Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio.
Speaker 1: Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from I Heart Radio,
Speaker 1: your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation,
Speaker 1: and whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. Now,
Speaker 1: here's your host. Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly. It is
Speaker 1: a divisional round playoff edition of Fantasy Football Weekly. My
Speaker 1: co host is Brian Johnson. Hello, Brian's chart Week nineteen
Speaker 1: my favorite week nineteen. Yeah, yeah, it's it is. It's a.
Speaker 1: It's a it's a great week for football, right all
Speaker 1: the all the good teams are playing right now. You've
Speaker 1: got a couple of surprises in there, which is terrific
Speaker 1: as well. We're gonna break down all the games like
Speaker 1: we usually do on Fantasy Football Weekly. Means that the
Speaker 1: letter grades baby c's and benches, but there's a difference
Speaker 1: this week, uniquely in the playoffs. We know you're not
Speaker 1: making bench start decisions if you're playing in a playoff format,
Speaker 1: so instead we're really orienting this show to DFS players.
Speaker 1: And so what that means, Brian is I want you
Speaker 1: to peg every player's ABC bench grade against the cost
Speaker 1: they have at draft kicks were using draft kicks are model,
Speaker 1: but they're all very similar. So, for example, Patrick Mahomes
Speaker 1: is a real life a no doubt about it. He
Speaker 1: might have the most positive matchup that's on the board,
Speaker 1: but he costs a thousand dollars, so he might not
Speaker 1: be an a graded player. I don't know what grade
Speaker 1: you have on it. He might not be an a
Speaker 1: grade when you weigh it against the eight thousand dollars
Speaker 1: that he costs. So that's the premise of this show,
Speaker 1: so a little bit different. Still get the grades, but
Speaker 1: it's all keyed against DFS value. I like it. Now,
Speaker 1: let's start with the Ravens taking on the Bills. This
Speaker 1: is your matchup in a game between two mobile quarterbacks,
Speaker 1: and I leave. There will be plenty of points in
Speaker 1: this game. How do you see this shakeout? Yeah? I
Speaker 1: hope there is. There's certainly not a big name offensive players,
Speaker 1: but these two defenses are playing pretty well right are
Speaker 1: as well, So I'm a little trepidation for a lot
Speaker 1: of these guys. But we'll start with the Ravens. The
Speaker 1: road team l Jacks of course, he's a seven point
Speaker 1: six case on d k's at the second pricest quarterback
Speaker 1: behind Patrick Mahomes. Now, the Bills have allowed five point
Speaker 1: two yards per carried to quarterbacks and they've surrendered the
Speaker 1: second most rushing touchdowns to the position. That is very
Speaker 1: good juicy for Lamar Jackson, But the Bills are bottom
Speaker 1: ten in passing yards and touchdowns allowed in a bad
Speaker 1: way for in a good their top ten, which is
Speaker 1: bad for Jackson, who already struggles with his passing. Yeah,
Speaker 1: he threw one of the worst interceptions I may have
Speaker 1: seen this century, at least very bad. So yes, you're
Speaker 1: really gonna be heavily leaning on his rushing numbers more
Speaker 1: so than usual. We'll get into his wide receivers in
Speaker 1: a minute, but their matchups are pretty bad, so it's
Speaker 1: all about up the ground on this one. If he
Speaker 1: doesn't sniff at a hundred yards in a touchdown, it's
Speaker 1: a big bus time I gotta see on him. I
Speaker 1: don't like him as much of as a lot of
Speaker 1: the other quarterbacks we didn't get into. UM A little
Speaker 1: nervous about l Jacks and I think his ownership percentage
Speaker 1: will reflect that. I don't think he'll be one of
Speaker 1: the top two on quarterbacks this weekend in bigger tournaments.
Speaker 1: Over his receivers. This won't take too long. Obviously headlined
Speaker 1: by mark He's Brown. He's five thousand, two hundred on
Speaker 1: DK since putting up that goose egg against the Titans
Speaker 1: and weak oleven and people were like dropping him University
Speaker 1: practically six touchdowns over his last seven games, that's including
Speaker 1: the wild Card, and in the two games he didn't
Speaker 1: score during that span, he had six catches for ninety
Speaker 1: eight yards and seven catches for a hundred nine yards.
Speaker 1: He's earned his Hollywood nickname back that people were stripping
Speaker 1: from him in the season. But he gets most likely
Speaker 1: all White and maybe even a corner another corner I
Speaker 1: mean O they're safety and bracket coverage because he's clearly
Speaker 1: the threat at the wide receiver position. Now. Michael Pittman
Speaker 1: had a really good game against her Dabous White last week.
Speaker 1: I was surprised. But Pittman's got six inches and forty
Speaker 1: pounds on Marky's Brown. They're entirely different receivers. So I
Speaker 1: gotta see on Brown. I think people are gonna lean
Speaker 1: towards him because he's been so hot and he's pretty cheap.
Speaker 1: But it's it's pretty much a hard fade for me
Speaker 1: for Marky's Brown and all the other receivers there three there,
Speaker 1: and they're all this punt plays Willis Need, Miles Boykin,
Speaker 1: Dez Bryant their thirty three hundred or less. But I
Speaker 1: think they are better punt plays out there. We'll get
Speaker 1: to those guys. So I'm I'm off the Baltimore wide
Speaker 1: receivers in this one entirely. The one receiver you clearly
Speaker 1: want for the Ravens is Mark Andrews, especially after last
Speaker 1: week when the Colts tight ends put up a combined
Speaker 1: mostly led by Jack Doyle but four team catches a
Speaker 1: hundred and thirty six yards and a touchdown against the Bills,
Speaker 1: who also gave up the most catches too tight ends
Speaker 1: on the season, and K five K for Mark Andrews.
Speaker 1: And he's a guy, he's got receiver two upside in
Speaker 1: this matchup. Clearly you can jam him into your tight
Speaker 1: end spot and feel good about it. But he's also flexor. Yeah,
Speaker 1: this is a strong two tight end weekend for sure.
Speaker 1: So love Andrews. And if you want to get really sneaky,
Speaker 1: you know, unlike past years when they've had like four
Speaker 1: active tight ends on Baltimore, there's just one other guy,
Speaker 1: and he's Eric Tomlinson and he doesn't have a catch
Speaker 1: this year, but he's he's bare minimum. He has no
Speaker 1: catches on the year on the year, but I can't
Speaker 1: start a guy with no catches on the ear. The
Speaker 1: Colts tight ends were targeted like eighteen times last week.
Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know. I'm just saying that you're
Speaker 1: really trying to differentiate and you really want to punt.
Speaker 1: I'm not that that's this is a multi entry type
Speaker 1: right here, but just keep Eric Tomlinson in mind. From
Speaker 1: all right, Um, that's not not that's not it for
Speaker 1: Baltimore will get to the running backs very quick. Not
Speaker 1: a big fan of either JK. Dobbins or Gust Edwards.
