WEBVTT - Delta Sees Robust Demand Going Into 2026 Amid Premium Focus 

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<v Speaker 2>Delta Airlines came out some better expected results for the quarter,

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<v Speaker 2>saying that helped by leisure travelers and a rebounding corporate travel.

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<v Speaker 2>How about that, said Philip joins us. He's deputy team

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<v Speaker 2>leader for Global Aviation. Join us live here in our

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<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg Interactive Brokers studio. Are we kind of back to

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<v Speaker 2>pre pandemic levels in terms of air travel?

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<v Speaker 3>Also, there is a Dichoto me in the aviation industry

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<v Speaker 3>at the moment where we're seeing airlines profitability, especially at

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<v Speaker 3>the top end of the market in the premium and

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<v Speaker 3>corporate sector. So they're doing really well. So Delta air Lines,

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<v Speaker 3>United Airlines doing really well. At the other end of

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<v Speaker 3>the market, does the the likes of Spirit Airlines that's

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<v Speaker 3>in its second bankruptcy. You've got the other sort of

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<v Speaker 3>low cost carriers that are struggling to fill up seats,

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<v Speaker 3>and that's partly on account of the fact that low

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<v Speaker 3>cost carriers their customer base is still hurting from the

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<v Speaker 3>sort of tariffs and the economic uncertainty, whereas for the

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<v Speaker 3>top end of the market, they seem to be traveling

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<v Speaker 3>and as normal.

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<v Speaker 4>Actually, yeah, it's the manifestation of the key shaped economy

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<v Speaker 4>right where the higher income consumer is doing much better

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<v Speaker 4>than the lower end consumer.

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<v Speaker 5>The CEO of Delta at Bastion said.

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<v Speaker 4>In the earnings report that our customer is financially in

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<v Speaker 4>a good spot. Said, who exactly is Delta's customer because

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<v Speaker 4>it's not the same as you said as for instance,

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<v Speaker 4>Spirit or Southwest or even you can argue United, sure.

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<v Speaker 3>I mean Delta air Lines. I mean they frequently talk

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<v Speaker 3>about how their customer is in the sort of average

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<v Speaker 3>of over one hundred thousand earnings in one hundred thousand

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<v Speaker 3>dollars a year in terms of earnings, and they sort

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<v Speaker 3>of are looking for experiences. They're looking to sort of

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<v Speaker 3>travel premium. They're not looking to sort of go coach

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<v Speaker 3>and sort of nickel and dime their way through the

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<v Speaker 3>aviation experience. And they're sort of more willing to splurge

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<v Speaker 3>on experiences. And that's sort of the post pandemic revenge

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<v Speaker 3>traveler who is now continuing to sort of spend money

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<v Speaker 3>on travel, and they seem to be suggesting that airlines

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<v Speaker 3>are willing. People are willing to keep going and keep

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<v Speaker 3>traveling and keep spending money on experiences and holidays.

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<v Speaker 2>If United beach their numbers this quarter, it's because what

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<v Speaker 2>I spent ticket or really spared no expense to get

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<v Speaker 2>over there, I needed the rest. Talk to us about

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<v Speaker 2>just visibility. These airlines they put they have some pretty

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<v Speaker 2>decent visibility on on their bookings.

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<v Speaker 5>So they do.

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<v Speaker 3>They've been talking about how the visibility into the into

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<v Speaker 3>the holiday quarta, into the fourth quarter of the year

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<v Speaker 3>is looking good at the moment they see they're seeing

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<v Speaker 3>demand being strong as they get into the close of

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<v Speaker 3>the year, and that's at least. Delta Airlines is talking

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<v Speaker 3>about how they expect corporate travel to continue to be

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<v Speaker 3>so a solid and robust in twenty twenty six. Are

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<v Speaker 3>saying that companies that they surveyed are seeing continued appetite

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<v Speaker 3>for corporate travels. So it remains to be seeing what

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<v Speaker 3>actually materializes. I mean, airlines had massive forecasts for record

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<v Speaker 3>growth this year and then sort of liberation they came

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<v Speaker 3>around and that sort of torpedo that and they've now

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<v Speaker 3>sort of come back to those levels, but will remains

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<v Speaker 3>as be seeing what surprises come out next year.

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<v Speaker 4>I'm so glad you bring that up because earlier this

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<v Speaker 4>year Delta warned of an abrupt slowdown or I don't

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<v Speaker 4>know that it actually saw when it just said it

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<v Speaker 4>kind of was seeing it on the horizon. Has that

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<v Speaker 4>been completely a race and turned around?

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<v Speaker 3>Now for the moment, it does look like it is smooth,

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<v Speaker 3>smooth skies for them. But at the same time, we

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<v Speaker 3>don't really know what's going to happen in the current

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<v Speaker 3>economic environment or what demand looks like as we go

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<v Speaker 3>into twenty twenty six, and that's something that we need

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<v Speaker 3>to watch as the airline sort of report their fourth

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<v Speaker 3>quarter results and sort of about their future vocalsts.

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<v Speaker 2>What are the big airlines, the big ones you mentioned

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<v Speaker 2>United Deltas. What are they doing with capacity? Are they

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<v Speaker 2>adding capacity trimming it back? I mean, I don't know

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<v Speaker 2>if they're doing with routes. I don't know if they

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<v Speaker 2>have enough planes, all that kind of stuff.

