1 00:00:02,480 --> 00:00:08,680 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News. 2 00:00:18,239 --> 00:00:22,000 Speaker 2: Hello and welcome to another episode of the Odd Lots Podcast. 3 00:00:22,079 --> 00:00:24,439 Speaker 1: I'm Joe Wisenthal and I'm Tracy Alloway. 4 00:00:24,640 --> 00:00:28,600 Speaker 2: Tracy, we recently did another special live episode at the 5 00:00:28,600 --> 00:00:29,600 Speaker 2: New York Public Library. 6 00:00:29,800 --> 00:00:33,279 Speaker 3: Yeah, a really great venue, a really special evening, and 7 00:00:33,360 --> 00:00:37,000 Speaker 3: fittingly given that we were recording at a library, the 8 00:00:37,240 --> 00:00:39,960 Speaker 3: library in New York, it was all about a new. 9 00:00:39,800 --> 00:00:41,200 Speaker 1: Book, that's right. 10 00:00:41,240 --> 00:00:43,920 Speaker 2: It was a pretty fitting location. So you were going 11 00:00:43,920 --> 00:00:47,200 Speaker 2: to listen to our live episode that we recorded with 12 00:00:47,400 --> 00:00:51,120 Speaker 2: Chris Hughes. He's actually one of the original founders of Facebook, 13 00:00:51,120 --> 00:00:54,680 Speaker 2: but he left fairly early into the company's journey. He's 14 00:00:54,720 --> 00:00:58,200 Speaker 2: currently getting his PhD at Penn in economics and he's 15 00:00:58,240 --> 00:01:00,680 Speaker 2: the author of the book Market Crafters, One hundred Year 16 00:01:00,720 --> 00:01:02,520 Speaker 2: Struggle to Shape the American Economy. 17 00:01:02,640 --> 00:01:03,760 Speaker 3: Yep, take a listen. 18 00:01:04,319 --> 00:01:07,920 Speaker 2: Thrilled to be a chatting why market craft? You know, 19 00:01:08,000 --> 00:01:10,600 Speaker 2: we talk people use the term industrial policy a lot 20 00:01:10,640 --> 00:01:13,240 Speaker 2: these days. It's got very hot over the last several years. 21 00:01:13,560 --> 00:01:16,120 Speaker 2: What is market craft mean? Why title it that? 22 00:01:16,840 --> 00:01:17,000 Speaker 4: Well? 23 00:01:17,040 --> 00:01:20,560 Speaker 5: Hello, Hello, I'm happy to be here. And before I 24 00:01:20,600 --> 00:01:23,120 Speaker 5: answer exactly what market craft is? And we spend the 25 00:01:23,160 --> 00:01:24,920 Speaker 5: next hour talking about it. I just have to say 26 00:01:25,400 --> 00:01:28,160 Speaker 5: that it is such a huge honor to be both 27 00:01:28,360 --> 00:01:31,119 Speaker 5: here at the library and institution that I care immensely about, 28 00:01:31,240 --> 00:01:36,360 Speaker 5: and to be a guest on this live tapings. 29 00:01:35,280 --> 00:01:38,920 Speaker 4: Than is my number one favorite podcast, and so we. 30 00:01:38,920 --> 00:01:40,520 Speaker 2: Love when they say that on the recording. But that 31 00:01:40,680 --> 00:01:43,759 Speaker 2: is a good reminder. It is a live taping, so you. 32 00:01:43,760 --> 00:01:45,760 Speaker 1: Know, silence cell phones, you can you can share it. 33 00:01:45,760 --> 00:01:46,520 Speaker 1: Clap a little bit. 34 00:01:46,920 --> 00:01:51,200 Speaker 5: So market craft, what is it? The basic idea is 35 00:01:51,520 --> 00:01:57,160 Speaker 5: that policy makers are often harnessing and shaping, harnessing private 36 00:01:57,240 --> 00:02:02,640 Speaker 5: markets and pointing them towards public goals like making Americans richer, safer, 37 00:02:02,720 --> 00:02:06,800 Speaker 5: and more economically secure, and that there's actually a very 38 00:02:06,840 --> 00:02:09,480 Speaker 5: long history of doing that in the United States. It's 39 00:02:09,520 --> 00:02:14,080 Speaker 5: done by Republicans, it's done by Democrats. It's done to 40 00:02:14,360 --> 00:02:19,720 Speaker 5: ensure energy stability, financial stability, or make semiconductors here at home. 41 00:02:20,240 --> 00:02:24,080 Speaker 5: There are a ton of successes in the past, plenty 42 00:02:24,120 --> 00:02:26,160 Speaker 5: of failures, and the whole point of writing the book 43 00:02:26,280 --> 00:02:30,880 Speaker 5: was to try to tease out what are the lessons 44 00:02:30,919 --> 00:02:34,040 Speaker 5: for our contemporary policy environment today, because we're going to 45 00:02:35,160 --> 00:02:37,079 Speaker 5: have to rebuild on the other side of the chaos 46 00:02:37,160 --> 00:02:39,160 Speaker 5: that exists in the world right now. 47 00:02:39,680 --> 00:02:42,440 Speaker 3: So just on this point, I mean, a large part 48 00:02:42,440 --> 00:02:45,119 Speaker 3: of the book is pointing out that the US does 49 00:02:45,160 --> 00:02:48,880 Speaker 3: in fact have this history of market craft as you 50 00:02:48,880 --> 00:02:51,360 Speaker 3: put it, and certainly other countries this is kind of 51 00:02:51,680 --> 00:02:55,079 Speaker 3: the norm. You know, Norway has sovereign wealth funds, parts 52 00:02:55,080 --> 00:02:57,440 Speaker 3: of the Middle East have sovereign wealth funds. Even in 53 00:02:57,560 --> 00:03:01,600 Speaker 3: economies that aren't necessarily centrally controlled, there's a bigger role 54 00:03:01,720 --> 00:03:04,880 Speaker 3: for governments to play in the economy. And yet in 55 00:03:04,919 --> 00:03:07,919 Speaker 3: the US up until fairly recently, I think it's fair 56 00:03:07,919 --> 00:03:10,840 Speaker 3: to say industrial policy was almost like a dirty word, 57 00:03:10,960 --> 00:03:14,440 Speaker 3: and there's this knee jerk reaction to this idea. 58 00:03:14,520 --> 00:03:15,120 Speaker 4: Why is that? 59 00:03:15,360 --> 00:03:19,560 Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean I think, listen, we all exist with 60 00:03:19,639 --> 00:03:24,720 Speaker 5: this idea in our heads that markets exist and are 61 00:03:24,880 --> 00:03:27,679 Speaker 5: almost forces of nature, and then on the other side 62 00:03:27,680 --> 00:03:30,680 Speaker 5: of the balance sheet there's government. I mean, I'm the 63 00:03:30,680 --> 00:03:33,400 Speaker 5: first to say that the language that I've used for 64 00:03:33,520 --> 00:03:39,640 Speaker 5: years has been around verbs like to intervene, as if 65 00:03:39,680 --> 00:03:42,160 Speaker 5: markets come first, and then government is just like the 66 00:03:42,200 --> 00:03:45,720 Speaker 5: emergency room that happens when things go awry and you've 67 00:03:45,720 --> 00:03:48,240 Speaker 5: got to bail out a bank. And the whole point 68 00:03:48,280 --> 00:03:51,720 Speaker 5: of My book is to say, actually, something bigger is happening. 69 00:03:52,000 --> 00:04:00,960 Speaker 5: Like if you look at the American economy between healthcare, pharmaceuticals, aviation, semiconductor, 70 00:04:00,960 --> 00:04:04,600 Speaker 5: and high tech clean energy, and add up the size 71 00:04:04,600 --> 00:04:07,640 Speaker 5: of these industries, you are well over half of American 72 00:04:07,680 --> 00:04:10,600 Speaker 5: GDP in industries where the state not just has a 73 00:04:10,640 --> 00:04:15,000 Speaker 5: heavy hand, but is actually crafting it from the beginning. 74 00:04:15,080 --> 00:04:17,800 Speaker 5: And so it is about industrial policy. There's a lot 75 00:04:17,839 --> 00:04:21,120 Speaker 5: in there about industrial policy, but it's actually about something bigger. 76 00:04:21,200 --> 00:04:24,239 Speaker 5: Market craft is something that encompasses what the FED does 77 00:04:24,400 --> 00:04:28,920 Speaker 5: in financial markets, what the Strategic Petroleum Reserve does in 78 00:04:29,160 --> 00:04:31,720 Speaker 5: energy markets. There's a whole set of strategies that I 79 00:04:31,760 --> 00:04:34,040 Speaker 5: think we have to be wrestling with. 80 00:04:34,160 --> 00:04:35,760 Speaker 2: All Right, I had a question that I was going 81 00:04:35,800 --> 00:04:38,880 Speaker 2: to save to near the end after we had gotten 82 00:04:38,880 --> 00:04:40,080 Speaker 2: more relaxed, et cetera. 83 00:04:40,400 --> 00:04:43,200 Speaker 1: But I've decided just do it. I've just decided that 84 00:04:43,240 --> 00:04:43,640 Speaker 1: I'm just. 85 00:04:43,560 --> 00:04:46,160 Speaker 2: Going to jump in with this question, which is you're 86 00:04:46,240 --> 00:04:48,039 Speaker 2: one of the co founders of Facebook. 87 00:04:48,560 --> 00:04:49,920 Speaker 4: Many people in. 88 00:04:49,839 --> 00:04:54,720 Speaker 2: Silicon Valley and tech have enjoyed extraordinary fortunes under a 89 00:04:54,760 --> 00:04:59,880 Speaker 2: sort of existing market economic regime, and in recent years 90 00:05:00,000 --> 00:05:03,800 Speaker 2: we've seen a number of them become seemingly very hostile 91 00:05:04,320 --> 00:05:08,479 Speaker 2: towards the public sector, the sort of emergent anti state politics, 92 00:05:08,640 --> 00:05:10,560 Speaker 2: and people have different theories. So people are like, oh, 93 00:05:10,560 --> 00:05:12,320 Speaker 2: they got their feelings hurt from the New York Times 94 00:05:12,480 --> 00:05:14,719 Speaker 2: or something like that. What is your theory for the 95 00:05:14,720 --> 00:05:15,440 Speaker 2: emergence of this? 96 00:05:16,640 --> 00:05:18,880 Speaker 5: Well, I mean it's hard not to have that image 97 00:05:18,960 --> 00:05:22,880 Speaker 5: of Bezos and Zuckerberg and the whole crew behind Trump 98 00:05:23,040 --> 00:05:26,560 Speaker 5: at the inauguration and just see that and say, what 99 00:05:26,600 --> 00:05:30,760 Speaker 5: are those guys hoping for? You know, certainly it's to 100 00:05:30,880 --> 00:05:34,880 Speaker 5: make more money somewhat, but I think it's about something bigger. 101 00:05:34,960 --> 00:05:37,920 Speaker 5: I think they want to have more power, they want 102 00:05:37,920 --> 00:05:39,839 Speaker 5: to have more respect, and they feel like in the 103 00:05:39,839 --> 00:05:43,200 Speaker 5: Biden years there was too much focus on things like 104 00:05:43,880 --> 00:05:47,200 Speaker 5: competition and fair markets. But if you fast forward, I 105 00:05:47,240 --> 00:05:49,360 Speaker 5: mean it's not even been one hundred days. You know, 106 00:05:49,560 --> 00:05:53,479 Speaker 5: the trial against Facebook is ongoing. Mark Zuckerberg was on 107 00:05:53,520 --> 00:05:55,760 Speaker 5: the stand for much of last week. If you're not 108 00:05:55,800 --> 00:05:59,520 Speaker 5: following it closely, the FTC filed suit against Uber two 109 00:05:59,600 --> 00:06:04,240 Speaker 5: days ago, and there's and Google just last week lost 110 00:06:04,320 --> 00:06:08,160 Speaker 5: its second antitrust case with a federal prosecuted by the 111 00:06:08,240 --> 00:06:13,279 Speaker 5: Justice Department, making clear that it's a monopoly. So we're 112 00:06:13,760 --> 00:06:15,599 Speaker 5: only a few months in and you squint and you 113 00:06:15,640 --> 00:06:18,480 Speaker 5: look at you're like, what are these guys getting out 114 00:06:18,480 --> 00:06:21,479 Speaker 5: of this? It doesn't seem like very much since you 115 00:06:21,520 --> 00:06:22,440 Speaker 5: brought up the FTC. 116 00:06:22,720 --> 00:06:24,320 Speaker 3: I mean, this is something I don't think a lot 117 00:06:24,360 --> 00:06:28,640 Speaker 3: of people were expecting this to happen. But like, anti 118 00:06:28,720 --> 00:06:32,600 Speaker 3: monopoly seems to be a through line between Biden and 119 00:06:32,680 --> 00:06:38,440 Speaker 3: Trump to some extent, right and certainly pursuing some actions 120 00:06:38,520 --> 00:06:41,440 Speaker 3: against big tech. Why do you think that is? Like 121 00:06:41,480 --> 00:06:43,800 Speaker 3: why is this an area of consensus? And then just 122 00:06:43,839 --> 00:06:46,560 Speaker 3: going back to Joe's question, you think any of those 123 00:06:46,600 --> 00:06:49,960 Speaker 3: guys who were standing at Trump's inauguration are they happy 124 00:06:50,080 --> 00:06:51,160 Speaker 3: with the current situation? 