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Welcome 24 00:01:23,200 --> 00:01:26,320 Speaker 1: to the Favorites, the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network. 25 00:01:26,440 --> 00:01:31,240 Speaker 1: I am Schad Mellman, Chief Content Officer of the Action Network. 26 00:01:31,440 --> 00:01:34,959 Speaker 1: We are in the opening week previewing Super Bowl fifty 27 00:01:35,080 --> 00:01:39,080 Speaker 1: seven between the a f C champion Kansas City Chiefs 28 00:01:39,200 --> 00:01:44,440 Speaker 1: underdogs to the NFC champion Philadelphia Eagles, the favorite team, 29 00:01:44,480 --> 00:01:49,360 Speaker 1: the passion point of this man's life. My co host, 30 00:01:49,440 --> 00:01:54,000 Speaker 1: my companion, Mike and Padre my BFF professional better Simon Hunter, 31 00:01:55,680 --> 00:02:03,680 Speaker 1: live from his native country, England. Hello Simon, how are 32 00:02:03,720 --> 00:02:07,600 Speaker 1: things in Manchester? Hello Chad, It's good. It's good living here. 33 00:02:07,960 --> 00:02:12,320 Speaker 1: Are you listening to Oasis? Are you listening to the Smiths? 34 00:02:12,840 --> 00:02:15,320 Speaker 1: Are you listening to who are you listening to right now? 35 00:02:15,680 --> 00:02:17,760 Speaker 1: No music? I can really mention. I feel like it's 36 00:02:17,840 --> 00:02:20,200 Speaker 1: all all my cousins listen to. Is that TikTok music? 37 00:02:20,360 --> 00:02:23,280 Speaker 1: But I have not stopped drinking since the moment. I've 38 00:02:23,360 --> 00:02:26,440 Speaker 1: landed and eating chocolate. I've definitely put on about ten 39 00:02:26,440 --> 00:02:30,079 Speaker 1: pounds of just chocolate. So it's been it's been a 40 00:02:30,200 --> 00:02:34,000 Speaker 1: rough twenty four hours, but it's it's a celebration. Then 41 00:02:34,280 --> 00:02:36,720 Speaker 1: watch the Eagles win in the airport. So I've literally 42 00:02:36,720 --> 00:02:39,280 Speaker 1: just been drinking for I don't know, going on four hours. 43 00:02:39,280 --> 00:02:41,520 Speaker 1: It's just been a fun, fun time right now in England. 44 00:02:41,760 --> 00:02:43,200 Speaker 1: Tell me for what we're going to get to all 45 00:02:43,200 --> 00:02:45,440 Speaker 1: the betting stuff in a second. We had an amazing week. 46 00:02:45,840 --> 00:02:47,320 Speaker 1: A couple of things I want to remind people of. 47 00:02:47,800 --> 00:02:54,800 Speaker 1: Number One, you must go subscribe to the Favorites feed specifically. 48 00:02:55,280 --> 00:02:59,360 Speaker 1: There are bonuses when you subscribe to the Favorites Feed 49 00:02:59,400 --> 00:03:02,880 Speaker 1: specific you get the podcast earlier. That means you're getting 50 00:03:02,880 --> 00:03:10,480 Speaker 1: our information earlier. Information matters, timeliness matters. Go subscribe to 51 00:03:10,520 --> 00:03:13,960 Speaker 1: the Favorites Feed. It's the best way to listen to 52 00:03:14,080 --> 00:03:16,800 Speaker 1: the Favorites podcast. I know a lot of folks listen 53 00:03:16,840 --> 00:03:19,400 Speaker 1: to it directly from the Volume feed, which is great. 54 00:03:19,919 --> 00:03:22,800 Speaker 1: Subscribe directly to the Favorites Feed. Two, I want to 55 00:03:22,800 --> 00:03:24,520 Speaker 1: get to the betting stuff. We had a great week 56 00:03:24,880 --> 00:03:27,680 Speaker 1: for the Favorites podcast three and one in our four 57 00:03:28,120 --> 00:03:32,399 Speaker 1: selections before we do that, Give me your experiences as 58 00:03:32,400 --> 00:03:36,760 Speaker 1: a fan through that game. The Eagles pretty much had 59 00:03:36,800 --> 00:03:40,320 Speaker 1: it locked from the sixth play when Brock Purty blew 60 00:03:40,320 --> 00:03:43,080 Speaker 1: out his elbow. Give me your thoughts, give me you're 61 00:03:43,080 --> 00:03:46,480 Speaker 1: taking me your feelings, you know, trying to make sure 62 00:03:46,520 --> 00:03:48,560 Speaker 1: I wasn't just making the bet because I'm an Eagles fan. 63 00:03:48,600 --> 00:03:51,040 Speaker 1: That's always a struggle where it's like, am I really 64 00:03:51,080 --> 00:03:54,000 Speaker 1: overlooking this because it's so many program my year about 65 00:03:54,000 --> 00:03:57,040 Speaker 1: that for you owner's team, so flood of JFK. So 66 00:03:57,080 --> 00:03:59,800 Speaker 1: the drive up, I'm killing myself because I haven't slept 67 00:03:59,840 --> 00:04:02,000 Speaker 1: on because I was just so nervous bound which money 68 00:04:02,040 --> 00:04:04,160 Speaker 1: had on the Eagles. I kept trying to remind myself, 69 00:04:04,200 --> 00:04:05,840 Speaker 1: but I kept saying, on this show, no rookie has 70 00:04:05,880 --> 00:04:08,040 Speaker 1: ever won that game. And I kept saying to myself, 71 00:04:08,080 --> 00:04:10,440 Speaker 1: I'm getting what I think is by far the best 72 00:04:10,480 --> 00:04:13,640 Speaker 1: team and under under a field goal to win this game. 73 00:04:13,680 --> 00:04:16,960 Speaker 1: So that was arguably the longest drive up of my 74 00:04:17,000 --> 00:04:19,080 Speaker 1: life to an airport just because of that. I'm just 75 00:04:19,160 --> 00:04:22,600 Speaker 1: killing myself the whole way, texting my runners, making sure 76 00:04:22,600 --> 00:04:24,520 Speaker 1: everything all my bets are all lined up because I 77 00:04:24,560 --> 00:04:26,880 Speaker 1: had just a lot of money bet out on the 78 00:04:26,960 --> 00:04:29,240 Speaker 1: Chiefs and the Eagles. I knew I was leaving as 79 00:04:29,240 --> 00:04:30,520 Speaker 1: soon as I got to the airport. I was literally 80 00:04:30,560 --> 00:04:32,720 Speaker 1: gonna turn off everything, like I don't want to hear 81 00:04:32,760 --> 00:04:34,440 Speaker 1: from people. I don't want to even know what's going 82 00:04:34,440 --> 00:04:36,839 Speaker 1: on because I planned for I honestly plan on not watching. 83 00:04:36,960 --> 00:04:39,400 Speaker 1: I kept saying to myself, I'm just not gonna watch, 84 00:04:39,560 --> 00:04:42,080 Speaker 1: like I'll find out once I land. And once I 85 00:04:42,080 --> 00:04:43,920 Speaker 1: got to the airport, I just saw the flash of 86 00:04:43,960 --> 00:04:47,160 Speaker 1: the Eagles green on the screen. I said, Ship, I 87 00:04:47,160 --> 00:04:49,880 Speaker 1: gotta sit down at this bar. So uh sat next 88 00:04:49,920 --> 00:04:51,560 Speaker 1: to a guy who was boozing and he had on 89 00:04:51,760 --> 00:04:54,159 Speaker 1: forts gear because I want to sit someone next to 90 00:04:54,160 --> 00:04:57,320 Speaker 1: someone I can talk ship too. That's the true, Philly, 91 00:04:57,680 --> 00:05:00,960 Speaker 1: And exactly what you said where not that I knew 92 00:05:01,040 --> 00:05:05,719 Speaker 1: right away, but that fourth down play with devote Smith 93 00:05:06,000 --> 00:05:08,520 Speaker 1: defected in challenge and we got seven on it. Just 94 00:05:08,560 --> 00:05:11,120 Speaker 1: as a gambler, I just know the math behind it 95 00:05:11,240 --> 00:05:14,000 Speaker 1: how important that is because we just got a free 96 00:05:14,040 --> 00:05:16,320 Speaker 1: seven right there, and in those kind of games and 97 00:05:16,360 --> 00:05:19,359 Speaker 1: those how talented these teams are. It kind of felt like, Okay, 98 00:05:19,640 --> 00:05:22,880 Speaker 1: now I can kind of relax, so booze celebrated obviously, 99 00:05:23,320 --> 00:05:25,320 Speaker 1: like not to bash the four now is too hard. 100 00:05:25,360 --> 00:05:27,440 Speaker 1: But I get their complain of if we had just 101 00:05:27,520 --> 00:05:29,320 Speaker 1: had our quarterback, that would have been a different game. 102 00:05:29,680 --> 00:05:31,760 Speaker 1: It's like the simplest argument being, well, if we just 103 00:05:31,800 --> 00:05:33,560 Speaker 1: had a punter, you guys never would even been in 104 00:05:33,600 --> 00:05:35,720 Speaker 1: the game from the get go, Like our punter kept 105 00:05:35,800 --> 00:05:38,159 Speaker 1: them in the game for that first half. So to me, 106 00:05:38,240 --> 00:05:41,440 Speaker 1: everything