1 00:00:01,320 --> 00:00:07,080 Speaker 1: The volume. It's that holiday time of the year again. 2 00:00:07,160 --> 00:00:10,320 Speaker 1: Are you looking for something different for a special person 3 00:00:10,360 --> 00:00:12,920 Speaker 1: in your life? How about game Time? That's right, think 4 00:00:13,000 --> 00:00:17,079 Speaker 1: game Time. Tickets for sports, concerts, comedy shows all make 5 00:00:17,160 --> 00:00:20,599 Speaker 1: a fantastic gift this time of the year. So many 6 00:00:20,640 --> 00:00:23,520 Speaker 1: games to watch, so many concerts to go to on 7 00:00:23,560 --> 00:00:26,360 Speaker 1: a given day or week. The best way to get 8 00:00:26,400 --> 00:00:28,960 Speaker 1: tickets to any of these games is game Time. 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And 16 00:00:54,680 --> 00:00:59,120 Speaker 1: with the Game Time guarantee, you'll get the best price guaranteed. 17 00:00:59,360 --> 00:01:02,440 Speaker 1: If you find tickets in a same section for less, 18 00:01:02,760 --> 00:01:06,800 Speaker 1: game Time will credit you one hundred and ten percent 19 00:01:07,319 --> 00:01:10,600 Speaker 1: the difference. How cool is that? So take the guesswork 20 00:01:10,800 --> 00:01:14,600 Speaker 1: out of buying tickets. Download the game Time app. It's 21 00:01:14,640 --> 00:01:17,280 Speaker 1: really simple, takes less than a minute, and the redeem 22 00:01:17,360 --> 00:01:23,399 Speaker 1: code is Colin Coln download it for twenty dollars off 23 00:01:23,560 --> 00:01:27,720 Speaker 1: your first purchase. Terms apply again, create an account. The 24 00:01:27,760 --> 00:01:32,760 Speaker 1: redeem code is Colin Coli in twenty dollars off your 25 00:01:33,040 --> 00:01:36,840 Speaker 1: first purchase, download game Tied and today last minute deals, 26 00:01:37,000 --> 00:01:45,839 Speaker 1: lowest prices, guaranteed game time. Well, hi, everybody, Chad Milman 27 00:01:45,920 --> 00:01:48,680 Speaker 1: is going to come in sharp or square. Actually like 28 00:01:48,720 --> 00:01:51,080 Speaker 1: the board this week. Had a winning week last week 29 00:01:51,080 --> 00:01:53,400 Speaker 1: at three and two on Blazing five four and one 30 00:01:53,640 --> 00:01:58,680 Speaker 1: pre Thanksgiving, so we've hit seven of our last ten picks. 31 00:01:58,680 --> 00:02:00,280 Speaker 1: Feel good about it and it's a pretty good board 32 00:02:00,320 --> 00:02:04,400 Speaker 1: this week as well. I think the interesting story today 33 00:02:04,720 --> 00:02:09,320 Speaker 1: is Tyler Dunn, who is connected covers the Packers and 34 00:02:09,400 --> 00:02:12,320 Speaker 1: the Buffalo Bills, has a story today. It's part of 35 00:02:12,320 --> 00:02:15,240 Speaker 1: a three part series on Sean McDermott and how he 36 00:02:15,280 --> 00:02:17,680 Speaker 1: has worn out as welcome in Buffalo. And there's a 37 00:02:17,680 --> 00:02:20,200 Speaker 1: lot of you know, anonymous sourcing that I trust with 38 00:02:20,280 --> 00:02:24,160 Speaker 1: Tyler Dunn on players saying he's rigid, he's a blamer. 39 00:02:25,320 --> 00:02:29,280 Speaker 1: You know, that's why the defensive coordinator is quit. He 40 00:02:29,360 --> 00:02:33,800 Speaker 1: fashions himself as a great leader but doesn't inspire players. 41 00:02:33,880 --> 00:02:36,520 Speaker 1: But the most damning part of the article to me 42 00:02:37,040 --> 00:02:39,680 Speaker 1: and something I've talked about so often that I do 43 00:02:39,720 --> 00:02:42,880 Speaker 1: worry that it's just it's fatiguing to the audience. His 44 00:02:43,040 --> 00:02:46,640 Speaker 1: defensive coaches do not have relationships with quarterbacks. We've seen 45 00:02:46,639 --> 00:02:50,720 Speaker 1: Mac Jones and Belichick regress terribly, Pete Carroll and Russell 46 00:02:50,760 --> 00:02:56,600 Speaker 1: Wilson really bad, Mike Zimmer and Kirk Cousins reportedly huge 47 00:02:56,639 --> 00:02:59,639 Speaker 1: fissures in that relationship. In the Tyler Dunn story. The 48 00:02:59,680 --> 00:03:02,520 Speaker 1: part that would really concern me is the quote that 49 00:03:02,880 --> 00:03:06,160 Speaker 1: Sean McDermott all these years with Josh Allen doesn't really 50 00:03:06,160 --> 00:03:10,000 Speaker 1: have a great relationship. H hmm. That's why Josh Allen 51 00:03:10,040 --> 00:03:14,320 Speaker 1: has regressed since Brian Dabole left, and we've talked about 52 00:03:14,360 --> 00:03:17,080 Speaker 1: it on FS one. If you look at the coaches 53 00:03:17,120 --> 00:03:20,360 Speaker 1: who have had to deal with backup quarterback situations this year, 54 00:03:21,040 --> 00:03:26,360 Speaker 1: Shane Steike and Colts, they're winning with Gardner Minshew Zach Taylor, 55 00:03:26,560 --> 00:03:30,720 Speaker 1: Jake Browning just beat the Jaguars in Jacksonville. You know, 56 00:03:30,800 --> 00:03:34,160 Speaker 1: I mean, Brock Purdy started his career with Shanahan as 57 00:03:34,200 --> 00:03:41,440 Speaker 1: a backup, Kevin Stefanski with Joe Flakeel last week surprisingly capable. 