Speaker 1: Check it down Man Now down Man, Thursday September twenty
Speaker 1: twenty and meeting the book podcast megapod skill Alexander Uh
Speaker 1: you know how this works? Week three of the National
Speaker 1: Football League. The staples of the show here in the
Speaker 1: past year and change to my left, live at the day,
Speaker 1: and we're so happy to be live at the d
Speaker 1: R second week ever, live at the date. By way,
Speaker 1: the audio sounds great. Do you think by the end
Speaker 1: of the year we'll have a crowd here at today
Speaker 1: I'm on a Thursday. At the end of the year,
Speaker 1: we'll have a crowd at ten am at circa. Oh
Speaker 1: at circa. Yes, it's Mike Palm. Everybody, how you doing?
Speaker 1: My great And I'm so happy that Todd uh found
Speaker 1: town found time to join us this week. Thank you Todd,
Speaker 1: Thank you Todd wish Now I won't respond to the
Speaker 1: verbal Dave Schultz. If everybody remembers the cheap shot artist
Speaker 1: of the NHL, Dave Schultz, there's the verbal cheap shot artist,
Speaker 1: Mikey Palm, who was almost as bad as Dave Schultz
Speaker 1: of the National Hockey League. Since he loves hockey, I
Speaker 1: gave him a hockey example. Now I happened to miss
Speaker 1: last week's episode because I didn't realize that we had
Speaker 1: a set time yet for this season. I'm sure Gilly
Speaker 1: Ice will call me on that and pretend that somehow
Speaker 1: there was actually a set time when last week it
Speaker 1: was all over the place. But whatever, I will be. Um,
Speaker 1: you know, a martyr in this situation, and I'm here
Speaker 1: to give you just winning kids. Todd, that was just
Speaker 1: the intro. We have a lot to get to, but
Speaker 1: thank you for that. Uh. We usually have a rotating guest.
Speaker 1: I feel bad even calling this guy a rotating guest
Speaker 1: because it is upon his shoulders that this megapod was built.
Speaker 1: But we are thrilled to have him back as a
Speaker 1: guest today. Uh. And there was a groundswell of support
Speaker 1: on Twitter for it as well. I'm getting texts about it.
Speaker 1: Is he on? Is he on? I can't wait to
Speaker 1: hear him say these things. Uh, Ladies and gentlemen, you
Speaker 1: have known him as Vegas Runner in the past. Uh.
Speaker 1: He is my buddy, Ace. How you doing Ace, great
Speaker 1: to have you here. Never better, brother, never better. God
Speaker 1: bless America. Thanks for having me on. You know this
Speaker 1: is my favorite besides the fact I was on for
Speaker 1: so long, so obviously it was my favorite show still is.
Speaker 1: I listened to you guys all the time. You know,
Speaker 1: I'm a fan, and obviously Vison who doesn't drive around
Speaker 1: with that on all the time. So thanks for having
Speaker 1: me sofully. We give some winners to them, yes, hopefully
Speaker 1: we get some winners. And the reason you are not
Speaker 1: here at the d with Mike and because you're here
Speaker 1: in Las Vegas explained to folks, you are in a
Speaker 1: sort of pseudo quarantine. Yes, because I go to the UFC,
Speaker 1: the Performance Institute and the APEX and do um content
Speaker 1: for them, do videos and social media hits and their
Speaker 1: stuff they're doing this week with their pay per view
Speaker 1: the big card in Albu Dhabi. So I have to
Speaker 1: get tested. And since I live here, I don't have
Speaker 1: to stay at the hotel like a lot of the
Speaker 1: fighters and staff that come in from out of state do.
Speaker 1: I'm able to stay at home, but I have to
Speaker 1: sign a waiver that I will not leave and that
Speaker 1: I will stay quarantine. So I've been doing that and
Speaker 1: it's been going well. Remember when, yeah, I remember when
Speaker 1: you first got the gig. Man, I'm happy for you then,
Speaker 1: and you're right, you know stay there, uh so that
Speaker 1: you don't get any of the fighters. Uh positive exactly,
Speaker 1: but you are not positive yourself. Just to clarify, you
Speaker 1: are not positively. No, no, no, thank god. I get
Speaker 1: tested a couple of times a week, so if anything,
Speaker 1: it's a it's a luxury because I get to know
Speaker 1: that I'm I don't have it. A couple of times
Speaker 1: I woke up for analergies not feeling good. I'm like,
Speaker 1: oh my god, I hope I didn't catch it, and
Speaker 1: the unfortunately, you know, I know, I'm getting tested a
Speaker 1: couple of hours later, so you get the results. Thank god. Well,
Speaker 1: I'm pumped to have you here. Man, it's great to
Speaker 1: see your face. Let's thank you for having Let's do
Speaker 1: this starting with Thursday night football before we get to
Speaker 1: our best bets. Maybe this might be somebody's won through
Speaker 1: three best bets. But it's a Thursday night football game,
Speaker 1: not exactly like the sexiest matchup there is. But it's
Speaker 1: Miami and Jacksonville. Miami O and who after losing the
Speaker 1: Buffalo though covering as a dog, but O and two
Speaker 1: in the standings Jacksonville's one in one. They've covered both
Speaker 1: of their games, could have perhaps one last week, but
Speaker 1: they got Gaskowski at the end by Tennessee. So Jacksonville
Speaker 1: after beating uh the Indianapolis Colts week one, their one
Speaker 1: and one Jacksonville favored by three. ACE. We start with
Speaker 1: you because you're the guests. That's odd. What do you
Speaker 1: think anything tell you? Yeah, I tell you when I win,
Speaker 1: when I lose, and I'll tell you when I placed
Speaker 1: the bad bet. And I got involved on this game
Speaker 1: already at a bad number. I went on thet when
Speaker 1: I sold this total climb from forty four all the
Speaker 1: way forty eight. I didn't think he's gonna get much
Speaker 1: higher than that. I know that the problems on defensive
Speaker 1: side of the football, I know the injuries on the
Speaker 1: defensive side of the football, but this is still unprecedented
Speaker 1: territory for both these teams. Just look back over their
Speaker 1: last ten plus regular season game. I don't think jackson
Speaker 1: Bill's had a total above forty seven forty eight maybe once.
Speaker 1: I don't think Miami even had that once in their
Speaker 1: last ten plus regular season games. Um So, for me,
Speaker 1: I thought it was a case of recency bias and
Speaker 1: Sharps getting out ahead of the market. We've seen these
Speaker 1: primetime games flying over to total. The narrative is points
Speaker 1: even though it's a Thursday night game with less time
Speaker 1: to prepare, So it looks like I took a bad number.
Speaker 1: And I know there's a lot of short money on
Speaker 1: the over, but I'm on under forty eight here in
Speaker 1: the totals twenty nine, so you know you may not
Speaker 1: want to pay you back that one under forty Is
Speaker 1: that one of your three best bets? Or that just
Speaker 1: a bet? Because okay, so just the Thursday bet on
Speaker 1: an undert uh, Todd or Mike anything on this one
Speaker 1: tonight Mike, Yes, okay, Todd. You first, I'm sorry. I apologize.
Speaker 1: I said under Mike, and then you're gonna complain that
Speaker 1: I know. I said sunder Mike, and then I went Mike,
Speaker 1: but you jumped in. That's okay, go ahead, what do
Speaker 1: you say? Look, he can dish, he cannot save. It's unbelievable.
Speaker 1: It's unbelievable. I can receive. Just find my friend. I
Speaker 1: had over a hundred catches last season. Uh, here's the deal.
Speaker 1: I would like to use one of these. This pick
Speaker 1: with this game is one of my three picks. I'm
Speaker 1: gonna go with that's right, folks, Miami Dolphins, Miami Dolphins,
Speaker 1: Miami Dolphins number one. I'm sorry, since since you've left,
Speaker 1: it's gone to hell A, so I'm sorry. Apologize. Go ahead,
Speaker 1: DoD Miami. I have Miami Dolphins plus the three tonight.
Speaker 1: I believe they're the type of teams that just hangs around,
Speaker 1: hanging around, like from Rounders. They just hang around like
Speaker 1: alligate their blood. This guy, you can't get rid of them.
Speaker 1: They just hang around in games, and I think they
Speaker 1: can hang around with the Jacksonville team. They're getting three points,
Speaker 1: three points in the National Who's Jacksonville? Who's all of
Speaker 1: a sudden Jacksonville is good? To me? This is just
Speaker 1: a toss up game. I'm getting three points. There's probably
Speaker 1: no home field advantag Jean Jacksonville even when they do
Speaker 1: have fans, and now that they don't have fans, Ryan
Speaker 1: Fitzpatrick can keep you in the game. Backdoors always open
Speaker 1: with Ryan Fitzpatrick. I believe he backdoor for the cover
Speaker 1: for me last week. And I'm getting three points. I mean,
Speaker 1: who's the Jacksonville Jaguars. Miami continues to continue to try
Speaker 1: every single week, play people tough, even the game they
Speaker 1: lost to New England. The beginning of the year wasn't
Speaker 1: a wipe out. They were hanging around in that game.
Speaker 1: They hung around with a decent Buffalo team last week.
Speaker 1: White can't to hang around with Jacksonville. Maybe they can
Speaker 1: even win the game. Give me Miami plus three, Miami
Speaker 1: plus three, todd one of number one, number two or
Speaker 1: number three, best bet for you. I'm gonna make it,
Speaker 1: uh number two, number two for Toddy, Miami Dolphins. Anything
Speaker 1: for you to say, no, I'm not gonna play the game,
Speaker 1: gil Um. I really haven't watched much of Miami this
Speaker 1: year a little bit because of the two lightning delays.
Speaker 1: They kind of got a little bit of air time
Speaker 1: with the one o'clocks against Buffalo last week, But I
Speaker 1: really don't know a lot about them, And uh, look
Speaker 1: at this Minster has been pretty good. Yeah, I mean
Speaker 1: he really has. They had the ball with three and
Speaker 1: a half minutes to go with the chance to go
Speaker 1: down and win that game tied at Tennessee. So um,
Speaker 1: I just got comfortable with this number laying a whole
Speaker 1: field goal. Uh, the game was closer to a pick,
Speaker 1: I would probably lean jackson Bill, but as it is,
Speaker 1: it's a pass for me. It's passed for me as well.