we said hung true of the Eagles front line. 107 00:05:41,760 --> 00:05:44,320 Speaker 1: I literally said this all the same exact stuff' about 108 00:05:44,320 --> 00:05:46,080 Speaker 1: to say now in August that one of the best 109 00:05:46,080 --> 00:05:49,240 Speaker 1: front lines in football on defensive line and the offensive 110 00:05:49,240 --> 00:05:52,000 Speaker 1: line in the game. What did you see? You saw 111 00:05:52,040 --> 00:05:54,760 Speaker 1: a d line kill that offensive line of the pot 112 00:05:54,839 --> 00:05:57,560 Speaker 1: Ninners team. It's not a flute. Dead Ford quarterbacks get 113 00:05:57,640 --> 00:05:59,280 Speaker 1: hurt this year. Okay, we want to talk about how 114 00:05:59,320 --> 00:06:01,719 Speaker 1: great they are as a team. They had weaknesses, and 115 00:06:01,720 --> 00:06:03,720 Speaker 1: that weakness was that offensive line. I know they have 116 00:06:03,880 --> 00:06:06,040 Speaker 1: all Pro at tackle, but the rest of the line 117 00:06:06,120 --> 00:06:08,000 Speaker 1: is not that good. It's the Shanahan system that makes 118 00:06:08,000 --> 00:06:11,240 Speaker 1: it so good. So that was as good as it 119 00:06:11,240 --> 00:06:12,800 Speaker 1: can get if you're a fan of the team. So 120 00:06:13,279 --> 00:06:16,000 Speaker 1: basically just been boozing since then. Got on the airplane 121 00:06:16,720 --> 00:06:18,520 Speaker 1: had the tail wins because we had some big storm 122 00:06:18,560 --> 00:06:20,880 Speaker 1: ripping through the northeast. So I got here actually five 123 00:06:20,920 --> 00:06:23,080 Speaker 1: and a half hours quickst flight i've ever had to 124 00:06:23,120 --> 00:06:25,640 Speaker 1: England once again. Can miss right now if you're just like, 125 00:06:25,680 --> 00:06:29,000 Speaker 1: everything's sitting right went through baggage claimed first bag. Can't 126 00:06:29,040 --> 00:06:31,239 Speaker 1: miss like it was. It's seriously is one of those. 127 00:06:31,480 --> 00:06:33,919 Speaker 1: My cousin was already waiting for me, had food for me, 128 00:06:34,320 --> 00:06:36,279 Speaker 1: picked me up, was kind enough to take me to 129 00:06:36,279 --> 00:06:38,800 Speaker 1: where I was staying, like because I basically told you 130 00:06:38,839 --> 00:06:42,200 Speaker 1: I'm meeting with clients that whole day. So she came 131 00:06:42,320 --> 00:06:44,599 Speaker 1: hung out this really nice swanky hotel with me and 132 00:06:44,640 --> 00:06:47,080 Speaker 1: like we got breakfast and I met with clients and 133 00:06:47,160 --> 00:06:49,039 Speaker 1: we all celebrate. Obviously was such a good weekend, Like 134 00:06:49,040 --> 00:06:51,440 Speaker 1: we're about to talk about really good time. And then 135 00:06:51,480 --> 00:06:54,279 Speaker 1: I met with this one pro who's from here. He's 136 00:06:54,360 --> 00:06:56,599 Speaker 1: really sharp, and it's just they're just different. Do you 137 00:06:56,600 --> 00:06:58,320 Speaker 1: know how different Brits are. So it's just been the 138 00:06:58,360 --> 00:07:01,680 Speaker 1: conversations have been hilarious. I mean, it's never any taking 139 00:07:01,680 --> 00:07:04,719 Speaker 1: the piss out of me. It's never ending jokes. Drinks. 140 00:07:04,800 --> 00:07:07,560 Speaker 1: I mean I literally have not stopped drinking it's been 141 00:07:07,560 --> 00:07:10,720 Speaker 1: forty hours of drinking, so it's been a real good time. 142 00:07:10,720 --> 00:07:12,680 Speaker 1: But I told Chad I wanted to get out of there. 143 00:07:12,960 --> 00:07:15,280 Speaker 1: I could feel myself not making this show. I really could. 144 00:07:15,440 --> 00:07:17,560 Speaker 1: I was just like, if I stay here, I'm not 145 00:07:17,600 --> 00:07:19,280 Speaker 1: gonna make it. And I wanted to make it just 146 00:07:19,320 --> 00:07:22,240 Speaker 1: because this is a celebration, like we had such a 147 00:07:22,240 --> 00:07:25,120 Speaker 1: good year to end it this way. Uh not that 148 00:07:25,760 --> 00:07:27,920 Speaker 1: we expect that just nail the super Bowl, but I 149 00:07:28,000 --> 00:07:29,600 Speaker 1: just had the confidence right now where it's like, I 150 00:07:29,640 --> 00:07:32,120 Speaker 1: feel like we're seeing things pretty good and a little 151 00:07:32,120 --> 00:07:34,720 Speaker 1: fun fact you can go back and listen joined Chad 152 00:07:34,760 --> 00:07:36,960 Speaker 1: and I claim to fame is I've never gotten the 153 00:07:37,000 --> 00:07:39,720 Speaker 1: spread round on the Super Bowl. So far. We are 154 00:07:39,760 --> 00:07:41,560 Speaker 1: three and now this would be four and now in 155 00:07:41,560 --> 00:07:44,200 Speaker 1: my career that maybe tenant now against the spread for 156 00:07:44,240 --> 00:07:47,040 Speaker 1: the super Bowl. So I'm feeling pretty high right now, Chad, 157 00:07:47,080 --> 00:07:49,840 Speaker 1: I'm ready to pick the super Bowl pick. But it 158 00:07:49,880 --> 00:07:52,360 Speaker 1: could change when I get home. But I literally ran 159 00:07:52,400 --> 00:07:54,480 Speaker 1: the numbers. I think I told everyone a week ago 160 00:07:54,520 --> 00:07:56,200 Speaker 1: what outside I was gonna be on, no matter what 161 00:07:56,640 --> 00:07:58,840 Speaker 1: I was gonna be on the NFC side spoiler alert, 162 00:07:58,960 --> 00:08:01,480 Speaker 1: So I think people knew, but I'll break it down 163 00:08:01,480 --> 00:08:03,160 Speaker 1: and tell people what I'm seeing why I like it. 164 00:08:03,200 --> 00:08:07,320 Speaker 1: But luckily I'm away. The amount of text calls not 165 00:08:07,320 --> 00:08:10,400 Speaker 1: not just about my Eagles team, but about people trying 166 00:08:10,400 --> 00:08:15,400 Speaker 1: to get money down. I think I took bets on 167 00:08:15,480 --> 00:08:18,240 Speaker 1: the Eagles within the first hour of that spread coming out. 168 00:08:18,320 --> 00:08:21,160 Speaker 1: These guys pounded the money line and took the plus number, 169 00:08:21,240 --> 00:08:23,760 Speaker 1: so I didn't get any down. Sadly, I was kind 170 00:08:23,800 --> 00:08:25,520 Speaker 1: of like in my own little world. I had been 171 00:08:25,560 --> 00:08:28,480 Speaker 1: boozing and been celebrating, kind of just sent it along 172 00:08:28,520 --> 00:08:30,160 Speaker 1: to other people, and then when I came to, I go, 173 00:08:30,200 --> 00:08:32,040 Speaker 1: why did I just take that plus number of the Eagles. 174 00:08:32,040 --> 00:08:35,200 Speaker 1: So that was the one negative of being delirious from flying, 175 00:08:35,240 --> 00:08:37,000 Speaker 1: you know what I mean? One of us did take 176 00:08:37,000 --> 00:08:39,400 Speaker 1: the plus number with the Eagles. I want to get 177 00:08:39,440 --> 00:08:43,439 Speaker 1: into this game. Remind people last week the exact decision. 178 00:08:43,520 --> 00:08:45,440 Speaker 1: Last week, I'm looking in the Action Network gap where 179 00:08:45,440 --> 00:08:48,560 Speaker 1: it's all listed the favorite podcast follow it under forty 180 00:08:48,559 --> 00:08:50,880 Speaker 1: seven and a half for the Bengals and the Chiefs. 181 00:08:50,920 --> 00:08:53,560 Speaker 1: That's what I was on for exact decision. That Cash 182 00:08:54,120 --> 00:08:57,080 Speaker 1: Kansas City minus one was the Simon says that was 183 00:08:57,080 --> 00:08:59,800 Speaker 1: bouncing around and in the end you were spot on 184 00:09:00,240 --> 00:09:02,679 Speaker 1: big balls. Was the Eagles minus two and a half. 185 00:09:02,679 --> 00:09:04,640 Speaker 1: That one had been making as nervous because of all 186 00:09:04,679 --> 00:09:08,080 Speaker 1: the wise guys whispering in your here. The foxhole was 187 00:09:08,120 --> 00:09:12,000 Speaker 1: the overt and a half. And the truth is, when 188 00:09:12,040 --> 00:09:14,480 Speaker 1: they scored that first touchdown, I thought, we're in a 189 00:09:14,480 --> 00:09:17,280 Speaker 1: good we're in good shape here. And obviously that game 190 00:09:17,400 --> 00:09:22,520 Speaker 1: changed dramatically. So that's the one. If the fort had 191 00:09:22,559 --> 00:09:24,480 Speaker 1: a quarterback that was probably gonna hit like the Eagles 192 00:09:24,480 --> 00:09:26,599 Speaker 1: wouldn't think in the foot off the gas and the 193 00:09:26,720 --> 00:09:30,400 Speaker 1: forty nine are Surprisingly they were moving the ball like 194 00:09:30,440 --> 00:09:32,679 Speaker 1: they had opportunities other than the Eagles d line just 195 00:09:32,760 --> 00:09:35,560 Speaker 1: dominating that game. The secondary had a couple of holes there. 