11:02,680 Speaker 2: they lose their two best I think the defensive line 205 00:11:02,840 --> 00:11:04,840 Speaker 2: could take us tiny we're talking about tiny stuffs back. 206 00:11:05,000 --> 00:11:07,120 Speaker 2: You're just reloading with five stars. Some of the things 207 00:11:07,120 --> 00:11:09,160 Speaker 2: that are gone on the offseason. I think are overblown. 208 00:11:09,280 --> 00:11:11,760 Speaker 2: But this team, looking at their schedule, they've won back 209 00:11:11,800 --> 00:11:14,600 Speaker 2: to back titles, Like I can see them. It's still 210 00:11:14,640 --> 00:11:17,560 Speaker 2: the sec Like going to Auburn is still an incredibly 211 00:11:17,600 --> 00:11:20,920 Speaker 2: hard place to play at Tennessee still an incredibly hard 212 00:11:20,920 --> 00:11:24,240 Speaker 2: place to play. Oh Miss won't roll over, and it's 213 00:11:24,320 --> 00:11:25,520 Speaker 2: it's hard to be like this is going to be 214 00:11:25,559 --> 00:11:27,520 Speaker 2: the one, but I think there's gonna be one. Well 215 00:11:27,600 --> 00:11:29,480 Speaker 2: more of a fun bet. Yeah, so I'm going under 216 00:11:29,520 --> 00:11:33,200 Speaker 2: eleven and a half. I show the tiniest bit of 217 00:11:33,280 --> 00:11:34,920 Speaker 2: value before we pivot off. 218 00:11:34,920 --> 00:11:36,959 Speaker 1: Georgia. How many speeding tickets did you get between the 219 00:11:37,000 --> 00:11:38,240 Speaker 1: ages of eighteen to twenty two? 220 00:11:40,000 --> 00:11:43,840 Speaker 2: So, like all my arrests were under eighteen for drinking alive, 221 00:11:43,960 --> 00:11:47,200 Speaker 2: a lot of speeding tickets under eighteen. I think I 222 00:11:47,240 --> 00:11:50,280 Speaker 2: only had and I've had nothing since twenty one. I 223 00:11:50,280 --> 00:11:53,600 Speaker 2: think I've only had three three speeding tickets beween, eighteen, 224 00:11:53,600 --> 00:11:54,080 Speaker 2: and twenty one. 225 00:11:54,520 --> 00:11:56,880 Speaker 1: Yeah, well that's not good enough to be on Georgia's squad. 226 00:11:57,120 --> 00:11:58,720 Speaker 1: No a couple more and we'll see. 227 00:11:58,800 --> 00:12:04,080 Speaker 2: I had a police scanner in my car when I 228 00:12:04,200 --> 00:12:09,599 Speaker 2: was younger, So all right, let's uh Georgia. Yeah, so 229 00:12:09,640 --> 00:12:11,839 Speaker 2: I'm going under the fun bet hoping. It's like, I 230 00:12:11,880 --> 00:12:13,640 Speaker 2: do think they're gonna get back to the SEC title, 231 00:12:14,120 --> 00:12:17,400 Speaker 2: and I also think that like in a way, you know, 232 00:12:17,440 --> 00:12:20,319 Speaker 2: obviously we're going to gather data because their schedule is 233 00:12:20,760 --> 00:12:26,480 Speaker 2: so favorable, We're still gonna have some questions about how 234 00:12:26,520 --> 00:12:29,360 Speaker 2: dominant this team is going into the College Wable playoff 235 00:12:29,440 --> 00:12:33,400 Speaker 2: right because of the lack of data points against elite competition, 236 00:12:34,600 --> 00:12:36,520 Speaker 2: I should say prior to like the SEC, especially before 237 00:12:36,559 --> 00:12:39,800 Speaker 2: the SEC Championship game if they presumably get there, so 238 00:12:40,200 --> 00:12:41,960 Speaker 2: you know, if there is a big drop off between 239 00:12:41,960 --> 00:12:45,640 Speaker 2: Bennett and Beck or like some of these defensive losses 240 00:12:45,720 --> 00:12:47,880 Speaker 2: up front, like they reloaded lest year, everything was fine, 241 00:12:48,040 --> 00:12:50,120 Speaker 2: we might not be able to tell if there is 242 00:12:50,200 --> 00:12:52,920 Speaker 2: until they get into, you know, the SEC championship game, 243 00:12:52,920 --> 00:12:55,560 Speaker 2: and then maybe not even until the College Wall playoffs. 244 00:12:55,559 --> 00:13:01,319 Speaker 2: So the scheduling gods, definitely we're on Kirby's side this year. 245 00:13:01,600 --> 00:13:05,440 Speaker 2: As Georgia. Yeah, I mean what they they get to 246 00:13:05,520 --> 00:13:09,680 Speaker 2: avoid avoid Bama and LSU from the West, Vandy and Auburn. 247 00:13:09,720 --> 00:13:14,080 Speaker 2: They're only road games before November eighteenth. Moving on in 248 00:13:14,120 --> 00:13:17,679 Speaker 2: the SEC East. 249 00:13:19,800 --> 00:13:21,480 Speaker 1: Wish I was a. 250 00:13:23,679 --> 00:13:25,359 Speaker 3: Tennessee. 251 00:13:25,400 --> 00:13:29,000 Speaker 2: Tennessee is the second favorite in the division of plus 252 00:13:29,040 --> 00:13:32,600 Speaker 2: five point fifty. They're fourteen to one to win the conference. 253 00:13:32,679 --> 00:13:34,079 Speaker 2: Last year I had them fourteen to win to win 254 00:13:34,080 --> 00:13:37,000 Speaker 2: the division. I still love that bet, and now they're 255 00:13:37,000 --> 00:13:38,480 Speaker 2: fourteen to win to win the conference. On the team 256 00:13:38,480 --> 00:13:42,440 Speaker 2: that I think is worst, they get Alabama and Texas 257 00:13:42,440 --> 00:13:46,440 Speaker 2: A and M from the SEC West. The good thing 258 00:13:46,960 --> 00:13:49,920 Speaker 2: if you're a Volves fan look at their schedule. The 259 00:13:50,040 --> 00:13:53,839 Speaker 2: top three teams or Georgia, Tennessee, and South Conlina the division. 260 00:13:53,840 --> 00:13:57,079 Speaker 2: As far as odds are concerned, Tennessee will get to 261 00:13:57,200 --> 00:14:01,679 Speaker 2: host Georgia and South Carolin. Their win total at thatt 262 00:14:01,800 --> 00:14:05,520 Speaker 2: MGM is set at over nine minus one zho five. 263 00:14:06,480 --> 00:14:09,400 Speaker 2: They lose a lot of talent on the offensive side 264 00:14:09,440 --> 00:14:11,600 Speaker 2: of the ball, and they lose a coordinator as well, 265 00:14:11,840 --> 00:14:14,640 Speaker 2: although they're staying in the house for that position. But 266 00:14:14,760 --> 00:14:17,240 Speaker 2: the question really with Tennessee is look and I think 267 00:14:17,280 --> 00:14:20,600 Speaker 2: the defense was improved last year. I like their defensive 268 00:14:20,640 --> 00:14:24,320 Speaker 2: coordinator Banks, but I think that their defense has probably 269 00:14:24,360 --> 00:14:27,600 Speaker 2: reached its peak as far as what the talent level 270 00:14:27,680 --> 00:14:29,840 Speaker 2: is as far as last year. Like you saw them 271 00:14:30,040 --> 00:14:33,480 Speaker 2: take a leap. I like his aggression, his play calling, 272 00:14:33,520 --> 00:14:35,120 Speaker 2: but as far as when you look at the actual 273 00:14:35,840 --> 00:14:39,600 Speaker 2: roster and the who's who, I don't see a ton 274 00:14:39,640 --> 00:14:46,360 Speaker 2: of room for upside there. There's also potential regression across 275 00:14:46,400 --> 00:14:49,120 Speaker 2: the board on defense, Like in the red zone there 276 00:14:49,120 --> 00:14:51,480 Speaker 2: were three to ZHO one possession games. They were really 277 00:14:51,520 --> 00:14:54,280 Speaker 2: good in the turnover department, which Joe Milton might not 278 00:14:54,360 --> 00:14:59,440 Speaker 2: help with. So you do lose, you know, an incredible tackle, 279 00:15:00,200 --> 00:15:03,680 Speaker 2: two incredible wide receivers, and then your quarterback to the 280 00:15:03,760 --> 00:15:07,520 Speaker 2: NFL in handed hooker Joe Milton, who looked great in 281 00:15:07,560 --> 00:15:10,400 Speaker 2: the bowl game. How much can you really take from that? 282 00:15:10,480 --> 00:15:16,360 Speaker 2: I'm not sure. I'm not a Joe Milton believer, so 283 00:15:16,440 --> 00:15:20,000 Speaker 2: I think this team's gonna take a step back. He 284 00:15:20,120 --> 00:15:22,760 Speaker 2: Joe Milton has incredible upside. There's gonna be ups and downs, 285 00:15:22,800 --> 00:15:25,160 Speaker 2: but he's gonna make too many turnover worthy throws. It's 286 00:15:25,240 --> 00:15:28,880 Speaker 2: just too inconsistent of exacuracy in my opinion. So we'll 287 00:15:28,880 --> 00:15:33,120 Speaker 2: see what this Tennessee team looks like this year. Colin, 288 00:15:33,160 --> 00:15:37,760 Speaker 2: what are you seeing on your sometimes beloved bolves? Who's 289 00:15:37,760 --> 00:15:38,400 Speaker 2: Who's in your dog? 290 00:15:38,440 --> 00:15:38,720 Speaker 1: Who are you? 291 00:15:38,720 --> 00:15:40,560 Speaker 2: Who are you in the doghouts of? After last year? 292 00:15:40,560 --> 00:15:42,240 Speaker 2: As far as fan base, as Tennessee fans hate you 293 00:15:42,320 --> 00:15:42,680 Speaker 2: right now. 294 00:15:43,320 --> 00:15:46,000 Speaker 1: Tennessee fans always hate me. South Carolina fans hate me. 295 00:15:46,520 --> 00:15:48,560 Speaker 1: I believe the LSU fans love me. 296 00:15:50,040 --> 00:15:52,760 Speaker 2: Oh the LSC fans used to hate you. Click yeah 297 00:15:52,800 --> 00:15:55,760 Speaker 2: three four years ago. See it's all all comple comes around, 298 00:15:55,800 --> 00:15:58,720 Speaker 2: goes around, so comes full circle. But yeah, I have 299 00:15:58,760 --> 00:16:00,360 Speaker 2: a feeling the LSU fans are gonna love you, but 300 00:16:00,440 --> 00:16:04,080 Speaker 2: more after we did the SEC West, but SEC East 301 00:16:04,120 --> 00:16:06,800 Speaker 2: Tennessee over nine minus one oh five fourteen to one 302 00:16:07,120 --> 00:16:08,360 Speaker 2: to win the SEC. What do you see here? 303 00:16:08,600 --> 00:16:10,840 Speaker 1: Well, first off, as we get into Tennessee, I hate 304 00:16:10,840 --> 00:16:12,400 Speaker 1: their baseball coach Tony Vittello. 305 00:16:14,240 --> 00:16:16,160 Speaker 2: Then when another there was odds that you had mentioned them. 306 00:16:16,280 --> 00:16:18,960 Speaker 1: So yeah, well cash it because you didn't win a 307 00:16:19,000 --> 00:16:21,120 Speaker 1: national championship, buddy, But you are welcome to come take 308 00:16:21,160 --> 00:16:24,040 Speaker 1: the job at Arkansas whenever you know. 309 00:16:24,400 --> 00:16:27,680 Speaker 2: All right, so has arkansa one A college baseball national championship. 310 00:16:29,560 --> 00:16:32,360 Speaker 1: Moving on to Oregon State. So what we need to 311 00:16:32,400 --> 00:16:33,960 Speaker 1: talk about here is Joe Milton and the fact that 312 00:16:34,000 --> 00:16:36,240 Speaker 1: he's not Hendon Hooker, and Hendon Hooker was a perfect 313 00:16:36,280 --> 00:16:41,000 Speaker 1: fit for Josh Hipel's wide split spread that offense they 314 00:16:41,080 --> 00:16:44,520 Speaker 1: ran last year was ran to perfection. Jalen Hyatt. Hyatt 315 00:16:44,560 --> 00:16:47,480 Speaker 1: was one of the most explosive wide receivers the route 316 00:16:47,560 --> 00:16:50,520 Speaker 1: running and it's a it's really hard to describe, like 317 00:16:50,560 --> 00:16:53,000 Speaker 1: if you're not familiar with how offensive play calling works. 