1 00:00:01,040 --> 00:00:05,920 Speaker 1: This is the Action Network podcast. But this one is good. 2 00:00:08,240 --> 00:00:12,399 Speaker 1: All right. Here we go from growing in so speak, 3 00:00:13,640 --> 00:00:17,480 Speaker 1: we're saying it's a cash to stop. We see most 4 00:00:17,560 --> 00:00:20,080 Speaker 1: gamblers when they go to gamble, they go to winning. 5 00:00:20,960 --> 00:00:25,440 Speaker 1: That's incredible. Big bank, small bank. I like to make money. 6 00:00:25,520 --> 00:00:28,640 Speaker 2: All right. It is the ultimate kabine. 7 00:00:28,440 --> 00:00:29,280 Speaker 3: You want to pack. 8 00:00:31,680 --> 00:00:33,400 Speaker 1: And we are underway. 9 00:00:34,280 --> 00:00:38,040 Speaker 3: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast. I'm Brandon Anderson here 10 00:00:38,080 --> 00:00:40,360 Speaker 3: as all is with Raheem Palmer to wrap up a 11 00:00:40,479 --> 00:00:45,040 Speaker 3: mostly mundane Week six. The favorites bounced back as nearly 12 00:00:45,120 --> 00:00:47,919 Speaker 3: every big public favorite one on Sunday, most of them 13 00:00:47,960 --> 00:00:51,480 Speaker 3: big all seven favorites one and covered in the early 14 00:00:51,520 --> 00:00:54,840 Speaker 3: afternoon Slate. It's kind of a slog day of football. 15 00:00:55,200 --> 00:00:57,279 Speaker 3: You even got a quiet witching hour an NFL red 16 00:00:57,360 --> 00:00:59,600 Speaker 3: zone today that we did get three overtime finishes, which 17 00:00:59,600 --> 00:01:00,720 Speaker 3: we will talk about soon. 18 00:01:01,120 --> 00:01:02,400 Speaker 2: Rahiem, how's your week? Sex? 19 00:01:03,080 --> 00:01:05,040 Speaker 1: I mean it was it was solid. It was interesting 20 00:01:05,080 --> 00:01:10,960 Speaker 1: because the public absolutely dominated. Every single public team pretty 21 00:01:11,000 --> 00:01:13,280 Speaker 1: much came through and it had to be a good 22 00:01:13,360 --> 00:01:17,039 Speaker 1: day for the public. I think when you're I'm going 23 00:01:17,120 --> 00:01:19,679 Speaker 1: to consider myself one of a sharper player, and I'm 24 00:01:19,760 --> 00:01:23,600 Speaker 1: I'm I can be contrarian at times, so like days 25 00:01:23,640 --> 00:01:24,840 Speaker 1: like this aren't the best days. 26 00:01:25,240 --> 00:01:28,279 Speaker 3: I'm honestly, this felt like a day that the books 27 00:01:28,280 --> 00:01:30,240 Speaker 3: got hit pretty hard, and I think a day that 28 00:01:30,720 --> 00:01:31,800 Speaker 3: sharps got hit pretty hard. 29 00:01:31,840 --> 00:01:32,000 Speaker 2: To you. 30 00:01:32,240 --> 00:01:35,160 Speaker 3: A lot of those underdog and taking the points angles 31 00:01:35,200 --> 00:01:38,720 Speaker 3: where the points seemed too much. The favorites overcame today 32 00:01:38,760 --> 00:01:40,440 Speaker 3: and ended up covering even some of these kind of 33 00:01:40,840 --> 00:01:44,720 Speaker 3: backdoor late covers sort of things. So yeah, we'll get 34 00:01:44,720 --> 00:01:46,959 Speaker 3: to all those. As usual, we'll run through the Sunday 35 00:01:47,040 --> 00:01:50,120 Speaker 3: slate with betting takeaways for every game we preview Monday 36 00:01:50,200 --> 00:01:53,440 Speaker 3: Night Football, and do our Week seven Hot read as always. 37 00:01:53,520 --> 00:01:56,520 Speaker 3: Odds today are from Bett MGM, the official odds provider 38 00:01:56,560 --> 00:01:58,200 Speaker 3: of the Action Network podcast. 39 00:01:58,720 --> 00:02:00,240 Speaker 2: All right, let's talk about. 40 00:02:00,120 --> 00:02:03,080 Speaker 3: Those three overtime games today, and we'll start with the 41 00:02:03,080 --> 00:02:06,640 Speaker 3: one that just finished in Pittsburgh Sunday night. So it 42 00:02:06,720 --> 00:02:08,720 Speaker 3: was not the Sunday night game that we were hoping for, 43 00:02:08,919 --> 00:02:11,640 Speaker 3: nothing like the marquee games we've had in a recent weeks, 44 00:02:11,639 --> 00:02:14,600 Speaker 3: but we got a good one. First half started out ugly, 45 00:02:14,680 --> 00:02:17,760 Speaker 3: didn't even look super watchable. Seattle got the ball moving 46 00:02:17,800 --> 00:02:20,360 Speaker 3: the second half, Alex Collins running the ball, open up 47 00:02:20,400 --> 00:02:23,200 Speaker 3: the play action, Seahawks come all the way back, We 48 00:02:23,280 --> 00:02:26,440 Speaker 3: send it to overtime, and then TJ. A. Watt takes 49 00:02:26,440 --> 00:02:28,880 Speaker 3: over from there. Steelers kick the field goal for the win. 50 00:02:29,440 --> 00:02:32,720 Speaker 3: Seattle ends up covering the five, but they pushed on 51 00:02:32,800 --> 00:02:35,040 Speaker 3: the total. Talk to me about TJ. 52 00:02:35,120 --> 00:02:36,480 Speaker 2: Watt. What a game for that dude. 53 00:02:36,760 --> 00:02:39,360 Speaker 1: Absolutely dominant. I mean, he pretty much won the game. 54 00:02:39,720 --> 00:02:42,240 Speaker 1: He had the sack that pretty much put them out 55 00:02:42,240 --> 00:02:46,200 Speaker 1: of field goal range when Seahawks were driving to start overtime, 56 00:02:46,240 --> 00:02:49,200 Speaker 1: and then he had the game winning sack to pretty 57 00:02:49,240 --> 00:02:52,600 Speaker 1: much force the fumble. It's just you need to get 58 00:02:52,760 --> 00:02:55,360 Speaker 1: those type of dominant performances, especially when you don't have 59 00:02:55,400 --> 00:02:57,799 Speaker 1: a great offense. And you know, kudos to him. 60 00:02:58,200 --> 00:03:01,160 Speaker 3: Yeah, he had a forty pass ud win rate, which 61 00:03:01,200 --> 00:03:04,040 Speaker 3: is yeah, that's a lot on that strip sack. For 62 00:03:04,160 --> 00:03:06,800 Speaker 3: just a split second, Devin Bush picked that up and 63 00:03:06,800 --> 00:03:08,760 Speaker 3: started running the wrong way. I thought we might get 64 00:03:08,800 --> 00:03:11,720 Speaker 3: Jim Marshall, Like only a Seahawks game could end in 65 00:03:11,800 --> 00:03:15,000 Speaker 3: overtime with the winning safety returned seventy five yards the 66 00:03:15,040 --> 00:03:15,600 Speaker 3: wrong way. 67 00:03:16,000 --> 00:03:16,600 Speaker 2: We had a chance. 68 00:03:16,680 --> 00:03:19,400 Speaker 3: We had a chance there, but you know, cue up 69 00:03:19,400 --> 00:03:21,840 Speaker 3: the Kevin Clark that there's never been a normal Seahawks 70 00:03:21,880 --> 00:03:25,040 Speaker 3: game tweet that always comes out on every single Seahawks game. 71 00:03:25,600 --> 00:03:28,920 Speaker 3: Weird game. There was the weird replay right before the 72 00:03:29,000 --> 00:03:32,840 Speaker 3: end of regulation. DK Metcalf had a catch near the sideline, 73 00:03:33,280 --> 00:03:35,560 Speaker 3: decided apparently he's going to try to win on his own, 74 00:03:35,640 --> 00:03:37,440 Speaker 3: and then a great punch out. We got a lot 75 00:03:37,440 --> 00:03:40,600 Speaker 3: of players stealing that peanut Tillman punch these days, and 76 00:03:40,640 --> 00:03:42,800 Speaker 3: they recover the ball, run it to the line, get 77 00:03:42,800 --> 00:03:45,839 Speaker 3: the spike, we review it, we get another spike, make 78 00:03:45,880 --> 00:03:46,600 Speaker 3: the field goal. 79 00:03:47,160 --> 00:03:48,960 Speaker 2: This was kind of an old school game overall. 80 00:03:49,120 --> 00:03:51,400 Speaker 3: It felt like, especially in the second half, it felt 81 00:03:51,400 --> 00:03:54,200 Speaker 3: like Pete Carroll and Mike Tomlin were just like, all right, 82 00:03:54,280 --> 00:03:54,960 Speaker 3: who's tougher. 83 00:03:55,400 --> 00:03:58,200 Speaker 2: I'll punch you, you punch me. Let's see who flinches first. 84 00:03:58,760 --> 00:03:59,720 Speaker 2: And I don't know. 85 00:04:00,120 --> 00:04:02,920 Speaker 3: Tj Ott won the fight without a doubt, Without a doubt. 86 00:04:03,200 --> 00:04:05,960 Speaker 3: So Steelers go to three and three. Feels like they 87 00:04:06,040 --> 00:04:08,240 Speaker 3: sort of save their season. They're heading into the bye week, 88 00:04:08,360 --> 00:04:11,000 Speaker 3: they get a chance to kind of reset get right 89 00:04:11,040 --> 00:04:14,760 Speaker 3: a little bit. Seattle two and four and uh Gino 90 00:04:14,840 --> 00:04:17,760 Speaker 3: Smith not looking great. He definitely had the big fumble 91 00:04:17,760 --> 00:04:21,320 Speaker 3: there at the end, but earlier before that one, the 92 00:04:21,360 --> 00:04:25,719 Speaker 3: Cowboys and the Patriots also went to overtime. Ceedee Lamb 93 00:04:25,760 --> 00:04:30,120 Speaker 3: had the big long walkoff touchdown. Your guys got another win. 94 00:04:30,640 --> 00:04:34,039 Speaker 3: Dallas moves to five and one on the year, six 95 00:04:34,080 --> 00:04:38,520 Speaker 3: and zero against the spread. They're unstoppable. Cowboys win thirty 96 00:04:38,560 --> 00:04:40,120 Speaker 3: five twenty nine in overtime. 97 00:04:41,080 --> 00:04:42,839 Speaker 1: That was a frustrating game for me because I actually 98 00:04:42,880 --> 00:04:46,599 Speaker 1: had the Patriots and there were like, there were so 99 00:04:46,720 --> 00:04:49,680 Speaker 1: many things that had to go wrong for the Cowboys 100 00:04:49,720 --> 00:04:52,760 Speaker 1: to cover that game. And I told somebody today, trey 101 00:04:52,800 --> 00:04:54,640 Speaker 1: Vione Diggs is not going to have an interception in 102 00:04:54,720 --> 00:04:57,840 Speaker 1: every single game. I had seventeen interceptions this year, and 103 00:04:58,680 --> 00:05:00,440 Speaker 1: he goes out there and gets a pick And it 104 00:05:00,480 --> 00:05:04,599 Speaker 1: was just so frustrating because it looked like the worst 105 00:05:04,600 --> 00:05:08,880 Speaker 1: case scenario is the Patriots go three and out, they 106 00:05:08,880 --> 00:05:11,040 Speaker 1: punt the ball back to the Cowboys. Cowboys come down 107 00:05:11,080 --> 00:05:12,880 Speaker 1: to kick a field goal, he throws a pick six. 108 00:05:13,400 --> 00:05:18,200 Speaker 1: The following play, they target Trayvon Diggs, they score a touchdown. 109 00:05:19,080 --> 00:05:21,600 Speaker 1: You're thinking, Okay, they missed the two point conversion. Maybe 110 00:05:21,640 --> 00:05:24,839 Speaker 1: the Cowboys come down kick a field goal. Great, of 111 00:05:24,880 --> 00:05:28,000 Speaker 1: course they get the two point conversion. Cowboys come down, 112 00:05:28,040 --> 00:05:30,360 Speaker 1: they tie it up, it's over time. The Patriots get 113 00:05:30,360 --> 00:05:34,040 Speaker 1: the ball first. The best thing that you want if 114 00:05:34,960 --> 00:05:37,080 Speaker 1: your Patriots back, you got them three and a half, 115 00:05:37,080 --> 00:05:39,480 Speaker 1: four and a half, that's all you want. You want 116 00:05:39,520 --> 00:05:42,560 Speaker 1: them to get the ball first. They end up if 117 00:05:42,600 --> 00:05:45,560 Speaker 1: they neither score and they cover and win the game, 118 00:05:45,839 --> 00:05:47,440 Speaker 1: or they punt it and then the Cowboys already got 119 00:05:47,600 --> 00:05:50,440 Speaker 1: kick a field goal. Of course they punted. The Cowboys 120 00:05:50,680 --> 00:05:53,960 Speaker 1: broken play gets a touchdown literally one of the most 121 00:05:54,000 --> 00:05:56,800 Speaker 1: frustrating covers of the week. But when you look at 122 00:05:56,800 --> 00:05:59,280 Speaker 1: this Cowboys team, they won the yards five hundred and 123 00:05:59,279 --> 00:06:02,200 Speaker 1: sixty seven and three one hundred and thirty five, had 124 00:06:02,400 --> 00:06:05,440 Speaker 1: had to play advantage yards per play six point nine 125 00:06:05,520 --> 00:06:10,640 Speaker 1: to six point seven rushing advantage. Patriots went on third downs, 126 00:06:11,040 --> 00:06:15,480 Speaker 1: resound percentage was tied. But the Cowboys really beat themselves 127 00:06:15,480 --> 00:06:17,640 Speaker 1: with penalties. And I think that's really what it comes 128 00:06:17,680 --> 00:06:20,520 Speaker 1: down to with this Cowboys team. Is that their Super 129 00:06:20,560 --> 00:06:24,440 Speaker 1: Bowl caliber team. But can you trust Mike McCarthy when 130 00:06:24,480 --> 00:06:27,479 Speaker 1: it matters, And I'm not sure you can't. 131 00:06:28,120 --> 00:06:30,839 Speaker 3: Yeah, the Cowboys really should have dominated this game. Like 132 00:06:30,880 --> 00:06:32,839 Speaker 3: you said, five hundred and sixty seven yards, that is 133 00:06:32,880 --> 00:06:35,960 Speaker 3: a huge number. That was two hundred and thirty four 134 00:06:36,040 --> 00:06:39,200 Speaker 3: yards more than New England. They almost doubled their first 135 00:06:39,279 --> 00:06:43,080 Speaker 3: downs thirty two to seventeen, thirty nine minutes time of possession. 136 00:06:43,600 --> 00:06:46,240 Speaker 3: But then Dallas undid so much of that twelve penalties 137 00:06:46,279 --> 00:06:48,440 Speaker 3: one hundred and fifteen yards, They had two turnovers in 138 00:06:48,480 --> 00:06:50,279 Speaker 3: the red zone. They went two to five in the 139 00:06:50,320 --> 00:06:53,040 Speaker 3: red zone three of thirteen on third down two of 140 00:06:53,080 --> 00:06:55,440 Speaker 3: four and fourth down. That they missed that field goal 141 00:06:55,520 --> 00:06:58,520 Speaker 3: near the end of the game. And you mentioned McCarthy too. 142 00:06:58,640 --> 00:07:01,080 Speaker 3: You know that no one is really question because the 143 00:07:01,120 --> 00:07:04,680 Speaker 3: Cowboys are winning. But they have that fourth and one, 144 00:07:04,880 --> 00:07:07,480 Speaker 3: you know where they just before halftime, and I think 145 00:07:07,480 --> 00:07:09,000 Speaker 3: that was the right call. You go for it, You 146 00:07:09,000 --> 00:07:11,800 Speaker 3: try to punch the ball in. They got stuffed and 147 00:07:11,880 --> 00:07:14,560 Speaker 3: they scared them off because now you get down late 148 00:07:14,600 --> 00:07:17,360 Speaker 3: in the game, fourth and one or fourth and short again, 149 00:07:17,680 --> 00:07:21,119 Speaker 3: you're down a point and you gotta get the first 150 00:07:21,160 --> 00:07:23,400 Speaker 3: down there. You gotta keep moving, run the clock a 151 00:07:23,400 --> 00:07:26,119 Speaker 3: little more, get into better field goal, arrange maybe score 152 00:07:26,120 --> 00:07:29,680 Speaker 3: a touchdown instead settle for the long field goal. Miss 153 00:07:29,720 --> 00:07:32,120 Speaker 3: the long field goal probably should have cast them the game. 154 00:07:32,480 --> 00:07:35,240 Speaker 3: But then Trayvon Diggs bails them out gets the pick 155 00:07:35,320 --> 00:07:40,520 Speaker 3: six I saw digs seven interceptions is already in week six, 156 00:07:40,640 --> 00:07:43,880 Speaker 3: already the most by any Dallas Cowboys since nineteen eighty 157 00:07:43,920 --> 00:07:47,200 Speaker 3: five for an entire season. Shouts to Everson Walls with 158 00:07:47,320 --> 00:07:51,400 Speaker 3: nine and eighty five. So Cowboys get another chance later 159 00:07:51,880 --> 00:07:55,160 Speaker 3: another fourth and one, and then of course they call 160 00:07:55,240 --> 00:07:57,400 Speaker 3: a time out, try to sell things down, and then 161 00:07:57,440 --> 00:07:59,840 Speaker 3: instead of going for it, take another field goal. But 162 00:08:00,080 --> 00:08:02,720 Speaker 3: they made the long one. Send it over time. And 163 00:08:03,160 --> 00:08:05,520 Speaker 3: you know, McCarthy, the whole thing was, he took all 164 00:08:05,520 --> 00:08:07,679 Speaker 3: the he took his sabbatical, he took his time off. 165 00:08:07,880 --> 00:08:10,600 Speaker 3: He's supposed to learn the ways of the modern game 166 00:08:10,640 --> 00:08:13,200 Speaker 3: and learn all the analytics. It clearly did not happen. 167 00:08:13,400 --> 00:08:17,720 Speaker 3: So definitely definitely a problem. Let's queue up the stink 168 00:08:17,760 --> 00:08:18,160 Speaker 3: of the week. 169 00:08:18,720 --> 00:08:20,520 Speaker 2: Smelly, smelly, smelly. 170 00:08:21,080 --> 00:08:23,240 Speaker 1: It's the smell. It's quite pungent. 