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Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast.

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Speaker 2: I'm just about that action also, all right, here we go.

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Speaker 2: We're throwing aspect. I'm sitting up to cash touchtop.

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Speaker 3: We see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 3: go to win.

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Speaker 4: That's incredible.

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Speaker 2: Big bank, small bank. I like to make money. All right,

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Speaker 2: this is the ultimate kabine you want to pack.

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Speaker 4: And we are underway.

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Speaker 3: Welcome into our NFL roundtable for week three. This week,

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Speaker 3: I'm joined by two Action Network colleagues. Evan Abrams, our

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Speaker 3: director of Research and Media you can hear every Monday

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Speaker 3: morning on our NFL recap episodes, and joining him are

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Speaker 3: very special guest Stuckey, the Prime Minister of Degenerate Nation,

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Speaker 3: co host of our weekly Sunday six Pack with Chris Raybond,

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Speaker 3: also Big Bets on Campus podcast, College Football World, College Basketball,

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Speaker 3: and just a million other things at Action Network. Rinding

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Speaker 3: Glass Sheen in the host chair. We have a lot

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Speaker 3: to get to stuck. I've called this show this is

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Speaker 3: an official it's unofficial, but like it's weekly therapy. It's

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Speaker 3: early in the week Tuesday Wednesday's kind of our slower

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Speaker 3: time before we get to action in your case, but

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Speaker 3: a chance to digest what we just saw and look

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Speaker 3: ahead to the following week. So I'll go to you first, Stucks.

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Speaker 3: We haven't had you on the roundtable yet. The biggest

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Speaker 3: takeaway from Week two in the National Football League.

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Speaker 4: I'm gonna say, I think Evan will have some numbers

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Speaker 4: to put to this, but just the passing offenses way down.

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Speaker 4: Just look at passing touchdowns through two weeks. Back in

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Speaker 4: twenty twenty and twenty twenty one, one hundred and ten

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Speaker 4: touchdowns throwing through the air over the first two weeks.

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Speaker 4: I think we were at sixty five sixty six this year.

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Speaker 4: I mean it is way down. The quarterback play overall

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Speaker 4: is I think significantly worse. Defenses have adjusted, especially with

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Speaker 4: their coverage style taking away explosive plays. I mean, look,

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Speaker 4: go look at the watch that entire Chiefs Bengals game

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Speaker 4: as a perfect example. I mean, Mahomes is one of

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Speaker 4: the best quarterbacks of all time. Every throw was at

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Speaker 4: the line of scrimmage seemingly until till the end. So yeah,

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Speaker 4: just running is almost becoming as efficient as passing. You know,

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Speaker 4: your dad saying, run the damn ball is everything is

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Speaker 4: cyclical in the NFL. That's becoming more and more the case.

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Speaker 4: So yeah, just the overall passing offenses, quarterback play, the

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Speaker 4: defense is adjusting. It's definitely obvious.

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Speaker 3: Half evan of the rookie quarterback class. Of course, McCarthy's

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Speaker 3: out for the year, May and Pennix are still sitting,

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Speaker 3: but the rookie class as well as some other young

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Speaker 3: quarterbacks bryce young bench. Will get to that in a moment.

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Speaker 3: But numbers to back up Stucky's point even to a

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Speaker 3: larger degree.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, Like the passing touchdowns, I think there's like sixty

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Speaker 5: nine so far. It's been really bad. Just a few

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Speaker 5: numbers here and some The last one I'll give to me,

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Speaker 5: and I'm gonna tweek this out a little bit.

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Speaker 2: It'll be at the head of my article. To me,

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Speaker 2: is probably the craziest.

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Speaker 5: But through two weeks, we've had twenty nine quarterbacks of

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Speaker 5: the ball at least twenty times with under two hundred

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Speaker 5: passing yards. That's the most for any season since two

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Speaker 5: thousand and eight, and the second most for any start

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Speaker 5: to a season since nineteen ninety. Through two weeks, we've

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Speaker 5: had forty eight quarterbacks of the ball ten plus times

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Speaker 5: with one passing touchdown or fewer. That's the most of

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Speaker 5: two weeks again, since two thousand and eight, it's been

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Speaker 5: a long time since we've just seen no offensive production,

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Speaker 5: especially through the passing game, other than like Derek Carr.

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Speaker 2: But in this.

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Speaker 5: Situation, think about this, through two weeks, only seventeen of

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Speaker 5: sixty four quarterbacks have gone over one and a half

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Speaker 5: passing touchdowns.

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Speaker 2: It's just, you.

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Speaker 5: Know, from a betting perspective, and the thing I was

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Speaker 5: trying to look up pretty quickly. I'm pretty sure totals yes,

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Speaker 5: seventeen and fourteen to the under, so it's not impacting.

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Speaker 5: It's not twenty and eleven or something of that nature.

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Speaker 5: So I think the lower totals are probably having an

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Speaker 5: impact on that number a little bit. But the stat

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Speaker 5: that I love is so so far during twenty twenty four,

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Speaker 5: we've had five quarterbacks go for three hundred plus passing yards,

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Speaker 5: and we've had four teams had three hundred plus net

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Speaker 5: passing yards, and none of them.

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Speaker 2: Have covered the spread.

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Speaker 5: They're four and one at this point, and that's a

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Speaker 5: first time since nineteen eighty no team three hundred plus

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Speaker 5: passing yards has covered in the first two weeks. It's

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Speaker 5: just unbelievable. The terrible nature of passing I think Gardner

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Speaker 5: Minshew is the only quarterback to throw for two hundred

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Speaker 5: and fifty plus in the first two weeks.

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Speaker 2: I don't know what else to say.

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Speaker 4: The passing touchdown leaders through two weeks are Baker Mayfield,

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Speaker 4: Derek Carr, and Sam Darnold, just like everyone predicted.

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Speaker 3: I think that's why situation matters. Also, being in a

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Speaker 3: bad division maybe matters too, But we'll see when those

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Speaker 3: teams go head to head more often. The big news

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Speaker 3: of yesterday the Carolina Panthers have moved off Bryce Young

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Speaker 3: as their starting quarterback for now. For now, who knows

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Speaker 3: the red rifle Andy Dalton named the starter for Week three,

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Speaker 3: Carolina taking on Vegas. Lined opened at seven. It's down

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Speaker 3: to five and a half. The Panthers stock have lost

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Speaker 3: ten straight first halfs against the spread. You've already bet

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Speaker 3: the full game line on Carolina plus seven, Evan. I

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Speaker 3: saw your tweet yesterday. It has begun with the following.

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Speaker 3: In the action app, you can follow the line movement

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Speaker 3: coming down a point and a half under Bryce Young,

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Speaker 3: and the Panthers have failed in a way almost no

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Speaker 3: modern NFL team has failed. This franchise was purchased for

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Speaker 3: two point two billion dollars. How do we handle the

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Speaker 3: Panthers going forward?

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Speaker 4: Here?

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Speaker 3: Stock, I know in your case you've already been at

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Speaker 3: the seven, but your thoughts here.

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Speaker 4: With Dalton as the quarterback, just when I thought I

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Speaker 4: was out, they reeled me back in so oh and

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Speaker 4: real quick.

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Speaker 3: Brandon Anderson has bet Carolina again to win the NFC

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Speaker 3: South at two hundred to one.

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Speaker 4: You can burn that ticket. The look the Panthers, I

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Speaker 4: had their season win total over. I thought they would

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Speaker 4: be improved this year. I thought Bryce Young under a

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Speaker 4: new offensive coordinator. I mean, look at this Saints offense.

