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Speaker 1: Hey, Welcome to Big Fish, Smallpod. I'm at Wardell and

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Speaker 1: today is April thirtieth. Today the Marlins are getting set

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Speaker 1: for their first series against the Washington Nationals after the

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Speaker 1: off day yesterday, the twenty ninth. With the off day,

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Speaker 1: I figured it'd be a good time to take a

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Speaker 1: look at how the Marlins have performed thus far in

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty one. So first things first, looking at the

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Speaker 1: standings and just some overall statistics, the Marlins have scored

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Speaker 1: one hundred and three runs had ninety one runs scored

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Speaker 1: against them, for a run differential of plus twelve, meaning

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Speaker 1: that the Marlins have scored twelve runs more than they've allowed,

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Speaker 1: with an expected win lost record with that run differential

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Speaker 1: of thirteen and eleven, though the Marlins sit at eleven

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Speaker 1: and thirteenth, kind of reverse of what you might expect.

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Speaker 1: Looking at the National League East top to bottom, every

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Speaker 1: team is within one game of each other and no

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Speaker 1: one has a winning record. Yet that will certainly change.

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Speaker 1: It's only been one month into this season, and we

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Speaker 1: came into the year expecting a slugfest with every team

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Speaker 1: having something of a reasonable formula for success, and the

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Speaker 1: Marlins are no exception. To that, and with the positive

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Speaker 1: run differential of plus twelve, well, no one else in

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Speaker 1: the division has a positive run differential, and Miami's sixteen

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Speaker 1: games against teams with winning records thus far tell us

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Speaker 1: that they've actually faced the toughest competition in the National

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Speaker 1: League East. Those peripheral stats tell us that Miami might

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Speaker 1: have the strong, longest, most proven formula for success in

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty one. Looking overall at the team, kind of

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Speaker 1: down the lineup, and I did make a lot of

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Speaker 1: like Fangrafts leaderboard queries to just get something straight and

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Speaker 1: kind of just understand how this team is. I as

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Speaker 1: well as you all want just clarity, and for me,

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Speaker 1: numbers are a way to find that, even though oftentimes

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Speaker 1: they confirm what you see on the field. And looking

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Speaker 1: down this lineup, obviously, injuries have been a major story,

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Speaker 1: and the team's offense has made a couple of major

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Speaker 1: statement games to prevent any real loss of momentum. Thinking

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Speaker 1: like back to this Brewers series, there was a statement

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Speaker 1: game there with the eight to zero win. Pitching wise,

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Speaker 1: as a group, the Marlins have had a three point

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Speaker 1: five el right, which is pretty good, darn good and

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Speaker 1: like a whip of like one point twelve, which is

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Speaker 1: six best in baseball as a step on the whole

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Speaker 1: allowing a little bit more than one runner per inning.

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Speaker 1: The best for that just for context is the Mets,

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Speaker 1: and the worst is the Cubs. The Mets at one

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Speaker 1: point zero seven, so basically a little more than a

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Speaker 1: runner innying, and the worst is the Cubs with a

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Speaker 1: one point four to seven, which is basically a runner

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Speaker 1: and a half an inning accounted to the picture pitcher.

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Speaker 1: So Marlins have avoided base runners put up some solid numbers,

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Speaker 1: but looking a little bit deeper on the Fangrafts leaderboard,

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Speaker 1: the clutch statistic, which basically looks at teams how they

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Speaker 1: perform in the high leverage moments think like close and

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Speaker 1: late sort of situations, the Marlins have been between poor

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Speaker 1: and awful with a negative one six' five clutch rating

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Speaker 1: that's twenty eighth in the. League breaking the down, further

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Speaker 1: starters point four to, five relievers negative two point zero.

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Speaker 1: Nine that tracks with the six blown saves for the

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Speaker 1: relievers Starters Pablo, Lopez Trevor, Rodgers sandi Al, contra the

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Speaker 1: tracks that they'd have a positive, impact and then the

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Speaker 1: higher leverage innings going to those relievers have been a real.

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Speaker 1: Problem the team is at a deficit for real like

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Speaker 1: lockdown relievers for the late. Innings with The TRIPLE a

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Speaker 1: season starting soon next. Week in, fact there are some

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Speaker 1: arms that might make their way back to the. Roster

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Speaker 1: think Like Practicton garrett who needs some more developmental, time

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Speaker 1: or Like eliez Or hernandez six To Sanchez Edward, coperera

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Speaker 1: all rehabbing their arms will likely take advantage of The

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Speaker 1: TRIPLE a. Opportunities and with those four pitchers that might

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Speaker 1: make it back to the major league roster with just

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Speaker 1: two rotation spots to, fill The marlins might have a

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Speaker 1: surplus of internal organizational talent that might be put into

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Speaker 1: the bullpen compressed and shorter workloads and Allow miami to

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Speaker 1: within itself bring back a better pitching attack as this

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Speaker 1: season goes. Forward there's certainly plenty of options for kemng

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Speaker 1: And marlins management to work with as they go about this.

