WEBVTT - Global IT Chaos Blocks 911 Calls, Grounds Planes

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news. This is Bloomberg Business

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<v Speaker 1>Wait Inside, from the reporters and editors who bring you

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<v Speaker 1>America's most trusted business magazine, plus global business, finance and

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<v Speaker 1>tech news. The Bloomberg Business Week podcast with Carol Messer

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<v Speaker 1>and Tim Stenebeck from Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 2>It's safe to say we are living in a world

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<v Speaker 2>fullest of prelatives. Pick your topic right. It feels like

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<v Speaker 2>our Bloomberg team noting and what will go down is

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<v Speaker 2>the most spectacular it failure that the world has ever seen.

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<v Speaker 2>A Box software update from cybersecurity firm CrowdStrike holdings crashing

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<v Speaker 2>countless Microsoft Windows computer systems globally. It's important to note, right, David,

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<v Speaker 2>this wasn't a cyber hack, not a.

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<v Speaker 3>Cyber hack as we understand it, and this is just

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<v Speaker 3>part of a routine fix. But this is clearly something

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<v Speaker 3>that was so pervasive in so many computer systems around

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<v Speaker 3>the world they had a major effects. Microsoft and CrowdStrike

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<v Speaker 3>rolling out fixes. Systems are being restored for several hours.

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<v Speaker 3>Bankers in Hong Kong, doctors in the UK, emergency responders

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<v Speaker 3>in New Hampshire, all over the place finding themselves locked

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<v Speaker 3>out of programs that are critical to keeping their operations afloat.

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<v Speaker 3>Here is CrowdStrike co CEO George Kurtz. Earlier today on NBC.

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<v Speaker 4>News, the system was sent an update and that update

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<v Speaker 4>had a software bug in it and caused an issue

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<v Speaker 4>with a Microsoft operating system. And we identified this very

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<v Speaker 4>quickly and remediated the issue. And as systems come back online,

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<v Speaker 4>as they're rebooted, they're coming up and they're working. And

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<v Speaker 4>now we are working with each and every customer to

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<v Speaker 4>make sure that we can bring them back online for

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<v Speaker 4>more and what happened.

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<v Speaker 3>And what's happening next. We're joined now by Bloomberg Intelligence

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<v Speaker 3>senior tech industry analyst man Deep Sing who's here in

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<v Speaker 3>our studio in New York, along with Bloomberg News cybersecurity

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<v Speaker 3>reporter Jamie Tavey who's in our Washington, DC bureau and Deep.

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<v Speaker 3>Let me start with you, the co CEO. They're saying,

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<v Speaker 3>this process is underway, how long is it going to take?

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<v Speaker 3>And we were marveling at sort of how it affected

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<v Speaker 3>so many parts of the economy, how widespread was thises

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<v Speaker 3>and how bad could it have been?

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, I mean, look, the good thing, as you noted

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<v Speaker 5>rightly is it's not a cyber attack. The last thing

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<v Speaker 5>a cyber security company wants is a cyber attack on

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<v Speaker 5>their own system, so that's not the case. But clearly

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<v Speaker 5>the impact is wide reaching, simply because the number of

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<v Speaker 5>endpoints the networks. If you take that into account, and

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<v Speaker 5>I know the CEO said we have rolled back the changes,

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<v Speaker 5>it requires a lot of manual steps. Even though they

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<v Speaker 5>have rolled back the code or the content changes they

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<v Speaker 5>made to their software, but that doesn't fix the issue.

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<v Speaker 5>Otherwise the systems would have been all up by now.

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<v Speaker 5>We know they're not. So the reason why this will

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<v Speaker 5>linger on for a bit and god knows if it's

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<v Speaker 5>going to be weeks or months. But clearly there are

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<v Speaker 5>manual fixes to be done. And you have to remember

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<v Speaker 5>not all of the Windows environments are at the same

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<v Speaker 5>operating system. They're running different versions, some of them are

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<v Speaker 5>very old. How do you fix that? Because I think

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<v Speaker 5>the fix or the software update that they did impacted

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<v Speaker 5>the different versions in a different way.

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<v Speaker 2>Interesting, man, how did this happen? Why did this happen?

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, Microsoft knows what they're doing, right you roll

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<v Speaker 2>out something.

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<v Speaker 6>CrowdStrike knows what they're doing.

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<v Speaker 2>How did this happen.

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<v Speaker 5>I mean, it's a big, I think failure in terms

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<v Speaker 5>of the testing procedures that these companies have to carry

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<v Speaker 5>out before rolling out their code changes. And the CEO

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<v Speaker 5>said it wasn't a code change, it was a content

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<v Speaker 5>file change, so basically a configuration change that runs at

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<v Speaker 5>the operating system layer. Otherwise, how do you bring down

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<v Speaker 5>an entire system if it's not at the operating system level.

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<v Speaker 5>And it also puts into questions, you know, the single

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<v Speaker 5>point of failure aspect, because all these companies invest in

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<v Speaker 5>back end systems and replicating you know, backup environments that

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<v Speaker 5>should come online if something like this were to happen,

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<v Speaker 5>but that apparently didn't happen and everything went down at

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<v Speaker 5>the same.

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<v Speaker 3>Time, Jamie the uninitiated, how does this kind of software work?

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<v Speaker 3>We talked about sort of the scale of this, how

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<v Speaker 3>many companies are using it, but what is the kind

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<v Speaker 3>of security software the CrowdStrike has pioneered? And I've been

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<v Speaker 3>thinking a lot just about kind of the psychological ramifications

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<v Speaker 3>of this that people are now going to have fear

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<v Speaker 3>there's going to be this kind of instability in our

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<v Speaker 3>connected world.

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<v Speaker 7>It's a really it's a really interesting question. And I

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<v Speaker 7>think it really does speak to the inter connectedness of

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<v Speaker 7>all of the technology and all the systems that we

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<v Speaker 7>have today. You know, I think that what CrowdStrike does

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<v Speaker 7>is because it provides endpoint security protection, it has to

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<v Speaker 7>have access to your system and that's what that's where

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<v Speaker 7>it's sort of the compromise of the Microsoft system came

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<v Speaker 7>into play. And look, it's it's not a good day

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<v Speaker 7>for the cybersecurity industry. It's something that everyone is they're

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<v Speaker 7>concerned about it because it is a real question about

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<v Speaker 7>well how you know, as men Deep said, you know,

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<v Speaker 7>testing before you put it out there. But while it

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<v Speaker 7>isn't actually a cyber security incident, we do hear and

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<v Speaker 7>we are hearing from people that this is a perfect

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<v Speaker 7>opportunity for a lot of people to take advantage of

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<v Speaker 7>those systems being down, to get in there and try

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<v Speaker 7>to attack it, attack systems in some way. So the

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<v Speaker 7>vulnerability right now is it's there, and there are people

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<v Speaker 7>who would be using as an opportunity to take advantage

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<v Speaker 7>of that.

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<v Speaker 2>It makes me wonder though, as we know talk so

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<v Speaker 2>much about generative AI and increasingly more data out there

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<v Speaker 2>and more data maybe up in the cloud or some

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<v Speaker 2>of it on premise. But I do wonder Mandeep, I mean,

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<v Speaker 2>is this just the beginning of probably similar system failures.

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<v Speaker 5>I think again, it's hard to extrapolate we are going

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<v Speaker 5>to see attacks like this because clearly, if it wasn't

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<v Speaker 5>for an operating system level outage, we wouldn't be talking

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<v Speaker 5>about this, and you know, the magnitude of it wouldn't.

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<v Speaker 6>Be this big.

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<v Speaker 5>The reason why this had a far reaching impact then

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<v Speaker 5>a cyber attack would is because it touches the Windows

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<v Speaker 5>operating systems of you know, Windows, Linux and Apple having

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<v Speaker 5>their own operating there are three operating systems that control

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<v Speaker 5>all your devices right now. You can't roll out a fix.

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<v Speaker 5>If your operating system is down and it needs to

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<v Speaker 5>be rebooted, you can't do anything. There is no patchwork.

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<v Speaker 5>And that's where you know, all the backup systems didn't

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<v Speaker 5>work because there was no way to bring anything online.

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<v Speaker 5>So that I think is a risk that companies need

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<v Speaker 5>to think about. But I would say cyber attacks. We

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<v Speaker 5>have had a lot of cyber attacks, and look, there

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<v Speaker 5>are data breaches, you have to pay fines. In this case,

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<v Speaker 5>what I'm really interested in is who's Libel Is it Microsoft?

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<v Speaker 5>Is it CrowdStrike, who will pay the customers for the indemnification?

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<v Speaker 5>I mean clearly there was asso. Yeah, I think CrowdStrike

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<v Speaker 5>probably has to take a lot of the blame. But

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<v Speaker 5>clearly Microsoft and look, these are the two biggest endpoint

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<v Speaker 5>security companies. CrowdStrike actually competes with Microsoft in that space,

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<v Speaker 5>so even though it was on Microsoft system they can say, oh,

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<v Speaker 5>we will bundle our security solution. And if that was

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<v Speaker 5>the case, you know, we wouldn't be in this situation.

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<v Speaker 2>So David, you ready put you all your medical information

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<v Speaker 2>out there?

