1 00:00:01,440 --> 00:00:05,920 Speaker 1: The volume. Let's talk about something really really important. If 2 00:00:05,920 --> 00:00:10,760 Speaker 1: you're ever injured, check out Morgan and Morgan's America's largest 3 00:00:10,960 --> 00:00:13,960 Speaker 1: injury law firm, and they're there for you. Over one 4 00:00:14,040 --> 00:00:17,560 Speaker 1: hundred offices nationwide. Think about that, more than a thousand 5 00:00:17,680 --> 00:00:21,360 Speaker 1: lawyers with over twenty billion. That's a b twenty billion 6 00:00:21,400 --> 00:00:25,480 Speaker 1: dollars recovered for over five hundred thousand clients. Things happen 7 00:00:25,520 --> 00:00:29,600 Speaker 1: in life unexpectedly. Submitting an injury claim with Morgan and 8 00:00:29,640 --> 00:00:32,240 Speaker 1: Morgan is really really easy. Like winning in the NFL 9 00:00:32,360 --> 00:00:35,200 Speaker 1: is hard, we know that quarterbacking in the NFL is hard, 10 00:00:35,320 --> 00:00:38,200 Speaker 1: Submitting a claim is easy. You're ever injured, check out 11 00:00:38,240 --> 00:00:41,160 Speaker 1: Morgan and Morgan. Their fee is free unless they win. 12 00:00:41,479 --> 00:00:46,599 Speaker 1: For more information, go to for Thepeople dot com, slash 13 00:00:46,680 --> 00:00:50,720 Speaker 1: Colin or dial pound law from your cell phone. Pretty easy. 14 00:00:50,800 --> 00:00:54,040 Speaker 1: That's for the people dot com slash Colin or pound 15 00:00:54,120 --> 00:00:56,840 Speaker 1: law pound five to nine from your cell Morgan and 16 00:00:56,880 --> 00:01:00,960 Speaker 1: Morgan has a proven track record of fighting for you 17 00:01:01,280 --> 00:01:04,680 Speaker 1: to get a full and fair compensation if there's an 18 00:01:04,760 --> 00:01:08,160 Speaker 1: unexpected accident in your life. This is a paid advertisement 19 00:01:11,080 --> 00:01:13,920 Speaker 1: all right time for an instant reaction. I got to 20 00:01:13,920 --> 00:01:17,760 Speaker 1: be honest, I've already sent Justin Herbert a text. I've 21 00:01:17,800 --> 00:01:21,280 Speaker 1: poured one tonight just for this thirty four to twenty 22 00:01:21,319 --> 00:01:24,360 Speaker 1: seven chargers. When whoever won, I was happy, although I 23 00:01:24,360 --> 00:01:27,600 Speaker 1: did pick the charger, so I'm a little happier, you know. 24 00:01:27,840 --> 00:01:31,399 Speaker 1: I've said this is when I started the volume. One 25 00:01:31,400 --> 00:01:33,520 Speaker 1: of the things I really really like. When I was 26 00:01:33,560 --> 00:01:35,280 Speaker 1: in my twenties and thirties, I was probably just too 27 00:01:35,280 --> 00:01:37,600 Speaker 1: selfish to help anybody else. I was into my thing 28 00:01:37,680 --> 00:01:40,240 Speaker 1: and I didn't you know, I was unmarried. And then 29 00:01:40,280 --> 00:01:42,160 Speaker 1: you get older and older, and you have kids, and 30 00:01:42,200 --> 00:01:44,760 Speaker 1: you get married, and you know, over time, you know, 31 00:01:45,280 --> 00:01:48,800 Speaker 1: hopefully you have something in you that you want to 32 00:01:48,800 --> 00:01:53,920 Speaker 1: see others succeed. And I love seeing young quarterbacks in 33 00:01:53,960 --> 00:01:59,240 Speaker 1: the NFL get the right coach, and Bonix could have gotten, 34 00:01:59,760 --> 00:02:03,160 Speaker 1: you know, countless coaches that couldn't help him. And he's 35 00:02:03,200 --> 00:02:07,080 Speaker 1: still he is still learning. But in that first half, 36 00:02:07,600 --> 00:02:10,760 Speaker 1: that was all on script, those first two or three series, 37 00:02:10,760 --> 00:02:13,919 Speaker 1: and bo Nix was great because he's now got his mentor, 38 00:02:14,200 --> 00:02:17,080 Speaker 1: he's got his kingpin, he's got Sean Payton. Now the 39 00:02:17,160 --> 00:02:21,120 Speaker 1: second half it's not on script. That's about talent, and 40 00:02:21,320 --> 00:02:24,880 Speaker 1: Justin Herbert took over. Herbert's more talented, bigger, stronger. He's 41 00:02:24,880 --> 00:02:27,880 Speaker 1: just a more talented, experienced quarterback. In the NFL, but 42 00:02:28,520 --> 00:02:30,959 Speaker 1: both of these guys, these two teams last year were 43 00:02:31,040 --> 00:02:34,200 Speaker 1: thirteen and twenty one. I mean, think about that, and 44 00:02:34,600 --> 00:02:36,800 Speaker 1: right now they're eighteen and twelve and both are going 45 00:02:36,800 --> 00:02:41,000 Speaker 1: to make the playoffs. One got a coach and one 46 00:02:41,080 --> 00:02:43,840 Speaker 1: Sean Payton got a quarterback. And this tonight was a 47 00:02:43,880 --> 00:02:48,080 Speaker 1: PSA for the league. You get the right coach, you 48 00:02:48,120 --> 00:02:50,560 Speaker 1: get the right quarterback, you can turn it around in 49 00:02:50,560 --> 00:02:52,640 Speaker 1: one season. It doesn't even matter in the NBA if 50 00:02:52,639 --> 00:02:55,280 Speaker 1: you land Jannis or jokicch it takes years and years 51 00:02:55,280 --> 00:02:57,920 Speaker 1: to build up to be viable in Major League Baseball. 52 00:02:57,960 --> 00:02:59,959 Speaker 1: I mean, there's just some teams that can't afford it, right. 53 00:03:00,320 --> 00:03:02,880 Speaker 1: But in the NFL, Houston was a laughing stock, a 54 00:03:02,880 --> 00:03:05,160 Speaker 1: bottom three team in the league. To meet O'Ryan c J. 55 00:03:05,240 --> 00:03:08,959 Speaker 1: Stroud playoffs. The Chargers last year, I think by the 56 00:03:09,040 --> 00:03:11,200 Speaker 1: end of the year they had a team mutiny. They 57 00:03:11,200 --> 00:03:13,000 Speaker 1: were one of the three worst teams in the league. 58 00:03:13,040 --> 00:03:15,880 Speaker 1: This defense is all the same guys now. The offense 59 00:03:15,919 --> 00:03:18,720 Speaker 1: got Joe Alt and Laddi McConkie. No question upgrades, but 60 00:03:18,760 --> 00:03:21,360 Speaker 1: they're so beat up. Now they're using a defensive tackle. 61 00:03:21,400 --> 00:03:24,000 Speaker 1: Are the Chargers as one of their skill people, Matt Locke, 62 00:03:24,080 --> 00:03:27,919 Speaker 1: give me a break. They're using return guys and Quinton 63 00:03:27,960 --> 00:03:30,400 Speaker 1: Johnson still can't catch. I mean, this is the second 64 00:03:30,400 --> 00:03:33,960 Speaker 1: half is you know, Joel and Laddi McConkie have obviously helped, 65 00:03:33,960 --> 00:03:35,760 Speaker 1: but the Chargers are so beat up on the back 66 00:03:35,800 --> 00:03:38,360 Speaker 1: end of their defense, and they're beat up at tight end. 67 00:03:38,440 --> 00:03:43,000 Speaker 1: They didn't have Will Disley. You know, they don't have JK. Dobbins, 68 00:03:43,760 --> 00:03:46,760 Speaker 1: and you know there's still a draft away. They're about 69 00:03:46,760 --> 00:03:49,640 Speaker 1: six players away. They needed to tight end another running back, 70 00:03:49,760 --> 00:03:52,800 Speaker 1: although Gus Edwards had a great, huge run of the game. 71 00:03:53,560 --> 00:03:55,960 Speaker 1: But it just shows you why the NFL is king. 72 00:03:56,000 --> 00:03:58,040 Speaker 1: You just either get a coach, get a quarterback, or 73 00:03:58,040 --> 00:04:00,840 Speaker 1: Houston get both and you're a playoff team. And it's 74 00:04:00,880 --> 00:04:02,880 Speaker 1: just I've always called the NFL the League of hope. 75 00:04:03,320 --> 00:04:07,160 Speaker 1: But let's first start with the Chargers. They were what 76 00:04:07,240 --> 00:04:09,560 Speaker 1: did al Michael say tonight? I can't believe al Michaels 77 00:04:09,680 --> 00:04:13,360 Speaker 1: is this good at eighty. The guy is such a 78 00:04:13,400 --> 00:04:17,040 Speaker 1: talented guy. Al Michaels is still funny and quick, and 79 00:04:17,120 --> 00:04:19,039 Speaker 1: he and Herb Street sound like they like each other. 80 00:04:19,200 --> 00:04:21,880 Speaker 1: Al Michaels is so good at eighty years old, is insane. 81 00:04:22,360 --> 00:04:24,719 Speaker 1: He just signed for next year, by the way, but 82 00:04:25,960 --> 00:04:27,480 Speaker 1: you know that he had said at one point the 83 00:04:27,560 --> 00:04:29,719 Speaker 1: Chargers were like, oh, for their last eleven and games 84 00:04:29,760 --> 00:04:31,920 Speaker 1: decided by three points or less, they just don't know 85 00:04:31,920 --> 00:04:34,760 Speaker 1: how to win, you know, they just just don't know 86 00:04:34,760 --> 00:04:36,400 Speaker 1: how to win. And they take this team at the 87 00:04:36,440 --> 00:04:38,400 Speaker 1: end of last year. It was a disaster at the 88 00:04:38,480 --> 00:04:39,640 Speaker 1: end of the year, could have been the worst thing 89 00:04:39,640 --> 00:04:42,359 Speaker 1: in the league. Same guys on defense, and in fact 90 00:04:42,400 --> 00:04:44,400 Speaker 1: half the defense and guys in the back end are hurt. 91 00:04:44,480 --> 00:04:47,320 Speaker 1: Derwin James is healthy in carrying them, but they're all 92 00:04:47,360 --> 00:04:50,040 Speaker 1: banged up, and look at them. And it was such 93 00:04:50,120 --> 00:04:53,440 Speaker 1: a testament to Harbaugh's coaching, because, I mean, Harbaugh and 94 00:04:53,480 --> 00:04:59,600 Speaker 1: Herbert tonight won the game. Harbaugh's halftime adjustments and Jesse 95 00:04:59,720 --> 00:05:03,160 Speaker 1: Minter and then Herbert in the second half scrambling on 96 00:05:03,240 --> 00:05:05,760 Speaker 1: a bad ankle for a first down, that throw for 97 00:05:05,839 --> 00:05:07,960 Speaker 1: a touchdown in the end zone, moving to his left, 98 00:05:08,080 --> 00:05:13,200 Speaker 1: throwing it off his bad foot. It was just a 99 00:05:13,279 --> 00:05:18,640 Speaker 1: Herbert Harbaugh second half of just great coaching. Smart adjustments. 100 00:05:20,400 --> 00:05:23,120 Speaker 1: Herbert doing what he's doing, It's just it makes me 101 00:05:23,200 --> 00:05:27,080 Speaker 1: really happy. I feel really bad for Caleb Williams. None 102 00:05:27,120 --> 00:05:28,800 Speaker 1: of it is his fault. I just feel bad for 103 00:05:28,839 --> 00:05:31,400 Speaker 1: the kid. And maybe it's because in my life I've 104 00:05:31,400 --> 00:05:33,400 Speaker 1: had really you know, I've been very fortunate that I've 105 00:05:33,480 --> 00:05:36,280 Speaker 1: landed at good spaces, especially early in my career when 106 00:05:36,279 --> 00:05:38,960 Speaker 1: I didn't know what the hell I was doing. It's 107 00:05:39,000 --> 00:05:41,040 Speaker 1: just so important. I tell my kids this all the time. 108 00:05:41,080 --> 00:05:44,400 Speaker 1: It's not just about you. You're gonna hopefully find somebody 109 00:05:44,400 --> 00:05:47,800 Speaker 1: that can mentor you cares about your well being and 110 00:05:48,000 --> 00:05:50,800 Speaker 1: you know, in the job market, and they will make 111 00:05:50,839 --> 00:05:52,720 Speaker 1: the best out of you. And I feel like that's 112 00:05:52,760 --> 00:05:55,279 Speaker 1: what Jim Harbaugh is doing to Herbert, and that's what 113 00:05:55,320 --> 00:05:58,480 Speaker 1: Sean Payton's doing to bow Nicks. Both teams are a 114 00:05:58,560 --> 00:06:01,599 Speaker 1: draft away, right. Denver didn't have a ton of depth. 115 00:06:02,240 --> 00:06:05,320 Speaker 1: The Chargers need more weapons and a couple of corners. 116 00:06:06,000 --> 00:06:08,599 Speaker 1: But in the end of the half sequence was so 117 00:06:08,720 --> 00:06:12,280 Speaker 1: perfectly Harbaugh. He's competing to the very end. I mean, 118 00:06:12,360 --> 00:06:14,800 Speaker 1: Jim Harbaugh is competing to the very end. And some 119 00:06:14,839 --> 00:06:18,039 Speaker 1: people say he's weird, he's intense. Okay, it's the NFL. 120 00:06:18,160 --> 00:06:22,520 Speaker 1: Belichick was intense, Dan Campbell's intense, John Payton's intense. So 121 00:06:22,680 --> 00:06:26,040 Speaker 1: into the first half, you know, they get that field goal, 122 00:06:27,800 --> 00:06:31,760 Speaker 1: and that's just Harriball battling to the end. So there's 123 00:06:31,800 --> 00:06:34,320 Speaker 1: a big difference between going in down what they would 124 00:06:34,360 --> 00:06:37,279 Speaker 1: have been and then the field goal. You got a 125 00:06:37,279 --> 00:06:40,880 Speaker 1: real football game, and trailing eight at half feels a 126 00:06:40,880 --> 00:06:44,120 Speaker 1: lot different than trailing by twelve. And I mean that 127 00:06:44,200 --> 00:06:48,440 Speaker 1: kind of momentum into the locker room changed the energy 128 00:06:48,440 --> 00:06:50,120 Speaker 1: and the juice, And I thought Denver had all the 129 00:06:50,200 --> 00:06:52,520 Speaker 1: juice in the first half and the Chargers had all 130 00:06:52,520 --> 00:06:55,320 Speaker 1: of the juice with that field goal going into intermission 131 00:06:55,320 --> 00:06:58,599 Speaker 1: in the second half, and the Chargers outscored the Broncos 132 00:06:58,640 --> 00:07:02,040 Speaker 1: twenty four to six once Hardball called that timeout end 133 00:07:02,040 --> 00:07:04,279 Speaker 1: of the first half and got the free kick before halftime, 134 00:07:04,480 --> 00:07:07,520 Speaker 1: twenty four to six. Just battling and fighting to the 135 00:07:07,600 --> 00:07:10,000 Speaker 1: very end. Herbert in the second half, by the way, 136 00:07:10,280 --> 00:07:14,760 Speaker 1: Jesus and he again he is working with return guys, 137 00:07:15,440 --> 00:07:18,560 Speaker 1: a first round receiver that can't catch a defensive lineman. 