196 00:09:35,600 --> 00:09:39,640 Speaker 1: So that was a really boring, horrible experience if you 197 00:09:39,720 --> 00:09:42,800 Speaker 1: had and if you had the Eagles, those are the 198 00:09:42,840 --> 00:09:44,880 Speaker 1: kind of bet you dream about. I mean, every little 199 00:09:44,920 --> 00:09:46,840 Speaker 1: thing got bouncing their way and they were up one 200 00:09:47,800 --> 00:09:50,320 Speaker 1: at half and still was a little nervous, right, I 201 00:09:50,320 --> 00:09:52,480 Speaker 1: think everyone was, because you're just like, I don't know, 202 00:09:52,520 --> 00:09:55,079 Speaker 1: the four yars are touchdown away. But in the end 203 00:09:55,120 --> 00:09:58,240 Speaker 1: and it's like, okay, that was just one team had peaked. 204 00:09:58,440 --> 00:10:01,280 Speaker 1: We already talked about the fort yards at that. Eventually, 205 00:10:01,640 --> 00:10:04,040 Speaker 1: you only can have a backup quarterback take you so far. 206 00:10:04,640 --> 00:10:07,920 Speaker 1: And it feels good doing that. That read was correct 207 00:10:07,960 --> 00:10:11,360 Speaker 1: because I'm not gonna lie. It was just never ending. 208 00:10:11,440 --> 00:10:14,480 Speaker 1: Every day I was getting big money bets coming in 209 00:10:14,679 --> 00:10:16,679 Speaker 1: guys back in this Ware's team. I just did not 210 00:10:16,760 --> 00:10:19,480 Speaker 1: get it. I just kept saying to you, do understand 211 00:10:19,480 --> 00:10:22,240 Speaker 1: that rookie has never done this. So that felt good, 212 00:10:22,400 --> 00:10:26,680 Speaker 1: and uh, the next game, I definitely felt lucky. I'll 213 00:10:26,679 --> 00:10:29,319 Speaker 1: be the first time I felt very, very lucky being 214 00:10:29,360 --> 00:10:31,920 Speaker 1: on the chief side and the sense that the refs 215 00:10:31,960 --> 00:10:35,280 Speaker 1: people BITI about the refs were definitely definitely helping out 216 00:10:35,320 --> 00:10:37,040 Speaker 1: the Chiefs in that game. Like if some of that 217 00:10:37,040 --> 00:10:39,480 Speaker 1: backs that we watched so much football, me, Chad will 218 00:10:39,520 --> 00:10:42,120 Speaker 1: be the first bitch with you be complained by the 219 00:10:42,160 --> 00:10:45,480 Speaker 1: refs all the time. They dictate too much games. You 220 00:10:45,520 --> 00:10:48,120 Speaker 1: can complain and say that the Chiefs that game got 221 00:10:48,160 --> 00:10:50,439 Speaker 1: dictated by the rest, but they still made the place. 222 00:10:50,600 --> 00:10:52,679 Speaker 1: So to me, yes, the refs helped them out in 223 00:10:52,679 --> 00:10:57,800 Speaker 1: search situations. But I felt like that game going into it, 224 00:10:58,080 --> 00:10:59,679 Speaker 1: we talked all the time the value was on the 225 00:10:59,760 --> 00:11:02,440 Speaker 1: chief that that number was three. The Bengals would have 226 00:11:02,440 --> 00:11:04,120 Speaker 1: been the play, and that's what we kept talking about 227 00:11:04,120 --> 00:11:05,679 Speaker 1: all week. It just felt like that was the smart 228 00:11:05,760 --> 00:11:09,160 Speaker 1: number at three. Shocked and Owen though it landed on three. 229 00:11:09,280 --> 00:11:12,319 Speaker 1: So Burrows beat him, Now, what was it? Burrow beat 230 00:11:12,360 --> 00:11:14,160 Speaker 1: him two times by three, and then he lost him 231 00:11:14,160 --> 00:11:17,640 Speaker 1: by three three times. So yeah, it's just we clearly 232 00:11:17,679 --> 00:11:19,760 Speaker 1: know what these two teams are there really when they 233 00:11:19,760 --> 00:11:21,760 Speaker 1: play each other for the rest of the time. If 234 00:11:21,760 --> 00:11:23,760 Speaker 1: me and chatter getting under a three or over a three, 235 00:11:23,800 --> 00:11:25,679 Speaker 1: that will probably dictate who we take on this side. 236 00:11:25,760 --> 00:11:27,760 Speaker 1: So I just felt like that was the right number. 237 00:11:27,760 --> 00:11:30,520 Speaker 1: Inside that game was insane. Obviously we can talk about 238 00:11:30,520 --> 00:11:33,600 Speaker 1: it for a minute, but um, yeah, uh look the 239 00:11:33,640 --> 00:11:38,920 Speaker 1: game opened at Cincinnati plus three. Uh, I don't remember 240 00:11:38,920 --> 00:11:41,320 Speaker 1: if you got it. I got it exactly three the 241 00:11:41,400 --> 00:11:45,080 Speaker 1: second it opened, and then it moved to two and 242 00:11:45,080 --> 00:11:48,240 Speaker 1: a half Kansas City. I took it again at Kansas 243 00:11:48,240 --> 00:11:50,480 Speaker 1: City plus two and a half, and then we were 244 00:11:50,559 --> 00:11:54,400 Speaker 1: just sort of trying to find the angle, and Kansas 245 00:11:54,400 --> 00:11:57,760 Speaker 1: City minus one felt like the angle. When we finally 246 00:11:57,840 --> 00:12:00,520 Speaker 1: knew what was happening with Patrick Mahomes, it was wild 247 00:12:00,640 --> 00:12:04,800 Speaker 1: roller coaster of a line in both total hand and 248 00:12:05,040 --> 00:12:09,040 Speaker 1: side um. It was one of those games where the 249 00:12:09,120 --> 00:12:12,280 Speaker 1: problem was when it comes to the refs. The problem 250 00:12:12,400 --> 00:12:17,080 Speaker 1: was it felt so much like New York was dictating 251 00:12:17,440 --> 00:12:22,080 Speaker 1: everything because it felt like so many calls were we're 252 00:12:22,120 --> 00:12:24,199 Speaker 1: going to okay, let's go to New York and get 253 00:12:24,200 --> 00:12:28,200 Speaker 1: the answer. And when that happens, even though I'm not 254 00:12:28,280 --> 00:12:31,160 Speaker 1: a big believer in you know that everything is planned 255 00:12:31,200 --> 00:12:36,679 Speaker 1: and dictated now, but when I say that, I am 256 00:12:36,760 --> 00:12:38,960 Speaker 1: you know, I know you're I know you're kidding, but 257 00:12:39,080 --> 00:12:42,840 Speaker 1: like people believe it, and like the Eagles was the worst, 258 00:12:43,120 --> 00:12:45,560 Speaker 1: the worst possible outcome from the sports books was the Eagles. 259 00:12:45,600 --> 00:12:48,199 Speaker 1: Chad talked about a nauseam. They were all the money 260 00:12:48,360 --> 00:12:51,560 Speaker 1: was on the Eagles and the killed so as much 261 00:12:51,559 --> 00:12:53,199 Speaker 1: as they we want to say, oh Vegas has this 262 00:12:53,360 --> 00:12:57,480 Speaker 1: rigg we just but it's not Vegas. It's not Vegas. 