171 00:08:23,480 --> 00:08:24,480 Speaker 2: Did plug your nose? 172 00:08:25,080 --> 00:08:26,800 Speaker 1: It's stinks. 173 00:08:26,880 --> 00:08:29,000 Speaker 3: This is your stink. 174 00:08:28,800 --> 00:08:31,800 Speaker 2: Of the week you talked about. 175 00:08:32,000 --> 00:08:34,320 Speaker 3: You know that I was on Pats as well, So 176 00:08:34,840 --> 00:08:37,800 Speaker 3: plus three and a half, plus four, that was a 177 00:08:37,800 --> 00:08:40,400 Speaker 3: tough one. If you got that one that late in 178 00:08:40,440 --> 00:08:43,800 Speaker 3: the game, you definitely expect to get the cover. But 179 00:08:44,200 --> 00:08:47,000 Speaker 3: another another stink of the week in the first half. 180 00:08:47,040 --> 00:08:49,200 Speaker 3: I happen to notice because I wrote the preview on 181 00:08:49,240 --> 00:08:52,000 Speaker 3: this one, and my pick was the first half under 182 00:08:52,040 --> 00:08:55,640 Speaker 3: at twenty four, And boy did that look terrible because 183 00:08:56,480 --> 00:08:59,160 Speaker 3: Cowboys come out get stopped in fourth down. The next 184 00:08:59,200 --> 00:09:03,200 Speaker 3: three drives boom, boom, boom, three touchdowns. It's fourteen to seven, 185 00:09:03,600 --> 00:09:05,920 Speaker 3: and again I'm on twenty four. There's a few twenty 186 00:09:05,920 --> 00:09:08,880 Speaker 3: five or twenty six out there. We're roasted at this point. 187 00:09:08,920 --> 00:09:11,360 Speaker 3: We got a whole second quarter. Still, there's already twenty 188 00:09:11,360 --> 00:09:14,440 Speaker 3: one up. The defenses haven't showed up, so I already 189 00:09:14,440 --> 00:09:17,480 Speaker 3: get them up on it. Patriots are driving. They get 190 00:09:17,480 --> 00:09:20,319 Speaker 3: around the thirty five. They score touchdown, so we're already 191 00:09:20,440 --> 00:09:23,280 Speaker 3: we're over. I lost the under, but touchdown comes off 192 00:09:23,320 --> 00:09:25,600 Speaker 3: the board and then the Patriots fumble. No points on 193 00:09:25,640 --> 00:09:28,839 Speaker 3: the possession. Cowboys get the ball, they drive down the 194 00:09:28,880 --> 00:09:31,559 Speaker 3: get of the red zone. We're in trouble again. Cowboys 195 00:09:31,600 --> 00:09:33,440 Speaker 3: set out for a field goal, so we're at twenty four. 196 00:09:33,480 --> 00:09:35,760 Speaker 3: I'm on a push on mine. Some of the people 197 00:09:35,760 --> 00:09:38,320 Speaker 3: out there are still on their under. So Newing gets 198 00:09:38,320 --> 00:09:40,760 Speaker 3: the ball back. They get the punt blocked. Cowboys recover 199 00:09:40,840 --> 00:09:44,560 Speaker 3: at the seventeen and still if you're on the over here, 200 00:09:44,920 --> 00:09:47,760 Speaker 3: you're feeling great at this point. Like a field goal 201 00:09:47,840 --> 00:09:49,720 Speaker 3: does a trick, a touchdown does a trick. 202 00:09:49,800 --> 00:09:52,120 Speaker 2: You just just need points, just get any points here. 203 00:09:52,160 --> 00:09:52,920 Speaker 2: We're already there. 204 00:09:53,280 --> 00:09:55,160 Speaker 3: And that's where they get down to the one on 205 00:09:55,200 --> 00:09:58,120 Speaker 3: Cedric Wilson first and goal. In the one with Dallas, 206 00:09:58,160 --> 00:10:01,000 Speaker 3: you have like the two most efficient running in the league, 207 00:10:01,440 --> 00:10:05,720 Speaker 3: and they three times get stuffed. Fourth time Dak stretches out, 208 00:10:05,760 --> 00:10:08,679 Speaker 3: they call the touchdown, they review it, they overturn the fumble. 209 00:10:09,160 --> 00:10:12,840 Speaker 3: We end at twenty four. Greatest first half under push 210 00:10:12,880 --> 00:10:16,720 Speaker 3: of my life. Big play by Juwan Bentley getting the 211 00:10:16,720 --> 00:10:19,760 Speaker 3: fumble there. But if you had the over in the 212 00:10:19,800 --> 00:10:22,560 Speaker 3: first half, boy, that is a stink of the week 213 00:10:22,640 --> 00:10:25,360 Speaker 3: because we hit the over like five times there and 214 00:10:25,360 --> 00:10:26,720 Speaker 3: should have hit it a few more times. 215 00:10:26,760 --> 00:10:27,760 Speaker 2: And you can you. 216 00:10:27,679 --> 00:10:30,400 Speaker 1: Didn't even you didn't even name the best stink of 217 00:10:30,400 --> 00:10:32,320 Speaker 1: the weight weak. You know what? You know what the 218 00:10:32,320 --> 00:10:33,280 Speaker 1: best think of the week was. 219 00:10:33,440 --> 00:10:33,679 Speaker 2: What's that? 220 00:10:35,200 --> 00:10:40,600 Speaker 1: Did you see the Cleveland Browns Arizona Cardinals game? Like 221 00:10:40,679 --> 00:10:44,880 Speaker 1: the first half over was literally twenty four and it 222 00:10:44,960 --> 00:10:46,439 Speaker 1: took a hell mary to beat it. 223 00:10:47,160 --> 00:10:48,240 Speaker 2: I didn't even notice that one. 224 00:10:48,240 --> 00:10:50,040 Speaker 3: Well we'll talk about that one again when we get 225 00:10:50,040 --> 00:10:52,760 Speaker 3: to the Browns game the second here, But yeah, City 226 00:10:52,840 --> 00:10:55,760 Speaker 3: Lamb had the big long walk of touchdown two TD's 227 00:10:55,760 --> 00:10:58,319 Speaker 3: one hundred and forty nine yards for him. Dak had 228 00:10:58,320 --> 00:11:00,680 Speaker 3: another big game four hundred and forty five yards and 229 00:11:00,720 --> 00:11:01,680 Speaker 3: three touchdowns. 230 00:11:02,000 --> 00:11:02,360 Speaker 2: I saw. 231 00:11:02,440 --> 00:11:05,280 Speaker 3: This is the most passing yards Bill Belichick team has 232 00:11:05,360 --> 00:11:08,520 Speaker 3: ever allowed in a loss. So you know, all of 233 00:11:08,559 --> 00:11:11,920 Speaker 3: our Bill Belichick underdog and Belichick for his NFC stats 234 00:11:12,240 --> 00:11:13,920 Speaker 3: starting to go a little bit by the wayside. It 235 00:11:13,960 --> 00:11:16,959 Speaker 3: turns out having that old Tom dude at quarterback probably 236 00:11:17,000 --> 00:11:17,760 Speaker 3: played a part. 237 00:11:17,600 --> 00:11:18,240 Speaker 2: In some of those. 238 00:11:18,360 --> 00:11:23,559 Speaker 3: So Dallas looking good. They did show Dak Prescott had 239 00:11:23,559 --> 00:11:26,079 Speaker 3: a calf strain and left the game, you know, walking 240 00:11:26,120 --> 00:11:28,560 Speaker 3: boot That was on the last play of the game. 241 00:11:29,200 --> 00:11:31,400 Speaker 3: But Dallas has a bye week next week. It doesn't 242 00:11:31,440 --> 00:11:33,480 Speaker 3: look too serious, but something to keep an eye on 243 00:11:33,559 --> 00:11:36,120 Speaker 3: for sure. You got anything else on your guys, or 244 00:11:36,120 --> 00:11:38,280 Speaker 3: should we move to my team, the Minnesota Vikings. 245 00:11:40,600 --> 00:11:44,720 Speaker 1: There's so much frustrating about the game, even even before 246 00:11:44,760 --> 00:11:48,320 Speaker 1: the black punt, Like I have addressed it because it 247 00:11:48,360 --> 00:11:50,560 Speaker 1: was just it was just like in some ways it 248 00:11:50,600 --> 00:11:55,120 Speaker 1: feels like Belichick, he's kind of losing his fastball. And 249 00:11:56,240 --> 00:11:59,679 Speaker 1: you saw, like on the play before the punt, they 250 00:12:00,040 --> 00:12:01,480 Speaker 1: he threw it to the receiver and it was four 251 00:12:01,520 --> 00:12:05,280 Speaker 1: and one, but they didn't give this guy like forward progress, 252 00:12:05,679 --> 00:12:11,400 Speaker 1: So like instead of challenging it or instead of actually 253 00:12:11,440 --> 00:12:14,560 Speaker 1: asking for a measurement, they actually resh the punt team 254 00:12:14,600 --> 00:12:17,400 Speaker 1: out there. And that's what calls the black punt. And 255 00:12:17,480 --> 00:12:19,320 Speaker 1: I think, you know, it's just when you have plays 256 00:12:19,360 --> 00:12:22,760 Speaker 1: like that, it impacts the impacts the game. And then 257 00:12:22,800 --> 00:12:26,080 Speaker 1: also I think Belichick wasn't willing to be aggressive in 258 00:12:26,160 --> 00:12:29,360 Speaker 1: this game. You see a lot of coaches going forward 259 00:12:29,360 --> 00:12:31,319 Speaker 1: on four and one, You see a lot of a 260 00:12:31,360 --> 00:12:33,400 Speaker 1: lot of coaches throwing a little bit more. I felt 261 00:12:33,440 --> 00:12:35,600 Speaker 1: like they he just wasn't very aggressive. So it was 262 00:12:35,640 --> 00:12:37,040 Speaker 1: kind of frustrating for me because I felt like there 263 00:12:37,080 --> 00:12:39,160 Speaker 1: was a really winnable game for the Patriots. 264 00:12:39,400 --> 00:12:42,040 Speaker 3: Yeah, you know, you can tell by the way that 265 00:12:42,120 --> 00:12:44,560 Speaker 3: you're a professional better when you're feeling so bummed out 266 00:12:44,600 --> 00:12:47,560 Speaker 3: about your own team winning the game because you guess 267 00:12:47,559 --> 00:12:49,800 Speaker 3: the team that you bet on against them didn't come through. 268 00:12:49,880 --> 00:12:53,240 Speaker 3: But you're right, you know, normally we're used to seeing 269 00:12:53,400 --> 00:12:56,200 Speaker 3: sharp coaches when your team is the underdog, you play 270 00:12:56,240 --> 00:12:59,160 Speaker 3: with extra aggression. And it feels like Belichick has kind 271 00:12:59,160 --> 00:13:01,400 Speaker 3: of done the other thing. He knows that his team 272 00:13:01,440 --> 00:13:03,280 Speaker 3: is not the better team in these spots, and so 273 00:13:03,440 --> 00:13:06,559 Speaker 3: he's he's playing the underdog role, but he's not playing 274 00:13:06,559 --> 00:13:10,480 Speaker 3: it the way that you know Brandon Stalely or Stefanski 275 00:13:10,559 --> 00:13:13,240 Speaker 3: some of these other younger coaches who are being really 276 00:13:13,280 --> 00:13:15,800 Speaker 3: aggressive and going for it a lot. He's just trying 277 00:13:15,800 --> 00:13:18,720 Speaker 3: to do all he can to not lose and keep 278 00:13:18,760 --> 00:13:21,920 Speaker 3: things close, and I think maybe hope the other team loses. 279 00:13:22,520 --> 00:13:25,040 Speaker 3: And Dallas tried, they tried a whole lot of ways, 280 00:13:25,080 --> 00:13:27,199 Speaker 3: but found a way to actually win in the end. 281 00:13:27,320 --> 00:13:30,360 Speaker 3: So that is a pretty good safeway into the Vikings game, 282 00:13:30,720 --> 00:13:32,960 Speaker 3: which was pretty similar now that I think about it 283 00:13:32,960 --> 00:13:35,840 Speaker 3: as we're talking about these. So the Vikings also won 284 00:13:35,880 --> 00:13:39,320 Speaker 3: in overtime, also on a walkoff touchdown that went to 285 00:13:39,480 --> 00:13:43,480 Speaker 3: kJ Osbourne. Another big game for their quarterback Kirk Cousins 286 00:13:43,720 --> 00:13:46,600 Speaker 3: three and seventy three yards and three touchdowns. And just 287 00:13:46,640 --> 00:13:49,560 Speaker 3: like in the Dallas game, Minnesota should have won, They 288 00:13:49,559 --> 00:13:52,679 Speaker 3: should have dominated and put this game away. Vikings had 289 00:13:52,760 --> 00:13:55,760 Speaker 3: five hundred and seventy one yards similar to Dallas. That's 290 00:13:55,800 --> 00:14:00,640 Speaker 3: the third most yards in Vikings franchise history. The Panthers 291 00:14:00,640 --> 00:14:03,120 Speaker 3: never should have been in this, but it's the Vikings, 292 00:14:03,320 --> 00:14:05,680 Speaker 3: so you know, they let them hang around, they play 293 00:14:05,760 --> 00:14:08,880 Speaker 3: with their food. Panthers took it overtime, but the Vikings 294 00:14:08,880 --> 00:14:11,559 Speaker 3: took care of business. So I don't know, are the 295 00:14:11,640 --> 00:14:12,840 Speaker 3: Vikings going to do this every week? 296 00:14:12,880 --> 00:14:17,079 Speaker 1: To me, this was the second most frustrating game of 297 00:14:17,120 --> 00:14:20,480 Speaker 1: the day for me. I actually took the Vikings and 298 00:14:20,920 --> 00:14:22,800 Speaker 1: there were a lot of sharp money on the Vikings, 299 00:14:22,800 --> 00:14:26,360 Speaker 1: pushing this line from minus actually from plus one to 300 00:14:26,800 --> 00:14:30,600 Speaker 1: minus two and a half. Christian McCaffrey didn't play in 301 00:14:30,640 --> 00:14:33,320 Speaker 1: today's matchup, and he's gonna be on I R. But 302 00:14:33,400 --> 00:14:37,840 Speaker 1: this Panthers offense is a complete mess. The offensive line 303 00:14:37,880 --> 00:14:42,800 Speaker 1: can't protect Darnold. Like I tweeted at some point during 304 00:14:42,840 --> 00:14:46,000 Speaker 1: the third corner that the Panthers are literally they were 305 00:14:46,040 --> 00:14:48,400 Speaker 1: literally averaging three yards per play and had one hundred 306 00:14:48,440 --> 00:14:51,240 Speaker 1: and sixteen total yards. They were two to eight on 307 00:14:51,400 --> 00:14:55,240 Speaker 1: third down and had the lead in the game because 308 00:14:55,240 --> 00:14:58,320 Speaker 1: the Vikings actually had a fumble and then they had 309 00:14:58,360 --> 00:15:00,680 Speaker 1: a block punt. Like it just was one of the 310 00:15:00,680 --> 00:15:04,080 Speaker 1: most frustrating games and I've ever seen because when you 311 00:15:04,120 --> 00:15:06,920 Speaker 1: look at the bass scors clear that the Vikings should 312 00:15:06,920 --> 00:15:10,280 Speaker 1: have won this game by three touchdowns. It just they 313 00:15:10,360 --> 00:15:14,720 Speaker 1: absolutely dominated every facet of the game. Early passing like 314 00:15:14,960 --> 00:15:18,800 Speaker 1: success rate of fifty six percent, Like when you look 315 00:15:18,840 --> 00:15:22,720 Speaker 1: at the Carolina Panthers success rate, they had a forty 316 00:15:23,280 --> 00:15:28,480 Speaker 1: success rate all day. And somehow they're backed up and 317 00:15:28,480 --> 00:15:31,320 Speaker 1: they're pretty much their own end zone and drive down 318 00:15:31,320 --> 00:15:33,080 Speaker 1: the field after not being able to do anything, and 319 00:15:33,200 --> 00:15:36,680 Speaker 1: ties the game with the touchdown two point conversion. This 320 00:15:36,840 --> 00:15:39,880 Speaker 1: Vikings team is just second week in a row. It 321 00:15:40,040 --> 00:15:43,920 Speaker 1: just it just feels like they have a solid offense, 322 00:15:43,960 --> 00:15:46,720 Speaker 1: but they just can't put it all together. So this 323 00:15:46,720 --> 00:15:47,960 Speaker 1: this is going to be a team that's going to 324 00:15:48,040 --> 00:15:50,640 Speaker 1: challenge for a wildcard spot. But I don't see this 325 00:15:50,680 --> 00:15:51,680 Speaker 1: team making any noise. 326 00:15:52,400 --> 00:15:55,080 Speaker 3: Yeah, the Vikings were up eleven with five minutes left 327 00:15:55,120 --> 00:15:57,080 Speaker 3: and had to go to overtime to get the job done. 328 00:15:57,280 --> 00:15:59,800 Speaker 3: Last week against the Lions. Vikings are up ten with 329 00:15:59,840 --> 00:16:04,240 Speaker 3: three minutes left and almost lost in regulation. Against Arizona 330 00:16:04,280 --> 00:16:07,360 Speaker 3: about a month ago, the Vikings allowed the late field 331 00:16:07,360 --> 00:16:09,240 Speaker 3: goal and then missed the winning field goal at the 332 00:16:09,280 --> 00:16:11,120 Speaker 3: last play. It's They could have had that one and 333 00:16:11,120 --> 00:16:15,040 Speaker 3: blew it. In the opener against the Bengals, Minnesota drove 334 00:16:15,160 --> 00:16:18,280 Speaker 3: in overtime into field goal arrange, but then Cook fumbled 335 00:16:18,400 --> 00:16:20,680 Speaker 3: and the Vikings lost on a last second field goal. 336 00:16:20,720 --> 00:16:23,840 Speaker 3: In that game, Minnesota could be five and one right now. 337 00:16:24,240 --> 00:16:26,320 Speaker 3: Minnesota could be one and five right now, Like, how 338 00:16:26,320 --> 00:16:28,960 Speaker 3: do you bet on that when it's so unpredictable. At 339 00:16:28,960 --> 00:16:32,440 Speaker 3: the end every time, it does feel like this defense 340 00:16:32,680 --> 00:16:35,960 Speaker 3: is getting in order a little bit. Sam Donald was 341 00:16:36,120 --> 00:16:39,120 Speaker 3: horrendous in this game. Sam Donald was so bad. He 342 00:16:39,160 --> 00:16:42,480 Speaker 3: finished seventeen to forty one for two hundred and seven yards. 