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<v Speaker 3>Got to say we saw this play out in medical

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<v Speaker 3>offices in the hospitals as well. But Jamie, we're using

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<v Speaker 3>this term endpoint and I want to ask you a

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<v Speaker 3>bit about that. Men deep talking about sort of how

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<v Speaker 3>companies are processing this and dealing with this. I mean,

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<v Speaker 3>companies have had to allow access to their systems. This

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<v Speaker 3>company to have access to their systems. Does this change

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<v Speaker 3>that calculus at all? I mean I think of the

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<v Speaker 3>days when like I bought on cd RAM the McAfee

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<v Speaker 3>software and put it on my computer and that was

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<v Speaker 3>like us protecting it from threats? Then what lo those

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<v Speaker 3>many decades ago? But talk about just the level of

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<v Speaker 3>comfort that companies have using or outsourcing security in this fashion,

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<v Speaker 3>what this might do to that.

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<v Speaker 7>That's a really good point, and I think that a

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<v Speaker 7>lot of the conversation now is about third party vendors

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<v Speaker 7>and third party entities that you invite into your systems

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<v Speaker 7>to protect them. And look, every time something like this happens,

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<v Speaker 7>there is a moment of awareness, there's a moment of oh,

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<v Speaker 7>let's put in all these protections, let's put in all

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<v Speaker 7>these guardrails, let's try to figure out how we can

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<v Speaker 7>mitigate this, and then we go back down again. And

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<v Speaker 7>you know, it's ironic that you sort of mentioned like refixes, right,

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<v Speaker 7>because the last time this happened was with the McAfee bug,

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<v Speaker 7>you know, in twenty ten, and we did have this

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<v Speaker 7>kind of level of outage across systems universally. So it

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<v Speaker 7>kind of ebbs and flows, and where at the point

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<v Speaker 7>where we're seeing the government still exhibit a lot of

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<v Speaker 7>frustration with people trying to impose minimum cybersecurity standards on

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<v Speaker 7>a lot of their systems. This doesn't help at all

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<v Speaker 7>in terms of giving people faith in the security systems

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<v Speaker 7>that they're meant to be installing. But at the end

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<v Speaker 7>of the day. Look, this is going to make everyone

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<v Speaker 7>hyper aware about what they're putting in and what they're

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<v Speaker 7>sending in as updates, and I would like to think

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<v Speaker 7>that this would actually give people a little more concern

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<v Speaker 7>about Okay, before we launched this, are we sure? Are

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<v Speaker 7>we double sure? Are we triple sure? Just because just

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<v Speaker 7>the sheer impact that we've seen, not just on crowdstrikes

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<v Speaker 7>bottom line, but just as Mende said, across the planet.

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<v Speaker 2>Reminds me of my dad, who was an engineer and

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<v Speaker 2>so like he had flashlights and back up flashlights and

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<v Speaker 2>backup redundancy was a big part of our family growing up.

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<v Speaker 3>That's a lot.

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<v Speaker 2>Jordan Robertson, you're with us cybersecurity reporter at Bloomberg News,

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<v Speaker 2>joining us from London. Our teams in Asia London have

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<v Speaker 2>been following this story as it impacted the globe. Jordan,

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<v Speaker 2>where are we right now? What's the update? What can

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<v Speaker 2>you add to this story at this you know, what

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<v Speaker 2>is it? Two to eleven pm Wall Street time on

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<v Speaker 2>this Friday.

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<v Speaker 8>Yeah, it's been a wild day, you know, I mean

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<v Speaker 8>the day starts with, you know, massive outages related to

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<v Speaker 8>both Microsoft and CrowdStrike, and we've had to figure out

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<v Speaker 8>kind of which ones are responsible for which, And as

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<v Speaker 8>you said, what has turned out to be the case

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<v Speaker 8>is that CrowdStrike kind of alone is responsible for this

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<v Speaker 8>massive outage. And you know, what we've learned today is

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<v Speaker 8>that CrowdStrike has apologized for the They've released kind of

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<v Speaker 8>instructions for how to fix this problem, but those instructions

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<v Speaker 8>call for manual fixes. You know, people are going to

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<v Speaker 8>have to go machine by machine to fix this problem,

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<v Speaker 8>and it just highlights kind of the fragility and the

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<v Speaker 8>vulnerability of the modern IT system which is built on

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<v Speaker 8>you know, really just a few companies that you kind

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<v Speaker 8>of have to trust and hope are doing the right

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<v Speaker 8>things when it comes to deploying these patches responsibly.

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<v Speaker 3>Jordan County among those who thought that the blue screen

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<v Speaker 3>of death was something from years past that we weren't

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<v Speaker 3>going to face that once again. But you know, you

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<v Speaker 3>talk about the steps that one has to take now

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<v Speaker 3>to reboot manually to make this happen. Just play that

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<v Speaker 3>out a little bit for me now. And men Deep

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<v Speaker 3>was talking about this a few minutes ago, just sort

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<v Speaker 3>of what this process looks like and how long it's

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<v Speaker 3>going to take. I'm sure that every chief technology officer

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<v Speaker 3>is sending out that strongly worded memo telling the staff

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<v Speaker 3>to do this immediately as quickly as possible. But what's

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<v Speaker 3>your sense of how long this is going to take?

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<v Speaker 3>And indeed, you know how hard it's going to be

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<v Speaker 3>to get every employee a company to do this. I mean,

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<v Speaker 3>there are a lot of Windows machines I imagine at

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<v Speaker 3>most major companies around the world.

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<v Speaker 8>Yes, someone remarked online today that you know, this is

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<v Speaker 8>this is the best malware of the year, you know,

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<v Speaker 8>and it was delivered by by CrowdStrike. You know, it

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<v Speaker 8>has essentially the same effect as ransomware does you know

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<v Speaker 8>a lot of times when we when we write about

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<v Speaker 8>ransomware cases, we'll talk about, you know, the recovery time

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<v Speaker 8>will typically take several weeks to a month, and maybe

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<v Speaker 8>two months or longer. We're looking essentially at that for

0:11:26.800 --> 0:11:28.880
<v Speaker 8>this incident, you know, according to folks that we've been

0:11:28.880 --> 0:11:30.840
<v Speaker 8>talking to. And the reason for that is simple. We

0:11:30.880 --> 0:11:33.440
<v Speaker 8>work in kind of a remote work era. Now, not

0:11:33.559 --> 0:11:36.040
<v Speaker 8>everybody is in an office where they have their computers,

0:11:36.320 --> 0:11:41.000
<v Speaker 8>and unfortunately, for these affected organizations, in order to implement

0:11:41.040 --> 0:11:43.960
<v Speaker 8>this fix, you have to have a technician physically touch

0:11:44.040 --> 0:11:48.240
<v Speaker 8>the computer and with administrative privileges delete this one file,

0:11:48.360 --> 0:11:51.040
<v Speaker 8>tiny little file, one file only, but they have to

0:11:51.080 --> 0:11:53.800
<v Speaker 8>have a physical hands on the machine to delete that file.

0:11:54.040 --> 0:11:56.720
<v Speaker 8>You can't do that remotely. So we've talked to organizations

0:11:56.720 --> 0:12:00.160
<v Speaker 8>that are having their remote employees, you know, FedEx their

0:12:00.200 --> 0:12:03.200
<v Speaker 8>laptops in if it got broken, or servers and things

0:12:03.200 --> 0:12:05.840
<v Speaker 8>like that. So that's why it's going to take so long.

0:12:05.920 --> 0:12:08.440
<v Speaker 8>And you know this this update isn't It's simple. Once

0:12:08.480 --> 0:12:10.400
<v Speaker 8>you get your hands on a machine, it might take

0:12:10.440 --> 0:12:12.800
<v Speaker 8>fifteen twenty minutes only to do that. But if you've

0:12:12.840 --> 0:12:14.679
<v Speaker 8>got thousands of machines and you've got to do this

0:12:14.720 --> 0:12:17.840
<v Speaker 8>for you're going to prioritize your critical systems first, of course.

0:12:18.480 --> 0:12:20.840
<v Speaker 8>But to get through thousands of machines, that's what's going

0:12:20.880 --> 0:12:22.280
<v Speaker 8>to take weeks or potentially longer.

0:12:22.360 --> 0:12:25.160
<v Speaker 2>It's not just control all delete I guess. Okay, So, Mandy,

0:12:25.480 --> 0:12:28.600
<v Speaker 2>So what's changed now in our world because of this?

0:12:29.160 --> 0:12:32.440
<v Speaker 5>Well, so from a stock perspective, I would say, you know,

0:12:32.559 --> 0:12:35.600
<v Speaker 5>CrowdStrike was a darling when it comes to the software

0:12:35.640 --> 0:12:40.040
<v Speaker 5>company's twenty times zv DO sales premium valuation. They couldn't

0:12:40.040 --> 0:12:43.480
<v Speaker 5>do anything wrong, you know, top line growth steady. I

0:12:43.520 --> 0:12:46.160
<v Speaker 5>mean the fact that it happened to them. I think

0:12:46.200 --> 0:12:49.480
<v Speaker 5>they will be definitely a big brand hit that they

0:12:49.520 --> 0:12:53.640
<v Speaker 5>will take from this. And look, people typically.

0:12:53.160 --> 0:12:54.839
<v Speaker 2>Move no excusing them, but was it a case of

0:12:54.880 --> 0:12:56.040
<v Speaker 2>them growing too fast or no?