58 00:03:42,200 --> 00:03:44,800 Speaker 1: You look at defensive coaches who have to deal with 59 00:03:44,840 --> 00:03:50,600 Speaker 1: backups Belichick and Bailey Zappi, Dennis Allen having to deal 60 00:03:50,680 --> 00:03:53,920 Speaker 1: with Jamis Winston and New Orleans. So there is a 61 00:03:54,040 --> 00:04:00,080 Speaker 1: thread here. Offensive coaches consistently have better relationships, not surprisingly 62 00:04:00,120 --> 00:04:03,240 Speaker 1: with their quarterback. But when your quarterback is Josh Allen, 63 00:04:03,480 --> 00:04:05,480 Speaker 1: you got to get it right. And in that Tyler 64 00:04:05,560 --> 00:04:09,480 Speaker 1: Dunn article, McDermott has no real tight relationship with his 65 00:04:09,520 --> 00:04:13,680 Speaker 1: star quarterback. And listen, you just don't see very often 66 00:04:13,880 --> 00:04:18,480 Speaker 1: he's a blamer in the article, a defensive coordinator resign 67 00:04:18,800 --> 00:04:22,440 Speaker 1: like Leslie Fraser, a respected guy. This year they blamed 68 00:04:22,640 --> 00:04:26,560 Speaker 1: Ken Dorsey. He gets fired. So Buffalo's a small market, 69 00:04:26,600 --> 00:04:30,200 Speaker 1: a very small market by pro sports franchise market comps, 70 00:04:30,680 --> 00:04:33,120 Speaker 1: and so I have my questions whether they'd fire him 71 00:04:33,200 --> 00:04:35,120 Speaker 1: or not. But the reason I talk about this it 72 00:04:35,200 --> 00:04:37,480 Speaker 1: leads me to the second story, which is Jim Harbaugh 73 00:04:37,520 --> 00:04:39,840 Speaker 1: is negotiating an eleven and a half million dollar a 74 00:04:39,920 --> 00:04:43,560 Speaker 1: year deal with Michigan. I think the only great job 75 00:04:43,680 --> 00:04:46,839 Speaker 1: available in the NFL is potentially the Buffalo Bill's job. 76 00:04:47,240 --> 00:04:49,880 Speaker 1: The Chargers would be a good job at Brandon Staley 77 00:04:49,920 --> 00:04:53,799 Speaker 1: hasn't been fired, and the Dean Spano's children. The boys 78 00:04:53,920 --> 00:04:57,200 Speaker 1: are upstairs in the front office, which has scared off 79 00:04:57,279 --> 00:05:00,520 Speaker 1: other coaches. It's not ideal you will get much of 80 00:05:00,560 --> 00:05:03,560 Speaker 1: a say in personnel, which Harbaugh wants. Buffalo is different. 81 00:05:03,560 --> 00:05:06,599 Speaker 1: They have drafted pretty well, not great, but what they're 82 00:05:06,760 --> 00:05:10,560 Speaker 1: missing is somebody to build a consistently good run game 83 00:05:10,600 --> 00:05:13,920 Speaker 1: and o line. That is exactly what Jim Harbaugh has 84 00:05:13,960 --> 00:05:19,200 Speaker 1: done with the Niners, with Stanford and with Michigan. What 85 00:05:19,320 --> 00:05:25,960 Speaker 1: the Bills lack as a coach, vision, quarterback elevation, physicality, 86 00:05:26,200 --> 00:05:30,280 Speaker 1: and a consistent run game, That's exactly what Harbaugh does. 87 00:05:30,800 --> 00:05:34,960 Speaker 1: So Jim Harra to Buffalo is a perfect fit. The 88 00:05:35,040 --> 00:05:37,840 Speaker 1: defense is good enough, the roster is good enough, there 89 00:05:37,839 --> 00:05:41,000 Speaker 1: are things they do well. But how many years does 90 00:05:41,040 --> 00:05:45,560 Speaker 1: this defensive coach get to use alibis to explain the 91 00:05:45,600 --> 00:05:49,640 Speaker 1: inability to run the ball consistently. Also struggling to run 92 00:05:49,680 --> 00:05:54,560 Speaker 1: the ball consistently defensive coach Mike Tomlin and Pittsburgh. So 93 00:05:54,880 --> 00:05:58,400 Speaker 1: it's a pattern. The tighter Doun story is eye opening. 94 00:05:58,680 --> 00:06:01,719 Speaker 1: Check it out on Bill's coach Sean McDermott does not 95 00:06:02,120 --> 00:06:06,440 Speaker 1: paint a pretty picture and in line with that, juxtaposed 96 00:06:06,440 --> 00:06:09,120 Speaker 1: with a Jim Harbaugh News. If I was Jim Harbaugh, 97 00:06:09,279 --> 00:06:12,320 Speaker 1: I would accept Michigan's offer. I don't think there's a 98 00:06:12,360 --> 00:06:15,000 Speaker 1: great job out there. You get about one great job 99 00:06:15,040 --> 00:06:18,240 Speaker 1: opening every three or four years. Cowboys, Mike McCarthy job. 100 00:06:18,279 --> 00:06:21,480 Speaker 1: You get Dak the Old Line, a committed franchise, good money, 101 00:06:21,640 --> 00:06:26,080 Speaker 1: great city, good job, Matt Lafleur, Packers, Aaron Rodgers late Prime, 102 00:06:26,200 --> 00:06:30,800 Speaker 1: great job. Not many you can say, oh, oh, well, 103 00:06:30,800 --> 00:06:33,640 Speaker 1: look at Pete Carroll took the Seahawks. They didn't have 104 00:06:33,720 --> 00:06:35,800 Speaker 1: quarterback right. Pete couldn't get the quarterback right for a 105 00:06:35,800 --> 00:06:38,080 Speaker 1: couple of years. That looks like a good franchise. Was 106 00:06:38,080 --> 00:06:41,320 Speaker 1: it when he took it over? Oh? The Houston Texans 107 00:06:41,320 --> 00:06:43,680 Speaker 1: were a mess. Demiko Ryans is great and C. J. 108 00:06:43,880 --> 00:06:46,720 Speaker 1: Stroud has been shockingly good. It's not a good job 109 00:06:46,760 --> 00:06:49,760 Speaker 1: most of these openings. You've got an owner issue, a 110 00:06:49,880 --> 00:06:54,920 Speaker 1: roster issue, or a pressure and unrealistic expectation issue. Like Carolina. 