Speaker 1: Dobbins six K, Edwards four point two k virtual fifty
Speaker 1: fifties blit last week. I think we see more of
Speaker 1: this towards Edwards. None it does. Dobbins certainly has the
Speaker 1: more potential to pop off, but Gus likely your goal
Speaker 1: line guy, definitely cheaper, Dobbins probably higher own. So if
Speaker 1: I'm forced to pick one, it's Dobbins. But again, if
Speaker 1: I'm doing a one lineup a single jury, it's L
Speaker 1: Jackson Andrews for the Ravens side. Everything else is a
Speaker 1: very much contrarian in this game makes sense over the
Speaker 1: Buffalo side, starting with Josh Allen seven point or K
Speaker 1: comes in a little less than El Jackson's the third
Speaker 1: pricest quarterback. I'm gonna give him a B here. Multiple
Speaker 1: touchdown passes an eight of his last nine games. He
Speaker 1: also has six rushing touchdowns over his last ten games.
Speaker 1: Zack Moss and his team leading twenty eight red zone
Speaker 1: carries gone on. I r those aren't going to Devon's singletary. No,
Speaker 1: I don't think or Antonio Williams, who's even on the
Speaker 1: slate for DK, So we're not gonna talk about them much.
Speaker 1: But it's a tough matchup through the air for Alan
Speaker 1: against the Ravens. Only one quarterback has thrown for more
Speaker 1: than two touchdowns against the Ravens and that was Patrick
Speaker 1: Mahomes in Week three. But Alan has kind of proven
Speaker 1: himself to be matchup proved through the air almost He
Speaker 1: hasn't had a match up this stuff, but he's come
Speaker 1: through in some tough matchup he has, including last week.
Speaker 1: So a very strong B for Alan. He probably my
Speaker 1: second favorite quarterback on the slate. This week. We'll talk
Speaker 1: about my favorite one later um over his receivers, Stefon Digs.
Speaker 1: Everyone loving Steffon right now. Seven point three k On
Speaker 1: d K comes in just under Davante Adams and Price.
Speaker 1: That Ravens have yielded the six sixth most targets to
Speaker 1: wide receivers, but they've allowed the third fewest touchdowns just eleven.
Speaker 1: On the season. Titans white white outs total just six
Speaker 1: nine catches, a hundred and six yards, and a touchdown.
Speaker 1: Last week basically all a J. Brown Corey Davis was blanked.
Speaker 1: Digs very comparable to a J. Brown. Well not just
Speaker 1: not totally different. They're about the same tight, no way,
Speaker 1: a couple inches shorter. Not comparable enough, though, I just
Speaker 1: gotta see on Diggs, Like, you know, I think the
Speaker 1: only way to me that they're comparable is that they're
Speaker 1: both the go to guy for their quarterbacks. But style
Speaker 1: plays really different. I you know, I would, I think
Speaker 1: I'd be worried. You know, they that they blanked Corey Davis.
Speaker 1: Who are they? You know, are they gonna blank a
Speaker 1: receiver this week? Well, the Ravens shut down somebody, they'll
Speaker 1: certainly focus their attention on Diggs because Marlon Humphrey can
Speaker 1: take care of Cole Beasley on the slot. I'm off
Speaker 1: Beasley at four point nine K. Humphreys if not the
Speaker 1: best corners in the NFL. But back to Diggs real quick,
Speaker 1: I think a lot of people are gonna be worried
Speaker 1: about this matchup. So he still has a great GPP play,
Speaker 1: but his fifteen to twenty point floor doesn't seem as
Speaker 1: safe as it does in most weeks. The ceiling is
Speaker 1: certainly there, so he's not a great cash game play
Speaker 1: where you're banking on that safe floor. He does still
Speaker 1: have a very high ceiling. Is one of the best
Speaker 1: wide receivers in the league, but this is a very
Speaker 1: tough matchup, one of the toughest ones he's had in
Speaker 1: a while. And we got to talk about the third
Speaker 1: receiver for Buffalo really quick. It's either Gabriel Davis or
Speaker 1: John Brown. Brown is four point six K, Davis is
Speaker 1: four K. Everyone remembers the highlight real catches, but Davis
Speaker 1: had last We get a couple of great to Drex
Speaker 1: Wag catches. Brown had nothing. He had no receptions, no receptions,
Speaker 1: but John Brown did play of the snaps. He led
Speaker 1: the team in pass routes run. It wasn't like he
Speaker 1: was hobbling around out right, and then he had a
Speaker 1: couple of drops. Brown will probably have the best matchup
Speaker 1: if he's Brown or Davis will have the best matchup.
Speaker 1: Went on the field, most likely, and I'm just gonna
Speaker 1: lean Brown in the revenge game angle if I'm picking
Speaker 1: one of these two guys, because everyone's gonna lean go
Speaker 1: Davis right now. Yeah, everybody's gonna Davis. I like the
Speaker 1: contrarian orientation of that. Obviously high risk, but we know
Speaker 1: that Brown is throughout the course of the season when
Speaker 1: he was on the field, he got targeted, and he
Speaker 1: was generally productive on the targets he got, and everyone's
Speaker 1: gonna be off him, so yes, after the lay off him.
Speaker 1: So I don't love playing the third receiver, but if
Speaker 1: I had to pick one, it's definitely Brown over Davis
Speaker 1: for me. Lastly, for the past catchers, Dawson kN touchdown
Speaker 1: last week, but he's very touchdown dependent. There are too
Speaker 1: many tight ends on this slate. I like Brown's backups
Speaker 1: more than Dawson Knox this week. We'll talk about them later.
Speaker 1: So he's on the bench for me and Devin Singletary
Speaker 1: the lead back four point five k. That's pretty cheap.
Speaker 1: But the Ravens front four's in full force again. They
Speaker 1: showed what they can do when at full steam against
Speaker 1: Derrick Henry last week. So Devin single Darry a very
Speaker 1: contrarian play. He doesn't catch a lot of passes, which
Speaker 1: is weird. I mean, people think he's more like a
Speaker 1: scat back, but he really doesn't get those. He doesn't
Speaker 1: get the receptions you'd think he would. He and for
Speaker 1: him to he's gotta at four point. He's still gotta
Speaker 1: get you to the fifteen draft kings points, and I
Speaker 1: don't like his chances of doing that. He's got a
Speaker 1: score from distance, so I got the running He never score.
Speaker 1: He doesn't score period, from distance or or anywhere else.
Speaker 1: And then I don't your boy, Davante Freeman. Maybe next
Speaker 1: week we'll talk about him. Okay, he's been signed by
Speaker 1: Buffalo to the practice squad. I don't know if he
Speaker 1: is so cooked so cooked? Well, the running back needy
Speaker 1: Giants are like, now we can't even find a carry
Speaker 1: for you. That's a bad sign. In just a second,
Speaker 1: we will break down the Rams taking on the Packers.
