WEBVTT - Are Stupid People More Confident?

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<v Speaker 1>Deep in the back of your mind. You've always had

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<v Speaker 1>the feeling that there's something strange about reality. There is

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<v Speaker 1>super anno like death, nanopartic mechanicalsia, just punch evolution. On

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<v Speaker 1>our award winning science podcast Stuff About Your Mind, we

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<v Speaker 1>examine neurological quandaries, cosmic mysteries, evolutionary marvels, and our trans

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<v Speaker 1>human future. New episodes come out Tuesdays and Thursdays on iTunes,

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<v Speaker 1>Google Play, Spotify, and anywhere you get your podcast. Welcome

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<v Speaker 1>to brain Stuff from How Stuff Works. Hey, brain Stuff,

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<v Speaker 1>it's me Christian Seger. If you're like most people, you

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<v Speaker 1>think you're very good at some things and are able

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<v Speaker 1>to admit you're less good at others, you probably think

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<v Speaker 1>you're superbly talented in one or two areas. Hey, you

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<v Speaker 1>may be right. You try to be honest with yourself

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<v Speaker 1>about your strong points and your weak ones, and you

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<v Speaker 1>likely shake your head in pity at people you see

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<v Speaker 1>as well stupid. You say things like, why don't they

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<v Speaker 1>understand that are bad at doing stuff? Well, there is

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<v Speaker 1>an answer, but you're not gonna like it. And this

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<v Speaker 1>answer doesn't just apply to people you think of as dumb.

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<v Speaker 1>It applies to everyone on earth, including you and me.

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<v Speaker 1>It's not a matter of intelligence, necessarily a difficult thing

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<v Speaker 1>to measure, but it is related to competence, the ability

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<v Speaker 1>to do something well. In A psychologist named David Dunning

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<v Speaker 1>and his grad assistant Justin Krueger tested a group of

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<v Speaker 1>students in several categories, the ability to think logically, to

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<v Speaker 1>write chromatically, and to spot funny jokes. They also asked

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<v Speaker 1>the students to rate their skills in these categories, that is,

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<v Speaker 1>when they notice something weird. The people scoring below average

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<v Speaker 1>on these tests were just incompetent in these categories. They

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<v Speaker 1>also didn't know they were incompetent. And here's the kicker.

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<v Speaker 1>The less competent they were, the more competent they ranked themselves.

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<v Speaker 1>This is a fun nomenon called illusory superiority. This is

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<v Speaker 1>a cognitive bias wherein people tend to rate their own

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<v Speaker 1>abilities as above average. Multiple studies have proven this effect

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<v Speaker 1>in everything from firearms to college debates and med students

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<v Speaker 1>opinions of their interviewing skills. It doesn't seem to matter

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<v Speaker 1>what specific skill we're talking about. The less a person

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<v Speaker 1>knows about it, the more likely they are to overestimate

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<v Speaker 1>their knowledge. While Dunning and Krueger popularize this effect in

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<v Speaker 1>modern society, they weren't the first people to notice the

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<v Speaker 1>relationship between confidence, modesty, and skill. Philosophers throughout the ages

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<v Speaker 1>have contemplated this idea, like Bertrand Russell, who famously wrote

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<v Speaker 1>The Trouble with the World is that the stupid are

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<v Speaker 1>cock sure and the intelligent are full of doubt. And

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<v Speaker 1>here's another weird thing. People with actual competency are likely

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<v Speaker 1>to actually underestimate their abilities. Researchers believe this modesty comes

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<v Speaker 1>because competent people are more aware of how much they

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<v Speaker 1>don't actually know, as well as their field in general.

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<v Speaker 1>They also consistently overestimate the performance ability of others. It

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<v Speaker 1>all goes back to one primary thing, meta cognition. Meta

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<v Speaker 1>Cognition is the ability to be aware of and understand

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<v Speaker 1>your own thought process. In other words, the ability to

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<v Speaker 1>think about how you think. People tend to evaluate themselves

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<v Speaker 1>through what Dunning and Krueger called a top down approach.

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<v Speaker 1>Instead of objectively measuring their performance, people start with their

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<v Speaker 1>preconceived notions of their skill and use that belief to

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<v Speaker 1>evaluate their performance. Check out the Brainstuff channel on YouTube

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<v Speaker 1>and for more on this and thousands of other topics,

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<v Speaker 1>visit how stuff Works dot com.