343 00:16:42,880 --> 00:16:45,360 Speaker 3: But that really obscures how bad he was because he 344 00:16:45,400 --> 00:16:47,600 Speaker 3: had that late drive to stack up a lot of 345 00:16:47,640 --> 00:16:50,360 Speaker 3: yards on that. He had two turnovers, he was sacked 346 00:16:50,400 --> 00:16:54,160 Speaker 3: four times. He was terrible, Like he was Sam Donald. 347 00:16:54,200 --> 00:16:57,000 Speaker 3: We knew this is what Sam Donald was. We had 348 00:16:57,040 --> 00:17:00,000 Speaker 3: fun for three weeks. Otherwise, Carolina started three to zero 349 00:17:00,120 --> 00:17:04,240 Speaker 3: and now just three and three. Obviously, it sucks not 350 00:17:04,280 --> 00:17:06,960 Speaker 3: having McCaffrey out there. That's a big part of the offense. 351 00:17:07,040 --> 00:17:08,960 Speaker 3: But it's still gotta play quarterback. 352 00:17:09,119 --> 00:17:10,560 Speaker 2: And I don't know. 353 00:17:10,520 --> 00:17:14,720 Speaker 3: That that would you would you say Carolina or Minnesota 354 00:17:14,760 --> 00:17:16,399 Speaker 3: is the better chance to make the playoffs at this 355 00:17:16,440 --> 00:17:16,879 Speaker 3: point is like. 356 00:17:16,880 --> 00:17:19,679 Speaker 1: Oh, without a down Minnesota. When you look at I 357 00:17:19,680 --> 00:17:22,640 Speaker 1: mean like Carolina, I mean, I'm gonna be fair. I'm 358 00:17:22,640 --> 00:17:25,080 Speaker 1: gonna be fair to Sam Darn. He's he's been terrible. 359 00:17:25,320 --> 00:17:28,320 Speaker 1: And you know I wrote in my article when breaking 360 00:17:28,320 --> 00:17:31,280 Speaker 1: down the Vikings that you know, great jay Z had 361 00:17:31,400 --> 00:17:33,080 Speaker 1: a great line he said his only so going fake 362 00:17:33,960 --> 00:17:36,720 Speaker 1: and we saw that with Sam Darn in the first 363 00:17:36,760 --> 00:17:40,600 Speaker 1: three weeks of the season. They played the Jets, the Texans, 364 00:17:40,640 --> 00:17:42,959 Speaker 1: and then they played a Saints team which had a 365 00:17:42,960 --> 00:17:46,240 Speaker 1: COVID outbreak. And pretty much every team has had a 366 00:17:46,280 --> 00:17:49,439 Speaker 1: COVID outbreak that's lost their coaches and lost teams they 367 00:17:49,600 --> 00:17:53,359 Speaker 1: lost this year. I mean there was an exception today unfortunately. 368 00:17:53,440 --> 00:17:56,480 Speaker 1: But so he's he's caught all the breaks and that's 369 00:17:56,480 --> 00:17:59,320 Speaker 1: how they started off like three and oh, but I 370 00:17:59,359 --> 00:18:02,399 Speaker 1: gotta be fair. The protection has really been bad. He 371 00:18:02,440 --> 00:18:06,119 Speaker 1: got sacked twelve times during this three game losing streak. Obviously, 372 00:18:06,160 --> 00:18:08,639 Speaker 1: if you don't have your security break blanket and Christian 373 00:18:08,720 --> 00:18:12,600 Speaker 1: McCaffrey and almost a lone isn't there. There's only so 374 00:18:12,680 --> 00:18:16,240 Speaker 1: much you can do and he did make. He did 375 00:18:16,280 --> 00:18:18,159 Speaker 1: make some plays down the stretch when he counted to 376 00:18:18,200 --> 00:18:21,280 Speaker 1: actually get the game in overtime. So while he's been bad, 377 00:18:22,040 --> 00:18:25,080 Speaker 1: I'm just not sure the team around him has done 378 00:18:25,200 --> 00:18:25,800 Speaker 1: enough for him. 379 00:18:25,840 --> 00:18:28,960 Speaker 3: So yeah, I think that I might just be fading 380 00:18:29,000 --> 00:18:32,280 Speaker 3: both of these teams. Definitely fading the Panthers more. But 381 00:18:32,720 --> 00:18:35,520 Speaker 3: the Vikings are still in rough shape. Their next four 382 00:18:35,560 --> 00:18:39,080 Speaker 3: games are against Dallas Baltimore, the Chargers, and the Packers. 383 00:18:39,400 --> 00:18:41,280 Speaker 3: So this is a rough stretch. This was the easy 384 00:18:41,359 --> 00:18:43,400 Speaker 3: part of the schedule for Minnesota. This is the part 385 00:18:43,440 --> 00:18:45,360 Speaker 3: that they were supposed to start out five and one. 386 00:18:45,480 --> 00:18:47,480 Speaker 3: You know, they should have hit those kicks and ben 387 00:18:47,600 --> 00:18:51,200 Speaker 3: five and one. So I think these early losses will 388 00:18:51,240 --> 00:18:53,480 Speaker 3: be very damaging because it means that you're gonna have 389 00:18:53,520 --> 00:18:55,160 Speaker 3: to win a game now that you shouldn't have won. 390 00:18:55,359 --> 00:18:57,239 Speaker 3: They're gonna have to beat the Packers a time or two. 391 00:18:57,280 --> 00:18:59,159 Speaker 3: They're gonna have to win against the Rams late in 392 00:18:59,200 --> 00:19:01,920 Speaker 3: the year or some of these upcoming games. And its 393 00:19:02,000 --> 00:19:05,320 Speaker 3: just it's such a big hole that they dug for 394 00:19:05,359 --> 00:19:08,080 Speaker 3: themselves that they're going to be fighting uphill all season. 395 00:19:08,600 --> 00:19:11,800 Speaker 3: So let's talk about You mentioned the COVID team that 396 00:19:12,119 --> 00:19:15,240 Speaker 3: didn't win today. Both of us, along with just about 397 00:19:15,280 --> 00:19:17,960 Speaker 3: everyone at our site, was on the other side of 398 00:19:18,000 --> 00:19:20,240 Speaker 3: that one. So the Cardinals and Browns, that was supposed 399 00:19:20,280 --> 00:19:22,119 Speaker 3: to be our big game of the day. That should 400 00:19:22,119 --> 00:19:26,040 Speaker 3: have led our conversation. It didn't because the Cardinals took 401 00:19:26,040 --> 00:19:29,399 Speaker 3: the Browns behind the woodshed and just destroyed them thirty 402 00:19:29,480 --> 00:19:30,360 Speaker 3: seven fourteen. 403 00:19:30,840 --> 00:19:31,800 Speaker 2: You mentioned COVID. 404 00:19:32,200 --> 00:19:34,440 Speaker 3: We know that they're missing a whole bunch of their coaches, 405 00:19:34,480 --> 00:19:38,240 Speaker 3: including Cliff Kingsbury, and a bunch of the assistants. Apparently 406 00:19:38,240 --> 00:19:41,040 Speaker 3: didn't matter because the Cardinals came out it was twenty 407 00:19:41,119 --> 00:19:42,520 Speaker 3: nothing twenty minutes into the game. 408 00:19:42,920 --> 00:19:43,720 Speaker 2: It's basically over. 409 00:19:43,720 --> 00:19:46,120 Speaker 3: Should have been worse by them, to be honest, this 410 00:19:46,280 --> 00:19:47,800 Speaker 3: was a beatdown. 411 00:19:48,160 --> 00:19:51,240 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, without a doubt. And it started from pretty 412 00:19:51,280 --> 00:19:54,240 Speaker 1: much the opening draft. Cleveland went three and out, they 413 00:19:54,320 --> 00:19:56,399 Speaker 1: punt the ball to Arizona, and it was just it 414 00:19:56,440 --> 00:20:00,360 Speaker 1: was so crazy because Arizona. They were actually slow down 415 00:20:00,400 --> 00:20:03,639 Speaker 1: Arizona in the passing game on the opening drive, but 416 00:20:03,960 --> 00:20:07,679 Speaker 1: on third down Arizona just kept converting third downs or 417 00:20:07,920 --> 00:20:11,480 Speaker 1: they would get a penalty. It's just absolutely dominated this game. 418 00:20:11,680 --> 00:20:13,879 Speaker 1: The winning yard is three hundred and fifty two to 419 00:20:13,880 --> 00:20:17,879 Speaker 1: two hundred and ninety third down conversions. They dominated in 420 00:20:17,920 --> 00:20:21,240 Speaker 1: that area rushing yards one forty four to seventy three, 421 00:20:21,880 --> 00:20:25,680 Speaker 1: rezone TD percentage four four out of seven to one 422 00:20:25,720 --> 00:20:30,359 Speaker 1: out of three turnovers. It's just this Cleveland team is 423 00:20:30,520 --> 00:20:34,359 Speaker 1: just it's pretty clear that they're struggling to stop teams 424 00:20:34,359 --> 00:20:37,040 Speaker 1: through the air, and I think that's a big problem. 425 00:20:37,119 --> 00:20:40,240 Speaker 1: Now they're banged up. You got Kareem Hunt out, you 426 00:20:40,320 --> 00:20:43,320 Speaker 1: got both of your starting tackles out, Nick Chubbs is 427 00:20:43,359 --> 00:20:46,919 Speaker 1: still banged up, Baker Mayfield is out. It's just this 428 00:20:47,000 --> 00:20:50,480 Speaker 1: is it's almost tragic because this is the best Browns 429 00:20:50,520 --> 00:20:53,919 Speaker 1: team that we've probably seen since nineteen ninety four on paper, 430 00:20:54,640 --> 00:20:58,480 Speaker 1: and you know, they dominate these games against the Chiefs, 431 00:20:58,520 --> 00:21:01,320 Speaker 1: and they dominate these games against the Chargers, and they 432 00:21:01,320 --> 00:21:03,400 Speaker 1: don't pull them out and then you lay an egg 433 00:21:03,520 --> 00:21:05,920 Speaker 1: like this and now you're banged up and you're headed 434 00:21:05,960 --> 00:21:08,840 Speaker 1: into a short week. So this is a this is 435 00:21:08,840 --> 00:21:10,399 Speaker 1: a really trouble spot for this team. 436 00:21:10,480 --> 00:21:13,679 Speaker 3: Yeah, the Browns thirty seven to fourteen. It honestly was 437 00:21:13,800 --> 00:21:16,560 Speaker 3: not that close. This should have been much worse than 438 00:21:16,600 --> 00:21:18,520 Speaker 3: it was. You know, I said it was twenty and 439 00:21:18,600 --> 00:21:21,879 Speaker 3: nothing early and then twenty twenty three to seven nearly 440 00:21:21,920 --> 00:21:24,879 Speaker 3: before halftime. That's when that hail Mary that you mentioned, 441 00:21:24,880 --> 00:21:28,040 Speaker 3: that's when that hit and donovand people's jones the hail Mary. 442 00:21:28,080 --> 00:21:30,440 Speaker 3: It's only as twenty three to fourteen and we hit 443 00:21:30,480 --> 00:21:33,880 Speaker 3: the over there and that was a rough beat. That 444 00:21:33,960 --> 00:21:36,080 Speaker 3: was that's the end. The Cleveland then't score again in 445 00:21:36,119 --> 00:21:37,919 Speaker 3: the second half after that, it did. 446 00:21:38,080 --> 00:21:39,680 Speaker 1: It did look like they were they were going to 447 00:21:39,880 --> 00:21:42,560 Speaker 1: make it a game because they came out in the 448 00:21:42,600 --> 00:21:45,400 Speaker 1: second half. They stopped Arizona, they got the ball. Did 449 00:21:45,400 --> 00:21:47,200 Speaker 1: I think they got a three and out? They stopped 450 00:21:47,200 --> 00:21:50,760 Speaker 1: Arizona again, and then they get the ball back and 451 00:21:51,680 --> 00:21:54,560 Speaker 1: they're driving down the field and they get it too. 452 00:21:54,600 --> 00:21:58,800 Speaker 1: About the Arizona forty four Baker gets sacked, sack fumble, 453 00:21:58,960 --> 00:22:01,160 Speaker 1: that's another thing we got to talk about Arizona's fumble luck. 454 00:22:01,200 --> 00:22:03,600 Speaker 1: It's just absolutely out of this world. 455 00:22:05,040 --> 00:22:07,440 Speaker 3: The Browns had so many mistakes this game that they 456 00:22:07,480 --> 00:22:10,600 Speaker 3: lost to fumbles. They had an interception early, you know 457 00:22:10,640 --> 00:22:13,000 Speaker 3: that twenty nothing I mentioned. They had a turnover on downs, 458 00:22:13,080 --> 00:22:16,240 Speaker 3: interception and a fumble right away, and the Cardinals settled 459 00:22:16,240 --> 00:22:18,120 Speaker 3: for field goals. In the first half, they scored every 460 00:22:18,200 --> 00:22:21,200 Speaker 3: drive and came away only with twenty three first half points. 461 00:22:21,359 --> 00:22:23,480 Speaker 3: They could have had thirty seven by halftime if they 462 00:22:23,520 --> 00:22:26,080 Speaker 3: had put these you know, put the game away, gotten 463 00:22:26,080 --> 00:22:28,600 Speaker 3: into the end zone. You mentioned four to seven in 464 00:22:28,640 --> 00:22:31,160 Speaker 3: the red zone. That's not even all those field goals. 465 00:22:31,160 --> 00:22:33,720 Speaker 3: That's seven trips in the red zone. The whole thing 466 00:22:33,720 --> 00:22:35,600 Speaker 3: with the Browns that we've been excited about this is 467 00:22:35,640 --> 00:22:36,840 Speaker 3: our Browns podcast. 468 00:22:37,160 --> 00:22:38,960 Speaker 2: We've been talking them up because. 469 00:22:38,720 --> 00:22:40,680 Speaker 3: Their defense was taking a big step forward and it 470 00:22:40,800 --> 00:22:45,360 Speaker 3: just didn't happen today. Both both sides really didn't show up. 471 00:22:45,800 --> 00:22:48,480 Speaker 3: I'm willing to excuse the offense. We found out a 472 00:22:48,520 --> 00:22:51,080 Speaker 3: couple hours before the game that both tackles weren't going 473 00:22:51,119 --> 00:22:54,200 Speaker 3: to be playing. I certainly didn't expect that, and I thought, 474 00:22:54,400 --> 00:22:56,480 Speaker 3: you know, both of us were on the Browns. I 475 00:22:56,520 --> 00:22:58,760 Speaker 3: think we loved the run game how it shaped up. 476 00:22:59,040 --> 00:23:01,000 Speaker 3: But then it turns out when you lose your star 477 00:23:01,119 --> 00:23:03,840 Speaker 3: tackles and Nick Chubb, who I think is maybe the 478 00:23:03,840 --> 00:23:06,200 Speaker 3: best running back in football, yeah, your run game is 479 00:23:06,240 --> 00:23:08,200 Speaker 3: not going to be quite as dominant When that happens 480 00:23:08,400 --> 00:23:10,840 Speaker 3: and you go down twenty to nothing before you blink, yeah, 481 00:23:10,840 --> 00:23:12,080 Speaker 3: you're probably not gonna be able to run the ball 482 00:23:12,119 --> 00:23:15,120 Speaker 3: as well when you're playing from a three touchdown deficit 483 00:23:15,160 --> 00:23:15,840 Speaker 3: the entire game. 484 00:23:16,000 --> 00:23:19,000 Speaker 2: So yeah, I think Chubb will be back this Thursday. 485 00:23:19,040 --> 00:23:19,479 Speaker 2: I don't know. 486 00:23:19,840 --> 00:23:21,840 Speaker 3: It's not a good time to have a short week. 487 00:23:22,440 --> 00:23:25,119 Speaker 3: Kareem Hunt has a calf strain, so it looks like 488 00:23:25,200 --> 00:23:28,280 Speaker 3: he might miss some time. Baker, it looked really bad 489 00:23:28,320 --> 00:23:31,440 Speaker 3: for a second. He hurt that left shoulder again, though 490 00:23:31,440 --> 00:23:34,160 Speaker 3: he kept playing. Obj it you didn't mention him. He's 491 00:23:34,240 --> 00:23:38,840 Speaker 3: hurt again always. J Oka got hurt. But the offense 492 00:23:38,920 --> 00:23:41,679 Speaker 3: was so banged up. I'm willing to overlook that a 493 00:23:41,720 --> 00:23:45,159 Speaker 3: little bit. The defense, I don't know what excuses. 494 00:23:44,640 --> 00:23:45,280 Speaker 2: To make for that. 495 00:23:46,440 --> 00:23:49,520 Speaker 3: That did feel to me. It didn't feel like this 496 00:23:49,680 --> 00:23:53,399 Speaker 3: was the Cardinals juggernaut that just blew them away. It 497 00:23:53,400 --> 00:23:56,480 Speaker 3: felt more like the Browns just laid a complete egg 498 00:23:56,720 --> 00:24:00,679 Speaker 3: and just didn't show. Cardinals playmakers made some play, but 499 00:24:00,720 --> 00:24:03,159 Speaker 3: it's felt like the Browns just really brownsing it up 500 00:24:03,200 --> 00:24:04,359 Speaker 3: to that. 501 00:24:03,920 --> 00:24:08,119 Speaker 1: Exactly what it felt like. I'm still I'm afraid that 502 00:24:08,200 --> 00:24:10,359 Speaker 1: this Arizona Cardinals team is going to be the team 503 00:24:10,640 --> 00:24:15,400 Speaker 1: that sharps and you know, guys at our company are 504 00:24:15,400 --> 00:24:18,639 Speaker 1: going to continue to fade and we're gonna get burnt. 505 00:24:18,680 --> 00:24:21,240 Speaker 1: And I think there's always a team like that where 506 00:24:21,600 --> 00:24:23,479 Speaker 1: you feel like this team's not nearly as good as 507 00:24:23,520 --> 00:24:26,080 Speaker 1: you think they are, but for some reason, they find 508 00:24:26,119 --> 00:24:28,880 Speaker 1: ways to win. And I think I have to kind 509 00:24:28,880 --> 00:24:31,040 Speaker 1: of put a stop loss on that at some point, 510 00:24:31,680 --> 00:24:35,320 Speaker 1: just because it's pretty clear that one way or another, 511 00:24:35,320 --> 00:24:37,639 Speaker 1: they're going to find a way to win, and it's 512 00:24:37,880 --> 00:24:38,720 Speaker 1: kind of frustrating. 