318 00:16:53,680 --> 00:16:56,640 Speaker 1: It's more of an RPO on wide receivers. They get 319 00:16:56,680 --> 00:16:58,280 Speaker 1: to make a decision on the route tree where they 320 00:16:58,360 --> 00:17:00,960 Speaker 1: go after the snap, which is a huge advantage for 321 00:17:01,040 --> 00:17:04,359 Speaker 1: Josh Hypel. Now I have problems with the quarterback position, 322 00:17:04,480 --> 00:17:07,199 Speaker 1: which is Joe Milton. He's not Hendon Hooker. And let 323 00:17:07,240 --> 00:17:09,000 Speaker 1: me start off with the fact that he doesn't have 324 00:17:09,160 --> 00:17:12,800 Speaker 1: the accuracy whatsoever. He has never had the accuracy. Maybe 325 00:17:12,880 --> 00:17:15,720 Speaker 1: that's changed. We'll see it can change, all right, These 326 00:17:15,800 --> 00:17:18,679 Speaker 1: kids do progress. I do remember Josh Allen coming through 327 00:17:18,720 --> 00:17:22,480 Speaker 1: Wyoming and everybody's saying, kid can throw eighty yards, can't 328 00:17:22,520 --> 00:17:25,200 Speaker 1: hit a broadside of a barn. That's Joe Milton. The 329 00:17:25,359 --> 00:17:28,760 Speaker 1: difference is that Josh Allen could run. You say, well, 330 00:17:28,840 --> 00:17:32,080 Speaker 1: Joe Milton can run. No, we can't. Eight career mistackles 331 00:17:32,119 --> 00:17:35,960 Speaker 1: forced he's only created eight. I mean, he's not getting 332 00:17:36,000 --> 00:17:38,760 Speaker 1: out of the way of anybody. And then there's another 333 00:17:38,840 --> 00:17:41,480 Speaker 1: thing that bothers me, you get past the quarterback position 334 00:17:41,600 --> 00:17:44,000 Speaker 1: that I think that Milton cannot run at the offense 335 00:17:44,200 --> 00:17:46,520 Speaker 1: because it's a timing offense. If you're a wide receiver, 336 00:17:46,600 --> 00:17:49,160 Speaker 1: you close your eyes, you go ten steps, you turn around, 337 00:17:49,160 --> 00:17:51,159 Speaker 1: the balls in your face. It's a timing offense. And 338 00:17:51,200 --> 00:17:53,239 Speaker 1: that's why Georgia was able to stick it to him 339 00:17:53,280 --> 00:17:55,440 Speaker 1: because they jammed him at the line of scrimmage. So 340 00:17:55,600 --> 00:17:58,359 Speaker 1: I have problems with Milton in a timing offense. Let's 341 00:17:58,400 --> 00:18:02,359 Speaker 1: move off a quarterback position. Last year, Tennessee was one 342 00:18:02,440 --> 00:18:04,800 Speaker 1: hundred and twenty fourth in penalties. I get it, you 343 00:18:04,880 --> 00:18:07,720 Speaker 1: want to be aggressive, but the team was not disciplined whatsoever. 344 00:18:07,880 --> 00:18:10,080 Speaker 1: I don't expect that to change. But one thing that 345 00:18:10,119 --> 00:18:13,040 Speaker 1: people don't realize is they were a seventh and opponent penalties. 346 00:18:13,520 --> 00:18:18,359 Speaker 1: Whoever they played, never, I'm sorry, whoever they played always 347 00:18:18,400 --> 00:18:24,080 Speaker 1: got flagged. Huge benefit. Think of that Alabama another regression stack. 348 00:18:24,160 --> 00:18:27,080 Speaker 1: Yeah right, and so if that opponent penalties comes back, 349 00:18:27,440 --> 00:18:30,040 Speaker 1: that's going to hurt them in the long run. They 350 00:18:30,160 --> 00:18:33,359 Speaker 1: lose fifty percent of their offensive line snaps of fifty 351 00:18:33,359 --> 00:18:37,399 Speaker 1: percent of their receiving yards. Bruce McCoy, is he able 352 00:18:37,760 --> 00:18:40,600 Speaker 1: to have the explosive yards per route run the Jalen 353 00:18:40,640 --> 00:18:43,920 Speaker 1: Hylott did, I'm not sure. I mean, the kid was 354 00:18:44,040 --> 00:18:47,320 Speaker 1: five star All World, USC, Texas, everywhere. We'll see if 355 00:18:47,359 --> 00:18:49,440 Speaker 1: he can do it. They draw Alabama and A and 356 00:18:49,600 --> 00:18:53,520 Speaker 1: M from the West. That's not easy. So I'm down 357 00:18:53,600 --> 00:18:58,360 Speaker 1: on these guys, and I have taken more flack from 358 00:18:58,480 --> 00:19:02,200 Speaker 1: Tennessee fans than anyone because my projection is under seven 359 00:19:02,240 --> 00:19:04,359 Speaker 1: wins and the markets at nine and a half heavy 360 00:19:04,440 --> 00:19:09,040 Speaker 1: juiced on the under down to nine. That was a 361 00:19:09,160 --> 00:19:11,600 Speaker 1: really great fit for all the personnel they had. For 362 00:19:11,680 --> 00:19:16,280 Speaker 1: Josh Hipel's offense, it's gone. The defense, they had a 363 00:19:16,320 --> 00:19:19,920 Speaker 1: good edge rusher, he's gone. They don't have a single 364 00:19:19,960 --> 00:19:24,520 Speaker 1: defensive player that is first or second string all SEC. 365 00:19:25,960 --> 00:19:29,439 Speaker 1: So I don't see it from a player standpoint, especially 366 00:19:29,480 --> 00:19:32,320 Speaker 1: on the defense. When you look at wins, they're beating Austin, 367 00:19:32,320 --> 00:19:37,359 Speaker 1: p yukon Vandy, UTSA, South Carolina. I have massive disagreement 368 00:19:37,400 --> 00:19:39,560 Speaker 1: with the market on Kentucky, Texas, A, and and Missouri. 369 00:19:39,640 --> 00:19:41,840 Speaker 1: I think they should all be favored. And then they're 370 00:19:41,880 --> 00:19:44,600 Speaker 1: not beating Alabama in Georgia. Period. The ceiling for this 371 00:19:44,680 --> 00:19:47,239 Speaker 1: team is ten and then there's three teams. I think 372 00:19:47,280 --> 00:19:51,080 Speaker 1: they should be dogs too. So I'm down on Tennessee 373 00:19:51,400 --> 00:19:54,359 Speaker 1: big and you do not have the personnel you had 374 00:19:54,440 --> 00:19:56,280 Speaker 1: last year. This is not a good fit. The puzzle 375 00:19:56,320 --> 00:19:58,200 Speaker 1: pieces for the offense hyper runs is not there. 376 00:20:00,359 --> 00:20:03,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm I lean under with Tennessee. Not quite as 377 00:20:03,160 --> 00:20:05,560 Speaker 2: low as you are. That can at Kentucky game is 378 00:20:05,560 --> 00:20:09,800 Speaker 2: also super trappy, Like it's af the week after at Alabama. 379 00:20:09,880 --> 00:20:13,120 Speaker 2: Kentucky as a bye the week before. That's a brutal, 380 00:20:13,440 --> 00:20:15,680 Speaker 2: brutal spot. And then they go to Missouri the week 381 00:20:15,760 --> 00:20:19,680 Speaker 2: before Georgia, so and then so those those two games 382 00:20:19,720 --> 00:20:25,400 Speaker 2: are just on the road, Missouri and Kentucky losible games 383 00:20:25,440 --> 00:20:28,040 Speaker 2: and they're in terrible situational spots. So I would agree 384 00:20:28,080 --> 00:20:30,240 Speaker 2: it's under nothing Tennessee. 385 00:20:30,640 --> 00:20:33,240 Speaker 1: How in the world do you play Georgia before Thanksgiving? 386 00:20:34,640 --> 00:20:36,520 Speaker 1: Am I reading this right? And then you play Vanderbilt 387 00:20:36,600 --> 00:20:39,960 Speaker 1: Thanksgiving weekend and they're off a bye. And I asked 388 00:20:40,000 --> 00:20:42,920 Speaker 1: Clark Lee about that at SEC Media Days Cash your tickets? 389 00:20:43,480 --> 00:20:45,280 Speaker 1: Does it help to have two? Does it help to 390 00:20:45,280 --> 00:20:47,320 Speaker 1: play week zero and have two buys during the season, 391 00:20:48,359 --> 00:20:50,920 Speaker 1: And he's said, you know, it gives them rest advantage, 392 00:20:51,080 --> 00:20:54,119 Speaker 1: It gives them monstrous advantage. The very last game of 393 00:20:54,160 --> 00:20:57,200 Speaker 1: the season, Vanderbilt gets a buye before Thanksgiving. I'm not 394 00:20:57,280 --> 00:20:59,639 Speaker 1: saying Vanderbilt is gonna win outright, but that, man, that 395 00:20:59,800 --> 00:21:02,040 Speaker 1: is it. That is a heck of an advantage. I 396 00:21:02,119 --> 00:21:04,040 Speaker 1: think if Tennessee's already qualified for a bowl and knows 397 00:21:04,080 --> 00:21:07,240 Speaker 1: where they're going, right, how motivator today for that, There's 398 00:21:07,280 --> 00:21:08,360 Speaker 1: no way I would take this over. 399 00:21:08,760 --> 00:21:12,440 Speaker 2: No way. Yeah, especially underne If you can find a 400 00:21:12,480 --> 00:21:14,600 Speaker 2: good nine and a half at like minus one fifty 401 00:21:14,640 --> 00:21:17,719 Speaker 2: years below, I would like that a lot more than 402 00:21:17,800 --> 00:21:23,400 Speaker 2: a cheap under nine. Any thoughts on if Milton flames out, 403 00:21:23,480 --> 00:21:30,080 Speaker 2: if you go to the highly talented freshman Nico Iyama Laeva. 404 00:21:30,400 --> 00:21:33,359 Speaker 2: Hope I pronounced that right. I gotta start to pronounce 405 00:21:33,400 --> 00:21:39,800 Speaker 2: that a lot quicker. Eama la aaa Iyama iyama Laayova. Yeah, 406 00:21:39,840 --> 00:21:40,800 Speaker 2: I'll get it right eventually. 407 00:21:41,000 --> 00:21:42,720 Speaker 1: It looks like it would be an easy name to pronounce, 408 00:21:42,760 --> 00:21:45,639 Speaker 1: but it's not iyam Aleva. You know, we don't know 409 00:21:45,720 --> 00:21:49,480 Speaker 1: much about the kid. But if Hypel does make the switch, 410 00:21:49,560 --> 00:21:52,520 Speaker 1: does he do it? Say? You know, when does he 411 00:21:52,600 --> 00:21:54,440 Speaker 1: do it? I mean, Joe Milton can still transfer and 412 00:21:54,480 --> 00:21:56,800 Speaker 1: be a graduate player next year right, I don't know. 413 00:21:56,880 --> 00:21:58,680 Speaker 1: I don't know the behind everything on that. Do you 414 00:21:58,800 --> 00:22:00,280 Speaker 1: just stick with him and chop the year up? I 415 00:22:00,320 --> 00:22:00,600 Speaker 1: don't know. 416 00:22:01,160 --> 00:22:03,800 Speaker 2: Yeah, could could? I mean, depending on where they are 417 00:22:03,800 --> 00:22:04,959 Speaker 2: at the end of the year, you might see him 418 00:22:04,960 --> 00:22:08,160 Speaker 2: towards the end of the year. An intriguing piece next 419 00:22:08,280 --> 00:22:11,040 Speaker 2: year when we talk about the Vaz and this offense 420 00:22:12,400 --> 00:22:14,800 Speaker 2: before we go any further. 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Sports betting is void 452 00:23:42,280 --> 00:23:44,720 Speaker 5: in Georgia, Hawaii, and Utah and other states were prohibited. 