125 00:06:51,440 --> 00:06:52,000 Speaker 4: I don't think so. 126 00:06:52,480 --> 00:06:56,160 Speaker 5: No, But you know, anti monopoly is a bit how 127 00:06:56,200 --> 00:06:58,479 Speaker 5: I got into market craft in the first place. So 128 00:06:59,320 --> 00:07:02,479 Speaker 5: about six years ago I wrote an article in New 129 00:07:02,560 --> 00:07:05,799 Speaker 5: York Times saying that I thought Facebook should undergo structural 130 00:07:05,839 --> 00:07:09,560 Speaker 5: separation or breakup, that its corporate power had become too 131 00:07:09,600 --> 00:07:12,800 Speaker 5: concentrated and it become a monopoly. And that started me 132 00:07:12,840 --> 00:07:16,160 Speaker 5: on a journey of really wrestling with the history of 133 00:07:16,160 --> 00:07:20,360 Speaker 5: anti monopoly in the United States. And you can't think 134 00:07:20,400 --> 00:07:26,240 Speaker 5: about that set of topics without seeing public actors saying, hey, 135 00:07:26,240 --> 00:07:29,160 Speaker 5: we want markets to work a certain way. We don't 136 00:07:29,200 --> 00:07:31,480 Speaker 5: think that they should be concentrated with a lot of power. 137 00:07:31,520 --> 00:07:33,920 Speaker 5: We think they should be competitive. We think it should 138 00:07:33,920 --> 00:07:36,400 Speaker 5: be easy for new entrants to come in and innovate. 139 00:07:36,720 --> 00:07:40,840 Speaker 5: We think markets should keep prices low, wages up, and 140 00:07:41,520 --> 00:07:43,600 Speaker 5: innovation going. And so we are going to use the 141 00:07:43,640 --> 00:07:47,600 Speaker 5: tools of public policy to craft those markets to ensure 142 00:07:48,120 --> 00:07:50,680 Speaker 5: that's the case. Whether it's the free market going to 143 00:07:50,720 --> 00:07:52,520 Speaker 5: lead to it or not, it really doesn't matter, because 144 00:07:52,560 --> 00:07:55,200 Speaker 5: we have this goal as a common good. And so 145 00:07:55,320 --> 00:07:57,720 Speaker 5: once you sort of once I began to see that 146 00:07:57,840 --> 00:08:02,880 Speaker 5: in the anti monopoly world, you quickly saw it at 147 00:08:03,080 --> 00:08:07,080 Speaker 5: the FED as an institution that you know, most free 148 00:08:07,120 --> 00:08:11,960 Speaker 5: market Bible thumping folks would say that they appreciate, but 149 00:08:12,160 --> 00:08:15,440 Speaker 5: you know, the FED sets the price of short term 150 00:08:15,480 --> 00:08:21,920 Speaker 5: credit and is actively in markets buffering that price through 151 00:08:21,960 --> 00:08:24,640 Speaker 5: open market operations. And then if things really go awry, 152 00:08:24,880 --> 00:08:27,040 Speaker 5: you bet it's going to be there to step in 153 00:08:27,240 --> 00:08:32,120 Speaker 5: to stabilize, so that market is crafted and managed every 154 00:08:32,360 --> 00:08:35,880 Speaker 5: single day for stability. And so I began to see 155 00:08:35,880 --> 00:08:39,200 Speaker 5: all these kind of cross pollinations and similar trends and 156 00:08:39,240 --> 00:08:41,600 Speaker 5: that you know, a couple of years later, here's the 157 00:08:41,600 --> 00:08:42,040 Speaker 5: fruit of that. 158 00:08:59,440 --> 00:09:01,280 Speaker 1: I have one. I want to go back to resentful 159 00:09:01,400 --> 00:09:04,240 Speaker 1: billionaires again and do it, and I have a different 160 00:09:04,320 --> 00:09:06,440 Speaker 1: You're not the only worry. But tell me if it's 161 00:09:06,480 --> 00:09:07,160 Speaker 1: total nonsense. 162 00:09:07,200 --> 00:09:09,360 Speaker 2: You know, I tweet all day because I want people 163 00:09:09,360 --> 00:09:12,160 Speaker 2: to hear all my thoughts. And you wrote a book, 164 00:09:12,320 --> 00:09:16,080 Speaker 2: you left Facebook, and you're an economist and you're published 165 00:09:16,080 --> 00:09:19,160 Speaker 2: a book that's influential and intellectual. How much is it 166 00:09:19,200 --> 00:09:22,959 Speaker 2: about resent that they're extremely wealthy and successful, but they 167 00:09:23,040 --> 00:09:25,720 Speaker 2: also want to be regarded as smart. 168 00:09:27,360 --> 00:09:30,600 Speaker 3: This, in my opinion, is why Twitter exists, Like this. 169 00:09:30,679 --> 00:09:33,840 Speaker 2: Is my impression, so that there is that they also 170 00:09:33,880 --> 00:09:35,120 Speaker 2: want to be market crafters. 171 00:09:35,280 --> 00:09:35,920 Speaker 4: They don't just. 172 00:09:35,960 --> 00:09:40,160 Speaker 2: Want to be market competitors. They want to My sense 173 00:09:40,160 --> 00:09:42,440 Speaker 2: is that we all want to be market crafters. And 174 00:09:42,480 --> 00:09:45,760 Speaker 2: how much is it about they felt like, yeah, incredibly successful, 175 00:09:45,880 --> 00:09:47,200 Speaker 2: but they didn't get to help craft it. 176 00:09:47,440 --> 00:09:50,200 Speaker 4: Yeah, I think that's I think that's directly right. 177 00:09:50,240 --> 00:09:53,880 Speaker 5: I should say I try very hard to avoid social 178 00:09:53,920 --> 00:09:56,560 Speaker 5: media so that you're not on the blue app. I'm 179 00:09:56,559 --> 00:09:59,720 Speaker 5: not on Instagram, I lark on Twitter. I recently opened 180 00:09:59,720 --> 00:10:01,920 Speaker 5: a blue Sky account. It doesn't have a lot of followers, 181 00:10:02,120 --> 00:10:04,560 Speaker 5: be great if I had a couple more, But so 182 00:10:04,720 --> 00:10:07,640 Speaker 5: I'm not actively using social media, so it's harder for 183 00:10:07,679 --> 00:10:09,000 Speaker 5: me to weigh in on that. 184 00:10:09,080 --> 00:10:09,880 Speaker 4: But I am. 185 00:10:10,280 --> 00:10:13,960 Speaker 5: I do think that there is this lurking desire to 186 00:10:14,400 --> 00:10:17,080 Speaker 5: partner with government in some cases in craft markets. And 187 00:10:17,120 --> 00:10:19,240 Speaker 5: so there's a very crisp example. It's not from one 188 00:10:19,280 --> 00:10:22,439 Speaker 5: of the current billionaires. But there's this guy, Robert Nois, 189 00:10:22,600 --> 00:10:25,040 Speaker 5: which some of you may have heard of. He was 190 00:10:25,040 --> 00:10:28,440 Speaker 5: one of the co founders of Intel. Grew up as 191 00:10:28,520 --> 00:10:32,960 Speaker 5: a son of a Congregationalist minister and a family in Iowa, 192 00:10:34,000 --> 00:10:38,520 Speaker 5: ends up going to MIT and then invents the integrated circuit, 193 00:10:38,920 --> 00:10:44,360 Speaker 5: which is a fundamental part of the semiconductor makes gobs 194 00:10:44,440 --> 00:10:49,240 Speaker 5: of money, and after years of that, guess what happens 195 00:10:49,240 --> 00:10:53,800 Speaker 5: in the mid nineteen eighties Japan. Japan as an industry 196 00:10:54,040 --> 00:10:59,760 Speaker 5: starts really out competing the American semi conductor manufacturing market. 197 00:11:00,000 --> 00:11:03,760 Speaker 5: They are moving faster, they have their own industrial policy 198 00:11:03,760 --> 00:11:05,520 Speaker 5: that's pushing it. And so all of a sudden, Noise, 199 00:11:05,559 --> 00:11:08,719 Speaker 5: who had for his entire life been a libertarian who 200 00:11:08,720 --> 00:11:11,160 Speaker 5: didn't want anything to do with government, thought it was 201 00:11:11,440 --> 00:11:13,680 Speaker 5: not a great idea, would have liked to downsize it 202 00:11:13,720 --> 00:11:17,880 Speaker 5: as we're seeing other billionaires be interested in today, all 203 00:11:17,960 --> 00:11:20,480 Speaker 5: of a sudden he shows up in Washington and he says, 204 00:11:20,480 --> 00:11:25,720 Speaker 5: wait a second, we need an industrial policy for semiconductors 205 00:11:25,760 --> 00:11:29,920 Speaker 5: and for chips. And the Defense Department agrees because they're 206 00:11:29,920 --> 00:11:33,840 Speaker 5: concerned for national security reasons and noise, and the government 207 00:11:33,920 --> 00:11:38,559 Speaker 5: effectively partner because their interests at that moment are overlapping. 208 00:11:38,920 --> 00:11:41,880 Speaker 5: We get something called semitech which is created, which is 209 00:11:42,800 --> 00:11:47,280 Speaker 5: about a billion dollars. It's invested to enable the semiconductor 210 00:11:47,320 --> 00:11:51,840 Speaker 5: companies to begin coordinating, making their vertical their supply chains 211 00:11:52,000 --> 00:11:56,160 Speaker 5: vertically more integrated and more efficient, and a few years later, 212 00:11:56,559 --> 00:12:02,560 Speaker 5: America recaptures its market share and globally of semiconductors, we're 213 00:12:02,640 --> 00:12:05,840 Speaker 5: back on the top. So, you know, I think that 214 00:12:06,040 --> 00:12:10,000 Speaker 5: the lesson from that is complicated because on the one hand, 215 00:12:10,280 --> 00:12:14,360 Speaker 5: you do see a private sector actor with a lot 216 00:12:14,400 --> 00:12:18,240 Speaker 5: to gain from private private wealth maximization, but working with 217 00:12:18,400 --> 00:12:21,240 Speaker 5: the public sector, where the public sector also has a 218 00:12:21,280 --> 00:12:25,000 Speaker 5: lot to gain from semiconductors being made in the United States, 219 00:12:25,120 --> 00:12:28,199 Speaker 5: and in that case it worked for both. It doesn't 220 00:12:28,200 --> 00:12:31,360 Speaker 5: always work out like that. But I think that's clear 221 00:12:31,480 --> 00:12:34,080 Speaker 5: historical evidence of the fact that there is this lurking 222 00:12:34,720 --> 00:12:37,040 Speaker 5: desire for market craft on the part of a lot 223 00:12:37,080 --> 00:12:37,760 Speaker 5: of these folks. 224 00:12:38,040 --> 00:12:40,760 Speaker 3: Now I'm torn whether I should ask another question about 225 00:12:40,760 --> 00:12:43,880 Speaker 3: angry billionaires who tweet a lot, or about the books. 226 00:12:43,920 --> 00:12:46,600 Speaker 3: So I'm going to try to thread the needle elon 227 00:12:46,720 --> 00:12:51,920 Speaker 3: musk at Doje. It's a very active organization. Some would say, 228 00:12:51,960 --> 00:12:55,520 Speaker 3: would that count as market craft under your framework? 229 00:12:55,640 --> 00:12:58,679 Speaker 4: No? No, no, But I mean seriously, it's. 230 00:13:00,080 --> 00:13:04,400 Speaker 5: That's just tearing apart the federal government and the administrative Yeah, because. 231 00:13:04,200 --> 00:13:07,200 Speaker 3: Your book is actually emphasizes the importance of institutions. 232 00:13:07,240 --> 00:13:09,920 Speaker 5: It's the exact inverse. So my book makes the case 233 00:13:09,960 --> 00:13:14,199 Speaker 5: that when market craft is successful, you have administrative agencies 234 00:13:14,640 --> 00:13:18,120 Speaker 5: like the Chips Office, like the FED, like this SPR 235 00:13:18,679 --> 00:13:22,600 Speaker 5: that have a clear mission on chore semiconductors, keep financial 236 00:13:22,600 --> 00:13:23,760 Speaker 5: markets stable, et cetera. 237 00:13:24,440 --> 00:13:27,040 Speaker 4: And then they have the discretion to pursue. 