WEBVTT - Cliff Notes: THE PERFECT INVESTMENT STRATEGY

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<v Speaker 1>all you need.

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<v Speaker 2>But I'm here to tell you, like home, if home

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<v Speaker 2>sales fail six percent in July and the housing market

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<v Speaker 2>is in there in their recession, and over the last

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<v Speaker 2>year the market is failed twenty percent, that means we

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<v Speaker 2>technically are in a correction territory heading into a crash.

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<v Speaker 2>If private equity is not spending as much money. If

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<v Speaker 2>quantitative easy and the Federal Reserve says that I'm not

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<v Speaker 2>buying any bonds anymore, the bonds have to actually provide

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<v Speaker 2>some damn value. What does that tell you? We may

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<v Speaker 2>go through a two year period where we're in the

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<v Speaker 2>bear market. For those you have houses and you're like, hey,

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<v Speaker 2>what do I do with the information? If you have

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<v Speaker 2>a house that you like and you want a good deal,

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<v Speaker 2>if you're going to hold for a ten to thirty

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<v Speaker 2>year period, it matters not for those in real estate.

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<v Speaker 2>If we are Ford standard deviations outside of the range

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<v Speaker 2>of which we should be, we are going to come

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<v Speaker 2>down to a normal area. I love you guys. Last

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<v Speaker 2>week I made some comments on Netflix, so I want

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<v Speaker 2>to give full contexts. At first one I was like,

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<v Speaker 2>let me put the video together and put my notes.

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<v Speaker 2>I was gonna come on here on my mind flex

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<v Speaker 2>Hogan shoutouf on flex. It's when they come on my

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<v Speaker 2>macho man thing. But let me break down why I'm

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<v Speaker 2>telling you. Netflix will probably be the first one of

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<v Speaker 2>all streaming services to go away. More than likely Microsoft

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<v Speaker 2>or Apple is going to end up buying Netflix. If

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<v Speaker 2>it goes under one hundred dollars and thirty seven cent.

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<v Speaker 2>But let me pull up some more of these facts

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<v Speaker 2>for you so I can make you a better investor.

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<v Speaker 2>Total debt sixteen point six billion dollars at the end

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<v Speaker 2>of June. Total liabilities twenty seven point three billion dollars.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm not an economist by any stretch of imagination, but

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<v Speaker 2>twenty seven point three billion dollars is a lot of

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<v Speaker 2>damn money, right, reporter is first quarterly loss in a decade.

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<v Speaker 2>The customer basis that have hates when a increase prices,

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<v Speaker 2>that's a terrible thing. In twenty twenty two, their projectors

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<v Speaker 2>to spend eighteen billion dollars on content for you to

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<v Speaker 2>burn through it and one weekend while you're having sex

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<v Speaker 2>with Jasad Bay and never watch it again. Tell me

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<v Speaker 2>what happened in episode for a Stranger Things, Man, I

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<v Speaker 2>got a great idea, Troyvishall, let's shorten me shows thirty

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<v Speaker 2>minutes forty five minutes. Disney's spending thirty three billion dollars

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<v Speaker 2>on content, Peacock is spending three billion. Netflix has an

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<v Speaker 2>eighteen percent profit margin. Now when we get to real numbers,

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<v Speaker 2>eighteen percent profit margin is not great, especially when you

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<v Speaker 2>have a competitor like Apple that is a luxury brand.

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<v Speaker 2>The number one brand in the world is a luxury brand.

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<v Speaker 2>Their profit margin is twenty eight point eight percent, and Google,

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<v Speaker 2>who owns you to profit margin is twenty nine point

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<v Speaker 2>five percent. So those two alone are putting an incredible

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<v Speaker 2>amount of pressure on Netflix. I know for those of

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<v Speaker 2>you that are in LA and your filmmakers and you're like, hey,

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<v Speaker 2>they're never going to stop. Trust me, I know a

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<v Speaker 2>couple of people. Man, don't make me call Weezy right

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<v Speaker 2>now and get Weezy on the line and give you

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<v Speaker 2>some insight. Things are changing, trust me. So I don't

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<v Speaker 2>want it once again. Please click this part up. I

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<v Speaker 2>don't want Netflix to go under. And I think because