453 00:23:44,840 --> 00:23:47,879 Speaker 2: Promotional offers not available in Nevada in New York. All right, 454 00:23:47,880 --> 00:23:51,680 Speaker 2: so let's move on to the team in the SECS 455 00:23:51,760 --> 00:23:53,639 Speaker 2: with the third best odds to in the division at 456 00:23:53,680 --> 00:23:56,640 Speaker 2: twenty to one at MGM. That's the South Carolina game 457 00:23:56,680 --> 00:24:00,440 Speaker 2: Cocks one hundred to one to win the SEC over 458 00:24:00,720 --> 00:24:03,240 Speaker 2: six juice or under six and a half heavily juice. 459 00:24:03,240 --> 00:24:06,480 Speaker 2: They draw Mississippi State at home and at Texas A 460 00:24:06,640 --> 00:24:10,440 Speaker 2: and M from the SEC West. Bad news for South 461 00:24:10,480 --> 00:24:14,879 Speaker 2: Carolina as they go to Tennessee and to Georgia, the 462 00:24:15,040 --> 00:24:20,119 Speaker 2: top two teams in the division South Carolina, if you 463 00:24:20,160 --> 00:24:23,440 Speaker 2: look at them last year, you would say, Okay, what's 464 00:24:23,440 --> 00:24:24,480 Speaker 2: going on with this team? And then all of a 465 00:24:24,480 --> 00:24:28,120 Speaker 2: sudden they end with a bang and the like all 466 00:24:28,160 --> 00:24:30,800 Speaker 2: the sudden, I mean Spencer Rattler, who does return a quarterback, 467 00:24:30,840 --> 00:24:33,960 Speaker 2: looks incredible. They pull off a pull off an upset 468 00:24:34,359 --> 00:24:38,240 Speaker 2: of Tennessee, they pull off an upset of Clemson and 469 00:24:38,359 --> 00:24:41,000 Speaker 2: the offense just night and day. Apparently they cut the 470 00:24:41,040 --> 00:24:44,800 Speaker 2: playbook and simplified it, and that's what was a major difference. 471 00:24:45,520 --> 00:24:51,040 Speaker 2: New offensive coordinator, though, does come in this year. There's 472 00:24:51,040 --> 00:24:55,040 Speaker 2: a lot of questions on this roster for me, specifically 473 00:24:55,440 --> 00:24:59,480 Speaker 2: on the defense, I just don't see, but on both 474 00:24:59,480 --> 00:25:01,000 Speaker 2: sides of bod should say. I mean, if you look 475 00:25:01,119 --> 00:25:04,919 Speaker 2: last year, you know they had First of all, they 476 00:25:04,960 --> 00:25:07,520 Speaker 2: lost two cornerbacks to the NFL. Ye, they had a 477 00:25:07,560 --> 00:25:10,480 Speaker 2: lot of injuries, but then they threw two true freshmen 478 00:25:10,640 --> 00:25:12,560 Speaker 2: in at safety. We both played really well and they 479 00:25:12,640 --> 00:25:15,359 Speaker 2: both come back this year. But how much did they 480 00:25:15,440 --> 00:25:19,439 Speaker 2: really benefit from having two NFL safeties? And are they 481 00:25:19,480 --> 00:25:21,680 Speaker 2: going to be able to duplicate the success we saw 482 00:25:21,800 --> 00:25:24,760 Speaker 2: last year? Questions about the offensive line, As I said 483 00:25:24,840 --> 00:25:28,199 Speaker 2: I questions about the secondary. Are they able to generate 484 00:25:28,280 --> 00:25:33,680 Speaker 2: pressure the offensive line? Wide receiver? Like this roster is 485 00:25:33,800 --> 00:25:37,960 Speaker 2: kind of lacking to me overall? What do you see? 486 00:25:39,400 --> 00:25:41,440 Speaker 2: What do you see for this South Carolina team? I 487 00:25:41,480 --> 00:25:42,960 Speaker 2: do have a lot of respect for Beamer. He's been 488 00:25:43,000 --> 00:25:46,000 Speaker 2: great with like rest, which is a sign of a 489 00:25:46,040 --> 00:25:48,760 Speaker 2: good coach whenever he has an extended break. But this 490 00:25:48,960 --> 00:25:53,240 Speaker 2: roster isn't necessarily there for me. But should I expect 491 00:25:53,800 --> 00:25:56,760 Speaker 2: differently based on how South Carolina ended last year and 492 00:25:56,880 --> 00:26:00,639 Speaker 2: how Rattler ended he's been so inconsistent throughout his entire career. 493 00:26:00,800 --> 00:26:02,800 Speaker 2: Should we expect more of how they ended last year 494 00:26:02,880 --> 00:26:05,120 Speaker 2: or just more up and down? What do you see 495 00:26:05,160 --> 00:26:05,880 Speaker 2: with South Carolina? 496 00:26:06,280 --> 00:26:09,480 Speaker 1: They're extremely chaotic in what you're going to get every week. 497 00:26:10,000 --> 00:26:12,280 Speaker 1: What they were able to pull off against you know, 498 00:26:12,680 --> 00:26:19,520 Speaker 1: Tennessee and Clemson last year completely unexpected. Talking back about Beemer, uh, 499 00:26:19,840 --> 00:26:22,040 Speaker 1: he's eight and two against the spread and non conference play. 500 00:26:22,760 --> 00:26:24,479 Speaker 1: He knows how to get his guys up for Bulls 501 00:26:24,760 --> 00:26:27,880 Speaker 1: non conference games. It's the SEC where he's really struggled. 502 00:26:28,720 --> 00:26:32,400 Speaker 1: And you know me, I tend to veer away from 503 00:26:32,520 --> 00:26:35,320 Speaker 1: touchdown to interception ratio. I like big time throws and 504 00:26:35,359 --> 00:26:38,840 Speaker 1: turnover worthy plays. Spencer Rawler had twenty one big time throws, 505 00:26:39,160 --> 00:26:43,080 Speaker 1: twenty two turnover worthy plays. He's a ratic and one 506 00:26:43,160 --> 00:26:45,800 Speaker 1: big part of that is South Carolina finished one hundred 507 00:26:45,800 --> 00:26:49,160 Speaker 1: and twenty eighth and Havoc allowed every single defense they played, 508 00:26:49,640 --> 00:26:52,920 Speaker 1: played behind the line of scrimmage, gave them pressure, had 509 00:26:53,000 --> 00:26:57,720 Speaker 1: him on the run, interceptions, fumbles. It's a very undisciplined offense. 510 00:26:57,800 --> 00:26:59,960 Speaker 1: So that takes me to the offensive coordinator Dowa Login 511 00:27:01,320 --> 00:27:05,520 Speaker 1: as someone that is extremely close to what's going on 512 00:27:05,640 --> 00:27:09,280 Speaker 1: at the University of Arkansas. Nobody wanted Dowell Logins to 513 00:27:09,359 --> 00:27:13,040 Speaker 1: win the offensive coordinator position at Arkansas. We'll get to 514 00:27:13,119 --> 00:27:16,160 Speaker 1: Dan Danny Nose later on another podcast, but nobody wanted 515 00:27:16,160 --> 00:27:19,280 Speaker 1: Dowell Logins to get that job. When South Carolina got 516 00:27:19,359 --> 00:27:22,399 Speaker 1: him as the offensive coordinator, from what I read, it 517 00:27:22,560 --> 00:27:25,880 Speaker 1: wasn't very well received either. He is expected to bring 518 00:27:26,280 --> 00:27:29,320 Speaker 1: the Brills eleven inside zone. So you're gonna see what 519 00:27:29,440 --> 00:27:31,359 Speaker 1: Arkansas was running last year and what Kendle Brown is 520 00:27:31,359 --> 00:27:33,240 Speaker 1: gonna run down at TCU. You're gonna see a little 521 00:27:33,240 --> 00:27:35,600 Speaker 1: bit of that with Spencer Rallery. Is it gonna pay off? 522 00:27:35,680 --> 00:27:37,760 Speaker 1: I don't know. It's gonna be tempo, it's gonna be rpo, 523 00:27:38,000 --> 00:27:41,960 Speaker 1: it's gonna be play action. The problem is is there's 524 00:27:42,000 --> 00:27:45,239 Speaker 1: not really an offensive player on this team that stands out. 525 00:27:45,280 --> 00:27:49,840 Speaker 1: I mean wide receiver Antoine Wells, That's about it. And 526 00:27:49,920 --> 00:27:51,360 Speaker 1: then you go to the defensive side of the ball. 527 00:27:51,760 --> 00:27:54,360 Speaker 1: I need even more problems with this team. Twenty nine 528 00:27:54,400 --> 00:27:58,200 Speaker 1: percent returning per TARP. That's transfer portal activity and experience 529 00:27:58,240 --> 00:28:01,760 Speaker 1: from last year one hundred and thirtieth and defensive stuff 530 00:28:01,840 --> 00:28:04,760 Speaker 1: rate that's not going to get any better one hundred 531 00:28:04,800 --> 00:28:07,760 Speaker 1: and thirtieth, Like you're chumming around with U mass what 532 00:28:08,240 --> 00:28:09,800 Speaker 1: are you doing? Yeah? 533 00:28:09,880 --> 00:28:12,200 Speaker 2: No, their rundy was so bad last year. Now you 534 00:28:12,280 --> 00:28:16,119 Speaker 2: lose both starting linebackers or your three three starters of 535 00:28:16,119 --> 00:28:18,720 Speaker 2: the defensive line. What was good was their pass deep 536 00:28:18,760 --> 00:28:20,159 Speaker 2: but part of that was because everyone ran on them. 537 00:28:20,280 --> 00:28:22,720 Speaker 2: But you did have two NFL corners they're gone. You 538 00:28:22,800 --> 00:28:25,040 Speaker 2: lost a ton of front You can't couldn't stop the run. 539 00:28:25,720 --> 00:28:26,960 Speaker 2: And then if you look at the personnel that was 540 00:28:26,960 --> 00:28:30,639 Speaker 2: brought in, like, it's not like that should solve everything. 541 00:28:31,760 --> 00:28:33,240 Speaker 1: Well, one last thing I have to say about the 542 00:28:33,320 --> 00:28:37,119 Speaker 1: defense and about South Carolina in general, they have one 543 00:28:37,119 --> 00:28:39,120 Speaker 1: of the most aggressive blitz is if you're if you're 544 00:28:39,160 --> 00:28:42,440 Speaker 1: about twenty five twenty six percent blitz, you're about national average. 545 00:28:42,920 --> 00:28:46,600 Speaker 1: They were thirty one percent. They're pretty aggressive. If you're 546 00:28:46,600 --> 00:28:51,000 Speaker 1: about fifty percent success it's creating pressure, you're about national average. 547 00:28:51,840 --> 00:28:54,760 Speaker 1: South Carolina was forty two percent and success rate in 548 00:28:54,800 --> 00:28:58,280 Speaker 1: creating pressure. So they are heavy on blitz more than 549 00:28:58,360 --> 00:29:02,320 Speaker 1: most teams, and they are I think near dead last 550 00:29:02,640 --> 00:29:08,400 Speaker 1: and successfully creating pressure. That's and now your defense loses playmakers. 551 00:29:09,160 --> 00:29:10,920 Speaker 1: I mean the only thing I go going for him 552 00:29:10,960 --> 00:29:13,520 Speaker 1: is this punter. You know, Kai Kroger. I think my. 553 00:29:13,600 --> 00:29:17,480 Speaker 2: Special teams were elite last year, but that's something that's 554 00:29:17,560 --> 00:29:19,800 Speaker 2: very hard to duplicate at that level. I mean, they 555 00:29:19,880 --> 00:29:21,360 Speaker 2: were so good. Now they're gonna be really good at 556 00:29:21,360 --> 00:29:24,880 Speaker 2: special teams, but in order to duplicate that amount of success, 557 00:29:24,920 --> 00:29:27,120 Speaker 2: that's very difficult to do. And yes, their punter is excellent. 558 00:29:27,480 --> 00:29:30,160 Speaker 1: So I'm at six. I'm down on them. I'm at six. 559 00:29:31,000 --> 00:29:33,719 Speaker 2: I like the underver South Carolina. I'm also gonna bet them, 560 00:29:33,960 --> 00:29:36,400 Speaker 2: bet against them week one against North Carolina. Maybe that 561 00:29:36,480 --> 00:29:39,320 Speaker 2: will end up deciding it. You can find it under 562 00:29:39,360 --> 00:29:41,200 Speaker 2: six and a half up to like minus one sixty, 563 00:29:41,440 --> 00:29:44,800 Speaker 2: prefer that over the six. It all comes down to distribution. 