Speaker 1: Rams take on the Packers. Let me start with the
Speaker 1: weather here. Um, it's probably not a factor. The Packers
Speaker 1: um are expected to kick off with temperatures in the
Speaker 1: mid thirties tropically, that is unusually tropical for the locals. Yeah. Absolutely,
Speaker 1: and um of note, And maybe I'll even just start
Speaker 1: here with Jared Goff his record in sub freezing games,
Speaker 1: and this is gonna be very close to that freezing level. Es.
Speaker 1: That's right. He's owing to in sub freezing temperatures with
Speaker 1: zero touchdowns and five interceptions. And he wasn't coming off
Speaker 1: thumb surgery and exactly. You know, the good news is
Speaker 1: just the atmosphere will be icing his thumb all the time.
Speaker 1: So maybe there's that. Um he's and Jared Goff is
Speaker 1: too expensive at any price. Yeah. Uh. He is throwing
Speaker 1: the ball poorly, and that was before the thumb injury.
Speaker 1: His confidence looks shattered. He has thrown zero or one
Speaker 1: touchdown in five of the past six games, and the
Speaker 1: Packers have allowed zero or one touchdown pass in five
Speaker 1: straight games. I mean, he's sitting at zero or one
Speaker 1: touchdown for this game. I want nothing to do with
Speaker 1: Jared Goff, and that means I'm not crazy about his
Speaker 1: receivers either. Cooper Cups got a knee injury and did
Speaker 1: not practice Wednesday Thursday, shaping up as a game time decision.
Speaker 1: He finished last week's game, so I want to believe
Speaker 1: he could play here, but um, I don't know for sure,
Speaker 1: and that worries me. And his matchup is fair. He
Speaker 1: goes up in the slot against Chandon Sullivan, who is
Speaker 1: not bad and believe he's given up just two touchdowns
Speaker 1: all year, but he's also not great. Cups better when
Speaker 1: fully healthy. Uh Sullivan did Allo would touchdown to Johannu
Speaker 1: Johannu two weeks ago in his coverage, So that was
Speaker 1: there's a little bit of note there. But Cooper cup
Speaker 1: comes at Bucks. I've got him on a bench grade
Speaker 1: because of the injury. A full at full health, I
Speaker 1: would give him more like a C grade. Glad he's playing.
Speaker 1: He looked like he was done for the year last week.
Speaker 1: I context it was I was nervous for sure, um
Speaker 1: staying with the receivers. Robert Woods on the bench. Green
Speaker 1: Bay hasn't allowed a wide receiver touchdown in five straight games,
Speaker 1: and it most often see Jaire Alexander, and that is
Speaker 1: a disaster. Scenario against one of the five best coverage
Speaker 1: cornerbacks in the NFL. Goffs struggles have taken Woods with him,
Speaker 1: and he has not topped fifty six yards and five
Speaker 1: straight games for Robert Woods, who comes in at dred dollars.
Speaker 1: That is a bench for me as well. I've got
Speaker 1: a C grade on Josh Reynolds because he's going to
Speaker 1: see Kevin King, by far the Packers worst coverage cornerback.
Speaker 1: King's giving up a passer rating of one hundred six
Speaker 1: and sev the passes in his coverage are completed I
Speaker 1: think at thirty two hundred and knowing that the Rams
Speaker 1: will probably trail for a lot of this, the path
Speaker 1: of least resistance through the air is that Josh Reynolds. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I was. I was on Reynolds last week, right around
Speaker 1: the same price as a punt play. I think he
Speaker 1: goose egg too. If if you didn't he had like
Speaker 1: one point something to help, people are gonna be off him,
Speaker 1: but I'm gonna. I'm gonna get back on it again.
Speaker 1: So I like that. Okay, let's go uh oh. Other
Speaker 1: receivers Higbie and Evert are dead to us. They're they're cheap,
Speaker 1: but the Packers are good versus tight ends, and they
Speaker 1: just cannabalize each other. So they're they're outbench. Now let's
Speaker 1: go to the running backs. Cam Acres fifty seven hundred
Speaker 1: bucks a Grade Brian massive usage the last two games
Speaker 1: with fifty two touches in the last two games, and
Speaker 1: the only way the Rams win this game is if
Speaker 1: cam Acres has a massive massive games. In the Packers
Speaker 1: last game, David mctgomery rolled up a hundred thirty combo
Speaker 1: yards in a score. Before that, Derrick Henry yards before that,
Speaker 1: Carolinas hodgepodge of runners top to one hundred total yards
Speaker 1: before that, DeAndre Swift scored. You get the idea. Yeah,
Speaker 1: Green Bay's a good past defense. They are a medium
Speaker 1: bad run defense. That's all going to come back to
Speaker 1: golf though. Sadly, he's got to be able to God's
Speaker 1: God's gonna give very little here, but they're gonna have
Speaker 1: to run Acres. He's gonna have to prove he can
Speaker 1: do something. They're just gonna stack that box Corles now,
Speaker 1: now the path, there's no guarantee that Acres will get
Speaker 1: a lot done here. The Packers were able to contain
Speaker 1: Derrick Henry recently, but still I think Acres gets enough
Speaker 1: use that I'm keeping the A grade on him. You
Speaker 1: could throw a dart at Malcolm Brown if you want.
Speaker 1: He's uh, the Rams are going to run a lot.
Speaker 1: He got ten touches last week, which is enough to
Speaker 1: get something done from a DFS standpoint. You know, if
Speaker 1: you can get to ten touches, you know you got
Speaker 1: a chance. Um. And maybe with all the use of
Speaker 1: Acres has gotten lately, they'll want to diversify a little bit.
Speaker 1: So Malcolm Brown at is a C grade for me.
Speaker 1: I like, Okay, it's got to the green Bay side
Speaker 1: Green Bay as similar storyline. Far easier to run on
Speaker 1: the Rams than pass on the rams. The Rams are
Speaker 1: the best past defense in the NFL. So I think
Speaker 1: we're going to see a ton of Aaron Jones, who
Speaker 1: is an A grade at sixty eight hundred dollars. The
Speaker 1: path of LEAs resistance, as I mentioned, is on the ground. Um,
Speaker 1: David Bactr's out, So another reason not to put Aaron
Speaker 1: Rodgers at risk and to run the ball more. And
Speaker 1: I know fantasy owners are gonna look at Aaron Jones
Speaker 1: modest use. The last few games ten he had ten
Speaker 1: touches and eleven touches well rushes and they're gonna say, well,
Speaker 1: well that's not enough carries. They were saving him for
Speaker 1: the playoffs and breaking news, it's the playoffs. It's time.
Speaker 1: It's time. They're gonna unleash their best running back, Aaron
Speaker 1: Jones a better right now. Now the Rams are good,
Speaker 1: They're not. We're not. This is not gonna be an
Speaker 1: A J. Dillon game like we got two weeks ago.