0:12:56.320 --> 0:12:58.960
<v Speaker 5>Or no, no, they were doing everything right in terms

0:12:59.000 --> 0:13:01.720
<v Speaker 5>of execution, but just goes to show there is always

0:13:01.840 --> 0:13:05.200
<v Speaker 5>idiosyncratic risk when it comes to these companies, and no

0:13:05.280 --> 0:13:07.920
<v Speaker 5>matter how good you are, there are little things that

0:13:08.000 --> 0:13:10.920
<v Speaker 5>can take you down. And in this case, everyone is saying,

0:13:10.960 --> 0:13:14.120
<v Speaker 5>you know, people will move past this outage and they'll

0:13:14.160 --> 0:13:17.480
<v Speaker 5>forget it. I think the brand has taken a big hit.

0:13:17.559 --> 0:13:20.960
<v Speaker 5>And I mean if it the longer it takes come

0:13:21.200 --> 0:13:23.559
<v Speaker 5>to restore the systems and come out of it, I

0:13:23.800 --> 0:13:26.080
<v Speaker 5>think the bigger the damage will be. And don't forget

0:13:26.120 --> 0:13:29.240
<v Speaker 5>the lawsuits. I think it's critical here to think about

0:13:29.480 --> 0:13:30.920
<v Speaker 5>what kind of payouts they.

0:13:30.760 --> 0:13:32.720
<v Speaker 3>May have and don't forget the lawsuits. It's the mantra

0:13:33.160 --> 0:13:36.400
<v Speaker 3>Jamie for everything, Jamie altern to user, what are you

0:13:36.440 --> 0:13:38.440
<v Speaker 3>watching for here in the days and weeks to come

0:13:38.559 --> 0:13:41.840
<v Speaker 3>as we sort of see this process play out.

0:13:41.360 --> 0:13:43.719
<v Speaker 7>We're looking for impact. We're looking to see how long

0:13:43.760 --> 0:13:47.160
<v Speaker 7>it takes people to get back online and also obviously

0:13:47.200 --> 0:13:50.680
<v Speaker 7>anyone trying to take advantage of this opportunities. As Jordan said,

0:13:50.720 --> 0:13:52.560
<v Speaker 7>you know, it's like the malware of the year, and

0:13:53.280 --> 0:13:56.200
<v Speaker 7>it's going to be something to watch. You know, there

0:13:56.200 --> 0:14:00.160
<v Speaker 7>are massive reports about all kinds of compromises around the

0:14:00.200 --> 0:14:02.839
<v Speaker 7>world and delays and clearly you know, how long is

0:14:02.880 --> 0:14:06.439
<v Speaker 7>it going to take to get everything back online and

0:14:06.640 --> 0:14:09.640
<v Speaker 7>just watching to see, you know, the reaction in terms

0:14:09.640 --> 0:14:13.480
<v Speaker 7>of the sort of the scrutiny about having these critical

0:14:13.520 --> 0:14:17.119
<v Speaker 7>supply chains dependent on these tiny little pieces of software

0:14:17.320 --> 0:14:19.360
<v Speaker 7>and just you know what kind of comes from that

0:14:19.400 --> 0:14:20.520
<v Speaker 7>and the risk involved in that.

0:14:20.800 --> 0:14:24.480
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, good point, Jordan, last thirty forty seconds for you,

0:14:24.800 --> 0:14:26.360
<v Speaker 2>It's been a long day for you as you get

0:14:26.360 --> 0:14:29.440
<v Speaker 2>into the weekend and probably looking forward to getting some sleep.

0:14:29.520 --> 0:14:32.240
<v Speaker 2>What's top of mind for you, you know, next day, weekend

0:14:32.480 --> 0:14:33.320
<v Speaker 2>Monday story.

0:14:34.320 --> 0:14:36.200
<v Speaker 8>I think that you know, as I mentioned, lots of

0:14:36.240 --> 0:14:38.080
<v Speaker 8>it technicians are going to be trying to fix these

0:14:38.080 --> 0:14:40.360
<v Speaker 8>machines throughout the weekend and then the coming weeks. I

0:14:40.360 --> 0:14:42.400
<v Speaker 8>think the biggest question is going to be for CrowdStrike,

0:14:42.720 --> 0:14:46.160
<v Speaker 8>whether they will you know, outline how this this really

0:14:46.280 --> 0:14:49.640
<v Speaker 8>bad little piece of software made it past their quality

0:14:49.680 --> 0:14:52.680
<v Speaker 8>assurance program? Was there a quality assurance program? Did anybody

0:14:52.760 --> 0:14:54.520
<v Speaker 8>look at this before it went out? That's going to

0:14:54.560 --> 0:14:55.600
<v Speaker 8>be the next big question.

0:14:55.600 --> 0:14:56.200
<v Speaker 6>You guys, rock.

0:14:56.360 --> 0:15:00.240
<v Speaker 2>Thank you so much much. Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Tech Inustry

0:15:00.280 --> 0:15:04.320
<v Speaker 2>Alas Mandeep seeing Bloomberg News cybersecurity reporter Jamie Terraby and

0:15:04.360 --> 0:15:07.960
<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg New Cybersecurity reporter Jordan robertson everything you need to

0:15:08.040 --> 0:15:10.720
<v Speaker 2>know about that was right there.

0:15:10.720 --> 0:15:11.400
<v Speaker 1>I watched for the.

0:15:11.360 --> 0:15:13.200
<v Speaker 3>Reboots in the lawsuits.

0:15:12.720 --> 0:15:15.640
<v Speaker 2>Main takeaway from that t shirts hots being made.

0:15:15.720 --> 0:15:20.520
<v Speaker 1>Right now, you're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast.

0:15:20.720 --> 0:15:24.040
<v Speaker 1>Catch us live weekday afternoons from two to five pm Eastern.

0:15:24.200 --> 0:15:26.600
<v Speaker 1>Listen on Apple car Play and then Brout Auto with

0:15:26.600 --> 0:15:30.840
<v Speaker 1>a Bloomberg Business app, or watch us live on YouTube.

0:15:31.440 --> 0:15:33.480
<v Speaker 2>One other sector of the market that we've been watching

0:15:33.480 --> 0:15:36.480
<v Speaker 2>closely today is the airline group. And I'm looking at

0:15:36.480 --> 0:15:40.200
<v Speaker 2>the S and P five hundred supercomposite Airlines subindustry index

0:15:40.640 --> 0:15:42.640
<v Speaker 2>was down almost two percent right now, it's up about

0:15:42.720 --> 0:15:46.760
<v Speaker 2>nine tenths of a percent round noon today. The FAA

0:15:46.920 --> 0:15:48.880
<v Speaker 2>put out a post on x David that the global

0:15:48.920 --> 0:15:52.080
<v Speaker 2>IT issue could continue to affect flights this week, and

0:15:52.080 --> 0:15:54.080
<v Speaker 2>that it's still working with airlines to kind of closely

0:15:54.120 --> 0:15:55.200
<v Speaker 2>keep an eye on the issue.

0:15:55.320 --> 0:15:58.320
<v Speaker 3>This is airlines begin slowly resuming some operations following that

0:15:58.440 --> 0:16:02.840
<v Speaker 3>widespread global software melt down. Thousands of people delayed on

0:16:02.920 --> 0:16:05.880
<v Speaker 3>canceled flights, likely to cascade through the systems for days.

0:16:05.960 --> 0:16:08.440
<v Speaker 3>As the FAA said airlines stocks as a whole down

0:16:08.440 --> 0:16:11.000
<v Speaker 3>one point nine percent earlier today. With more on this

0:16:11.080 --> 0:16:13.720
<v Speaker 3>aspect of the global it OT outage story, we welcome

0:16:13.720 --> 0:16:16.520
<v Speaker 3>in long time airline industry analysts planne Becker, TD Cowan

0:16:16.560 --> 0:16:20.680
<v Speaker 3>Managing Director and senior research analysts. Let me just start

0:16:20.760 --> 0:16:22.720
<v Speaker 3>big picture here. This is something I think it's safe

0:16:22.760 --> 0:16:25.200
<v Speaker 3>to say the airlines must have been fearing, and just

0:16:25.240 --> 0:16:29.160
<v Speaker 3>give us your perspective from your vantage of how disruptive

0:16:29.160 --> 0:16:31.280
<v Speaker 3>and devastating this has been for airlines.

0:16:32.680 --> 0:16:33.880
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, thanks for the question.

0:16:34.160 --> 0:16:38.680
<v Speaker 10>So it disrupted operations as you noted, all day, and

0:16:39.480 --> 0:16:42.960
<v Speaker 10>because there will be crews out of place, in aircraft

0:16:42.960 --> 0:16:47.120
<v Speaker 10>out of place, it'll probably cascade into Sunday. I would

0:16:47.120 --> 0:16:51.680
<v Speaker 10>say Friday and Sunday are probably the worst two days

0:16:51.720 --> 0:16:54.840
<v Speaker 10>to have issues because those tend to be the days

0:16:54.880 --> 0:16:59.760
<v Speaker 10>when we see the most number of people flying, especially

0:16:59.800 --> 0:17:04.399
<v Speaker 10>as summer Friday. So I know the airlines were offering

0:17:04.440 --> 0:17:08.280
<v Speaker 10>waivers if you wanted to change your plans, but pragmatically,

0:17:08.320 --> 0:17:10.840
<v Speaker 10>if you're going on vacation today, you kind of want

0:17:10.840 --> 0:17:13.920
<v Speaker 10>to go.