564 00:29:45,040 --> 00:29:48,760 Speaker 2: And then I also prefer to pay for a half 565 00:29:49,040 --> 00:29:51,760 Speaker 2: of a win either on the over if it's at six, 566 00:29:51,880 --> 00:29:53,640 Speaker 2: to go to five and a half, because just bel 567 00:29:53,640 --> 00:29:56,920 Speaker 2: eligibility matters. But you know, Clemson's gonna want that game. 568 00:29:56,960 --> 00:29:59,320 Speaker 2: At the end of the year. I think Kentucky's better 569 00:29:59,440 --> 00:30:01,480 Speaker 2: than a lot of people expect, so that the back 570 00:30:01,520 --> 00:30:02,920 Speaker 2: half of the Skuys it looks easy. But get four 571 00:30:02,920 --> 00:30:06,480 Speaker 2: straight at home Jacksonville State, Vanderbilt, Kentucky at Clemson, but 572 00:30:07,160 --> 00:30:09,800 Speaker 2: I think they might drop those final two games. They're 573 00:30:09,800 --> 00:30:12,080 Speaker 2: also at Missouri at Texas A and m at Tennessee 574 00:30:12,160 --> 00:30:14,959 Speaker 2: at Georgia. The swing game could be against North Carolina 575 00:30:15,000 --> 00:30:16,920 Speaker 2: and the opener, which I think they lose. But I 576 00:30:16,960 --> 00:30:20,200 Speaker 2: think the ceiling of this team is right around six wins. 577 00:30:20,400 --> 00:30:22,640 Speaker 2: I like what Beamer is doing. I just don't think 578 00:30:22,680 --> 00:30:27,600 Speaker 2: he has the horses this year. So I'm selling South Carolina. 579 00:30:33,120 --> 00:30:37,000 Speaker 2: We got a tough bunch. A team that I'm not 580 00:30:37,160 --> 00:30:40,760 Speaker 2: selling that I just mentioned is Kentucky the fourth favorite, 581 00:30:40,800 --> 00:30:42,320 Speaker 2: fifty to one to win the Division, one hundred and 582 00:30:42,320 --> 00:30:44,080 Speaker 2: twenty five to one to win the SEC at bet 583 00:30:44,160 --> 00:30:49,800 Speaker 2: MGM over seven minus one oh five. They do draw 584 00:30:50,160 --> 00:30:53,440 Speaker 2: Alabama at home, rare, rare for Alabama to come to 585 00:30:53,520 --> 00:30:56,240 Speaker 2: lex Ands and I'm excited for that, and at Mississippi 586 00:30:56,280 --> 00:31:01,200 Speaker 2: State from the west. They host Tennessee but go to 587 00:31:01,440 --> 00:31:04,840 Speaker 2: Georgia and South Carolina. This is the team that I 588 00:31:04,960 --> 00:31:08,120 Speaker 2: was super low on last year, and I sold them 589 00:31:08,360 --> 00:31:10,880 Speaker 2: from the beginning. I said the offensive line was going 590 00:31:10,920 --> 00:31:16,480 Speaker 2: to be a disaster. I went under and they did 591 00:31:16,560 --> 00:31:18,680 Speaker 2: go under their win total. But this is a team 592 00:31:18,760 --> 00:31:22,080 Speaker 2: with Stoops that has they just win under him over 593 00:31:22,120 --> 00:31:25,200 Speaker 2: the past what five six so years? They just win 594 00:31:25,360 --> 00:31:29,680 Speaker 2: seven games, And I love There's a couple things that 595 00:31:29,720 --> 00:31:32,640 Speaker 2: I really like about this team. They're not kind of 596 00:31:32,640 --> 00:31:35,479 Speaker 2: flying under the radar. This is where like Kentucky really thrives. 597 00:31:35,560 --> 00:31:37,760 Speaker 2: Right Like last year with Levis, they were getting a 598 00:31:37,800 --> 00:31:41,000 Speaker 2: lot of hype going into the season, kind of had 599 00:31:41,000 --> 00:31:44,120 Speaker 2: a disappointing season. Now they can come in kind of 600 00:31:44,160 --> 00:31:47,000 Speaker 2: fly under the radar, pick off a couple games, and 601 00:31:47,040 --> 00:31:50,360 Speaker 2: then just win their seven, eight, maybe nine games, which 602 00:31:50,440 --> 00:31:52,840 Speaker 2: is what I think their ceiling probably is. 603 00:31:53,760 --> 00:31:54,560 Speaker 1: But I think that their. 604 00:31:54,480 --> 00:31:56,480 Speaker 2: Offensive line might be one of the most improved in 605 00:31:56,560 --> 00:32:00,280 Speaker 2: the country. Not only is it you know, a year 606 00:32:00,360 --> 00:32:03,360 Speaker 2: more experienced, they do add help in the transfer portal. 607 00:32:03,640 --> 00:32:06,240 Speaker 2: They're able to kick some guys from tackle inside that 608 00:32:06,720 --> 00:32:09,320 Speaker 2: was a real problem last year. And I also think 609 00:32:09,440 --> 00:32:12,360 Speaker 2: Leary's going to be an upgrade. The big question that 610 00:32:12,400 --> 00:32:14,320 Speaker 2: I'm married about Kentucky is can Leary stay healthy? Right 611 00:32:14,400 --> 00:32:16,680 Speaker 2: there's two seasons where he hasn't. But I think Learry 612 00:32:16,680 --> 00:32:18,680 Speaker 2: will be an upgrade over Levis. I know Levis is 613 00:32:18,720 --> 00:32:20,080 Speaker 2: like a freaking. 614 00:32:20,160 --> 00:32:25,160 Speaker 1: But he's a Les never Ran. I mean gosh, yeah, I. 615 00:32:25,240 --> 00:32:28,000 Speaker 2: Trust I trust Leary, I trust this Stoops in this 616 00:32:28,120 --> 00:32:32,160 Speaker 2: post type season, the defense is always going to be 617 00:32:32,240 --> 00:32:36,920 Speaker 2: good here with Blite the defensive coordinator, it's really strong 618 00:32:37,040 --> 00:32:39,680 Speaker 2: up the middle. Weaver coming back is huge. He could 619 00:32:39,680 --> 00:32:41,800 Speaker 2: have went to the NFL. Cornerback is a bit of 620 00:32:41,880 --> 00:32:43,840 Speaker 2: a question, but I think that they'll be fine. And 621 00:32:43,840 --> 00:32:46,320 Speaker 2: then special teams is a disaster that last year. I 622 00:32:46,400 --> 00:32:49,560 Speaker 2: think he could get back to average to decent where 623 00:32:49,560 --> 00:32:51,400 Speaker 2: it's just not costing them games where they can at 624 00:32:51,440 --> 00:32:54,640 Speaker 2: least like snap the ball on point after in field 625 00:32:54,640 --> 00:32:57,200 Speaker 2: goal attempts. If the transfers hit, the d could be 626 00:32:57,280 --> 00:33:00,200 Speaker 2: really great. But there's such a high floor or what 627 00:33:00,280 --> 00:33:02,680 Speaker 2: this defense now is at Kentucky. And then I think 628 00:33:02,720 --> 00:33:06,200 Speaker 2: that the offense will just improve significantly with Leriyan and 629 00:33:06,240 --> 00:33:09,360 Speaker 2: then just the offensive line improvement. There's a really good 630 00:33:09,440 --> 00:33:12,080 Speaker 2: chance they start five and oh it finish Ozho to five. 631 00:33:12,240 --> 00:33:16,160 Speaker 2: That's on the on in the cards, and speaking of 632 00:33:16,240 --> 00:33:18,840 Speaker 2: the cards, they finish at Louisville. But I like them 633 00:33:18,880 --> 00:33:22,640 Speaker 2: in that game at South Carolina at Mississippi State. I 634 00:33:22,680 --> 00:33:25,800 Speaker 2: think Mississippi State's way down. That game is trappy. It's 635 00:33:25,840 --> 00:33:30,160 Speaker 2: been between Tennessee and Alabama, which is tough, but Alabama 636 00:33:30,280 --> 00:33:32,920 Speaker 2: is not a not winnable game at home, and neither 637 00:33:33,040 --> 00:33:35,280 Speaker 2: is Tennessee. And we just talked about how they get 638 00:33:35,320 --> 00:33:38,840 Speaker 2: Tennessee in a tremendous spot. So you know, they could 639 00:33:38,880 --> 00:33:42,200 Speaker 2: start easily, start five and oh before they go to Georgia. 640 00:33:42,240 --> 00:33:44,320 Speaker 2: Then they get in Missouri at home. So I'm pretty 641 00:33:44,320 --> 00:33:49,240 Speaker 2: confident that this team wins seven plus. So I'm buying 642 00:33:49,360 --> 00:33:51,720 Speaker 2: the upside. You can find a heavy juice six and 643 00:33:51,760 --> 00:33:55,520 Speaker 2: a half. I don't know if there's any left or seven, 644 00:33:55,760 --> 00:33:58,840 Speaker 2: like even money, that's what I'll be playing. But I'm 645 00:33:58,880 --> 00:34:00,520 Speaker 2: buying my Cats this year, and I don't have to 646 00:34:00,560 --> 00:34:03,200 Speaker 2: get shipped from everyone in Lexington that I'm selling them. 647 00:34:03,960 --> 00:34:07,400 Speaker 2: After making the rounds touting my under on Kentucky this year, 648 00:34:07,480 --> 00:34:09,840 Speaker 2: I can tell the over what are your thoughts. 649 00:34:09,640 --> 00:34:12,319 Speaker 1: On my Cats? Well, you're not telling everybody at Stagger like, hey, 650 00:34:12,360 --> 00:34:16,000 Speaker 1: I was right, you know, I mean, like I mean, listen, 651 00:34:16,040 --> 00:34:18,320 Speaker 1: I hate on my team, and when I'm right, I 652 00:34:18,360 --> 00:34:20,399 Speaker 1: don't go and pound my chest around town. But when 653 00:34:20,400 --> 00:34:23,800 Speaker 1: you're right, you're right. I love Kentucky. I love Kentucky 654 00:34:23,880 --> 00:34:24,200 Speaker 1: this year? 655 00:34:24,440 --> 00:34:26,000 Speaker 2: Did I mention Liam Cohen by the way coming back, 656 00:34:26,200 --> 00:34:26,640 Speaker 2: I love I. 657 00:34:26,680 --> 00:34:28,439 Speaker 1: Was gonna That's where I was going to start Liam 658 00:34:28,480 --> 00:34:30,799 Speaker 1: Comb's coming back. He was the offensive coordinator in twenty 659 00:34:30,880 --> 00:34:34,400 Speaker 1: twenty one. A lot of familiarity with stoops. Are going 660 00:34:34,480 --> 00:34:36,400 Speaker 1: to run that offense that they ran before. It's going 661 00:34:36,480 --> 00:34:38,120 Speaker 1: to be solid. It's going to be eleven and twelve 662 00:34:38,160 --> 00:34:38,920 Speaker 1: inside zone. 663 00:34:39,719 --> 00:34:39,839 Speaker 2: Uh. 664 00:34:39,920 --> 00:34:41,680 Speaker 1: They were on a really high rate of two by two, 665 00:34:41,719 --> 00:34:44,800 Speaker 1: which is two wide receivers on each side. But you know, 666 00:34:46,480 --> 00:34:48,399 Speaker 1: I think Devin Leary is an upgrade over will Evis. 667 00:34:48,400 --> 00:34:50,240 Speaker 1: I'm glad you mentioned it because he came through the portal. 668 00:34:51,480 --> 00:34:53,600 Speaker 1: You know, everything that we loved about him last year, 669 00:34:53,600 --> 00:34:55,440 Speaker 1: and I loved about him at Inncy State. I think 670 00:34:55,480 --> 00:34:57,279 Speaker 1: he's going to be just as good at Kentucky. He 671 00:34:57,360 --> 00:35:00,760 Speaker 1: gets behind an offensive line that returned eighty two percent 672 00:35:00,800 --> 00:35:03,400 Speaker 1: of snaps, not because of what they had on the 673 00:35:03,440 --> 00:35:05,680 Speaker 1: line last year, because it was boosted by the transfer portal. 