WEBVTT - Bonus: The View from Musk Watch

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news.

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<v Speaker 2>Let me tell you we have a new star.

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<v Speaker 1>A star is born Elon.

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<v Speaker 3>Up On, Mars, Juth and Kennemy.

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<v Speaker 4>He is the Thomas Edison plus plus plus.

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<v Speaker 3>Of our age.

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<v Speaker 1>Probably his whole life is from a position of insecurity.

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<v Speaker 2>I feel for the guy. I would say ninety eight

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<v Speaker 2>percent really appreciate what he deesk.

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<v Speaker 4>But those two percent that are nasty, they I'll pay

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<v Speaker 4>in four post. We were meant for great things in

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<v Speaker 4>the United States of America, and Elon reminds us of

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<v Speaker 4>that we don't have a fourth branch of governments called Elon.

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<v Speaker 3>Musk Hi everyone Sarah Fryar here. The day of Donald

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<v Speaker 3>Trump's inauguration, jud legoom launched a publication called musk Watch,

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<v Speaker 3>an offshoot of a successful newsletter, Popular Information. This caught

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<v Speaker 3>my eye because we had Elon Inc. Made similar bet

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<v Speaker 3>that the most powerful person in the world was getting

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<v Speaker 3>more powerful and deserved deeper discussion long term. I wanted

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<v Speaker 3>to invite Judd to talk about why he made a

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<v Speaker 3>decision and what he has learned so far. Jud has

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<v Speaker 3>had a clear perspective in his work critical of Mustage,

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<v Speaker 3>but he backs up those opinions with exclusive data and

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<v Speaker 3>scoops that make his newsletter worthy of reading no matter

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<v Speaker 3>what you think about Musk. So, without further ado, here's

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<v Speaker 3>the interview with jud for the record in these fast

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<v Speaker 3>moving times.

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<v Speaker 1>It was reported last.

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<v Speaker 3>Friday, jud Legoom, thank you so much for being here

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<v Speaker 3>with us today.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, thanks for having me.

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<v Speaker 3>The thing that strikes me as a challenge for something

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<v Speaker 3>like musk Watch, which you launched, I think in right

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<v Speaker 3>around inauguration correct.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, the inauguration day is why not launch.

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<v Speaker 3>An inauguration day this was this is an opportunity to

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<v Speaker 3>have this macro view of the richest man in the

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<v Speaker 3>world slashing US buyd. We initially thought it might be

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<v Speaker 3>like an advisory committee to the President, but then it

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<v Speaker 3>turned into something that was just so embedded with every

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<v Speaker 3>US agency and you've been getting a lot of very

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<v Speaker 3>detailed inside scoops. But then you also have the big picture.

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<v Speaker 3>How can you possibly keep track of everything happening at

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<v Speaker 3>all of these different agencies and come to a conclusion

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<v Speaker 3>of the through line here, like what's actually happening?

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<v Speaker 1>How do we keep track?

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<v Speaker 2>It's difficult.

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<v Speaker 4>I think it's difficult because we've never had one person

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<v Speaker 4>with this combination of extreme wealth and political power married together.

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<v Speaker 4>I did some reading of some other folks who you

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<v Speaker 4>might throw into that conversation, like a John D. Rockefeller,

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<v Speaker 4>who was very wealthy, maybe almost as wealthy as Musks

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<v Speaker 4>now if you adjusted all for inflation, and he had

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<v Speaker 4>political influence, but he wasn't embedded in the way. He

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<v Speaker 4>didn't have an office in the White House, he wasn't

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<v Speaker 4>going through individual department's figuring it out what he wanted

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<v Speaker 4>to keep and what he didn't. It's really unprecedented, and

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<v Speaker 4>I think, how do you keep up with it? I

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<v Speaker 4>don't think you can. It's a matter of figuring out

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<v Speaker 4>what are the key important parts, what are the things

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<v Speaker 4>that are most consequential. And that's really been our task

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<v Speaker 4>with Musk Watch as well.

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<v Speaker 2>We're not gonna be able to.

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<v Speaker 4>Get to everything, but we're trying to isolate the things

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<v Speaker 4>that really are having the biggest impact.

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<v Speaker 3>It feels like that's part of the strategy, is to

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<v Speaker 3>do so much at once that it becomes difficult for

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<v Speaker 3>folks to do much more than say, you know, I

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<v Speaker 3>want to figure out what's even happening before I know

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<v Speaker 3>how to react to it. How do you think this

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<v Speaker 3>is feeling from a strategy perspective for a Musk, why

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<v Speaker 3>is he going about it this way?

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<v Speaker 4>Well, you can see part of it if you look

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<v Speaker 4>at how the lawsuits progress. Obviously there's a number of lawsuits,

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<v Speaker 4>dozens of laws suits that have been filed, many of

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<v Speaker 4>which involve, if not Musk personally, than DOGE, and often

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<v Speaker 4>they are acting more rapidly than the legal system can

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<v Speaker 4>keep up with. So, for instance, there's challenges based on

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<v Speaker 4>the fact that the DOGE operatives were not part of

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<v Speaker 4>various departments and so therefore their actions within this departments

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<v Speaker 4>were illegal.

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<v Speaker 2>Then there's been a.

