1 00:00:01,880 --> 00:00:05,600 Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio. 2 00:00:07,720 --> 00:00:11,080 Speaker 1: Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from I Heart Radio, 3 00:00:11,320 --> 00:00:15,720 Speaker 1: your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation, 4 00:00:15,880 --> 00:00:19,480 Speaker 1: and whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. Now, 5 00:00:19,520 --> 00:00:26,080 Speaker 1: here's your host. Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly. It is 6 00:00:26,120 --> 00:00:30,000 Speaker 1: a divisional round playoff edition of Fantasy Football Weekly. My 7 00:00:30,080 --> 00:00:34,040 Speaker 1: co host is Brian Johnson. Hello, Brian's chart Week nineteen 8 00:00:34,200 --> 00:00:37,800 Speaker 1: my favorite week nineteen. Yeah, yeah, it's it is. It's a. 9 00:00:37,920 --> 00:00:40,720 Speaker 1: It's a it's a great week for football, right all 10 00:00:40,760 --> 00:00:43,120 Speaker 1: the all the good teams are playing right now. You've 11 00:00:43,159 --> 00:00:45,479 Speaker 1: got a couple of surprises in there, which is terrific 12 00:00:45,520 --> 00:00:48,080 Speaker 1: as well. We're gonna break down all the games like 13 00:00:48,200 --> 00:00:51,320 Speaker 1: we usually do on Fantasy Football Weekly. Means that the 14 00:00:51,400 --> 00:00:56,080 Speaker 1: letter grades baby c's and benches, but there's a difference 15 00:00:56,600 --> 00:00:59,920 Speaker 1: this week, uniquely in the playoffs. We know you're not 16 00:01:00,040 --> 00:01:04,480 Speaker 1: making bench start decisions if you're playing in a playoff format, 17 00:01:04,800 --> 00:01:08,040 Speaker 1: so instead we're really orienting this show to DFS players. 18 00:01:08,720 --> 00:01:11,840 Speaker 1: And so what that means, Brian is I want you 19 00:01:11,880 --> 00:01:17,720 Speaker 1: to peg every player's ABC bench grade against the cost 20 00:01:17,920 --> 00:01:21,040 Speaker 1: they have at draft kicks were using draft kicks are model, 21 00:01:21,080 --> 00:01:25,080 Speaker 1: but they're all very similar. So, for example, Patrick Mahomes 22 00:01:25,080 --> 00:01:27,360 Speaker 1: is a real life a no doubt about it. He 23 00:01:27,400 --> 00:01:30,080 Speaker 1: might have the most positive matchup that's on the board, 24 00:01:30,400 --> 00:01:33,120 Speaker 1: but he costs a thousand dollars, so he might not 25 00:01:33,280 --> 00:01:36,160 Speaker 1: be an a graded player. I don't know what grade 26 00:01:36,200 --> 00:01:37,440 Speaker 1: you have on it. He might not be an a 27 00:01:37,600 --> 00:01:40,440 Speaker 1: grade when you weigh it against the eight thousand dollars 28 00:01:40,440 --> 00:01:43,920 Speaker 1: that he costs. So that's the premise of this show, 29 00:01:44,160 --> 00:01:46,560 Speaker 1: so a little bit different. Still get the grades, but 30 00:01:46,640 --> 00:01:49,840 Speaker 1: it's all keyed against DFS value. I like it. Now, 31 00:01:49,920 --> 00:01:53,400 Speaker 1: let's start with the Ravens taking on the Bills. This 32 00:01:53,480 --> 00:01:58,480 Speaker 1: is your matchup in a game between two mobile quarterbacks, 33 00:01:59,080 --> 00:02:01,880 Speaker 1: and I leave. There will be plenty of points in 34 00:02:01,880 --> 00:02:04,320 Speaker 1: this game. How do you see this shakeout? Yeah? I 35 00:02:04,360 --> 00:02:07,480 Speaker 1: hope there is. There's certainly not a big name offensive players, 36 00:02:07,520 --> 00:02:10,000 Speaker 1: but these two defenses are playing pretty well right are 37 00:02:10,080 --> 00:02:12,520 Speaker 1: as well, So I'm a little trepidation for a lot 38 00:02:12,600 --> 00:02:14,160 Speaker 1: of these guys. But we'll start with the Ravens. The 39 00:02:14,240 --> 00:02:17,000 Speaker 1: road team l Jacks of course, he's a seven point 40 00:02:17,080 --> 00:02:22,040 Speaker 1: six case on d k's at the second pricest quarterback 41 00:02:22,639 --> 00:02:25,520 Speaker 1: behind Patrick Mahomes. Now, the Bills have allowed five point 42 00:02:25,520 --> 00:02:28,400 Speaker 1: two yards per carried to quarterbacks and they've surrendered the 43 00:02:28,400 --> 00:02:31,440 Speaker 1: second most rushing touchdowns to the position. That is very 44 00:02:31,440 --> 00:02:34,880 Speaker 1: good juicy for Lamar Jackson, But the Bills are bottom 45 00:02:34,919 --> 00:02:38,040 Speaker 1: ten in passing yards and touchdowns allowed in a bad 46 00:02:38,080 --> 00:02:40,880 Speaker 1: way for in a good their top ten, which is 47 00:02:40,919 --> 00:02:44,000 Speaker 1: bad for Jackson, who already struggles with his passing. Yeah, 48 00:02:44,000 --> 00:02:46,120 Speaker 1: he threw one of the worst interceptions I may have 49 00:02:46,160 --> 00:02:50,359 Speaker 1: seen this century, at least very bad. So yes, you're 50 00:02:50,400 --> 00:02:54,239 Speaker 1: really gonna be heavily leaning on his rushing numbers more 51 00:02:54,280 --> 00:02:57,040 Speaker 1: so than usual. We'll get into his wide receivers in 52 00:02:57,080 --> 00:02:59,639 Speaker 1: a minute, but their matchups are pretty bad, so it's 53 00:02:59,680 --> 00:03:01,000 Speaker 1: all about up the ground on this one. If he 54 00:03:01,040 --> 00:03:04,040 Speaker 1: doesn't sniff at a hundred yards in a touchdown, it's 55 00:03:04,040 --> 00:03:07,280 Speaker 1: a big bus time I gotta see on him. I 56 00:03:07,320 --> 00:03:09,359 Speaker 1: don't like him as much of as a lot of 57 00:03:09,400 --> 00:03:11,360 Speaker 1: the other quarterbacks we didn't get into. UM A little 58 00:03:11,400 --> 00:03:14,280 Speaker 1: nervous about l Jacks and I think his ownership percentage 59 00:03:14,320 --> 00:03:15,760 Speaker 1: will reflect that. I don't think he'll be one of 60 00:03:15,800 --> 00:03:18,640 Speaker 1: the top two on quarterbacks this weekend in bigger tournaments. 61 00:03:18,919 --> 00:03:22,680 Speaker 1: Over his receivers. This won't take too long. Obviously headlined 62 00:03:22,720 --> 00:03:25,679 Speaker 1: by mark He's Brown. He's five thousand, two hundred on 63 00:03:25,800 --> 00:03:28,680 Speaker 1: DK since putting up that goose egg against the Titans 64 00:03:28,680 --> 00:03:31,560 Speaker 1: and weak oleven and people were like dropping him University 65 00:03:31,639 --> 00:03:35,120 Speaker 1: practically six touchdowns over his last seven games, that's including 66 00:03:35,120 --> 00:03:37,240 Speaker 1: the wild Card, and in the two games he didn't 67 00:03:37,240 --> 00:03:39,400 Speaker 1: score during that span, he had six catches for ninety 68 00:03:39,480 --> 00:03:42,160 Speaker 1: eight yards and seven catches for a hundred nine yards. 69 00:03:42,320 --> 00:03:45,480 Speaker 1: He's earned his Hollywood nickname back that people were stripping 70 00:03:45,480 --> 00:03:51,480 Speaker 1: from him in the season. But he gets most likely 71 00:03:51,920 --> 00:03:54,880 Speaker 1: all White and maybe even a corner another corner I 72 00:03:54,920 --> 00:03:58,240 Speaker 1: mean O they're safety and bracket coverage because he's clearly 73 00:03:58,440 --> 00:04:00,920 Speaker 1: the threat at the wide receiver position. Now. Michael Pittman 74 00:04:01,320 --> 00:04:03,600 Speaker 1: had a really good game against her Dabous White last week. 75 00:04:03,600 --> 00:04:07,240 Speaker 1: I was surprised. But Pittman's got six inches and forty 76 00:04:07,280 --> 00:04:11,600 Speaker 1: pounds on Marky's Brown. They're entirely different receivers. So I 77 00:04:11,640 --> 00:04:13,720 Speaker 1: gotta see on Brown. I think people are gonna lean 78 00:04:13,720 --> 00:04:16,560 Speaker 1: towards him because he's been so hot and he's pretty cheap. 79 00:04:17,160 --> 00:04:19,800 Speaker 1: But it's it's pretty much a hard fade for me 80 00:04:20,160 --> 00:04:24,480 Speaker 1: for Marky's Brown and all the other receivers there three there, 81 00:04:24,480 --> 00:04:27,240 Speaker 1: and they're all this punt plays Willis Need, Miles Boykin, 82 00:04:27,480 --> 00:04:30,800 Speaker 1: Dez Bryant their thirty three hundred or less. But I 83 00:04:30,839 --> 00:04:32,720 Speaker 1: think they are better punt plays out there. We'll get 84 00:04:32,720 --> 00:04:35,320 Speaker 1: to those guys. So I'm I'm off the Baltimore wide 85 00:04:35,320 --> 00:04:37,680 Speaker 1: receivers in this one entirely. The one receiver you clearly 86 00:04:37,680 --> 00:04:41,520 Speaker 1: want for the Ravens is Mark Andrews, especially after last 87 00:04:41,520 --> 00:04:44,080 Speaker 1: week when the Colts tight ends put up a combined 88 00:04:44,160 --> 00:04:46,880 Speaker 1: mostly led by Jack Doyle but four team catches a 89 00:04:46,960 --> 00:04:50,080 Speaker 1: hundred and thirty six yards and a touchdown against the Bills, 90 00:04:50,120 --> 00:04:52,200 Speaker 1: who also gave up the most catches too tight ends 91 00:04:52,520 --> 00:04:57,839 Speaker 1: on the season, and K five K for Mark Andrews. 92 00:04:57,839 --> 00:05:01,400 Speaker 1: And he's a guy, he's got receiver two upside in 93 00:05:01,400 --> 00:05:04,080 Speaker 1: this matchup. Clearly you can jam him into your tight 94 00:05:04,160 --> 00:05:07,600 Speaker 1: end spot and feel good about it. But he's also flexor. Yeah, 95 00:05:07,680 --> 00:05:10,640 Speaker 1: this is a strong two tight end weekend for sure. 96 00:05:10,720 --> 00:05:14,120 Speaker 1: So love Andrews. And if you want to get really sneaky, 97 00:05:14,240 --> 00:05:16,560 Speaker 1: you know, unlike past years when they've had like four 98 00:05:16,920 --> 00:05:20,240 Speaker 1: active tight ends on Baltimore, there's just one other guy, 99 00:05:20,400 --> 00:05:22,920 Speaker 1: and he's Eric Tomlinson and he doesn't have a catch 100 00:05:23,000 --> 00:05:27,120 Speaker 1: this year, but he's he's bare minimum. He has no 101 00:05:27,240 --> 00:05:29,720 Speaker 1: catches on the year on the year, but I can't 102 00:05:29,760 --> 00:05:32,000 Speaker 1: start a guy with no catches on the ear. The 103 00:05:32,000 --> 00:05:35,280 Speaker 1: Colts tight ends were targeted like eighteen times last week. 104 00:05:35,480 --> 00:05:38,800 Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know. I'm just saying that you're 105 00:05:38,880 --> 00:05:41,239 Speaker 1: really trying to differentiate and you really want to punt. 106 00:05:41,640 --> 00:05:45,320 Speaker 1: I'm not that that's this is a multi entry type 107 00:05:45,480 --> 00:05:48,400 Speaker 1: right here, but just keep Eric Tomlinson in mind. From 108 00:05:48,440 --> 00:05:51,400 Speaker 1: all right, Um, that's not not that's not it for 109 00:05:51,400 --> 00:05:53,320 Speaker 1: Baltimore will get to the running backs very quick. Not 110 00:05:53,400 --> 00:05:56,200 Speaker 1: a big fan of either JK. Dobbins or Gust Edwards. 