238 00:13:26,559 --> 00:13:30,760 Speaker 5: That mission and the ability to get it done. And 239 00:13:30,800 --> 00:13:35,120 Speaker 5: that it is critical to understand that institutions in America 240 00:13:35,840 --> 00:13:40,559 Speaker 5: need that power in order to make markets work more effectively. 241 00:13:40,600 --> 00:13:43,760 Speaker 5: That doesn't mean that they're always perfect, but we get 242 00:13:43,960 --> 00:13:48,280 Speaker 5: much worse outcomes when we create these balkanized sort of 243 00:13:48,480 --> 00:13:51,120 Speaker 5: hybrid setups, and that's what you see in something like 244 00:13:51,240 --> 00:13:55,560 Speaker 5: healthcare markets today. So the importance of institutions is at 245 00:13:55,600 --> 00:13:59,560 Speaker 5: the center of this book, and my belief in Musk 246 00:13:59,600 --> 00:14:01,880 Speaker 5: and Crewer just trying to demolish all of them. 247 00:14:02,160 --> 00:14:06,160 Speaker 3: So on the institution's point, I mean, I think part 248 00:14:06,480 --> 00:14:10,319 Speaker 3: of the institution's problem in US politics is that you 249 00:14:10,640 --> 00:14:12,480 Speaker 3: get a lot of people who think that these are 250 00:14:12,600 --> 00:14:15,680 Speaker 3: unelected officials with a lot of power, you know, those 251 00:14:15,679 --> 00:14:18,920 Speaker 3: sort of like Ivory Tower bureaucrats who are deciding everything. 252 00:14:19,800 --> 00:14:22,520 Speaker 3: How do you, I guess, how do you overcome that 253 00:14:22,920 --> 00:14:28,000 Speaker 3: sort of instinctual I guess negativity towards building more institutions 254 00:14:28,080 --> 00:14:29,000 Speaker 3: in the US government? 255 00:14:29,640 --> 00:14:32,760 Speaker 5: I think you show people where it works, and you 256 00:14:32,840 --> 00:14:37,440 Speaker 5: have to be clear about where institutions actually deliver for people. 257 00:14:38,000 --> 00:14:39,960 Speaker 5: So I'll give you an example that's a little bit 258 00:14:40,000 --> 00:14:43,040 Speaker 5: further back in history. So the book starts with the 259 00:14:43,080 --> 00:14:46,440 Speaker 5: story of the National Investment Bank that we create in 260 00:14:46,480 --> 00:14:50,960 Speaker 5: the depression. In nineteen thirty two, Herbert Hoover, actually a Republican, 261 00:14:51,440 --> 00:14:56,360 Speaker 5: creates an institution called the Reconstruction Finance Corporation, with a 262 00:14:56,400 --> 00:15:01,720 Speaker 5: clear mandate, first to reinforce capitalism that was disintegrating at 263 00:15:01,720 --> 00:15:05,040 Speaker 5: the time, and then a few years later the mandate 264 00:15:05,080 --> 00:15:09,600 Speaker 5: expands to actually spur development. At the head of this 265 00:15:09,640 --> 00:15:12,640 Speaker 5: thing is this larger than life figure named Jesse Jones. 266 00:15:13,040 --> 00:15:15,760 Speaker 5: So this guy was born in Tennessee, but he moves 267 00:15:15,880 --> 00:15:20,040 Speaker 5: to Texas at a young age. He invests in all 268 00:15:20,160 --> 00:15:22,400 Speaker 5: kinds of local businesses, and by the time he's thirty, 269 00:15:22,400 --> 00:15:24,960 Speaker 5: he's a millionaire. And a few years later he's got 270 00:15:24,960 --> 00:15:27,120 Speaker 5: so much money that he's building buildings in New York 271 00:15:27,120 --> 00:15:31,280 Speaker 5: City and all across the Eastern seaboard. Then nineteen twenty 272 00:15:31,320 --> 00:15:36,200 Speaker 5: nine happens, and he has less to do, so he does. 273 00:15:36,280 --> 00:15:39,480 Speaker 5: He is a Democratic Party activist. He's been a fundraiser 274 00:15:39,520 --> 00:15:42,200 Speaker 5: for a long time, even shares an office with Roosevelt 275 00:15:42,240 --> 00:15:44,960 Speaker 5: in nineteen twenty four. He convinces the Democrats to have 276 00:15:45,000 --> 00:15:48,240 Speaker 5: their convention in Houston in nineteen twenty eight, where oh 277 00:15:48,280 --> 00:15:51,240 Speaker 5: so conveniently, balloons fall from the ceiling that say Jesse 278 00:15:51,360 --> 00:15:52,240 Speaker 5: Jones for President. 279 00:15:53,240 --> 00:15:54,360 Speaker 4: He's like a larger than. 280 00:15:54,280 --> 00:15:56,280 Speaker 5: Life figure, but he's at the head of this bank, 281 00:15:56,360 --> 00:16:00,880 Speaker 5: this institution, the National Investment Bank, And when he comes 282 00:16:00,880 --> 00:16:03,840 Speaker 5: into power. At the beginning, he says, you know, our 283 00:16:03,840 --> 00:16:06,520 Speaker 5: first mission is going to be to reinforce all of 284 00:16:06,560 --> 00:16:09,320 Speaker 5: the private commercial banks, recapitalize them, make sure that they're 285 00:16:09,360 --> 00:16:12,640 Speaker 5: ready for deposit insurance. But then in the second phase, 286 00:16:13,600 --> 00:16:15,600 Speaker 5: on the advice of John Maynard Kaines and some other 287 00:16:15,640 --> 00:16:19,160 Speaker 5: economists Jones and consultation with Roosevelt, says, we got to 288 00:16:19,680 --> 00:16:24,600 Speaker 5: really deploy public capital into the American economy, particularly in 289 00:16:24,720 --> 00:16:28,440 Speaker 5: industries that are going to encourage a lot of employment 290 00:16:29,080 --> 00:16:33,680 Speaker 5: and make things cheaper for consumers. So they prioritize housing, 291 00:16:34,480 --> 00:16:37,000 Speaker 5: and they build a kind of institution that's named Fanny 292 00:16:37,040 --> 00:16:41,040 Speaker 5: May which endures obviously today, and they invent the thirty 293 00:16:41,120 --> 00:16:44,560 Speaker 5: year mortgage, which at the time mortgages had been ten years. 294 00:16:44,600 --> 00:16:47,400 Speaker 5: By expanding it to thirty years, the cost of housing 295 00:16:47,720 --> 00:16:50,280 Speaker 5: comes down significantly, and all of a sudden you see 296 00:16:50,280 --> 00:16:52,400 Speaker 5: a boom in housing. And then there's a third phase 297 00:16:52,440 --> 00:16:55,000 Speaker 5: in the war years where they bird the aviation industry 298 00:16:55,040 --> 00:16:57,520 Speaker 5: and synthetic rubber and all kinds of other things. And 299 00:16:57,600 --> 00:17:00,280 Speaker 5: so my point is is you see a man who 300 00:17:00,320 --> 00:17:06,200 Speaker 5: comes in skeptical of, you know, of the far left. 301 00:17:06,240 --> 00:17:09,560 Speaker 5: In the New Deal period, certainly wouldn't have identified with 302 00:17:09,600 --> 00:17:13,360 Speaker 5: those folks, But who ends up believing in and building 303 00:17:13,680 --> 00:17:18,840 Speaker 5: an institution of American capitalism that crafts markets toward a 304 00:17:18,880 --> 00:17:22,160 Speaker 5: common good. And so that example is really inspiring. It's 305 00:17:22,160 --> 00:17:24,119 Speaker 5: further back in history, but we've got all kinds of 306 00:17:24,160 --> 00:17:25,280 Speaker 5: things that are closer. 307 00:17:26,040 --> 00:17:30,040 Speaker 2: One of the criticisms of a lot of legacy institutions, 308 00:17:30,320 --> 00:17:33,920 Speaker 2: whether it's universities or various parts of the public sector, 309 00:17:34,359 --> 00:17:37,640 Speaker 2: et cetera, that comes from the right is that they've 310 00:17:37,680 --> 00:17:39,920 Speaker 2: lost their own sense of mission. We have to tear 311 00:17:39,960 --> 00:17:42,439 Speaker 2: them down because they have lost their own sense of mission. 312 00:17:42,680 --> 00:17:47,199 Speaker 2: They're consumed with niche obsessions, consumed with identity things like 313 00:17:47,240 --> 00:17:50,760 Speaker 2: that that are unrelated to their mission of whatever it 314 00:17:50,800 --> 00:17:53,840 Speaker 2: is their building, whether it's homes, whether it's semiconductors, whether 315 00:17:53,840 --> 00:17:56,800 Speaker 2: it's education. When you look at the history, do you 316 00:17:56,880 --> 00:18:02,520 Speaker 2: see any evidence of sort of mission deviation or institutions 317 00:18:02,520 --> 00:18:03,960 Speaker 2: that have lost their north star. 318 00:18:05,240 --> 00:18:07,480 Speaker 5: It's not a pattern that I saw in the research 319 00:18:07,760 --> 00:18:11,200 Speaker 5: of the book. And if that happens, that's what Congress 320 00:18:11,280 --> 00:18:15,199 Speaker 5: is for. I mean, the Congress holds institutions accountable and 321 00:18:15,320 --> 00:18:18,720 Speaker 5: monitors their activity. I mean, take the Chips Act. It 322 00:18:18,800 --> 00:18:23,040 Speaker 5: was passed in twenty twenty two. But chips was actually 323 00:18:24,080 --> 00:18:26,120 Speaker 5: an idea from the first Trump. 324 00:18:25,800 --> 00:18:27,120 Speaker 4: Era that. 325 00:18:29,000 --> 00:18:33,280 Speaker 5: Yeah, well yeah, and the Undersecretary of State for Economic 326 00:18:33,560 --> 00:18:36,560 Speaker 5: Affairs and a whole set of folks were very. 327 00:18:36,359 --> 00:18:37,440 Speaker 4: Invested in it. 328 00:18:37,440 --> 00:18:39,680 Speaker 5: It gains steam and is passed in twenty twenty two, 329 00:18:40,440 --> 00:18:42,560 Speaker 5: and then you know, quite quickly. 330 00:18:43,400 --> 00:18:45,520 Speaker 4: Money begins to move. 331 00:18:46,000 --> 00:18:49,520 Speaker 5: Congress actually a year later, says, you know what, We're 332 00:18:49,520 --> 00:18:54,919 Speaker 5: going to exempt semiconductor construction from NIPA requirements, making the 333 00:18:55,000 --> 00:18:57,399 Speaker 5: environmental requirements that in some cases could have made it 334 00:18:57,480 --> 00:19:00,680 Speaker 5: harder to build. So Congress stepped in to make sure 335 00:19:00,680 --> 00:19:04,359 Speaker 5: that something that they did actually happened more effectively. Or 336 00:19:04,400 --> 00:19:08,400 Speaker 5: similarly with the FED, I mean, Congress is constantly tweaking 337 00:19:08,720 --> 00:19:10,639 Speaker 5: the FED. Who gets to decide who's going to be 338 00:19:10,680 --> 00:19:15,359 Speaker 5: a reserve beank president, even in some cases the methodologies 339 00:19:15,359 --> 00:19:17,000 Speaker 5: for monetary policy implementation. 340 00:19:17,119 --> 00:19:19,960 Speaker 4: So I think accountability is very important. 341 00:19:20,359 --> 00:19:23,639 Speaker 5: But accountability rests in the legislative branch, not with an 342 00:19:23,680 --> 00:19:26,639 Speaker 5: impulsive billionaire just running through town with a hammer. 343 00:19:27,240 --> 00:19:29,800 Speaker 3: Speaking of the FED, I think you mentioned that you 344 00:19:29,840 --> 00:19:33,760 Speaker 3: initially set out to write a book just right like 345 00:19:34,440 --> 00:19:36,280 Speaker 3: what was the Cause of the Switch? And then I 346 00:19:36,280 --> 00:19:38,760 Speaker 3: guess how did that inform your research process? 347 00:19:39,160 --> 00:19:40,639 Speaker 4: So I have a special place in my heart for 348 00:19:40,680 --> 00:19:41,399 Speaker 4: fed history. 