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<v Speaker 4>Reason filing says, oh, actually, now they're all part of

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<v Speaker 4>the departments. We've signed them up and they're all a

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<v Speaker 4>bit assigned and are now officially a part of it.

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<v Speaker 2>So you see that playing out.

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<v Speaker 4>I do think that is part of the strategy, and

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<v Speaker 4>I do also think it matches up both with Musk's

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<v Speaker 4>business career, which is just work as fast as possible

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<v Speaker 4>to make the biggest changes you can. You know, if

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<v Speaker 4>you look at what he did at Tesla, if you

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<v Speaker 4>look at what he did with SpaceX, takes these big risks.

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<v Speaker 4>You know, SpaceX almost went bankrupt Tesla almost bankrupt, but

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<v Speaker 4>you just push as fast and as hard as possible,

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<v Speaker 4>take these big risks, and it's worked out for him.

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<v Speaker 4>I think what we're seeing now is government is fundamentally different.

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<v Speaker 2>The capitalist system is set.

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<v Speaker 4>Up to reward these big risks for a Tesla, for

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<v Speaker 4>a SpaceX, but people, I think have less of an

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<v Speaker 4>appetite for a big risk with social security or the

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<v Speaker 4>school system or all these other things that the government

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<v Speaker 4>deals with. And that's really what we're sorting through right now.

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<v Speaker 3>If you are a lay person, if you're just a

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<v Speaker 3>regular maybe even a fan of Elon Musk has watched

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<v Speaker 3>him for years. He said, listen, everyone said it was

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<v Speaker 3>chaos what he was doing at Twitter. Everyone said it

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<v Speaker 3>was chaos what he was doing at Tesla, in SpaceX

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<v Speaker 3>and all of these companies that he's touched. It has

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<v Speaker 3>gone through this sort of painful period or continues to

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<v Speaker 3>go through painful periods, and then came out the other side,

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<v Speaker 3>enriching Elon Musks and his companies and leading to some

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<v Speaker 3>positive endgame.

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<v Speaker 1>Right.

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<v Speaker 3>So, is there out of the cocoon emerging as a

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<v Speaker 3>butterfly moment for the US government or does it just

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<v Speaker 3>keep getting more chaotic.

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<v Speaker 4>I think you could imagine theoretically at working well. I

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<v Speaker 4>think it's undeniably true that there is waste and fraud

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<v Speaker 4>embedded in the federal government. In fact, the Inspectors Generals,

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<v Speaker 4>which Trump got rid of shortly after getting into office,

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<v Speaker 4>have uncovered a lot of that in their reports. They

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<v Speaker 4>don't necessarily get rid of it, but they say, we've

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<v Speaker 4>tracked this, and these payments are fraudulent. And you could

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<v Speaker 4>imagine someone like Musk doing a good job of figuring

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<v Speaker 4>out where those things are through technical knowledge or something

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<v Speaker 4>like that. I think that the key differentiator between what

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<v Speaker 4>must did at a Tesla or a SpaceX is he

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<v Speaker 4>was working with people who knew about space exploration and

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<v Speaker 4>knew about rockets and knew about cars, and he was

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<v Speaker 4>adding his intensity to that process and risk taking, his

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<v Speaker 4>appetite for risk taking to that process, and they came

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<v Speaker 4>out with a good result, at least for a period

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<v Speaker 4>of time.

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<v Speaker 2>I think DBD on both of those companies.

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<v Speaker 4>But here he's just taken the same people who know

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<v Speaker 4>about space exploration and he's dropped them into the Social

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<v Speaker 4>Security Department or the Department of Energy or the EPA,

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<v Speaker 4>and in many cases he's not even putting in his experts.

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<v Speaker 4>He's finding these very i'll say charitably early career software

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<v Speaker 4>people who have shown I think little interest or even

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<v Speaker 4>curiosity about how the government works, dropping them into these

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<v Speaker 4>agencies and just sort of letting them run wild, also

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<v Speaker 4>pairing it with sort of this kind of paranoid fantasy

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<v Speaker 4>about what's happening in a lot of these places, and

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<v Speaker 4>having that drive a lot of the activity. I think fundamentally,

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<v Speaker 4>what we're seeing is much more destructive rather than something

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<v Speaker 4>that has a lot of potential.

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<v Speaker 3>How is your opinion of Elon Musk changed during this

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<v Speaker 3>Doge process?

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<v Speaker 4>I think fundamentally, I'm skeptical of anyone with power, so

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<v Speaker 4>that's how I came into it. That's good when you're

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<v Speaker 4>writing working as a journalist. But I do think that

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<v Speaker 4>he is different than a businessman like Trump because he

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<v Speaker 4>does have real accomplishments. Tesla did fundamentally change the electric

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<v Speaker 4>car industry and mainstreamed a lot of electric cars. SpaceX

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<v Speaker 4>did a lot of things making space exploration cheaper and

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<v Speaker 4>more efficient, So these are real accomplishments. I think that

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<v Speaker 4>what has surprised me, or at least to the extent

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<v Speaker 4>that it's happened, is just how reckless he's willing to

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<v Speaker 4>be in this new position, and how deeply ingrained this

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<v Speaker 4>idea of power maximization Elon has in all of his activities.

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<v Speaker 4>And I think that's where he and Trump really see

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<v Speaker 4>eye to eye, is that they are both trying to

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<v Speaker 4>maximize their power and they're willing to cross over the line.