111 00:05:56,240 --> 00:05:59,560 Speaker 1: Dobbins six K, Edwards four point two k virtual fifty 112 00:05:59,600 --> 00:06:02,039 Speaker 1: fifties blit last week. I think we see more of 113 00:06:02,040 --> 00:06:05,200 Speaker 1: this towards Edwards. None it does. Dobbins certainly has the 114 00:06:05,200 --> 00:06:09,320 Speaker 1: more potential to pop off, but Gus likely your goal 115 00:06:09,360 --> 00:06:13,279 Speaker 1: line guy, definitely cheaper, Dobbins probably higher own. So if 116 00:06:13,279 --> 00:06:16,200 Speaker 1: I'm forced to pick one, it's Dobbins. But again, if 117 00:06:16,200 --> 00:06:19,280 Speaker 1: I'm doing a one lineup a single jury, it's L 118 00:06:19,400 --> 00:06:22,480 Speaker 1: Jackson Andrews for the Ravens side. Everything else is a 119 00:06:23,120 --> 00:06:26,200 Speaker 1: very much contrarian in this game makes sense over the 120 00:06:26,279 --> 00:06:29,520 Speaker 1: Buffalo side, starting with Josh Allen seven point or K 121 00:06:30,040 --> 00:06:32,400 Speaker 1: comes in a little less than El Jackson's the third 122 00:06:32,680 --> 00:06:35,520 Speaker 1: pricest quarterback. I'm gonna give him a B here. Multiple 123 00:06:35,520 --> 00:06:37,880 Speaker 1: touchdown passes an eight of his last nine games. He 124 00:06:37,960 --> 00:06:41,240 Speaker 1: also has six rushing touchdowns over his last ten games. 125 00:06:41,600 --> 00:06:44,039 Speaker 1: Zack Moss and his team leading twenty eight red zone 126 00:06:44,080 --> 00:06:47,680 Speaker 1: carries gone on. I r those aren't going to Devon's singletary. No, 127 00:06:47,760 --> 00:06:52,080 Speaker 1: I don't think or Antonio Williams, who's even on the 128 00:06:52,120 --> 00:06:54,279 Speaker 1: slate for DK, So we're not gonna talk about them much. 129 00:06:54,960 --> 00:06:57,679 Speaker 1: But it's a tough matchup through the air for Alan 130 00:06:57,720 --> 00:07:00,200 Speaker 1: against the Ravens. Only one quarterback has thrown for more 131 00:07:00,200 --> 00:07:02,920 Speaker 1: than two touchdowns against the Ravens and that was Patrick 132 00:07:02,960 --> 00:07:06,640 Speaker 1: Mahomes in Week three. But Alan has kind of proven 133 00:07:06,720 --> 00:07:08,800 Speaker 1: himself to be matchup proved through the air almost He 134 00:07:08,800 --> 00:07:10,400 Speaker 1: hasn't had a match up this stuff, but he's come 135 00:07:10,440 --> 00:07:12,960 Speaker 1: through in some tough matchup he has, including last week. 136 00:07:13,000 --> 00:07:16,440 Speaker 1: So a very strong B for Alan. He probably my 137 00:07:16,520 --> 00:07:19,040 Speaker 1: second favorite quarterback on the slate. This week. We'll talk 138 00:07:19,080 --> 00:07:22,880 Speaker 1: about my favorite one later um over his receivers, Stefon Digs. 139 00:07:22,880 --> 00:07:26,040 Speaker 1: Everyone loving Steffon right now. Seven point three k On 140 00:07:26,160 --> 00:07:29,440 Speaker 1: d K comes in just under Davante Adams and Price. 141 00:07:29,520 --> 00:07:32,280 Speaker 1: That Ravens have yielded the six sixth most targets to 142 00:07:32,320 --> 00:07:36,080 Speaker 1: wide receivers, but they've allowed the third fewest touchdowns just eleven. 143 00:07:36,760 --> 00:07:39,560 Speaker 1: On the season. Titans white white outs total just six 144 00:07:39,640 --> 00:07:41,920 Speaker 1: nine catches, a hundred and six yards, and a touchdown. 145 00:07:42,000 --> 00:07:45,960 Speaker 1: Last week basically all a J. Brown Corey Davis was blanked. 146 00:07:46,120 --> 00:07:52,680 Speaker 1: Digs very comparable to a J. Brown. Well not just 147 00:07:53,360 --> 00:07:56,800 Speaker 1: not totally different. They're about the same tight, no way, 148 00:07:56,880 --> 00:07:59,920 Speaker 1: a couple inches shorter. Not comparable enough, though, I just 149 00:08:00,000 --> 00:08:02,440 Speaker 1: gotta see on Diggs, Like, you know, I think the 150 00:08:02,480 --> 00:08:04,280 Speaker 1: only way to me that they're comparable is that they're 151 00:08:04,320 --> 00:08:08,520 Speaker 1: both the go to guy for their quarterbacks. But style 152 00:08:08,600 --> 00:08:11,200 Speaker 1: plays really different. I you know, I would, I think 153 00:08:11,200 --> 00:08:14,440 Speaker 1: I'd be worried. You know, they that they blanked Corey Davis. 154 00:08:14,440 --> 00:08:15,960 Speaker 1: Who are they? You know, are they gonna blank a 155 00:08:16,040 --> 00:08:19,720 Speaker 1: receiver this week? Well, the Ravens shut down somebody, they'll 156 00:08:19,760 --> 00:08:22,680 Speaker 1: certainly focus their attention on Diggs because Marlon Humphrey can 157 00:08:22,720 --> 00:08:25,080 Speaker 1: take care of Cole Beasley on the slot. I'm off 158 00:08:25,120 --> 00:08:29,760 Speaker 1: Beasley at four point nine K. Humphreys if not the 159 00:08:29,760 --> 00:08:32,680 Speaker 1: best corners in the NFL. But back to Diggs real quick, 160 00:08:32,679 --> 00:08:34,400 Speaker 1: I think a lot of people are gonna be worried 161 00:08:34,440 --> 00:08:37,120 Speaker 1: about this matchup. So he still has a great GPP play, 162 00:08:37,200 --> 00:08:41,360 Speaker 1: but his fifteen to twenty point floor doesn't seem as 163 00:08:41,440 --> 00:08:44,640 Speaker 1: safe as it does in most weeks. The ceiling is 164 00:08:44,640 --> 00:08:47,880 Speaker 1: certainly there, so he's not a great cash game play 165 00:08:47,920 --> 00:08:49,800 Speaker 1: where you're banking on that safe floor. He does still 166 00:08:49,800 --> 00:08:51,160 Speaker 1: have a very high ceiling. Is one of the best 167 00:08:51,160 --> 00:08:52,800 Speaker 1: wide receivers in the league, but this is a very 168 00:08:52,800 --> 00:08:54,480 Speaker 1: tough matchup, one of the toughest ones he's had in 169 00:08:54,480 --> 00:08:56,640 Speaker 1: a while. And we got to talk about the third 170 00:08:56,720 --> 00:08:59,959 Speaker 1: receiver for Buffalo really quick. It's either Gabriel Davis or 171 00:09:00,080 --> 00:09:02,599 Speaker 1: John Brown. Brown is four point six K, Davis is 172 00:09:02,640 --> 00:09:06,640 Speaker 1: four K. Everyone remembers the highlight real catches, but Davis 173 00:09:06,640 --> 00:09:08,640 Speaker 1: had last We get a couple of great to Drex 174 00:09:08,640 --> 00:09:13,120 Speaker 1: Wag catches. Brown had nothing. He had no receptions, no receptions, 175 00:09:13,160 --> 00:09:17,080 Speaker 1: but John Brown did play of the snaps. He led 176 00:09:17,120 --> 00:09:19,559 Speaker 1: the team in pass routes run. It wasn't like he 177 00:09:19,640 --> 00:09:21,199 Speaker 1: was hobbling around out right, and then he had a 178 00:09:21,240 --> 00:09:24,200 Speaker 1: couple of drops. Brown will probably have the best matchup 179 00:09:24,280 --> 00:09:26,439 Speaker 1: if he's Brown or Davis will have the best matchup. 180 00:09:26,440 --> 00:09:29,000 Speaker 1: Went on the field, most likely, and I'm just gonna 181 00:09:29,080 --> 00:09:31,560 Speaker 1: lean Brown in the revenge game angle if I'm picking 182 00:09:31,559 --> 00:09:34,040 Speaker 1: one of these two guys, because everyone's gonna lean go 183 00:09:34,200 --> 00:09:36,520 Speaker 1: Davis right now. Yeah, everybody's gonna Davis. I like the 184 00:09:36,520 --> 00:09:40,200 Speaker 1: contrarian orientation of that. Obviously high risk, but we know 185 00:09:40,320 --> 00:09:44,400 Speaker 1: that Brown is throughout the course of the season when 186 00:09:44,400 --> 00:09:46,240 Speaker 1: he was on the field, he got targeted, and he 187 00:09:46,280 --> 00:09:49,600 Speaker 1: was generally productive on the targets he got, and everyone's 188 00:09:49,640 --> 00:09:52,880 Speaker 1: gonna be off him, so yes, after the lay off him. 189 00:09:52,880 --> 00:09:55,040 Speaker 1: So I don't love playing the third receiver, but if 190 00:09:55,040 --> 00:09:57,120 Speaker 1: I had to pick one, it's definitely Brown over Davis 191 00:09:57,160 --> 00:10:00,520 Speaker 1: for me. Lastly, for the past catchers, Dawson kN touchdown 192 00:10:00,600 --> 00:10:02,640 Speaker 1: last week, but he's very touchdown dependent. There are too 193 00:10:02,679 --> 00:10:05,320 Speaker 1: many tight ends on this slate. I like Brown's backups 194 00:10:05,320 --> 00:10:08,040 Speaker 1: more than Dawson Knox this week. We'll talk about them later. 195 00:10:08,480 --> 00:10:12,080 Speaker 1: So he's on the bench for me and Devin Singletary 196 00:10:12,360 --> 00:10:15,120 Speaker 1: the lead back four point five k. That's pretty cheap. 197 00:10:15,240 --> 00:10:18,400 Speaker 1: But the Ravens front four's in full force again. They 198 00:10:18,440 --> 00:10:21,000 Speaker 1: showed what they can do when at full steam against 199 00:10:21,040 --> 00:10:24,200 Speaker 1: Derrick Henry last week. So Devin single Darry a very 200 00:10:24,240 --> 00:10:26,880 Speaker 1: contrarian play. He doesn't catch a lot of passes, which 201 00:10:26,880 --> 00:10:28,840 Speaker 1: is weird. I mean, people think he's more like a 202 00:10:28,880 --> 00:10:31,960 Speaker 1: scat back, but he really doesn't get those. He doesn't 203 00:10:31,960 --> 00:10:34,679 Speaker 1: get the receptions you'd think he would. He and for 204 00:10:34,760 --> 00:10:37,400 Speaker 1: him to he's gotta at four point. He's still gotta 205 00:10:37,440 --> 00:10:39,400 Speaker 1: get you to the fifteen draft kings points, and I 206 00:10:39,400 --> 00:10:41,040 Speaker 1: don't like his chances of doing that. He's got a 207 00:10:41,080 --> 00:10:44,280 Speaker 1: score from distance, so I got the running He never score. 208 00:10:44,360 --> 00:10:48,320 Speaker 1: He doesn't score period, from distance or or anywhere else. 209 00:10:48,640 --> 00:10:50,839 Speaker 1: And then I don't your boy, Davante Freeman. Maybe next 210 00:10:50,840 --> 00:10:53,679 Speaker 1: week we'll talk about him. Okay, he's been signed by 211 00:10:53,679 --> 00:10:56,520 Speaker 1: Buffalo to the practice squad. I don't know if he 212 00:10:56,800 --> 00:11:01,560 Speaker 1: is so cooked so cooked? Well, the running back needy 213 00:11:01,640 --> 00:11:04,160 Speaker 1: Giants are like, now we can't even find a carry 214 00:11:04,200 --> 00:11:08,000 Speaker 1: for you. That's a bad sign. In just a second, 215 00:11:08,040 --> 00:11:11,439 Speaker 1: we will break down the Rams taking on the Packers. 