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Speaker 4: They get a new offensive coordinator there. They were one

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Speaker 4: of the teams that ranked lowest in the NFL, along

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Speaker 4: with the Panthers in pre snat motion and the play action.

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Speaker 4: So you know in the Saints their offense now there,

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Speaker 4: Clint Kubiak looks like a rocket ship. Panthers, you know,

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Speaker 4: bringing Date Canalis, new offensive coordinator, figured they would use

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Speaker 4: a lot more play action pre stat motion, move Young

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Speaker 4: around because he is undersized. They did upgrade all the

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Speaker 4: pieces around him. The offensive line has been They upgraded

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Speaker 4: at center, they signed two really good guards. They had

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Speaker 4: decent tackles. If you look at the metrics. The offensive

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Speaker 4: line from past block perspective is playing pretty well. They

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Speaker 4: upgraded their wide receiver room. But Bryce Young not only

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Speaker 4: didn't improve in his second year, which is hard to

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Speaker 4: do because he was so bad last year. I think

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Speaker 4: he had a thirty three QBR, which was second worse

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Speaker 4: than the league among qualified quarterbacks, only ahead of Zach Wilson.

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Speaker 4: He's around thirty three this year, he's an eight eight.

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Speaker 4: He was unplayable. This had to be done. Yeah, you

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Speaker 4: weren't going to win any games with him. Your defense

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Speaker 4: also isn't very good. That's why I don't think they

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Speaker 4: are a threat to win the division. And the Bucks

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Speaker 4: looked better than I thought. The Saints are obviously gonna

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Speaker 4: be much better than the Falcons are pretty good too.

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Speaker 4: The Heather's defense is not any good, and you lost

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Speaker 4: Derek Brown, your best player up front. I do like

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Speaker 4: their coordinator, but you need to score. You're not going

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Speaker 4: to win win games three nothing. This isn't a dominant defense.

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Speaker 4: In fact, it's a sub average defense. So I think

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Speaker 4: this is like a two and a half to three

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Speaker 4: point upgrade for the Panthers. It also is Adam Feeling

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Speaker 4: blew up on the sidelines, like you just couldn't keep

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Speaker 4: sending Young out there, or that you would have lost

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Speaker 4: the team. So I think it had to be done.

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Speaker 4: And I think I've been clamoring. I was tweeting about

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Speaker 4: this week you have to go to Donald so I was,

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Speaker 4: I mean, excuse me, you have to go to Dalton.

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Speaker 4: So I was happy that they did it. They're still

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Speaker 4: gonna be a really bad team and as a result,

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Speaker 4: I'm back on the Panthers this week. It's a really

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Speaker 4: good spot. They're oh and two both straight up and

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Speaker 4: against the spread. Historically those teams have fared very well.

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Speaker 4: Raiders coming back across the country and they you know,

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Speaker 4: off that big upset win over Baltimore. The Raiders also

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Speaker 4: can't run the ball, and the Panthers run they last

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Speaker 4: year was worse than the league. Like I mentioned before,

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Speaker 4: they don't have Brown, So I think it's a pretty

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Speaker 4: good matchup in a lot of ways, and they just

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Speaker 4: they will get some form of competent quarterback play, which

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Speaker 4: they just have never had with Young back there.

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Speaker 3: It's a mere white of the Raiders held to twenty

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Speaker 3: four yards on the ground against Baltimore. And you mentioned

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Speaker 3: the injuries Burns traded in the offseason.

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Speaker 2: Evan.

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Speaker 3: Anything to add there as far as Andy Dalton and

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Speaker 3: the Panthers are concerned.

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Speaker 5: I mean, the line moved one and a half points

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Speaker 5: and the total moved three points based off the decision.

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Speaker 5: The market told him exactly what to do, and he

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Speaker 5: made it right. It was the right decision. I mean,

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Speaker 5: even if you look since twenty twenty two in terms

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Speaker 5: of just total body of work, because that's a little

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Speaker 5: bit easier when you look at Andy Dalton, thirty nine

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Speaker 5: quarterbacks have had five hundred plus plays. Bryce is thirty ninth,

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Speaker 5: last in EPA per play Dalton's twenty first. Bryce is

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Speaker 5: thirty ninth, last in success right Dalton's eleventh.

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Speaker 2: It's just an upgrade.

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Speaker 5: So I bet the seven, I bet the six and

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Speaker 5: a half under that, I don't think there's much to

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Speaker 5: really do there in that game. And to Stuck's point,

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Speaker 5: with the Raiders, teams go est to home, Mst to Pst.

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Speaker 5: In terms of the Raiders fifty seven and eighty three

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Speaker 5: against the spread, so it is a tough spot for them.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, just to throw a couple of numbers out there,

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Speaker 4: Young six of twenty for one hundred and twenty three yards,

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Speaker 4: zero touchdowns, three interceptions on throws ten plus yards downfield

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Speaker 4: on the season, has adjusted net yards per attempt one

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Speaker 4: point one. I mean, wow, that is like Iowa levels.

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Speaker 4: So it's it was bad. It just the bad picks.

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Speaker 4: He wasn't reading defenses. He didn't he didn't he he

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Speaker 4: didn't look comfortable back there. He didn't look like at

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Speaker 4: any confidence. It was all bad. There was nothing. I

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Speaker 4: unfortunately watched both of the first two Panthers games because

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Speaker 4: I had money on them. Well, those are seven hours

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Speaker 4: I'll never get back in my life. But I there was.

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Speaker 4: There wasn't one single thing that you could be like, Okay,

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Speaker 4: we can build off of this, or Okay, I see

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Speaker 4: that he'd improved in this. No, everything was worse, and

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Speaker 4: I think his confidence was shot, and I don't think

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Speaker 4: the team trusted him or believed in him anymore. It

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Speaker 4: had to be done, believe it or not.

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Speaker 3: Raiders Panthers total at forty and a half, not one

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Speaker 3: of the five totals below forty this week, Which one

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Speaker 3: is your favorite of those games? Stuck? I'll ask you

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Speaker 3: first the games you have on the dock at Chargers,

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Speaker 3: at Steelers, Broncos at Bucks, Giants at Brown's, Patriots, Jets,

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Speaker 3: Green Bay, and Tennessee.

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Speaker 4: I would say, I mean they're super low total, so

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Speaker 4: the margin for errors and great, but the Steelers are

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Speaker 4: basically the way that they play. They're trying to basically

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Speaker 4: catch the under for you, and same as the Charters

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Speaker 4: in a way. They want to just run the ball,

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Speaker 4: and the Steelers are just spamming runs and short passes.

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Speaker 4: They're not running effectively, but they're just relying on their defense.

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Speaker 4: So that's super low. You know, thirty seven are above.

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Speaker 4: I would like that Giants Browns is interesting. We'll see

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Speaker 4: if there's any wind outside in Cleveland. But you have

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Speaker 4: Daniel Jones against any type of pressure folds and he

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Speaker 4: folds like a cheap ten. I mean, his numbers are horrific,

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Speaker 4: and the Browns are going to be able to man

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Speaker 4: up their wide receivers bring pressure against Jones, and I

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Speaker 4: don't know how the Giants are going to be able

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Speaker 4: to move the ball. And the Giants have a pretty

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Speaker 4: good defensive front that I think that they can get

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Speaker 4: to Watson and you know, their secondary isn't great, but

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Speaker 4: it's not like Cleveland as the best wide receiver room

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Speaker 4: in the NFL and then so I don't you know,

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Speaker 4: I think where that number is. That probably my favorite

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Speaker 4: of the group. But Green Bay Tennessee. Look last week,

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Speaker 4: Green Bay, they didn't ask Willis to do much. It

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Speaker 4: was a great game plan by the floor. I assume

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Speaker 4: he's going to start again. They'll probably rumors that maybe

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Speaker 4: Leve will come back, but I doubt that they rush

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Speaker 4: him back this week. He just gave him all that

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Speaker 4: money and they got to win already with Willis, So

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Speaker 4: you're kind of playing a little bit with house money here.