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<v Speaker 3>So they have been so Delta has been adding capacity,

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<v Speaker 3>They've been retiring older planes and taking on new planes,

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<v Speaker 3>and so they seem to be adding a little bit

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<v Speaker 3>of capacity.

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<v Speaker 5>And we're also.

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<v Speaker 3>Seeing, like so United talk about how they are upgrading

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<v Speaker 3>their fleet. They're replacing their old aircraft with seven eighty

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<v Speaker 3>seven's and Maxes, and so we are seeing the US

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<v Speaker 3>carriers upgrade their fleets, and that's sort of adding more capacity,

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<v Speaker 3>especially as they upgate aircraft, so they sort of replace

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<v Speaker 3>smaller narrow bodies with the larger eight three twenty one

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<v Speaker 3>or the Max nine, and that sort of adds more

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<v Speaker 3>seats and more capacity. But then at the same time,

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<v Speaker 3>they're also premiumizing the cabins, so they're adding more business

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<v Speaker 3>class cabins and more premium economy than they ever did before.

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<v Speaker 5>Premiumizing. That is a new word. I had not heard

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<v Speaker 5>of it.

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<v Speaker 2>But economy coming back from Italy was actually like the

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<v Speaker 2>old first class in terms of really I was shocked

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<v Speaker 2>at how much room there was this.

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<v Speaker 5>How how far back can you recline?

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<v Speaker 6>Just the normal one?

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, but it was just way more like mouse And

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<v Speaker 2>it wasn't that much money. It was a couple hundred

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<v Speaker 2>bucks to uperate, So that was pretty interesting.

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<v Speaker 4>No, and that's that's a big part of Delta's push right,

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<v Speaker 4>pushing these premium products in the cabin.

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<v Speaker 5>What about on the ground.

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<v Speaker 4>What is Delta doing on the ground to really harness

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<v Speaker 4>its customers desire for a premium experience.

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<v Speaker 3>So they bartnering with they have that partnership with Uber

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<v Speaker 3>the they've sort of added more of those Delta one lounges,

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<v Speaker 3>and they're sort of doing those credit card partnerships, and

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<v Speaker 3>those are all sort of ways to keep customers sticky

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<v Speaker 3>and keep them engaged because, I mean, the moment you're

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<v Speaker 3>sort of signed into the ecosystem, you're more likely to

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<v Speaker 3>book with them and sort of not really use price

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<v Speaker 3>comparison websites. You're more likely to sort of keep.

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<v Speaker 5>Going customer for life kind of thing.

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<v Speaker 2>Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live

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<v Speaker 1>weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple, Coarclay, and Android

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<v Speaker 2>You know, I'm a coke guy. Be with PEPSI in

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<v Speaker 2>front of me. Fine, I'm just as happy I can

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<v Speaker 2>realize it. But Ken Chase. He follows this stuff for living.

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<v Speaker 2>Ken Chase, the senior consumer products analysts of Bloomberg Intelligence. Pepsi,

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<v Speaker 2>reported some numbers a little bit better than expected. Here, Ken,

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<v Speaker 2>tell us what you heard from our good friends at PEPSI.

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah, Hi, Paul, Well, PepsiCo report a number today, numbers

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<v Speaker 6>today that we're pretty much in line, maybe a little

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<v Speaker 6>bit above expectations. But I think they also masked persistent

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<v Speaker 6>weak market conditions of the US across its broad food, snack,

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<v Speaker 6>and beverage businesses. The company pretty much, you know, hit

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<v Speaker 6>their numbers, as I said, but it didn't do much

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<v Speaker 6>to relieve the pressure it's getting from activists, an activist

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<v Speaker 6>who's asking the company to do more. Basically, flat performance

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<v Speaker 6>is just not good enough for something that's perceived or

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<v Speaker 6>a company that's perceived as a growth company. I guess

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<v Speaker 6>the good news is their language during the call, though,

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<v Speaker 6>did provide investors a bit of optimism. It sounds like

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<v Speaker 6>the company is getting it. They said they're going to

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<v Speaker 6>ramp up innovation, they're going to be more aggressive with

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<v Speaker 6>cost cutting. They're listening to the activist points and they

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<v Speaker 6>said buy a Laerds. They agree with many of them.

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<v Speaker 6>So those are all, you know, good things to hear.

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<v Speaker 6>You know, from an investor point of view, it's just

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<v Speaker 6>a matter of executing and actually following through with them,

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<v Speaker 6>I think is where the jury is out.

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<v Speaker 4>So I guess ken the question is is this enough

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<v Speaker 4>for Elliott the activist semester which took about a four

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<v Speaker 4>billion dollar steak in PepsiCo and called for a strategic

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<v Speaker 4>review a streamlining of a snack portfolio in particular, Well.

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<v Speaker 6>I think think the CEO of PepsiCo mentioned that they

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<v Speaker 6>are on the same page on a lot of fronts,

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<v Speaker 6>but what they didn't say is one of the big

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<v Speaker 6>things that Elliott is calling for is basically, you know,

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<v Speaker 6>the beverage business to refranchise itself, sort of what Coca

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<v Speaker 6>Cola does, to let the bottlers be independent rather than

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<v Speaker 6>own those very capital intentsive businesses. They didn't go there.