216 00:11:12,040 --> 00:11:13,880 Speaker 1: Rams take on the Packers. Let me start with the 217 00:11:13,880 --> 00:11:18,680 Speaker 1: weather here. Um, it's probably not a factor. The Packers 218 00:11:18,920 --> 00:11:23,559 Speaker 1: um are expected to kick off with temperatures in the 219 00:11:23,600 --> 00:11:29,240 Speaker 1: mid thirties tropically, that is unusually tropical for the locals. Yeah. Absolutely, 220 00:11:29,320 --> 00:11:33,400 Speaker 1: and um of note, And maybe I'll even just start 221 00:11:33,440 --> 00:11:37,880 Speaker 1: here with Jared Goff his record in sub freezing games, 222 00:11:38,120 --> 00:11:42,120 Speaker 1: and this is gonna be very close to that freezing level. Es. 223 00:11:44,880 --> 00:11:48,679 Speaker 1: That's right. He's owing to in sub freezing temperatures with 224 00:11:48,840 --> 00:11:52,040 Speaker 1: zero touchdowns and five interceptions. And he wasn't coming off 225 00:11:52,120 --> 00:11:56,000 Speaker 1: thumb surgery and exactly. You know, the good news is 226 00:11:56,040 --> 00:11:58,800 Speaker 1: just the atmosphere will be icing his thumb all the time. 227 00:11:58,920 --> 00:12:02,719 Speaker 1: So maybe there's that. Um he's and Jared Goff is 228 00:12:02,760 --> 00:12:06,280 Speaker 1: too expensive at any price. Yeah. Uh. He is throwing 229 00:12:06,280 --> 00:12:08,560 Speaker 1: the ball poorly, and that was before the thumb injury. 230 00:12:08,960 --> 00:12:12,360 Speaker 1: His confidence looks shattered. He has thrown zero or one 231 00:12:12,679 --> 00:12:15,960 Speaker 1: touchdown in five of the past six games, and the 232 00:12:16,000 --> 00:12:19,600 Speaker 1: Packers have allowed zero or one touchdown pass in five 233 00:12:19,600 --> 00:12:21,480 Speaker 1: straight games. I mean, he's sitting at zero or one 234 00:12:21,520 --> 00:12:24,120 Speaker 1: touchdown for this game. I want nothing to do with 235 00:12:24,200 --> 00:12:27,080 Speaker 1: Jared Goff, and that means I'm not crazy about his 236 00:12:27,160 --> 00:12:31,160 Speaker 1: receivers either. Cooper Cups got a knee injury and did 237 00:12:31,160 --> 00:12:34,559 Speaker 1: not practice Wednesday Thursday, shaping up as a game time decision. 238 00:12:35,160 --> 00:12:38,640 Speaker 1: He finished last week's game, so I want to believe 239 00:12:38,679 --> 00:12:42,079 Speaker 1: he could play here, but um, I don't know for sure, 240 00:12:42,200 --> 00:12:46,640 Speaker 1: and that worries me. And his matchup is fair. He 241 00:12:46,679 --> 00:12:49,880 Speaker 1: goes up in the slot against Chandon Sullivan, who is 242 00:12:49,920 --> 00:12:51,920 Speaker 1: not bad and believe he's given up just two touchdowns 243 00:12:51,920 --> 00:12:54,400 Speaker 1: all year, but he's also not great. Cups better when 244 00:12:54,440 --> 00:12:57,840 Speaker 1: fully healthy. Uh Sullivan did Allo would touchdown to Johannu 245 00:12:57,920 --> 00:13:01,079 Speaker 1: Johannu two weeks ago in his coverage, So that was 246 00:13:01,400 --> 00:13:03,240 Speaker 1: there's a little bit of note there. But Cooper cup 247 00:13:03,280 --> 00:13:06,040 Speaker 1: comes at Bucks. I've got him on a bench grade 248 00:13:06,200 --> 00:13:08,559 Speaker 1: because of the injury. A full at full health, I 249 00:13:08,559 --> 00:13:10,640 Speaker 1: would give him more like a C grade. Glad he's playing. 250 00:13:10,640 --> 00:13:13,160 Speaker 1: He looked like he was done for the year last week. 251 00:13:13,240 --> 00:13:18,199 Speaker 1: I context it was I was nervous for sure, um 252 00:13:18,360 --> 00:13:21,000 Speaker 1: staying with the receivers. Robert Woods on the bench. Green 253 00:13:21,040 --> 00:13:23,960 Speaker 1: Bay hasn't allowed a wide receiver touchdown in five straight games, 254 00:13:24,240 --> 00:13:26,800 Speaker 1: and it most often see Jaire Alexander, and that is 255 00:13:26,840 --> 00:13:29,920 Speaker 1: a disaster. Scenario against one of the five best coverage 256 00:13:29,960 --> 00:13:34,160 Speaker 1: cornerbacks in the NFL. Goffs struggles have taken Woods with him, 257 00:13:34,160 --> 00:13:36,760 Speaker 1: and he has not topped fifty six yards and five 258 00:13:36,880 --> 00:13:41,000 Speaker 1: straight games for Robert Woods, who comes in at dred dollars. 259 00:13:41,080 --> 00:13:44,040 Speaker 1: That is a bench for me as well. I've got 260 00:13:44,080 --> 00:13:48,240 Speaker 1: a C grade on Josh Reynolds because he's going to 261 00:13:48,240 --> 00:13:51,280 Speaker 1: see Kevin King, by far the Packers worst coverage cornerback. 262 00:13:51,600 --> 00:13:53,920 Speaker 1: King's giving up a passer rating of one hundred six 263 00:13:54,000 --> 00:13:57,600 Speaker 1: and sev the passes in his coverage are completed I 264 00:13:57,679 --> 00:14:01,880 Speaker 1: think at thirty two hundred and knowing that the Rams 265 00:14:01,920 --> 00:14:03,800 Speaker 1: will probably trail for a lot of this, the path 266 00:14:03,840 --> 00:14:06,280 Speaker 1: of least resistance through the air is that Josh Reynolds. Yeah, 267 00:14:06,320 --> 00:14:08,160 Speaker 1: I was. I was on Reynolds last week, right around 268 00:14:08,160 --> 00:14:10,000 Speaker 1: the same price as a punt play. I think he 269 00:14:10,080 --> 00:14:11,720 Speaker 1: goose egg too. If if you didn't he had like 270 00:14:11,760 --> 00:14:13,720 Speaker 1: one point something to help, people are gonna be off him, 271 00:14:13,760 --> 00:14:15,800 Speaker 1: but I'm gonna. I'm gonna get back on it again. 272 00:14:15,800 --> 00:14:18,920 Speaker 1: So I like that. Okay, let's go uh oh. Other 273 00:14:19,000 --> 00:14:22,000 Speaker 1: receivers Higbie and Evert are dead to us. They're they're cheap, 274 00:14:22,080 --> 00:14:24,040 Speaker 1: but the Packers are good versus tight ends, and they 275 00:14:24,080 --> 00:14:27,280 Speaker 1: just cannabalize each other. So they're they're outbench. Now let's 276 00:14:27,320 --> 00:14:31,480 Speaker 1: go to the running backs. Cam Acres fifty seven hundred 277 00:14:31,480 --> 00:14:36,800 Speaker 1: bucks a Grade Brian massive usage the last two games 278 00:14:36,800 --> 00:14:40,600 Speaker 1: with fifty two touches in the last two games, and 279 00:14:40,640 --> 00:14:42,800 Speaker 1: the only way the Rams win this game is if 280 00:14:42,960 --> 00:14:47,960 Speaker 1: cam Acres has a massive massive games. In the Packers 281 00:14:48,200 --> 00:14:50,800 Speaker 1: last game, David mctgomery rolled up a hundred thirty combo 282 00:14:50,840 --> 00:14:54,160 Speaker 1: yards in a score. Before that, Derrick Henry yards before that, 283 00:14:54,280 --> 00:14:57,600 Speaker 1: Carolinas hodgepodge of runners top to one hundred total yards 284 00:14:57,600 --> 00:15:00,520 Speaker 1: before that, DeAndre Swift scored. You get the idea. Yeah, 285 00:15:00,560 --> 00:15:04,680 Speaker 1: Green Bay's a good past defense. They are a medium 286 00:15:04,760 --> 00:15:08,280 Speaker 1: bad run defense. That's all going to come back to 287 00:15:08,280 --> 00:15:12,520 Speaker 1: golf though. Sadly, he's got to be able to God's 288 00:15:12,560 --> 00:15:14,880 Speaker 1: God's gonna give very little here, but they're gonna have 289 00:15:15,080 --> 00:15:17,680 Speaker 1: to run Acres. He's gonna have to prove he can 290 00:15:17,720 --> 00:15:21,840 Speaker 1: do something. They're just gonna stack that box Corles now, 291 00:15:22,160 --> 00:15:24,960 Speaker 1: now the path, there's no guarantee that Acres will get 292 00:15:25,000 --> 00:15:27,760 Speaker 1: a lot done here. The Packers were able to contain 293 00:15:27,800 --> 00:15:30,880 Speaker 1: Derrick Henry recently, but still I think Acres gets enough 294 00:15:30,960 --> 00:15:32,600 Speaker 1: use that I'm keeping the A grade on him. You 295 00:15:32,600 --> 00:15:34,400 Speaker 1: could throw a dart at Malcolm Brown if you want. 296 00:15:34,680 --> 00:15:36,720 Speaker 1: He's uh, the Rams are going to run a lot. 297 00:15:36,920 --> 00:15:39,280 Speaker 1: He got ten touches last week, which is enough to 298 00:15:39,320 --> 00:15:41,760 Speaker 1: get something done from a DFS standpoint. You know, if 299 00:15:41,760 --> 00:15:43,800 Speaker 1: you can get to ten touches, you know you got 300 00:15:43,880 --> 00:15:47,560 Speaker 1: a chance. Um. And maybe with all the use of 301 00:15:47,680 --> 00:15:52,080 Speaker 1: Acres has gotten lately, they'll want to diversify a little bit. 302 00:15:52,440 --> 00:15:56,360 Speaker 1: So Malcolm Brown at is a C grade for me. 303 00:15:56,400 --> 00:15:58,680 Speaker 1: I like, Okay, it's got to the green Bay side 304 00:15:59,120 --> 00:16:04,000 Speaker 1: Green Bay as similar storyline. Far easier to run on 305 00:16:04,160 --> 00:16:06,840 Speaker 1: the Rams than pass on the rams. The Rams are 306 00:16:07,440 --> 00:16:10,320 Speaker 1: the best past defense in the NFL. So I think 307 00:16:10,320 --> 00:16:13,680 Speaker 1: we're going to see a ton of Aaron Jones, who 308 00:16:13,720 --> 00:16:17,240 Speaker 1: is an A grade at sixty eight hundred dollars. The 309 00:16:17,280 --> 00:16:20,640 Speaker 1: path of LEAs resistance, as I mentioned, is on the ground. Um, 310 00:16:20,720 --> 00:16:24,080 Speaker 1: David Bactr's out, So another reason not to put Aaron 311 00:16:24,160 --> 00:16:26,800 Speaker 1: Rodgers at risk and to run the ball more. And 312 00:16:26,920 --> 00:16:29,200 Speaker 1: I know fantasy owners are gonna look at Aaron Jones 313 00:16:29,360 --> 00:16:32,400 Speaker 1: modest use. The last few games ten he had ten 314 00:16:32,480 --> 00:16:37,120 Speaker 1: touches and eleven touches well rushes and they're gonna say, well, 315 00:16:37,000 --> 00:16:39,720 Speaker 1: well that's not enough carries. They were saving him for 316 00:16:39,880 --> 00:16:43,480 Speaker 1: the playoffs and breaking news, it's the playoffs. It's time. 317 00:16:43,600 --> 00:16:46,800 Speaker 1: It's time. They're gonna unleash their best running back, Aaron 318 00:16:46,880 --> 00:16:50,160 Speaker 1: Jones a better right now. Now the Rams are good, 319 00:16:50,360 --> 00:16:51,920 Speaker 1: They're not. We're not. This is not gonna be an 320 00:16:51,920 --> 00:16:53,960 Speaker 1: A J. Dillon game like we got two weeks ago. 321 00:16:54,200 --> 00:16:57,400 Speaker 1: Two games ago. Uh No, runners top sixty nine yards 322 00:16:57,400 --> 00:16:59,720 Speaker 1: since Week two against the Rams. There's a good run 323 00:16:59,800 --> 00:17:01,960 