138 00:07:19,120 --> 00:07:22,440 Speaker 1: Back up running back Herbert in the second half eleven 139 00:07:22,680 --> 00:07:26,800 Speaker 1: fifteen two touchdowns, passer reigning of one forty two point 140 00:07:26,880 --> 00:07:32,120 Speaker 1: eight Jesus. I mean, it's just, it is just I 141 00:07:32,240 --> 00:07:33,480 Speaker 1: just isn't it crazy? 142 00:07:33,760 --> 00:07:34,200 Speaker 2: Is that? 143 00:07:34,840 --> 00:07:38,680 Speaker 1: You know Sean Payton takes this shipwreck Denver. I think 144 00:07:38,720 --> 00:07:41,320 Speaker 1: I like their GM, but it's a mess. They're in 145 00:07:41,360 --> 00:07:45,640 Speaker 1: dead cap hell in the AFC. And before the season started, 146 00:07:45,720 --> 00:07:47,440 Speaker 1: Vegas adam at five and a half wins, and I 147 00:07:47,440 --> 00:07:50,440 Speaker 1: thought that, I said it was my favorite double wind toadal. 148 00:07:50,480 --> 00:07:51,920 Speaker 1: I thought they would double that. I thought they'd get 149 00:07:51,960 --> 00:07:54,640 Speaker 1: in kind of the nine eight nine category. They're gonna 150 00:07:54,640 --> 00:07:56,520 Speaker 1: make the playoffs. They're in with nine wins now, and 151 00:07:56,560 --> 00:07:59,120 Speaker 1: they'll they'll win one of their final three games, and 152 00:07:59,160 --> 00:08:01,680 Speaker 1: I think their cap of winning a playoff game. I 153 00:08:01,720 --> 00:08:03,920 Speaker 1: don't think Denver's capable of winning two or three, but 154 00:08:03,960 --> 00:08:05,720 Speaker 1: I think they're capable of winning a playoff game. I 155 00:08:05,760 --> 00:08:07,880 Speaker 1: feel the same way about the Chargers. They kind of 156 00:08:07,880 --> 00:08:10,480 Speaker 1: have to win one way. You know, they've got to 157 00:08:10,480 --> 00:08:15,160 Speaker 1: have Herbert be superman, They've got to have everybody healthy. 158 00:08:15,880 --> 00:08:18,680 Speaker 1: Pittsburgh's got this feel. Pittsburgh, Denver and the Chargers those 159 00:08:18,720 --> 00:08:23,480 Speaker 1: are one playoff win teams. Herbert finishes the night about 160 00:08:23,480 --> 00:08:26,040 Speaker 1: when is it twenty three to thirty one? Three hundred yards. 161 00:08:28,560 --> 00:08:31,440 Speaker 1: It is. It's just you know, remember a couple of 162 00:08:31,520 --> 00:08:34,679 Speaker 1: years ago and the media, you know, the media went 163 00:08:34,679 --> 00:08:38,840 Speaker 1: to a weird thing where it was very sensitive. And 164 00:08:38,880 --> 00:08:40,640 Speaker 1: I remember about three or four years ago, and the 165 00:08:40,679 --> 00:08:43,440 Speaker 1: media was just saying, Oh, these Thursday night games, they're 166 00:08:43,520 --> 00:08:47,360 Speaker 1: unfair to players. Oh give me a break. So I 167 00:08:47,440 --> 00:08:50,200 Speaker 1: called players, I talked to coaches, and the players I 168 00:08:50,240 --> 00:08:53,400 Speaker 1: talked to are like, we love Thursday night games. Usually 169 00:08:53,520 --> 00:08:56,080 Speaker 1: it's a division rival, so you don't have to do 170 00:08:56,120 --> 00:08:59,080 Speaker 1: a ton of film study. Like tonight, you're playing somebody 171 00:08:59,080 --> 00:09:02,440 Speaker 1: you know, and it's usually a division game, so the 172 00:09:02,480 --> 00:09:04,800 Speaker 1: travel isn't too long. It's a two hour flight somewhere, 173 00:09:05,559 --> 00:09:08,040 Speaker 1: and you don't hit during that week, and then you 174 00:09:08,080 --> 00:09:11,480 Speaker 1: get almost a second by week. And the media was 175 00:09:11,480 --> 00:09:14,920 Speaker 1: freaking out about Thursday night games. We've had some sensational 176 00:09:15,559 --> 00:09:19,079 Speaker 1: Thursday night games. Tonight was sensational. I thought it would 177 00:09:19,080 --> 00:09:22,640 Speaker 1: be much sloppier. I thought Denver was so crisp in 178 00:09:22,679 --> 00:09:25,800 Speaker 1: the first half. Now in the second half, Denver, I mean, 179 00:09:25,880 --> 00:09:28,600 Speaker 1: let's face it, they aided the Chargers on that long drive. 180 00:09:28,640 --> 00:09:31,160 Speaker 1: They had a couple of guys off sides. That was 181 00:09:31,920 --> 00:09:34,800 Speaker 1: a huge break there. Were two big moments in the 182 00:09:34,800 --> 00:09:36,920 Speaker 1: game for me. That the end of the halftime kick, 183 00:09:37,240 --> 00:09:40,480 Speaker 1: and then Denver had a series of penalties as the 184 00:09:40,559 --> 00:09:43,040 Speaker 1: Chargers got that big drive which eventually ended up with 185 00:09:43,080 --> 00:09:45,320 Speaker 1: Herbert making that throw for a touchdown in the end zone. 186 00:09:45,360 --> 00:09:47,400 Speaker 1: But they have three or four defensive penalties and that 187 00:09:47,440 --> 00:09:50,319 Speaker 1: really gave them. They really seized momentum and you could 188 00:09:50,360 --> 00:09:54,120 Speaker 1: hear the crowd a little bit getting into it, and god, 189 00:09:54,200 --> 00:09:57,760 Speaker 1: that was just fun. Although my phone dranking, it's probably 190 00:09:57,840 --> 00:10:04,120 Speaker 1: justin Herbert. I'm sorry to be obnoxious. Can I be happy? Okay? 191 00:10:04,120 --> 00:10:07,280 Speaker 1: So a big topic of conversation before I get the 192 00:10:07,320 --> 00:10:11,320 Speaker 1: Chad Millman has been the NBA ratings this week, and 193 00:10:11,600 --> 00:10:14,000 Speaker 1: I saw JJ Reddick said tonight, you know the league 194 00:10:14,040 --> 00:10:17,320 Speaker 1: needs to be celebrated. No, the NBA needs to be audited. 195 00:10:19,000 --> 00:10:23,160 Speaker 1: Don't blame the fans because the ratings are down. If 196 00:10:23,160 --> 00:10:26,400 Speaker 1: you own a restaurant and people aren't buying certain items 197 00:10:26,480 --> 00:10:29,719 Speaker 1: on the menu, change the menu. The audience is right, 198 00:10:29,760 --> 00:10:35,160 Speaker 1: the consumer's right. The NBA is celebrated too much. The 199 00:10:35,160 --> 00:10:39,600 Speaker 1: players are pampered and coddled and not called out enough. 200 00:10:40,200 --> 00:10:43,200 Speaker 1: I mean good hell. Adam Silver two years ago said 201 00:10:43,200 --> 00:10:48,839 Speaker 1: our players are miserable. Twitter is making them miserable. Can 202 00:10:48,880 --> 00:10:52,400 Speaker 1: you imagine a football player saying that, give me a break. 203 00:10:53,240 --> 00:10:56,439 Speaker 1: The league is celebrated constantly. It needs to be audited, 204 00:10:57,040 --> 00:11:00,560 Speaker 1: It needs to be held accountable. Load management's crap. The 205 00:11:00,600 --> 00:11:04,520 Speaker 1: three point shooting is gross. In fact, did you notice 206 00:11:04,600 --> 00:11:09,280 Speaker 1: who talked about the three point shooting? Lebron James was 207 00:11:09,360 --> 00:11:13,040 Speaker 1: asked about the All Star Game changes and he dropped 208 00:11:13,040 --> 00:11:16,600 Speaker 1: an F bomb and said, here's what I notice. Teams 209 00:11:16,600 --> 00:11:19,600 Speaker 1: are shooting way too many threes. Lebron James said that 210 00:11:20,080 --> 00:11:23,120 Speaker 1: a guy that loves the game. Joe Mizzoula, the coach 211 00:11:23,120 --> 00:11:25,640 Speaker 1: of the Celtics, was asked this week about the ratings 212 00:11:25,720 --> 00:11:28,200 Speaker 1: and he said, yeah, I don't watch our game either. 213 00:11:29,800 --> 00:11:32,720 Speaker 1: So that's the championship coach and the best player in 214 00:11:32,720 --> 00:11:36,520 Speaker 1: the last twenty years criticizing the league from a position 215 00:11:36,559 --> 00:11:40,520 Speaker 1: of power, not seeking attention. In fact, Lebron didn't want 216 00:11:40,520 --> 00:11:42,040 Speaker 1: to go into it. He kept saying, I don't want 217 00:11:42,040 --> 00:11:44,120 Speaker 1: to get too into it. So the people that are 218 00:11:44,160 --> 00:11:50,200 Speaker 1: criticizing the NBA are not bringing a hatchet. They're not 219 00:11:50,600 --> 00:11:55,680 Speaker 1: anti this or pro nostalgia. When your stuff isn't selling, 220 00:11:55,840 --> 00:12:00,600 Speaker 1: change the menu. Rob Manford did, and Adam Silver needs 221 00:11:59,880 --> 00:12:04,000 Speaker 1: to for the record, when you make changes to your menu, 222 00:12:04,520 --> 00:12:09,319 Speaker 1: to your business, the consumer always responds, ohways, I mean 223 00:12:09,360 --> 00:12:12,680 Speaker 1: baseball was in a fifteen year drought. Rob Manfred made 224 00:12:12,679 --> 00:12:15,280 Speaker 1: two changes. The ratings went up the last two years. 225 00:12:15,559 --> 00:12:17,920 Speaker 1: This year they went through the roof during the postseason. 226 00:12:18,520 --> 00:12:20,720 Speaker 1: People want to watch sports. I want to watch the NBA. 227 00:12:20,800 --> 00:12:24,600 Speaker 1: I tried watching the championship NBA Cup Oklahoma City was 228 00:12:24,640 --> 00:12:27,040 Speaker 1: five to thirty two from threes. It was awful. It 229 00:12:27,120 --> 00:12:31,800 Speaker 1: was unwatchable. It was drack. So you know, nobody's against 230 00:12:31,800 --> 00:12:34,480 Speaker 1: the NBA. People at criticize it. Watch it. I watch 231 00:12:34,480 --> 00:12:37,160 Speaker 1: it all the time. I don't really get into it 232 00:12:37,559 --> 00:12:40,760 Speaker 1: until the football season's done. But you know by February, 233 00:12:41,280 --> 00:12:43,240 Speaker 1: you know, you have the two weeks before the Super Bowl. 234 00:12:43,280 --> 00:12:45,719 Speaker 1: I start watching thirty minutes a night, forty minutes a night. 235 00:12:46,240 --> 00:12:48,360 Speaker 1: So I thought it was interesting that Joe Missoula and 236 00:12:48,480 --> 00:12:52,319 Speaker 1: Lebron James both came out and were critical esthetically of 237 00:12:52,400 --> 00:12:56,560 Speaker 1: the current product. It's not a good watch and when 238 00:12:56,600 --> 00:13:00,480 Speaker 1: something falls off the cliff in two years, three years, 239 00:13:01,040 --> 00:13:03,800 Speaker 1: got to look in the mirror. It's not about celebrating 240 00:13:03,880 --> 00:13:07,520 Speaker 1: it's about auditing. That's something baseball did recently and something 241 00:13:07,559 --> 00:13:12,240 Speaker 1: the NFL does annually. NFL is King for a lot 242 00:13:12,240 --> 00:13:16,840 Speaker 1: of reasons. One of the reasons the ability to self police, 243 00:13:17,320 --> 00:13:22,880 Speaker 1: self monitor and course correct. Well, it's the most wonderful 244 00:13:22,920 --> 00:13:25,880 Speaker 1: time of the year for getting in on all the basketball, 245 00:13:25,920 --> 00:13:28,600 Speaker 1: football hockey action at DraftKings sports Book. 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So they 272 00:14:46,640 --> 00:14:47,480 Speaker 4: lost to the Vikings. 273 00:14:47,520 --> 00:14:49,960 Speaker 1: I didn't think Sam Darnold played particularly well, but he's 274 00:14:50,000 --> 00:14:54,680 Speaker 1: getting the ball to TJ. Hawkinson, Jordan Addison, and Justin Jefferson, 275 00:14:54,800 --> 00:14:56,920 Speaker 1: so he's getting the ball to the right people. I 276 00:14:56,960 --> 00:14:59,720 Speaker 1: thought he was a little high, missed some throws, but 277 00:15:00,080 --> 00:15:03,720 Speaker 1: overall Minnesota was picked for third or fourth. I mean, 278 00:15:03,720 --> 00:15:07,320 Speaker 1: it's all gravy at this point. First, let's start with 279 00:15:07,320 --> 00:15:10,720 Speaker 1: the Chicago Bears. There are a couple franchises in this 280 00:15:10,800 --> 00:15:14,040 Speaker 1: league that are just broken, and I think the Chicago 281 00:15:14,080 --> 00:15:18,080 Speaker 1: Bears are top of the list. It's a broken franchise. 282 00:15:18,480 --> 00:15:21,160 Speaker 1: The mccaskeys are arguably the worst owners in the league, 283 00:15:21,320 --> 00:15:26,480 Speaker 1: oldest and among the poorest. Really out of touch. Kevin 284 00:15:26,560 --> 00:15:31,000 Speaker 1: Warrens the president. I've been told for years, highly political. 285 00:15:32,640 --> 00:15:37,080 Speaker 1: Charles Robinson of Yahoo reporting today that you know somebody 286 00:15:37,160 --> 00:15:41,440 Speaker 1: that seeks power and to retain power. That's a little 287 00:15:41,480 --> 00:15:44,080 Speaker 1: what I was told years ago. Don't know him personally, 288 00:15:44,120 --> 00:15:46,000 Speaker 1: but that's what I've been told from two sources. I 289 00:15:46,080 --> 00:15:51,800 Speaker 1: trust Ryan Poles is young. You know, I'm hit and 290 00:15:51,840 --> 00:15:55,640 Speaker 1: miss on polls. I love the Monte Montes sweat deal, 291 00:15:56,160 --> 00:15:59,000 Speaker 1: the DJ Moore deal. I don't think he's the problem 292 00:15:59,040 --> 00:16:04,080 Speaker 1: in the organization. I think Ryan Poles is struggling with 293 00:16:04,120 --> 00:16:08,840 Speaker 1: the people above him. But a great example of the dysfunction. 