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<v Speaker 6>I'm sure that's going to be a big sticky point.

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<v Speaker 6>What they are in agreement, though, is that innovation is

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<v Speaker 6>needed to be even more on Trent. You know, I

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<v Speaker 6>covered PepsiCo. I've covered PepsiCo for a long time. They

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<v Speaker 6>are probably on the forefront of the most innovative companies

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<v Speaker 6>across the beverage world that I cover, and yet they're

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<v Speaker 6>even ramping it up even more aggressively across food, aggressively

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<v Speaker 6>across beverage to be as on trend as possible. And

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<v Speaker 6>on that note, you know, Bloomberg Intelligence came out with

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<v Speaker 6>its annual consumer Beverage survey just on Monday, and some

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<v Speaker 6>of the big findings that we're seeing is that advanced,

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<v Speaker 6>high duration, wellness, and value are more more important than

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<v Speaker 6>ever in the world of beverages. And it was interesting

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<v Speaker 6>to hear PepsiCo pretty much address all three of those

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<v Speaker 6>areas with their new product innovation. So that's encouraging.

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<v Speaker 2>At the end of the day, can as a company

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<v Speaker 2>like Pepsi, is that nothing more than really a GDP

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<v Speaker 2>kind of growth story. There's not much more you can

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<v Speaker 2>do to goose it above that? Or is that or

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<v Speaker 2>can they do better? Maybe that may be true in

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<v Speaker 2>the US pool. I mean, it's such a large business,

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<v Speaker 2>it's in most channels, it's you know, it's been around

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<v Speaker 2>a long time obviously, but I think most people looking

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<v Speaker 2>at this company would say, look, you have great opportunities

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<v Speaker 2>outside the US. There's much less price competition. You know,

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<v Speaker 2>outside the US, people are embracing you know, these consumer

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<v Speaker 2>goods and these brands outside the US. So that's one

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<v Speaker 2>of the things Elliet is actually saying, provide you know,

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<v Speaker 2>feed the capital needed outside the US to grow these

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<v Speaker 2>business in these big growing markets, you know, like China

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<v Speaker 2>and India and so on, Latin America. These are really

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<v Speaker 2>big growing markets. And to the extent that they could

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<v Speaker 2>play more in those markets I think would be good

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<v Speaker 2>for the enterprise in the whole.

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<v Speaker 4>But for those markets, would they need to take a

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<v Speaker 4>similar approach as what they do in the US. Be

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<v Speaker 4>more innovative, keep up with this shifting consumer taste towards

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<v Speaker 4>healthier offerings, higher protein, portion controlled, less sugary drinks, or

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<v Speaker 4>can they go with their old playbook.

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<v Speaker 6>I think it's a combination of doing what they're doing.

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<v Speaker 6>You know, in some of these markets they have to

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<v Speaker 6>adhere to local tastes. My guess is that a lot

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<v Speaker 6>of these consumers are seeking the same kind of things

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<v Speaker 6>the US though is or I should say, you know,

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<v Speaker 6>wellness value, but the portfolios are not quite as broad

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<v Speaker 6>outside the US. So I think it's tailoranto's the local

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<v Speaker 6>areas and bringing some of their learnings from the US

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<v Speaker 6>to these markets over time.

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<v Speaker 2>Ken talk to us about the They got about a

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<v Speaker 2>four percent dividend yield on PEPSI. That seems pretty solid.

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<v Speaker 2>What's their policy on dividends these days?

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<v Speaker 6>Oh, they're committed. I mean they know that a big

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<v Speaker 6>shareholder base, you know, is income investors. So they are

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<v Speaker 6>there committed. In every quarter like this one, they said, Look,

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<v Speaker 6>we're committed to have a multi prong capital allocation policy.

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<v Speaker 6>We're going to you know, invest in the business, you know, innovation,

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<v Speaker 6>like I said, but they're also going to buy stockback

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<v Speaker 6>on a you know, selected basis. They're going to commit

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<v Speaker 6>to their growing dividend, and their balance sheet would support

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<v Speaker 6>them doing that. I mean, the balance sheet is in

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<v Speaker 6>good shapes and good investment grade, and so I see

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<v Speaker 6>this company continue to have a balanced allocation going forward.

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<v Speaker 2>Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live

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<v Speaker 1>weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple, cock Play and

0:12:00.040 --> 0:12:03.240
<v Speaker 1>Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. Listen on demand

0:12:03.280 --> 0:12:07.199
<v Speaker 1>wherever you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.

0:12:07.800 --> 0:12:12.040
<v Speaker 2>We were talking about the auto business in Ferrari or Ferrari,

0:12:12.120 --> 0:12:14.880
<v Speaker 2>thinking this brings to mind, I don't know how these

0:12:14.920 --> 0:12:16.679
<v Speaker 2>companies are going to go for the next five years,

0:12:16.720 --> 0:12:19.199
<v Speaker 2>ten years in terms of that evolution, because it's kind

0:12:19.200 --> 0:12:20.080
<v Speaker 2>of fits and starts.