111 00:06:55,560 --> 00:06:58,640 Speaker 1: Bill's not only a great job opening because of Josh 112 00:06:58,640 --> 00:07:04,960 Speaker 1: Allen steady ownership, good roster, Belichick's leaving soon. Aaron Rodgers' 113 00:07:04,960 --> 00:07:08,800 Speaker 1: situation is still a mess. Tua his they haven't given 114 00:07:08,880 --> 00:07:11,720 Speaker 1: him an extension, so you don't really know. If the 115 00:07:11,840 --> 00:07:15,600 Speaker 1: organization's all in on Tua, who has been historically injury prone, 116 00:07:16,400 --> 00:07:18,880 Speaker 1: that's the only job. If I'm our Baugh, I pause 117 00:07:18,960 --> 00:07:21,760 Speaker 1: on the Michigan contract offer. Other than that, I'd sign 118 00:07:21,840 --> 00:07:31,800 Speaker 1: it tomorrow. All right, Time for another edition of Sharper Square. 119 00:07:31,960 --> 00:07:35,760 Speaker 1: Chad Milman, c CEO, Action Network. All odds provided by DraftKings. 120 00:07:35,840 --> 00:07:41,320 Speaker 1: You're in Vegas, and I have a feeling I know 121 00:07:41,400 --> 00:07:43,120 Speaker 1: what you're going to talk about, which is something of 122 00:07:43,240 --> 00:07:45,840 Speaker 1: friends and I have discussed doing over the next six 123 00:07:45,880 --> 00:07:49,320 Speaker 1: to eight weeks, which is the giant eyeball in the 124 00:07:49,360 --> 00:07:52,880 Speaker 1: sky the sphere. And you went to it and watched 125 00:07:52,880 --> 00:07:54,280 Speaker 1: the U two show, right. 126 00:07:54,440 --> 00:07:57,560 Speaker 2: I did, and I gotta tell you it was everything 127 00:07:57,640 --> 00:08:01,800 Speaker 2: everybody says. It is worth any amount of hassle to 128 00:08:01,880 --> 00:08:05,000 Speaker 2: do it. You're talking to friends about doing it. I 129 00:08:05,040 --> 00:08:08,000 Speaker 2: went with friends last night. Obviously, the NFL is a 130 00:08:08,040 --> 00:08:10,640 Speaker 2: crazy bas of time for me. It's a crazy busy 131 00:08:10,640 --> 00:08:12,560 Speaker 2: of time for you. I went with a buddy who 132 00:08:12,600 --> 00:08:15,600 Speaker 2: also covers the NFL for ESPN, and another friend of ours, 133 00:08:15,960 --> 00:08:18,080 Speaker 2: and it's one of those things you can probably appreciate this. 134 00:08:18,760 --> 00:08:20,560 Speaker 2: We all love the three of us, love you too. 135 00:08:21,560 --> 00:08:24,200 Speaker 2: And we had talked during the summer, we're gonna go, 136 00:08:24,520 --> 00:08:26,800 Speaker 2: We're gonna get tickets, and then like you start to 137 00:08:26,840 --> 00:08:30,200 Speaker 2: realize the season's coming up. It's impossible to find a 138 00:08:30,200 --> 00:08:32,240 Speaker 2: twenty four hour window where like you can fly from 139 00:08:32,280 --> 00:08:34,040 Speaker 2: the east coast to the west coast and do this, 140 00:08:34,559 --> 00:08:36,480 Speaker 2: and like we get lazy, and one of the guys 141 00:08:36,480 --> 00:08:39,240 Speaker 2: has two kids under five, and so it's just like 142 00:08:39,600 --> 00:08:42,200 Speaker 2: and then all of a sudden, the videos started coming 143 00:08:42,240 --> 00:08:45,520 Speaker 2: out from the sphere and we were like, what are 144 00:08:45,520 --> 00:08:49,000 Speaker 2: we doing? Why, Like, any amount of hassle will be 145 00:08:49,080 --> 00:08:53,480 Speaker 2: worth it, and it is incredibly painful and entirely worth 146 00:08:53,520 --> 00:08:56,439 Speaker 2: it is. It is astonishing, it's tremendous. 147 00:08:57,640 --> 00:09:01,520 Speaker 1: So basically what you're seeing it looks live. It's not, 148 00:09:01,720 --> 00:09:04,120 Speaker 1: but it's a look live concert. 149 00:09:04,840 --> 00:09:08,440 Speaker 2: Well, no, they're there, I mean they're playing, but the 150 00:09:08,480 --> 00:09:15,200 Speaker 2: backdrop is this kaleidoscope of images that ranges from this 151 00:09:15,480 --> 00:09:22,400 Speaker 2: crazy Elvis collage that plays behind even better than the 152 00:09:22,440 --> 00:09:25,199 Speaker 2: real thing. You know, their song, and then they get 153 00:09:25,240 --> 00:09:27,960 Speaker 2: to where the streets have no name and it turns 154 00:09:28,000 --> 00:09:33,920 Speaker 2: into complete desert Nevada landscape and it goes like that 155 00:09:34,200 --> 00:09:38,880 Speaker 2: up and down sort of the visual cues throughout the 156 00:09:39,040 --> 00:09:42,679 Speaker 2: entire show, and it's mostly their Actung Baby album. There's 157 00:09:42,720 --> 00:09:45,040 Speaker 2: a little bit of rattle and humming there, and then 158 00:09:45,080 --> 00:09:47,200 Speaker 2: in the end they just they play off with the 159 00:09:47,280 --> 00:09:50,440 Speaker 2: hits and it's well, they know what they're doing. What's 160 00:09:50,480 --> 00:09:52,319 Speaker 2: interesting to me, if we want to get into the 161 00:09:52,320 --> 00:09:55,840 Speaker 2: weeds on YouTube here they highlight the Edge and his 162 00:09:55,920 --> 00:10:00,079 Speaker 2: guitar playing visually so much in this show. I'm like 163 00:10:00,480 --> 00:10:05,160 Speaker 2: twenty story screens and it is incredible to watch. I 164 00:10:05,160 --> 00:10:06,920 Speaker 2: can't recommend it enough if you can get there. 