349 00:19:41,800 --> 00:19:44,639 Speaker 5: I've been working on a dissertation at Wharton for a 350 00:19:44,640 --> 00:19:48,320 Speaker 5: few years which is more properly narrow and focused on 351 00:19:48,320 --> 00:19:51,119 Speaker 5: that topic, and I thought that's what this book was 352 00:19:51,160 --> 00:19:56,440 Speaker 5: going to be initially. But then when the conversation around 353 00:19:56,520 --> 00:20:01,879 Speaker 5: industrial policy exploded, and the the Climate Bill happened, the 354 00:20:01,960 --> 00:20:05,639 Speaker 5: Chips Bill happened, the Infrastructure Bill happened, a new conversation 355 00:20:05,720 --> 00:20:09,720 Speaker 5: around tariffs in the Biden administration was happening, it felt 356 00:20:09,760 --> 00:20:12,480 Speaker 5: like there was a bigger story to tell and the 357 00:20:12,600 --> 00:20:15,720 Speaker 5: challenge that the thing I wanted to do was to 358 00:20:15,840 --> 00:20:18,800 Speaker 5: explain how did we get from the era that I 359 00:20:18,880 --> 00:20:22,919 Speaker 5: grew up in, you know, the Clinton and George W. 360 00:20:23,000 --> 00:20:27,879 Speaker 5: Bush era where most people thought markets self regulate and 361 00:20:28,119 --> 00:20:32,560 Speaker 5: work on their own, to a moment where both parties, 362 00:20:32,920 --> 00:20:36,639 Speaker 5: both Democrats and Republicans, put the state at the center 363 00:20:36,920 --> 00:20:41,159 Speaker 5: of the economic story. And I wanted to track that 364 00:20:41,359 --> 00:20:43,800 Speaker 5: history in the past fifteen years and see it through 365 00:20:43,800 --> 00:20:46,840 Speaker 5: the Great Recession and then the challenge of climate and 366 00:20:46,880 --> 00:20:49,960 Speaker 5: then the rise of China and the pandemic, and understand 367 00:20:50,000 --> 00:20:54,879 Speaker 5: how you got these bizarre agreements, like you know, almost 368 00:20:54,920 --> 00:20:58,879 Speaker 5: a dozen Republicans voting for Lena Khan in the Senate 369 00:20:58,960 --> 00:21:01,439 Speaker 5: to run the FTC. How did that happen? Where did 370 00:21:01,480 --> 00:21:04,760 Speaker 5: that come from? And how enduring might that be? And 371 00:21:04,840 --> 00:21:07,720 Speaker 5: that set of questions then took me way back into 372 00:21:07,760 --> 00:21:10,680 Speaker 5: history and then back into the present day, and well, 373 00:21:10,680 --> 00:21:11,280 Speaker 5: how did we. 374 00:21:11,240 --> 00:21:13,840 Speaker 1: Get twelve Senate Republicans to vote for Lena Khan. 375 00:21:15,080 --> 00:21:18,679 Speaker 5: I think the confluence of those four events made Americans, 376 00:21:18,760 --> 00:21:23,000 Speaker 5: let alone policy makers, realized that markets don't just take 377 00:21:23,040 --> 00:21:27,080 Speaker 5: care of themselves, and that that whole idea, that whole story, 378 00:21:27,680 --> 00:21:32,920 Speaker 5: wasn't working. That capitalism needs to be cultivated, and that 379 00:21:32,960 --> 00:21:35,679 Speaker 5: markets need to be cared for. In the introduction of 380 00:21:35,680 --> 00:21:39,280 Speaker 5: the book, I talk about this metaphor of a vegetable garden, 381 00:21:39,320 --> 00:21:41,399 Speaker 5: which might seem a little hokey, but at least for me, 382 00:21:41,600 --> 00:21:44,720 Speaker 5: it's personal because when I grew up, I grew up 383 00:21:44,720 --> 00:21:48,200 Speaker 5: in North Carolina in a small town, and my dad 384 00:21:48,520 --> 00:21:51,040 Speaker 5: tilled up a third of the backyard to make a 385 00:21:51,080 --> 00:21:55,239 Speaker 5: vegetable garden and constantly forced me in the summers to 386 00:21:55,320 --> 00:21:59,560 Speaker 5: go like weed and pick green beans and steak tomatoes 387 00:21:59,560 --> 00:22:02,360 Speaker 5: and do all these things that I did not want 388 00:22:02,359 --> 00:22:05,760 Speaker 5: to do. Yeah, a lot of people enjoy this, it 389 00:22:05,760 --> 00:22:06,680 Speaker 5: turns out me. 390 00:22:08,240 --> 00:22:08,400 Speaker 4: So. 391 00:22:08,880 --> 00:22:11,280 Speaker 5: But nonetheless, I spent an inordinate amount of time in 392 00:22:11,280 --> 00:22:14,520 Speaker 5: that garden. And so when I started to think about, like, well, 393 00:22:14,520 --> 00:22:17,800 Speaker 5: what are markets like if they're not these self regulating systems, 394 00:22:18,400 --> 00:22:22,080 Speaker 5: the best metaphor that I that I landed upon is 395 00:22:22,160 --> 00:22:26,439 Speaker 5: a garden because it recognizes there are organic forces that 396 00:22:26,480 --> 00:22:29,760 Speaker 5: can sometimes be unruly, that won't necessarily cooperate and just 397 00:22:29,800 --> 00:22:33,520 Speaker 5: do exactly what you want to do. But it also 398 00:22:33,600 --> 00:22:39,720 Speaker 5: recognizes that you need care and cultivation to steer those plants. 399 00:22:39,720 --> 00:22:41,399 Speaker 5: You need to plant some things in the sun and 400 00:22:41,440 --> 00:22:43,800 Speaker 5: some things in the shades. You need fertilizer for some things, 401 00:22:43,800 --> 00:22:45,919 Speaker 5: you need to get the weeds out for others. You 402 00:22:45,960 --> 00:22:47,959 Speaker 5: need to shape these markets. You need to point them 403 00:22:48,000 --> 00:22:51,280 Speaker 5: in a direction to ensure they're actually working, that they're 404 00:22:51,359 --> 00:22:54,959 Speaker 5: producing a harvest that you want to eat and then 405 00:22:55,160 --> 00:22:57,439 Speaker 5: and that is going to be nutritious. And so I 406 00:22:57,520 --> 00:23:00,320 Speaker 5: kept coming back to that metaphor, and I think it 407 00:23:00,359 --> 00:23:01,520 Speaker 5: is the right. 408 00:23:01,400 --> 00:23:03,760 Speaker 4: One to think about how markets actually work. 409 00:23:04,359 --> 00:23:07,560 Speaker 3: I want to say one thing about gardening, which is 410 00:23:07,640 --> 00:23:10,000 Speaker 3: everyone has this image in their minds that it's like 411 00:23:10,040 --> 00:23:14,000 Speaker 3: this really peaceful like pastoral activity, and it's not. It 412 00:23:14,080 --> 00:23:18,160 Speaker 3: is like this violent struggle to stop everything from. 413 00:23:18,080 --> 00:23:19,480 Speaker 4: Killing each other. Basically. 414 00:23:20,640 --> 00:23:25,800 Speaker 3: Yeah, So I like the metaphor, okay, speaking of bad 415 00:23:25,840 --> 00:23:30,800 Speaker 3: stuff happening. Almost every example in your book of you know, 416 00:23:30,920 --> 00:23:35,360 Speaker 3: instances of market craft actually developing stems from a crisis 417 00:23:35,880 --> 00:23:39,200 Speaker 3: of one sort or another. There's the Great Depression, There's 418 00:23:39,240 --> 00:23:43,960 Speaker 3: obviously the COVID pandemic. You know, high inflation, high oil prices, 419 00:23:44,000 --> 00:23:46,720 Speaker 3: things like that. Do you have to have a market 420 00:23:46,760 --> 00:23:50,600 Speaker 3: crisis before people can start building consensus that there is 421 00:23:50,680 --> 00:23:53,399 Speaker 3: actually a role for the government to come in and 422 00:23:53,440 --> 00:23:57,240 Speaker 3: try to achieve some policy aims through market craft. 423 00:23:57,840 --> 00:24:01,520 Speaker 5: No, but it helps, and it's always matters how you 424 00:24:01,520 --> 00:24:04,399 Speaker 5: define the crisis. You know, there are several examples of 425 00:24:04,480 --> 00:24:08,040 Speaker 5: market crafters who are very successful in the book, who 426 00:24:08,040 --> 00:24:10,920 Speaker 5: are not responding to crisis. So I have an extended 427 00:24:10,960 --> 00:24:15,639 Speaker 5: passage on Alan Greenspan, who is normally not thought of 428 00:24:15,720 --> 00:24:18,840 Speaker 5: as like a market crafting kind of guy. He's supposed 429 00:24:18,880 --> 00:24:22,439 Speaker 5: to be the deregulator in chief, and he did do 430 00:24:22,600 --> 00:24:24,840 Speaker 5: plenty of that when he was the Chair of the FED, 431 00:24:25,480 --> 00:24:29,560 Speaker 5: But he also had a vision, And so I'm going 432 00:24:29,640 --> 00:24:32,399 Speaker 5: to use him as an example to make to make 433 00:24:32,440 --> 00:24:35,320 Speaker 5: it clear that market craft is neither good nor bad 434 00:24:35,359 --> 00:24:37,800 Speaker 5: and of itself, it matters. It's a tool and it's 435 00:24:37,840 --> 00:24:40,040 Speaker 5: pointed towards a certain end, and it can be a 436 00:24:40,040 --> 00:24:41,520 Speaker 5: good one or it can be a bad one. For 437 00:24:42,000 --> 00:24:48,000 Speaker 5: green Span, it was financial innovation. He's so intensely believed 438 00:24:48,080 --> 00:24:53,359 Speaker 5: that the more efficient markets would be, the more prosperity 439 00:24:53,520 --> 00:24:56,199 Speaker 5: and stability would come out of that. I mean, the 440 00:24:56,240 --> 00:25:00,040 Speaker 5: guy is writing papers when he's a young analyst in 441 00:25:00,080 --> 00:25:04,879 Speaker 5: the fifties along these lines and eventually knits them together 442 00:25:04,920 --> 00:25:08,080 Speaker 5: in his PhD dissertation, And then when he becomes chair 443 00:25:08,119 --> 00:25:10,760 Speaker 5: of the Fed, Yeah, he does deregulate and take a 444 00:25:10,760 --> 00:25:14,080 Speaker 5: lot of rules out of the way, but he also 445 00:25:14,840 --> 00:25:19,000 Speaker 5: makes really important policy actions to encourage the development of 446 00:25:19,080 --> 00:25:22,840 Speaker 5: financially innovative tools, things that we now know of as 447 00:25:23,240 --> 00:25:28,840 Speaker 5: credit defaults, fops and special purpose vehicles and the kinds 448 00:25:28,880 --> 00:25:32,679 Speaker 5: of things that did indeed significantly increase leverage in the 449 00:25:32,720 --> 00:25:37,600 Speaker 5: financial sector, did in some cases mean markets moved faster 450 00:25:37,800 --> 00:25:42,040 Speaker 5: and more efficiently, and he believed would ultimately create that 451 00:25:42,119 --> 00:25:45,960 Speaker 5: kind of market discipline that would keep the whole system stable. 452 00:25:46,200 --> 00:25:47,160 Speaker 4: So he had a goal. 453 00:25:47,600 --> 00:25:50,119 Speaker 5: It was market it was financial innovation, and he was 454 00:25:50,240 --> 00:25:54,600 Speaker 5: using the power of his institution to deliver on it. 455 00:25:54,600 --> 00:25:57,639 Speaker 5: It's just it had disastrous consequences and he was wrong. 456 00:25:58,520 --> 00:25:59,440 Speaker 1: Let's talk more about the event. 457 00:25:59,440 --> 00:26:01,760 Speaker 2: By the way, I think it's really cool that you 458 00:26:01,840 --> 00:26:04,280 Speaker 2: went and after, you know, after the Facebook, and did 459 00:26:04,280 --> 00:26:05,680 Speaker 2: all this stuff, then you got your pH d. 460 00:26:06,280 --> 00:26:11,160 Speaker 5: Well, we're still working on it, working on your PhD. 461 00:26:11,280 --> 00:26:14,639 Speaker 2: I read Kevin Rudd, the former Prime Minister of Australia, 462 00:26:14,800 --> 00:26:16,600 Speaker 2: after he was PM, went and got his pH d 463 00:26:16,720 --> 00:26:19,960 Speaker 2: at Oxford and wrote an amazing book about hues and pain. 464 00:26:20,080 --> 00:26:22,040 Speaker 2: So maybe there's hope. Maybe Tracy and I will get 465 00:26:22,240 --> 00:26:26,680 Speaker 2: PhDs one day. But I hear different things about the 466 00:26:26,720 --> 00:26:29,600 Speaker 2: history of what people call FED independence. 467 00:26:29,040 --> 00:26:31,960 Speaker 1: And people in the old days presidents were always hectoring. 468 00:26:31,960 --> 00:26:33,919 Speaker 2: The FED chief to do this or that and this 469 00:26:33,960 --> 00:26:35,879 Speaker 2: isn't really that unusual, and other people like, oh no, 470 00:26:36,000 --> 00:26:38,440 Speaker 2: this is a cherish thing, and we've that we ever, 471 00:26:38,800 --> 00:26:40,960 Speaker 2: you know, interventioned by the White House. 