0:12:20.240 --> 0:12:22.200
<v Speaker 5>They can't figure out next year, and some point.

0:12:21.960 --> 0:12:23.560
<v Speaker 2>The market rewards them for it. At some point the

0:12:23.559 --> 0:12:26.280
<v Speaker 2>market penalizes before Craig Trudell it's his job to make

0:12:26.320 --> 0:12:28.320
<v Speaker 2>a sense out of all this. He's a Global autos

0:12:28.440 --> 0:12:31.760
<v Speaker 2>editor for Bloomberg News. So, Craig, can you see news

0:12:31.800 --> 0:12:36.120
<v Speaker 2>from Ferrari about its cautious forecast maybe just kind of

0:12:36.320 --> 0:12:39.160
<v Speaker 2>cautious commera territory on EV's. What does it tell you

0:12:39.200 --> 0:12:40.199
<v Speaker 2>here from Ferrari?

0:12:41.480 --> 0:12:45.080
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, I mean, I think the market was taking in stride,

0:12:45.240 --> 0:12:48.120
<v Speaker 7>you know, the the caution on EV's. I think even

0:12:48.400 --> 0:12:51.600
<v Speaker 7>you know, sort of among the investor base and certainly

0:12:51.679 --> 0:12:54.400
<v Speaker 7>the analysts too, there's some real concerns about, you know,

0:12:54.559 --> 0:12:59.079
<v Speaker 7>just how sort of incongruous Evs are with Ferrari, and

0:12:59.120 --> 0:13:01.720
<v Speaker 7>some questions about whether you know, whether they should even

0:13:01.760 --> 0:13:05.880
<v Speaker 7>bother uh going in that in that direction. Uh, you know,

0:13:05.920 --> 0:13:08.439
<v Speaker 7>I think I think the shares were down a little bit,

0:13:08.800 --> 0:13:11.480
<v Speaker 7>what you know, earlier this morning when they were talking

0:13:11.480 --> 0:13:13.720
<v Speaker 7>about that. I think where we saw the stock really

0:13:13.760 --> 0:13:15.760
<v Speaker 7>just take it on the chin, was when they came

0:13:15.760 --> 0:13:18.880
<v Speaker 7>out with their their outlook you know, for through twenty

0:13:18.960 --> 0:13:21.840
<v Speaker 7>thirty and I you know, I think that the profit

0:13:22.160 --> 0:13:25.520
<v Speaker 7>uh you know, growth was was underwhelming. I should you know,

0:13:25.600 --> 0:13:27.720
<v Speaker 7>sort of say it. It also is the case that

0:13:27.840 --> 0:13:30.360
<v Speaker 7>they are still you know, calling for growth. I think

0:13:30.440 --> 0:13:34.040
<v Speaker 7>some analysts were maybe hoping for for uh you know,

0:13:34.120 --> 0:13:37.640
<v Speaker 7>also some some increase in volumes, but it's not really

0:13:37.760 --> 0:13:40.920
<v Speaker 7>you know what what Ferrari is about. They you know,

0:13:41.080 --> 0:13:44.480
<v Speaker 7>are sort of like clockwork, you know, making a pretty

0:13:44.480 --> 0:13:47.880
<v Speaker 7>set number of vehicles every year and uh, charging an

0:13:47.880 --> 0:13:50.480
<v Speaker 7>awful lot of money for them, and and uh that's

0:13:50.559 --> 0:13:54.120
<v Speaker 7>that's really been you know, something that's that's paid off.

0:13:54.160 --> 0:13:56.240
<v Speaker 7>And I think, you know, just the other thing to

0:13:56.280 --> 0:13:58.040
<v Speaker 7>sort of keep in mind here when you look at

0:13:58.360 --> 0:14:01.320
<v Speaker 7>what these shares have done, you know since they listed.

0:14:02.240 --> 0:14:04.480
<v Speaker 7>You know, the shares in Milan have been trading since

0:14:04.480 --> 0:14:07.440
<v Speaker 7>early twenty sixteen, the New York ones a little bit

0:14:07.440 --> 0:14:10.960
<v Speaker 7>earlier than that. But this is a stock that has

0:14:11.080 --> 0:14:13.760
<v Speaker 7>absolutely been on a tear all those years since. And

0:14:13.840 --> 0:14:17.480
<v Speaker 7>so you know, I yes, a sixteen percent to decline

0:14:17.520 --> 0:14:19.600
<v Speaker 7>and one day, you know, sort of makes your eyes pop.

0:14:19.680 --> 0:14:22.800
<v Speaker 7>But this is a company that is still valued very richly,

0:14:23.040 --> 0:14:26.000
<v Speaker 7>and that makes a little bit more sense in hindsight.

0:14:26.280 --> 0:14:28.520
<v Speaker 4>And Frari also of course coming out with its first

0:14:28.640 --> 0:14:31.720
<v Speaker 4>EV too, and that might be accounting for some of

0:14:31.760 --> 0:14:33.120
<v Speaker 4>the caution in terms.

0:14:32.960 --> 0:14:34.120
<v Speaker 5>Of what it sees going forward.