513 00:24:38,760 --> 00:24:41,119 Speaker 3: So, yeah, what do you think about this? This is 514 00:24:41,119 --> 00:24:44,000 Speaker 3: my theory with them. I'm starting to tinker with. So 515 00:24:44,440 --> 00:24:46,880 Speaker 3: you know, we've dumped a lot on Cliff Kingsbury. It's 516 00:24:47,160 --> 00:24:49,080 Speaker 3: still doesn't look like he's gonna be the first coach 517 00:24:49,119 --> 00:24:51,400 Speaker 3: fire this season, but get you know, give some time. 518 00:24:51,760 --> 00:24:55,480 Speaker 3: The Cardinals now thirty seven to fourteen in Cleveland here, 519 00:24:55,800 --> 00:24:57,879 Speaker 3: don't forget a couple of weeks ago, thirty seven to 520 00:24:57,880 --> 00:25:00,840 Speaker 3: ten in Los Angeles. I thought that we're gonna run 521 00:25:00,840 --> 00:25:02,400 Speaker 3: away with that game, and that would be the week 522 00:25:02,440 --> 00:25:05,200 Speaker 3: that the Cardinals were exposed. So that's two huge road 523 00:25:05,200 --> 00:25:08,040 Speaker 3: wins for them. They're playing the Texans next week, so 524 00:25:08,200 --> 00:25:10,879 Speaker 3: mark them down for seven to zero. Here's my theory 525 00:25:10,880 --> 00:25:15,280 Speaker 3: with Arizona Cliff Kingsbury. First of all, We know producer 526 00:25:15,320 --> 00:25:17,639 Speaker 3: Matt Mitchell would want us to point out Kingsbury is 527 00:25:18,200 --> 00:25:20,200 Speaker 3: bad in the second half of the season. We haven't 528 00:25:20,200 --> 00:25:22,560 Speaker 3: made it there yet. There's still time for the Cardinals 529 00:25:22,560 --> 00:25:25,240 Speaker 3: to collapse and for Kingsbury to do his thing. But 530 00:25:25,320 --> 00:25:28,160 Speaker 3: what I'm wondering is this, every time I watch Arizona, 531 00:25:28,160 --> 00:25:29,720 Speaker 3: every time, especially if you're on a red zone and 532 00:25:29,760 --> 00:25:32,960 Speaker 3: it's bouncing around, you get to Arizona and it just 533 00:25:33,080 --> 00:25:37,560 Speaker 3: looks different. You see Kyler Murray, or you see Chase Edmonds, 534 00:25:37,600 --> 00:25:40,639 Speaker 3: or you see rond All Moore. They get all these little, tiny, 535 00:25:40,880 --> 00:25:44,200 Speaker 3: speedy dudes who are just running past everyone on defense. 536 00:25:44,680 --> 00:25:49,159 Speaker 3: And what I'm wondering is did Arizona fall apart in 537 00:25:49,240 --> 00:25:52,479 Speaker 3: previous years because they just didn't have the right weapons. 538 00:25:52,520 --> 00:25:55,480 Speaker 3: They've been running all these little bubble screens and curls 539 00:25:55,520 --> 00:25:57,800 Speaker 3: and just get the ball to playmakers, but didn't how 540 00:25:57,800 --> 00:26:01,280 Speaker 3: many playmakers. They didn't have enough playmakers. So I'm wondering 541 00:26:01,720 --> 00:26:03,879 Speaker 3: now that they got all these little dudes, now that 542 00:26:03,960 --> 00:26:06,680 Speaker 3: Kyler Murray can run around and do his thing, is 543 00:26:06,960 --> 00:26:09,480 Speaker 3: anything more terrifying than Kyler with a little bit of 544 00:26:09,480 --> 00:26:12,280 Speaker 3: space and it's like he's giggling as he runs past you. 545 00:26:12,400 --> 00:26:16,640 Speaker 3: It's like playground football. So is there a chance that 546 00:26:16,720 --> 00:26:20,680 Speaker 3: this is a juggernaut and Kyler is an MVP and 547 00:26:20,880 --> 00:26:23,760 Speaker 3: we just needed Kingsbury to get the toys he needed 548 00:26:23,800 --> 00:26:24,880 Speaker 3: for his offense to work. 549 00:26:24,960 --> 00:26:26,439 Speaker 2: What do you think about that theory. 550 00:26:26,880 --> 00:26:29,080 Speaker 1: I do think there's a chance. I think that's that's 551 00:26:29,080 --> 00:26:30,800 Speaker 1: the real possibility. I think one of the things that 552 00:26:30,840 --> 00:26:33,359 Speaker 1: we tend to over underrate last year is that Kyler 553 00:26:33,440 --> 00:26:35,720 Speaker 1: Murray was banged up, he got hurt, he was never 554 00:26:35,800 --> 00:26:39,280 Speaker 1: the same after injuring his shoulder, and it's pretty clear 555 00:26:39,359 --> 00:26:41,720 Speaker 1: that he's healthy. I think that's another thing that we 556 00:26:41,800 --> 00:26:44,400 Speaker 1: kind of had a misconception in coming into this game, 557 00:26:44,520 --> 00:26:47,400 Speaker 1: is that he ever talks to Kyler Murray was banged up, 558 00:26:47,840 --> 00:26:50,800 Speaker 1: hurt his shoulder again. So I'm thinking that we probably 559 00:26:50,840 --> 00:26:53,159 Speaker 1: see the same issues that we saw Murray last season, 560 00:26:53,480 --> 00:26:55,840 Speaker 1: and we didn't see him today. He looked perfectly fine today. 561 00:26:55,920 --> 00:26:58,600 Speaker 1: So I think if Kyler Murray is healthy, you got 562 00:26:58,640 --> 00:27:03,119 Speaker 1: DeAndre Hopkins, you got around them more, you got Chase Edmonds. 563 00:27:03,440 --> 00:27:06,080 Speaker 1: You have so many of these weapons, and it's tough 564 00:27:06,080 --> 00:27:09,320 Speaker 1: to stop, especially when we have a quarterback who's can't quick. 565 00:27:09,359 --> 00:27:13,320 Speaker 1: It's almost like Tom and Jerry and you can't catch 566 00:27:13,359 --> 00:27:16,320 Speaker 1: this guy. And actually the defense has been the most 567 00:27:16,680 --> 00:27:18,600 Speaker 1: One of the most impressive things for me is that 568 00:27:19,320 --> 00:27:23,080 Speaker 1: they're finding ways to slow teams down, so it's possible 569 00:27:23,200 --> 00:27:24,400 Speaker 1: they could be the Juggernaut. 570 00:27:25,040 --> 00:27:28,040 Speaker 3: Yeah, Kyler Murray is now the favorite, well still the favorite. 571 00:27:28,080 --> 00:27:30,360 Speaker 3: I guess he has Bunny's plus three fifty right now 572 00:27:30,359 --> 00:27:34,080 Speaker 3: to win MVP at bet MGM. However, the Cardinals still 573 00:27:34,119 --> 00:27:36,560 Speaker 3: getting a little disrespected in Super Bowl odds. They are 574 00:27:36,600 --> 00:27:39,320 Speaker 3: plus nine hundred right now at bet MGM, so only 575 00:27:39,359 --> 00:27:42,240 Speaker 3: the fifth favorite. Even in the NFC, they're behind the 576 00:27:42,240 --> 00:27:45,680 Speaker 3: Bucks and the Rams. So are you making up bet 577 00:27:45,720 --> 00:27:47,439 Speaker 3: on the Cardinal Super Bowl odds at this point? 578 00:27:47,640 --> 00:27:49,960 Speaker 1: I'm not making a bet on the Cardinal Super Bowl odds, 579 00:27:50,000 --> 00:27:52,640 Speaker 1: but I definitely think they're a team that I'm trying 580 00:27:52,680 --> 00:27:53,199 Speaker 1: to watch for it. 581 00:27:53,240 --> 00:27:56,520 Speaker 3: So so you I think that you're out on the Browns, 582 00:27:56,560 --> 00:27:58,399 Speaker 3: but I'm wondering how out you are in the Browns. 583 00:27:58,440 --> 00:27:59,960 Speaker 2: We talked about them with the Super Bowl A sleep. 584 00:28:00,560 --> 00:28:02,800 Speaker 3: Browns are plus twenty two hundred to win the Super 585 00:28:02,840 --> 00:28:04,919 Speaker 3: Bowl right now, so they're falling. They're only three and 586 00:28:05,000 --> 00:28:07,640 Speaker 3: three now, although the three losses have been to three 587 00:28:07,800 --> 00:28:10,960 Speaker 3: very good teams, to three other potential super Bowl contenders. 588 00:28:11,520 --> 00:28:14,560 Speaker 3: So I know you're worried about the injuries and where 589 00:28:14,600 --> 00:28:17,080 Speaker 3: the season is heading. Are you out on the Browns? 590 00:28:17,119 --> 00:28:18,440 Speaker 3: Are you on to wait and see? What are you 591 00:28:18,440 --> 00:28:19,200 Speaker 3: thinking about them? 592 00:28:19,560 --> 00:28:21,720 Speaker 1: I'm out on them to win the super Bowl at 593 00:28:21,720 --> 00:28:26,000 Speaker 1: this point. I just think for me, I think one 594 00:28:26,040 --> 00:28:28,520 Speaker 1: of the best, one of the best paths to win 595 00:28:28,560 --> 00:28:30,880 Speaker 1: the Super Bowl is to win your division and get 596 00:28:30,880 --> 00:28:33,560 Speaker 1: that buy and get those home games. And this is 597 00:28:33,600 --> 00:28:37,760 Speaker 1: a banged up team right now. They have Denver next week, 598 00:28:39,040 --> 00:28:42,240 Speaker 1: short week and they're banged up. They got Pittsburgh, which 599 00:28:42,280 --> 00:28:46,040 Speaker 1: is always gonna be a tough game, Cincinnati at Cincinnati, 600 00:28:46,120 --> 00:28:50,200 Speaker 1: at New England. This is a stretch where when I 601 00:28:50,320 --> 00:28:52,280 Speaker 1: when I looked at the schedule earlier in the year, 602 00:28:52,400 --> 00:28:54,000 Speaker 1: like I felt like this was a good stretch for them, 603 00:28:54,000 --> 00:28:56,840 Speaker 1: But this is not an easy stretch. So and you 604 00:28:56,880 --> 00:28:59,000 Speaker 1: still they still got played Baltimore twice, They got to 605 00:28:59,000 --> 00:29:02,080 Speaker 1: play Vegas, Raiders, are going to play at Green Bay. 606 00:29:02,800 --> 00:29:05,600 Speaker 1: I'm not sure if they can recover, especially if they're 607 00:29:05,640 --> 00:29:06,120 Speaker 1: not healthy. 608 00:29:06,440 --> 00:29:09,040 Speaker 3: I'm not willing to give up on the Browns, but 609 00:29:09,080 --> 00:29:11,520 Speaker 3: I also don't know. I can't put them as a 610 00:29:11,560 --> 00:29:13,640 Speaker 3: super Bowl team right now because of the way Baker 611 00:29:13,680 --> 00:29:14,600 Speaker 3: Mayfield is playing. 612 00:29:14,920 --> 00:29:16,560 Speaker 2: And I look, I just talked about. 613 00:29:16,360 --> 00:29:18,760 Speaker 3: Him on our last podcast as a long shot MVP, 614 00:29:18,960 --> 00:29:20,680 Speaker 3: so let's be honest with myself on that. 615 00:29:20,960 --> 00:29:22,800 Speaker 2: But he's not playing like one right now. He didn't 616 00:29:22,800 --> 00:29:23,720 Speaker 2: play like one today. 617 00:29:23,760 --> 00:29:27,120 Speaker 3: He's clearly not healthy, and there's no chance that they 618 00:29:27,160 --> 00:29:29,880 Speaker 3: are gonna be anything like a super Bowl contender without 619 00:29:29,960 --> 00:29:32,080 Speaker 3: the Baker that we saw the second half of last season. 620 00:29:32,480 --> 00:29:35,160 Speaker 3: I'm not out on the Browns entirely for the season, 621 00:29:35,200 --> 00:29:38,240 Speaker 3: though not necessarily as champions, but I do think this 622 00:29:38,400 --> 00:29:42,560 Speaker 3: upcoming stretch is winnable. This Denver game on Thursday is tricky, 623 00:29:42,920 --> 00:29:45,440 Speaker 3: but Denver is in the tailspin of their own right now, 624 00:29:45,840 --> 00:29:48,160 Speaker 3: and it's a home game for Cleveland. So if you 625 00:29:48,160 --> 00:29:51,800 Speaker 3: can get through that one home against Pittsburgh, both winnable 626 00:29:51,880 --> 00:29:55,080 Speaker 3: games at Cincinnati and New England both winnable, and then 627 00:29:55,080 --> 00:29:59,120 Speaker 3: the Lions, that's five very winnable games that the Browns 628 00:29:59,240 --> 00:30:01,720 Speaker 3: probably will be favorite in all five of those. So 629 00:30:01,800 --> 00:30:04,160 Speaker 3: even if you lose one, you get back to seven 630 00:30:04,200 --> 00:30:06,680 Speaker 3: and four, and that's when you get the weird stretch 631 00:30:06,720 --> 00:30:08,600 Speaker 3: they play the Ravens and then up bye week and 632 00:30:08,640 --> 00:30:11,240 Speaker 3: then the Ravens again, so they have two Ravens games 633 00:30:11,240 --> 00:30:12,640 Speaker 3: in a row. I don't know if I've ever seen 634 00:30:12,680 --> 00:30:16,720 Speaker 3: that on the schedule before, and I still don't mind 635 00:30:16,720 --> 00:30:17,200 Speaker 3: the way. 636 00:30:17,000 --> 00:30:19,200 Speaker 2: This team matches up with the Ravens. 637 00:30:19,880 --> 00:30:21,800 Speaker 3: So I don't know if I'm willing to go Super 638 00:30:21,840 --> 00:30:24,400 Speaker 3: Bowl odds, but I am looking at Browns plus four 639 00:30:24,480 --> 00:30:27,320 Speaker 3: hundred to win the division because if they can get 640 00:30:27,360 --> 00:30:30,080 Speaker 3: through this little stretch and get to those Baltimore games, 641 00:30:30,600 --> 00:30:33,240 Speaker 3: then you just you know, that's the stretch that's where 642 00:30:33,280 --> 00:30:35,880 Speaker 3: you can flip it. And I am kind of on 643 00:30:35,960 --> 00:30:38,480 Speaker 3: a by low on the Browns and a cell high 644 00:30:38,520 --> 00:30:41,400 Speaker 3: on the Ravens. So let's use that to transition into 645 00:30:41,400 --> 00:30:43,160 Speaker 3: the Ravens game. Because that was our other big game 646 00:30:43,520 --> 00:30:46,440 Speaker 3: that we thought would be another marquee today and same thing. 647 00:30:46,440 --> 00:30:49,240 Speaker 3: It was a huge dud. The Ravens played the Chargers. 648 00:30:49,600 --> 00:30:51,320 Speaker 3: That was our early game that we were supposed to 649 00:30:51,320 --> 00:30:54,680 Speaker 3: get excited about, and it was over immediately, just like 650 00:30:54,760 --> 00:30:58,600 Speaker 3: the Browns Cardinals game was Ravens won thirty four to six, 651 00:30:59,480 --> 00:31:01,880 Speaker 3: nearly shut them out. The Chargers just never got going. 652 00:31:02,040 --> 00:31:04,400 Speaker 3: So was this similar to the other game. Did you 653 00:31:04,440 --> 00:31:07,520 Speaker 3: feel like the Ravens impressed with the blowout that the 654 00:31:07,600 --> 00:31:08,520 Speaker 3: Chargers lay an egg? 655 00:31:08,640 --> 00:31:09,960 Speaker 2: What's your thoughts on the one. 656 00:31:10,640 --> 00:31:13,320 Speaker 1: I felt like it said a lot more about the Ravens. 