294 00:16:09,120 --> 00:16:13,760 Speaker 1: So Matt Ebraflus, a defensive coach, was fired. Well, defensive 295 00:16:13,800 --> 00:16:20,160 Speaker 1: coaches don't have the offensive connections that offensive coaches do. 296 00:16:20,480 --> 00:16:24,120 Speaker 1: I mean, there is a reason Andy Reid keeps hiring 297 00:16:24,160 --> 00:16:27,880 Speaker 1: really good offensive coaches right like their offense. Now, Reid 298 00:16:27,880 --> 00:16:30,480 Speaker 1: does most of the play calling, but Doug Peterson got 299 00:16:30,480 --> 00:16:34,320 Speaker 1: a head coaching job. Matt Naggy got a head coaching job, 300 00:16:34,400 --> 00:16:37,400 Speaker 1: and by the way, got Mitt Trubisky to the playoffs twice. 301 00:16:37,760 --> 00:16:39,600 Speaker 1: So you can say all you want about Matt Naggy. 302 00:16:39,760 --> 00:16:43,480 Speaker 1: You die for Matt Naggy now in Chicago. And then 303 00:16:43,520 --> 00:16:47,080 Speaker 1: there's a reason that Belichick had to rely on Josh McDaniels. 304 00:16:47,480 --> 00:16:50,880 Speaker 1: When Josh left. You know, Bill was scrambling to find 305 00:16:50,880 --> 00:16:54,080 Speaker 1: an offensive coordinator, but Sean McVay can find one every 306 00:16:54,080 --> 00:17:00,080 Speaker 1: two years. So Thomas Brown was under Shane Waldron. Well, 307 00:17:00,160 --> 00:17:03,040 Speaker 1: Eberflus doesn't have a lot of great offensive connections, clearly 308 00:17:03,080 --> 00:17:07,600 Speaker 1: because when Shane Waldron left Chicago of Seattle, he was criticized. 309 00:17:07,760 --> 00:17:10,200 Speaker 1: They rolled their eyes at him. He went to Chicago, 310 00:17:10,359 --> 00:17:13,399 Speaker 1: it was a mess with Caleb Williams. Then Thomas Brown, 311 00:17:13,760 --> 00:17:16,240 Speaker 1: who's a bright young guy. He coached with the Rams, 312 00:17:16,720 --> 00:17:20,040 Speaker 1: but you know he is an interim head coach. He's had. 313 00:17:20,160 --> 00:17:23,120 Speaker 1: This is his third different job this season with the Bears. 314 00:17:23,400 --> 00:17:26,720 Speaker 1: I mean, HR is probably asking him to slow down 315 00:17:26,760 --> 00:17:29,479 Speaker 1: so they can get his paycheck, right, I'm not going 316 00:17:29,520 --> 00:17:33,159 Speaker 1: to blame him, but eber flu selected this staff and 317 00:17:33,200 --> 00:17:35,280 Speaker 1: it's not very good. I think it's a broken franchise. 318 00:17:36,119 --> 00:17:39,760 Speaker 1: And you know, my take is, if you're really honest 319 00:17:39,760 --> 00:17:41,119 Speaker 1: about it, you know what they remind me of. I 320 00:17:41,560 --> 00:17:45,000 Speaker 1: was thinking about it tonight. They remind me a lot. 321 00:17:45,320 --> 00:17:48,520 Speaker 1: The Bears are the Chargers last season where they had 322 00:17:48,560 --> 00:17:53,320 Speaker 1: a talented young quarterback, some really nice pieces, but major 323 00:17:53,440 --> 00:17:56,960 Speaker 1: cultural issues and what did they do. They went and 324 00:17:57,000 --> 00:17:59,520 Speaker 1: got Jim Harbaugh to fix it. And that's why Mike 325 00:17:59,560 --> 00:18:05,360 Speaker 1: frabels the higher Vrabel is Dan Campbell less, reckless, He's 326 00:18:05,440 --> 00:18:10,040 Speaker 1: Jim Harbaugh, but to this point hasn't been as successful. 327 00:18:10,400 --> 00:18:14,000 Speaker 1: He's a really smart guy. He's a culture changer. There's 328 00:18:14,000 --> 00:18:17,600 Speaker 1: no bullshit with him. He's very honest and very upfront, 329 00:18:18,359 --> 00:18:22,920 Speaker 1: and he got to an AFC championship, you know, with Tennessee. 330 00:18:23,040 --> 00:18:28,119 Speaker 1: So I just think Vrabel's the call here. Vrabel, you know, 331 00:18:28,119 --> 00:18:32,159 Speaker 1: and I've talked to Mike about this. Vrabel is the 332 00:18:32,280 --> 00:18:34,639 Speaker 1: kind of guy that will come in and the only 333 00:18:34,680 --> 00:18:37,879 Speaker 1: thing that would get in his way is a Kevin 334 00:18:37,960 --> 00:18:42,560 Speaker 1: Warren level executive that was trying to retain power. If 335 00:18:42,640 --> 00:18:45,560 Speaker 1: Frabel has some saying personnel, he's pretty good at that 336 00:18:46,240 --> 00:18:50,200 Speaker 1: and has a great relationship with the general manager who 337 00:18:50,200 --> 00:18:53,560 Speaker 1: he can answer to and trust I think Rabel could 338 00:18:53,600 --> 00:18:56,760 Speaker 1: win immediately. I think you know again, I'll say this, 339 00:18:56,880 --> 00:19:00,560 Speaker 1: the Bears have a Chargers feel now. The Chargers are 340 00:19:00,560 --> 00:19:03,040 Speaker 1: not going to go from what they were last year 341 00:19:03,119 --> 00:19:05,959 Speaker 1: to a super Bowl. They need another draft. They have 342 00:19:06,000 --> 00:19:08,840 Speaker 1: to hit on another receiver, maybe another tight end, another 343 00:19:08,960 --> 00:19:13,800 Speaker 1: running back. They need more pieces offensively, and the Bears 344 00:19:13,840 --> 00:19:16,120 Speaker 1: with Rabel are not winning a super Bowl, especially out 345 00:19:16,119 --> 00:19:19,200 Speaker 1: of that division. And I think the Bears need to 346 00:19:19,240 --> 00:19:22,119 Speaker 1: shore up the offensive line, but more than that, you know, 347 00:19:22,160 --> 00:19:24,880 Speaker 1: maybe another edge rusher. More than that, I think it's 348 00:19:24,920 --> 00:19:29,240 Speaker 1: just a cultural modification is what they need. But it's rough. 349 00:19:29,640 --> 00:19:31,680 Speaker 1: I mean, you can say what you want about the 350 00:19:31,760 --> 00:19:33,800 Speaker 1: Jets and Woody Johnson, and I think he's one of 351 00:19:33,840 --> 00:19:36,240 Speaker 1: the weaker owners, but they have a good roster. Aaron's 352 00:19:36,240 --> 00:19:38,560 Speaker 1: played well in the last three to four weeks. He's 353 00:19:38,560 --> 00:19:40,720 Speaker 1: had one hundred plus passer rating I think on average 354 00:19:40,760 --> 00:19:43,919 Speaker 1: over the last four weeks. The Giants have issues, but 355 00:19:45,240 --> 00:19:48,280 Speaker 1: you know, there's some pieces there that defensive front, and 356 00:19:49,760 --> 00:19:51,960 Speaker 1: la Mars don't want to fire Brian Dable because they've 357 00:19:52,040 --> 00:19:54,080 Speaker 1: run through coaches, but the team looks like they've quit. 358 00:19:54,720 --> 00:19:57,480 Speaker 1: But with Chicago there's just I mean, there's just not 359 00:19:57,600 --> 00:20:00,000 Speaker 1: much to like. I like Montes Sweat and Jayalen Johns. 360 00:20:00,400 --> 00:20:04,680 Speaker 1: I like Caleb Williams. You know, DJ Moore, Swift, the 361 00:20:04,760 --> 00:20:07,400 Speaker 1: running back, there's some Pete Cole command, there's some pieces 362 00:20:07,440 --> 00:20:10,560 Speaker 1: I like, But I don't know what you do other 363 00:20:10,600 --> 00:20:13,000 Speaker 1: than hire Mike Vrabel. This is not a job for 364 00:20:13,040 --> 00:20:15,399 Speaker 1: a coordinator. Give me a break. You're not going to 365 00:20:15,440 --> 00:20:18,159 Speaker 1: get a Ben Johnson here, Bobby Slowick. It's not going 366 00:20:18,200 --> 00:20:20,719 Speaker 1: to turn this thing around. You're a mile from that. 367 00:20:21,040 --> 00:20:24,920 Speaker 1: And I'll make this argument, I think, And I talked 368 00:20:24,960 --> 00:20:28,199 Speaker 1: to Mike Vrabel about this, and my suggestion to him is, 369 00:20:28,440 --> 00:20:30,200 Speaker 1: I'm not sure if I take a job this year, 370 00:20:30,359 --> 00:20:33,920 Speaker 1: I think next year you could have much more attractive openings. 371 00:20:34,720 --> 00:20:37,960 Speaker 1: If Joe Burrow is getting really tired of Zach Taylor, 372 00:20:38,000 --> 00:20:41,320 Speaker 1: the coach of Cincinnati, they won't fire him at the 373 00:20:41,440 --> 00:20:44,359 Speaker 1: end of this year. But if Joe Burrow makes demands, 374 00:20:44,720 --> 00:20:48,080 Speaker 1: Zach Taylor's in trouble next year. For Joe Burrow to 375 00:20:48,200 --> 00:20:50,720 Speaker 1: ream Zach Taylor out, knowing he's on TV the way 376 00:20:50,720 --> 00:20:54,439 Speaker 1: he reamed him out. Burrow's got no time for this 377 00:20:54,560 --> 00:20:58,680 Speaker 1: nonsense in Cincinnati. So that job could be open next year. 378 00:20:59,000 --> 00:21:01,400 Speaker 1: I think Mike McCarthy in Dallas, I think he's probably 379 00:21:01,440 --> 00:21:04,639 Speaker 1: saved his job, right, he's probably saved it. And if 380 00:21:04,720 --> 00:21:07,240 Speaker 1: Dallas can move Michael Parsons get a couple of first 381 00:21:07,320 --> 00:21:10,480 Speaker 1: round picks, hit on those you know, who knows. But 382 00:21:10,920 --> 00:21:13,959 Speaker 1: also I think that could be open. So you know, 383 00:21:14,640 --> 00:21:18,680 Speaker 1: seven different coaches get whacked every year. I just don't 384 00:21:18,800 --> 00:21:22,040 Speaker 1: like the job openings. I love Caleb Williams Chicago. To 385 00:21:22,119 --> 00:21:27,919 Speaker 1: me is it feels like quicksand for a coach. You know, 386 00:21:28,040 --> 00:21:33,080 Speaker 1: Jacksonville's got an opening. There's a reason everybody fails here 387 00:21:33,480 --> 00:21:38,160 Speaker 1: in Jacksonville. It just since Tom Coughlin left, it's just 388 00:21:38,400 --> 00:21:41,680 Speaker 1: dead coach walking. Nobody works there. So there's got to 389 00:21:41,720 --> 00:21:47,240 Speaker 1: be something systemic within the organization. And I think what 390 00:21:47,280 --> 00:21:51,720 Speaker 1: you're really seeing now. And I was having this discussion 391 00:21:51,800 --> 00:21:56,240 Speaker 1: this weekend with somebody I respect a lot, and he said, 392 00:21:56,480 --> 00:21:59,040 Speaker 1: you know, you just you start looking around this league 393 00:21:59,240 --> 00:22:01,760 Speaker 1: and it's just the power of ten. There's about ten 394 00:22:01,800 --> 00:22:04,800 Speaker 1: good gms, ted good owners, ten good quarterbacks, ten good 395 00:22:04,880 --> 00:22:09,520 Speaker 1: left tackles, and I just don't like. If you're Mike Vrabel, 396 00:22:09,600 --> 00:22:12,840 Speaker 1: I don't like what's out there. I love Chicago, it's 397 00:22:12,840 --> 00:22:17,119 Speaker 1: a great city. They're good pieces. But man, anybody watching 398 00:22:17,200 --> 00:22:21,040 Speaker 1: this show, watching this podcast, or listening, it does not 399 00:22:21,280 --> 00:22:25,600 Speaker 1: matter how good the employees are. If ownership and management 400 00:22:26,080 --> 00:22:30,560 Speaker 1: is sideways, it doesn't matter. I've said this before. I've 401 00:22:30,600 --> 00:22:34,200 Speaker 1: been really fortunate. I had a really good ownership in 402 00:22:34,280 --> 00:22:39,119 Speaker 1: Las Vegas my first job. Obviously, ESPN and Fox are 403 00:22:39,160 --> 00:22:44,359 Speaker 1: well run companies. At Portland, I thought we had good ownership, 404 00:22:44,440 --> 00:22:47,480 Speaker 1: good management. I worked in Tampa for a couple of 405 00:22:47,560 --> 00:22:56,560 Speaker 1: years and really really talented people in the newsroom, photo journalists, producers, reporters, anchors. 406 00:22:56,600 --> 00:23:00,760 Speaker 1: It was not the employees. I thought management was a 407 00:23:00,960 --> 00:23:06,639 Speaker 1: circus and I'll just leave it at that, and you 408 00:23:06,680 --> 00:23:10,159 Speaker 1: couldn't overcome it. And it was a real learning moment 409 00:23:10,240 --> 00:23:13,760 Speaker 1: for me, is that the employee base was the best 410 00:23:13,800 --> 00:23:15,520 Speaker 1: I'd ever worked with. At the time, I thought there 411 00:23:15,600 --> 00:23:18,840 Speaker 1: was just so many talented people. Our sports department was 412 00:23:18,920 --> 00:23:23,159 Speaker 1: just really fun, clever, smart people. But you can't like 413 00:23:23,200 --> 00:23:27,719 Speaker 1: in Chicago. It doesn't matter if Rabel's the coach and 414 00:23:27,760 --> 00:23:32,119 Speaker 1: he's trying to change things eventually, if people are political upstairs. 415 00:23:32,240 --> 00:23:34,320 Speaker 1: I mean it's it's like, look at the Jets, they 416 00:23:34,359 --> 00:23:37,040 Speaker 1: fire Robert Sali the best coach on the staff. I mean, 417 00:23:37,560 --> 00:23:39,520 Speaker 1: going into a game against Buffalo, if they won it, 418 00:23:39,560 --> 00:23:42,280 Speaker 1: there they were in first place. I mean they fired 419 00:23:42,320 --> 00:23:46,320 Speaker 1: Joe Douglas. Well, Douglas got Devonte Adams, who's playing great now. 420 00:23:47,200 --> 00:23:51,760 Speaker 1: Joe Douglas missed on a quarterback. But Joe Douglass. That 421 00:23:51,880 --> 00:23:55,160 Speaker 1: Jets roster they've got, dudes, I mean they really do. 422 00:23:55,640 --> 00:23:57,920 Speaker 1: They're going to get another very good first round pick 423 00:23:58,000 --> 00:24:00,600 Speaker 1: this year. They've got a left tackle for the future, 424 00:24:00,720 --> 00:24:03,520 Speaker 1: they've got their corner, they've got weapons. I mean they 425 00:24:03,600 --> 00:24:06,000 Speaker 1: can they can really be selected. The Jets could move 426 00:24:06,160 --> 00:24:10,119 Speaker 1: down in the first round and get four or five. 427 00:24:11,000 --> 00:24:13,520 Speaker 1: You know, if they moved down and got another second 428 00:24:13,600 --> 00:24:15,800 Speaker 1: round pick or a second and a fourth round pick, 429 00:24:15,840 --> 00:24:18,200 Speaker 1: you could have five new starters on the team next year. 430 00:24:18,200 --> 00:24:20,040 Speaker 1: And I think the Jets, I mean, they really have 431 00:24:20,160 --> 00:24:23,080 Speaker 1: their weapons. They have their left tackle, the Penn State kid, 432 00:24:23,200 --> 00:24:26,520 Speaker 1: a couple of good receivers, good corners, pass rushers. So 433 00:24:27,000 --> 00:24:29,399 Speaker 1: I mean, I I mean I thought saw when Joe 434 00:24:29,440 --> 00:24:30,400 Speaker 1: Douglas were capable. 