263 00:12:57,480 --> 00:13:00,400 Speaker 1: It's the league. And there's there's always going to be 264 00:13:01,200 --> 00:13:03,880 Speaker 1: people who believe the league is controlling what's happening on 265 00:13:03,920 --> 00:13:05,800 Speaker 1: the field with the refs. This was a game where 266 00:13:05,800 --> 00:13:09,560 Speaker 1: you could argue argue that you could you could make 267 00:13:10,679 --> 00:13:14,800 Speaker 1: evidence out of coincidence because so many things were happening 268 00:13:14,800 --> 00:13:17,640 Speaker 1: where they were calling the league for answers, and it 269 00:13:17,720 --> 00:13:19,880 Speaker 1: seemed like the league was giving the answer it needed 270 00:13:20,200 --> 00:13:23,000 Speaker 1: to keep one team or the other in the game, 271 00:13:23,120 --> 00:13:26,679 Speaker 1: likely Kansas City, and put them in a position to win. Um, 272 00:13:26,760 --> 00:13:31,800 Speaker 1: but look it's happened. Uh. The Super Bowl line opened, 273 00:13:32,600 --> 00:13:36,959 Speaker 1: I think Philadelphia. The I saw a plus one and 274 00:13:36,960 --> 00:13:39,520 Speaker 1: a half and I saw the total at forty nine 275 00:13:39,520 --> 00:13:42,800 Speaker 1: and a half. UM. I bet it Philadelphia plus one 276 00:13:42,800 --> 00:13:46,160 Speaker 1: and a half. Within minutes, it moved to Kansas City 277 00:13:46,160 --> 00:13:48,959 Speaker 1: plus one and a half. I bet Kansas City plus 278 00:13:48,960 --> 00:13:50,560 Speaker 1: one and a half. Then it was Kansas City plus 279 00:13:50,640 --> 00:13:53,920 Speaker 1: two and a half. I bet that total touched fifty 280 00:13:54,000 --> 00:13:56,679 Speaker 1: for a second, I bet the under four to nine 281 00:13:56,679 --> 00:13:58,839 Speaker 1: and a half. I'm saying what I bet you. I 282 00:13:58,880 --> 00:14:00,920 Speaker 1: want to get your response to all the US. Now 283 00:14:00,960 --> 00:14:06,160 Speaker 1: it's sort of settled in Philly minus two UM total 284 00:14:06,280 --> 00:14:08,240 Speaker 1: forty nine and a half. I'm looking at it right 285 00:14:08,280 --> 00:14:11,400 Speaker 1: now in the Action Network app. Hold on, I was 286 00:14:11,480 --> 00:14:13,199 Speaker 1: looking at it. Hold On, let me just look at 287 00:14:13,200 --> 00:14:16,480 Speaker 1: it right now. UM, get me out of this page here. 288 00:14:17,200 --> 00:14:21,760 Speaker 1: So yeah, fort to nine and a half UM consensus 289 00:14:23,000 --> 00:14:26,560 Speaker 1: well down to one and a half now Philadelphia, Yeah, 290 00:14:26,680 --> 00:14:30,760 Speaker 1: so getting interesting. The money can go all the way 291 00:14:30,760 --> 00:14:33,280 Speaker 1: in on Philly. Now I was starting to clawback on 292 00:14:33,360 --> 00:14:37,120 Speaker 1: Kansas City. Well, the public is will all the public 293 00:14:37,160 --> 00:14:38,880 Speaker 1: money will be the chiefs of my opinion. I know 294 00:14:38,920 --> 00:14:42,160 Speaker 1: the north, like the Eagles area of Philadelphia, Tri State area, 295 00:14:42,680 --> 00:14:44,560 Speaker 1: of course, that's gonna be Eagles money. But I think 296 00:14:44,600 --> 00:14:47,080 Speaker 1: the rest of the state they'll just be on the chiefs. 297 00:14:47,120 --> 00:14:49,720 Speaker 1: It's just there's a bunch of arguments about it. But 298 00:14:49,760 --> 00:14:52,520 Speaker 1: I feel like the simplest, simple man's argument will be 299 00:14:53,000 --> 00:14:55,160 Speaker 1: who have the Eagles played? And then they'll list all 300 00:14:55,160 --> 00:14:59,840 Speaker 1: the quarterbacks Eagles have faced. And my always my counter 301 00:14:59,840 --> 00:15:01,600 Speaker 1: to the people always be well, in your opinion that 302 00:15:01,720 --> 00:15:03,880 Speaker 1: there's probably five good quarterbacks in the whole league. Like 303 00:15:03,960 --> 00:15:07,200 Speaker 1: that's just how it is. So, yeah, the Eagles haven't 304 00:15:07,200 --> 00:15:10,000 Speaker 1: faced my Homes, they haven't faced Burrow, they haven't faced 305 00:15:10,040 --> 00:15:13,680 Speaker 1: Josh Allen, that they haven't faced Herbert, Like you can't 306 00:15:13,720 --> 00:15:17,040 Speaker 1: argue against that they haven't. But at the same time, 307 00:15:17,240 --> 00:15:20,120 Speaker 1: every week when people doubt them in these playoffs, what 308 00:15:20,200 --> 00:15:22,600 Speaker 1: have they done? They've blown these teams the funk out 309 00:15:22,760 --> 00:15:27,480 Speaker 1: like seven. Say what you want. It's like this team 310 00:15:27,560 --> 00:15:29,440 Speaker 1: is so good, and I just think, once again, it's 311 00:15:29,440 --> 00:15:31,800 Speaker 1: just gonna be the pros on the Eagles, and they'll 312 00:15:31,840 --> 00:15:33,760 Speaker 1: back this team just like they did with the Giants, 313 00:15:34,240 --> 00:15:36,400 Speaker 1: and the public will be all over the opposite team 314 00:15:36,440 --> 00:15:38,080 Speaker 1: that's gonna be a dog, which will be the chief 315 00:15:38,200 --> 00:15:40,240 Speaker 1: So coming into it, I knew it was gonna be 316 00:15:40,240 --> 00:15:42,680 Speaker 1: the Eagles, and it's simple thing we talked about in August. 317 00:15:42,880 --> 00:15:45,600 Speaker 1: I bet it's no secret. I've given you guys the 318 00:15:45,640 --> 00:15:47,040 Speaker 1: exact thing I look for. I look for a good 319 00:15:47,080 --> 00:15:49,640 Speaker 1: old line and a good defense. Coming into the year, 320 00:15:49,680 --> 00:15:51,880 Speaker 1: I had the Eagles graded as the top three defensive 321 00:15:51,880 --> 00:15:54,280 Speaker 1: line and then as my number one offensive line. The 322 00:15:54,360 --> 00:15:57,600 Speaker 1: number two offensive line was the Chiefs. There my second hight. 323 00:15:57,720 --> 00:16:01,280 Speaker 1: So to me, it's it's the dream here for me. Honestly, 324 00:16:01,400 --> 00:16:03,680 Speaker 1: like the Chiefs and the Eagles, I bet them both 325 00:16:03,680 --> 00:16:05,360 Speaker 1: to be one seed. Had big bets on them for 326 00:16:05,360 --> 00:16:08,360 Speaker 1: the Super Bowl. I didn't hedge Eagles because I just 327 00:16:08,440 --> 00:16:10,440 Speaker 1: never lost confidence and then beating the foreignercieres where I 328 00:16:10,480 --> 00:16:13,640 Speaker 1: did for my group, but personal wise, I didn't do anything. 329 00:16:13,680 --> 00:16:17,440 Speaker 1: I just let that ride. The Chiefs. I had huge 330 00:16:17,640 --> 00:16:20,240 Speaker 1: on the on Joe Burrow and that Bengals team because 331 00:16:20,280 --> 00:16:24,720 Speaker 1: I really did think this this, this might be a problem, 332 00:16:24,800 --> 00:16:27,520 Speaker 1: Like I I was worried about them Homes thing. Now, 333 00:16:27,560 --> 00:16:29,920 Speaker 1: if I that video of him hopping down those steps 334 00:16:29,920 --> 00:16:32,600 Speaker 1: at that press conference been coming out on Monday or Tuesday, 335 00:16:32,640 --> 00:16:35,240 Speaker 1: I probably wouldn't have bet as much on the Bengals team. 336 00:16:35,320 --> 00:16:38,240 Speaker 1: So basically, I took my eleven to one tickets I 337 00:16:38,280 --> 00:16:40,480 Speaker 1: had on the Chiefs from the summer, and now that's 338 00:16:40,520 --> 00:16:42,840 Speaker 1: down to six point five to one, so I'd be 339 00:16:43,040 --> 00:16:45,360 Speaker 1: I ate that. I mean, I'll own that. Where it's 340 00:16:45,400 --> 00:16:47,640 Speaker 1: like I just I should have hung in on my 341 00:16:47,640 --> 00:16:49,960 Speaker 1: my feeling on that Chiefs team, but I had so 342 00:16:50,040 --> 00:16:51,920 Speaker 1: much money and it's not just my money, it's like 343 00:16:51,960 --> 00:16:55,160 Speaker 1: my whole groups. I just had to make a decision 344 00:16:55,200 --> 00:16:59,080 Speaker 1: there Where, Um, the Eagles, if they win a chad, 345 00:16:59,200 --> 00:17:01,680 Speaker 1: I'm gonna be really well well off, like they're like 346 00:17:01,720 --> 00:17:05,639 Speaker 1: thirty five one and for most of the summer. So, um, 347 00:17:05,720 --> 00:17:09,359 Speaker 1: it's a dream here. It really is. Where the it's 348 00:17:09,400 --> 00:17:11,680 Speaker 1: it's really simple and basically what I'm telling you guys, 349 00:17:11,440 --> 00:17:15,040 Speaker 1: it holds true that if you have if the stress 350 00:17:15,080 --> 00:17:17,600 Speaker 1: of these teams are on the offensive line, and then 351 00:17:17,680 --> 00:17:19,880 Speaker 1: you have a guy like my Homes where it really 352 00:17:19,880 --> 00:17:22,040 Speaker 1: didn't matter you lost a Tyreek Kill. It really didn't 353 00:17:22,080 --> 00:17:24,280 Speaker 1: because this skill level is so high you can take 354 00:17:24,320 --> 00:17:27,560 Speaker 1: advantage of those situations. So it's just something we'll look 355 00:17:27,560 --> 00:17:29,320 Speaker 1: for in the future. Like we just got really lucky 356 00:17:29,359 --> 00:17:32,320 Speaker 1: this year. The public had overreacted to Denver, theyver reacted 357 00:17:32,359 --> 00:17:34,800 Speaker 1: to the Chargers, and we just got a crazy value 358 00:17:34,880 --> 00:17:38,080 Speaker 1: number on that Kansas City team. And on the flip 359 00:17:38,119 --> 