657 00:31:13,360 --> 00:31:17,280 Speaker 1: I think we spoken about the Chargers their struggles in 658 00:31:17,360 --> 00:31:21,040 Speaker 1: early down success rates and how they were like living 659 00:31:21,080 --> 00:31:23,080 Speaker 1: on third and fourth down, and I think all of 660 00:31:23,080 --> 00:31:26,280 Speaker 1: that came to a head here. I think the most 661 00:31:26,320 --> 00:31:30,200 Speaker 1: surprising thing is how dominant Baltimore was offensively. I felt 662 00:31:30,240 --> 00:31:33,800 Speaker 1: like they got whatever they wanted, so they won the 663 00:31:33,880 --> 00:31:36,040 Speaker 1: yards around twenty seven to two hundred and eight. The 664 00:31:36,080 --> 00:31:38,080 Speaker 1: yards supposed to be four point eight to three point 665 00:31:38,160 --> 00:31:41,760 Speaker 1: nine third downs, they dominated rushing yards wound eighty seven 666 00:31:41,800 --> 00:31:44,840 Speaker 1: to twenty six. We spoke about how the Chargers struggled 667 00:31:45,000 --> 00:31:47,560 Speaker 1: to stop the run and the Ravens were able to 668 00:31:47,600 --> 00:31:49,720 Speaker 1: do that, and I just think it was a huge 669 00:31:49,760 --> 00:31:53,360 Speaker 1: statement game for this Ravens team, and it said a 670 00:31:53,360 --> 00:31:56,960 Speaker 1: lot about the regression for this Chargers team that we 671 00:31:57,040 --> 00:31:59,760 Speaker 1: all knew was coming at some point. At some point, 672 00:32:00,080 --> 00:32:02,440 Speaker 1: you're not going to convert every single third down. It 673 00:32:02,600 --> 00:32:05,200 Speaker 1: was just three for twelve the day on third down. 674 00:32:05,840 --> 00:32:08,160 Speaker 1: It just had to come. The Chickens had to come 675 00:32:08,200 --> 00:32:12,240 Speaker 1: home the Wools. They were seven of eight on fourth 676 00:32:12,320 --> 00:32:15,000 Speaker 1: down and the one thiss was was a fake punt, 677 00:32:15,160 --> 00:32:19,400 Speaker 1: and seven and eight of those fourth down conversion led 678 00:32:19,400 --> 00:32:23,080 Speaker 1: to a touchdown. So I think they finally they finally 679 00:32:23,200 --> 00:32:26,080 Speaker 1: rested to me here and we started to see some 680 00:32:26,120 --> 00:32:27,680 Speaker 1: of the issues with the Chargers team. 681 00:32:28,280 --> 00:32:31,120 Speaker 3: Yeah, the Ravens ran thirty eight times for one hundred 682 00:32:31,120 --> 00:32:33,720 Speaker 3: and eighty seven yards and three touchdowns. I'm a little 683 00:32:33,760 --> 00:32:36,200 Speaker 3: upset with myself because I was on the Chargers side 684 00:32:36,280 --> 00:32:37,680 Speaker 3: on this one and. 685 00:32:37,880 --> 00:32:40,320 Speaker 2: A week ago I was not. A week ago. 686 00:32:40,520 --> 00:32:43,400 Speaker 3: I had already warned everyone away from the Chargers that 687 00:32:43,480 --> 00:32:44,920 Speaker 3: this two weeks was going to be a really off 688 00:32:44,960 --> 00:32:48,040 Speaker 3: stretch against the Browns and then against the Ravens, because 689 00:32:48,040 --> 00:32:50,920 Speaker 3: it looked like just very much the wrong matchup the 690 00:32:50,960 --> 00:32:54,320 Speaker 3: two run heaviest teams in the league, Browns and the Ravens, 691 00:32:54,320 --> 00:32:55,760 Speaker 3: that I thought, well, they're just going to run it 692 00:32:55,760 --> 00:32:58,360 Speaker 3: down the Chargers' throat. We know the run defense is bad, 693 00:32:58,680 --> 00:33:00,680 Speaker 3: the whole defense is set up to not be good 694 00:33:00,680 --> 00:33:02,720 Speaker 3: at the run and take away the pass. And then 695 00:33:02,960 --> 00:33:05,680 Speaker 3: on more research this week and seeing, hey, you know, 696 00:33:05,680 --> 00:33:07,640 Speaker 3: the Ravens run game is not as good as it 697 00:33:07,680 --> 00:33:10,640 Speaker 3: has been, and actually Lamar Jackson's been winning with the pass, 698 00:33:11,360 --> 00:33:14,800 Speaker 3: and so I kind of changed my tune and thought, well, 699 00:33:14,840 --> 00:33:16,720 Speaker 3: if the run game was not going to be so good, 700 00:33:17,160 --> 00:33:20,120 Speaker 3: then you know, maybe the Chargers take away that Lamar 701 00:33:20,200 --> 00:33:21,280 Speaker 3: Jackson deep pass. 702 00:33:21,080 --> 00:33:22,560 Speaker 2: Which I mean, I guess they did. 703 00:33:22,600 --> 00:33:24,560 Speaker 3: They didn't really have to bother with it because they're 704 00:33:24,560 --> 00:33:26,960 Speaker 3: just getting anything they wanted on the ground. That's the 705 00:33:27,040 --> 00:33:30,280 Speaker 3: problem is if you play a team that can run 706 00:33:30,360 --> 00:33:33,520 Speaker 3: that much and that easily, you know the ball. So 707 00:33:33,800 --> 00:33:36,440 Speaker 3: the Chargers only had twenty two minutes of possession in 708 00:33:36,480 --> 00:33:39,720 Speaker 3: this game. I don't know that their offense was horrible. 709 00:33:39,840 --> 00:33:43,000 Speaker 3: Certainly wasn't good. I mean, the only touchdown they had 710 00:33:43,160 --> 00:33:46,320 Speaker 3: came because of a really bad Lamar Jackson interception that 711 00:33:46,400 --> 00:33:47,360 Speaker 3: basically set them up. 712 00:33:47,400 --> 00:33:48,160 Speaker 2: But that's it. 713 00:33:48,280 --> 00:33:51,400 Speaker 3: Six points, And I don't know, I'm not too worried 714 00:33:51,400 --> 00:33:53,120 Speaker 3: about the offense on this one. They just didn't get 715 00:33:53,160 --> 00:33:55,000 Speaker 3: a ton of chances. Davis he didn't convert when they 716 00:33:55,040 --> 00:33:58,040 Speaker 3: had them, but they just didn't. The defense couldn't get 717 00:33:58,040 --> 00:34:02,479 Speaker 3: off the field here. And I will say, though I 718 00:34:02,640 --> 00:34:07,600 Speaker 3: am not worried about the Chargers large scale, this just 719 00:34:07,760 --> 00:34:10,440 Speaker 3: is the wrong matchup to me that this was the 720 00:34:10,520 --> 00:34:13,719 Speaker 3: exact wrong team. You know, this was the thing I 721 00:34:13,760 --> 00:34:15,839 Speaker 3: thought was going to happen these two weeks, but then 722 00:34:15,880 --> 00:34:17,759 Speaker 3: it didn't. Last week it was it was for a 723 00:34:17,800 --> 00:34:21,280 Speaker 3: while the Chargers, you know, we're getting kind of beaten 724 00:34:21,320 --> 00:34:23,280 Speaker 3: by the Browns, but then have the big comeback. 725 00:34:23,800 --> 00:34:25,279 Speaker 2: And I think the other thing we saw in this game. 726 00:34:25,320 --> 00:34:26,399 Speaker 2: You mentioned the fourth down. 727 00:34:26,600 --> 00:34:29,520 Speaker 3: You know Staley's been going for those all year, fourth 728 00:34:29,600 --> 00:34:33,400 Speaker 3: and one on their own nineteen in the first possession 729 00:34:33,400 --> 00:34:36,080 Speaker 3: of the second half, down eighteen points, they go for it. 730 00:34:36,560 --> 00:34:38,640 Speaker 2: That's like the exact same thing as last week. 731 00:34:38,680 --> 00:34:41,400 Speaker 3: They were down two scores early in the second half, 732 00:34:41,440 --> 00:34:43,959 Speaker 3: they went for it, and then they got that one 733 00:34:44,320 --> 00:34:46,520 Speaker 3: galvanize the team. They go down, they get the touchdown, 734 00:34:46,560 --> 00:34:48,759 Speaker 3: they win. This is the other side of the coin. 735 00:34:49,239 --> 00:34:52,760 Speaker 3: I think that Staley knew that this was a possible outcome. 736 00:34:52,800 --> 00:34:55,719 Speaker 3: If you're gonna go for this many fourth downs and 737 00:34:55,760 --> 00:34:58,359 Speaker 3: you're gonna, you know, risk it for the biscuit per se, 738 00:34:58,880 --> 00:35:01,399 Speaker 3: you're gonna have some of the and I think it's 739 00:35:01,920 --> 00:35:04,480 Speaker 3: it would have been the wrong decision to just say, well, 740 00:35:04,560 --> 00:35:07,160 Speaker 3: we're not picking them up this game, We're not converting. 741 00:35:07,200 --> 00:35:09,400 Speaker 3: I guess let's just punt. No, this is who the 742 00:35:09,480 --> 00:35:13,239 Speaker 3: Chargers are. And some days, if you're gonna go for 743 00:35:13,280 --> 00:35:15,400 Speaker 3: all these fourth downs and you're gonna go for it 744 00:35:15,440 --> 00:35:17,759 Speaker 3: on your own twenty and thirty, you're gonna miss some 745 00:35:17,800 --> 00:35:20,640 Speaker 3: of them. And your team has to know that's your identity. 746 00:35:21,280 --> 00:35:23,759 Speaker 3: If we're gonna be willing to go for it and 747 00:35:23,840 --> 00:35:26,120 Speaker 3: get those first downs, we got to be willing to 748 00:35:26,160 --> 00:35:30,560 Speaker 3: lose thirty four to six because the Ravens offense, you know, 749 00:35:30,600 --> 00:35:32,880 Speaker 3: it wasn't like they're ripping off these huge plays. They 750 00:35:32,880 --> 00:35:35,040 Speaker 3: just kept getting the ball in such good field position 751 00:35:35,280 --> 00:35:37,880 Speaker 3: because Chargers turn it over because they were trying to 752 00:35:37,920 --> 00:35:40,960 Speaker 3: win the game. So I don't mind it. I'm not 753 00:35:41,000 --> 00:35:43,839 Speaker 3: so worried. You know, the Chargers twice in their own 754 00:35:43,960 --> 00:35:46,360 Speaker 3: half of the field went for fourth down and got stopped, 755 00:35:46,719 --> 00:35:49,120 Speaker 3: only cost them six points. The Ravens got two field 756 00:35:49,120 --> 00:35:52,319 Speaker 3: goals out of it, so we've seen the upside. If 757 00:35:52,320 --> 00:35:54,480 Speaker 3: the downside is six points in a game like this, 758 00:35:55,080 --> 00:35:57,440 Speaker 3: I don't mind it. This to me is not a 759 00:35:57,560 --> 00:36:00,239 Speaker 3: sign that the Chargers are flawed or anything else. This 760 00:36:00,400 --> 00:36:02,400 Speaker 3: is just a bad matchup and a game where everything 761 00:36:02,440 --> 00:36:03,160 Speaker 3: went wrong for them. 762 00:36:03,600 --> 00:36:05,600 Speaker 1: I got to push back on that. It's so funny 763 00:36:05,600 --> 00:36:09,200 Speaker 1: because last week we were on totally opposite ends of 764 00:36:09,239 --> 00:36:10,839 Speaker 1: the spectrum when it came to this. Like I think 765 00:36:10,920 --> 00:36:13,840 Speaker 1: last week I was saying, how when you have to 766 00:36:13,880 --> 00:36:17,400 Speaker 1: stop a team on four downs, it's tough. But one 767 00:36:17,440 --> 00:36:19,000 Speaker 1: of the things I had to sit down and realize 768 00:36:19,040 --> 00:36:23,040 Speaker 1: is that this early down success rate, it's actually predictive 769 00:36:23,800 --> 00:36:26,200 Speaker 1: of how teams do. I mean, this team is just 770 00:36:26,239 --> 00:36:30,680 Speaker 1: twenty four and early down success rate, you're twenty fifth 771 00:36:30,719 --> 00:36:34,760 Speaker 1: and drop back EPA at some point if you can't 772 00:36:34,760 --> 00:36:38,320 Speaker 1: do these things, if you can't find ways to generate 773 00:36:38,400 --> 00:36:41,880 Speaker 1: offense on first and second down and you're constantly in 774 00:36:41,960 --> 00:36:45,319 Speaker 1: third and longs, this is a solid team. But I 775 00:36:45,400 --> 00:36:47,920 Speaker 1: just think they needed they got to figure out the 776 00:36:47,920 --> 00:36:49,000 Speaker 1: offense a little bit more. 777 00:36:49,120 --> 00:36:53,160 Speaker 3: So I don't disagree with that, but definitely they need 778 00:36:53,200 --> 00:36:54,759 Speaker 3: to do a little better. They need to do a 779 00:36:54,800 --> 00:36:56,959 Speaker 3: lot better and first and second down. We've been saying 780 00:36:56,960 --> 00:36:59,479 Speaker 3: that for a few weeks already, and I haven't moved 781 00:36:59,520 --> 00:37:02,200 Speaker 3: off of that position. Just they need to do better 782 00:37:02,239 --> 00:37:05,040 Speaker 3: on those downs. But you know, sometimes they're not going 783 00:37:05,080 --> 00:37:07,640 Speaker 3: to convert those third and fourth downs, and I'm not 784 00:37:07,719 --> 00:37:09,839 Speaker 3: willing to jump off the bridge the other way when 785 00:37:09,840 --> 00:37:11,840 Speaker 3: we're when we've been all in so much on the 786 00:37:11,840 --> 00:37:14,120 Speaker 3: one side, this is just the other side of the coin. 787 00:37:14,200 --> 00:37:15,640 Speaker 2: If you're gonna be that aggressive. 788 00:37:16,480 --> 00:37:18,719 Speaker 3: I think of there's the I can't think of his name, 789 00:37:18,760 --> 00:37:21,200 Speaker 3: the coach in college football that never punts, that just 790 00:37:21,280 --> 00:37:23,640 Speaker 3: always goes for a fourth down, and I think it's 791 00:37:23,640 --> 00:37:26,399 Speaker 3: at Presbyterian now, and some of those games his team 792 00:37:26,400 --> 00:37:29,279 Speaker 3: puts up sixty seventy eighty points. Some games he gives 793 00:37:29,360 --> 00:37:31,400 Speaker 3: up them many points, because if you go for it 794 00:37:31,440 --> 00:37:34,839 Speaker 3: and don't punt from your own fifteen, then you put 795 00:37:34,840 --> 00:37:37,239 Speaker 3: your tire defense right back on the field and then 796 00:37:37,560 --> 00:37:40,239 Speaker 3: get back out there and try again. So to me, 797 00:37:40,680 --> 00:37:43,480 Speaker 3: I'm just saying, this is a team culture game. For me, 798 00:37:43,560 --> 00:37:46,960 Speaker 3: this is a Staley's gonna go stand in front of 799 00:37:46,960 --> 00:37:49,319 Speaker 3: the mics and take it and say we were the 800 00:37:49,360 --> 00:37:49,919 Speaker 3: worst team. 801 00:37:49,960 --> 00:37:50,640 Speaker 2: We got beat. 802 00:37:51,160 --> 00:37:54,839 Speaker 3: We lost big time today, and it's my decisions. I 803 00:37:54,880 --> 00:37:57,319 Speaker 3: went for the fourth downs and we didn't get it, 804 00:37:57,640 --> 00:37:59,640 Speaker 3: and the team has to convert better. They got it, 805 00:38:00,080 --> 00:38:02,080 Speaker 3: get in a better position and hopefully not get into 806 00:38:02,080 --> 00:38:04,680 Speaker 3: those fourth downs. But I think it's a win for 807 00:38:04,719 --> 00:38:07,040 Speaker 3: the team culture because they stuck to what they do 808 00:38:07,480 --> 00:38:09,520 Speaker 3: and what they do has been working, and just because 809 00:38:09,520 --> 00:38:11,680 Speaker 3: it didn't work for one day, to me, doesn't mean 810 00:38:11,719 --> 00:38:14,279 Speaker 3: you throw it out. I want to talk about the 811 00:38:14,360 --> 00:38:17,680 Speaker 3: Ravens a little bit because I am really underwhelmed by 812 00:38:17,719 --> 00:38:22,640 Speaker 3: this team. They the defense today very good, but overall 813 00:38:22,880 --> 00:38:27,200 Speaker 3: not so convincing, pretty average by DVOA measures. The run 814 00:38:27,280 --> 00:38:30,320 Speaker 3: game has not been that great outside of today. The 815 00:38:30,920 --> 00:38:33,600 Speaker 3: Ravens lost in their first game and then one to 816 00:38:33,680 --> 00:38:34,320 Speaker 3: five straight. 817 00:38:34,800 --> 00:38:35,680 Speaker 2: Very weird season. 818 00:38:35,840 --> 00:38:40,719 Speaker 3: The Ravens, Packers, Cowboys, and possibly the Bills on to 819 00:38:40,760 --> 00:38:43,239 Speaker 3: one to start the year, and then five straight since then. 820 00:38:43,360 --> 00:38:47,120 Speaker 3: So Week one really threw things off the scent. But 821 00:38:47,840 --> 00:38:51,480 Speaker 3: the Ravens just aren't really impressing. They're starting slowly in games. 822 00:38:52,120 --> 00:38:54,000 Speaker 3: I'm not in on this team at five and one. 823 00:38:54,040 --> 00:38:55,600 Speaker 3: I do think they're going to make the playoffs, but 824 00:38:56,000 --> 00:38:58,160 Speaker 3: they seem kind of like what Bill Simmons used to call, 825 00:38:58,239 --> 00:39:01,880 Speaker 3: like the good bad team that like they To me, 826 00:39:01,880 --> 00:39:05,640 Speaker 3: it's Lamar Jackson and smoking mirrors, and Lamar is doing enough. 827 00:39:05,960 --> 00:39:07,880 Speaker 3: But it reminds me a little bit of the Seahawks 828 00:39:07,880 --> 00:39:10,680 Speaker 3: from a year ago, where we had a quarterback doing 829 00:39:10,680 --> 00:39:13,160 Speaker 3: absolutely everything for the first half of the year and 830 00:39:13,200 --> 00:39:16,279 Speaker 3: then when that ran out of working, then things kind 831 00:39:16,280 --> 00:39:17,960 Speaker 3: of fell apart toward the end when the rest of 832 00:39:18,040 --> 00:39:20,640 Speaker 3: the machine wasn't that good. So are you in on 833 00:39:20,680 --> 00:39:22,319 Speaker 3: the Ravens? Are you believing in this five and one 834 00:39:22,360 --> 00:39:22,920 Speaker 3: team in THEFC? 835 00:39:23,360 --> 00:39:24,719 Speaker 1: I do feel like I need to see more? What 836 00:39:24,760 --> 00:39:27,480 Speaker 1: do you I mean, what do you make of a defense? 837 00:39:27,520 --> 00:39:30,040 Speaker 1: I mean, this Ravens defens was twenty eighth rinked in 838 00:39:30,120 --> 00:39:32,919 Speaker 1: past defense and it held justin Herbert to one hundred 839 00:39:32,920 --> 00:39:35,399 Speaker 1: and ninety five years past. So it's like, is this 840 00:39:36,200 --> 00:39:38,960 Speaker 1: how do you mark this on it? Like? Yeah, I 841 00:39:39,040 --> 00:39:42,560 Speaker 1: subscribe to the Darryl Mourray philosophy. Every game is a 842 00:39:42,640 --> 00:39:45,120 Speaker 1: data point, So like, what does this data point do 843 00:39:45,239 --> 00:39:45,480 Speaker 1: for you? 844 00:39:45,680 --> 00:39:48,040 Speaker 3: I mean it certainly, it's a great data point. Is 845 00:39:48,160 --> 00:39:51,239 Speaker 3: easily by far the best data point that Baltimore is 846 00:39:51,239 --> 00:39:54,280 Speaker 3: put on there. But what if you flip the schedule? 