472 00:26:40,920 --> 00:26:45,000 Speaker 1: In your research on the FED, how unusual or. 473 00:26:45,040 --> 00:26:48,840 Speaker 2: Usual is it for this sort of pressure that we see. 474 00:26:49,160 --> 00:26:53,480 Speaker 2: Did presidents use to tweet to lower rates whatever the 475 00:26:53,480 --> 00:26:54,560 Speaker 2: equivalent was back. 476 00:26:54,440 --> 00:26:54,760 Speaker 1: In the day. 477 00:26:54,840 --> 00:26:58,159 Speaker 5: Yeah, well, obviously it's a very timely topic given that 478 00:26:58,320 --> 00:27:00,520 Speaker 5: you know, last week Pal was about be fired. This 479 00:27:00,560 --> 00:27:07,800 Speaker 5: week apparently it was never even really considered. So there 480 00:27:07,880 --> 00:27:11,760 Speaker 5: is a very long history of presidents trying to bully 481 00:27:11,800 --> 00:27:15,360 Speaker 5: FED chairs to get what they want with monetary policy. 482 00:27:15,880 --> 00:27:19,040 Speaker 5: It is, you know, virtually since the beginning of the institution, 483 00:27:19,400 --> 00:27:23,919 Speaker 5: this has been a trend. Kennedy and Kennedy's administration does 484 00:27:23,960 --> 00:27:28,000 Speaker 5: it with Bill Martin. In nineteen sixty, Lyndon Johnson summons 485 00:27:28,040 --> 00:27:30,960 Speaker 5: the FED chair down to his ranch in Texas and 486 00:27:31,000 --> 00:27:35,480 Speaker 5: takes him on this legendary jaunt. Richard Nixon is pressuring 487 00:27:35,640 --> 00:27:40,280 Speaker 5: Arthur Burns. Reagan doesn't really like Vulcar so he replaces him. 488 00:27:40,320 --> 00:27:43,920 Speaker 5: We could go through all of the examples, and this 489 00:27:44,080 --> 00:27:49,280 Speaker 5: is different because this time the president isn't just pressuring 490 00:27:49,640 --> 00:27:53,159 Speaker 5: the FED chair to do what he wants. He is 491 00:27:53,200 --> 00:27:58,160 Speaker 5: threatening to take illegal action to fire him, which it's 492 00:27:58,280 --> 00:28:02,320 Speaker 5: very clear in the Federal Reserve is not legal. The 493 00:28:02,359 --> 00:28:05,960 Speaker 5: president can only remove the chair four cause, and similarly 494 00:28:05,960 --> 00:28:09,280 Speaker 5: with the other members of the Board of Governors and 495 00:28:09,480 --> 00:28:12,840 Speaker 5: so and it's not just a threat obviously like Trump 496 00:28:12,960 --> 00:28:15,200 Speaker 5: has done this. He has fired two of the five 497 00:28:15,520 --> 00:28:19,760 Speaker 5: FTC over at the FTC two of the five commissioners 498 00:28:19,760 --> 00:28:24,199 Speaker 5: who are Democrats, also illegal in the FTC Act, it 499 00:28:24,280 --> 00:28:26,680 Speaker 5: is illegal to fire them unless it's four casts. He's 500 00:28:26,680 --> 00:28:29,000 Speaker 5: done at the NLRB, at the credit unions, et cetera. 501 00:28:29,359 --> 00:28:33,080 Speaker 5: So I think this is a real threat. I tend 502 00:28:33,119 --> 00:28:36,520 Speaker 5: not to use the word independence because I think the 503 00:28:36,600 --> 00:28:41,800 Speaker 5: FED is actually quite sensitive to political and economic trends, 504 00:28:41,840 --> 00:28:44,959 Speaker 5: what they're hearing in a lot of different domains. It 505 00:28:45,000 --> 00:28:48,080 Speaker 5: is an insulated institution, which I think makes it stronger, 506 00:28:48,480 --> 00:28:51,560 Speaker 5: but it is not a purely independent one. And these 507 00:28:51,600 --> 00:28:55,080 Speaker 5: threats I think are really unprecedented and we should all 508 00:28:55,120 --> 00:29:12,840 Speaker 5: be frightened by them. 509 00:29:13,000 --> 00:29:15,520 Speaker 3: All right, So, speaking of things that might be different 510 00:29:15,760 --> 00:29:18,440 Speaker 3: this time, we do have a president who seems very 511 00:29:18,520 --> 00:29:22,760 Speaker 3: very determined to divorce the US in some ways from 512 00:29:22,920 --> 00:29:25,560 Speaker 3: the rest of the global economy, the global financial system. 513 00:29:25,920 --> 00:29:28,160 Speaker 3: The subtitle of your book is the one hundred Year 514 00:29:28,200 --> 00:29:31,800 Speaker 3: Struggle to Shape the American Economy. You could easily have 515 00:29:31,880 --> 00:29:34,160 Speaker 3: titled it the one hundred year Struggle for the US 516 00:29:34,240 --> 00:29:37,080 Speaker 3: to shape the global economy, right, like, the US went 517 00:29:37,120 --> 00:29:40,720 Speaker 3: on a very explicit mission to shape our current financial 518 00:29:40,760 --> 00:29:43,120 Speaker 3: system and you do have a very chunky chapter in 519 00:29:43,160 --> 00:29:46,440 Speaker 3: there about Breton Woods. Talk to us about why we 520 00:29:46,440 --> 00:29:50,719 Speaker 3: should all, I guess, familiarize ourselves with things like Breton Woods, 521 00:29:50,760 --> 00:29:53,920 Speaker 3: euro dollars, capital controls in our current climate. 522 00:29:55,120 --> 00:29:56,480 Speaker 5: Let me tell you a little bit of the story 523 00:29:56,520 --> 00:29:59,360 Speaker 5: of the breakdown of Brettonwoods and why it matters for today, 524 00:29:59,440 --> 00:30:02,480 Speaker 5: because when I wrote that chapter, I had no idea 525 00:30:03,160 --> 00:30:07,520 Speaker 5: that the dollar would actually be threatened as the global 526 00:30:07,560 --> 00:30:08,960 Speaker 5: reserve currency. 527 00:30:09,080 --> 00:30:10,720 Speaker 4: And this is real. 528 00:30:11,840 --> 00:30:14,680 Speaker 5: So BRETTONWOODZ was this agreement that came out of World 529 00:30:14,760 --> 00:30:19,560 Speaker 5: War Two that where the United States committed to sell 530 00:30:19,760 --> 00:30:23,600 Speaker 5: gold at thirty five dollars announce and it would peg 531 00:30:23,680 --> 00:30:27,560 Speaker 5: the dollar to all other foreign currencies. So this way, 532 00:30:27,680 --> 00:30:32,120 Speaker 5: the dollar effectively became the bedrock of the global financial system. 533 00:30:32,400 --> 00:30:35,640 Speaker 5: And underneath it there was gold, so it was an 534 00:30:35,680 --> 00:30:39,400 Speaker 5: effective gold standard. But the United States was making the 535 00:30:39,400 --> 00:30:44,080 Speaker 5: commitment to be able to redeem dollars for gold should 536 00:30:44,280 --> 00:30:46,479 Speaker 5: a foreign country or anyone else in the market and 537 00:30:46,520 --> 00:30:49,960 Speaker 5: want to make that exchange. Now, the whole system was 538 00:30:50,040 --> 00:30:53,280 Speaker 5: premised on the fact that as the rest of the 539 00:30:53,320 --> 00:30:57,280 Speaker 5: economy grew, the United States had to increase the amount 540 00:30:57,360 --> 00:31:02,160 Speaker 5: of dollars in circulation for time, because as economies grow, 541 00:31:02,240 --> 00:31:04,680 Speaker 5: they need more currency. If the dollar is the base currency, 542 00:31:04,960 --> 00:31:10,000 Speaker 5: is the global standard, you need more of it. One problem, 543 00:31:10,720 --> 00:31:14,680 Speaker 5: the more dollars you print, the less they're worth. And 544 00:31:14,760 --> 00:31:17,320 Speaker 5: so by its very nature, you are not going to 545 00:31:17,320 --> 00:31:21,320 Speaker 5: be able to deliver on the promise to redeem gold 546 00:31:21,480 --> 00:31:25,440 Speaker 5: at thirty five dollars announce. So it's like a vice 547 00:31:25,560 --> 00:31:29,920 Speaker 5: that tightens between nineteen forty, between the post war years 548 00:31:30,040 --> 00:31:34,680 Speaker 5: and nineteen seventy one, when it gets just so impossible 549 00:31:34,840 --> 00:31:37,960 Speaker 5: for the United States to continue this commitment, there's a run, 550 00:31:38,520 --> 00:31:41,360 Speaker 5: and I tell the story of the book where Nixon 551 00:31:41,800 --> 00:31:45,640 Speaker 5: summons every single person who runs any of the economic 552 00:31:45,720 --> 00:31:48,640 Speaker 5: institutions in the country to Camp David, and they come 553 00:31:48,720 --> 00:31:52,680 Speaker 5: up with a plan, and they end the Breton Woods system. 554 00:31:52,880 --> 00:31:57,479 Speaker 5: They in the gold commitment, and they move into a 555 00:31:57,520 --> 00:32:01,080 Speaker 5: regime of eventually it becomes a regime of float exchange rates. 556 00:32:01,440 --> 00:32:03,880 Speaker 5: Now we make it through partially because price and wage 557 00:32:03,880 --> 00:32:08,320 Speaker 5: controls hold down inflation for a period, etc. But it 558 00:32:08,360 --> 00:32:10,720 Speaker 5: is touch and go for a lot of that period. 559 00:32:10,920 --> 00:32:13,480 Speaker 5: And so then you fast forward to today, and I 560 00:32:13,480 --> 00:32:16,200 Speaker 5: think the easiest way to think about it is, instead 561 00:32:16,200 --> 00:32:20,480 Speaker 5: of gold being that thing underneath the dollar that guarantees 562 00:32:20,520 --> 00:32:25,840 Speaker 5: its value. It's the institutions of American capitalism. So the 563 00:32:25,920 --> 00:32:29,320 Speaker 5: dollar continues to be the global reserve currency today. And 564 00:32:29,360 --> 00:32:32,560 Speaker 5: the reason that is is because we have had an 565 00:32:32,560 --> 00:32:36,200 Speaker 5: independent central bank, We have had a treasury that reliably 566 00:32:36,240 --> 00:32:40,280 Speaker 5: and always pays the coupon on its debt in a 567 00:32:40,320 --> 00:32:44,480 Speaker 5: way that investors can believe in and expect. And so 568 00:32:44,880 --> 00:32:48,480 Speaker 5: does people want dollars. People want us treasuries, people want 569 00:32:48,480 --> 00:32:52,000 Speaker 5: these financial assets. And now two things are throwing that 570 00:32:52,040 --> 00:32:56,400 Speaker 5: into question. The first, obviously is Trump's impulsive economic policy, 571 00:32:56,440 --> 00:32:59,800 Speaker 5: which disregards the importance of institutions in the first place. 572 00:33:00,200 --> 00:33:03,760 Speaker 5: But the second is we're flooding the market yet again 573 00:33:04,280 --> 00:33:09,040 Speaker 5: with dollars and dollar denominated assets. Like the deficit last 574 00:33:09,080 --> 00:33:11,920 Speaker 5: year was seven percent of GDP. It's not supposed to 575 00:33:11,960 --> 00:33:14,360 Speaker 5: be that high in a healthy economy. And right now 576 00:33:14,400 --> 00:33:18,080 Speaker 5: the plan is another six trillion dollars of tax cuts, 577 00:33:18,360 --> 00:33:21,680 Speaker 5: which is just to give it for perspective, is as 578 00:33:21,760 --> 00:33:24,480 Speaker 5: much as the tax cuts of Trump one point zero 579 00:33:24,920 --> 00:33:29,920 Speaker 5: and the pandemic aid combined. And we're already at seven 580 00:33:29,960 --> 00:33:33,040 Speaker 5: percent of g So we have another moment where we've 581 00:33:33,080 --> 00:33:37,120 Speaker 5: flooded the world with dollars where they're losing value and 582 00:33:37,360 --> 00:33:41,040 Speaker 5: the underlying guarantee of that value, the security of American 583 00:33:41,600 --> 00:33:45,840 Speaker 5: capitalists institutions is under threat, and so you're seeing an 584 00:33:45,920 --> 00:33:49,960 Speaker 5: unprecedented period and a potential run do it. 585 00:33:50,080 --> 00:33:53,760 Speaker 2: Yesterday night there was a news story President Trump said 586 00:33:53,760 --> 00:33:57,160 Speaker 2: he wouldn't want to raise taxes on millionaires because it 587 00:33:57,160 --> 00:34:01,520 Speaker 2: would be quote disruptive to the and then he said 588 00:34:01,520 --> 00:34:04,000 Speaker 2: that the millionaires would leave the country, which I'd hope 589 00:34:04,040 --> 00:34:06,680 Speaker 2: most of them would be, uh, you know, stick around. 