1 00:00:18,239 --> 00:00:21,520 Speaker 1: Welcome everyone too the Daily Juice podcast on the Betting 2 00:00:21,560 --> 00:00:25,200 Speaker 1: Pros Network. I'm your host, Sean Stacking the Money Green. 3 00:00:25,200 --> 00:00:26,759 Speaker 1: Give me a follow on Twitter at seant Green and 4 00:00:26,920 --> 00:00:29,160 Speaker 1: is always Daily Juice is being brought to you by 5 00:00:29,160 --> 00:00:32,319 Speaker 1: bet mgm us a promo code Juice twenty five get 6 00:00:32,320 --> 00:00:34,600 Speaker 1: yourself a risk free bet up to one thousand dollars 7 00:00:34,600 --> 00:00:39,919 Speaker 1: and a twenty five dollars free bet. Hey, Merry Christmas. 8 00:00:40,159 --> 00:00:44,920 Speaker 1: Merry Christmas to all. Yeah, hopefully everyone's having an awesome Christmas. 9 00:00:45,440 --> 00:00:48,879 Speaker 1: Actually taking this a little early because I got a 10 00:00:48,920 --> 00:00:51,960 Speaker 1: ton of stuff going on Christmas evening. I'm sure Lottie 11 00:00:52,000 --> 00:00:55,960 Speaker 1: View have similar obligations. Family stuff you got to get to, 12 00:00:56,080 --> 00:00:58,600 Speaker 1: so not gonna have the recap. I'll do the full 13 00:00:58,680 --> 00:01:02,240 Speaker 1: recap with my Saturday and Sunday NFL picks. We can 14 00:01:02,280 --> 00:01:06,119 Speaker 1: recap all those winners into one episode. I'm sure as 15 00:01:06,120 --> 00:01:08,520 Speaker 1: you're listening to this, I went five and oh with 16 00:01:08,600 --> 00:01:11,000 Speaker 1: my Bears plus eight and a half Seahawks plus ten 17 00:01:11,080 --> 00:01:13,800 Speaker 1: Titans minus three Eagles plus four and a half Stealers 18 00:01:13,800 --> 00:01:16,200 Speaker 1: minus one and a half. So hopefully you're unwrapping those winners. 19 00:01:17,080 --> 00:01:18,880 Speaker 1: If I went zero to five, hopefully you can at 20 00:01:18,959 --> 00:01:22,640 Speaker 1: least enjoy the comedy there. But hey, guys, Merry Christmas. 21 00:01:22,680 --> 00:01:27,280 Speaker 1: Got a full NFL slate obviously if anything, since I 22 00:01:27,319 --> 00:01:29,960 Speaker 1: haven't taken in early, if anything changes, you know where 23 00:01:29,959 --> 00:01:32,960 Speaker 1: I'll be on in that discord Bettingpros dot com slash 24 00:01:33,040 --> 00:01:37,760 Speaker 1: chat getting in there. Any sort of late craziness, we 25 00:01:37,920 --> 00:01:41,880 Speaker 1: got you covered. Oh hey, of course the ultimate Christmas 26 00:01:41,920 --> 00:01:45,080 Speaker 1: gift for yourself. Oh Noograft Earl Campbell, Jersey. Just go 27 00:01:45,120 --> 00:01:48,040 Speaker 1: to YouTube dot com slash betting Pros hit subscribe comment 28 00:01:48,240 --> 00:01:51,520 Speaker 1: on this video and uh, hey, why don't why did 29 00:01:51,560 --> 00:01:56,320 Speaker 1: you comment your favorite favorite thing? You did? Oliver the 30 00:01:56,440 --> 00:02:00,280 Speaker 1: Christmas holiday? On Christmas planning to do you know whether 31 00:02:00,280 --> 00:02:03,760 Speaker 1: it's tradition food thing. We got a lot of a 32 00:02:03,760 --> 00:02:08,560 Speaker 1: lot of great food suggestions, so I appreciate those. Yeah, 33 00:02:08,600 --> 00:02:11,919 Speaker 1: I just like hearing what everyone's eating. I don't know's 34 00:02:12,240 --> 00:02:17,520 Speaker 1: it's fun? All right? Three NFL picks going, Yeah, we'll 35 00:02:17,560 --> 00:02:20,600 Speaker 1: go two units on all these guys. It is the holidays. 