847 00:39:54,520 --> 00:39:57,040 Speaker 3: What if you say this was week one and then 848 00:39:57,160 --> 00:40:00,759 Speaker 3: you'll put everything backwards. Wouldn't we be very Baltimore right 849 00:40:00,760 --> 00:40:03,359 Speaker 3: now and saying this is an overrated five and one team. 850 00:40:03,360 --> 00:40:05,160 Speaker 3: I know they have that one really good win, but 851 00:40:05,239 --> 00:40:07,040 Speaker 3: what about all the other games? What about when they 852 00:40:07,040 --> 00:40:09,399 Speaker 3: almost lost to the Lions. What about when they keep 853 00:40:09,400 --> 00:40:13,280 Speaker 3: coming out flat and needing these amazing Lamar Jackson comebacks 854 00:40:13,280 --> 00:40:16,040 Speaker 3: in the second half against not very good teams. This 855 00:40:16,239 --> 00:40:18,319 Speaker 3: is a data point. It's a very good one. But 856 00:40:18,360 --> 00:40:21,080 Speaker 3: I can't use recency bias to just throw out the 857 00:40:21,120 --> 00:40:22,920 Speaker 3: other five data points because there's a lot more of 858 00:40:22,920 --> 00:40:23,400 Speaker 3: that data. 859 00:40:24,040 --> 00:40:27,279 Speaker 1: That's fair. But we do have to remember that they 860 00:40:27,280 --> 00:40:30,799 Speaker 1: weren't necessarily healthy. They're actually getting healthier now. Obviously they 861 00:40:30,800 --> 00:40:35,680 Speaker 1: got Jimi Smith back, like even like Rasha Bateman is 862 00:40:36,080 --> 00:40:39,400 Speaker 1: finally playing, so it's just like they're just getting healthy everywhere. 863 00:40:39,440 --> 00:40:42,400 Speaker 1: So it's just kind of like it's one thing if 864 00:40:42,719 --> 00:40:46,200 Speaker 1: this wasn't like football, where like this is the same 865 00:40:46,239 --> 00:40:49,320 Speaker 1: team playing every week, but they've been hampered by injuries. 866 00:40:49,360 --> 00:40:51,680 Speaker 1: So I guess it remains to be seeing what this 867 00:40:51,719 --> 00:40:55,080 Speaker 1: team is because I do think it's concerning that how 868 00:40:55,520 --> 00:40:57,440 Speaker 1: easily the Colts carved them up, and I think they 869 00:40:57,560 --> 00:41:00,799 Speaker 1: lose that game if coach don't have their injuries down 870 00:41:00,800 --> 00:41:01,280 Speaker 1: to stretch. 871 00:41:02,320 --> 00:41:02,680 Speaker 2: Yeah. 872 00:41:02,800 --> 00:41:04,839 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think your point about the injuries is very fair, 873 00:41:04,920 --> 00:41:07,920 Speaker 3: So I take that. Again, I'm not necessarily out on 874 00:41:07,960 --> 00:41:10,960 Speaker 3: the Ravens. I'm just definitely not in on the Ravens. 875 00:41:11,520 --> 00:41:14,080 Speaker 3: This looks to me like a ten to eleven, twelve 876 00:41:14,200 --> 00:41:18,200 Speaker 3: win team that you know, maybe wins a playoff game, 877 00:41:18,280 --> 00:41:20,359 Speaker 3: a tough one at home, and then kind of goes 878 00:41:20,400 --> 00:41:23,600 Speaker 3: out relatively easy. Like this just looks like a team 879 00:41:23,680 --> 00:41:26,800 Speaker 3: that I don't see the ceiling here. Today was the ceiling, 880 00:41:27,239 --> 00:41:29,520 Speaker 3: But is there are there four of those games in 881 00:41:29,560 --> 00:41:31,359 Speaker 3: a row. I don't know that we're going to see 882 00:41:31,360 --> 00:41:34,319 Speaker 3: four those games, And this was the ceiling that again, 883 00:41:34,360 --> 00:41:36,920 Speaker 3: as we said, for the Chargers, this was the perfectly 884 00:41:36,960 --> 00:41:38,200 Speaker 3: wrong opponent for them. 885 00:41:38,600 --> 00:41:39,919 Speaker 2: Then you've got to flip at the other side. 886 00:41:39,960 --> 00:41:42,560 Speaker 3: This was the perfect opponent for the Ravens to look 887 00:41:42,600 --> 00:41:45,960 Speaker 3: really good too. And so I think the Chiefs are 888 00:41:45,960 --> 00:41:48,680 Speaker 3: also a similar opponent to that because of their leaky defense. 889 00:41:48,719 --> 00:41:50,480 Speaker 3: But there are other opponents in the AFC that are 890 00:41:50,480 --> 00:41:53,920 Speaker 3: not going to have those same matchup advantages. So I 891 00:41:54,239 --> 00:41:57,719 Speaker 3: just don't know that this Ravens team that it's a 892 00:41:57,760 --> 00:42:01,440 Speaker 3: regular season formula to me, you know where we're NBA guys, 893 00:42:01,520 --> 00:42:03,239 Speaker 3: where we're starting out in a couple of days here. 894 00:42:03,640 --> 00:42:05,759 Speaker 3: This feels to me like what we kind of thought 895 00:42:05,800 --> 00:42:08,480 Speaker 3: of the you know, the Milwaukee Bucks before last season 896 00:42:09,000 --> 00:42:11,800 Speaker 3: of just like we know the formula, we know it works, 897 00:42:11,840 --> 00:42:15,080 Speaker 3: We've seen it year after year. But you know, I 898 00:42:15,320 --> 00:42:17,680 Speaker 3: don't know that the formula has been proven to work 899 00:42:17,840 --> 00:42:21,200 Speaker 3: enough against enough different opponents. There's not enough versatility here. 900 00:42:21,680 --> 00:42:25,479 Speaker 3: So I'm buying them certainly. I think it's a playoff team, 901 00:42:25,840 --> 00:42:27,480 Speaker 3: but I don't want to. I don't want to put 902 00:42:27,480 --> 00:42:30,960 Speaker 3: my money on Lamar Jackson for MVP because I think 903 00:42:31,000 --> 00:42:34,080 Speaker 3: it's bad when you're doing so much of everything. And 904 00:42:34,120 --> 00:42:36,120 Speaker 3: I definitely don't want to put super money on. 905 00:42:37,160 --> 00:42:39,080 Speaker 1: You don't want to put your money on Lamar Jackson 906 00:42:39,080 --> 00:42:40,800 Speaker 1: because he's doing so much of everything. 907 00:42:41,520 --> 00:42:44,479 Speaker 3: Yeah, because I if you have to carry so much 908 00:42:44,560 --> 00:42:47,480 Speaker 3: of the entire offense, it just doesn't hold up usually, 909 00:42:47,600 --> 00:42:49,640 Speaker 3: like and I don't think Baltimore is going to be 910 00:42:49,680 --> 00:42:53,520 Speaker 3: good enough around him because you can't do everything for 911 00:42:53,600 --> 00:42:56,280 Speaker 3: all seventeen games. You need some help at some point, 912 00:42:56,760 --> 00:42:58,919 Speaker 3: and I don't know these getting enough help. 913 00:42:59,040 --> 00:43:02,839 Speaker 2: So I MVP is an individual award that is part 914 00:43:02,880 --> 00:43:03,600 Speaker 2: of a team award. 915 00:43:03,640 --> 00:43:05,719 Speaker 3: Your team has to be good enough for you individually 916 00:43:05,719 --> 00:43:07,360 Speaker 3: to win MVP, and I don't think his team is 917 00:43:07,360 --> 00:43:09,759 Speaker 3: good enough. But maybe they're getting healthy and maybe they 918 00:43:09,760 --> 00:43:10,560 Speaker 3: will be good enough. 919 00:43:11,200 --> 00:43:13,719 Speaker 1: I mean, they're five and one right now, and when 920 00:43:13,719 --> 00:43:17,120 Speaker 1: you look at the game that they lost, it probably 921 00:43:17,120 --> 00:43:19,120 Speaker 1: happened because Lamar Jackson fumbled twice. 922 00:43:19,440 --> 00:43:20,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, you're not wrong. 923 00:43:21,120 --> 00:43:22,400 Speaker 1: I don't know if he can count this team that, 924 00:43:22,800 --> 00:43:25,680 Speaker 1: especially with Lamar Jackson, he appears to be getting better, 925 00:43:26,440 --> 00:43:29,239 Speaker 1: becoming just a pure passer. And when you look at 926 00:43:29,239 --> 00:43:32,120 Speaker 1: the rest of this AFC, the Chiefs don't seem like 927 00:43:32,160 --> 00:43:35,440 Speaker 1: they're the same team if they were were previously. So 928 00:43:36,880 --> 00:43:38,600 Speaker 1: one of the teams that we were high on in 929 00:43:38,680 --> 00:43:42,320 Speaker 1: the Browns, they're banged up and they're in the same division. 930 00:43:42,440 --> 00:43:45,040 Speaker 1: So and then when you look at the AFC South, 931 00:43:45,640 --> 00:43:48,279 Speaker 1: the Codes to the Titans, they're not challenging them. So 932 00:43:48,480 --> 00:43:51,080 Speaker 1: I think part of it is that we can't look 933 00:43:51,080 --> 00:43:52,839 Speaker 1: at these teams in the back. We got to look 934 00:43:52,880 --> 00:43:57,520 Speaker 1: at them as collectively, like who are they gonna be 935 00:43:57,520 --> 00:44:00,000 Speaker 1: playing it? Right now? It looked like the Charges by 936 00:44:00,080 --> 00:44:01,480 Speaker 1: to be the best team in AFC. 937 00:44:02,200 --> 00:44:04,760 Speaker 3: It's fair to say that the Chargers certainly look among 938 00:44:04,840 --> 00:44:08,760 Speaker 3: the best. This could be a non first round playoff matchup, 939 00:44:08,840 --> 00:44:11,600 Speaker 3: so for Baltimore to dominate a game like this, it 940 00:44:11,680 --> 00:44:13,799 Speaker 3: certainly has to be a very strong data point. That's 941 00:44:13,800 --> 00:44:16,680 Speaker 3: for sure, So all right, let's whip around the rest 942 00:44:16,680 --> 00:44:19,399 Speaker 3: of Sunday action and wrap up Week six. We got 943 00:44:19,400 --> 00:44:21,960 Speaker 3: our second and final London game of the year this morning, 944 00:44:22,000 --> 00:44:24,960 Speaker 3: as the Jaguars snapped their twenty game losing streak with 945 00:44:24,960 --> 00:44:28,000 Speaker 3: the win over the Dolphins. Matthew Wright had fifty four 946 00:44:28,040 --> 00:44:30,160 Speaker 3: and fifty three yard field goals in the final minutes 947 00:44:30,200 --> 00:44:33,320 Speaker 3: to give Trevor Lawrence his first win. Turns out the 948 00:44:33,400 --> 00:44:36,359 Speaker 3: Jaguars are right at home in London. Apparently they seem 949 00:44:36,400 --> 00:44:39,319 Speaker 3: to play somewhere a little more urban. Score Gami in 950 00:44:39,400 --> 00:44:42,360 Speaker 3: New York as the Rams beat the Giants thirty eight eleven. 951 00:44:42,840 --> 00:44:45,520 Speaker 3: Stafford and Cup had huge games, but the score Gami 952 00:44:45,640 --> 00:44:48,400 Speaker 3: did come at a cost to underbetters. New York had 953 00:44:48,440 --> 00:44:51,560 Speaker 3: a garbage touchdown late and cashed in on a meaningless 954 00:44:51,560 --> 00:44:54,160 Speaker 3: two point conversion that was not so meaningless for all 955 00:44:54,200 --> 00:44:57,120 Speaker 3: of us. Battle of former three and Ozero teams sent 956 00:44:57,160 --> 00:45:00,560 Speaker 3: the Broncos to three and three, the Raiders four four 957 00:45:01,040 --> 00:45:04,960 Speaker 3: turnovers in a thirty four to twenty four win. Vegas 958 00:45:04,960 --> 00:45:09,360 Speaker 3: coach Rich Bisaccia wins his debut and the Raiders shredded 959 00:45:09,400 --> 00:45:12,480 Speaker 3: that Denver von to defense. In Denver, they had big 960 00:45:12,520 --> 00:45:15,080 Speaker 3: plays of forty eight twenty five, thirty three to thirty one, 961 00:45:15,160 --> 00:45:18,080 Speaker 3: twenty nine to forty and fifty one yards On offense, 962 00:45:19,040 --> 00:45:22,040 Speaker 3: pad Mahomes was human again two more interceptions, one of 963 00:45:22,040 --> 00:45:25,440 Speaker 3: them absolutely terrible, three sacks, but the Chiefs turned on 964 00:45:25,480 --> 00:45:27,920 Speaker 3: the after burners late and ran away with it thirty 965 00:45:27,960 --> 00:45:31,759 Speaker 3: one to thirteen over Washington, and Chiefs defense actually shot 966 00:45:31,800 --> 00:45:34,040 Speaker 3: up a little bit, held the football team to two 967 00:45:34,120 --> 00:45:36,080 Speaker 3: hundred and seventy six yards and kept them out of 968 00:45:36,080 --> 00:45:39,359 Speaker 3: the red zone. The Colts returned home after a three 969 00:45:39,360 --> 00:45:42,839 Speaker 3: game road trip, enrolled on the Texans eight point one 970 00:45:42,920 --> 00:45:45,399 Speaker 3: yards of play in a thirty one to three win, 971 00:45:46,160 --> 00:45:49,239 Speaker 3: and the Lions remained winless. They couldn't even get on 972 00:45:49,239 --> 00:45:52,360 Speaker 3: a scoreboard until the final ten minutes. The Bengals coast 973 00:45:52,440 --> 00:45:54,759 Speaker 3: to a thirty four to eleven win and last, but 974 00:45:54,840 --> 00:45:58,399 Speaker 3: not least in Chicago. The Bears hung around, but Aaron 975 00:45:58,480 --> 00:46:00,880 Speaker 3: Rodgers ran in the clinching score in the final minutes, 976 00:46:01,239 --> 00:46:02,200 Speaker 3: then screamed at the. 977 00:46:02,120 --> 00:46:03,239 Speaker 2: Crowd, I own you. 978 00:46:03,320 --> 00:46:06,120 Speaker 3: I still own you, and it's hard to argue with 979 00:46:06,160 --> 00:46:09,040 Speaker 3: the results. Rogers is twenty two and five all time 980 00:46:09,080 --> 00:46:13,440 Speaker 3: against Chicago. Packers win twenty four to fourteen, but Chicago 981 00:46:13,560 --> 00:46:16,800 Speaker 3: is still the city of champions, as my Chicago Sky 982 00:46:17,400 --> 00:46:20,160 Speaker 3: came back down fourteen in the second half to win 983 00:46:20,200 --> 00:46:23,680 Speaker 3: their first ever WNBA championship in front of a rabid 984 00:46:23,719 --> 00:46:27,319 Speaker 3: hometown crowd. 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Must be twenty one or 1004 00:47:32,520 --> 00:47:35,800 Speaker 4: older and physically located in Michigan, New Jersey, Colorado, Indiana, 1005 00:47:35,840 --> 00:47:40,520 Speaker 4: West Virginia, Iowa, Virginia, Tennessee, Nevada, or Pennsylvania. Please gamble responsibly. 1006 00:47:40,760 --> 00:47:43,280 Speaker 4: Gambling problem call one eight hundred five two to two 1007 00:47:43,320 --> 00:47:46,240 Speaker 4: forty seven hundred in Colorado and Nevada. One eight hundred 1008 00:47:46,239 --> 00:47:49,040 Speaker 4: gambler in New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia. One eight 1009 00:47:49,120 --> 00:47:51,719 Speaker 4: hundred nine with it in Indiana. One eight hundred two 1010 00:47:51,800 --> 00:47:54,319 Speaker 4: seven zero seven to one one seven in Michigan, one 1011 00:47:54,320 --> 00:47:56,960 Speaker 4: eight hundred eight eight nine nine seven eight nine in Tennessee. 1012 00:47:57,120 --> 00:47:59,600 Speaker 4: One eight hundred bets off in Iowa or one eight 1013 00:47:59,600 --> 00:48:02,400 Speaker 4: eight eight fine three to two thirty five in Virginia. 1014 00:48:02,480 --> 00:48:05,640 Speaker 4: That's sink not available in Nevada. Thanks so much for listening. 1015 00:48:05,880 --> 00:48:08,560 Speaker 1: Let's get back to the show all right. 1016 00:48:08,600 --> 00:48:13,040 Speaker 3: Monday night, we have the Buffalo Bills, the red scorching 1017 00:48:13,160 --> 00:48:17,040 Speaker 3: Hot Buffalo Bills heading to Tennessee to take on the Titans. 1018 00:48:17,440 --> 00:48:20,480 Speaker 3: The Bills are five and a half point underdogs. We've 1019 00:48:20,480 --> 00:48:23,040 Speaker 3: got a high total here, fifty three and a half. 1020 00:48:23,160 --> 00:48:27,279 Speaker 3: We're expecting some points, we're expecting some fireworks. What do 1021 00:48:27,320 --> 00:48:28,279 Speaker 3: you make of this game? 1022 00:48:28,320 --> 00:48:30,840 Speaker 1: We're here right now. I don't want to step in 1023 00:48:30,840 --> 00:48:33,880 Speaker 1: front of his billstring, and I think that's the that's 1024 00:48:33,920 --> 00:48:37,600 Speaker 1: the bottom line for me. It's we all saw Josh 1025 00:48:37,640 --> 00:48:41,440 Speaker 1: Allen emerge as a top tier quarterback last season, and 1026 00:48:42,719 --> 00:48:44,799 Speaker 1: their defense kind of took a step back this year 1027 00:48:44,840 --> 00:48:48,760 Speaker 1: to actually have a solid defense. And I can't step 1028 00:48:48,760 --> 00:48:50,200 Speaker 1: in front of that. Like there was a period of 1029 00:48:50,200 --> 00:48:53,560 Speaker 1: time where I felt like I would play the Titans 1030 00:48:53,560 --> 00:48:57,000 Speaker 1: in this spot with the Bills actually coming off that 1031 00:48:57,120 --> 00:49:00,839 Speaker 1: huge win against the Chiefs, but this is not a 1032 00:49:00,920 --> 00:49:03,560 Speaker 1: defense that I like. I don't want to back this 1033 00:49:03,680 --> 00:49:08,000 Speaker 1: Titans defense like at all. And so for me, I'm 1034 00:49:08,120 --> 00:49:11,520 Speaker 1: kind of looking at Buffalo on teasers. I'm looking to 1035 00:49:11,920 --> 00:49:15,120 Speaker 1: lay to five and a half. I do think they're 1036 00:49:15,200 --> 00:49:19,480 Speaker 1: charging you a premium oning, obviously because they come off 1037 00:49:19,680 --> 00:49:22,440 Speaker 1: a big win. But this is a defense, It's a 1038 00:49:22,480 --> 00:49:25,880 Speaker 1: Titans defense that's twenty second in EPA for play. I 1039 00:49:25,960 --> 00:49:28,360 Speaker 1: don't know if this is the spot to be fading Buffalo. 