165 00:10:07,600 --> 00:10:10,040 Speaker 1: Yeah, I thought it was. I thought you two, This 166 00:10:10,120 --> 00:10:12,560 Speaker 1: was my perception of what the sphere was. You two 167 00:10:12,640 --> 00:10:15,880 Speaker 1: performed for two weeks. They taped it and then they 168 00:10:15,880 --> 00:10:17,920 Speaker 1: weren't gonna stay there forever, and you'd get a tape 169 00:10:17,920 --> 00:10:18,160 Speaker 1: of it. 170 00:10:18,760 --> 00:10:23,240 Speaker 2: Well, look, the I think what they do and I've 171 00:10:23,240 --> 00:10:26,160 Speaker 2: got some insight intel on this is they will fly 172 00:10:26,280 --> 00:10:30,960 Speaker 2: in on Wednesdays from LA, leave Wednesday night, come back Friday, 173 00:10:31,480 --> 00:10:36,520 Speaker 2: stay Friday, Saturday, leave back to LA after that, so 174 00:10:36,559 --> 00:10:38,839 Speaker 2: they're not always here, but for the shows they are 175 00:10:38,840 --> 00:10:41,800 Speaker 2: coming in that's exciting. Yeah. 176 00:10:42,000 --> 00:10:44,600 Speaker 1: Then you're doing the NBA In Season Tournament tonight. 177 00:10:44,679 --> 00:10:46,760 Speaker 2: NBA In Season Tournament as soon as we're done, I'm 178 00:10:46,760 --> 00:10:49,319 Speaker 2: going to head over to T Mobile and watching a 179 00:10:49,320 --> 00:10:51,480 Speaker 2: couple of semi final games. It's gonna be awesome. 180 00:10:52,480 --> 00:10:56,280 Speaker 1: All right, let's start sharp square. So let's go underdogs first. 181 00:10:56,320 --> 00:10:59,719 Speaker 1: I'm prone to like underdogs. Saints are all beat up. 182 00:11:00,160 --> 00:11:03,120 Speaker 1: You got a new coaching staff with the Panthers trying 183 00:11:03,600 --> 00:11:08,040 Speaker 1: to impress the owner who's an impulsive, impatient man. Saints 184 00:11:08,080 --> 00:11:10,400 Speaker 1: have been an underachieving team all year. I'm going to 185 00:11:10,480 --> 00:11:14,800 Speaker 1: take Bryce Young plus five against the division rival Sharper Square. 186 00:11:15,000 --> 00:11:18,800 Speaker 2: Totally sharp play. This one has been moving Colin. This 187 00:11:18,880 --> 00:11:22,760 Speaker 2: line opened at six and a half on Sunday. Wise 188 00:11:22,760 --> 00:11:26,200 Speaker 2: guys immediately started betting it. By Monday morning, it's down 189 00:11:26,200 --> 00:11:30,960 Speaker 2: to five. Right, and look, nobody thinks the Saints are 190 00:11:31,000 --> 00:11:34,000 Speaker 2: what the Saints were expected to be in the beginning 191 00:11:34,000 --> 00:11:38,720 Speaker 2: of the year. Jamis Winston He's eight and nineteen against 192 00:11:38,720 --> 00:11:41,240 Speaker 2: the spread as a favorite in his career. Dennis Allen 193 00:11:41,600 --> 00:11:46,800 Speaker 2: one of the most unprofitable coaches against the spread in 194 00:11:46,840 --> 00:11:49,959 Speaker 2: his tenure of the past twenty years. That are one 195 00:11:50,000 --> 00:11:54,079 Speaker 2: to nine this year as a favorite. Meanwhile, the Panthers 196 00:11:54,160 --> 00:11:57,960 Speaker 2: defense has been improving. They got j cd hornback last week. 197 00:11:58,000 --> 00:12:01,360 Speaker 2: He is a difference maker in the backfield, defensive backfield, 198 00:12:01,559 --> 00:12:03,360 Speaker 2: and the Saints just haven't been very good, like everyone 199 00:12:03,400 --> 00:12:07,600 Speaker 2: talks about their defense. Defense is like thirtieth in EPA 200 00:12:07,679 --> 00:12:12,480 Speaker 2: per play in the past six weeks. So not a 201 00:12:12,520 --> 00:12:14,439 Speaker 2: good spot for the Saints, and that's why the wise 202 00:12:14,440 --> 00:12:16,800 Speaker 2: guys are playing them all. 203 00:12:16,760 --> 00:12:22,559 Speaker 1: Right, Denver plus three Last week against a really, really 204 00:12:22,640 --> 00:12:25,480 Speaker 1: well coached defense, they got turnover prone, but the previous 205 00:12:25,480 --> 00:12:28,360 Speaker 1: four to five weeks they weren't. There are limitations to 206 00:12:28,400 --> 00:12:31,520 Speaker 1: the offense, but they're not a turnover heavy offense. They 207 00:12:31,520 --> 00:12:35,640 Speaker 1: were last week on the road. The Chargers don't create turnovers. 208 00:12:35,720 --> 00:12:39,120 Speaker 1: I thought that the performance against New England was staggeringly bad, 209 00:12:40,080 --> 00:12:42,560 Speaker 1: shockingly it's as if the locker room quit. But the 210 00:12:42,559 --> 00:12:45,640 Speaker 1: Patriots were so bad they still couldn't beat them. I 211 00:12:45,679 --> 00:12:48,280 Speaker 1: would take the Broncos in a rivalry game here plus 212 00:12:48,400 --> 00:12:49,760 Speaker 1: three sharper square. 213 00:12:49,559 --> 00:12:52,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, definitely the sharp side. Nobody likes to bet the 214 00:12:52,559 --> 00:12:56,440 Speaker 2: Chargers as favorites. Even last week the wise guys were 215 00:12:56,440 --> 00:13:00,120 Speaker 2: betting the Patriots and they got you know, unfortunately, it's 216 00:13:00,160 --> 00:13:03,200 Speaker 2: basically a bad beat. There's a baseball scorer six to 217 00:13:03,200 --> 00:13:05,600 Speaker 2: nothing in the line started at six and moved on 218 00:13:05,679 --> 00:13:09,600 Speaker 2: a little bit similar here, Like we're talking about a 219 00:13:09,720 --> 00:13:14,040 Speaker 2: division underdog. Last five years, they cover fifty seven percent 220 00:13:14,040 --> 00:13:16,679 Speaker 2: of the spread fifty percent of the time when they 221 00:13:16,720 --> 00:13:22,319 Speaker 2: are the road dog. The Broncos last week, aside, they 222 00:13:22,320 --> 00:13:25,160 Speaker 2: had their moments, they had a shot to cover and 223 00:13:25,160 --> 00:13:29,600 Speaker 2: win against the Texans, even playing terribly. So now they're 224 00:13:29,600 --> 00:13:34,360 Speaker 2: getting a much better coach in a smash spot for 225 00:13:34,440 --> 00:13:36,920 Speaker 2: the wise guys, they are on the Broncos. 