1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:07,040 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:12,800 --> 00:00:14,960 Speaker 2: The single best idea is we get ready for the 3 00:00:14,960 --> 00:00:18,680 Speaker 2: FED meeting this afternoon. Francis Donald on fire today with 4 00:00:18,720 --> 00:00:22,200 Speaker 2: the RBC Capital Markets. She made clear, Boy did she 5 00:00:22,480 --> 00:00:26,000 Speaker 2: state a case why are we cutting interest rates? 6 00:00:26,440 --> 00:00:28,600 Speaker 3: Tom? If I woke up this morning and I'd been 7 00:00:28,600 --> 00:00:30,760 Speaker 3: in a coma and all I had was the data, 8 00:00:30,960 --> 00:00:34,000 Speaker 3: I would think, well, this Federal Reserve must be neutral 9 00:00:34,080 --> 00:00:37,559 Speaker 3: or hawkish heading into this period. They are in an 10 00:00:37,680 --> 00:00:42,040 Speaker 3: environment where inflation has been above target for fifty five months. 11 00:00:42,560 --> 00:00:45,760 Speaker 3: The unemployment rate is extraordinarily tight. In fact, there's only 12 00:00:45,800 --> 00:00:48,159 Speaker 3: two times in history going back to the nineteen seventies, 13 00:00:48,159 --> 00:00:50,920 Speaker 3: when the unemployment rate has been this tight. What happened 14 00:00:50,920 --> 00:00:54,319 Speaker 3: to the concept of normalizing and growth is fine? So 15 00:00:54,400 --> 00:00:56,600 Speaker 3: what I want to hear from Chair Powell today is 16 00:00:56,920 --> 00:00:57,480 Speaker 3: why are you. 17 00:00:57,400 --> 00:01:01,800 Speaker 2: Cutting Francis Donald their RBC Capital After that conversation we 18 00:01:01,840 --> 00:01:04,760 Speaker 2: had the ECI. I really lean on this. It's the 19 00:01:04,840 --> 00:01:09,919 Speaker 2: Employment Cost Index and it's a blended study of wages 20 00:01:10,319 --> 00:01:13,600 Speaker 2: and benefits. It's different than all the other wage series. 21 00:01:13,720 --> 00:01:16,240 Speaker 2: Some people believe in it, some people don't. I look 22 00:01:16,280 --> 00:01:18,160 Speaker 2: at the year over year of the view from sixty 23 00:01:18,200 --> 00:01:21,360 Speaker 2: thousand feet and the answer is from the high wage 24 00:01:21,400 --> 00:01:25,320 Speaker 2: and benefit gains that we saw out of COVID, we're 25 00:01:25,319 --> 00:01:28,440 Speaker 2: coming down, but we're not back down yet to normal. 26 00:01:28,480 --> 00:01:32,119 Speaker 2: You really wonder if wages and benefits get down, how 27 00:01:32,120 --> 00:01:34,560 Speaker 2: that would change some of the ideas. Like we just 28 00:01:34,600 --> 00:01:39,320 Speaker 2: heard from Ms Donald on Netflix in update Robert Fishman 29 00:01:39,520 --> 00:01:44,240 Speaker 2: definitive at Maffatt Nathanson here on mister Robert's company. 30 00:01:44,600 --> 00:01:47,840 Speaker 1: Well, you think about who the natural dance partners are. 31 00:01:48,240 --> 00:01:52,840 Speaker 1: It was Comcast and it still is, Paramount Skuydance now 32 00:01:52,920 --> 00:01:57,120 Speaker 1: after the Skuydance deal, and Warner Brothers Discovery. Those three 33 00:01:57,240 --> 00:02:00,600 Speaker 1: are the most natural players because they're all so scale 34 00:02:00,840 --> 00:02:04,080 Speaker 1: in streaming. So when thinking about how to solve that 35 00:02:04,160 --> 00:02:08,400 Speaker 1: streaming scale issue from a global basis, it's just natural 36 00:02:08,440 --> 00:02:11,240 Speaker 1: to think that you need to see some combination of 37 00:02:11,360 --> 00:02:14,760 Speaker 1: those players. And so that's essentially what's playing out in 38 00:02:14,800 --> 00:02:18,560 Speaker 1: front of us. Paramount Skuidance needs these assets in order 39 00:02:18,639 --> 00:02:21,360 Speaker 1: to accelerate the timing to reach the scale that they're 40 00:02:21,400 --> 00:02:25,440 Speaker 1: desiring on a global scale basis for Paramount Plus. 41 00:02:25,880 --> 00:02:27,120 Speaker 2: So yes, we. 42 00:02:27,200 --> 00:02:30,720 Speaker 1: Very much think that the combination with Paramount Skiddance is 43 00:02:30,880 --> 00:02:31,600 Speaker 1: a must. 44 00:02:31,360 --> 00:02:34,799 Speaker 2: Have Robert Fisherman from Moffatt Nathansen as well. We're on 45 00:02:35,000 --> 00:02:39,799 Speaker 2: podcasts on Apple and Spotify, on YouTube podcasts, it's single 46 00:02:39,840 --> 00:02:41,440 Speaker 2: best idea