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<v Speaker 4>The way they figure out where the line is is

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<v Speaker 4>by crossing over it and then seeing what happens.

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<v Speaker 3>So I think recklessness is actually not a part of

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<v Speaker 3>it that surprises me at all. We've seen recklessness be

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<v Speaker 3>kind of a recipe for transformation at all of his companies,

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<v Speaker 3>at X, at Tesla, as we've talked about like getting

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<v Speaker 3>rid of the unnecessary rules, at least in Elon Musk's mind,

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<v Speaker 3>what rules are unnecessary for change to happen more quickly.

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<v Speaker 3>What's surprising here to me is like, this is an

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<v Speaker 3>Elon's money, this is our money, this is taxpayer money

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<v Speaker 3>that's being appropriated by this one person. The usual process

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<v Speaker 3>obviously go through Congress, Like that's just the part of

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<v Speaker 3>it where you would expect to see some legal resistance,

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<v Speaker 3>but it's been kind of piecemeal. We haven't seen like

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<v Speaker 3>a broad fight back at all.

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<v Speaker 1>Why not.

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<v Speaker 4>There has been a good amount of legal resistance, just

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<v Speaker 4>in the sense of a lot of lawsuits have been filed.

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<v Speaker 4>But I think that fundamentally Trump has handed elon the

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<v Speaker 4>keys to the whole government.

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<v Speaker 2>That was something I did not anticipate.

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<v Speaker 4>He's unilaterally making these cuts. What you've seen is some

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<v Speaker 4>of these judges will issue a temporary restraining order, which

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<v Speaker 4>is basically the quickest kind of order that they can issue,

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<v Speaker 4>saying you can't implement this policy.

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<v Speaker 2>You can't just cut off all of the funding.

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<v Speaker 4>For nih for example, because you've decided you don't like

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<v Speaker 4>DEI like, that's not something you can do. And then

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<v Speaker 4>what you've seen the reaction to be is just make

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<v Speaker 4>a little tweak or do something else like cut off

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<v Speaker 4>every single government credit card to have the same impact

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<v Speaker 4>as the first thing, and then it cycles back to

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<v Speaker 4>court and then they issue a new temporary strating order

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<v Speaker 4>and then another little change happens. So it's very difficult

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<v Speaker 4>as long as Trump is willing to let him do

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<v Speaker 4>what he wants in each of these agencies, for the

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<v Speaker 4>legal system to keep up with it. So I think

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<v Speaker 4>that is the dynamic that's at play, and also the

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<v Speaker 4>other entity that could do something potentially is you could

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<v Speaker 4>have Congress step in and sit and try to raise

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<v Speaker 4>him in more and essentially empowered these judges more to

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<v Speaker 4>make quicker decisions and create clearer legal lines about what

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<v Speaker 4>is appropriate and what is inappropriate.

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<v Speaker 2>And that's not happening either.

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<v Speaker 3>I feel like that's such a huge challenges or reporters,

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<v Speaker 3>like you're writing these things Doge is doing. This does

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<v Speaker 3>is cutting off that and you of course need to

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<v Speaker 3>include in the story the context that this is the

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<v Speaker 3>law doesn't allow those to do this, but the structure

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<v Speaker 3>of the government as it currently stands, and the way

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<v Speaker 3>Trump has allowed Doge access, you know, it's kind of

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<v Speaker 3>making it happen anyway. I find that to be a

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<v Speaker 3>challenge in like writing about this, the certainty that we

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<v Speaker 3>need to have about like, you know, what Trump says

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<v Speaker 3>is happening, what's actually happening, and then whether legally it

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<v Speaker 3>can happen, or whether they have the authority to do

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<v Speaker 3>what they say they're doing. Even just Trump saying that

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<v Speaker 3>he will label vandalism of Tesla's domestic terrorism, like is

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<v Speaker 3>there going to be EO on that?

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<v Speaker 1>In Executive order.

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<v Speaker 3>Are we going to see a law change to that

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<v Speaker 3>respect because Trump doesn't really.

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<v Speaker 1>Have the authority to declare that for maybe he does.

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<v Speaker 4>Here's something I also think that's going on as we

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<v Speaker 4>go through this process. This is extraordinary process that I

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<v Speaker 4>don't think we've ever seen before, is that the law

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<v Speaker 4>is the law, but it's not self enforcing, and ultimately

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<v Speaker 4>the courts are there.

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<v Speaker 3>Lawyer, I just want to I just want to let

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<v Speaker 3>our listeners there, you are, you are, you have a

0:13:28.280 --> 0:13:29.040
<v Speaker 3>lot of grade, go.

0:13:29.040 --> 0:13:29.600
<v Speaker 2>To law school.

0:13:29.640 --> 0:13:34.079
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, for better or for worse. But it's not self enforcing.