00:17:40,879 Speaker 1: side of the the Eagles, we sit at NASA. They we 360 00:17:40,920 --> 00:17:44,120 Speaker 1: said they had the easiest schedule all year. So it 361 00:17:44,119 --> 00:17:46,920 Speaker 1: feels good come to this point knowing that I'm gonna 362 00:17:46,960 --> 00:17:48,680 Speaker 1: bet it. I was about to give a pick here, 363 00:17:49,320 --> 00:17:51,920 Speaker 1: but I just am very comfortable right now. Like that 364 00:17:52,000 --> 00:17:54,200 Speaker 1: was especially meeting with clients. Everyone's just feeling good where 365 00:17:54,240 --> 00:17:57,040 Speaker 1: it's like it never works this way. It's never this 366 00:17:57,240 --> 00:17:59,520 Speaker 1: easy that both teams you liked and you were high on, 367 00:18:00,000 --> 00:18:04,080 Speaker 1: that we're both one seeds make it to this point. So, um, 368 00:18:04,160 --> 00:18:06,160 Speaker 1: I don't know how you're feeling about this matchup, Chad. 369 00:18:06,280 --> 00:18:07,959 Speaker 1: I'm like, after I say what I'm gonna do, are 370 00:18:08,040 --> 00:18:11,040 Speaker 1: here your position, but it's scary, but I'm gonna go 371 00:18:11,040 --> 00:18:14,280 Speaker 1: against my homes. I look at this matchup and the 372 00:18:14,280 --> 00:18:18,040 Speaker 1: biggest thing to look for here is go through that 373 00:18:18,160 --> 00:18:21,959 Speaker 1: Chief's defense against run dominant teams. Look at how they 374 00:18:22,080 --> 00:18:24,560 Speaker 1: fared against teams that can run the ball. That's their 375 00:18:24,600 --> 00:18:28,920 Speaker 1: achilles hell and the biggest thing they have is my homes. 376 00:18:28,960 --> 00:18:31,800 Speaker 1: So to me, the Eagles could run for two hundred 377 00:18:32,400 --> 00:18:35,560 Speaker 1: and they can throw Mahomes off balance. That's the only 378 00:18:35,600 --> 00:18:37,560 Speaker 1: way they beat them. Because he's a killer. He's a 379 00:18:37,600 --> 00:18:40,159 Speaker 1: certified killer if you give him the same thing. If 380 00:18:40,160 --> 00:18:43,160 Speaker 1: they're tied going to that fourth quarter, it's dead that 381 00:18:43,160 --> 00:18:45,040 Speaker 1: it feels like that Eagles bedstead because I just can't 382 00:18:45,080 --> 00:18:47,320 Speaker 1: see my home is losing another super Bowl here like 383 00:18:47,400 --> 00:18:50,360 Speaker 1: that Tampa one. He's talked about it a lot. That's 384 00:18:50,400 --> 00:18:52,520 Speaker 1: really stuck with him. But we have the exact thing 385 00:18:52,520 --> 00:18:55,040 Speaker 1: we need here, Chad. We have our front four that 386 00:18:55,160 --> 00:18:57,679 Speaker 1: has killed two weeks in a row. They have killed quarterbacks. 387 00:18:57,880 --> 00:19:00,239 Speaker 1: And now they're getting against a gimpie Mahomes and an 388 00:19:00,280 --> 00:19:02,120 Speaker 1: offensive line that does give up hits. And we saw 389 00:19:02,200 --> 00:19:04,359 Speaker 1: in that game they needed a lot of holding told 390 00:19:04,359 --> 00:19:06,800 Speaker 1: off the Bengals defensive front that's not as good as 391 00:19:06,800 --> 00:19:11,160 Speaker 1: an Eagles defensive front. I promise you that. So early, early, 392 00:19:11,320 --> 00:19:14,119 Speaker 1: early thoughts right now is I've made a decent amount 393 00:19:14,119 --> 00:19:16,800 Speaker 1: of bets on these Eagles team. I've taken them, like 394 00:19:16,840 --> 00:19:18,400 Speaker 1: Chad to said, dropped the one and a half. I've 395 00:19:18,440 --> 00:19:21,480 Speaker 1: just been even today, even though I've been boozing, I'm 396 00:19:21,520 --> 00:19:23,359 Speaker 1: clear headed enough that I've been making the text and 397 00:19:23,400 --> 00:19:25,639 Speaker 1: making the call. It's just to get a nice starter 398 00:19:25,720 --> 00:19:27,560 Speaker 1: amount on this Egos team, because that's the position I 399 00:19:27,600 --> 00:19:30,640 Speaker 1: want to be on right now. If it if it 400 00:19:30,680 --> 00:19:32,880 Speaker 1: moves like it was going through the Chiefs to three, 401 00:19:33,480 --> 00:19:35,160 Speaker 1: that's my breaking point right now. I have this game 402 00:19:35,200 --> 00:19:37,160 Speaker 1: of minus three and I have a total of fifty 403 00:19:37,200 --> 00:19:39,040 Speaker 1: one and a half. So I'm an overbetter in this one, 404 00:19:39,080 --> 00:19:42,040 Speaker 1: and I like the Eagles side. That could change the 405 00:19:42,080 --> 00:19:44,840 Speaker 1: week goes alonger because I honestly have questions about Hurts. 406 00:19:45,080 --> 00:19:46,919 Speaker 1: His throwing didn't look that great in that game. I 407 00:19:46,920 --> 00:19:49,240 Speaker 1: think we all can agree on that he was overthrowing 408 00:19:49,280 --> 00:19:52,280 Speaker 1: guys who was throwing high on people. They eventually just 409 00:19:52,359 --> 00:19:55,639 Speaker 1: told him just to run it. And again against this 410 00:19:55,720 --> 00:19:59,280 Speaker 1: Chief's team, that's a huge, huge advantage. They don't like 411 00:19:59,400 --> 00:20:04,640 Speaker 1: running quarter x They've struggled against running quarterbacks historically, so um, 412 00:20:04,760 --> 00:20:06,639 Speaker 1: I'm waiting again, were info on that because every pro 413 00:20:06,760 --> 00:20:09,440 Speaker 1: in the world that's what they've text and talked to 414 00:20:09,480 --> 00:20:11,440 Speaker 1: me about there, like, what what do you think is 415 00:20:11,480 --> 00:20:13,760 Speaker 1: going on with Hurts? And I really don't know. I 416 00:20:13,800 --> 00:20:17,720 Speaker 1: do think the shoulder hasn't healed like we all played 417 00:20:17,760 --> 00:20:19,679 Speaker 1: it would, So it's hard to know because in the 418 00:20:19,720 --> 00:20:22,600 Speaker 1: Giants game he was making no throws and then the 419 00:20:22,600 --> 00:20:24,919 Speaker 1: guest sporting energy just wasn't. He made big throws like 420 00:20:24,960 --> 00:20:26,760 Speaker 1: they He kept them in that game early on when 421 00:20:26,760 --> 00:20:28,840 Speaker 1: it looked like it could go the other way. So um, 422 00:20:29,119 --> 00:20:31,159 Speaker 1: obviously I want more info. But yeah, for people in 423 00:20:31,200 --> 00:20:33,680 Speaker 1: my early early bets here, I mean, we're gonna be 424 00:20:33,680 --> 00:20:36,040 Speaker 1: talking about it for the next two weeks. But the 425 00:20:36,080 --> 00:20:39,680 Speaker 1: Eagles have so many advantages and matchuplies where the biggest 426 00:20:39,920 --> 00:20:42,800 Speaker 1: advantage for the Chiefs team is they're gonna be able 427 00:20:42,800 --> 00:20:44,360 Speaker 1: to throw the ball. I know the Eagles are ranked 428 00:20:44,359 --> 00:20:46,920 Speaker 1: on one past defense, but they will struggle against Andy 429 00:20:46,960 --> 00:20:49,879 Speaker 1: Reid offense. I've just I've seen the way their Eagles 430 00:20:49,960 --> 00:20:52,679 Speaker 1: run their scheme defensively, and he's gonna be able to 431 00:20:52,840 --> 00:20:55,159 Speaker 1: match up against it really well this team, so to me, 432 00:20:55,200 --> 00:20:57,200 Speaker 1: it's gonna be a high schooling back and forth game. 433 00:20:57,600 --> 00:20:59,320 Speaker 1: But I think the Eagles have the edge because of 434 00:20:59,320 --> 00:21:01,560 Speaker 1: that running the tab, they just they'll be able to 435 00:21:01,600 --> 00:21:04,520 Speaker 1: dominate against this Kansas City run defense. I have no 436 00:21:04,600 --> 00:21:06,520 Speaker 1: doubt we are going to be talking about it for 437 00:21:06,560 --> 00:21:09,600 Speaker 1: the next two weeks. This year, the only app you 438 00:21:09,640 --> 00:21:12,600 Speaker 1: need at your Super Bowl party is fan Duel, America's 439 00:21:12,680 --> 00:21:15,960 Speaker 1: number one sports book. 