WEBVTT - Divisional Round Playoffs, Fantasy Style 0:00:01.880 --> 0:00:05.600 Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio. 0:00:07.720 --> 0:00:11.080 Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from I Heart Radio, 0:00:11.320 --> 0:00:15.720 your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation, 0:00:15.880 --> 0:00:19.480 and whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. Now, 0:00:19.520 --> 0:00:26.080 here's your host. Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly. It is 0:00:26.120 --> 0:00:30.000 a divisional round playoff edition of Fantasy Football Weekly. My 0:00:30.080 --> 0:00:34.040 co host is Brian Johnson. Hello, Brian's chart Week nineteen 0:00:34.200 --> 0:00:37.800 my favorite week nineteen. Yeah, yeah, it's it is. It's a. 0:00:37.920 --> 0:00:40.720 It's a it's a great week for football, right all 0:00:40.760 --> 0:00:43.120 the all the good teams are playing right now. You've 0:00:43.159 --> 0:00:45.479 got a couple of surprises in there, which is terrific 0:00:45.520 --> 0:00:48.080 as well. We're gonna break down all the games like 0:00:48.200 --> 0:00:51.320 we usually do on Fantasy Football Weekly. Means that the 0:00:51.400 --> 0:00:56.080 letter grades baby c's and benches, but there's a difference 0:00:56.600 --> 0:00:59.920 this week, uniquely in the playoffs. We know you're not 0:01:00.040 --> 0:01:04.480 making bench start decisions if you're playing in a playoff format, 0:01:04.800 --> 0:01:08.040 so instead we're really orienting this show to DFS players. 0:01:08.720 --> 0:01:11.840 And so what that means, Brian is I want you 0:01:11.880 --> 0:01:17.720 to peg every player's ABC bench grade against the cost 0:01:17.920 --> 0:01:21.040 they have at draft kicks were using draft kicks are model, 0:01:21.080 --> 0:01:25.080 but they're all very similar. So, for example, Patrick Mahomes 0:01:25.080 --> 0:01:27.360 is a real life a no doubt about it. He 0:01:27.400 --> 0:01:30.080 might have the most positive matchup that's on the board, 0:01:30.400 --> 0:01:33.120 but he costs a thousand dollars, so he might not 0:01:33.280 --> 0:01:36.160 be an a graded player. I don't know what grade 0:01:36.200 --> 0:01:37.440 you have on it. He might not be an a 0:01:37.600 --> 0:01:40.440 grade when you weigh it against the eight thousand dollars 0:01:40.440 --> 0:01:43.920 that he costs. So that's the premise of this show, 0:01:44.160 --> 0:01:46.560 so a little bit different. Still get the grades, but 0:01:46.640 --> 0:01:49.840 it's all keyed against DFS value. I like it. Now, 0:01:49.920 --> 0:01:53.400 let's start with the Ravens taking on the Bills. This 0:01:53.480 --> 0:01:58.480 is your matchup in a game between two mobile quarterbacks, 0:01:59.080 --> 0:02:01.880 and I leave. There will be plenty of points in 0:02:01.880 --> 0:02:04.320 this game. How do you see this shakeout? Yeah? I 0:02:04.360 --> 0:02:07.480 hope there is. There's certainly not a big name offensive players, 0:02:07.520 --> 0:02:10.000 but these two defenses are playing pretty well right are 0:02:10.080 --> 0:02:12.520 as well, So I'm a little trepidation for a lot 0:02:12.600 --> 0:02:14.160 of these guys. But we'll start with the Ravens. The 0:02:14.240 --> 0:02:17.000 road team l Jacks of course, he's a seven point 0:02:17.080 --> 0:02:22.040 six case on d k's at the second pricest quarterback 0:02:22.639 --> 0:02:25.520 behind Patrick Mahomes. Now, the Bills have allowed five point 0:02:25.520 --> 0:02:28.400 two yards per carried to quarterbacks and they've surrendered the 0:02:28.400 --> 0:02:31.440 second most rushing touchdowns to the position. That is very 0:02:31.440 --> 0:02:34.880 good juicy for Lamar Jackson, But the Bills are bottom 0:02:34.919 --> 0:02:38.040 ten in passing yards and touchdowns allowed in a bad 0:02:38.080 --> 0:02:40.880 way for in a good their top ten, which is 0:02:40.919 --> 0:02:44.000 bad for Jackson, who already struggles with his passing. Yeah, 0:02:44.000 --> 0:02:46.120 he threw one of the worst interceptions I may have 0:02:46.160 --> 0:02:50.359 seen this century, at least very