Speaker 1: Two games ago. Uh No, runners top sixty nine yards
Speaker 1: since Week two against the Rams. There's a good run
Speaker 1: d and so no, don't make it like he's gonna
Speaker 1: just run through this. But they've also seen some really
Speaker 1: really weak rushers through much of the season. Kenyan Drake,
Speaker 1: Damien Harris, Frank Gore. It's got I think, I think
Speaker 1: Jones is sitting on a potentially very big game here,
Speaker 1: and those rushers didn't have an Aaron Rodgers Davante Adams
Speaker 1: right exactly. Um Sticking with the running backs, Jamal Williams
Speaker 1: is a C grade at forty four hundred. His usage
Speaker 1: has been low but might get an uptick here in
Speaker 1: the second half of the season. He's averaged just eight
Speaker 1: touches and scored just two times. He's a pretty good
Speaker 1: runner um, but again, I think the majority of it
Speaker 1: goes to Aaron Jones. Okay, let's go to the passing game.
Speaker 1: I've just got a B grade on on Aaron Rodgers
Speaker 1: at Dollars. I would rather have Josh Allen, who you
Speaker 1: highlighted earlier. He's insanely hot, three or four touchdowns in
Speaker 1: six of the past seven games, which is awesome. And
Speaker 1: I wouldn't blame anybody Brian who feels they just want
Speaker 1: to bank on Rodgers regardless of opponent where you I
Speaker 1: don't even care what the opponent is. I just want
Speaker 1: Aaron Aaron Rodgers. Okay, that's viable. But understand, the Rams
Speaker 1: secondary is so good that the Rams secondaries basically having
Speaker 1: the defensive season that Aaron Rodgers is having. Offensively, they
Speaker 1: rank number one in passing yards allowed, Number one in
Speaker 1: passing touchdowns allowed, Number one in touchdown percentage allowed, passing
Speaker 1: touchdown percentage allowed. And if Jalen Ramsey can hold serve
Speaker 1: with Davante Adams, Rogers got to help. Gotta find help elsewhere,
Speaker 1: and there aren't many good options other than Davante Adams
Speaker 1: who will pivot two. Now he only gets a C
Speaker 1: grade from me because he's eighties, six hundred dollars and
Speaker 1: he's gonna see a ton of Jalen Ramsey. Not every play,
Speaker 1: but he's gonna get a lot of Ramsey. Ramsey ranks
Speaker 1: number one in yards allowed per coverage snap at one
Speaker 1: half of a yard. Rams allowed the fewest wide receiver
Speaker 1: touchdowns just seven. They were allowed the fewest receiving yards
Speaker 1: to wide receivers just one hundred thirty per game. That's it. Yeah,
Speaker 1: it'll be fast fascinating to see the ownership percentages for
Speaker 1: Rogers and Adams will be the lowest they've been in
Speaker 1: the last twelve weeks probably, and that's when it's been
Speaker 1: all the teams playing. There's only four teams and they're
Speaker 1: gonna be probably the lowest they've been. And I just
Speaker 1: want to mention real quick, I was off DK Metcalf
Speaker 1: last week because of Jalen Ramsey. He ended up having
Speaker 1: a great game statistically. The first touchdown was on the
Speaker 1: other side of the Fiel got one secondary and then
Speaker 1: the second touchdown the Rams are playing pre event from
Speaker 1: the eight yard line, right they let him score. I mean,
Speaker 1: so there's smoking mirrors there for sure, so too. But yeah,
Speaker 1: like you said, people just gonna want to have I
Speaker 1: can't fault anyone just plugging in Rogers and Adams and
Speaker 1: seeing what they can do, because you're gonna get him
Speaker 1: under ten percent. And that's that's insane. Um, let's talk
Speaker 1: about the other receivers. Allen Lazard, marquees Velde Scantling for
Speaker 1: Lozardi comes in a thirty D. But I still can't
Speaker 1: do it. He runs from the slot where he's gonna
Speaker 1: see Troy Hill, who's one of the best lock corners.
Speaker 1: Hills allowed one touchdown all year. Last week. He held
Speaker 1: Tyler Lockett the two catches last week. So Lizard's dead.
Speaker 1: So is marquess Velde Scantling, who's at eight hundred. He's uh,
Speaker 1: he's an all He's probably the most all or nothing
Speaker 1: wide receiver in football. And when he doesn't score a touchdown,
Speaker 1: his average game for MBS, his average game when he
Speaker 1: does not score is one catch for twenty four yards.
Speaker 1: I don't want any part of that. In a tough
Speaker 1: matchup against surging cornerback Darius Williams, who actually has a
Speaker 1: higher Pro Football Focus coverage rating than Jalen Ramsey, does,
Speaker 1: so he's dead to us too. And here's your Here
Speaker 1: is I think the best play that there is among
Speaker 1: the receiving options, and it's Robert Touny In. Rams have
Speaker 1: allowed three tight end scores in the last five games,
Speaker 1: and the sort of Jacob Hollister, Dan Arnold and Dan Arnold. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I love it. It's possible that no team saw a
Speaker 1: weaker slate of tight ends than the Rams this day.
Speaker 1: The Rams have faced almost no good tight ends. The
Speaker 1: one good time they faced was George Kittle, and Kindle
Speaker 1: rocked him for a hundred nine yards and one touchdown.
Speaker 1: I contested the Anold is good, but okay, he's not
Speaker 1: George Kittle. I he's not even I will not admit
Speaker 1: that he is not at that level. I'm contested. All right,
Speaker 1: Let's go to our next match, which is the Browns
Speaker 1: taking on the Chiefs. I was personally delighted with the
Speaker 1: Browns game. There was so much fun rooting for Kevin Stefanski,
Speaker 1: all the underdog stuff for the Browns languishing fan base.
Speaker 1: They needed it so much. The Browns had every reason
Speaker 1: to lose the game, and they were up tony one
Speaker 1: nothing in the first quarter, unbelievable, jaw dropping start to
Speaker 1: a game. But I call my friends and legal, I
Speaker 1: don't like to bet on the Bowdogs and whatnot. I
Speaker 1: wanted to be fully sanctioned. I called somebodies. I'm like,
Speaker 1: I on on fifty on the Steelers right now that
Speaker 1: I was sweating it to the end. It didn't come through.
Speaker 1: But uh, but yeah, the Browns are hot, and uh
Speaker 1: we'll start with Baker Mayfield, who everyone views. The Browns
Speaker 1: is run heavy, but over Baker's last six games, he's
Speaker 1: averaged nearly thirty eight pass attempts and he's tossed multiple
Speaker 1: touchdowns and four of those six I'm only gonna give
Speaker 1: him a be though, because he's too cheap. He's five
Speaker 1: point three thousand ownerships. The ownership is gonna be too high,
Speaker 1: and it's gonna be tight to differentiate tournaments. I'm I'm
Speaker 1: upset with the algorithm here from DraftKings. It's way too
Speaker 1: low for Baker Mayfield to be five point three k
Speaker 1: That is almost bare minimum for a quarterback. It's like
Speaker 1: high four thousands as usually as low as you see it.