Speaker 1: d and so no, don't make it like he's gonna 324 00:17:02,000 --> 00:17:04,440 Speaker 1: just run through this. But they've also seen some really 325 00:17:04,720 --> 00:17:09,879 Speaker 1: really weak rushers through much of the season. Kenyan Drake, 326 00:17:10,280 --> 00:17:13,520 Speaker 1: Damien Harris, Frank Gore. It's got I think, I think 327 00:17:13,600 --> 00:17:16,120 Speaker 1: Jones is sitting on a potentially very big game here, 328 00:17:16,200 --> 00:17:20,680 Speaker 1: and those rushers didn't have an Aaron Rodgers Davante Adams 329 00:17:21,240 --> 00:17:25,080 Speaker 1: right exactly. Um Sticking with the running backs, Jamal Williams 330 00:17:25,080 --> 00:17:27,359 Speaker 1: is a C grade at forty four hundred. His usage 331 00:17:27,400 --> 00:17:30,000 Speaker 1: has been low but might get an uptick here in 332 00:17:30,040 --> 00:17:32,920 Speaker 1: the second half of the season. He's averaged just eight 333 00:17:32,960 --> 00:17:36,040 Speaker 1: touches and scored just two times. He's a pretty good 334 00:17:36,119 --> 00:17:38,840 Speaker 1: runner um, but again, I think the majority of it 335 00:17:38,880 --> 00:17:41,920 Speaker 1: goes to Aaron Jones. Okay, let's go to the passing game. 336 00:17:42,240 --> 00:17:45,720 Speaker 1: I've just got a B grade on on Aaron Rodgers 337 00:17:45,720 --> 00:17:49,159 Speaker 1: at Dollars. I would rather have Josh Allen, who you 338 00:17:49,760 --> 00:17:53,679 Speaker 1: highlighted earlier. He's insanely hot, three or four touchdowns in 339 00:17:53,760 --> 00:17:57,080 Speaker 1: six of the past seven games, which is awesome. And 340 00:17:57,200 --> 00:18:00,600 Speaker 1: I wouldn't blame anybody Brian who feels they just want 341 00:18:00,600 --> 00:18:02,520 Speaker 1: to bank on Rodgers regardless of opponent where you I 342 00:18:02,520 --> 00:18:04,280 Speaker 1: don't even care what the opponent is. I just want 343 00:18:04,280 --> 00:18:09,040 Speaker 1: Aaron Aaron Rodgers. Okay, that's viable. But understand, the Rams 344 00:18:09,040 --> 00:18:14,280 Speaker 1: secondary is so good that the Rams secondaries basically having 345 00:18:14,400 --> 00:18:19,560 Speaker 1: the defensive season that Aaron Rodgers is having. Offensively, they 346 00:18:19,640 --> 00:18:23,560 Speaker 1: rank number one in passing yards allowed, Number one in 347 00:18:23,600 --> 00:18:28,920 Speaker 1: passing touchdowns allowed, Number one in touchdown percentage allowed, passing 348 00:18:28,920 --> 00:18:34,359 Speaker 1: touchdown percentage allowed. And if Jalen Ramsey can hold serve 349 00:18:34,440 --> 00:18:39,119 Speaker 1: with Davante Adams, Rogers got to help. Gotta find help elsewhere, 350 00:18:39,160 --> 00:18:42,560 Speaker 1: and there aren't many good options other than Davante Adams 351 00:18:42,560 --> 00:18:45,280 Speaker 1: who will pivot two. Now he only gets a C 352 00:18:45,520 --> 00:18:48,720 Speaker 1: grade from me because he's eighties, six hundred dollars and 353 00:18:48,720 --> 00:18:51,840 Speaker 1: he's gonna see a ton of Jalen Ramsey. Not every play, 354 00:18:51,880 --> 00:18:54,560 Speaker 1: but he's gonna get a lot of Ramsey. Ramsey ranks 355 00:18:54,640 --> 00:18:58,640 Speaker 1: number one in yards allowed per coverage snap at one 356 00:18:58,720 --> 00:19:01,800 Speaker 1: half of a yard. Rams allowed the fewest wide receiver 357 00:19:01,920 --> 00:19:05,800 Speaker 1: touchdowns just seven. They were allowed the fewest receiving yards 358 00:19:05,800 --> 00:19:10,440 Speaker 1: to wide receivers just one hundred thirty per game. That's it. Yeah, 359 00:19:10,440 --> 00:19:13,679 Speaker 1: it'll be fast fascinating to see the ownership percentages for 360 00:19:13,800 --> 00:19:16,240 Speaker 1: Rogers and Adams will be the lowest they've been in 361 00:19:16,280 --> 00:19:19,720 Speaker 1: the last twelve weeks probably, and that's when it's been 362 00:19:20,560 --> 00:19:23,000 Speaker 1: all the teams playing. There's only four teams and they're 363 00:19:23,000 --> 00:19:25,320 Speaker 1: gonna be probably the lowest they've been. And I just 364 00:19:25,320 --> 00:19:27,800 Speaker 1: want to mention real quick, I was off DK Metcalf 365 00:19:27,880 --> 00:19:30,440 Speaker 1: last week because of Jalen Ramsey. He ended up having 366 00:19:30,440 --> 00:19:35,520 Speaker 1: a great game statistically. The first touchdown was on the 367 00:19:35,560 --> 00:19:38,560 Speaker 1: other side of the Fiel got one secondary and then 368 00:19:38,600 --> 00:19:41,560 Speaker 1: the second touchdown the Rams are playing pre event from 369 00:19:41,560 --> 00:19:43,840 Speaker 1: the eight yard line, right they let him score. I mean, 370 00:19:44,040 --> 00:19:48,720 Speaker 1: so there's smoking mirrors there for sure, so too. But yeah, 371 00:19:48,880 --> 00:19:50,399 Speaker 1: like you said, people just gonna want to have I 372 00:19:50,400 --> 00:19:53,240 Speaker 1: can't fault anyone just plugging in Rogers and Adams and 373 00:19:53,359 --> 00:19:55,320 Speaker 1: seeing what they can do, because you're gonna get him 374 00:19:55,400 --> 00:19:58,800 Speaker 1: under ten percent. And that's that's insane. Um, let's talk 375 00:19:58,800 --> 00:20:03,399 Speaker 1: about the other receivers. Allen Lazard, marquees Velde Scantling for 376 00:20:03,480 --> 00:20:06,240 Speaker 1: Lozardi comes in a thirty D. But I still can't 377 00:20:06,240 --> 00:20:08,080 Speaker 1: do it. He runs from the slot where he's gonna 378 00:20:08,080 --> 00:20:10,280 Speaker 1: see Troy Hill, who's one of the best lock corners. 379 00:20:10,440 --> 00:20:13,080 Speaker 1: Hills allowed one touchdown all year. Last week. He held 380 00:20:13,080 --> 00:20:17,400 Speaker 1: Tyler Lockett the two catches last week. So Lizard's dead. 381 00:20:17,480 --> 00:20:20,960 Speaker 1: So is marquess Velde Scantling, who's at eight hundred. He's uh, 382 00:20:21,000 --> 00:20:23,240 Speaker 1: he's an all He's probably the most all or nothing 383 00:20:23,240 --> 00:20:26,800 Speaker 1: wide receiver in football. And when he doesn't score a touchdown, 384 00:20:27,160 --> 00:20:31,119 Speaker 1: his average game for MBS, his average game when he 385 00:20:31,160 --> 00:20:34,000 Speaker 1: does not score is one catch for twenty four yards. 386 00:20:34,720 --> 00:20:36,320 Speaker 1: I don't want any part of that. In a tough 387 00:20:36,400 --> 00:20:40,720 Speaker 1: matchup against surging cornerback Darius Williams, who actually has a 388 00:20:40,800 --> 00:20:44,200 Speaker 1: higher Pro Football Focus coverage rating than Jalen Ramsey, does, 389 00:20:44,880 --> 00:20:47,960 Speaker 1: so he's dead to us too. And here's your Here 390 00:20:48,119 --> 00:20:51,280 Speaker 1: is I think the best play that there is among 391 00:20:51,320 --> 00:20:56,760 Speaker 1: the receiving options, and it's Robert Touny In. Rams have 392 00:20:56,800 --> 00:20:59,359 Speaker 1: allowed three tight end scores in the last five games, 393 00:20:59,640 --> 00:21:04,399 Speaker 1: and the sort of Jacob Hollister, Dan Arnold and Dan Arnold. Yeah, 394 00:21:04,520 --> 00:21:07,040 Speaker 1: I love it. It's possible that no team saw a 395 00:21:07,080 --> 00:21:10,600 Speaker 1: weaker slate of tight ends than the Rams this day. 396 00:21:10,680 --> 00:21:12,679 Speaker 1: The Rams have faced almost no good tight ends. The 397 00:21:12,720 --> 00:21:16,359 Speaker 1: one good time they faced was George Kittle, and Kindle 398 00:21:16,440 --> 00:21:18,440 Speaker 1: rocked him for a hundred nine yards and one touchdown. 399 00:21:18,920 --> 00:21:22,160 Speaker 1: I contested the Anold is good, but okay, he's not 400 00:21:22,240 --> 00:21:25,000 Speaker 1: George Kittle. I he's not even I will not admit 401 00:21:25,200 --> 00:21:28,119 Speaker 1: that he is not at that level. I'm contested. All right, 402 00:21:28,160 --> 00:21:31,359 Speaker 1: Let's go to our next match, which is the Browns 403 00:21:31,480 --> 00:21:35,240 Speaker 1: taking on the Chiefs. I was personally delighted with the 404 00:21:35,280 --> 00:21:38,400 Speaker 1: Browns game. There was so much fun rooting for Kevin Stefanski, 405 00:21:38,480 --> 00:21:41,160 Speaker 1: all the underdog stuff for the Browns languishing fan base. 406 00:21:41,240 --> 00:21:44,000 Speaker 1: They needed it so much. The Browns had every reason 407 00:21:44,040 --> 00:21:46,440 Speaker 1: to lose the game, and they were up tony one 408 00:21:46,480 --> 00:21:50,840 Speaker 1: nothing in the first quarter, unbelievable, jaw dropping start to 409 00:21:50,880 --> 00:21:55,440 Speaker 1: a game. But I call my friends and legal, I 410 00:21:55,800 --> 00:21:57,600 Speaker 1: don't like to bet on the Bowdogs and whatnot. I 411 00:21:57,600 --> 00:21:59,720 Speaker 1: wanted to be fully sanctioned. I called somebodies. I'm like, 412 00:21:59,840 --> 00:22:03,120 Speaker 1: I on on fifty on the Steelers right now that 413 00:22:03,119 --> 00:22:06,160 Speaker 1: I was sweating it to the end. It didn't come through. 414 00:22:06,240 --> 00:22:08,520 Speaker 1: But uh, but yeah, the Browns are hot, and uh 415 00:22:08,520 --> 00:22:11,679 Speaker 1: we'll start with Baker Mayfield, who everyone views. The Browns 416 00:22:11,720 --> 00:22:13,919 Speaker 1: is run heavy, but over Baker's last six games, he's 417 00:22:13,960 --> 00:22:16,639 Speaker 1: averaged nearly thirty eight pass attempts and he's tossed multiple 418 00:22:16,640 --> 00:22:19,520 Speaker 1: touchdowns and four of those six I'm only gonna give 419 00:22:19,600 --> 00:22:22,600 Speaker 1: him a be though, because he's too cheap. He's five 420 00:22:22,640 --> 00:22:25,840 Speaker 1: point three thousand ownerships. The ownership is gonna be too high, 421 00:22:25,880 --> 00:22:30,120 Speaker 1: and it's gonna be tight to differentiate tournaments. I'm I'm 422 00:22:30,200 --> 00:22:32,720 Speaker 1: upset with the algorithm here from DraftKings. It's way too 423 00:22:32,760 --> 00:22:35,159 Speaker 1: low for Baker Mayfield to be five point three k 424 00:22:35,280 --> 00:22:38,119 Speaker 1: That is almost bare minimum for a quarterback. It's like 425 00:22:38,480 --> 00:22:40,520 Speaker 1: high four thousands as usually as low as you see it. 426 00:22:40,640 --> 00:22:44,119 Speaker 1: So a b on for Baker, But you're gonna a 427 00:22:44,200 --> 00:22:47,160 Speaker 1: lot of people are gonna be using that safe salary 428 00:22:47,280 --> 00:22:50,840 Speaker 1: the same way as you, So he's not gonna differentiate 429 00:22:50,880 --> 00:22:52,480 Speaker 1: as much as you think you would with guys like 430 00:22:52,520 --> 00:22:55,600 Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen and Lamark Jackson and Aaron 431 00:22:55,720 --> 00:22:59,240 Speaker 1: Rodgers on the slave people are gonna gravitate towards Baker Mayfield. 