36 00:02:20,600 --> 00:02:25,680 Speaker 1: Got gotta maximize these investment opportunities while you can. First 37 00:02:25,760 --> 00:02:28,600 Speaker 1: up packers at Dolphins. I'm taking the Dolphins minus three 38 00:02:28,600 --> 00:02:32,240 Speaker 1: and a half over at bet MGM. This just feels 39 00:02:32,840 --> 00:02:35,800 Speaker 1: the best time to be buying and selling each of 40 00:02:35,840 --> 00:02:39,840 Speaker 1: these teams. Right, You're buying the Dolphins, who again three 41 00:02:39,880 --> 00:02:43,160 Speaker 1: back to back road games, which is always super tough 42 00:02:43,160 --> 00:02:45,520 Speaker 1: in the NFL. Now they're finally coming home. They're playing 43 00:02:46,120 --> 00:02:49,840 Speaker 1: a you know, a defense, a Packers defense that's just 44 00:02:49,919 --> 00:02:53,239 Speaker 1: not that good, has a lot of issues, and minus 45 00:02:53,280 --> 00:02:57,200 Speaker 1: three and a half. They thrive at home against subpar defenses, 46 00:02:57,240 --> 00:02:59,960 Speaker 1: which I think this Packers team is. And you know, 47 00:03:00,000 --> 00:03:02,520 Speaker 1: you know, maybe you're buying the Packers. If you're buying 48 00:03:02,520 --> 00:03:05,440 Speaker 1: the Packers, I'm selling them here at the worst possible 49 00:03:05,440 --> 00:03:07,200 Speaker 1: spot because they've won two games in a row. But 50 00:03:07,240 --> 00:03:09,720 Speaker 1: who do they beat? They beat the Bears, who they 51 00:03:09,720 --> 00:03:12,359 Speaker 1: beat every time because Aaron Rodgers owns him, as he'll 52 00:03:12,360 --> 00:03:14,560 Speaker 1: happily point out. And they beat the Rams. And even 53 00:03:14,560 --> 00:03:17,120 Speaker 1: that Rams win, that was that was a lot of 54 00:03:17,200 --> 00:03:19,800 Speaker 1: just like, hey, this is Lambeau. It's gonna be pretty ugly. 55 00:03:21,000 --> 00:03:24,800 Speaker 1: The offense even struggled at times. I don't know, I 56 00:03:24,800 --> 00:03:26,440 Speaker 1: don't think they're gonna come in here and light it 57 00:03:26,520 --> 00:03:29,919 Speaker 1: up in Miami. I do think obviously this is very 58 00:03:29,919 --> 00:03:34,440 Speaker 1: interesting from like DFS props perspective. Raheem moster love his 59 00:03:34,600 --> 00:03:37,120 Speaker 1: over rushing yards. I'll see if I can find an 60 00:03:37,200 --> 00:03:39,680 Speaker 1: exact number and post it in the discord there. But 61 00:03:40,000 --> 00:03:42,120 Speaker 1: I expect him to have a massive game. Green Bay 62 00:03:42,160 --> 00:03:45,440 Speaker 1: is thirty second in rush defensive DVOA and you know, 63 00:03:45,560 --> 00:03:48,680 Speaker 1: twenty second in defensive DVOA overall, Like this is who 64 00:03:49,240 --> 00:03:52,440 Speaker 1: to it can beat. He can beat the subpar defenses 65 00:03:52,480 --> 00:03:54,400 Speaker 1: at home, So I think they're able to put up 66 00:03:54,440 --> 00:03:56,920 Speaker 1: a ton of points on this Packers defense. A lot 67 00:03:56,960 --> 00:04:00,480 Speaker 1: of just Aaron Rodgers like oh on the side getting 68 00:04:01,320 --> 00:04:05,560 Speaker 1: come on, guys, come on man. That's why Aaron Rodgers. 