0:17:14.080 --> 0:17:14.399
<v Speaker 7>That's.

0:17:16.640 --> 0:17:17.080
<v Speaker 9>Yeah.

0:17:17.200 --> 0:17:21.120
<v Speaker 10>So so I'm I guess you know, I'm hearing reports

0:17:21.240 --> 0:17:26.480
<v Speaker 10>that air reports are starting to get aircraft out, airlines

0:17:26.480 --> 0:17:30.399
<v Speaker 10>are getting air crept out. Yeah, obviously with massive delays.

0:17:30.480 --> 0:17:32.200
<v Speaker 10>So I would say, before you go to the airport,

0:17:32.359 --> 0:17:37.159
<v Speaker 10>check your flight status. But that said, they're going to

0:17:37.200 --> 0:17:38.840
<v Speaker 10>do their best to get you where you want to go.

0:17:39.280 --> 0:17:42.200
<v Speaker 2>Is there do you edicipate a kind of financial impact

0:17:42.200 --> 0:17:45.399
<v Speaker 2>material impact here as of this out of this excuse me?

0:17:45.880 --> 0:17:50.120
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, yeah, no, So we're going to treat it as

0:17:50.160 --> 0:17:54.520
<v Speaker 10>if it was a storm, sort of a winter weather

0:17:54.680 --> 0:17:59.800
<v Speaker 10>event or summer thunderstorm, and and there will be, you know,

0:17:59.840 --> 0:18:02.920
<v Speaker 10>a little bit of an impact for sure, but we're

0:18:02.960 --> 0:18:03.840
<v Speaker 10>early enough in.

0:18:03.800 --> 0:18:06.400
<v Speaker 9>The quarter that they'll be able to recover.

0:18:07.119 --> 0:18:12.359
<v Speaker 10>And also, since almost three million people are traveling on

0:18:12.440 --> 0:18:16.760
<v Speaker 10>Fridays and Sundays these days, if you're starting your vacation,

0:18:17.160 --> 0:18:20.120
<v Speaker 10>you're going to still persevere. And if you're ending your vacation,

0:18:20.240 --> 0:18:23.560
<v Speaker 10>you obviously have to come home and seeing with a

0:18:23.600 --> 0:18:26.479
<v Speaker 10>business trip, if you're ending a business trip, you have

0:18:26.520 --> 0:18:29.040
<v Speaker 10>to come home. Not a lot of business trips start

0:18:29.119 --> 0:18:30.600
<v Speaker 10>on Fridays.

0:18:30.320 --> 0:18:36.760
<v Speaker 3>Fair enough, the good ones, Helena, I was thinking that far.

0:18:37.000 --> 0:18:38.960
<v Speaker 9>Actually Farnborough starts Monday.

0:18:39.040 --> 0:18:39.480
<v Speaker 5>There you go.

0:18:42.080 --> 0:18:44.160
<v Speaker 2>Trips that started on a Friday or Saturday.

0:18:45.880 --> 0:18:48.080
<v Speaker 10>I'm not going this year, but a lot of my

0:18:48.160 --> 0:18:50.600
<v Speaker 10>friends we're leaving tonight.

0:18:50.520 --> 0:18:53.560
<v Speaker 3>A few extra days in London, you know. I was

0:18:53.600 --> 0:18:56.040
<v Speaker 3>just in Atlanta and while waiting for my plan, I

0:18:56.080 --> 0:18:58.320
<v Speaker 3>looked over and I love when that there was a

0:18:58.320 --> 0:19:01.919
<v Speaker 3>dot matrix printer at the gate. And I'm always so

0:19:02.040 --> 0:19:05.000
<v Speaker 3>amazed at the longevity of the dot matrix printer, particularly

0:19:05.000 --> 0:19:08.920
<v Speaker 3>in airports. But I bring this up to say, how

0:19:08.960 --> 0:19:11.000
<v Speaker 3>old are these systems, how outmoded are these systems. If

0:19:11.000 --> 0:19:12.560
<v Speaker 3>we're to step back and look at any kind of

0:19:12.560 --> 0:19:16.199
<v Speaker 3>broader takeaways of what's happened here, does it say anything

0:19:16.240 --> 0:19:18.959
<v Speaker 3>about how good this infrastructure is. We were talking earlier

0:19:18.960 --> 0:19:21.240
<v Speaker 3>with men deep Singh just about how people are running

0:19:21.400 --> 0:19:23.280
<v Speaker 3>all kinds of versions of Windows don't have they're running

0:19:23.280 --> 0:19:25.760
<v Speaker 3>Windows ninety five. But no one's on the same thing

0:19:25.840 --> 0:19:27.480
<v Speaker 3>or the most modern thing and I always feel that,

0:19:27.520 --> 0:19:29.720
<v Speaker 3>particularly acutely when I'm at the airport. It feels like

0:19:29.760 --> 0:19:31.560
<v Speaker 3>the systems that a lot of these airlines are using

0:19:31.720 --> 0:19:32.720
<v Speaker 3>are pretty outmoded.

0:19:34.200 --> 0:19:38.679
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, you know, that's another good observation actually, because Southwest

0:19:38.800 --> 0:19:42.400
<v Speaker 10>was one of the least impacted airlines today and as

0:19:42.480 --> 0:19:45.879
<v Speaker 10>most people know, they have one of the oldest systems

0:19:45.960 --> 0:19:49.959
<v Speaker 10>out there. So thinking about it over the years that

0:19:50.080 --> 0:19:52.120
<v Speaker 10>and you pointed out, I've been doing this a long time.

0:19:52.960 --> 0:19:58.680
<v Speaker 10>Airlines were early adopters of technology, and then because of

0:19:59.359 --> 0:20:02.560
<v Speaker 10>all the issues they had and the bankruptcy filings in

0:20:02.640 --> 0:20:06.520
<v Speaker 10>the last no it's two decades ago. It's just kind

0:20:06.520 --> 0:20:10.160
<v Speaker 10>of shocking. But with all those issues, they weren't able

0:20:10.200 --> 0:20:12.960
<v Speaker 10>to necessarily keep up, and they've spent the last four

0:20:13.040 --> 0:20:16.840
<v Speaker 10>or five years, especially using the time in the pandemic

0:20:17.280 --> 0:20:22.200
<v Speaker 10>to start upgrading their systems. And so I know that

0:20:22.600 --> 0:20:24.680
<v Speaker 10>most of the airlines and a lot of the airports

0:20:24.720 --> 0:20:27.600
<v Speaker 10>were caught out by it. But you know, in fairness

0:20:27.640 --> 0:20:31.440
<v Speaker 10>to them, they're doing everything they can to push information

0:20:31.560 --> 0:20:35.159
<v Speaker 10>to the customer. I think United is probably on the

0:20:35.240 --> 0:20:41.160
<v Speaker 10>leading edge of this. They rolled out earlier this month,

0:20:41.760 --> 0:20:46.879
<v Speaker 10>the traffic the weather app that they're using to show

0:20:46.920 --> 0:20:50.200
<v Speaker 10>you because it's sunny where you are and it's sunny

0:20:50.240 --> 0:20:53.880
<v Speaker 10>where you're going, but there's thundersperms in between. So they're

0:20:53.920 --> 0:20:58.600
<v Speaker 10>pushing that to people's cell phones now, and they're doing

0:20:58.680 --> 0:21:01.840
<v Speaker 10>their best to keep up and get ahead of technology.

0:21:01.880 --> 0:21:05.520
<v Speaker 10>But to your point, some of the systems are just

0:21:05.560 --> 0:21:09.040
<v Speaker 10>slow to be updated, on the dot matrix printer being

0:21:10.040 --> 0:21:10.560
<v Speaker 10>one of them.

0:21:11.160 --> 0:21:13.320
<v Speaker 2>Oh my god, I want a new headline on a story, Well,

0:21:13.359 --> 0:21:16.720
<v Speaker 2>the dot matrix printer aside. I mean, it's safe to

0:21:16.760 --> 0:21:19.879
<v Speaker 2>say though increasingly, you know, there is a lot of

0:21:19.920 --> 0:21:22.960
<v Speaker 2>technology still. Though when it comes to the airline industry,

0:21:23.000 --> 0:21:26.120
<v Speaker 2>do you anticipate I mean that we're going to see

0:21:26.160 --> 0:21:28.840
<v Speaker 2>more incidents like this potentially.

0:21:30.080 --> 0:21:31.280
<v Speaker 9>Well I don't.

0:21:31.480 --> 0:21:34.160
<v Speaker 10>I'm hoping not, of course, But it seems like there

0:21:34.160 --> 0:21:38.040
<v Speaker 10>are always issues that aren't necessarily their fault, that they're

0:21:38.040 --> 0:21:40.399
<v Speaker 10>a victim, and they weren't the only ones, right, I mean,

0:21:40.440 --> 0:21:42.720
<v Speaker 10>you guys have been talking about this all day. There

0:21:42.720 --> 0:21:46.560
<v Speaker 10>have been other industries. Banking was very affected. I know

0:21:46.680 --> 0:21:49.440
<v Speaker 10>when I locked on this morning, I didn't have any issues,

0:21:49.600 --> 0:21:51.760
<v Speaker 10>but it was just an accident of timing. By the

0:21:52.440 --> 0:21:54.159
<v Speaker 10>I was a little late this morning, so by the

0:21:54.200 --> 0:21:56.920
<v Speaker 10>time I locked on, the issues had been resolved within

0:21:57.040 --> 0:22:02.439
<v Speaker 10>our firm. But in general, I think the industry is

0:22:02.480 --> 0:22:05.960
<v Speaker 10>going to continue to invest in technology and they're going

0:22:06.040 --> 0:22:09.520
<v Speaker 10>to use every tool available to try to keep their

0:22:09.560 --> 0:22:14.920
<v Speaker 10>aircraft running on time. Obviously is safe operation and so on,

0:22:15.119 --> 0:22:19.000
<v Speaker 10>and so will these incidents is continue to occur, of course,

0:22:19.119 --> 0:22:22.440
<v Speaker 10>because it's not only airlines that are always affected.