590 00:34:06,800 --> 00:34:09,000 Speaker 1: But that's his view of them. 591 00:34:09,160 --> 00:34:11,239 Speaker 2: But what does it say, you know, about even the 592 00:34:11,320 --> 00:34:16,160 Speaker 2: prospect for market craft if people in government don't feel 593 00:34:16,239 --> 00:34:19,320 Speaker 2: that they have the capacity, the political power, et cetera 594 00:34:19,680 --> 00:34:23,520 Speaker 2: to at times bring pockets of wealth truly healed, so 595 00:34:23,640 --> 00:34:26,799 Speaker 2: to speak, and to wield that power, or were they like, 596 00:34:26,920 --> 00:34:30,080 Speaker 2: is there any prospect for positive market craft in a 597 00:34:30,160 --> 00:34:34,520 Speaker 2: world where politicians feel that like they're subservient to. 598 00:34:36,000 --> 00:34:37,000 Speaker 1: Huge pockets of wealth. 599 00:34:37,760 --> 00:34:39,600 Speaker 4: I very much think so. 600 00:34:39,600 --> 00:34:43,600 Speaker 5: So I'm skeptical in this administration that that's gonna happen, 601 00:34:44,520 --> 00:34:47,719 Speaker 5: but I think there's all kinds of opportunities for positive 602 00:34:47,920 --> 00:34:49,799 Speaker 5: market crafts. So the things that I focus on these 603 00:34:49,880 --> 00:34:53,520 Speaker 5: days are the cost of living crisis in the United States. 604 00:34:53,640 --> 00:34:56,680 Speaker 5: I mean, that is what voters are very clearly still 605 00:34:57,040 --> 00:35:01,240 Speaker 5: frustrated about. Prices are up twenty percent from the beginning 606 00:35:01,280 --> 00:35:05,560 Speaker 5: of the pandemic till now, and it's particularly concentrated in 607 00:35:05,600 --> 00:35:07,680 Speaker 5: things like housing. I meaner can spend a third of 608 00:35:07,719 --> 00:35:11,360 Speaker 5: their income on housing, and then if you go to groceries, 609 00:35:11,400 --> 00:35:14,920 Speaker 5: and then you go to care, healthcare, childcare, you're above 610 00:35:14,960 --> 00:35:19,560 Speaker 5: fifty percent for most families. And so we can craft 611 00:35:19,719 --> 00:35:23,840 Speaker 5: housing markets to make housing cheaper. We can certainly do 612 00:35:23,880 --> 00:35:26,800 Speaker 5: some of the zoning and streamlining that the abundance folks 613 00:35:26,840 --> 00:35:29,120 Speaker 5: like Ezra Kline and others are for. I think that's 614 00:35:29,160 --> 00:35:29,840 Speaker 5: a good idea. 615 00:35:29,880 --> 00:35:30,319 Speaker 4: I kind of. 616 00:35:30,239 --> 00:35:33,920 Speaker 3: Wondered how long it would take us before I mentioned abundant. 617 00:35:33,719 --> 00:35:38,040 Speaker 4: We got it's pretty good. I think that those are 618 00:35:38,040 --> 00:35:38,760 Speaker 4: good ideas. 619 00:35:38,840 --> 00:35:41,480 Speaker 5: But I also don't think that you can just make 620 00:35:41,520 --> 00:35:44,560 Speaker 5: it easier to build and then sit back and hope 621 00:35:44,560 --> 00:35:46,360 Speaker 5: people show up. At least that's not been the experience 622 00:35:46,360 --> 00:35:49,839 Speaker 5: in California. Like it's been years since they have been 623 00:35:49,840 --> 00:35:52,160 Speaker 5: on this process of trying to change their laws and 624 00:35:52,400 --> 00:35:54,800 Speaker 5: building starts are not showing the same kind of growth 625 00:35:54,800 --> 00:35:57,800 Speaker 5: that you would like. You have to craft markets more aggressively. 626 00:35:57,840 --> 00:36:02,000 Speaker 5: There's a lot of other tools, particular public investment. So 627 00:36:02,040 --> 00:36:08,480 Speaker 5: we need a housing construction fund for multifamily developers to 628 00:36:08,960 --> 00:36:11,359 Speaker 5: make it cheaper to build. You guys have had some 629 00:36:11,440 --> 00:36:14,640 Speaker 5: folks on your podcast make who make this case. You know, 630 00:36:14,680 --> 00:36:17,440 Speaker 5: the estimates are that for an investment of about fifty 631 00:36:17,440 --> 00:36:20,560 Speaker 5: billion dollars at a federal level, you could get somewhere 632 00:36:20,600 --> 00:36:23,720 Speaker 5: between one and two million home spell and that's about 633 00:36:23,719 --> 00:36:26,480 Speaker 5: half the housing shortfall in the United States. That's quite 634 00:36:26,480 --> 00:36:29,560 Speaker 5: a lot of progress. You could have an industrial policy 635 00:36:29,600 --> 00:36:33,240 Speaker 5: for modular. So modular is the kind of housing where 636 00:36:33,400 --> 00:36:35,520 Speaker 5: you build the components off site and then you bring 637 00:36:35,560 --> 00:36:38,399 Speaker 5: them in. And there's this amazing time lass video which 638 00:36:38,400 --> 00:36:41,800 Speaker 5: I saw about six weeks ago of an apartment building 639 00:36:41,920 --> 00:36:45,560 Speaker 5: in Denver where they bring in the pieces and it 640 00:36:45,560 --> 00:36:48,080 Speaker 5: goes so quickly. It looks like the Mike Sun places 641 00:36:48,120 --> 00:36:52,440 Speaker 5: with magnetiles, these like pies. They're amazing. But you just 642 00:36:52,520 --> 00:36:55,720 Speaker 5: see it, and you just watch this. This apartment building 643 00:36:55,760 --> 00:36:59,520 Speaker 5: with seventy seven units go up in the course of 644 00:36:59,640 --> 00:37:04,680 Speaker 5: seven days, and it's mind blowing. And half of the 645 00:37:04,680 --> 00:37:07,400 Speaker 5: building that happens in the Nordic countries is through modular 646 00:37:07,800 --> 00:37:12,040 Speaker 5: and so that's a kind of industry that I think 647 00:37:12,040 --> 00:37:14,600 Speaker 5: if we had an industrial policy to encourage and not 648 00:37:14,680 --> 00:37:18,359 Speaker 5: just public investment, but also standard setting making sure it's 649 00:37:18,400 --> 00:37:21,520 Speaker 5: possible for people to get mortgages for them, you could 650 00:37:21,520 --> 00:37:23,960 Speaker 5: see significantly more development. So I think we need a 651 00:37:24,000 --> 00:37:26,759 Speaker 5: market craft for housing. On food, I think we could 652 00:37:26,760 --> 00:37:31,080 Speaker 5: do reserve stock buffering on eggs and coffee, like I 653 00:37:31,160 --> 00:37:34,200 Speaker 5: talk about in the book on care, there's a whole 654 00:37:34,200 --> 00:37:37,319 Speaker 5: set of interventions as well. There's an aspirational agenda, is 655 00:37:37,320 --> 00:37:40,080 Speaker 5: what I'm trying to say, that could help us attack 656 00:37:40,120 --> 00:37:44,279 Speaker 5: the cost of living crisis. And this administration is going 657 00:37:44,320 --> 00:37:47,960 Speaker 5: to hike prices through the tear of policy, not bring 658 00:37:48,000 --> 00:37:50,560 Speaker 5: them down. And so Democrats are going to have to 659 00:37:50,600 --> 00:37:55,040 Speaker 5: have another message and also the specific policy expertise to 660 00:37:55,640 --> 00:37:56,440 Speaker 5: get it done. 661 00:37:56,680 --> 00:37:58,840 Speaker 3: Yeah, there's a long running joke on all Blots that 662 00:37:58,840 --> 00:38:01,400 Speaker 3: what America really needs is a strategic pork preserve. 663 00:38:01,600 --> 00:38:03,680 Speaker 4: I think all agree on this. 664 00:38:04,800 --> 00:38:09,040 Speaker 3: Okay, speaking of agreeing, one of the chapters in your 665 00:38:09,040 --> 00:38:12,040 Speaker 3: book that I really enjoyed was the sort of behind 666 00:38:12,040 --> 00:38:14,360 Speaker 3: the scenes look at Bidenomics. 667 00:38:14,680 --> 00:38:16,400 Speaker 4: Yeah, and you. 668 00:38:16,280 --> 00:38:18,960 Speaker 3: Do get a really good sense of some of the 669 00:38:19,239 --> 00:38:23,600 Speaker 3: discussions that take place, the areas of disagreement. The sort 670 00:38:23,640 --> 00:38:28,040 Speaker 3: of protagonist and antagonist, I guess in this discussion in 671 00:38:28,080 --> 00:38:32,120 Speaker 3: your book is Larry Summers versus Brian Deese exactly. And 672 00:38:32,160 --> 00:38:35,600 Speaker 3: you were also involved in the Obama administration, like talk 673 00:38:35,640 --> 00:38:38,440 Speaker 3: to us what you learned about the actual sausage making 674 00:38:38,520 --> 00:38:42,520 Speaker 3: process of market craft and what sort of like how 675 00:38:42,520 --> 00:38:45,040 Speaker 3: do people actually reach consensus on a lot of these 676 00:38:45,080 --> 00:38:48,719 Speaker 3: things when they have very different opinions about how the 677 00:38:48,719 --> 00:38:49,640 Speaker 3: world works. 678 00:38:50,440 --> 00:38:53,879 Speaker 5: So I had this experience where in writing for most 679 00:38:53,880 --> 00:38:59,239 Speaker 5: of the book, I was largely in archives and secondary 680 00:38:59,239 --> 00:39:01,719 Speaker 5: literature in the past, and then the last third of 681 00:39:01,719 --> 00:39:06,200 Speaker 5: the book is contemporary, and so the methodology just shifted 682 00:39:06,640 --> 00:39:09,879 Speaker 5: to talking to a lot of people. So I ended 683 00:39:10,000 --> 00:39:12,879 Speaker 5: up talking to most of the folks who had been 684 00:39:12,880 --> 00:39:16,879 Speaker 5: involved in Bidenomics inside the administration, and people like Larry 685 00:39:16,880 --> 00:39:18,520 Speaker 5: Summers and Jason Furman and a lot of people on 686 00:39:18,560 --> 00:39:18,759 Speaker 5: the LM. 687 00:39:18,840 --> 00:39:19,920 Speaker 3: Larry does like to talk. 688 00:39:20,560 --> 00:39:21,600 Speaker 4: It turns out. 689 00:39:23,239 --> 00:39:25,320 Speaker 5: I talked to a lot of people, and the person 690 00:39:25,360 --> 00:39:28,280 Speaker 5: that I zeroed in on was this man named Brian Deese, 691 00:39:28,320 --> 00:39:31,160 Speaker 5: who some of you may know. He has an odd 692 00:39:31,200 --> 00:39:35,640 Speaker 5: launch guest. Indeed, he was the chair of the National 693 00:39:35,680 --> 00:39:38,960 Speaker 5: Economic Council. The reason he's so interesting is because he 694 00:39:39,120 --> 00:39:43,320 Speaker 5: was one of Larry's protegees in two thousand and eight. 695 00:39:43,480 --> 00:39:45,880 Speaker 5: In two thousand and nine, he is on the Obama 696 00:39:45,920 --> 00:39:50,920 Speaker 5: campaign and he effectively runs the bailout of the auto companies, 697 00:39:51,800 --> 00:39:55,400 Speaker 5: and in that experience begins to see, wait a second, 698 00:39:55,880 --> 00:39:58,840 Speaker 5: we can't just be bailing. We can't have the emergency 699 00:39:58,880 --> 00:40:01,520 Speaker 5: room view of the economy where we come afterward. We 700 00:40:01,600 --> 00:40:04,719 Speaker 5: have to be thinking proactively ahead of time about how 701 00:40:04,719 --> 00:40:07,279 Speaker 5: to shape and build industries that work better. That takes 702 00:40:07,360 --> 00:40:09,960 Speaker 5: him to work on climate change. And then all of 703 00:40:10,000 --> 00:40:14,480 Speaker 5: a sudden the Biden administration, he becomes a director of 704 00:40:14,560 --> 00:40:17,080 Speaker 5: the National Economic Council, and then he. 705 00:40:17,880 --> 00:40:20,600 Speaker 4: Articulates this big vision. It has two pillars. 