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Speaker 4: So I assume it's Willis again. What they did against

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Speaker 4: the Colts is they just spam. I mean it was

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Speaker 4: like a service acat. I don't know how many times

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Speaker 4: they've run about fifty something times in that game. And

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Speaker 4: the Colts defense is soft. They had all kinds of

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Speaker 4: injuries up front. The Tennessee front seven is really good.

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Speaker 4: This is a Tights team that should be two. Know

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Speaker 4: you're not going to do that they have and they

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Speaker 4: have two really good corners. I don't know how the

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Speaker 4: Packers move the ball here, and the Tennessee offense, you know,

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Speaker 4: they they'll they'll probably put together a few drives and

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Speaker 4: then Lewis will just give it, give the ball away,

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Speaker 4: So you just have to worry about the Titans hunting unit.

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Speaker 4: I mean, this is like a high school team. They

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Speaker 4: get a punt blocked every week. Uh, so you have

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Speaker 4: to worry about that. But yeah, I wouldn't Sometimes with

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Speaker 4: these low totals, I look for a reason to go

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Speaker 4: over when they get too low and the market seems

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Speaker 4: to be coming really far down after some of the

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Speaker 4: issues we talked about to kick off the show. None

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Speaker 4: of these overs interest me. I think my favorite under

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Speaker 4: would probably be that Brown's Giants at current crisis.

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Speaker 3: Fifty three carries for the Green Bay backfield against the

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Speaker 3: or follow the link in this episode's description. Evan, you

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Speaker 3: want to touch on, we'll get to. You can weigh

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Speaker 3: in on Giants and Browns as well. You have thoughts

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Speaker 3: on Thursday night's game England at New.

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Speaker 5: York, Jess Well, I'll just say this kind of as

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Speaker 5: a blanketed term. There's five totals of under forty. All

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Speaker 5: five of those totals have moved at least like three

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Speaker 5: points south from their opener, so they're all falling very dramatically.

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Speaker 5: I would say those five totals are go three and

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Speaker 5: two or better to the under on the close would

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Speaker 5: be a prediction from me. I think most of them

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Speaker 5: feel right as the league is trending down in terms

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Speaker 5: of passing, and especially that Charger Pittsburgh game at thirty

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Speaker 5: five and a half tied for the lowest total for

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Speaker 5: the Chargers since two thousand and six and just for

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Speaker 5: some like look around about how low that total is

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Speaker 5: for them. This was what the Week eighteen game was

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Speaker 5: for them last year, thirty five and a half, and

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Speaker 5: you were two complete backups in Now this is a

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Speaker 5: Week three that you know, both teams are, you know,

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Speaker 5: two to zero, so completely different styles all around in

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Speaker 5: that game. But I would agree with Stuck. I kind

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Speaker 5: of like the Giants. That was the Giants Browns one

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Speaker 5: was going to be my pick. I also liked New

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Speaker 5: England and the Jets, but it's gone to the thirty

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Speaker 5: seven and a half, so I like the thirty eight

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Speaker 5: and a half with the Giants. I mean, Daniel Jones

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Speaker 5: sixty three percent of the under in his career, and

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Speaker 5: I believe it's like ten and two last two seasons

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Speaker 5: nature something of that nature. So I would probably go

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Speaker 5: with that Browns Giants game. Cleveland's defense still top ten

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Speaker 5: ish EPA per play, they were amazing last year and

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Speaker 5: Watson I don't trust at all either, and the Giants

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Speaker 5: defense has been to start the year, so I think

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Speaker 5: they get a little bit back on track. I go

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Speaker 5: low scoring there.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, thinks about some of these teams we just mentioned though,

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Speaker 4: and the other thing's going back to the scoring point. Wow,

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Speaker 4: we have totals to slow. Think about all the new

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Speaker 4: quarterbacks that have come into the league over the past

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Speaker 4: couple of years. None of them look good, you know,

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Speaker 4: besides Party the last pick in the draft in Stroud,

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Speaker 4: in Stroud and Stroud obviously Stroud.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, but last week against the floor as defense, you're

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Speaker 5: confused as all confused could be.

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Speaker 2: We usually quack look good or confused.

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Speaker 4: But listen, like some of the quarterbacks both say both

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Speaker 4: like throw. Over the first two weeks, you had Bryce

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Speaker 4: Young in the who couldn't complete a forward pass. Bow Nicks,

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Speaker 4: he can't complete a forward pass. All these teams do

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Speaker 4: you have Malik Willison there? All these seems to look

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Speaker 4: like triple option teams in college. We just mentioned fifty

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Speaker 4: three carries for the Packers. I mean the Giants, Daniel

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Speaker 4: Jones is cooked, bow Knicks, Bryce Young, Jacobe Brissett. I

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Speaker 4: mean the Patriots are basically like a service gat me

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Speaker 4: now just trying to run win with their defense, try

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Speaker 4: to win seventeen to fourteen justin fields. It's just like, hey,

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Speaker 4: throw throw it into the flat. We're gonna run it

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Speaker 4: forty times. And throw it deep four times to Pickens,

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Speaker 4: Like that's the game plan. Caleb Williams does not look greatest.

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Speaker 4: Offensive line isn't helping him. But there's just such bad

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Speaker 4: quarterback play and the style of offenses of morphed into

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Speaker 4: stuff that you only saw in college a couple of

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Speaker 4: years ago.

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Speaker 3: Here are the five starting quarterbacks in the NFL, currently

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Speaker 3: zero and two against the spread.

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Speaker 4: Two.

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Speaker 3: We just talked about Will Levis, Daniel Jones. You have

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Speaker 3: Matthew Stafford, Lamar Jackson, and c. J.

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Speaker 4: Stroud.

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Speaker 3: I don't think you're gonna pick Levis and Jones. Maybe

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Speaker 3: I'm wrong, but pick one of those other guys stuck

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Speaker 3: to cover in Week three?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm going Oh can you hear me?

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Speaker 3: Yeah? No, I said, wait a minute, because I think

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Speaker 3: you are going to pick one of those two guys.

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Speaker 6: I said, yes, I'm going with the Estrada. I guess

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Speaker 6: it depends on the number you got. Yeah, and hal

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Speaker 6: To talk about the close but he's been the Texans.

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Speaker 6: If if you bet both of their games, depending on

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Speaker 6: the number you got, they've been ultra sweats.

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Speaker 4: But yeah, I'm gonna go. I'm gonna go with Will Levis.

365
00:19:53,280 --> 00:19:57,919
Speaker 4: The Titans he's crossed them both games I have. I

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Speaker 4: bet the Titans I've had I'd be having such a

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Speaker 4: great NFL. Ye if I hadn't bet the Titans and

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Speaker 4: the Panthers, I'm owing four betting those teams. And guess

369
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Speaker 4: what I bet them again this week. The Titans. I

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Speaker 4: was watching that game last week. Yeah, I had never

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Speaker 4: had such deja vous in my life. They had Lewis

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Speaker 4: had one of the worst turnovers you ever see. They

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Speaker 4: had a lead, they were dominating the game, they had

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Speaker 4: a punt blocked, and I believe the score was the same.