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Speaker 1: Season looking at the lineup kind of just this has

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Speaker 1: been my way of breaking it. Down, defensively The marlins

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Speaker 1: are like in terms of like runs saved above like

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Speaker 1: average replacement, Value they're at like a positive two point

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Speaker 1: seven runs of a group which is seventh in the,

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Speaker 1: league which is it's, good like that is good statistics

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Speaker 1: works with the. Gut but they've been pretty good, obviously

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Speaker 1: Like Michel, Rojas Brian anderson anchor this team, overall it

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Speaker 1: feels as though The marlins have quite a formula for

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Speaker 1: success that might really work. Out With Brian anderson looking

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Speaker 1: to appear back In marlin's uniform on the field this,

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Speaker 1: weekend you ca anticipate his positive fielding and hopefully he

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Speaker 1: can break out of his slump looking deeper just at

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Speaker 1: like speaking like the slump is kind of a triggering

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Speaker 1: word at this, point like there's been a season long

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Speaker 1: slump going on for some players such as Like Garrett,

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Speaker 1: cooper such as Like jorge Al, farrow such as event

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Speaker 1: Debatably Adam, Devall Brian anderson certainly in that. Group but,

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Speaker 1: Offensively Jazz chisholm has led the team in offensive impact

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Speaker 1: with a six point eight runs of offense to his,

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Speaker 1: credit making him fourth among second. Basement Jesus aguilar is

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Speaker 1: sixth month first, baseman The Guil rojas fourteenth among. Shortstops

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Speaker 1: catcher as a position is kind of in. Disarray Sandy

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Speaker 1: leon with just replacement. Level batting twenty fourth in the,

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Speaker 1: league Leaves marlin's Catchers Brian anderson negative three point three

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Speaker 1: offensive runs in the, outfield Though Corey dickerson has been

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Speaker 1: seventh among left, Fielders Starling marte, Fourth monk center Fielders

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Speaker 1: Garrett cooper just disarray in right. Field there's an obvious

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Speaker 1: place for upgrade on this team at red, field at,

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Speaker 1: catcher with those high leverage, relievers and with the fourth

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Speaker 1: and fifth spots in the. Rotation looking at The TRIPLE

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Speaker 1: a season about to kick, Off Jesus sanchez And Monte

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Speaker 1: harrison seem like the obvious next man up for right,

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Speaker 1: field with top Prospect Jajo billaday announced today to start

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Speaker 1: In DOUBLE a kind of the long term answer at

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Speaker 1: a corner outfield. Spot, today what you can expect is

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Speaker 1: an announcement On Daniel castano's replacement on the roster Before tonight's.

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Speaker 1: Game he was demoted to The ats yesterday And myammy

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Speaker 1: will Face washington as the current fourth and fifth place

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Speaker 1: teams in The National League, east As Pablo lopez will

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Speaker 1: face off against The nationals team Lacking Juan, soto sitting

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Speaker 1: with a nine to twelve record supported by a negative

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Speaker 1: twenty two run. Deferential washington is yet to announce a,

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Speaker 1: starter but the expectation is that The Red sox And

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Speaker 1: cubs Veteran John lester will be making His national's. Debut,

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Speaker 1: saturday we'll feature A Paul campbell's start against another Unannounced,

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Speaker 1: national And sunday a matchup between ace Mad Max scherzer

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Speaker 1: And Trevor. Rodgers both pitchers will enter the game tied

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Speaker 1: for ninth in baseball with thirty eight strikeouts. Each should

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Speaker 1: be one to. See, Anyways i'm a t. DAAL i

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Speaker 1: hope that TODAY i saved you podcast a listener from

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Speaker 1: just a good amount of blue. Light it's not great

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Speaker 1: for your, eyes so it's probably good that you're keeping

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Speaker 1: up the marlin on the. Podcast but check out the

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Speaker 1: website and check Out. Twitter we'll have news on that

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Speaker 1: promotion and more as we look forward to facing These Washington.

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Speaker 1: Nationals so again for the Podcast. Network we'll be back

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Speaker 1: to your ears On. Monday