1040 00:49:28,960 --> 00:49:30,120 Speaker 1: What's your thoughts on this game. 1041 00:49:30,360 --> 00:49:32,680 Speaker 3: Yeah, the Titans are three and two and leading the 1042 00:49:32,719 --> 00:49:35,760 Speaker 3: division comfortably for now. But this is not a good team. 1043 00:49:36,239 --> 00:49:39,400 Speaker 3: Like you said, their defense has been terrible. They're Titans 1044 00:49:39,400 --> 00:49:42,480 Speaker 3: are number twenty six in DVOA overall as a team. 1045 00:49:42,880 --> 00:49:45,520 Speaker 3: The defense is number twenty seven. They've not been good 1046 00:49:45,520 --> 00:49:48,719 Speaker 3: on run or pass defense. They haven't been passing the ball. 1047 00:49:48,840 --> 00:49:51,880 Speaker 3: Ryan Tannehill has lost his mojo. I think his mojo's 1048 00:49:51,920 --> 00:49:54,120 Speaker 3: name was Arthur Smith and he's gone now. 1049 00:49:54,440 --> 00:49:56,240 Speaker 2: So Titans passing has been bad. 1050 00:49:56,600 --> 00:49:58,800 Speaker 3: That's bad news if you get behind on this Buffalo 1051 00:49:58,880 --> 00:50:00,799 Speaker 3: team and the way that they're passing, rush is coming 1052 00:50:00,840 --> 00:50:03,840 Speaker 3: home and their defense that is lit up in every 1053 00:50:03,880 --> 00:50:06,359 Speaker 3: area of the field. Like the only thing going right 1054 00:50:06,400 --> 00:50:09,560 Speaker 3: for Tennessee right now is Derrick Henry. But even that 1055 00:50:09,800 --> 00:50:12,560 Speaker 3: usually happens in the second half of the game. The 1056 00:50:12,560 --> 00:50:15,160 Speaker 3: Titans have been getting buried early in first halfs and 1057 00:50:15,200 --> 00:50:18,799 Speaker 3: then eventually Henry's wearing teams down. Even one of those 1058 00:50:18,840 --> 00:50:21,600 Speaker 3: wins was that really wonky game against Seattle, like every 1059 00:50:21,640 --> 00:50:24,960 Speaker 3: Seattle game, but Henry had the huge second half and 1060 00:50:25,000 --> 00:50:27,520 Speaker 3: a huge game. I don't know if the Bills are 1061 00:50:27,560 --> 00:50:29,640 Speaker 3: going to allow Henry to do that or to hang 1062 00:50:29,680 --> 00:50:32,719 Speaker 3: around against Buffalo is year the leader running back from 1063 00:50:32,760 --> 00:50:36,960 Speaker 3: the opponent forty five yards, twenty five, thirty one, twenty four, 1064 00:50:37,000 --> 00:50:39,000 Speaker 3: and twenty seven. It's not going to get the job 1065 00:50:39,000 --> 00:50:41,319 Speaker 3: done if Derrick Henry, He's going to have to have 1066 00:50:41,440 --> 00:50:44,440 Speaker 3: all five of those together if the Titans want to 1067 00:50:44,480 --> 00:50:47,560 Speaker 3: have any chance in this one. So here's my question 1068 00:50:47,640 --> 00:50:50,560 Speaker 3: for you. The Bills are five and a half point favorites. 1069 00:50:51,160 --> 00:50:55,200 Speaker 3: On Sunday. We saw every one of those huge favorites 1070 00:50:55,239 --> 00:50:58,200 Speaker 3: come home, All the public favorites came home, all the 1071 00:50:58,239 --> 00:51:02,240 Speaker 3: teaser legs hit Vegas got crushed on Sunday. 1072 00:51:02,800 --> 00:51:05,239 Speaker 2: This is the trappiest trap that I've ever seen. 1073 00:51:05,280 --> 00:51:08,760 Speaker 3: On Monday night, it's everyone's final leg in their teaser. 1074 00:51:09,280 --> 00:51:12,920 Speaker 3: Everyone is just flush with money after they just want everything. 1075 00:51:13,000 --> 00:51:17,160 Speaker 3: On Sunday, they're feeling great. Does that as a professional better? 1076 00:51:17,520 --> 00:51:19,600 Speaker 3: Does that give you any pause? Or is that just 1077 00:51:19,640 --> 00:51:20,640 Speaker 3: overthinking the angle? 1078 00:51:21,360 --> 00:51:23,640 Speaker 1: I do think it gives you some palls, obviously. I 1079 00:51:24,200 --> 00:51:26,400 Speaker 1: think it gives you some balls that they came off 1080 00:51:27,200 --> 00:51:30,600 Speaker 1: this high profile win against the Chiefs. So for me, 1081 00:51:31,239 --> 00:51:33,239 Speaker 1: this is a spot that I'm kind of looking at 1082 00:51:33,840 --> 00:51:37,520 Speaker 1: like as much as I like Buffalo, and I if 1083 00:51:37,560 --> 00:51:39,160 Speaker 1: I'm going to be playing this game, I'm probably gonna 1084 00:51:39,160 --> 00:51:43,000 Speaker 1: be playing Tennessee or pass. And for me, I don't 1085 00:51:43,040 --> 00:51:44,959 Speaker 1: want to back to Tennessee, So I'm looking to pass 1086 00:51:45,000 --> 00:51:47,440 Speaker 1: on this game because it just feels like one of 1087 00:51:47,480 --> 00:51:49,520 Speaker 1: those spots where they're going to make you pay a 1088 00:51:49,560 --> 00:51:50,720 Speaker 1: premium to back Buffalo. 1089 00:51:51,160 --> 00:51:53,839 Speaker 2: So a couple action lab numbers. I feel the same 1090 00:51:53,880 --> 00:51:54,279 Speaker 2: way as you. 1091 00:51:54,360 --> 00:51:58,880 Speaker 3: It feels so trappy that everything in me sees the matchup, 1092 00:51:58,960 --> 00:52:01,200 Speaker 3: sees everything on page and on the field, and this 1093 00:52:01,360 --> 00:52:04,319 Speaker 3: just looks like a Bill's like steamroll, Like the Bills 1094 00:52:04,360 --> 00:52:07,720 Speaker 3: should win by two three touchdowns in this matchup. Titans 1095 00:52:07,719 --> 00:52:10,480 Speaker 3: are not playing good football right now, but if you 1096 00:52:10,480 --> 00:52:12,839 Speaker 3: you know that it's so trappy. But a few action 1097 00:52:12,960 --> 00:52:16,239 Speaker 3: lab things I do like here, first thing, road favorites 1098 00:52:16,520 --> 00:52:19,000 Speaker 3: on Monday Night Football of three to seven points, so 1099 00:52:19,080 --> 00:52:22,120 Speaker 3: that's the Bills. Road favorites like that are forty three 1100 00:52:22,120 --> 00:52:24,840 Speaker 3: and twenty seven against the spread, so sixty one percent, 1101 00:52:25,280 --> 00:52:28,160 Speaker 3: and they're covering by four point seven points, so that'd 1102 00:52:28,160 --> 00:52:30,240 Speaker 3: be a Bill's win by about ten points. That's basically 1103 00:52:30,239 --> 00:52:32,759 Speaker 3: what we're expecting this game. So that's a good sign 1104 00:52:32,760 --> 00:52:36,520 Speaker 3: in our favor. Also, primetime games, you're looking at the 1105 00:52:36,520 --> 00:52:39,520 Speaker 3: two quarterbacks in this game, Josh Allen and Ryan Tannehill. 1106 00:52:40,239 --> 00:52:43,720 Speaker 3: Ryan Tannehill is three and ten against the spread lifetime 1107 00:52:43,760 --> 00:52:47,600 Speaker 3: in primetime games. That is horrendous twenty three percent cover rate. 1108 00:52:48,080 --> 00:52:50,960 Speaker 3: Josh Allen is five and a one in primetime games 1109 00:52:51,000 --> 00:52:55,000 Speaker 3: ats and that one loss is counting a Tuesday night 1110 00:52:55,040 --> 00:52:57,239 Speaker 3: a year ago. Do you remember who the Bills were 1111 00:52:57,239 --> 00:52:58,880 Speaker 3: playing on a Tuesday night when they lost. 1112 00:52:59,200 --> 00:53:02,399 Speaker 1: They were playing Titans. Obviously, the Titans had came off 1113 00:53:02,440 --> 00:53:06,160 Speaker 1: the little COVID outbreak and actually through. It's so funny 1114 00:53:06,200 --> 00:53:09,400 Speaker 1: because I think they actually played the Chiefs either the 1115 00:53:09,440 --> 00:53:12,560 Speaker 1: week before or the week after, and it actually threw 1116 00:53:12,640 --> 00:53:14,760 Speaker 1: off the Bills whole schedule. 1117 00:53:14,920 --> 00:53:15,759 Speaker 2: Yeah it did. 1118 00:53:16,280 --> 00:53:19,279 Speaker 1: So I think I'm pretty sure this team remembers that. 1119 00:53:19,920 --> 00:53:22,319 Speaker 3: I think that they do too, And that's why I 1120 00:53:22,360 --> 00:53:26,360 Speaker 3: am willing to back the Bills because that's Josh Allen's 1121 00:53:26,400 --> 00:53:30,400 Speaker 3: only nighttime game that he lost and lost against the spread. 1122 00:53:30,920 --> 00:53:34,200 Speaker 3: And I agree this to me, this Buffalo team that's 1123 00:53:34,239 --> 00:53:36,520 Speaker 3: the exact sort of team that remembers a game like that. 1124 00:53:36,800 --> 00:53:39,280 Speaker 3: They remember they've had this one circle on their calendar. 1125 00:53:39,840 --> 00:53:41,920 Speaker 3: Like I know, last week against the Chiefs, that was 1126 00:53:41,960 --> 00:53:45,240 Speaker 3: a big emotional game, and this profiles as an emotional 1127 00:53:45,320 --> 00:53:46,160 Speaker 3: letdown spot. 1128 00:53:46,640 --> 00:53:47,720 Speaker 2: This is not a game. 1129 00:53:47,560 --> 00:53:49,880 Speaker 3: That the Bills are overlooking, I think because of that game. 1130 00:53:50,320 --> 00:53:54,000 Speaker 3: So with Tannehills so bad in night games, with Allan 1131 00:53:54,120 --> 00:53:56,400 Speaker 3: so good in them, the way that the road favorites go, 1132 00:53:57,000 --> 00:54:00,640 Speaker 3: I'm willing to back the Bills here. It feels so trappy. 1133 00:54:01,040 --> 00:54:02,880 Speaker 3: I feel like I'm being lured in. But hey, I 1134 00:54:02,920 --> 00:54:04,680 Speaker 3: did it for most of the games on Sunday and 1135 00:54:04,719 --> 00:54:06,320 Speaker 3: it worked out for me too, So I'm just gonna 1136 00:54:06,360 --> 00:54:07,879 Speaker 3: keep riding Captain Public here. 1137 00:54:08,360 --> 00:54:10,560 Speaker 2: I will take the Bills. Are you betting the Titans? 1138 00:54:10,560 --> 00:54:12,040 Speaker 2: Are you just gonna stay away from this one? 1139 00:54:12,560 --> 00:54:15,040 Speaker 1: I'm not becking the Titans at all. I think if 1140 00:54:15,080 --> 00:54:18,600 Speaker 1: I'm like in a spot like this, this is the 1141 00:54:18,640 --> 00:54:20,680 Speaker 1: spot to where I be looking towards the Titans. But 1142 00:54:20,680 --> 00:54:22,520 Speaker 1: when I break down the game, like you said before, 1143 00:54:23,040 --> 00:54:27,040 Speaker 1: the Bills are the team that you should dominate this game, 1144 00:54:27,080 --> 00:54:28,400 Speaker 1: So this is a completely stay away from me. 1145 00:54:28,719 --> 00:54:31,120 Speaker 3: All right, Well, let's hit our Week seven hot read 1146 00:54:31,200 --> 00:54:33,480 Speaker 3: and get a few early winners on the board here 1147 00:54:33,560 --> 00:54:39,000 Speaker 3: before we get out of here, Hot Rock, Ice. 1148 00:54:38,840 --> 00:54:43,520 Speaker 1: Rights, Ice Cream nineteen, Sound nineteen. 1149 00:54:45,600 --> 00:54:48,680 Speaker 3: I'm gonna start off with another Titans read here because 1150 00:54:48,760 --> 00:54:51,320 Speaker 3: the Kansas City Chiefs are playing the Titans next week. 1151 00:54:51,640 --> 00:54:53,840 Speaker 3: I told you guys on Friday in the look ahead 1152 00:54:53,840 --> 00:54:56,799 Speaker 3: segment to beat the Chiefs. The Chiefs went out and 1153 00:54:56,960 --> 00:55:01,200 Speaker 3: wan huge today and beat up on Wash and the 1154 00:55:01,200 --> 00:55:02,280 Speaker 3: line didn't really budge. 1155 00:55:02,320 --> 00:55:03,399 Speaker 2: It's still at about four. 1156 00:55:03,440 --> 00:55:04,920 Speaker 3: I've still seen you at three and a half on 1157 00:55:05,040 --> 00:55:08,160 Speaker 3: some books in Tennessee next week. Look, it's all the 1158 00:55:08,160 --> 00:55:11,080 Speaker 3: same logic that we've just been talking about. The Titans 1159 00:55:11,120 --> 00:55:14,600 Speaker 3: defense is very bad. The Chiefs defense is bad too. 1160 00:55:14,640 --> 00:55:16,640 Speaker 3: But if both defenses are bad, just like in the 1161 00:55:16,680 --> 00:55:19,880 Speaker 3: Chiefs Washington game, then you pick the offense that's better. 1162 00:55:20,000 --> 00:55:22,480 Speaker 3: Guess which offense is better. It's the one of Patrick Mahomes. 1163 00:55:22,960 --> 00:55:26,600 Speaker 3: So especially, you want to grab this line. If you 1164 00:55:26,760 --> 00:55:29,320 Speaker 3: like it, you want to grab it on Monday, because 1165 00:55:29,840 --> 00:55:32,640 Speaker 3: if Tennessee beats the Bills, I don't know that the 1166 00:55:32,680 --> 00:55:35,279 Speaker 3: line moves that much. Maybe you do move it past 1167 00:55:35,080 --> 00:55:38,200 Speaker 3: the key number of three. Maybe, I'm not sure if 1168 00:55:38,239 --> 00:55:40,160 Speaker 3: it does. But it's not like the Titans are going 1169 00:55:40,239 --> 00:55:43,440 Speaker 3: to suddenly be favored against Patrick Mahomes. But there's a 1170 00:55:43,480 --> 00:55:46,160 Speaker 3: lot better chance that the Bills do what we said 1171 00:55:46,200 --> 00:55:48,319 Speaker 3: they're going to do and blow out the Titans. And 1172 00:55:48,360 --> 00:55:50,480 Speaker 3: if they do and the Titans suddenly look exposed the 1173 00:55:50,480 --> 00:55:53,120 Speaker 3: way the numbers are exposing them suddenly, or this line 1174 00:55:53,160 --> 00:55:55,200 Speaker 3: goes to six, goes to seven, you lose a lot 1175 00:55:55,200 --> 00:55:58,120 Speaker 3: of value here. So I think that actually the Chiefs 1176 00:55:58,120 --> 00:56:00,920 Speaker 3: have moved to being a little bit undervalue. You'd still 1177 00:56:00,920 --> 00:56:02,880 Speaker 3: in a game against a good team. I'm gonna be 1178 00:56:03,120 --> 00:56:05,879 Speaker 3: guessing twice about them. Titans are not a good team. 1179 00:56:05,960 --> 00:56:09,719 Speaker 3: This is a terrible defense. The Titans have beaten the 1180 00:56:09,760 --> 00:56:11,879 Speaker 3: Chiefs a few times, but by like a point two 1181 00:56:11,920 --> 00:56:15,279 Speaker 3: point three points. So the Chiefs are going to take 1182 00:56:15,280 --> 00:56:17,160 Speaker 3: care of business. I'm gonna go ahead and grab them 1183 00:56:17,200 --> 00:56:18,600 Speaker 3: before this line balloons. 1184 00:56:19,480 --> 00:56:20,960 Speaker 1: I'm not mad at that. I'm not mad at that 1185 00:56:21,000 --> 00:56:24,279 Speaker 1: at all. For me, I already mentioned this before. I 1186 00:56:24,360 --> 00:56:26,879 Speaker 1: like the Denver Broncos plus five. I think I gave 1187 00:56:26,920 --> 00:56:30,040 Speaker 1: this out on Friday at plus six, but I still 1188 00:56:30,120 --> 00:56:33,960 Speaker 1: like it here. Like when you look at the Cleveland Browns, 1189 00:56:34,239 --> 00:56:37,600 Speaker 1: they're banged up. They were without both of their starting shackles, 1190 00:56:37,600 --> 00:56:41,439 Speaker 1: and Jock Willis and Jack Conklin. Now you got Nick 1191 00:56:41,520 --> 00:56:45,160 Speaker 1: Chubb banged up. Jarvis Landry has been out, Kareem Hunt 1192 00:56:45,239 --> 00:56:49,000 Speaker 1: is definitely gonna miss next week's game. Baker Mayfield is hurt. 1193 00:56:49,440 --> 00:56:51,960 Speaker 1: Now you got Odell Beckham banged up. This is a 1194 00:56:52,040 --> 00:56:54,600 Speaker 1: short week, even though they're at home, and you kind 1195 00:56:54,600 --> 00:56:56,640 Speaker 1: of want to be looking towards these home teams a 1196 00:56:56,680 --> 00:56:59,560 Speaker 1: lot of times in these Thursday night games. The Broncos 1197 00:56:59,640 --> 00:57:03,239 Speaker 1: just got dominated by a divisional opponent going on the road, 1198 00:57:03,320 --> 00:57:05,439 Speaker 1: so I think there's gonna ben extra level of focus there. 