Speaker 1: Let's go to the best bets. Ace your number one
Speaker 1: best bet on the board this week, sir. Not surprisingly,
Speaker 1: I like a lot on this week's board. It's week three,
Speaker 1: so now we have a good enough sample size that
Speaker 1: there's locks just popping off that board the Sunday night
Speaker 1: no more value than the New Orleans Saints over Green
Speaker 1: Bay Packers. This should be six on a neutral let
Speaker 1: alone at home in New Orleans. Forget what you saw
Speaker 1: Monday night with the hundred plus penalty yards and the
Speaker 1: Raiders with their home opener and allegiance who didn't see
Speaker 1: that coming Brad six days before that Monday. Um So,
Speaker 1: if anything, I think this Green Bay team, Listen, we
Speaker 1: talked to coming into the season last year they were
Speaker 1: the most overperforming team based on their analytics. This year
Speaker 1: they're doing it again right, and we're expecting the regression
Speaker 1: they're expect. There's they were supposed to be too a
Speaker 1: no coming into this game. The thing is they've made
Speaker 1: it books so easy, scoring forty plus points covering light
Speaker 1: they have, but it's that a TS differential that sticks
Speaker 1: out to me. This team is now plus twenty four points.
Speaker 1: They've outperformed the betting market. They're catching points in New Orleans.
Speaker 1: They should be catching a lot more. But that's the
Speaker 1: only reason it isn't the case. UM. As long as
Speaker 1: New Orleans is a little more discipline this week, I
Speaker 1: don't think they're gonna have any problems beating the Green
Speaker 1: Bay Packers, who, again I just think are an overvalued team. UM,
Speaker 1: and the regression isn't gonna come. I expect think too.
Speaker 1: I think most expected it too. And again they are
Speaker 1: just playing above their ceiling. I think that eventually crashes.
Speaker 1: No better time than Sunday night foot Bowl in New Orleans.
Speaker 1: You have always loved the New Orleans Saints. I know
Speaker 1: you've been to games there. By the way. One other
Speaker 1: thing that might help you out here, Davante Adams feeling better,
Speaker 1: but still too early to tell if he'll play Sunday.
Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers number one target for the Green Bay Packers,
Speaker 1: so ace with New Orleans minus three as his number
Speaker 1: one pick. Mikey, you're number one. You know My favorite
Speaker 1: fifteen minutes of the week each week, uh is when
Speaker 1: Michael Lombardi goes on a numbers game, Because I mean,
Speaker 1: Gil is always so well prepared. I mean the questions
Speaker 1: are pullet and after week one, Gill asked him, isn't
Speaker 1: this Vikings team a sneaky five and eleven? They might
Speaker 1: be a sneaky three and thirteen team. This team is
Speaker 1: god awful. I watched the entire game against the Colts
Speaker 1: end gaming under. I mean they are how come when
Speaker 1: they have the ball on their own one they call
Speaker 1: play action with the seventh step drop every week and
Speaker 1: get him sacked here. I mean they're terrible. They don't
Speaker 1: even want him to pass. The problem is they get
Speaker 1: behind in the games because there's nobody left on their defense.
Speaker 1: This is incredible. I think they win three or four
Speaker 1: games this year. I love that I don't have to
Speaker 1: lay more than a field goal. They don't get that
Speaker 1: home field advantage now this year. That's a tremendous Britt
Speaker 1: talked about it in tremendously intimidating place to play. That's gone.
Speaker 1: I'll take Tennessee and I'll lay the two and a half.
Speaker 1: Is my best bet, Todd. I'm gonna step in here
Speaker 1: because I, once again Mikey and I have the exact
Speaker 1: same first best bet. Uh in fact, on guessing lines
Speaker 1: on Monday with Chris Andrews. When I guess this, I
Speaker 1: said Tennessee minus four and a half. And when he
Speaker 1: said it was under three, I was pretty incredulous about that. Uh.
Speaker 1: Kirk Cousins, I'll take off the glasses carwkite style to
Speaker 1: read this. Kirk Cousins zero point zero passer rating late
Speaker 1: into the third quarter last week? Is that good? Zero zero? Uh?
Speaker 1: He ended fifteen point nine with an fifteen point nine
Speaker 1: passer reading. Remember that's out of one fifty eight point three.
Speaker 1: Little statistical note quirky. The Vikings have actually taken a
Speaker 1: safety in three straight games. How amazing is that? That's incredible?
Speaker 1: Going back to last season's regular Cuifinale. But they had
Speaker 1: a hundred and seventy five total yards of offense last
Speaker 1: week in their game, there were two of nine on
Speaker 1: third downs and usually tom of possession. Typically tom of
Speaker 1: possession doesn't mean much, but in that game it did.
Speaker 1: They only had the ball for twenty one minutes and
Speaker 1: thirty five seconds left. Who they played last week twenty
Speaker 1: one minutes and thirty five seconds Now Anthony Barr already
Speaker 1: with the shoulder injury. They've generated no pass rush to
Speaker 1: speak of their Corners. They're there, guys in their secondary
Speaker 1: are too young. Give me the Titans. What's the number
Speaker 1: on that? What's the official number? Let's see Titans minus
Speaker 1: two and a half. That is also my first bet, Todd.
Speaker 1: You know, I looked at that game and I just
Speaker 1: thought to myself, this smells like the game that everybody's
Speaker 1: gonna be on. And I've watched too much National Football
Speaker 1: League football to know there's nothing easy in the world
Speaker 1: of the National Football League. It looks too easy. And
Speaker 1: I agree with everything you both said. I couldn't agree
Speaker 1: with you more. I think the Vikings stink. In fact,
Speaker 1: last year I thought the Vikings stunk when Mike loved
Speaker 1: him in uh in the Visa studio and I had
Speaker 1: to upgrade him on thinking that Kirk Cousins was actually
Speaker 1: gonna do something good for them. I never like Kirk Cousins.
Speaker 1: The Vikings stink. I agree with you guys a thousand percent,
Speaker 1: but it's too easy. I'm passing on that game instead
Speaker 1: going with my best bet. I'm gonna pull up Gilly
Speaker 1: Alexander's Washington Redskins against the Cleveland Browns over the points.
Speaker 1: Faked this out. I don't want the Redskins. I mean,
Speaker 1: I don't want the Washington football team or whatever they
Speaker 1: call that team. I don't m Haskins. I don't want him.
Speaker 1: But I do want the over forty five in the game.
Speaker 1: And here's why I want it. The Cleveland Browns can
Speaker 1: move the football. They give that ball to Chub, they
Speaker 1: run right down the field. Washington ain't gonna be able
Speaker 1: to stop them. They showed they don't have a decent
Speaker 1: defense last week against Arizona. I think Cleveland's gonna get
Speaker 1: your points, and I don't. It wasn't very impressed with
Speaker 1: Cleveland Browns defense at all. I think the Redskins might
Speaker 1: get you some Lake garbage touchdowns. Forty five give me
Speaker 1: the over. The National Football League is a points league
Speaker 1: this year. It's points points points. Give me the over.
Speaker 1: Washington Redskins, Cleveland Browns, alright over forty five for the
Speaker 1: Washington football team in the Cleveland Browns. Yeah, Redskins offense
Speaker 1: has just been terrible. Uh. Front seven is great, but
Speaker 1: that's the strength of that football team. For the Redskins
Speaker 1: to win games, they gotta keep the opponent to like seventeen.
Speaker 1: But you're not playing the side here. Forty five over
Speaker 1: on that ace. Best bet number two, Sir, I'm gonna
Speaker 1: go to total bet. Yeah. We took first half end
Speaker 1: game on this and I'll get this one. Is the
Speaker 1: second bet at Detroit Arizona over at fifty five. As
Speaker 1: long as it's still fifty five, I like that. Yeah, yeah,
Speaker 1: and the first half I think we got twenty five
Speaker 1: or twenty five and a half. But anyway to fifty
Speaker 1: five over is the best bet number two. Um, Like
Speaker 1: we've seen Detroit defense is just gonna get let up
Speaker 1: a lot of points this year. Most expected them to
Speaker 1: progress and take a step forward, and they just haven't
Speaker 1: done that, especially on the defensive side of the ball,
Speaker 1: where Arizona, if anything, this offense is gonna have a
Speaker 1: ton of success now another season under their belt, with
Speaker 1: that coaching staff, with a young quarterback. UM, And I
Speaker 1: think that defense is played well, but it's the offenses
Speaker 1: they faced. You know, they had a San Fran team
Speaker 1: in first first week and then Washington last week. That's
Speaker 1: not too difficult to keep them to less than twenty points.
Speaker 1: But I do think Detroit I will be able to
Speaker 1: get some points on the board even when they lose games.
Speaker 1: Detroit's capable of scorn like we saw against Dallas last
Speaker 1: year where they lose by a touchdown, but they put
Speaker 1: up four of their own, and I think it's gonna
Speaker 1: be that kind of season for Detroit. So I'm gonna
Speaker 1: go overft is my second best bet over fifty five
Speaker 1: Detroit Arizona, a rematch of their Week one tie last
Speaker 1: year where where the Lions snatched a tie from the
Speaker 1: from the jaws of victory. Mikey number two. How come
Speaker 1: nobody calls out Matt Stafford, I'm just on ace. I mean,
Speaker 1: some of the decisions he makes are and nobody says
Speaker 1: anything well because his coach is so bad that we
Speaker 1: forget right by the way, before last week's game, thirty
Speaker 1: three games that Matt Patricia has coached, they have squandered
Speaker 1: eleven fourth quarter leads, so one out of every three
Speaker 1: games prior to last week. Just it's just, I mean,
Speaker 1: at some point, so I wish is gil what is?