674 00:35:05,840 --> 00:35:08,239 Speaker 1: There's a lot of experience on this offensive line, even 675 00:35:08,239 --> 00:35:11,360 Speaker 1: though it played elsewhere last year. You go to the 676 00:35:11,400 --> 00:35:13,359 Speaker 1: defensive side of the ball, sixty five percent of their 677 00:35:13,400 --> 00:35:16,880 Speaker 1: pressures returned to a defense we're talking, you know, a 678 00:35:16,960 --> 00:35:20,400 Speaker 1: defensive line that with four man front. They played some 679 00:35:20,560 --> 00:35:22,239 Speaker 1: three three five and some four two five. They played 680 00:35:22,280 --> 00:35:25,479 Speaker 1: nickel packages and cover three. But you know, defensive tackle 681 00:35:25,520 --> 00:35:28,960 Speaker 1: Dion Walker and JJ Weaver are going to maul tackles, 682 00:35:29,000 --> 00:35:32,720 Speaker 1: guards and be all over quarterbacks. I have no worries 683 00:35:32,760 --> 00:35:35,560 Speaker 1: about this defense. It's a great rebound look for them. 684 00:35:37,440 --> 00:35:39,440 Speaker 1: Last year they fell off in third down conversions, pretty 685 00:35:39,440 --> 00:35:41,640 Speaker 1: bad on offense one hundred and eighth and third down conversions. 686 00:35:42,000 --> 00:35:45,600 Speaker 1: But I mentioned that Will Levis was completely immobile every week. 687 00:35:45,920 --> 00:35:48,359 Speaker 1: I asked Stuck on the podcast, when is Levis gonna 688 00:35:48,440 --> 00:35:52,840 Speaker 1: leave the pocket? He wouldn't leave the pocket. And you know, 689 00:35:53,000 --> 00:35:56,759 Speaker 1: so you know the one thing you can trust on 690 00:35:56,840 --> 00:36:00,080 Speaker 1: this defense. Though, last thing I'll say about Kentucky. They 691 00:36:00,080 --> 00:36:03,240 Speaker 1: are always fundamentally sound. Last year top fifteen and coverage 692 00:36:03,239 --> 00:36:07,680 Speaker 1: and tackling. They are so well coached. I project them 693 00:36:07,719 --> 00:36:12,080 Speaker 1: at eight point three. I kind of pause because of 694 00:36:12,239 --> 00:36:17,759 Speaker 1: how much I dislike Tennessee. This year it's paying off 695 00:36:18,080 --> 00:36:22,399 Speaker 1: in teams like Missouri and Kentucky, So I'm a little 696 00:36:22,440 --> 00:36:24,799 Speaker 1: hesitant on how much I love those two teams because 697 00:36:24,840 --> 00:36:27,320 Speaker 1: I think that's taking away from the pie from Tennessee. 698 00:36:28,080 --> 00:36:31,200 Speaker 1: But Kentucky's got everything that we look for when you're 699 00:36:31,239 --> 00:36:34,319 Speaker 1: gonna take an over, and they're solid. They're solid every year, 700 00:36:34,520 --> 00:36:38,160 Speaker 1: especially when they have trench experience, which they have. So 701 00:36:38,480 --> 00:36:39,680 Speaker 1: I like Kentucky on the over. 702 00:36:41,440 --> 00:36:43,360 Speaker 2: Yeah, pretty, we're are in the top five receivers a 703 00:36:43,360 --> 00:36:45,640 Speaker 2: couple of freshmen. It should improve. And yeah, I think 704 00:36:45,719 --> 00:36:47,480 Speaker 2: the getting the transfers in, but a lot of their 705 00:36:47,520 --> 00:36:50,440 Speaker 2: offensive lineman gets to move to their more natural positions. 706 00:36:50,440 --> 00:36:52,680 Speaker 2: They do lose right square and Jones from the linebacker room. 707 00:36:52,800 --> 00:36:55,040 Speaker 2: They had a ton of injuries there last year. Getting 708 00:36:55,080 --> 00:36:57,840 Speaker 2: Weaver back, they have enough pieces there at linebacker to 709 00:36:57,920 --> 00:37:02,239 Speaker 2: be fine. So yeah, I Kentucky over. Don't think that 710 00:37:02,320 --> 00:37:06,880 Speaker 2: they have the ceiling to eat Georgia. N they go 711 00:37:07,000 --> 00:37:08,919 Speaker 2: to Georgia, so like one of the reasons I also 712 00:37:09,040 --> 00:37:14,200 Speaker 2: like like Georgia. Georgia minus one ten to win the SEC, 713 00:37:14,520 --> 00:37:17,920 Speaker 2: I think is about fairly priced because they're minus five 714 00:37:18,040 --> 00:37:20,919 Speaker 2: hundred to win this division for a reason. Let's start 715 00:37:20,960 --> 00:37:23,560 Speaker 2: with Florida and your boy Billy Napier. They're eighty to 716 00:37:23,640 --> 00:37:27,239 Speaker 2: one to win the SEC, forty to one to win 717 00:37:27,320 --> 00:37:29,600 Speaker 2: the SEC East win total over five and a half 718 00:37:29,680 --> 00:37:33,320 Speaker 2: minus one thirty at at MGM, they draw Arkansas and 719 00:37:33,440 --> 00:37:37,239 Speaker 2: a road trip to LSU from the SEC West. The 720 00:37:37,280 --> 00:37:42,160 Speaker 2: big news with Florida is Anthony Richardson is no longer there, 721 00:37:42,640 --> 00:37:44,560 Speaker 2: one of the many quarterbacks that was drafted out of 722 00:37:44,560 --> 00:37:47,879 Speaker 2: the SEC from last year. I'll let you kick this off. 723 00:37:48,000 --> 00:37:52,319 Speaker 2: Since this is your boy, Billy Napier, I will tell 724 00:37:52,400 --> 00:37:58,000 Speaker 2: you right off the bat that this is a top 725 00:37:58,080 --> 00:38:01,920 Speaker 2: three part oft schedule in the country. They only have 726 00:38:01,960 --> 00:38:04,920 Speaker 2: three SEC home games because they played Georgia and Jacksonville. 727 00:38:05,640 --> 00:38:08,120 Speaker 2: They go to LSU, they have Florida State at home. 728 00:38:08,200 --> 00:38:12,000 Speaker 2: To finish up the year, They're at Kentucky at South Carolina, 729 00:38:12,040 --> 00:38:15,000 Speaker 2: who's off a bye. Arkansas they get at home, but 730 00:38:15,120 --> 00:38:17,440 Speaker 2: Arkansas's off a bye. They get three straight opponents in 731 00:38:17,440 --> 00:38:20,359 Speaker 2: the middle of their season, who or off buys. They 732 00:38:20,440 --> 00:38:22,839 Speaker 2: do start at Utah, another tough game, but maybe they 733 00:38:22,920 --> 00:38:27,600 Speaker 2: benefit for some injury luck there with Cam Rising not 734 00:38:27,800 --> 00:38:31,840 Speaker 2: being ready. I'll also say I love the hire of Armstrong, 735 00:38:31,960 --> 00:38:37,000 Speaker 2: the defensive coordinator from Southern Miss, But there's questions across 736 00:38:37,400 --> 00:38:39,480 Speaker 2: the roster outside of one corner spot on defense, and 737 00:38:39,520 --> 00:38:42,360 Speaker 2: one of the guys they're really relying on their linebacker, 738 00:38:42,400 --> 00:38:45,800 Speaker 2: Schamar James. He got hurt today, hurt his leg. He's like, 739 00:38:45,920 --> 00:38:50,080 Speaker 2: they like need him. I don't know what the report is. 740 00:38:50,200 --> 00:38:53,279 Speaker 2: This happened like this afternoon. They lose him. Linebacker looks 741 00:38:53,680 --> 00:38:56,600 Speaker 2: really really thin. And then on the other side of 742 00:38:56,600 --> 00:38:59,520 Speaker 2: the ball, it's Graham Ertz maybe or Jack Miller. But 743 00:39:00,000 --> 00:39:02,239 Speaker 2: I mean running back girl will be great. But who 744 00:39:02,360 --> 00:39:04,640 Speaker 2: cares if that's your quarterback situation. What do you see 745 00:39:04,680 --> 00:39:05,640 Speaker 2: with your beloved Gators. 746 00:39:06,040 --> 00:39:09,160 Speaker 1: I just don't my beloved Gators. I don't see a 747 00:39:09,239 --> 00:39:12,239 Speaker 1: path for Graham Mertz to replicate anything that happened at 748 00:39:12,239 --> 00:39:14,919 Speaker 1: the quarterback position of Florida last year. So that makes 749 00:39:14,960 --> 00:39:17,640 Speaker 1: me wonder what the offense is going to be. You know, 750 00:39:17,800 --> 00:39:21,640 Speaker 1: Rob Sale is the offensive coordinator. You know Napier. He's 751 00:39:21,680 --> 00:39:23,840 Speaker 1: an interesting character. He you know, he's eleven three and 752 00:39:23,920 --> 00:39:25,840 Speaker 1: one against the spread as an a way underdog. He 753 00:39:25,960 --> 00:39:29,000 Speaker 1: shows up in spots and covers. You know, he covers, 754 00:39:29,040 --> 00:39:31,520 Speaker 1: doesn't win. He he does a lot of interesting things 755 00:39:31,560 --> 00:39:33,160 Speaker 1: and says a lot of interesting things. But he did 756 00:39:33,239 --> 00:39:36,000 Speaker 1: make a good hire getting Austin Armstrong to come over 757 00:39:36,040 --> 00:39:38,759 Speaker 1: from Southern miss There's gonna be some nickel package was 758 00:39:38,840 --> 00:39:41,719 Speaker 1: Cover three. The offensive side of the very aggressive. It'll 759 00:39:41,719 --> 00:39:45,040 Speaker 1: be a very aggressive defense. Yeah, yeah. I think the 760 00:39:45,120 --> 00:39:48,200 Speaker 1: offensive side of the ball. Where I pause on Florida 761 00:39:48,440 --> 00:39:51,120 Speaker 1: is that they led the FBS in explosive rushing. That's 762 00:39:51,120 --> 00:39:54,879 Speaker 1: all Anthony Richardson and now that's gone. Second, trust Graham 763 00:39:54,920 --> 00:39:59,239 Speaker 1: Mertz to roll out, Oh man, what do you go? 764 00:39:59,320 --> 00:40:01,480 Speaker 1: Eighteen for eighteen in that first game for Wisconsin during 765 00:40:01,520 --> 00:40:03,520 Speaker 1: the pandemic. And that's all we did was bet Wisconsin 766 00:40:03,600 --> 00:40:07,239 Speaker 1: for the rest of the pandemic COVID year, you know. 767 00:40:07,360 --> 00:40:10,520 Speaker 1: I So with the rush explosiveness being gone, I think 768 00:40:10,600 --> 00:40:13,239 Speaker 1: that hurts the offense im mensely. They returned sixty percent 769 00:40:13,280 --> 00:40:14,640 Speaker 1: of their offensive line snaps. 