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<v Speaker 2>they needed growth hedge fund managers. It's the day that

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<v Speaker 2>I'm referring to. Netflix got bundled up and they were

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<v Speaker 2>one of the ones who ended up going up too

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<v Speaker 2>fast and too high. But the thing that killed Blockbuster

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<v Speaker 2>too much debt. It's a thing that's gonna end up

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<v Speaker 2>killing Netflix. And if America is broke and financially broken,

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<v Speaker 2>why do you think a company that holds that much

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<v Speaker 2>debt and people are upset to pay fourteen ninety five

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<v Speaker 2>for a movie that costs one hundred and fifty seven

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<v Speaker 2>million dollars. How the hell is that a good business

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<v Speaker 2>equation and a good business model? But what do I know?

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<v Speaker 2>Enjoy Shout out to my guy Josh. I saw him

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<v Speaker 2>this past Thursday, I think, and he made the equation

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<v Speaker 2>or I made the statement that Apple is the perfect stock,

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<v Speaker 2>and when you look at it, damn near is if

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<v Speaker 2>you look, Apple is technically a value stock, a growth

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<v Speaker 2>stock tied in one. They're five percent of four percent

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<v Speaker 2>off their all time highs in the middle of a

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<v Speaker 2>bear market or pullback. They are the largest waiting in

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<v Speaker 2>the index. So when you buy Apple, you're technically buying

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<v Speaker 2>the index that are the largest waiting in the S

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<v Speaker 2>and P A NASDAC. They are a dividend stock, luxury stock.

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<v Speaker 2>Berkshire bought four million shares and I can't name seven

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<v Speaker 2>companies historically that has been better in terms of managing

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<v Speaker 2>a business in comparison to them. I know, sometimes people

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<v Speaker 2>want all these exotic ass companies that supposed to shape

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<v Speaker 2>the world. And we'll do chart time later and we'll

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<v Speaker 2>walk through some But man, when you guys ask me,

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<v Speaker 2>I don't know where to start with investing? What should

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<v Speaker 2>I do? Two Tech two Index, No stress for those

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<v Speaker 2>of you who like, hey, why do you need to?

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<v Speaker 2>They anchor one another. So most investors want value or growth.

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<v Speaker 2>The S and P five hundred gives you value or

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<v Speaker 2>slow steady growth. The NASDAC gives you fast growth. Apple

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<v Speaker 2>and Microsoft are so big that.

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<v Speaker 3>This episode is brought to you by P and C Bank.

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<v Speaker 3>A lot of people think podcasts about work are boring,

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<v Speaker 2>Once again, if they collapse, it would destroy the American

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<v Speaker 2>economy as a whole. Some of you are not old

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<v Speaker 2>enough to remember what it was like during two thousand

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<v Speaker 2>and seven. In two thousand and eight when Lehman Brothers

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<v Speaker 2>went under and it affected the American economy. How many

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<v Speaker 2>of you please put Liman in chat if you heard

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<v Speaker 2>of Leman prior to the night Celensio. So if Apple

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<v Speaker 2>or Microsoft goes under, it would destroy our economy. These

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<v Speaker 2>are probably two of the safest stocks. And when I

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<v Speaker 2>tell you only need to focus on a few, that's

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<v Speaker 2>all you need to do. I want to clarify my

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<v Speaker 2>comments on Ethereum. So Ethereum one hundred and ten bucks

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<v Speaker 2>is to load the boat. Price. So load the boat

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<v Speaker 2>I would define as the price in which you should

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<v Speaker 2>buy in investment or asset class at the rock bottom

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<v Speaker 2>price where it's at recession or depression levels. So for

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<v Speaker 2>those of you like you Ho, what's up on ethery one?

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<v Speaker 1>Tu?

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<v Speaker 2>I know? Wait, wait, wait till it, Tali, come on here, boy,

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<v Speaker 2>I'm gonna shake to end up these next two years. Boy.