bad. So yes, you're 0:02:50.400 --> 0:02:54.239 really gonna be heavily leaning on his rushing numbers more 0:02:54.280 --> 0:02:57.040 so than usual. We'll get into his wide receivers in 0:02:57.080 --> 0:02:59.639 a minute, but their matchups are pretty bad, so it's 0:02:59.680 --> 0:03:01.000 all about up the ground on this one. If he 0:03:01.040 --> 0:03:04.040 doesn't sniff at a hundred yards in a touchdown, it's 0:03:04.040 --> 0:03:07.280 a big bus time I gotta see on him. I 0:03:07.320 --> 0:03:09.359 don't like him as much of as a lot of 0:03:09.400 --> 0:03:11.360 the other quarterbacks we didn't get into. UM A little 0:03:11.400 --> 0:03:14.280 nervous about l Jacks and I think his ownership percentage 0:03:14.320 --> 0:03:15.760 will reflect that. I don't think he'll be one of 0:03:15.800 --> 0:03:18.640 the top two on quarterbacks this weekend in bigger tournaments. 0:03:18.919 --> 0:03:22.680 Over his receivers. This won't take too long. Obviously headlined 0:03:22.720 --> 0:03:25.679 by mark He's Brown. He's five thousand, two hundred on 0:03:25.800 --> 0:03:28.680 DK since putting up that goose egg against the Titans 0:03:28.680 --> 0:03:31.560 and weak oleven and people were like dropping him University 0:03:31.639 --> 0:03:35.120 practically six touchdowns over his last seven games, that's including 0:03:35.120 --> 0:03:37.240 the wild Card, and in the two games he didn't 0:03:37.240 --> 0:03:39.400 score during that span, he had six catches for ninety 0:03:39.480 --> 0:03:42.160 eight yards and seven catches for a hundred nine yards. 0:03:42.320 --> 0:03:45.480 He's earned his Hollywood nickname back that people were stripping 0:03:45.480 --> 0:03:51.480 from him in the season. But he gets most likely 0:03:51.920 --> 0:03:54.880 all White and maybe even a corner another corner I 0:03:54.920 --> 0:03:58.240 mean O they're safety and bracket coverage because he's clearly 0:03:58.440 --> 0:04:00.920 the threat at the wide receiver position. Now. Michael Pittman 0:04:01.320 --> 0:04:03.600 had a really good game against her Dabous White last week. 0:04:03.600 --> 0:04:07.240 I was surprised. But Pittman's got six inches and forty 0:04:07.280 --> 0:04:11.600 pounds on Marky's Brown. They're entirely different receivers. So I 0:04:11.640 --> 0:04:13.720 gotta see on Brown. I think people are gonna lean 0:04:13.720 --> 0:04:16.560 towards him because he's been so hot and he's pretty cheap. 0:04:17.160 --> 0:04:19.800 But it's it's pretty much a hard fade for me 0:04:20.160 --> 0:04:24.480 for Marky's Brown and all the other receivers there three there, 0:04:24.480 --> 0:04:27.240 and they're all this punt plays Willis Need, Miles Boykin, 0:04:27.480 --> 0:04:30.800 Dez Bryant their thirty three hundred or less. But I 0:04:30.839 --> 0:04:32.720 think they are better punt plays out there. We'll get 0:04:32.720 --> 0:04:35.320 to those guys. So I'm I'm off the Baltimore wide 0:04:35.320 --> 0:04:37.680 receivers in this one entirely. The one receiver you clearly 0:04:37.680 --> 0:04:41.520 want for the Ravens is Mark Andrews, especially after last 0:04:41.520 --> 0:04:44.080 week when the Colts tight ends put up a combined 0:04:44.160 --> 0:04:46.880 mostly led by Jack Doyle but four team catches a 0:04:46.960 --> 0:04:50.080 hundred and thirty six yards and a touchdown against the Bills, 0:04:50.120 --> 0:04:52.200 who also gave up the most catches too tight ends 0:04:52.520 --> 0:04:57.839 on the season, and K five K for Mark Andrews. 0:04:57.839 --> 0:05:01.400 And he's a guy, he's got receiver two upside in 0:05:01.400 --> 0:05:04.080 this matchup. Clearly you can jam him into your tight 0:05:04.160 --> 0:05:07.600 end spot and feel good about it. But he's also flexor. Yeah, 0:05:07.680 --> 0:05:10.640 this is a strong two tight end weekend for sure. 0:05:10.720 --> 0:05:14.120 So love Andrews. And if you want to get really sneaky, 0:05:14.240 --> 0:05:16.560 you know, unlike past years when they've had like four 0:05:16.920 --> 0:05:20.240 active tight ends on Baltimore, there's just one other guy, 0:05:20.400 --> 0:05:22.920 and he's Eric Tomlinson