1199 00:57:05,640 --> 00:57:08,040 Speaker 1: I just think this is too many points against a 1200 00:57:08,120 --> 00:57:11,200 Speaker 1: banged up Browns team. I know that the Broncos are 1201 00:57:11,239 --> 00:57:13,520 Speaker 1: in the a tail spin of their own, but I 1202 00:57:13,600 --> 00:57:15,640 Speaker 1: think this is this, this is the spot, this is 1203 00:57:15,640 --> 00:57:17,480 Speaker 1: their season right here. So I got a back to 1204 00:57:17,520 --> 00:57:18,200 Speaker 1: Broncos here. 1205 00:57:18,600 --> 00:57:20,040 Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't know what to make of this Thursday 1206 00:57:20,080 --> 00:57:21,240 Speaker 3: game yet. I think I'm gonna have to wait and 1207 00:57:21,240 --> 00:57:23,520 Speaker 3: see kind of where the injury report comes out. There's 1208 00:57:23,560 --> 00:57:25,800 Speaker 3: so many names banged up on both of these teams 1209 00:57:25,880 --> 00:57:29,360 Speaker 3: right now, and a short week leaves me to believe 1210 00:57:29,400 --> 00:57:32,640 Speaker 3: that there's gonna be you know, these spotty rosters matching 1211 00:57:32,720 --> 00:57:35,720 Speaker 3: up and you know, maybe an ugly low scoring game. 1212 00:57:35,840 --> 00:57:37,440 Speaker 2: So it is a lot of points in that case. 1213 00:57:37,480 --> 00:57:39,680 Speaker 3: So I don't mind taking the points, but I've got 1214 00:57:39,720 --> 00:57:41,600 Speaker 3: to wait and see where that one lands for me. 1215 00:57:42,280 --> 00:57:45,000 Speaker 3: I'm gonna go against a team that we talked about earlier. 1216 00:57:45,320 --> 00:57:48,560 Speaker 3: I'm gonna fade the Ravens. Baltimore is at home. They're 1217 00:57:48,600 --> 00:57:51,440 Speaker 3: big favorites against the Cincinnati Bengals. They're six and a 1218 00:57:51,480 --> 00:57:54,000 Speaker 3: half points favorites right now. I'm gonna take Cincinnati because 1219 00:57:54,000 --> 00:57:56,400 Speaker 3: I think that line is too high. I put this 1220 00:57:56,480 --> 00:58:00,440 Speaker 3: around for myself. Cincinnati came into the weekend number seven 1221 00:58:00,480 --> 00:58:03,920 Speaker 3: and dvoa on defense. The run defense has been very good. Obviously, 1222 00:58:03,920 --> 00:58:06,280 Speaker 3: those numbers are only going to get better after the way. 1223 00:58:06,120 --> 00:58:07,280 Speaker 2: They dominate on Sunday. 1224 00:58:07,800 --> 00:58:10,840 Speaker 3: And I just don't know that the Ravens are dominant 1225 00:58:10,960 --> 00:58:13,760 Speaker 3: enough to be a touchdown favorite against what's been proven 1226 00:58:13,800 --> 00:58:17,600 Speaker 3: to be like a very capable and probably above average 1227 00:58:17,640 --> 00:58:18,760 Speaker 3: at least Bengals team. 1228 00:58:19,040 --> 00:58:20,560 Speaker 2: Jamar Chase has been killing it. 1229 00:58:20,640 --> 00:58:21,960 Speaker 3: I don't know that the Ravens are going to be 1230 00:58:21,960 --> 00:58:25,560 Speaker 3: able to slow him down necessarily. Joe Burrow is playing well. 1231 00:58:25,640 --> 00:58:28,760 Speaker 3: Apparently a throat contusion is not a big deal. The 1232 00:58:28,880 --> 00:58:32,440 Speaker 3: Ravens still underwhelming to me. There are two impressive wins. 1233 00:58:32,840 --> 00:58:35,200 Speaker 3: They had the big win against the Chargers, excellent win, 1234 00:58:35,360 --> 00:58:38,160 Speaker 3: no doubt. But the only other impressive one on the 1235 00:58:38,160 --> 00:58:41,080 Speaker 3: schedule was against the Broncos, and that was mostly due 1236 00:58:41,160 --> 00:58:43,320 Speaker 3: lock in that game. I'm not taking too much away 1237 00:58:43,360 --> 00:58:46,720 Speaker 3: from that one. Baltimore has been slow starters in all 1238 00:58:46,760 --> 00:58:50,120 Speaker 3: their games up until this week. The Bengals have two 1239 00:58:50,120 --> 00:58:52,160 Speaker 3: big wins and they have four games that came down 1240 00:58:52,200 --> 00:58:54,200 Speaker 3: to the field goal. So I don't know that the 1241 00:58:54,240 --> 00:58:56,040 Speaker 3: Bengals are going to go on the road and win 1242 00:58:56,120 --> 00:58:58,760 Speaker 3: in Baltimore. Is Burrow ready for that yet? I don't know, 1243 00:58:59,240 --> 00:59:01,880 Speaker 3: but maybe another field goal loss here. I think the 1244 00:59:01,920 --> 00:59:04,320 Speaker 3: Bengals can be on this one. So I think the 1245 00:59:04,360 --> 00:59:06,760 Speaker 3: line is a little too high, and I won't be 1246 00:59:06,760 --> 00:59:09,160 Speaker 3: surprised that it moves down towards Cincinnati. So I'm gonna 1247 00:59:09,160 --> 00:59:10,920 Speaker 3: grabout six and a half as an underdog. 1248 00:59:11,440 --> 00:59:15,320 Speaker 1: Okay, I'm struggling with to make it make of this 1249 00:59:15,400 --> 00:59:20,720 Speaker 1: game just because Baltimore has just been so dominant, and 1250 00:59:21,120 --> 00:59:23,560 Speaker 1: for me, I'm gonna I'm gonna wait and see how 1251 00:59:23,600 --> 00:59:26,240 Speaker 1: that plays out for me. I think my second game 1252 00:59:26,280 --> 00:59:28,920 Speaker 1: that I'm really looking at and I haven't played it yet, 1253 00:59:28,920 --> 00:59:31,280 Speaker 1: but it's not making any sense to me. You look 1254 00:59:31,320 --> 00:59:34,280 Speaker 1: at the New York Jets on the road in Foxborough 1255 00:59:35,120 --> 00:59:38,040 Speaker 1: against the New England Patriots. It doesn't make sense why 1256 00:59:38,040 --> 00:59:41,080 Speaker 1: this line is six and a half. These two teams 1257 00:59:41,080 --> 00:59:45,600 Speaker 1: played earlier this year and the line was five and 1258 00:59:45,640 --> 00:59:49,720 Speaker 1: a half six, So why is this line six and 1259 00:59:49,720 --> 00:59:53,600 Speaker 1: a half here? With the Patriots being at home and 1260 00:59:53,640 --> 00:59:57,520 Speaker 1: we all know Belichick's record against rookie quarterbacks Zach Wilson 1261 00:59:57,520 --> 01:00:00,760 Speaker 1: has not been good at all. I just I can't 1262 01:00:00,760 --> 01:00:04,000 Speaker 1: make any sense of this. The Jets are dead lass 1263 01:00:04,000 --> 01:00:08,240 Speaker 1: and EPA for play, same with success rate. It's just 1264 01:00:09,720 --> 01:00:12,600 Speaker 1: I expect New England go out there and dominate in 1265 01:00:12,640 --> 01:00:15,160 Speaker 1: the same way that they did previously. So I actually 1266 01:00:15,200 --> 01:00:16,920 Speaker 1: want to do a little bit more digging on this game. 1267 01:00:17,440 --> 01:00:19,360 Speaker 1: I do think the number is eventually going to move, 1268 01:00:19,440 --> 01:00:24,520 Speaker 1: especially with New England coming off a real high profile, 1269 01:00:25,000 --> 01:00:27,680 Speaker 1: close game against the Dallas Cowboys who appear to be 1270 01:00:27,680 --> 01:00:31,160 Speaker 1: a Super Bowl contender, and we all know the Jets 1271 01:00:31,160 --> 01:00:33,160 Speaker 1: are coming off a bus that are kind of forgotten about. 1272 01:00:33,640 --> 01:00:36,640 Speaker 1: But I think New England's probably probably going to be 1273 01:00:36,680 --> 01:00:37,760 Speaker 1: the side here, do you. 1274 01:00:37,920 --> 01:00:39,680 Speaker 3: I mean, as the Jets are coming out of a 1275 01:00:39,720 --> 01:00:41,840 Speaker 3: bye week, do you think that that's being factored under 1276 01:00:41,840 --> 01:00:42,840 Speaker 3: the price a little bit here? 1277 01:00:45,600 --> 01:00:49,320 Speaker 1: I can't fathom why I would, at least in this 1278 01:00:49,400 --> 01:00:52,480 Speaker 1: situation where you had these two teams who played before 1279 01:00:53,040 --> 01:00:56,680 Speaker 1: and the Jets had no answer for anything the pictures 1280 01:00:56,760 --> 01:00:58,440 Speaker 1: are trying to do. So it just it just doesn't 1281 01:00:58,480 --> 01:01:01,320 Speaker 1: make sense from a power rating PERSPECTI but I definitely 1282 01:01:01,320 --> 01:01:02,520 Speaker 1: want to do a little bit more dating. 1283 01:01:03,000 --> 01:01:03,680 Speaker 2: That makes sense. 1284 01:01:04,200 --> 01:01:06,320 Speaker 3: I'm going to give you guys one more here, a 1285 01:01:06,360 --> 01:01:10,480 Speaker 3: bonus third Hot Red pick, and let's get ugly. 1286 01:01:10,720 --> 01:01:12,560 Speaker 2: This one is really ugly. 1287 01:01:13,160 --> 01:01:18,320 Speaker 3: We are going to play the Houston Texans plus seventeen 1288 01:01:18,640 --> 01:01:21,920 Speaker 3: in Arizona next week. The Houston Texans, the team that 1289 01:01:22,000 --> 01:01:24,120 Speaker 3: we all thought might go winless this season, against the 1290 01:01:24,120 --> 01:01:28,400 Speaker 3: team that literally is undefeated. But seventeen points is a 1291 01:01:28,440 --> 01:01:32,040 Speaker 3: lot of points. The line shifted three points already since 1292 01:01:32,080 --> 01:01:35,920 Speaker 3: Sunday morning. And this is just a play the number spot. 1293 01:01:35,960 --> 01:01:38,880 Speaker 3: And I know I play the number in Houston on Sunday. 1294 01:01:38,880 --> 01:01:41,000 Speaker 3: It didn't work. The Texans get blown out of the 1295 01:01:41,000 --> 01:01:44,120 Speaker 3: waters thirty one to three, and that was against the Colts. 1296 01:01:44,120 --> 01:01:46,000 Speaker 3: So the Colts do that what are the Cardinals going 1297 01:01:46,080 --> 01:01:48,800 Speaker 3: to do? This is just playing the numbers and playing, 1298 01:01:49,240 --> 01:01:53,000 Speaker 3: you know, the trends. Here are a few trends so October. 1299 01:01:53,120 --> 01:01:56,280 Speaker 3: Unbeaten teams in October or after who are favored by 1300 01:01:56,440 --> 01:01:59,560 Speaker 3: seventeen or more have never covered the spread in our 1301 01:01:59,640 --> 01:02:02,360 Speaker 3: data base at Action Labs. It's only six games, but 1302 01:02:02,480 --> 01:02:04,840 Speaker 3: they're o and six against the spread in that spot, 1303 01:02:05,160 --> 01:02:08,040 Speaker 3: failing to cover by over ten points a game. So 1304 01:02:08,040 --> 01:02:10,240 Speaker 3: that's a trend that's going against the Cardinals here. As 1305 01:02:10,280 --> 01:02:14,000 Speaker 3: such huge favorites. We also have teams who lost by 1306 01:02:14,000 --> 01:02:17,120 Speaker 3: seventeen or more, like Houston did, against teams who won 1307 01:02:17,160 --> 01:02:20,440 Speaker 3: by seventeen or more like Arizona just did. Those underdog 1308 01:02:20,480 --> 01:02:23,480 Speaker 3: teams are ninety six fifty nine to four against the spread, 1309 01:02:23,520 --> 01:02:27,000 Speaker 3: so sixty two percent cover there. And teams with an 1310 01:02:27,000 --> 01:02:30,600 Speaker 3: average scoring margin of minus fourteen or worse, which of 1311 01:02:30,640 --> 01:02:33,919 Speaker 3: course the Texans are because they're terrible, are one hundred 1312 01:02:33,960 --> 01:02:37,360 Speaker 3: and seventeen seventy eight and six against the spread. Sixty 1313 01:02:37,400 --> 01:02:40,600 Speaker 3: percent cover, right, So the Texans are bad. 1314 01:02:40,760 --> 01:02:41,360 Speaker 2: We know this. 1315 01:02:41,840 --> 01:02:44,240 Speaker 3: You don't have to be awesome, you just have to 1316 01:02:44,320 --> 01:02:48,160 Speaker 3: not lose by seventeen or more points. Tarad Taylor there's 1317 01:02:48,200 --> 01:02:49,880 Speaker 3: a chance he could be back for this game. He 1318 01:02:50,000 --> 01:02:53,520 Speaker 3: was a huge difference maker for Houston. I still think 1319 01:02:53,560 --> 01:02:57,000 Speaker 3: that this team is more bad than awful, like we 1320 01:02:57,040 --> 01:02:59,600 Speaker 3: thought that they're going to be. I still feel like 1321 01:02:59,640 --> 01:03:03,800 Speaker 3: Arizon is overvalued, especially coming off this huge win this week. 1322 01:03:04,000 --> 01:03:05,880 Speaker 3: It's kind of like a game that they're going to 1323 01:03:05,920 --> 01:03:08,840 Speaker 3: look past, probably with Green Bay and San fran I 1324 01:03:08,920 --> 01:03:09,960 Speaker 3: think coming up next. 1325 01:03:10,400 --> 01:03:12,240 Speaker 2: So I'm gonna grab the points. 1326 01:03:12,840 --> 01:03:15,520 Speaker 3: Seventeen is a lot of points, and it seems like 1327 01:03:15,600 --> 01:03:17,520 Speaker 3: this line might come a little bit back down to 1328 01:03:17,520 --> 01:03:20,400 Speaker 3: earth once things settled down a little bit. It's ugly, 1329 01:03:20,480 --> 01:03:23,520 Speaker 3: it's gross. Give me the Texans plus seventeen, let's go. 1330 01:03:24,480 --> 01:03:27,040 Speaker 1: I like that, especially like the fact that it's a 1331 01:03:27,080 --> 01:03:31,960 Speaker 1: non conference opponent. It doesn't have the meaning of it. 1332 01:03:32,480 --> 01:03:34,800 Speaker 1: It doesn't have that same meaning. So this is the 1333 01:03:34,840 --> 01:03:37,880 Speaker 1: perfect opportunity for a leadown spot. And the Texans have 1334 01:03:38,040 --> 01:03:42,080 Speaker 1: been pretty competitive outside of a few games here and here. 1335 01:03:42,120 --> 01:03:45,200 Speaker 1: So seventeen is a lot of points, So I'm not 1336 01:03:45,200 --> 01:03:46,439 Speaker 1: mad at it. What do you think about the over 1337 01:03:46,480 --> 01:03:46,919 Speaker 1: in the game. 1338 01:03:47,680 --> 01:03:49,000 Speaker 3: You know, I don't play a lot of totals, so 1339 01:03:49,040 --> 01:03:52,160 Speaker 3: I didn't look at that one, but definitely seems like 1340 01:03:52,160 --> 01:03:55,040 Speaker 3: we're gonna get some points. Certainly, if the Texans cover 1341 01:03:55,120 --> 01:03:56,840 Speaker 3: the seventeen, I think you'd have to feel a lot 1342 01:03:56,840 --> 01:03:59,240 Speaker 3: better about the over because it's probably not because the 1343 01:03:59,240 --> 01:04:01,600 Speaker 3: Texans have just shout out the Cardinals in that case, 1344 01:04:01,640 --> 01:04:03,560 Speaker 3: so you have to assume that means that they're going 1345 01:04:03,640 --> 01:04:04,320 Speaker 3: to get some points. 1346 01:04:04,320 --> 01:04:05,200 Speaker 2: So what do you think? 1347 01:04:05,600 --> 01:04:09,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, like I think a lot of times, like I 1348 01:04:09,040 --> 01:04:11,880 Speaker 1: tend to look at these things, is correlated. So yeah, 1349 01:04:12,080 --> 01:04:16,120 Speaker 1: we have a spread debt high and the total is 1350 01:04:16,120 --> 01:04:19,080 Speaker 1: only forty eight, like like you're looking at a spread 1351 01:04:19,120 --> 01:04:22,439 Speaker 1: the thirty five percent of the total. So I actually think, 1352 01:04:22,520 --> 01:04:24,480 Speaker 1: like now I sit down and think about it, I 1353 01:04:24,560 --> 01:04:27,080 Speaker 1: actually think the over might be a good play if 1354 01:04:27,120 --> 01:04:29,800 Speaker 1: you think the Texans can do anything. I actually I 1355 01:04:29,840 --> 01:04:33,560 Speaker 1: actually like the over in today's quotes in Texas game, 1356 01:04:33,600 --> 01:04:36,120 Speaker 1: and that didn't work out for me. But Coaton actually 1357 01:04:36,120 --> 01:04:37,600 Speaker 1: went out there and put up thirty one points in 1358 01:04:37,680 --> 01:04:40,240 Speaker 1: their own But it's just the Texans didn't do your job, 1359 01:04:40,440 --> 01:04:43,080 Speaker 1: and it'll be interesting to see if they could do 1360 01:04:43,120 --> 01:04:46,880 Speaker 1: anything if they If the Texans covered his number, it's 1361 01:04:46,920 --> 01:04:50,000 Speaker 1: gonna be the game's going over. So I think those 1362 01:04:50,000 --> 01:04:50,640 Speaker 1: are correlated. 1363 01:04:51,200 --> 01:04:52,720 Speaker 2: I like that all right. 1364 01:04:52,800 --> 01:04:54,000 Speaker 3: That is going to wrap it up today at the 1365 01:04:54,000 --> 01:04:57,280 Speaker 3: Action Network Podcast. Make sure to your rate, subscribe, and review. 1366 01:04:57,440 --> 01:04:59,640 Speaker 3: Stucky and a Ray Baun are back Wednesday night with 1367 01:04:59,680 --> 01:05:02,880 Speaker 3: their NFL six pack betting guide. Raheem and I will 1368 01:05:02,880 --> 01:05:04,800 Speaker 3: be back Friday for our run through the slate and 1369 01:05:04,880 --> 01:05:08,400 Speaker 3: our look ahead segment for Raheem Palmer. I'm Brandon Anderson 1370 01:05:08,440 --> 01:05:10,480 Speaker 3: and this has been the Action Network Podcast. 1371 01:05:10,720 --> 01:05:12,280 Speaker 2: We are on two week seven