0:13:34.760 --> 0:13:38.679
<v Speaker 4>And I think that the courts, especially their best position

0:13:38.840 --> 0:13:43.920
<v Speaker 4>to constrain this. But if they issue an order, they

0:13:43.960 --> 0:13:48.200
<v Speaker 4>are going to be extremely reluctant to come to the

0:13:48.320 --> 0:13:53.720
<v Speaker 4>conclusion that the executive branch is violating their order because

0:13:53.800 --> 0:13:57.240
<v Speaker 4>once they once they say that, what are they going

0:13:57.440 --> 0:14:00.720
<v Speaker 4>to do? What is the recourse that they have? The

0:14:00.800 --> 0:14:06.160
<v Speaker 4>whole system is premised on everyone respecting everyone's role, and

0:14:06.320 --> 0:14:09.720
<v Speaker 4>when the court issues the order, the expectation is that's

0:14:09.760 --> 0:14:13.240
<v Speaker 4>taken seriously and the executive branch follows it. They follow

0:14:13.760 --> 0:14:17.120
<v Speaker 4>the purpose of the order, not just saying, oh yeah,

0:14:17.160 --> 0:14:19.520
<v Speaker 4>we technically recognize this order and now we're going to

0:14:19.600 --> 0:14:21.960
<v Speaker 4>do the same thing, just in a slightly different way,

0:14:22.000 --> 0:14:23.960
<v Speaker 4>which is a lot of what we're seeing right now.

0:14:24.640 --> 0:14:26.560
<v Speaker 4>So then that puts the Court in a really difficult

0:14:26.640 --> 0:14:29.520
<v Speaker 4>position because they don't want to put a spotlight on

0:14:29.600 --> 0:14:33.000
<v Speaker 4>the fact that they have not their authority is now

0:14:33.080 --> 0:14:35.600
<v Speaker 4>being ignored because.

0:14:35.400 --> 0:14:36.680
<v Speaker 2>Where does that leave the court?

0:14:37.080 --> 0:14:37.160
<v Speaker 3>Right?

0:14:37.240 --> 0:14:40.280
<v Speaker 4>Where does that leave the whole system? So that's really

0:14:40.320 --> 0:14:42.120
<v Speaker 4>the dance that's going on there.

0:14:42.160 --> 0:14:45.400
<v Speaker 3>And then we're seeing from Musk, from Vans, from a

0:14:45.440 --> 0:14:47.560
<v Speaker 3>lot of the folks involved, like all of us, talk

0:14:47.560 --> 0:14:53.440
<v Speaker 3>of court reform, judicial reform, How bad slash complicated could

0:14:53.600 --> 0:14:56.520
<v Speaker 3>things get from here? In terms of this dance between

0:14:56.800 --> 0:15:00.080
<v Speaker 3>the executive branch the legislature of the courts, I.

0:15:00.040 --> 0:15:03.840
<v Speaker 2>Would say it's already very bad. I think it's very bad.

0:15:03.920 --> 0:15:06.600
<v Speaker 4>And the authority of the courts, whether they want to

0:15:06.640 --> 0:15:08.920
<v Speaker 4>admit it or not, is being eroded.

0:15:09.440 --> 0:15:13.120
<v Speaker 2>If you want to take a slightly more positive view.

0:15:13.560 --> 0:15:16.560
<v Speaker 4>When the one issue that has gotten all the way

0:15:16.600 --> 0:15:18.960
<v Speaker 4>to the Supreme Court, we're likely to see several more

0:15:19.000 --> 0:15:21.680
<v Speaker 4>make it there. The Court did end up and they

0:15:21.720 --> 0:15:23.680
<v Speaker 4>may not do this next time. But for this particular

0:15:23.760 --> 0:15:28.200
<v Speaker 4>instance involving USAID and funding that had been already approved.

0:15:28.200 --> 0:15:30.320
<v Speaker 4>It was all the way over there and then cut off.

0:15:30.360 --> 0:15:32.480
<v Speaker 4>They said, well, you do have to fund that, and

0:15:33.120 --> 0:15:35.600
<v Speaker 4>a couple of the conservatives went over with the three

0:15:35.640 --> 0:15:39.800
<v Speaker 4>liberals and formed the majority there. And it does appear

0:15:39.880 --> 0:15:42.720
<v Speaker 4>that the Trump administration said we're going to listen to

0:15:42.760 --> 0:15:46.480
<v Speaker 4>that and release that very limited amount of funding. So

0:15:46.600 --> 0:15:51.440
<v Speaker 4>maybe that's a line that they will draw. But even so,

0:15:52.160 --> 0:15:54.440
<v Speaker 4>it's not supposed to be that you only respect the

0:15:54.480 --> 0:15:57.480
<v Speaker 4>Supreme Court. Most cases don't even get to the Supreme Court.

0:15:57.480 --> 0:16:01.040
<v Speaker 4>They take a very small number of cases, and we're

0:16:01.080 --> 0:16:03.760
<v Speaker 4>in a position where the authority of the courts is

0:16:03.920 --> 0:16:05.440
<v Speaker 4>deeply in question.

0:16:05.480 --> 0:16:08.200
<v Speaker 2>And I hear from people every day at these ages.

0:16:08.240 --> 0:16:10.000
<v Speaker 2>I've talked to more people who worked.

0:16:09.800 --> 0:16:12.520
<v Speaker 4>At the federal government between January twentieth today that I

0:16:12.560 --> 0:16:16.440
<v Speaker 4>think I have in my whole career writing until then.

0:16:16.560 --> 0:16:19.800
<v Speaker 4>And things are happening and I can't even write about

0:16:19.800 --> 0:16:23.200
<v Speaker 4>them all. But things are happening every day that appear

0:16:23.280 --> 0:16:27.760
<v Speaker 4>to violate these orders, and there's just very little that

0:16:27.800 --> 0:16:30.680
<v Speaker 4>could be done. A lot of it isn't even getting

0:16:30.720 --> 0:16:31.120
<v Speaker 4>out there.