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Reminder we have a show 472 00:23:08,600 --> 00:23:13,560 Speaker 1: on Thursday, just looking at overall super Bowl Trends with 473 00:23:13,720 --> 00:23:17,479 Speaker 1: Matt Friedman from Fantasy Pros, former Action networker, and our 474 00:23:17,560 --> 00:23:20,200 Speaker 1: director of Research, Evan Abrams. You don't want to miss 475 00:23:20,240 --> 00:23:24,159 Speaker 1: Tuesday's show. That is when Chris Raybon and Sean Kroner, 476 00:23:24,920 --> 00:23:31,119 Speaker 1: who no joke, are the two best player projectionists in 477 00:23:31,160 --> 00:23:35,800 Speaker 1: the country, as graded by an independent organization, Fantasy Pros. 478 00:23:36,000 --> 00:23:40,120 Speaker 1: They look at everybody, Raybon and Kroner top five this year, 479 00:23:40,920 --> 00:23:43,600 Speaker 1: nobody better than they are. And if you didn't if 480 00:23:43,600 --> 00:23:45,840 Speaker 1: you didn't notice, last week we went six and Old 481 00:23:45,840 --> 00:23:50,159 Speaker 1: convinced me. With those guys, we went a lot together. 482 00:23:50,640 --> 00:23:53,520 Speaker 1: We went a lot together, and then Thursday, February nine, 483 00:23:53,520 --> 00:23:55,399 Speaker 1: we have a Super Bowl Best Bets with Brandon Anderson, 484 00:23:55,400 --> 00:23:57,560 Speaker 1: who's been crushing it with our Best Bets pot and 485 00:23:58,359 --> 00:24:03,399 Speaker 1: our Monday Action Network podcast. So, um, I'm sort of 486 00:24:03,440 --> 00:24:06,520 Speaker 1: all over the map right now. It's really tough. It's 487 00:24:07,480 --> 00:24:10,800 Speaker 1: only because I bet the Eagles is dogs. I bet 488 00:24:10,880 --> 00:24:13,960 Speaker 1: the Chiefs is dogs. We'll tell you this right now, 489 00:24:14,800 --> 00:24:18,280 Speaker 1: that BET's dead. There ain't no middles here the Super Bowl. 490 00:24:18,280 --> 00:24:21,280 Speaker 1: There ain't known medals. Brother, it's just we already talked 491 00:24:21,280 --> 00:24:23,359 Speaker 1: about it. I think it's happened one time that the 492 00:24:23,480 --> 00:24:26,320 Speaker 1: number in the whole history is landed under two, so 493 00:24:26,520 --> 00:24:28,399 Speaker 1: one game that's ever landed on that number. So I 494 00:24:28,400 --> 00:24:34,640 Speaker 1: would like a three game. I don't care. I don't 495 00:24:34,680 --> 00:24:39,320 Speaker 1: care who wins. Give me a n and a half games. 496 00:24:41,320 --> 00:24:43,120 Speaker 1: Don't do what he don't do what he's doing. People 497 00:24:43,160 --> 00:24:46,439 Speaker 1: don't try to middle this middle here. But so what 498 00:24:46,480 --> 00:24:48,560 Speaker 1: I'm trying to figure out right now, to be honest, 499 00:24:48,680 --> 00:24:55,120 Speaker 1: and I'm kind of playing the number here is and basically, 500 00:24:55,160 --> 00:24:58,720 Speaker 1: like you know, I bet a little bit more on 501 00:24:59,000 --> 00:25:01,119 Speaker 1: the Eagles that US one and a half then I 502 00:25:01,119 --> 00:25:03,600 Speaker 1: did on the Chiefs that plus two and a half. 503 00:25:04,280 --> 00:25:07,440 Speaker 1: I'm trying to figure out where I'm going to take 504 00:25:07,440 --> 00:25:10,560 Speaker 1: a stand. Uh. I want to take a stand on 505 00:25:10,600 --> 00:25:13,439 Speaker 1: the Eagles, even though I'm afraid of my homes. But 506 00:25:13,520 --> 00:25:15,320 Speaker 1: I'm also waiting for the number to come down because 507 00:25:15,359 --> 00:25:17,520 Speaker 1: I don't think I think two is the limit, and 508 00:25:17,560 --> 00:25:19,280 Speaker 1: I think it's going to be closer to pick as 509 00:25:19,320 --> 00:25:22,080 Speaker 1: we get closer to the game. It's fair. I just 510 00:25:22,119 --> 00:25:24,240 Speaker 1: have I have such a good pulse on both these teams. 511 00:25:24,240 --> 00:25:26,880 Speaker 1: I've just been all over them all season, and that's 512 00:25:26,920 --> 00:25:28,679 Speaker 1: why this feels a good dream snare because I know 513 00:25:28,720 --> 00:25:31,320 Speaker 1: exactly the strength of weakness of both teams, and it's 514 00:25:31,359 --> 00:25:34,120 Speaker 1: just this pick. It's scary once again because it feels 515 00:25:34,119 --> 00:25:35,720 Speaker 1: like last week for the Four, it feels like an 516 00:25:35,760 --> 00:25:39,400 Speaker 1: obvious easy pick. If the Four had won, I would 517 00:25:39,400 --> 00:25:41,120 Speaker 1: have been all over them because they would have ran 518 00:25:41,160 --> 00:25:44,560 Speaker 1: for two yards against this Chief's defense. It's the same 519 00:25:44,560 --> 00:25:46,760 Speaker 1: thing with this Egos team. It's both these teams are 520 00:25:46,760 --> 00:25:51,040 Speaker 1: built so perfectly against this Chief's team. But it's ugly, 521 00:25:51,119 --> 00:25:54,400 Speaker 1: that's born, that's not sexy. So everyone that's a public joe. 522 00:25:55,000 --> 00:25:59,000 Speaker 1: They're gonna take the generational best quarterback with the Chiefs. 523 00:25:59,000 --> 00:26:01,080 Speaker 1: It's just what they're gonna do. It's just a fun 524 00:26:01,320 --> 00:26:04,600 Speaker 1: What do you throw forward three hundred against the Bengals 525 00:26:04,840 --> 00:26:08,399 Speaker 1: and one freaking leg? Yeah I don't even think Hurts 526 00:26:08,400 --> 00:26:10,280 Speaker 1: broke a hundred yards. Team might have, but it felt 527 00:26:10,280 --> 00:26:12,680 Speaker 1: that way in that game where it's like they just 528 00:26:13,520 --> 00:26:15,399 Speaker 1: this team is so good they don't even need to 529 00:26:15,440 --> 00:26:18,280 Speaker 1: throw it, but it's there, like a j and DeVante 530 00:26:18,359 --> 00:26:20,960 Speaker 1: Smith were both open a lot. I guess who has 531 00:26:20,960 --> 00:26:24,520 Speaker 1: a really young, inexperienced secondary the Chiefs. So there's just 532 00:26:24,560 --> 00:26:26,520 Speaker 1: so many little matchups. I love it for the Eagles, 533 00:26:26,560 --> 00:26:29,920 Speaker 1: but The most exciting part for me is that the 534 00:26:30,280 --> 00:26:33,359 Speaker 1: Chiefs easily easily could blow out this Eagles team. You 535 00:26:33,400 --> 00:26:37,120 Speaker 1: saw hurts he those lights were a little bright there, 536 00:26:37,280 --> 00:26:39,159 Speaker 1: like early on you could just tell, like again, if 537 00:26:39,160 --> 00:26:45,159 Speaker 1: we didn't get like over, yeah, he was not he 538 00:26:45,240 --> 00:26:48,879 Speaker 1: was not playing well. By the way, for a hundred 539 00:26:48,880 --> 00:26:55,200 Speaker 1: and twenty one yards was yes. So it's say, I'm 540 00:26:55,280 --> 00:26:57,960 Speaker 1: praying it's Jitter's chat, Like I honestly wanted to be Jitters, 541 00:26:58,040 --> 00:27:00,960 Speaker 1: not the injury because they can hear that like that, 542 00:27:00,960 --> 00:27:02,920 Speaker 1: that that feeling he had. It feels like he worked 543 00:27:02,960 --> 00:27:05,840 Speaker 1: through it through the game as the game went along. There. Man, 544 00:27:05,920 --> 00:27:08,320 Speaker 1: you can't be having that against his Chiefs team. Like 545 00:27:08,440 --> 00:27:12,360 Speaker 1: my homes we we're gonna talk about he's the he's 546 00:27:12,400 --> 00:27:14,960 Speaker 1: the best quarterback of this generation. He's just that guy. 547 00:27:15,080 --> 00:27:19,239 Speaker 1: I mean, five straight conference championship games was mental. The 548 00:27:19,280 --> 00:27:20,840 Speaker 1: fact that he was able to do it and make 549 00:27:20,880 --> 00:27:24,840 Speaker 1: it back to the super Bowl after just a lot 550 00:27:24,880 --> 00:27:27,159 Speaker 1: of questions, I mean with like people don't remember, but 551 00:27:27,160 --> 00:27:29,440 Speaker 1: the tire kill thing was real. People are really questioning 552 00:27:29,520 --> 00:27:32,159 Speaker 1: this team in this offense, how different they were gonna be, 553 00:27:32,160 --> 00:27:34,360 Speaker 1: and how he was gonna struggle. They're like you know what, 554 00:27:34,480 --> 00:27:36,000 Speaker 1: maybe he was just as good as he was because 555 00:27:36,040 --> 00:27:39,080 Speaker 1: of Tyre Kill. No, both of them are the best 556 00:27:39,080 --> 00:27:40,960 Speaker 1: of the best. Like it didn't matter. Tyre Kill went 557 00:27:41,320 --> 00:27:43,399 Speaker 1: at his career year in Miami. My home was at 558 00:27:43,400 --> 00:27:45,560 Speaker 1: his career year this year with the you know, m 559 00:27:45,640 --> 00:27:47,880 Speaker 1: v P, I think he's I think it's everything you've 560 00:27:47,880 --> 00:27:49,639 Speaker 1: read from these writers, it seems like he is the 561 00:27:49,680 --> 00:27:52,600 Speaker 1: m v P. So he's winning the MVP. There's no doubt. 