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Speaker 4: I think they lost. Did they lose by the same score?

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Speaker 3: And because it was seventeen nothing at Chicago seventeen against

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Speaker 3: the Jets, I mean, give me so, but this is

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Speaker 3: a team that should be two and U.

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Speaker 4: They're owing two, but they should be two and H.

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Speaker 4: They should have. I mean, they dominated the Bears, and

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Speaker 4: they were the better team against the Jets. They just

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Speaker 4: got killed by a couple. You know, they turned it

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Speaker 4: over on first on third and goal when Levis just

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Speaker 4: had another brain fart, they got a punt blocked, and

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Speaker 4: then at the end of the game they didn't score

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Speaker 4: inside the ten again. Their defense is really good. They

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Speaker 4: upgraded a corner. I like the new defensive coordinator came

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00:21:09,760 --> 00:21:13,280
Speaker 4: from the McDonald Ravens tree. I like some of the additions,

389
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Speaker 4: like Sweat up front to pair with Simmons. They got

390
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Speaker 4: him in the draft. Even bringing Ernest Jones to help

391
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Speaker 4: your linebacker depth. That was a position of me. But

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Speaker 4: this is This defense is legit. And I just mentioned

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Speaker 4: the Packers. They're going to try to just spam run

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Speaker 4: and I don't think you can do that against this

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Speaker 4: Tennessee front. And I think Tennessee will do enough at

396
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Speaker 4: home offensively to get this win. So anything under three

397
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Speaker 4: I like here, and you would just hope that they

398
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Speaker 4: get their punts off and Levis once they get a lead,

399
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Speaker 4: just take knees. The Callahan mentioned it, maybe you should

400
00:21:51,760 --> 00:21:53,640
Speaker 4: have followed through. What did we just punted on first down?

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Speaker 4: You should have done that last week would have won Evan.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, this is actually a murderers of decisions for this week.

403
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Speaker 5: So Levis is now up to three, which he was

404
00:22:05,440 --> 00:22:07,280
Speaker 5: gonna be. It was all right, so to get to

405
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Speaker 5: the end, it was gonna be Titans or Ravens for me.

406
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Speaker 5: But the Titans are up to minus three in a

407
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Speaker 5: game of a total of thirty six, so not the best.

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Speaker 2: As Stuck said, I need two and a half there.

409
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Speaker 5: Ravens are in the Cowboys, and I don't exactly know

410
00:22:22,040 --> 00:22:24,520
Speaker 5: what the heck is going on with Baltimore, but I

411
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Speaker 5: feel like this is the get right spot for them

412
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Speaker 5: because I don't like Dallas at all this year and

413
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Speaker 5: I think their defense is absolutely poorous and I think

414
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Speaker 5: Baltimore should be able to get the job done there.

415
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Speaker 5: I liked Stafford, I said on the pod on Sunday night,

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Speaker 5: I like the seven and a half, and then the

417
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Speaker 5: Cooper Cup news came down, So I don't know who

418
00:22:41,800 --> 00:22:43,679
Speaker 5: they're gonna be throwing the ball to. But you know,

419
00:22:44,200 --> 00:22:46,359
Speaker 5: as someone said on Twitter, that games in a MRI

420
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Speaker 5: machine and Daniel Jones on the other side, Like, I

421
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Speaker 5: don't know how I bet that in Cleveland and Stroud.

422
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Speaker 5: It's a tough one going up against that Minnesota defense,

423
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Speaker 5: even you know, kind of young in his career having

424
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Speaker 5: to deal with Flora. So I'll go Baltimore or Tennessee,

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Speaker 5: and Tennessee under three to me is probably the pick.

426
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Speaker 5: As weird as that sounds, having delay points, Will levis

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Speaker 5: organic transition.

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Speaker 3: We're going to talk Ravens Cowboys this Sunday, both teams

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Speaker 3: coming off home losses. As we discussed Saints over the

430
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Speaker 3: Cowboys in Dallas and then the Raiders beating the Ravens

431
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Speaker 3: in their home opener Dallas, catching one. There are some

432
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Speaker 3: one and the halfs out there, juice to minus one twenty?

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Speaker 3: Where will this line go by? Kickoff stuck? The Ravens

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Speaker 3: visiting the Cowboys.

435
00:23:31,040 --> 00:23:32,480
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think it's will bounce around a little bit.

436
00:23:32,520 --> 00:23:35,480
Speaker 4: I think the Ravens will eventually closes a tiny favorite.

437
00:23:36,280 --> 00:23:39,960
Speaker 4: But the Ravens have They're my team if you're listening

438
00:23:39,960 --> 00:23:42,879
Speaker 4: and don't know they have issues. But this is a

439
00:23:42,880 --> 00:23:47,480
Speaker 4: spot that Harpall usually always almost always wins in. But

440
00:23:47,840 --> 00:23:49,400
Speaker 4: you know, coming into the year, I was a lot

441
00:23:49,440 --> 00:23:53,720
Speaker 4: lower on Baltimore than I have been in quite some time.

442
00:23:54,520 --> 00:23:59,760
Speaker 4: The amount of talent and expertise they lost on that

443
00:23:59,760 --> 00:24:03,040
Speaker 4: stay a, starting with Mike McDonald on the defensive end

444
00:24:03,760 --> 00:24:07,960
Speaker 4: just cannot be understated. And that is evident through two games.

445
00:24:07,960 --> 00:24:11,360
Speaker 4: They're just not making the same adjustments. They're not as

446
00:24:11,440 --> 00:24:15,640
Speaker 4: buttoned up across the board. I mean, you just let

447
00:24:15,680 --> 00:24:20,000
Speaker 4: Gardner Minshew come back against you from you know, you

448
00:24:20,000 --> 00:24:21,639
Speaker 4: were up double digits in the fourth quarter at home

449
00:24:21,680 --> 00:24:23,439
Speaker 4: against the Raiders, and they couldn't They couldn't run the ball,

450
00:24:23,440 --> 00:24:25,080
Speaker 4: you k knowe what they were doing, and you couldn't adjust.

451
00:24:25,640 --> 00:24:30,840
Speaker 4: The offensive line has issues. I don't really know, Like

452
00:24:31,040 --> 00:24:34,199
Speaker 4: even the player personnel decisions are very confusing to me.

453
00:24:34,520 --> 00:24:37,119
Speaker 4: I think they got the wrong guy in there. Have

454
00:24:37,280 --> 00:24:39,800
Speaker 4: right guard, I think it should be Ben Cleveland or

455
00:24:40,760 --> 00:24:44,359
Speaker 4: you know, maybe you put McCart. They're still rotating right tackle.