435 00:24:30,440 --> 00:24:31,120 Speaker 2: They're both out. 436 00:24:31,400 --> 00:24:35,320 Speaker 1: So there's nothing you can do if upstairs is messed up. 437 00:24:36,119 --> 00:24:39,000 Speaker 1: There's just in my experience in life. There's nothing you 438 00:24:39,040 --> 00:24:42,800 Speaker 1: can do, you know, it's I make picks blazing five, 439 00:24:43,240 --> 00:24:46,000 Speaker 1: and I had another terrible week. Generally, I've been doing 440 00:24:46,000 --> 00:24:49,320 Speaker 1: this Blazing five thing for like twenty years, and on 441 00:24:49,440 --> 00:24:52,160 Speaker 1: average I hit about fifty six percent, fifty five, fifty 442 00:24:52,160 --> 00:24:54,680 Speaker 1: seven percent. This is my worst year easily. I don't 443 00:24:54,680 --> 00:24:57,800 Speaker 1: know why. I've just struggled all year long. But I'm 444 00:24:57,880 --> 00:25:01,800 Speaker 1: actually it's funny because on the b preseason predictions for 445 00:25:01,920 --> 00:25:06,000 Speaker 1: division champions, I've actually had the best year I've ever had. 446 00:25:06,640 --> 00:25:09,320 Speaker 1: I had Buffalo, Kansas City, Baltimore and the Texans winning 447 00:25:09,359 --> 00:25:13,320 Speaker 1: their division. If Baltimore beats the Steelers Saturday, I'll be 448 00:25:13,440 --> 00:25:15,679 Speaker 1: four for four. Heading to the last couple of weeks, 449 00:25:16,440 --> 00:25:18,800 Speaker 1: I had Philly, the Rams, Green Bay, and the Falcons 450 00:25:18,840 --> 00:25:21,520 Speaker 1: winning their divisions. Philly and the Rams du lead. Green 451 00:25:21,600 --> 00:25:25,440 Speaker 1: Bay and the Falcons still have a shot, although Atlanta 452 00:25:25,520 --> 00:25:28,320 Speaker 1: right now they'll beating the Raiders tonight. They got to 453 00:25:28,320 --> 00:25:32,320 Speaker 1: get quarterback solved. My two dark horse teams were Washington 454 00:25:32,440 --> 00:25:37,600 Speaker 1: and Denver. They'll both make the playoffs. So I actually 455 00:25:37,720 --> 00:25:39,920 Speaker 1: have in terms of predictions, I think I've had a 456 00:25:40,000 --> 00:25:42,320 Speaker 1: really good year. I don't know why. I'm struggling so much. 457 00:25:42,359 --> 00:25:45,400 Speaker 1: I've just been out of rhythm. You know. The weekends 458 00:25:45,400 --> 00:25:49,000 Speaker 1: I take favorites, they go belly up. The weekends I 459 00:25:49,040 --> 00:25:51,720 Speaker 1: take dogs. I have the wrong ones. But I love 460 00:25:51,800 --> 00:25:54,520 Speaker 1: doing it, and I always feel bad. I don't mind 461 00:25:54,520 --> 00:25:56,600 Speaker 1: losing money. I don't like anybody else to lose it. 462 00:25:56,720 --> 00:26:00,320 Speaker 1: But I've been picking football games for so long. You 463 00:26:00,400 --> 00:26:03,000 Speaker 1: know an old story. When I first moved to Las Vegas, 464 00:26:03,600 --> 00:26:06,480 Speaker 1: I had no money, I was out of college, and 465 00:26:07,280 --> 00:26:11,520 Speaker 1: I drove down to Vegas in a blue AMC Pacer 466 00:26:11,640 --> 00:26:14,239 Speaker 1: that later caught fire. A couple of years later, on 467 00:26:14,359 --> 00:26:17,560 Speaker 1: Charleston and Oak Streets in Las Vegas, I had Texaco 468 00:26:17,640 --> 00:26:20,879 Speaker 1: station I pulled in my car was on fire. And 469 00:26:21,400 --> 00:26:23,280 Speaker 1: I remember when I first moved to Vegas, I'd never 470 00:26:23,280 --> 00:26:26,200 Speaker 1: met football games, and so I was a huge Pack 471 00:26:26,320 --> 00:26:31,040 Speaker 1: ten fan, and so I really started hitting on a 472 00:26:31,080 --> 00:26:34,600 Speaker 1: lot of Pac ten picks because all the games weren't televised. 473 00:26:34,640 --> 00:26:37,000 Speaker 1: I knew the Pacific Northwest teams really well because I 474 00:26:37,040 --> 00:26:39,520 Speaker 1: was from there. I remember one year, I think I 475 00:26:39,600 --> 00:26:42,399 Speaker 1: was like ten and one on Oregon State games. I 476 00:26:42,480 --> 00:26:45,520 Speaker 1: just could not miss on the Beavers. And I just 477 00:26:45,640 --> 00:26:50,000 Speaker 1: love picking football games. But I have stunk this year. 478 00:26:50,560 --> 00:26:53,920 Speaker 1: And what's interesting is that Nick Wright and Danny Parkins 479 00:26:54,400 --> 00:26:56,760 Speaker 1: at FS one have both been on fire, hitting like 480 00:26:56,800 --> 00:26:59,240 Speaker 1: sixty five percent. So congrats to those guys. 481 00:27:00,240 --> 00:27:00,439 Speaker 2: You know. 482 00:27:00,720 --> 00:27:04,399 Speaker 1: My overall takeaway really on the playoffs this year is 483 00:27:05,040 --> 00:27:08,320 Speaker 1: there's not a lot of surprises. I mean, right now, 484 00:27:08,359 --> 00:27:11,280 Speaker 1: I have If Baltimore beats the Steelers Saturday, I'll have 485 00:27:11,640 --> 00:27:13,520 Speaker 1: you know, six of the eight teams I picked to 486 00:27:13,520 --> 00:27:15,920 Speaker 1: win the division winning and Green Bay and the Falcons close. 487 00:27:17,440 --> 00:27:19,800 Speaker 1: What is pretty clear, and the reason I picked those 488 00:27:20,280 --> 00:27:23,359 Speaker 1: teams to win the division was like head coach and quarterback. 489 00:27:24,160 --> 00:27:27,040 Speaker 1: And so I think the one thing I look at 490 00:27:27,040 --> 00:27:29,680 Speaker 1: this year is a real positive. I think Caleb can play. 491 00:27:29,800 --> 00:27:32,080 Speaker 1: I think Jayden Daniels can play. I think Bone Knicks 492 00:27:32,119 --> 00:27:35,119 Speaker 1: can play. My guess is JJ McCarthy can play. I 493 00:27:35,160 --> 00:27:36,959 Speaker 1: don't know what the hell's going on with Michael Pennix, 494 00:27:36,960 --> 00:27:38,680 Speaker 1: because I really liked him out of college. I thought 495 00:27:38,680 --> 00:27:41,520 Speaker 1: he was a bigger, stronger, better deep ball to and 496 00:27:41,560 --> 00:27:43,520 Speaker 1: Tua is more than capable, but he just can't throw 497 00:27:43,560 --> 00:27:47,920 Speaker 1: the ball deep down field. He's not good against pressure 498 00:27:48,119 --> 00:27:50,560 Speaker 1: or really elite defenses or in cold weather. You have 499 00:27:50,600 --> 00:27:53,200 Speaker 1: to qualify everything with Tua. I think panic Sort is 500 00:27:53,200 --> 00:27:58,919 Speaker 1: a much better sharper, deep ball, stronger, longer, just a 501 00:27:58,960 --> 00:28:02,800 Speaker 1: bigger athlete. But I think we have a chance to 502 00:28:02,840 --> 00:28:06,199 Speaker 1: go five for five with quarterbacks. And this is not 503 00:28:06,240 --> 00:28:10,159 Speaker 1: a great quarterback year in college. But if the quarterbacks 504 00:28:10,200 --> 00:28:12,480 Speaker 1: go four for five or five for five this group 505 00:28:12,480 --> 00:28:16,440 Speaker 1: of quarterbacks, it will be the third draft since around 506 00:28:16,640 --> 00:28:21,480 Speaker 1: twenty eighteen where you've had multiple first round quarterbacks hit. 507 00:28:22,280 --> 00:28:24,320 Speaker 1: And I don't think we'll ever get to a saturation 508 00:28:24,480 --> 00:28:29,199 Speaker 1: point where you know everybody's got their quarterback. But I 509 00:28:29,200 --> 00:28:33,160 Speaker 1: don't remember a time where there were this many good quarterbacks. 510 00:28:34,200 --> 00:28:36,520 Speaker 1: I mean, I mean, even Aaron Rodgers in the last 511 00:28:36,560 --> 00:28:42,320 Speaker 1: month has been unbelievable. Jordan Love Jyaln Hurts this weekend 512 00:28:42,440 --> 00:28:46,360 Speaker 1: was sensational. You know, bo Nix makes mistakes, but he's 513 00:28:46,360 --> 00:28:50,360 Speaker 1: clearly a franchise guy. His toughness, his athletic ability. He's 514 00:28:50,360 --> 00:28:52,320 Speaker 1: had a better arm I think in the pros and 515 00:28:52,400 --> 00:28:55,680 Speaker 1: I thought he had in college. So I think, big picture, 516 00:28:56,040 --> 00:28:58,400 Speaker 1: as the leagues become more have and have nots, I 517 00:28:58,400 --> 00:29:02,560 Speaker 1: think we had another bumper quarterback draft class. I only 518 00:29:02,560 --> 00:29:07,080 Speaker 1: saw JJ McCarthy in the preseason. But in the couple appearances, 519 00:29:07,200 --> 00:29:12,000 Speaker 1: I thought he was really quick, really nimble, and he 520 00:29:12,080 --> 00:29:14,680 Speaker 1: reminded me a little bit of Sam Darnold that he 521 00:29:14,920 --> 00:29:18,920 Speaker 1: was really aggressive. And I think Kevin O'Connell's proven the 522 00:29:19,000 --> 00:29:20,800 Speaker 1: Vikings head coach, he can coach a lot of that 523 00:29:20,920 --> 00:29:24,440 Speaker 1: out of you. And another part of this quarterback journey 524 00:29:24,560 --> 00:29:28,320 Speaker 1: is there's better quarterback coaches. I mean this, so I 525 00:29:28,360 --> 00:29:31,520 Speaker 1: think the guy down in Tampa, Liam Cohen under Baker Mayfield, 526 00:29:31,920 --> 00:29:34,040 Speaker 1: who was briefly in Los Angeles, I think he's going 527 00:29:34,120 --> 00:29:37,000 Speaker 1: to get looks. I think the quality of offensive coaching 528 00:29:37,480 --> 00:29:40,479 Speaker 1: has really improved. That's why you're seeing Donald and Baker 529 00:29:40,480 --> 00:29:45,640 Speaker 1: Mayfield a rebirth. I think there's sensational coaching offensively. I 530 00:29:45,680 --> 00:29:48,520 Speaker 1: didn't feel that fifteen years ago in the NFL. I 531 00:29:48,520 --> 00:29:52,440 Speaker 1: think it's everywhere, and I think the talent's everywhere. So 532 00:29:54,320 --> 00:29:57,080 Speaker 1: I mean, yesterday we had a really ugly one o'clock window. 533 00:29:57,120 --> 00:29:59,400 Speaker 1: It was the first time all year I was bored 534 00:29:59,640 --> 00:30:01,920 Speaker 1: watching the NFL where I thought, man, we just this 535 00:30:02,320 --> 00:30:05,680 Speaker 1: is just a batterly window. But I mean this weekend, 536 00:30:05,920 --> 00:30:09,080 Speaker 1: the college and the pro games this weekend starting Friday night, 537 00:30:09,240 --> 00:30:12,640 Speaker 1: Indian at Notre Dame. The next Friday, Saturday Sunday could 538 00:30:12,640 --> 00:30:16,880 Speaker 1: be the most sensational three day stretch of football any year, 539 00:30:17,120 --> 00:30:19,680 Speaker 1: and a lot of it is because of quarterback play 540 00:30:20,400 --> 00:30:31,120 Speaker 1: and very sharp offensive coaching. All right, Time for Sharper 541 00:30:31,160 --> 00:30:33,400 Speaker 1: Square my buddy Chad Millman, co host of the Favorites 542 00:30:33,440 --> 00:30:36,800 Speaker 1: All Odds provided by DraftKings. You know, listen, the college 543 00:30:36,800 --> 00:30:39,560 Speaker 1: football games this weekend won't get the NFL numbers because 544 00:30:39,560 --> 00:30:41,800 Speaker 1: nothing in the world does. But there's some heaters and 545 00:30:41,840 --> 00:30:44,000 Speaker 1: we'll get to that in about fifteen minutes. There's some 546 00:30:44,240 --> 00:30:47,800 Speaker 1: fascinating games. I mean, I'm sorry, it doesn't make any 547 00:30:47,880 --> 00:30:49,840 Speaker 1: sense because he's been so good. But if Ryan Day 548 00:30:49,840 --> 00:30:53,120 Speaker 1: loses home to Tennessee, it's gonna be a shit storm 549 00:30:53,640 --> 00:30:56,480 Speaker 1: in Columbus. It's gonna be crazy. So we'll get to 550 00:30:56,520 --> 00:30:58,520 Speaker 1: that in fifteen minutes. Let's do Sharper Square. I've had 551 00:30:58,520 --> 00:31:00,479 Speaker 1: a terrible year. I've had my worst year ever doing this, 552 00:31:01,000 --> 00:31:02,680 Speaker 1: and I don't really know. I don't want to outthink 553 00:31:02,720 --> 00:31:05,160 Speaker 1: the room. I'm about fifty five percent every year. I'm 554 00:31:05,200 --> 00:31:06,920 Speaker 1: not a pro gambler, but I think I'm you know, 555 00:31:07,000 --> 00:31:09,840 Speaker 1: in the ballpark. I've been terrible this year, and I can't. 556 00:31:09,880 --> 00:31:13,920 Speaker 1: You know, I think a lot of it is I've 557 00:31:13,960 --> 00:31:17,640 Speaker 1: always liked value and underdogs, and it just weeked a week. 558 00:31:17,880 --> 00:31:20,360 Speaker 1: Some weeks I go dogs, favorites win, some week I 559 00:31:20,400 --> 00:31:23,120 Speaker 1: go favorites. So I'm just going to give you my 560 00:31:23,200 --> 00:31:26,440 Speaker 1: thought on this. The Chiefs are now three and a 561 00:31:26,480 --> 00:31:29,280 Speaker 1: half point favorites. It's more stay away now. But when 562 00:31:29,320 --> 00:31:31,600 Speaker 1: it was two and a half, even with Carson Wentz 563 00:31:31,600 --> 00:31:35,840 Speaker 1: potentially playing, I love Kansas City. I think Carson Wentz 564 00:31:36,240 --> 00:31:40,320 Speaker 1: for a week is fine for a season. You can't 565 00:31:40,320 --> 00:31:43,160 Speaker 1: trust his health, so I would imagine it three and 566 00:31:43,200 --> 00:31:46,640 Speaker 1: a half. The Sharps like the Texans. But if so, 567 00:31:46,840 --> 00:31:51,240 Speaker 1: I like the two and a half and three Kansas City. Now, 568 00:31:51,720 --> 00:31:53,920 Speaker 1: if I say I like Kansas City, is it square? 