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<v Speaker 2>I told you about Meta and the challenges they were

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<v Speaker 2>faced with. TikTok came true. Told you about Michael Saylor

0:10:30.720 --> 0:10:33.800
<v Speaker 2>potentially being positioned out of his company if Bitcoin got

0:10:33.800 --> 0:10:37.520
<v Speaker 2>to twenty thousand came true. Told you about Bitcoin going

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<v Speaker 2>to twenty thousand came true. Told you they were recovering

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<v Speaker 2>sixty three days. Please put in chat. Are you here

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<v Speaker 2>to gossip or are you here to get rich? This

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<v Speaker 2>is the thing I love about investing in trade and

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<v Speaker 2>actually being able to trade. Man, nobody opinion on anything matters,

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<v Speaker 2>not as long as TD and Maria Trade keeps in

0:10:58.400 --> 0:11:01.840
<v Speaker 2>my access, and THENJA in Trade of eight all the

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<v Speaker 2>other firms out there, right, and all o the brokerages,

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<v Speaker 2>you're good. I'm not launching a campaign against Netflix or ethereum.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm just telling you the truth of where we may

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<v Speaker 2>end up. But if you don't believe in my statement,

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<v Speaker 2>in my takes, you are more than welcome and take

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<v Speaker 2>your life savings and put them into Netflix and let's

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<v Speaker 2>see what happens, and you'll be good. Real quick, let's

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<v Speaker 2>go through a couple ETFs and a couple of stocks

0:11:29.679 --> 0:11:32.720
<v Speaker 2>tied to China that you can invest in. And the

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<v Speaker 2>homework last week was what are the four ETFs you

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<v Speaker 2>can invest in or short if China falls apart, Let's

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<v Speaker 2>go through a couple of them real quick, And the

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<v Speaker 2>same thing goes with any asset class. Please write this down.

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<v Speaker 2>Only invest in the top four. So if you look

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<v Speaker 2>at bitcoin, and I'm currently at twenty one thousand and

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<v Speaker 2>three thirty five, remember when the world thought it was

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<v Speaker 2>impossible for us as slide to twenty. But if you

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<v Speaker 2>look at these areas up here, any in the sixty

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<v Speaker 2>and seventy range is a no go these are the

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<v Speaker 2>areas in which you will want to exit or take profit.

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<v Speaker 2>You do not want to buy here. This is a

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<v Speaker 2>no bay zone. You only want to buy in the trenches.

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<v Speaker 2>A simple thing you can do is just mark off

0:12:17.040 --> 0:12:20.120
<v Speaker 2>the bottom of each month and then that can tell

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<v Speaker 2>you a price of where you can get in. Do

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<v Speaker 2>not buy. And once again, if somebody is telling you

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<v Speaker 2>to buy or going on like three month media campaigns

0:12:29.440 --> 0:12:31.320
<v Speaker 2>telling you to buy something, it's only because it's in

0:12:31.360 --> 0:12:33.760
<v Speaker 2>their benefit to do so. You don't have to really

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<v Speaker 2>push your asset class if it's good. If we look

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<v Speaker 2>at ethereumm e. Theoriust has slid down as well. I

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<v Speaker 2>told you guys last week to buy fifteen forty four

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<v Speaker 2>on August twentieth, and went to fifteen thirty one seventy three,

0:12:47.240 --> 0:12:49.160
<v Speaker 2>you would already be in profit. For those of you

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<v Speaker 2>who executed it and did that, I am proud of you.

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<v Speaker 2>Let's go to some of the ones that we talked

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<v Speaker 2>about in China. C Hix. Does this look like I

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<v Speaker 2>could go into investing in long term? Yes? Or no?

0:13:04.040 --> 0:13:06.600
<v Speaker 2>The top is up here is up here, the bottom

0:13:06.720 --> 0:13:11.080
<v Speaker 2>ranges are down here. Stock is currently at eleven ninety nine.

0:13:11.160 --> 0:13:14.280
<v Speaker 2>I really don't like it until it gets maybe to

0:13:14.360 --> 0:13:18.920
<v Speaker 2>eight dollars and thirty cent Let's look at KBA. Put

0:13:18.960 --> 0:13:20.520
<v Speaker 2>these on your watch list. I don't want you to

0:13:20.559 --> 0:13:25.920
<v Speaker 2>buy them, don't want you to buy them. But KBA

0:13:26.120 --> 0:13:29.000
<v Speaker 2>is another one in which you can look at and

0:13:29.080 --> 0:13:31.360
<v Speaker 2>which you potentially can short. I want to say this now.