770 00:40:15,920 --> 00:40:16,120 Speaker 3: Yeah. 771 00:40:17,200 --> 00:40:18,919 Speaker 1: On the differensive side, they were one hundred and twenty 772 00:40:18,960 --> 00:40:22,520 Speaker 1: ninth and third down defense you almost can't get as 773 00:40:22,800 --> 00:40:26,319 Speaker 1: as bad forty seven percent per tarp is coming back 774 00:40:26,719 --> 00:40:29,680 Speaker 1: to the defense. This is a number I squarely landed 775 00:40:29,719 --> 00:40:32,439 Speaker 1: on five point eight. The markets at five point five 776 00:40:32,600 --> 00:40:34,680 Speaker 1: juice to about minus one thirty on the over. I 777 00:40:34,760 --> 00:40:37,200 Speaker 1: am dead on. I would love to hate Napier take 778 00:40:37,200 --> 00:40:40,840 Speaker 1: an under rasm all year. Prove me wrong, sure, but 779 00:40:40,960 --> 00:40:42,880 Speaker 1: I can't. I make it five point eight. It's a 780 00:40:42,960 --> 00:40:45,720 Speaker 1: no play for me, but watching Graham Mertz in the SEC, 781 00:40:46,719 --> 00:40:47,879 Speaker 1: it's gonna be a lot of fun. 782 00:40:49,719 --> 00:40:52,400 Speaker 2: Yeah. I mean for me, this is an under or 783 00:40:52,480 --> 00:40:56,000 Speaker 2: nothing play. If you can get a Chose six, I 784 00:40:56,160 --> 00:41:00,719 Speaker 2: really like it. There. Look, there's just not a lot 785 00:41:00,760 --> 00:41:05,480 Speaker 2: I like the offensive line as questions, The wide receiver 786 00:41:05,600 --> 00:41:09,480 Speaker 2: rooms pretty underwhelming. I'm not like especially the quarterback room 787 00:41:09,600 --> 00:41:13,120 Speaker 2: is extremely underwhelming. You lose a lot on the defensive line. 788 00:41:14,040 --> 00:41:16,600 Speaker 2: You're you lose a lot of linebacker, your secondary super 789 00:41:16,680 --> 00:41:20,040 Speaker 2: row outside of one corner spot. I don't love the 790 00:41:20,120 --> 00:41:23,120 Speaker 2: transfers they brought in. I do love the hire of Armstrong, 791 00:41:23,160 --> 00:41:24,719 Speaker 2: but there's only so much he'll be able to do 792 00:41:24,840 --> 00:41:27,960 Speaker 2: with the scheme and this run first offense, and Napier 793 00:41:28,080 --> 00:41:31,120 Speaker 2: likes to run. You don't have a mobile quarterback, and 794 00:41:32,440 --> 00:41:35,800 Speaker 2: I don't trust this passing offense. It could be pretty 795 00:41:35,800 --> 00:41:41,759 Speaker 2: easy to defend. So yeah, I'm low on this Florida team. 796 00:41:42,960 --> 00:41:46,040 Speaker 2: That Utah game being potentially easier makes it a little tougher. 797 00:41:46,560 --> 00:41:49,280 Speaker 1: Yep, you can find maybe. 798 00:41:49,080 --> 00:41:53,560 Speaker 2: If like as the Utah news potentially gets worse, if 799 00:41:53,600 --> 00:41:55,760 Speaker 2: you can find a Juice six, I might be interested 800 00:41:55,800 --> 00:41:55,960 Speaker 2: in that. 801 00:41:56,440 --> 00:41:59,839 Speaker 1: Keep an eye out on the A there's only three 802 00:42:00,200 --> 00:42:03,480 Speaker 1: on the schedule. McNee Charlotte. Maybe Charlotte we'll get I 803 00:42:03,520 --> 00:42:06,000 Speaker 1: guess we're gonna have to wait till another podcast talk 804 00:42:06,040 --> 00:42:10,040 Speaker 1: about that. McNee Charlotte and I think Vandy mathematically it 805 00:42:10,080 --> 00:42:11,040 Speaker 1: says Avenge game. 806 00:42:11,440 --> 00:42:13,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, it should be up for that, but yeah, I 807 00:42:13,480 --> 00:42:16,880 Speaker 2: mean the other other games are at Utah, Tennessee at 808 00:42:16,920 --> 00:42:22,799 Speaker 2: home at Kentucky right, and then at South Carolina who's 809 00:42:22,840 --> 00:42:26,399 Speaker 2: off of Bye Georgie and Jacksonville, and then Arkansas home 810 00:42:26,400 --> 00:42:28,600 Speaker 2: who's off of buy that at LSU at Missouri and 811 00:42:28,640 --> 00:42:29,279 Speaker 2: Florida State. 812 00:42:29,360 --> 00:42:30,720 Speaker 1: Brutal, so brutal. 813 00:42:30,840 --> 00:42:33,440 Speaker 2: Finish a schedule that just starts at Utah it ends 814 00:42:33,480 --> 00:42:36,760 Speaker 2: with Florida State. You're you're gonna chart the sec in between. 815 00:42:37,600 --> 00:42:40,520 Speaker 1: You're gonna give Arkansas two weeks off, and then that 816 00:42:40,640 --> 00:42:42,360 Speaker 1: offensive line is going to line up at all of 817 00:42:42,400 --> 00:42:44,359 Speaker 1: them at three hundred and thirty pounds with a two 818 00:42:44,400 --> 00:42:46,479 Speaker 1: hundred and forty pound Rocket Sanders and a two hundred 819 00:42:46,520 --> 00:42:48,560 Speaker 1: and fifty pounds kJ Jefferson. You're gonna try to tackle 820 00:42:48,600 --> 00:42:51,439 Speaker 1: that when they get two weeks of rest. Good luck. Yeah. 821 00:42:52,400 --> 00:42:54,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, there's just a lot of holes, especially in the 822 00:42:54,120 --> 00:42:57,200 Speaker 2: interior on this roster, which you really see the impact 823 00:42:57,280 --> 00:43:01,200 Speaker 2: of Mullen in the lack of recruiting prows that he 824 00:43:01,280 --> 00:43:03,279 Speaker 2: had at the end of his tenure. With just the 825 00:43:03,400 --> 00:43:05,879 Speaker 2: guys that he would bring in on the interior, they're 826 00:43:06,000 --> 00:43:08,840 Speaker 2: just not there right now. So that's that's part of 827 00:43:08,880 --> 00:43:12,200 Speaker 2: the rebuild down there in the swamp. Let's move on 828 00:43:12,320 --> 00:43:14,080 Speaker 2: to a team that we mentioned a few times already. 829 00:43:14,160 --> 00:43:18,560 Speaker 2: That's the nes Zori Tigers. Missouri is one hundred and 830 00:43:18,600 --> 00:43:21,000 Speaker 2: fifty to one to win the SEC fifty to one 831 00:43:21,080 --> 00:43:23,840 Speaker 2: to win the SEC East. Wind total over six minus 832 00:43:23,880 --> 00:43:28,160 Speaker 2: one twenty. I would argue the perfect that's a little 833 00:43:28,200 --> 00:43:30,800 Speaker 2: too high, because the perfect wind total for Missouri should 834 00:43:30,800 --> 00:43:33,880 Speaker 2: be over six even money because they win. They go 835 00:43:34,000 --> 00:43:36,520 Speaker 2: five hundred every year under Drinklets. I think I've done 836 00:43:36,520 --> 00:43:37,960 Speaker 2: that to each of the last three or four years. 837 00:43:38,560 --> 00:43:42,200 Speaker 2: They draw LSU in a road game at Arkansas from 838 00:43:42,239 --> 00:43:47,040 Speaker 2: the SEC West. This this is a team that has 839 00:43:47,080 --> 00:43:50,719 Speaker 2: a quarterback that's back in Brady Cook, but he had 840 00:43:50,840 --> 00:43:56,480 Speaker 2: surgery wasn't available in the spring, so with potential three 841 00:43:56,560 --> 00:43:59,640 Speaker 2: way battle. The Miami transfer Garcia I think took all 842 00:43:59,680 --> 00:44:01,479 Speaker 2: the snow as in the spring with the first team 843 00:44:02,000 --> 00:44:04,360 Speaker 2: they did lose their star wide receiver, love it to Georgia. 844 00:44:04,480 --> 00:44:06,800 Speaker 2: As we mentioned, still a lot of talent there and 845 00:44:06,840 --> 00:44:10,640 Speaker 2: they add the Oise but him, Mookie Cooper Burden, still 846 00:44:10,719 --> 00:44:14,960 Speaker 2: some talent on the outside. I think the D should 847 00:44:15,000 --> 00:44:18,160 Speaker 2: be even better. I really like Blake Baker, the defensive coordinator, 848 00:44:18,239 --> 00:44:21,480 Speaker 2: runs an aggressive four two five Nickel has some studs 849 00:44:21,600 --> 00:44:26,400 Speaker 2: up front. Two linebackers return. There are some major losses 850 00:44:26,440 --> 00:44:29,080 Speaker 2: on the defensive line. D end is a really big question, 851 00:44:29,520 --> 00:44:32,239 Speaker 2: like how are they going to generate pressure in this 852 00:44:32,400 --> 00:44:37,480 Speaker 2: defense outside of scheme? But they're set at cornerback and 853 00:44:38,480 --> 00:44:41,400 Speaker 2: Johnson from Florida another Florida losses. I think we'll be 854 00:44:41,440 --> 00:44:44,560 Speaker 2: good at the star position to replace Manuel. But yeah, 855 00:44:44,560 --> 00:44:46,200 Speaker 2: I think the second is gonna be the foundation of 856 00:44:46,280 --> 00:44:49,439 Speaker 2: this D. Really good cornerback duo. They got the thicker kicker, 857 00:44:49,520 --> 00:44:51,520 Speaker 2: so I think the special teams will be good. It 858 00:44:51,560 --> 00:44:54,920 Speaker 2: all comes down with the quarterback play in order to 859 00:44:55,680 --> 00:44:58,600 Speaker 2: reach what I think would be their ceiling of I 860 00:44:58,600 --> 00:45:01,719 Speaker 2: don't know. I would say eight wins is probably the 861 00:45:01,800 --> 00:45:05,719 Speaker 2: ceiling for this team. If everything does break right, they 862 00:45:05,840 --> 00:45:10,560 Speaker 2: could start eight. No, now that would require there's some 863 00:45:10,640 --> 00:45:12,640 Speaker 2: tricky games in there. I mean I'm just saying they 864 00:45:12,680 --> 00:45:15,400 Speaker 2: have eight games where you could see them winning. Everything 865 00:45:15,440 --> 00:45:17,880 Speaker 2: would have to break right. Kansas State at home, right 866 00:45:17,880 --> 00:45:20,160 Speaker 2: they should start too, and no South Dakota State, Middle Tennessee, 867 00:45:20,600 --> 00:45:23,600 Speaker 2: Kansas State at home. I think Kansas State's down a notch. 868 00:45:23,880 --> 00:45:27,919 Speaker 2: Memphis in Saint Louis both winnable at Dandy again, could 869 00:45:28,000 --> 00:45:32,320 Speaker 2: lose that too. LSU at home again, could win it, 870 00:45:32,440 --> 00:45:35,800 Speaker 2: could easily lose it. At Kentucky another game could go 871 00:45:35,880 --> 00:45:39,320 Speaker 2: either way. South Carolina at home, and then you close 872 00:45:39,360 --> 00:45:42,320 Speaker 2: with that. Georgia Tennessee at home, Florida at Arkansas. A 873 00:45:42,400 --> 00:45:45,239 Speaker 2: lot of coin flippish games to start, and it's gonna 874 00:45:45,280 --> 00:45:48,600 Speaker 2: come down to I think quarterback play and how this 875 00:45:48,719 --> 00:45:53,320 Speaker 2: offense functions with Eli giving up the play calling duties 876 00:45:53,360 --> 00:45:56,759 Speaker 2: to Kirby Moore as offensive coordinator. It is a senior 877 00:45:56,880 --> 00:45:58,800 Speaker 2: laden team, but they finished five hundred each of the 878 00:45:58,920 --> 00:46:02,239 Speaker 2: past four seasons. Is there any reason to believe that 879 00:46:02,560 --> 00:46:05,000 Speaker 2: they won't finish five hundred again? Is there any value 880 00:46:05,080 --> 00:46:06,200 Speaker 2: in this wind total? 