569 00:31:54,600 --> 00:31:56,400 Speaker 2: Totally square? Yeah? 570 00:31:56,440 --> 00:31:59,240 Speaker 5: The wise guys are playing the three and a half 571 00:31:59,680 --> 00:32:03,320 Speaker 5: because up until last weekend, anytime you're betting on Patrick 572 00:32:03,360 --> 00:32:07,480 Speaker 5: Mahomes as a more than three point favorite, you're making 573 00:32:07,520 --> 00:32:13,640 Speaker 5: a negative ROI bet he just has not won as 574 00:32:13,680 --> 00:32:16,920 Speaker 5: a favorite of more than three. Last weekend, obviously he did. 575 00:32:16,960 --> 00:32:19,600 Speaker 5: They were four and a half point favorites. They covered, 576 00:32:19,960 --> 00:32:23,000 Speaker 5: But even in that game, you saw the pressure getting 577 00:32:23,000 --> 00:32:27,440 Speaker 5: to Mahomes consistently. You saw them lose the Browns because 578 00:32:27,520 --> 00:32:31,520 Speaker 5: Jameis Winston had two interceptions in the end zone that 579 00:32:32,080 --> 00:32:34,400 Speaker 5: were from in the Chiefs end zone from about his 580 00:32:34,520 --> 00:32:37,360 Speaker 5: thirty yard line, so killing two drives. Plus they had 581 00:32:37,360 --> 00:32:40,280 Speaker 5: three other turnovers, including to open the game. You look 582 00:32:40,280 --> 00:32:43,560 Speaker 5: at that game, the defense gave up seven points, right, 583 00:32:43,800 --> 00:32:48,840 Speaker 5: and so that game was closer statistically than you would 584 00:32:48,880 --> 00:32:50,000 Speaker 5: imagine by. 585 00:32:49,880 --> 00:32:53,040 Speaker 2: The score itself. So there is going to be a sentiment. 586 00:32:53,120 --> 00:32:55,880 Speaker 5: You take the Texans at plus three and a half, 587 00:32:56,400 --> 00:32:59,200 Speaker 5: at two and a half, one hundred percent people were 588 00:32:59,200 --> 00:33:02,520 Speaker 5: still taking the Chiefs. That's why the number got all 589 00:33:02,560 --> 00:33:04,080 Speaker 5: the way up to three and a half. 590 00:33:04,400 --> 00:33:08,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, So a prime example, the Steelers get beat and 591 00:33:08,080 --> 00:33:10,960 Speaker 1: pretty soundly by Philadelphia. But what's lost in that game 592 00:33:11,120 --> 00:33:12,959 Speaker 1: because they had eighty yards in the first half and 593 00:33:12,960 --> 00:33:17,680 Speaker 1: only trailed seventeen thirteen in Philly. If Najee Harris doesn't fumble, 594 00:33:17,720 --> 00:33:20,560 Speaker 1: we got ourselves a football game. Yes, to give the 595 00:33:20,600 --> 00:33:22,880 Speaker 1: Steelers six and a half the you know what the 596 00:33:22,960 --> 00:33:26,520 Speaker 1: Ravens are. They got they're the Mike Tyson. They cross 597 00:33:26,600 --> 00:33:31,240 Speaker 1: their bullies first round knockouts against bad teams. You push 598 00:33:31,320 --> 00:33:35,480 Speaker 1: them back. You make them think Baltimore can get beat 599 00:33:35,680 --> 00:33:40,560 Speaker 1: by a lot of good teams. Pittsburgh pushes back. Tomlin 600 00:33:40,680 --> 00:33:45,000 Speaker 1: is a six and a half point underdog, So I 601 00:33:45,520 --> 00:33:47,760 Speaker 1: this to me is the steel of the week. Pittsburgh 602 00:33:47,760 --> 00:33:50,160 Speaker 1: plus six and a half in Baltimore Sharper square. 603 00:33:50,600 --> 00:33:53,360 Speaker 5: Yeah, Wise guys love this bad and it's almost become 604 00:33:54,080 --> 00:33:57,720 Speaker 5: a blind bet in this series. Whise guys like Mike 605 00:33:57,760 --> 00:34:02,160 Speaker 5: Tomlin as an underdog. Anyways, you're right that game, Nijie Harris, 606 00:34:02,400 --> 00:34:04,280 Speaker 5: the Steelers were outplayed. 607 00:34:04,000 --> 00:34:06,560 Speaker 2: And in the middle of the third the game fumbled 608 00:34:06,600 --> 00:34:06,880 Speaker 2: the ball. 609 00:34:07,040 --> 00:34:10,360 Speaker 5: If he doesn't fumble the ball, they're on the sixteen 610 00:34:10,480 --> 00:34:12,920 Speaker 5: yard line. They're at least kicking a field goal to 611 00:34:12,960 --> 00:34:15,680 Speaker 5: make it a twenty sixteen game, or they're scoring a 612 00:34:15,719 --> 00:34:19,160 Speaker 5: touchdown to make it twenty twenty. Changes the game, right, 613 00:34:19,480 --> 00:34:23,040 Speaker 5: Mike Tomlin. Mike Tomlin and Rob Ross spots any way 614 00:34:23,239 --> 00:34:26,400 Speaker 5: you slice and dice it. Mike Tomlin as an underdog 615 00:34:26,960 --> 00:34:30,000 Speaker 5: is the best coach in a generation against the spread. 616 00:34:30,120 --> 00:34:33,279 Speaker 5: He is best coach in a generation winning straight up 617 00:34:33,600 --> 00:34:39,400 Speaker 5: as an underdog in this series, specifically as a dog 618 00:34:39,440 --> 00:34:42,040 Speaker 5: of three or more versus the Ravens, he is six 619 00:34:42,080 --> 00:34:43,880 Speaker 5: and oh straight up, there are six and oh against 620 00:34:43,920 --> 00:34:47,320 Speaker 5: the spread. He's thirteen two and two against spread versus 621 00:34:47,360 --> 00:34:50,440 Speaker 5: Harbaugh when the line in this series is three or 622 00:34:50,480 --> 00:34:53,600 Speaker 5: more points the past twenty years, so it's the Harbaugh 623 00:34:54,200 --> 00:34:58,480 Speaker 5: Tomlin rain. The underdog is twenty three four and three 624 00:34:58,480 --> 00:35:03,680 Speaker 5: against the spread. It's twenty fifteen underdogs sixteen into sixteen 625 00:35:03,680 --> 00:35:04,120 Speaker 5: too and. 626 00:35:04,040 --> 00:35:05,000 Speaker 2: One against the spread. 627 00:35:05,080 --> 00:35:09,400 Speaker 5: So like, yeah, that there are times where you're nervous 628 00:35:09,440 --> 00:35:13,719 Speaker 5: about playing into these trends. And we talked about this 629 00:35:13,800 --> 00:35:17,920 Speaker 5: on the show last week betting the Steelers fading the Chiefs. 630 00:35:18,360 --> 00:35:21,439 Speaker 5: Those were times we were nervous, Like it happens six 631 00:35:21,480 --> 00:35:24,759 Speaker 5: times out of ten. This time it's happening eight times 632 00:35:24,800 --> 00:35:28,000 Speaker 5: out of ten. So yeah, you're playing the Steelers. 633 00:35:29,320 --> 00:35:31,760 Speaker 1: I like the forty nine ers plus one at the Dolphins. 634 00:35:32,040 --> 00:35:34,279 Speaker 1: I think one of the things that's become pretty clear 635 00:35:34,280 --> 00:35:36,680 Speaker 1: with the Dolphins is if they're not playing an oppressive 636 00:35:36,760 --> 00:35:39,840 Speaker 1: humidity at home, they get pushed around by more physical teams. 637 00:35:39,840 --> 00:35:42,560 Speaker 1: I think they're the ultimate finesse team in this league. 638 00:35:42,800 --> 00:35:46,000 Speaker 1: And you know, as I watched them against Houston, it's 639 00:35:46,040 --> 00:35:49,480 Speaker 1: just bubble screens. That's all they do. The two is 640 00:35:49,520 --> 00:35:52,600 Speaker 1: now throwing forty times a game. That's way too much 641 00:35:52,640 --> 00:35:54,200 Speaker 1: for two. With the teams like the Packers and the 642 00:35:54,239 --> 00:35:56,919 Speaker 1: Eagles have scaled back with more talented quarterbacks to throw 643 00:35:56,960 --> 00:35:59,919 Speaker 1: twenty four times a game. I think the forty nine ers, 644 00:36:00,280 --> 00:36:02,880 Speaker 1: I think it comes down to pride. For brock Purty, 645 00:36:02,880 --> 00:36:06,959 Speaker 1: it comes down to a contract. I like the forty 646 00:36:07,040 --> 00:36:08,719 Speaker 1: nine ers. Here sharper square. 647 00:36:09,160 --> 00:36:12,400 Speaker 5: Sharp ish, like the line opened one and a half. 648 00:36:13,120 --> 00:36:16,000 Speaker 5: It's been bet down obviously from mean one and a 649 00:36:16,000 --> 00:36:19,719 Speaker 5: half to one. For a minute, very hot minute, the 650 00:36:19,800 --> 00:36:22,560 Speaker 5: Niners were favorites and then it sort of bounced back 651 00:36:22,800 --> 00:36:25,480 Speaker 5: a little bit. But that money that's moving it is 652 00:36:25,560 --> 00:36:28,680 Speaker 5: professional money in favor of the Niners. Not a huge 653 00:36:29,400 --> 00:36:33,080 Speaker 5: sort of feeling on that game. They just sort of 654 00:36:33,120 --> 00:36:36,120 Speaker 5: think that the Niners are probably a more physical team. 655 00:36:36,160 --> 00:36:39,960 Speaker 5: Are they getting more healthy? They don't believe in the 656 00:36:40,000 --> 00:36:43,360 Speaker 5: Dolphins is the bigger component of their thinking. 657 00:36:44,360 --> 00:36:51,680 Speaker 1: Okay, the Colts were dominating the Broncos until Jonathan Taylor 658 00:36:51,719 --> 00:36:54,799 Speaker 1: and it was a blowout. They go home now and 659 00:36:54,840 --> 00:36:57,680 Speaker 1: have to swallow three and a half. But the Titans 660 00:36:57,880 --> 00:37:05,440 Speaker 1: are they have Benchwill Levis. I was texting a GM 661 00:37:05,520 --> 00:37:07,719 Speaker 1: this week and I said, I think if you gave 662 00:37:07,760 --> 00:37:10,440 Speaker 1: Sam Darnold. With the Colts, they have the Viking season. 663 00:37:10,600 --> 00:37:13,400 Speaker 1: I like their personnel. I mean, I haven't seen anybody 664 00:37:13,400 --> 00:37:18,320 Speaker 1: this year, including the Chiefs, push the Broncos around, especially 665 00:37:18,320 --> 00:37:21,440 Speaker 1: in Denver. I mean it was a mismatch. Three picks 666 00:37:22,040 --> 00:37:26,360 Speaker 1: for bow Knicks. I think Indy, I don't care what 667 00:37:26,400 --> 00:37:28,760 Speaker 1: the line is. I think they're going to come back. 668 00:37:29,320 --> 00:37:32,000 Speaker 1: I think they're I think Chris Ballard's jobs in the line, 669 00:37:32,040 --> 00:37:35,799 Speaker 1: Anthony Richardson's careers on the line, Shane Steichen with that 670 00:37:36,600 --> 00:37:40,960 Speaker 1: trick play that got a pick six. I think Indy 671 00:37:41,160 --> 00:37:44,359 Speaker 1: is inflamed, and I think they blow the Titans out 672 00:37:44,400 --> 00:37:45,080 Speaker 1: Sharper square. 673 00:37:46,120 --> 00:37:50,000 Speaker 5: So the wise guys are on Tennessee. This line was 674 00:37:50,040 --> 00:37:53,799 Speaker 5: at four and a half even when Will Levis was 675 00:37:54,360 --> 00:37:58,840 Speaker 5: possibly the quarterback. It's been beat down immediately with Mason 676 00:37:58,920 --> 00:38:01,640 Speaker 5: Rudolph as the quarterback. The Wise guys have liked the 677 00:38:01,640 --> 00:38:04,720 Speaker 5: Titans a lot this year. They've also liked the Colts 678 00:38:05,040 --> 00:38:09,120 Speaker 5: this year. Their biggest fear is betting Anthony Richardson as 679 00:38:09,160 --> 00:38:12,360 Speaker 5: a favorite. Like, if you want to talk about comps, 680 00:38:13,400 --> 00:38:17,759 Speaker 5: the comps for Anthony Richardson and his completion percentage Right now, 681 00:38:18,719 --> 00:38:22,680 Speaker 5: Tim Tebow and Akille Smith in the past twenty five years. 682 00:38:23,400 --> 00:38:26,280 Speaker 5: This season will go down as one of the worst 683 00:38:27,040 --> 00:38:32,240 Speaker 5: in completion percentage because of how badly Anthony Richardson is playing. 