456
00:24:45,240 --> 00:24:49,200
Speaker 4: So the offensive line is just a mess. And defensively,

457
00:24:50,600 --> 00:24:52,679
Speaker 4: what were they doing playing Malie Harrison in the in

458
00:24:53,240 --> 00:24:57,000
Speaker 4: Week one? He's unplayable. Fortunately they did bench him. He

459
00:24:57,040 --> 00:24:59,600
Speaker 4: didn't play a single snap. In Week two, Simpson played

460
00:24:59,600 --> 00:25:01,560
Speaker 4: every step the linebacker. I'm getting the weeds here, but

461
00:25:01,960 --> 00:25:06,240
Speaker 4: some of the personnel decisions have been baffling to me,

462
00:25:06,560 --> 00:25:10,639
Speaker 4: and the defensive staff is way down. The offensive line

463
00:25:10,720 --> 00:25:15,240
Speaker 4: is definitely an issue. Derrick Henry doesn't have as much

464
00:25:15,359 --> 00:25:19,000
Speaker 4: juice left in that tank as I thought he might

465
00:25:19,080 --> 00:25:23,439
Speaker 4: have for one more year. So it's not pretty, but

466
00:25:23,560 --> 00:25:25,680
Speaker 4: this is a game the Ravens usually went. I also

467
00:25:25,680 --> 00:25:28,720
Speaker 4: should mention the other the biggest takeaway with scoring down.

468
00:25:29,160 --> 00:25:32,520
Speaker 4: You know why scoring isn't down even more. This is

469
00:25:32,880 --> 00:25:35,359
Speaker 4: a tangent. And this is the saddest thing for me

470
00:25:35,400 --> 00:25:41,840
Speaker 4: to admit because for the past decade on an NFL Sunday,

471
00:25:42,119 --> 00:25:44,959
Speaker 4: I kicked back, watched my bets, have the Ravens on

472
00:25:45,040 --> 00:25:48,720
Speaker 4: as well, and I just would tweet Auto when Tucker

473
00:25:48,920 --> 00:25:51,800
Speaker 4: came out for a kick and would laugh at all

474
00:25:51,880 --> 00:25:55,800
Speaker 4: the other kickers. It's like a college football Saturday now, Tucker,

475
00:25:55,880 --> 00:25:59,520
Speaker 4: I think it's one of sevens last fifty plus field

476
00:25:59,520 --> 00:26:02,359
Speaker 4: with US five times undefeated. No one else can miss

477
00:26:02,359 --> 00:26:04,160
Speaker 4: a field goal. No one else can miss a field

478
00:26:04,200 --> 00:26:09,200
Speaker 4: goal from fifty plus. It is insane. I've never seen

479
00:26:09,359 --> 00:26:12,280
Speaker 4: this level of accuracy across the board in the NFL,

480
00:26:12,680 --> 00:26:17,000
Speaker 4: that everyone is just what. We had a sixty but

481
00:26:17,160 --> 00:26:21,399
Speaker 4: Auvery had a sixty six yarder outdoors in Cleveland. Was

482
00:26:21,440 --> 00:26:22,760
Speaker 4: it sixty six or was it six?

483
00:26:23,200 --> 00:26:23,959
Speaker 2: I think six?

484
00:26:24,720 --> 00:26:26,359
Speaker 3: He hit one. He hit one from sixty six in

485
00:26:26,400 --> 00:26:27,120
Speaker 3: the preseason.

486
00:26:27,480 --> 00:26:29,359
Speaker 4: No, he had one outdoors in Cleveland.

487
00:26:29,359 --> 00:26:29,560
Speaker 2: Was six.

488
00:26:29,600 --> 00:26:32,040
Speaker 4: There was a delay of game though, Yeah he hit it,

489
00:26:32,720 --> 00:26:34,359
Speaker 4: and then they were going to send him out for

490
00:26:34,359 --> 00:26:38,720
Speaker 4: a seventy one yard But yeah, it's insane. The kicking.

491
00:26:38,720 --> 00:26:40,840
Speaker 4: I don't I don't know if we talked about this

492
00:26:40,880 --> 00:26:45,520
Speaker 4: in the NFL, I mean in Major League Baseball juiced balls,

493
00:26:45,920 --> 00:26:48,240
Speaker 4: I don't know. They got to get the scoring up somehow.

494
00:26:48,240 --> 00:26:50,880
Speaker 4: They put in the juice in these footballs to get

495
00:26:50,880 --> 00:26:51,960
Speaker 4: the field goals right.

496
00:26:52,040 --> 00:26:53,960
Speaker 2: So that's why the punting looks so good too.

497
00:26:56,600 --> 00:26:59,040
Speaker 4: It is like a nightmare for the Ravens lost. They

498
00:26:59,080 --> 00:27:03,200
Speaker 4: shank a punt like a pistol team.

499
00:27:02,359 --> 00:27:02,840
Speaker 2: At least them.

500
00:27:02,840 --> 00:27:05,000
Speaker 5: Bearss punter looks good. But yeah, thirty five to thirty

501
00:27:05,080 --> 00:27:07,399
Speaker 5: nine from fifty Tucker has two of the four misses.

502
00:27:07,760 --> 00:27:10,080
Speaker 5: It seems, you know, unfathomable.

503
00:27:11,400 --> 00:27:13,200
Speaker 3: Baltimore closes a favorite Sunday.

504
00:27:13,600 --> 00:27:15,400
Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean, I was on the same page as Stock.

505
00:27:16,040 --> 00:27:19,439
Speaker 5: I don't like Dallas overall this year. I like Baltimore better. Obviously,

506
00:27:19,480 --> 00:27:21,520
Speaker 5: there's something wrong in Baltimore in some of its scheme.

507
00:27:21,720 --> 00:27:24,000
Speaker 5: I believe Henry had one carry in the fourth quarter

508
00:27:24,000 --> 00:27:25,720
Speaker 5: of that game, trying to ice a ten point lead.

509
00:27:26,240 --> 00:27:27,720
Speaker 5: I don't even know what to really say about that,

510
00:27:28,119 --> 00:27:29,760
Speaker 5: but I think the spot is.

511
00:27:29,720 --> 00:27:30,600
Speaker 2: Good for Baltimore.

512
00:27:31,160 --> 00:27:33,159
Speaker 5: Lamar twenty two and seven against the spread is a

513
00:27:33,160 --> 00:27:35,359
Speaker 5: favorite of three points or less or a dog in

514
00:27:35,400 --> 00:27:38,000
Speaker 5: all our response he's twenty three and thirty three ats

515
00:27:38,000 --> 00:27:40,359
Speaker 5: and again losing is a big favorite last week.

516
00:27:40,400 --> 00:27:43,400
Speaker 2: So yeah, I think Baltimore probably closes the favorite.

517
00:27:43,480 --> 00:27:46,120
Speaker 3: We'll do two more topics before we go. I'm sure

518
00:27:46,200 --> 00:27:47,800
Speaker 3: most of you have heard by now. This is more

519
00:27:47,840 --> 00:27:50,879
Speaker 3: of an instant reaction Sunday topic, but I want to

520
00:27:50,920 --> 00:27:52,760
Speaker 3: get your both your thoughts now with a few days

521
00:27:52,800 --> 00:27:55,960
Speaker 3: to process. NFL underdogs of six plus points or more

522
00:27:56,800 --> 00:27:58,960
Speaker 3: are now eight to zero against the spread through two weeks,

523
00:27:59,000 --> 00:28:01,879
Speaker 3: covering the spread by an average of nine point five

524
00:28:02,040 --> 00:28:04,760
Speaker 3: points per game, the best start for big dogs and

525
00:28:04,880 --> 00:28:08,960
Speaker 3: recorded NFL betting history. Pick your favorite six plus point

526
00:28:09,040 --> 00:28:10,359
Speaker 3: dog this week.

527
00:28:11,400 --> 00:28:14,040
Speaker 4: I mean, I want to bet the Broncos. I don't.