Speaker 1: Patricia has a big meal at halftime, and he's just
Speaker 1: not as sharp in the second half, as you can
Speaker 1: see by his giant belly hangings. That could be We'll
Speaker 1: look into nothing worse than a reformed tour, I'll tell
Speaker 1: you that right now. My second pick is gonna be
Speaker 1: the Denver Broncos getting six points at home to Tampa Bay.
Speaker 1: I'm still gonna follow that. I know we lost, this
Speaker 1: was our only lost last week, Todd taking the nine
Speaker 1: against Brady with Carolina, But I'm gonna I tell you
Speaker 1: we were in a position to win that game if
Speaker 1: they don't break that run when they're trying to run
Speaker 1: out the clock. First of all, we shouldn't have been
Speaker 1: in a position to cover. They were being totally dominated
Speaker 1: down twenty one to nothing, and they turned the ball
Speaker 1: over and they got right back in the game. I
Speaker 1: thought Jeff Driscoll outplayed Roethlisberger in the second half of
Speaker 1: that game, and it looks like he's an upgrade for
Speaker 1: the Broncos. There's certainly no drop off. There is not,
Speaker 1: and Fancio is a defensive coach. They've made both teams
Speaker 1: work to move the ball that they played. Tennessee had
Speaker 1: to work to move the ball those games. Pittsburgh had
Speaker 1: to work. They're lucky to come out of there with
Speaker 1: the win last week. I just couldn't believe this number
Speaker 1: is six. I think that Denver's got a real chance
Speaker 1: to win this game. It's tough to go to altitude
Speaker 1: and play. Tom didn't have to do it that many
Speaker 1: times outside of the playoffs, and the last time he
Speaker 1: went there, they beat the living hell out of him
Speaker 1: in the n f C Championship game. I'm gonna take
Speaker 1: the six with the Broncos at home. Wow. Three things.
Speaker 1: One elevation not altitude. Thank you, you're welcome. Elevation level,
Speaker 1: altitude to the ground. Uh, that's the English teacher in
Speaker 1: me too. What is this wonderful beverage that you have
Speaker 1: concocted for me here at the day? Pineapple cranberry mixed.
Speaker 1: It's no no alcohol to juice, is mixed, very refreshing,
Speaker 1: many calories put it down. Todd are a weight loss situation.
Speaker 1: He thinks he's gonna catch me to this morning. I
Speaker 1: am hot on your heels, my friend to forty eight
Speaker 1: this morning. I'm going down babies, Trip tells me. That's
Speaker 1: what it's called the babies. I am going down, but
Speaker 1: at a snails a glacial pace and a more health
Speaker 1: the pace. And we're healthy. Yes, we're a little worried. Todd.
Speaker 1: It's a little too quick, too much time. I will
Speaker 1: be taking nutritional information in from my good friend portly
Speaker 1: Mike Palm. Ever, and the last thing is and and
Speaker 1: this is just before I get to my second best bet,
Speaker 1: it's fall baseball. Now. Is there anything better than seeing
Speaker 1: baseball with shadows on the field when you know the
Speaker 1: playoffs are about to happen? There Todd Todd Well, who's
Speaker 1: the end game betting expert, although he doesn't host a
Speaker 1: show on MSG, but the shadows in baseball are very
Speaker 1: important when you're making these end games. Of course, I
Speaker 1: mean I don't think they're really factored into the line. No,
Speaker 1: not the algorithm factor in shadows. Excellent point by Michael Palm.
Speaker 1: Once in a while he does come up with a gem.
Speaker 1: And it happened yesterday actually in the Angels Padres game.
Speaker 1: If you were watching, that's right. I was texting with
Speaker 1: me about it. Here comes the Shadows, and I we
Speaker 1: started betting in game under here comes the Shadow. Didn't
Speaker 1: work out? It did, alright. My second best bed, uh
Speaker 1: is the Seattle Seahawks. I am laying the five against
Speaker 1: the Dallas Cowboys. Uh, don't be mesmerized by that onside kick.
Speaker 1: I know everybody is uh amazed by the Cowboys come back.
Speaker 1: And it was amazing against the Falcons last week, as
Speaker 1: they overcome a twenty point deficit from the first quarter
Speaker 1: fifteen point deficit late. But that's more of a Falcons
Speaker 1: thing to me than it is a Cowboys thing. Uh.
Speaker 1: The Cowboys had three fumbles minus three turnovers. They called
Speaker 1: two failed fake punts in their own territory, They made
Speaker 1: an idiotic two point conversion called down nine with under
Speaker 1: five minutes to play, and then, of course they had
Speaker 1: the five Falcons watched the spinning top on side kick,
Speaker 1: mesmerized by it. Um. Here's the thing with the Cowboys defense.
Speaker 1: They have forced seven punts in eight quarters of football.
Speaker 1: Four of those. By the way, we're in what Atlanta
Speaker 1: might have considered garbage time anyway. No Tyrone Smith, no
Speaker 1: Lele Collins, no Cam Irving, no Travis Frederick already on
Speaker 1: the offensive line, Blake Jarwin season ending knee injury, a
Speaker 1: deep vents that lost their top corner and Byron Jones,
Speaker 1: no Latent Vanderish, no Shawn Lee, no Anthony Brown cornerback.
Speaker 1: The defense is allowed points eight times in a nine
Speaker 1: or they did allow eight points. Excuse me, the allowed
Speaker 1: points rather eight times in a nine drive span against
Speaker 1: the Falcons. They have a total of two sacks and
Speaker 1: two games against teams with vulnerable offensive lines, and have
Speaker 1: already allowed seventeen third down conversions on thirty four attempts
Speaker 1: plus three fourth down conversions. By the way, on as
Speaker 1: many attempts they got one takeaway thus far against opponents
Speaker 1: that committed a combined forty nine turnovers last year. Forget it.
Speaker 1: I'm taking Russell Williams. I'm giving the points. I know,
Speaker 1: I know the Russell Wilson rather, I know the I
Speaker 1: know the Seahawks have have trouble of their defense too,
Speaker 1: but I will take Russell Wilson and his superman cape
Speaker 1: and give the five points against that civil the defense.
Speaker 1: Seattle pick number two, ace number three, Well we have
Speaker 1: a little. I'm a little. There's a lot of short
Speaker 1: money on Seattle. That one scares me. I gotta go
Speaker 1: with the Denver Broncos. I agree with Mike here Um
Speaker 1: actually bet him in the first half at three and
Speaker 1: a half um and took the six. Again, We've talked
Speaker 1: about it on your show millions of times. With the
Speaker 1: injured player, I think the drop off just isn't as
Speaker 1: significant as this line reflects. And although we saw down
Speaker 1: the stretch. Um, how good uh denver'se quarterback did? The
Speaker 1: bottom line was the one loss was against a decent
Speaker 1: past defense. Um. I think driscoll is gonna do just fine.
Speaker 1: And catching six points at home to me, is a
Speaker 1: little too many for this Tampa Bay team that we
Speaker 1: knew coming in was gonna be the sexy pick. Uh.
Speaker 1: Anytime you have Tom Brady, you're gonna get action at
Speaker 1: the betting window, and I think that's what this is
Speaker 1: a case of. So for me, I like Denver at home.
Speaker 1: This is a team that's only lost by what seven points? Uh?
Speaker 1: Both games a combined seven. A lot of randomness and
Speaker 1: those results they could be just as easily two and
Speaker 1: oh as oh and two or one and one. So
Speaker 1: I think we're getting a little line value there. That's
Speaker 1: why they're two and oh against the spread. So give
Speaker 1: me Denver plus the six as my third pick, alright,
Speaker 1: matching with mikey there on one to Mike, what's your third?
Speaker 1: I struggled for a third pick this week? You'll really
Speaker 1: I looked at me. I looked at the Texans getting
Speaker 1: four from the Steelers. Um, but jeez, I just I
Speaker 1: can't bet on Bill O'Brien. I just couldn't pull the
Speaker 1: trigger that that was probably going to be my pick.
Speaker 1: That exactly I thought. I kept thinking about what will
Speaker 1: Bill O'Brien do to screw me? Bill O'Brien last weekend
Speaker 1: I just interject, did anybody, I mean, I know he
Speaker 1: went fourth down from his own thirty two? What was
Speaker 1: he doing? Fourth down, fourth and one at the Houston
Speaker 1: thirty four? Down three to nothing with two seconds left
Speaker 1: in the first quarter and four plays later, it's tend
Speaker 1: to nothing. What in the world was that? And it
Speaker 1: kind of got gone playoffs. He wouldn't go forth and
Speaker 1: inches to try to go up to when he ate
Speaker 1: to nothing. But he can't do bad. No, no, not
Speaker 1: on the opponent's thirteen. No way, no way. I have
Speaker 1: to take it over. I'm an under player. I bet
Speaker 1: under every sport, and I cannot bet unders in this
Speaker 1: NFL season because of these points. The crowd noise isn't
Speaker 1: a factor and all that I tried to find it over.
Speaker 1: I like, I'm gonna settle on the over in Orchard
Speaker 1: Park with the Rams and the Bills. What is it
Speaker 1: forty six, forty six and a half, where you see, oh,
Speaker 1: come on, Todd and again with that Okay, Askill, what
Speaker 1: do you have? I got forty seven. I'm gonna go over.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go over forties. So look at Todd and
Speaker 1: that Ginger Bred House in Pittsburgh. I'm gonna go over Cork, Cork,
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go over forty seven. Here, I think McBey
Speaker 1: is it's just maybe the best play caller in football.
Speaker 1: I wasn't impressed with Buffalo's defense in Miami against Fitzpatrick.
Speaker 1: I thought Miami moved the ball in the second half
Speaker 1: pretty easily and getting as Todd said, getting that back
Speaker 1: door cover um and the Rams. Look, if you can
Speaker 1: blow Donaldson, you're going to move the ball in the
Speaker 1: Rams and the Phillies. Philadelphia came back from big hole
Speaker 1: and actually had several chances to take the lead in
Speaker 1: that game. I had to pick it over and I'm
Speaker 1: gonna take this one. Okay, over forty seven Todd, last one. Okay,
Speaker 1: I am going to do something. I am going to
Speaker 1: hold my nose as I make this pick. I am
Speaker 1: holding my nose and I'm going to pick the j Okay,
Speaker 1: let me let me just say I'm that's my third
Speaker 1: as well. By the way, it's too many points. It
Speaker 1: looks it we've muted him. Go ahead, Todd, go ahead.