Speaker 1: So a b on for Baker, But you're gonna a
Speaker 1: lot of people are gonna be using that safe salary
Speaker 1: the same way as you, So he's not gonna differentiate
Speaker 1: as much as you think you would with guys like
Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen and Lamark Jackson and Aaron
Speaker 1: Rodgers on the slave people are gonna gravitate towards Baker Mayfield.
Speaker 1: So just to be for him, take out a side
Speaker 1: is it if you're not you're in a smaller pool
Speaker 1: and you're really not sweating ownership percentage as much is
Speaker 1: Baker and a grade Yeah, definitely, Yeah, pretty much cash
Speaker 1: games smaller pools. I think it's a very safe floor
Speaker 1: for Baker, especially because they if they go up big, great,
Speaker 1: you don't really see that happening. But if they trail,
Speaker 1: they're gonna be throwing the big trail. The multiple score
Speaker 1: trail is likely here. Garbage time can pay off big
Speaker 1: time for Baker in this one, but hopefully it is
Speaker 1: a very competitive game over to his wide receivers. Not
Speaker 1: a lot of love for these guys. Posing Whiteouts average
Speaker 1: less than eleven catches, forty yards and a touchdown per
Speaker 1: game against the Chiefs this year as a whole, those
Speaker 1: are very poor numbers, So just to see for Jarvis
Speaker 1: Landry at five point six thousand, five six k uh.
Speaker 1: He probably has the best matchup against US slot corner
Speaker 1: of Lagarius Sneed, but I think he will warn a
Speaker 1: lot of attention from the Kansas City secondary and so
Speaker 1: for that reason or not for that reason, over to
Speaker 1: the boundary receivers, were Shard Higgins do? He does? He's
Speaker 1: not great, He's he's cheap at four point one k.
Speaker 1: Donovan People's jones is bare minimum for wide receivers at
Speaker 1: three K, but they should both struggle on the boundaries.
Speaker 1: Shavarious Ward and Pshawn Brelan, both very able cornerbacks. Both
Speaker 1: own a catch percentage under six in their coverage that
Speaker 1: is very good. Higgins and DPJ are viable, viable dfs
Speaker 1: place in terms because they're so cheap and they'll be
Speaker 1: on the field and potentially chasing points. But you kind
Speaker 1: of liked them more in a like a showdown contest,
Speaker 1: like a one game contest, just kind of a one off,
Speaker 1: cheaper wide receiver option. If I had to pick between
Speaker 1: the two, I would go with DPJ at three k
Speaker 1: Donovan People's jones because he's probably got less tension and
Speaker 1: he's much less expensive. But again not really targeting either
Speaker 1: of these boundary receivers. I am targeting yet another tight
Speaker 1: end in Austin Hooper at three point eight k. He
Speaker 1: has an amazing matchup by far the as for any
Speaker 1: past catcher for the Browns. Over their last seven games,
Speaker 1: the Chiefs have surrendered six touchdowns to tight ends, and
Speaker 1: over that seven game span, opposing tight ends are also
Speaker 1: averaging seven catches eighty five yards per game, and Hooper
Speaker 1: has been hot. So I like Cooper a lot, and yeah, again,
Speaker 1: you can play two tight ends with ease this week.
Speaker 1: And I even like Harrison Bryant at two point five
Speaker 1: k Barren minimum. That's a big differentiator. Is a game
Speaker 1: time decision. He may not go about his ownership percentage.
Speaker 1: And we're gonna talk about the Chiefs shortly, but Brian's
Speaker 1: a great guy. As a correlation play, if you go
Speaker 1: for the big Mahomes Hill, Kelsey, Stack, usually want to
Speaker 1: have another player from the opposing team, probably a cheaper
Speaker 1: when you have big names like those guys. So I'm
Speaker 1: gonna give a c to Briant and then Joe Coop
Speaker 1: he plays, and I'm giving aid Austin Hooper. Uh, he's
Speaker 1: probably jammed in my tight end spot if I have
Speaker 1: one lineup, and again I'll be I'll be happy to
Speaker 1: even with all the tight end love we've given different
Speaker 1: tight ends already in this show. He's cheap enough, he
Speaker 1: has wide receiver to potential. He might lead the Browns
Speaker 1: and receiving in this game. And again, you can throw
Speaker 1: Kelsey or Andrew's or Tongian in your flex spot all
Speaker 1: of elite matchups. So I love Hooper and even his
Speaker 1: backups if you can't afford Hooper, and everyone's gonna love
Speaker 1: Nick Chubb at six point six. Okay, he's probably gonna
Speaker 1: be the highest owned player on the whole slate, I
Speaker 1: would imagine, and understandably so. Opposing backs averaging more than
Speaker 1: five and a half yards per carry against the Chiefs
Speaker 1: this year, this is how they win. This is the
Speaker 1: real This is the one obvious pathway for the Browns
Speaker 1: to win this game is for Chubb to go off.
Speaker 1: But Kansas City has only surrendered seven rushing touchdowns to
Speaker 1: running backs and only two running backs have managed to
Speaker 1: rush for a hundred yards against the Chiefs. But uh,
Speaker 1: Chubb is playing at another level right now, So I'm
Speaker 1: gonna give him a beat just because if they fall
Speaker 1: behind a lot and he doesn't have good games, a
Speaker 1: big bust and then you can probably be lumped with
Speaker 1: thirty of the field also having Chub and then you're
Speaker 1: all in the doghouse together. So if he doesn't go off,
Speaker 1: your your big time screwed. So just to beat for
Speaker 1: Chub and uh that brings us to Kareem hunt revenge game?
Speaker 1: Can he call it a revenge game? Though the Chiefs
Speaker 1: had no choice but to kick him to the curb
Speaker 1: after what he did, But fine, it is a revenge
Speaker 1: game for Kareem Hunt four point eight K. He's down
Speaker 1: playing it publicly for whatever it's worth. Yeah, I'm sure
Speaker 1: he's not in the locker room. Though the Chiefs have
Speaker 1: surrendered the fourth most catches and the most receiving yards
Speaker 1: of running backs. Hunt wasn't used as much in the
Speaker 1: receiving game as we would have liked for the most
Speaker 1: part on the season, but at four point eight K,
Speaker 1: he'll probably be top three four own running back this week.
Speaker 1: I would imagine two, especially going into this revenge game.
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna give hunted. I don't even just to
Speaker 1: see though, because I'm worried when you expect him to
Speaker 1: catch a ton of passes. He never has. I know
Speaker 1: that's I'm baffled. I'm baffled by that. And we can
Speaker 1: flip the revenge script. I think too that it's a
Speaker 1: revenge game for the Chiefs against Kareem Hull. Look what
Speaker 1: you did to us, Kareem. Now we've got Clyde's Edwards,
Speaker 1: Hilary Levan Bell, We could have had you, because keep
Speaker 1: your nose clean. You'd all be win in Super Bowls together.