0:16:31.360 --> 0:16:33.520
<v Speaker 3>I mean, even as a journalist, there's very little that

0:16:33.560 --> 0:16:37.240
<v Speaker 3>you feel you can do given the amount of violation.

0:16:37.640 --> 0:16:40.560
<v Speaker 4>You're saying, yes exactly. When you go through these things,

0:16:40.560 --> 0:16:42.440
<v Speaker 4>you can't just take one person's word for it. If

0:16:42.440 --> 0:16:44.280
<v Speaker 4>someone's telling you something, you've got to then go to

0:16:44.320 --> 0:16:47.200
<v Speaker 4>your other sources see if they can confirm that, or

0:16:47.200 --> 0:16:49.120
<v Speaker 4>find somebody else who knows about that. So it's a

0:16:49.160 --> 0:16:52.440
<v Speaker 4>whole process and you have to figure out what's significant.

0:16:52.520 --> 0:16:55.160
<v Speaker 4>But the kinds of things that are happening, I would

0:16:55.200 --> 0:16:59.040
<v Speaker 4>say there's really very little deference being.

0:16:58.840 --> 0:17:02.280
<v Speaker 3>Shown to the what consequences do you think there should

0:17:02.360 --> 0:17:08.560
<v Speaker 3>realistically be for what's happening, this erosion of the court's authority,

0:17:08.880 --> 0:17:14.040
<v Speaker 3>the getting a legal order and then kind of editing

0:17:14.040 --> 0:17:16.760
<v Speaker 3>their approach but doing the same thing that the court's

0:17:16.800 --> 0:17:21.560
<v Speaker 3>objected to. Where do we end up a few months

0:17:21.800 --> 0:17:22.800
<v Speaker 3>years down the road.

0:17:23.520 --> 0:17:27.040
<v Speaker 4>I think that there are things that the courts could do.

0:17:27.280 --> 0:17:29.720
<v Speaker 4>They could hold someone in contempt of court. They could

0:17:29.720 --> 0:17:33.760
<v Speaker 4>hold a cabinet secretary or an assistant secretary in contempt

0:17:33.760 --> 0:17:37.720
<v Speaker 4>of court for not following their orders. I don't think

0:17:37.880 --> 0:17:41.879
<v Speaker 4>many judges are going to haul off Trump appointees to jail.

0:17:41.680 --> 0:17:43.240
<v Speaker 2>Like I just don't think they're in the business of

0:17:43.320 --> 0:17:43.760
<v Speaker 2>doing that.

0:17:44.760 --> 0:17:49.480
<v Speaker 4>So I think that there's two directions. Either the Trump

0:17:49.520 --> 0:17:53.600
<v Speaker 4>administration will push this to a certain line but then decide, well,

0:17:53.600 --> 0:17:55.439
<v Speaker 4>if it gets to the Supreme Court, or maybe if

0:17:55.480 --> 0:17:57.320
<v Speaker 4>it gets to the Appeals Court, we're going to follow

0:17:57.400 --> 0:17:59.760
<v Speaker 4>those decisions. We'll just keep challenging them into one of

0:17:59.760 --> 0:18:04.679
<v Speaker 4>these courts say so, or they just do whatever they

0:18:04.720 --> 0:18:10.000
<v Speaker 4>would like to do and you have a complete breakdown

0:18:10.320 --> 0:18:14.000
<v Speaker 4>of the constitutional system of government.

0:18:14.320 --> 0:18:19.080
<v Speaker 2>But I think that's I think that that is definitely

0:18:19.640 --> 0:18:20.280
<v Speaker 2>on the table.

0:18:20.440 --> 0:18:22.600
<v Speaker 1>Complete breakdown of the constitution is on the table.

0:18:22.640 --> 0:18:25.120
<v Speaker 4>Okay, yeah, I'm not going to say that we're we're there,

0:18:25.200 --> 0:18:27.960
<v Speaker 4>but that's the process. That's the dance that we're involved

0:18:27.960 --> 0:18:30.800
<v Speaker 4>in now. Elon Musk is testing the limits, seeing how

0:18:30.840 --> 0:18:35.520
<v Speaker 4>far he can go. And once that limit is clearly

0:18:35.560 --> 0:18:38.600
<v Speaker 4>defined by the court and the dance is over, will

0:18:38.640 --> 0:18:42.399
<v Speaker 4>they then say, Okay, we understand now where the limit

0:18:42.480 --> 0:18:45.159
<v Speaker 4>is and back off, or will they just continue pushing ahead.

0:18:45.520 --> 0:18:48.199
<v Speaker 4>And that's the thing that we'll find out over the

0:18:48.240 --> 0:18:50.280
<v Speaker 4>next I don't know how long it's going to play out,

0:18:50.280 --> 0:18:53.400
<v Speaker 4>six months, a year, two years, but that's what's playing out.