0:22:22.560 --> 0:22:23.880
<v Speaker 9>There are other industries.

0:22:24.119 --> 0:22:26.760
<v Speaker 10>But in as long as we all rely on so

0:22:26.920 --> 0:22:29.880
<v Speaker 10>much technology, we're going to be exposed. So I don't

0:22:29.880 --> 0:22:32.360
<v Speaker 10>think there's anything you can do about that. But when

0:22:32.359 --> 0:22:34.520
<v Speaker 10>you think about the millions of flights that we have

0:22:34.680 --> 0:22:39.439
<v Speaker 10>on a monthly basis, on an annual basis, the system

0:22:39.520 --> 0:22:42.520
<v Speaker 10>is still working pretty well and the industry is still investing.

0:22:43.320 --> 0:22:46.359
<v Speaker 10>I think each of the big airlines probably invests close

0:22:46.400 --> 0:22:48.840
<v Speaker 10>to a billion dollars a year in technology, and then

0:22:48.920 --> 0:22:54.400
<v Speaker 10>above and beyond what they invest in in in aircraft cutbacks.

0:22:54.640 --> 0:22:56.720
<v Speaker 9>So I don't think that's going to change.

0:22:56.840 --> 0:22:58.600
<v Speaker 2>All right, We're gonna leave it there, Hey, listen, thanks

0:22:58.640 --> 0:23:00.520
<v Speaker 2>so much for carving out some times. Have a great

0:23:00.560 --> 0:23:02.919
<v Speaker 2>week and always good to check in with. Clane Becker.

0:23:03.119 --> 0:23:05.960
<v Speaker 2>She's managing director, Senior research analyst Ever at td Cowan

0:23:06.080 --> 0:23:09.080
<v Speaker 2>joining us in New York City. I'm looking at airlinestocks, David.

0:23:09.080 --> 0:23:10.320
<v Speaker 6>They're actually as.

0:23:10.200 --> 0:23:11.080
<v Speaker 2>A group up about one.

0:23:11.800 --> 0:23:13.360
<v Speaker 3>How about that treating it like a storm. I thought,

0:23:13.359 --> 0:23:15.320
<v Speaker 3>that's my big takeaway from that, saying this is kind

0:23:15.359 --> 0:23:16.360
<v Speaker 3>of an anomaly.

0:23:15.960 --> 0:23:18.320
<v Speaker 2>For I feel like things are just bouncing back so quickly.

0:23:20.400 --> 0:23:24.280
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Listen live

0:23:24.359 --> 0:23:27.560
<v Speaker 1>each weekday starting at two pm Eastern on applecar Play

0:23:27.600 --> 0:23:30.439
<v Speaker 1>and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. You can

0:23:30.480 --> 0:23:33.719
<v Speaker 1>also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New

0:23:33.800 --> 0:23:37.439
<v Speaker 1>York station, Just Say Alexa playing Bloomberg eleven thirty.

0:23:39.160 --> 0:23:41.639
<v Speaker 2>As we continue our coverage at the global IT outage,

0:23:41.640 --> 0:23:43.600
<v Speaker 2>Hey listen. One other area that we were thinking about

0:23:43.920 --> 0:23:46.919
<v Speaker 2>looking at and it seemed to be impacted was retail.

0:23:46.920 --> 0:23:49.359
<v Speaker 2>There was a story in the Bloomberg Starbucks online system

0:23:49.600 --> 0:23:52.879
<v Speaker 2>order ahead on mobile apps appeared to be down this morning,

0:23:52.960 --> 0:23:55.359
<v Speaker 2>so workers were having to actually take orders by hand.

0:23:55.440 --> 0:23:58.640
<v Speaker 3>David, take orders by hand. Other reports mentioned grocery stores, retailer's,

0:23:58.680 --> 0:24:00.800
<v Speaker 3>fast food giants affected around the world. I think I

0:24:00.800 --> 0:24:03.440
<v Speaker 3>saw one Blomberg News article at a hotel in Hong Kong,

0:24:03.440 --> 0:24:06.399
<v Speaker 3>they were checking people in my hand, which is actually

0:24:06.440 --> 0:24:08.960
<v Speaker 3>see a big corporate hotel. Do you know what's Yeah?

0:24:09.800 --> 0:24:12.040
<v Speaker 3>I think that's just just you know, digress a little bit.

0:24:12.320 --> 0:24:14.359
<v Speaker 3>What gives me the most pause is just to think through,

0:24:14.520 --> 0:24:16.639
<v Speaker 3>like in our line of work and other lines of work,

0:24:16.720 --> 0:24:18.000
<v Speaker 3>what you have, what would you have to do if

0:24:18.040 --> 0:24:20.040
<v Speaker 3>you weren't able to get online or get access to yourself.

0:24:20.040 --> 0:24:22.159
<v Speaker 2>I always say this to my husband because increasingly, like

0:24:22.200 --> 0:24:24.720
<v Speaker 2>all of our systems are online, like turning on lights,

0:24:24.760 --> 0:24:26.359
<v Speaker 2>turning on this, turning on that, and I'm like, what

0:24:26.480 --> 0:24:29.520
<v Speaker 2>happens like as things go down a kind of our world?

0:24:29.520 --> 0:24:32.119
<v Speaker 3>Stop the bloomberg performing without missing a beat? I want

0:24:32.160 --> 0:24:34.959
<v Speaker 3>to point out shamelessly.

0:24:35.200 --> 0:24:38.280
<v Speaker 2>No, all right, so let's talk a little bit about

0:24:38.280 --> 0:24:40.840
<v Speaker 2>what's going on in the retail world. Nikki Bairtt is

0:24:40.840 --> 0:24:42.800
<v Speaker 2>with us. She's vice president of retail Innovation at the

0:24:42.800 --> 0:24:46.959
<v Speaker 2>retail technology solutions company APTOS. They work with companies from CROCS,

0:24:47.040 --> 0:24:51.000
<v Speaker 2>callhon to LLB and Michael Cores. Nikki joining us from Denver, Colorado. Nikki,

0:24:51.000 --> 0:24:53.640
<v Speaker 2>good to have you here with uh, David and myself.

0:24:53.680 --> 0:24:55.200
<v Speaker 2>I was going to say Tim and myself, so sorry

0:24:55.200 --> 0:24:59.720
<v Speaker 2>about that, Like a Robot, David and myself, how are

0:24:59.760 --> 0:25:01.240
<v Speaker 2>you good?

0:25:01.520 --> 0:25:02.040
<v Speaker 6>Good? Good?

0:25:02.840 --> 0:25:06.200
<v Speaker 11>Definitely watching all the news roll in about the outage myself.

0:25:06.520 --> 0:25:09.240
<v Speaker 2>I am curious. You guys work with a wide swath

0:25:09.440 --> 0:25:12.000
<v Speaker 2>of the retail group. What are you hearing from the

0:25:12.000 --> 0:25:14.359
<v Speaker 2>retail world in regards to the outage.

0:25:15.080 --> 0:25:18.040
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, it's really been kind of all over the place.

0:25:18.119 --> 0:25:20.480
<v Speaker 11>Like from our perspective, it's been a very limited impact,

0:25:20.880 --> 0:25:23.560
<v Speaker 11>and it's mostly up to kind of the configuration and

0:25:23.600 --> 0:25:26.200
<v Speaker 11>the setup of our clients, the choices that they've made,

0:25:26.280 --> 0:25:29.439
<v Speaker 11>as opposed to like our ability to deliver solutions. So,

0:25:30.600 --> 0:25:34.359
<v Speaker 11>you know, we definitely with point of sale in particular,

0:25:34.520 --> 0:25:38.080
<v Speaker 11>you really have to think about how you handle things

0:25:38.119 --> 0:25:40.600
<v Speaker 11>when things go down and whether you've got to pull

0:25:40.640 --> 0:25:43.600
<v Speaker 11>out the calculator and the notepad in order to figure

0:25:43.640 --> 0:25:46.720
<v Speaker 11>things out. And so, you know, we really have focused

0:25:46.720 --> 0:25:50.000
<v Speaker 11>on that offline resiliency. Even if the store had that

0:25:50.119 --> 0:25:52.520
<v Speaker 11>kind of trouble, we'd still be able to transact. That's

0:25:52.880 --> 0:25:55.040
<v Speaker 11>that's a really important part of delivering point of sales

0:25:55.080 --> 0:25:56.080
<v Speaker 11>solutions these days.