562 00:27:53,359 --> 00:27:57,320 Speaker 1: So that's another bonus to be an Eagles backer. People. Again, 563 00:27:57,320 --> 00:27:58,520 Speaker 1: I don't want to step on ed and I'm going 564 00:27:58,560 --> 00:28:00,320 Speaker 1: to try not to do the trends. Today. We waited 565 00:28:00,400 --> 00:28:02,159 Speaker 1: till our guy Evan tells us about the m v 566 00:28:02,200 --> 00:28:04,200 Speaker 1: P history of the league and how many Super Bowls 567 00:28:04,240 --> 00:28:07,440 Speaker 1: they've won. So I'm telling you, I'm fling good chat 568 00:28:07,440 --> 00:28:09,280 Speaker 1: about the Eagles. But I'm trying to stay calm because 569 00:28:09,280 --> 00:28:10,639 Speaker 1: we have a lot of time here and I've been 570 00:28:10,720 --> 00:28:14,800 Speaker 1: drinking for fourty hours. But the vibe highs they can 571 00:28:14,840 --> 00:28:17,480 Speaker 1: be right now. This team, it's incredible, how good of 572 00:28:17,480 --> 00:28:20,000 Speaker 1: a team, how he's built, and yet people will still 573 00:28:20,040 --> 00:28:22,360 Speaker 1: doubt like that after that four Irons game, you heard 574 00:28:22,359 --> 00:28:24,560 Speaker 1: all the doubt they said even Kittle, So it was 575 00:28:24,600 --> 00:28:27,359 Speaker 1: a bummer. We didn't have a quarterback out there. It's like, brother, 576 00:28:27,359 --> 00:28:29,679 Speaker 1: whoever you put back there was gonna get killed like that. 577 00:28:29,960 --> 00:28:33,480 Speaker 1: The Eagles were ten all Reddick had two strip sacks 578 00:28:33,480 --> 00:28:36,080 Speaker 1: in their first quarter. Would you think was gonna happen 579 00:28:36,119 --> 00:28:37,800 Speaker 1: the rest of the game. They clearly saw something on 580 00:28:37,840 --> 00:28:41,200 Speaker 1: film and we're abusing it attacking it. So um, there's 581 00:28:41,240 --> 00:28:43,520 Speaker 1: a reason the Eagles team has the most sacks in 582 00:28:43,560 --> 00:28:46,360 Speaker 1: the history of the NFL. Now, I believe through a season, 583 00:28:46,400 --> 00:28:49,360 Speaker 1: just because we had the extra game and they've just 584 00:28:49,400 --> 00:28:52,000 Speaker 1: been dominant these playoffs. I mean, Daniel Jones got abused 585 00:28:52,040 --> 00:28:54,040 Speaker 1: in his first game the Giants against US, and we 586 00:28:54,120 --> 00:28:57,360 Speaker 1: just saw the injured two quarterbacks. So I love Mahomes, 587 00:28:57,360 --> 00:29:00,320 Speaker 1: loved his Chief's team. The biggest edge right now, my 588 00:29:00,400 --> 00:29:03,400 Speaker 1: opinion is the Egos offensive line, Egos defensive line. They 589 00:29:03,440 --> 00:29:06,880 Speaker 1: both are better match up wise than the Chiefs have. 590 00:29:07,040 --> 00:29:14,360 Speaker 1: So Lane Johnson has been amazing, Like watching him defend 591 00:29:14,640 --> 00:29:18,880 Speaker 1: against Nick Bosa in that game. They had so many 592 00:29:18,960 --> 00:29:21,719 Speaker 1: highlights where he would just stand the guy up, he 593 00:29:21,800 --> 00:29:25,080 Speaker 1: was moving his feet. Nick Bosa could not get around him. 594 00:29:26,040 --> 00:29:30,560 Speaker 1: When two of your five starters on the offensive line 595 00:29:31,400 --> 00:29:36,880 Speaker 1: are bona fide Hall of famers um. And when you've 596 00:29:36,920 --> 00:29:42,160 Speaker 1: got all pro caliber players at every level of the defense, 597 00:29:44,440 --> 00:29:49,160 Speaker 1: it's so interesting because the Eagles become clearly the right side. 598 00:29:50,000 --> 00:29:54,560 Speaker 1: I'm only worried about Patrick Mahomes, Like, I just how 599 00:29:54,640 --> 00:29:57,800 Speaker 1: do you bet against Patrick Mahomes in this game? But 600 00:29:57,880 --> 00:29:59,760 Speaker 1: it isn't a very talent in the books make him 601 00:29:59,760 --> 00:30:03,000 Speaker 1: a dog. They didn't want to. They made him a favorite. 602 00:30:03,080 --> 00:30:05,160 Speaker 1: They let the pros dictate how that number it was 603 00:30:05,160 --> 00:30:08,680 Speaker 1: gonna swing, and they moved it quick, like literally, when 604 00:30:08,680 --> 00:30:11,320 Speaker 1: I'm getting these texts relaying them to people, it was 605 00:30:11,360 --> 00:30:12,720 Speaker 1: just hilarious. I sent it to him the number to 606 00:30:12,760 --> 00:30:15,040 Speaker 1: already moved from whatever it was plus one fifty now 607 00:30:15,160 --> 00:30:17,520 Speaker 1: is just a hundred even, And it was like, you 608 00:30:17,520 --> 00:30:19,880 Speaker 1: guys are too slow, Like these numbers are moving. People 609 00:30:19,880 --> 00:30:22,400 Speaker 1: are pouring money, and so the books are smart. They 610 00:30:22,440 --> 00:30:24,400 Speaker 1: limited it, like they didn't even get that much money. 611 00:30:24,440 --> 00:30:26,360 Speaker 1: Let that much money get down the Eagles as a dog. 612 00:30:26,440 --> 00:30:28,760 Speaker 1: But I don't think it'll be like last week. I 613 00:30:28,760 --> 00:30:30,920 Speaker 1: can't see this number of flipping three points again. I 614 00:30:30,920 --> 00:30:33,880 Speaker 1: think the movement's happened the worst. The lower cell get 615 00:30:33,880 --> 00:30:36,600 Speaker 1: maybe is that will pick um or you know, it 616 00:30:36,640 --> 00:30:38,360 Speaker 1: never knows. It could go back to where it open 617 00:30:38,440 --> 00:30:42,280 Speaker 1: that minus one Chiefs or whatever it was. Um. I 618 00:30:42,440 --> 00:30:45,840 Speaker 1: just I just can't see it happened. This feels like 619 00:30:45,880 --> 00:30:48,360 Speaker 1: the pros are gonna keep the Eagles as the favorite 620 00:30:48,440 --> 00:30:50,560 Speaker 1: because once once they move again to the dog, that's 621 00:30:50,600 --> 00:30:52,160 Speaker 1: where the value is going to be from most of them. 622 00:30:52,200 --> 00:30:54,280 Speaker 1: So yeah, I think, I think I think it gets 623 00:30:54,320 --> 00:30:56,680 Speaker 1: back to Pick. I do like the fact that it's 624 00:30:56,720 --> 00:31:02,360 Speaker 1: already Look it's Tuesday, Yeah, and the line has been 625 00:31:02,520 --> 00:31:08,000 Speaker 1: up for not even forty eight hours, and uh it's 626 00:31:08,040 --> 00:31:11,240 Speaker 1: gone from Eagles plus one and a half to Eagles 627 00:31:11,280 --> 00:31:15,840 Speaker 1: minus two now back down to Eagles might and half. 628 00:31:16,360 --> 00:31:18,600 Speaker 1: Like all of the public money is going to come 629 00:31:18,600 --> 00:31:21,680 Speaker 1: in on the Chiefs. It's getting back to pick. I'm 630 00:31:21,720 --> 00:31:24,480 Speaker 1: gonna wait. I want to I want to take a stand. 631 00:31:24,520 --> 00:31:26,840 Speaker 1: It's the super Bowl. You want to take a stand. 632 00:31:27,520 --> 00:31:29,160 Speaker 1: Part of me also wants to wait and see what 633 00:31:29,280 --> 00:31:31,520 Speaker 1: Raybond and Croner say about the props. The prop market 634 00:31:31,560 --> 00:31:35,840 Speaker 1: opened much sooner than than historically it has because maybe 635 00:31:35,840 --> 00:31:38,000 Speaker 1: the value wasn't playing these props instead of playing the 636 00:31:38,040 --> 00:31:40,000 Speaker 1: side you don't have to play a side in the 637 00:31:40,040 --> 00:31:43,840 Speaker 1: Super Bowl, you play where the best value is. Yeah, 638 00:31:43,880 --> 00:31:45,400 Speaker 1: I mean unless you're talking to a guy who's nine 639 00:31:45,400 --> 00:31:48,040 Speaker 1: and oh in Super Bowl against the spread. And I've 640 00:31:48,120 --> 00:31:50,400 Speaker 1: last three years, I got podcast people, we'll listen to me, 641 00:31:50,440 --> 00:31:53,080 Speaker 1: and Chad nailed the spread every year. So I just 642 00:31:53,160 --> 00:31:55,800 Speaker 1: I'm feeling good, Chad. This one feels easy. It feels 643 00:31:55,840 --> 00:31:58,000 Speaker 1: easy like the NFC, no matter what, was going to 644 00:31:58,080 --> 00:32:00,080 Speaker 1: be the side for me because even the bank is 645 00:32:00,160 --> 00:32:03,600 Speaker 1: is all the hype they're getting, they have major issues 646 00:32:03,640 --> 00:32:06,160 Speaker 1: that both the Eagles and the Foretners we're gonna be exploit. 