432 00:22:59,600 --> 00:23:02,159 Speaker 1: So just to be for him, take out a side 433 00:23:02,840 --> 00:23:05,399 Speaker 1: is it if you're not you're in a smaller pool 434 00:23:05,440 --> 00:23:08,960 Speaker 1: and you're really not sweating ownership percentage as much is 435 00:23:08,960 --> 00:23:13,280 Speaker 1: Baker and a grade Yeah, definitely, Yeah, pretty much cash 436 00:23:13,320 --> 00:23:16,320 Speaker 1: games smaller pools. I think it's a very safe floor 437 00:23:16,400 --> 00:23:20,240 Speaker 1: for Baker, especially because they if they go up big, great, 438 00:23:20,359 --> 00:23:22,919 Speaker 1: you don't really see that happening. But if they trail, 439 00:23:23,000 --> 00:23:28,160 Speaker 1: they're gonna be throwing the big trail. The multiple score 440 00:23:28,200 --> 00:23:30,760 Speaker 1: trail is likely here. Garbage time can pay off big 441 00:23:30,760 --> 00:23:33,040 Speaker 1: time for Baker in this one, but hopefully it is 442 00:23:33,160 --> 00:23:35,760 Speaker 1: a very competitive game over to his wide receivers. Not 443 00:23:35,840 --> 00:23:38,520 Speaker 1: a lot of love for these guys. Posing Whiteouts average 444 00:23:38,600 --> 00:23:42,040 Speaker 1: less than eleven catches, forty yards and a touchdown per 445 00:23:42,080 --> 00:23:44,320 Speaker 1: game against the Chiefs this year as a whole, those 446 00:23:44,359 --> 00:23:47,400 Speaker 1: are very poor numbers, So just to see for Jarvis 447 00:23:47,480 --> 00:23:51,760 Speaker 1: Landry at five point six thousand, five six k uh. 448 00:23:51,760 --> 00:23:54,320 Speaker 1: He probably has the best matchup against US slot corner 449 00:23:54,359 --> 00:23:56,919 Speaker 1: of Lagarius Sneed, but I think he will warn a 450 00:23:56,920 --> 00:24:00,719 Speaker 1: lot of attention from the Kansas City secondary and so 451 00:24:00,880 --> 00:24:03,960 Speaker 1: for that reason or not for that reason, over to 452 00:24:04,000 --> 00:24:08,800 Speaker 1: the boundary receivers, were Shard Higgins do? He does? He's 453 00:24:08,800 --> 00:24:11,240 Speaker 1: not great, He's he's cheap at four point one k. 454 00:24:11,480 --> 00:24:14,520 Speaker 1: Donovan People's jones is bare minimum for wide receivers at 455 00:24:14,520 --> 00:24:17,520 Speaker 1: three K, but they should both struggle on the boundaries. 456 00:24:17,520 --> 00:24:21,480 Speaker 1: Shavarious Ward and Pshawn Brelan, both very able cornerbacks. Both 457 00:24:21,480 --> 00:24:24,960 Speaker 1: own a catch percentage under six in their coverage that 458 00:24:25,119 --> 00:24:30,399 Speaker 1: is very good. Higgins and DPJ are viable, viable dfs 459 00:24:30,440 --> 00:24:32,879 Speaker 1: place in terms because they're so cheap and they'll be 460 00:24:32,880 --> 00:24:35,800 Speaker 1: on the field and potentially chasing points. But you kind 461 00:24:35,800 --> 00:24:37,680 Speaker 1: of liked them more in a like a showdown contest, 462 00:24:37,720 --> 00:24:40,040 Speaker 1: like a one game contest, just kind of a one off, 463 00:24:40,119 --> 00:24:42,080 Speaker 1: cheaper wide receiver option. If I had to pick between 464 00:24:42,119 --> 00:24:44,840 Speaker 1: the two, I would go with DPJ at three k 465 00:24:44,920 --> 00:24:48,159 Speaker 1: Donovan People's jones because he's probably got less tension and 466 00:24:48,160 --> 00:24:51,560 Speaker 1: he's much less expensive. But again not really targeting either 467 00:24:51,600 --> 00:24:54,680 Speaker 1: of these boundary receivers. I am targeting yet another tight 468 00:24:54,800 --> 00:24:58,159 Speaker 1: end in Austin Hooper at three point eight k. He 469 00:24:58,240 --> 00:25:00,440 Speaker 1: has an amazing matchup by far the as for any 470 00:25:00,480 --> 00:25:03,600 Speaker 1: past catcher for the Browns. Over their last seven games, 471 00:25:03,640 --> 00:25:07,159 Speaker 1: the Chiefs have surrendered six touchdowns to tight ends, and 472 00:25:07,240 --> 00:25:09,680 Speaker 1: over that seven game span, opposing tight ends are also 473 00:25:09,720 --> 00:25:13,879 Speaker 1: averaging seven catches eighty five yards per game, and Hooper 474 00:25:13,880 --> 00:25:17,000 Speaker 1: has been hot. So I like Cooper a lot, and yeah, again, 475 00:25:17,040 --> 00:25:19,360 Speaker 1: you can play two tight ends with ease this week. 476 00:25:19,400 --> 00:25:22,400 Speaker 1: And I even like Harrison Bryant at two point five 477 00:25:22,520 --> 00:25:26,680 Speaker 1: k Barren minimum. That's a big differentiator. Is a game 478 00:25:26,680 --> 00:25:32,560 Speaker 1: time decision. He may not go about his ownership percentage. 479 00:25:32,560 --> 00:25:35,640 Speaker 1: And we're gonna talk about the Chiefs shortly, but Brian's 480 00:25:35,640 --> 00:25:37,919 Speaker 1: a great guy. As a correlation play, if you go 481 00:25:38,000 --> 00:25:41,359 Speaker 1: for the big Mahomes Hill, Kelsey, Stack, usually want to 482 00:25:41,359 --> 00:25:44,440 Speaker 1: have another player from the opposing team, probably a cheaper 483 00:25:44,440 --> 00:25:46,359 Speaker 1: when you have big names like those guys. So I'm 484 00:25:46,400 --> 00:25:48,760 Speaker 1: gonna give a c to Briant and then Joe Coop 485 00:25:48,800 --> 00:25:51,920 Speaker 1: he plays, and I'm giving aid Austin Hooper. Uh, he's 486 00:25:51,920 --> 00:25:54,520 Speaker 1: probably jammed in my tight end spot if I have 487 00:25:54,600 --> 00:25:56,520 Speaker 1: one lineup, and again I'll be I'll be happy to 488 00:25:56,640 --> 00:25:58,399 Speaker 1: even with all the tight end love we've given different 489 00:25:58,400 --> 00:26:00,399 Speaker 1: tight ends already in this show. He's cheap enough, he 490 00:26:00,440 --> 00:26:03,600 Speaker 1: has wide receiver to potential. He might lead the Browns 491 00:26:03,600 --> 00:26:05,600 Speaker 1: and receiving in this game. And again, you can throw 492 00:26:05,680 --> 00:26:08,679 Speaker 1: Kelsey or Andrew's or Tongian in your flex spot all 493 00:26:08,720 --> 00:26:11,359 Speaker 1: of elite matchups. So I love Hooper and even his 494 00:26:11,440 --> 00:26:14,320 Speaker 1: backups if you can't afford Hooper, and everyone's gonna love 495 00:26:14,400 --> 00:26:17,240 Speaker 1: Nick Chubb at six point six. Okay, he's probably gonna 496 00:26:17,240 --> 00:26:19,480 Speaker 1: be the highest owned player on the whole slate, I 497 00:26:19,520 --> 00:26:23,120 Speaker 1: would imagine, and understandably so. Opposing backs averaging more than 498 00:26:23,160 --> 00:26:25,280 Speaker 1: five and a half yards per carry against the Chiefs 499 00:26:25,320 --> 00:26:27,439 Speaker 1: this year, this is how they win. This is the 500 00:26:27,520 --> 00:26:31,320 Speaker 1: real This is the one obvious pathway for the Browns 501 00:26:31,359 --> 00:26:33,960 Speaker 1: to win this game is for Chubb to go off. 502 00:26:34,320 --> 00:26:37,520 Speaker 1: But Kansas City has only surrendered seven rushing touchdowns to 503 00:26:37,600 --> 00:26:39,560 Speaker 1: running backs and only two running backs have managed to 504 00:26:39,600 --> 00:26:41,560 Speaker 1: rush for a hundred yards against the Chiefs. But uh, 505 00:26:41,920 --> 00:26:44,479 Speaker 1: Chubb is playing at another level right now, So I'm 506 00:26:44,520 --> 00:26:47,760 Speaker 1: gonna give him a beat just because if they fall 507 00:26:47,800 --> 00:26:49,359 Speaker 1: behind a lot and he doesn't have good games, a 508 00:26:49,400 --> 00:26:50,960 Speaker 1: big bust and then you can probably be lumped with 509 00:26:51,000 --> 00:26:54,200 Speaker 1: thirty of the field also having Chub and then you're 510 00:26:54,200 --> 00:26:57,080 Speaker 1: all in the doghouse together. So if he doesn't go off, 511 00:26:57,119 --> 00:26:59,159 Speaker 1: your your big time screwed. So just to beat for 512 00:26:59,240 --> 00:27:03,720 Speaker 1: Chub and uh that brings us to Kareem hunt revenge game? 513 00:27:04,240 --> 00:27:07,720 Speaker 1: Can he call it a revenge game? Though the Chiefs 514 00:27:07,720 --> 00:27:10,480 Speaker 1: had no choice but to kick him to the curb 515 00:27:10,560 --> 00:27:12,720 Speaker 1: after what he did, But fine, it is a revenge 516 00:27:12,760 --> 00:27:15,760 Speaker 1: game for Kareem Hunt four point eight K. He's down 517 00:27:15,760 --> 00:27:19,080 Speaker 1: playing it publicly for whatever it's worth. Yeah, I'm sure 518 00:27:19,080 --> 00:27:20,719 Speaker 1: he's not in the locker room. Though the Chiefs have 519 00:27:20,760 --> 00:27:23,920 Speaker 1: surrendered the fourth most catches and the most receiving yards 520 00:27:23,920 --> 00:27:26,159 Speaker 1: of running backs. Hunt wasn't used as much in the 521 00:27:26,200 --> 00:27:28,240 Speaker 1: receiving game as we would have liked for the most 522 00:27:28,280 --> 00:27:30,600 Speaker 1: part on the season, but at four point eight K, 523 00:27:31,680 --> 00:27:35,840 Speaker 1: he'll probably be top three four own running back this week. 524 00:27:35,880 --> 00:27:38,080 Speaker 1: I would imagine two, especially going into this revenge game. 525 00:27:38,119 --> 00:27:40,720 Speaker 1: So I'm gonna give hunted. I don't even just to 526 00:27:40,760 --> 00:27:43,080 Speaker 1: see though, because I'm worried when you expect him to 527 00:27:43,080 --> 00:27:45,480 Speaker 1: catch a ton of passes. He never has. I know 528 00:27:45,680 --> 00:27:48,879 Speaker 1: that's I'm baffled. I'm baffled by that. And we can 529 00:27:48,920 --> 00:27:50,840 Speaker 1: flip the revenge script. I think too that it's a 530 00:27:50,840 --> 00:27:54,320 Speaker 1: revenge game for the Chiefs against Kareem Hull. Look what 531 00:27:54,359 --> 00:27:58,000 Speaker 1: you did to us, Kareem. Now we've got Clyde's Edwards, 532 00:27:58,040 --> 00:28:02,639 Speaker 1: Hilary Levan Bell, We could have had you, because keep 533 00:28:02,680 --> 00:28:05,240 Speaker 1: your nose clean. You'd all be win in Super Bowls together. 