226 00:13:38,000 --> 00:13:41,200 Speaker 1: Seahawks plus ten and a half at the Niners Philadelphia's 227 00:13:42,160 --> 00:13:45,959 Speaker 1: That win is impressive. As we've often talked about after 228 00:13:46,000 --> 00:13:48,960 Speaker 1: a great win, teams pull back Seattle at six and six, 229 00:13:49,000 --> 00:13:53,840 Speaker 1: and the Rams are coming hard, desperate. You know, I'm 230 00:13:53,880 --> 00:13:57,520 Speaker 1: not a Gino Smith fan, but there's weapons here. This 231 00:13:57,600 --> 00:14:00,720 Speaker 1: is a rivalry game. It's the season first seas. I 232 00:14:00,720 --> 00:14:02,839 Speaker 1: thought this was one of my favorite picks on the board. 233 00:14:02,840 --> 00:14:05,880 Speaker 1: Sharper square, totally sharp. What's interesting here is this number. 234 00:14:06,360 --> 00:14:10,520 Speaker 1: It's kind of stabilized on Sunday night, opened about twelve, 235 00:14:10,760 --> 00:14:15,560 Speaker 1: twelve and a half thirteen. Immediately that number got bet down, 236 00:14:15,600 --> 00:14:17,640 Speaker 1: and you do have a lot of things here. Look you, 237 00:14:18,120 --> 00:14:21,400 Speaker 1: it is as high as high as it gets on 238 00:14:21,520 --> 00:14:24,320 Speaker 1: the Niners right now, right their four game win streak 239 00:14:24,760 --> 00:14:27,600 Speaker 1: when Deebo and Trent Williams are playing, they are nine 240 00:14:27,640 --> 00:14:28,080 Speaker 1: to zero. 241 00:14:28,320 --> 00:14:32,440 Speaker 2: They are beating teams by three touchdowns when that duo 242 00:14:32,760 --> 00:14:36,680 Speaker 2: is on the field. Brock Purty, well, it's invincible when 243 00:14:36,680 --> 00:14:39,360 Speaker 2: those guys are playing and he has those weapons. Here's 244 00:14:39,400 --> 00:14:42,600 Speaker 2: the challenge. They are coming off that Eagles win. That's 245 00:14:42,600 --> 00:14:44,920 Speaker 2: why the number opened so high. That's why the wise 246 00:14:44,960 --> 00:14:48,840 Speaker 2: guys immediately bet it down to ten and a half. Again, 247 00:14:49,560 --> 00:14:52,200 Speaker 2: road dogs in the division the past five years, fifty 248 00:14:52,200 --> 00:14:56,400 Speaker 2: seven percent against the spread. You're playing with fire because 249 00:14:56,440 --> 00:14:58,560 Speaker 2: we do have a lot of evidence how good the 250 00:14:58,640 --> 00:15:02,360 Speaker 2: Niners have been. As a professional vetter, you have to 251 00:15:02,480 --> 00:15:05,520 Speaker 2: take the Seahawks in this spot. The President will tell 252 00:15:05,560 --> 00:15:07,200 Speaker 2: you long term that is a value play. 253 00:15:08,960 --> 00:15:12,600 Speaker 1: Okay, So I've had this theory that if you don't 254 00:15:12,600 --> 00:15:15,480 Speaker 1: have a quarterback on your roster that can duplicate to 255 00:15:15,520 --> 00:15:18,680 Speaker 1: some degree Lamar Jackson and you're an NFC team, you're 256 00:15:18,720 --> 00:15:23,280 Speaker 1: screwed going to Baltimore. Seattle got buried, Detroit got buried. 257 00:15:23,400 --> 00:15:26,880 Speaker 1: Matt Stafford is going to get buried. The Rams have 258 00:15:26,960 --> 00:15:29,680 Speaker 1: been doing it. They face the backup quarterbacks some pretty 259 00:15:29,720 --> 00:15:34,160 Speaker 1: lousy defenses there. They've been at home. Rough spot for 260 00:15:34,200 --> 00:15:37,960 Speaker 1: an NFC traveling to a different time zone early game. 261 00:15:38,800 --> 00:15:41,360 Speaker 1: I love the line at minus seven. Don't love it 262 00:15:41,400 --> 00:15:44,480 Speaker 1: as much at minus seven and a half. But Baltimore's 263 00:15:44,520 --> 00:15:46,760 Speaker 1: done this time and time again as a home favored 264 00:15:46,800 --> 00:15:50,400 Speaker 1: against West Coast teams. Ravens minus seven and a half. 265 00:15:50,440 --> 00:15:53,120 Speaker 2: Sharper square well at seven and a half, it's square 266 00:15:53,520 --> 00:15:59,520 Speaker 2: at seven. It's neutral. There's no huge consensus here. The 267 00:15:59,600 --> 00:16:02,200 Speaker 2: Rams are getting played at seven and a half. There's 268 00:16:02,240 --> 00:16:05,720 Speaker 2: a couple things that are tempting the wise guys. Seven 269 00:16:05,760 --> 00:16:08,200 Speaker 2: and a half is just a huge number, right. You 270 00:16:08,280 --> 00:16:10,760 Speaker 2: can easily see the Rams are down by two touchdowns. 