Speaker 1: I'm sorry the j E t has New York. No.
Speaker 1: I was just getting to say, no, no, no, go ahead.
Speaker 1: Too many points. I I agree with this. Okay the
Speaker 1: Jets are getting now it depends on what who you have?
Speaker 1: What do you have? Go eleven and a half? Eleven
Speaker 1: and a half. Okay, So the Jets are getting eleven
Speaker 1: and a half points now. Granted they've got absolutely destroyed,
Speaker 1: except for in the last drive when I needed them
Speaker 1: not to score because I had them second half under um.
Speaker 1: They get that ridiculous touchdown at the end, but they look,
Speaker 1: you know, horrendous. But a lot of teams look horrendous
Speaker 1: against San Francisco's defense. Obviously. Look, I'm not saying the
Speaker 1: Jets are a good team. That is not what I'm saying.
Speaker 1: I'm saying that maybe they're not that horrendous. And who
Speaker 1: the hell is Philip Rivers and the Colts to be
Speaker 1: giving anybody eleven and a half points? Now? We know
Speaker 1: the Colts are not any like world beaters. Why are you,
Speaker 1: I mean Indianapolis Colts? I mean, what have you proven
Speaker 1: to me that you should be laying double digits in
Speaker 1: a National Football League game. The Jets, granted they're not good,
Speaker 1: I'm not saying they are, but eleven and a half
Speaker 1: points in a National Football League team against a team
Speaker 1: that is not the worst team you've ever seen in
Speaker 1: your life, and the culture certainly not the best team
Speaker 1: you've ever seen in your life. And they have the
Speaker 1: Philip Rivers factor that can always keep be in the game.
Speaker 1: You know, they could be up twenty to six, and
Speaker 1: then he starts, you know, doing stupid interceptions. Who knows
Speaker 1: what that guy? You know he's busy. You know he
Speaker 1: can't remember all his kids names. The bottom line is
Speaker 1: the Colts do not deserve to be favored by eleven
Speaker 1: and a half points versus anyone, and that includes the
Speaker 1: New York Jets. Jes Jet stupid interception. She said, I'm
Speaker 1: with you, it's too many points, and I and I
Speaker 1: used that line all the time. The Colts should not
Speaker 1: be favored by that many over anybody. Uh. The Jets
Speaker 1: only had two hundred seventy five total yards of offense
Speaker 1: last week against the Niners, and one of them was
Speaker 1: on a big play. I'm most a lot of those
Speaker 1: was on one big play. Um, so they're not good.
Speaker 1: I agree with all that, and it is about Philip Rivers.
Speaker 1: I don't I don't have any problem fading him as
Speaker 1: a quarterback. But his injuries too. Right. They lost Marlon
Speaker 1: Mack with an achilles injury the first week of the season.
Speaker 1: Last week it was another torn achilles from a leak hooker.
Speaker 1: Their standout safety, they're uh, they're white out. Paris Campbell's
Speaker 1: on I R as well. He was carded off with
Speaker 1: a knee injury. So US are losing players. But give
Speaker 1: me eleven and a half. This is one of those
Speaker 1: where it's just I'm turning my brain off. Prove me wrong. Jets.
Speaker 1: If you can't cover eleven and a half, Adam Gates,
Speaker 1: if you can't cover eleven and a half, then you
Speaker 1: know I'm an idiot. But I'll take the eleven and
Speaker 1: a half points. Give me the Jets against the Colts
Speaker 1: team that is good, But you know, I don't know
Speaker 1: if they're in I don't know if they're great. Let's
Speaker 1: put it down. So one other thing is teams that
Speaker 1: get blown out in the National Football League have a
Speaker 1: tendency to show up the next week. They're all professionals,
Speaker 1: Thank you, Tug. They are they are all professionals. Very
Speaker 1: well stated. All right, Uh so those are the three
Speaker 1: best bets per person. Let us go to should we
Speaker 1: do survivor picker teaser? Let's do the teasers right here?
Speaker 1: Uh to team six point teachers. We all had Atlanta
Speaker 1: week one, so we all lost. We all had Kansas
Speaker 1: City last week, and we just got through it. Everybody wins.
Speaker 1: You know, there was no way you could have lost
Speaker 1: a team is here last week unless you took the Saints.
Speaker 1: That's right, that's the only one. You weren't gonna tease
Speaker 1: the Eagles across the number, right, So I mean what
Speaker 1: about aces third play? Gil, we had the Bronco kid,
Speaker 1: the Broncos, Oh Broncos, my faults stenographer, everybody, he's an
Speaker 1: alright ace. Uh, your favorite two team six point teaser
Speaker 1: of the week would be yeah, and but the teaser.
Speaker 1: For myself, the only way at top times I've ever
Speaker 1: I ever used a teaser is to tease the number.
Speaker 1: And obviously you guys have discussed it. I'm sure plenty
Speaker 1: of times. Uh. The only ones that really jumped out
Speaker 1: at me is first, I'm gonna tease Cleveland, they're up
Speaker 1: to seven, seven and a half and some spots, so
Speaker 1: we're able to get them down through that set and
Speaker 1: through that three to add some value. Uh. The other
Speaker 1: one I wanted New England. They were at six. I
Speaker 1: was gonna bring them down to a pick, but now
Speaker 1: they're at five, and that kind of kills that value
Speaker 1: on the teaser, because again, if you shouldn't lay more
Speaker 1: than minus one ten, you should only get six points.
Speaker 1: And we know if you gotta hit what seventy two
Speaker 1: point four percent to break even on each leg. So
Speaker 1: if that six point don't help you do that, there's
Speaker 1: no reason to use it. You're better off just straight
Speaker 1: betting it. So the other one that that I have
Speaker 1: to do it too would be the Chargers down to
Speaker 1: minus a half, even though I actually took Carolina at
Speaker 1: plus seven because some book put up a rope seven
Speaker 1: and I thought that was a bad number. But again,
Speaker 1: the only reason I tease is for that purpose, So
Speaker 1: I'll go Chargers minus a half and uh, Cleveland minus one.
Speaker 1: That is the closest thing to your your favorite being
Speaker 1: on a Stanford long teaser this week, Mike, Yeah, I
Speaker 1: think you have to use the Browns the Browns is
Speaker 1: the play that, and then it's a tough week because
Speaker 1: they're like right, Like I said, the numbers don't make
Speaker 1: sense for it. It's just the numbers. You may be
Speaker 1: better off my gun with a dog and teasing it off.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna O'Brien up to ten. Let's do that. Let's
Speaker 1: take Bill O'Brien up to ten. That's my teaser, brown boy,
Speaker 1: you said that in the way someone just thought of
Speaker 1: something two seconds ago. Well, I was debating it, but
Speaker 1: I got affirmation from a So I did it. Todd.
Speaker 1: My teaser is going to be the Kansas City Chiefs
Speaker 1: plus nine and a half. Uh, you know, I just
Speaker 1: think that. You know it's gonna be hard, even if
Speaker 1: you're the Ravens to beat the Chiefs by nine and
Speaker 1: a half. They could be down sixteen late and you
Speaker 1: get the back door touchdown, they go for two, they
Speaker 1: lose by eight. You're you're in the inside the number there.
Speaker 1: So give me the Chiefs plus nine and a half
Speaker 1: and give me the Los Angeles Rams. I mean, Buffalo
Speaker 1: is a good team, but they're not exactly a team
Speaker 1: that usually wins by margin. They're more of a defensive team.
Speaker 1: Defensive teams have a tendency not to you know, roll
Speaker 1: up big points on the scoreboard. Plus the Rams can
Speaker 1: usually move the ball. I'm gonna take the Rams plus
Speaker 1: eight and a half. I wish I had gone before you.
Speaker 1: You stole my thunder Kansas City and the Rams. Yes,
Speaker 1: I'm taking you think that Washington team can win that,
Speaker 1: Yes they do. I mean I don't think they will,
Speaker 1: but I think there's a shot. Give me the Chiefs
Speaker 1: getting all those points is much more favorable to me
Speaker 1: getting nine and a half and the Rams catching eight
Speaker 1: and a half. That is exactly what my two team
Speaker 1: teaser is now. Survivor. Uh some of us are in
Speaker 1: the Circus Survivor contests. And by the way, let me
Speaker 1: just say this. I think I said it last week.
Speaker 1: It's all I care about. It really is all I
Speaker 1: care about. Last week, the first week of the season
Speaker 1: of the entry pool went by the wayside. Most of
Speaker 1: those are the hands of the Colts. I had one,
Speaker 1: I had two entries. One of my entries was going
Speaker 1: with the Colts. Last week. With the remaining was it
Speaker 1: five five or something like five? I'm sorry, only four
Speaker 1: were eliminated out of eighth five entries, that's impossible. Well,
Speaker 1: one person took the Eagles, one person took Carolina, but
Speaker 1: that might have been doing what Derek calls that the
Speaker 1: double option where you take you use the Carolina and
Speaker 1: to Tampa Bay, so you make sure to advance. And
Speaker 1: then two people had to Saint Sun Monday night. That
Speaker 1: was it. Four. It will never happen again. So Todd,
Speaker 1: you're the you're the official bookkeeper of the show. On
Speaker 1: the show, you're the only one alive. But in real
Speaker 1: life you're not the only one alive. So are we
Speaker 1: playing this? Well, here's the thing. I think that folks
Speaker 1: should realize that I'm not in a contest, which means
Speaker 1: that I'm probably going to have survivor winners for sixteen
Speaker 1: straight week. Because Hashem, you know, Hasham out there. She
Speaker 1: loves to stick it to me. There's nobody who likes
Speaker 1: to stick it to me more than Asham. Hashem to
Speaker 1: the gentiles of the world out there. Yes, Hasham is
Speaker 1: God in the you know, the Orthodox Jews say Hashem
Speaker 1: because it just means the name, and you're not allowed
Speaker 1: to say God's name, so they just say the name Hashem.