684 00:38:32,239 --> 00:38:36,120 Speaker 5: And I think there was a sentiment after he was benched, 685 00:38:36,120 --> 00:38:38,560 Speaker 5: he came back and he looked like he was a 686 00:38:38,560 --> 00:38:40,680 Speaker 5: little bit more in control. They were putting him in 687 00:38:40,680 --> 00:38:46,960 Speaker 5: better positions. He was just awful against the Broncos. They 688 00:38:47,000 --> 00:38:49,480 Speaker 5: were winning that game in spite of him. And look 689 00:38:50,080 --> 00:38:53,840 Speaker 5: like I was on the Colts last week, Jonathan Taylor 690 00:38:54,120 --> 00:38:57,520 Speaker 5: dropping that ball was gut wrenching. I was on the 691 00:38:57,520 --> 00:39:00,480 Speaker 5: Steelers last week, Nigee Harris dropping that ball, well, and 692 00:39:00,520 --> 00:39:03,799 Speaker 5: this was all happening. If you're watching red Zone, this 693 00:39:04,000 --> 00:39:07,120 Speaker 5: is like boom boom boom. It was just like gut 694 00:39:07,160 --> 00:39:09,720 Speaker 5: punch after cup punch after gut punch. As a better 695 00:39:11,000 --> 00:39:14,319 Speaker 5: but you felt like and I felt like Colts had 696 00:39:14,400 --> 00:39:17,399 Speaker 5: no chance to get back into that game after they 697 00:39:17,440 --> 00:39:21,000 Speaker 5: gave up the lead, because Anthony and Richardson can't win 698 00:39:21,040 --> 00:39:23,680 Speaker 5: you a game, so they're going to have to dominate 699 00:39:24,239 --> 00:39:26,560 Speaker 5: on the ground in order to cover this three and 700 00:39:26,600 --> 00:39:28,360 Speaker 5: a half. And at the end of the day, he 701 00:39:28,400 --> 00:39:31,319 Speaker 5: got to win by four points. That's a relatively big 702 00:39:31,400 --> 00:39:35,319 Speaker 5: number on what should be a run heavy game in 703 00:39:35,360 --> 00:39:37,839 Speaker 5: which the clock is running a lot. So I think 704 00:39:37,840 --> 00:39:40,719 Speaker 5: the wise guys are still like in Tennessee in the hook. 705 00:39:42,960 --> 00:39:45,160 Speaker 1: Part of me says I should love the Bears at 706 00:39:45,160 --> 00:39:48,080 Speaker 1: home plus six and a half against Detroit. Jared Goff 707 00:39:48,200 --> 00:39:52,360 Speaker 1: outside bad Weather, I defended Caleb Williams this week. He 708 00:39:52,440 --> 00:39:56,520 Speaker 1: has more touchdown passes than Justin Herbert and Kyler Murray, 709 00:39:57,120 --> 00:39:59,440 Speaker 1: more passing yards than Jalen Hurts, and hasn't had an 710 00:39:59,480 --> 00:40:02,520 Speaker 1: interception since Halloween. Is that if you just look at 711 00:40:02,520 --> 00:40:05,680 Speaker 1: the record, you would think he's awful and it's like, no, actually, 712 00:40:06,200 --> 00:40:09,880 Speaker 1: all things considered now that he's with the third coach 713 00:40:11,160 --> 00:40:16,399 Speaker 1: at home Detroit, defensively, I mean it's bad. It is. 714 00:40:16,560 --> 00:40:21,719 Speaker 1: I mean eight nine yards a chunk. I think I 715 00:40:21,800 --> 00:40:24,720 Speaker 1: like Chicago at home plus six and a half sharper square. 716 00:40:25,440 --> 00:40:28,399 Speaker 5: Well, look, the wise guys like Chicago at home when 717 00:40:28,440 --> 00:40:30,560 Speaker 5: it was at seven and a half and seven And 718 00:40:30,600 --> 00:40:35,520 Speaker 5: this is one hundred percent a number play. You're not 719 00:40:35,560 --> 00:40:37,399 Speaker 5: going to find anyone taking it at six and a half. 720 00:40:37,440 --> 00:40:39,359 Speaker 5: If you're taking it at six and a half, We've 721 00:40:39,360 --> 00:40:41,640 Speaker 5: talked about this you're just not getting the best of 722 00:40:41,640 --> 00:40:45,400 Speaker 5: the number, and long term, that's a bad way to 723 00:40:45,560 --> 00:40:48,200 Speaker 5: try to win games. You might win once in a while, 724 00:40:48,280 --> 00:40:50,279 Speaker 5: but long term you want to be on the right 725 00:40:50,320 --> 00:40:53,520 Speaker 5: side of the number. So the wise guys took the 726 00:40:53,560 --> 00:40:56,359 Speaker 5: seven and a half. They took the seven. I think 727 00:40:56,400 --> 00:41:00,120 Speaker 5: this is a really tricky game. At six and a 728 00:41:00,160 --> 00:41:03,760 Speaker 5: half is a home dog in the division. Of course, 729 00:41:03,800 --> 00:41:06,520 Speaker 5: I want to be on the Bears. I can't find 730 00:41:06,520 --> 00:41:08,719 Speaker 5: a way to get that. I'm not saying I'm going 731 00:41:08,760 --> 00:41:12,400 Speaker 5: to bet Detroit. But there's two schools of thought on 732 00:41:12,440 --> 00:41:17,960 Speaker 5: Jared Goff. Jared Goff outside is terrible. Jared Goff indoors 733 00:41:18,520 --> 00:41:22,640 Speaker 5: is unbeatable. Obviously that happened last week, so it's a hyperbole. 734 00:41:22,719 --> 00:41:26,560 Speaker 5: But he tends to cover when he is indoors, tends 735 00:41:26,600 --> 00:41:28,480 Speaker 5: to not when he is outside, and he is a 736 00:41:28,520 --> 00:41:32,560 Speaker 5: covering machine over the past five years. I look at 737 00:41:32,600 --> 00:41:35,440 Speaker 5: this in a different way. Sure, their defense is beat up, 738 00:41:35,719 --> 00:41:38,520 Speaker 5: but all they have to do is hand the ball 739 00:41:38,880 --> 00:41:44,960 Speaker 5: to Jamiir Gibbs. Because this Bears rush defense is just atrocious, 740 00:41:45,280 --> 00:41:48,719 Speaker 5: like putrid. They are giving up one hundred yards every 741 00:41:48,760 --> 00:41:51,720 Speaker 5: single game no matter who they play. Saw it again, 742 00:41:52,320 --> 00:41:56,080 Speaker 5: last week against Minnesota. So I do worry that Detroit 743 00:41:56,160 --> 00:41:57,520 Speaker 5: is going to come out in a bad mood and 744 00:41:57,600 --> 00:41:59,800 Speaker 5: try to prove that there's still the class of the NFC. 745 00:42:00,400 --> 00:42:02,280 Speaker 5: Run the ball down the bear's throat, and it doesn't 746 00:42:02,280 --> 00:42:04,640 Speaker 5: really matter what Kayleb Williams does or what the weather is, 747 00:42:05,080 --> 00:42:08,920 Speaker 5: they might dominate this game. So I can't I can't 748 00:42:08,960 --> 00:42:10,840 Speaker 5: tell you at six and a half, you're making a 749 00:42:10,880 --> 00:42:12,160 Speaker 5: good call. 750 00:42:12,360 --> 00:42:15,600 Speaker 1: Okay, Rams is now only minus three. I would take 751 00:42:15,640 --> 00:42:17,520 Speaker 1: them against the Jets. It was three and a half. 752 00:42:19,920 --> 00:42:22,760 Speaker 1: I think the Jets played the last two weeks. DeVante 753 00:42:22,760 --> 00:42:26,759 Speaker 1: Adams and Aaron Rodgers, you know, have clicked. But the 754 00:42:26,840 --> 00:42:30,799 Speaker 1: Rams are playing for the playoffs and the Jets are 755 00:42:30,800 --> 00:42:36,640 Speaker 1: playing for pride. I mean, between the documentary between Garrett 756 00:42:36,680 --> 00:42:40,440 Speaker 1: Wilson wanting a trade, the story about Woody Johnson's kids, 757 00:42:41,520 --> 00:42:45,120 Speaker 1: this has been a messy week for the Jets. I 758 00:42:45,160 --> 00:42:48,640 Speaker 1: can gladly swallow the three for a much better team 759 00:42:48,880 --> 00:42:52,920 Speaker 1: and a much more functional offense. Rams minus three sharper square. 760 00:42:53,440 --> 00:42:55,799 Speaker 2: I mean why look, wise guys have been on the Jets. 761 00:42:56,360 --> 00:42:56,799 Speaker 2: Oh week. 762 00:42:56,920 --> 00:42:59,040 Speaker 5: The wise guys have been on the Jets for much 763 00:42:59,080 --> 00:43:04,160 Speaker 5: of the year, and much to their dismay. Jeff Ulbrick, 764 00:43:04,239 --> 00:43:07,879 Speaker 5: the coach, seems to find ways to play them out 765 00:43:07,920 --> 00:43:12,200 Speaker 5: of wins and covers and then make the stupidest mistakes 766 00:43:12,239 --> 00:43:15,279 Speaker 5: that actually leads them into a cover that they never 767 00:43:15,320 --> 00:43:18,560 Speaker 5: should have covered. Right last week, he's going for the 768 00:43:18,640 --> 00:43:21,799 Speaker 5: touchdown with a minute left when the Jacks have two timeouts. 769 00:43:22,200 --> 00:43:24,800 Speaker 5: They end up covering the three point spread, winning by six, 770 00:43:25,080 --> 00:43:27,759 Speaker 5: when really he should have kneeled down and left no 771 00:43:27,840 --> 00:43:30,799 Speaker 5: time and kicked a field goal. Week before, making bad 772 00:43:30,840 --> 00:43:32,880 Speaker 5: decisions at the end of the game, they end up 773 00:43:32,920 --> 00:43:35,160 Speaker 5: losing the game to the Dolphins and not even covering 774 00:43:35,239 --> 00:43:37,560 Speaker 5: the three point spread because they lose by six in overtime. 775 00:43:38,000 --> 00:43:40,880 Speaker 5: So he's a menace when it comes to clock management, 776 00:43:40,920 --> 00:43:42,360 Speaker 5: and he's a menace for betters. 777 00:43:42,640 --> 00:43:45,000 Speaker 2: But the wise guys do love the Jets. 778 00:43:45,280 --> 00:43:50,399 Speaker 5: Right now, Aaron Rodgers has been playing significantly better the. 779 00:43:50,320 --> 00:43:51,320 Speaker 2: Past two weeks. 780 00:43:51,640 --> 00:43:53,800 Speaker 5: You could argue, well, the old man went to Florida, 781 00:43:53,840 --> 00:43:55,400 Speaker 5: and when you're old and you're in Florida, you're going 782 00:43:55,440 --> 00:43:56,920 Speaker 5: to feel better. And now he's got to come back 783 00:43:56,920 --> 00:44:00,399 Speaker 5: and play in the cold in New Jersey. But there 784 00:44:00,480 --> 00:44:04,319 Speaker 5: is something about the Rams and the fact that they 785 00:44:04,360 --> 00:44:07,480 Speaker 5: have to go into the cold too. Stafford does not 786 00:44:07,600 --> 00:44:10,560 Speaker 5: perform as well then. And also, this is a team 787 00:44:10,960 --> 00:44:13,520 Speaker 5: you get late in the year. You get teams that 788 00:44:13,560 --> 00:44:17,480 Speaker 5: are what I like to call good ish, right fifty 789 00:44:17,520 --> 00:44:20,799 Speaker 5: to sixty percent in terms of winning percentage, and they're 790 00:44:20,840 --> 00:44:24,600 Speaker 5: playing bad teams on the road. That is a recipe 791 00:44:24,600 --> 00:44:26,879 Speaker 5: for disaster in terms of covering the spread. Not saying 792 00:44:26,920 --> 00:44:29,480 Speaker 5: they're going to lose, but those games tend to be closer. 793 00:44:29,880 --> 00:44:32,560 Speaker 5: So the wise guys are definitely back in the Jets 794 00:44:32,600 --> 00:44:33,080 Speaker 5: this week. 795 00:44:33,440 --> 00:44:37,680 Speaker 1: Okay, I'm not prone to do this, but green Bay 796 00:44:37,800 --> 00:44:45,360 Speaker 1: minus fourteen against the Saints just screams take the Packers. 797 00:44:45,440 --> 00:44:48,920 Speaker 1: I thought their win at Seattle was so impressive because 798 00:44:48,960 --> 00:44:52,279 Speaker 1: I do think Seattle has excellent defensive coaching. This has 799 00:44:52,320 --> 00:44:54,040 Speaker 1: been a year of the favorites. I think the most 800 00:44:54,120 --> 00:44:58,279 Speaker 1: underrated player in the league is Jordan Love. I think 801 00:44:58,320 --> 00:45:02,279 Speaker 1: he's a magnificent talent. I think the Saints feel like 802 00:45:02,320 --> 00:45:06,320 Speaker 1: a dead franchise. I think green Bay still has a chance. 803 00:45:06,400 --> 00:45:08,439 Speaker 1: They really believe it. I think they're a better team 804 00:45:08,560 --> 00:45:12,920 Speaker 1: this morning or this afternoon than Detroit. I don't like 805 00:45:13,000 --> 00:45:17,280 Speaker 1: fourteen point favorites, but they're covering and favorites are covering, 806 00:45:17,840 --> 00:45:21,400 Speaker 1: and I feel like I've got a ascending, young, healthy 807 00:45:21,480 --> 00:45:25,360 Speaker 1: team against the dead franchise. I think Green Bay is 808 00:45:25,440 --> 00:45:28,000 Speaker 1: one of the few places where home field is still 809 00:45:28,040 --> 00:45:30,680 Speaker 1: three to three and a half points sharper square. 810 00:45:31,680 --> 00:45:38,160 Speaker 5: Well, look, you're never gonna get a sharp confirmation on 811 00:45:38,200 --> 00:45:42,200 Speaker 5: a fourteen point favorite. There are two fourteen point favorites 812 00:45:42,440 --> 00:45:45,960 Speaker 5: this week, the Packers over the Saints the Bills over 813 00:45:46,000 --> 00:45:49,600 Speaker 5: the Patriots. There's been more of a conversation around the 814 00:45:49,640 --> 00:45:54,239 Speaker 5: Bills as fourteen point favorites. That line actually ticked up 815 00:45:54,719 --> 00:45:57,719 Speaker 5: to fourteen and a half, and that was very much 816 00:45:57,760 --> 00:46:01,319 Speaker 5: professionals betting on the Bills a team. Then it came 817 00:46:01,360 --> 00:46:04,600 Speaker 5: down then some professionals, not a whole lot of them, 818 00:46:04,640 --> 00:46:06,560 Speaker 5: but a couple of them were like, yeah, that's what 819 00:46:07,320 --> 00:46:11,919 Speaker 5: half a point too far the Packers, Like, sure, there's 820 00:46:11,920 --> 00:46:16,000 Speaker 5: nobody who's thinking they want to bet on the Saints, 821 00:46:16,200 --> 00:46:19,320 Speaker 5: but there's not a rush to the window on the Packers. 822 00:46:19,600 --> 00:46:21,799 Speaker 5: Everything you just said, everyone agrees with. 823 00:46:21,880 --> 00:46:22,239 Speaker 2: It's why. 824 00:46:22,360 --> 00:46:26,120 Speaker 5: Actually, the wise guys were on the Packers last week 825 00:46:26,719 --> 00:46:27,839 Speaker 5: against the Seahawks. 826 00:46:27,920 --> 00:46:29,560 Speaker 1: That was my favorite. 827 00:46:29,480 --> 00:46:31,120 Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, mine too. It's your only bet. 828 00:46:31,160 --> 00:46:33,799 Speaker 5: I won last week and so they were on him 829 00:46:33,800 --> 00:46:36,000 Speaker 5: at two and a half. That was a great spot 830 00:46:36,239 --> 00:46:39,480 Speaker 5: for the Packers, right. They had just lost a really 831 00:46:39,520 --> 00:46:42,000 Speaker 5: hard game to the Lions, and I think that game 832 00:46:42,920 --> 00:46:45,719 Speaker 5: gave them the confidence that you just talked about. You 833 00:46:45,800 --> 00:46:49,840 Speaker 5: saw the mastery with which Lafour calls a game. Jordan 834 00:46:49,960 --> 00:46:52,520 Speaker 5: Love has been much more cautious with the ball, hasn't 835 00:46:52,560 --> 00:46:56,040 Speaker 5: been throwing interceptions. I think the Packers believe they are 836 00:46:56,080 --> 00:46:59,440 Speaker 5: in the same class as the Vikings and the Lions 837 00:46:59,600 --> 00:47:02,880 Speaker 5: and the Eagles, and I'd be hard pressed to disagree. 