Speaker 1: So just to see for a hunt, um, and that's
Speaker 1: it for the Cleveland side. Over to the chief side.
Speaker 1: Of course, a lot to love, but can you afford
Speaker 1: to cram them all into one lineup? Starting with Patrick
Speaker 1: Mahomes at eight k not a whole lot more expensive
Speaker 1: than l Jackson seventy, but he is the most expensive
Speaker 1: quarterback on the slate. As is to be expected, the
Speaker 1: Browns will get Denzel Ward and Kevin Johnson back the
Speaker 1: starting back Those help a lot, big time help, but
Speaker 1: they lose their best pass rusher and Olivier Vernon, maybe
Speaker 1: not the best second, but a great pass rusher Olivia Vernon,
Speaker 1: who's done for the year, so that almost equals it
Speaker 1: out Mahomes will certainly have more time in the pocket.
Speaker 1: Cleveland has allowed the six the most passing touchdowns of
Speaker 1: this season, and over the course of their last two games,
Speaker 1: both against the Steelers, Ben Roethlisberger Mason Rudolph have combined
Speaker 1: for eight touchdown passes in the last two games. But again,
Speaker 1: they get a couple of starting corners back though. But uh,
Speaker 1: I'm gonna give Mahomes an a because I think he
Speaker 1: goes off, he can still do damage if he needs
Speaker 1: to with his feet. Not quite like Yeah, l Jacks
Speaker 1: or Alan, but he has that potential, and I just
Speaker 1: think people are gonna be off him for the most part.
Speaker 1: They're they're gonna want to spend their money elsewhere, and
Speaker 1: there's very luring options at quarterback all over the board.
Speaker 1: So if I'm running one lineup, I'm going, yeah, I
Speaker 1: just think he can. Just even though the chief starters
Speaker 1: haven't played in three weeks. That kind of worries me
Speaker 1: either off. As you know, it doesn't worry me in
Speaker 1: the slightest. It really does and and maybe it should.
Speaker 1: And there are there are case studies here where teams
Speaker 1: have come out cold and it's taken a half or
Speaker 1: in some cases the whole game or they've never gotten
Speaker 1: it together. But man, it's the Chiefs that it just
Speaker 1: feels like they can flip a switch, doesn't it. Yeah,
Speaker 1: and Mahomes, I bet he comes in as the third
Speaker 1: fourth highest owned quarterback, and when at least the third,
Speaker 1: probably not the fourth, but I expect Baker and I
Speaker 1: think Allen will be more owned than Uh. So you
Speaker 1: get a third highest quarterback, you're sitting pretty if he
Speaker 1: goes off. So and A for Mahomes and a for
Speaker 1: Travis Kelsey. Uh seven point eight K even at seven
Speaker 1: point you're still have an A on Kelly. I am.
Speaker 1: Cleveland has been a money matchup for tight ends forever.
Speaker 1: They love the sixth most fantasy points of the position
Speaker 1: this year. Kelsey put up wide receiver numbers all season long.
Speaker 1: He would have finished its wide receiver three if he
Speaker 1: was eligible to play there. And uh again, you can
Speaker 1: treat him as a wide receiver one, which makes it
Speaker 1: easy to put him in your tight end spot. But
Speaker 1: Kelsey very flexi worthy this week. Alright, So no Sammy Watkins,
Speaker 1: So Kelsey probably gets a couple extra passes his way
Speaker 1: if you can only have Let's assume that most people
Speaker 1: can't stack both of those Chiefs. It's just too expensive.
Speaker 1: Then what pick one? Are you going Mahomes, you going Kelsey?
Speaker 1: If you gotta pick one, I would probably still go
Speaker 1: Mahomes because Mark Andrews could have a very so good Tonyan,
Speaker 1: so could Austin Hooper for that matter. That matchups so
Speaker 1: that good on the other side, So I would just
Speaker 1: pick Mahomes. But uh, the Mahomes Kelsey pairing has proven
Speaker 1: to be pretty pretty lethal for the most part this year. Uh,
Speaker 1: Tyree Hill like him a lot as well, eight K
Speaker 1: a little, a couple hundred dollars more than Mahomes. He
Speaker 1: should see Denzel Award. For the most part, he really
Speaker 1: hasn't played the most of the second half of the season.
Speaker 1: The Browns numbers against wide receivers not good, but that
Speaker 1: has led to that reward absent. Brown's had yielded the
Speaker 1: fourth most targets and the second most red zone targets
Speaker 1: to wide receivers. So you gotta love Hill this week.
Speaker 1: You can get a Hill, Kelsey Mahomes stacking there, but
Speaker 1: you gotta go Harris and Bryant and then another dirt
Speaker 1: cheap wide receiver. And I don't know if I want
Speaker 1: to recommend that dirt cheap wide receiver being from the Chiefs.
Speaker 1: As you mentioned, Sammy Watkins is out, so that leaves
Speaker 1: us the Marcus Robinson, Kole Hardman, and Byron Pringle. Robinson
Speaker 1: is the most expensive four point three, k Hardman three
Speaker 1: point nine, Pringle three point two. Hardman means the most
Speaker 1: intriguing play from a talent perspective, but he just gets
Speaker 1: the least run out of Robins. Didn't even Pringle, Pringle
Speaker 1: and Robinson stood out in Week seventeen. Pringles scored uh.
Speaker 1: Robinson has gotten more targets when Watkins was hurt earlier
Speaker 1: in the year, which there was just a more clear
Speaker 1: way to go with with I was Sammy Watkins out
Speaker 1: about who that would go to? I just feel like
Speaker 1: that's it's almost random. And you can't look too much
Speaker 1: into Pringle's good Week seventeen because Mahomes wasn't the quarterback,
Speaker 1: so you can save salary elsewhere. If I don't even
Speaker 1: I would know what I would do. I don't want
Speaker 1: to pick any one of these guys, be honest with you,
Speaker 1: and you know what I don't want to it's how
Speaker 1: to say one of them won't score do something. One
Speaker 1: of them probably will, but which one is is a
Speaker 1: total dark. It's a three face coin and I've I've
Speaker 1: yet to see see one of those, and I don't
Speaker 1: want to flip one either. So yeah, I'm off the
Speaker 1: secondary receivers, and you got to be off the running
Speaker 1: backs unless you're again a hundred and fifty max multi
Speaker 1: entered guy. Clyde Edwards, So there five point five K
Speaker 1: might not even play. If he does, does he have
Speaker 1: a full role he, I mean really doesn't have had
Speaker 1: a full role all year. And then so then that
Speaker 1: leaves Levian Bell, Darwin Thompson, Darryl Is, Darryll or Darrell
Speaker 1: Darrell Darrell Williams Bell at five point one K. I'm
Speaker 1: completely it's Darryl. No worries um. First off, it's just
Speaker 1: a bad matchup in general for all running backs against
Speaker 1: the Browns. Only four running backs managed to top sixty
Speaker 1: rushing yards against Cleveland this year, who only allowed thirteen
Speaker 1: total touchdowns to the position one receiving h so there's
Speaker 1: not a receiving angle there. At twelve rushing touchdowns is
Speaker 1: not a lot. If if Edwards were somehow doesn't play,
Speaker 1: Levian Bell might get to start, but Darryl Williams outshine Bell,
Speaker 1: who got hurt. In week seventeen, Darrell Williams Darwin Thompson
Speaker 1: came in looked better than Darryl Williams did, who again
Speaker 1: looked better than Levion Bill. So it's a mess there,
Speaker 1: I mean, And the bad thing about running backs is
Speaker 1: there bearing in him is four K. That's not chie
Speaker 1: is three K a point five k of course. So yeah,
Speaker 1: you might see the guy who wins a million dollars
Speaker 1: luckily pegged one of these dirt cheap running backs that
Speaker 1: managed to score and maybe account for eighty combo yards.