706 00:40:20,840 --> 00:40:24,480 Speaker 5: The first is build, so that's public investment in climate 707 00:40:25,280 --> 00:40:29,800 Speaker 5: infrastructure and chips. And the second is balance, so that's 708 00:40:30,080 --> 00:40:36,080 Speaker 5: competition in particular, but also supporting labor and other similar 709 00:40:36,160 --> 00:40:40,600 Speaker 5: kinds of initiatives to ensure that the economy is competitive. 710 00:40:40,920 --> 00:40:46,360 Speaker 5: And boy, Larry doesn't like it. He is throwing rocks 711 00:40:46,360 --> 00:40:49,480 Speaker 5: from the outside pretty much the entire time, and often 712 00:40:49,560 --> 00:40:52,360 Speaker 5: talking to Brian and others on the inside. And the 713 00:40:52,360 --> 00:40:55,280 Speaker 5: reason I think that story is so powerful is because 714 00:40:55,800 --> 00:40:59,920 Speaker 5: it shows the emergence of not just a new generation 715 00:41:00,080 --> 00:41:03,839 Speaker 5: and of policymakers, but a new way of thinking about 716 00:41:03,840 --> 00:41:07,480 Speaker 5: the economy which starts from the premise of market craft 717 00:41:07,880 --> 00:41:11,840 Speaker 5: and doesn't fall back into kind of neoclassical economic framework 718 00:41:12,000 --> 00:41:15,279 Speaker 5: of market failures and externalities. And how are we going 719 00:41:15,320 --> 00:41:17,000 Speaker 5: to fix things after the fact? 720 00:41:17,320 --> 00:41:20,120 Speaker 2: I guess I have more of a politics question, or 721 00:41:20,160 --> 00:41:23,400 Speaker 2: you know, we had this sort of nascent industrial policy 722 00:41:23,440 --> 00:41:26,279 Speaker 2: market crafting, and then it looks like the plug is 723 00:41:26,320 --> 00:41:29,440 Speaker 2: being pulled after four years, and I would guess that 724 00:41:29,520 --> 00:41:32,200 Speaker 2: there must be a lot of frustration among Democrats to 725 00:41:32,239 --> 00:41:35,279 Speaker 2: hear someone run on, We're going to build things in 726 00:41:35,320 --> 00:41:39,080 Speaker 2: America again, We're going to build manufacturing right after a 727 00:41:39,120 --> 00:41:42,440 Speaker 2: period of two or three years in which more plants 728 00:41:42,520 --> 00:41:46,040 Speaker 2: were opened and more factories were broken ground on than 729 00:41:46,120 --> 00:41:48,880 Speaker 2: any time in my life. And so what I'm curious 730 00:41:49,040 --> 00:41:53,600 Speaker 2: from your perspective, I guess from a political sustainability standpoint 731 00:41:53,800 --> 00:41:59,000 Speaker 2: is people seem to like in theory the idea of manufacturing, 732 00:41:59,040 --> 00:42:02,279 Speaker 2: the aesthetics of it, but do people actually like it 733 00:42:02,360 --> 00:42:05,120 Speaker 2: in practice? Or is like because it didn't seem like 734 00:42:05,160 --> 00:42:07,080 Speaker 2: it got any results politically. 735 00:42:07,480 --> 00:42:09,960 Speaker 5: I don't know if manufacturing per se is the thing 736 00:42:09,960 --> 00:42:12,680 Speaker 5: that people like. And I'm a little skeptical that you're 737 00:42:12,680 --> 00:42:17,200 Speaker 5: going to really reinvigorate the American economy by rebuilding a 738 00:42:17,360 --> 00:42:21,680 Speaker 5: manufacturing sector. But I'm not quite sure I agree with 739 00:42:21,719 --> 00:42:25,280 Speaker 5: the premise of the question. Trump is certainly not pursuing 740 00:42:25,280 --> 00:42:28,840 Speaker 5: a market craft, that's clear. However, a lot of the 741 00:42:28,840 --> 00:42:33,560 Speaker 5: people around him have spent years developing their own visions 742 00:42:33,800 --> 00:42:36,560 Speaker 5: of a market craft that puts the state at the center. 743 00:42:36,760 --> 00:42:38,680 Speaker 1: So you're talking about or in Cass in your book, 744 00:42:38,719 --> 00:42:39,440 Speaker 1: for example. 745 00:42:39,200 --> 00:42:41,240 Speaker 5: Well, or in Cass, But I'm talking about Marco Rubio 746 00:42:41,320 --> 00:42:43,800 Speaker 5: and JD. Vance and Josh Holly, a lot of these 747 00:42:44,360 --> 00:42:48,000 Speaker 5: guys who I think are the future of the Republican Party, 748 00:42:48,440 --> 00:42:53,240 Speaker 5: who believe that we need state institutions to direct markets 749 00:42:53,239 --> 00:42:56,480 Speaker 5: towards certain goals. Now, their goals are not really my goals, 750 00:42:56,600 --> 00:42:58,640 Speaker 5: I should say that. I mean, they are very concerned 751 00:42:58,640 --> 00:43:03,000 Speaker 5: about drone and critical minerals and national security, whereas I'm 752 00:43:03,360 --> 00:43:07,520 Speaker 5: more interested in climate change and other things. But nonetheless, 753 00:43:07,840 --> 00:43:12,239 Speaker 5: right before Vance became the vice presidential nominee, he was 754 00:43:12,280 --> 00:43:16,640 Speaker 5: about to introduce a bill for a national Investment Bank, 755 00:43:17,480 --> 00:43:19,680 Speaker 5: the same idea that I was just talking about from 756 00:43:19,719 --> 00:43:24,320 Speaker 5: the New Deal era, that he believed as an institution 757 00:43:24,880 --> 00:43:27,080 Speaker 5: would have the power to direct markets. Now he was 758 00:43:27,080 --> 00:43:30,000 Speaker 5: doing that with Chris Coons and Mark Warner and folks 759 00:43:30,000 --> 00:43:32,080 Speaker 5: on the left. But what I'm trying to say is 760 00:43:32,239 --> 00:43:35,759 Speaker 5: it may be dormant in this period, but I don't 761 00:43:35,800 --> 00:43:37,959 Speaker 5: think that ideology is gone. We're going to hear about 762 00:43:37,960 --> 00:43:39,920 Speaker 5: a sovereign wealth fund in the next few weeks from 763 00:43:39,920 --> 00:43:44,400 Speaker 5: this administration, and there's a deadline that the Treasury Secretary 764 00:43:44,440 --> 00:43:46,800 Speaker 5: will have to bring a report on it. I wouldn't 765 00:43:46,800 --> 00:43:51,080 Speaker 5: be surprised if we see some trace remnants there. Even 766 00:43:51,120 --> 00:43:53,879 Speaker 5: though I am skeptical that anything meaningfully will be will 767 00:43:53,920 --> 00:43:56,960 Speaker 5: be done. I don't think that means that it's that 768 00:43:57,000 --> 00:44:00,680 Speaker 5: Trump's chaos can define the Republican Party for wherever and ever. 769 00:44:01,680 --> 00:44:03,880 Speaker 3: We do have some questions from the audience that we 770 00:44:03,880 --> 00:44:08,719 Speaker 3: should probably bring in. I'll start with one, obviously very 771 00:44:08,719 --> 00:44:12,280 Speaker 3: topical at the moment, but how is market craft playing 772 00:44:12,400 --> 00:44:15,960 Speaker 3: into the race for dominance in artificial intelligence? 773 00:44:17,800 --> 00:44:18,040 Speaker 4: Yeah? 774 00:44:18,120 --> 00:44:22,480 Speaker 5: I mean, so far, the federal government has decided to 775 00:44:22,560 --> 00:44:26,560 Speaker 5: let the private sector, you know, develop AI on its own. 776 00:44:26,640 --> 00:44:28,760 Speaker 5: In the United States, it's certainly different than in China 777 00:44:28,800 --> 00:44:33,120 Speaker 5: and then elsewhere, and there hasn't been a market craft. 778 00:44:33,160 --> 00:44:35,320 Speaker 5: There's been talk of it in the Senate in particular. 779 00:44:35,360 --> 00:44:39,960 Speaker 5: There's interest in public investment. There's been talk of what 780 00:44:40,000 --> 00:44:43,680 Speaker 5: we call public option for the cloud, so a way 781 00:44:43,719 --> 00:44:47,640 Speaker 5: of making it easier for smaller companies to access computing 782 00:44:47,680 --> 00:44:51,600 Speaker 5: powder to build advanced AI models. But none of that 783 00:44:51,680 --> 00:44:55,239 Speaker 5: has yet come to fruition, And so I think it's 784 00:44:55,280 --> 00:44:57,920 Speaker 5: important to say that, like, market craft isn't everywhere all 785 00:44:57,960 --> 00:45:01,360 Speaker 5: the time. You know, lots of policies effect markets, but 786 00:45:01,440 --> 00:45:03,920 Speaker 5: the craft and market you have to have, you know, 787 00:45:04,000 --> 00:45:08,680 Speaker 5: policy makers with a clear intent shaping it and guiding it. 788 00:45:08,800 --> 00:45:12,080 Speaker 5: And so far in the AI markets it's been more 789 00:45:12,080 --> 00:45:13,040 Speaker 5: of a hands off kind. 790 00:45:12,880 --> 00:45:15,200 Speaker 3: Of But if we had like a loan office for 791 00:45:15,400 --> 00:45:19,000 Speaker 3: AI startups something like that would count as explicit market 792 00:45:19,000 --> 00:45:19,719 Speaker 3: craft for sure. 793 00:45:19,719 --> 00:45:23,200 Speaker 5: If Congress said, hey, we want more small businesses doing AI, 794 00:45:23,400 --> 00:45:25,239 Speaker 5: so we're going to appropriate money and we're going to 795 00:45:25,400 --> 00:45:27,600 Speaker 5: create an office over here in the Commerce Department to 796 00:45:27,680 --> 00:45:30,680 Speaker 5: do that, they're there, they have they have an agenda, 797 00:45:30,680 --> 00:45:33,200 Speaker 5: they're crafting that market just putting. 798 00:45:32,880 --> 00:45:36,480 Speaker 2: It back on your tech founder for a second, kind 799 00:45:36,480 --> 00:45:38,239 Speaker 2: of separate from market craft, but I guess it sort 800 00:45:38,239 --> 00:45:41,800 Speaker 2: of intersects with this. When Deep Seat came out, people 801 00:45:41,840 --> 00:45:44,319 Speaker 2: started really and it was before that too, but people 802 00:45:44,480 --> 00:45:49,000 Speaker 2: really started to talking about AI specifically. Is this existential 803 00:45:49,120 --> 00:45:52,759 Speaker 2: area of competition kind of like uh, kind of like 804 00:45:52,800 --> 00:45:54,120 Speaker 2: achieving the nuclear bomb? 805 00:45:54,200 --> 00:45:56,359 Speaker 1: Like who is going to get to AGI first? US 806 00:45:56,440 --> 00:45:57,160 Speaker 1: or China? 807 00:45:57,320 --> 00:45:58,080 Speaker 4: Do you uh? 808 00:45:58,520 --> 00:46:01,919 Speaker 2: I mean, do you think of AI or AGI specifically 809 00:46:02,480 --> 00:46:03,800 Speaker 2: in such stakes? 810 00:46:05,440 --> 00:46:07,279 Speaker 5: It's a huge deal. I'm not sure I want to 811 00:46:07,280 --> 00:46:09,640 Speaker 5: go to the nuclear bomb. That seems like a very 812 00:46:09,719 --> 00:46:13,400 Speaker 5: high bar, but it's a huge deal. I think that 813 00:46:13,600 --> 00:46:18,880 Speaker 5: the advances in AI, it's certainly the most profound changes 814 00:46:18,920 --> 00:46:22,879 Speaker 5: in technology in my I think, I want to say, 815 00:46:22,880 --> 00:46:25,440 Speaker 5: in my life. It feels more transformative to me than 816 00:46:25,440 --> 00:46:28,239 Speaker 5: the mobile phone, which I think would be my bar. 817 00:46:28,520 --> 00:46:30,680 Speaker 4: I mean, it's I'm using the models. 818 00:46:31,120 --> 00:46:33,800 Speaker 5: My husband's in the front row, he watches me, and 819 00:46:33,800 --> 00:46:36,960 Speaker 5: to use the models all day every day for everything 820 00:46:37,000 --> 00:46:42,240 Speaker 5: from like recipe substitutions to you know, doing deep research 821 00:46:42,280 --> 00:46:44,120 Speaker 5: on a particular topic. Of course, you have to check 822 00:46:44,160 --> 00:46:46,399 Speaker 5: the facts, this and that, but I mean they are 823 00:46:46,440 --> 00:46:48,200 Speaker 5: incredibly powerful, Tracy. 