838 00:47:03,719 --> 00:47:07,759 Speaker 5: I think it's harder to win as to touchdown favorites 839 00:47:08,239 --> 00:47:11,840 Speaker 5: against a Saints team that like from a from a 840 00:47:12,120 --> 00:47:15,440 Speaker 5: from a wise guy perspective. They just don't like this 841 00:47:15,560 --> 00:47:18,560 Speaker 5: game as much as they would like the Bills and 842 00:47:18,600 --> 00:47:20,400 Speaker 5: the Patriots. And I can tell you why they like 843 00:47:20,440 --> 00:47:23,680 Speaker 5: the Bills against the Patriots if that would be interesting 844 00:47:23,719 --> 00:47:23,920 Speaker 5: to you. 845 00:47:24,480 --> 00:47:25,120 Speaker 1: Yeah. Please. 846 00:47:26,080 --> 00:47:32,239 Speaker 5: So this is the win, Josh Allen the MVP game. Right, 847 00:47:33,280 --> 00:47:37,600 Speaker 5: there's talk this week because Lamar Jackson threw five touchdowns 848 00:47:38,040 --> 00:47:41,160 Speaker 5: against the Giants that maybe he should be MVP. And 849 00:47:41,239 --> 00:47:45,799 Speaker 5: you saw the MVP odds shrink a little bit. The 850 00:47:45,840 --> 00:47:49,040 Speaker 5: Bills tend to blow these teams out anyways. Right, they 851 00:47:49,040 --> 00:47:52,880 Speaker 5: are a team that has a winning record as big 852 00:47:53,120 --> 00:47:56,560 Speaker 5: favorites in these games in the division, outside the division 853 00:47:56,680 --> 00:47:59,560 Speaker 5: at home, they tend they don't play down to the 854 00:47:59,640 --> 00:48:04,279 Speaker 5: level of the competition. Their offense can do whatever it 855 00:48:04,360 --> 00:48:08,240 Speaker 5: wants against the Patriots. If the Patriots are down early, 856 00:48:09,239 --> 00:48:13,120 Speaker 5: their record against the spread it's like seven and twenty 857 00:48:13,160 --> 00:48:16,919 Speaker 5: one the past two years, like they are a terrible team. 858 00:48:17,000 --> 00:48:20,480 Speaker 5: They cannot recover. So if the Bills get out to 859 00:48:20,640 --> 00:48:23,560 Speaker 5: lead early, which they tend to do, it's a great spot. 860 00:48:23,880 --> 00:48:27,880 Speaker 5: The one concern is, you know, the Bill's secondary has 861 00:48:27,920 --> 00:48:31,280 Speaker 5: a lot of injuries, but there's really no concerns about 862 00:48:31,320 --> 00:48:34,680 Speaker 5: the Patriots offense. They got Drake may who's slinging it 863 00:48:34,719 --> 00:48:38,120 Speaker 5: and trying his best. But right now Gerrod Mayo was 864 00:48:38,120 --> 00:48:41,200 Speaker 5: throwing Alex Van Pelt under the bus about their offense. 865 00:48:41,600 --> 00:48:43,200 Speaker 2: There's just a lot of turmoil there. 866 00:48:43,800 --> 00:48:46,759 Speaker 5: So the wise guys, if they're betting a big favorite, 867 00:48:46,920 --> 00:48:49,160 Speaker 5: they're more inclined to bet the Bills than the Packers. 868 00:48:55,320 --> 00:48:57,600 Speaker 1: All Right, I want to talk some college football now, 869 00:48:57,600 --> 00:49:01,400 Speaker 1: because I do think in Indiana, Notre Dame and a 870 00:49:01,400 --> 00:49:04,839 Speaker 1: lot of its weather, I think it's going to be 871 00:49:04,880 --> 00:49:07,720 Speaker 1: pretty close. I think Notre Dame is a great run team. 872 00:49:08,360 --> 00:49:12,200 Speaker 1: Indiana is a kind of a peculiar unique run defense. 873 00:49:12,960 --> 00:49:16,839 Speaker 1: I think really good coaches with time can employ, you know, 874 00:49:16,920 --> 00:49:21,520 Speaker 1: competitive strategies. We know that Ohio State in Columbus on 875 00:49:22,160 --> 00:49:25,399 Speaker 1: a nice day to play football is better significantly. Notre 876 00:49:25,480 --> 00:49:29,600 Speaker 1: Dame doesn't have Ohio State's talent, and I also think 877 00:49:29,640 --> 00:49:32,560 Speaker 1: Indiana now has extra time to prepare. I think Notre 878 00:49:32,640 --> 00:49:36,680 Speaker 1: Dame has a ceiling offensively, whereas Ohio State doesn't. They 879 00:49:36,719 --> 00:49:40,040 Speaker 1: just played down to their competition. Notre Dame has a ceiling, 880 00:49:40,400 --> 00:49:42,400 Speaker 1: and I think Indiana is going to So I really 881 00:49:42,480 --> 00:49:45,560 Speaker 1: like Indiana plus seven. How do the wise guys view it? 882 00:49:46,040 --> 00:49:49,200 Speaker 5: Yeah, look the numbers come down because wise guys are 883 00:49:49,200 --> 00:49:55,280 Speaker 5: betting Indiana and Indiana's look been a covering machine this year. Yes, 884 00:49:55,440 --> 00:49:59,680 Speaker 5: obviously that Ohio State game was the biggest challenge. They 885 00:49:59,719 --> 00:50:02,440 Speaker 5: also didn't cover against Michigan, but that was at a 886 00:50:02,480 --> 00:50:04,560 Speaker 5: time when Michigan was starting to get better. And the 887 00:50:04,560 --> 00:50:06,359 Speaker 5: next week they went on and they beat Ohio State. 888 00:50:06,800 --> 00:50:10,320 Speaker 5: So that was a much more physical game. Ohio State 889 00:50:10,719 --> 00:50:14,920 Speaker 5: Indiana had some bad plays and they were outclassed, and 890 00:50:14,960 --> 00:50:16,400 Speaker 5: you could see the talent difference. 891 00:50:17,000 --> 00:50:19,800 Speaker 2: I'm with you. The wise guys are with you, and 892 00:50:19,920 --> 00:50:20,480 Speaker 2: the way. 893 00:50:20,400 --> 00:50:23,719 Speaker 5: Indiana matches up a little bit better with Notre Dame 894 00:50:24,200 --> 00:50:29,400 Speaker 5: and the time and look, you can't help but listen 895 00:50:29,560 --> 00:50:34,520 Speaker 5: to Kurt Signetti and know that he's playing this game 896 00:50:34,800 --> 00:50:36,480 Speaker 5: and has got his players playing this game with a 897 00:50:36,600 --> 00:50:37,760 Speaker 5: huge chip on their shoulder. 898 00:50:38,160 --> 00:50:39,600 Speaker 2: And we've talked about this. 899 00:50:41,000 --> 00:50:44,040 Speaker 5: One of the reasons Indiana won this year and why 900 00:50:44,120 --> 00:50:47,359 Speaker 5: it was able to achieve when other teams that are 901 00:50:47,480 --> 00:50:51,120 Speaker 5: leaning into the portal weren't able to achieve, is because 902 00:50:51,480 --> 00:50:56,200 Speaker 5: they brought in grown up college football players. They didn't 903 00:50:56,239 --> 00:50:59,040 Speaker 5: bring in five star recruits who are going to be 904 00:50:59,040 --> 00:51:01,080 Speaker 5: there for a year and go to the NFL. They 905 00:51:01,120 --> 00:51:04,440 Speaker 5: brought in guys who are just really good at college football. 906 00:51:04,480 --> 00:51:08,120 Speaker 5: And this is a great college football game. And there 907 00:51:08,160 --> 00:51:10,520 Speaker 5: is a nuanced difference when I say a college football 908 00:51:10,560 --> 00:51:13,080 Speaker 5: game here, that's the style of game this is gonna be. 909 00:51:13,120 --> 00:51:15,440 Speaker 5: It's going to be physical, it's going to be about execution, 910 00:51:16,000 --> 00:51:18,759 Speaker 5: it's going to be about not necessarily the best athletes, 911 00:51:19,000 --> 00:51:21,240 Speaker 5: but the people who do their jobs the best. 912 00:51:22,160 --> 00:51:23,600 Speaker 2: So I love this game for Indiana. 913 00:51:24,239 --> 00:51:28,200 Speaker 1: I like the under on Clemson Texas, mostly not because 914 00:51:28,239 --> 00:51:30,359 Speaker 1: Texas is going to score a ton. I don't think 915 00:51:30,440 --> 00:51:33,960 Speaker 1: Clemson can score much on Texas. I'm gonna take Texas 916 00:51:34,000 --> 00:51:36,000 Speaker 1: minus twelve. I really feel it has a chance to 917 00:51:36,040 --> 00:51:40,919 Speaker 1: be thirty to ten. I think the Texas defense is sensational, 918 00:51:41,440 --> 00:51:44,440 Speaker 1: and I think the Clemson offense it's almost like that 919 00:51:44,640 --> 00:51:47,800 Speaker 1: SMU game felt like their bowl game. I think both 920 00:51:47,920 --> 00:51:51,120 Speaker 1: SMU and Clemson are going to get totally outclassed in 921 00:51:51,160 --> 00:51:54,600 Speaker 1: their bowl games. I like the under, but I'm gonna 922 00:51:54,640 --> 00:51:59,640 Speaker 1: take Texas minus twelve. I think this. Remember Clemson doesn't 923 00:51:59,640 --> 00:52:03,080 Speaker 1: go to the transfer portal. They have holes. Yeah, Texas 924 00:52:03,080 --> 00:52:06,319 Speaker 1: out recruits them and goes to the transfer portal. And 925 00:52:06,400 --> 00:52:09,600 Speaker 1: also Texas's offense over the last three weeks, I don't 926 00:52:09,640 --> 00:52:14,120 Speaker 1: think they'll pause. If quin your struggles, I think they'll 927 00:52:14,120 --> 00:52:16,960 Speaker 1: go to Arts Manning. I don't think they'll pause going forward. 928 00:52:17,480 --> 00:52:20,040 Speaker 1: I like Texas to roll here sharper square. 929 00:52:20,239 --> 00:52:22,520 Speaker 5: Totally sharp, Like if you're looking I'm looking in the 930 00:52:22,520 --> 00:52:25,040 Speaker 5: Action app right now. It's just checking it out and 931 00:52:25,719 --> 00:52:27,680 Speaker 5: you can see in the app, you can see the 932 00:52:27,719 --> 00:52:31,880 Speaker 5: betting tickets and you can see the money percentages on 933 00:52:32,080 --> 00:52:36,680 Speaker 5: each side, and betting tickets is usually an indication of 934 00:52:36,760 --> 00:52:41,400 Speaker 5: the public. That's the squares who are betting ten dollars 935 00:52:41,480 --> 00:52:43,920 Speaker 5: twenty dollars, and there's a lot of volume of tickets. 936 00:52:44,560 --> 00:52:49,279 Speaker 5: Money usually represents where the wise guys are. So the 937 00:52:49,320 --> 00:52:54,520 Speaker 5: tickets right now are on Clemson, the money is on Texas. 938 00:52:54,680 --> 00:52:56,319 Speaker 5: And I agree with you, and the wise guys agree 939 00:52:56,360 --> 00:53:01,839 Speaker 5: with you. That defense they have is us fierce, Like 940 00:53:02,360 --> 00:53:07,400 Speaker 5: they did a job on Georgia. And if Texas's offense 941 00:53:07,880 --> 00:53:11,719 Speaker 5: could execute a little bit better, then we wouldn't be 942 00:53:11,760 --> 00:53:14,360 Speaker 5: having this conversation about who's the who is the SEC 943 00:53:14,440 --> 00:53:18,680 Speaker 5: champion would have been Texas. So, like, that defense is 944 00:53:18,760 --> 00:53:23,080 Speaker 5: so freaking good and it's a veteran defense. Again, we're 945 00:53:23,080 --> 00:53:27,440 Speaker 5: talking about like guys who've been playing college football for 946 00:53:27,480 --> 00:53:29,719 Speaker 5: a while, and I think that's an advantage here. 947 00:53:30,760 --> 00:53:33,719 Speaker 1: So the game, I'm going to ask you to handicap. 948 00:53:36,960 --> 00:53:39,320 Speaker 1: I don't get the line. So the line is telling 949 00:53:39,320 --> 00:53:42,400 Speaker 1: me Ohio State's gonna win because it hasn't moved much. 950 00:53:43,200 --> 00:53:47,120 Speaker 1: So Tennessee's defensive line is significantly better than Ohio State's 951 00:53:47,160 --> 00:53:50,360 Speaker 1: offensive line, meaning Ohio State's gonna have to throw and 952 00:53:50,480 --> 00:53:54,840 Speaker 1: it may only be fifteen degrees. But this line is 953 00:53:54,960 --> 00:53:59,120 Speaker 1: telling me that out after that Michigan loss, Ohio State 954 00:53:59,239 --> 00:54:02,279 Speaker 1: is pissed and Ryan Day's jobs on the line, and 955 00:54:02,400 --> 00:54:05,560 Speaker 1: Josh Heipels isn't and it's in Columbus and it is 956 00:54:05,640 --> 00:54:09,520 Speaker 1: a warm weather SEC team, So the line is telling 957 00:54:09,640 --> 00:54:13,000 Speaker 1: me that Ohio State's gonna win this comfortably. That's what 958 00:54:13,080 --> 00:54:15,560 Speaker 1: it's telling me. Otherwise, when it came out seven and 959 00:54:15,600 --> 00:54:17,480 Speaker 1: a half, the Sharps would have jumped all over this. 960 00:54:17,760 --> 00:54:19,800 Speaker 1: I mean, Tennessee's the best rushing team in the SEC 961 00:54:20,000 --> 00:54:23,520 Speaker 1: going into cold weather. It just screams to you, low scoring, 962 00:54:23,640 --> 00:54:26,320 Speaker 1: take the points. But the line's not moving, and that 963 00:54:26,480 --> 00:54:29,400 Speaker 1: tells me the Sharps like Ohio State, do they? 964 00:54:29,560 --> 00:54:29,759 Speaker 2: Yeah? 965 00:54:30,200 --> 00:54:33,680 Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean, look, it's settled in where it's at, right, 966 00:54:33,960 --> 00:54:39,360 Speaker 5: and that is because it's been It's kind of the 967 00:54:39,719 --> 00:54:44,359 Speaker 5: advantages is not for Tennessee because of some of these 968 00:54:44,680 --> 00:54:48,680 Speaker 5: situations that you just talked about, And there is some 969 00:54:49,880 --> 00:54:54,399 Speaker 5: feeling that this is such a desperate spot for Ryan Day. 970 00:54:54,960 --> 00:54:57,920 Speaker 5: It's been seven and a half almost since it opened. 