647 00:32:06,200 --> 00:32:07,880 Speaker 1: I just thought that was gonna be the big advantage. 648 00:32:07,920 --> 00:32:10,760 Speaker 1: So feeling good, brother, I really am. I just feel 649 00:32:10,840 --> 00:32:13,520 Speaker 1: like they're just people are just so down in the NFC, 650 00:32:13,600 --> 00:32:15,880 Speaker 1: where that to me was the better conference all year. 651 00:32:15,960 --> 00:32:17,960 Speaker 1: They have the better teams, not the better quarterbacks. So 652 00:32:18,080 --> 00:32:20,200 Speaker 1: that's what public cares about. They just care about the 653 00:32:20,240 --> 00:32:25,440 Speaker 1: quarterback position. So before we get out of here, reminder 654 00:32:26,200 --> 00:32:30,080 Speaker 1: Trends with Freedman, Matt Freedman and Evan Abrams Thursday, February 655 00:32:30,160 --> 00:32:33,560 Speaker 1: two Props. Next Tuesday, week from Today with Ray Bond 656 00:32:33,600 --> 00:32:37,120 Speaker 1: and Croner. Best Bets with Brandon Anderson. I think we'll 657 00:32:37,160 --> 00:32:43,360 Speaker 1: give our exact decision, Simon says, foxhold big balls on 658 00:32:43,440 --> 00:32:46,640 Speaker 1: Thursday February nine, when we have more intel in the game, 659 00:32:46,720 --> 00:32:49,800 Speaker 1: markets are settling in, we've had more time to analyze. 660 00:32:50,800 --> 00:32:52,560 Speaker 1: I mean, clearly you're gonna be on the Eagles and 661 00:32:52,600 --> 00:32:57,520 Speaker 1: that's going to be something. Um but which last year 662 00:32:57,560 --> 00:33:00,160 Speaker 1: I think we um which I might do this year? 663 00:33:00,200 --> 00:33:02,959 Speaker 1: We went four and oh on sides and totals. We 664 00:33:03,040 --> 00:33:08,680 Speaker 1: did Rams first half, Bengals full game. Uh, under first 665 00:33:08,720 --> 00:33:10,960 Speaker 1: half and under full game last year, I believe, so 666 00:33:11,400 --> 00:33:13,160 Speaker 1: we'll maybe we'll do something like that again. I'll try 667 00:33:13,200 --> 00:33:15,240 Speaker 1: to do a first half and give a total first 668 00:33:15,240 --> 00:33:18,800 Speaker 1: half because people seem to enjoy that. Hey, by the way, 669 00:33:19,400 --> 00:33:24,160 Speaker 1: we also nailed Chiefs first half and Bengal second half. Yeah, 670 00:33:24,280 --> 00:33:28,080 Speaker 1: that was nice. Action Island this past week, we were 671 00:33:28,080 --> 00:33:33,760 Speaker 1: all over this game. Nailed it. Um uh. So that's 672 00:33:33,760 --> 00:33:37,120 Speaker 1: what That's when we'll give out sort of our best 673 00:33:37,160 --> 00:33:40,400 Speaker 1: bets is Thursday February nine. Unless we're starting to feel 674 00:33:40,440 --> 00:33:42,720 Speaker 1: like lines are moving in a way that we need 675 00:33:42,760 --> 00:33:46,080 Speaker 1: to give you the information immediately, which is why you 676 00:33:46,160 --> 00:33:51,240 Speaker 1: subscribe to the Favorites Feed. Subscribe to the favorites feed 677 00:33:51,760 --> 00:33:55,600 Speaker 1: get it all faster, um before I before we get 678 00:33:55,600 --> 00:33:57,280 Speaker 1: out of here, before you get back to your party 679 00:33:57,320 --> 00:34:01,760 Speaker 1: in ways in Manchester and you go to your all 680 00:34:01,880 --> 00:34:07,800 Speaker 1: star concert with the Stone Roses. Um, Uh, where do 681 00:34:07,840 --> 00:34:12,080 Speaker 1: you have this game power rated that right now? Uh? 682 00:34:12,320 --> 00:34:13,400 Speaker 1: What do you mean? Like? What do what do I 683 00:34:13,440 --> 00:34:15,960 Speaker 1: make the number? That's why I said, I make a 684 00:34:16,000 --> 00:34:19,839 Speaker 1: minus three and make I make the total fifty one 685 00:34:19,840 --> 00:34:22,319 Speaker 1: and a half. So that I'll tell you. I'll tell 686 00:34:22,320 --> 00:34:24,640 Speaker 1: you everyone else right now, every other one else I 687 00:34:24,680 --> 00:34:28,120 Speaker 1: work with at the Action, they got a power rated 688 00:34:28,160 --> 00:34:30,719 Speaker 1: towards the Chiefs right now, and they got a power 689 00:34:30,840 --> 00:34:33,279 Speaker 1: rated towards the Under. So once again I'm gonna I'm 690 00:34:33,280 --> 00:34:35,160 Speaker 1: gonna cheat takering and see if I'm way off and 691 00:34:35,239 --> 00:34:39,759 Speaker 1: update everything. Um, but it just seems like the Pros 692 00:34:39,960 --> 00:34:42,200 Speaker 1: they like, they like the Chiefs, they like the Under 693 00:34:42,360 --> 00:34:45,759 Speaker 1: and it's it's feeling a little interesting going into it 694 00:34:45,800 --> 00:34:47,680 Speaker 1: where it's just I just wance again to take these 695 00:34:47,680 --> 00:34:50,160 Speaker 1: people a under essuting the sequels team. So it's gonna 696 00:34:50,160 --> 00:34:51,640 Speaker 1: be fun having all these other people on the show 697 00:34:51,719 --> 00:34:54,040 Speaker 1: here what their opinions are, because I could sweat like 698 00:34:54,080 --> 00:34:57,359 Speaker 1: it's one of those things where Um, if I hear 699 00:34:57,480 --> 00:35:00,400 Speaker 1: enough right data and it matches what what I think 700 00:35:00,440 --> 00:35:02,759 Speaker 1: the Chiefs could do, I could move to that side. 701 00:35:02,800 --> 00:35:04,840 Speaker 1: But right now, I do think the Eagles should be 702 00:35:04,880 --> 00:35:08,480 Speaker 1: minus three. They're just a better team collectively. But I've 703 00:35:08,480 --> 00:35:10,319 Speaker 1: assu Ma Holmes is the X factor. He's gonna be 704 00:35:10,320 --> 00:35:13,120 Speaker 1: the best player on the field, So can you can't 705 00:35:13,120 --> 00:35:14,920 Speaker 1: ask for a better matchup. Both guys were in the 706 00:35:14,960 --> 00:35:17,640 Speaker 1: finals MVP voting. Hurts would have been right there with 707 00:35:17,680 --> 00:35:19,640 Speaker 1: him if he didn't get hurt and missed those games. 708 00:35:19,680 --> 00:35:22,279 Speaker 1: So you could say it's a pretty boring year, right 709 00:35:22,320 --> 00:35:24,760 Speaker 1: both one seed to make it, but I think everyone 710 00:35:24,800 --> 00:35:27,440 Speaker 1: agreed both these teams are the best team for both conference. 711 00:35:27,480 --> 00:35:29,719 Speaker 1: You can't really ask for much more than that. Gonna 712 00:35:29,719 --> 00:35:33,080 Speaker 1: be an amazing game. We're super excited about it, Simon, 713 00:35:33,480 --> 00:35:37,320 Speaker 1: I want you to have a grand old time being 714 00:35:37,360 --> 00:35:43,480 Speaker 1: being in England. Cheerio mate for the Favorites podcast, I 715 00:35:43,520 --> 00:35:46,880 Speaker 1: am Shad Millman. He is Simon Hunter, producer Matt Mitchell. 716 00:35:47,600 --> 00:35:50,439 Speaker 1: We're back for the next two weeks. Got a great 717 00:35:50,480 --> 00:35:53,719 Speaker 1: lineup of shows before the Super Bowl. UH Listen to 718 00:35:53,840 --> 00:35:59,000 Speaker 1: us on Spotify on Apple Podcasts, Rate Review, Subscribe, subscribe 719 00:35:59,160 --> 00:36:02,920 Speaker 1: to the fay Ritz feed. I'm telling you, people begging you. 720 00:36:03,320 --> 00:36:08,120 Speaker 1: Subscribe to the favorite feed. Until next time, I Love you. 721 00:36:13,080 --> 00:36:17,239 Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or 722 00:36:17,280 --> 00:36:20,280 Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is available. 723 00:36:20,920 --> 00:36:22,680 Speaker 1: Seven gambler