and he doesn't have a catch 0:05:23.000 --> 0:05:27.120 this year, but he's he's bare minimum. He has no 0:05:27.240 --> 0:05:29.720 catches on the year on the year, but I can't 0:05:29.760 --> 0:05:32.000 start a guy with no catches on the ear. The 0:05:32.000 --> 0:05:35.280 Colts tight ends were targeted like eighteen times last week. 0:05:35.480 --> 0:05:38.800 I mean, I don't know. I'm just saying that you're 0:05:38.880 --> 0:05:41.239 really trying to differentiate and you really want to punt. 0:05:41.640 --> 0:05:45.320 I'm not that that's this is a multi entry type 0:05:45.480 --> 0:05:48.400 right here, but just keep Eric Tomlinson in mind. From 0:05:48.440 --> 0:05:51.400 all right, Um, that's not not that's not it for 0:05:51.400 --> 0:05:53.320 Baltimore will get to the running backs very quick. Not 0:05:53.400 --> 0:05:56.200 a big fan of either JK. Dobbins or Gust Edwards. 0:05:56.240 --> 0:05:59.560 Dobbins six K, Edwards four point two k virtual fifty 0:05:59.600 --> 0:06:02.039 fifties blit last week. I think we see more of 0:06:02.040 --> 0:06:05.200 this towards Edwards. None it does. Dobbins certainly has the 0:06:05.200 --> 0:06:09.320 more potential to pop off, but Gus likely your goal 0:06:09.360 --> 0:06:13.279 line guy, definitely cheaper, Dobbins probably higher own. So if 0:06:13.279 --> 0:06:16.200 I'm forced to pick one, it's Dobbins. But again, if 0:06:16.200 --> 0:06:19.280 I'm doing a one lineup a single jury, it's L 0:06:19.400 --> 0:06:22.480 Jackson Andrews for the Ravens side. Everything else is a 0:06:23.120 --> 0:06:26.200 very much contrarian in this game makes sense over the 0:06:26.279 --> 0:06:29.520 Buffalo side, starting with Josh Allen seven point or K 0:06:30.040 --> 0:06:32.400 comes in a little less than El Jackson's the third 0:06:32.680 --> 0:06:35.520 pricest quarterback. I'm gonna give him a B here. Multiple 0:06:35.520 --> 0:06:37.880 touchdown passes an eight of his last nine games. He 0:06:37.960 --> 0:06:41.240 also has six rushing touchdowns over his last ten games. 0:06:41.600 --> 0:06:44.039 Zack Moss and his team leading twenty eight red zone 0:06:44.080 --> 0:06:47.680 carries gone on. I r those aren't going to Devon's singletary. No, 0:06:47.760 --> 0:06:52.080 I don't think or Antonio Williams, who's even on the 0:06:52.120 --> 0:06:54.279 slate for DK, So we're not gonna talk about them much. 0:06:54.960 --> 0:06:57.679 But it's a tough matchup through the air for Alan 0:06:57.720 --> 0:07:00.200 against the Ravens. Only one quarterback has thrown for more 0:07:00.200 --> 0:07:02.920 than two touchdowns against the Ravens and that was Patrick 0:07:02.960 --> 0:07:06.640 Mahomes in Week three. But Alan has kind of proven 0:07:06.720 --> 0:07:08.800 himself to be matchup proved through the air almost He 0:07:08.800 --> 0:07:10.400 hasn't had a match up this stuff, but he's come 0:07:10.440 --> 0:07:12.960 through in some tough matchup he has, including last week. 0:07:13.000 --> 0:07:16.440 So a very strong B for Alan. He probably my 0:07:16.520 --> 0:07:19.040 second favorite quarterback on the slate. This week. We'll talk 0:07:19.080 --> 0:07:22.880 about my favorite one later um over his receivers, Stefon Digs. 0:07:22.880 --> 0:07:26.040 Everyone loving Steffon right now. Seven point three k On 0:07:26.160 --> 0:07:29.440 d K comes in just under Davante Adams and Price. 0:07:29.520 --> 0:07:32.280 That Ravens have yielded the six sixth most targets to 0:07:32.320 --> 0:07:36.080 wide receivers, but they've allowed the third fewest touchdowns just eleven. 0:07:36.760 --> 0:07:39.560 On the season. Titans white white outs total just six 0:07:39.640 --> 0:07:41.920 nine catches, a hundred and six yards, and a touchdown. 0:07:42.000 --> 0:07:45.960 Last week basically all a J. Brown Corey Davis was blanked. 