Speaker 1: But there's no way to gleam who that is going
Speaker 1: to be in a bad matchup. So I'm benching all
Speaker 1: the Chiefs running backs. But good look, if you out,
Speaker 1: then I'm a lot more interested in throwing a dart
Speaker 1: at Daryl Williams. Just the eye test tells me levy
Speaker 1: On Bell is freaking cooked. She's just not good. There's
Speaker 1: just the outside chance that Thompson Thompson is more expensive
Speaker 1: than Williams Thompson. Does I want to see like some
Speaker 1: concrete evidence of who the quote unquote back up. So
Speaker 1: but yeah, I'm with you, I'd be I'd have some
Speaker 1: interest in over that would turn out to be. We'll
Speaker 1: take a quick break and then we'll get to the
Speaker 1: final matchup, the Sunday night game Bucks and Saints. The
Speaker 1: previous two meetings this season between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Speaker 1: and the New Orleans Saints kind of ancient history at
Speaker 1: this point. It was Week one and Week nine, so
Speaker 1: it was a full season ago and half a season
Speaker 1: ago effectively, And just as a reminder, Week one, both
Speaker 1: teams scored plenty of points. Saints ended up winning and
Speaker 1: definitely no Antonio Brown, certainly not a Week nine, Saints
Speaker 1: destroyed the Bucks, held Tampa to three points in a
Speaker 1: thirty five point victory breeze through four touchdowns. Brady was brutal,
Speaker 1: with three picks and no scores. Tampa ran the ball
Speaker 1: four times in that game. Four carries in that game.
Speaker 1: That's it. That's gonna be the lowest rushing total of
Speaker 1: any team this year. They had eight yards rushing in
Speaker 1: that game. They got behind early and then here's a
Speaker 1: band in the run completely. So let's start with Tom
Speaker 1: Brady and this one who struggled significantly in both Saints games.
Speaker 1: As I mentioned, but he's been red hot for two
Speaker 1: months since that last meeting. His last bad game was
Speaker 1: Week nine. Since then, he's been awesome now. The Saints
Speaker 1: since then also looked pretty good on paper, giving up
Speaker 1: just two hundred forty yards and zero point eight passing touchdowns.
Speaker 1: But Brian listened to the quarterbacks the Saints have played
Speaker 1: since that Week nine meeting against Tom Brady, Nick Mullins,
Speaker 1: Matt Ryan twice, Kendall Hinton not even a quarterback. I
Speaker 1: believe Matt Ryan Julio got hurt in the first meeting
Speaker 1: with the Saints, and then he missed the second. I
Speaker 1: think you're right about that too. Jalen Hurts, Patrick Mahomes
Speaker 1: who threw three touchdowns because he's really good. Kirk Cousins,
Speaker 1: who's good enough and he threw three touchdowns, Teddy Bridgewater
Speaker 1: and Sad Trombone Ski, hold on, I don't have I
Speaker 1: don't know where my sad trombone ski is a little
Speaker 1: sad trombone ski for the background. Um Nickelodeon should have
Speaker 1: had a sad trom p. Is gonna throw a lot
Speaker 1: in this game, a lot in this game. Brady comes
Speaker 1: in at sixty three hundred dollars. I've got an a
Speaker 1: grade on Tom Brady um and I don't believe that
Speaker 1: we're going to see enough. I think we're see done
Speaker 1: of passing, not a lot of running. So that's that
Speaker 1: is a lot of why. Now, let's I want to
Speaker 1: pivot for a second. You know, normally once we start
Speaker 1: with the passing game, we stay with the passing game.
Speaker 1: I want to pivot to these running backs and talk
Speaker 1: for just a second about why I don't like them
Speaker 1: very much. First, all right, you know Ronald Jones, you
Speaker 1: don't know if he's gonna play and if he plays
Speaker 1: it all and game time decision, and this is a
Speaker 1: brutal matchup. Saints are good run defense. They completely stymied
Speaker 1: a red hot David Montgomery last week. They finished the
Speaker 1: season ranked fourth in yards per carry, second and rushing
Speaker 1: touchdowns allowed. Now, they did give up some big games
Speaker 1: down the stretch. Not a lot, but you give up
Speaker 1: a few. Six of the nine rushing touchdowns they allowed
Speaker 1: on the season came in the final four games. Miles Sanders,
Speaker 1: Dalvid Cook the Kansas City Runners. I'll posted good December games,
Speaker 1: so you might get a little something done here. But
Speaker 1: especially if Ronald Jones goes. I don't I don't want
Speaker 1: to mess and monkey with who these guys are going
Speaker 1: to go. Now, if Jones doesn't play, then and Jones,
Speaker 1: by the way Bucks and I'm not touching him Leonard Fournette.
Speaker 1: If if Jones doesn't go, Leonard Fournett's appausible start at
Speaker 1: cheap volume. I still think that Brady is gonna throw
Speaker 1: his arm out of socket in this game. So back
Speaker 1: to back to the receivers now, So we talked about
Speaker 1: Brady like him a lot at st Antonio Brown only
Speaker 1: fifty bucks. I don't know why. He's the highest scoring
Speaker 1: fantasy receiver for the Bucks over the last month, and
Speaker 1: he's a thousand dollars cheaper than Evans or Godwin. Go figure.
Speaker 1: He has scored in four straight games. He's mostly going
Speaker 1: to see Genorris Jenkins, who is which is a favorable matchup.
Speaker 1: Jenkins is getting thrown out a lot lately, which is
Speaker 1: good for Brown um and he's giving up bigger games
Speaker 1: now than he was earlier in the season, including two
Speaker 1: touchdowns in the last four games. So Antonio Brown a
Speaker 1: grade at B grades on Evans and Godwin. Godwin was
Speaker 1: a drop machine last week, he's gonna draw Chauncey Gardner
Speaker 1: Johnson in the slot. He's been very good. He's like
Speaker 1: the ultimate smack talker. By the way, there's been some
Speaker 1: good talk about that the last few weeks in the
Speaker 1: second half of the season. He's allowed just twenty three
Speaker 1: yards and zero point one touchdowns in his coverage since
Speaker 1: the midway point of the season. So I don't love
Speaker 1: this matchup for Chauncey Gardner Johnson. Um I have I
Speaker 1: have a B grade on Chris Godwin just out of
Speaker 1: respect for who he is, but I it might be
Speaker 1: more like a secret. I'm gonna move him to a
Speaker 1: SEA grade at sixt Mike Evans is sixty four hundred
Speaker 1: dollars and look shockingly healthy last week off that knee injury.