881 00:46:06,920 --> 00:46:10,280 Speaker 1: Yes, and believe it or not. With Dominic Lovett transferring 882 00:46:10,320 --> 00:46:13,680 Speaker 1: over to Georgia, this wide receiver room doesn't take a hit. 883 00:46:13,880 --> 00:46:17,520 Speaker 1: Luther Burden is going to be a problem for secondaries 884 00:46:17,600 --> 00:46:20,600 Speaker 1: in the SEC. And then you look, you know, THEO 885 00:46:20,640 --> 00:46:23,480 Speaker 1: Wiz comes in from Oklahoma. He averaged two yards per 886 00:46:23,560 --> 00:46:28,200 Speaker 1: route run. That's explosive their set. I love the hire 887 00:46:28,239 --> 00:46:31,080 Speaker 1: of Kirby Moore. Drink comes out and immediately says it's 888 00:46:31,160 --> 00:46:34,160 Speaker 1: all his I hired him to have one percent control 889 00:46:34,440 --> 00:46:36,600 Speaker 1: and that I wasn't doing a good job as a 890 00:46:36,640 --> 00:46:38,799 Speaker 1: head coach and as an offensive play caller to put 891 00:46:38,880 --> 00:46:42,400 Speaker 1: Missouri in the best position. Great honesty from Drink. Missouri 892 00:46:42,520 --> 00:46:45,839 Speaker 1: is going to be really good on defense. They were 893 00:46:45,880 --> 00:46:48,320 Speaker 1: twelfth in defensive stuff rate last year. This is a 894 00:46:48,400 --> 00:46:51,680 Speaker 1: schedule here where I see wins at South Dakota, Middle Tennessee, Vandy, 895 00:46:51,719 --> 00:46:54,160 Speaker 1: and Memphis. There's four I got them as small favorites 896 00:46:54,160 --> 00:46:57,320 Speaker 1: against Kansas State, South Carolina, Tennessee which market does not 897 00:46:57,400 --> 00:46:59,920 Speaker 1: agree with me, and Florida. That's a lot of small faves, 898 00:47:00,120 --> 00:47:03,719 Speaker 1: small dog Arkansas and Kentucky. The two teams that they 899 00:47:03,800 --> 00:47:06,840 Speaker 1: cannot beat on this schedule is LSU and Georgia. The 900 00:47:06,960 --> 00:47:10,600 Speaker 1: ceiling is ten, the floor is about six. I'm taking 901 00:47:10,600 --> 00:47:11,080 Speaker 1: an over here. 902 00:47:11,480 --> 00:47:13,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, I would lean over and make it six. I 903 00:47:13,160 --> 00:47:15,960 Speaker 2: make them six point six. I think I'm ultimately going 904 00:47:16,040 --> 00:47:18,680 Speaker 2: to pass. But it's a team going to bet a 905 00:47:18,760 --> 00:47:21,719 Speaker 2: lot and that's probably going to decide their win total. 906 00:47:21,719 --> 00:47:24,160 Speaker 2: But it's a team I want to bet on throughout 907 00:47:24,200 --> 00:47:30,400 Speaker 2: this season. And finally, let's close up the SEC East 908 00:47:30,840 --> 00:47:36,160 Speaker 2: betting preview with the Vanderbilt Commodores, who you. 909 00:47:36,200 --> 00:47:38,919 Speaker 1: Went over on last year, the best program in the nation. 910 00:47:40,520 --> 00:47:42,560 Speaker 3: We know that in time Vannibile football will be the 911 00:47:42,600 --> 00:47:43,800 Speaker 3: best program in the country. 912 00:47:44,960 --> 00:47:48,640 Speaker 2: They ended up hitting they're over with ease. They ended 913 00:47:48,680 --> 00:47:52,920 Speaker 2: at twenty six game SEC losing streak by beating Kentucky 914 00:47:52,960 --> 00:47:55,920 Speaker 2: and then they beat Florida. Florida fans are still livid 915 00:47:56,600 --> 00:48:00,960 Speaker 2: at that loss one back at quarterback. They are super 916 00:48:01,080 --> 00:48:05,239 Speaker 2: inexperienced at running back after losing Davis. The d has 917 00:48:05,320 --> 00:48:09,960 Speaker 2: a ton of upperclassmen. It's experience. You add in a 918 00:48:10,080 --> 00:48:12,840 Speaker 2: Clemson transfer in Patterson who helped who should help replace 919 00:48:12,880 --> 00:48:16,560 Speaker 2: their bust their best player in Orgy a cornerback, is 920 00:48:16,560 --> 00:48:20,440 Speaker 2: a super big concern for me. Offensive line as always, 921 00:48:21,000 --> 00:48:24,640 Speaker 2: even though it is experienced, it's like, can they actually 922 00:48:24,840 --> 00:48:29,600 Speaker 2: take a big step forward? You look at their schedule, 923 00:48:30,760 --> 00:48:36,279 Speaker 2: it is all about the first six games, so we 924 00:48:36,560 --> 00:48:38,279 Speaker 2: should mention they're five hundred and one when the SEC 925 00:48:38,360 --> 00:48:40,240 Speaker 2: two hundred and fifty to one to win the division 926 00:48:40,560 --> 00:48:43,560 Speaker 2: win total sitting flat four every four minus one ten. 927 00:48:44,960 --> 00:48:49,520 Speaker 2: So here their final six games are at a pissed 928 00:48:49,560 --> 00:48:52,480 Speaker 2: off Florida team who wants it from last year. That'll 929 00:48:52,520 --> 00:48:55,080 Speaker 2: be in the Swamp, then George at home, then at Ole, 930 00:48:55,200 --> 00:49:00,480 Speaker 2: miss Auburn at home, at South Carolina at Tennessee. I mean, 931 00:49:00,600 --> 00:49:04,319 Speaker 2: unless you're beaten beating Auburn at home, that's probably an 932 00:49:04,360 --> 00:49:08,520 Speaker 2: oh and six finish. So the start is Hawaii at home, 933 00:49:09,239 --> 00:49:12,120 Speaker 2: Alabama A and M, and then two winnable road games 934 00:49:12,160 --> 00:49:15,160 Speaker 2: against teams that I think are down in wake Forest 935 00:49:15,239 --> 00:49:19,719 Speaker 2: and UNOV, and then you got Kentucky and Missouri at home, 936 00:49:20,640 --> 00:49:24,759 Speaker 2: so I would think those are gonna be tough. Maybe 937 00:49:24,800 --> 00:49:27,160 Speaker 2: you can split them. So I think the wind total 938 00:49:27,200 --> 00:49:28,839 Speaker 2: comes down to do you think that they could stay? 939 00:49:28,840 --> 00:49:30,480 Speaker 2: They have to start three and ones, they're gonna start 940 00:49:30,480 --> 00:49:33,560 Speaker 2: two and oh. Can they get one or both of 941 00:49:33,640 --> 00:49:36,759 Speaker 2: those road games at Wake Forest and Unov. I'd lean over. 942 00:49:38,680 --> 00:49:41,520 Speaker 2: It's a tiny bit of value on the over because 943 00:49:41,520 --> 00:49:43,520 Speaker 2: I'm lower on Wake and lower on UNOV, and I 944 00:49:43,600 --> 00:49:46,640 Speaker 2: hope they pick off weak I also might be on 945 00:49:46,640 --> 00:49:50,560 Speaker 2: the under unov, but I'm already on underwake, so I 946 00:49:50,640 --> 00:49:53,319 Speaker 2: already have some exposure on bandy winning some of these 947 00:49:53,400 --> 00:49:57,800 Speaker 2: games early, but the back after the schedule is absolutely brutal. 948 00:49:58,200 --> 00:49:59,920 Speaker 2: Are you buying Clark Lee and the Door? 949 00:50:00,280 --> 00:50:04,479 Speaker 1: Once again? Mathematically I have them at two point nine 950 00:50:04,800 --> 00:50:07,640 Speaker 1: and as badly as as badly as I want to 951 00:50:07,719 --> 00:50:09,560 Speaker 1: play this over, I'm not going to play an under 952 00:50:09,600 --> 00:50:13,680 Speaker 1: and I'll tell you why. Bye week October twenty first 953 00:50:14,160 --> 00:50:17,680 Speaker 1: bye week November eighteenth. And this is a team that 954 00:50:17,960 --> 00:50:20,600 Speaker 1: just beat Kentucky and Florida in the month of November 955 00:50:20,760 --> 00:50:24,000 Speaker 1: last year. This team does not quit on clark Lee. 956 00:50:25,200 --> 00:50:28,440 Speaker 1: A lot of teams fade in November, especially when they're tired. 957 00:50:28,600 --> 00:50:30,120 Speaker 1: Vanderbilt will not be tired. 958 00:50:30,960 --> 00:50:32,759 Speaker 2: So if you get that all that Auburn win, that 959 00:50:32,840 --> 00:50:35,680 Speaker 2: Auburn game at home, that could be a big one, 960 00:50:35,840 --> 00:50:36,640 Speaker 2: a big swing game. 961 00:50:37,360 --> 00:50:40,799 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think Auburn's elite, but we'll we'll talk about 962 00:50:40,840 --> 00:50:44,320 Speaker 1: that on another podcast. So the progression of aj Swan, 963 00:50:44,560 --> 00:50:46,400 Speaker 1: you know, he was nine to one tv I int 964 00:50:46,600 --> 00:50:49,719 Speaker 1: ratio when he had a clean pocket. If Vanderbilt can 965 00:50:49,880 --> 00:50:54,000 Speaker 1: keep aj Swan clean, he's going to be great. You 966 00:50:54,040 --> 00:50:55,680 Speaker 1: know the wide receiver Shepherd, he had one hundred and 967 00:50:55,680 --> 00:50:58,200 Speaker 1: sixteen targets. He averaged two point one yards per route run. 968 00:50:58,360 --> 00:51:02,759 Speaker 1: That's explosive. They were one hundred and twenty seventh on 969 00:51:03,000 --> 00:51:06,719 Speaker 1: defense and allowing passing downs explosives. They got into third 970 00:51:06,760 --> 00:51:09,560 Speaker 1: and long, they got into second and long, they were 971 00:51:09,640 --> 00:51:13,360 Speaker 1: just prime to be taken advantage of. I think the 972 00:51:13,480 --> 00:51:15,759 Speaker 1: schedule is pretty tough. Auburn ole miss and they're in 973 00:51:15,800 --> 00:51:18,080 Speaker 1: the middle. But the first the start of it is 974 00:51:18,080 --> 00:51:20,480 Speaker 1: where you get your wins, and the end of it 975 00:51:20,680 --> 00:51:23,040 Speaker 1: is where they're a dog by fourteen points to Tennessee 976 00:51:23,080 --> 00:51:25,200 Speaker 1: and South Carolina and they pull off an upset again. 977 00:51:26,600 --> 00:51:29,320 Speaker 1: You know, so the offensive line has got to do. 978 00:51:29,320 --> 00:51:31,080 Speaker 2: You have Tennessee going oh to twelve. 979 00:51:32,000 --> 00:51:33,799 Speaker 1: Oh and thirteen, if they had a thirteenth. 980 00:51:33,520 --> 00:51:37,759 Speaker 2: Game, Tennessee's just gonna win for everybody this year. 981 00:51:38,040 --> 00:51:40,400 Speaker 1: It is for me. So I like wide receiver Will Shephard. 982 00:51:40,440 --> 00:51:45,120 Speaker 1: I love the safety to Ricky right listen, I they're 983 00:51:45,200 --> 00:51:47,640 Speaker 1: less than a ten point dog to Wake. I haven't 984 00:51:47,640 --> 00:51:49,480 Speaker 1: seen a game of the yearline out there, but you know, 985 00:51:49,640 --> 00:51:51,880 Speaker 1: my power rating and some other power raidings out there, 986 00:51:51,880 --> 00:51:55,319 Speaker 1: we respect. They're going to be an underdog about seven 987 00:51:55,360 --> 00:51:59,359 Speaker 1: to ten, So I bet it's a winnable game. I'll 988 00:51:59,360 --> 00:52:03,319 Speaker 1: play to be honest, Yeah, me too, because they get 989 00:52:03,400 --> 00:52:05,440 Speaker 1: more out of clark Lee. I love his four two 990 00:52:05,520 --> 00:52:08,920 Speaker 1: five scheme, mixes up quarters and cover three. It really 991 00:52:09,000 --> 00:52:10,840 Speaker 1: messes a lot of people up. I mean, Clarkly is 992 00:52:11,520 --> 00:52:13,800 Speaker 1: a really good head coach. He just needs the players 993 00:52:13,800 --> 00:52:16,120 Speaker 1: at Vanderbilt, which I'm not sure he's going to get. So, 994 00:52:16,920 --> 00:52:19,200 Speaker 1: you know, I asked him immediate days catch another ticket 995 00:52:19,200 --> 00:52:21,000 Speaker 1: if he had over one and a half about his 996 00:52:21,120 --> 00:52:23,560 Speaker 1: tackling and his coverage. He knew that its slipped off 997 00:52:23,680 --> 00:52:26,320 Speaker 1: last year. It is a point of focus this season. 