0:07:46.120 --> 0:07:52.680 Digs very comparable to a J. Brown. Well not just 0:07:53.360 --> 0:07:56.800 not totally different. They're about the same tight, no way, 0:07:56.880 --> 0:07:59.920 a couple inches shorter. Not comparable enough, though, I just 0:08:00.000 --> 0:08:02.440 gotta see on Diggs, Like, you know, I think the 0:08:02.480 --> 0:08:04.280 only way to me that they're comparable is that they're 0:08:04.320 --> 0:08:08.520 both the go to guy for their quarterbacks. But style 0:08:08.600 --> 0:08:11.200 plays really different. I you know, I would, I think 0:08:11.200 --> 0:08:14.440 I'd be worried. You know, they that they blanked Corey Davis. 0:08:14.440 --> 0:08:15.960 Who are they? You know, are they gonna blank a 0:08:16.040 --> 0:08:19.720 receiver this week? Well, the Ravens shut down somebody, they'll 0:08:19.760 --> 0:08:22.680 certainly focus their attention on Diggs because Marlon Humphrey can 0:08:22.720 --> 0:08:25.080 take care of Cole Beasley on the slot. I'm off 0:08:25.120 --> 0:08:29.760 Beasley at four point nine K. Humphreys if not the 0:08:29.760 --> 0:08:32.680 best corners in the NFL. But back to Diggs real quick, 0:08:32.679 --> 0:08:34.400 I think a lot of people are gonna be worried 0:08:34.440 --> 0:08:37.120 about this matchup. So he still has a great GPP play, 0:08:37.200 --> 0:08:41.360 but his fifteen to twenty point floor doesn't seem as 0:08:41.440 --> 0:08:44.640 safe as it does in most weeks. The ceiling is 0:08:44.640 --> 0:08:47.880 certainly there, so he's not a great cash game play 0:08:47.920 --> 0:08:49.800 where you're banking on that safe floor. He does still 0:08:49.800 --> 0:08:51.160 have a very high ceiling. Is one of the best 0:08:51.160 --> 0:08:52.800 wide receivers in the league, but this is a very 0:08:52.800 --> 0:08:54.480 tough matchup, one of the toughest ones he's had in 0:08:54.480 --> 0:08:56.640 a while. And we got to talk about the third 0:08:56.720 --> 0:08:59.959 receiver for Buffalo really quick. It's either Gabriel Davis or 0:09:00.080 --> 0:09:02.599 John Brown. Brown is four point six K, Davis is 0:09:02.640 --> 0:09:06.640 four K. Everyone remembers the highlight real catches, but Davis 0:09:06.640 --> 0:09:08.640 had last We get a couple of great to Drex 0:09:08.640 --> 0:09:13.120 Wag catches. Brown had nothing. He had no receptions, no receptions, 0:09:13.160 --> 0:09:17.080 but John Brown did play of the snaps. He led 0:09:17.120 --> 0:09:19.559 the team in pass routes run. It wasn't like he 0:09:19.640 --> 0:09:21.199 was hobbling around out right, and then he had a 0:09:21.240 --> 0:09:24.200 couple of drops. Brown will probably have the best matchup 0:09:24.280 --> 0:09:26.439 if he's Brown or Davis will have the best matchup. 0:09:26.440 --> 0:09:29.000 Went on the field, most likely, and I'm just gonna 0:09:29.080 --> 0:09:31.560 lean Brown in the revenge game angle if I'm picking 0:09:31.559 --> 0:09:34.040 one of these two guys, because everyone's gonna lean go 0:09:34.200 --> 0:09:36.520 Davis right now. Yeah, everybody's gonna Davis. I like the 0:09:36.520 --> 0:09:40.200 contrarian orientation of that. Obviously high risk, but we know 0:09:40.320 --> 0:09:44.400 that Brown is throughout the course of the season when 0:09:44.400 --> 0:09:46.240 he was on the field, he got targeted, and he 0:09:46.280 --> 0:09:49.600 was generally productive on the targets he got, and everyone's 0:09:49.640 --> 0:09:52.880 gonna be off him, so yes, after the lay off him. 0:09:52.880 --> 0:09:55.040 So I don't love playing the third receiver, but if 0:09:55.040 --> 0:09:57.120 I had to pick one, it's definitely Brown over Davis 0:09:57.160 --> 0:10:00.520 for me. Lastly, for the past catchers, Dawson kN touchdown 0:10:00.600 --> 0:10:02.640 last week, but he's very touchdown dependent. There are too 0:10:02.679 --> 0:10:05.320 many tight ends on this slate. I like Brown's backups 0:10:05.320 --> 0:10:08.040 more than Dawson Knox this week. We'll talk about them later. 0:10:08.480 --> 0:10:12.080 So he's on the bench for me and Devin Singletary 0:10:12.360 --> 0:10:15.120 the lead back four point five k. That's pretty cheap. 