528
00:28:14,840 --> 00:28:17,560
Speaker 4: I don't know if I'll get there, and I kind

529
00:28:17,560 --> 00:28:19,840
Speaker 4: of they can't move the ball they got. They should

530
00:28:19,840 --> 00:28:21,720
Speaker 4: go to Stidham, but they they're not going to me

531
00:28:21,840 --> 00:28:25,920
Speaker 4: yet this early. But the Bucks, I think there are

532
00:28:25,920 --> 00:28:28,159
Speaker 4: being way overright. I mean they were. They got dominated

533
00:28:28,359 --> 00:28:31,200
Speaker 4: by the Lions last week. They gave up I think

534
00:28:31,280 --> 00:28:34,639
Speaker 4: two hundred and sixty more total yards in that game.

535
00:28:36,200 --> 00:28:38,640
Speaker 4: They have injuries too on the defensive end. But can

536
00:28:38,680 --> 00:28:42,280
Speaker 4: Denver take advantage just I don't know. The Rams might

537
00:28:42,320 --> 00:28:46,080
Speaker 4: have too many injuries for my fancy, so I guess

538
00:28:46,160 --> 00:28:48,280
Speaker 4: I'll out of that list. I think you might see

539
00:28:48,280 --> 00:28:50,800
Speaker 4: some regression this week. I think my prediction how many

540
00:28:50,920 --> 00:28:52,120
Speaker 4: I mean, what was that list?

541
00:28:52,840 --> 00:28:53,480
Speaker 3: New England.

542
00:28:55,200 --> 00:29:00,800
Speaker 4: I'll sayers my prediction similar to Evans earlier. I'll predict

543
00:29:00,800 --> 00:29:03,160
Speaker 4: those favorites go three and two. But if I had

544
00:29:03,160 --> 00:29:06,760
Speaker 4: to choose one, maybe I'd go with Washington. Their defense

545
00:29:06,840 --> 00:29:11,400
Speaker 4: is horrendous. We'll see if T. Higgins plays, but it's

546
00:29:11,440 --> 00:29:16,160
Speaker 4: like a running dog in that game because the Sincy

547
00:29:16,600 --> 00:29:21,280
Speaker 4: run defense is a disaster. And you know they lost TJ.

548
00:29:21,360 --> 00:29:24,880
Speaker 4: Reader in the offseason. Without DJ Reader last year because

549
00:29:24,880 --> 00:29:27,440
Speaker 4: he was hurt too at times, they were the worst

550
00:29:27,520 --> 00:29:29,800
Speaker 4: run defense in the NFL. Well, now you don't have Reader,

551
00:29:29,960 --> 00:29:32,640
Speaker 4: and now you have a myriad of injuries up front

552
00:29:32,960 --> 00:29:36,200
Speaker 4: on your defensive line. They just can't stop the run.

553
00:29:36,320 --> 00:29:40,800
Speaker 4: So Washington, with Daniel's legs, Robinson the company, they should

554
00:29:40,800 --> 00:29:43,200
Speaker 4: be able to move the ball on the ground you

555
00:29:43,240 --> 00:29:46,920
Speaker 4: have you know you're over a touchdown to so that

556
00:29:47,160 --> 00:29:50,040
Speaker 4: door is a possibility. So I think the Bengals win

557
00:29:50,080 --> 00:29:54,120
Speaker 4: that game. But there's a lot of paths for since

558
00:29:54,120 --> 00:29:58,560
Speaker 4: he to cover excuse me for Washington to cover Evan.

559
00:29:58,640 --> 00:30:01,560
Speaker 3: I think you're down to what Washington or the Patriots Thursday.

560
00:30:01,880 --> 00:30:04,360
Speaker 5: Yeah, and it's not the Giants or Denver because I

561
00:30:04,440 --> 00:30:06,920
Speaker 5: can't find good things about Bone Nicks or Daniel Jones

562
00:30:06,920 --> 00:30:09,680
Speaker 5: in that sense. And if the Bonix has to have

563
00:30:09,800 --> 00:30:12,200
Speaker 5: some success this week when going up against Tampa's secondary,

564
00:30:12,280 --> 00:30:13,760
Speaker 5: or he's never gonna have success, and you might as

565
00:30:13,760 --> 00:30:16,080
Speaker 5: well make the move. But for me, it's not the Giants,

566
00:30:16,200 --> 00:30:18,880
Speaker 5: it's not Denver and the Ram San Francisco, like Stuck said,

567
00:30:18,920 --> 00:30:20,320
Speaker 5: just way too hard of a cap for me with

568
00:30:20,360 --> 00:30:24,400
Speaker 5: everyone injured. So it's Washington and New England and probably Washington.

569
00:30:24,440 --> 00:30:26,960
Speaker 5: I think Stuck's probably right. At the seven. New England

570
00:30:27,040 --> 00:30:29,920
Speaker 5: felt fun considering I don't know if the Jets are

571
00:30:29,920 --> 00:30:31,320
Speaker 5: gonna be able to blow them out in New England's

572
00:30:31,320 --> 00:30:34,760
Speaker 5: playing way high over expectations, But yeah, I like that

573
00:30:34,880 --> 00:30:38,160
Speaker 5: Washington assume Jaydon Daniels has three total scores and they

574
00:30:38,200 --> 00:30:39,920
Speaker 5: figure out some way to keep it with an eight.

575
00:30:40,880 --> 00:30:42,680
Speaker 4: Yeah, you could have some red zone regression too. I

576
00:30:42,680 --> 00:30:45,600
Speaker 4: didn't like their their play call. They can't really The

577
00:30:45,720 --> 00:30:50,000
Speaker 4: Giants Washington game was hilarious Washington wins twenty one to eighteen.

578
00:30:51,320 --> 00:30:55,200
Speaker 4: So Washington finishes are twenty one points on seven field

579
00:30:55,200 --> 00:31:00,280
Speaker 4: goals and the Giants finished with eighteen points on three touchdowns.

580
00:31:00,360 --> 00:31:04,000
Speaker 4: Just a hilarious game. Yeah, I'm if what is the

581
00:31:04,040 --> 00:31:05,480
Speaker 4: Bucks line sitting at right now?

582
00:31:05,840 --> 00:31:06,160
Speaker 2: Seven?

583
00:31:07,360 --> 00:31:09,000
Speaker 4: Oh god, I'm gonna play it.

584
00:31:10,480 --> 00:31:13,480
Speaker 5: I mean, Denver team total like something to get you

585
00:31:13,560 --> 00:31:15,640
Speaker 5: into the game other than the fact that they're covering,

586
00:31:15,680 --> 00:31:18,200
Speaker 5: because Denver s gotta scored some points against the secondary

587
00:31:18,200 --> 00:31:18,680
Speaker 5: after that.

588
00:31:19,080 --> 00:31:21,560
Speaker 4: I mean, I've watched their offense. It looks bad. It

589
00:31:21,640 --> 00:31:26,520
Speaker 4: is bad, but you know, and I wasn't a believer

590
00:31:26,560 --> 00:31:32,880
Speaker 4: in bonext. I will say you went to Seattle in

591
00:31:32,920 --> 00:31:37,360
Speaker 4: your first start against the McDonald defense, and then you

592
00:31:37,440 --> 00:31:38,920
Speaker 4: played the Steelers defense.

593
00:31:39,360 --> 00:31:39,880
Speaker 2: That's true.