271 00:16:10,840 --> 00:16:12,640 Speaker 2: Game is out of reach. They got two minutes left. 272 00:16:12,880 --> 00:16:15,560 Speaker 2: You know Sean mcvaigh is not going to take his 273 00:16:15,600 --> 00:16:18,880 Speaker 2: foot off the gas. Matthew Stafford in that spot. Can 274 00:16:18,920 --> 00:16:22,160 Speaker 2: we get find his receivers. The Ravens are playing a 275 00:16:22,200 --> 00:16:24,760 Speaker 2: little bit more lax and they cover the back door 276 00:16:24,800 --> 00:16:26,720 Speaker 2: at seven and a half because you know you got 277 00:16:26,760 --> 00:16:31,040 Speaker 2: the hook at seven. It's a little bit more cautious 278 00:16:31,320 --> 00:16:35,480 Speaker 2: for the Wise guys. There's one factor here. Lamar Jackson 279 00:16:36,080 --> 00:16:41,200 Speaker 2: as a favorite of more than three is not very good. 280 00:16:41,400 --> 00:16:44,400 Speaker 2: Twenty one and thirty one against spread, so and Lamar 281 00:16:44,480 --> 00:16:46,680 Speaker 2: Jackson is a favorite more than three at home not 282 00:16:46,840 --> 00:16:51,560 Speaker 2: very good. John Harbaugh historically incredibly profitable, not very good 283 00:16:51,920 --> 00:16:55,040 Speaker 2: as a favorite of more than three at home. So 284 00:16:55,080 --> 00:16:57,960 Speaker 2: this is not a great spot for the Ravens. However, 285 00:16:58,000 --> 00:16:59,960 Speaker 2: they have been turning it around a little bit this year. 286 00:17:00,360 --> 00:17:02,520 Speaker 2: That Colts game, I think was an anomaly. We saw 287 00:17:02,600 --> 00:17:05,520 Speaker 2: with the Seahawks, we saw with the Lions, but don't remember, 288 00:17:05,960 --> 00:17:08,960 Speaker 2: don't forget those games were under a touchdown. So you're 289 00:17:09,000 --> 00:17:11,160 Speaker 2: playing with fire if you're gonna take seven and a half. 290 00:17:13,160 --> 00:17:14,960 Speaker 1: One of my favorite lines of the week. Now the 291 00:17:15,040 --> 00:17:17,800 Speaker 1: line's gotten a little out of hand, but Cleveland minus 292 00:17:17,800 --> 00:17:20,439 Speaker 1: three and a half. So Christian Kirk surgery out Trevor 293 00:17:20,480 --> 00:17:23,480 Speaker 1: Lawrence out CJ. Bethard against one of the best defenses 294 00:17:23,520 --> 00:17:26,680 Speaker 1: in ten years, and the Cleveland defense much better at home. 295 00:17:27,080 --> 00:17:29,800 Speaker 1: If you watch the Browns ate of the Browns Rams game, 296 00:17:30,160 --> 00:17:35,800 Speaker 1: Joe Flackau was good, shockingly good. Offensive coaches taking back 297 00:17:35,920 --> 00:17:38,720 Speaker 1: up quarterbacks this year, and I can give you six 298 00:17:39,640 --> 00:17:44,920 Speaker 1: It's worked quickly. Kevin O'Connell Dobbs worked quickly. I'm gonna 299 00:17:44,920 --> 00:17:47,000 Speaker 1: take the Browns to cover. I think it's a blowout. 300 00:17:47,320 --> 00:17:51,560 Speaker 1: I think they blow out a Jags team. CJ. Bethard 301 00:17:51,760 --> 00:17:54,520 Speaker 1: is a borderline NFL guy. Sharper square. 302 00:17:54,880 --> 00:17:56,800 Speaker 2: Well, it's sharp, and that's why the number has moved 303 00:17:56,800 --> 00:18:00,000 Speaker 2: so aggressively, like it moved obviously when the Trevor Lawie 304 00:18:00,160 --> 00:18:03,240 Speaker 2: injury happened. And you know now knowing it's going to 305 00:18:03,240 --> 00:18:06,560 Speaker 2: be CJ. Bethler. But don't forget. You've lost Christian Kirk, 306 00:18:06,920 --> 00:18:10,320 Speaker 2: You've lost Cam Robinson. They've lost people on defense, which 307 00:18:10,400 --> 00:18:13,440 Speaker 2: was already a bad secondary. Now you're going to have 308 00:18:13,880 --> 00:18:16,720 Speaker 2: a massive amount of wind and rain in a game 309 00:18:16,760 --> 00:18:20,280 Speaker 2: that is going to be very, very ugly. This defense 310 00:18:20,280 --> 00:18:23,280 Speaker 2: for the Browns is different at home ten points per 311 00:18:23,320 --> 00:18:26,119 Speaker 2: game at home, thirty points per game on the road. 312 00:18:26,480 --> 00:18:30,119 Speaker 2: They are relatively healthy. Forget about Joe Flacco for a second. 313 00:18:30,160 --> 00:18:33,199 Speaker 2: You're just talking about the advantages that Cleveland has at 314 00:18:33,200 --> 00:18:37,199 Speaker 2: the defensive unit playing against a litany of backups for 315 00:18:37,280 --> 00:18:39,720 Speaker 2: the Jags. So the wise guys have continued to play 316 00:18:39,720 --> 00:18:41,320 Speaker 2: this and they're still playing at three and a half. 317 00:18:42,760 --> 00:18:46,360 Speaker 1: Another damaging story comes out about Sean McDermott, how one 318 00:18:46,359 --> 00:18:49,119 Speaker 1: of his coaches got a truck paid for by players. 319 00:18:49,200 --> 00:18:53,320 Speaker 1: It's just bad pr end of last season to now 320 00:18:53,320 --> 00:18:55,880 Speaker 1: with the Bills, Kansas City lost to a really red 321 00:18:55,920 --> 00:18:58,400 Speaker 1: hot Jordan Love. I think the Packers now are playing 322 00:18:58,480 --> 00:19:02,280 Speaker 1: really good. I think there were bad PI miss by 323 00:19:02,320 --> 00:19:06,280 Speaker 1: the officials from scoring a tying touchdown. So I think 324 00:19:06,800 --> 00:19:09,800 Speaker 1: we're overplaying because it was a wildly popular game and 325 00:19:10,000 --> 00:19:14,080 Speaker 1: highly viewed. We're overplaying the problems with the Chiefs. They 326 00:19:14,080 --> 00:19:16,560 Speaker 1: are favored by only one and a half against the Bills, 327 00:19:16,560 --> 00:19:19,840 Speaker 1: who I just think, going back to last year's playoff game, 328 00:19:20,200 --> 00:19:22,840 Speaker 1: are a bit of a mess inside the walls of 329 00:19:22,880 --> 00:19:26,479 Speaker 1: that organization. I'll take Kansas City to cover Sharper Square. 