0:10:15.240 --> 0:10:18.400 But the Ravens front four's in full force again. They 0:10:18.440 --> 0:10:21.000 showed what they can do when at full steam against 0:10:21.040 --> 0:10:24.200 Derrick Henry last week. So Devin single Darry a very 0:10:24.240 --> 0:10:26.880 contrarian play. He doesn't catch a lot of passes, which 0:10:26.880 --> 0:10:28.840 is weird. I mean, people think he's more like a 0:10:28.880 --> 0:10:31.960 scat back, but he really doesn't get those. He doesn't 0:10:31.960 --> 0:10:34.679 get the receptions you'd think he would. He and for 0:10:34.760 --> 0:10:37.400 him to he's gotta at four point. He's still gotta 0:10:37.440 --> 0:10:39.400 get you to the fifteen draft kings points, and I 0:10:39.400 --> 0:10:41.040 don't like his chances of doing that. He's got a 0:10:41.080 --> 0:10:44.280 score from distance, so I got the running He never score. 0:10:44.360 --> 0:10:48.320 He doesn't score period, from distance or or anywhere else. 0:10:48.640 --> 0:10:50.839 And then I don't your boy, Davante Freeman. Maybe next 0:10:50.840 --> 0:10:53.679 week we'll talk about him. Okay, he's been signed by 0:10:53.679 --> 0:10:56.520 Buffalo to the practice squad. I don't know if he 0:10:56.800 --> 0:11:01.560 is so cooked so cooked? Well, the running back needy 0:11:01.640 --> 0:11:04.160 Giants are like, now we can't even find a carry 0:11:04.200 --> 0:11:08.000 for you. That's a bad sign. In just a second, 0:11:08.040 --> 0:11:11.439 we will break down the Rams taking on the Packers. 0:11:12.040 --> 0:11:13.880 Rams take on the Packers. Let me start with the 0:11:13.880 --> 0:11:18.680 weather here. Um, it's probably not a factor. The Packers 0:11:18.920 --> 0:11:23.559 um are expected to kick off with temperatures in the 0:11:23.600 --> 0:11:29.240 mid thirties tropically, that is unusually tropical for the locals. Yeah. Absolutely, 0:11:29.320 --> 0:11:33.400 and um of note, And maybe I'll even just start 0:11:33.440 --> 0:11:37.880 here with Jared Goff his record in sub freezing games, 0:11:38.120 --> 0:11:42.120 and this is gonna be very close to that freezing level. Es. 0:11:44.880 --> 0:11:48.679 That's right. He's owing to in sub freezing temperatures with 0:11:48.840 --> 0:11:52.040 zero touchdowns and five interceptions. And he wasn't coming off 0:11:52.120 --> 0:11:56.000 thumb surgery and exactly. You know, the good news is 0:11:56.040 --> 0:11:58.800 just the atmosphere will be icing his thumb all the time. 0:11:58.920 --> 0:12:02.719 So maybe there's that. Um he's and Jared Goff is 0:12:02.760 --> 0:12:06.280 too expensive at any price. Yeah. Uh. He is throwing 0:12:06.280 --> 0:12:08.560 the ball poorly, and that was before the thumb injury. 0:12:08.960 --> 0:12:12.360 His confidence looks shattered. He has thrown zero or one 0:12:12.679 --> 0:12:15.960 touchdown in five of the past six games, and the 0:12:16.000 --> 0:12:19.600 Packers have allowed zero or one touchdown pass in five 0:12:19.600 --> 0:12:21.480 straight games. I mean, he's sitting at zero or one 0:12:21.520 --> 0:12:24.120 touchdown for this game. I want nothing to do with 0:12:24.200 --> 0:12:27.080 Jared Goff, and that means I'm not crazy about his 0:12:27.160 --> 0:12:31.160 receivers either. Cooper Cups got a knee injury and did 0:12:31.160 --> 0:12:34.559 not practice Wednesday Thursday, shaping up as a game time decision. 0:12:35.160 --> 0:12:38.640 He finished last week's game, so I want to believe 0:12:38.679 --> 0:12:42.079 he could play here, but um, I don't know for sure, 0:12:42.200 --> 0:12:46.640 and that worries me. And his matchup is fair. He 0:12:46.679 --> 0:12:49.880 goes up in the slot against Chandon Sullivan, who is 0:12:49.920 --> 0:12:51.920 not bad and believe he's given up just two touchdowns 0:12:51.920 --> 0:12:54.400 all year, but he's also not great. Cups better when 0:12:54.440 --> 0:12:57.840 fully healthy. Uh Sullivan did Allo would touchdown to Johannu 0:12:57.920 --> 0:13:01.079 Johannu two weeks ago in his coverage, So that was 0:13:01.400 --> 0:13:03.240 there's a little bit of note there. But Cooper cup 0:13:03.280 --> 0:13:06.040 comes at Bucks. I've got him on a bench grade 0:13:06.200 --> 0:13:08.559 because of the injury. A full at full health, I 0:13:08.559 --> 0:13:10.640 would give him more like a C grade. Glad he's playing. 