534 00:28:05,320 --> 00:28:08,440 Speaker 1: So just to see for a hunt, um, and that's 535 00:28:08,480 --> 00:28:11,760 Speaker 1: it for the Cleveland side. Over to the chief side. 536 00:28:11,760 --> 00:28:14,280 Speaker 1: Of course, a lot to love, but can you afford 537 00:28:14,320 --> 00:28:18,439 Speaker 1: to cram them all into one lineup? Starting with Patrick 538 00:28:18,520 --> 00:28:21,360 Speaker 1: Mahomes at eight k not a whole lot more expensive 539 00:28:21,359 --> 00:28:24,440 Speaker 1: than l Jackson seventy, but he is the most expensive 540 00:28:24,520 --> 00:28:27,919 Speaker 1: quarterback on the slate. As is to be expected, the 541 00:28:27,960 --> 00:28:30,639 Speaker 1: Browns will get Denzel Ward and Kevin Johnson back the 542 00:28:30,880 --> 00:28:33,720 Speaker 1: starting back Those help a lot, big time help, but 543 00:28:34,040 --> 00:28:37,280 Speaker 1: they lose their best pass rusher and Olivier Vernon, maybe 544 00:28:37,320 --> 00:28:40,000 Speaker 1: not the best second, but a great pass rusher Olivia Vernon, 545 00:28:40,160 --> 00:28:42,760 Speaker 1: who's done for the year, so that almost equals it 546 00:28:42,800 --> 00:28:45,200 Speaker 1: out Mahomes will certainly have more time in the pocket. 547 00:28:45,600 --> 00:28:48,160 Speaker 1: Cleveland has allowed the six the most passing touchdowns of 548 00:28:48,200 --> 00:28:50,800 Speaker 1: this season, and over the course of their last two games, 549 00:28:50,800 --> 00:28:54,920 Speaker 1: both against the Steelers, Ben Roethlisberger Mason Rudolph have combined 550 00:28:54,960 --> 00:28:58,080 Speaker 1: for eight touchdown passes in the last two games. But again, 551 00:28:58,400 --> 00:29:00,720 Speaker 1: they get a couple of starting corners back though. But uh, 552 00:29:01,080 --> 00:29:05,040 Speaker 1: I'm gonna give Mahomes an a because I think he 553 00:29:05,080 --> 00:29:07,680 Speaker 1: goes off, he can still do damage if he needs 554 00:29:07,680 --> 00:29:10,640 Speaker 1: to with his feet. Not quite like Yeah, l Jacks 555 00:29:10,920 --> 00:29:14,080 Speaker 1: or Alan, but he has that potential, and I just 556 00:29:14,080 --> 00:29:15,840 Speaker 1: think people are gonna be off him for the most part. 557 00:29:15,920 --> 00:29:18,240 Speaker 1: They're they're gonna want to spend their money elsewhere, and 558 00:29:18,280 --> 00:29:23,400 Speaker 1: there's very luring options at quarterback all over the board. 559 00:29:23,440 --> 00:29:31,640 Speaker 1: So if I'm running one lineup, I'm going, yeah, I 560 00:29:31,720 --> 00:29:34,440 Speaker 1: just think he can. Just even though the chief starters 561 00:29:34,480 --> 00:29:36,160 Speaker 1: haven't played in three weeks. That kind of worries me 562 00:29:36,160 --> 00:29:37,680 Speaker 1: either off. As you know, it doesn't worry me in 563 00:29:37,720 --> 00:29:40,240 Speaker 1: the slightest. It really does and and maybe it should. 564 00:29:40,480 --> 00:29:43,000 Speaker 1: And there are there are case studies here where teams 565 00:29:43,040 --> 00:29:45,840 Speaker 1: have come out cold and it's taken a half or 566 00:29:45,880 --> 00:29:48,400 Speaker 1: in some cases the whole game or they've never gotten 567 00:29:48,400 --> 00:29:52,280 Speaker 1: it together. But man, it's the Chiefs that it just 568 00:29:52,320 --> 00:29:55,200 Speaker 1: feels like they can flip a switch, doesn't it. Yeah, 569 00:29:55,200 --> 00:29:57,680 Speaker 1: and Mahomes, I bet he comes in as the third 570 00:29:57,880 --> 00:30:00,360 Speaker 1: fourth highest owned quarterback, and when at least the third, 571 00:30:00,400 --> 00:30:02,680 Speaker 1: probably not the fourth, but I expect Baker and I 572 00:30:02,720 --> 00:30:05,440 Speaker 1: think Allen will be more owned than Uh. So you 573 00:30:05,480 --> 00:30:07,960 Speaker 1: get a third highest quarterback, you're sitting pretty if he 574 00:30:08,000 --> 00:30:11,040 Speaker 1: goes off. So and A for Mahomes and a for 575 00:30:11,120 --> 00:30:15,440 Speaker 1: Travis Kelsey. Uh seven point eight K even at seven 576 00:30:15,440 --> 00:30:18,280 Speaker 1: point you're still have an A on Kelly. I am. 577 00:30:18,280 --> 00:30:21,000 Speaker 1: Cleveland has been a money matchup for tight ends forever. 578 00:30:21,160 --> 00:30:23,520 Speaker 1: They love the sixth most fantasy points of the position 579 00:30:23,600 --> 00:30:26,640 Speaker 1: this year. Kelsey put up wide receiver numbers all season long. 580 00:30:26,640 --> 00:30:28,520 Speaker 1: He would have finished its wide receiver three if he 581 00:30:28,560 --> 00:30:31,600 Speaker 1: was eligible to play there. And uh again, you can 582 00:30:31,640 --> 00:30:33,520 Speaker 1: treat him as a wide receiver one, which makes it 583 00:30:33,560 --> 00:30:35,479 Speaker 1: easy to put him in your tight end spot. But 584 00:30:35,640 --> 00:30:38,800 Speaker 1: Kelsey very flexi worthy this week. Alright, So no Sammy Watkins, 585 00:30:38,880 --> 00:30:41,200 Speaker 1: So Kelsey probably gets a couple extra passes his way 586 00:30:41,280 --> 00:30:44,760 Speaker 1: if you can only have Let's assume that most people 587 00:30:45,000 --> 00:30:49,400 Speaker 1: can't stack both of those Chiefs. It's just too expensive. 588 00:30:50,200 --> 00:30:54,640 Speaker 1: Then what pick one? Are you going Mahomes, you going Kelsey? 589 00:30:54,960 --> 00:30:57,120 Speaker 1: If you gotta pick one, I would probably still go 590 00:30:57,240 --> 00:31:02,120 Speaker 1: Mahomes because Mark Andrews could have a very so good Tonyan, 591 00:31:02,200 --> 00:31:04,560 Speaker 1: so could Austin Hooper for that matter. That matchups so 592 00:31:04,600 --> 00:31:06,360 Speaker 1: that good on the other side, So I would just 593 00:31:06,400 --> 00:31:09,640 Speaker 1: pick Mahomes. But uh, the Mahomes Kelsey pairing has proven 594 00:31:09,680 --> 00:31:12,360 Speaker 1: to be pretty pretty lethal for the most part this year. Uh, 595 00:31:12,480 --> 00:31:14,560 Speaker 1: Tyree Hill like him a lot as well, eight K 596 00:31:15,120 --> 00:31:17,280 Speaker 1: a little, a couple hundred dollars more than Mahomes. He 597 00:31:17,440 --> 00:31:20,360 Speaker 1: should see Denzel Award. For the most part, he really 598 00:31:20,400 --> 00:31:23,280 Speaker 1: hasn't played the most of the second half of the season. 599 00:31:23,680 --> 00:31:26,920 Speaker 1: The Browns numbers against wide receivers not good, but that 600 00:31:27,040 --> 00:31:30,480 Speaker 1: has led to that reward absent. Brown's had yielded the 601 00:31:30,480 --> 00:31:32,680 Speaker 1: fourth most targets and the second most red zone targets 602 00:31:32,720 --> 00:31:34,960 Speaker 1: to wide receivers. So you gotta love Hill this week. 603 00:31:35,000 --> 00:31:38,400 Speaker 1: You can get a Hill, Kelsey Mahomes stacking there, but 604 00:31:38,440 --> 00:31:41,240 Speaker 1: you gotta go Harris and Bryant and then another dirt 605 00:31:41,320 --> 00:31:43,880 Speaker 1: cheap wide receiver. And I don't know if I want 606 00:31:43,920 --> 00:31:46,560 Speaker 1: to recommend that dirt cheap wide receiver being from the Chiefs. 607 00:31:46,600 --> 00:31:48,920 Speaker 1: As you mentioned, Sammy Watkins is out, so that leaves 608 00:31:49,000 --> 00:31:52,920 Speaker 1: us the Marcus Robinson, Kole Hardman, and Byron Pringle. Robinson 609 00:31:52,960 --> 00:31:55,480 Speaker 1: is the most expensive four point three, k Hardman three 610 00:31:55,520 --> 00:32:00,920 Speaker 1: point nine, Pringle three point two. Hardman means the most 611 00:32:00,960 --> 00:32:04,080 Speaker 1: intriguing play from a talent perspective, but he just gets 612 00:32:04,120 --> 00:32:07,600 Speaker 1: the least run out of Robins. Didn't even Pringle, Pringle 613 00:32:07,680 --> 00:32:12,480 Speaker 1: and Robinson stood out in Week seventeen. Pringles scored uh. 614 00:32:12,720 --> 00:32:15,760 Speaker 1: Robinson has gotten more targets when Watkins was hurt earlier 615 00:32:15,760 --> 00:32:17,600 Speaker 1: in the year, which there was just a more clear 616 00:32:17,640 --> 00:32:20,600 Speaker 1: way to go with with I was Sammy Watkins out 617 00:32:20,600 --> 00:32:22,240 Speaker 1: about who that would go to? I just feel like 618 00:32:22,320 --> 00:32:26,440 Speaker 1: that's it's almost random. And you can't look too much 619 00:32:26,440 --> 00:32:29,800 Speaker 1: into Pringle's good Week seventeen because Mahomes wasn't the quarterback, 620 00:32:29,880 --> 00:32:34,479 Speaker 1: so you can save salary elsewhere. If I don't even 621 00:32:34,520 --> 00:32:35,800 Speaker 1: I would know what I would do. I don't want 622 00:32:35,840 --> 00:32:37,400 Speaker 1: to pick any one of these guys, be honest with you, 623 00:32:37,680 --> 00:32:39,040 Speaker 1: and you know what I don't want to it's how 624 00:32:39,080 --> 00:32:41,320 Speaker 1: to say one of them won't score do something. One 625 00:32:41,360 --> 00:32:44,239 Speaker 1: of them probably will, but which one is is a 626 00:32:44,280 --> 00:32:46,520 Speaker 1: total dark. It's a three face coin and I've I've 627 00:32:46,560 --> 00:32:48,120 Speaker 1: yet to see see one of those, and I don't 628 00:32:48,120 --> 00:32:50,239 Speaker 1: want to flip one either. So yeah, I'm off the 629 00:32:50,480 --> 00:32:54,160 Speaker 1: secondary receivers, and you got to be off the running 630 00:32:54,160 --> 00:32:58,120 Speaker 1: backs unless you're again a hundred and fifty max multi 631 00:32:58,280 --> 00:33:01,560 Speaker 1: entered guy. Clyde Edwards, So there five point five K 632 00:33:01,720 --> 00:33:04,520 Speaker 1: might not even play. If he does, does he have 633 00:33:04,640 --> 00:33:06,440 Speaker 1: a full role he, I mean really doesn't have had 634 00:33:06,440 --> 00:33:08,960 Speaker 1: a full role all year. And then so then that 635 00:33:09,080 --> 00:33:13,880 Speaker 1: leaves Levian Bell, Darwin Thompson, Darryl Is, Darryll or Darrell 636 00:33:14,000 --> 00:33:17,280 Speaker 1: Darrell Darrell Williams Bell at five point one K. I'm 637 00:33:17,360 --> 00:33:22,040 Speaker 1: completely it's Darryl. No worries um. First off, it's just 638 00:33:22,080 --> 00:33:24,600 Speaker 1: a bad matchup in general for all running backs against 639 00:33:24,640 --> 00:33:27,000 Speaker 1: the Browns. Only four running backs managed to top sixty 640 00:33:27,080 --> 00:33:29,960 Speaker 1: rushing yards against Cleveland this year, who only allowed thirteen 641 00:33:30,000 --> 00:33:33,440 Speaker 1: total touchdowns to the position one receiving h so there's 642 00:33:33,440 --> 00:33:35,680 Speaker 1: not a receiving angle there. At twelve rushing touchdowns is 643 00:33:35,720 --> 00:33:39,520 Speaker 1: not a lot. If if Edwards were somehow doesn't play, 644 00:33:39,880 --> 00:33:44,480 Speaker 1: Levian Bell might get to start, but Darryl Williams outshine Bell, 645 00:33:45,280 --> 00:33:49,880 Speaker 1: who got hurt. In week seventeen, Darrell Williams Darwin Thompson 646 00:33:49,960 --> 00:33:53,280 Speaker 1: came in looked better than Darryl Williams did, who again 647 00:33:53,320 --> 00:33:55,680 Speaker 1: looked better than Levion Bill. So it's a mess there, 648 00:33:55,840 --> 00:33:58,840 Speaker 1: I mean, And the bad thing about running backs is 649 00:33:58,840 --> 00:34:00,720 Speaker 1: there bearing in him is four K. That's not chie 650 00:34:00,840 --> 00:34:03,840 Speaker 1: is three K a point five k of course. So yeah, 651 00:34:04,000 --> 00:34:05,960 Speaker 1: you might see the guy who wins a million dollars 652 00:34:06,080 --> 00:34:08,480 Speaker 1: luckily pegged one of these dirt cheap running backs that 653 00:34:08,560 --> 00:34:11,520 Speaker 1: managed to score and maybe account for eighty combo yards. 