Speaker 1: He'll mostly see Marshawn Latimer, who often shadows, especially if
Speaker 1: there's a bigger, physical opposing receiver like Evans. Latimer saw
Speaker 1: a lot of Alan Robinson last week kept him in check.
Speaker 1: But latimer season is very checkered, including allowing the second
Speaker 1: most touchdowns in his coverage. He was the second most targeted.
Speaker 1: Evans was the second most targeted wide receiver from inside
Speaker 1: the ten yard line in the NFL. I think he
Speaker 1: gets a touchdown in this game. And I've got a
Speaker 1: B grade on Mike Evans. I would rather roll with
Speaker 1: him than I would with Godwin h last guy I'll
Speaker 1: mention from that team, gron can break. They neutralize each other,
Speaker 1: and there's way too many other, too many other good,
Speaker 1: dependable tight end options this week. I'm not playing with them.
Speaker 1: Gronks two game total against the Saints this year, three catches,
Speaker 1: thirteen yards, no touchdowns. Don't like it, and break out
Speaker 1: the usage last week, and I don't want to play
Speaker 1: that game. All right. Let's go to the Saint side,
Speaker 1: uh and beginning with Alvin Camara. This is a I
Speaker 1: think an easy decision to give him a C grade,
Speaker 1: and maybe that's generous even if Latavius Murray doesn't play.
Speaker 1: Camara's two prior games against Tampa Bay sixteen rushing yards
Speaker 1: and forty rushing yards. That's it. He managed to score
Speaker 1: in both games, which salvaged his fantasy day a little bit,
Speaker 1: but this is still a nightmare matchup. Tampa ranks number
Speaker 1: one in rushing yards allowed, number one in rushing yard
Speaker 1: it's per attempt they get the lowest rushing play percentage.
Speaker 1: Just thirty five of the plays run against Tampa are
Speaker 1: running plays, and Tampa's excellent against past catching runners. Although
Speaker 1: I will note that Camara did score through the air
Speaker 1: in the first game, but the overall in the season,
Speaker 1: Tampa has been great against opposing runners too, So you
Speaker 1: can't even count on Camara getting something done that way.
Speaker 1: Five five catches fifty one yards and a touchdown, like
Speaker 1: you said in the first meeting, then five catches for
Speaker 1: nine yards. This, I can't assure you that Camara is
Speaker 1: going to do well here and at s I needle.
Speaker 1: I gotta feel a lot better than I do about Camara,
Speaker 1: and I don't care if Murray plays or not. For me,
Speaker 1: Let's go to the passing game. Drew Brees fifty six
Speaker 1: hundred bucks. I've got an A grade on him. He's
Speaker 1: gonna pass a lot for the reasons I just explained
Speaker 1: about Camara, and he was basically perfect in the Week
Speaker 1: nine matchup between these teams. Plenty of value here, I
Speaker 1: think to be had teams abandoned the run quickly against Tampa.
Speaker 1: Tampathy is the highest pass play percentage, and Taysom Hill
Speaker 1: may not play in this game. He's his status is
Speaker 1: up in the air. He's not a hundred percent and
Speaker 1: even if he's available, they may not use him all
Speaker 1: the same way as they normally do. That would that
Speaker 1: would be like the one thing the whole fantasy community
Speaker 1: could just Taysom Hill. So um, I think there's a great,
Speaker 1: a great angle here on Drew Brees is cheap. I
Speaker 1: like it's super cheap. Michael Thomas comes in at six hundred.
Speaker 1: I've got an A grade on him. He looked very
Speaker 1: good last week. He lines up on the left side
Speaker 1: of the field twice as often as he lines up
Speaker 1: anywhere else, and from that side of the field he
Speaker 1: faces cornerback Carlton Davis. Davis has struggled, including an absolute
Speaker 1: roasting at the hands of Tyreek Hill four games ago.
Speaker 1: Davis allowed a touchdown to Drew Brees earlier this year.
Speaker 1: Davis has the size to battle Thomas, but he does
Speaker 1: not have the skill to battle Michael Thomas. I've got
Speaker 1: an A grade in him, even at sixty seven hundred UM.
Speaker 1: Other receivers of note, Emmanuel Sanders Bucks was basically invisible
Speaker 1: last week. I'm not going to play that game. You
Speaker 1: could try Deante Harris, who was a who was surprisingly
Speaker 1: active in the game plan last week. But man, there's
Speaker 1: no history here to suggest that that's going to be
Speaker 1: the case again. Jared Cook, I like him another tight
Speaker 1: end angle that's playable here. I've got a B grade
Speaker 1: in him. At four thousand dollars. He said, no less
Speaker 1: than four targets in six straight games. He has scored
Speaker 1: three touchdowns in those six games. Tampa Bay's allowing tight
Speaker 1: end touchdowns in half of their games on the season.
Speaker 1: They've given up nine. Cook hit the Saints for eighty
Speaker 1: yards in the first meeting with the Bucks, and although
Speaker 1: Cook did not score in the second meeting to other
Speaker 1: Saints tight ends did Adam Troutman and Uh and Hill.
Speaker 1: I think we're both scored touchdowns in that game. So
Speaker 1: now this is uh. In these matchups, we saw Tampa
Speaker 1: give up three tight end touchdowns. So Jared Cook's in play.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna lose so much sleep. I think you could
Speaker 1: feel my hair going gray or already he's thinking about it.
Speaker 1: I think your original premise of two tight ends is
Speaker 1: is very very You'll see that. I mean people have
Speaker 1: done that and it's still not a very popular way
Speaker 1: to build a line. But I think you'll see it
Speaker 1: more often than not this week, and understandably so. Great
Speaker 1: matchups and and there's something to be said about that
Speaker 1: last game, which I wasn't really didn't have my radar
Speaker 1: on my radar as much the Bucks Saints game. But
Speaker 1: it's the only one indoors to be cold in those
Speaker 1: other games. Maybe on the fast track. I bet it
Speaker 1: has you bet it's got the highest overas second, like
Speaker 1: fifty six and a half. This is like, yeah game,
Speaker 1: so yeah, the other two in the four high forties
Speaker 1: makes sense. Thank you for listening. Fantasy Football Weekly Playoff edition.
Speaker 1: Please subscribe, rate, and review Fantasy Football Weekly, and it
Speaker 1: will be back next week to talk about championship Conference
Speaker 1: championship games. Can't wait to talk to you more then.
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