0:13:10.640 --> 0:13:13.160 He looked like he was done for the year last week. 0:13:13.240 --> 0:13:18.199 I context it was I was nervous for sure, um 0:13:18.360 --> 0:13:21.000 staying with the receivers. Robert Woods on the bench. Green 0:13:21.040 --> 0:13:23.960 Bay hasn't allowed a wide receiver touchdown in five straight games, 0:13:24.240 --> 0:13:26.800 and it most often see Jaire Alexander, and that is 0:13:26.840 --> 0:13:29.920 a disaster. Scenario against one of the five best coverage 0:13:29.960 --> 0:13:34.160 cornerbacks in the NFL. Goffs struggles have taken Woods with him, 0:13:34.160 --> 0:13:36.760 and he has not topped fifty six yards and five 0:13:36.880 --> 0:13:41.000 straight games for Robert Woods, who comes in at dred dollars. 0:13:41.080 --> 0:13:44.040 That is a bench for me as well. I've got 0:13:44.080 --> 0:13:48.240 a C grade on Josh Reynolds because he's going to 0:13:48.240 --> 0:13:51.280 see Kevin King, by far the Packers worst coverage cornerback. 0:13:51.600 --> 0:13:53.920 King's giving up a passer rating of one hundred six 0:13:54.000 --> 0:13:57.600 and sev the passes in his coverage are completed I 0:13:57.679 --> 0:14:01.880 think at thirty two hundred and knowing that the Rams 0:14:01.920 --> 0:14:03.800 will probably trail for a lot of this, the path 0:14:03.840 --> 0:14:06.280 of least resistance through the air is that Josh Reynolds. Yeah, 0:14:06.320 --> 0:14:08.160 I was. I was on Reynolds last week, right around 0:14:08.160 --> 0:14:10.000 the same price as a punt play. I think he 0:14:10.080 --> 0:14:11.720 goose egg too. If if you didn't he had like 0:14:11.760 --> 0:14:13.720 one point something to help, people are gonna be off him, 0:14:13.760 --> 0:14:15.800 but I'm gonna. I'm gonna get back on it again. 0:14:15.800 --> 0:14:18.920 So I like that. Okay, let's go uh oh. Other 0:14:19.000 --> 0:14:22.000 receivers Higbie and Evert are dead to us. They're they're cheap, 0:14:22.080 --> 0:14:24.040 but the Packers are good versus tight ends, and they 0:14:24.080 --> 0:14:27.280 just cannabalize each other. So they're they're outbench. Now let's 0:14:27.320 --> 0:14:31.480 go to the running backs. Cam Acres fifty seven hundred 0:14:31.480 --> 0:14:36.800 bucks a Grade Brian massive usage the last two games 0:14:36.800 --> 0:14:40.600 with fifty two touches in the last two games, and 0:14:40.640 --> 0:14:42.800 the only way the Rams win this game is if 0:14:42.960 --> 0:14:47.960 cam Acres has a massive massive games. In the Packers 0:14:48.200 --> 0:14:50.800 last game, David mctgomery rolled up a hundred thirty combo 0:14:50.840 --> 0:14:54.160 yards in a score. Before that, Derrick Henry yards before that, 0:14:54.280 --> 0:14:57.600 Carolinas hodgepodge of runners top to one hundred total yards 0:14:57.600 --> 0:15:00.520 before that, DeAndre Swift scored. You get the idea. Yeah, 0:15:00.560 --> 0:15:04.680 Green Bay's a good past defense. They are a medium 0:15:04.760 --> 0:15:08.280 bad run defense. That's all going to come back to 0:15:08.280 --> 0:15:12.520 golf though. Sadly, he's got to be able to God's 0:15:12.560 --> 0:15:14.880 God's gonna give very little here, but they're gonna have 0:15:15.080 --> 0:15:17.680 to run Acres. He's gonna have to prove he can 0:15:17.720 --> 0:15:21.840 do something. They're just gonna stack that box Corles now, 0:15:22.160 --> 0:15:24.960 now the path, there's no guarantee that Acres will get 0:15:25.000 --> 0:15:27.760 a lot done here. The Packers were able to contain 0:15:27.800 --> 0:15:30.880 Derrick Henry recently, but still I think Acres gets enough 0:15:30.960 --> 0:15:32.600 use that I'm keeping the A grade on him. You 0:15:32.600 --> 0:15:34.400 could throw a dart at Malcolm Brown if you want. 0:15:34.680 --> 0:15:36.720 He's uh, the Rams are going to run a lot. 0:15:36.920 --> 0:15:39.280 He got ten touches last week, which is enough to 0:15:39.320 --> 0:15:41.760 get something done from a DFS standpoint. You know, if 0:15:41.760 --> 0:15:43.800 you can get to ten touches, you know you got 0:15:43.880 --> 0:15:47.560 a chance. Um. And maybe with all the use of 0:15:47.680 --> 0:15:52.080 Acres has gotten lately, they'll