594
00:31:40,200 --> 00:31:45,680
Speaker 4: Like, so is there a little more juice there than

595
00:31:45,960 --> 00:31:48,760
Speaker 4: what my eyes are telling me? Like they should be

596
00:31:48,800 --> 00:31:50,640
Speaker 4: able to at least run the ball more. Now, the

597
00:31:50,640 --> 00:31:54,840
Speaker 4: Bucks have injuries up front and secondary, which should help Nicks.

598
00:31:56,000 --> 00:31:59,160
Speaker 4: You're just gonna need him. They need to get the

599
00:31:59,240 --> 00:32:01,880
Speaker 4: run game going because the only thing that's going to

600
00:32:01,960 --> 00:32:06,640
Speaker 4: work is play action. You know, short passes moving the

601
00:32:06,640 --> 00:32:10,440
Speaker 4: defender's eyes. Nick isn't going to be able to just

602
00:32:10,480 --> 00:32:14,600
Speaker 4: drop back and throw the ball. So, man, I was

603
00:32:14,640 --> 00:32:15,960
Speaker 4: hoping it didn't get the seven.

604
00:32:16,840 --> 00:32:19,080
Speaker 3: Six and a half's now too, so you may have

605
00:32:19,080 --> 00:32:22,760
Speaker 3: missed a chance, or it gets back to seven. Denver

606
00:32:23,120 --> 00:32:27,040
Speaker 3: team total this week sixteen and a half points set.

607
00:32:27,440 --> 00:32:29,080
Speaker 4: Think about that and I'm like, wait, how the hell

608
00:32:29,240 --> 00:32:31,480
Speaker 4: is Denver going to get to seventeen points?

609
00:32:31,520 --> 00:32:32,160
Speaker 2: Let me think about this.

610
00:32:32,160 --> 00:32:34,960
Speaker 5: With Nicks seventy seven pass attempts, it's like the third

611
00:32:35,000 --> 00:32:37,680
Speaker 5: most in the NFL this year. Fifty plus pass attempts

612
00:32:37,680 --> 00:32:39,440
Speaker 5: with zero passing touchdowns.

613
00:32:38,960 --> 00:32:39,920
Speaker 2: And four plus picks.

614
00:32:40,240 --> 00:32:44,959
Speaker 5: It's bone Nicks, Dorian Thompson, Robinson, Will Greer, like Ryan Linley.

615
00:32:44,960 --> 00:32:46,560
Speaker 2: Those are the quarter rookies to do that. Through the

616
00:32:46,600 --> 00:32:47,680
Speaker 2: two starts, it.

617
00:32:47,640 --> 00:32:49,600
Speaker 5: Has been a but again, I didn't really think about

618
00:32:49,600 --> 00:32:52,040
Speaker 5: the Seattle in Pittsburgh fact. And now he turns around

619
00:32:52,040 --> 00:32:55,440
Speaker 5: against Tampa Bay, so it's now we're never kid.

620
00:32:56,040 --> 00:32:58,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, right, especially as Stuck said, with the banged up

621
00:32:58,680 --> 00:33:03,240
Speaker 3: secondary in Tampa last one. Since playoffs expanded to fourteen

622
00:33:03,280 --> 00:33:06,440
Speaker 3: teams in twenty twenty, thirty two teams have started zero

623
00:33:06,440 --> 00:33:08,680
Speaker 3: to two. Only two of those thirty two have made

624
00:33:08,680 --> 00:33:12,120
Speaker 3: the playoffs. Last year's Texans and the twenty twenty two

625
00:33:12,320 --> 00:33:15,880
Speaker 3: Cincinnati Bengals. Just five of the thirty two finished with

626
00:33:16,000 --> 00:33:18,320
Speaker 3: a winning record. You have nine to oho and two

627
00:33:18,360 --> 00:33:28,200
Speaker 3: teams through two weeks this year, Rams, Panthers, Giants, Broncos, Jaguars, Titans, Colts, Ravens,

628
00:33:28,600 --> 00:33:32,920
Speaker 3: Bengals quickly stuck pick one to finish with a winning record,

629
00:33:33,640 --> 00:33:35,480
Speaker 3: and or I mean, if you get a winning record,

630
00:33:35,520 --> 00:33:38,240
Speaker 3: you're probably in the playoffs. Maybe not winning record or

631
00:33:38,280 --> 00:33:40,360
Speaker 3: to make the playoffs. So those nine oh and twos,

632
00:33:40,720 --> 00:33:40,960
Speaker 3: by the.

633
00:33:40,960 --> 00:33:43,080
Speaker 4: Way, Vinavella too a big loss for Tampa up front.

634
00:33:43,240 --> 00:33:45,320
Speaker 4: Maybe how big time you get their run game going

635
00:33:45,640 --> 00:33:49,640
Speaker 4: big time? I'll say Cincy. The funny thing is I

636
00:33:49,680 --> 00:33:52,560
Speaker 4: bet since he to win the AFC North before the

637
00:33:52,600 --> 00:33:58,360
Speaker 4: season started. And let's look at anyone want to pull

638
00:33:58,440 --> 00:34:01,360
Speaker 4: up what is their current price to win the AFC North.

639
00:34:02,240 --> 00:34:05,480
Speaker 3: I got it right here. Let's see Cincinnati plus one

640
00:34:05,560 --> 00:34:06,280
Speaker 3: ninety five.

641
00:34:06,440 --> 00:34:12,040
Speaker 4: Yeah, hasn't even moved. Yeah, it hasn't even moved that much.

642
00:34:12,440 --> 00:34:16,080
Speaker 4: And they're rowing too, which is pretty funny because the

643
00:34:16,160 --> 00:34:18,279
Speaker 4: Ravens are rowing to the Browns are one on one

644
00:34:18,280 --> 00:34:20,960
Speaker 4: and the market doesn't believe in the Steelers rightfully, So

645
00:34:21,800 --> 00:34:24,840
Speaker 4: I so yeah, I mean this, The Bengals do this

646
00:34:24,880 --> 00:34:29,680
Speaker 4: every year. What are they won in Everyone will probably

647
00:34:29,680 --> 00:34:34,799
Speaker 4: know one in nine over the first one something like that.

648
00:34:35,040 --> 00:34:37,760
Speaker 4: They they start like oh and two every year. Barrow

649
00:34:37,840 --> 00:34:40,720
Speaker 4: usually has some injury that he's dealing with and then

650
00:34:41,480 --> 00:34:43,440
Speaker 4: you know he doesn't get work in the preseason and

651
00:34:43,480 --> 00:34:46,600
Speaker 4: it takes him some time to get ramped up. They

652
00:34:46,600 --> 00:34:51,319
Speaker 4: need to address the defensive line somehow, like in in

653
00:34:51,400 --> 00:34:53,160
Speaker 4: the market. They need to get they need to get

654
00:34:53,160 --> 00:34:55,640
Speaker 4: help there. But I do think that their safeties are

655
00:34:55,640 --> 00:34:59,960
Speaker 4: better or much better. I think their corner situation is

656
00:35:00,040 --> 00:35:02,920
Speaker 4: better than it was last year, and a Romo will

657
00:35:02,920 --> 00:35:04,400
Speaker 4: be able to do a lot more with those safeties.

658
00:35:04,440 --> 00:35:05,920
Speaker 4: I mean, look at the Chiefs game. It was a

659
00:35:05,920 --> 00:35:09,960
Speaker 4: great game plan defensively, So they need to they need

660
00:35:09,960 --> 00:35:11,640
Speaker 4: to help. They need to address a run dye. But

661
00:35:11,719 --> 00:35:14,920
Speaker 4: the schedule is easy. They have a last play schedule.