Speaker 1: So me and Gil joke about how the fact that
Speaker 1: Hashem hates me and he will always find a way
Speaker 1: to screw me, in fact, sending an earthquake that happened
Speaker 1: in the middle of the desert to ruin a Las
Speaker 1: Vegas Aces game that I had to the sticks at halftime.
Speaker 1: Have you ever lost a bet because of the an
Speaker 1: earthquake at halftime of a women's basketball game that you
Speaker 1: were actually at the game at the MGM. It's never
Speaker 1: happened in the world. Let me just step in and
Speaker 1: also say the extent of your neuroses is also when
Speaker 1: I ruptured my achilles, you viewed it as Hashem hurting you, because, yeah,
Speaker 1: explain to people, why is that. Well, basically, I was
Speaker 1: having such a good time playing Gil tennis. I was
Speaker 1: kicking his ass all over the pace, beating him straight,
Speaker 1: beating him against the line, winning money every single day.
Speaker 1: It was the fantastic, fantastic experience. And of course Ashem said, no,
Speaker 1: you're having too much fun beating Gilly Ice, and that's it.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take it away from you because we don't
Speaker 1: want you to be happy in this world. Tau pick,
Speaker 1: what is it? My survivor pick I've already used and
Speaker 1: by the way, if we're gonna make this normal, we
Speaker 1: have to know who I've already used. I've already used
Speaker 1: the Steelers and the Packers, and this week I will
Speaker 1: use the football team from Cleveland to just eke out
Speaker 1: at w for you against the Washington football team. I
Speaker 1: hate betting on Baker Mayfield, but I think it might
Speaker 1: be safe this week. Ace. Are you at any survivor
Speaker 1: pools at all? No? No, did not get into uh
Speaker 1: the West Gate, I mean the Circle this year, So nah,
Speaker 1: don't have any survivor action going. Mikey, I'm not in
Speaker 1: any and and I'm out right, So am I allowed
Speaker 1: to make a pick up if you want? Well? No,
Speaker 1: here's the thing. I have no problem with Mikey making
Speaker 1: a pick, but we have to give it some conjecture
Speaker 1: because there's always the issue of people who have already
Speaker 1: used things. So Mike, maybe you should say, well, probably
Speaker 1: people have used the X and X Y team. This
Speaker 1: is who I would take of the remaining teams that
Speaker 1: are probably still available to you. Well, I used the
Speaker 1: Colts and loss, and then I used the Browns last
Speaker 1: week on Thursday Night. I would use the Cardinals this
Speaker 1: week against Allions if I was still alive, and that's
Speaker 1: probably a team people haven't used yet. That one would
Speaker 1: scare me. I like that, he Mike gives you the
Speaker 1: proper conjecture, the proper conjectureture, not like I'm using the
Speaker 1: wrong word. When you're right, you're right. I ask you
Speaker 1: a point of parliamentary procedure. What about Yahweh? I thought
Speaker 1: Yahweh was also God? Yeahwei is a name. It's like
Speaker 1: an English sized thing for a Hebrew name of God,
Speaker 1: which you're really not supposed to say. That's why you
Speaker 1: say Hashem, because you know Hashem is so exalted that
Speaker 1: you can't say his name out loud. Okay, that's enough.
Speaker 1: That's good stuff. It's education, he said, it's education. We
Speaker 1: get that, we get the Nightlife podcast and we get
Speaker 1: constant learning about the Jewish faith. Mike, why don't you
Speaker 1: tell us how you feel about the you know, Uh, ice,
Speaker 1: ice lakes and Jesus that that's some great stuff. Can
Speaker 1: I get my survivor pick anybody? Yeah, we're waiting on Gil,
Speaker 1: thank you. Uh. In my entry that is still alive
Speaker 1: at at Circle, which I intend to win, by the way, Uh,
Speaker 1: first week in the one that is alive, I had
Speaker 1: the Tennessee Titans. Thank you Stephen Gostkowsky for finally making
Speaker 1: a kick. And then last week I had the Cleveland
Speaker 1: Browns on a Thursday night, So I am not allowed
Speaker 1: to use either of those. Um, this is a tough
Speaker 1: week because the biggest spread is Cleveland. Okay, I don't listen.
Speaker 1: The Colts already beat me in the other entry. I
Speaker 1: am not trying to pick him here. I really am
Speaker 1: not going to the Colts this week. Well, you have
Speaker 1: to understand, I have the Jets plus the points. I
Speaker 1: can't have that those two things happening in my life. Really,
Speaker 1: I don't want to deal you know, you don't want
Speaker 1: to deal with I don't want to deal with Philip Rivers.
Speaker 1: I knows. I didn't say never, but I don't. I
Speaker 1: don't trust them here. Oh I don't trust him. Um,
Speaker 1: I really don't. And I'm just pondering this for the
Speaker 1: first time. By the way, dare I say, Todd, I
Speaker 1: don't need suggestions. For God's sakes, I'm going through it myself.
Speaker 1: How about your your life? You love the Seahawks against Dallas?
Speaker 1: You know the tune? Any Uh? The question is do
Speaker 1: I trust the Chargers? Why don't you yell at Mikey
Speaker 1: forgiving you let me suggesting, because you're easier to yell
Speaker 1: at the Chargers. Do I trust them? I don't know, Arizona,
Speaker 1: I don't know. This is very difficult for me. I
Speaker 1: think I think that I may have to Oh God,
Speaker 1: actually I may actually go with the New England Patriots. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I'm serious, that's the game. I don't want to bet
Speaker 1: when we get to that, I don't want anything to
Speaker 1: do with that. I'll tell you why, because I think
Speaker 1: the Raiders are are a little overhyped, and I think
Speaker 1: Belichick versus Gruden is the matchup I might want. And
Speaker 1: I can anticipate lots of other people losing on New
Speaker 1: England later in the year, so that might be my
Speaker 1: That's a good one. Don't let that. Don't let that
Speaker 1: line move in the other way. Now to five and
Speaker 1: a half scared you. The biggest win for Vegas just
Speaker 1: happened five days ago. This looks like a letdown spot
Speaker 1: for them. I like it, by the way, as people
Speaker 1: want to know, because you're famous for many things on
Speaker 1: this obvious ones like Sprinkle, which we haven't had yet.
Speaker 1: How proud driving around Gil Now I listened to like
Speaker 1: National Radio TV, and I hear guys saying sprinkle, sprinkle, sprinkle.
Speaker 1: I'm like, whoa, yeah, that's uh. It was the uh
Speaker 1: what's the big wood barstool? They use it too, like
Speaker 1: they came up with it also. Um, but one of
Speaker 1: the things you're famous for Seattle Super Bowl year you
Speaker 1: were all, you're like a forget Seattle, forget Seattle. And
Speaker 1: they wanted but you wanted to tell people that you
Speaker 1: were in Kansas City last year. Yes, sir, and and
Speaker 1: what a city Kansas City is. Who embraced me with
Speaker 1: open arms. As soon as I bet Kansas City for
Speaker 1: the Super Bowl, they forgot everything I said during the
Speaker 1: last two regular seasons. He said, come on, have some ribs,
Speaker 1: come watch the parade with us. You're are people. That's
Speaker 1: my kind of my kind of town. Seattle, we just
Speaker 1: don't mix. Well, you guys don't get along. I know.
Speaker 1: I thought New Orleans was always your of course, But
Speaker 1: now Kansas City, somehow, they they've accepted me. When I
Speaker 1: was I was anti Kansas City for a while until
Speaker 1: I started believing the height. It takes a while to
Speaker 1: convince me. Ason Tom brenhaman with different viewpoints in the
Speaker 1: same town in the same time. Uh, that's true. I
Speaker 1: like that. So I'm feeling good about New England. Now
Speaker 1: do the question becomes, is he absolutely gonna take New England?
Speaker 1: When I finally press submit on this? Can I say
Speaker 1: that with a certainty. I'm gonna be honest with you.
Speaker 1: I can't. But that's still thinking right now. You still
Speaker 1: have You have till Saturday at three o'clock to get
Speaker 1: more information. There might be an injury. But I haven't
Speaker 1: had the time to think it through. Man, I do
Speaker 1: three things a day. You got time. You've got time
Speaker 1: just for the stenography, Gil, for the stenography. You have
Speaker 1: the pats And who did you use the last two weeks? Uh?
Speaker 1: I used Tennessee and Cleveland. Tennessee and Cleveland. You got
Speaker 1: you got options? I got options. I do have options.
Speaker 1: But this is a tough week. Which will find got
Speaker 1: Baltimore Monday night. They shouldn't lose at home. That's cancer.
Speaker 1: He's trying to run me into a wall. Can I
Speaker 1: make a survivor please, which I couldn't make on visa,
Speaker 1: but I could maybe make it here. You could do
Speaker 1: anything here. How bad do you think that Brianna Taylor
Speaker 1: protests are going to get And the reason I say
Speaker 1: this this up. The reason I say this is because
Speaker 1: I was downtown last night and we had a protest
Speaker 1: and I was at the Events Center doing a job
Speaker 1: fair for c and I mean we had to get
Speaker 1: out of there. I mean the streets were blocked in
Speaker 1: that They're gonna come a time with the timing between
Speaker 1: Thursday night and the weekend. If there's issues like this
Speaker 1: in a racial pandemic where you might have to take
Speaker 1: Jacksonville on Thursday night, if everything gets canceled on Sunday
Speaker 1: and Monday, you win the contest. So was this easy
Speaker 1: idea or was this your idea? This is my idea,
Speaker 1: because don't let me this. He get credit for everything
Speaker 1: he texted me this. Wait, is that really true, Mike? No, No,
Speaker 1: So listen to this. Listen to this because it's an
Speaker 1: interesting theory, and you're right, this is probably the floormat
Speaker 1: to saying on imagine if something got so bad and
Speaker 1: and yesterday might have been a great example of that,
Speaker 1: right with with with the ruling in in Louisville. And
Speaker 1: we're not talking whatever political side you're on here or whatever,
Speaker 1: that's not the point of this. The point is from
Speaker 1: a football perspective, if you're if we're a survivor, right,
Speaker 1: Let's say something goes down on the Thursday, and let's
Speaker 1: say that still the NFL plays the Thursday night game.