0:14:35.040 --> 0:14:38.440
<v Speaker 4>In the story, you and your colleagues Craig talk about

0:14:38.440 --> 0:14:41.520
<v Speaker 4>how not just Ferrari, but Portia and Mercedes Benz have

0:14:41.560 --> 0:14:45.080
<v Speaker 4>also struggled with the electric transition. Why are wealthy buyers

0:14:45.120 --> 0:14:49.400
<v Speaker 4>somewhat resistant to switching over to plug in EV's what's

0:14:49.440 --> 0:14:49.960
<v Speaker 4>behind that?

0:14:50.960 --> 0:14:53.000
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, it's a really good question. I think you know,

0:14:53.200 --> 0:14:55.720
<v Speaker 7>there was just this sort of working assumption that you know,

0:14:55.760 --> 0:14:58.440
<v Speaker 7>the only thing that you were going to have to

0:14:58.480 --> 0:15:03.480
<v Speaker 7>overcome was caught, and so you know, there was this,

0:15:03.920 --> 0:15:06.920
<v Speaker 7>i think, sort of conventional wisdom. Well, oh, we'll just

0:15:07.000 --> 0:15:09.800
<v Speaker 7>have you know, the folks who are most able to

0:15:09.840 --> 0:15:14.800
<v Speaker 7>afford this incremental additional costs, they'll they'll fit the bill,

0:15:14.840 --> 0:15:17.280
<v Speaker 7>and we'll be sort of off and running as an

0:15:17.280 --> 0:15:20.640
<v Speaker 7>industry and gradually sort of work our way down price wise.

0:15:20.920 --> 0:15:24.120
<v Speaker 7>I think if if you're a luxury car buyer and

0:15:24.200 --> 0:15:29.280
<v Speaker 7>you're having to pay a significant premium over you know,

0:15:29.600 --> 0:15:32.000
<v Speaker 7>looking at at models that are that are the same

0:15:32.080 --> 0:15:35.040
<v Speaker 7>one combustion and one electric, the electric ones a lot more.

0:15:35.480 --> 0:15:38.520
<v Speaker 7>You know, it is still a decision and sort of

0:15:38.720 --> 0:15:41.720
<v Speaker 7>a rational decision to a sort of second guess whether

0:15:41.800 --> 0:15:43.640
<v Speaker 7>or not you want to go electric. And I think

0:15:43.640 --> 0:15:46.440
<v Speaker 7>that's what what you're seeing is is that you know,

0:15:46.520 --> 0:15:50.240
<v Speaker 7>BMW and Mercedes until and unless they sort of you know,

0:15:50.360 --> 0:15:53.840
<v Speaker 7>price their models closer to one another, you're you're going

0:15:53.880 --> 0:15:56.040
<v Speaker 7>to have, you know, some pushback on the part of

0:15:56.080 --> 0:16:00.240
<v Speaker 7>the consumer to make that transition, even as as we

0:16:00.360 --> 0:16:03.600
<v Speaker 7>make progress and things like charging infrastructure and some of

0:16:03.600 --> 0:16:05.560
<v Speaker 7>these hurdles that you have to overcome that or unique

0:16:05.560 --> 0:16:06.040
<v Speaker 7>to EBS.

0:16:06.360 --> 0:16:09.600
<v Speaker 2>My biggest question for you know, the supercars going electric

0:16:09.720 --> 0:16:12.360
<v Speaker 2>is I think a big part of the reason people

0:16:12.400 --> 0:16:16.920
<v Speaker 2>buy the Ferraris the Lamborghinis is for the cool sound

0:16:16.920 --> 0:16:21.080
<v Speaker 2>when they're coming down the street. What's Ferrari doing with

0:16:21.080 --> 0:16:21.880
<v Speaker 2>with that part of it?

0:16:23.000 --> 0:16:26.640
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, it's it's interesting and we saw sort of, you know,

0:16:27.440 --> 0:16:30.120
<v Speaker 7>and we had the indications that Ferrari was working on

0:16:30.160 --> 0:16:32.640
<v Speaker 7>something in this regard to to try and sort of

0:16:32.680 --> 0:16:35.960
<v Speaker 7>preserve the noise that you can make driving a Ferrari

0:16:36.640 --> 0:16:40.000
<v Speaker 7>that they patented, you know, systems to kind of create

0:16:40.120 --> 0:16:43.080
<v Speaker 7>essentially artificial noise, or at least to play up the

0:16:43.120 --> 0:16:46.160
<v Speaker 7>noise that is made by you know, electric motors in

0:16:46.800 --> 0:16:50.640
<v Speaker 7>electric vehicles. You know, I think that being said, well,

0:16:50.680 --> 0:16:54.040
<v Speaker 7>we see Ferraris externally make you know, nearly as much

0:16:54.120 --> 0:16:59.080
<v Speaker 7>noise as a Ferrari supercar. I suspect that the answer

0:16:59.080 --> 0:17:01.640
<v Speaker 7>to that is probably no. But I've been I've been

0:17:01.720 --> 0:17:04.040
<v Speaker 7>very entertained that, you know, Dodge came out with an

0:17:04.080 --> 0:17:08.400
<v Speaker 7>electric vehicle last year, and I saw a report recently

0:17:08.480 --> 0:17:11.800
<v Speaker 7>that you know, an owner in Canada was ticketed for

0:17:11.840 --> 0:17:16.080
<v Speaker 7>a noise violation with his electric Dodge vehicle. So, you know,

0:17:16.119 --> 0:17:18.800
<v Speaker 7>maybe maybe it's for the best actually that this will

0:17:18.840 --> 0:17:19.720
<v Speaker 7>become a thing of the path.