0:25:56.440 --> 0:25:58.640
<v Speaker 3>Nikki, I wonder what happens when you have an event

0:25:58.760 --> 0:26:02.040
<v Speaker 3>like this to the trust that consumers have in the

0:26:02.080 --> 0:26:04.640
<v Speaker 3>businesses that they're dealing with with the retailers that they're

0:26:04.720 --> 0:26:08.480
<v Speaker 3>transacting with. Do they take a pause? How do retailers

0:26:08.720 --> 0:26:10.840
<v Speaker 3>kind of combat that, you know, acknowledging the fact that

0:26:10.880 --> 0:26:12.400
<v Speaker 3>a lot of them are using this kind of third

0:26:12.480 --> 0:26:16.800
<v Speaker 3>party endpoint software to keep their systems secure. Of course,

0:26:16.840 --> 0:26:19.480
<v Speaker 3>by doing that, acknowledging the fact that, like other companies

0:26:19.520 --> 0:26:22.280
<v Speaker 3>are in their systems making sure that the systems are secure,

0:26:22.280 --> 0:26:24.040
<v Speaker 3>I imagine that there's a fine line to tow there

0:26:24.080 --> 0:26:24.800
<v Speaker 3>for these companies.

0:26:25.640 --> 0:26:27.720
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, you know, I think we see a lot from

0:26:27.880 --> 0:26:30.680
<v Speaker 11>like the data breaches for example, that companies take kind

0:26:30.680 --> 0:26:33.919
<v Speaker 11>of an immediate hit, but when they kind of go

0:26:34.040 --> 0:26:38.720
<v Speaker 11>through their rehab, their public rehab, then consumers come back.

0:26:38.840 --> 0:26:42.600
<v Speaker 11>So whether that's fortunately or unfortunately, I'm not sure what

0:26:42.720 --> 0:26:46.399
<v Speaker 11>to say about that. But consumer's memory tends to be

0:26:46.440 --> 0:26:50.159
<v Speaker 11>pretty short. So unless it is repeated issues, or unless

0:26:50.200 --> 0:26:52.560
<v Speaker 11>those issues are so egregious that you know, it wipes

0:26:52.600 --> 0:26:56.000
<v Speaker 11>out everybody's bank account, it'll come back. I don't really

0:26:56.080 --> 0:26:59.480
<v Speaker 11>think it has a huge long term impact on consumers

0:26:59.480 --> 0:27:02.760
<v Speaker 11>trustticularly of retailers who are taking their credit cards and

0:27:02.800 --> 0:27:03.480
<v Speaker 11>making payments.

0:27:03.720 --> 0:27:06.320
<v Speaker 2>Hey, I do wonder to Nikki, any of your systems

0:27:06.400 --> 0:27:08.480
<v Speaker 2>you guys at your company that were impacted.

0:27:09.400 --> 0:27:11.560
<v Speaker 6>No, we had very very limited impact. Yeah.

0:27:12.280 --> 0:27:15.160
<v Speaker 11>I think we had a few customers who had some

0:27:15.440 --> 0:27:19.399
<v Speaker 11>minor issues with some back office computers in stores themselves,

0:27:19.440 --> 0:27:23.520
<v Speaker 11>but it wasn't from like our solutions and how they're delivered.

0:27:23.560 --> 0:27:27.160
<v Speaker 11>It was really from their own use of the technologies

0:27:27.160 --> 0:27:27.920
<v Speaker 11>that were impacted.

0:27:28.040 --> 0:27:29.639
<v Speaker 2>How are you guys though, What are the discussions you're

0:27:29.640 --> 0:27:32.399
<v Speaker 2>having at your company though because of what happened and

0:27:32.440 --> 0:27:35.720
<v Speaker 2>maybe thinking about the different strategies or protecting the solutions

0:27:35.760 --> 0:27:38.080
<v Speaker 2>that you provide to make sure nothing like this happens

0:27:38.119 --> 0:27:38.679
<v Speaker 2>in the future.

0:27:39.400 --> 0:27:40.840
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, we're very very active.

0:27:40.880 --> 0:27:44.080
<v Speaker 11>We have multiple people and we have a critical response

0:27:44.119 --> 0:27:47.040
<v Speaker 11>team to really jump on all of those things whenever

0:27:47.080 --> 0:27:50.680
<v Speaker 11>something like that happens. I think, you know, we definitely

0:27:50.680 --> 0:27:53.960
<v Speaker 11>spend a lot of our time preaching on it. Industry

0:27:54.000 --> 0:27:58.119
<v Speaker 11>best practices don't auto update things you might want to,

0:27:58.280 --> 0:28:01.280
<v Speaker 11>like pause before you auto up eight. But it's hard

0:28:01.280 --> 0:28:03.800
<v Speaker 11>with security because some of those things are so urgent

0:28:04.200 --> 0:28:06.600
<v Speaker 11>that you almost do want to turn on the auto update.

0:28:06.640 --> 0:28:09.120
<v Speaker 11>But when you do things like that, then if there's

0:28:09.160 --> 0:28:12.119
<v Speaker 11>anything that goes wrong, then you aren't doing anything to

0:28:12.119 --> 0:28:14.240
<v Speaker 11>stop it and you've got to roll it all back.

0:28:14.320 --> 0:28:17.520
<v Speaker 11>So we spend a lot of time really focusing on

0:28:17.640 --> 0:28:21.240
<v Speaker 11>kind of it best practices to help protect yourself from

0:28:21.280 --> 0:28:24.640
<v Speaker 11>some of those automated things that happen as much as possible.

0:28:25.359 --> 0:28:27.119
<v Speaker 3>Nick, you want to step back and just ask you

0:28:27.160 --> 0:28:29.480
<v Speaker 3>sort of what's front of mine for retailers right now?

0:28:29.520 --> 0:28:33.040
<v Speaker 3>We're in mid July the school year. Yeah, sadly is

0:28:33.040 --> 0:28:35.919
<v Speaker 3>around that. It does feel like I just got my

0:28:36.000 --> 0:28:37.679
<v Speaker 3>kids out of school and now we're talking about back

0:28:37.720 --> 0:28:40.040
<v Speaker 3>to school. But how much is that kind of the

0:28:40.160 --> 0:28:42.840
<v Speaker 3>marquee item on retailer's calendars right now? How much emphasis

0:28:42.880 --> 0:28:44.600
<v Speaker 3>are they placing on that and what does it mean

0:28:44.640 --> 0:28:45.680
<v Speaker 3>for the sector more broadly?

0:28:46.480 --> 0:28:50.840
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, absolutely, it's definitely important. We have some retailers that

0:28:51.360 --> 0:28:54.760
<v Speaker 11>like normally there's from a technology perspective, a holiday freeze,

0:28:54.840 --> 0:28:58.120
<v Speaker 11>right so starting in mid October, maybe they won't have

0:28:58.240 --> 0:29:01.000
<v Speaker 11>any changes that get rolled out to stores because they

0:29:01.040 --> 0:29:03.400
<v Speaker 11>don't want to impact their ability to deliver on the

0:29:03.400 --> 0:29:07.200
<v Speaker 11>holiday season. Well, we have some retailers that also do

0:29:07.360 --> 0:29:09.880
<v Speaker 11>that same blackout period for back to school. It's that

0:29:10.000 --> 0:29:12.720
<v Speaker 11>important to them and they do not want anything that

0:29:12.800 --> 0:29:16.440
<v Speaker 11>will impact that. So it's definitely become probably the second

0:29:16.480 --> 0:29:19.640
<v Speaker 11>most critical holiday event for retails. Not to call it

0:29:19.640 --> 0:29:21.640
<v Speaker 11>a holiday, because I'm sure kids don't think that, but

0:29:22.440 --> 0:29:24.480
<v Speaker 11>it's on that level of holiday spending.

0:29:24.560 --> 0:29:26.000
<v Speaker 2>I don't know. My daughter kind of enjoyed all the

0:29:26.040 --> 0:29:27.880
<v Speaker 2>back to school shopping. It felt like a holiday. It

0:29:27.880 --> 0:29:30.120
<v Speaker 2>felt like Christmas like ten times over. To be quite

0:29:30.160 --> 0:29:33.200
<v Speaker 2>honest with you, Hey, having said that, you know you do. Guys,

0:29:33.600 --> 0:29:38.120
<v Speaker 2>you have a great window into the retail group, which

0:29:38.280 --> 0:29:40.200
<v Speaker 2>we know how important the consumers to the economy.

0:29:40.440 --> 0:29:41.360
<v Speaker 6>What would you say that?

0:29:41.520 --> 0:29:43.720
<v Speaker 2>What are you hearing from most retailers how things are going,

0:29:43.720 --> 0:29:46.600
<v Speaker 2>because we keep talking about how consumers are looking for value.

0:29:47.400 --> 0:29:50.320
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, I think that is definitely very much at play.

0:29:51.240 --> 0:29:54.520
<v Speaker 11>For sure, the back to school spending really kicked off

0:29:54.520 --> 0:29:56.600
<v Speaker 11>earlier than ever this year, and I think we saw

0:29:56.640 --> 0:29:59.280
<v Speaker 11>that in consumer surveys as well. We're seeing it in

0:29:59.320 --> 0:30:03.640
<v Speaker 11>the stores. Consumers are shopping early, but they're shopping early

0:30:03.760 --> 0:30:08.000
<v Speaker 11>looking for those deals. So I think there's the you know,

0:30:08.160 --> 0:30:11.280
<v Speaker 11>the whole Amazon Prime days and all of the retailers

0:30:11.320 --> 0:30:13.680
<v Speaker 11>like Target and Macy's and Walmart who kind of piled

0:30:13.720 --> 0:30:17.600
<v Speaker 11>on around those that Prime week. You know, they all

0:30:17.680 --> 0:30:21.480
<v Speaker 11>are trying to take advantage of the fact that consumers

0:30:21.520 --> 0:30:23.880
<v Speaker 11>are shopping earlier for back to school to kind of

0:30:23.920 --> 0:30:27.280
<v Speaker 11>get in front of those deal seekers. But that said,

0:30:27.440 --> 0:30:30.120
<v Speaker 11>I think most of them are really trying to cherry

0:30:30.120 --> 0:30:32.640
<v Speaker 11>pick up front and then also trying to look for

0:30:32.680 --> 0:30:33.480
<v Speaker 11>those deals.