0:18:53.480 --> 0:18:57.760
<v Speaker 3>I even wonder how long Musk can afford to keep

0:18:58.480 --> 0:19:01.399
<v Speaker 3>running this the way he's running it, it sounds like

0:19:01.800 --> 0:19:04.520
<v Speaker 3>he's starting to have tension with Trump's cabinet. He's starting

0:19:04.520 --> 0:19:07.679
<v Speaker 3>to have big consequences for his businesses. And in the

0:19:07.680 --> 0:19:12.199
<v Speaker 3>beginning of this process, one of our big questions that

0:19:12.240 --> 0:19:16.359
<v Speaker 3>we had was, is this whole relationship with Trump something

0:19:16.400 --> 0:19:20.680
<v Speaker 3>that's going to enriched Musk and his companies or hurt them?

0:19:21.119 --> 0:19:24.960
<v Speaker 3>Right the foundation of his wealth, everything he's built to

0:19:25.000 --> 0:19:30.959
<v Speaker 3>this point. Does Tesla benefit from Trump selling cars on

0:19:31.040 --> 0:19:35.199
<v Speaker 3>the White House lawn or is that a stain on

0:19:35.280 --> 0:19:40.040
<v Speaker 3>their brand down the line. It's so interesting to see

0:19:40.080 --> 0:19:43.359
<v Speaker 3>this push and pull not just between the executive branch

0:19:43.440 --> 0:19:46.840
<v Speaker 3>and the other branches the government, but between Elon Musk

0:19:46.920 --> 0:19:48.880
<v Speaker 3>and his legacy.

0:19:49.240 --> 0:19:51.040
<v Speaker 1>Is this his legacy? Is that his legacy?

0:19:51.440 --> 0:19:54.480
<v Speaker 3>And if you look at places like Germany where Tesla

0:19:54.600 --> 0:19:59.040
<v Speaker 3>sales are down because following Musk's support of the fire

0:19:59.160 --> 0:20:03.040
<v Speaker 3>right there, we could see people start to treat Musk's

0:20:03.119 --> 0:20:07.920
<v Speaker 3>companies as extensions of the US government and vice versa,

0:20:08.080 --> 0:20:10.240
<v Speaker 3>or use them to appeal to Trump. That's the other

0:20:10.280 --> 0:20:14.399
<v Speaker 3>option is that he could be given a lot personally

0:20:14.600 --> 0:20:17.560
<v Speaker 3>just because he is a representative of the US government.

0:20:18.280 --> 0:20:20.480
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I mean, I think once you get to the

0:20:20.480 --> 0:20:24.680
<v Speaker 4>point where you're selling cars at the White House, that's

0:20:24.720 --> 0:20:27.240
<v Speaker 4>not a good sign. The value of Tesla and how

0:20:27.840 --> 0:20:29.919
<v Speaker 4>must become the richest person in the world is not

0:20:30.000 --> 0:20:33.240
<v Speaker 4>because people think that another car company, even a car

0:20:33.240 --> 0:20:37.000
<v Speaker 4>company that only sells electric cars, is that valuable. It's

0:20:37.040 --> 0:20:40.080
<v Speaker 4>based on the idea that this is just the beginning,

0:20:40.160 --> 0:20:43.400
<v Speaker 4>and he's going to launch into this whole new world

0:20:43.600 --> 0:20:49.040
<v Speaker 4>of autonomous vehicles and the robots, the humanoid robots that

0:20:49.080 --> 0:20:52.520
<v Speaker 4>are going to be our company. Yeah, Butler's or whatever

0:20:52.600 --> 0:20:55.879
<v Speaker 4>is going to happen next. That's where the value is.

0:20:55.960 --> 0:20:59.400
<v Speaker 4>So but I think one thing that is the problem

0:20:59.520 --> 0:21:02.320
<v Speaker 4>is that right now he doesn't sell any of those things,

0:21:02.400 --> 0:21:05.280
<v Speaker 4>and it's a public company. So if your car sales

0:21:05.320 --> 0:21:08.120
<v Speaker 4>are dropping, you know, seventy five percent in Germany and

0:21:08.600 --> 0:21:11.919
<v Speaker 4>fifty percent in other places in Europe and forty percent

0:21:11.960 --> 0:21:15.080
<v Speaker 4>in California and all these major drops, are you even

0:21:15.119 --> 0:21:17.920
<v Speaker 4>going to get to the point where you can develop

0:21:18.080 --> 0:21:21.720
<v Speaker 4>those autonomous vehicles and robots and things like that. I

0:21:21.720 --> 0:21:24.560
<v Speaker 4>think that's a that's a big question market so far,

0:21:24.640 --> 0:21:27.200
<v Speaker 4>I think it has not been nearly as beneficial as

0:21:27.200 --> 0:21:29.960
<v Speaker 4>most people thought. Certainly the market gave him a big

0:21:30.000 --> 0:21:32.080
<v Speaker 4>bump as soon as Trump got elected, and he went

0:21:32.160 --> 0:21:33.840
<v Speaker 4>up and up, and then they were thinking they saw

0:21:34.200 --> 0:21:36.960
<v Speaker 4>maybe this isn't working out as well. We are seeing

0:21:37.000 --> 0:21:41.160
<v Speaker 4>some things where the ways in which Musk, and we've

0:21:41.240 --> 0:21:44.080
<v Speaker 4>done quite a bit of a reporting on this, can leverage.

0:21:43.640 --> 0:21:46.480
<v Speaker 2>His position to help his businesses.