654 00:34:11,560 --> 00:34:13,520 Speaker 1: But there's no way to gleam who that is going 655 00:34:13,560 --> 00:34:16,359 Speaker 1: to be in a bad matchup. So I'm benching all 656 00:34:16,560 --> 00:34:19,320 Speaker 1: the Chiefs running backs. But good look, if you out, 657 00:34:19,640 --> 00:34:22,640 Speaker 1: then I'm a lot more interested in throwing a dart 658 00:34:22,680 --> 00:34:26,240 Speaker 1: at Daryl Williams. Just the eye test tells me levy 659 00:34:26,280 --> 00:34:30,640 Speaker 1: On Bell is freaking cooked. She's just not good. There's 660 00:34:30,680 --> 00:34:34,880 Speaker 1: just the outside chance that Thompson Thompson is more expensive 661 00:34:34,880 --> 00:34:38,080 Speaker 1: than Williams Thompson. Does I want to see like some 662 00:34:38,120 --> 00:34:42,920 Speaker 1: concrete evidence of who the quote unquote back up. So 663 00:34:43,200 --> 00:34:44,520 Speaker 1: but yeah, I'm with you, I'd be I'd have some 664 00:34:44,560 --> 00:34:46,920 Speaker 1: interest in over that would turn out to be. We'll 665 00:34:46,960 --> 00:34:48,360 Speaker 1: take a quick break and then we'll get to the 666 00:34:48,400 --> 00:34:53,239 Speaker 1: final matchup, the Sunday night game Bucks and Saints. The 667 00:34:53,320 --> 00:34:57,799 Speaker 1: previous two meetings this season between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 668 00:34:57,880 --> 00:35:01,080 Speaker 1: and the New Orleans Saints kind of ancient history at 669 00:35:01,080 --> 00:35:03,640 Speaker 1: this point. It was Week one and Week nine, so 670 00:35:03,760 --> 00:35:06,080 Speaker 1: it was a full season ago and half a season 671 00:35:06,080 --> 00:35:09,759 Speaker 1: ago effectively, And just as a reminder, Week one, both 672 00:35:09,760 --> 00:35:11,840 Speaker 1: teams scored plenty of points. Saints ended up winning and 673 00:35:11,880 --> 00:35:16,160 Speaker 1: definitely no Antonio Brown, certainly not a Week nine, Saints 674 00:35:16,200 --> 00:35:19,480 Speaker 1: destroyed the Bucks, held Tampa to three points in a 675 00:35:19,600 --> 00:35:24,720 Speaker 1: thirty five point victory breeze through four touchdowns. Brady was brutal, 676 00:35:24,800 --> 00:35:27,640 Speaker 1: with three picks and no scores. Tampa ran the ball 677 00:35:28,200 --> 00:35:32,160 Speaker 1: four times in that game. Four carries in that game. 678 00:35:32,320 --> 00:35:36,160 Speaker 1: That's it. That's gonna be the lowest rushing total of 679 00:35:36,200 --> 00:35:40,600 Speaker 1: any team this year. They had eight yards rushing in 680 00:35:40,640 --> 00:35:42,800 Speaker 1: that game. They got behind early and then here's a 681 00:35:42,840 --> 00:35:46,200 Speaker 1: band in the run completely. So let's start with Tom 682 00:35:46,239 --> 00:35:49,239 Speaker 1: Brady and this one who struggled significantly in both Saints games. 683 00:35:49,239 --> 00:35:51,239 Speaker 1: As I mentioned, but he's been red hot for two 684 00:35:51,280 --> 00:35:54,200 Speaker 1: months since that last meeting. His last bad game was 685 00:35:54,280 --> 00:35:59,760 Speaker 1: Week nine. Since then, he's been awesome now. The Saints 686 00:36:00,080 --> 00:36:03,279 Speaker 1: since then also looked pretty good on paper, giving up 687 00:36:03,320 --> 00:36:07,520 Speaker 1: just two hundred forty yards and zero point eight passing touchdowns. 688 00:36:07,920 --> 00:36:10,880 Speaker 1: But Brian listened to the quarterbacks the Saints have played 689 00:36:11,080 --> 00:36:16,120 Speaker 1: since that Week nine meeting against Tom Brady, Nick Mullins, 690 00:36:16,760 --> 00:36:21,200 Speaker 1: Matt Ryan twice, Kendall Hinton not even a quarterback. I 691 00:36:21,239 --> 00:36:24,840 Speaker 1: believe Matt Ryan Julio got hurt in the first meeting 692 00:36:24,840 --> 00:36:26,719 Speaker 1: with the Saints, and then he missed the second. I 693 00:36:26,719 --> 00:36:30,560 Speaker 1: think you're right about that too. Jalen Hurts, Patrick Mahomes 694 00:36:30,600 --> 00:36:33,400 Speaker 1: who threw three touchdowns because he's really good. Kirk Cousins, 695 00:36:33,520 --> 00:36:36,719 Speaker 1: who's good enough and he threw three touchdowns, Teddy Bridgewater 696 00:36:37,239 --> 00:36:41,680 Speaker 1: and Sad Trombone Ski, hold on, I don't have I 697 00:36:41,680 --> 00:36:46,080 Speaker 1: don't know where my sad trombone ski is a little 698 00:36:46,080 --> 00:36:52,000 Speaker 1: sad trombone ski for the background. Um Nickelodeon should have 699 00:36:52,040 --> 00:36:55,640 Speaker 1: had a sad trom p. Is gonna throw a lot 700 00:36:55,640 --> 00:36:59,200 Speaker 1: in this game, a lot in this game. Brady comes 701 00:36:59,200 --> 00:37:02,759 Speaker 1: in at sixty three hundred dollars. I've got an a 702 00:37:03,080 --> 00:37:06,360 Speaker 1: grade on Tom Brady um and I don't believe that 703 00:37:06,400 --> 00:37:08,120 Speaker 1: we're going to see enough. I think we're see done 704 00:37:08,120 --> 00:37:10,120 Speaker 1: of passing, not a lot of running. So that's that 705 00:37:10,320 --> 00:37:12,880 Speaker 1: is a lot of why. Now, let's I want to 706 00:37:12,920 --> 00:37:14,839 Speaker 1: pivot for a second. You know, normally once we start 707 00:37:14,840 --> 00:37:16,560 Speaker 1: with the passing game, we stay with the passing game. 708 00:37:16,840 --> 00:37:18,359 Speaker 1: I want to pivot to these running backs and talk 709 00:37:18,440 --> 00:37:19,879 Speaker 1: for just a second about why I don't like them 710 00:37:19,960 --> 00:37:24,279 Speaker 1: very much. First, all right, you know Ronald Jones, you 711 00:37:24,320 --> 00:37:26,000 Speaker 1: don't know if he's gonna play and if he plays 712 00:37:26,000 --> 00:37:29,120 Speaker 1: it all and game time decision, and this is a 713 00:37:29,160 --> 00:37:33,440 Speaker 1: brutal matchup. Saints are good run defense. They completely stymied 714 00:37:33,480 --> 00:37:36,279 Speaker 1: a red hot David Montgomery last week. They finished the 715 00:37:36,320 --> 00:37:39,160 Speaker 1: season ranked fourth in yards per carry, second and rushing 716 00:37:39,160 --> 00:37:42,560 Speaker 1: touchdowns allowed. Now, they did give up some big games 717 00:37:42,560 --> 00:37:44,480 Speaker 1: down the stretch. Not a lot, but you give up 718 00:37:44,520 --> 00:37:46,880 Speaker 1: a few. Six of the nine rushing touchdowns they allowed 719 00:37:46,880 --> 00:37:50,120 Speaker 1: on the season came in the final four games. Miles Sanders, 720 00:37:50,320 --> 00:37:54,040 Speaker 1: Dalvid Cook the Kansas City Runners. I'll posted good December games, 721 00:37:54,360 --> 00:37:56,360 Speaker 1: so you might get a little something done here. But 722 00:37:57,040 --> 00:37:59,520 Speaker 1: especially if Ronald Jones goes. I don't I don't want 723 00:37:59,520 --> 00:38:01,279 Speaker 1: to mess and monkey with who these guys are going 724 00:38:01,320 --> 00:38:04,200 Speaker 1: to go. Now, if Jones doesn't play, then and Jones, 725 00:38:04,239 --> 00:38:08,000 Speaker 1: by the way Bucks and I'm not touching him Leonard Fournette. 726 00:38:08,040 --> 00:38:10,960 Speaker 1: If if Jones doesn't go, Leonard Fournett's appausible start at 727 00:38:12,040 --> 00:38:17,040 Speaker 1: cheap volume. I still think that Brady is gonna throw 728 00:38:17,040 --> 00:38:19,279 Speaker 1: his arm out of socket in this game. So back 729 00:38:19,280 --> 00:38:21,520 Speaker 1: to back to the receivers now, So we talked about 730 00:38:21,560 --> 00:38:27,200 Speaker 1: Brady like him a lot at st Antonio Brown only 731 00:38:27,320 --> 00:38:31,160 Speaker 1: fifty bucks. I don't know why. He's the highest scoring 732 00:38:31,200 --> 00:38:33,560 Speaker 1: fantasy receiver for the Bucks over the last month, and 733 00:38:33,560 --> 00:38:37,640 Speaker 1: he's a thousand dollars cheaper than Evans or Godwin. Go figure. 734 00:38:38,120 --> 00:38:40,799 Speaker 1: He has scored in four straight games. He's mostly going 735 00:38:40,840 --> 00:38:43,720 Speaker 1: to see Genorris Jenkins, who is which is a favorable matchup. 736 00:38:43,960 --> 00:38:46,319 Speaker 1: Jenkins is getting thrown out a lot lately, which is 737 00:38:46,360 --> 00:38:48,839 Speaker 1: good for Brown um and he's giving up bigger games 738 00:38:48,840 --> 00:38:50,759 Speaker 1: now than he was earlier in the season, including two 739 00:38:50,760 --> 00:38:53,080 Speaker 1: touchdowns in the last four games. So Antonio Brown a 740 00:38:53,200 --> 00:38:57,600 Speaker 1: grade at B grades on Evans and Godwin. Godwin was 741 00:38:57,640 --> 00:39:01,560 Speaker 1: a drop machine last week, he's gonna draw Chauncey Gardner 742 00:39:01,680 --> 00:39:04,759 Speaker 1: Johnson in the slot. He's been very good. He's like 743 00:39:04,800 --> 00:39:06,960 Speaker 1: the ultimate smack talker. By the way, there's been some 744 00:39:07,000 --> 00:39:09,120 Speaker 1: good talk about that the last few weeks in the 745 00:39:09,160 --> 00:39:12,120 Speaker 1: second half of the season. He's allowed just twenty three 746 00:39:12,280 --> 00:39:16,440 Speaker 1: yards and zero point one touchdowns in his coverage since 747 00:39:16,480 --> 00:39:18,879 Speaker 1: the midway point of the season. So I don't love 748 00:39:18,920 --> 00:39:23,360 Speaker 1: this matchup for Chauncey Gardner Johnson. Um I have I 749 00:39:23,440 --> 00:39:25,800 Speaker 1: have a B grade on Chris Godwin just out of 750 00:39:25,840 --> 00:39:27,960 Speaker 1: respect for who he is, but I it might be 751 00:39:28,000 --> 00:39:29,480 Speaker 1: more like a secret. I'm gonna move him to a 752 00:39:29,480 --> 00:39:33,520 Speaker 1: SEA grade at sixt Mike Evans is sixty four hundred 753 00:39:33,560 --> 00:39:36,960 Speaker 1: dollars and look shockingly healthy last week off that knee injury. 