0:30:33.240 --> 0:30:36.000
<v Speaker 6>As they get towards the end of the season.

0:30:36.080 --> 0:30:38.440
<v Speaker 11>Which for back to school is a little bit more

0:30:38.520 --> 0:30:42.080
<v Speaker 11>challenging for retailers because it's not like there's one day

0:30:42.200 --> 0:30:45.440
<v Speaker 11>like Christmas Day, where you have a deadline and you know, like,

0:30:45.600 --> 0:30:47.840
<v Speaker 11>if you don't hit this day, it's over. For back

0:30:47.880 --> 0:30:50.560
<v Speaker 11>to school, it kind of spreads across the end of August,

0:30:50.640 --> 0:30:54.400
<v Speaker 11>beginning of September, sometimes even as late as mid September,

0:30:54.520 --> 0:30:58.000
<v Speaker 11>so there are more opportunities I think for consumers to

0:30:58.320 --> 0:30:59.760
<v Speaker 11>kind of spread that spend out a.

0:30:59.720 --> 0:31:00.920
<v Speaker 6>Little bit if they need to.

0:31:02.160 --> 0:31:04.440
<v Speaker 3>Very quickly. Here, I wonder if you're seeing signs of

0:31:04.480 --> 0:31:07.200
<v Speaker 3>any strain on consumers, and so we talk about so

0:31:07.280 --> 0:31:08.960
<v Speaker 3>often is what the Fed's thinking and what it might

0:31:09.040 --> 0:31:11.960
<v Speaker 3>do and sort of how its war on high inflation

0:31:12.040 --> 0:31:15.320
<v Speaker 3>is affecting consumers. Are you seeing them strained and our

0:31:15.360 --> 0:31:17.920
<v Speaker 3>companies doing anything particularly interesting as a result.

0:31:18.960 --> 0:31:22.760
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, the promotions are back on deck for sure. You know,

0:31:22.800 --> 0:31:25.240
<v Speaker 6>we saw it earlier in the year with.

0:31:25.360 --> 0:31:28.320
<v Speaker 11>Some of the restaurants fast food kind of offering bringing

0:31:28.320 --> 0:31:30.600
<v Speaker 11>back their meal deals and things like that. And I think,

0:31:30.680 --> 0:31:33.960
<v Speaker 11>you know, my company focuses on apparel companies very much

0:31:34.000 --> 0:31:37.920
<v Speaker 11>so the fashion industry, and we've seen the same deal

0:31:38.040 --> 0:31:41.200
<v Speaker 11>that you've got to be pretty pretty targeted in your

0:31:41.200 --> 0:31:44.760
<v Speaker 11>promotions and you've definitely got to offer value in order

0:31:44.800 --> 0:31:47.600
<v Speaker 11>to get customers. I think one of the things with

0:31:48.680 --> 0:31:51.040
<v Speaker 11>back to school in particular is that it is a

0:31:51.160 --> 0:31:56.560
<v Speaker 11>very unique store traffic opportunity. So, as you mentioned Carol, right,

0:31:56.600 --> 0:31:58.560
<v Speaker 11>you want this to be a really great experience for

0:31:58.600 --> 0:32:00.680
<v Speaker 11>your kid. You want to take them, you want to

0:32:00.680 --> 0:32:02.600
<v Speaker 11>have them pick the backpack, you want them to be

0:32:03.040 --> 0:32:07.400
<v Speaker 11>emotionally invested in the new school year. And that's a

0:32:07.440 --> 0:32:11.440
<v Speaker 11>particular opportunity to take advantage of that traffic both in

0:32:11.480 --> 0:32:14.240
<v Speaker 11>the moment, but also to put together a really great

0:32:14.280 --> 0:32:16.960
<v Speaker 11>experience that could lead the holiday spending DOW.

0:32:17.240 --> 0:32:19.000
<v Speaker 2>I'm just gonna say, Niki, what I wanted it to

0:32:19.000 --> 0:32:20.480
<v Speaker 2>be is one store eno.

0:32:20.720 --> 0:32:23.920
<v Speaker 3>Like you were going to pick that backpack, you were

0:32:23.920 --> 0:32:24.720
<v Speaker 3>going to fill it.

0:32:24.720 --> 0:32:26.920
<v Speaker 5>And no, I have to have this one.

0:32:27.520 --> 0:32:31.320
<v Speaker 2>No, this one's just fine, Nikki, thanks so much. Get

0:32:31.360 --> 0:32:33.640
<v Speaker 2>to check in with you, Nicki Baird. She's vice president

0:32:33.640 --> 0:32:35.440
<v Speaker 2>of Retail Innovation. Over the app doos.

0:32:36.840 --> 0:32:40.280
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast Can't Just

0:32:40.440 --> 0:32:43.640
<v Speaker 1>Live weekday afternoons from two to five pm Eastern Listen

0:32:43.720 --> 0:32:45.880
<v Speaker 1>on Apple, car Play and and Broyt Auto with a

0:32:45.880 --> 0:32:50.040
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business app, or watch us live on YouTube.

0:32:50.520 --> 0:32:53.000
<v Speaker 2>You are listening and watching Bloomberg Business become Carol Master.

0:32:53.000 --> 0:32:55.320
<v Speaker 2>Timstenbeck is off with me as David Gora, and we've

0:32:55.320 --> 0:32:57.840
<v Speaker 2>got about eighteen minutes left in today's trading session, bouncing

0:32:57.880 --> 0:33:00.760
<v Speaker 2>around off our loads of the session, but too far off.

0:33:00.760 --> 0:33:03.480
<v Speaker 2>And you've got most of the major industry groups in

0:33:03.480 --> 0:33:05.480
<v Speaker 2>the S and P five hundred and nine out of

0:33:05.480 --> 0:33:09.120
<v Speaker 2>eleven are lower in today's trade. So a lot going on.

0:33:10.240 --> 0:33:11.800
<v Speaker 2>As we keep saying, I feel like a little bit

0:33:11.800 --> 0:33:14.040
<v Speaker 2>of a broken record. I'm very happy it's Friday, getting

0:33:14.040 --> 0:33:17.240
<v Speaker 2>ready for my glass of red wine. So let's get

0:33:17.240 --> 0:33:19.440
<v Speaker 2>to it. Our drive to the closed. Tracy mcmillion is

0:33:19.480 --> 0:33:21.840
<v Speaker 2>with US, head of Global Asset Allocation Strategy over at

0:33:21.880 --> 0:33:27.320
<v Speaker 2>Wells Fargo Investment Institute, joining us from Winston Salem, North Carolina. Tracy,

0:33:27.480 --> 0:33:31.000
<v Speaker 2>There is so much that we could start with, whether

0:33:31.040 --> 0:33:34.280
<v Speaker 2>it's the presidential race, whether it's the global IT outage,

0:33:34.280 --> 0:33:37.360
<v Speaker 2>whether it's earnings fed policy. What matters most to you

0:33:37.440 --> 0:33:38.880
<v Speaker 2>right now on this Friday afternoon.

0:33:40.840 --> 0:33:44.040
<v Speaker 12>You're right, Carol, there is a lot going on right now,

0:33:44.520 --> 0:33:48.680
<v Speaker 12>and I think for us, the most important thing is

0:33:49.200 --> 0:33:55.560
<v Speaker 12>to continue to advise investors to look at their portfolios

0:33:56.040 --> 0:33:59.240
<v Speaker 12>and those stocks that have outperformed the most so much

0:33:59.360 --> 0:34:02.680
<v Speaker 12>so far this year, and that's going to be stocks

0:34:02.680 --> 0:34:09.600
<v Speaker 12>and information technology, communication services. Take games there and reallocate

0:34:09.760 --> 0:34:15.880
<v Speaker 12>into those sectors that should benefit as due to the

0:34:15.920 --> 0:34:20.359
<v Speaker 12>earnings recovery as that continues through the end of the year.

0:34:20.640 --> 0:34:27.360
<v Speaker 12>So those are sectors like industrials, energy, materials, healthcare, and financials.

0:34:28.000 --> 0:34:31.200
<v Speaker 3>You mentioned information technology. We were talking about Nvidia kind

0:34:31.200 --> 0:34:34.560
<v Speaker 3>of recentrough road that it's been on. Something that's always

0:34:34.560 --> 0:34:38.319
<v Speaker 3>of endless curiosity to me is when that enthusiasm for

0:34:38.360 --> 0:34:40.520
<v Speaker 3>AI moves to smaller companies in the space and we

0:34:40.560 --> 0:34:43.719
<v Speaker 3>see kind of secondary and tertiary effects of that. Are

0:34:43.719 --> 0:34:46.120
<v Speaker 3>you seeing that when you make those recommendations, Are you

0:34:46.120 --> 0:34:48.720
<v Speaker 3>suggesting any of that money go into other AI companies?