0:21:46.520 --> 0:21:51.280
<v Speaker 4>So you've seen Musk use the White House complex meet

0:21:51.359 --> 0:21:54.480
<v Speaker 4>with the Prime Minister of India and then finally they

0:21:54.520 --> 0:21:57.520
<v Speaker 4>get in and Starlink now has the means to operate

0:21:57.600 --> 0:22:01.920
<v Speaker 4>in India. We've seen Musk push into the FAA with Starlink.

0:22:01.960 --> 0:22:07.639
<v Speaker 4>We've seed Musk push to get the International Space Station decommissioned,

0:22:08.240 --> 0:22:10.960
<v Speaker 4>maybe a year or two early, so that he can

0:22:11.040 --> 0:22:15.840
<v Speaker 4>start using SpaceX to service the commercial space stations that

0:22:15.880 --> 0:22:19.840
<v Speaker 4>will replace the International Space stations early and generate more

0:22:19.840 --> 0:22:22.720
<v Speaker 4>revenue this way. So how does that balance out? You're

0:22:22.720 --> 0:22:26.840
<v Speaker 4>selling less cars, maybe you're having more rocket launches and

0:22:27.000 --> 0:22:31.199
<v Speaker 4>selling more Starlink terminals. I don't know, you that's definitely

0:22:31.200 --> 0:22:32.520
<v Speaker 4>outside of my expertise.

0:22:35.560 --> 0:22:38.119
<v Speaker 3>I guess the big question is, like, is you just

0:22:38.160 --> 0:22:43.320
<v Speaker 3>started an Elon Musk publication? Is his power growing from here?

0:22:43.480 --> 0:22:45.520
<v Speaker 3>He's already the richest man in the world. He's already

0:22:45.920 --> 0:22:49.399
<v Speaker 3>working hand in hand with Trump, if not managing a

0:22:49.440 --> 0:22:52.360
<v Speaker 3>lot of what Trump does. Where do you see going?

0:22:52.400 --> 0:22:54.000
<v Speaker 3>Where do you see Musk's power?

0:22:54.080 --> 0:22:54.680
<v Speaker 1>Is he peaking?

0:22:55.320 --> 0:22:58.920
<v Speaker 3>And where does the Musk Trump relationship go from here?

0:22:59.200 --> 0:22:59.440
<v Speaker 2>Well?

0:22:59.520 --> 0:23:02.960
<v Speaker 4>I think what you see as Musk has less of

0:23:03.000 --> 0:23:08.200
<v Speaker 4>an ability to really drive the growth of his companies,

0:23:08.240 --> 0:23:11.480
<v Speaker 4>at least in the short term. Where I see things

0:23:11.520 --> 0:23:15.479
<v Speaker 4>going is he's doubling down on his political influence. So

0:23:15.560 --> 0:23:19.520
<v Speaker 4>in addition to some spending seemingly all of his time

0:23:19.760 --> 0:23:23.520
<v Speaker 4>in DC working on doge and indicating that he's going

0:23:23.600 --> 0:23:28.119
<v Speaker 4>to do that for another year or more, he's also

0:23:28.240 --> 0:23:32.960
<v Speaker 4>talking about putting another one hundred million dollars into Trump's

0:23:33.040 --> 0:23:37.480
<v Speaker 4>political operation. You see him putting money into Supreme Court

0:23:37.600 --> 0:23:43.040
<v Speaker 4>races in Wisconsin. So I think really doubling down and

0:23:43.080 --> 0:23:45.919
<v Speaker 4>seeing how far he can take his political influence as

0:23:45.960 --> 0:23:50.560
<v Speaker 4>a way to maybe hedge against some of these economic

0:23:50.680 --> 0:23:52.280
<v Speaker 4>issues with his companies.

0:23:52.480 --> 0:23:56.280
<v Speaker 3>So how long do you think that this Trump friendship

0:23:56.320 --> 0:23:59.359
<v Speaker 3>is going to last? And how will it end if

0:23:59.400 --> 0:23:59.800
<v Speaker 3>at all?

0:24:00.280 --> 0:24:01.920
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I know a lot of people are predicting a

0:24:01.960 --> 0:24:05.320
<v Speaker 4>blow up. My theory about why this is not happening

0:24:05.600 --> 0:24:08.240
<v Speaker 4>is there's one thing that Trump values the most and

0:24:08.280 --> 0:24:10.639
<v Speaker 4>I think must value the most, and that's money. And

0:24:10.680 --> 0:24:14.600
<v Speaker 4>if you look at Trump's multi decade career, mostly in

0:24:14.680 --> 0:24:19.040
<v Speaker 4>real estate, he has made more money just by connecting

0:24:19.200 --> 0:24:23.560
<v Speaker 4>up with Musk and the crypto bros that surround him,

0:24:23.600 --> 0:24:28.800
<v Speaker 4>starting his meme coin, starting these relationships with World Liberty

0:24:28.840 --> 0:24:33.240
<v Speaker 4>Financial and other crypto ventures. Then he has his entire career.

0:24:33.359 --> 0:24:34.560
<v Speaker 4>He's always said that he.

0:24:34.560 --> 0:24:35.280
<v Speaker 2>Was a billionaire.