824 00:46:48,280 --> 00:46:51,240 Speaker 2: I have to say, like I'm an AI user enthusiast 825 00:46:51,280 --> 00:46:51,760 Speaker 2: for Tracy. 826 00:46:51,800 --> 00:46:54,200 Speaker 3: I to watch Joe use the models all day. 827 00:46:54,360 --> 00:46:55,080 Speaker 4: You don't use them. 828 00:46:55,680 --> 00:46:57,640 Speaker 3: I do know, I do it, just not as. 829 00:46:57,640 --> 00:46:59,560 Speaker 1: Much as way. 830 00:47:00,040 --> 00:47:04,000 Speaker 2: I am an enthusiastic trier outer of all the AI models, 831 00:47:04,000 --> 00:47:08,840 Speaker 2: and I recently got access to Mannus. Yeah, but I 832 00:47:08,880 --> 00:47:12,120 Speaker 2: have yet to find an application that consistently enhances my 833 00:47:12,360 --> 00:47:13,319 Speaker 2: work productivity. 834 00:47:13,360 --> 00:47:14,479 Speaker 1: Really, Yeah, that's not true. 835 00:47:14,880 --> 00:47:17,000 Speaker 4: Okay, headlining, I haven't. 836 00:47:17,280 --> 00:47:19,040 Speaker 1: But I'm better at headlines, of course you are. 837 00:47:19,280 --> 00:47:19,480 Speaker 4: No. 838 00:47:19,480 --> 00:47:22,400 Speaker 5: No, but that's of course you are. But it's helpful 839 00:47:22,440 --> 00:47:26,320 Speaker 5: to have a kind of sidekick to brainstorm headline Tracy. 840 00:47:26,520 --> 00:47:29,880 Speaker 4: Okay, well, fair enough. Not all of us have, Tracy. 841 00:47:31,040 --> 00:47:34,080 Speaker 3: No, I disagree with this. Like AI is a phenomenal 842 00:47:34,120 --> 00:47:36,960 Speaker 3: tool for our day to day productivity, it just is. 843 00:47:39,120 --> 00:47:42,560 Speaker 3: Why did I ask another question from the audience. I 844 00:47:42,600 --> 00:47:44,399 Speaker 3: know you care about climate change and this is one 845 00:47:44,400 --> 00:47:46,839 Speaker 3: of your big projects. So we have someone asking how 846 00:47:46,880 --> 00:47:49,600 Speaker 3: do we make progress with climate policy in light of 847 00:47:49,640 --> 00:47:55,200 Speaker 3: its politicization, politicalization and the issue of affordability. And one 848 00:47:55,239 --> 00:47:57,480 Speaker 3: thing I would just add on to that question is, 849 00:47:58,080 --> 00:48:01,000 Speaker 3: you know, one of the things we've seen under binomics 850 00:48:01,160 --> 00:48:04,920 Speaker 3: was Oh, we should build more green technology in the US, 851 00:48:05,280 --> 00:48:07,919 Speaker 3: and a lot of that makes sense. But I guess 852 00:48:07,960 --> 00:48:10,800 Speaker 3: the counter argument to doing that is, if we really 853 00:48:10,840 --> 00:48:13,719 Speaker 3: care about the climate, and if there is actually this 854 00:48:14,000 --> 00:48:16,960 Speaker 3: massive sense of urgency to doing something about it, then 855 00:48:17,600 --> 00:48:21,239 Speaker 3: why not get all the really cheap solar panels in 856 00:48:21,600 --> 00:48:23,480 Speaker 3: volume from a place like China. 857 00:48:24,600 --> 00:48:30,040 Speaker 5: Well, I think we need even more investment, likely significantly 858 00:48:30,080 --> 00:48:33,279 Speaker 5: more investment than we got out of the IRA, and 859 00:48:33,600 --> 00:48:36,759 Speaker 5: we need it to be better coordinated. So I think 860 00:48:36,760 --> 00:48:41,040 Speaker 5: the IRA investments are still stand. Obviously, business uncertainty has 861 00:48:41,080 --> 00:48:43,239 Speaker 5: just gone through the roof, so no one exactly knows 862 00:48:43,280 --> 00:48:47,000 Speaker 5: what's going to happen. There are signs that the Republicans 863 00:48:47,040 --> 00:48:50,239 Speaker 5: will keep some of the pieces of the IRA, maybe 864 00:48:50,239 --> 00:48:53,319 Speaker 5: not for solar panels or evs, but for things like 865 00:48:53,640 --> 00:48:59,359 Speaker 5: hydrogen or carbon capture or things like that. I'm cautiously optimistic, 866 00:48:59,560 --> 00:49:03,040 Speaker 5: but we need additional investment, and then we do really 867 00:49:03,080 --> 00:49:07,400 Speaker 5: need an institution whose mission it is to tackle climate change, 868 00:49:07,440 --> 00:49:10,040 Speaker 5: and the Congress can hold accountable so that instead of 869 00:49:10,080 --> 00:49:12,040 Speaker 5: just saying, oh, we're going to give subsidies through the 870 00:49:12,040 --> 00:49:15,360 Speaker 5: tax code, where the government effectively has no ability to 871 00:49:15,400 --> 00:49:17,720 Speaker 5: determine what's getting the most funding. 872 00:49:18,080 --> 00:49:20,440 Speaker 4: There is an ability to say. 873 00:49:20,239 --> 00:49:24,759 Speaker 5: Okay, this, these breakthrough technologies need more support. These other 874 00:49:24,800 --> 00:49:27,799 Speaker 5: things are doing just fine. I think that's going to 875 00:49:27,800 --> 00:49:31,000 Speaker 5: be the long term solution. I'm a bit I'm with you. 876 00:49:31,239 --> 00:49:34,200 Speaker 5: I'm not sure that tariffs on solar panels are going 877 00:49:34,280 --> 00:49:38,479 Speaker 5: to help us get to the you know, the tools 878 00:49:38,520 --> 00:49:40,600 Speaker 5: that we need to combat climate change that we need. 879 00:49:41,120 --> 00:49:42,040 Speaker 4: Trace is right by the way. 880 00:49:42,080 --> 00:49:44,160 Speaker 2: I get a couple when it comes to AI, I 881 00:49:44,320 --> 00:49:45,640 Speaker 2: sometimes be like, okay, we're in. 882 00:49:45,719 --> 00:49:48,239 Speaker 3: I know because I literally watch you do this. 883 00:49:49,000 --> 00:49:51,200 Speaker 2: Joe was at the I co host the Audlats podcast. 884 00:49:51,239 --> 00:49:53,759 Speaker 2: We're interviewing Chris used tonight that your public library. What 885 00:49:53,800 --> 00:49:55,839 Speaker 2: would be some questions I do ask that and I 886 00:49:55,920 --> 00:49:58,200 Speaker 2: sometimes upload PDFs and just like just give me to 887 00:49:58,200 --> 00:49:58,680 Speaker 2: the summary. 888 00:49:59,480 --> 00:50:01,000 Speaker 4: So I wanted with me. 889 00:50:01,080 --> 00:50:03,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, no, that is helpful. It's helpful. 890 00:50:06,040 --> 00:50:09,920 Speaker 2: Someone to ask about student loans. And I'm curious, you know, 891 00:50:10,440 --> 00:50:14,560 Speaker 2: people perceive the market for higher education to be broken 892 00:50:14,880 --> 00:50:18,080 Speaker 2: in various ways, and I'm curious whether it's on the 893 00:50:18,120 --> 00:50:22,120 Speaker 2: funding side for the consumer, the student, or whether there's 894 00:50:22,160 --> 00:50:24,160 Speaker 2: anything interesting that you've learned. 895 00:50:23,960 --> 00:50:25,080 Speaker 1: About that space. 896 00:50:25,480 --> 00:50:27,400 Speaker 5: Yeah, so there are a lot of these markets that 897 00:50:27,400 --> 00:50:31,800 Speaker 5: I would call gray zones. Is higher education a market, 898 00:50:32,640 --> 00:50:34,839 Speaker 5: at least the way that I want to think about 899 00:50:34,880 --> 00:50:36,880 Speaker 5: it most of the time, it's not. It should just 900 00:50:36,920 --> 00:50:40,600 Speaker 5: be a fundamental, you know, good an opportunity that everybody 901 00:50:40,640 --> 00:50:41,920 Speaker 5: can get an education. 902 00:50:42,040 --> 00:50:43,040 Speaker 4: That they want. 903 00:50:43,440 --> 00:50:46,640 Speaker 5: So I'm not sure we even have to use a 904 00:50:46,680 --> 00:50:49,440 Speaker 5: market crafting framework to say, you know, college in the 905 00:50:49,560 --> 00:50:54,280 Speaker 5: United States should at least be affordable, if not free, 906 00:50:54,600 --> 00:50:57,920 Speaker 5: and there's a way to use policy to make that happen. 907 00:50:57,960 --> 00:51:00,239 Speaker 5: But I think that it is due for sort of 908 00:51:00,239 --> 00:51:06,320 Speaker 5: wholesale reimagination, and there is something wonderfully simple and direct 909 00:51:06,640 --> 00:51:11,000 Speaker 5: about you know, Bernie's promise for free college that you 910 00:51:11,040 --> 00:51:13,239 Speaker 5: know is hard to do, but I think it's that 911 00:51:13,400 --> 00:51:18,600 Speaker 5: kind of aspirational guarantee that people crave, people respond to, 912 00:51:18,680 --> 00:51:21,840 Speaker 5: and it's policy makers response to deliver on that. Of course, 913 00:51:22,520 --> 00:51:24,360 Speaker 5: you're going to have to raise taxes, whether it's for 914 00:51:24,440 --> 00:51:26,160 Speaker 5: this or some of the other issues that we've talked 915 00:51:26,160 --> 00:51:30,520 Speaker 5: about to make that happen, But I don't know that 916 00:51:30,800 --> 00:51:32,920 Speaker 5: that's the I think that's the kind of country I 917 00:51:32,920 --> 00:51:34,200 Speaker 5: want to live in. I think that's the kind of 918 00:51:34,200 --> 00:51:35,880 Speaker 5: country that most Americans want to live in. 919 00:51:36,640 --> 00:51:38,839 Speaker 1: It's a great place to leave it. Chris Hughes, thank 920 00:51:38,920 --> 00:51:39,800 Speaker 1: you so much. 921 00:51:39,600 --> 00:51:53,399 Speaker 6: For joining us in this live episode. 922 00:51:59,640 --> 00:52:02,560 Speaker 3: That is our interview with Chris Hughes, the author of 923 00:52:02,719 --> 00:52:05,840 Speaker 3: Market Crafters, live at the New York Public Library. 924 00:52:05,960 --> 00:52:09,160 Speaker 2: Really good evening, really interesting topic. One very near and 925 00:52:09,200 --> 00:52:12,080 Speaker 2: dear to the themes that we've been talking about on odline. 926 00:52:12,160 --> 00:52:14,160 Speaker 3: Yeah, definitely touches on a lot of them. 927 00:52:14,239 --> 00:52:15,799 Speaker 2: Shall we leave it there, Let's leave it there. 928 00:52:15,960 --> 00:52:18,360 Speaker 3: This has been another episode of the Odd Lots podcast. 929 00:52:18,400 --> 00:52:21,640 Speaker 3: I'm Tracy Alloway. You can follow me at Chacy Alloway, and. 930 00:52:21,600 --> 00:52:24,160 Speaker 2: I'm Joe Wisenthal. You can follow me at the Stalwart. 931 00:52:24,400 --> 00:52:27,880 Speaker 2: Follow Chris Hughes on Twitter. He's at Chris Hughes. Follow 932 00:52:27,880 --> 00:52:31,120 Speaker 2: our producers Kerman Rodriguez at Kerman armand dash Ol Bennett 933 00:52:31,120 --> 00:52:34,640 Speaker 2: at Dashbot and Killbrooks at Kalebrooks. From our Odd Lags content, 934 00:52:34,680 --> 00:52:37,000 Speaker 2: go to Bloomberg dot com slash odd Lots. We have 935 00:52:37,120 --> 00:52:39,759 Speaker 2: all of our episodes and a daily newsletter. You can 936 00:52:39,840 --> 00:52:41,840 Speaker 2: chat about all of these topics twenty four to seven 937 00:52:41,880 --> 00:52:45,719 Speaker 2: in our discord Discord dot gg slash od lots. 938 00:52:45,760 --> 00:52:47,880 Speaker 3: And if you enjoy odd Lots, if you like it 939 00:52:47,920 --> 00:52:50,200 Speaker 3: when we do these live events, then please leave us 940 00:52:50,239 --> 00:52:53,840 Speaker 3: a positive review on your favorite podcast platform. And remember, 941 00:52:53,920 --> 00:52:56,480 Speaker 3: if you are a Bloomberg subscriber, you can listen to 942 00:52:56,719 --> 00:52:59,799 Speaker 3: all of our episodes absolutely add free. All you need 943 00:52:59,800 --> 00:53:02,839 Speaker 3: toys find the Bloomberg channel on Apple Podcasts and follow 944 00:53:02,920 --> 00:53:05,240 Speaker 3: the instructions there. Thanks for listening.