69 00:04:05,720 --> 00:04:07,560 Speaker 1: I know it doesn't sound anything like his voice, but 70 00:04:07,600 --> 00:04:10,720 Speaker 1: he's just he just reminds me that guy I'd pick 71 00:04:10,760 --> 00:04:13,880 Speaker 1: a basketball that will like just whip a no look 72 00:04:14,000 --> 00:04:15,960 Speaker 1: pass at you and go, well, you're supposed to be 73 00:04:16,000 --> 00:04:17,600 Speaker 1: your peter are supposed to be set. You know where 74 00:04:17,600 --> 00:04:20,240 Speaker 1: you're supposed to supposed to be in that corner. It's like, dude, relax, 75 00:04:20,400 --> 00:04:23,159 Speaker 1: you saw I wasn't looking you. Still you whipped it 76 00:04:23,200 --> 00:04:25,400 Speaker 1: at me to prove a point. Okay, now he turned 77 00:04:25,400 --> 00:04:29,760 Speaker 1: the ball over. Great point, point proven heron. Really fun 78 00:04:29,760 --> 00:04:34,839 Speaker 1: guy to play with. Next up, Broncos at Rams. Oh man, 79 00:04:34,920 --> 00:04:39,800 Speaker 1: this is a real Sophie's choice. Uh but uh give 80 00:04:39,839 --> 00:04:42,839 Speaker 1: me the Broncos as a road non conference road favorite. 81 00:04:43,080 --> 00:04:45,880 Speaker 1: This is this is so hard to pick. You have 82 00:04:45,920 --> 00:04:48,360 Speaker 1: to pick a side here. I really wish Russell Wilson 83 00:04:48,440 --> 00:04:50,960 Speaker 1: wasn't involved as a road favorite, because I wouldn't. I 84 00:04:51,040 --> 00:04:54,080 Speaker 1: don't want to take him, but I do want to 85 00:04:54,120 --> 00:04:56,640 Speaker 1: take this Broncos defense. This is all just about the 86 00:04:56,640 --> 00:04:59,599 Speaker 1: Broncos defense against Baker Mayfield. I mean, we saw Baker 87 00:04:59,600 --> 00:05:03,039 Speaker 1: Mayfield struggle against the Packers defense, as I pointed out 88 00:05:03,080 --> 00:05:08,440 Speaker 1: twenty second in defensive DVOA. I think the I think 89 00:05:08,440 --> 00:05:11,520 Speaker 1: the Broncos defense carries them. I really hope they limit 90 00:05:11,600 --> 00:05:15,040 Speaker 1: Russ and just pound it with Otavius Murray. Rams are 91 00:05:15,080 --> 00:05:18,560 Speaker 1: continuing to, you know, Aaron Donald obviously not playing, continue 92 00:05:18,560 --> 00:05:21,920 Speaker 1: to kind of just rest guys, sit them out, and 93 00:05:22,279 --> 00:05:24,279 Speaker 1: I just think the Rams are just going to struggle 94 00:05:24,400 --> 00:05:26,680 Speaker 1: so hard to put up points. I mean, they struggled 95 00:05:26,720 --> 00:05:29,239 Speaker 1: in that Raiders game. They just Baker kind of pulled 96 00:05:29,240 --> 00:05:32,040 Speaker 1: that game out of his ass on that last drive, 97 00:05:32,080 --> 00:05:34,560 Speaker 1: but overall they didn't look good. And then they struggled 98 00:05:34,560 --> 00:05:38,240 Speaker 1: a ton in Lambeau. I mean, yeah, it's a weather situation. 99 00:05:38,520 --> 00:05:42,520 Speaker 1: I guess rams also on the short week there, that's 100 00:05:42,560 --> 00:05:44,479 Speaker 1: not gonna help them. But this is just really about 101 00:05:44,520 --> 00:05:46,920 Speaker 1: the Denver Broncos being able to completely shut them down 102 00:05:46,920 --> 00:05:50,200 Speaker 1: and create some Baker Mayfield turnovers. I mean, there's only 103 00:05:50,240 --> 00:05:53,920 Speaker 1: one good unit on this on this field comes Sunday 104 00:05:54,080 --> 00:05:56,479 Speaker 1: and it's gonna be the Denver Broncos. So give me 105 00:05:56,480 --> 00:05:59,880 Speaker 1: the Broncos minus three like them to create some turn 106 00:06:00,279 --> 00:06:05,839 Speaker 1: create some opportunities against one Baker Mayfield. Last game Sunday 107 00:06:05,920 --> 00:06:11,800 Speaker 1: night Bucks at Cardinals, Cardinals catching eight points doing