Speaker 1: But what if it just the ground, what if it's
Speaker 1: a crescendo of protest on a Friday, on a Saturday,
Speaker 1: We're just speculating right to the point where the where
Speaker 1: I guess what you're suggesting is the NFL just has
Speaker 1: cancelations left and right on a Sunday, what the whole
Speaker 1: whole side canceled? So then what would happen to survivor?
Speaker 1: Whoever had a correct pick on Thursday wins advance? Well,
Speaker 1: they would advance if Jacksonville one the only people left
Speaker 1: would be the people that there's no way that. What
Speaker 1: are you talking about, you guys, you're saying no way
Speaker 1: circle would do that, saying you're saying that if a
Speaker 1: guy on Thursday night and then they cancel the rest
Speaker 1: of the games, that guy's that's the only Winna. Now
Speaker 1: you don't know. Now you have to handicap the protests. Sure,
Speaker 1: you have to handicap That's the point of the conversation.
Speaker 1: That's the whole point of the conversation. I thought you
Speaker 1: were gonna say, there's no way the NFL would do that,
Speaker 1: but you went with there's no way Circle would do that.
Speaker 1: We wait, you haven't seen anything yet. Wait till we
Speaker 1: have elect electoral pandemic, which is again, these are things
Speaker 1: we can't talk about on on satellite radio necessarily, but
Speaker 1: here I think this is all. This is all very
Speaker 1: interesting stuff because you have to handicap COVID, right, you
Speaker 1: have to handicap social injustice, you have to handicap all
Speaker 1: these things. And in something like Survivor, which is just
Speaker 1: do or die period. Could you imagine if it ended
Speaker 1: on something like that, that would be nuts, It would
Speaker 1: be unfortunate, it would be unfortunate, would be very but
Speaker 1: it would certainly be talked about for years to come.
Speaker 1: A perfect example. Gil why whenever anyone asks me how
Speaker 1: to get into the the three, how to be a
Speaker 1: professional better? I always tell them, dude, get on the
Speaker 1: other side of the counter, don't even don't even bother
Speaker 1: yourself with this side. Don't be a bookmaker. That life
Speaker 1: is so much easier. It's it's it's ever increasingly more difficult.
Speaker 1: This year is just its own thing impossible. But that's
Speaker 1: just that's an amazing scenario. We sat there and rapped
Speaker 1: our brains on how to be fair in the in
Speaker 1: the circle millions. If the game gets postponed, we just
Speaker 1: give you a half point, right, But we can't do
Speaker 1: that because in Survivor, you must pick a winner that week, right,
Speaker 1: And it's just the unfortunate part of something might happen,
Speaker 1: whether it's a COVID game or a protest game, that
Speaker 1: you've picked a team and the game doesn't play it
Speaker 1: you've lost that entry and the circle rule. Yes. And
Speaker 1: by the way, if there's anybody listening right now, it's like,
Speaker 1: I want to hear this stuff that we're not We're
Speaker 1: not trying to be ESPN Radio. We understand that people
Speaker 1: any political todd Let me finish the sentence so that
Speaker 1: people can understand I'm saying exactly what you're saying, instead
Speaker 1: of interrupting and making it seem like I'm not saying that.
Speaker 1: Can we do? Can't we agree on that? So? Uh?
Speaker 1: By the way, I listen in the morning to ESPN
Speaker 1: Radio and then what we have on Visa and it
Speaker 1: is just Visa is so much better because they are
Speaker 1: all in on this stuff, but we're just trying to
Speaker 1: say is through through the lens of betting, and we
Speaker 1: don't care about the politics of it. That is, they
Speaker 1: just to have to ponder those scenarios is incredible. It's
Speaker 1: a handicapping consideration. That's right, handicapping consideration every But by
Speaker 1: the way, if it happens, if something like that happens,
Speaker 1: what a sage you are? What a prophet? I hope
Speaker 1: it doesn't happen. Of course, I hope it doesn't get
Speaker 1: to that point. But here's the first seed of something
Speaker 1: that could happen. We don't know if there's gonna be
Speaker 1: a shooting on not What if there's a shooting on
Speaker 1: a Saturday afternoon, you know what I mean about? How
Speaker 1: about November three? They're they're gonna be some guys gonna
Speaker 1: say I won the election. I'm not saying anything political.
Speaker 1: I'm just saying I'm gonna say I won the election.
Speaker 1: Other people are gonna say, no, we would like to
Speaker 1: count the votes. He's gonna say no, you're not allowed
Speaker 1: to count the votes. And there's going to be a
Speaker 1: gigantic s storm in this country that's gonna make COVID
Speaker 1: in the racial pandemic. Look like child's play, my friends. Now,
Speaker 1: I hope it doesn't happen, and I obviously hope it
Speaker 1: doesn't happen, but you know it clearly could happen. And
Speaker 1: the judge that one of those two guys nominates is
Speaker 1: probably going to decide the certification of the election. Oh man,
Speaker 1: that's it. I'm switching to Miami. Okay, don't not switching alright,
Speaker 1: Final two questions, boys and girls. You know how this goes.
Speaker 1: We've done this is the final two questions on the
Speaker 1: show for as long as we've done this show. Uh.
Speaker 1: And then the first of which is which the big
Speaker 1: favorites do you think is the most likely to lose? Outright?
Speaker 1: The problem with this week is there are no big
Speaker 1: favorites except for one. That's the Colts, who are eleven
Speaker 1: and a half point favorites against the the Jets. Outside
Speaker 1: of that, here are your biggest favorites. Cleveland seven point
Speaker 1: favorites against the Washington football team, and then everything else
Speaker 1: is below that. Chargers six and a half point favorites
Speaker 1: against Carolina, Tampa Bay six point favorites against Denver, and
Speaker 1: we'll leave it at New England six point favorites against
Speaker 1: Las Vegas. Those are the biggest favorites on the board
Speaker 1: of those ACE, which do you believe is not Seattle Dallas? No,
Speaker 1: Seattle Dallas and the sis. No, it's only five. We
Speaker 1: can't get into that Pats. Technically, Pats are really only
Speaker 1: five two technically good? I oh, yeah, No, I have
Speaker 1: a lot more sixes there. I have six. Yeah, I
Speaker 1: got six enough. I'm gonna have to go. Then I'll
Speaker 1: have to go with the Carolina Panthers. Um, it's a
Speaker 1: team I think that's capable of beating this one and
Speaker 1: one Chargers team. You know they're zero point differential. Kind
Speaker 1: of ran a little randomness there further Chargers and that's
Speaker 1: six and a half sticks out. Like I said, I
Speaker 1: was able to find a seven. Uh so I grabbed it.
Speaker 1: Don't get me wrong. Um, but I just think this
Speaker 1: offense needs a little while. It's the defense that's getting
Speaker 1: it done. I think the top fifteen d v o A,
Speaker 1: so they're keeping them in games. But I think Caroline
Speaker 1: is capable of beating this team, even on the road.
Speaker 1: I'll take the Panthers. Okay, so Chargers is your pick
Speaker 1: of the favorite the big favorite most like to go
Speaker 1: down right. Yeah. Uh And we we've gone this far
Speaker 1: in the show without mentioning to Rod partner with the
Speaker 1: pronce stays to Rod Taylor punctured lung from the doctor
Speaker 1: of the Chargers. If they would have won the game
Speaker 1: with the doctor have gotten the game ball. Another thing
Speaker 1: I can't say, but you know what, you know what
Speaker 1: it does explain to me. I'm the first one to
Speaker 1: love to bury you. But that was could you imagine
Speaker 1: the post game lacker? So every we know who's getting
Speaker 1: this game ball? Everybody? Uh No, by the way, welcome
Speaker 1: to I Heart Radio for this podcast with that note
Speaker 1: right there. No, um, the we're on the I Heart
Speaker 1: Radio Network podcast network, by the way, So that's a
Speaker 1: that's her debut salvo right there. No, but seriously, Anthony Lynn,
Speaker 1: we were all at least at least I know I
Speaker 1: was on a numbers game and I'm sure everybody else was.
Speaker 1: When he immediately said Anthony Lynn that they would go
Speaker 1: back to Tyrod Taylor as soon as he was healthy,
Speaker 1: Everybody's like, what are you talking about? Justin Herbert had
Speaker 1: like a minute to prevary for this game, and he
Speaker 1: was awesome. That explains it to me. Lombardi doesn't think
Speaker 1: I'm right. He thinks that's he thinks that's nonsense. He
Speaker 1: thinks he likes Tyrod Taylor period, no matter what. But
Speaker 1: I think Anthony Lynn knew something weird happened and he
Speaker 1: had Yeah, you agree, But I thought they won't stairs
Speaker 1: Mid Carolina as they fall under that oh and two
Speaker 1: a T S trend that I keep hearing, which that nonsense,
Speaker 1: which is well, it's it's everywhere with the oh these
Speaker 1: teams are owing to a T S and over the
Speaker 1: last four seasons, blah blah blah, it's twenty two and
Speaker 1: whatever against the spread. Like those kind of things start
Speaker 1: to worry me because I like a couple of those
Speaker 1: dogs in that oh and two, and I just don't trust.
Speaker 1: I don't like trends like that. When you tell me
Speaker 1: they're twenty two and seven over the last four years,
Speaker 1: Why are you telling me the last five years and
Speaker 1: six and seven? Like does it not fit the narrative?