662
00:35:15,880 --> 00:35:19,520
Speaker 4: They you know, could have easily beat the Patriots.

663
00:35:20,040 --> 00:35:21,400
Speaker 3: In that game. In the penalty at the end of

664
00:35:21,440 --> 00:35:22,320
Speaker 3: the Kansas City game.

665
00:35:22,200 --> 00:35:24,480
Speaker 4: Yeah, they should have beat the Chiefs. Now, the Ravens,

666
00:35:24,480 --> 00:35:26,000
Speaker 4: you could argue, should also be two and oh. But

667
00:35:26,760 --> 00:35:28,800
Speaker 4: they have issues and they have a much tougher schedule,

668
00:35:29,280 --> 00:35:35,200
Speaker 4: So I'm going to go the Tiebreger. There is the schedule,

669
00:35:35,560 --> 00:35:37,760
Speaker 4: and I'm going with the Bengals.

670
00:35:39,000 --> 00:35:41,719
Speaker 3: Evan of the nine to zer one twos, which one

671
00:35:41,760 --> 00:35:43,840
Speaker 3: finishes the winning record and or mikes the playoffs.

672
00:35:43,920 --> 00:35:46,040
Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm with Cincinnati too. It's me for me with

673
00:35:46,160 --> 00:35:49,359
Speaker 5: Cincinnati or Tennessee. Uh, first, you got to win this week.

674
00:35:49,520 --> 00:35:52,280
Speaker 5: So of those teams I looked at Tennessee, Indie, Baltimore,

675
00:35:52,320 --> 00:35:54,160
Speaker 5: and Cincinnati, all.

676
00:35:53,960 --> 00:35:55,759
Speaker 2: Four could be two and oh. So they were. It

677
00:35:55,800 --> 00:35:57,359
Speaker 2: was enticing on that front. Uh.

678
00:35:57,680 --> 00:36:00,799
Speaker 5: And again Stuck said, Baltimore's schedule is just way too

679
00:36:00,880 --> 00:36:04,000
Speaker 5: difficult to be into this. So at Dallas, then you've

680
00:36:04,000 --> 00:36:08,800
Speaker 5: got Buffalo in a night game at Cincinnati, Washington at Tampa,

681
00:36:08,840 --> 00:36:09,640
Speaker 5: at Cleveland.

682
00:36:09,960 --> 00:36:12,880
Speaker 2: It's just not easy overall.

683
00:36:13,360 --> 00:36:17,839
Speaker 5: And I think that Cincinnati's is just a little bit

684
00:36:17,880 --> 00:36:22,040
Speaker 5: easier coming up. So Washington at Carolina, then you've got

685
00:36:22,080 --> 00:36:26,239
Speaker 5: that Baltimore game at home at the Giants. So I

686
00:36:26,320 --> 00:36:28,120
Speaker 5: do think that Cincinnati has a bit of an edge.

687
00:36:28,440 --> 00:36:31,799
Speaker 5: And Tennessee we talked about it before as we kind

688
00:36:31,800 --> 00:36:35,480
Speaker 5: of liked them in this game this week. But versus Denver,

689
00:36:36,200 --> 00:36:41,080
Speaker 5: versus I'm sorry, versus Green Bay at Miami, by Indy

690
00:36:41,200 --> 00:36:44,040
Speaker 5: at Buffalo. So Tennessee could have a winning record through

691
00:36:44,080 --> 00:36:48,360
Speaker 5: about four, five, six weeks. So mean it's Tennessee or Cincinnati.

692
00:36:48,360 --> 00:36:51,120
Speaker 4: Tennis all has to take advantage of this. It's yeah,

693
00:36:51,320 --> 00:36:54,359
Speaker 4: it's they could have been a sneaky wild card team.

694
00:36:54,880 --> 00:36:57,160
Speaker 4: They should have beat the Bears, they should have beat

695
00:36:57,160 --> 00:37:00,440
Speaker 4: the Jets. You're starting to and now you had to

696
00:37:00,440 --> 00:37:02,080
Speaker 4: take advantage of that. You you got Caleb Williams and

697
00:37:02,120 --> 00:37:04,040
Speaker 4: his first ever star was a disaster. You got the

698
00:37:04,120 --> 00:37:06,439
Speaker 4: Jets on a short week, they did not look good.

699
00:37:07,160 --> 00:37:08,600
Speaker 4: Instead of two and oh your own two. But if

700
00:37:08,600 --> 00:37:10,640
Speaker 4: you were two and oh, guess what now you get

701
00:37:10,640 --> 00:37:15,960
Speaker 4: the Packers without Love, then you get the Dolphins without

702
00:37:16,080 --> 00:37:18,920
Speaker 4: tu It was all there. Now they can still make

703
00:37:18,960 --> 00:37:22,320
Speaker 4: a run and you know, get into that wild card decision.

704
00:37:22,320 --> 00:37:24,040
Speaker 4: But imagine the outlook if they were two and oh,

705
00:37:24,120 --> 00:37:27,400
Speaker 4: as they should be getting those breaks against the Packers

706
00:37:27,400 --> 00:37:30,080
Speaker 4: and Dolphins coming up after those quarterback injuries. It was

707
00:37:30,120 --> 00:37:32,960
Speaker 4: all setting up for to be a surprise team with

708
00:37:33,000 --> 00:37:35,279
Speaker 4: that defense, but I just couldn't get it done.

709
00:37:35,719 --> 00:37:37,520
Speaker 2: They were throwing it backwards.

710
00:37:39,120 --> 00:37:40,919
Speaker 3: And if they're two and oh, we're probably talking about

711
00:37:40,920 --> 00:37:42,680
Speaker 3: why you might want to bet on the leak. Willis

712
00:37:42,719 --> 00:37:43,240
Speaker 3: in the pack?

713
00:37:44,239 --> 00:37:46,480
Speaker 4: Ultimately, yeah, maybe I'm well.

714
00:37:47,400 --> 00:37:49,280
Speaker 3: See this is what I mean. It's a group therapy

715
00:37:49,360 --> 00:37:53,440
Speaker 3: session to pick it all apart and flush it all out. Stock,

716
00:37:53,520 --> 00:37:56,279
Speaker 3: thanks so much for joining us. Uh you'll find Stock

717
00:37:56,320 --> 00:37:58,880
Speaker 3: of course this week on the Sunday six Pack with Raybond,

718
00:37:59,360 --> 00:38:03,200
Speaker 3: Big Bets on Campus covering all things college football. Evan

719
00:38:03,239 --> 00:38:05,840
Speaker 3: Abrams is our director of Research and Media. His primer

720
00:38:05,880 --> 00:38:08,960
Speaker 3: for week three will be out Wednesday, coming your way midweek.

721
00:38:09,080 --> 00:38:13,600
Speaker 3: Your primer for week Threeactionnetworkapactionnetwork dot com. My name is

722
00:38:13,640 --> 00:38:17,640
Speaker 3: Brendan Glasheen. Thanks for tuning in to NFL Roundtable Week three.

723
00:38:17,800 --> 00:38:20,400
Speaker 3: We will talk to you again next Tuesday.

724
00:38:20,640 --> 00:38:30,680
Speaker 1: See you.

725
00:38:36,480 --> 00:38:39,920
Speaker 6: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

726
00:38:40,360 --> 00:38:43,200
Speaker 4: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

727
00:38:43,480 --> 00:38:46,080
Speaker 4: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

728
00:38:46,160 --> 00:38:47,000
Speaker 4: hundred Gambler