971 00:54:57,960 --> 00:55:01,400 Speaker 5: It was at six and a half for about thirty seconds. Wise, 972 00:55:01,440 --> 00:55:05,320 Speaker 5: guys took the six and a half. They bet Tennessee 973 00:55:05,360 --> 00:55:07,759 Speaker 5: at six and a half, right, but there was so 974 00:55:07,880 --> 00:55:11,719 Speaker 5: much other sentiment coming in on Ohio State that it 975 00:55:11,840 --> 00:55:12,200 Speaker 5: moved up. 976 00:55:12,760 --> 00:55:16,160 Speaker 2: So Ryan Day is in a spot. And we've talked 977 00:55:16,160 --> 00:55:16,480 Speaker 2: about this. 978 00:55:16,719 --> 00:55:19,320 Speaker 5: There was a story in the Wall Street Journal today 979 00:55:20,120 --> 00:55:26,000 Speaker 5: about Ohio State fans people calling in to local radio 980 00:55:26,560 --> 00:55:31,280 Speaker 5: about Max Crosby, who know the Lions, the Raiders defensive 981 00:55:31,320 --> 00:55:34,080 Speaker 5: lineman who's out for the year. On his podcast, he's 982 00:55:34,120 --> 00:55:37,239 Speaker 5: a massive Ohio State fan, talking about how he wants 983 00:55:37,280 --> 00:55:39,239 Speaker 5: the team to lose so they get rid of Ryan Day. 984 00:55:39,680 --> 00:55:44,719 Speaker 5: That is a weird thing to be talking about when 985 00:55:44,760 --> 00:55:46,640 Speaker 5: you've got a coach who has won as much as 986 00:55:46,680 --> 00:55:49,520 Speaker 5: he has. But I think you and I agree every 987 00:55:49,640 --> 00:55:52,919 Speaker 5: game for him is going to be a must win game. 988 00:55:52,960 --> 00:55:55,919 Speaker 5: And unless they win the championship or they get there 989 00:55:56,320 --> 00:55:59,160 Speaker 5: and they are so dominant, and he puts himself in 990 00:55:59,239 --> 00:56:02,520 Speaker 5: a position even if they lose, it's a way to 991 00:56:02,760 --> 00:56:07,480 Speaker 5: rebuild the goodwill. It's a Michigan or bust program. And 992 00:56:07,560 --> 00:56:09,759 Speaker 5: he hasn't beaten them, and they haven't gotten over it, 993 00:56:10,239 --> 00:56:10,400 Speaker 5: you know. 994 00:56:10,800 --> 00:56:14,160 Speaker 1: I think sometimes one of the things I love about 995 00:56:14,440 --> 00:56:16,840 Speaker 1: sports is when there's cultural changes. I like to be 996 00:56:17,000 --> 00:56:18,719 Speaker 1: I like to predict what they are. I love the 997 00:56:18,719 --> 00:56:23,320 Speaker 1: theories and my systems on like what's changing. So something's 998 00:56:23,400 --> 00:56:27,560 Speaker 1: happening in college football, and college football fans don't yet 999 00:56:27,719 --> 00:56:31,040 Speaker 1: know it. So in the NFL, it's almost understood that 1000 00:56:31,120 --> 00:56:33,400 Speaker 1: you've got to give a staff a couple of years, right, Like, 1001 00:56:33,480 --> 00:56:37,040 Speaker 1: there's just it's just really hard. The margins are thin. Well, 1002 00:56:37,080 --> 00:56:39,800 Speaker 1: I think the Ohio States and the Georgia's and the 1003 00:56:39,920 --> 00:56:42,839 Speaker 1: Texas fans. You know, you've always been able to line 1004 00:56:42,920 --> 00:56:46,600 Speaker 1: up and just beat teams. And one of the reasons 1005 00:56:46,760 --> 00:56:49,880 Speaker 1: is over a long season is your backups were as 1006 00:56:49,920 --> 00:56:53,680 Speaker 1: good as their starters. And football's regulated the level levels 1007 00:56:53,719 --> 00:56:57,040 Speaker 1: of violence. So there's college and pro. There's injuries, but 1008 00:56:57,160 --> 00:57:03,360 Speaker 1: the transfer portal and NIL has eliminated depth at the 1009 00:57:03,480 --> 00:57:07,880 Speaker 1: blue bloods Georgia, Texas, Clemson. So when you do suffer 1010 00:57:07,960 --> 00:57:10,640 Speaker 1: injuries and the season is now longer than ever, your 1011 00:57:10,719 --> 00:57:14,160 Speaker 1: backups are produced starters, that's all they are. And so 1012 00:57:14,320 --> 00:57:19,040 Speaker 1: these Ohio States and these big Notre Dame, these big 1013 00:57:19,080 --> 00:57:23,400 Speaker 1: traditional powers as the season goes on, I mean, look 1014 00:57:23,400 --> 00:57:25,800 Speaker 1: at look at our twelve team playoff. Arizona States in IT, 1015 00:57:26,000 --> 00:57:29,240 Speaker 1: SMUs in IT, Boise States in IT, like, and these 1016 00:57:29,360 --> 00:57:32,640 Speaker 1: these are live dogs like and so I don't think 1017 00:57:32,760 --> 00:57:36,880 Speaker 1: quite college football fans understand not only are players getting 1018 00:57:36,960 --> 00:57:41,160 Speaker 1: paid that it looks more like pro football, but your 1019 00:57:41,240 --> 00:57:45,880 Speaker 1: backup stink just like pro football. Detroit's defense now has 1020 00:57:45,920 --> 00:57:50,640 Speaker 1: six backups. It's terrible. A month ago it was excellent. 1021 00:57:51,200 --> 00:57:54,680 Speaker 1: And so what and what what creates that the salary cap? 1022 00:57:54,960 --> 00:57:57,360 Speaker 1: You have bad backups in the NFL? Nobody has depth 1023 00:57:57,440 --> 00:57:59,840 Speaker 1: in the NFL. You either like Philadelphia's got great front 1024 00:57:59,880 --> 00:58:04,320 Speaker 1: line starters. AJ Brown's out. It's not the same offense. Right, 1025 00:58:04,480 --> 00:58:07,040 Speaker 1: Saquon Barkley's out, it's not the same offense. We've almost 1026 00:58:07,120 --> 00:58:09,800 Speaker 1: understood that in pro football you need your starters. And 1027 00:58:09,880 --> 00:58:14,160 Speaker 1: when you get injury plagged Buffalo Detroit's defense, you're like, 1028 00:58:14,440 --> 00:58:17,120 Speaker 1: what the hell's going on? Well, everybody knows you don't 1029 00:58:17,120 --> 00:58:20,360 Speaker 1: have good college That was never the point. Top ten 1030 00:58:20,440 --> 00:58:23,520 Speaker 1: teams just had better backups. I mean, eighty five scholarships 1031 00:58:23,560 --> 00:58:26,720 Speaker 1: allows you to have four pro offensive tackles. If you're 1032 00:58:26,760 --> 00:58:29,520 Speaker 1: Ohio State, now they have two. One gets hurt, you 1033 00:58:29,560 --> 00:58:31,560 Speaker 1: move a guard to left tackle. They're all lion stakes. 1034 00:58:32,000 --> 00:58:33,360 Speaker 1: It's Iowa at best. 1035 00:58:35,040 --> 00:58:38,320 Speaker 5: So you're you're totally right, that's an on the field problem, 1036 00:58:39,240 --> 00:58:44,240 Speaker 5: but culturally for fandom, yeah, the beauty of college football, 1037 00:58:45,800 --> 00:58:52,680 Speaker 5: it's always been Michigan Ohio State rivalry weekend. You know, 1038 00:58:53,280 --> 00:58:59,360 Speaker 5: Alabama Tennessee or Alabama Auburn. You know these games they 1039 00:58:59,440 --> 00:59:03,240 Speaker 5: had so much much meaning because there was a lot 1040 00:59:03,480 --> 00:59:04,120 Speaker 5: on the line. 1041 00:59:04,360 --> 00:59:05,680 Speaker 2: You couldn't lose that game. 1042 00:59:06,440 --> 00:59:08,840 Speaker 5: I think what Ohio State is struggling with and what 1043 00:59:08,960 --> 00:59:11,280 Speaker 5: a lot of schools will struggle with in the future, 1044 00:59:11,440 --> 00:59:15,120 Speaker 5: is you focus so much on that one rivalry game 1045 00:59:15,560 --> 00:59:17,920 Speaker 5: and that's all you care about. Because college football has 1046 00:59:17,960 --> 00:59:22,840 Speaker 5: always been so provincial. Now it's a national game. The 1047 00:59:23,040 --> 00:59:26,880 Speaker 5: SEC is spread out all over, The Big Ten is 1048 00:59:27,080 --> 00:59:31,000 Speaker 5: literally nationwide. These are the only two conferences that really 1049 00:59:31,120 --> 00:59:37,680 Speaker 5: kind of matter. And so the provincial, local rivalries that 1050 00:59:37,840 --> 00:59:41,360 Speaker 5: college fan bases have built their mindset on, have built 1051 00:59:41,400 --> 00:59:45,200 Speaker 5: their self worth on, have built their fandom on. They 1052 00:59:45,320 --> 00:59:49,320 Speaker 5: need to move on from those really meaning anything because 1053 00:59:49,360 --> 00:59:52,240 Speaker 5: they kind of don't. If Io State loses to Michigan 1054 00:59:52,280 --> 00:59:55,200 Speaker 5: for the next ten years, but they win the national 1055 00:59:55,280 --> 00:59:58,160 Speaker 5: title in five of those years, is that going to 1056 00:59:58,200 --> 01:00:01,640 Speaker 5: be better or worse? As a fan Like, they need 1057 01:00:01,680 --> 01:00:03,520 Speaker 5: to come to grips with a new reality of what 1058 01:00:03,640 --> 01:00:06,800 Speaker 5: these rivalry games mean in terms of the broader picture, 1059 01:00:06,840 --> 01:00:09,640 Speaker 5: because they used to mean everything. It wasn't just about 1060 01:00:09,920 --> 01:00:11,840 Speaker 5: beating Michigan. It was about beating Michigan and what it 1061 01:00:11,920 --> 01:00:14,280 Speaker 5: meant for winning the Big Ten and going to the 1062 01:00:14,360 --> 01:00:16,520 Speaker 5: Rose Bowl, or what it meant for winning the Big 1063 01:00:16,600 --> 01:00:19,920 Speaker 5: Ten and then being in the College Football Playoff or 1064 01:00:20,000 --> 01:00:21,880 Speaker 5: winning the BCS and getting a better rating. 1065 01:00:22,680 --> 01:00:24,240 Speaker 2: Those things don't matter anymore. 1066 01:00:24,400 --> 01:00:28,720 Speaker 5: So the rivalries and the expectations for what these rivalries 1067 01:00:28,800 --> 01:00:30,960 Speaker 5: mean need to be adjusted. I also think it's just 1068 01:00:31,080 --> 01:00:33,920 Speaker 5: going to diminish the value of those games for fans. 1069 01:00:34,720 --> 01:00:36,840 Speaker 5: My kid, he's going to be in college next year. 1070 01:00:37,720 --> 01:00:41,440 Speaker 5: He's gotten into Indiana, he got into Penn State, wherever 1071 01:00:41,520 --> 01:00:45,240 Speaker 5: he decides to go. Are the rivalries for those schools 1072 01:00:45,480 --> 01:00:47,280 Speaker 5: going to mean as much to him twenty years from 1073 01:00:47,280 --> 01:00:48,760 Speaker 5: now as they do to me and my friends who 1074 01:00:48,840 --> 01:00:49,800 Speaker 5: also went to Indiana? 1075 01:00:50,040 --> 01:00:50,400 Speaker 2: Probably not. 1076 01:00:51,400 --> 01:00:53,520 Speaker 1: Do you have an NFL bet this weekend that you 1077 01:00:53,560 --> 01:00:55,120 Speaker 1: would label your favorite. 1078 01:00:57,400 --> 01:01:02,000 Speaker 5: H Well, look, I'm middle Kansas City, So I bet 1079 01:01:02,080 --> 01:01:04,200 Speaker 5: Kansas City plus two and a half on Sunday night 1080 01:01:04,920 --> 01:01:08,160 Speaker 5: and then and you mean you know it was plus 1081 01:01:08,240 --> 01:01:10,720 Speaker 5: two and a half, like on Monday morning. I'm sorry 1082 01:01:10,800 --> 01:01:13,520 Speaker 5: when the news about what was happening with Holmes was 1083 01:01:13,520 --> 01:01:16,800 Speaker 5: still unclear. The Chiefs were two and a half point underdogs, 1084 01:01:17,120 --> 01:01:18,960 Speaker 5: so I bet him two and a half, and then 1085 01:01:19,320 --> 01:01:21,760 Speaker 5: when it became clear that he was going to be playing. 1086 01:01:22,200 --> 01:01:24,560 Speaker 5: This was yesterday afternoon, the game got up to three 1087 01:01:24,600 --> 01:01:26,720 Speaker 5: and a half. I bet the Texans at plus three 1088 01:01:26,720 --> 01:01:28,760 Speaker 5: and a half. So the majority of my money is 1089 01:01:28,880 --> 01:01:33,080 Speaker 5: trying to get that middle right. But I also bet 1090 01:01:33,480 --> 01:01:36,200 Speaker 5: the Jets three and a half. That's one that I like. 1091 01:01:36,880 --> 01:01:40,160 Speaker 5: I really like the Steelers at six and a half. 1092 01:01:40,320 --> 01:01:45,720 Speaker 5: So if I like, I'll put in my five favorite picks. 1093 01:01:46,360 --> 01:01:50,080 Speaker 5: The Steelers will be in there. The Jets will definitely 1094 01:01:50,200 --> 01:01:54,439 Speaker 5: be in there. Dallas I bet at four and a half. 1095 01:01:54,520 --> 01:01:57,080 Speaker 5: I like Dallas a lot against Tampa. I think there's 1096 01:01:57,080 --> 01:02:00,240 Speaker 5: a lot of inflation this week, and I think that's 1097 01:02:00,240 --> 01:02:03,520 Speaker 5: one of the bigger games where Dallas has been playing better. 1098 01:02:04,200 --> 01:02:07,960 Speaker 5: Like the last three weeks, last four weeks, that Cincinnati 1099 01:02:08,080 --> 01:02:11,760 Speaker 5: game kind of looks like a fluke, right. They lost 1100 01:02:11,840 --> 01:02:14,920 Speaker 5: that game, They've won the three other games. Micah Parsons 1101 01:02:14,960 --> 01:02:17,960 Speaker 5: has seven and a half sacks since he's back. Deron 1102 01:02:18,080 --> 01:02:21,120 Speaker 5: bland Is back in the secondary. That defense is getting 1103 01:02:21,520 --> 01:02:25,280 Speaker 5: a lot better. Cooper Rush at Home Controlled Environment. Tampa 1104 01:02:25,320 --> 01:02:28,320 Speaker 5: Bay just put up forty on the chargers that inflated 1105 01:02:28,360 --> 01:02:31,960 Speaker 5: that line a little bit so. Dallas is another one 1106 01:02:32,000 --> 01:02:33,400 Speaker 5: that I'm un paying attention to. 1107 01:02:34,880 --> 01:02:37,280 Speaker 1: Chad Millman Sharper Square, I love it, buddy. 1108 01:02:38,080 --> 01:02:39,280 Speaker 2: Great to chat with your buddy. 1109 01:02:41,760 --> 01:02:42,400 Speaker 4: The volume