0:17:20.640 --> 0:17:23.720
<v Speaker 2>Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.

0:17:27.240 --> 0:17:30.920
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live

0:17:31.000 --> 0:17:34.120
<v Speaker 1>weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple Coarcklay, and Android

0:17:34.119 --> 0:17:37.440
<v Speaker 1>Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. Listen on demand wherever

0:17:37.480 --> 0:17:41.000
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0:17:41.760 --> 0:17:43.840
<v Speaker 2>Let's talk a little bit about the media business there.

0:17:44.160 --> 0:17:48.040
<v Speaker 2>It's undergoing a certain degree of consolidation here as it

0:17:48.080 --> 0:17:52.440
<v Speaker 2>tries to deal with the rising tide of YouTube among

0:17:52.520 --> 0:17:55.600
<v Speaker 2>other streaming type services and digital services that have really

0:17:55.840 --> 0:17:58.399
<v Speaker 2>displaced many of the traditional media businesses. And one of

0:17:58.440 --> 0:18:03.399
<v Speaker 2>those is Paramount Global that was so bought by sky Dance.

0:18:03.840 --> 0:18:07.280
<v Speaker 2>Larry Ellison's family now looking to take a look at

0:18:07.280 --> 0:18:10.240
<v Speaker 2>Warner Brothers Discovery, another publicly traded company. Maybe those two

0:18:10.320 --> 0:18:12.960
<v Speaker 2>might get together. Check in with Githa rang Aanath and

0:18:13.000 --> 0:18:16.440
<v Speaker 2>she's the media analyso over Bloomberg Intelligence. Githa talk to

0:18:16.560 --> 0:18:23.240
<v Speaker 2>us about the likelihood of Paramount merging with or acquiring

0:18:23.400 --> 0:18:27.040
<v Speaker 2>Warner Brothers Discovery and how that might look.

0:18:28.480 --> 0:18:30.760
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, thank you so much, Paul. So it's been a

0:18:30.800 --> 0:18:34.879
<v Speaker 8>while actually, so there's been these on again, off again reports.

0:18:35.280 --> 0:18:37.880
<v Speaker 8>The first time the news broke was almost a month ago.

0:18:37.960 --> 0:18:39.840
<v Speaker 8>It was on September eleventh that there was this swall

0:18:39.840 --> 0:18:42.439
<v Speaker 8>Street Journal article which suggested that Paramount was kind of

0:18:42.440 --> 0:18:47.280
<v Speaker 8>exploring this bid. There hasn't actually been any formal bid

0:18:48.040 --> 0:18:51.160
<v Speaker 8>from Paramount, however, you know, the shares of both those

0:18:51.160 --> 0:18:54.159
<v Speaker 8>companies have kind of really gone up very nicely on

0:18:54.200 --> 0:18:57.280
<v Speaker 8>the news, kind of just telling us how important it

0:18:57.320 --> 0:19:00.399
<v Speaker 8>is for both of them to have this consolate. If

0:19:00.440 --> 0:19:03.439
<v Speaker 8>you look at Paramount. Obviously they just went through that merger.

0:19:03.560 --> 0:19:06.119
<v Speaker 8>There is really very little details when it comes to

0:19:06.160 --> 0:19:08.640
<v Speaker 8>what is, you know, kind of the strategy for this business.

0:19:08.960 --> 0:19:12.880
<v Speaker 8>They definitely need something big. Having a studio like Warner

0:19:12.960 --> 0:19:16.199
<v Speaker 8>having a service like HBO Max, it really kind of

0:19:16.240 --> 0:19:18.399
<v Speaker 8>puts them on that global media map, so they I

0:19:18.440 --> 0:19:21.679
<v Speaker 8>think they definitely need it in order to kind of

0:19:21.680 --> 0:19:24.640
<v Speaker 8>make this big splash in the media ecosystem. But there,

0:19:24.720 --> 0:19:26.880
<v Speaker 8>you know, as days pass along and we don't get

0:19:26.920 --> 0:19:29.159
<v Speaker 8>a bit, it just seems like the probability of this

0:19:29.280 --> 0:19:32.120
<v Speaker 8>happening gets smaller and smaller.

0:19:32.800 --> 0:19:35.240
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, it's curious because we've been waiting for so long

0:19:35.280 --> 0:19:40.240
<v Speaker 4>and the industry has been ripe for consolidation, and David Zazov,

0:19:40.560 --> 0:19:43.119
<v Speaker 4>who of course runs Warner Brothers Discovery, has been talking

0:19:43.119 --> 0:19:46.240
<v Speaker 4>about how consolidation is something that he anticipates and he

0:19:46.359 --> 0:19:49.880
<v Speaker 4>wants to see happen. Is there role here for regulators?