want to diversify a little bit. 0:15:52.440 --> 0:15:56.360 So Malcolm Brown at is a C grade for me. 0:15:56.400 --> 0:15:58.680 I like, Okay, it's got to the green Bay side 0:15:59.120 --> 0:16:04.000 Green Bay as similar storyline. Far easier to run on 0:16:04.160 --> 0:16:06.840 the Rams than pass on the rams. The Rams are 0:16:07.440 --> 0:16:10.320 the best past defense in the NFL. So I think 0:16:10.320 --> 0:16:13.680 we're going to see a ton of Aaron Jones, who 0:16:13.720 --> 0:16:17.240 is an A grade at sixty eight hundred dollars. The 0:16:17.280 --> 0:16:20.640 path of LEAs resistance, as I mentioned, is on the ground. Um, 0:16:20.720 --> 0:16:24.080 David Bactr's out, So another reason not to put Aaron 0:16:24.160 --> 0:16:26.800 Rodgers at risk and to run the ball more. And 0:16:26.920 --> 0:16:29.200 I know fantasy owners are gonna look at Aaron Jones 0:16:29.360 --> 0:16:32.400 modest use. The last few games ten he had ten 0:16:32.480 --> 0:16:37.120 touches and eleven touches well rushes and they're gonna say, well, 0:16:37.000 --> 0:16:39.720 well that's not enough carries. They were saving him for 0:16:39.880 --> 0:16:43.480 the playoffs and breaking news, it's the playoffs. It's time. 0:16:43.600 --> 0:16:46.800 It's time. They're gonna unleash their best running back, Aaron 0:16:46.880 --> 0:16:50.160 Jones a better right now. Now the Rams are good, 0:16:50.360 --> 0:16:51.920 They're not. We're not. This is not gonna be an 0:16:51.920 --> 0:16:53.960 A J. Dillon game like we got two weeks ago. 0:16:54.200 --> 0:16:57.400 Two games ago. Uh No, runners top sixty nine yards 0:16:57.400 --> 0:16:59.720 since Week two against the Rams. There's a good run 0:16:59.800 --> 0:17:01.960 d and so no, don't make it like he's gonna 0:17:02.000 --> 0:17:04.440 just run through this. But they've also seen some really 0:17:04.720 --> 0:17:09.879 really weak rushers through much of the season. Kenyan Drake, 0:17:10.280 --> 0:17:13.520 Damien Harris, Frank Gore. It's got I think, I think 0:17:13.600 --> 0:17:16.120 Jones is sitting on a potentially very big game here, 0:17:16.200 --> 0:17:20.680 and those rushers didn't have an Aaron Rodgers Davante Adams 0:17:21.240 --> 0:17:25.080 right exactly. Um Sticking with the running backs, Jamal Williams 0:17:25.080 --> 0:17:27.359 is a C grade at forty four hundred. His usage 0:17:27.400 --> 0:17:30.000 has been low but might get an uptick here in 0:17:30.040 --> 0:17:32.920 the second half of the season. He's averaged just eight 0:17:32.960 --> 0:17:36.040 touches and scored just two times. He's a pretty good 0:17:36.119 --> 0:17:38.840 runner um, but again, I think the majority of it 0:17:38.880 --> 0:17:41.920 goes to Aaron Jones. Okay, let's go to the passing game. 0:17:42.240 --> 0:17:45.720 I've just got a B grade on on Aaron Rodgers 0:17:45.720 --> 0:17:49.159 at Dollars. I would rather have Josh Allen, who you 0:17:49.760 --> 0:17:53.679 highlighted earlier. He's insanely hot, three or four touchdowns in 0:17:53.760 --> 0:17:57.080 six of the past seven games, which is awesome. And 0:17:57.200 --> 0:18:00.600 I wouldn't blame anybody Brian who feels they just want 0:18:00.600 --> 0:18:02.520 to bank on Rodgers regardless of opponent where you I 0:18:02.520 --> 0:18:04.280 don't even care what the opponent is. I just want 0:18:04.280 --> 0:18:09.040 Aaron Aaron Rodgers. Okay, that's viable. But understand, the Rams 0:18:09.040 --> 0:18:14.280 secondary is so good that the Rams secondaries basically having 0:18:14.400 --> 0:18:19.560 the defensive season that Aaron Rodgers is having. Offensively, they 0:18:19.640 --> 0:18:23.560 rank number one in passing yards allowed, Number one in 0:18:23.600 --> 0:18:28.920 passing touchdowns allowed, Number one in touchdown percentage allowed, passing 0:18:28.920 --> 0:18:34.359 touchdown percentage allowed. And if Jalen Ramsey can hold serve 0:18:34.440 --> 0:18:39.119 with Davante Adams, Rogers got to help. Gotta find help elsewhere, 0:18:39.160 --> 0:18:42.560 and there aren't many good options other than Davante Adams 0:18:42.560 --> 0:18:45.280 who will pivot