Speaker 1: And you stopped it four years? Like just say, teams
Speaker 1: that are owing to A T S are probably undervalued
Speaker 1: going into week three, Like that's a fundamental reason we
Speaker 1: could all agree on that it's possible if the team
Speaker 1: hasn't covered first two games out of the gate, they're
Speaker 1: owing two, there may be a little undervalued, But the
Speaker 1: pool out trends like, oh, they're twenty two and this
Speaker 1: over the last three years. To me, that's just nonsense.
Speaker 1: But yet you're spooked by it nonetheless, Yeah, because exactly
Speaker 1: because it's so it's everywhere. I'm like, are they shading
Speaker 1: for it? You know what I mean? Is it baked
Speaker 1: into the cake too much? That's what worries me. But chance,
Speaker 1: you're also saying that's what I was worried about with
Speaker 1: the Titans. You're also saying the teams can theoretically be
Speaker 1: on Technically they're going to be. If you throw a
Speaker 1: thousand teams that went oh and two against spread in
Speaker 1: any sport, they're probably gonna be a little bit undervalued
Speaker 1: going into of that third week because of exactly what
Speaker 1: you just said. Yeah, exactly, regardless of of the trend.
Speaker 1: I think that's just like logical, you know what I mean,
Speaker 1: Like in any market, if a team's under performing, they're
Speaker 1: probably gonna be discounted, you know what I mean? Going forward,
Speaker 1: Mikey's ace has got the Chargers of the team the
Speaker 1: large favorite most likely lose out right, Well, I'm surprised
Speaker 1: they didn't take the team that we are both against, uh,
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay, because we both took the six with Denver.
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna say that Denver can beat Tampa Bay
Speaker 1: and I'll use them as that team, all right, Todd, Uh,
Speaker 1: you know, if the Pats are part of it, I'm
Speaker 1: gonna say the Pats. You know, I don't want, I
Speaker 1: don't really want to do that, but that's what I'm
Speaker 1: gonna say that. Look, the Raiders are moving the football.
Speaker 1: The Raiders showed they could move to football last year
Speaker 1: as well. In fact, I think the Raiders maybe that
Speaker 1: sneaky over team like Tampa was last year because they
Speaker 1: can move the football. Their defense is really not that
Speaker 1: good and you can move on them as well. So, um,
Speaker 1: you know, I wouldn't be shocked out of my brains
Speaker 1: if Cam Newton had a bad game and and the
Speaker 1: Raiders pulled it off. I'm not saying it's gonna happen.
Speaker 1: Shocked out of my brains. Um, I'm I'm gonna say
Speaker 1: the Indianapolis Colts the biggest favorite on the board. I
Speaker 1: don't trust Philip Rivers. I've had too many experiences Philip Rivers,
Speaker 1: you know, over the years, and I the Jets can't
Speaker 1: possibly be as bad as they've looked. I I think
Speaker 1: the Cults are the big favorite, most likely lose out right,
Speaker 1: because I think of all those big favorites, they're the
Speaker 1: shakiest of the bunch. I get it they're playing, but
Speaker 1: I trust Cleveland more than I do against the Washington
Speaker 1: football team. Sorry, I you know, the other one was
Speaker 1: the Chargers that I considered. So it's it's but I'm
Speaker 1: gonna say that I'm just for giggles, I'm gonna say
Speaker 1: I'm gonna say the Colts because I really I don't
Speaker 1: trust Philip Rivers one bit and they've got too many injuries,
Speaker 1: so that'd be my play there. Uh, the game you
Speaker 1: want no part? Have to wrap this up, bizarro exercise.
Speaker 1: You have to pick a side in every single one
Speaker 1: of these sixteen games which you get one past one
Speaker 1: game you want no part of one game you wouldn't
Speaker 1: even bet with Wishnav's money. What game my bank mythical
Speaker 1: bank roll. I don't know why you have to keep
Speaker 1: kicking gets so angry, Like, what game would you pick? Ace?
Speaker 1: For me, this is symbol um Atlanta Chicago because it
Speaker 1: just doesn't make sense, like, you know, you have a
Speaker 1: note to Atlanta team given points, getting uh ticket account.
Speaker 1: At least from what I'm hearing, the money's coming in
Speaker 1: on the Atlanta side. To me, that's just a confusing
Speaker 1: type of game. Um nothing. I want to focus on
Speaker 1: Chicago looking good at two and oh a little surprising
Speaker 1: but in catching points. I just want no part of
Speaker 1: this at all. That's a that's as as solid a
Speaker 1: pick as any. Mike I said, it's the Raiders in
Speaker 1: New England, just because I'm not sure how good this
Speaker 1: Raider's team is. I look at this trend and I
Speaker 1: kind of you know, what Gruden did year one year
Speaker 1: to the record keeps improving. But I'm not I'm not
Speaker 1: a car guy. I just don't think cars any good.
Speaker 1: I mean, so, how good is New England? How is
Speaker 1: is Belichick doing this with all the deserters and and
Speaker 1: all of a sudden cams is looks like his arms
Speaker 1: healthy again, and he's he's able to march down the
Speaker 1: field in a minute and a half. I mean, that
Speaker 1: was amazing. So I just don't really know that I
Speaker 1: know either team, and that the number is a tough
Speaker 1: number to bet, So I want no part of that game, Todd.
Speaker 1: I know Todd's gonna take mine. Pittsburgh against the Houston Texans.
Speaker 1: I want no part of Billy O'Brien because if you
Speaker 1: bet on him, you could literally lose your life because
Speaker 1: you'll go crazy, end up in a mental asylum and
Speaker 1: want to kill yourself. Or the Pittsburgh Steelers. Where the
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh Steelers? Are they really this good? Are they? I mean?
Speaker 1: What are they? Are they good? Are they bad? I
Speaker 1: know they're two and oh, but they didn't look incredible
Speaker 1: against the Giants. They let Denver hang around with Jeff
Speaker 1: driscoll for all kinds of the time. Could have you
Speaker 1: even lost the game at the end? I don't know
Speaker 1: what Pittsburgh is, I really don't. I know Ben has
Speaker 1: lost a lot of weight, but I don't know what
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh is, and I don't want Bill O'Brien, So get
Speaker 1: me out of that. I know we don't usually associate
Speaker 1: this category with anything but like teams that we just
Speaker 1: don't have a feel for. But Baltimore Kansas City is mine?
Speaker 1: Like you can't pick a better more? Yeah, I can't
Speaker 1: pick a better marquee matchup in the NFL in that game.
Speaker 1: But I want no part of it on the side
Speaker 1: because I think Baltimore could crush him actually, and I
Speaker 1: think Mahomes could do the Mahomes thing and beat him
Speaker 1: at the you know, beat him, beat him late as well,
Speaker 1: or Kansas City have a big league. There's so many
Speaker 1: different results of this as you haven't you have an
Speaker 1: opinion on this game. I do, man, I do, and
Speaker 1: and honestly, listen, it's not a knock against Kansas City.
Speaker 1: It's just they got it done. Man. They won the
Speaker 1: Super Bowl like they needed to do, wanted to do,
Speaker 1: aim to do, and for both them more, they haven't
Speaker 1: gotten there. They're the regular season team. They're the Kansas
Speaker 1: City of two years ago of trying to still prove
Speaker 1: themselves to where they're gonna blow teams out in the
Speaker 1: regular season. I don't like teams like this, um, but
Speaker 1: you gotta look at that side. I think Baltimore, what
Speaker 1: what you need to do. I think a lot of
Speaker 1: Kansas City money is probably gonna come in. Kansas City
Speaker 1: is an underdogs attractive we know their record with Mahomes
Speaker 1: is a dog. I think they're like four and one
Speaker 1: or five and o against the spread, something like that.
Speaker 1: He's gonna get money. I think you sit back, you wait,
Speaker 1: if a bunch of Kansas City money line comes in,
Speaker 1: you get the bet. Baltimore at home on the money
Speaker 1: line at a discount. Um. I like that, and I
Speaker 1: like Baltimore first half. I think they're gonna come out.
Speaker 1: Like you said, if Kansas City comes in it winsday game,
Speaker 1: I think they're gonna have to do it from behind.
Speaker 1: Baltimore has all the momentum, they have everything to prove.
Speaker 1: It's at home and they're that custom made regular season
Speaker 1: team to blow everyone away. But let's see what you
Speaker 1: could do in the postseason. That's when it matters. Well,
Speaker 1: Baltimore money line might be what I actually end up
Speaker 1: betting that day. But as long as it as long
Speaker 1: as it's three in a hook or ori end game.
Speaker 1: As long as three in a hook though on the
Speaker 1: pre flop number, that's a line I want no part of.
Speaker 1: I don't like that hook. If it were three, it
Speaker 1: might not be the game I would choose, But I
Speaker 1: don't like that. I just think they're plicking better offensively, defensively,
Speaker 1: special teams all three facets of the game are playing
Speaker 1: up the speed where I think in Kansas City they're
Speaker 1: not there yet. The talents there, but I don't think
Speaker 1: they're playing as efficiently as Baltimore is. Out of the gate.
Speaker 1: I like it. Let's face it, Kansas City had no
Speaker 1: business to win that game, and in the last as exactly,
Speaker 1: why doesn't he take three points at the end of
Speaker 1: the first quarter. Idiotic. He could have been up to nothing.
Speaker 1: And I'm spalking about Anthony Lynn at the thirty four
Speaker 1: yard line. I mean, you could kick. I could kick
Speaker 1: a sixty yard field goal on that, So be yourself,
Speaker 1: which you're right, most people are talking about. They're not
Speaker 1: talking about that. They're not talking about the end of
Speaker 1: the third quarter. They run for eight yards on first down,
Speaker 1: they have second and two with thirty five seconds and
Speaker 1: no play clock. He rushes to the line and throws
Speaker 1: that bad interception. They didn't have to run and play
Speaker 1: in the third That was horrific, horrific. The play calling
Speaker 1: at the goal line, the decision, I mean, there was
Speaker 1: just soles. They were inside the tend to put to
Speaker 1: put a real big, put a big touchdown up and
Speaker 1: they would have been the goal from the four and
Speaker 1: they never let him throw the ball. They never got
Speaker 1: the ball wide, They never play action nothing. It was
Speaker 1: hard down. Was a broken play. It wasn't a broken play.