0:19:50.320 --> 0:19:52.159
<v Speaker 4>Is this something that they would weigh in on. Is

0:19:52.160 --> 0:19:55.040
<v Speaker 4>Brendan Carr going to play any kind of role here.

0:19:56.320 --> 0:19:59.960
<v Speaker 8>So a Paramount, Yes, there is potentially a role for

0:20:00.080 --> 0:20:03.679
<v Speaker 8>for any and all types of regulatory scrutiny in the Paramount.

0:20:03.840 --> 0:20:08.040
<v Speaker 8>A Warner Brothers deal or a potential deal, the FCC's

0:20:08.119 --> 0:20:12.199
<v Speaker 8>involvement likely wouldn't be as heavy just because there is

0:20:12.400 --> 0:20:15.840
<v Speaker 8>no merger of two broadcast assets, so Warner Brothers only

0:20:15.880 --> 0:20:20.760
<v Speaker 8>has streaming studio and cable networks, no broadcast networks like

0:20:20.920 --> 0:20:23.479
<v Speaker 8>a Paramount which owns the CBS broadcast network. So they

0:20:23.480 --> 0:20:26.280
<v Speaker 8>should get like a fairly you know, quick green signal

0:20:26.320 --> 0:20:29.679
<v Speaker 8>from the FCC. Well, all mergers are ultimately, you know,

0:20:29.800 --> 0:20:33.119
<v Speaker 8>kind of a subject regulatory scrutiny. But let's remember Paramount

0:20:33.119 --> 0:20:36.240
<v Speaker 8>has just gone through this whole process with the regulators,

0:20:36.320 --> 0:20:38.080
<v Speaker 8>kind of getting that skydance, so they kind of know

0:20:38.119 --> 0:20:40.240
<v Speaker 8>how to navigate their whole way around, you know, the

0:20:40.280 --> 0:20:42.800
<v Speaker 8>regulatory ecosystem, if you will. So I don't think it

0:20:42.800 --> 0:20:44.560
<v Speaker 8>should be much of a problem at all, Scarlett.

0:20:44.800 --> 0:20:47.480
<v Speaker 2>Now the New York Post, I saw some reporting, and

0:20:47.560 --> 0:20:48.560
<v Speaker 2>by the way, then your post.

0:20:48.720 --> 0:20:50.040
<v Speaker 5>They do a great job covering.

0:20:49.800 --> 0:20:51.560
<v Speaker 2>The media sector, particularly on the M and A front,

0:20:51.560 --> 0:20:55.800
<v Speaker 2>always have, always have. They're suggesting maybe paramount S Guidance

0:20:55.960 --> 0:20:59.879
<v Speaker 2>might be talking with some private equity players about participating

0:21:00.200 --> 0:21:02.600
<v Speaker 2>any potential deal, and I think they mentioned Apollo as

0:21:02.640 --> 0:21:05.239
<v Speaker 2>one that they were talking with. What does that mean

0:21:05.280 --> 0:21:05.479
<v Speaker 2>to you.

0:21:06.920 --> 0:21:09.440
<v Speaker 8>What that means to us is that, you know, obviously

0:21:09.560 --> 0:21:11.960
<v Speaker 8>funding is a problem here. I mean, this is a

0:21:12.000 --> 0:21:15.840
<v Speaker 8>big deal, Paul. You know, there was an initial a

0:21:15.880 --> 0:21:18.720
<v Speaker 8>price range that was suggested by CNBC of about twenty

0:21:18.760 --> 0:21:21.760
<v Speaker 8>two to twenty four dollars a share. I think David

0:21:21.840 --> 0:21:24.480
<v Speaker 8>Zaslav is looking for something much much higher than that.

0:21:24.640 --> 0:21:26.440
<v Speaker 8>You know, the New York Post themselves had reported that

0:21:26.480 --> 0:21:28.679
<v Speaker 8>he was probably looking for something in the range of

0:21:28.720 --> 0:21:31.280
<v Speaker 8>forty dollars a share. Not sure whether he's going to

0:21:31.480 --> 0:21:34.080
<v Speaker 8>be yeah, not sure whether he's going to get that,

0:21:34.200 --> 0:21:36.880
<v Speaker 8>but regardless, I mean, this is a huge deal. I mean,

0:21:36.920 --> 0:21:38.800
<v Speaker 8>even at that twenty two to twenty four dollars, we're

0:21:38.800 --> 0:21:42.040
<v Speaker 8>looking at about a sixty billion dollar deal. So funding

0:21:42.320 --> 0:21:45.320
<v Speaker 8>is definitely going to be, you know, an issue. And

0:21:45.359 --> 0:21:48.280
<v Speaker 8>that's kind of what it suggests the news article from

0:21:48.320 --> 0:21:50.919
<v Speaker 8>yesterday suggests to us, Because if Paramount is kind of

0:21:50.960 --> 0:21:53.600
<v Speaker 8>scouting for all of these different partners, they've talked to Apollo,

0:21:53.640 --> 0:21:56.760
<v Speaker 8>as you just suggested, they're talking to Legendary. You know,

0:21:57.080 --> 0:22:00.359
<v Speaker 8>funding doesn't seem to be as easy as you know,

0:22:00.359 --> 0:22:01.520
<v Speaker 8>maybe we initially thought.