it 108 00:06:12,160 --> 00:06:16,600 Speaker 1: betting against Trace McSorley versus Tom Brady. We saw what 109 00:06:16,680 --> 00:06:20,919 Speaker 1: happened when he went up against Brock Purdy again. I like, 110 00:06:21,800 --> 00:06:26,279 Speaker 1: maybe it's just it's probably is my Penn State bias 111 00:06:26,320 --> 00:06:30,000 Speaker 1: being somewhat optimistic on mcsorly if he has a full 112 00:06:30,040 --> 00:06:31,760 Speaker 1: week to prepare, because I think there's stuff you can 113 00:06:31,839 --> 00:06:36,359 Speaker 1: do with McSorley for his game to get him going 114 00:06:36,520 --> 00:06:38,960 Speaker 1: and you know, do some read option stuff, do some 115 00:06:39,000 --> 00:06:41,360 Speaker 1: boot action stuff. I think there's some plays you can 116 00:06:41,400 --> 00:06:45,160 Speaker 1: put in here that really will you know, will will 117 00:06:45,200 --> 00:06:48,520 Speaker 1: help Trace McSorley. I think him coming in cold running 118 00:06:48,800 --> 00:06:50,640 Speaker 1: the offense, the game plan that they had for cold 119 00:06:50,720 --> 00:06:54,719 Speaker 1: McCoy's just worst case scenario for him. Bucks is an 120 00:06:54,720 --> 00:06:58,360 Speaker 1: a point road favorite. What no, no part of that. 121 00:06:58,520 --> 00:07:00,640 Speaker 1: And really the matchup I'm looking to a sploit here 122 00:07:00,800 --> 00:07:05,120 Speaker 1: is the Bucks rush defense against his Cardinals rush offense. 123 00:07:05,160 --> 00:07:08,000 Speaker 1: Like the Cardinals are going to obviously look to run 124 00:07:08,080 --> 00:07:10,320 Speaker 1: a ton take the ball out of mcsorley's hand, although 125 00:07:10,360 --> 00:07:12,840 Speaker 1: mc sorely. You know, Trey McBride can get a ton 126 00:07:12,880 --> 00:07:15,360 Speaker 1: of targets and Andre Hopkins can get a ton of targets, 127 00:07:16,760 --> 00:07:18,480 Speaker 1: and I think you'll see that, and I think you'll 128 00:07:18,480 --> 00:07:21,360 Speaker 1: just see James Connor running the ball a ton against 129 00:07:21,360 --> 00:07:24,240 Speaker 1: his Bucks defense. Like the Bucks rushing defense used to 130 00:07:24,280 --> 00:07:26,720 Speaker 1: be what carried this team and it's just not there anymore. 131 00:07:28,160 --> 00:07:31,240 Speaker 1: Maybe maybe the Bucks offense gets going, but we've seen 132 00:07:31,360 --> 00:07:34,080 Speaker 1: even when they even when they had a seventeen point lead, 133 00:07:34,160 --> 00:07:37,200 Speaker 1: they still turn the ball over. And you know, a 134 00:07:37,320 --> 00:07:39,840 Speaker 1: matchup that the more I think about, the more I like, 135 00:07:40,080 --> 00:07:45,520 Speaker 1: is JJ Watt versus this interior Tampa Bay offensive line. 136 00:07:45,520 --> 00:07:47,600 Speaker 1: I mean, JJ Watt is motivated. I don't know if 137 00:07:47,600 --> 00:07:51,600 Speaker 1: it's his contract. I think he's qualifying for a bunch 138 00:07:51,640 --> 00:07:54,480 Speaker 1: of bonuses racking up some sacks. But he's not JJ 139 00:07:54,560 --> 00:07:56,800 Speaker 1: watt of old, but he's definitely a force there, especially 140 00:07:56,840 --> 00:08:00,000 Speaker 1: on the interior. You give interior pressure to Tom Brady. 