998 00:52:27,080 --> 00:52:29,439 Speaker 1: We'll see how that translates. I'm not going to fade 999 00:52:29,480 --> 00:52:33,200 Speaker 1: Vanderbilt with Clark Lee with a total this low because 1000 00:52:33,239 --> 00:52:35,160 Speaker 1: of what they did in November last year. It's just 1001 00:52:35,239 --> 00:52:38,560 Speaker 1: a prime example of and you give them two buys 1002 00:52:39,480 --> 00:52:41,440 Speaker 1: this late in the season, no way. I mean I 1003 00:52:41,640 --> 00:52:43,919 Speaker 1: would take it over for everybody listening. Yeah, I would 1004 00:52:44,040 --> 00:52:48,560 Speaker 1: like it over, But mathematic I don't generally go against 1005 00:52:48,600 --> 00:52:50,480 Speaker 1: my math, and my math says it's a three win team. 1006 00:52:51,480 --> 00:52:53,920 Speaker 2: All right, good stuff there on the doors wore We 1007 00:52:54,760 --> 00:52:55,480 Speaker 2: finish up. 1008 00:52:56,560 --> 00:53:02,040 Speaker 1: Let's go three now. Let's make it a quick three 1009 00:53:02,120 --> 00:53:02,680 Speaker 1: and out. 1010 00:53:03,600 --> 00:53:06,880 Speaker 2: All right, as we did on the four previous Power 1011 00:53:07,280 --> 00:53:10,239 Speaker 2: five previews, and we will do so with the SEC 1012 00:53:10,360 --> 00:53:12,920 Speaker 2: West as well. We will go first down favorite over 1013 00:53:13,080 --> 00:53:16,719 Speaker 2: or future second down favorite under, and then third down 1014 00:53:16,880 --> 00:53:20,239 Speaker 2: a week zero or Week one or just a take 1015 00:53:20,360 --> 00:53:22,680 Speaker 2: or game of the year line that you want to mention. 1016 00:53:22,760 --> 00:53:26,640 Speaker 2: So let's start with first down favorite over. I'm gonna 1017 00:53:26,680 --> 00:53:29,719 Speaker 2: go with Kentucky. Unlike last year where I went under, 1018 00:53:30,719 --> 00:53:32,640 Speaker 2: I don't have to get shipped in Lexington this year. 1019 00:53:32,719 --> 00:53:36,120 Speaker 2: I'm going over heavy jukee six and a half or 1020 00:53:36,200 --> 00:53:41,440 Speaker 2: seven flat with Kentucky. I love bringing back Liam Cohen 1021 00:53:41,719 --> 00:53:44,120 Speaker 2: as offensive coordinator. I think Devin Leary is actually gonna 1022 00:53:44,120 --> 00:53:46,200 Speaker 2: be an upgrade if he can stay healthy at the 1023 00:53:46,280 --> 00:53:49,920 Speaker 2: quarterback position. And this all comes down to the offensive 1024 00:53:50,000 --> 00:53:53,040 Speaker 2: line improvement. I think they're good for at least seven 1025 00:53:53,120 --> 00:53:56,359 Speaker 2: wins here with this schedule. So give me the Cats over. 1026 00:53:57,239 --> 00:53:57,640 Speaker 3: What about you? 1027 00:53:58,400 --> 00:54:01,720 Speaker 1: I like it. I'm gonna go as my future Georgia 1028 00:54:01,800 --> 00:54:03,800 Speaker 1: minus won fifteen lay it. No one else going to 1029 00:54:03,800 --> 00:54:05,919 Speaker 1: the SC championship game that serves as a money line 1030 00:54:05,960 --> 00:54:06,480 Speaker 1: in Atlanta. 1031 00:54:06,600 --> 00:54:08,120 Speaker 2: No one else is going to SC champions games, so 1032 00:54:08,200 --> 00:54:09,040 Speaker 2: just them, They're just that's it. 1033 00:54:09,160 --> 00:54:09,359 Speaker 3: Yeah. 1034 00:54:09,600 --> 00:54:13,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, and Tennessee's gonna go in thirteen. But Georgia minus 1035 00:54:13,040 --> 00:54:15,359 Speaker 1: one fifteen is a future but from a so win 1036 00:54:15,400 --> 00:54:19,120 Speaker 1: the SEC, right, yeah, yeah, definitely, you're not taking Georgia 1037 00:54:19,160 --> 00:54:20,680 Speaker 1: minus five hundred to win the East. I would never 1038 00:54:20,719 --> 00:54:22,600 Speaker 1: tell anybody to lock money up like that unless it 1039 00:54:22,719 --> 00:54:25,920 Speaker 1: was a WW event or something from a win total perspective. 1040 00:54:26,000 --> 00:54:28,400 Speaker 1: Let's go Missouri over six and a half. I believe 1041 00:54:28,400 --> 00:54:30,480 Speaker 1: you can still get plus money out there. I make 1042 00:54:30,560 --> 00:54:33,680 Speaker 1: it seven point three. I'm not worried about the Missouri defense. 1043 00:54:33,760 --> 00:54:35,279 Speaker 1: And then when you look at the offense, the fact 1044 00:54:35,320 --> 00:54:38,759 Speaker 1: that Drinkwitz is able to give up play calling completely 1045 00:54:39,360 --> 00:54:42,000 Speaker 1: recognizing that he wasn't getting the job done, goes out 1046 00:54:42,040 --> 00:54:44,560 Speaker 1: and get Fresno State's offensive coordinator, who did an amazing 1047 00:54:44,680 --> 00:54:46,719 Speaker 1: job out there. I'll take over six and a half 1048 00:54:46,760 --> 00:54:47,680 Speaker 1: on the Tigers. 1049 00:54:47,800 --> 00:54:49,799 Speaker 2: All right, could stop there. Let's be about a second down. 1050 00:54:49,920 --> 00:54:53,840 Speaker 2: That's our favorite under. I'll kick things off with the 1051 00:54:54,600 --> 00:54:58,080 Speaker 2: game cock, so South Caro going under either have you 1052 00:54:58,160 --> 00:55:00,799 Speaker 2: you six and a half or unders six? You can 1053 00:55:00,840 --> 00:55:02,919 Speaker 2: find the up to minus one sixty on the under 1054 00:55:03,560 --> 00:55:05,840 Speaker 2: at six and a half. I would actually take that 1055 00:55:06,600 --> 00:55:12,200 Speaker 2: full motivation protection. I know Spencer Rattler really hit towards 1056 00:55:12,239 --> 00:55:14,160 Speaker 2: the end of the last year, but that's him. He's 1057 00:55:14,200 --> 00:55:17,720 Speaker 2: a roller coaster. He's still way too inconsistent for my taste. 1058 00:55:17,920 --> 00:55:20,680 Speaker 2: I still have a lot of faith and trust in Beamer, 1059 00:55:20,960 --> 00:55:23,520 Speaker 2: but I just don't see the horses on this roster 1060 00:55:23,719 --> 00:55:26,799 Speaker 2: with this schedule. I think the ceiling for this team 1061 00:55:26,840 --> 00:55:29,720 Speaker 2: is six wins. I'm going under the game Cocks. 1062 00:55:31,000 --> 00:55:33,359 Speaker 1: Well, let's get it out of the way, Rocky Top, 1063 00:55:33,440 --> 00:55:35,840 Speaker 1: You'll always be home, sweet Home to me. 1064 00:55:36,320 --> 00:55:38,520 Speaker 2: Alt win total under one and a half. 1065 00:55:38,800 --> 00:55:42,040 Speaker 1: ALT win total under one and a half plus twenty 1066 00:55:42,080 --> 00:55:44,880 Speaker 1: two to one odds. No, I'm gonna go under on Tennessee. 1067 00:55:45,920 --> 00:55:48,160 Speaker 1: More importantly, there is alt win totals at eight and 1068 00:55:48,200 --> 00:55:50,400 Speaker 1: a half out there at plus money, and I have 1069 00:55:50,600 --> 00:55:53,360 Speaker 1: already dipped into that and hit that too. Josh Heipel's 1070 00:55:53,400 --> 00:55:56,200 Speaker 1: offense needs a certain kind of quarterback and needs a 1071 00:55:56,239 --> 00:55:59,200 Speaker 1: certain kind of wide receiver. They you know, they lose 1072 00:55:59,239 --> 00:56:02,520 Speaker 1: the balintakf Win, they lose Hendon Hooker, and then when 1073 00:56:02,560 --> 00:56:04,480 Speaker 1: you look at your wide receivers. Brew McCoy has not 1074 00:56:04,600 --> 00:56:07,439 Speaker 1: proved that he can be an explosive wide receiver. Yet 1075 00:56:07,840 --> 00:56:10,440 Speaker 1: the defense doesn't have a single player that's first or 1076 00:56:10,480 --> 00:56:13,480 Speaker 1: second team All SEC. There's just not enough here to 1077 00:56:13,760 --> 00:56:15,560 Speaker 1: justify a win total of nine and half. There's not 1078 00:56:15,760 --> 00:56:17,360 Speaker 1: enough here to justify a win total of eight and 1079 00:56:17,400 --> 00:56:20,399 Speaker 1: a half. My math makes it below that. I'm gonna 1080 00:56:20,400 --> 00:56:22,799 Speaker 1: go with that. There's, you know, plenty of places here 1081 00:56:22,840 --> 00:56:25,720 Speaker 1: to lose. They're not beating Alabama, they're not beating Georgia, Texas, 1082 00:56:25,760 --> 00:56:27,480 Speaker 1: A and M. I think should be favored, Zuri should 1083 00:56:27,480 --> 00:56:30,239 Speaker 1: be favored, Kentucky should be favored. So I'm sorry, Rocky Top, 1084 00:56:30,280 --> 00:56:32,680 Speaker 1: and I know the corn do don't grow up there 1085 00:56:32,719 --> 00:56:34,839 Speaker 1: on the hill, but you're not going over your win 1086 00:56:34,920 --> 00:56:35,399 Speaker 1: total either. 1087 00:56:36,520 --> 00:56:41,439 Speaker 3: The carn Loan Crow, Rocket Top dirtst Rocky five ball. 1088 00:56:42,719 --> 00:56:46,760 Speaker 2: That's why the Rocket Top gets their corn. 1089 00:56:46,920 --> 00:56:58,400 Speaker 3: Rahma jar Rocky Up, Oh sweet home to me, Rocky. 1090 00:57:02,320 --> 00:57:06,360 Speaker 2: Get ready, Rocky Top Nation. For the voicemails during the season. 1091 00:57:06,920 --> 00:57:09,560 Speaker 2: If Tennessee goes over, I'm sure you'll be ready to 1092 00:57:09,640 --> 00:57:11,520 Speaker 2: let Colin know. So that should be a fun battle 1093 00:57:11,560 --> 00:57:13,759 Speaker 2: all year. But that'll do it for us. Thanks as 1094 00:57:13,800 --> 00:57:15,480 Speaker 2: always to Colin for joining me. Thanks to all of 1095 00:57:15,520 --> 00:57:17,920 Speaker 2: you for listening, thanks to our audio video producers on 1096 00:57:17,960 --> 00:57:20,320 Speaker 2: the back end. If you haven't already, please leave a 1097 00:57:20,360 --> 00:57:22,800 Speaker 2: five story review. We'll do a bunch of giveaways before 1098 00:57:22,880 --> 00:57:24,800 Speaker 2: the season. Just leave a five star review. I don't 1099 00:57:24,800 --> 00:57:28,160 Speaker 2: care what you say. You could say, fuck Colin Rocky, 1100 00:57:28,200 --> 00:57:32,400 Speaker 2: go Tennessee, whatever you want, fuck stuck, you're a homer. 1101 00:57:32,480 --> 00:57:33,800 Speaker 2: Whatever you want to see, five star of you. If 1102 00:57:33,800 --> 00:57:35,880 Speaker 2: you already done it, grab someone else's phone. We'll do 1103 00:57:36,080 --> 00:57:38,240 Speaker 2: a bunch of giveaways for the year. Really helped us out. 1104 00:57:39,040 --> 00:57:42,040 Speaker 2: But subscribe on subscribe, subscribe on subscribe, subscribe tel Frinde 1105 00:57:42,160 --> 00:57:44,440 Speaker 2: Lee me know the drill. That'll do it for us. 1106 00:57:45,120 --> 00:57:49,000 Speaker 2: We will see you soon with the SEC West Betting preview. 1107 00:57:49,400 --> 00:57:51,439 Speaker 2: College football will be here before we know it. Catch 1108 00:57:51,440 --> 00:57:52,160 Speaker 2: you'll soon cheers. 1109 00:57:52,600 --> 00:58:09,000 Speaker 1: Peace Out. Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If 1110 00:58:09,080 --> 00:58:11,640 Speaker 1: you or someone you care about has a gambling problem, 1111 00:58:11,960 --> 00:58:14,560 Speaker 1: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight 1112 00:58:14,640 --> 00:58:15,400 Speaker 1: hundred Gambler