Speaker 1: It was supposed to be some motion seper He turned right,
Speaker 1: he was supposed to turn left. Yeah, yeah, rookie quarter beat,
Speaker 1: what are you gonna played? Great? Defense, played great. They
Speaker 1: should have won the game. I was shocked that the
Speaker 1: Chiefs kicked the field goal at the end. I thought
Speaker 1: they it was fourth and I thought I thought they
Speaker 1: were going to go for How how let's think about
Speaker 1: that feat he kicked. Technically, he kicked four fifty eight
Speaker 1: yard field goals in that game. Radst kicking displays. Why
Speaker 1: would you go for it when if you miss a
Speaker 1: fifty eight yard field goal the other team has incredible feel?
Speaker 1: But I don't even understand why you would go because
Speaker 1: Michael Lombardo tell you of the time, Yeah, why would
Speaker 1: Why would you go for the field goal? That's what
Speaker 1: we're saying. We would have went fourth and the bigger
Speaker 1: one to me, and I don't know if it's bigger,
Speaker 1: but just as egregious like John Gruden got away with it.
Speaker 1: Two on Monday Nights, half I got plus eight and
Speaker 1: a half. Right when thirty one seventeen, the Raiders going
Speaker 1: to go up fourteen, I said, I gotta gotta take
Speaker 1: the Saints here plus eight and a half. You know,
Speaker 1: the Saints are coming down for the easy backdoor touchdown.
Speaker 1: They go marching down the field. I'm in it's over,
Speaker 1: there's no chance. And then this idiot Cruden picks the
Speaker 1: field goal. What are you doing? He had money line
Speaker 1: on he goes. I was, he goes. My bet was
Speaker 1: like minus five thousand, and when he kicked the field goal,
Speaker 1: now it feels like minus seven hundred because if he
Speaker 1: misses it, the good I wasn't even talking. I wasn't
Speaker 1: even talking to him, and I texted you guys, and
Speaker 1: then he said, oh, not only that. Yeah, here's what
Speaker 1: I had on it. He had and I liken it
Speaker 1: to like the ends of NBA games when a team
Speaker 1: is up three. If if if it's a coach that's
Speaker 1: up three that you know is going to foul the opponent,
Speaker 1: I would lay minus the money line. But if he's
Speaker 1: if he's not going to foul, you wouldn't lay minus
Speaker 1: two fifty on it even And that's exactly what Gruden did,
Speaker 1: and when he led up for the field goal, he
Speaker 1: is dying. And then of course it goes in right,
Speaker 1: fifty four yard field goal. And by the way, I
Speaker 1: love analytics, but all these analytics people on Twitter afterwards
Speaker 1: you're like, oh, it's just a wash. He could have
Speaker 1: punted it, kicking the field goal, and it was the
Speaker 1: same thing. I'm sorry, your model does not factor in
Speaker 1: the fact that Drew Brees cannot throw the ball down field,
Speaker 1: and so that drove me crazy. The model is wrong.
Speaker 1: Thanks are great if the math inside the analytics are great.
Speaker 1: If the math inside the analytics are bad, analytics sucks
Speaker 1: and models suck. Yes, and we have got well said
Speaker 1: and well said what that's going to come out of it? Yeah,
Speaker 1: and we have gotten We have gotten to the point.
Speaker 1: I totally agree that we've gotten to the point where
Speaker 1: if anybody even says they have a model, our knee
Speaker 1: jerk reaction is, oh, they must be super smart. That
Speaker 1: must be right. If you had punched, punt it or whatever.
Speaker 1: There is no chance anybody who's ever watched football thinks
Speaker 1: that that should have been a field goal attempt. And
Speaker 1: because Daniel Carlson makes it, now they are so buoyed
Speaker 1: by that he's gonna do it again. Yeah, we gave
Speaker 1: the kicker confidence we'll do it again. It's football. I'm like, okay,
Speaker 1: Raiders got a little that says I have a model
Speaker 1: that says I will always weigh more than you and
Speaker 1: Mike Palm. That model is wrong. Oh I see what
Speaker 1: he did there. You can do it, bro I lost
Speaker 1: a hundred pounds. Anyone can do it. But how did
Speaker 1: you do it? Ace? Honestly, the way you be the
Speaker 1: same way I learned how to finally make money betting
Speaker 1: sports and playing blackjack. Discipline. It's the truth. Even when
Speaker 1: I had access to winning information as a runner back
Speaker 1: when before the Internet, I had better information than anyone
Speaker 1: back then, and I still managed to go broke multiple
Speaker 1: times because I didn't know how to use it. I
Speaker 1: had no discipline. And it's the same with losing weight.
Speaker 1: I mean, unless you have something physic lead an ailment,
Speaker 1: that's a different story. But otherwise it's a case of
Speaker 1: of of discipline and choices. I mean that the model
Speaker 1: hasn't changed. You need to take in less than you burden.
Speaker 1: There's no the other way to do it other than
Speaker 1: eat less, move more. That's all I did. I did
Speaker 1: it for a year. I changed my my habit. You
Speaker 1: can't diet. You gotta change your life because you can
Speaker 1: only diet for so long, and you're gonna stop doing
Speaker 1: that eventually, and your body's gonna bounce back to what
Speaker 1: it remembers. What you have to do is change your
Speaker 1: lifestyle and then you then your choice has become easy.
Speaker 1: Like I no longer eat meat more than once or
Speaker 1: twice a month, so that problem is solved. I don't
Speaker 1: eat carbs more than this many times. That problem solved.
Speaker 1: That's all you gotta do. Just make lifestyle changes, and
Speaker 1: its diet. It's not even the exercise, to be honest
Speaker 1: with you, that's the other. That's the other little key
Speaker 1: to it. They don't tell you that what you go
Speaker 1: to a gym, you know, an important piece of exercise
Speaker 1: equipment is the fork. Yeah, there it is. Ace. I'm
Speaker 1: very impressed how respectful Todd was of your deference, the
Speaker 1: deference he held you in. I mean, most guests he
Speaker 1: puts through the ring are very dismissing. Remember the Doctor
Speaker 1: Bob cheap shots were cheap shots by the day. The
Speaker 1: verbal day showed something of the national megapod so impolite. Well, doctor,
Speaker 1: Bob doctor. First of all, I tipped on a serious note,
Speaker 1: even though these two lulligans don't know what the hell
Speaker 1: they're talking about. I have to tip my hat lunatics
Speaker 1: with hooligan. I have to tip my hat to you
Speaker 1: for losing over hunter pounds. I've actually lost over hunder
Speaker 1: pounds five times, not to not to uh you know,
Speaker 1: super seed you I'm just that's because I, like you said,
Speaker 1: I go back off the lifestyle. Now. Last time I
Speaker 1: had issues about seeing, you know, my my eyes getting blurry,
Speaker 1: my hands starting to get tingly from diabetes. So I
Speaker 1: put down the pizza on June twentie of last year.
Speaker 1: So hopefully it sticks this time. But I do have
Speaker 1: to tip my hat because that's just take your time, man, patient,
Speaker 1: Just take your time. That's all you gotta do. Don't
Speaker 1: look at the scale every day. I mean, it's okay
Speaker 1: to do that, so, you know, make a habit, but
Speaker 1: just take there's no rush, take your time the way.
Speaker 1: It didn't come on in two months, so it takes
Speaker 1: a little while. People just like, hey, here's a serious question.
Speaker 1: Do you think Mike Palm weever come to his senses
Speaker 1: and decide not to be a portly young man who
Speaker 1: can't really do anything except play moonball and tennis. Wow.
Speaker 1: I think as we get older, we all have no choices.
Speaker 1: You know, once you start getting the blood example, the
Speaker 1: test back and your dogs, that starts telling you, you know,
Speaker 1: you gotta do the right thing. You start seeing on
Speaker 1: the back nine like myself. You know, once you get
Speaker 1: on that back nine, you gotta start taking things a
Speaker 1: little more seriously. And I know a young Filipino boy
Speaker 1: who wants to see his dad stay live a lot longer.
Speaker 1: So we got to get that guy out on tennis
Speaker 1: court and get him to put the fork down. I
Speaker 1: played for an hour and eighteen degree heat with e. I.
Speaker 1: I was only eight games, but still well, wishing everybody
Speaker 1: weight loss. I need something myself because Todd's catching me good,
Speaker 1: is doing a great job. He Gil has a different systems.
Speaker 1: It's called the oily cheeseball system. Can you eat the
Speaker 1: oily and cheeseball down to Italy? And then you go,
Speaker 1: I don't understand, come up anyway, I don't know. I
Speaker 1: still struggle. I honestly, like you've you've known me now
Speaker 1: for a decade and you've seen me get a little
Speaker 1: chubby and then lose it, Like if I let myself
Speaker 1: go for a number of months. I have that kind
Speaker 1: of body where I'll get weight on pretty quickly, so
Speaker 1: I always still have to maintain discipline. I'll get heavy quickly. Yeah,
Speaker 1: but if I was your mom, I would say to you,
Speaker 1: maybe you should eat a little more. You're looking my
Speaker 1: mom just I can't for that. She's in Greece, but
Speaker 1: when when I visited her, when she's here, that's all
Speaker 1: she does. She thinks I'm sick. I forgot. She thinks
Speaker 1: there's something wrong with me. I wish I had your problems. Uh,
Speaker 1: good luck, I really do. Good luck with everybody. Everybody
Speaker 1: with all your bets. Uh, Toddy and Mike, thank you, Ace,
Speaker 1: so good to see you. Thank you for doing this.
Speaker 1: The pleasure is mine. I'm a fan. Like I said,
Speaker 1: I'm all three of you guys, so thanks for having me.
Speaker 1: Appreciate it so much. Good luck with all your bets.
Speaker 1: Thanks so much for listening from all of us here
Speaker 1: on the Bug of pot