0:22:02.119 --> 0:22:04.359
<v Speaker 5>And also Warner Brothers is carrying a lot of debt.

0:22:04.400 --> 0:22:07.800
<v Speaker 4>I know Zaslov has made a priority of reducing leverage

0:22:08.600 --> 0:22:11.199
<v Speaker 4>and he you know, has executed on a lot of that,

0:22:11.240 --> 0:22:13.360
<v Speaker 4>but there is still quite a bit of debt involved here.

0:22:14.200 --> 0:22:17.439
<v Speaker 5>How willing is Skydance to take that on.

0:22:18.840 --> 0:22:21.280
<v Speaker 8>They are willing to take that on because Scarlett, you know,

0:22:21.359 --> 0:22:24.920
<v Speaker 8>Warner Brothers is actually in the midst of their own restructuring.

0:22:25.000 --> 0:22:26.720
<v Speaker 8>So what they had planned, even before all of this

0:22:26.760 --> 0:22:30.040
<v Speaker 8>Paramount news broke, they had planned to actually split their company.

0:22:30.119 --> 0:22:31.919
<v Speaker 8>So they have a TV network's business and they have

0:22:31.960 --> 0:22:34.520
<v Speaker 8>their streaming and studio business, so kind of the no

0:22:34.640 --> 0:22:37.200
<v Speaker 8>growth assets and the high growth assets, they're kind of

0:22:37.359 --> 0:22:40.480
<v Speaker 8>splitting those two out, and majority of the debt. They

0:22:40.480 --> 0:22:42.800
<v Speaker 8>started with about fifty five billion dollars in debt, they've

0:22:42.880 --> 0:22:45.359
<v Speaker 8>kind of whittled that down to about thirty thirty two billion,

0:22:45.800 --> 0:22:47.840
<v Speaker 8>but majority of that thirty two billion dollars debt was

0:22:47.840 --> 0:22:50.840
<v Speaker 8>actually supposed to travel with the TV network's business, with

0:22:50.920 --> 0:22:53.199
<v Speaker 8>Paramount kind of coming in and making a bid for

0:22:53.240 --> 0:22:56.320
<v Speaker 8>the entire company. Even before that split actually took place,

0:22:56.720 --> 0:22:59.320
<v Speaker 8>just kind of signaled that they wanted to get, you know,

0:22:59.359 --> 0:23:01.920
<v Speaker 8>the entire business, and they were willing to take all

0:23:01.960 --> 0:23:04.360
<v Speaker 8>of the debt, not wait for the split and wait

0:23:04.359 --> 0:23:05.720
<v Speaker 8>for you know, kind of the debt to go away

0:23:05.720 --> 0:23:07.560
<v Speaker 8>and then just go scoop in on the on the

0:23:07.560 --> 0:23:11.480
<v Speaker 8>streaming assets. So they definitely know about the situation and

0:23:11.680 --> 0:23:13.040
<v Speaker 8>seemed like they were willing to take it.

0:23:13.600 --> 0:23:16.560
<v Speaker 2>Another company that's talked that I announced they're splitting their

0:23:16.600 --> 0:23:18.560
<v Speaker 2>networks away with Comcasts. Where are we on that?

0:23:20.080 --> 0:23:24.720
<v Speaker 8>So that seems to be coming pretty close now in

0:23:24.800 --> 0:23:27.760
<v Speaker 8>contrast to the whole Warner Brothers Discovery split. The nice

0:23:27.800 --> 0:23:30.520
<v Speaker 8>thing about the Comcast cable network split, which is by

0:23:30.520 --> 0:23:33.159
<v Speaker 8>the way going to be called worsened, is that it

0:23:33.240 --> 0:23:35.920
<v Speaker 8>doesn't have a lot of debt, so it has it's

0:23:36.080 --> 0:23:40.240
<v Speaker 8>really a well capitalized company. Uh they're throwing about they're

0:23:40.280 --> 0:23:42.919
<v Speaker 8>throwing they're throwing off about three billion dollars in ebit DA,

0:23:43.560 --> 0:23:45.440
<v Speaker 8>but debt is only going to be close to about

0:23:45.440 --> 0:23:47.200
<v Speaker 8>two and a half to three billion dollars. So really

0:23:47.200 --> 0:23:50.240
<v Speaker 8>well capitalized. The problem is with the cable network business,

0:23:50.280 --> 0:23:52.560
<v Speaker 8>as you well know, Paul, that just the options are

0:23:52.600 --> 0:23:55.280
<v Speaker 8>not looking that great U you know, affiliate revenue as

0:23:55.320 --> 0:23:57.920
<v Speaker 8>we know, and is it decline with cord cutting again,

0:23:58.000 --> 0:24:00.239
<v Speaker 8>advertising is going to be you know that most these

0:24:00.280 --> 0:24:03.840
<v Speaker 8>ad dollars are going away from linear TV to digital outlets,

0:24:03.880 --> 0:24:07.800
<v Speaker 8>so again the outlook is just very bleak, but you

0:24:07.840 --> 0:24:11.440
<v Speaker 8>know that company should come on the market sometime pretty soon.

0:24:12.600 --> 0:24:17.280
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