330 00:19:26,680 --> 00:19:29,480 Speaker 2: Well, look, the line has moved in the Bills direction 331 00:19:29,680 --> 00:19:33,880 Speaker 2: before this story that you're referring to came out, and 332 00:19:33,920 --> 00:19:37,320 Speaker 2: this line opened at three, immediately got that down to 333 00:19:37,320 --> 00:19:39,879 Speaker 2: two and a half, then two, then one and a 334 00:19:39,920 --> 00:19:44,040 Speaker 2: half some places, one, which to me is insane, and 335 00:19:44,320 --> 00:19:48,000 Speaker 2: I think it is a huge overreaction to the troubles 336 00:19:48,000 --> 00:19:50,720 Speaker 2: that Kansas City has had, like you said, and also 337 00:19:50,840 --> 00:19:54,240 Speaker 2: in overreaction to the Bills being competitive against the Eagles, 338 00:19:54,560 --> 00:19:58,239 Speaker 2: losing a really bad game, having the week off and 339 00:19:58,280 --> 00:20:01,119 Speaker 2: now needing to win this game to get to the playoffs. 340 00:20:01,640 --> 00:20:04,679 Speaker 2: Haven't the Bills been desperate for like a month and 341 00:20:04,760 --> 00:20:09,359 Speaker 2: it hasn't mattered, right, So why is this game going 342 00:20:09,400 --> 00:20:12,280 Speaker 2: to be any different? And to your point about Patrick Mahomes, Look, 343 00:20:12,320 --> 00:20:14,920 Speaker 2: I bet the Packers plus six last week on Monday Night, 344 00:20:15,600 --> 00:20:19,119 Speaker 2: and there is nothing that feels worse than having the 345 00:20:19,200 --> 00:20:22,919 Speaker 2: team that is playing against Patrick Mahomes. When Patrick Mahomes 346 00:20:23,000 --> 00:20:25,680 Speaker 2: has the ball at the end of the game, and look, 347 00:20:25,720 --> 00:20:28,280 Speaker 2: he made a bad pass, he got beat on that interception, 348 00:20:28,600 --> 00:20:31,720 Speaker 2: but you're right one pi away from probably getting to 349 00:20:31,800 --> 00:20:33,600 Speaker 2: the end zone and making that at twenty seven twenty 350 00:20:33,640 --> 00:20:36,720 Speaker 2: seven game. I don't want to bet against Patrick Mahomes 351 00:20:36,720 --> 00:20:39,320 Speaker 2: as less than a field goal favorite in November and 352 00:20:39,400 --> 00:20:41,920 Speaker 2: December when he's at home. So if you're telling me 353 00:20:41,960 --> 00:20:43,640 Speaker 2: I got to get Patrick Mahomes and he's just got 354 00:20:43,640 --> 00:20:47,240 Speaker 2: to win by one point, come on. Of course we're 355 00:20:47,280 --> 00:20:49,760 Speaker 2: taking the Chiefs. 356 00:20:49,880 --> 00:20:53,359 Speaker 1: All right, it's time to talk me into this one. 357 00:20:53,480 --> 00:20:56,400 Speaker 1: Eagles plus three and a half, despite the fact they 358 00:20:56,400 --> 00:20:58,320 Speaker 1: will have played the Cowboys and the Bills and the 359 00:20:58,400 --> 00:21:00,480 Speaker 1: Niners and the Cowboys again and all these tough teams 360 00:21:00,520 --> 00:21:04,159 Speaker 1: Kansas City mixed in. There is a fatigue, right, but 361 00:21:04,280 --> 00:21:07,000 Speaker 1: I do think it's being overvalued. This is a good 362 00:21:07,000 --> 00:21:09,720 Speaker 1: team that had won twenty four of twenty six, cold 363 00:21:10,000 --> 00:21:14,639 Speaker 1: leading trailing warm Windy. They win three and a half 364 00:21:14,840 --> 00:21:18,440 Speaker 1: divisional game, Cowboys may win. But the hook I'd take, 365 00:21:19,160 --> 00:21:22,440 Speaker 1: why isn't everybody seeing this as an obvious Eagles play. 366 00:21:22,640 --> 00:21:25,760 Speaker 2: Part of it is scheme. The Eagles have been exposed 367 00:21:25,800 --> 00:21:28,840 Speaker 2: in the middle of their defense. They just can't cover, 368 00:21:29,119 --> 00:21:31,640 Speaker 2: and we saw that with the forty nine Ers. They 369 00:21:31,880 --> 00:21:35,720 Speaker 2: just destroyed the Eagles with a scheme that can be 370 00:21:35,840 --> 00:21:37,439 Speaker 2: very similar to what the Cowboys are trying to do. 371 00:21:37,520 --> 00:21:40,639 Speaker 2: Right Mike McCarthy all year talking about playing a style 372 00:21:40,720 --> 00:21:43,200 Speaker 2: of West Coast offense that he had done with the Packers, 373 00:21:43,200 --> 00:21:44,760 Speaker 2: and you know they're changing it up a little bit. 374 00:21:44,760 --> 00:21:46,880 Speaker 2: But if you look at what Dak is doing this year, 375 00:21:47,560 --> 00:21:50,240 Speaker 2: Key and Ceede Lamb are making connections and that ability 376 00:21:50,280 --> 00:21:54,080 Speaker 2: to drive the slant route and connect on that is 377 00:21:54,119 --> 00:21:57,399 Speaker 2: going to be really challenging for the Eagles, especially in 378 00:21:57,440 --> 00:21:59,280 Speaker 2: the middle of the defense for them. So I think 379 00:21:59,280 --> 00:22:02,720 Speaker 2: that's one reason. Also the Eagles of napping and running 380 00:22:02,760 --> 00:22:05,800 Speaker 2: the ball lane. Johnson injured I think that's a huge 381 00:22:05,920 --> 00:22:08,399 Speaker 2: tell for the wise guys. But the