754 00:39:37,120 --> 00:39:40,840 Speaker 1: He'll mostly see Marshawn Latimer, who often shadows, especially if 755 00:39:40,880 --> 00:39:45,600 Speaker 1: there's a bigger, physical opposing receiver like Evans. Latimer saw 756 00:39:45,640 --> 00:39:47,839 Speaker 1: a lot of Alan Robinson last week kept him in check. 757 00:39:48,239 --> 00:39:51,600 Speaker 1: But latimer season is very checkered, including allowing the second 758 00:39:51,600 --> 00:39:55,600 Speaker 1: most touchdowns in his coverage. He was the second most targeted. 759 00:39:55,920 --> 00:39:59,200 Speaker 1: Evans was the second most targeted wide receiver from inside 760 00:39:59,239 --> 00:40:02,120 Speaker 1: the ten yard line in the NFL. I think he 761 00:40:02,160 --> 00:40:04,480 Speaker 1: gets a touchdown in this game. And I've got a 762 00:40:04,520 --> 00:40:07,200 Speaker 1: B grade on Mike Evans. I would rather roll with 763 00:40:07,280 --> 00:40:10,480 Speaker 1: him than I would with Godwin h last guy I'll 764 00:40:10,480 --> 00:40:13,400 Speaker 1: mention from that team, gron can break. They neutralize each other, 765 00:40:13,440 --> 00:40:16,080 Speaker 1: and there's way too many other, too many other good, 766 00:40:16,239 --> 00:40:20,040 Speaker 1: dependable tight end options this week. I'm not playing with them. 767 00:40:20,120 --> 00:40:23,840 Speaker 1: Gronks two game total against the Saints this year, three catches, 768 00:40:24,200 --> 00:40:27,560 Speaker 1: thirteen yards, no touchdowns. Don't like it, and break out 769 00:40:27,560 --> 00:40:30,279 Speaker 1: the usage last week, and I don't want to play 770 00:40:30,360 --> 00:40:33,280 Speaker 1: that game. All right. Let's go to the Saint side, 771 00:40:33,840 --> 00:40:36,560 Speaker 1: uh and beginning with Alvin Camara. This is a I 772 00:40:36,600 --> 00:40:38,840 Speaker 1: think an easy decision to give him a C grade, 773 00:40:38,880 --> 00:40:42,600 Speaker 1: and maybe that's generous even if Latavius Murray doesn't play. 774 00:40:42,760 --> 00:40:46,560 Speaker 1: Camara's two prior games against Tampa Bay sixteen rushing yards 775 00:40:46,719 --> 00:40:50,360 Speaker 1: and forty rushing yards. That's it. He managed to score 776 00:40:50,400 --> 00:40:53,200 Speaker 1: in both games, which salvaged his fantasy day a little bit, 777 00:40:53,239 --> 00:40:57,399 Speaker 1: but this is still a nightmare matchup. Tampa ranks number 778 00:40:57,400 --> 00:41:00,000 Speaker 1: one in rushing yards allowed, number one in rushing yard 779 00:41:00,000 --> 00:41:03,640 Speaker 1: it's per attempt they get the lowest rushing play percentage. 780 00:41:03,719 --> 00:41:07,279 Speaker 1: Just thirty five of the plays run against Tampa are 781 00:41:07,360 --> 00:41:11,920 Speaker 1: running plays, and Tampa's excellent against past catching runners. Although 782 00:41:11,960 --> 00:41:14,160 Speaker 1: I will note that Camara did score through the air 783 00:41:14,239 --> 00:41:16,280 Speaker 1: in the first game, but the overall in the season, 784 00:41:16,400 --> 00:41:19,080 Speaker 1: Tampa has been great against opposing runners too, So you 785 00:41:19,120 --> 00:41:21,520 Speaker 1: can't even count on Camara getting something done that way. 786 00:41:21,680 --> 00:41:24,400 Speaker 1: Five five catches fifty one yards and a touchdown, like 787 00:41:24,440 --> 00:41:26,279 Speaker 1: you said in the first meeting, then five catches for 788 00:41:26,360 --> 00:41:31,840 Speaker 1: nine yards. This, I can't assure you that Camara is 789 00:41:31,880 --> 00:41:36,000 Speaker 1: going to do well here and at s I needle. 790 00:41:36,080 --> 00:41:38,360 Speaker 1: I gotta feel a lot better than I do about Camara, 791 00:41:38,480 --> 00:41:41,239 Speaker 1: and I don't care if Murray plays or not. For me, 792 00:41:42,640 --> 00:41:45,680 Speaker 1: Let's go to the passing game. Drew Brees fifty six 793 00:41:45,760 --> 00:41:48,799 Speaker 1: hundred bucks. I've got an A grade on him. He's 794 00:41:48,800 --> 00:41:51,440 Speaker 1: gonna pass a lot for the reasons I just explained 795 00:41:51,440 --> 00:41:54,080 Speaker 1: about Camara, and he was basically perfect in the Week 796 00:41:54,160 --> 00:41:57,160 Speaker 1: nine matchup between these teams. Plenty of value here, I 797 00:41:57,200 --> 00:41:59,880 Speaker 1: think to be had teams abandoned the run quickly against Tampa. 798 00:42:00,120 --> 00:42:04,759 Speaker 1: Tampathy is the highest pass play percentage, and Taysom Hill 799 00:42:04,800 --> 00:42:07,400 Speaker 1: may not play in this game. He's his status is 800 00:42:07,480 --> 00:42:09,200 Speaker 1: up in the air. He's not a hundred percent and 801 00:42:09,239 --> 00:42:11,359 Speaker 1: even if he's available, they may not use him all 802 00:42:11,400 --> 00:42:14,000 Speaker 1: the same way as they normally do. That would that 803 00:42:14,040 --> 00:42:16,280 Speaker 1: would be like the one thing the whole fantasy community 804 00:42:16,320 --> 00:42:22,279 Speaker 1: could just Taysom Hill. So um, I think there's a great, 805 00:42:22,360 --> 00:42:26,040 Speaker 1: a great angle here on Drew Brees is cheap. I 806 00:42:26,080 --> 00:42:30,000 Speaker 1: like it's super cheap. Michael Thomas comes in at six hundred. 807 00:42:30,080 --> 00:42:31,719 Speaker 1: I've got an A grade on him. He looked very 808 00:42:31,719 --> 00:42:33,959 Speaker 1: good last week. He lines up on the left side 809 00:42:33,960 --> 00:42:36,040 Speaker 1: of the field twice as often as he lines up 810 00:42:36,040 --> 00:42:38,200 Speaker 1: anywhere else, and from that side of the field he 811 00:42:38,239 --> 00:42:43,000 Speaker 1: faces cornerback Carlton Davis. Davis has struggled, including an absolute 812 00:42:43,200 --> 00:42:46,279 Speaker 1: roasting at the hands of Tyreek Hill four games ago. 813 00:42:46,920 --> 00:42:50,560 Speaker 1: Davis allowed a touchdown to Drew Brees earlier this year. 814 00:42:51,120 --> 00:42:53,520 Speaker 1: Davis has the size to battle Thomas, but he does 815 00:42:53,600 --> 00:42:56,000 Speaker 1: not have the skill to battle Michael Thomas. I've got 816 00:42:56,040 --> 00:42:58,799 Speaker 1: an A grade in him, even at sixty seven hundred UM. 817 00:42:58,880 --> 00:43:03,000 Speaker 1: Other receivers of note, Emmanuel Sanders Bucks was basically invisible 818 00:43:03,120 --> 00:43:05,120 Speaker 1: last week. I'm not going to play that game. You 819 00:43:05,120 --> 00:43:08,719 Speaker 1: could try Deante Harris, who was a who was surprisingly 820 00:43:08,880 --> 00:43:11,839 Speaker 1: active in the game plan last week. But man, there's 821 00:43:11,880 --> 00:43:13,640 Speaker 1: no history here to suggest that that's going to be 822 00:43:13,680 --> 00:43:17,560 Speaker 1: the case again. Jared Cook, I like him another tight 823 00:43:17,640 --> 00:43:20,480 Speaker 1: end angle that's playable here. I've got a B grade 824 00:43:20,480 --> 00:43:22,640 Speaker 1: in him. At four thousand dollars. He said, no less 825 00:43:22,640 --> 00:43:25,880 Speaker 1: than four targets in six straight games. He has scored 826 00:43:25,880 --> 00:43:29,520 Speaker 1: three touchdowns in those six games. Tampa Bay's allowing tight 827 00:43:29,560 --> 00:43:31,440 Speaker 1: end touchdowns in half of their games on the season. 828 00:43:31,440 --> 00:43:34,279 Speaker 1: They've given up nine. Cook hit the Saints for eighty 829 00:43:34,400 --> 00:43:37,280 Speaker 1: yards in the first meeting with the Bucks, and although 830 00:43:37,360 --> 00:43:40,120 Speaker 1: Cook did not score in the second meeting to other 831 00:43:40,160 --> 00:43:44,560 Speaker 1: Saints tight ends did Adam Troutman and Uh and Hill. 832 00:43:44,640 --> 00:43:47,480 Speaker 1: I think we're both scored touchdowns in that game. So 833 00:43:48,080 --> 00:43:51,840 Speaker 1: now this is uh. In these matchups, we saw Tampa 834 00:43:51,880 --> 00:43:54,719 Speaker 1: give up three tight end touchdowns. So Jared Cook's in play. 835 00:43:54,760 --> 00:43:59,479 Speaker 1: I'm gonna lose so much sleep. I think you could 836 00:43:59,480 --> 00:44:02,279 Speaker 1: feel my hair going gray or already he's thinking about it. 837 00:44:02,320 --> 00:44:05,280 Speaker 1: I think your original premise of two tight ends is 838 00:44:05,280 --> 00:44:08,200 Speaker 1: is very very You'll see that. I mean people have 839 00:44:08,400 --> 00:44:11,120 Speaker 1: done that and it's still not a very popular way 840 00:44:11,160 --> 00:44:13,400 Speaker 1: to build a line. But I think you'll see it 841 00:44:13,440 --> 00:44:15,919 Speaker 1: more often than not this week, and understandably so. Great 842 00:44:15,960 --> 00:44:18,440 Speaker 1: matchups and and there's something to be said about that 843 00:44:18,520 --> 00:44:21,640 Speaker 1: last game, which I wasn't really didn't have my radar 844 00:44:21,719 --> 00:44:23,920 Speaker 1: on my radar as much the Bucks Saints game. But 845 00:44:24,040 --> 00:44:26,359 Speaker 1: it's the only one indoors to be cold in those 846 00:44:26,360 --> 00:44:29,360 Speaker 1: other games. Maybe on the fast track. I bet it 847 00:44:29,400 --> 00:44:34,080 Speaker 1: has you bet it's got the highest overas second, like 848 00:44:34,200 --> 00:44:37,719 Speaker 1: fifty six and a half. This is like, yeah game, 849 00:44:37,760 --> 00:44:39,560 Speaker 1: so yeah, the other two in the four high forties 850 00:44:39,800 --> 00:44:43,320 Speaker 1: makes sense. Thank you for listening. Fantasy Football Weekly Playoff edition. 851 00:44:43,480 --> 00:44:48,200 Speaker 1: Please subscribe, rate, and review Fantasy Football Weekly, and it 852 00:44:48,200 --> 00:44:52,680 Speaker 1: will be back next week to talk about championship Conference 853 00:44:52,800 --> 00:44:55,600 Speaker 1: championship games. Can't wait to talk to you more then. 854 00:44:56,000 --> 00:44:59,160 Speaker 1: Fantasy Football Weekly is a production of I Heart Radio. 855 00:44:59,320 --> 00:45:01,319 Speaker 1: For more podcast us from my Heart Radio, visit the 856 00:45:01,360 --> 00:45:04,560 Speaker 1: i Heart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you listen 857 00:45:04,640 --> 00:45:05,600 Speaker 1: to your favorite shows.