0:24:35.320 --> 0:24:38.119
<v Speaker 4>He's now a billionaire, and I think he knows that

0:24:38.160 --> 0:24:40.719
<v Speaker 4>it's going to be Elon. That also hooks him up

0:24:40.720 --> 0:24:43.920
<v Speaker 4>with the next idea to make his next billion dollars

0:24:43.960 --> 0:24:48.240
<v Speaker 4>and I don't see him kicking Elon out because of that.

0:24:48.400 --> 0:24:53.280
<v Speaker 4>I see this being a sustained, mutually beneficial relationship.

0:24:53.600 --> 0:24:56.480
<v Speaker 1>There we go, jud I've learned a lot.

0:24:56.640 --> 0:24:59.959
<v Speaker 3>I want to ask, how long do you see yourself

0:25:00.080 --> 0:25:03.600
<v Speaker 3>running a Musk watch in addition to popular information? And

0:25:03.960 --> 0:25:07.440
<v Speaker 3>if it goes global? If Musk goes global with this technique,

0:25:07.520 --> 0:25:09.040
<v Speaker 3>will you go global as well?

0:25:09.320 --> 0:25:11.560
<v Speaker 4>I see myself continuing this and definitely when I was

0:25:11.600 --> 0:25:13.600
<v Speaker 4>trying to hire people to work with me, because I

0:25:13.640 --> 0:25:15.840
<v Speaker 4>do idea they'll hire at least one or two more

0:25:15.880 --> 0:25:18.119
<v Speaker 4>people to get this going. A lot of people thought, oh,

0:25:18.160 --> 0:25:19.640
<v Speaker 4>this is just going to fizzle out. So I think

0:25:19.640 --> 0:25:22.440
<v Speaker 4>I was right about that that it didn't, like immediately.

0:25:22.960 --> 0:25:28.679
<v Speaker 3>Feel very validated, didn't, you know, fizzle out immediately.

0:25:28.720 --> 0:25:32.760
<v Speaker 4>But I don't see this going away, you know. I

0:25:32.800 --> 0:25:37.800
<v Speaker 4>think he has now, along with Trump, is the embodiment

0:25:38.040 --> 0:25:41.720
<v Speaker 4>of the Republican Party. And I think it's just I

0:25:41.720 --> 0:25:44.840
<v Speaker 4>don't really see a scenario in which this is very

0:25:44.920 --> 0:25:47.000
<v Speaker 4>quickly unwound and all of a sudden there's some sort

0:25:47.040 --> 0:25:50.800
<v Speaker 4>of new version of the Republican Party that doesn't involve

0:25:51.560 --> 0:25:54.840
<v Speaker 4>a Musk. And his approach to this, I think they've

0:25:54.840 --> 0:25:58.879
<v Speaker 4>all bought in. And yeah, you see his ambitions. His

0:25:59.160 --> 0:26:02.240
<v Speaker 4>ambitions are well beyond the United States. He's in Germany,

0:26:02.280 --> 0:26:06.200
<v Speaker 4>he's in India, He's all over the place wanted even

0:26:06.280 --> 0:26:06.879
<v Speaker 4>more power.

0:26:06.920 --> 0:26:08.680
<v Speaker 2>And I think it just shows that's.

0:26:09.000 --> 0:26:12.000
<v Speaker 4>You don't become the world's wealthiest person by being satisfied

0:26:12.680 --> 0:26:14.919
<v Speaker 4>and saying, oh I have enough. I see for the

0:26:14.960 --> 0:26:19.960
<v Speaker 4>indefinite future him continuing to push more for more and

0:26:20.000 --> 0:26:23.400
<v Speaker 4>more power. And if one risk doesn't work out, then

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<v Speaker 4>I think his solution is usually to take a bigger risk.

0:26:26.160 --> 0:26:26.760
<v Speaker 1>There you have it.

0:26:26.800 --> 0:26:29.480
<v Speaker 3>Thank you so much, Jed really appreciate all your time

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<v Speaker 3>with us today and.

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<v Speaker 1>I'll keep reading.

0:26:31.800 --> 0:26:32.960
<v Speaker 2>Thanks a lot, thanks for having me.

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<v Speaker 3>This episode was produced by Magnus Henrikson. Anna Maserakas is

0:26:43.480 --> 0:26:47.400
<v Speaker 3>our editor, and rayhan Hamanci, our senior editor. Angel Roscillo

0:26:47.480 --> 0:26:48.440
<v Speaker 3>helped with the recording.

0:26:48.840 --> 0:26:49.600
<v Speaker 1>The Elon Inc.

0:26:49.680 --> 0:26:54.520
<v Speaker 3>Theme is written and performed by Taka Yasuzawa and Alex Sugiora.

0:26:55.400 --> 0:26:59.320
<v Speaker 3>Brendan Francis Newnam is our executive producer, and Sage Bauman

0:26:59.520 --> 0:27:02.520
<v Speaker 3>is the head of Bloomberg Podcasts. A big thanks to

0:27:02.560 --> 0:27:06.760
<v Speaker 3>our supporters Joel Weber and Brad Stone. I'm Sarah Fryar.

0:27:07.040 --> 0:27:09.639
<v Speaker 3>If you have a minute, rate and review our show,

0:27:09.840 --> 0:27:11.080
<v Speaker 3>it'll help other listeners

0:27:11.080 --> 0:27:12.560
<v Speaker 1>Find us and see you next week.