truth is, Colin, 382 00:22:08,800 --> 00:22:10,800 Speaker 2: you look at every metric, you look at number of bets, 383 00:22:10,840 --> 00:22:13,320 Speaker 2: you look at an amount of money, it's pretty split 384 00:22:13,359 --> 00:22:16,800 Speaker 2: fifty to fifty, which is why this thing has basically 385 00:22:16,880 --> 00:22:20,000 Speaker 2: stayed where it is. There was the initial push opened 386 00:22:20,040 --> 00:22:22,120 Speaker 2: at two and a half. Wise guys took the two, 387 00:22:22,520 --> 00:22:24,720 Speaker 2: they took the three, and now it's at three and 388 00:22:24,760 --> 00:22:27,480 Speaker 2: a half. It hasn't gone up to four because everything 389 00:22:27,560 --> 00:22:30,400 Speaker 2: is basically stabilized. So I think this is where it's 390 00:22:30,400 --> 00:22:32,800 Speaker 2: going to be for a little while. No consensus. I'm 391 00:22:32,840 --> 00:22:34,200 Speaker 2: on the Cowboys for what it's worth. 392 00:22:35,640 --> 00:22:38,480 Speaker 1: All right. Finally, dumpster diving, what's the game I missed? 393 00:22:39,200 --> 00:22:42,040 Speaker 2: Well, look, we got two options here. One. I can't 394 00:22:42,040 --> 00:22:45,040 Speaker 2: believe you didn't bring up the Bears getting three and 395 00:22:45,080 --> 00:22:45,840 Speaker 2: a half at. 396 00:22:45,960 --> 00:22:48,560 Speaker 1: Now, that's an interesting one, so talk about that. 397 00:22:48,640 --> 00:22:51,119 Speaker 2: To me, this is a no brainer. And the Bears 398 00:22:51,119 --> 00:22:54,840 Speaker 2: opened at five, Wise guys bet it down immediately. It 399 00:22:54,960 --> 00:22:57,400 Speaker 2: settled at three and a half within about twenty four 400 00:22:57,400 --> 00:23:00,640 Speaker 2: to forty hours. Number One, the Bears defense has been 401 00:23:00,640 --> 00:23:05,879 Speaker 2: playing really, really well the past seven weeks compared to 402 00:23:05,960 --> 00:23:10,160 Speaker 2: the Lions defense, which has been getting shredded, and they're 403 00:23:10,200 --> 00:23:12,960 Speaker 2: missing McNeil in the middle of their defensive line. That 404 00:23:13,119 --> 00:23:16,280 Speaker 2: is a huge impact that people who know football are 405 00:23:16,320 --> 00:23:19,359 Speaker 2: talking a lot about. So now you're getting a team 406 00:23:19,520 --> 00:23:22,280 Speaker 2: on the road, playing in Chicago where weather is going 407 00:23:22,320 --> 00:23:25,639 Speaker 2: to be a factor. Jared both in his career averaging 408 00:23:25,720 --> 00:23:27,760 Speaker 2: less than fourteen points per game when the weather is 409 00:23:27,880 --> 00:23:32,399 Speaker 2: under fifty degrees against a team in justin field a 410 00:23:32,400 --> 00:23:35,199 Speaker 2: lot of our po We've seen what they've been doing 411 00:23:35,520 --> 00:23:38,159 Speaker 2: when he is on the field since his injury, a 412 00:23:38,200 --> 00:23:41,359 Speaker 2: lot more running. They kept this game close against the 413 00:23:41,359 --> 00:23:44,920 Speaker 2: lines two weeks ago. They beat the Vikings last week. 414 00:23:45,160 --> 00:23:47,199 Speaker 2: This Bears team doesn't get credit for how much more 415 00:23:47,280 --> 00:23:49,760 Speaker 2: it's improved since the bye week. So the wise guys 416 00:23:49,800 --> 00:23:55,199 Speaker 2: are on the Bears one more. Well, you mentioned backup 417 00:23:55,240 --> 00:24:00,200 Speaker 2: quarterbacks and you talked about sort of they're getting these 418 00:24:00,280 --> 00:24:05,520 Speaker 2: opportunities to shine quickly. Jake Browning did not play well 419 00:24:05,520 --> 00:24:07,359 Speaker 2: in his first game against the Steelers, but he played 420 00:24:07,480 --> 00:24:10,920 Speaker 2: very well in his second game against the Jags. Very accurate. 421 00:24:11,359 --> 00:24:13,399 Speaker 2: Look at what this Colts team has done. Who have 422 00:24:13,440 --> 00:24:18,359 Speaker 2: they beaten up? The Panthers, the Patriots very lucky against 423 00:24:18,400 --> 00:24:21,960 Speaker 2: the Titans last week to get a win and continue 424 00:24:21,960 --> 00:24:25,879 Speaker 2: this winning streak. So is this a Jake Browning spot? 425 00:24:25,960 --> 00:24:27,639 Speaker 2: The wise guys think so. The wise guys have been 426 00:24:27,640 --> 00:24:30,119 Speaker 2: betting this game down. The Bengals opened about two to 427 00:24:30,119 --> 00:24:32,480 Speaker 2: two and a half. It's now down to one. I 428 00:24:32,480 --> 00:24:34,240 Speaker 2: think if you can get the Bengals as an underdog, 429 00:24:34,760 --> 00:24:35,520 Speaker 2: you still take it. 430 00:24:36,240 --> 00:24:39,960 Speaker 1: Chad Milman. All odds provided by DraftKings CCO Action Network. 431 00:24:40,119 --> 00:24:48,520 Speaker 1: Enjoy NBA in season tournament and thanks for the update 432 00:24:48,560 --> 00:24:49,040 Speaker 1: on the sphere. 433 00:24:49,320 --> 00:24:50,960 Speaker 2: You bet, brother, I hope you make it. You got 434 00:24:51,000 --> 00:24:51,560 Speaker 2: to get there. 435 00:24:53,200 --> 00:24:59,320 Speaker 1: The volume in the NBA, the games can change in 436 00:24:59,359 --> 00:25:02,480 Speaker 1: an instant, but no matter how the action unfold. 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