two. Now he only gets a C 0:18:45.520 --> 0:18:48.720 grade from me because he's eighties, six hundred dollars and 0:18:48.720 --> 0:18:51.840 he's gonna see a ton of Jalen Ramsey. Not every play, 0:18:51.880 --> 0:18:54.560 but he's gonna get a lot of Ramsey. Ramsey ranks 0:18:54.640 --> 0:18:58.640 number one in yards allowed per coverage snap at one 0:18:58.720 --> 0:19:01.800 half of a yard. Rams allowed the fewest wide receiver 0:19:01.920 --> 0:19:05.800 touchdowns just seven. They were allowed the fewest receiving yards 0:19:05.800 --> 0:19:10.440 to wide receivers just one hundred thirty per game. That's it. Yeah, 0:19:10.440 --> 0:19:13.679 it'll be fast fascinating to see the ownership percentages for 0:19:13.800 --> 0:19:16.240 Rogers and Adams will be the lowest they've been in 0:19:16.280 --> 0:19:19.720 the last twelve weeks probably, and that's when it's been 0:19:20.560 --> 0:19:23.000 all the teams playing. There's only four teams and they're 0:19:23.000 --> 0:19:25.320 gonna be probably the lowest they've been. And I just 0:19:25.320 --> 0:19:27.800 want to mention real quick, I was off DK Metcalf 0:19:27.880 --> 0:19:30.440 last week because of Jalen Ramsey. He ended up having 0:19:30.440 --> 0:19:35.520 a great game statistically. The first touchdown was on the 0:19:35.560 --> 0:19:38.560 other side of the Fiel got one secondary and then 0:19:38.600 --> 0:19:41.560 the second touchdown the Rams are playing pre event from 0:19:41.560 --> 0:19:43.840 the eight yard line, right they let him score. I mean, 0:19:44.040 --> 0:19:48.720 so there's smoking mirrors there for sure, so too. But yeah, 0:19:48.880 --> 0:19:50.399 like you said, people just gonna want to have I 0:19:50.400 --> 0:19:53.240 can't fault anyone just plugging in Rogers and Adams and 0:19:53.359 --> 0:19:55.320 seeing what they can do, because you're gonna get him 0:19:55.400 --> 0:19:58.800 under ten percent. And that's that's insane. Um, let's talk 0:19:58.800 --> 0:20:03.399 about the other receivers. Allen Lazard, marquees Velde Scantling for 0:20:03.480 --> 0:20:06.240 Lozardi comes in a thirty D. But I still can't 0:20:06.240 --> 0:20:08.080 do it. He runs from the slot where he's gonna 0:20:08.080 --> 0:20:10.280 see Troy Hill, who's one of the best lock corners. 0:20:10.440 --> 0:20:13.080 Hills allowed one touchdown all year. Last week. He held 0:20:13.080 --> 0:20:17.400 Tyler Lockett the two catches last week. So Lizard's dead. 0:20:17.480 --> 0:20:20.960 So is marquess Velde Scantling, who's at eight hundred. He's uh, 0:20:21.000 --> 0:20:23.240 he's an all He's probably the most all or nothing 0:20:23.240 --> 0:20:26.800 wide receiver in football. And when he doesn't score a touchdown, 0:20:27.160 --> 0:20:31.119 his average game for MBS, his average game when he 0:20:31.160 --> 0:20:34.000 does not score is one catch for twenty four yards. 0:20:34.720 --> 0:20:36.320 I don't want any part of that. In a tough 0:20:36.400 --> 0:20:40.720 matchup against surging cornerback Darius Williams, who actually has a 0:20:40.800 --> 0:20:44.200 higher Pro Football Focus coverage rating than Jalen Ramsey, does, 0:20:44.880 --> 0:20:47.960 so he's dead to us too. And here's your Here 0:20:48.119 --> 0:20:51.280 is I think the best play that there is among 0:20:51.320 --> 0:20:56.760 the receiving options, and it's Robert Touny In. Rams have 0:20:56.800 --> 0:20:59.359 allowed three tight end scores in the last five games, 0:20:59.640 --> 0:21:04.399 and the sort of Jacob Hollister, Dan Arnold and Dan Arnold. Yeah, 0:21:04.520 --> 0:21:07.040 I love it. It's possible that no team saw a 0:21:07.080 --> 0:21:10.600 weaker slate of tight ends than the Rams this day. 0:21:10.680 --> 0:21:12.679 The Rams have faced almost no good tight ends. The 0:21:12.720 --> 0:21:16.359 one good time they faced was George Kittle, and Kindle 0:21:16.440 --> 0:21:18.440 rocked him for a hundred nine yards and one touchdown. 0:21:18.920 --> 0:21:22.160 I contested the Anold is good, but okay, he's not 0:21:22.240 --> 0:21:25.000 George Kittle. I he's not even I will not admit 0:21:25.200 --> 0:21:28.119