0:34:48.719 --> 0:34:51.120
<v Speaker 3>Where are you really kind of making a more counseling,

0:34:51.160 --> 0:34:53.240
<v Speaker 3>a more defensive play.

0:34:54.160 --> 0:34:58.600
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, so you're right. AI has certainly driven a lot

0:34:58.600 --> 0:35:00.759
<v Speaker 12>of the returns so far the year, and it's been

0:35:01.080 --> 0:35:06.359
<v Speaker 12>the megacap Ai companies, and you know, as AI continues

0:35:06.440 --> 0:35:12.040
<v Speaker 12>to proliferate and to the build out continues, we think

0:35:12.080 --> 0:35:16.399
<v Speaker 12>that it will the benefits to investors will move from

0:35:16.440 --> 0:35:22.560
<v Speaker 12>that direct investment in technology names to peripheral types of

0:35:22.680 --> 0:35:26.960
<v Speaker 12>sectors that should benefit as data centers are built out,

0:35:27.920 --> 0:35:34.440
<v Speaker 12>as energy use is electrification you know, continues to be needed.

0:35:35.320 --> 0:35:38.920
<v Speaker 12>So we do think that that's kind of the next play,

0:35:39.400 --> 0:35:43.520
<v Speaker 12>and that's where we're asking investors to focus their assets.

0:35:43.880 --> 0:35:47.719
<v Speaker 2>Having said that, Tesla reports next week, Alphabet reports next week.

0:35:47.800 --> 0:35:50.320
<v Speaker 2>So if we get I'm thinking about Alphabet in particular,

0:35:50.400 --> 0:35:53.439
<v Speaker 2>some up eating numbers from Alphabet, do you rethink kind

0:35:53.440 --> 0:35:55.520
<v Speaker 2>of that big tech story? Because I feel like just

0:35:55.560 --> 0:35:58.160
<v Speaker 2>when everybody says we're done with big tech, all of

0:35:58.200 --> 0:36:00.200
<v Speaker 2>a sudden something happens and we all go roaring. Are

0:36:00.239 --> 0:36:02.600
<v Speaker 2>you see investors moving a lot of money back into

0:36:02.640 --> 0:36:05.600
<v Speaker 2>the sector. So I don't know, how do you balance that?

0:36:07.120 --> 0:36:09.680
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, So the way that we're playing that right now

0:36:09.880 --> 0:36:13.600
<v Speaker 12>is to be neutral technology and what that means for

0:36:14.440 --> 0:36:19.319
<v Speaker 12>US large cap investor who is neutral the index, that's

0:36:19.360 --> 0:36:24.000
<v Speaker 12>about one third of their US large cap exposure. So

0:36:24.200 --> 0:36:27.920
<v Speaker 12>that's a lot of exposure to technology. We just wouldn't

0:36:27.960 --> 0:36:32.280
<v Speaker 12>be overweighted here. And because these stocks have done so well,

0:36:32.560 --> 0:36:35.680
<v Speaker 12>that's exactly what we're seeing and a lot of portfolios

0:36:35.760 --> 0:36:39.000
<v Speaker 12>is that it's it's more heavily weighted than the index.

0:36:39.400 --> 0:36:42.560
<v Speaker 12>So that's where we're saying, pair some pair some of beholdings,

0:36:42.600 --> 0:36:46.560
<v Speaker 12>pair some gains, and reallocate to other areas. Not that

0:36:46.600 --> 0:36:50.920
<v Speaker 12>we don't see technology continuing to perform well, it's just

0:36:51.040 --> 0:36:53.960
<v Speaker 12>that there's a lot of risk there when it gets

0:36:54.000 --> 0:36:57.600
<v Speaker 12>when the performance gets as conscience concentrated as it's been

0:36:57.680 --> 0:36:58.680
<v Speaker 12>so far this year.

0:36:59.200 --> 0:37:01.680
<v Speaker 3>Tracey Carroll start off asking you what's top of mind

0:37:01.680 --> 0:37:03.719
<v Speaker 3>for you? Let me turn that question on its head,

0:37:03.920 --> 0:37:06.120
<v Speaker 3>and what's top of mind for your clients when they

0:37:06.160 --> 0:37:09.200
<v Speaker 3>come in to you worrying about what they should be doing,

0:37:09.320 --> 0:37:12.239
<v Speaker 3>Curious what you would advise them to do, buy and large,

0:37:12.440 --> 0:37:13.799
<v Speaker 3>what are they asking about, what are they saying and

0:37:13.840 --> 0:37:15.520
<v Speaker 3>sort of how often do you have to set them straight?

0:37:15.520 --> 0:37:17.719
<v Speaker 3>So what's the most common kind of misconception that the

0:37:17.800 --> 0:37:21.800
<v Speaker 3>investors that your clients have right now, I'd.

0:37:21.680 --> 0:37:26.719
<v Speaker 12>Say, right now it's probably wanting to reallocate based on

0:37:27.040 --> 0:37:32.160
<v Speaker 12>the political environment, wanting to reallocate based on who is

0:37:32.400 --> 0:37:36.359
<v Speaker 12>leading in the polls. And we are telling investors that

0:37:37.400 --> 0:37:41.960
<v Speaker 12>they should not make significant changes to their portfolios based

0:37:42.080 --> 0:37:46.040
<v Speaker 12>on what is happening right now in the polls, that

0:37:46.600 --> 0:37:50.719
<v Speaker 12>it's much too soon to make any changes to the portfolio.

0:37:51.520 --> 0:37:57.400
<v Speaker 12>We've certainly seen some very extraordinary headlines coming out of

0:37:57.440 --> 0:38:00.319
<v Speaker 12>this race so far, lots of twists and turn it's

0:38:00.360 --> 0:38:03.840
<v Speaker 12>a long way to November. We just think it's speculative

0:38:03.880 --> 0:38:08.200
<v Speaker 12>at this point to be investing based on what might

0:38:08.320 --> 0:38:09.279
<v Speaker 12>happen at that time.

0:38:09.400 --> 0:38:11.239
<v Speaker 2>Tracy, is there a point though in the race, I

0:38:11.280 --> 0:38:13.960
<v Speaker 2>don't know, two weeks out, a month out, like where

0:38:14.000 --> 0:38:16.120
<v Speaker 2>you really look at the polls and you say, all right, guys,

0:38:16.200 --> 0:38:18.680
<v Speaker 2>it's you know, hey, clients, it is time to make

0:38:18.719 --> 0:38:19.520
<v Speaker 2>some adjustments.

0:38:21.360 --> 0:38:25.280
<v Speaker 12>So we probably would want to wait until we get

0:38:25.640 --> 0:38:29.640
<v Speaker 12>more confirmation about you know, who's at the top at

0:38:29.719 --> 0:38:34.520
<v Speaker 12>the you know, who is the presidential candidate who has

0:38:34.600 --> 0:38:38.040
<v Speaker 12>been elected, and then we'd want to see how Congress

0:38:38.080 --> 0:38:45.640
<v Speaker 12>also has has shaped up after the election. So it's

0:38:45.680 --> 0:38:50.440
<v Speaker 12>really the total picture that may help us to direct

0:38:50.440 --> 0:38:55.320
<v Speaker 12>clients to certain sectors, certain industries that might benefit more

0:38:55.800 --> 0:38:59.080
<v Speaker 12>based on what policies are likely to come to fruition.

0:39:00.120 --> 0:39:02.239
<v Speaker 3>Just have a couple seconds left here. I wonder when

0:39:02.280 --> 0:39:05.359
<v Speaker 3>you look at the wide swath of economic data, what's

0:39:05.400 --> 0:39:07.520
<v Speaker 3>most important for you is you kind of game out

0:39:07.760 --> 0:39:09.960
<v Speaker 3>what the FED might do sor where things are headed.

0:39:10.880 --> 0:39:12.120
<v Speaker 3>What do you pay closest attention to.

0:39:13.600 --> 0:39:18.520
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, we're really paying closest attention to three things. There

0:39:18.560 --> 0:39:22.520
<v Speaker 12>are three things that we think have been supporting these markets,

0:39:22.680 --> 0:39:25.600
<v Speaker 12>and two of the supports are starting to weekend. One

0:39:25.680 --> 0:39:29.520
<v Speaker 12>is the labor market that has started to weekend. Financial

0:39:29.520 --> 0:39:33.439
<v Speaker 12>liquidity is also less ample. And then the third thing

0:39:34.040 --> 0:39:39.040
<v Speaker 12>is inflation. And with inflation falling, that we think leads

0:39:39.040 --> 0:39:44.200
<v Speaker 12>to better purchasing power for investors, lower rates, better credit availability.

0:39:44.760 --> 0:39:49.600
<v Speaker 12>And that scenario to us tells us that we're probably

0:39:49.640 --> 0:39:55.120
<v Speaker 12>going to see a shallow decline and growth followed by

0:39:55.400 --> 0:39:57.040
<v Speaker 12>a reacceleration next year.

0:39:57.239 --> 0:40:00.200
<v Speaker 2>Interesting, right, So touch and go it feels like see

0:40:00.239 --> 0:40:03.520
<v Speaker 2>mcmillion over at Wells Fargo Investment Institute. Thank you so much.

0:40:04.040 --> 0:40:08.680
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