0:13:32.080 --> 0:13:33.720
<v Speaker 2>It's a homework question, but I'm going to give you

0:13:33.720 --> 0:13:36.840
<v Speaker 2>guys an answer. How long should you short a company

0:13:37.280 --> 0:13:41.720
<v Speaker 2>or asset that is falling apart? How long should you

0:13:41.800 --> 0:13:44.480
<v Speaker 2>short a company that is falling apart in the worst

0:13:44.559 --> 0:13:47.679
<v Speaker 2>case scenario, I only want you to short it for

0:13:47.800 --> 0:13:51.079
<v Speaker 2>three months. And here's why. You can short the stock

0:13:51.160 --> 0:13:55.280
<v Speaker 2>and at maximum if it is not leveraged, the highest

0:13:55.280 --> 0:13:58.040
<v Speaker 2>return you can get is one hundred percent. The risk

0:13:58.160 --> 0:14:02.080
<v Speaker 2>is unlimited, though, and if you don't have rules in

0:14:02.120 --> 0:14:04.720
<v Speaker 2>every trait that you take, and you don't stay away

0:14:04.720 --> 0:14:06.560
<v Speaker 2>from emotions, that can lead to a lot of disaster.

0:14:07.800 --> 0:14:09.959
<v Speaker 2>So I only want you to short something for three months,

0:14:09.960 --> 0:14:11.800
<v Speaker 2>and you still need to short at the top of

0:14:11.840 --> 0:14:16.360
<v Speaker 2>the market. So if at top of twenty twenty twenty

0:14:16.360 --> 0:14:19.040
<v Speaker 2>twenty one you were short in this area, I would

0:14:19.040 --> 0:14:22.600
<v Speaker 2>not be mad. Now it's almost at the value area

0:14:22.600 --> 0:14:24.880
<v Speaker 2>on what you should be buying before you touch it.

0:14:26.960 --> 0:14:29.680
<v Speaker 2>My graduates from my school being.

0:14:29.560 --> 0:14:36.520
<v Speaker 3>Force backdrop bag drop, Mike, drop backdrop drop.

0:14:45.680 --> 0:14:49.280
<v Speaker 4>An illegal alien from Guatemala charged with raping a child

0:14:49.360 --> 0:14:53.160
<v Speaker 4>in Massachusetts. An MS thirteen gang member from El Salvador

0:14:53.400 --> 0:14:57.560
<v Speaker 4>accused of murdering a Texas man of Venezuelan charged with

0:14:57.600 --> 0:15:01.520
<v Speaker 4>filming and selling child pornography in Michigan. These are just

0:15:01.600 --> 0:15:05.360
<v Speaker 4>some of the heinous migrant criminals caught because of President

0:15:05.400 --> 0:15:09.000
<v Speaker 4>Donald J. Trump's leadership. I'm Christy Noman, the United States

0:15:09.000 --> 0:15:13.800
<v Speaker 4>Secretary of Homeland Security. Under President Trump, attempted illegal border

0:15:13.840 --> 0:15:17.360
<v Speaker 4>crossings are at the lowest levels ever recorded, and over

0:15:17.440 --> 0:15:20.640
<v Speaker 4>one hundred thousand illegal aliens have been arrested. If you

0:15:20.720 --> 0:15:24.600
<v Speaker 4>are here illegally, your next you will be fine nearly

0:15:24.680 --> 0:15:28.680
<v Speaker 4>one thousand dollars a day, imprisoned and deported, you will

0:15:28.720 --> 0:15:32.360
<v Speaker 4>never return. But if you register using our CBP home

0:15:32.400 --> 0:15:35.800
<v Speaker 4>app and leave now, you could be allowed to return legally.

0:15:36.160 --> 0:15:40.920
<v Speaker 4>Do what's right, leave now. Under President Trump, America's laws,

0:15:41.080 --> 0:15:43.520
<v Speaker 4>border and families will be protected.

0:15:43.600 --> 0:15:45.760
<v Speaker 2>Sponsored by the United States Department of Homeland Security,