141 00:08:00,080 --> 00:08:02,960 Speaker 1: That's been the that's been the you know, that's been 142 00:08:03,000 --> 00:08:05,200 Speaker 1: the book on him in his entire career. You get 143 00:08:05,320 --> 00:08:09,000 Speaker 1: him interior pressure and he is going to crumble. So 144 00:08:09,080 --> 00:08:11,800 Speaker 1: give me the Cardinals plus eight. I think they're able to. 145 00:08:14,040 --> 00:08:17,640 Speaker 1: I don't love them as an outright winner, but I mean, 146 00:08:17,680 --> 00:08:19,360 Speaker 1: you just can't take the Bucks as an eight point 147 00:08:19,440 --> 00:08:22,600 Speaker 1: road favorite at this point. That's just it's two scores. 148 00:08:22,720 --> 00:08:25,520 Speaker 1: Have you seen this Bucks offense like they struggled to score, 149 00:08:25,880 --> 00:08:27,920 Speaker 1: They struggled to move the ball. They were up seventeen 150 00:08:27,960 --> 00:08:31,120 Speaker 1: points and blew it. I'm all over the cards here 151 00:08:31,240 --> 00:08:35,000 Speaker 1: plus eight for two units. I also like the Broncos 152 00:08:35,400 --> 00:08:37,559 Speaker 1: lay in three four to two units. Get that over 153 00:08:37,600 --> 00:08:41,040 Speaker 1: at bet MGM Cards plus eight over a points bet. Again, 154 00:08:41,200 --> 00:08:43,920 Speaker 1: this is this game. The Broncos game is just all 155 00:08:43,960 --> 00:08:47,600 Speaker 1: about the Broncos defense destroying Baker Mayfield, which feels like 156 00:08:47,640 --> 00:08:50,760 Speaker 1: a real, real possibility. And then, last, but not least, 157 00:08:50,760 --> 00:08:53,080 Speaker 1: give me the Miami Dolphins at home minus three and 158 00:08:53,080 --> 00:08:56,800 Speaker 1: a half. For two units. I think their offense is 159 00:08:56,840 --> 00:08:59,040 Speaker 1: just going to be able to light up this Packers defense. 160 00:08:59,320 --> 00:09:01,199 Speaker 1: Look for rahe Are to have a big game, and 161 00:09:01,480 --> 00:09:04,440 Speaker 1: you've seen it with the with the Dolphins. When Raheem 162 00:09:04,440 --> 00:09:07,400 Speaker 1: Moster gets going, the offense gets going because it creates 163 00:09:07,440 --> 00:09:10,720 Speaker 1: a ton of easy throws off of play action for 164 00:09:10,800 --> 00:09:13,599 Speaker 1: our good body to us. So Dolphins minus three and 165 00:09:13,640 --> 00:09:16,840 Speaker 1: a half for two units again YouTube dot com so 166 00:09:17,040 --> 00:09:20,880 Speaker 1: Betting Pro subscribe, comment on this video. Favorite thing you're 167 00:09:20,920 --> 00:09:24,880 Speaker 1: doing this Christmas Holiday? BETMGM dot com prople coach Uice 168 00:09:24,920 --> 00:09:28,400 Speaker 1: twenty five. Follow us on TikTok at betting Pros. Follow 169 00:09:28,440 --> 00:09:30,559 Speaker 1: me on Twitter at Shan T. Green. Check on my 170 00:09:30,559 --> 00:09:35,880 Speaker 1: other podcasts, the Sports Gambling Podcast, and hey, hopefully everyone's 171 00:09:35,920 --> 00:09:40,560 Speaker 1: having a safe merry Christmas. Enjoy the day, Enjoy the football, 172 00:09:40,679 --> 00:09:43,760 Speaker 1: enjoy the food, enjoy the family. Whatever. Whatever you getting into, 173 00:09:43,960 --> 00:09:46,000 Speaker 1: just have a grant. Maybe you're a boxing day guy, 174 00:09:46,040 --> 00:09:48,760 Speaker 1: I don't know. Whatever you get into, enjoy it. Have 175 00:09:49,040 --> 00:09:51,640 Speaker 1: a safe holiday and I'll see you on the flip side. 176 00:09:52,200 --> 00:09:54,440 Speaker 1: You guys know what to do. As always, don't forget 177 00:09:54,480 --> 00:09:58,439 Speaker 1: to subscribe, rate and review, and as always, don't forget 178 00:09:58,640 --> 00:10:01,640 Speaker 1: to let it Rid,